All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like it could be a very exciting game and while the advantage is clearly with Arsenal I am of the opinion that it is a stretch to have them win by two goals.

Arsenal seems incapable of keeping a clean sheet and while that is the case they will struggle to win comfortably and will always be vulnerable to dropping points, they conceded 2 goals to a poor team in the Europa League (Vorskla) midweek and while they did win that game it is still a huge worry.

Everton was woeful against West Ham last week and I expect to see an improvement, I simply do not see them playing that bad again and at the very worse I see them losing by a maximum of 1 goal and a draw would not surprise me.

All things considered, I am backing Everton +1.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have had a terrible start to the season and they need to start picking up more points and quick and that will dictate how they approach this game.

I simply cannot see any sort of negative play today, both will attack and as soon as one goes ahead the other side will go all out to get back in the game, they simply cannot keep dropping points.

All things considered, I see goals and am confident we will see at least three goals in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Roma win today.

They are the better team and even though Bologna has the home advantage I am of the opinion that will not be enough for them today.

Bologna have lost their last four home Serie A games this season and at end of last season and Roma have lost just once on the road since last December and that was against AC Milan last week.

Roma win for me all day long

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A bitter clash between two teams that despise each other and an intriguing game awaits us.

Chelsea has the form and the players to win this easily but that is not what happens in these sort of games.

Local derbies tend to throw form out of the window and when you consider that West Ham played very well away against Everton last week and have home advantage then it would be unwise to dismiss them out of hand.

This will be a passionate affair and anything can happen and the bottom line for me was, will Chelsea win by two goals and my answer is no, at best they will win by a single goal and there is a strong chance that this could end in a draw.

The safest pick is West Ham +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The odds on Sampdoria winning are very wrong in my opinion and I am very happy to snap up the price on offer.

Inter were very lucky to win midweek against English side Tottenham and were outplayed on their home ground for 80 minutes, they are nowhere near as strong as they once were and are definitely beatable.

Sampdoria is not the best Italian side for sure but they are capabale of beating any team on their own ground, just ask Napoli and their recent league form has been impressive.

It will not be easy for Sampdoria for sure, but the odds are just crazy for a team that beat Napoli 3-0 and are well worth backing.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team in my opinion, they will be in the relegation dogfight come the end of the season and a defeat today at Leicester City will confirm my worst suspicions about them.

Leicester have been somewhat inconsistent this season but in front of their own fans, I fully expect them to pick up all three points.

Home win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves are having a great start and their performance last week against Burnley really impressed me, they should have won by more and they will be a handful today for Man Utd.

United are obviously top quality, they appear to be back to form and will be looking to take all three points today and they may well do but I do not see them keeping a clean sheet and that is why I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Chances are United will win but it would not surprise me if Wolves shocked United either, but regardless, I see both teams scoring at least once and over 2.5 goals being the bare minimum today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Burnley are rock bottom and have had a dreadful start to the season, confidence is low but they are better than they have shown and I am confident that once they start winning they will drag themselves out of the relegation zone.

Bournemouth are doing very well and in direct contrast to Burnely their confidence is very high but the truth is that they are vulnerable away and are a limited side, they will gradually fall down the table and though I expect them to avoid relegation I cannot see them maintaining their form all season long.

Burnley are ridiculous odds with home advantage against an average team and I am going with the home side to get all three points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hard for me to see anything other than a Crystal Palace win today.

Newcastle have been unlucky that is true but you cannot avoid the fact that they are consistently dropping points even though they have had some very tough games so far, their confidence is low, whereas Palace's confidence is growing and with home advantage, they will be very confident they will pick up all three points.

It will not be a walkover for Palace and Newcastle will be competitive but they lack that cutting edge and I take Palace to scrape a narrow win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hoffenheim will not be easy to defeat, especially at home but Dortmund have the capabilities to do just that.

Dortmund will be title contenders this season and this is the exact sort of match they will need to win if their title challenge is to be credible, they have started the season decently and this competitive game is what they need right now to give them that belief that they can challenge Bayern Munich this season.

Dortmund win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford have lost just the once in the Premier League this season and that was against Man Utd, they have beaten Tottenham and currently sit 4th in the standings, in better words they have had a brilliant start to their campaign.

Fulham are not doing as well but they have been competitive apart from their humbling at the hands of Man City and will be far from walkovers, especially on their home ground.

Both these teams are evenly matched with Fulham being at home, if it was at Watford then I would plump for Watford but at Fulham, it is a lot more difficult to pick out a winner.

However, one thing that does stand out for me is that in the last four Premier League games for both sides the games have finished with at least 3 goals, that tells me they both know how to score but have vulnerable defences and having watched both teams this season what is clear is that neither side plays negative football and both will go for the win today.

All things considered, the best bet is to back over 2.75 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am backing Real Valladolid to beat Alaves today

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am backing Everton to collect all three points against a weak West Ham United.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am going with Torino to win outright against Udinese today.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria will enter this game in a very positive mood, they thrashed Napoli 3-0 last time out and will use that win to kick-start their season and nothing less than a win against lowly Frosinone will be acceptable. The idea that they can beat Napoli and then lose to Frosinone will be unthinkable to them and rightfully so, this is a massive opportunity for them to make a statement and they will not want to waste it.

Frosinone do have home advantage and will not be walkovers but they are a poor side really, they will battle against relegation this season, they are a promoted side that only managed to gain that promotion via the playoffs and a very long tough season awaits them.

All things being equal Sampdoria really should leave this game with all three points and I am convinced that will be the case.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Valencia have had a poor start to the season collecting just 2 points from a possible 9, that is not what they expected and know they must do better, they had hopes of competing for a champions league spot this season and they have done themselves no favours with the start they have endured.

Real Betis enter this game on a high following their 1-0 home win over local rivals Sevilla but they are a limited side, they know that the best they can hope for this season is a mid-table finish and despite the win over Sevilla will be found wanting more often than not.

Valencia are at home, they are better than their recent results and the international break will have given them a chance to take stock and get their act together, they know that they should be beating Real Betis and will enter this game in a very determined mood. Real Betis will start confidently but as the game progresses I expect them to fall back defensively and that Valencia will be dominant for the vast majority of the game.

Take Valencia to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Under normal circumstances, I would go for a Man Utd win but these are not normal circumstances.

United have lost 2 of their opening 4 games this season, away to Brighton and at home to Tottenham conceding 3 goals in each of those losses, they did bounce back with a 2-0 away win against Burnley but huge question marks remain over manager Jose Mourinho and his players and Watford will provide sterner opposition than Burnley.

Watford have won all 4 of their games this season and last time out came from behind to beat Tottenham, their fans are manic and are really the 12th man.

Watford have all the confidence in the world right now, they feel they can beat anybody and will not be awed by United at all, if anything it will be United that is wary of playing Watford.

