LATE NIGHT PAC 12

I was on Oregon St last night in a easy win and will be on them again tonight.  They will be playing with a sense of urgency tonight as they are right on the bubble for the NCAA tournament.  These two teams split during the regular season with each team winning @ home.  I simply don't trust Cal here as they are 4-9 away from home and this seems like a large number for them to cover given the circumstances.  Cal is 1-4 ATS L5 neutral court games 

LATE NIGHT BIG EAST SPECIAL

Seton Hall is still getting no respect here as they are one of the hottest team in the Big East right now.  They have won 4 out of their L5 games and only have 2 losses since January 27th! Creighton comes limping in here winning 1 out of their L5 with their only win being vs St Johns who is absolutely terrible.  Seton Hall is 11-3 ATS L14 Big East Games.  Seton Hall is 9-2 ATS L11 games vs a team with a winning record.  

MOUNTAIN WEST PLAY OF THE YEAR!

This is more than a fair price here with Fresno St who has won 6 in a row and only has two losses since January 23rd.  Fresno St was 13-5 in conference play while UNLV was 8-10.  UNLV is getting some respect here because the game is played in Vegas their hometown obviously.  UNLV is also coming off a very hard fought tripe over time game which will be hard to bounce back from.  They pretty much had 3 starters play the whole game and only used 3 off the bench.  Fatigue will set in big time here and look for Fresno to run away with it.  UNLV is 1-5 ATS L6 following a SU win 

BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR!

This game is obviously a rivalry, but Kansas St doesn't have enough weapons here to hang with the Jayhawks.  Playing this game in Kansas City will be more like a home game for Kansas.  They are playing I believe the best basketball in the country right now and won't take the Wildcats lightly here.  Kansas won by 9 @ K St and by 18 @ home.  The favorite in this series is 28-10-1 ATS L39 meetings.  Kansas St is 0-6 ATS L6 following a SU win.  Kansas is 4-0 ATS L4 neutral court games 

Duke is being way over valued here.  They played a very close game yesterday to NC St who isn't anything special and gave up 89 points!  Duke is terrible at defense and with a short bench and playing in a tight game yesterday I don't them hanging around.  Duke also hit 12 threes in that game yesterday which they live by, can they do that two days in a row?  Notre Dame has already beat Duke this year @ Duke and scored 95 @ Cameron which is almost impossible.  Duke is 0-5 ATS L5 neutral court games

SEC ATS WINNER

This line is simply an over reaction to how these teams have finished the season.  Arkansas finished 4-1 last 5 and Florida 1-4 last 5.  Florida has losses to the better teams in the conference like Kentucky Vanderbilt and @ South Carolina.  Arkansas is a terrible 3-11 away from home this season and don't see them winning 3 straight games on the road.  Florida still has plenty of motivation to play for here as they have an outside shot to make the tourney,but need a win today.  Arkansas is 7-19 ATS L26 neutral site games.

Northwestern is being over valued here as they have won 3 in a row, but they have beat Rutgers Penn St and Nebraska who are the bottom teams in the Big 10.  Michigan still has a lot to play for and has an outside shot of making the tourney.  They will need 2 wins at least and they have enough talent and fire power to do so.  Michigan creates a lot of problems for Northwestern and can really stretch them out and knock down threes all game long which Michigan is #1 in the Big 10 in three point shooting.  These teams met not to long ago and it was a bad spot for Michigan coming off a close loss @ Maryland then having Wisconsin on deck and they still beat the Wildcats by 9.  

Arizona St is getting to much respect here due to their 2 recent home games.  They beat Stanford handily and took Cal down to the wire.  However, Oregon St is a desperate team right now and this is a must win game for them to make the tournament.  Also Oregon St will be looking for revenge here after they took a beat down @ Arizona St, but that was  very misleading as the Sun Devils shot 59% from the field.  ASU is 7-20 ATS L27 neutral court games 

I believe the odds makers are really showing who they believe the better team is.  Florida St is the 11th seed and Virginia Tech is the 6th seed.  Virginia Tech has been a nice surprise especially as of late winning 5 in a row coming into this game including a win over Florida St.  Virginia Tech has benefited greatly from their schedule.  They beat Pitt after Pitt beat down Duke then got Miami @ home when Miami was coming off of two wins vs ranked teams.  Also their road wins were @ Wake and Boston College nothing great there.  Florida St is by far the more athletic and expect them to show up big time looking for revenge here tonight.  

Both of these teams come into this game struggling.  In fact, Oklahoma St last win was against Kansas St @ home in OT.  Oklahoma St is 4-11 in road games and while this is a road game for Kansas St it's not even an hour drive to Kansas City where the Big 12 Championship is.  Oklahoma St also has 2 guys questionable for tonight's game with an already short bench.  Oklahoma St is 1-7 ATS L8 games following a double digit loss @ home.  The favorite has owned this series going 14-3 ATS L17 games. 

Washington St is getting credit here for taking Colorado to OT @ Colorado when clearly they weren't very interested in the game.  Now it's tourney time and there won't be any backing off here.  Washington St also shot 51% for the game which is the only time they did that going back to early January.  Colorado also has a chance to improve their NCAA tourney seeding here which is a key factor.  Wash St is 0-5 ATS L5 games following an ATS win.  

I realize it's hard to beat a team 3 times in a season but this line is based of pure reputation as Gonzaga is a big marquee name.  St Mary's is a solid ball club who doesn't get enough credit and look for them to sweep the Zags tonight.  St Mary's is 11-2 ATS L13 games following an ATS win

After looking at this I feel this line is high for a reason and is begging you to take Wisconsin.  Wisconsin has no doubt been the hottest team in the Big 10 as they have covered 10 of their last 12.  These two teams did met earlier in the year @ Wisconsin they they were struggling but Purdue was favored by 5 at their place which means they should be favored by 11 @ Purdue.  Also Purdue is a bad match up for Wisconsin as they have a ton of size where Wisconsin really doesn't  Purdue is the best defensive team in the Big 10 and will take away Wisconsin shooting the 3 ball.  Purdue will control the glass and continue to play good ball as they are coming off a double digit win @ Nebraska and were only favored by 4 

I really like the value here with Maryland as odd makers are telling you that Indiana would be roughly a 3 point favorite on a neutral court?  I don't buy it.  Indiana is coming off a huge win @ Iowa and that gave them the out right conference title.  I really question how much they have left in the tank because they have absolutely nothing to play for today as they are the #1 seed for the Big Ten Tournament.  Maryland does have a seed to play for as it is clogged up top the Big Ten.  I see a lot of motivation here for Maryland as I still believe talent wise they are the best in the Big 10.  

MVC CONFERENCE TITLE GAME

We are getting a really good price here on UNI who is back to playing the basketball everyone thought they would throughout the year.  They have only one loss since January 27th and that was in a bad spot.  UNI has already swept Evansville this year including a recent win @ Evansville despite shooting 39% from the field.  Evansville is getting respect here because both games were close that they played and they are coming off a blowout win over Indiana St.  UNI is very familiar with this spot as they have had recent success in the MVC Tournament and also March Madness.  Rolling with the Panthers here.  

Virginia isn't getting enough credit here for being undefeated @ home this year.  This Virginia senior class has really put this school on the map and I expect a huge game out of them tonight.  Virginia already spanked Louisville by 16 @ Louisville earlier this year and so reason why it doesn't happen again with how good Virginia plays defense.  Also now since Louisville can't go to the post season I'm sure that is on the kids minds now.  Louisville is 1-8 ATS L9 road games.  

I really think Cal is being over valued here since they have covered 8 in a row and just had a close loss @ Arizona.  The question is how much do they have left in the tank and will they be interested in tonight's game?  These two teams have already met and Cal was only favored by 7 then which means this game should be closer to a pick em but it's clearly inflated due to the recent success of Cal 

We are getting excellent value here with USC who is 16-1 @ home this season.  Oregon is being way over valued to their ranking and also the fact they have have 4 in a row but 3 of those were @  home.  Oregon was just 3 point favorites @ UCLA who isn't as good as USC.  Also these two teams have already played @ Oregon where Oregon won by 8 but were only favored by 4.  So taking that into consideration USC should really be favored here but we are seeing a big over reaction here toward the Ducks.  USC is 15-5-1 ATS L21 home games 

Really like the value here with the home team Davidson as they are 14-1 @ home with their only loss coming to VCU.  Davidson is coming off back to back losses which is giving us the good price here.  Davidson has covered 4 out of their L5 games though.  Davidson is 5-1-1 ATS L7 games following a SU loss.  Davidson is 5-1 ATS L6 games vs team with a winning record. 

West Virginia is coming into this winning 3 straight and covering all 3 of them.  Baylor comes in losing 2 of its last 3 but their losses were to Kansas and @ Oklahoma.  I really like the effort I saw from Baylor @ Oklahoma as they were down 20 and actually came back and took the lead with 4 minutes in the game.  They will be eager to get revenge on West Virginia here on senior day.  Baylor is 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a SU loss 

EARLY MORNING BLOWOUT WINNER

I must say this line really surprised me.  Tennessee is going to be without their best player and one of the best in the SEC in Kevin Punter.  Also their other guard Hubbs is questionable so clearly even if he goes he isn't 100%.  Ole Miss can't afford a loss here as they still have a chance to make the tourney, but will need a decent showing in the SEC Tournament next week.  I believe they realize this and will put forth a good effort behind Moody.  Ole Miss is 5-2-1 L8 road games. 

Both teams are riding winning streaks coming into this game.  Vandy is getting a little to much respect for being a 3-8 road team.  Vandy is coming off a blowout win over Tennessee and also beat Kentucky last week.  They also thumped Texas AM @ Vandy so the Aggies will be looking for revenge here today.  Texas Am has a chance to tie for the conference with Kentucky as well.  So the fact they have that and Vandy already beat them there is plenty of motivation here.  Vandy is 3-7 ATS L10 road games vs team with a winning home record.  Texas AM is 16-1 @ home!  The Aggies are 8-3 ATS L11 home games vs team with a losing road record. 

LATE NIGHT BLOWOUT ATS

We are getting a great short price favorite with Arizona St here who is 10-5 @ home, meanwhile Stanford is just 2-6 on the road.  Stanford is being over valued as they are due for a huge let down here.  They are coming into this game beating USC and UCLA @ home and meanwhile have @ Arizona on deck.  Arizona St has lost 4 in a row but 3 were on the road and to all the top teams in teams in the conference. I see a big bounce back here Arizona St tonight.  Stanford is 3-13 ATS L16 road games vs team with a home winning percentage greater than 60%.  The favorite in this series is 5-0-1 ATS L6 games. 

THURSDAY UNDERDOG SPECIAL

I'm very surprised by this line tonight between two top teams in the American.  Houston isn't getting enough respect here and I believe it's solely base on their name.  Houston is 14-3 @ home and are coming off a nice win @ UConn as a 9.5 point dog.  They are still in the tournament conversation as well is Cincinnati.  They key here tonight is look at Cincy's last game @ East Carolina they struggled with a bad team because two starters were out.  Well those two starters are out again tonight and I seem them struggling with a motivated Houston team here.  Cincy is 2-5 ATS L7 road games. 

Under the Radar Game

We are getting really good value here with Penn St who is a very solid 10-3 @ home.  These two teams have already met and Penn St won by 9 @ Northwestern as a 9.5 point dog.  I don't see them have any trouble with Northwestern tonight.  Also this line is low due to the fact Northwestern blew out Rutgers and Penn St got blown out by Michigan St.  Throw away the Michigan St game and Penn St has won 4 out of their L5.  I look for them to take care of Northwestern again.  Northwestern is 1-8-1 ATS L10 meetings @ Penn St.  

There are a few things here why we are getting a great short home price with Temple as they are tied for first in the conference with SMU.   Memphis is coming off a big home win over Tulsa by 10 points as a dog and also Memphis just beat Temple and that is why we are getting the value here.  Temple will be more motivated than ever here @ home where they are 10-3 this season.  Memphis is just 1-7 in true road games and you can't trust them here.  Memphis is 7-19 ATS L26 following an ATS win.  Memphis also just 6-15 ATS L21 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

SEC ATS BLOWOUT

Arkansas is getting way to much respect here as they have won 3 in a row.  Alabama really needs to win this game, not because it will get them in the tourney but a loss would easily eliminate them from the talks.  Alabama has lost 2 of its last 3 but is 7-3 its last 10.  Arkansas also just won its 2nd game on the road for the season making them 2-11 in road games.  No way you can trust them to win back to back road games in this spot.  Alabama is 21-6 ATS L27 games following an ATS loss. 

Virginia Tech simply isn't getting enough credit here tonight.  They are 6-2 as a home underdog this year and have covered 7 straight @ home as well.  Their only 2 losses @ home in the conference has came to North Carolina by 5 in which they should have won and Louisville by 8.  Pitt is getting a lot of love because they just beat Duke by 14 on Sunday.  This is a hard spot for Pitt to back that performance up.  This is actually the first time Pitt has been favored on the road in a conference game this season.  Pitt is 5-21 ATS L26 games following an ATS win.  Virginia Tech is 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with winning record.

ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH

The odds makers are clearly telling you that they don't trust Miami here even though they are ranked in the Top 10.  Miami is coming off back to back big home wins over Virginia and Louisville and are due for a let down here.  Notre Dame is coming off an ugly loss @ Florida St giving them the perfect bounce back spot @ home after  3 consecutive road games where Notre Dame is 13-1 this season.  Miami just 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  Notre Dame 5-0-1 ATS L6 games following an ATS loss. 

BIG TEN PLAY OF THE YEAR! 

Iowa comes into this game losing 3 in a row but all of them weren't decided until the final minutes of each game.  Iowa still can still tie for the Big Ten title and I fully expect a big bounce back here on senior night.  This is a huge game for the Hawkeyes who will be looking for revenge here.  I'm still not sold on Indiana as they have benefited from the easiest Big Ten schedule and Iowa has had the hardest.  Indiana is 9-25 ATS L34 following an ATS win.  Iowa is 5-0 ATS L5 home games vs a team with a winning record.  Indiana is also 0-4 ATS L4 games @ Iowa 

ACC UNDERDOG SPECIAL 

Virginia will be getting all the public money here as they come off a big win over North Carolina.  I really don't trust how Virginia will respond as we saw North Carolina last night only beat Syracuse by 5.  Also Virginia has a huge game on deck with Louisville coming to their place.  Clemson is a very strong home going 13-3 with wins over Duke Louisville Miami & Pitt.  Clemson is no joke @ home and they are on the outside looking in but another big quality win like this would go a long ways.  Clemson is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU loss.  Clemson is 10-3 ATS L13 games vs team with a SU winning record.  Virginia is 0-4-1 ATS L5 meetings @ Clemson

I believe we are getting good value here with Florida @ home who has lost their last 3 games and also lost their last 2 home games which has created the value.  Florida though is 12-3 @ home as I said with two consecutive losses and I highly doubt they lose 3 in a row.  Kentucky is getting to much respect here as they are just 3-7 ATS  on the road this season.  I really believe Florida has a strong bounce back performance tonight.  

LATE NIGHT BIG TEN SPECIAL

Illinois comes into this game off an ugly loss to Indiana and that is why we are getting a good price on them tonight.  Minnesota is over valued due to the fact they beat Maryland @ home and have covered 3 in a row.  This is senior night for Illinois and look for them to take it to the Gophers tonight.  Minnesota is 4-11 ATS L15 following a SU win and are 3-8 ATS L11 road games.  Illinois is 8-1 ATS L9 vs a team winning below 40% of the games.  

Pitt is coming into this game off an ugly late loss to Louisville and they really need this game today as their last two games are on road.  Duke will be the betting public's choice here as they have been playing better but I don't trust them in this spot and on the road.  Pitt is 9-1 ATS L10 an ATS loss.  Duke is 0-4-1 ATS L5 following an ATS win.  

BIG EAST SPECIAL

Xavier is coming into this game after beating #1 ranked Villanova and are due for a major let down here.  Seton Hall isn't getting enough credit here since they aren't ranked but they are playing really good basketball.  Seton Hall has won 7 of their last 8 and are 12-3 @ home this season.  Xavier has shot the ball lights out last two games and expect that to catch up with them here.  Seton Hall is also looking for revenge here.  Seton Hall is 6-0 ATS L6 home games vs a team with a winning road record.  Underdog is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings. 

Late Night SEC Special

Now that everyone has written LSU off because they have lost 4 out of their L5 I feel it's time to buy back in here.  LSU is a solid 13-3 @ home this season and Florida is 3-7 on the road.  Florida isn't exactly lighting the world on fire as of late either as they are just 1-3 their L4 games.  I look for a big bounce back here from LSU after two consecutive road losses to poor quality teams.  Florida is 1-6 ATS L7 games vs a team with a winning record and are 1-4 ATS L5 meetings @ LSU 

Virginia simply isn't getting enough respect here as they have dropped 2 out of their L3 games.  Those losses were both on the road and they lost @ Duke by 1 and @ Miami by 3 so clearly there is nothing wrong there.  I'm really not sold on this North Carolina team as Roy struggles to get them to play defense consistently.  North Carolina is just 3-6 ATS in road games and are 1-4 ATS L5 road games.  Virginia is 9-3 ATS L12 games following a SU loss.  North Carolina is 1-4 ATS L5 meetings in Virginia.

It may be little to late for Vandy to make the tournament but a win here would sure go a long ways.  Vandy is starting to play the ball everyone thought they would as they are 4-1 their L5 with their only loss coming by 1 point.  Also Vandy is coming off back to back double digit wins and I look for that momentum to carry over.  Kentucky has been playing better but I still don't trust this team on the road as they are 4-8 ATS on the road.  Kentucky is just 1-6-1 ATS L8 meetings vs Vandy

Purdue will be licking their chops here to get revenge on Maryland from earlier in he season.  Purdue is 15-1 @ home this season and are catching Maryland at a good time because they aren't playing very well.  Maryland lost @ home to Wisconsin by 13 then lost @ Minnesota and were lucky to come away with a win over Michigan.  Purdue is just 2-2 their L4 games but 2 losses were both on road @ Michigan and Indiana and only lost by a combined 9 points.  Purdue is 7-3 ATS L10 homes games vs team with a winning road record. 

What a job Shaka Smart has done in his first season as head coach for Texas.  Texas is a very solid 13-2 @ home this season.  Oklahoma will be the betting public's choice as they have received a lot of attention this year.  Oklahoma is also coming in off a blow out over rival Oklahoma St.  I really look for Texas to make a statement here as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS playing with revenge this season.  Oklahoma is just 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  OU is 0-4 ATS L4 games following a 20 point win.  Texas is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win.  The Underdog is 7-1 ATS L8 meetings. 

I truly believe that Utah simply doesn't get enough respect and they are playing the best basketball in the Pac 12 right now.  This is a huge game for them as they can actually win the conference and would pull ahead of Arizona.  Most people will say Arizona will bounce back but Utah is riding a 5 game winning streak and are 14-1 @ home this season.  Utah is 37-16-2 ATS L55 home games.  Utah is 6-1 ATS L7 following an ATS win

Odds makers are giving Louisville to much credit here as they are riding a 3 game winning streak and have back to back wins over Duke and @ Pitt.  Miami had a great bounce back game vs Virginia last time out and I look for them to play extremely tough as they still have a chance to win the conference.  Miami is 14-1 @ home while Louisville is just 3-7 ATS away from home this season.  Louisville is 1-7 ATS L8 road games vs team with a winning home record.  Miami is 13-3-1  ATS L17 home games.  

LATE NIGHT PAC 12 SPECIAL

Stanford isn't getting enough credit here IMO.  They are a solid 10-5 @ home this season while USC is 4-7 away from home this season.  USC is getting way to much credit as they are just 1-3 their L4 and are 0-4 their L4 road games.  Stanford did just beat Oregon @ home as well and look for them to do the same tonight

I believe we are getting good value here with Illinois who has covered 4 of their L5 games.  The betting public will obviously be on Indiana here as they sit a top the conference, but they have a major look ahead game @ Iowa next.  Indiana is just 2-6 ATS away from home this season.  They were blown out @ Mich St lost @ Penn St and barely beat a bad Minnesota team.  I look for Illinois to view this as a way to end their season in style and ruin the conference hopes for Indiana.  

The betting public won't have anything to do with Iowa tonight as they are coming off a bad loss @ Penn St.  However, that loss was nearly a week ago and believe Iowa is in a prime bounce back spot here.  Wisconsin has been a nice surprise and do have some quality wins.  Iowa is a perfect 13-0 @ home this season and are 9-2 ATS L11 home games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60.  Also a side note,  Iowa star Jarrod Uthoff is a transfer from Wisconsin, but it caused a lot of controversy with Bo Ryan.  This will be Uthoff's last time facing his former team and expect a huge game that Iowa won't be over looking.  Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings @ Iowa 

The betting public will be all over Louisville here but I believe they are in big trouble tonight @ Pittsburgh.  Louisville is a horrid 1-7 ATS on the road season.  They are coming off a big win over a hot Duke team.  Pitt is a solid 14-3 @ home this season and they will be looking for revenge tonight as they were smoked @ Louisville.  

Well this is one of the biggest games of the year in college basketball.  Both teams are great and I believe will make deep runs in the tournament.  Xavier is a very difficult place to as they are 13-1 @ home this season.  Xavier still has a chance to also win the Big East, but they would have to win this game tonight which I firmly believe they will.  Xavier is 12-3 ATS L15 home games vs a team with winning percentage better than 60.  

Vanderbilt has been terrible on road this season as they are 4-9 and have just one road win since the new year and that was at poor Tennessee.  Meanwhile Florida is a solid 12-2 @ home this season and will be hungry here as they still have tournament hopes after coming off a tough loss @ South Carolina 

Both teams come into this losing their last game and also losing 3 out of their last 4.  Texas is in a sandwich spot here as they have two big home games looming with Oklahoma and Kansas.  This is Kansas St second consecutive home game and expect a big effort after losing to their in state rival in Kansas over the weekend.  It was just two weeks ago when Kansas St beat down Oklahoma on their home court.  Texas has struggled playing @ Kansas St as they are just 3-7-1 ATS L11 games there.  

NCAAB TOP PLAY!!!

Miami is coming into this game off a beat down @ North Carolina.  They lost by 25, but were also in a bad spot there with North Carolina blowing their prior game vs Duke @ home.  Both of these teams still have the conference title in sights.  Virginia has been playing well, but this is more about a big bounce back I expect here with Miami.  Virginia has 4 conference losses and all of them were on the road @ Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Florida St and Duke.  Virginia is just 3-6 ATS away from home this year.  Miami is a solid 13-1 @ home and are 12-3-1 ATS L16 home games. 

This is the ultimate let down spot here for Texas Tech as they have won 3 in a row against very good teams in Iowa St Baylor and Oklahoma.  Oklahoma St plays very tough @ home as they did knock off Kansas by 19.  Oklahoma St just lost by only 5 @ home to Iowa St and by 4 to Baylor.  There is a reason they are favored here

This is a really good spot here to back Nebraska as Ohio St is coming off a big win over rival Michigan and they have Michigan St and Iowa on deck.  Nebraska is 10-6 @ home and will be ready for this game today.  Ohio St is just 4-6 away from home this season.   

Cincinnati is coming off a heart breaker losing in OT @ Tulsa while UConn coming off a big emotional win over SMU.  Cincy really needs this game to stay alive in the tournament talks and I look for them to bounce back here

West Virginia is coming off an ugly loss @ Texas but they return home where they are 11-1 this year.  Oklahoma isn't playing so well losing 3 out of their last 4.  They have lost @ Texas Tech and @ Kansas St.  I expect the same here.  WVU is 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss

Texas is playing great ball right now being 13-1 @ home while Baylor is coming off a huge OT win vs Iowa St I expect a let down here for them today.  Baylor 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win

This is an extremely difficult spot for Duke coming off a huge win @ North Carolina.  Louisville is also looking for revenge from a close loss @ Duke last week.  

This is one of those games you have to take the home team here.  Cal is coming into this game winning and covering 3 in row, but all those games were @ home.  You simply can't trust Cal on the road as they are 1-8 and they have zero conference road wins.  Washington has lost 3 in a row and that is why this line is the way it is.  All their 3 losses have been by less than 10 points.  I expect a big effort tonight against a team that is terrible on the road 

UCLA season isn't completely lost yet, but this is a must win game if they wanna make the tourney.  They come into this game off a nice double digit win @ Arizona St and look for them to carry the momentum on here.  Utah is a hard team to figure out as they play extremely well @ home but struggle on the road just 3-5.  Utah is 2-5 ATS L7 games following a win by 20 points or more.  UCLA is 6-1 ATS L7 home games following a road trip of 3 or more games.  

I really believe Tulsa is quietly playing some good basketball.  They are just 3-2 in their L5 games but their losses were by 2 @ UConn, and by 4 @ Temple.  Those aren't easy places to play and they had their shots to come away with a victory there.  Cincinnati is a good quality team but feel they are getting the love solely based on their name here.  They barely beat a bad East Carolina team their last game out and were favored by 18.  Tulsa is 5-1 ATS L6 games following an ATS win

I think we are getting more than a generous line here with North Carolina.  Duke is riding a 4 game winning streak but 3 of those came down to the last minute and they were lucky to beat Virginia last out.  Duke is still struggling on defense without Jefferson and UNC matches up very well against them.  I realize this is a big rivalry and most people think it will be close, but I don't see it tonight.  Duke is 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU win

I really believe this line says it all with Syracuse riding a 5 game winning streak and Louisville coming off back to back losses.  Louisville is 15-1 @ home this season and I don't trust Syracuse on the road.  Syracuse is 4-10-1 ATS L15 road games vs a home team above 60% winning percentage

These two teams along with VCU will be battling it out for A10 conference title.  St Joe's is a very underrated team as they aren't getting much respect here since Dayton is the ranked team.  St Joe's has won 3 in a row and all there have been by double digits.  Meanwhile, Dayton has 9 in a row, but there two recent victories have only been by 2 points each.  This is a must win game for St Joe's if they want any chance to win the conference title and I believe they will respond tonight.  Dayton is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings @ St. Joe's.  St Joe's is 6-1 ATS L7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.  

This is a nice short price here to back Baylor who is coming off a terrible blowout loss @ home.  Baylor will be extra motivated here because of that performance alone.  Iowa St is coming off a nice double digit win over Texas which is why the low line.  Baylor was the first team this season to hand Iowa St a loss on their home court.  Baylor is 5-1 ATS L6 home games vs team with a winning record.

Ohio St is a team in the Big 10 that doesn't get a lot of pub but they are a solid team.  Ohio St is 12-4 @ home this year and need a good quality win here as the tournament is getting closer.  Michigan is coming off a crazy comeback vs Purdue and they pulled a nice upset win.  Looking a the conference play for the Buckeyes all their losses have came against the top quality teams in the league.  They also took Maryland down to the wire @ home just a couple games ago.  Michigan is 2-5 ATS L7 following a SU win.  Ohio St is 6-1-1 ATS L8 following a ATS loss.  

Shaka Smart has really turned around the image of Texas in his first year.  The Longhorns are a very impressive 12-1 @ home this season.  Texas is also coming off back to back losses which is playing a role in this line, but those were both on the road and @ quality teams (Oklahoma, Iowa St).  I look for a nice bounce back here for the Longhorns.  West Virginia is coming in off a blowout win and they have two big home games lurking ahead with Oklahoma and Iowa St.  Texas is 6-1 ATS L7 vs a team with a winning record.  

I know many will look at this and think it's a tough spot for Arizona St coming off a big win with rival Arizona on deck, but I believe coach Hurley will have this team ready to win 3 in a row here as Arizona St has 3 road games coming up.  UCLA suffered a close defeat @ Arizona last out, but this team is terrible on the road in conference as their only win was @ Oregon St.  UCLA is 1-5 ATS L6 following an ATS win.  Arizona St is 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with losing record.   

I really like this young Florida St team, but last game out vs Syracuse I'm just tossing that out since they shot over 60% which is clearly very rare in the game.  Prior to that Florida St had won 4 in a row.  I believe they are in the tournament right now but this would definitely be a statement win.  Miami will get the love here because they are the ranked team, but it recall this last week a ton of teams won @ home that were favored over ranked teams.  Miami is just 1-4 ATS in their L5 road games.  

I really like the spot here the Spartans as they are coming off a very tough loss @ Purdue, meanwhile Indiana is coming of an emotional win vs #4 ranked Iowa.  Indiana has benefited from the easiest Big 10 schedule this season and they are due for a flat out whipping.  Indiana is just 2-5 ATS on the road this season.  Michigan St has covered 5 in a row and I see them covering 6 today.  Indiana also just 9-23 ATS L32 following an ATS win.  

Wisconsin comes in playing pretty good basketball winning and covering 6 in a row but only two of those were on the road.  The road games were @ Penn St and @ Illinois so the bottom feeders in the Big 10.  Maryland has been play really well themselves winning 7 of their last 8.  Maryland won't be taking this game lightly as there is now a 3 way tie a top the conference right now.  I don't trust Wisconsin to hang here as they did the first time around with them.  

I believe this line tells it all.  Virginia comes in ranked in the top 10 and have also won 7 in a row but yet Duke is favored?  Duke is starting to playing better play as of late winning 4 of their last 5 and they know this is a must win game here.  Duke is 12-2 @ home this season and Virginia is just 2-6 ATS on the road this season.  Duke can make Virginia play out of their comfort zone today by playing very uptempo and they have the Cameron Crazies help in doing that.  

I really believe odds makers got this line way wrong.  Notre Dame really impressed me beating North Carolina last week, but what was more impressive is that they didn't have a let down going on the road the next game @ Clemson.  Notre Dame is 12-1 so far @ home this season.  Louisville is 1-6 ATS away from home this season.  

Oklahoma definitely has revenge on their minds here as they take on Kansas.  Kansas is getting respect sine they have covered 4 in a row.  Kansas has also lost their last 3 road games SU.  I believe Oklahoma is the better team here and will get it done today.  Oklahoma is a perfect 12-0 @ home this season. 

I see absolute no reason to back Texas AM here as they have lost 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5.  They have also lost their last 3 road games as well.  LSU is desperate for a win to stay atop the conference right now and I expect a big effort coming after their recent loss @ South Carolina.  LSU is near perfect @ home with a 12-2 record right now and are 14-5-1 ATS L20 following a SU loss.  Texas AM is 1-5-1 ATS L7 road games. 

I really believe this line is telling you what the odds makers think of USC and how under rated Arizona St is.  USC is coming of 3 consecutive wins, but all of those were at home.  Now they get ranked and go on the road.  Arizona St is coming off a win @ Washington St and I look for them to carry on the momentum.  Arizona St has been very competitive in every conference game but 1.  USC also has Arizona on deck here which is a big look ahead for them.  USC is 2-6 ATS L8 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

PAC 12 Special!

There is no doubt Oregon has been playing great basketball winning and covering 6 in a row.  However, they will be facing a desperate Cal who is on the bubble.  Cal is a perfect 14-0 @ home this season.  Cal is coming off an impressive 15 point victory over Stanford and I look for them to ride that momentum here tonight.  Cal is 6-1 ATS L7 home games. 

This is another game where we are getting good value with a home team that is 13-0.  Indiana was clearly looking ahead to this game as they laid an egg @ Penn St.  Iowa has been a great team this year but with this line I believe its clear what the odds makers believe.  Indiana will bounce back here in what I believe will be a fast uptempo entertaining game.  Indiana is 6-0 ATS L6 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60%

Underdog Special!!

This line really has be confused as I thought Temple would be favored here.  I believe it's just because of the "UCONN" name is why they are favored.  Temple has won 6 of their last 7 with their only loss coming after their big win over then undefeated SMU.  UConn is just 6-13-1 ATS L20 games following an ATS loss.  Temple is 6-1 ATS L7 games vs a team with a winning record. 

Arkansas is getting way to much respect here as they are just 1-9 SU away from this season.  Arkansas is coming off a blowout win over Tennessee, but Tennessee is also a terrible road team.  Now they play @ Miss St with @ Ole Miss on deck who I'm sure they are looking ahead to that one.  Miss St isn't as bad as their record indicates as they have had several close losses.  Losing by 2 to Bama by 3 @ Florida by 6 @ Kentucky.  Miss St is 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss.

This is a good spot here to back Purdue as they are looking for a big statement win.  Michigan St is playing extremely well right now which is attract the betting public.  Purdue is a solid 13-1 @ home with their only loss coming to Iowa.  This is a crucial spot here for Purdue as they just lost @ Maryland and play @ Michigan next so they need this win in the worst way.  I also believe that Purdue's size will create problems for Michigan St just like Iowa's size did when Michigan St played them twice earlier in the season.  Purdue is 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss.

At first glance this might look like a big line because of Pittsburgh's record.  I simply don't trust this team at all.  They looked flat out awful Saturday vs Virginia and I see no reason for that to change tonight.  Miami is a solid 11-1 @ home and are 4-0-1 ATS L5 home games.  Pittsburgh is out matched in every aspect here.  Pitt also has @ North Carolina on deck which is a big look ahead for them.  Pitt is just 6-15-1 ATS L22 road games. 

TOP NCAAB PLAY!!!

This is an absolute perfect spot here for Clemson.  As we all know Notre Dame is coming off a huge victory over #2 ranked North Carolina and now go on the road and they will have a big let down here.  Clemson was clearly looking ahead to this game as they laid an egg and lost @ Virginia Tech.  Notre Dame is just 4-6 away from home and Clemson is a very impressive 11-2 @ home.  Notre Dame is 0-5 ATS L5 following an ATS win.  Clemson is 5-0 ATS L5 home games.  Clemson is also 8-1 ATS L9 vs a team with a winning percentage above 60

We are getting really good value here with Duke who has won 3 out of their L4 and are playing better.  Louisville is still a bit overrated due to the fact they beat North Carolina.  Louisville hasn't covered their previous 5 away games and I don't believe they will tonight either.  Louisville is 2-7 ATS L9 following a SU win.  Duke is 12-4 ATS L16 following an ATS loss.

While I believe Iowa is a very good team I just think this is a tough spot which is very similar to Indiana @ Penn St last night and we all know what happened there.  Iowa has @ Indiana on deck Thursday night.  Illinois has been playing fine at home just not getting to wins.  They were actually favored over Ohio St and lost by 5 and were only 3 point dogs to Wisconsin and lost by 8 and now they are getting double digits?  Seems inflated a lot given this spot.  

Georgia Tech is one of the most interesting teams in the country as they haven't lost a conference game by double digits, but just cant get over the hump.  I like them here as Miami coming off a big win over Notre Dame and Tech coming off a loss vs Duke.  Miami is 0-4 ATS L4 road games, and 0-4 ATS L4 vs teams with a winning home record.  

This won't be the popular play at all as the betting public will be all over the Spartans here with Michigan losing in ugly fashion to Indiana @ home last game.  However I expect a big bounce back here for Michigan as they are 11-2 @ home.  Michigan St has played just 2 quality Big 10 teams on the road this season in Iowa and Wisconsin and both of those games resorted in losses for the Spartans.  Michigan is 13-4 ATS L17 following a double digit loss @ home

There must be something clearly wrong with this Iowa St team after losing 2 consecutive games.  They have suspended staring center McKay who played a key role on the defensive side of the ball.  Oklahoma St has been playing better as of late as well even though their record may not reflect it.  They just lost on a last second shot in OT @ Texas Tech, won @ Auburn, lost to Baylor by 4 and beat Kansas by 19!.  Oklahoma St is 5-0-1 ATS L6 home games and 4-0-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss. 

I believe we are seeing a big line for a reason here.  I was extremely impresses with Duke last game out @ Georgia Tech and really believed they turned the corner there.  I still think people will back NC ST because of their win vs Miami which they caught in a good spot and also their close loss @ Florida St which is a little misleading as Florida St blew a double digit lead late in that game.  Duke also just won by 10 @ NC St a couple weeks ago.  

I truly believe that odds makers have this game wrong as Duquesne is playing some good ball right now and also is 9-1 @ home.  Davidson is 2-6 on the road this season and have lost 3 out of their last 4.  Duquesne has won and covered 5 out of their last 6 and will also be looking for revenge here as they lost @ Davidson earlier this season.  Davidson is 3-13 ATS L16 games playing a team with a winning record.  

Virginia comes to Pitt off two blowout wins but I simply don't trust this team on the road.  Pitt has been a very solid team at home going 13-2.  Pitt is also looking for it's key signature win this season which they have a great chance here to do so.  Virginia is just 1-6 ATS this year away from home.  To me this line tells the story here.  

BIG TEN SPECIAL!

Ohio St is simply getting to much respect here as they are coming off a close loss to Maryland.  All of their Big 10 wins have came against the bad teams in the conference.  When Ohio St has gone on the road against quality teams they lost @ Indiana by 25 @ Maryland by 35 and @ Purdue by 11.  Wisconsin is actually starting to gel nicely here and have two big wins over Michigan St and Indiana.  I really believe Wisconsin gets it done by double digits tonight. 

Upset Special!!

I believe this line says it all here and Texas AM is due for a big letdown after beating Iowa St.  This is also the classic "sandwich" spot here as A&M has South Carolina up next.  Vandy is still considered a bubble team and this is pretty much a must win game if they have any hope of making NCAA tourney.  Vandy will bounce back after losing @ Texas.  Vandy is also 38-18 ATS L56 following an ATS loss.