Haven't been a fan of this Tech team all year.  They still get a ton of respect because they are ranked.  They have failed to cover now in 5 straight games.  South Carolina is starting to play very good ball.  They have won 3 of their last 4 games which includes wins @ Florida and @ Georgia and a home win over Kentucky.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence.  

Ohio St sits at 18-4 and 9-0 in conference play.  They are clearly one of if not the most surprising team in the country this season.  Now the odds makers are catching up the Buckeyes making their lines too large.  I think Penn St is actually better than Maryland and Ohio St was only favored by 5 over them.  So, clearly now that the Buckeyes have had the continued success the line keeps sneaking up there.  Penn St has a ton of talent and can defend the 3 ball well.  I dont see Ohio St winning by double digits here

SMU is still getting a lot of respect for recently beating Wichita St.  They shot 64% from the field that game which is just crazy.  They could have beat anyone that day.  This is just too many points for SMU to lay here given the fact they are 2-5 on the road.  UConn is nothing special by any means, but they are 8-2 at home.  

I like Missouri here tonight on their home court as I think Auburn is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  Missouri should be hungry here coming off just an ugly game shooting 27% from the field.  The fact they only lost by 11 is miracle when you shoot that bad.  Missouri is 9-1 at home with their only loss being at the buzzer by Florida 

Louisville is another big time over valued team here.  They are 5-1 in conference play and go figure their only loss was to a team that is in the top half of the conference.  They have played some pretty easy opponents.  Miami really needs this one here as they sit 3-3 in conference.  I'm not a believer at all in this Louisville team 

Super quick turn around here for Nebraska as they played Monday night.  They took the Buckeyes down to the wire and clearly were up for that game considering Ohio St is first in the Big Ten.  I think it will be hard for them to match that here tonight.  Rutgers has simply been a bet on team at home as they are 7-1 ATS.  

I think we see a good ole fashion beat down here from Kentucky.  Coach Cal will have his guys ready here to play coming off back to back losses.  I also think that Miss St is over valued here as they racked up a ton of wins before conference play inflating their record.  They are 0-5 ATS in games away from home.  Given the situation I think Kentucky responds big time here

Remember about a month ago how Minnesota was a top 20 team in the country and they were the talk of the Big Ten entering conference play.  Well they came crashing down in a hurry.  This is the ultimate gut check game here for the Gophers if they want to make the tournament.  I did back NW their last game as they fought from behind and covered against Penn St.  The main thing here is these teams have recently played and NW just embarrassed Minnesota.  NW shot 50% from the field and a crazy 45% from 3.  Minnesota couldn't hit sand if they fell of a camel.  Gophers respond tonight 

I think it's time to fade away here on Bama who has won and covered 4 straight games.  They key was though 3 of them were at home and the road win was @ LSU who is nothing special.  With Sexton still being hurt is a huge concern on the road.  Bama does have a huge look ahead here this weekend with OU and Trae Young coming to town.  Ole Miss is a team that gets overlooked.  They have covered 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, but only have 2 wins.  

This Kansas team continues to be extremely overrated.  Sure, they have won 5 straight, but I cant remember a team that all 5 of those games came down to the last minute and they survived all of them.  Oklahoma is will hungry for a big time win following two straight losses.  

Iowa is coming off a terrible loss where the couldn't even show up against a highly rated team.  I think the Hawkeyes do show up here playing a team just as bad as them.  Wisconsin is 1-7 on the road this season.  They struggle shooting big time on the road 26% from three land.  Iowa should respond if they have any heart with a big effort here.

NCAAB PLAY OF THE DAY!

Really like Baylor here tonight against Kansas St.  Baylor is looking for a big win in conference play.  They have been on the wrong end of some tough games losing by 3, 3 different times already in conference play alone.  

Kansas St is being over valued comnig off back to back home wins over TCU and Oklahoma.  Both were very good spots for the Wildcats.  Kansas St ultimate let down spot here.

This just seems to high here.  I have said time and time again this isn't your usual UNC world beating team.  Virginia Tech really needs a signature win right now if that want to make the dance.  Not saying they do win, but they are 10-2 at home.  UNC has struggled against the number only covering 1 time in the last 7 games.  

I think Indiana should be favored here.  What Coach Miller has done in this turn around effort for the Hooisers has been very impressive.  They laid a complete egg last game @ Michigan St who was a pissed off team coming off a Michigan loss.  Before that though, they won 3 straight.  Maryland is has the guard play and are coming off a win and cover themselves.  I think this is a huge look ahead here with Sparty coming to Maryland this Sunday 

Let's take Southern Illinois here.  UNI is coming off two good wins in beating Valpo and Drake.  Those were both on their home court and given their situation then they were desperate for a win and wanted the Drake game big time as it was their rival.  Southern Illinois is 8-2 at home they aren't getting much respect since they have dropped 3 of their last 4 which all those 3 were on the road.  

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  Valpo is a team that is a lot better than their 11-9 record.  They have suffered several close losses here in conference play.  They are 2-5 in the conference while Loyola is 5-2.  This Valpo team man handled Drake the best team in the MVC which I had a couple games back.  Valpo defends their home court well with a 7-1 record.  

I backed NC ST in their last game as they won and covered against Wake Forest.  This Wolfpack team is just a whole different animal at home.  They have beat the likes of Clemson and Duke.  They need more quality wins as the season goes along to get into the dance.  Odds makers giving Miami too much credit since they ranked.  

Maybe I am way off here, but I have been dead on this Drake either for or against.  I dont think they should be an underdog at all here.  This might be the best team in the MVC although their overall record doesn't like as good as Missouri St.  Drake is undefeated at home this season as well.  

I'm gonna ride Providence here for several reasons.  First they will want revenge as Creighton beat them down by 19.  Providence is also rolling right now winning 3 straight.  Creighton coming off a blowout win over Seton Hall, but now they are without a very key piece in Krampelj who tore is ACL.  This will prove to be a huge loss

I like Seton Hall here to bounce back after getting destroyed by Creighton last game.  Seton Hall will want this one in a big way as Xavier is ranked 11th right now.  Xavier last two road games both resulted in a loss.  I think today does as well

I like Northwestern here today to get some revenge on Penn St.  In the first meeting Penn St just blew them out.  The line is low here because NW has lost 4 of their last 5 games.  I believe NW knows this is a crucial game as their next 3 are all on the road

I just dont believe that Texas Tech is this good.  Are they a good team, yes they are are they a legit top 10 or 15 team no way I dont think. Iowa St has played on the road 3 of their last 4 games with their only win coming at home.  I wouldn't be surprised here to so them win SU

Iowa has been very disappointing this season.  I do think they show up here with a big effort.  This is always a emotional time as Iowa remembers Christ Street a former Hawkeye who was killed in a car accident while playing at Iowa.  This game will be packed.  I also think Purdue will be over looking them. 

This is more of a play against UCLA.  I really dont trust this team and am not a huge fan of Alford their coach.  They were laying double digits last game vs Colorado and lost SU.  Oregon St has been solid at home with a 8-2 record.  They are just 1-3 SU their last 4 but two of those games were 2 point losses and one of those was @ Arizona St a top 15 team.  Oregon St wins this outright 

I normally stay away from the smaller conferences because they are so hit and miss, but I like UT Arlington here as they are playing the 1st place team in the Sun Belt Conference in UL Lafayette who is 5-0 in conference right now.  Lafayette has been rolling teams but those 3 games were all at home.  UT dont be fooled by their record as they have played some very hard teams out of conference.  Sure, they have had their bumps in a couple games, but with the 1st place team coming to town I think they have their full attention.

This NC St team is pretty easy to figure.  They are just awful on the road and pretty good at home.  On the road they have lost by 30, 16, and 17 their last three games.  Well their last two games at home they have beat two ranked teams in Duke and Clemson.  The Wolfpack are 11-1 SU at home this season.

Wake is 1-5 SU their last 6 games I think this team might be throwing in the towel for the season now.  This team really struggles to defense the 3 ball as they allow teams to shoot nearly 40% behind the arc.  That is a recipe for disaster especially when playing on the road in the ACC

Maybe I'm just a hater on this Buckeye team, but I can't lay the points with the despite them being undefeated in conference play.  Their 2 Big Ten road wins were @ Rutgers last game only favored by 5.5 and @ Iowa as 1 point favorites.  

Northwestern has under achieved this season there is no doubt about it, but I believe they respond here after getting beat down to Indiana last game.  Some of their struggles was because their PG McIntosh had missed a few games.  This will be his 2nd game back and wouldn't be surprised to see NW win this one

I was hoping for more points and it probably does go up a little bit more, but none the less will take Texas here.  This team plain and simple needs a huge signature win.  Not that Tech will be over looking Texas here but they are coming off their biggest win of the season beating West Virginia.  This is a big big game for Shaka Smart and company.  This is why they brought him here

Auburn has been a surprise team to say the least with a 16-1 record.  I think most people and me included thought they would come back to earth when conference play started because of their easy and I mean easy non conference schedule.  They have done nothing wrong in the conference so far, but I think tonight is the game where Bama gets them.

This is still a huge rivalry even though it's basketball now.  Throw in the fact like I mentioned how good Auburn is playing and also how much improved Bama is.  Bama is 3-2 in conference play with a 1 point loss @ Tennessee.  They could easily be 4-1 right now.  Roll Tide get it done tonight 

We all know the love the betting public has for Oklahoma now and their freshman stud in Trae Young.  He is coming off another 43 point performance as the Sooners had a big win over TCU in OT.  Now Oklahoma has their rival Oklahoma St on deck and I think this spot is one to fade.  Kansas St should have beat their rival Kansas last game losing by 1.  The Wildcats dont draw the headlines, but there is nothing wrong with losses to Kansas, West Virginia, and Texas Tech.  This is the right spot to back them

I have been on the right side of a lot of these two games either for or against.  This is a rivalry for these schools that most dont know about.  UNI finally rang the bell last game vs Valpo beating them and covering the number.  As I have mentioned a lot this season I really like this Drake team, but they have had their fair share of good breaks a long the way.  UNI has a great history in this series and they pull the so called upset against the MVC best team 

Miss St just lost their first home game over the weekend losing to Auburn.  They have now lost 3 straight and have only covered 1 of their last 6 games.  That is why we are getting a short price here with Miss St.  Vandy is nothing special as I think they will start to tank here this season.  They had a huge game with Kentucky on Saturday ad doubt they will be up for this one.  They are also 0-6 SU on the road

I like Providence here tonight at home where they are 8-2 SU this season.  I did back Butler in their last win as it was a desperate game for them avoiding a 4 game losing streak.  In their 3 conference road games they haven't covered in any of them.  Providence rang the bell as they were in a tough spot coming off a win over Xavier and backed it up in a let down spot @ Depaul.  

I normally don't play these type of line in college ball, but I dont trust NC St at all.  This team is in a terrible spot beating 2 ranked teams back to back on their home court in Duke and Clemson.  This Virginia team never gets the press they deserve, but all they do is win and cover.  Also worth noting that NC St on the road lost by 30 to Notre Dame and 16 to Clemson.  Notre Dame was without their best player in that game as well 

This is strictly a spot play here.  Texas is going through a lot right now with Andrew Jones being out now with cancer.  They won their last game in thrilling fashion for him against their rival in TCU.  This is obviously very difficult to get up for here.  Oklahoma St really needs to add some quality wins and they start here tonight

I really believe the wrong team is favored here.  Iowa St is the desperate team here as they ahve yet to win a conference game.  I am personally not a fan of Coach Drew for Baylor as he always has a ton of talent and underachieves so much with it.  Baylor goes from 10 point underdogs @ West Virginia to 3 point road favorites here?  Something seems way off there,  Iowa St grabs their first conference win

We get a pretty hungry Xavier team who is comnig off back to back losses both on the road though and against quality opponents.  Creighton is playing well having won 4 straight but 3 of those were on their home court with the only road game being @ Georgetown who is one of the worst in the Big East.  

TCU is 13-3 and all 3 of their losses have came in conference play.  They could easily be 16-0.  They did lose to this Oklahoma team already by 1 point.  Their other 2 losses were to Kansas by 4 and Texas by 1. The revenge factor is huge here for me and I think this TCU team is actually legit while Oklahoma still gets way to much love for my liking.  

I dont like this South Carolina team at all as I think now they are the worst team in the SEC.  Georgia has way more talent here and might have the leagues SEC player of the year right now on their team.  They have done nothing wrong at home with a 8-0 record.  

It wasn't that long ago that this Minnesota was in the top 15 and now your telling me they are catching nearly double digits.  I was against Purdue last game @ Michigan +1.5 and that was a winner.  I think Minnesota and Michigan are very similar and as I have mentioned before Purdue isn't a top 5 team 

This is a game where Butler really needs it.  They have lost 3 straight since beating #1 Nova.  All 3 losses were games decided in the final two minutes.  With 2 road games coming up for Butler I think they know the importance of this one.  I also look to fade 3 point shooting teams on the road.  It doesn't always work, but most of time they tend to shoot themselves right out of the game if things don't go well right away

The Hawkeyes have had a rough start to the season and they were pegged as a team to look out for in the Big Ten.  I think we get a huge effort from the Hawkeyes who are looking for their first conference win.  

We all know who the betting public will be all over here tonight.  They will back Colorado and the points all day long since they just upset both Arizona and Arizona St on their home court.  This is the ultimate let down spot here for Colorado.

Look at Colorado's first two games of conference and they were waxed on the road against both Oregon schools who aren't very good.  I think they get waxed here tonight as well against a good USC team 

Let's back Northwestern here as their PG and glue guy McIntosh returns back to the lineup.  Northwestern was completely lost without him as they were destroyed their previous two games.  I need to see more from the Gophers as well as this will be their first true road test in conference play and it sounds like Coffey won't play tonight.   

Grab this one early as it will only go up.  I don't trust Notre Dame on the road again without their two best players.  This is a weird one here as these teams have already met and Notre Dame won by 9 but Tech covered for the game.  We have seen a big adjustment in the line, but Tech will want revenge plus the Irish do have North Carolina on deck for the weekend 

I think this line will will flip as the day goes on.  When there are key injuries I always look to play against teams.  UCF has been red hot and I have backed them a few times.  Tonight though they will be without their leading scorer in BJ Taylor which is tough to over come.  

I know UConn is just 2-5 SU their last 7 games but losses to Cuse @ Auburn @ Arizona Wichita St are nothing to be ashamed off.  They are 7-1 @ home and this is a desperate game and I think they respond 

All of the sudden Purdue is a top 5 team?  I'm not buying it at all.  Yes, they are a good team, but if you have watched them they aren't even a top 10 team.  I think Michigan has the pieces to pull this one off.  Michigan is a perfect 9-0 on their home court.

This line is a telling story to me about what odds makers think.  Central Mich is 12-3 and Eastern Mich and 9-6 favored by 4.5.  A large part of that is the schedule as Eastern has played a lot of road games, while Central mostly home or neutral.  Eastern is coming off their first home loss of the season, but I think they were caught looking ahead to this game tonight.  I don't trust Central on the road as they just lost by 16 @ Kent St and that game was a PK.  

Obviously Texas Tech was a little underrated, but now I think it's time to sell after this hot start.  I was against Oklahoma in their last game @ West Virginia which was a winner, but I think they bounce back on their home court where they are a perfect 7-0

Like Miami here tonight as I believe they were caught looking ahead to this game since they laid an egg @ Georgia Tech last time out.  I know this is a rivalry, but Miami will be more hungry here considering Florida St is coming off a huge win over North Carolina.  I'm actually not that impressed with that win because UNC is down this year.  This is a nice short price here

Tennessee is 0-2 and Kentucky is 2-0 to start conference play.  Both teams in both games were involved in some close battles that could have gone either way.  Kentucky is very lucky especially last game to beat LSU who many think including myself they are the worst team in the SEC.   The Vols respond here and get their first conference win

Everyone and their mother knows who Trae Young is by now.  He will be seeing something tonight in Morgantown that is way different.  This place will be rocking tonight and I think the pressure gets to them here.  There is no shame in losing to a team like West Virginia.  Home/veteran team gets the job done tonight 

This is all about the situation here.  Vandy is coming off a nice win over Bama, but this team hasn't won away from home all season.  The fact they are coming off that win and they have a huge look ahead with big brother next game in Tennessee it's time to back South Carolina.  Also SC is coming off a tough home loss so I expect them to bounce back here

I really don't need to say much about this game.  It's pretty clear cut here Notre Dame is without their two best players here in Colson and Farrell.  When your missing two key guys like that your asking a lot of role players to step up and fill their shoes.  Since those guys are veteran they would be familiar with the Cuse zone, but now thats a huge question mark.  I think Cuse takes care of business easy

I think Baylor knows what is at stake here against their in state rival Texas.  Baylor will look to avoid starting 0-3 in the conference and this is a big game because their next two are on the road.  Also Texas was lucky I though their last game @ Iowa St winning in OT.  Iowa St had open shot after open shot and couldn't make anything.  

I was very impressed the other night with Virginia at their rival Virginia Tech.  They play great defense and are of the most efficient offenses in the country.  North Carolina lost @ Florida St and are still getting a lot of respect.  UNC doesn't have the horses they normally do and they really struggle on defense.  That won't be a good combination play this Virginia team

Was very impressed with Missouri last game vs South Carolina.  This team still has a bunch of shooters and will be deadly at home here.  This is a game they need for a huge win.  I also think Florida is being over valued because of their last win @ Texas Am because the Aggies were so banged up and missing key players.  Mizzou gets the job done 

Let's look here at Tulane.  I think they are a live underdog tonight vs SMU.  SMU is for sure the house hold name and they are getting respect because of that.  This SMU team though is different though and are't as good as previous years.  Tulane is a team that simply plays well at home.  They have also been tested playing the likes of North Carolina and Florida St.  SMU has a huge game on deck next @ Cincy.  Tulane can keep this within double digits 

It's always hard backing small schools because you never what you will get.  I do think odds makers are off here for several reason.  Southern Miss finally gets to play on their home court after 4 straight away and 5 of their last 6 away.  They are undefeated at home while UTEP is 0-4 on the road.  The main thing here is that UTEP is without their leading scorer Frazier.  Asking a team who hasn't won a road and now without their best player?  This line seems too good but no choice to take Southern Miss

I'm going to ride with these Hawkeyes one more time here because I really think they get the job done tonight.  This is simply gut check time for the Hawkeyes to avoid going 0-4 in conference and they have 3 consecutive road games coming up.  Ohio St isn't world beaters by any means and they have a huge look ahead game with the Big Ten's best in Michigan St coming to town.

The Hokies are a sneaky team here at home with a perfect 9-0 record.  They have more than enough to pull the upset which I believe they will tonight.  Even though this is a rivalry this game means a lot more to Virginia Tech as they play the little brother role.  While Virginia will want this one also it's hard for them to not be looking ahead as they host North Carolina this weekend 

I haven been all over this Drake team and will continue to back them.  As I have mentioned odds makers are usually very slow to adjust to these teams that no one pays attention to.  Illinois St is the so called house hold name in this conference now along with Northern Iowa so they will still get some respect.  I just like the way this Drake team plays and I expect them to win and cover here at home where they haven't lost yet

Clemson is now ranked riding high and are probably getting a little full of themselves considering they are over achieving so much.  The Tigers are coming off a win over rival NC St and have a huge match up this weekend with Louisville coming to town.  BC is a team you dont wanna sleep on at home just ask Duke.  

I think Wake responds here with a win after two consecutive hard games.  They lost to Tennessee, but were actually favored in that game by 1.5 and since they have lost the previous two we are getting a huge discount here.  They almost pulled the upset @ North Carolina last game.  I just dont think this Cuse team is anything special, they have played one true road game @ G Town and were lucky to escape that one

Baylor is worth a look here at this short price tonight.  They are coming off a brutal loss to Texas Tech losing by 24 and now look to bounce back.

TCU on the other hand blew the game against Oklahoma and now have Kansas on deck which is a very tough spot for them.  

Baylor has the length and the athletes here to cause some problems down low for TCU.  I really think that loss for TCU serves as a hangover here.

I like the Hawkeyes here tonight to get the job done.  They had a very rough start to the season which has already included 2 losses in conference play.  Iowa has now turned it around winning 5 straight and covering 4 straight.  

Michigan is a team that I'm not really sure how to judge.  Some games they look very interested and will surprise you like winning at Texas and other games they throw in a clunker like losing to the SEC worst team in LSU.  

I think we see a pretty motivated Iowa team here and they respond with a nice win

This is pretty much an automatic play here for me.  For starters anytime you knock off #1 and have to travel on the road the next game it's very difficult.   

Butler made everything they looked at against Nova and shot 60% for the whole game.  That simply wont happen here.

Xavier is just a very solid team as they only have one loss and that was to Arizona St.  I also think they were caught looking ahead last game against DePaul as they only won by 5.  

This game just feels like Vandy is the right side here.  Yes, their record looks bad but they have played one of the toughest schedules you can find this year.  This team still has enough talent as evidence last game facing Florida and gave them all they could handle.

I did back Bama in an easy winner last game vs Texas AM, but the key was that the Aggies were dealing with injuries and suspensions.  

Well, I was wrong on Iowa St last time, but this Texas team doesn't deserve to be favored on the road here.  I hate to say this early in the season that this is a must win for Iowa St, but they have two road games @ Oklahoma St and @ Kansas next which makes this very important.  I think Iowa St responds after a rare loss on their home court.  

Maybe this K St team is the real deal.  I was very impressed with their last game going into Ames @ Iowa St and really controlling the game in a very tough environment.  West Virginia was just favored by 3 on the road at Oklahoma St who isn't better than K St so I think the fact that WVU covered and are highly ranked are playing into this line.  I'm calling for the upset 

This is just all about the spot here.  Kentucky is coming off their biggest win of the season beating their rival Louisville by 29!  Mind you that game was played on Friday so this is a huge turn around coming off a win like that.  Do I think they will be as motivated here playing Georgia?  No way...Georgia isn't a world beater but they can keep it close here and are playing well coming off two blowouts wins over Georgia Tech and Temple.  

I think this is a big game here for Ole Miss who has some what under achieved in non conference play.  They have had their fair share of close losses losing 3 games by a combined 9 points. South Carolina is a team I think we see fade away as conference starts.  This team lost so much from last season and I think now that conference play is here they go to the bottom of the league  

I backed this Drake team last game in a winner vs Bradley.  They simply aren't getting respect because of their record, but as I have explained it's because of who they have played.  This team is much improved this season.  Southern Illinois had a nice win over UNI last game, but were 8.5 point dogs and now 7.5 point favorites?  I will continue to back this Drake team as I think they are a real sleeper in the MVC this year

If odds makers aren't tipping their hand here then I dont know what is.  Arizona St being ranked #3 undefeated will be the most popular play of the day no doubt.  Sure, this Zona team struggled at the beginning of the season, but they were a top 5 team.  Since those 3 losses in a row in that tournament they have won every game since.  They still have all the talent in the world and now the Sun Devils are no surprise team.  Zona wins by 10

This is the game here that Alabama shows up and wins.  We all know the betting public will be all over Texas Am because of their ranking.  Bama has had a couple slip ups as of late but they get the Aggies here not a full strength.  Hogg is out tonight and this is a lot bigger loss than what people may think because he makes that team go.  They also have a few other injuries who are questionable for tonight

Maybe I am way off on my assessment on these teams, but I have pretty similar with Clemson being a little better.  I think since Clemson has been a surprise this season only losing one game so far and and big upset win over Florida has them over valued.  Both of these teams will finish within a spot or two of each in conference so getting double digits feels like way to many

Oklahoma is a fun team and Trae Young is about as exciting college player you will find around.  Dixon has this TCU team going under the radar once again this season.  They are a perfect 12-0 and yes they haven't played the best competition but this team is still solid.  Oklahoma also plays their rival Oklahoma St at home next Wednesday so they will be looking ahead to that

I'm not sold at all on this Tennessee team.  I think they are very overrated and will lose fairly easy here today.  Arkansas is playing very well right now winning and covering 5 straight.  They are also a perfect 7-0 at home this season.  

I cant believe this line has climbed so high.  I'm not a fan of this Kansas team as they have many flaws.  They are simply getting way to much respect from the oddsmakers here.  Texas is battled tested taking Duke into OT in a game they should have won.  This is a coin flip IMO will gladly take the home dog and the points

This line is solely based off record alone.  Many haven't watched this Drake team play this year, but they are very improved under their first year head coach.  The fact that Drake's record isn't great is because they have challenged themselves big time out of conference playing Wake Forest, Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota.  You can't say the same about Bradley who does have a good record, but has only played one major school and that was their last game in which they were destroyed by Ole Miss.

I do like this Creighton team this year, but with their youth here in this spot really worries me.  We are in conference play now and for most of the Bluejays this isn't familiar ground.  Seton Hall on the other hand is a veteran group of guys and are perfect 8-0 at home this season.  

I really like backing teams that can shoot the rock from deep in a underdog role at home especially against a ranked team.  That is exactly what we have here with Marquette they average 12 3's a game and shoot over 40% from behind the arc.  Xavier is in a tough spot here also as they are looking ahead to this weekend with Nova coming to town

Both of these teams seem very similar to me this season.  Butler is the houshold name, but they are down compared to the past.  I know Georgetown isn't anything special either but I actually thought they should be a small favorite considering on their home court where they are 9-1 this season.

Seems like this UCLA team is starting to get exposed.  They got drummed at home by Cincy and then followed that up by barely beating South Dakota by 3.  Kentucky didn't look good early as often they do because it takes while for all the new young blood to gel.  Well, I think they are past that period and put the hammer down on the Bruins today

North Carolina is just simply the way better team.  I love the act they laid an egg against Wofford so that should light a fire under them here against a very average Ohio St team.  

There is just no way I can back Xavier here in this game with the injuries they have right now.  I wouldn't be surprised later on in the day if they rested some guys for conference play next week.  UNI on the other hand is at full strength and will be looking for the upset.  UNI is no stranger to playing quality teams as they have played @ UNC and vs Nova.  They have wins over NC St and SMU.  Xavier hasn't looked the same their last 2 games beating East Tenn St by 2 and Marshall by by 4 both were around 20 point favorites in that game.

I think the price is right here to back Iowa.  They have seemed to find their stride now winning their last two games both by nearly 30 points and remind you the largest they were favored was 15 so that is impressive.  This young team really struggled out of the gates there is no doubt about it.  They seem to be playing with some extra confidence right now

This might be a neutral court game but it's still being played in Alabama.  I just dont trust this Texas team at all.  They seem to really be struggling on offense and part of that is some key injuries as well.  They only scored 47 in a one point win over Tenn St last game.  Bama is very much improved with offensive fire power.  I think they run away here

This is a gut check game for Indiana here.  They upset Notre Dame 2 games ago in a big come back and then laid a complete egg against last time out.  Tenn Tech has been on the road against some same teams like TCU and lost by 31.  I think the Hoosiers respond here tonight

I will give Furman a fighting chance here.  They are 9-3 this year with two losses coming on the road to Butler and Duke.  So they have been tested.  I also think with Tennessee coming off a hard fought loss vs UNC last game this is a flat spot for them.  The Vols in a similar spot with Liscomb were favored by 17 and only won by 10 

This is one of those weird spots here.  Nebraska has played 4 straight tough games Michigan St, Minnesota, Creighton and the heart breaking loss to Kansas last time out.  They have been great in that underdog role but will they be as focused for this game?  I doubt it.  Texas San An lost at Oklahoma only by 12 as 23 point dogs by 4 at Tulsa as 10 point dogs.  I think this team is more than capable to hang around given the spot

This is my play of the day here.  Yes, this Florida team has struggled quite a bit but they still have the talent of a top 5 team in the country.  You can't fault them for their 2 point loss to Duke.  They did suffer and ugly loss to their rival FSU, but they look very good at the moment.  I don't think Clemson has really been challenged yet

I think Iowa St is getting the benefit of the doubt here.  I'm not sure they are actually the better team.  Cyclones just struggle shooting and with a young team on a neutral court against a very veteran team like UNI who has played a lot tougher this season, I think the Panthers walk away with a win

It's really hard telling how good this Oklahoma team is right now.  They beat Oregon, but they are very down this year and USC has been a big disappointment.  I think the Shockers take the stud freshman PG out of the game for OU and make someone else beat them.  This is a veteran group of shocker players here.  This will also be the Sooners first true road game

This is a neutral court game and I don't think Indiana has the horses here to keep up.  This ND team is a legit top 10 team and will create havoc on Indiana who really doesn't have a go to guy.  

Now is the time to back Kentucky here as they have struggled ATS wise, but they are still far superior talent than Virginia Tech.  Va Tech has been covering game but look at who they have played.  I'm not sold this will be a big step up in class here

Let's take a big underdog here in Portland St tonight.  I think this is obviously a lot bigger game for them wanting to beat big brother sort of speak here.  This Portland St team had a halftime lead over Duke this year.  This Oregon team just lost so much last season they cant replace.  They just beat Texas Southern by 6 as 20 point favorites last time out.  

Like the Longhorns here hosting Michigan.  I just think Texas is a lot better than Michigan.  Remember this Texas team held a double digit lead against Duke on a neutral court in the 2nd half to lose in OT.  I'm not sold on Michigan especially after last game where they won and covered in OT against UCLA who actually blew that game.  

Like Arkansas here tonight against the Gophers.  They bounced back nice last game destroying Colorado St and I think they get a quality win over a ranked team. A team that losses on the road as 9 point favorites is hard to trust and that was what Minnesota did. 

I have backed this Arizona St team several times this season in winning efforts.  I think this team is legit and right now are the best team in the PAC 12.  I'm not sure how good or bad St Johns is right now playing a easy schedule.  I know ASU has Kansas on deck, but I think Hurley has these guys playing with a lot of confidence and they get it done tonight