Really like this Alabama team here going forward led by freshman Collin Sexton.  I think we are getting a discount here because Bama off a home loss to UCF and has failed to cover 4 of their last 5 games.  Rhode Island's only true road test was against Nevada and that resulted in a loss.  I think we see Bama bounce back here tonight 

I'm not buying into Wisconsin's win over Penn St last time out as a 5.5 point dog.  I still think this is a very flawed team and I don't trust them to win back to back games on the road.  Temple comes in off a loss to GW but GW shot 60% for the game they simply couldn't miss.  Temple does have a couple nice wins over Auburn and South Carolina 

I know this will be a public play, but have no choice to back the Aggies based on what we have seen from Zona so far.  This is a neutral court game, but will be played in Phoenix obviously will be a pro Wildcat crowd.  I am just impressed with this Aggies team this season.  I wanted to see a lot more from Zona last game vs UNLV and they barely escaped that one.

I've cashed on Virginia a couple times this season, but now they are being asked their toughest task here tonight.   The Cavs are very well coached, but their style once they face an athletic team that likes to get up and down the court they really struggle.  They struggle because of the pace they always try and play at, well tonight going on the road @ WVU who will press them all game and dictate the pace will be something most of these players aren't use to.

If you haven't seen Nova play this season you are missing out.  This team lead by Brunson has a chance to be very special.  The main reason here for this pick is the fact that Gonzaga has to travel so far.  I like Gonzaga, but must admit a little surprised by them so far.  However, the tournament they played in was still on the west coast on Oregon and they haven't played a true road game.  While I know this isn't a considered a true road game it might as well be going across the country.

This might seem like a big number because this is a rivalry game but Florida is just so much better.  I got lucky going against this team last time out against Duke as they blew a big double digit lead against them.  Florida to me is the third best team in the country behind Duke and Mich St. Florida St hardest game so far was @Rutgers and they were lucky to escape there with a win

I think odds makers have been slow to adjust here on Wisconsin. They clearly aren't the same team we are use to seeing.  They were just blown out on their home floor against a average Ohio St team.  This young Penn St team had an impressive win on the road @ Iowa.  

I do think this is an actual must win game for Iowa here today. They have had some struggles to start and really need something to change.  Coming off a blowout loss against Virginia Tech should light a fire under them.  

I do like Penn St, but I need to see more from them especially on the road.  With a young a team I always look to back them at home instead of the road.  

I like Rhode Island here to get the job done today.  They really haven't missed a beat with Matthews being out.  They have two losses one to Virginia who looks very good and the other @ Nevada is actually a lot better than what people think.  Providence I just need to see more from and another case with a first true road game test

The price is right here now for Ole Miss.  Clearly odds makers have adjusted the line now since Ole Miss has only covered one game this season.  This will be Virginia Tech's first true road game of the season and I think they are in trouble. 

Always like these angles here playing against a ranked team on the road laying points.  In college basketball you see it every year when the upsets happen.  I think Purdue is being a little over valued here with their recent home win over Louisville.  Maryland has plenty of good guards that match up well 

I like Seton Hall here in a neutral court match up, but this game is in New York not to far from Seton Hall and they are use to playing here.  Also I think odds makers are giving Tech a lot of credit because of their blowout win over Northwestern.  The Wildcats shot 26% in that game so I'm not buying much into that.   Other than that Tech has played no one.  Seton Hall does have one loss to a very good Rhode Island team by just one point.  

This is one of those that looks to good too be true here.  Minnesota has more than passed the eye test to me so far in this early season.  I wonder if people are making a big deal that Bama with 3 players out scored Minnesota to make it a ball game.  I view that as the Minnesota players lost interest playing 3 on 5 and just went through the motions to get the win.  Miami hasn't played anyone and I mean anyone as they have only had one game with a line in their first 5.  

Maybe I'm just way off here on my assessment on these two teams.  Michigan has lost a ton and I think they are getting some respect because they have covered 3 straight and UNC was just beat pretty handily by Michigan St. Michigan lost to LSU, yes LSU who is going to be the worst school in the SEC this year.  They covered against VCU who is very down this year as well.  I think this is a route surprised it actually dropped some 

Ohio St is worth a look here at a short price on their home court.  Clemson quite frankly hasn't played anyone so far and while both teams will miss the tournament and finish in the bottom half of their conferences the Buckeyes have been tested so far.  They lost to Gonzaga, came back to beat Stanford and then lost in OT to Butler but they controlled that game.  I think that loss will serve as fire for a bounce back here

I'm going with Wake Forest here and their experience over the newly looked Illinois team.  Wake has a nice back court with Crawford and Wilbekin.  I know Wake is off to a slow start and think the betting public will back off them because of their record.  They have lost 3 games by 5 points or less so clearly it could have gone the other way.  Illnois is a young team and yes they haven't lost, but they have played no one and every game has been at home 

This is probably the trendy dog for the day but I will bite here.  I'm just not sure how good or bad Purdue is.  They lost to Tennessee and Western Kentucky before drumming Arizona, but we know how bad Arizona is.  This Louisville team by a lot of people were picked to finish 2nd in the ACC behind Duke and we all know how good they look.  I will take all the points I can get 

I'm going to lay the points here with Xaiver.  This team ion offense is really efficient as they have shot over 50% in every game so far.  Their recent game I was against them as Arizona St beat them, but the Sun Devils are now ranked and they look like a legit team going forward.  Both teams have played Wisconsin, but Xavier went on the road and handled them pretty easily.  I think Xavier is a bad match up here for Baylor

Seems like a sucker play here but to me Duke is the best team in college right now.  They have size everywhere in their lineup and freshman Marvin Bagley is already emerging as a super star.  I did have a winner on Florida the other night but Gonzaga is down this year.  Florida will by ar need their best game if they want a chance

If you have followed this season you know I am high on this Aggies team.  I just think now is the time to sell.  As impressive as they have been and what I think of this team a true road test here is a tough task.  USC is a very talented team as well that does match up with Aggies.  USC hands them their first loss

Arkansas seems like they are vastly improved this season.  Their opening win of this tournament agaisnt Oklahoma was impressive in my eyes.  Now I know they were blown out against North Carolina but they were only 4 point dogs.  UNC shot 50% while Arkansas shot under 40%.  UConn is down this season I'm not a fan of Oregon this season so their opening win doesn't impress me as it might others.  

I think Oregon has benefited here in this tournament playing 2 of the worst teams outside of the Portland schools.  Oregon played a bad UConn team and lost by 8 then played a bad DePaul team and beat them but failed to cover.  I trust Oklahoma a lot more as they have more talent.  

Both teams are coming off blowout wins, but I think the Gators was more impressive.  Stanford shot over 50% from the field and yet Florida was still able to win by double digits.  That is a sign of a good team IMO.  I also think Gonzaga played a lot weaker opponent in Ohio St and the Buckeyes simply couldn't hit anything shooting under 40% for the game.

No choice but to roll with Duke here after watching Texas play yesterday.  Duke was down at half yes, but they were rolling through the motions playing Portland St and wound up winning by 18.  Texas beat Butler but wow I thought Butler would look better and they just aren't a quality team this year.  Texas has a lot of hype this year but has yet to play the big boys. 

I had Arizona St yesterday as I said the wrong team was favored.  ASU really controlled most of that game and was very impressed with them.  Hurley finally has the guys he wants to build a team.  They have a quality inside game as well now which they had been missing for years.  I do like Xavier also I just think they are getting a lot of love since they are a ranked team and have covered every game this season.

I was against SMU last night taking UNI plus 8 and they won out right.  This SMU team is really down compared to the past and if you watched last nights game you would have seen that.  I think Coach Miller rallies his guys here in a big effort after losing as a double digit favorite to NC St.  

I believe the wrong team is favored here.  The Wildcats don't return nearly as much from last season and will have to rely on scoring from guys that weren't major contributors last year.  ASU returns Holder their PG and he has been running the show well so far for the Sun Devils.  I was very impressed with ASU blowout win over SDSU.  

This one just seems so obvious here as I have this veteran Seton Hall team pegged as a big sleeper this season.  The combination of Carrington and Delgado will be a lethal one two punch.  Rhode Island is already down their best player who is hurt again in Matthews.  This is played on a neutral court but I see the Pirates running away here

I was on Notre Dame last night -8 against LSU in an easy winner. It's all about the eye test for me and they pass it easily right now.  I think the wrong team is favored here.  I know the Shockers have a lot back and are a talented team but the way they struggled against Cal who lead a majority of the game and will be a bad team worries me.  They won and covered against Marquette which is making this line but that was more just poor shooting as Marquette missed a lot of open shots they normally knock down.  

I just think this is way too many points here as SMU is getting a lot of respect based from last seasons results.  Well now they only return 3 players and have to rely heavily on transfers.   UNI has a veteran group here and mind you two years ago the kids that are seniors now made the sweet 16 as sophomores and were contributors then.  They won't be afraid here of SMU as they have already been tested on the road playing North Carolina game 1.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the upset

This line seems to good to be true, but based on results have no choice but to take St Louis here.  Detroit's two wins came against Michigan-Dearborn and Houston Baptist exactly not very impressive.  They actually have a common opponent here as they both have played Virginia Tech.  St Louis beat them as a 13 point underdog and Detroit lost to them by 32 as 18 point underdog.  Like I said seems too easy but odds makers do struggle early in season with smaller schools 

I was against Lafayette yesterday in a win as they played a good Wyoming team.  This is more of a play against Richmond as I think this team is flat out terrible.  Now they are coming off a ugly loss against a very physical team in Cincy.  Lafayette has way more talent.  This shouldn't be a problem here 

We should see a pretty pissed off Iowa team here today as they will want one victory on in this tournament.  This team is so much better than they have been playing right now.  Yes, they are young and that is part of the reason for their struggles.  UAB lost to Richmond who has looked just awful to start the season and we saw how Cincy destroyed them yesterday.  UAB is also coming off a OT loss which is tough to recover from on consecutive days.  Love the Hawkeyes here

I think this is a super cheap price to back Notre Dame tonight.  Yes, sure LSU beat Michigan, but they are clearly down this season as they struggled against some bad teams this season.  LSU is picked by many to finish dead last in the SEC.  Notre Dame is a legit contender behind Duke for the ACC.  Give me the Irish 

I think people will overreact and take Creighton here.  Mind you I had both of these teams last night which were both winners.  I watched both games closely and no surprise Baylor should be favored.  They were well in control of that game and Wisconsin made a late run at them.  The style of Creighton will not favor them here as they will run and gun but Baylor will dictate the pace and they have a huge advantage down low which will give them the rebounding edge as well.  

I backed the Aggies yesterday in a easy win over Oklahoma St and will fire right back with them again today.  I said yesterday this team to my eyes appears to be a top 10 if not better right out of the gates.  Penn St does have some young talent but they are getting credit for beating a awful and could be the worst power five school in Pitt.  Aggies cover again

UAB losing to Richmond opens my eyes big time.  Richmond came into yesterday without a win and lost to two bad schools and were favored in both.  They had no problem with UAB who was 3-0 which tells me UAB played dog crap for competition and they are awful we shall see if it holds true.  Buffalo played a very competitive game against the tournament favorites in Cincinnati no choice but to play Buffalo here

Pitt to me is the worst power 5 school around and it's not even close.  Oklahoma St I was against them last night and they were destroyed but will back them tonight as they should have no problem against Pitt.  I'm going into much detail here but Pitt is flat out terrible

I was more impressed yesterday with what Wyoming did and opposed to Lafayette.  Lafayette faced a sluggish Iowa team that quite simply missed wide open shot after wide open shot in the first half.  This is a Wyoming team that won the CBI last season and returns it's 3 key players from that run.  It has carried over into this season.  

I'm not very high on this Wisconsin team this year after they did lose a lot from last season.  Baylor did lose their best player in Motley, but will have the best player on the court here in Manu Lecomte.  Baylor still has some big long lengthy guys that will cause havoc especially for the style the Badgers like to play 

I'm not a buyer on this Oklahoma St coming off 3 blowout wins on their home court.  I know Carroll returns but now it may actually be a distraction as the others seemed to be playing well together.  On the other hand I came away super impressed with Texas AM in their first game just throttling West Virginia.  I might be over reacting but my eyes tells me that is a legit top 10 team.  I think the Aggies make another statement in NYC 

Call me a sucker for this one but have no choice not to take Creighton here.  I know they have a couple guys banged up from the Northwestern game but I was pretty impressed with that performance and was on the wrong side of them.  We all know what is going on with UCLA right now and they are a mess.  Creighton should handle business here as this is played in KC not very far from Omaha where Creighton is located

I like this Hawkeye team this year even though they are young a lot of these guys played a ton of minutes last year.  I think they will be undervalued this whole tournament actually.  Their length and size will cause problems for Lafayette plus they can go 10 deep if they want.  Lafayette's only test was one the road @ Ole Miss who was without their best player and they still gave up 94 and lost by 18.  Iowa should handle them by double digits 

I know the Badgers play very well at home but you just can't ignore how IMO how much better Xavier is all the way around.  Badgers do return their best player in Happ, but lost 4 starters from a team that won 27 games last year.

Xavier is a legit team here to win the Big East over Villanova.  They will have to two best players on the court here tonight in Macura and Bluiett these guys are both very good and will be looked at for the next level probably late first or early 2nd rounders.  Many are forgetting this team made the Elite 8 last year and have a great chance to do so again with the veteran leaders they have back

This is just way too points for a middle of the road ACC team to be laying especially on a neutral court.  The Hokies made the tournament last year, but are now without their two leading scorers. I know they have put up some monster numbers in their first two games, but against teams that just push the pace.  

St Louis is a team to take note of this year and the reason they won't get much love at the start here is because they had a bad season. Well, that was because they had so many transfers that had to sit out.  Well now they can play and they will miss Henriquez no doubt tonight, but we are just asking them to cover the number here not win outright

This game should get ugly in a hurry here as Michigan just has way to much talent compared to Southern Miss.  This Southern Miss team is a mess as they only won 9 games last year and things don't look any promising going forward.  Michigan wins this in a route

Love Northwestern this season as they could be a a serious run in the Big 10.  While they don't have the overall talent Michigan St does they have a ton of experience on this team.  I also think they have one the underrated gyms to play in because it's very small and compacted.  Creighton is due is for just an average year as they are going to rely on Foster so much.  Well NW has the guards to shut him down in this matchup

Let's go with Ball St here who might just be the best team in the MAC this season catching a ton of points tonight.  They return their best player in Persons and he is probably the 2nd beast in the conference.  This team won 21 games last year.

I just can't back on Oklahoma team who won 11 games last season.  Sure they probably will be better but laying this much is something I don't want any part of .

Well Kentucky hasn't looked very good at all so far and shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone.  They lost a ton and it takes a while with new kids to adapt.  They barely beat Utah Valley St winning by 10 and only beat Vermont by 4.  

Kansas is very good this season even though they did lose Jackson.  Malik Newman a transfer who sat out will have a huge impact this kid can flat out play.  I think Graham really setps up and replaces Mason shoes.  

Jayhawks roll tonight

This is sneaky team to look out for in the Sun Devils.  I think Hurley in his 3rd season now has the headaches off his team.  They some outstanding shooters here that will be the difference with Holder and Evans returning along with Justice.  They also landed a top 100 recruit in Lawrence.  SDSU was a team that really came up short and not sure it will get any better here this year.  I know they return some key guys, but this isn't the same SDSU team like we are use to seeing but they are being priced as so

This will be a great game to watch with just talent everywhere.  I know Duke is always a public team and will probably be tonight, but what they have is just incredible.  This might actually be Coach K's best recruiting class ever and that is saying something.  

Spraty does have Miles Bridges who is a flat out player I just think Duke does have enough bodies to keep him honest and wear him down.  Grayson Allen has been at Duke what seems like forever but he is a veteran and will have these young guys ready tonight.  

Think South Carolina is getting way to much respect here in this game tonight.  South Carolina has the epic run last season we are all familiar with, but they lost a ton on that team.  They will be playing the best team in the MAC here tonight.  Also, WMU will have the best player by far on the court in Wilder who is a legit NBA prospect.  Too many points for a bottom feeder SEC against a mid major with a lot of upside

This is a ton of points for the Cowboys to be laying here considering their two best players are out for this game being suspended in Carroll and Dillard.  That won't go well for a Oklahoma St team who is projected to be one of if not the worst team in the Big 12.  Charlotte has a nucleus back with their 3 best players returning.  This game is going to be closer than what people think 

Laying the big number here with Texas Tech and all their experience returning here.  The ball didnt bounce their way last year losing a lot of close games.  They should get off to a good start here vs South Alabama who many think will finish last in the Sun Belt and also lost their leading scorer from last year.

I love this Missouri Tigers team here against Iowa St.  The Cyclones have been a great team the last couple years, but now they are in a big rebuilding stretch replacing 4 starters that contributed big time.  Their returning leading scorer only averages 6 points per game from last year.  They thrived on the 3 point shot and lost practically everyone who can knock them down consistently. 

Mizzou will be a team full of interest for several reason this year hiring Martin from Washington.  Well he brought Michael Porter Jr with him to Mizzou also because his dad is the assistant.  But this kid is the real deal and everyone will find out why.  Mizzou lands a top 5 recruiting class.  Add that to the fact Mizzou returns their 3 leading scorers.  I think this team will be a handful . 

Wrong team is favored here plain and simple.  Dayton gets a lot respect because of their home court here but this team will be down this year in the always competitive A10. They won't be making the tournament or even getting close this year.  Ball St on the other hand in the MAC has hopes of making the tournament and could easily be the best team in that conference.  They return a lot of guys including their leading scorer and thats a positive with a team who won 21 games last year

This is a discount here on Bama given and it's because they are on a neutral court.  Bama won 10 conference games and 19 overall last year which left them on the bubble.  I think they are much improved this season in Johnson's third season.  They signed a top 10 overall player in Sexton and also got 2 time Bama Mr. Basketball in Petty.  Both are guards who will contribute right away.  Throw those two into the mix that they also return 4 starters to give them some quality depth.  

Memphis will be going the other way losing key transfers.  The AAC 2nd leading scorer and his brother who was AAC fresh of the year both transfer to Kansas.  They have a bunch of new faces everywhere only returning 2 starters. 

Gonzaga is a team that I believe can't be stopped at the moment.  So many throughout the season called this team a fraud because of the conference they play in.  We are now seeing that obviously they are legit and haven been very deserving of a #1 seed.  What has caused North Carolina fits this year are teams that are just as long and athletic as them.  Meeks will not have a game like he did against Oregon and Jackson will have to work even harder to get open looks with Collins on him.  The Gonzaga Bulldogs win the 2017 National Title!

Everyone thought since losing Boucher the Ducks would fall apart.  Well that have done exactly the opposite of that.  I love their guard trio with Dorsey Brooks and Benson.  UNC has no dodged two bullets in the tournament and I dont believe they dodge a third here.  While I do UNC the edge in the paint I think the guards for Oregon as I have mentioned can really find holes in their defense because UNC isn't about playing hard nose defense 

The Gamecocks have been a great story here beating the likes of Duke and Baylor on the way to the final four.  This one here is all about the match up and quite frankly the size of this Gonzaga will cause havoc as South Carolina isn't a great jump shooting team so they will rely on getting points in paint which plays into the hands of Gonzaga.  The Bulldogs are also shooting the lights out of the ball here as of late and I don't see that changing.  Gonzaga runs away with this one 

TCU is just a really good team that could have mad some noise in the big dance this year, but they have a rough stretch during the middle of the season which ultimately kept them out.  When looking at the two roads each team has had to get here, the Horned Frogs have had a much tougher draw.  They beat #1 seed Iowa @ Iowa City in OT, followed that up with an impressive 20 point win over Richmond and just man handled UCF in the first game at the garden.  Tech has had a great year as well, but this team is very young and their road was a great set up for them.  Despite winning their first game at the graden they are still just 4-11 away from home this season.  

I backed Kentucky in their last game and I not going away from them now.  That was a Kentucky team that was dominant.  Monk and Fox are becoming extremely special right in front of our eyes.  While yes UNC does the revenge angle here I just believe this Wildcat team matches up very well against them.  UNC has had a pretty easy road IMO so far and I see Kentucky exposing them on.

While I know Kansas hasn't had any problems so far.  I believe this Oregon team is one that can stop them.  I love the trio of guards for the Ducks with Benson Dorsey and Brooks, these guys can flat out shoot it.  With this line they are saying that Oregon is worse than Purdue and equal to Michigan St.  I'm not buying that at all as Oregon is a lot better than both those teams.  

Wisconsin is simply getting way to much love after beating Nova.  They played a great game and shot it extremely well.  I feel Florida is being under looked because of that, but lets look at Florida so far this tournament.  They handled ETSU by 15 and then blew the doors off of Virginia holding them to 39 points!!! I dont care what caliber of team you are holding an opponent to under 40 points is very impressive.  This Gator team will cause havoc for the Badger guards.  

Really like the fact that Kentucky lost to these guys on their home court earlier this season.  They have been great when they can get revenge and I expect that to happen again here tonight.  I also think there is a huge coaching advantage with coach Cal over Alford.  There are to many distractions going on with this UCLA team and as we all know regrading the Ball situation

The luck has ran out for the Gamecocks here.  They were unreal in the 2nd half against Duke hitting everything.  Baylor is a team that has a ton of talent and plays better overall better defense than Duke.  People are forgetting that this Baylor team was ranked #1 at one point this season.  We are getting a good discount here now.  

While Xavier is a nice story and have made a great run, their time has simply run out.  They blew out Florida St which was a team this year that never lived up to their full potential.  They are several things going against Xavier with first being the location on the West coast.  The Wildcat fans travel with the best of them and it will obviously be a big advantage for them here.  I was super impressed with Arizona in the 2nd half vs St Marys.  It proves they can handle any style that a team wants to throw at them.  Also the match up issues here a in big time favor of Arizona as they have the length across the board.  Xavier shot the lights out of it vs Florida St, that wont happen here tomorrow night against a team that can really defend  

I just don't think you can go against this Michigan team right now.  They truly believe they can beat anyone right now and I'm not willing to bet against it.  What they have done over the last two weeks has been beyond impressive.  Oregon was very lucky to escape Rhode Island last game as RI controlled the ball game.  They did so because Dorsey got hot hitting 9 of 10 shots.  If you have to rely on that, it will come to an end.  Michigan presents a nightmare match up for them with Boucher being out.  DJ Wilson and Wagner have been so good and can really stretch the floor.  I see Michigan getting all sort of easy buckets and the streak continues 

I'm liking this Rhode Island team more and more.  I backed them in their first round game over Creighton and will do so again here tonight.  Oregon is getting a lot of credit since they did cover their opening game but that was Iona and they gave up 77 points.  Rhode Island has the guards here to make this very difficult and this is where not having Boucher will come into play.  

The Wichita Dayton game final was very misleading IMO.  The Shockers shot 40% from the field compared to Dayton shooting only 31%.  They also out rebounded Dayton by 20!! and yet could only win the game by 6.  Kentucky and Coach Cal are a team I am looking to back here.  When it comes to guard play they have a huge advantage over almost anyone.  The Shockers were a bad seed no doubt, but now this matchup is a difficult one for them

I will take Louisville here as the Michigan hot streak comes to an end.  This Louisville team can really defend and Michigan won't be getting those easy looks from deep here.  Michigan hit 16 threes in game 1 and 11 came in the 2nd half to still only win by 1.  Michigan wont have an answer for their big guys and that will be the difference in the game 

Virginia was very lucky to escape their first game with a win over UNC W.  I don't think they have a chance here against this long athletic Florida team.  The thing is that Florida can really defend here and shut down the likes of Perrantes.  Florida also has the benefit here of playing in Orlando as well I thought the line would be closer to 4 or 5

Love Arizona in this spot.  the PAC 12 is getting no love but they are a solid 5-0 to start the tournamen.  St Mary's is a good team but they don't have the athletes here to compete with this Zona team.  Zona to me fits the eye here as a team to win the whole thing.  They are a skilled team at every position and we have seen what happens tonSt Mary's when playing a team like Gonzaga who is similar 

I like Midd Tenn St here tonight taking on Butler.  The Bulldo shot the lights out of the ball vs Winthrop and still barely managed to cover.  They are playing a team now who seems very comfortable with themselves and Midd Tenn dominated their opening game vs Minnesota.  I don't believe Butler is any better than the Gophers.  Take the points 

I think the wrong team is favored here.  A lot of times when we a team has a scare like ND they end up making a run and I see that happening here.  West Virginia will continue to press press and press.  That won't work here as ND has great guard play and they are the best free throw shooting team in the country.  WVU better be careful

Good for Kent St winning the MAC and making the tournament but this is a brutal spot playing out west for them so far away from home.  They will be shocked by how good this UCLA team is on offense and the talent gap is huge.  Lonzo Ball hate him or love him will be playing big time this tournament.  Kent St is no match at all I see this getting ugly early!

FRIDAY PLAY OF THE DAY!

I really think Michigan St is getting to much respect because of their coach Izzo here.  Sure it's March, but how did that work out for them last year?  Miami is a very underrated physical team that man handle these young guards for the Spartans.  Miami has beat teams like Duke and North Carolina this year.  Sparty has been awful away from home as well going 5-12 SU.  Miami wins going away here

Cincy isn't getting any credit at all here considering Kansas St just played a hard fought game the other night to get into this position.  This Cincy team can play some serious lock down defense and with Kansas St lacking a go to guy I see them really shutting this team down.  Don't let the other night fool you Kansas St shot 66% for the game!!! How often or ever does that happen?? This Cincy team will play with a chip on their shoulder because of their seed.  

I'm not so sure Rhode Island shouldn't be favored here.  Most people are forgetting that this RI team was a top 25 pre season team before they suffered injuries along the way.  This team took Duke down to the wire when they were healthy.  Creighton I'm not buying here without Watson.  I really like the momentum with Rhode Island as the A 10 is a very underrated conference.  

I'm gonna lay the number with SMU here as I believe they will be catching a tired USC team.  USC had to travel to Dayton and play the play in game.  They were once down by 17 came all the way back used a lot of their tank in doing that and now traveled again and have to get up for a team that ca really play some defense.  SMU is one of the hottest teams no one is talking about.. this team hasnt lost a game since January.  I think they catch a tired USC team here who will struggle on defense 

Not many teams are coming into the tournament any hotter than the Cyclones.  Was extremely impressed with how they played in the Big 12 tournamen.  The key for Iowa sat right now is that they have found quality minutes from their big men who have been misssing most of the season.  I look for them to ride a wave of mom here

Talk about a first round game that will be intense it's definitely this one.  FGCU will leave everything on the table here against this Florida St team.  Sure they aren't rivals but it's just how the average person views each school.  Florida St has great talent no denying that but I simply don't trust them away from home.  They were below .500 on the road and even got lucky in a few more games to get a win.  Not calling for the upset but don't sleep on FGCU here

Winthrop is one of these teams we see every year based on their style of play come in and pull one upset.  I'm not very high on Butler or the Big East for that matter.  This Winthrop team just keeps chucking up threes and we all know if an underdog seems them go in early it usually spells upset.  Butler isn't a offensive juggernaut and are nothing special on D.  I think we have a live dog here

I think we have another live dog here to start off the tournamen.  UNC W is one of the most experienced teams in the field and you know they would love nothing more than pulling the classic 12 over 5.  Virginia plays way to slow keeping teams always in the game.  I don't like how Virginia has played the last 3 weeks of the season.  They simply don't have the athletes or shooters we are accustomed to seeing.  

I realize Princeton comes into this game having not lost a game in conference.  They seem to be getting a lot of respect here against a very talented and quality team like ND.  Was impressed with ND throughout the ACC tournament taking Duke down to the wire.  They are just a complete mid match on both side of the ball.  I just believe Princeton's stats are very inflated due to their lack of competition 

I really think people are sleeping on the quality of the Pac 12 this year.  USC is a long and very athletic team with shooters than can create havoc.  Providence did end the season well to get into the dance, but laid an egg in the tournament I was impressed with that @ all.  USC took UCLA down to the wire in the Pac 12 tournament losing 2 that would have been the 2nd time they had beaten them this year.  Also this is a revenge game from last year as these two met in the 8 9 match up.  USC took them down to the wire, but lost so I see them coming extra focused here and quite frankly they have the better athletes by far 

We have seen a big push on Kansas St and I'm not quite sure why.  I believe Wake is the better team here and plays in a much tougher conference with the ACC compared to the Big 12.  I think people are over valuing the win over Baylor in the Big 12 tournament as their coach has proven to get the least out of good talent.

I believe most will stay away or jump on Arkansas here as Kentucky has burnt people the last couple days not covering.  They are just a bad match up here as Kentucky had no problem rolling them by 26 in their only meeting.  I think Cal will have them ready here as he wants them to make a statement win also before heading into next week.  

Iowa St has been very impressive and I'm not ready to fade them.  This team will want double revenge after dropping both games to West Virginia.  I so think we are seeing a word down West Virginia team because of their style of play.  Evidence was that yesterday only scoring in the 50's and beating Kansas St by 1

Nova should have no problem with Creighton as they haven't had an issue with them at all so far this season. Nova is just a team on another mission here.  Creighton has played bet recently and that is why the line isnt double digits.  Nova wins going away

I just think this team is destin to win it all following their incident.  They are clicking on all cylinders right now and this young Minnesota team isn't going to stop them.  Gophers getting to much respect for beating Sparty as they have been a bad team away from home

Interesting line for this game as I for sure thought this would be a PK.  UCLA was only favored by 5 on their home court and Zona was favored by 2.5-3 on theirs so it is suggesting that this should be a PK.  Zona is a team not getting enough respect because they don't have the flash guys.  I think Zona gets the job done tonight as they play hard nosed defense while UCLA only plays offense. It almost cost UCLA last night, it will cost them tonight 

This is a rare spot for a double revenge for a team that went 14-4 in conference play, but we have one here.  Florida will be a very pissed off team after getting swept by Vandy during the regular season.  The Gators are no doubt a way better team and they still have a lot to play for when it comes to seeding for the tournament.  Vandy I believe has played themselves into the field now and will get the wrath here tonight

BIG 12 TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR!

Odds makers really messed this line up as it should be closer to 10.  I was impressed with Iowa St yesterday even though I do worry about their rebounding.  Let's face it the only reason TCU is here is because Jackson was suspended for Kansas yesterday their best player.  Iowa St has the fire power and now a clear path to win this thing and improve their overall tournament seed.  

ACC TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR! 

I had Louisville yesterday and still believe that was the right side it was just that that couldn't make a free throw at all.  When you shoot 50% from the line and still have a chance I think that was the right side.  Duke will be playing their rd straight game and if they play zone like they did against Louisville the Tarheels will eat them alive.  Duke lives on the three point line and playing their 3rd game now those legs aren't gonna be there.  UNC BIG!

Indiana is a scary team right now as we saw how hot they were against Iowa last night.  I actually thought whoever won that game between Iowa and Indiana would beat Wisconsin because of the match ups.  Sure Indiana may not be totally on fire again, but they now have the confidence and have a possible tournament birth ahead of them.  Third time is the charm for the Hooisers they knock the Badgers off tonight

Virginia beats Pitt back to back games and now all the sudden they are laying 5?  ND is coming into this tournament with a ton of confidence right now going 6-1 SU their last 7 games.  When these team met earlier it was the worst performance of the season by far for ND as they only made 3 threes all game.  This line should be near a PK.  I expect it to come down

The wrong team is favored here.  I was on Providence the last meeting as they went into Creighton and stole one as 7 point underdogs.  Creighton still getting a lot of love because of their record.  As I have said time and time again they miss Watson big time.  It's also worth noting that the Big East tournament is played in NY.  Creighton is located in Omaha, Nebraska.  This is a bigger home court advantage for Providence.  

I'm gonna lay this with Baylor here as they want to regain the momentum they once had during the season.  Although I am not a huge fan of Coach Drew because he has all the talent and cant figure it out.  But this situation Kansas St is really struggling prior to their last two wins they were just 2-8 SU.  Baylor also has a sour taste in their mouths after playing a terrible game @ home where they let K St come back and steal one.  Not happening again 

So odds makers are saying Northwestern and Ohio St are a PK on a neutral court?  I'm not buying it at all.  This NW team is as excited as anyone in the country right now going to their first NCAA Tournament ever.  Now thy will try and make a statement here in the big 10 tournament.  Sure Rutgers beat Ohio St, but can they back that up again?  No chance I believe this is a blowout