But, Man Utd are a top class team and Watford will have their hands full but with home advantage and confidence at a max, I am more confident that this game will result in either a Watford win or a draw.

Take Watford +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have been a little disappointed in Napoli this season, they made hard work beating AC Milan and were humbled 3-0 away at Sampdoria last time out, they are much better than their laboured performances have shown this season and it is just a matter of time before they click, get into their rhythm and show us all what they truly can do and with home advantage today and a shock to their system following that loss to Sampdoria I fully expect to see a determined and rejuvenated Napoli today.

Fiorentina have had a 100% start to the season registering 2 wins from 2 games but they are fairly limited and have yet to play top opposition, both their games so far have been at home and it was no surprise that they beat Chievo and Udinese, Napoli are a completely different proposition and I see them struggling to get anything at all from this game.

Napoli are more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals and that is exactly what I see them doing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

8 of the last 9 Premier League games that Leicester City have played away have been over 2.5 goals and 10 of the last 13 home games for Bournemouth have been over 2.5 goals. The statistics certainly point to an overs game between these two sides.

But it is not just the statistics that has me convinced that this game will be over 2,5 goals it is the attitude of these two sides that leads me to believe we will see at least 3 goals in this game.

Both teams have a never say die spirit even when they are losing as Bournemouth showed against Everton and as Leicester showed against Southampton.

When one of these sides goes ahead you can be assured that the losing side will give absolutely everything right up to the last second to get back into this game and both sides are desperate to win as well, they will not play for a draw that is for sure, they will be playing for the win.

All things considered, I am going for over 2,5 goals in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper you would have to back Arsenal, they have won their last two games while Newcastle have picked up just a single point in their opening four games but not everything is as clear as it looks on paper.

Arsenal's defence is very suspect, they were very fortunate against Cardiff City last time out and conceded twice against a team that had yet to score this season, they also made very hard work beating a very poor West Ham and did lose their opening two games, albeit that was against Man City and Chelsea. Point is that Arsenal is very vulnerable in defence and will concede in this game.

Newcastle may have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they were against elite opposition in Tottenham, Man City and Chelsea and in each of those games they scored and lost by a single goal, they were competitive to the end, though against Man City they were thoroughly outplayed.

This Arsenal side is not as good as the teams that have beaten Newcastle this season and with home advantage, Newcastle will feel they can get at least a point from this game and I am of that opinion as well.

Arsenal does not dominate teams anymore and because of that their defence is put under pressure and that hands teams like Newcastle the opportunity to take advantage.

A draw is a very real possibility and I am far more confident that this game will be either a home win or a draw than I am in an away win for Arsenal and that is why I am backing Newcastle +0.5.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have had a stuttering start to their Bundesliga campaign but it is still early and both teams will soon settle into their rhythm.

Hannover are a poor away side, they have won just 3 road games in their last 25 away matches in the Bundesliga and you have to go all the way back to October last year for their last away win.

Leipzig finished 6th last season despite selling some of their better players, they have a half decent home record and beat Hannover 2-1 in this fixture last season and simply put, are the better team.

If Leipzig plays to their abilities they will win, they have home advantage and will see this game as the exact sort of game that can kick-start their season.

Take Leipzig to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These are two of the most exciting teams in the Premier League and both are considered genuine title challengers and a win for either side will be a massive boost even this early in the season.

Tottenham came unstuck in their last Premier League game against Watford, they really should have won but ended up losing 2-1 and will be looking to bounce back from that away defeat.

Liverpool remains unbeaten and have yet to drop any points and are sitting pretty at the top of the table but the truth is that they have not yet played any of the top teams and are yet to be tested.

Tottenham will provide that test and with home advantage I cannot see them losing, I do think they will probably win this game, they have home advantage and would have been shaken by the shock loss at Watford, they showed their true capabilities with the way they dismantled Man Utd 3-0 at Old Trafford and if they reproduce that form, which I believe they will, then I cannot see Liverpool winning.

A draw or win will see a profit backing Tottenham on the spreads and the only way this pick can lose is if Liverpool wins, something I am not confident in despite the Reds impressive start to the season.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I watched Newcastle host Chelsea last week and that was one of the most one-sided games I have seen in a very long time, Chelsea absolutely dominated Newcastle and the result should have been a lot worse, the goal Newcastle scored was literally their first attack and they deserved to get beat and on any other day would have lost 3 or 4 nil and they were at home.

Man City are far more clinical than Chelsea and I cannot see anything other than one way traffic from beginning to end and if City gets their finishing right then this could be a big thrashing and remember, City are looking to bounce back after drawing last week.

Man City all day long and even with such a high handicap, I have no hesitation in backing them to hand out a severe beating to a very weak Newcastle side.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Celta Vigo are draw specialists at home and do have a decent home record in terms of not losing but they are playing a very top team in Atletico Madrid and while this game will probably be close I see Diego Simeone's men emerging the winners.

For me Atletico are one of the favourites for the title, I see them being right up there come the end of the season and so games like this, against tricky opposition with a good home record, are the exact sort of the game they need to win and I am confident they will do.

They drew against Valencia in their only away game this season and will not want to drop points again and I expect them to take the game to Celta, they have a frightening front line, brilliant midfield and strong defence, it will take some doing to beat them this season.

Celta do have home advantage and they have used that well but they lost this fixture 1-0 last season and I see that sort of score again today, they will struggle to both score and keep the Atletico strikers at bay for the whole 90 minutes.

Atletico Madrid win for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have watched both these sides this season and Palace have impressed me more and with home advantage I see them winning this game against a very mediocre Southampton.

I thought Palace were unlucky against both Watford and Liverpool, they wasted a lot of chances and with better finishing would have collected some points from those two defeats. They are better than their recent results show.

Southampton have not impressed me, I cannot put their defeats all down to bad luck though the last minute loss to Leicester was a cruel blow and they did deserve better but overall they seem to me to be lacking in most departments and I see a season of struggle ahead for them.

Overall I just find Palace the better side and with home advantage, I am taking them to win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two fairly evenly matched teams, Fulham have played some great football this season so far but Brighton are at home and on their home ground they are proving to be a difficult team to beat.

In 4 of their last 6 home games Brighton has beaten Man Utd twice, beaten Arsenal and drawn with Tottenham, they have a lot more confidence when in front of their home fans and it will take a very good team to beat them in their own backyard.

Fulham lost away at Tottenham in their only away game this season and until they have shown that they are better on the road then they are worth opposing, they are a promoted team and did do well on their own ground last game but travelling away in the Premier League is a whole different ball game.

All things considered, I am backing Brighton to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to kick Saturday off with however there is a clear bet to have in this particular game.

Liverpool have started the season off in blistering form and it is easy to predict goals every time they take to the field but the statistics do not back that up when Liverpool are away.

For this pick to lose there needs to be at least 3 goals in this game and that has happened on five occasions in the last 10 Liverpool away games in the Premier League.

Leicester in the Premier League when they play at home has had three games with at least 3 goals in their last 10 Premier League games.

So it is far from nailed on that there will be at least three goals in this game, the stats say otherwise and if there are three goals then the pick loses half its stake, to lose the whole stake there have to be at least four goals and for both teams over their last 10 Premier League games when Leicester is at home and Liverpool is away that has happened just once for each team.

But it is not just about stakes and statistics, most teams play defensively these days when Liverpool visit as was shown when they played Crystal Palace in their last away game when the result was 2-0 to Liverpool and that involved a last minute goal as well.

I expect Leicester to play very defensively today and Liverpool to take a patient strategy to the game they are the away side after all, there will be goals but I cannot see there being a bucket load of goals.

All things considered, I am going for under 2.75 goals in this game

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sevilla has high hopes for this season and have got off to a very good start. They have won their five Europa League qualifiers to date, they were very unlucky to lose to Barcelona in the Super Cup and won their opening La Liga game 4-1. This is a team in high confidence and good form.

Villarreal lost their opening game at home against Real Sociedad and won just once in their last four pre-season friendly games, they are not as match fit as Sevilla, they are the away side and their form is not good right now.

All things considered, I am going with Sevilla to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to call but I am going with Udinese because they have a slight advantage over their opponents.

Udinese drew their opening game and have that match fitness advantage over Sampdoria who were unable to play their first game due to the bridge disaster in Genoa, their home city.

Add to that the fact that Udinese are at home and the advantage is clearly with the home side.

Udinese won this fixture 4-0 last season and while I do not expect a repeat of that I do expect them to sneak the win come the end of the game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Espanyol for this one.

Both sides started the season with draws, Valencia drew at home with Atletico Madrid, a very good result and Espanyol collected a point away at Celta Vigo.

Both sides are optimistic of a good season and as things stand right now there is no reason why they should not be.

Espanyol are not a bad side at home in La Liga, they have lost just twice in their last 11 home games in the league and have beaten both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid and drawn with Barcelona in that period, that is impressive.

Valencia are not the strongest away side as five wins from their last 13 away games can testify to.

This will be a close game but I am going with Espanyol to sneak it and at worse get a draw and see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bordeaux may have home advantage but that has not helped them in recent seasons against Monaco, they have lost the last two league games on their home turf against Monaco 2-0 and 4-0 respectively and I see no reason why there will be any different result today.

Bordeaux have lost their opening two games conceding four goals and only scoring once and they sit second bottom and while the season is very early it is still a very poor start.

Monaco has collected four points so far from their two games and won their opening away game against Nantes 3-1, a result like that will not surprise me today.

All things considered, I am going with a Monaco win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have started the season quite well, especially Watford, both are full of confidence and that will lead to an open free-flowing attacking game.

Palace may well have lost to Liverpool but they were a little unlucky and throughout that game they showed attacking intent and Watford have been in an attack-minded mode since the season started.

Having watched both teams this season and how they have approached their games I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult for me to see anything other than a Napoli win.

For starters, Napoli have played a competitive game already this season beating Lazio away last weekend, whereas Milan did not play and lack that crucial match fitness that Napoli now has.

Secondly, Napoli is actually the better team, they have proven this winning 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two and drawing once, they are simply superior.

Thirdly, Napoli has home advantage.

Those are three solid reasons why Napoli will win, they have a match fitness advantage, they have home advantage and they have proven to be the better side for a while now.

Back Napoli -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams lost their first two games of the season but there is a huge difference in the manner of the defeats.

West Ham got thrashed at Liverpool and lost at home to Bournemouth while Arsenal lost at home to Man City and away at Chelsea in a thriller.

Arsenal was competitive for most of the game with City and with some luck could have got back into the game and against Chelsea, they could easily have scored as many as 5 in the first half and showed character to come back to 2-2 before succumbing to a late goal.

Arsenal is at home for this game and their opening game performances tell me that they are ready to hand out a beating to a lesser team and West Ham fit that profile perfectly.

I simply cannot see West Ham getting anything from this game, they looked poor in both their games this season and have shown me no reason to believe that they can all of a sudden improve for this game.

Arsenal all day for me and by at least 2 goals. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have had great starts to the season, I was particularly impressed with Everton in their opening game draw against Wolves, they were down to 10 men and were the better team away from home, a huge improvement from last season.

Bournemouth are no world beaters but they are organised and very difficult to beat, especially on their own ground but they are limited and Everton just look the more accomplished team of the two.

On balance I have more confidence that Everton will win or draw than I am in a Bournemouth win and backing Everton at level ball is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mixed starts for both teams with Leicester probably playing with slightly more confidence but Southampton do have home advantage and it is never easy to play them on their own turf.

It is very difficult to separate these two teams, if this game was at Leicester then I would plump for a Leicester win but at Southampton, it does even it up a lot more.

When it is hard to split two teams, when their form is similar and there is no real reason to oppose one or the other the chances are that the game is headed for a draw and that is my opinion having watched both these teams this season.

The draw looks the value pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The early Premier League game this Saturday and I am going for goals.

We all know how prolific Man City are and if they are in the mood they will score a bundle of goals, they did last week against Huddersfield Town and in their opening game of the season went to Arsenal and scored twice and Wolves are no Arsenal.

Wolves are vulnerable in defence, they showed that in their opening two games conceding twice in both games and I see absolutely no reason why Man City cannot do the same and more.

Wolves are at home and there is always a chance they will score, Huddersfield did against City and they were away and being thrashed 6-1.

Bottom line for me is that I do see City scoring a few goals, the exact amount I do not know but I am more confident they will score 3 or more than I am that they will score 2 or less and with there being a chance that Wolves will score then the over 3 goals looks a fairly safe bet.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Real Sociedad for this match.

The season is only one game old in La Liga but I am confident that Sociedad will have a half decent finish, whereas Leganes look like they may struggle to avoid relegation.

Sociedad won their first game last week away at Villarreal while Leganes lost and it is very possible that those results are a good indication of how the season will pan out for both sides.

All things considered and based on the strength of both teams and the opening week results I am going for Sociedad to get the win today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Strasbourg have started the season off with 1 win and 1 draw and they were not bad results, Lyon, on the other hand, have had a slightly disappointing start winning once at home and losing away at Reims, however, do not be mislead by the respective starts from these two teams, Lyon are far superior.

Lyon won this game 4-0 last season and over their last six home games, the last five of last season and their only home game this season, they have won by at least two goals on five occasions.

Strasbourg did win away last week but are rather poor on the road and while they do not get thrashed every time they are away they do tend to get beaten convincingly by the top teams with Monaco, PSG and Lyon (the top 3 last season) all winning by at least 2 goals.

All things considered, I am going with Lyon to win by at least 2 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the draw in this one.

There is very little to separate these two, though with all things being equal I would probably go with the Red Bulls but everything is not equal, for starters City have home advantage and they have beaten the Red Bulls the last three times at home.

That said, the Red Bulls are in good form, they have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 away games in the MLS and have won 7 of their last 10 MLS games home and away.

City are a little sketchy right now having won just once in their last 4 MLS games but prior to that they were on fire.

The bottom line is that a case can be made for both teams and when that happens a draw tends to be the value bet and that is how I am approaching the game tonight.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool are on fire, they have started this season off how the ended last season in free-flowing goalscoring mode and no matter the result tonight I just cannot see them not scoring and most likely at least a couple of goals.

Palace will be no walkovers simply because they are more than capable of finding the back of the net as well, they did brilliantly at the end of last season to avoid relegation and have also carried on this season in the same vein winning their opening game 2-0 away from home.

This goal screams goals and a high scoring draw would not be a huge surprise, but regardless, I am convinced we will see at least 3 goals in this game and probably more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than an Atletico Madrid win.

I know that Valencia at home will be no pushovers but this is not the Valencia of old, they are fairly average these days and simply do not have the quality of player that Atletico has.

Atletico beat Real Madrid last week and at the very least will enter this game in good spirits, they have a formidable frontline, a creative midfield and very strong defence, they are genuine title challengers and it is exactly this sort of game that they will have to win if they are to dethrone Barcelona and I believe they will.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game I came to the conclusion that Inter should win but that Sassuolo would give them a very tough game and the more I analysed it the less confident I came about an Inter win but still thought they would emerge the winners or at worst draw, I struggled to find a good reason to back Sassuolo.

Sassuolo actually beat Inter in this fixture last season but that was really a one off and not something I see repeated today, a lot depends on how well Inter play to be honest, if they play to form they will win but the problem with Inter is they are great at inconsistency and you just never know what Inter team will turn up.

The way I see this game playing out is that it will probably be an Inter win and that Sassuolo will score at least once, so the most logical pick is to go over 2.5 goals and that is exactly the play I am making in this game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

SPAL barely survived relegation last season and Bologna only finished one point ahead of them, these are two mediocre Serie A teams that are fairly evenly matched and it is not an easy task to pick out a result for this game, it really could go either way or even end in a draw.

What has surprised me a little is the fact that the overs is low at just 2 goals.

16 of SPAL's 19 away games last season had at least 2 goals in them and 18 of Bologna's 19 home games also had at least 2 goals in them.

That tells me that there really should be at least 2 goals in this game and if there are only 2 goals you at least get your stake returned.

There were 3 goals in this game last season when Bologna was at home and I do see a repeat of that again today.

All things considered, the best bet in this game is over 2 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Man Utd are serious about competing for the title this is the exact sort of game they must be winning, an away game against tough opposition.

United do have a decent away record over the last season, it could have been better and there were some bad results for them and they did lose to Brighton, however, that was at the end of the season and the result reflected the fact that United had slowed down.

Brighton did draw a lot at home last season, they did not win that much to be fair but they ground out results when they needed to.

The bottom line for me is that if United play to form they will win, it all depends on if Jose Mourinho has got his team where he wants them, he has been moaning a lot recently but I am confident his team will be fully wound up and will be just too good for plucky Brighton.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Opening day game for both sides and you can forget the preseason friendly games these two played, they are not a great guide and were very mixed anyway.

Lazio are at home and that is an advantage but they did not have the greatest of home records last season and they lost 4-1 to Napoli in this fixture last year.

Napoli had a flying start to the season last year and I see no reason why that would be any different this year, they are genuine contenders for the title and probably the biggest challengers to Juventus.

Lazio were inconsistent at home last season, they simply dropped far too many points and the truth is that they are not one of the better teams in Serie A, they tend to lose to the bigger sides, home and away and finishing 19 points behind Napoli last season gives a clear indication of the difference between these two teams.

I am confident that Napoli will do what they did last season and that is beat Lazio in their own backyard and get off to a flyer.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides, a game that could well end up being a classic and I am going with Arsenal to get at least a draw.

Chelsea beat Huddersfield comfortably but with all respect to Huddersfield, they are not exactly an elite team.

Arsenal lost at home to Man City but City are an elite team, probably one of the top three teams in world football and not many teams will get anything against the Champions this season, so for Arsenal to lose at home in their first game of the season against Man City is not a shock or the end of the world.

Chelsea and Arsenal are no longer top four teams and the chances are both will fall outside the top four this season, they are fairly evenly matched and it is more a question of which team turns up on the day.

I am confident that Arsenal will improve from last weekend, they certainly have top quality players and if the likes of Ozil and Aubameyang play to their true ability they will give Chelsea a hard time.

Chelsea do have home advantage and in Eden Hazard a genuine world class player but they also have players that need to step up their game, players like Morata as an example and if there is one cause for concern at Chelsea it is their forward line, it is not what one would call formidable, excluding Hazard of course.

All things being equal I am more confident that this game will end in a draw or even an Arsenal win as opposed to Chelsea winning

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was quite impressed with Everton last weekend, I actually thought they would lose to Wolves but they ended up getting a draw after going down to 10 men and looked the more likely winners, they showed a lot more character than last season and were very good on the ball and with their passing.

Southampton played out a goaless draw with Burnley and played how I expected them to, I do see them struggling this season, I am not sure they have the forward line to frighten too many teams and they lack creativity.

Based on the opening day games and the fact that Everton is at home I am backing them to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves disappointed me last weekend, they had a huge advantage over Everton and just could not get the win, in fact, they looked more like they would lose than win and that was when they were playing against 10 men and had home advantage.

Of course that was the first game of the season and they may well improve but they played like a team that has not yet gelled together with all the new signings and that will take time, certainly more than a week anyway.

Leicester were not shamed losing 2-1 at Man Utd and will have taken encouragement from that game despite losing, they are now at home and are generally a settled side, they have always been a tough team to beat at home and they will be as confident as me that they can get all three points against a promoted team still finding their feet in the big league.

Take Leicester City to grab the win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

West Ham was truly humbled at Liverpool last weekend but to me, that is an isolated game, Liverpool are capable of beating any team in the world on their own ground and while West Ham was feeble, Liverpool was imperious and I expect West Ham to be a lot-lot better today.

Bournemouth got off to a great start against Promoted Cardiff and I cannot fault them but they were at home and were not playing one of the top sides, they should have won really and they did, today is an altogether different proposition.

This will be a tough game for sure but I see massive improvement today from West Ham and expect them to emerge the winners in a hard played game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game between two big sides and apart from a betting point of view this is a game worth watching just for the spectacle.

City are class and romped to the title last season and will take some stopping this campaign, they battered Arsenal last season and they are deserved favourites again today, however, there are very good reasons why it is worth backing Arsenal on the spreads today.

For starters, this is a season opener and anything can happen, teams take time to settle, especially after a world cup and there is no guarantee that City is better tuned for this game than Arsenal.

Secondly, this is a different Arsenal team from last year, they have a new manager and some new players, they had a good pre-season and they are at home.

It is not often you can back Arsenal +0.5 at home, they are usually big favourites but it is understandable they are underdogs against Man City.

It would still be a huge effort for City to beat Arsenal at the Emirate stadium, Arsenal are a top quality side and City were vulnerable on the road last season and because of all the circumstances including new manager, home advantage, first game of the season, new players etc it is well worth backing the Gunners with a half ball start.

Back Arsenal +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Burnley to get at least a draw in this season-opening game against Southampton.

Match fitness is always important at the start of the season, this showed yesterday when Tottenham got very leggy at the end of their game against Newcastle, it is one thing being fit from friendly games and a whole different situation being fit from competitive matches and that is where Burnley have the advantage.

Burnley have been playing competitive football in the Europa League and that will give them an edge today, Southampton does have home advantage but that only gives you so much, whereas match fitness is far more significant.

Because Southampton do have home advantage it makes sense to back Burnley on the spreads with a half ball start 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams have bought very well in the transfer window and West Ham has a new manager so this is a game that cannot be judged based on last seasons form.

That said, Liverpool are clearly the better team, they are seen as the main competitor to Man City for the title this season, they are at home and ooze class throughout but this is a season opener and with new players, it does take time to adjust.

That, of course, applies to West Ham as well but the difference is that while Liverpool has the core of their team from last season and the same manager West Ham are completely changed and the room for improvement for West Ham is far greater than it is for Liverpool.

Liverpool should win but for this pick to lose Liverpool would have to win by three goals and I just do not see that, this is a very different West Ham from last season, they have far better players than they did last season, players like Anderson, Wilshere and Perez are a massive upgrade.

Backing West Ham +2 is without a doubt the most sensible bet.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is a lot of excitement surrounding this Wolves side, they won promotion easily last year and have since strengthened the squad with some astute buys, they have a decent pre-season and are full of confidence.

Everton have had a poor preseason, they won a game 22-0 but then lost five on a trot, they have bought some big names in on the final day of the transfer window but the chances are that only one of those new signings, Mina, will play today and there are a ton of question marks over the payers that are still there from last season.

Everton may end up having a decent season but the jury is out at this time and their new players will need time to bed in, Wolves have already bedded in their new players for the most part and they simply look the more confident side right this minute.

Wolves to win outright in front of their home fans.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Of all the Premier League games today this was the one that I saw goals in.

Promoted Fulham have bought well and as long as the new additions gel they will be mid-table this season and not among the relegation strugglers.

Palace had a fantastic run at the end of last season and will enter this new season on a high, they will certainly not want to get off to a poor start like they did last year and like Fulham I expect them to be a mid-table team this season.

Both teams have open expansive type of players, these are not teams that will sit back and defend, especially against each other, they play positive football and not negative football and I expect that to be reflected in the scoreline.

Take over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky opening fixture for Tottenham but they should have enough to beat Newcastle United today.

Tottenham are one of the best sides in English football, they are at a slight disadvantage because so many of their players featured in the last four of the world cup and have come back to training later than usual but they will still field a very strong team against Newcastle and have a very good away record generally speaking.

Newcastle have not really strengthened a weak squad and that will tell, they may have home advantage but against one of the best away teams in the league that home advantage will be minimal.

Opening day games are never easy to predict but the gulf between these two teams is rather big and the class of Tottenham should be the difference.

Take Tottenham to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

First games of the season are always tricky affairs, however, there are good reasons to back Man Utd to get their season off to a winning start.

A lot has been made of the lack of United signings, the mood of manager Jose Mourinho and so on but the bottom line is that he is one of the best managers in world football, United are at home, they have world class players and the team is fairly settled.

Leicester City is a mid-table team these days, their new signings will need time to bed in, they have lost Mahrez, which is significant and all things being equalled are playing a far superior team.

This game is more about judgement than form and in my judgement, United will have too much for Leicester over the 90 minutes.

Take United to win and to win by 2 clear goals at home and a one-goal win will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game between these "local rivals" and I am going with the Galaxy to come away from this match with at least a draw.

Los Angeles FC has never lost at home in their very short history in the MLS, a run of 9 games, however, it is almost written that the first team that would break that record would be their local rivals.

Galaxy has put a very decent unbeaten run together on the road, they have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games and enter this match in good confidence.

Of course, FC will also be high in confidence with their home record and they may well not lose but I am far more confident that Galaxy will win or draw than I am with FC winning.

The most sensible pick here is to back Galaxy on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When New York play at home they tend to win, when they play away they do not as just 3 wins from their last 15 road trips shows, that is just awin0% wn record in that period.

Now, Orlando is not that much better at home, they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home matches, however, that does just to 5 wins from 8 at home, so not as bad as it first looks.

The bottom line for me is that I have more confidence in Orlando winning or at worse, drawing than I am in New York coming away with the win.

Back Orlando on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team can afford to lose this game and a draw for both teams would probably be satisfactory.

San Jose has not won in the last seven games at home, they have however drawn their last two home games.

Seattle has won just three times in their last 17 road game, they have drawn their last two away game though and so are starting to string some positive away results together.

All things considered, a draw looks the best bet here. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of this game for over 3 goals.

Four of Houston last seven MLS home games have had at least four goals and five of their last seven MLS home games have had at least three goals in them.

Three of the last five Philadelphia MLS road game have had at least four goals in them and a pattern is starting to develop.

Goals are definitely a feature with both these teams and with three goals guaranteeing your stake returned and four goals a win then overs is the best bet available.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Minnesota is a far better home side than an away side and I can see them getting a result against Los Angeles this evening.

United have won their last three home games in the MLS and four of their last five, they may not be as strong as LA but they are quite formidable at home at this moment.

LA is a good side on form but their away record is letting them down a little, they have won just once in their last four away games, though they have won one and drawn one of their last two games so they are starting to sort themselves out on the road.

But even so, Minnesota is in great form at home and until that changes, I am backing them to continue their winning ways in front of their own fans.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

France are favourites but some perspective is required.

They have never really got into top gear and to assume they will do so in the final is to ignore all previous games, they did beat Belgium but did so with 10 men behind the ball for long periods of the game, they did beat Argentina but we are talking about a very poor Argentina and to concede three goals against them is quite an achievement considering, especially when Croatia beat them 3-0.

My point is that France is still a team of parts and not a whole team like Croatia, yes they have some brilliant players but they never seem to gel into a perfect unit.

Croatia are what you call a whole team, they also have world class players, especially Modric, they have character, a never say die spirit and no matter what hurdles have been put in their way they have overcome them.

France lost in the Euro 2016 final when at home to a far inferior team and their manager Deschamps is always one step away from a big mistake.

I have a strong feeling that this is the World Cup of the underdog and with their fantastic midfield, I am of the opinion that Croatia will spring a huge surprise today and win the World Cup.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The game between England and Belgium for third place is rather meaningless, yes there is a medal for the team that wins the game but it is not the world cup final and a lot of very downhearted players will take the field today.

That said, there is a history of these games having goals in them, in fact, the last 10 third-place game has had a minimum of three goals in it with six of them at least four goals.

There are numerous reasons for this, lack of pressure, players that never featured too much finally able to play, pride and so on but the bottom line is that this game is a game that historically has goals and there is no reason to think this match will be any different.

Add in the fact that Lukaku and Kane are still chasing the golden boot and everything is set up for goals.

Take over 3 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Very little to separate these two teams, however, I am going with England to get the win.

Croatia are a very good team, they have a brilliant midfield but they do lack a plan B, they have grinded results out and had to get to this stage with two consecutive penalty wins, they are a nervy team and despite getting to this stage I do not sense that they have that inner belief that they can win the tournament.

The same cannot be said of England, their confidence and inner belief have grown round after round, they may lack the all-round quality of Croatia but they play like a real team, they have developed an inner steel that has been previously lacking and in Harry Kane they have a truly world-class player.

It will be tight but I see England sneaking the win and getting one step closer to taking football home.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is far too close to pick out a winner, it could go either way.

Both these teams are full of world class players, Belgium have De Bruyne, Hazard and Lukaku while France has Pogba, Mbappe and Griezmann.

Both are attack-minded teams and an open free flowing game is expected, they will of course, start off cagey, nerves will play a part but once they settle down I expect the match to open up and goals to come.

I am more confident that we will see at least 3 goals than I am in picking a winner, there is as much chance of a draw or France or Belgium win it is that close but goals is something I am convinced we will see.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper, Croatia should win but as this World Cup has proven having the better players is no guarantee of a win.

Russia showed massive character against Spain, they defended extremely well and with home advantage, they will feel that they can win this game.

Croatia struggled against Denmark, in fact, they got lucky, they were not as fluent as they have been previously in this tournament, they looked nervous and played as such. The Croats are vulnerable and if this game turns into a battle of attrition they will lose.

I see a very tight game with Russia defending for the most part and while I think Croatia will probably win I am confident that it will not be in 90 minutes and that the game will go into extra time at the least.

Draw in 90 minutes for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing England to win and progress to the semi-finals for the first time in 28 years.

Sweden will play for a draw and hope to hit England on the counter-attack and the reason for that is simple, they know they are not as good as England and that this will be the only way they can get something from this match.

I do not see Sweden holding out for 90 minutes though, I think they will be too preoccupied with Kane and that will allow the other forwards and attacking midfielders the freedom to cause havoc.

Both teams have belief for sure but England youngsters came through a mental test against Colombia and that weakness they once had, inexperience and history, has now gone.

All things considered, I am going with England to win a tight game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This could be a classic but that all depends on what Brazil or Belgium teams turn up.

Everything is about opinions and it is my opinion that Belgium has the better players, Brazil flatter to deceive a lot in my opinion, they never win comfortably when you consider the players they do have.

Belgium are a team full of awesome players and if they click today I can see them beating Brazil by more than a single goal, that is how confident I am, they have the stronger defence, more combative midfield and I prefer Lukaku up front to Neymar, simple as that.

Belgium wins for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a weird match with two very different footballing cultures facing off, the very defensive Uruguay against the attack-minded France.

What this match came down to for me was which teams defence will do better against the opponents forward line and I am very confident that Uruguay's defence will better contain France forward line than the French defence will against the Uruguayan attack.

France did well against Argentina but so did Uruguay against Portugal and it will be small margins that separate these two.

All things considered, those small margins will be defensive for me and it is Uruguay that I am going to back.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Strange game this, especially for England as their group games did not really tell us too much because of the quality of the opposition and circumstances of their final group game.

Colombia will most likely be without their best player Rodriguez and that is significant, they do have some players with a point to prove but that in itself is telling, it shows that some of their better players have been found wanting on a regular basis.

England seem a different team than in past world cups, they have less baggage and a genuine world-class player in Harry Kane, they have a belief and calmness about them that has been sorely missing in the past.

This is the first real test for England and I am confident they will pass it and win within 90 minutes.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult to separate these two teams, they are both fairly negative sides and nerves will definitely play a role today.

The Swiss are probably slightly the better side but it is marginal and this game has all the signs of a battle of attrition.

A case can be made for both sides but when I do that they cancel each other out and my best conclusion is that this will be a draw at 90 minutes with extra time the most likely outcome.

Take the draw

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 2.5 goals in this World Cup last 16 clash between Mexico and Brazil.

Brazil are not as prolific scorers as their reputation indicates but circumstances of this game, a knockout, means that the dynamics of the game depends on who scores and when, games open up far more in this type of match.

Mexico will not be pushovers and will defend deep but they are capable of quick counter attacks and can play open football when it is required and I suspect that will be the case today.

Brazil will be on the attack from the start and Mexico will defend and that will either lead to goals or counter attacks and if the Brazilian are vulnerable in one area it is in defence.

This will be an exciting game that will ebb and flow and I see at least one of these teams scoring twice and both teams scoring at least once. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Croatia have been very impressive so far and their win over Argentina was beautiful to watch but to a large extent that had more to do with how poorly Argentina have played in this competition and the circumstances of the game, that is not say that Croatia was not brilliant on the day, they were, but some reality and perspective is required.

Croatia are a good team but so are Denmark but in a very different style, the Danes are far more compact than any of the opposition Croatia has faced so far, they will not be as susceptible to the counter-attack and will defend far better than the likes of Nigeria or Argentina did.

This will be a cagey game, Croatia will probably dominate possession but the Danes will get their chances and in Ericksen they have a world class talent more than capable of changing the game.

Croatia have the likes of Modric and Rakatic and will pose a danger throughout and while they are deserved favourites this game will be very difficult for them.

I can see the Danes holding the Croatians for 90 minutes and may even attempt to go for penalties as their ultimate goal and a draw looks the value pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult to see anything other than a Spain win today.

Russia will be backed by 80,000 fans in the stadium and will run like mad all afternoon long but they lack the quality that Spain possesses and it will show.

Russia was the worst European team before the competition started but two great wins got their campaign off to a good start and that masked their limitation, however, those limitations were cruelly exposed against Uruguay and they were already 2-0 down when they went down to 10 men so the sending off of Smolnikov cannot be used as an excuse, they were simply not good enough.

Spain has made progress hard work so far it must be said but it is not unusual for a team like Spain, a world-class team, to grow and they will as the tournament progresses, they are the favourites to lift the World Cup and rightfully so and that will be very evident today.

I am more confident that Spain will win by at least two goals than I am them losing or drawing and even if they win by just a single goal, stakes will be returned, this is a win-win.

Spain -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Uruguay win.

Uruguay has excellent defenders lead by Godin, a solid midfield and a potent front line in Suarez and Cavani, they are genuine World Cup contenders, they have won all their games so far, not conceded a single goal and if there is one defence that can stop Ronaldo it is Uruguay.

And that is the key, stop Ronaldo and you stop Portugal, they really are a one-man team who become very average if Ronaldo does not perform at his best.

But even if Ronaldo does play at his best I am still very confident that Uruguay will win, they are simply the much better team.

That said, the Portuguese will employ massive gamesmanship and play an extremely dirty and spoiling game and in Uruguay they have an opponent that will match them stud for stud, kick for kick and push for push.

If that happens then the Portuguese could stop Uruguay from playing the better football and force the game into a battle of attrition, if that happens they may sneak a win but I doubt it.

I am confident that Uruguay will not fall into the trap that Portugal will set them and that the South Americans will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither of these teams can claim to have covered themselves in glory in this World Cup and we are now at a stage where there are no second chances.

This is a game about which team will turn up on the day and which team will improve enough from their group games to win and progress to the last 8.

For me, that can only be one team and that is France, I am not convinced that Argentina will get any better, they have a great forward line but their midfield and defence is average at best, they are a team that is not united and in disarray.

France has far more potential to improve, their only weak link is their manager and that is why they will not win the World Cup but they really should have enough to be able to overcome an unbalanced Argentina side.

All things considered, I am taking France to emerge the winners.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Having watched these two teams in both their games I cannot help but conclude that Tunisia is the better side.

Both teams will be playing for pride, especially Panama who celebrated their single goals against England like they won the world cup but even so, Tunisia are a far more accomplished side than Panama, their defence is more organised and their attack more potent.

Whatever way I look at this it is Tunisia for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There has been a lot of talk about these two teams playing for second spot, forget it, they will not.

Both teams will make changes for sure but that makes little difference for me when considering the outcome of the game.

For starters we are talking about a bunch of players that will want to make their mark on the game for a variety of reasons, the biggest one being they want to put a marker down and be considered for selection later in the tournament,

Secondly, we are talking a lot of Premier League players playing against each other and they will want to beat their club teammates if at all possible.

You have Harry Kane going for the Golden boot, you have England manager Gareth Southgate saying they want to win the game and maintain momentum and I just cannot see the Belgium players rolling over and allowing England to win.

Forget all the pre-match talk, both teams will go for the win and for me that means goals.

Take the overs.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Colombia to beat Senegal today and qualify for the next round of the World Cup.

Colombia are a good side, they had a hiccup in their first game having a man sent off, however, they came good against Poland and showed exactly what they are capable of.

Senegal is a good team going forward but watching them live last game I always felt they would concede against Japan every time they went in front, their defence is very vulnerable and against Colombia, they will be exposed time and again.

Colombia for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Poland have been awful this tournament and I can see no reason, now that they are out, why that would change in this game.

They will just want to get this game over with and go home, they have nothing to play for, not even pride and for me, they will just be going through the motions today.

Japan have a lot to play for, a lot will depend on the other game in the group but I cannot see them playing for a draw, they will have to play for the win.

The Japanese have shown they have character when twice falling behind to Senegal, they tend to get stronger in games and with the weather supposedly going to be extremely hot today I see them finishing the game much better than the Poles.

Japan for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Serbia must get something from this game to have any chance of progressing to the next round but they are a limited side, they barely beat Costa Rica and collapsed against Switzerland, they are an emotional team and while they could pull off a shock win against Brazil they are also very capable of losing by two or three.

Brazil must also get something from this game if they were to lose they would be in serious trouble and they have hardly set the world alight so far but they have so much talent and pedigree that it is hard to see them not winning.

All things considered, I see Brazil winning and probably by more than one goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Switzerland only need a point to progress, it probably makes no difference to them if they finish top or second, in fact, they more than likely already assume that Brazil will finish top and will approach this game with only one thing in mind, not to lose.

That does not mean they will defend throughout, far from it, they will attack as much as often as they can but they will not take risks and they are fully aware of the danger that Costa Rica pose.

The Costa Ricans are out but they will not roll over, it took Brazil until the 90th minute to break them down and Serbia scored just once as well, they will be playing for pride that is for sure.

Both teams would be happy with a draw, that would mean that Switzerland qualifies and Costa Rica do not finish on zero points and considering how well organised both defences are and that Switzerland will take no chances then it is a draw I am going for.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

South Korea still has an outside chance of qualification but it is a mountain they have to climb and with a rejuvenated Germany as their opposition, it is very likely their time is up.

Germany will have gotten a huge boost from their last-minute winner against Sweden, it will have given them momentum and sent confidence skyrocketing, however, they are not the force they once were and losing to Mexico and struggling to beat Sweden does not bode well for their future in this tournament.

Germany should win but for this pick to lose they would have to beat South Korea by three goals and I just do not see that happening.

Take South Korea +2

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mexico sit top of the group, they beat Germany and South Korea but I feel too much has been made of those wins and that they are not as good as is suggested.

Mexico are a limited side and while they did beat South Korea there were moments in that game that they were exposed and against a team like Sweden, that knows how to defend well they will struggle to score.

Sweden is good at defending for sure, they do need to do better up front, they will be very down after the loss against Germany but they know they must win to have any chance of qualifying and that is how they will approach this game.

Sweden for me in a tight game. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Difficult to see anything other than a Croatia win in this one.

There is always the risk with Croatia having already qualified that they will sit back but I do not believe they will play like that this evening, they will want to get maximum points and hit the last 16 with full momentum, especially knowing that they will be playing Denmark.

Iceland will go for the win, they have to, but I just do not think they have what it takes, they are limited, Nigeria showed that and I can see Croatia picking them off on the counter.

Croatia for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I see no justification in backing Argentina just because they have Messi, Aguero etc, they have been woeful, they were not that great in qualifying, it is not like their poor form has been confined to this tournament.

Argentina is an unbalanced side, extraordinary talent up front, though that is often wasted in the pursuit of always trying to give the ball to Messi, their midfield is poor and their defence even worse.

Nigeria came to life in their last game after a disappointing first game against Croatia, they are a good side, they have electric speed, they are good in the air and against this Argentine defence, they will get chances, a lot of them.

It is clear Argentina will attack non stop, they have to and I can see Nigeria counter-attacking at will throughout the game.

The odds are huge but I am going with Nigeria to win this one and qualify for the next stage.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Peru will be playing for pride and Austrailia will be playing for maximum points to give themselves some hope of qualifying and that for me means a game full of open play and chances both ends.

I am confident we will see a hatful of goals in this game and I am not sure it will be Austrailia that wins.

Peru is better than their 0 points suggest, while Austrailia did improve significantly from their game against France to their game against Denmark.

All things considered, I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I refuse to believe that these two teams will deliberately play out a draw, certainly not for the first 75 minutes.

Sure, a draw means France finish top and Denmark qualify, a result that suits both teams and it may well end up that way but that will not be the attitude when the game kicks off.

In Christian Ericksen Denmark have a player that can score anytime and France have a bunch of players that can score and for a large part of this game that is what I expect both teams to attempt to achieve.

If it is a draw come 75 minutes then do expect both teams to begin playing much more negative football, but 75 minutes is a lot of time and anything can happen in that time frame.

I am confident that we will see goals early on and that both teams will go for it and am happy to go over 2 goals at decent odds considering the talent on the field.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both can qualify for the last 16 with Portugal holding a point advantage over Iran which gives them a significant advantage.

Of course, Portugal on paper are the better side but it has been costly to underestimate the so-called inferior teams in this competition and Iran will believe they can win this and qualify for the last 16.

I find it hard to believe that Portugal will hold out for the draw, they will want to win the group and therefore will go for it, the same applies to Iran, they must also go for it as a draw or loss means they are eliminated.

Portugal is vulnerable in defence and it would not surprise me if Iran score, neither would it surprise me if Portugal wins 3-0 simply because of the circumstances of this match.

If Portugal takes the lead then Iran will have zero choice but to go all out to get back in the game and with Ronaldo on the field Portugal could easily wipe Iran out on counter-attacks. If Iran score first then Portugal will lay siege to the goal.

Over 2.5 goals looks a solid pick here and the bet I am going with.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Spain has not been at their best so far, they have so much more to offer, they have shown in glimpses what they are capable of and it is just a matter of time before they click and punish an opposition big time.

Morroco is out, they will be motivated because they are playing Spain but if they fall behind first I can see them crumbling. Spain will also want to finish top and will set out to win this game in style and in comfort.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a win for Spain and I am very confident that they will win by at least a couple of goals against a deflated Morocco.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team will want to finish bottom and while Egypt does have the advantage when it comes to goal difference I do not see them playing for a draw.

It will, of course, be hard for both sides to raise themselves following the disappointment of losing both their games but I expect pride to kick in and that both sides will play to the best of their abilities and if that happens then it is Egypt I expect to win.

Take Egypt to win outright.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Russia currently sits top of the group with the better goal difference and will want to finish off the group stages with a win in front of their home fans and maintain the momentum they have built up.

The same applies to Uruguay, they will not want to enter the last 16 on the back of a loss.

Neither team knows what finishing top or second will mean in terms of who they play in the next round or what their route will be and so that should not play any part in their thinking when it comes to how they approach this game.

I have been surprised by Russia but this is their first real test and I am not convinced that they have the quality to beat a team like Uruguay, by the same token you cannot ignore their impressive start.

A draw is a good possibility but Uruguay look the better prospect for a win and with the safety net of stakes return in the event of a draw then it is the South Americans for me on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams lost their opening games but for very different reasons, Colombia lost because they were unfortunate to lose a man after just three minutes, Poland lost because they were poor, plain and simple.

Colombia was also missing their best player, James Rodriguez, who came on as a sub in the 2nd half and was not match fit and he is expected to start today.

Poland had their best player on the pitch and was still poor, they lacked imagination and a plan B and even though they should improve I am of the opinion it will not be enough.

I am backing Colombia to win this game, they have the better players, they look the more settled side and simply look in a better more stable shape than the Poles.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Japan may have beaten Colombia but they were very fortunate, they were playing 10 men from the third minute onwards and at times looked more likely to lose than win, they only managed to grab the win when Colombia ran out of steam, which was to be expected considering the circumstances.

Senegal was very impressive against Poland, yes, Poland was poor but they were made to look poor by the Senegalese, they play exciting vibrant football and are full of confidence, they have some quality players and will be too much for the Japanese to handle over 90 minutes.

All things considered, Senegal to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a young exciting England team full of confidence, it is a stretch to think they will win the tournament but they will go further than what was expected prior to the competition starting.

With a little luck and more clinical finishing they could easily have beaten Tunisia by a lot more than a single goal and against a very limited Panama side, I expect them to win this game and win it comfortably by at least a couple of goals.

Panama have to win, they cannot just sit back and defend and hope to sneak a goal, they are not good enough to be able to do that, they will have to go forward and that will play right into England's hands.

Based on first game performances, confidence, talent and momentum I am backing England to win this game with ease.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Germany loses they are out and that would be a huge shock but it is now a real possibility and unless they improve significantly from the first game they will be in serious trouble.

Sweden know how to defend, just ask the Italians, they will be very defensive throughout, they will look to frustrate the Germans and will have two sets of four defending their goal line.

The Germans will have to find the back of the net and they do not have what you would call a world class striker, they are not the team they were four years ago, they are vulnerable and a win is far from certain.

The Swedes will pose a danger to the Germans for sure but this will be a game of attack and defend one way and it all comes down to whether the Germans can break the Swedish defence.

All things considered, I am confident that if Germany wins it will not be by more than a single goal and that there is a very real chance that the Swedes can scrape at least a point from this game.

Take Sweden +1

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

South Korea was poor against Sweden and must get something from this game or they are out and that will dictate their approach to this game today.

Mexico knows they win and they are probably through to the last 16, though if Germany do beat Sweden that would mix things up slightly.

The Mexicans played beautifully against Germany but they were most effective on the counter-attack and I would not be surprised if they play that sort of game against South Korea as well.

The Mexicans will be highly confident but the South Koreans will also be very focused, this is a very important game for both sides and I expect a free-flowing game from both sides with goals determining how they approach the game.

I am confident that both teams will score and that there will be at least three goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium is clearly a better side than Tunisia but that has not made much difference so far in this world cup, if there is one thing that has become clear is that there is not much difference between the teams.

If Belgium win they qualify and Tunisia are more or less out if they lose and so both teams will enter this game with specific targets in mind.

I expect Tunisia to defend throughout and hope to snatch a goal through either a set piece or counter attack.

Belgium will dominate possession but will find it difficult to break down Tunisia, it took England until injury time, the Tunisians are well organised and will make life difficult.

Belgium will most likely win but I am very confident they will not win by more than the single goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This will more than likely be a low scoring affair with a single goal to separate the sides and I am confident that it will be Serbia and not Switzerland that will get the win.

The Serbs dominated Costa Rica but did struggle to break them down but they were never in danger and were always comfortable, it will not be so easy against Switzerland but I do see the same pattern developing.

Switzerland did well drawing with Brazil but was fortunate and for me, they simply do not have the same attacking mentality as the Serbs and I expect them to defend for the most part and I am not sure that will be good enough against Serbia.

All things considered, I am going with Serbia on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts