I think Midd Tenn is getting  to much respect being 10-1 here as their schedule has been a lot easier compared to VCU.  Sure VCU had a couple rough games, but I really like the way they bounced back @ ODU who is a very underrated team.  They will be focused here tonight

This Kentucky team is simply way to talented here for UNC.  I know Berry is back and that will help, but I like the young Wildcats.  Kentucky's only loss was to UCLA and everyone now realizes how good that team is.  

This line really caught me off guard as Iowa just beat Iowa St last week granted on their home court, but now they are catching 3 on a neutral court vs UNI?  This young Iowa team has found something since Coach McCaffrey has changed the line up.  They don't deserve to be underdogs IMO

This Ohio St team isn't very good IMO and should be a lot bigger dog here.  They are getting credit because of playing on a neutral court.  UCLA has 5x as much talent here and that will take over the game

Wrong Team Favored

I will take the Irish and the points here on a neutral court.  This team had Nova on the ropes last week and actually should have won that game.  Purdue does have the size, but they simply don't have the guard play to keep up here.  I look for the Irish to win outright. 

I'm gonna back the Aggies here as I feel right now this team has more talent than Arizona with all their injuries.  This Aggies team played UCLA extremely tough so they will be up for the challenge.  This is a neutral court game, but is being played in Texas.  Take Texas A&M  

Even though the Gamecocks are undefeated and ranked I'm not buying to much into that as this Seton Hall team will be the best they have faced so far.  Also this is a neutral court game @ MSG which really benefits Seton Hall as well.  With this line being so low I have no choice but to grab the Pirates here as they are the better team.  

I think most will think this is too many points for this young Auburn team, but Boston College is just flat out bad.  They have lost 4 of their last 5 with two losses coming to Hartford and Harvard not exactly good teams by any means.  Auburn has plenty of talent and I expect that to show big time here.

I think ODU is a lot better than they are getting credit for here as actually dont deserve to be an underdog.  They took Louisville down to the wire earlier this season.  VCU is coming off two losses in a row and were a 15 point favorite against Georgia Tech.  I'm not buying this VCU team at all.  

I really believe this line tells the story here.  Xavier is coming off two losses in a row, but both were on the road so they will be taking that out on Utah here today.  Utah is absolutely horrible this year no way around it.  Their schedule has been very easy and now will leave the start for the first time.  Blowout written all over it

I will gladly back Butler here as a short home favorite over Cincy.  Butler is coming off a bad loss @ Indiana St and will be looking to take that out on the Bearcats today.  Cincy has proven they can go on the road and win @ Iowa St, but the Cyclones shot horrible in that game.  Butler is a tough place to play and I see them pulling away.  

I'm not sure how good either one of these schools will be as Evansville did lose a ton from last year, but they still have a tough place to play and their 5-0 home record proves that.  Murray St is just 1-4 away from home here as this falls into another cant back short road dog when haven't proven anything.  

Always a general rule of mine early in the season.  You can't back a short priced dog on the road when they haven't won a true road game yet.  Rhode Island is a good team but their recent losses @ Valpo and Providence tell me this team might be the home/away split.  Houston is coming off a loss @ Arkansas and are looking for a big win to their season started.  I see that happening today!

I was really hoping for more points here with the Hawkeyes.  This is a fun rivalry game to watch as I expect a ton of threes and a high scoring affair here.  Neither team as of now have played much defense.  I'm always hesitant to take jump shooting teams on the road no matter what the situation is. This Hawkeyes team is very young, but I like what I have seen here recently from them as are getting more comfortable.  I will take the home dog here to slow the jump shooting Cyclones down 

I'm going to back Creighton here as most of you know I am very high on this team this year.  While this is a little rivalry and Nebraska is getting some respect,  I just dont see it here as the Huskers struggle to score.  Creighton is averaging nearly 91 ppg while Nebraska is just 69.  In order to stay with the Blue Jays you need to be a sharp shooting team and the Huskers aren't that at all.  I know this will also be a public play, but I thought this line would be around 8 so clearly the value IMO is with Creighton

I will take a chance here with Davidson as the Tarheels are missing their key player in Joel Berry tonight. He is the glue to this team and I see them missing him big time.  Davidson has more than enough players here and have great shooters as they have showcased so far this season.  UNC obviously still has more talent, but asking to cover 16 is a ton of points without their best player

This is a play against TCU.  I don't believe they are anywhere near as good as their record is.  They have only had one true road game that was @ UNLV which is a very bad team and they struggled to win that.  SMU has played the likes of Pitt, Michigan @ USC, this team is tested and I see them blowing TCU out who is getting way to much respect.  

This Duke team is about to show everyone that they are the real deal.  I love this team, but the problem has been that their 3 stud freshman have all been hurt.  Well Bolden and Tatum are back and good luck stopping them.  This Gator team only big test was Gonzaga and they lost by 5 which was misleading considering the Zags shot over 50% from the field.  Odds makers will have to adjust big time going forward with a huge upgrade in this Duke team

I see no problem for Illinois to blow this team out.  The markets haven't adjusted enough for Illinois as they have been playing very well as of late.  They just beat NC St in the Big 100/ ACC Challenge which I had and they just destroyed VCU on a neutral court.  IUPUI played @ Marquette gave up 104 in a blow out loss.  Thats all I need to know 

NCAAB PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm not really sure how good this Marquette team is.  Looking back they blew out a bad Vanderbilt team and the two other quality teams they played they lost both of them.  I need to see more before I can back a team in a true road game.  Georgia has lost to both Clemson and Kansas, but were extremely competitive in both.  I look for the Bulldogs and their guards to take control on this game!

I do like this Wichita St team and they have played a tougher schedule no doubt.  I'm curious about this Colorado St team as they are coming off an impressive win @ Rival Colorado as 13.5 point underdogs.  I don't believe the markets are reacting toward that with them getting double digits @ home here.  This seems like a live dog

This is a short enough line here for me to back Baylor.  This team is simply the real deal and I have been very impressed with what they have been able to do so far.  They have by far played the tougher schedule.  Don't get me wrong Xavier is a quality team as well, but they haven't dealt with a team like this.  Baylor wins easily!

I like the Hawkeyes here to bounce back with a nice blowout performance today.  You could make the case that all of their losses have came to NCAA Tournament teams.  This is huge class relief here.  They are without stud freshman Tyler Cook, but I liked what I saw from the other younger guys in a tough game @ Notre Dame.  I see them running away here

Late add... simply to much value to pass up on with a team I feel is top 25 in West Virginia.  I believe they can create a lot of problems for Virginia here as they like to play a whole different type of pace, but I like WVU to really make a statement here

Playing at Iowa St is never an easy task.  This will be Cincinnati's first true road game of the season.  Playing at Hilton is a Top 10 place and extremely tough environment which will cause problems.  Iowa St just had Gonzaga on the ropes also in Florida last week.  Iowa St will shoot the lights out of it tonight take the home team! 

Will gladly back this Indiana team here in which I thought this line should be a PK.  This is one of the hardest places to play at in basketball in for UNC to be playing this much against another superb team I will take the points.  Indiana matches up very well against the Tarheels here and I see them pulling the upset 

Illinois has more than enough weapons here against NC St.  This team is really desperate for a win right now.  They played terrible against a WVU team that plays a totally different style of basketball.  They hung tough with FSU even though it was a bad shooting game.  Now they return home and this is a more difficult place to play than what people realize.  NC St will be missing their guard Rowan again.  I really see Illinois offense getting going here as the Wolfpack really struggle on the defensive side of the ball

I just don't believe that the markets had adjusted enough for LSU being horrible.  Houston is a legit contender in the AAC this year.  Also there is no real home court advantage here and I don't see LSU showing up for this.  Sampon is a great coach for the Cougars and will have his guys ready for one tonight.  

I think the wrong team is favored here in this spot.  I know Rhode Island is a good team no doubt, but this is their first true road game and Valpo is an extremely good team @ home.  Valpo returns their stud Alec Peters and even though they lost their head coach in Drew they haven't really fallen off.  I like the neutral court wins over Bama and BYU.  I look for them to pull the upset if you wanna call it one 

Seems like such the obvious choice here with how well NW has played in this early going.  They took Butler to the wire @ Butler, destroyed Texas last week.  They have by far played the overall better competition and are the better team top to bottom.  Wake has played Villanova and they weren't competitive losing by 19 on a neutral court.  Thought this line would be double what is it.  

This is more of a play against Maryland as they continue to win they are getting way to much respect.  This team lost a ton from last years team and are squeaking by everyone it seems like.  All their luck catches up to them tonight.  Kansas St beats them!

I like the Hawkeyes to bounce back here today against Memphis.  Iowa played Virginia and looked bad, but this Virginia team is no joke and already look mid season form.  Providence beat Memphis and I'm not high on either team this year.  Memphis now have Tubby coaching and this will be a transition year for him.  Iowa will bounce back with a victory here tonight

I'm not gonna put much stock in the Nebraska win over Dayton as the Flyers were missing arguably their best player.  Plain & simple UCLA is loaded across the board this year and I see another blowout happening 

This LSU team obviously lost a ton and it shows.  They were blown out vs the Ahickers in the first game of this tournament.  VCU hung tough with Baylor in the first round and I see them just dominating from start to finish here.  Also LSU struggled a lot with ODU last night

Seems like a huge over reaction from yesterday that Sparty was a small dog vs a better team and since they struggled yesterda.  Izzo apologized to his team so you can expect a big bounce back effort here.  grab the 6 here the Shockers don't deserve to be laying this much

I was hoping for this number to be around the 5 mark, but I still like it @ 8.  Vanderbilt is in a tough spot this season having to replace guys like Wade Baldwin and Damian Jones is extremely tough for a program like Vandy.  Those type of guys simply don't come around very often.  Butler did lose their scorer in Dunham last year, but do return quality players and it has shown so far.  These teams have a common opponent in Bucknell.  Butler beat them by 26 and Vandy lost by 3 as 12 point favorites.  I think that says a lot about what to expect. 

This is a neutral court game which is keeping this line down, but in no way can you back Temple as they are in a rebuilding mode this season.  Their best returning player is their PG and he is out with an injury here.  Florida St has a ton of athletes including two first round draft picks this year.  I see Bacon and Mayes taking this game over from the start 

I like this Baylor team a lot as I mentioned yesterday.  They were faced with a lot of adversity yesterday and handled it extremely well I thought. Sparty is still getting a lot of respect because of their name, but lets face it you can't back this team right now from what we have seen.  Baylor has more experience better players and athletes.  While Izzo does coach circles around Drew it won't happen in November

I will gladly back Penn St here as they are way better than Colgate.  Penn St has played a very tough schedule with Duke and Cincinnati.  This will be a huge relief for them in this game.  This team has a ton of talent brought it and I expect it to show up tonight.  Colgate just lost to NJ Tech and and lost by 28 @ Syracuse

Pretty plain and simple here for me.  This UConn team is just terrible.  I also look for Oregon to build off that win yesterday vs Tennessee.  Won't go to much in depth on this game, but Uconn doesn't match up well I see the the Oregon guards going off this game

I'm really high on this Baylor team this year and I would grab this line now as I see it climbing.  VCU lost two key pieces from last years team and this is what I believe will be a semi rebuilding year for them.  Baylor is simply just loaded with talent starting with Motley.  They have key transfers that I feel are going under the radar right now.  This team absolutely blew out Oregon while I realize on their home court, but still something to be said about it.  I'm not a fan of Drew the coach as he always seems to screw things up.   As for today Baylor is just the superior team. 

I'm going to back Northwestern here tonight against Notre Dame.  Notre Dame is going to face a team that plays relentless defense.  NW caused all sorts of problems for the talented Texas team and I see doing the same here tonight.  This Northwestern team is out to prove something to make the NCAA tournament this year and this win tonight will get them on the right track.

I realize UConn has struggled out of the gates but this line is a huge over reaction here considering its a neutral court.  This team was ranked a few days ago and now are getting points against possibly the worst team in the Big 12.  I'm not high at all on Oklahoma St this year.  This is will be the Cowboys first hard test as well and I can't believe they are favored.  UConn still has more talent and the better coach.  Grab the points 

I'm really surprised this line isn't higher.  I still think it's because GW is coming off NIT championship win.  Well that team lost a ton of talent even though they do return Tyler Cavanaugh.  They lost 45 ppg from the guys who are gone that is asking a ton for a team to replace that doesn't get the blue chip recruits.  I have Georgia as a sleeper in the SEC this year and it starts with their go to guy JJ Frazier.  They do return a lot of experience here even though they lost Kenny Gaines.  I see Georgia taking this game.  Also Georgia wasn't as bad as what people may believe this team did win 20 games last year

Really like Creighton here today taking on NC St.  This NC St is without one starter and two key role players.  Creighton is continued to be undervalued to start the season.  This team is a legit top 10 team lead by Watson and Foster.  NC St does have nice freshman Dennis Smith, but he will be outmatched here today.  Lay the points.

I was on UNI in their craxy come back against Oklahoma Friday night.  I see their luck coming to an end here today with Xavier.  Xavier is a team that will contend for the Big East title right up there with Villanova.  UNI is a good team, but I see the shots being a little harder here as the Musketeers play very good defense.

This Davidson team is loaded this year with stud Jack Gibbs who averaged 23.5 ppg last year and they also return Peyton Aldridge who averaged 15 ppg.  The A-10 is an extremely tough conference and I expect Davidson to be right up there when season ends.  Arizona St played a similar team to Davidson in UNI and got their clocked clean.  I see the same thing happening today 

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This Rhode Island team won't be getting much respect here vs a team like Cincinnati, but they are the real deal lead by EC Matthews.  Cincy was just tied at halftime with Albany and ended up blowing them out so that was a little misleading in that regard.  This game is also very close to home for Rhode Island even though played on a neutral court in Connecticut.  I look for Rhode Island and this experienced team get the win here today

I'm going to back the Panthers here tonight.  Both teams are coming off blow out wins, but I was very impressed with how UNI played against Arizona St.  They do return a lot of key pieces from last year lead by Morgan and their coach Ben Jacobson is one of the most underrated in the country.  Oklahoma coming off a blowout as I have mentioned but Tulane is awful plain and simple.  Sooners I am looking to play against at the beginning especially with the losses of Buddy Hield, Cousins and Spangler.  UNI will get in their face and defend.  Wouldn't be surprised at all to see UNI win this game is a coin flip IMO 

Michigan coming off a big blowout win over Marquette, but this game to me is more about who they have played.  Pitt who SMU beat is a better team than Marquette.  Also Michigan turned the ball over 17 times which is very concerning considering SMU only committed 7.  Michigan shot the ball great from deep @ 40% can they do that back to back games on a neutral court?  SMU plays solid defense and will make them work for everything.  Grab the Mustangs I see this line rising

Creighton struggled their first game, but I believe they were looking ahead to this match up.  The Bluejays are loaded this year.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and add a lot of depth here.  Marcus Foster a transfer from Kansas St is key here.  He will probably their leading scorer.  Him and Foster will give Wisconsin fits tonight.  Wisconsin is a good team and does return 4 starters themselves, I just have a gut feeling they won't be as good this year.  They won't be a surprise to anyone this year.  Also this is one of the least athletic teams they have had in a while as well.  Creighton just matches up extremely plus they are more athletic and playing @ home never hurts.

Was hoping for a lower line with the Hoyas, but I dont mind it here.  Maryland is a team that will really struggle this year.  They lost a ton and I mean a ton of last years great team.  Sure they still have stud Melo Trimble back but that is the only starter back.  It came to no surprise to me that they struggled out of the gate with a 6 point victory over American as 20 point favorites.  G Town has really good depth and more importantly the edge here is experience.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and added some key pieces.  Transfer Rodney Pryor comes in from Robert Morris who averaged 18 ppg and displayed his immediate impact scoring 32 points in the first game.  G Town beats up on Maryland

Villanova is the defending national champions coming into this season with a lot of expectations, but now also a big target on their backs.  This team will do great in the Big East again as the conference quite simply isnt what it use to be.  For me here tonight Nova is traveling to untested waters as they don't realize how hard it truly is to play @ Purdue.   This is a hidden gem as far as home courts are concerned in college basketball.  Nova has to replace Ryan Arcidiacono who I thought was the glue to last year's team.  He created so many opportunities for everyone and made them better.  They do have Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson who are both great players, but they will have to try and take games over themselves which is difficult task especially on the road.  Purdue lost AJ Hammons, but return sophomore stud Caleb Swanigan who quite frankly Nova won't have an answer to.  Their other twin tower is back as well in Isaac Haas.  This is the difference for me here in this game that Purdue will dominate down low and only give Nova one chance which is how you beat these guys.  Purdue also has some sneaky good guards themselves and they can shoot as well.  

I will gladly take the 6 points here with the Hoosiers who are being very underrated IMO here.  Kansas is ranked high and will get a ton of love, but I see some struggles coming out of the gates here as they lost a ton.  They lost 6 key contributors including their glue guy in Perry Ellis.  I realize they do have stud freshman Josh Jackson but asking him to be the go to guy right away is always difficult.  It reminds me a lot of the Wiggins situation.  Indiana I am very high on this year they have two big time players in Thomas Bryant and OG Anunoby.  This team will defend at a high level and they can shoot it at a high level.  Getting this many points is a gift I feel 

I really like this Arizona team coming into the season.  They have a great nucleus of guards and that includes their leading scorer from last year in Allonzo Trier.  They have stud freshman coming in all across the board.  If you haven't watched or heard of Kobi Simmons you will by tonight.  This kid is the real deal.  Michigan St is a good team no doubt but I really question their guard play this early with the do it all guy last year in Denzel Valentine obviously gone.  This Wildcats team comes away with the win

NCAAB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME!

With both teams blowing out their opponent in the Final Four the Tarheels are getting a little to much respect.  I thought this game would be closer to a pick em.  Nova is playing the best basketball out of anybody by far in the tournament.  The  way they play defense will be unlike anything UNC has seen a long the way.  I realize UNC has blown some teams out as well, but they are no where near the caliber that Nova has played.  Nova easily handled Iowa who was a Top 10 most of the season, then easily beat down Miami another quality team,  then beat Kansas by 5 playing a sub par game for them and flat out destroyed Oklahoma.  Nova's guards have been the best all tournament and there is no reason why they won't be UNC.  Also UNC isn't known for defense as I said the match ups they have had played right into their hands.  

FINAL FOUR GAME OF THE YEAR!

I love the line we are getting here with Villanova.  The Wildcats aren't getting enough respect here as they have simply been unstoppable in the tourney.  They beat Iowa by 19, Miami by 23 and Kansas by 5.  When you look at the stats vs Kansas though it shows how good the Wildcats are.  Kansas shot 46% while Villanova shot 40%, Kansas also out rebounded them, had more assists and made more 3's yet Nova wins by 5.  Oklahoma is going to the the public's choice and why this line is low is simply because of Buddy Hield.  He is a great player no doubt about it, but he will have his hands full tonight as Nova by far has the best guards in tournament.  They play lock down defense and will make Hield earn everything.  They won't be getting many open looks like they did vs Oregon who has young guards.  OU will have a tough time guarding Nova as well as their guards can really penetrate and dish.  

We are getting really good value here with Valparaiso as George Washington is coming off a blowout win which was my NIT Play Of The Year.  Valparaiso should have been in the tournament and they are making a strong case why throughout the NIT so far.  With wins over Florida St St St Mary's and BYU it's really impressive.  Their defense has been flawless as Florida St shot the highest % in the last 3 games, but they were only 40% from the field.  Valpo will control the game prove to everyone why they belonged in the tournament.  

NIT PLAY OF THE YEAR!

Odds makers are giving to much credit to San Diego St as they have covered easily in their 3 NIT games.  I have been very impressed with GW and who they have played/beat to get here.  They won @ Monmouth then followed that up by beating Florida.  Let's also take not the George Washington is a school that is right in the heart of Washington DC and many of their kids grow up wanting to play in Madison Square Garden.  I see GW really wanting to make a statement here playing in front of what will be a home crowd compared to San Diego St.  

I think Virginia picks up where they left off.  Syracuse is very lucky to even have won their last game and made a great comeback in doing so.  Syracuse will struggle to score as I am very high on Virginia's defense.  These two teams are familiar with each other as Virginia swept them during the regular season and will make it 3 in a row tonight.  

I really think Oregon is on a mission here.  They still aren't get the respect they deserve, but this team has a legit chance to win it all.  I can't remember the last time a #1 seed that wasn't in the headlines as they aren't.  The Ducks have a ton of guards that will match up well with the Sooners. Oklahoma will get a lot of love because of Buddy Hield, but he will have to work for everything tonight.  Both teams shot 49.2% last game and won by 14 however, A&M shot terrible as they were 34% from the field while Duke shot 44%.  That is very impressive to win by 14 while the other team is shooting nearly the same percentage as you.  Ducks will force tough shots and control the glass again tonight 

Indiana is getting a lot of respect here because of their win over Kentucky.  However, Kentucky was a two man show that game and what the Wildcats lack is what the Tarheels have and will be difficult for the Hooisers stop.  UNC inside game and ability to control the glass will be the difference here.  Indiana relies heavily on the 3 to get them going but will struggle with the length of UNC.  I see Carolina getting a lot of easy buckets inside and Indiana trying to play catch up by shooting a ton of 3's and ultimately shooting themselves out of he game

This is a great line here for Gonzaga who to me has been very impressive.  They easily be Seton Hall by 16 in the first round and remember Seton Hall was one of the hottest teams coming into the tournament winning the Big East Tourney.  Then they absolutely destroyed Utah by 23!  Gonzaga also hasn't let their opponent score over 60 yet which is almost impossible in the tournament.  They have had a week to prepare for the zone and will handle it easily.  Syracuse has really benefited from their draw.  They beat Dayton who missed nearly 10 layups that game then played MTSU who pulled off the shocker over Michigan St, but they weren't gonna follow that performance up.  

Virginia for whatever reason just doesn't get much respect.  They are probably the most balanced team left in the tournament I would argue.  Iowa St has played two double digit seeds and I was on them over ALR last game.  However, the match ups really favor Virginia here as Niang will struggle with a great defender like Brogdon.  Virginia will get you to play their style of ball and I really see that frustrating Iowa St who likes to get out and run.  Iowa St isn't a great defensive team either and Virginia has no problem taking to under 10 seconds on the shot clock almsot every possession.  

This is another game where big mismatches favor Oregon.  The Ducks has tremendous guard play and so does Duke, but they have been lucky so far in facing UNC Wilmington and Yale.  Duke was in dog fight vs Yale despite shooting 11-23 from three while Yale only made 4!  Duke also struggles on the glass and inside the paint and that is were Oregon big Boucher will have a field day.  Duke will go back to strictly shooting threes and shoot themselves right out of the game.  Also Duke is a bad defensive team and with Oregon's good guards they will take advantage of them.

I actually thought this would be a pick em game.  Villanova getting a lot of love because of their blowout win over Iowa.  Well they shot the lights out of it and even Coach Wright said he thought the first half was the best they have played all year.  They were clearly the better team vs Iowa but Miami matches up way better against their guards.  Another thing that stands out is Miami feels like they are not getting enough respect.  If you listened to PG Angel Rodriguez after the game they are all playing with a chip on their shoulder.  I expect a big game from Miami here who isn't getting enough credit and also Villanova won't be raining in threes like they did vs Iowa.

I like Xavier here as a short favorite over Wisconsin.  The Badgers made a nice come back in a win over Pitt and Xavier was pretty much on cruise control vs Weber St.  Xavier doesn't get enough respect by the oddsmakers because they aren't a flashy team don't have the high NBA prospects and just go under the radar.  Badgers are 0-5 ATS L 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in previous game.  

I like the UNI Panthers to ride the momentum here as they are coming off a half court shot to beat Texas Friday night.  Texas A&M played well in their first game but Green Bay didn't defend them at all.  UNI is a veteran team that is arguably playing better than anyone right now.  Their guards will put a lot of pressure on the Aggies tonight.  UNI is 8-0-1 ATS L9 games vs team with a winnin record.  Aggies are 0-7 ATS L7 games after scoring 90 points or more in previous game 

This looks like a big line because of each teams results, but Maryland blew a large lead and really had this game in control for the last 5 minutes.  Hawaii played a great game vs Cal, but I don't buy into Cal as they were very over seeded and had a couple injured players.  Maryland has a ton of talent and won't let off the gas tonight.  

I see no problem with Iowa St pulling away here.  They were cruise control much of their first game vs Iona and should in this one.  ALR is coming off an big time emotional win which was in double OT vs Purdue.  Iowa St has a way better offense than Purdue I see ALR struggling on the defensive end to slow them down 

I think Kentucky is playing as a top 5 team right now.  I really like what I am seeing from them as a whole.  This will be a different test for Indiana as Kentucky has big time length and can really defend and that will hurt the Hooisers as they rely so much on the out side shot.  I thought this line would be closer to 6 or 7 but with Indiana coming off a blowout also its lower.  

We are seeing an over reaction here with Yale taking down Baylor.. This is a rare case, but these two teams have already met earlier in the season.  Duke was favored by 14.5 and won by 21.  This Duke team has been here before and I see an emotional let down for Yale.  

I actually thought St Joe's would be favored here in tonights games.  They are coming off an impressive conference tournament win in the A10.  The A 10 is one of the most underrated conferences in basketball and they aren't getting love here.  Cincy is a team that has really struggled to score only averaging 65 away from home.  

I was on the Shockers last night and this is a similar play as Michigan already played a game in beating Tulsa to get here and like them to ride the wave here.  Notre  Dame really struggles to defend and that isn't a good recipe when your playing Michigan who is the best 3 pt shooting team in the Big 10.  Really good match up for Michigan here 

This is a play just based on the talent gap.  SDSU comes from a bad conference and they rely heavily on a freshman.  It's fine to rely on a freshman, but the when the competition gets a lot higher it becomes tougher when they will key around him with better players.  Maryland has three pro's on the team and believe that they are going under the radar here as most people aren't talk about them at all.  Maryland was once ranked in the top 5 so clearly shows the talent is there.  

We are getting a nice price here with Dayton because Syracuse well has their name to go off of.  I don't like this Cuse team as they really struggle to score this year and their 2-3 zone which they are known for isn't nearly effective as they don't have the size they normally do.  I like to look at the away/ neutral games and Dayton is an impressive 11-4 and Cuse is just 6-9.  Cuse also entering the tournament on 3 straight losses and expect a 4th here. 

Providence is starting to come back to how they played earlier in the season.  Kris Dunn will lead them to victory here.  USC is a team that benefited from an home schedule and are just 5-10 on away/neutral courts.  These are also two teams heading in the opposite direction as USC is just 2-5 SU last 7 while Providence is 4-1 last 5.  Also USC has to travel across country here which is a huge factor.  

I just really believe that Kentucky is on a mission here.  If you watched Coach Cal's rant regarding the seeding and how the committee messed up I think they are more focused than ever.  Kentucky is just far superior than Stony Brook and can't see them hanging especially down low where they will get owned in every category.  Ulis is playing very well and I expect Murray to show why he is a top 5 pick.  Kentucky rolls 

This isn't the Arizona team we are a custom to seeing here.  I'm just not very impressed with them as a whole.  The shockers were another committee mistake as they were seeded wrong as well.  They will also be out to prove something here and believe they will have a lot of momentum after their win last night vs Vanderbilt

Chattanooga isn't getting much of a chance here, but they have played a lot of quality/ big school teams unlike most of the small schools in the tournament.  They won @ Georgia and @ Dayton which is very impressive.  They did get blown out @ Iowa St, but the Cyclones made 14 threes that game so they were in trouble.  They can shoot it well and give Indiana trouble.  I dont trust Indiana as they rely so much on the outside shot and we all know what happens when those don't fall away from home.  

NCAAB TOP PLAY THURSDAY

This line makes zero sense at all.  Yale has one top 50 win and that was against Princeton and they should even be considered that high.  Baylor is coming from the Big 12 a very tough conference and most would argue the best conference this year.  Baylor has way more talent than Yale and think this line is because of Baylor's recent losses, but all of those are to quality teams.  This game shouldnt be close.  

This is more of a play against Duke than on UNC Wilmington.  Duke always get a lot of love especially since they are the defending champs but this years team is very shaky.  Duke has no depth at all really struggle inside and rely a ton on the three point shot.  I believe the Seahawks will keep it close here as they do have goo guard play and will get plenty of good looks 

NIT BLOWOUT SPECIAL

Georgia Tech is playing their best basketball right now.  Sure they were blown out last game vs Virginia and that is why we are getting the value.  Prior to that game Georgia Tech had won 7 of their last 9 games.  Their home court being in the ACC is worth more than what the oddsmakers are giving credit to.  Houston is a team that plays very well @ home but are coming off a terrible loss to the worst team in the conference in Tulane.  I wonder where their state of mind is after that.  

I was probably as shocked as anyone that the Shockers were in this position.  Major part of the reason here is because Van Fleet was hurt early in the year.  I personally don't even believe that Vanderbilt should be in the tournament given how bad they under achieved all year.  Vandy is coming in after losing to Tennessee who is a very bad team.  Shockers are 7-3 ATS L10 tournament games.  Tennessee is 1-4 ATS L5 tournament games 

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY OF THE DAY

I was very surprised to see how low this line was.  Maryland to me is the better team than Purdue and Michigan St is laying 3 less points?  Purdue is being over valued here as they dominated the paint yesterday and late in the game ran away with it.  There blowout wins on paper are creating the value for Michigan St here.  They match up very well inside with them and do have the better guard play.  Also let's not forget Michigan St's last loss was @ Purdue by 1 point where they will be looking for revenge here and the other key factor is Michigan St is they are playing for a #1 seed.  

SEC TITLE GAME

These two teams split regular season games but I really believe Kentucky is by far the better team.  A&M is getting a lot of respect here because of their blowout win over LSU yesterday.  Coach Calipari knows the importance of having a young team play well right now as they did have some rough moments throughout the season.  Now Kentucky is starting to click and I see them handling the Aggies today.  Texas A&M is 3-9-1 ATS L13 games following a win by 20 points or more.  

I really don't believe that North Carolina should be favored here as I see Virginia as the better team.  UNC is getting to much credit from yesterday's blowout win over Notre Dame, but the Irish were tied from a hard fought game with Duke and only shot 30% yesterday.  I see Virginia on a mission here and this is a chance for them to lock up a #1 seed in the tournament.  Virginia is a team that makes you work for everything.  UNC and Roy Williams aren't exactly known for defense either.  Virginia is 10-1 ATS L11 games vs a team with a winning record.  

BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP SPECIAL

Kansas didn't really play their A game yesterday and still were able to win by 6 vs Baylor.  After further looking into this game I just don't see WVU keeping up.  Their style of play works very well but when it's happening for the third day in a row and second against a quality opponent its tough to keep up.  Kansas turned it over 18 times yesterday and I expect Self to hammer that home today as the ca't turn it over against a pressing team like WVU.  Also WVU forced 21 turnovers vs Oklahoma held Hield in check and still almost lost.  Kansas will be ready here today.  

We are seeing a big over reaction here due to the Spartans recent success.  Granted they have been playing solid basketball right up there with Kansas.  Michigan St was only favored by 4 over Maryland @ Michigan St earlier this season and are now 7 point favorites on a neutral court?  This line is inflated.  Maryland is still one of the most athletic teams and they match up very well with the Spartans. 

UConn played in a unbelievable basketball game yesterday vs Cincinnati.  They went to 4 overtime's, but thy need a 60ft plus bomb to tie it with .8 seconds left in the game.  UConn is extremely lucky to even be here and now they are favored?  They have to be exhausted from that game and are due for an emotional let down.  Meanwhile, Temple coasted vs South Florida winning by 17.  They have the fresh legs here and still have a lot to play for as some people question if they are in.  They will be in after today once they beat UConn.  UConn is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings and 2-5 ATS L7 games vs team with a winning record.  

EARLY BIG TEN TIP

I realize this will be Michigan's 3rd game in 3 days and they have had two close calls but I really think there is something to this Michigan team.  They are really clicking together and when Indiana had a chance to put them away they came fighting back.  Purdue caught a bad Illinois team at the right time a made 13 threes in a blowout.  This line suggests that Michigan is only 3 points better than Illinois?  I don't buy.  Purdue will struggle matching that performance yesterday where they didn't miss.  Michigan has the better athletes and way better guards.  Give me the better guards come March Madness all the time.  

I was against Cal last night and missed the cover in the final seconds.  Cal and Utah are two of the hottest teams not only in the PAC 12 but also in the country.  I see Cal struggling here with their young players vs Utah's experience.  These two teams did split during the regular season.  It also looks like Utah might be adding a couple players back here tonight to help with depth.  Utah is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win

Virginia was very impressive last night vs Georgia Tech as it was a pretty easy game for them the last 25 minutes.  Miami was in a battle with Virginia Tech despite shooting 56% which shows how bad they struggled on defense.  Virginia will be out for revenge here as they lost a nail bitter @ Miami by only 3.  Virginia has a lot to play here as well as they are in the discussion for an overall #1 seed.  Virginia is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win 

I was on Seton Hall last night as they covered vs Creighton, but that game was very close and could have gone either way.  Seton Hall just beat Xavier 2 weeks ago, but they shot 50% compared to Xavier 39% and it was still a single digit ball game.  Xavier will be out for revenge here tonight and they also have a lot to play for as they can sneak in and get a #1 seed.  Xavier is 7-0 ATS L7 games on a neutral court.  

I will gladly back Maryland here laying single digits to Nebraska.  Nebraska has already played 2 conference games making this their 3rd in a row.  Meanwhile,  Maryland will be ready to play toda as they are coming off an ugly loss @ Indiana to finish up the regular season.  Maryland also has a lot to play for as the seeds 4-6 are a complete toss up.  Nebraska will run out of gas here as Maryland has fresh legs.  Maryland is 16-6 ATS L22 neutral site games.  

St. Bonaventure isn't getting enough credit here as they have played themselves into the discussion for making the tournament which will give them a ton of motivation here tonight.  The Bonnies swept Davidson during the season and see it no different tonight as they are fresh and Davidson is coming off an ugly performance against Saint Louis.  Davidson is 1-6 ATS L7 neutral court games.  Bonnies are 13-3 ATS L16 neutral court games.  

Very surprised at this line with Providence coming off an impressive victory over Butler as 4 point underdogs.  Providence can ride the momentum here and give Nova all they can handle as they are down a starter for tonight's game.  These two teams split during the regular season and have a hard time seeing a blowout here.  Kris Dunn is a superior PG who can keep in check.  Providence is 12-2 ATS L14 neutral court games.  Nova is 1-4 ATS L5 games following a SU win

We are getting nice value here with St Joe's who I believe is a very scary team come the tournament.  St Joe's has slipped up their last two games which is why this line is low.  If youdo look back at those games though St Bonaventure shot 63% for the game so they didn't have a chance there and the next game vs Duquesne, St Joe's shot a terrible 34%.  I expect them to bounce back here as they have already handled GW easily @ GW winnng by 18

To me this is really good value here as Michigan will be out for revenge.  If you remember earlier this season when these two teams met Indiana went on a 23-0 run right before half which is unheard of.  I will promise you that Michigan hasn't forgot about that.  I also don't trust Indiana, yes I know they won the Big 10 but they played the weakest schedule in the conference.  They also rely a ton on 3 point shooting which they are very good @ home.  March is when you see the jump shooting teams that have just on so so game get knocked off.  I really see this being a tight game all the way through.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings