All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Werder Bremen have a great opportunity today to record another away win and I am backing them to do just that.

Bremen have won three of their four away games this season in the Bundesliga and even though they lost their last game at home 6-2 to Bayer Leverkusen I am confident they will not allow that freak result to affect them, it was a one-off and will not be repeated, they are sixth and a win today will take them joint second with Bayern Munich.

Mainz, of course, have home advantage but they are not in good form, they have not won at home in three games now and have not won in their last six games overall and enter this game on a two-game losing streak, they are simply in a depression and are the perfect opponents for Werder Bremen today.

Take Werder to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

St Etienne have stumbled a little in recent weeks picking up just 2 points from a possible 9 but they remain a strong home team and even in their three-game winless streak, they have just lost the once.

Angers have been no better having picked up just 2 points from a possible 12 but they have surprisingly done well on the road but the task ahead of them today is a tough one against a team as strong at home as what St Etienne are.

I am backing St Etienne to get the win, they will simply be too strong for Angers today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams in very different form and I am backing Levante on the spreads to continue their fantastic form.

I know that Villarreal is at home and are considered a good team but their form and results do not back that up, they are playing poor football right now, they have lost three and drawn one of their last four league games and are fourth bottom.

Levante, on the other hand, are in brilliant form, they have won their last four La Liga games in a row and are in eight spot, a win today would take them above Real Madrid and just a single point behind second-placed Atletico Madrid, they beat Real Madrid recently in Madrid and are red hot right now.

For this pick to lose Villarreal would have to win by two goals and I do not see that happening and there is far more chance of either a Levante win or draw than anything else and that would make this a winning pick.

Back Levante +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Tottenham to get an important and crucial away win against Wolves today.

Wolves were on a very good run but the wheels have come off slightly losing their last two games against Watford and Brighton and today they face one of the best teams in English football.

Tottenham have been grinding out wins in the Premier League, they did lose against league leaders Man City last week but so do most teams these days but against almost every other calibre of team in the Premier League, home or away, Tottenham win, they have won five of their six away games this season and enter this game on a three-game winning streak on the road.

Tottenham is the better side and if they play as they should do then they will win.

Take Tottenham -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massive game and I see Liverpool emerging the victors.

A lot has been made of Arsenal's 13 game unbeaten run but any analysis of that run will show that their opposition has been weak, very weak for the most part and that the Gunners have been very fortunate with their fixtures.

As an example, the highest placed team they have faced in the Premier League was 7th placed Watford and that was when Watford had hit a bad patch and was their fourth game without a win in a sequence of five winless games.

Arsenal have played cup games in that run and apart from the half decent away win over Sporting Lisbon they have faced teams that are barely known or in lower divisions, the point is this, they have simply not played a team anywhere near the calibre of Liverpool in that 13 games unbeaten run.

It should also be noted that when Arsenal have played a team in the same category as Liverpool, they lost, to Man City and Chelsea.

Liverpool are flying, they have won 8 and drawn 2 in the Premier League, they have beaten Tottenham away, drawn away to Chelsea and held Man City at home, they have beaten PSG in the Champions League and PSG are a world-class team, they have played better teams and shown that they are the real deal, Arsenal have not shown that at all.

All things considered, I am backing Liverpool to get the win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game will be emotional following the tragic death of Leicester City's owner last Saturday and the players have stated publicly that they will do him proud. you can take it to the bank they will play their heart out to honour his memory as best as they can.

Cardiff City has home advantage and will be very professional, they will not allow the events of the last week to interfere with how they approach this game and will be determined to win as well.

With both teams determined to win and with 60% of Cardiff City's games this season being over 2.25 goals and 70% of Leicester City's games also going over 2.25 goals I am convinced we will see goals.

I cannot pick a winner between these two under the circumstances, you just do not know how the emotions will play out but based on the stats, public statements and the context I am certain both teams will find the net and that one of them will score at least twice.

Take over 2.25 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli have frustrated me recently, however, this is one game that they will win and win comfortably.

The spread is high but at home Napoli are more than good enough to beat Empoli by at least two goals.

Empoli have drawn two and lost four of their six away games this season, they have lost just the once by two goals in that sequence but they are facing their toughest opponents to date on the road and there is simply no case to be made for them getting anything from this game, it is just a case of how many goals they will lose by.

Napoli have won four and drawn one at home and on two occasions won by at least two goals, the times they have not have been against good opponents with the worst placed of those teams being Roma who are eight in the standing.

Napoli are playing a side way down in 18th spot and when they play that calibre of team on their own ground they win and win well and that is exactly what I see happening tonight.

Take Napoli -1.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Three of the last four Stuttgart home games have had at least three goals in them and three of the last four Frankfurt away games have had at least three goals in them, the stats certainly point to this game having at least three goals in it.

Eight of the last nine games between these two have had at least three goals in them with the last meeting between the pair being the only game in that sequence that did not see at least three goals.

Stuttgart are bottom of the table with just the solitary win all season, they were stuffed 4-0 in their last two games and 3-1 before that, their defence is leaking goals all over the place and even with home advantage that is unlikely to change, their confidence is shot, however, they will be looking to at least stabilise the ship today and I think they will to some degree by at least scoring a goal or two.

Frankfurt is 7th, they have won three of their last four games, drawing the other, they are in good form and in good spirits, they have notched up a 7-1 win and a 4-1 win in that sequence and four of their last five Bundesliga games have all had at least three goals in them.

I was tempted to back Frankfurt but they are not an elite team and they are away and that always carries a risk, even against a team in such wretched form as what Stuttgart are in and on this occasion I have more confidence in the overs market than I am in an away win.

Take over 2.75 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win today and by at least a couple of goals.

Roma was so poor at home against SPAL in their last league game that I was left speechless, their frontline is very average and while they are still a good team they are not in the same class as Napoli.

Napoli had a brilliant away result midweek against PSG and was unfortunate not to win that game and deserved more than a draw and PSG are a world class side, Napoli is second in Serie A and are Juventus only real viable title challengers and have been for a few years now.

Napoli beat Liverpool at home, they have won every single home game this season and in all competitions have not conceded at home in their last four games, this is a very good side.

Napoli -1 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Alaves is having a brilliant season, they are fourth at the time of writing this and could end up top of La Liga by the end of the day depending on results, they have beaten Real Madrid and enter this game on a two-game winning streak, they are unbeaten at home this season and are full of momentum right now.

Villarreal is fourth bottom, they have won just twice all season in La Liga, their overall form has been poor, they are winless in three games now and are there for the taking.

That said, Villarreal actually has a decent away record this season collecting seven of their nine points this season on the road but they are up against a team full of confidence and playing out of their skin and with home advantage, it has to be Alaves on the spread.

Take Alaves +0.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have lost all confidence in Bayer Leverkusen, they are not the team they were portrayed to be before the season started, they were extremely lucky to get a draw last week against 10 man Hannover and they have won just once in their last five competitive games.

Werder Bremen are fourth in the standings, they are unbeaten at home, they have won four of their last five league games, simply put, they are in much better form and have home advantage.

Werder Brem to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Man Utd to record a home win against an average Everton side.

I know United have had their issues but they are more than capable of beating Everton, especially at Old Trafford, they will be looking to bounce back from their midweek loss to Juventus in the Champions League and they are facing an Everton side that overall has a poor away record.

Take Man Utd -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and the first time in a decade that this game has had neither Ronaldo or Messi playing.

I am confident that Barcelona will prove the better team on the day, both teams have not been playing that well, especially Real Madrid but with home advantage and the better form, it has to be a win for Barcelona.

Barcelona -0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Leipzig all day long on this one, they are in great form at the moment, they are on a seven-game unbeaten run and have won five of those games. They have also won their last three at home with an aggregate score of 11-2.

Schalke are fourth bottom, they have failed to win their last two competitive games and away in the league, they have three losses and one win, albeit that away win was their last away game.

The bottom line for me is that Leipzig have superior form and are on fire right now and a home win looks in the bag.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Cagliari has a good home record, whereas Chievo cannot buy a win on the road and therein lies the difference between these two teams.

Cagliari has held Milan and Sampdoria to draws at home and beaten Bologna, Chievo has lost three and drawn one away this season, the form of Cagliari is better and wit home advantage I cannot see anything other than a home win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

SPAL are not exactly world beaters but compared to Frosinone they are.

SPAL is a limited side and at home have two wins and two losses but those wins were against Atalanta and Parma, teams far superior to today's opponents.

Frosinone, of course, has lost all their away games by a combined score of 12-2, they are not a good team.

All things considered, I am going with SPAL to win outright.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Genoa lost their last home game but prior to that won three straight and their record this season at home is those 3 wins and just the one loss, they may not be world beaters but at home, they have been strong this season.

Udinese are already 5 points behind Genoa and have played a game more, they have just one away win this season, losing two and drawing the other, they have lost four straight in the league and are just above the relegation zone, this is not a team in form.

Take Genoa to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to oppose Arsenal today, they are on an 11 match winning streak in all competitions, they are simply on fire and beating everyone that is put in front of them home or away and Palace is not an elite team that is capable of stopping this Arsenal team.

Take Arsenal -0.75

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chelsea really should have enough to beat this Burnley side by a couple of goals.

Burnley have been woeful this season, they got hammered 5-0last week away at Man City and Chelsea are unbeaten all season long.

Take Chelsea -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Torino have hit a rich vein of form recently, they are now four games unbeaten and enter this game full of confidence.

Fiorentina have just one win in their last four games and their away record is pretty bad with three losses and one draw this season, though in all fairness their opponents have been difficult.

Torino have the form and the momentum and I am backing them to register a home win over a team struggling on the road.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco finally got a result this week, albeit a draw away in the Champions League against Bruge, but it is not a loss and it will have done a lot for the morale of the Monaco players who have been really struggling this season.

Dijon is the perfect opponents for Monaco, they are in just as bad a shape as Monaco, their form is terrible and they are playing away.

Monaco are simply too good for this bad form to continue and the signs are that it will not continue and back in front of their home fans and under a new manager on the back of a decent midweek performance I am backing Monaco to get the win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking Leicester City to get the better of West Ham United today.

Having watched both teams this season Leicester look the more organised and settled side.

Both teams enter this game on the back of two straight losses and will be looking to bounce back but with home advantage and it is Leicester for me that will get the win against a team with a generally poor away record.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart are in awful form and I see that continuing today.

Hoffenheim are not exactly flying at the moment but they have better recent form than Stuttgart and do have home advantage and that is significant.

Stuttgart lost their last game to high flying Dortmund 4-0 at home while Hoffenheim won away at Nurnberg 3-1 and it is almost a certainty that Hoffenheim will enter this game in far better confidence.

All things considered, I am going with a home win and for Hoffenheim to cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Levante are in brilliant form right now, they have won their last three games on the bounce culminating in a 2-1 win away at Real Madrid.

Leganes are winless in their last two La Liga games and their away record this season is poor with four losses and a draw and that draw was at Valencia who basically draw with everybody.

Levante has the form and home advantage and against a team with a terrible away record this season I am backing the home team to get the win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford finally got back to winning ways with a good away win at Wolves and remember Wolves had been on fire this season, it was a good result.

Huddersfield remains winless and second bottom and even though they have tightened up defensively they remain a poor team that will be relegated.

Watford, back winning and with home advantage to win this.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The odds on Fulham are very good value and I am backing them to get a home win over Bournemouth today.

Fulham have struggled this season for sure, they have just one win all season and have lost their last three on the bounce, they desperately need a win.

Bournemouth is doing very well so far this season and has had some great results, their recent form is superior to Fulham, however, they are susceptible to the occasional beating, especially against teams more or less on their level as the 4-0 loss to Burnley showed.

Fulham have been unlucky to some degree, they have an exciting team and it is only a matter of time before they get it together and I feel today is that day.

The value is definitely backing Fulham at home and that is what I will be doing.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Hannover to beat Augsburg at decent odds today.

Hannover have halted a run of bad results and are now two games unbeaten coming into this game and their performance away at Bayer Leverkusen in their last game was very impressive, they were down to 10 men for most of the second half and only a last minute goal from Leverkusen stopped Hannover from registering a brilliant away win.

Augsburg did well to hold Leipzig to a 0-0 draw but they were the home team and they are now two games without a win and on the road, they have lost two and drawn one of their last three games away.

Hannover have momentum now and with home advantage, I am backing them to get the win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Borussia Monchengladbach wins this game they will go joint top of the Bundesliga so the incentive is definitely there for them, however, Freiburg will be no walkovers, they lost their first home game of the season but have since gone three home games unbeaten and over the last six Bundesliga games have lost just once.

I was tempted to back Borussia Monchengladbach but have hesitated because of Freiburg's current form and have instead decided that the best pick is to go over 2.75 goals.

Three of the last four games between these two have had at least three goals in them, seven of the eight Bundesliga games Borussia Monchengladbach have played this season have had at least three goals in them and four of Freiburg's eight Bundesliga games have gone over three goals.

Because of the stats and because Borussia Monchengladbach will go for the win despite being away from home and because Freiburg simply do not lie down at home I am very confident that this game will go over 2.75 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A massive game between two great teams in good form and I am going with Dortmund to scrape the win.

Dortmund just keep on winning at the moment, they have won five in a row now and some of those wins have been by large margins including their very latest game 4-0 away to Stuttgart, they play in front of huge crowds and tonight they will enter this game full of confidence in an electric atmosphere.

Atletico Madrid are a brilliant side, they have world class players throughout their team and can match any team on the planet home or away, they have slipped up recently with the odd draw and loss but generally speaking are in good form and enter this game on the back of an eight-game unbeaten run.

The difference for me in this one is the home advantage and the slightly better form of Dortmund, it will make a difference, both sides are evenly matched but Dortmund is just playing a little better right now.

Take Dortmund for a close win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams having very different seasons domestically with Galatasaray top of the Turkish league while Schalke languishes 16th in the Bundesliga.

Schalke are one point ahead of Galatasaray in the standings in group D in the Champions League however they are facing a team almost unbeatable at home in competitive football and that for me is the difference between these teams tonight.

Galatasaray beat Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 last time they were at home in this competition and while I do not see a repeat of that today I do see them beating Schalke who are simply not in the best form right now,

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSG are on fire, their only loss this season was away at Liverpool and they have a 100% record in France, they have world class players throughout and I just cannot see Napoli staying with them till the end.

Napoli are doing ok in Italy, they are in their customary second spot behind Juventus, they are on a three-game winning run in all competitions and will enter this game in good confidence but the brutal truth is that away to PSG is just one game too big for them, in fact, I struggle to think of any team in world football that will win at PSG.

I fully expect PSG to win this game by a couple of goals, they are just too good, their form is excellent and they are at home.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is very unlikely either of these two will be qualifying for the next stage but for either of them to have any hope they will need to get the win today which will dictate how they approach this game tonight.

Monaco are in awful form and despite getting a new manager things do not appear to have changed too much though there are some excuses for Thierry Henry first game in charge ending in a defeat.

Bruge are second in the league in Belgium and so domestically are doing much better than Monaco but their most recent form has not been great.

Bruge have home advantage, Monaco has the better players, Bruge are doing better domestically and so the respective advantages sort of cancel each other out.

Because of the nature of this game and the desperation for a win for both sides I see there being goals and see there being at least 3 in this game.

Take over 2.75 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Tottenham and I am confident that they will emerge the winners today.

PSV are great domestically, they have won 9 from 9 in the Dutch league, their only defeats this season have been in the Champions League.

Tottenham are playing well at the moment though nowhere near as good as they have been, they have been scraping wins and do have some injury issues, however, they are still a top side, they were very unlucky to lose against Inter Milan in their opening champions league game and while they did deserve to lose to Barcelona they were competitive and were undone by a beautiful performance from a single player, Lionel Messi.

The bottom line here is that Tottenham are a better team than PSV and as long as they play to their level they will win, I believe they will be determined and while PSV will be as well the fact is that quality will tell come the end of the game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and even though United have struggled at times this season they do tend to raise their game against top opposition as they showed at the weekend against Chelsea.

Juventus dominate Italian football and are an elite team, however, the Italian league is not as strong as the other top leagues in my opinion, this was shown last season when Juventus were fortuante to scrape past Tottenham in this competition.

Of course, Juventus are quality and one of the best teams in Europe but they are beatable and they are up against a team that is capable of matching them, as long as United are in the mood that is.

I fully expect Jose Mourinho to have his team primed for this game and to have a real go at Juventus and with home advantage, they are definitely the value pick on the spread.

Take United +0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After Lyon beat Man City I thought they would really kick on but they have not, in fact, they have been a great disappointment and I see them losing this game against Hoffenheim today.

Hoffenheim did go through a sticky patch losing three straight at home but in fairness that was against Man City, Leipzig and Frankfurt and City and Leipzig are top teams in their respective leagues and Frankfurt are above Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga but disappointing results nonetheless.

Hoffenheim, however, has bounced back just in time for this game and do enter this clash with their confidence somewhat restored.

The same can be said of Lyon, they won their last game and that came after a 5-0 humbling at PSG but overall they have been poor over the last month, drawing at home to Shakhtar and Nantes prior to that PSG defeat.

Having watched both these teams this season and in recent weeks I have far more confidence that the home side will win, their defence looks more organised and that could easily be the difference tonight.

Take Hoffenheim -0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking Young Boys not to lose this game and cover the spread.

I was tempted to back the Swiss side outright but have decided to take the far less risky option of backing them +0.25.

Young Boys top the Swiss league, they lost their last home game against Luzerne but prior to that had gone 21 games unbeaten at home in the Super League, however, they were humbled by Man Utd 3-0 but that as a unique performance from United, they actually played well.

Recent Young Boys home results have included 7-1. 5-2. 4-0 wins and that is just within the last few weeks, the bottom line is that Young Boys are very solid at home.

Valencia just draw, that is basically all they do, they lost to Juventus in this competition and then went to Man Utd and drew, in La Liga they have drawn an incredible 7 of 9 games, they basically struggle to win games and in both the League and in Europe they have a single win to their name all season.

All things considered, I am taking Young Boys on the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal is on a nine-game unbeaten run in all competition, they are absolutely flying at the moment and a win tonight will see them go back into the top four.

The Gunners started the season off losing two games on the bounce against Man City and Chelsea, however, since then they have been irrepressible, the opposition may not have been the best but all they can do is beat what is put in front of them and Leicester City certainly fall into the category of team that Arsenal have been beating.

Leicester City has been fairly pedestrian this season and are now firmly a mid-table team, they are competitive to some degree and have had a couple of away wins but when it comes to the bigger teams these days, they lose and I see that happening this evening.

With the Arsenal frontline on fire, I am confident they will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sassuolo have been fairly decent this term, they are eighth in the standings just one point behind fifth-placed Sampdoria but the wheels have come off slightly with two consecutive losses against Napoli and AC Milan and they are not the best team on the road, though they have had some challenging games already this season against the better sides in Italy.

Sampdoria have a mixed home record this season, they have won twice, drawn one and lost one, though that loss was against third-placed Inter Milan, they did beat Napoli 3-0 and generally speaking are a hard team to get the better of when at home.

This will be a tight game but I expect Sampdoria to come out on top, they do have home advantage, they have won their last two games on the bounce, they have the momentum and confidence is high.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Real Betis are in decent form, especially at home, they did lose their first home game this season but have since won twice and drawn in front of their home fans, they lost last time out away at Atletico Madrid but before that had gone six games unbeaten.

Real Valladolid are doing good as well, they are on a three-game winning streak and unbeaten in their last four games overall, they are unbeaten away and have drawn three of their last four away games.

All things considered, the draw looks the best value here and would probably suit both teams.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game in Milan today and I am going with Inter Milan to get the win against their bitter local rivals.

Both teams are in good form, Inter Milan have won four in a row in Serie A, they are third in the standings and will close to within two points of Napoli in second place with a win.

AC Milan has played one game less than Inter and sit four points behind their opponents, they have won their last two games on the bounce and since their opening game loss away at Napoli they have gone unbeaten.

So, there you have it, two teams in good form, both have momentum and both are highly confident and it must be noted that while Inter is nominally the home team both these sides play in the same stadium and so to some extent that home advantage is negated.

It is hard to split these two teams and therefore I am happy to go with the draw as the most likely outcome.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huesca are rock bottom of La Liga, they have lost five of their last six league games, drawing the other one and that sequence includes an 8-2 drubbing at the hands of Barcelona, in fact, since their opening game of the season, which they won, they have picked up just two points from a possible 21, this is not a team in good form.

Espanyol are sixth and will go joint second with a win today, they have lost twice this season, to Real Madrid and league leaders Alaves which is no disgrace, however, their away form has not been good and has been their Achilles heel this season but they will not get many better opportunities to get their first away win of the season than today.

It is a clear win for Espanyol today for me, they are simply the better team, in better form and with a huge incentive.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Borussia Monchengladbach is well placed to collect all three points today at the expense of Mainz.

Monchengladbach enters this game in fifth place and can go second with the win so the incentive is certainly there, they have won all their home games in the league this season and their winning run at home now extends to six games.

Mainz is 10th and are on a four-game winless streak in the Bundesliga, they are also on a two-game losing run away from home, they are not in form and will definitely be up against it today.

All things considered, I am going for a home win and for Monchengladbach to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

St Etienne are having a great season and a win today could see them end the day in third spot, they have won three and drawn one at home this season and are looking to win in their own stadium for the third game in a row, they did lose away to Lille just before the international break but Lille is second in the league and that result and the loss away to PSG are St Etienne's only losses this season.

Rennes are a poor away side, they did beat Monaco last time away but right now everybody and their uncle is beating Monaco and prior to that win they had lost three and drawn one of their five away games this season. Rennes are actually not a bad side all things considered, but they are up against a team today that is flying at home and who have only lost to the very best.

St Etienne for me to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Everton to get the better of Crystal Palace today and register a home win.

Neither team is doing that great this season and at best both are inconsistent but Everton has shown me more and enter this game on a two-game winning run, whereas Palace enters this game having lost their last two Premier League games.

Palace is actually doing much better away than they are doing at home, they have collected six of their seven points this season from away games but that is where their inconsistency shows, they lose away to Watford and Bournemouth but win at Fulham and Huddersfield.

The same to some extent applies to Everton, especially when they lose at home to the likes of West Ham, however, they are improving and as I have already stated they are on a two-game winning run.

Based on what I have watched from these two this season and their current form I am going with an Everton win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Eibar looks good for the win today in front of their home fans.

The season started poorly for Eibar at home losing their opening home game, since then they won two on the bounce before losing last time at home to third-placed Sevilla and while they will struggle against the big teams when they visit, they will do much better against teams further down the table and that includes Atheltic Bilbao.

Bilbao is on a six-game winless streak, they did draw away at Barcelona last time they were on the road but then they went and lost at home 3-1 to Real Sociedad.

Backing Eibar is the value pick in this game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hertha Berlin is having a decent season, especially at home, they have won all three games in their own stadium since the season kicked off including a very impressive 2-0 win over Bayern Munich, they have lost just once in their last 8 games in the Bundesliga and enter this game full of confidence.

Freiburg have had a somewhat mixed season so far but their away form has not been good, they rarely win on the road, in fact, while they have won once on the road this season they did lose their other two away games this season comprehensively 3-1 and 4-1 and last season they ended the season with four straight away losses.

It is a home win for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Atalanta have been a huge disappointment for me this season, they are better than what they have shown and at some point they will bounce back to form and I feel that time is right now, they are fresh from an international break, that would have given them time energise and refocus and today's opponents are the exact sort of opponent that Atalanta can get a win over and really kick-start their season.

The Serie A table is a little misleading, Chievo are bottom but only because they have been punished, they would actually be second bottom on 5 points and not -1, however, that really does not matter that much, they are a poor team, they will probably be relegated, they have lost three of four games at home this season, drawing the other one and if Atalanta actually plays how I know they can then Chievo will lose today.

Take Atalanta -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco has had a horrendous start to the season which has resulted in their manager being kicked into touch, they now have a new boss in legend Thierry Henry and I fully expect a positive reaction to his appointment from the players.

The international break will also have done Monaco the world of good, it will have given them the chance to refocus and recharge their batteries.

Strasbourg do have home advantage and come into this game on the back of two straight home wins and on form, they should be the favourites to win this game but the circumstances are such that on this occasion form does not tell the whole story.

Strasbourg are doing ok but they are far from being one of the top teams in France, Monaco is despite their terrible form and if Monaco reacts under their new manager, as I expect them to do, then Monaco will win, they are simply the better team.

Monaco won this fixture 3-1 last season and I am confident that we will see a repeat of that win today.

Take Monaco on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Draw specialists Valencia know that they have to start winning games, they cannot keep on drawing and this game today against Leganes gives them a fantastic opportunity to get a win under their belts.

Valencia has drawn six of their eight La Liga games this season, they did actually win a game away at Real Sociedad but then went and drew their next game, though in all fairness that was at home to Barcelona, so not that bad really.

Valencia are a good side, they are below the elite level in Spain but they are a Champions League team and are not that far off the elite status, they just need to find a way to convert draws into wins.

Leganes are woeful on the road, they have lost all four of their road games this season in La Liga, one of those losses was against Real Madrid but the other three losses were not against any of the top teams, this is not a team to be feared when they are away.

Leganes do have a decent home record, they did beat Barcelona after all but they are a totally different side when they travel and if Valencia cannot get a win against this outfit then maybe they are destined to draw their way through the season.

All things considered, I am backing Valencia to get a home win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After a brilliant start to the season, Watford has come crashing back to reality, they have picked up just one point from their last four Premier League games and are now on a four-game winless streak.

Wolves, on the other hand, continue to impress, they have won four and drawn one of their last five league games and that draw was away to Man Utd, they have conceded just the one goal in those five games and again, that was in the draw against United.

This is a game that pits one team going forward and one team going backwards and I am backing the team going forward and with home advantage to get the win.

Take Wolves -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper Newcastle is doing absolutely terrible, they are second bottom in the Premier League without a win all season long but that is not a fair reflection of where Newcastle are really at.

Their confidence has not dropped, they are still playing good football and have been unlucky, they dominated Man Utd at Old Trafford for 70 minutes and were unfortunate to lose that game 3-2 after going 2-0 up, they have also had to play five of the top six clubs in England in their eight games this season, a formidable set of games but when they have played teams outside the elite they have drawn twice and lost once, in better words they have had a rotten set of fixtures against the top teams and so their league position is a little misleading.

Brighton are doing better but when you drill down you will see that in their away games they have just picked up one point this season, they have had to play away at Liverpool and Man City in all fairness and did go up against Watford when they were flying but the point is that their record away is no better than Newcastle at home.

Newcastle is better than their results have suggested, they have been unlucky to some degree, they retain their morale and this game today gives them a great opportunity to finally get a win against a team that is not one of the better teams in the Premier League, certainly not when they play away.

With home advantage and all things being equal I am going with Newcastle to finally get a win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bayer Leverkusen have let me down a couple of times already this season but I am convinced they are better than some of their recent results suggest, they were touted as potential title challengers prior to the season starting and while they have shown glimpses of their potential they have generally been a great let down.

That said, I am still confident that they will get their act together and this game today against Hannover presents them with a fantastic chance to kick-start their stuttering season.

Hannover are a poor team, they have lost their last three away games and collected just the single point all season from their travels, they are third bottom in the Bundesliga and even though they did beat Stuttgart in the last league game they remain a very limited side that is poor on the road.

This is a brilliant opportunity for Bayer Leverkusen to collect three points in front of their home fans and I have faith in them to do just that.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is in blistering form, they are top of the Bundesliga, they have won their last three Bundesliga games on the bounce including a 7-0 win over Nurnberg, they are unbeaten all season long and have also won both their Champions League games.

Stuttgart, on the other hand, are not doing so well, they are second bottom in the Bundesliga, they have just one win all season and while they are a lot better at home than they are away they are not in the same category as Dortmund on form.

Stuttgart have won one, drawn one and lost one at home but when they played Bayern Munich they were thrashed 3-0 and today they are playing a team on that level and it would not surprise me to see a similar result today.

Stuttgart did win this fixture last season, however, they lost 3-0 in Dortmund later in the season and that win last year was their only win in the last 15 meetings between these two sides going back eight years.

Dortmund to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Roma to get a comfortable home win over SPAL today.

Roma, currently sixth in Serie A, is one of the better Italian sides, they will be looking to finish in a Champions League spot this season and at the moment are doing all the right things.

After drawing their opening two home games this season Roma have found their feet in their own stadium and won their last two home games 4-0 and 3-1 respectively, they are on a three-game winning streak scoring 9 goals in that sequence and conceding 3, they are clearly in form and with home advantage are all set to make it four league wins in a row, it should also be noted that they also won in the Europa League at home 5-0 and so it is actually four winning games on the bounce in all competitions.

SPAL is not good on the road, they did win their opening away game away at Bologna, but since then have lost three straight against Torino, Fiorentina and Sampdoria, they are on a four-game losing streak in the league conceding 9 and scoring just the 2 goals in those four games.

The bottom line here is that we have two teams at different ends of the spectrum, Roma, with home advantage, are on fire and have won their last four games on the bounce in all competitions, whereas SPAL has lost their last four on the bounce.

I am going with Roma to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The international break will have done Lyon the world of good, they had a disastrous final game before the international break losing 5-0 away at PSG, though in fairness that game was done in a manic 13-minute spell that saw Kylian Mbappe score four goals. They are much better than that result indicates, they beat Man City 2-1 in Manchester, they beat Marseille 4-2 and when they are in the mood they are a match for most teams, the international break will have given them time to refocus and get back to the sort of form that saw them get those impressive results.

Nimes is doing ok for a promoted side, they have ten points from their nine games in the league and are on target to retain their top-flight status if they continue to claim points, however, they are up against it in this game, they lost their last away league game 3-0 at Montpelier, they have not won for seven games now, though they have four draws in that sequence and 60% of their points came in the first two games of the season, since then it has been winless.

This is the perfect game for Lyon to have after the break, against a promoted team that cannot buy a win right now and with home advantage.

I expect Lyon to bounce back to form today and claim a comprehensive win over Nimes.

Take Lyon -1.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Club football is back in Germany after the International break and I am going with Eintracht Frankfurt to get the better of Fortuna Dusseldorf today.

Frankfurt sit 7th in the Bundesliga and are on a three-game winning run in competitive games, two wins in the league and one in the Europa League, they have improved at home since a bad start to the season and have now drawn against Leipzig, beaten Hannover 4-1 and Lazio 4-1 in their last three home games, they are on a roll and are highly motivated and confident.

Dusseldorf has won just once all season in the league, they are second bottom, they are on a three-game losing streak in the league and are finding life in the Bundesliga tough following promotion.

It is very difficult to make any case for Dusseldorf, they have had a break of course and that will have given them time to regroup but the fact is that they are a very limited side, they will be in the relegation fight at the end of the season.

Frankfurt has home advantage, they are on a winning streak and full of confidence, anything less than a good win today will be a surprise.

Take Frankfurt -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Real Salt Lake or they risk letting in LA Galaxy into the final playoff spot.

As things stand right now  it is totally in the hands of Real Salt Lake if they make the playoffs, all they have to do is win their remaining two games, that is it, but if they drop any points it then is out of their hands and they will want to avoid that at all costs.

The Revolution have nothing to play for but that does not mean they will roll over, far from it and if anything their recent form is no worse than Real Salt Lake but they simply do not have the same motivation or incentive and they are also the away side.

Even though Real Salt Lake have slipped recently including losing their last home game 4-1 against Portland they still have an overall good record, that loss to Portland was their first at home in 15 games and only their second home loss in their last 24 games.

New England on the hand are woeful on the road, they have won just three times in their last 35 away games in the MLS, this is not a good team when travelling.

All things considered, home advantage, a good home record, massive motivation and incentive playing against a team with nothing to play and terrible on the road it can only be a Real Salt Lake win.

Take Real Salt Lake -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both teams at a critical point in the season.

Vancouver still retains hopes of making the playoffs and in front of their home fans, they know nothing less than a win will do.

Sporting will be looking to get the win and grab a final series spot simple as that, a loss or draw could be damaging considering how few games are left in the season.

So what we have here is two teams that simply must win, a draw or loss is no good to ether team and that means that both will be attack-minded once the game has settled down, there is nothing to gain playing negative football.

Vancouver broke a three-game losing run with a win at Toronto while Sporting has slipped slightly picking up just two points from a possible nine over their last three games.

So, neither team is in blistering form, Sporting have been the better over the season but Vancouver has home advantage so picking a winner is as difficult as it gets, but what is not difficult to grasp is that both want the win and only goals will get them a win and that leads me to believe that this game will feature goals and a good few at that.

I can easily see there being three or more goals, as soon as one team goes behind the other has to attack and that leads to an open game and be assured this will not be a goalless game.

Taking the overs is the best pick in this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A win for Seattle tonight and they will have confirmed their playoff spot and that is a huge incentive for them, they have won 11 of their last 13 MLS games and are on a two-match winning run that saw them knock in 8 goals and conceding just one, simply put, they are on fire right now.

Orlando, on the other hand, are in dire straits, they have not won over their last 12 MLS games and have just one win over their last 22 games, any way you dress that up it is bad.

Orlando will, of course, be playing for pride but they have been doing that for a while now without any positive signs that they will achieve anything, whereas Seattle has the form and the incentive and even with home advantage I cannot see Orlando getting anything from this game other than another loss.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

DC United have finally got into a playoff spot and the last thing they will want to do is squander it against a team that has absolutely nothing to play for other than pride.

DC have won nine of their last 11 home games, they are on a three-game winning streak at home scoring eight and conceding just one.

Toronto has nothing to play for, they are the away side and when they have played away this season they have been poor, they are on a two-game losing sequence on the road losing both games 2-0 and have not won in their last five away games, they have lost five of their last seven MLS games and the two they did not lose were home wins, in better words they are not a team in form, especially away.

I see DC going full out tonight to cement their play-off place and against a team with nothing to play for and in front of their home fans, I am confident that DC will win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team has had a great season and as the season heads towards the end game neither of these two teams has anything to play other than pride, they will not be making the playoffs and for many of the players it is countdown time, however, that does not mean that this game is a total dead rubber.

It does seem that the Rapids players have more or less given up, they have lost seven games in a row, they have scored just once in that sequence and conceded 22, that is bad, really bad.

Additionally, the Rapids have won just twice on the road in their last 35 MLS games, that is a desperate statistic.

The bottom line for me where the Rapids are concerned is that they are basically useless on the road and their current form is as bad as it gets, this is a team that just wants the season to come to an end in double quick time.

Minnesota did lose 5-1 away to Philadephia last week, however, they had won two and drawn one in their three MLS games before that collapse and overall their home form is rather good, they have won six of their last seven home games in the MLS losing just the once and they do at least give the impression that they want to win, especially in front of their home fans.

I simply cannot see the Rapids getting anything from this game, they basically cannot buy a goal on the road at the moment and they are playing a team that does at least care.

Home win all day for me and I am confident that United will be strong enough to cover the spread against a very poor away team.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than a comfortable Seattle victory tonight.

Houston are woeful on the road, they have just four wins in the MLS from their last 33 away games, they have not won on the road in their last nine MLS games and that includes 7 direct losses and just 2 draws, this is one team that is utterly useless on the road.

Seattle at home is a little different, they have won 6 of their last 7 MLS home games and in the last 6 meetings between these two teams with Seattle at home since 2012 Houston have not scored once, not a single goal and the last time this fixture was played with Seattle at home they beat Houston 3-0.

There s simply no case to be made for the Dynamo and I am backing the Sounders not just to win this game but to win it comprehensively.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

The spread on this game is a bit high but the truth is that it is justified, while Lyon has played well this season and should be respected they are a class below PSG who are going for their ninth domestic league win in a row.

PSG are at home and in their last five home games in all competitions they have scored 20 and conceded 3 and beaten every opponent by at least two goals and I see a repeat of that today.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

I cannot see anything but a Leipzig win, they are at home in front of their home fans playing a team that lost their last away game 7-0, though that was probably a one off it still indicates that promoted Nurnberg will struggle on the road this season.

Leipzig is looking for their third consecutive Bundesliga home win and Nurnberg are not the team to stop them

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Atalanta has been poor this season and are a far better side than results have shown so far, though they have had some positives at home and are up against a Sampdoria that have struggled on the road apart from one big win.

Atalanta has a great chance here to finally kick-start their season and I expect them to do just that.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Fiorentina is having a good season so far but no thanks to their away form which has been poor collecting just a single point, however, their opponents have been of high calibre and that has to be recognised.

Lazio have won their last two home games on the bounce and I am confident that they will continue that winning run in front of their home fans today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Bayer Leverkusen is better than results have shown, they blew a two goals lead against Dortmund and will be kicking themselves for that, they will be des[erate to make amends and against Freiburg that is what I expect them to do.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me is all about the home form of Montreal Impact against the away form of Columbus Crew.

Montreal has won seven of their last 12 home games, they have lost just once in that sequence and that was against Eastern Conference leaders Atlanta, they did lose their last game 5-0 away at DC United but that sort of defeat, which was a one-off in terms of the magnitude of the loss, will drive them to bounce back and make amends.

Columbus has won just twice in their last 14 away games, their recent form at home and away has been mixed but their only real positives have been when they have been at home, they have the odd draw away from home but overall they are a poor away side and are playing against a team with a good home record.

All things considered, I am taking Montreal to bounce back from their last game away thrashing and to put a smile back on their fans at home against poor travellers Columbus.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Yesterday news broke that Man Utd manager Jose Mourinho will be sacked after this game no matter the result and when you hear that the first thing you think is I am not touching that game but then today the Man Utd board come out and make it absolutely clear that the manager will not be sacked and that his job is secure and that puts this game back in play from a betting point of view and for very good reason.

Newcastle United are joint bottom in the Premier League, they have just two points from seven games, they are winless and unless something changes and changes soon they will be in a relegation dogfight come the end of the season. Their only points have come from 0-0 draws against Crystal Palace and Cardiff City, this is not a team in any sort of good form.

Now, Man Utd are in a mini-crisis for sure but lets get some perspective, they drew 0-0 at home to Valencia, they should have won and their performance was lacklustre for sure but it was still the Champions League and it was Valencia, they drew 1-1 at home to Wolves, again, they should have won but Wolves are playing very well at the moment, they lost to Derby at home in the league cup, no excuses, that was bad and they lost 3-1 away to West Ham, again, that was poor but they were away and West Ham had hit form for that game, in fact, they just came off a 3-1 away win at Everton, 0-0 draw with Chelsea and an 8-0 league cup win, that was the form West Ham were in.

So, yes, Man Utd's recent results have not been good but they go through these stages, they lost 3-0 to Tottenham at home then won their next three games.

My point is this, United are a good team, yes they are in crisis but they are playing one of the worst teams in the Premier League, a team in  more of a crisis than what United are, they are at home and if there was ever a game they needed at this time, it is this game.

Take Man Utd on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team and will be relegated and I can say that with confidence after just seven games, they are rock bottom and have yet to register a win and have just two points from a possible 21 points and it is not as if they have played all the top teams, they haven't. They have played Man City, Chelsea and Tottenham but they have also played Cardiff, Everton, Crystal Palace and Leicester City and having just two points from that set of teams tells you all you need to know about their prospects this season.

Burnley started off very poorly but they were definitely better than those results indicated, a lot of their poor early season form had to do with playing in the Europa League but they are out of that tournament now and the upside of that is starting to show and they are now on a two-game winning run having beaten Bournemouth (home) 4-0 and Cardiff (away) 2-1.

Burnley now has their confidence restored and at home, against a team that cannot buy a win, they are my pick to win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham lost at home midweek against Barcelona 4-2 and was second best throughout but they remained competitive until that last minute fourth goal went in and despite that loss, it shows the level that Tottenham is at, just below the very best in world football.

Cardiff, on the other hand, are poor, they are joint bottom on points in the Premier League, they have zero wins this season in the league and have lost two of their away games by at least two goals with the other game being a 0-0 draw against the only team worse than them in the league, Huddersfield Town.

Chelsea beat Cardiff 4-1, Man City beat them 5-0 and that tells you how they perform against a top-four team, they did lose 3-2 to Arsenal as well but that was at home and Arsenal are not the team they once were, point being that when Cardiff play a top team they lose heavily, especially away from home.

The loss to Barcelona will not affect the confidence of Tottenham, they bounce back easily and a loss to Barcelona will hardly make them question their own ability, if anything, they will think they did well and with some luck may have landed a draw.

Tottenham have a great opportunity here to get all three points and get a comfortable win against a very poor team.

Tottenham does have some crucial injuries but they had the same injuries against Barcelona and have the players that can easily step in.

Tottenham all day long to win and I am of the opinion they will win by at least two goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is on fire at the moment, they are beating everyone in their path and not just beating them, thrashing them. Let's look at their last three results, they beat Monaco 3-0 in the Champions League, they beat Bayer Leverkusen away 4-2 and Bayer Leverkusen were considered potential title challengers and they beat Nurnberg 7-0, yes 7-0. This is a team on a roll.

Augsburg did win their last game 4-1 against Freiburg but that was their first win in five games, they are a mid-table team and will try their hardest today for sure but they are away, they are playing the league leaders and they are playing a team that has scored 14 goals in just three games.

The only question for me today was, will Dortmund win by at least two goals and my answer is a categorical yes, they have the form, they have home field advantage and that is no small thing when you consider they play in front of 70000 people and they have the momentum.

Take Dortmund to win on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis on this pick today.

Take Toulouse on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis on this pick today.

Take Werder Bremen to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV were torn apart by the brilliance of Lionel Messi in their first Champions League game of the season away to Barcelona, they can at least take comfort in the fact that they will not be facing a player of that calibre when Inter Milan visit the Phillips Stadion today.

PSV are top of the Dutch league with seven wins from seven and that loss to Barcelona is not a fair reflection of who they really are, they are a good side and a very different performance is expected from them against Inter Milan, they enter this game on the back of three straight wins scoring 9 goals and conceding no goals and that run includes a 3-0 win over Ajax who last night drew 1-1 away at Bayern Munich.

Inter Milan was very lucky to beat Tottenham in their opening Champions League game, they did not deserve to get anything from that game and only the naivety and complacency of Tottenham allowed the Italians to get two late goals and snatch an undeserved win. Inter are on a four-game unbeaten run but they are not in the same class as Barcelona and as Tottenham showed in Italy Inter are vulnerable and PSV have the players, as well as home field advantage, to hand the Italian side a defeat.

I am backing PSV on the spreads and the worse case scenario is an Inter win, a draw sees stakes returned and for me, the most likely outcome is a PSV win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am surprised that Liverpool are such big favourites for this game and am taking Napoli to register the win in front of their home fans.

In preseason Liverpool defeated Napoli 5-0 and that may have something to do with the odds being as they are but any sensible person that bets know to ignore friendly results, they never have a bearing on competitive games and this is as competitive as it gets.

Liverpool are on fire, they were Champions League runners-up last season, they sit at the top of the Premier League and are unbeaten in the league, they beat PSG at Anfield in their first Champions League game this season, have no doubts they are a real top quality side, but so are Napoli.

Napoli are second in Serie A, they have won 20 of their last 25 home league games, losing just twice and that was against Juventus and Roma, domestically their home ground is a fortress, that was not always the case in the Champions league but last season they won three of their four home games in the Champions League losing only to Man City in a game that flattered City and are slowly turning the Stadio San Paolo into a fortress in Europe as well.

This Napoli side is more than capable of beating Liverpool, it will not be easy for sure, Liverpool are one of the best sides in Europe but the Italians are in excellent form themselves, they did lose at the weekend to Juventus but they were reduced to 10 men and Juventus at home are almost unbeatable these days.

With home advantage, great self-belief and in excellent form I am taking Napoli to beat Liverpool today, it will not be easy but the odds are such that it would be madness to miss such an opportunity.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Barcelona are not as formidable this season as they have been in previous seasons, they have not won in their last three domestic games and their last win was in the Champions League at home against PSV when they won 4-0 four games ago.

Tottenham are a top quality side, on their day they can beat anyone, they beat Real Madrid and Dortmund at home last season and they beat them comfortably, they were unlucky to be eliminated against Juventus and will kick themselves for not taking advantage of their superiority against the Italians. Tottenham are one of the best teams in England and are competitive with the best teams in Europe and anyone that watches them will know that they should have beaten Inter Milan in their opening game in the Champions League last time out.

Barcelona remains a world-class team, they have arguably the best player in the world in Lionel Messi, but they are beatable, especially away from home and in Tottenham, they are playing a team that is more than capable of beating them and they will know that.

Tottenham may be missing some key players but in Harry Kane, they have a world class striker and their whole team, just like Barcelona, is full of top quality players. Tottenham plays beautiful passing football and will not be dominated by Barcelona in the same way Barcelona dominates most teams.

I am backing Tottenham on the spread with a half ball start so a draw or win and this pick comes in and on balance I am far more confident that we will see a Tottenham win or draw than a Barcelona win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon are a good thing here at great odds and a definite back to beat Shakhtar Donetsk today.

Shakhtar are doing remarkable well domestically, they are top of the Ukrainian league having won nine of their ten league games so far this season, however, they lost away to their biggest rivals Dynamo Kyiv and drew away at Hoffenheim in the Champions League. What this shows me is that the minute they face quality opposition they lose or draw and it is very debatable if Hoffenheim and Dynamo Kyiv are considered real quality.

Lyon showed what real quality is when they beat Man City in this competition last time out, that is a real achievement, very few teams ever go to City and win. Lyon have been a bit sketchy in Ligue 1 in France but the French league is a far stronger league than the Ukrainian league and they enter this game on the back of a four-match unbeaten run. Lyon have won nine of their last 11 league home games in Ligue 1 and the only reservation I have with them is that they have an appalling home record in the Champions League but they have a fantastic opportunity here to build on their win over Man City and I am certain they will not squander it.

All things considered, I am going for Lyon on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot has been made of the turmoil at United but I expect to see a very different United team tonight than what we saw against West Ham at the weekend.

This is the second time this season that there has been media hysteria over United, when Tottenham thrashed them 3-0 at Old Trafford everyone thought that manager Jose Mourinho days were numbered and that he had lost the team and so on, well, they then went on a three-game winning run, all away, including a 3-0 win at Young Boys in the Champions League. It really is a case of deja vu and just like last time United were supposedly in crisis, I expect them to come through it and they surely will with a nice win over Valencia tonight.

Valencia is hardly in great shape themselves, they registered their first league win of the season last weekend and sit 14th in La Liga after 7 games, they lost their opening Champions League match 2-0 to Juventus, on the face of that is not a disaster because it is Juventus but then you have take into consideration that Juventus were down to 10 men after Ronaldo got sent off and Valencia were the home team.

Basically, Valencia is having a worse season than United, they have just one win all season long domestically and in Europe and man for man are an inferior team to United.

United have home advantage, they have a world class manager and world-class players and while there is turmoil there, that cannot be ignored, they will be motivated for this game, it is Champions League after all and I cannot see anything other than a United win and probably by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria's home record this season is mixed with one win, one draw and one loss, however, their opposition has been quality and against opponents more on their level they do much better including against the likes of SPAL who they beat 2-0 last season in this corresponding fixture.

SPAL away record is not the most impressive with just four wins from 22 games since they got promoted to Serie A last season, they have had a share of draws for sure but 12 losses gives a very clear indication of their limitations when on the road.

SPAL has lost two in a row now and after an encouraging start reality is starting to hit home, Sampdoria have come down to earth a little since their impressive 3-0 win over Napoli but back at home, they will be confident of registering their first win in four games following two draws and a loss.

This is a game that Sampdoria needs to win if they want to finish in the top half of the table and with home advantage against a team with a poor away record I am very confident they will do just that.

Take Sampdoria to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sporting Kansas City to comfortably beat Real Salt Lake this evening.

Kansas has a very good home record, all things considered, they have won their last three home games without conceding a single goal in the MLS, they have lost just once in their last 13 home games and won seven of their last ten, by anyone's standards that is decent.

Compare that to the away record of Real Salt Lake who have registered just three wins in their last 19 away games and the last time they played Kansas at Kansas they lost 3-0.

I cannot see anything other than a home win here and the only question for me was how many goals would Kansas win by and I am of the opinion that they will win by at least two goals.

Take Sporting Kansas City -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When you first look at the names AC Milan and Sassuolo it is easy to draw the conclusion that Milan is a given, but that is not the case these days.

Sassuolo are third while AC Milan is 13th in the standings and the season may be just a few games old (6 games for Sassuolo, 5 for AC Milan) but it does give a clear indication of recent form for both teams.

Sassuolo has won all their home games this season including a 1-0 win over Inter Milan and they have lost just the once and that was against leaders Juventus.

AC Milan has drawn two and lost one of their three away games and overall have just the one win in five Serie A games so far this season.

So, it is clear that Sassuolo is the form team and with home advantage and the spread in their favour they are a must pick for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me hangs on Parma having home advantage and the appallingly bad away record of Empoli.

Empoli has won just three away games from their last 30, that is very poor, they have lost four of their last five with just one draw and so far this season have lost two and drawn one on the road, they are 4th bottom and will be facing a fight against relegation.

Parma are not exactly world beaters, far from it but they are steady at home, so far this season they have one win, one draw and one loss at home but that loss was a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Juventus and they did beat Inter Milan on the road.

This is a great opportunity for Parma to grab all three points at the hands of a very poor away side.

I am backing them on the spreads so only an outright loss will see a loss of stakes, whereas a draw will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My only overs pick today and there are very good reasons to feel confident these two teams will deliver.

Three of the five Augsburg games this season have gone over 2.5 goals and one of those that did not was a 1-1 draw with Bayern Munich, a game that they spent 90% defending and on any other day would have conceded far more.

Three of the five Freiburg games this season in the Bundesliga have also gone over 2.5 goals including both their away games.

So, both teams are on 60% over 2.5 goals and this game last season between these two teams had six goals in it.

Overall I am far more confident in this game being over 2.5 goals than I am in either team winning or the game being below 2.5 goals.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Third-bottom Eintracht Frankfurt faces off against bottom side Hannover with both teams desperate for the win to kick-start their season.

Frankfurt has a clear edge over their opponents, they have beaten them the last five times they have met including 1-0 in this fixture last season.

Hannover has not won away in their last 15 Bundesliga road games, they have lost their last two away games and overall are very poor on the road.

Frankfurt have not done great at home so far this season but they have had to face Leipzig and Werder Bremen, two very difficult teams and managed just the one draw, however, their overall home record is quite solid, before this recent run of just one win in five at home they went ten games unbeaten at home registering seven wins, put it this way, their home record is far superior to Hannover's away record over the last 15 games in the Bundesliga.

Frankfurt on the spreads for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chievo are winless this season and are actually on minus points due to punishment from Serie A, they have lost four and drawn two games and only one of those draws were at home, they have failed to score in their last two home games and three of their last four games overall, though they did have an impressive 2-2 draw with Roma away.

Torino have drawn all three of their away games this season including draws at both Inter Milan and Atalanta, two teams far superior to Chievo. They have lost twice this season, to Napoli and Roma but they have had a very tough early season schedule and today's opponents are the easiest they have had to face to date.

Chievo are a poor side and will struggle against Relegation this season, Torino are a better side and will climb up the table and a win is well within their grasp today.

Take Torino on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have lost faith in Atalanta, they have cost me recently and are not the team they were last season, that is very evident from their performances so far this season.

Fiorentina has a mixed record but not at home, at home they are solid, they have won all three home games so far this season with a total of ten goals scored and just the one conceded, they carry on like that and their stadium will become a fortress.

Atalanta have the capability to be a top team but they just are not showing it consistently enough, they have not won in five away games now and even lost to SPAL 2-0, this is not a team to back on the road with any confidence.

Take Fiorentina to win on the spreads.

Stake - 12pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game this in Germany between two fairly matched teams but with home advantage, I am taking Bayer Leverkusen to win and at worse, not to lose this game.

Dortmund will go top today with a win and so the incentive is right there, they won 7-0 last time out in the Bundesliga and are in fine form but their away form in the league is not good, they have drawn both their away games this season and are now winless in their last 7 road games in the league stretching back to last season.

Bayer Leverkusen had a bad start this season but have bounced back into form nicely over the last couple of weeks, they are as much title contenders as what Dortmund are and enter this game with as much confidence as what their opponents do.

Considering Dortmund's poor away form and Bayer Leverkusen's recent form I am going with the home side on the spreads today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game this between first and third in the Premier League.

You can ignore the midweek cup result between these two teams, it will have no bearing on this game other than a possible phycological effect but even that will be minimal.

Home advantage is significant for me here because there is little to choose between these two, Liverpool have won every single league game and are in magnificent form but Chelsea are also unbeaten and have won five of their six league games and drawn the other, again, very little between the pair.

If Liverpool are to be found out it will be on the road and most likely against one of the top six side in the Premier League and Chelsea certainly fit the bill, they have quality players and in Eden Hazard a world class player, they can match Liverpool man to man.

This will be a tight game for sure and because both sides are so evenly matched it is the smallest of advantages that will make a difference and that is with Chelsea as the home side.

Take Chelsea on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham got back to winning ways last weekend and it was on the road against Brighton, a team that is very hard to beat on their home ground.

Huddersfield are winless this season and sit bottom of the table with just two points from a possible 18, they are in a slump right now and it is hard to see that changing against a very good Tottenham side.

Tottenham have been unlucky in front of the goal but even so, with the talent they have, they should beat Huddersfield today and probably by at least a couple of goals.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves have been brilliant this season, they have lost just once in their six Premier League games this season, they have held both Man Utd and Man City to draws and been very impressive and not just with results but with the way they play.

Southampton have been their usual inconsistent selves, they have won just once all season and have played like the mediocre side that they are and having watched both Southampton and Wolves this season I am convinced that Wolves will not only win this game but will dominate their opponents totally.

A confident Wolves pick for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Werder Bremen to grab the win against a poor Stuttgart side.

Stuttgart are second bottom in the Bundesliga and have yet to register a win in five league games this season, their confidence is at rock bottom and it will be a dramatic shift in form if they were to win this one.

By contrast, Werder are in great shape, they have won both their road games this season and are unbeaten with three wins and two draws to their name so far.

I know that Stuttgart have home advantage but the respective home and away form of these teams shows that Werder have been performing much better and I am confident that will continue today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Interesting game.

Monaco are much better than their recent results have shown but until they improve it is very risky to back them with any confidence.

St Etienne are doing much better, they have lost just once this season in Ligue 1 in the 7 games played so far and that was against the best team in France, PSG.

So, on form you have to side with St Etienne but as stated earlier, Monaco is better than they have shown and it is just a matter of time before they improve.

I cannot really pick between the two teams because of the uncertainty that surrounds Monaco but what I am sure of is that there will be goals.

Two of the three St Etienne's home games this season have been over 2.75 goals and their last three Ligue 1 games have all been over 2.75 goals.

With regards to Monaco their overall record has not been great, however, their away record does show that on a regular basis their games go over 2.75 goals, 6 of their last 7 road games in the French league have all gone over 2.75 goals.

Considering that St Etienne are the home side and in form, I do expect them to find the net at least once, if not more and because Monaco is desperate for points and even more desperate for a win then I fully expect them to be attack-minded and to also go for goals.

Everything about this game says goals and that is my pick in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither of these two is doing great right now but Atalanta has shown signs that they are getting back to their best and their 2-2 draw at the weekend away to Milan is confirmation of that.

Atalanta did lose their last home game against Cagliari but they beat Frosinone 4-0 prior to that and at the end of last season took care of Torino 2-1.

Torino is a poor away said as 3 wins from their last 18 away games testifies, they do draw the odd one but overall they are not the most formidable visitors and if Atalanta plays as they did against Milan they will win.

Atalanta for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig are a good side who have had a stuttering start to this campaign but they have the potential to improve significantly and a win today in front of their home fans will certainly boost their faltering season.

Stuttgart are also a decent side, they only finished 2 points behind Leipzig last season and like Leipzig are having a mixed start to this season but apart from a burst at end of last season they are generally a poor away side, they have picked up just the single point from their opening two away games this season and I do not see any signs that their away form is set to get better any time soon.

Leipzig are unbeaten so far this season, whereas Stuttgart are winless and with home advantage, I am backing Leipzig to collect all three points today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lazio is on fire right now, they lost their opening two Serie A games this season but have now won their last three on the bounce and those two early losses were against the two best teams in Italy, Juventus and Napoli.

Udinese is doing ok, they are just a point behind Lazio but their results have been mixed and their form over the last three games is nowhere near as good as Lazio, registering one win, one loss and one draw.

On current form, Lazio has the edge and even with home advantage, I cannot see Udinese stopping the Lazio steamroller right now.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bayer Leverkusen are finally starting to play to form after a horrendous start to the season, some pundits even had them as contenders for the title at the start of the season but their opening games have been a massive disappointment but they have now won their last two games, one in the Bundesliga and one in the Europa League and if they continue playing as they have done in those two games then we will see the real very dangerous Bayer Leverkusen and that will be bad news for Fortuna.

Promoted Fortuna have done ok considering their lack of quality, they have lost just the once, drawn twice and won once since being promoted from Bundesliga 2 but they are going to struggle all season, they are limited and while they are doing ok in context of their limited abilities they simply do not have the squad to avoid a relegation battle this season.

This game all depends on Bayer Leverkusen, if they play as they have done in their last two games then they will win, if they revert to their earlier form then they will not win. I am confident that now they have started playing to their true level that they will continue to do so and that they will beat Fortuna today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game for both sides and I am going with Lyon to scrape the win.

Lyon will be full of themselves after beating Man City in the Champions League in midweek, that was a tremendous performance and will set them up perfectly for this game.

Lyon, generally speaking, is a very good home side, they did lose to Nice at home last time out but previously to that they had won 8 in a row over this season and last season and had beaten both Marseille and PSG at home last season.

Marseille will not be walkovers and this will be a very tight game but with home advantage and confidence at a very high level, it is Lyon for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing AC Milan to get the win today against Atalanta.

Both teams have had a stuttering start to the season but overall AC Milan are a much better home side than Atalanta are away, Milan beat Roma last time out on their own ground and overall there are signs that Milan is starting to return to a competitive state.

Atalanta is a decent team but they are vulnerable away from home and I see them struggling to get anything from this game against a team that is looking better than it has in a while.

Take Milan -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like it could be a very exciting game and while the advantage is clearly with Arsenal I am of the opinion that it is a stretch to have them win by two goals.

Arsenal seems incapable of keeping a clean sheet and while that is the case they will struggle to win comfortably and will always be vulnerable to dropping points, they conceded 2 goals to a poor team in the Europa League (Vorskla) midweek and while they did win that game it is still a huge worry.

Everton was woeful against West Ham last week and I expect to see an improvement, I simply do not see them playing that bad again and at the very worse I see them losing by a maximum of 1 goal and a draw would not surprise me.

All things considered, I am backing Everton +1.25

Stake - 1pt