Both teams are coming off losses here but West Virginia was never really in the game @ Florida and Iowa St was right there @ Texas AM with a couple minutes left.  I look for a a nice bounce back here for Iowa St as they are 10-1 @ home.  Also I believe the way West Virginia likes to play with the up tempo style plays right into the hands of Iowa St here.  They will be able to break the press and create a lot of threes.  Iowa St is 5-1 ATS L5 home games playing a team with winning record.

TOP PLAY NCAAB!!!

I really like the value we are getting here with Michigan.  Indiana is the ranked team and tied a top of Big 10 conference with Iowa, but Indiana has played the easiest Big 10 schedule to date.  Michigan has won 4 in a row but only covered once during that span.  Also remember this is the same Michigan team that beat Maryland not to long ago.  The hardest game Indiana has had so far in conference has been @ Wisconsin who is just a middle of the road team and no surprise they lost.  I also don't believe that Indiana will be able to handle Michigan's guards.  Michigan is also 11-1 @ home this year.  Sit back and relax take Michigan 

SEC PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting really good value here with a Georgia team who is 10-3 @ home this year.  They are also coming of 2 straight losses @ LSU by 4 and @ Baylor by 10.  Those are not bad losses by any means and fully expect them to bounce back tonight.  South Carolina is a team I simply don't trust on the road.  They also have a big look ahead game with @ Texas AM on deck.  Georgia is 5-0 ATS L5 following a SU loss. 

As I was on Florida St Saturday when they took it to Clemson I am back on them again.  Florida St was favored by the same amount vs Clemson as they are here and NC ST is way worse.  NC ST is getting respect here because of their upset over Miami, but they were catching Miami at a good time after Miami just upset Duke.  NC ST is now in a classic road letdown after a big home win and they also have @DUKE on deck.  Florida St can't afford to lose home games with 2 road games coming up.  This young Florida St team is growing and I really like what I have been seeing.  NC ST 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win and FSU is 6-1 ATS L7 vs team with a losing road record. 

BIG MONDAY SHOWDOWN TOP PLAY!!!

This won't be the public play thats for sure but clearly odds makers believe that Louisville will rebound from their only home loss of the year so far.  The Louisville Virginia game was very hard to watch as they couldn't throw the ball in the ocean.  Louisville will not lose 2 in a row at home and this is also just North Carolina's 2nd away in nearly a month.  Their only away game was @ Virginia Tech and they were lucky to escape with the victory.  I also really think that Louisville was clearly over looking Virginia and waiting for this Big Monday Showdown.  Carolina has benefited big time from their schedule so far in playing the not good teams in conference.  Sure they played Clemson but that was 1st of conference and no one knew them then and it was @ home.  UNC is 2-5 ATS L7 playing a team with a winning record. 

I might be one of the few, but I actually believe Arizona St is a quality basketball team and very sneaky in the PAC 12.  They have only lost once by more than 10 points and that was due to Hurley getting ejected late in the game vs Arizona so you can throw that away.  Oregon is coming a huge road win @ Arizona and the betting public will be all over them today because of that.  I believe Arizona St will build off their blowout win vs Oregon St and pull the upset here, while Oregon has a let down.  

I'm very surprised by this line as I thought it should be closer to 8.  Colorado is an outstanding home going 11-1 so far and Cal away from home is just pathetic going 1-7.  I see no reason why that would change come today.  Cal is just 2-6 ATS L8 road games, and 7-18-1 ATS L26 following a SU loss.  Colorado is 5-1 ATS L6 home games. 

NCAAB Sunday Underdog Special

Im actually not so sure that Evansville isn't the best team in the Missouri Valley, but they won't be getting the respect based on the Wichita St name.  Theses teams met earlier in the year and Evansville took them right down to the wire losing by 3.  Evansville is also a perfect 10-0 SU this year @ home and there is no doubt they will be ready for this re match.  Wichita St is a hot team covering 9 out of their L10, but they struggle in Evansville just 2-6 ATS L8.  

Kansas hasn't been playing the greatest, but there is now better way to come off a slump than by beating down a quality team.  Kentucky has won and covered 3 in a row, but I don't trust this team tonight especially in this atmosphere.  Kentucky has lost @ Auburn and was blown out @ LSU and lost on a neutral court to a bad Ohio St team.  Kansas will bounce back here and take it to them

NON CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE DAY

Texas A&M sure doesn't get much credit for being a top 5 team in the country.  Most people will remember that Iowa St has had big wins over Kansas and Oklahoma last 3 games.  They are due for a major let down today.  Aggies are coming off a bad loss @ Arkansas and expect them to bounce back in a major way.  Texas A&M is a perfect 12-0 @ home this season and that won't change today.

ACC PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting a really good price here on Florida St who doesn't have the respect from the odds makers because of their conference record.  This Florida St team is as talented as any in the ACC.  Clemson has benefited from playing most of their games @ home and in fact both of their conference losses came on the road.  Florida St isn't out of tourney talk and would need a big home win also.   Also when they played earlier @ Clemson, Florida St was favored by 2 so if you translate that to Florida St now being home it should 8 so we are getting really good value.

Florida has been playing some really good basketball as of late.  They are 4-2 their L6 but they came @ Texas AM by 3 and @ Vanderbilt by 1.  The betting public will be all over West Virginia here as they are ranked a top 10 team.  However, they are without Jonathan Holton who averages 9.7 ppg and I believe a big success on their defensive end.  West Virginia also might be over looking Florida here as they have @ Iowa St on deck

It's not very often that you get points this late in the season with a home team who hasn't on their home floor.  VCU will be the popular choice as they have won 10 in a row and covered an impressive 9 of those.  Davidson has had some very close losses, but they are coming off a nice road win as a 6.5 point underdog @ Richmond.  Davidson will be ready to defend their undefeated home court tonight 

Ohio St is one of the hardest teams to figure out this year.  They are just 1-4 in true road and the 4 losses were all above 20 point blowouts except for one.  I simply dont trust them here.  Illinois is desperate here as the next 3 games are very winnable.  Ohio St is also in a big look ahead spot with Maryland coming to town next.  Ohio St just 5-17-1 ATS L23 road games.  

Oregon St comes into this game off a nice upset over USC.  Let's look back here when Oregon St had a couple big wins.  Oregon St opened conference play with a 13 pt win over rival Oregon, next game lose @ home to Stanford.  Oregon St then upsets Cal @ home, next game get blown out @ Colorado.  So coming off that big USC win and also with Arizona on deck I see another let down.  Arizona St may not have the wins but have been extremely competitive losing by 2 @ Stanford and by 5 @ Cal.  I expect them to be very motivated here tonight.

Notre Dame is coming into this game with a 4 game winning streak, but will be without their best player in Jackson tonight.  Losing Jackson is very key here for the Irish as he would be the one who could pick apart the Syracuse zone.  Syracuse has been playing well also winning 3 of their last 4 but were in a tough spot last game @ Virginia.  Syracuse is a big bubble team and whenever you get a chance to have a quality win @ home it becomes that much more important.  Syracuse will be ready here.  

Virginia Tech is being extremely undervalued here losing two consecutive games.  They lost @ Notre Dame by just two and North Carolina by 5.  Louisville is just 3-3 away from home.  Louisville is 0-4 ATS L4 road games.  Virginia Tech is 4-0 ATS L4 home games and also 4-0 ATS L4 vs a team with winning percentage above 60%

Two two teams that have been playing the opposite and we are getting good value with a home team in Houston that is 10-2 SU.  Tulsa has won and covered 5 in a row and Houston dropped 4 in a row.  I look for Houston to bounce back here big time tonight.  

I really believe that Clemson is the better team here and are being undervalued due to Pittsburgh's record.  Clemson have covered 7 in a row and are really playing good basketball.  Pitt is coming off a big comeback win @ Florida St and I doubt they can win back to back on the road.  Pitt is 6-19-1 L26 following a ATS win.

Tennessee is getting way to much respect coming off a big upset vs South Carolina.  Tennessee away from home is just 1-7 SU this year.  Bama is coming off 3 straight losses also after beating down South Carolina.  Since they are on a 3 game skid that is why we are getting a great price here.  In those losses 2 were on the road and one was @ home vs LSU and all were decided by under 10 points.  I look for Bama to bounce back strong here tonight in a must win game for them.  Bama 11-4 ATS L15 following a loss.  

I really believe this Indiana team is way overvalued right now.  They are 7-0 in the Big 10, but haven't played Iowa Maryland Purdue Michigan or Mich St.  So you can clearly see they have played all the bottom competition.  This two teams have already met and Indiana was very lucky to squeak out with a 1 point win.  I think Wisconsin has found its stride now after beating Michigan St then following that up with a road win.  The underdog in this series is 7-1 ATS L8

4 Star NCAAB BIG MONDAY!

I really believe Iowa St is starting to find their identity now and Kansas I'm buying stock in.  To me there is something going on with this Kansas team.  They have failed to cover 4 straight and are just 2-2 SU.  They beat Texas on Saturday but had to come from behind @ home.  Iowa St honestly cant afford to lose any more games in conference if they wanna win it outright I believe.  We all saw what happened last week when Oklahoma came to Ames.  I expect the same result as the Jayhawks have been struggling on defense.  Iowa St 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a ATS win.  Kansas 0-4 ATS L4 vs teams with a winning record.

4 Star NCCAB Play!!!

We are getting excellent value here with Miami who has failed to cover in their last 4 games.  Duke is a team that struggles badly on the defensive end especially defending the three.  Duke is coming of a nice win @ NC ST, but I'm still not sold.  Duke has to be shooting lights out again for a 2nd straight road game and I don't see that happening.  This is a statement game for Miami and also take note Duke is basically playing now with 6 guys.  That is the furthest thing from a Coach K team we have seen in years.  Duke is just 2-8-2 ATS L12 vs Miami.  Miami is 5-1-1 ATS L5 home games 

This is a perfect spot to fade Oklahoma St here coming off a huge win vs Kansas.  Now they travel to Kansas St who is 8-2 @ home with only losses coming against Iowa St and West Virginia.  Oklahoma St isn't a very good team at all and they will have a let down.  Kansas St has had a brutal schedule to start conference and expect them to really be motivated today.

Florida St comes in off a blowout loss @ Louisville, meanwhile Pitt is coming off a beat down @ home vs NC St.  Florida St has by far the better athletes and I expect them to show up here.  Pitt has benefited from an extremely easy schedule and in their last road game they scored 41 points!  

I was on Kentucky last out in their bounce back win @ Arkansas and look for them to really let Vanderbilt have it as well.  Kentucky is obviously a very hard place to play and this has to be one of the shortest prices we have had on them @ home in a while.  Vanderbilt has won 3 straight and thats why this line is low.  Vanderbilt was 3 point dogs @ South Carolina and I find it hard to believe that South Carolina even with their record is equal to Kentucky 

Georgia Tech hasn't lost an ACC game by double digits so far and I see no reason why that should change today.  Louisville is overvalued here due to their back to back blowout wins.  Georgia Tech was also 6 point underdogs @ home vs Virginia and they beat them SU.

I simply don't trust this LSU team on the road.  Bama has lost two in a row but both were on the road and we remember what Alabama did to South Carolina @ home.  LSU has dropped it's last two road games as well.  LSU just 1-6 ATS L7 road games.  Bama 19-6-1 ATS L26 following an ATS loss.

Nebraska is really going under the radar here in the Big 10 has they have won and covered in 4 straight games.  Michigan is still getting a lot of respect because of their Maryland win, but I don't like backing strictly jump shooting teams on the road.  Look for Nebraska to carry the momentum off their big win and beat Michigan here.

We are getting more than a fair price here with Oregon as I believe they are the best team in the PAC 12.  Oregon is a perfect 11-0 at home this season.  They are coming off a very close loss @ Colorado in a game that could have gone either way.  USC is getting a lot of respect due to their 3 game winning streak.  I really believe Oregon makes a statement here saying we are the best team in this conference.  Oregon 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss.

We are getting good value here for Ohio St who I know isn't the usually Ohio St, but they are still more than capable of beating anyone.  This line is an overreaction due to Purdue coming in off two blowout wins over Penn St and Rutgers.  Ohio St was also embarrassed last out losing by 35 @ Maryland, but they were only 10 point dogs in that game and Maryland to me is the best team in the Big 10.  

This won't be a popular choice by any means, but oddsmakers are telling you a lot here with this line.  Clemons had a rare 3 home game conference stretch against Louisville Duke and Miami.  They won all 3 games and the betting public will be all over them here.  This is a really bad spot here due for a major letdown.  Clemson is just 1-3 on the road, they lost @ Minnesota who is the worse Big 10 team and were blown out at @ Georgia Tech by 23.  Virginia will be the motivated here starting conference play just 2-3 but all losses on the road.  Virginia 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss

I was against South Carolina in their last road game @ Alabama and that worked out just fine.  Will be against them again here as I'm not a believer in this team.  Ole Miss is coming off two losses here and won't be over looking the Gamecocks here as this is a huge resume builder.  Ole Miss is 7-1 @ home losing to Florida in their most recent game.  I was really impresses with Ole Miss @ LSU they controlled the whole game until the final 2 minutes.  South Carolina just 5-11 ATS L16 following an ATS loss.  Ole Miss 5-1 ATS L6 following an ATS loss.  Wrong team favored here Ole Miss matches up very well

There is no doubt with this line being so low it's because of Providence recent struggles.  There is no better way to stop the bleeding than playing a quality opponent.  Providence has dropped it's last 2 homes and if they would lose tonight it would be the first time in 4 years they had a 3 game home losing streak.  Butler isn't exactly play quality basketball either just 2-3 SU their L5 and those wins were against DePaul and St Johns.  Providence has also already beat Butler as a 7.5 point dog @ Butler a few weeks ago.  Providence will respond tonight, they are 7-1 ATS L8 following an ATS loss and are 9-2-1 ATS L12 playing a team with a greater win percentage than 60%.  Butler is 1-4 ATS L5 vs team with winning record

Iowa St has had a rough start in conference play but rebounded very well and took it to Kansas St which isn't an easy place to play.  Oklahoma is coming off two 2 point wins and a very physical one with West Virginia.  Iowa St knows if it wants to keep pace for the Big 12 this is an absolute must win as they already have 3 conference losses.  Hilton is a very difficult place to play.  OU just 1-5 ATS L6 following a SU win.  Iowa St 12-5-1 ATS L 18 playing a team with over 60% win rate

There is to much respect here given toward Oregon after their impressive road win @ Utah.  It's very hard in college basketball to go on the road and win @ quality teams in back to back games.  Colorado is 9-1 @ home so far.  Prior to winning @ Utah, Oregon lost @ Boise St and @ Oregon St by 13.

I like Florida St here coming off a nice road win @ NC St.  Florida St is an extremely athletic team and will present problems for Virginia.  Virginia has played on the road twice during ACC play and are 0-2 with losses coming to Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech.  They had a great bounce back win vs Miami which is why the line is high.  Virginia is also 0-4 ATS on road games.  

Most people might say this is a big let down spot for Iowa coming off a huge win @ Michigan St, but you could make the case Michigan is one also coming off a big win vs Maryland.  Iowa won't be taking them lightly for that reason alone.  Also Michigan is still without their best player LeVert and Iowa plays the best defense in the Big 10 will shut down the 3's Michigan thrives on. 

We are getting good value here with Cal who is coming into this game getting swept by Oregon schools.  However, look at this... When Cal played Colorado @ home they were 7.5 point favs and Stanford was by 1 a 6 pt difference.  Look at the last Oregon games.  Cal favored by 2.5 @ Oregon St where Stanford was a 6.5 point dog.  Cal a 3 point dog @ Oregon, Stanford a 9 point dog.  Everywhere across the line so far Vegas believes Cal has been 6-8 points better, but now since Cal has slipped up a couple they have adjusted to 3 which creates the value.  Cal is by far the more talented team expect a bounce back 

This line is big for a reason here with Arizona coming off two heart breaking losses @ UCLA and @ USC.  They will bounce back in a big way.  Let's look at Washington 3-0 in Pac 12 play but all games decided by 4 points or less.  They could easily be 0-3.  Washington was destroyed in a neutral court game vs Gonzaga and lost to Texas by 12 and also Oakland by 14.  I'm not sold on Washington at all and Arizona has one of the best home courts in the country.  Arizona is 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams with a winning record, 4-0 ATS L4 after allowing 100 or points.  

At first glance this line makes you think it's way to high.  Arizona St has started 0-3 in conference play, but they had a close loss to Arizona then had two close road losses @ USC @ UCLA.  Washington St comes in with 3 home games and and 1 conference win over UCLA.  Washington St has only played one true road game and have a big look ahead with Arizona on Saturday.  Arizona St will be extremely focused here and look for them to dominate from start to finish.  Wash St 8-19-4 ATS L31 road games vs with team with winning home record.  

We are getting a great price here on UCLA because both these schools swept Arizona and Arizona St last week.  UCLA is no doubt the better team here and they have owned this series lately 5-1 ATS L6.  USC 1-4 ATS L5 playing a home team with a winning record.  USC 0-4 ATS L4 after allowing 90 or more points 

I really look for Colorado to bounce back here after a close loss @ home to Utah.  This is also an interesting spot here for Oregon St as this is their first true road and that was Colorado's first home loss.  Oregon St has benefited from playing at home and are getting respect after beating Cal.  Favorite here is 7-3-1 ATS L11.  

I'm just not sold on this South Carolina team as they have benefited from playing an extremely easy schedule.  Avery Johnson has Bama playing respectable and he knows this is a huge game for the program on a national stage.  Bama does have three nice wins this year...Notre Dame, Wichita St and @ Clemson.  Bama is 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home.  19-7-1 ATS L27 following an ATS loss

Very surprised by this line here.  LSU did beat Kentucky last week but they are way overvalued here with a quality Ole Miss team.  Ole Miss only loss in SEC and in the last ten games was @ Kentucky.  LSU is still a very young team here and you never know what you get out of them.  They lost as 7 pt favorites @ home to Wake Forest who is clearly worse than Ole Miss.  

We are getting really good value here with a Clemson team that just pulled off a big upset over Louisville.  The Public will be riding Duke here as they have covered 3 conference games in a row and 2 of them on the road, but those were against Wake Forest and Boston College.  Clemson is playing pretty good ball winning and covering 3 straight as well.  Clemson will give Duke all they want tonight 

Good spot to back Virginia here coming off back to back losses, but they were both very close.  I believe this will wake Virginia up and play very well at home here.  Miami has been a great surprise but they have only played 1 road since December 1st and also a pretty easy schedule here lately as well.  Virginia beat Nova by 11 and West Virginia by 16, both teams are a lot better than Miami 

BIG TEN TOP PLAY!

Northwestern ended its two game skid by blowing out Minnesota @ their place.  I look for them to ride that momentum here against Wisconsin.  Wisconsin is getting love because they took Maryland down to the wire which was a great game, but this is a huge sandwich spot as the Badgers have Michigan St on deck.  Northwestern 6-2-1 ATS L9 following a SU win.  Badgers just 3-9 ATS L12 vs team with a winning record.  

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