We are getting good value here with Cal who is coming into this game getting swept by Oregon schools.  However, look at this... When Cal played Colorado @ home they were 7.5 point favs and Stanford was by 1 a 6 pt difference.  Look at the last Oregon games.  Cal favored by 2.5 @ Oregon St where Stanford was a 6.5 point dog.  Cal a 3 point dog @ Oregon, Stanford a 9 point dog.  Everywhere across the line so far Vegas believes Cal has been 6-8 points better, but now since Cal has slipped up a couple they have adjusted to 3 which creates the value.  Cal is by far the more talented team expect a bounce back 

This line is big for a reason here with Arizona coming off two heart breaking losses @ UCLA and @ USC.  They will bounce back in a big way.  Let's look at Washington 3-0 in Pac 12 play but all games decided by 4 points or less.  They could easily be 0-3.  Washington was destroyed in a neutral court game vs Gonzaga and lost to Texas by 12 and also Oakland by 14.  I'm not sold on Washington at all and Arizona has one of the best home courts in the country.  Arizona is 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams with a winning record, 4-0 ATS L4 after allowing 100 or points.  

This won't be a popular pick but I do see value here with Detroit.  Pistons are 4-2 SU L6 with two losses coming to the Pacers and Spurs.  Now I do realize Detroit has the Warriors coming to town and this is @ Memphis so may not get up for it, but the Pistons lost against them @ home by a half court buzzer beater.  So therefore I see the Pistons showing up here.  Also the Grizzlies are coming off a very bad loss to the Rockets and I don't see them bouncing back as Mike Conley is out again.  Pistons are 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home.  Pistons 19-7-1 ATS L27 playing on 1 day rest.  Grizzlies just 7-18-1 L26 playing on 1 day rest.  2-7-1 ATS L10 following up a double digit loss @ home 

At first glance this line makes you think it's way to high.  Arizona St has started 0-3 in conference play, but they had a close loss to Arizona then had two close road losses @ USC @ UCLA.  Washington St comes in with 3 home games and and 1 conference win over UCLA.  Washington St has only played one true road game and have a big look ahead with Arizona on Saturday.  Arizona St will be extremely focused here and look for them to dominate from start to finish.  Wash St 8-19-4 ATS L31 road games vs with team with winning home record.  

We are getting a great price here on UCLA because both these schools swept Arizona and Arizona St last week.  UCLA is no doubt the better team here and they have owned this series lately 5-1 ATS L6.  USC 1-4 ATS L5 playing a home team with a winning record.  USC 0-4 ATS L4 after allowing 90 or more points 

I really look for Colorado to bounce back here after a close loss @ home to Utah.  This is also an interesting spot here for Oregon St as this is their first true road and that was Colorado's first home loss.  Oregon St has benefited from playing at home and are getting respect after beating Cal.  Favorite here is 7-3-1 ATS L11.  

More than a respectable price here because the Pelicans are coming off a close loss last night @ Lakers.  Davis didn't play and he may not tonight but the Kings don't deserve to be a huge favorite like this.  I also don't believe the Kings will be motivated here as they have a 3 game road trip coming up.  The Kings are also one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA and look for the Pelicans to bounce back.  Pelicans are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS loss.  Kings are 16-34-3 L53 home games playing a team winning less than 40%.  

I'm just not sold on this South Carolina team as they have benefited from playing an extremely easy schedule.  Avery Johnson has Bama playing respectable and he knows this is a huge game for the program on a national stage.  Bama does have three nice wins this year...Notre Dame, Wichita St and @ Clemson.  Bama is 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home.  19-7-1 ATS L27 following an ATS loss

The Nuggets just took the Warriors to OT @ Golden St 10 days and should have plenty of confidence here coming into this game.  The Nuggets are also getting healthier and have everyone back now.  The Warriors will be without Green who I believe is their glue to the team.  The public will obviously be all over the Warriors, but this is their 4th game in six days with another tomorrow night vs the Lakers.  Nuggets are rested having two days off.  Warriors 0-6 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest.  Nuggets 4-1 ATS L5 playing a team winning over 60%

Very surprised by this line here.  LSU did beat Kentucky last week but they are way overvalued here with a quality Ole Miss team.  Ole Miss only loss in SEC and in the last ten games was @ Kentucky.  LSU is still a very young team here and you never know what you get out of them.  They lost as 7 pt favorites @ home to Wake Forest who is clearly worse than Ole Miss.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting more than a fair price here on the Celtics.  Both teams played last night with the Pacers blowing out the Suns and the Celtics giving everything they in a losing effort to the Knicks.  Celtics have been struggling, but all their games have been close and 4 out of their L5 have been on the road.  I like them to bounce back here with a big effort.  Pacers 0-4 ATS playing on 0 days rest and Celtics 37-15-1 ATS L53 playing on 0 days rest.  Pacers also just 2-5 ATS L7 following a win by more than 10 points 

We are getting really good value here with a Clemson team that just pulled off a big upset over Louisville.  The Public will be riding Duke here as they have covered 3 conference games in a row and 2 of them on the road, but those were against Wake Forest and Boston College.  Clemson is playing pretty good ball winning and covering 3 straight as well.  Clemson will give Duke all they want tonight 

The Mavs have been a nice surprise this year starting off with a 22-16 record.  The Cavs are playing well winning 7 in a row but with the Mavs being 11-6 SU at home there is value here.  The Cavs also have a big look ahead game here with the Spurs on deck.  Cavs just 1-4-1 ATS L6 road games.  Mavs 6-1 ATS L7 playing a team with over 60% winning percentage.  Mavs 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a SU win

The Bulls look like they are trending downward again.  Losers of the last two by double digits to the Hawks and Wizards.  Despite the Bucks record they are more than a respectable home team with a 10-7 record and Bulls are just 6-8 and give up a staggering 105 ppg on the road.  This is also the Bulls 3rd game in 4 days.  Bucks 7-3-1 ATS following a SU loss.

The Celtics come in here after 3 consecutive losses and failed to cover all 3.  For that there are undervalued here because the Knicks have been playing very well lately.  The Celtics were close in all 3 of those losses and should have won two of them realistically.  The Celtics will be more motivated here as the public will pound the Knicks.  Celtics are 8-3 ATS L11 road games.  Knicks just 2-6 ATS L8 after winning by more than 10 points.  

Good spot to back Virginia here coming off back to back losses, but they were both very close.  I believe this will wake Virginia up and play very well at home here.  Miami has been a great surprise but they have only played 1 road since December 1st and also a pretty easy schedule here lately as well.  Virginia beat Nova by 11 and West Virginia by 16, both teams are a lot better than Miami 

BIG TEN TOP PLAY!

Northwestern ended its two game skid by blowing out Minnesota @ their place.  I look for them to ride that momentum here against Wisconsin.  Wisconsin is getting love because they took Maryland down to the wire which was a great game, but this is a huge sandwich spot as the Badgers have Michigan St on deck.  Northwestern 6-2-1 ATS L9 following a SU win.  Badgers just 3-9 ATS L12 vs team with a winning record.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

I know the record doesn't exactly show it but the Lakers have been playing good ball lately.  If you throw out their Golden St game they have been playing well for nearly two weeks.  They just had a 4 pt loss to the Thunder and fought clear back @ the Kings after being down by more than 25 points to lose by 3.  The Jazz are coming of a win over the Heat last night but the Heat were on a back to back.  Jazz are also 0-5 ATS L5 on the road.  They are still without key players and may be without Hood and Favors also today which would be major to a team that doesn't score much.  Lakers 6-1 ATS L7, 4-1 ATS L5 home games,  4-0 ATS following a SU loss

The Knicks have been playing a lot better lately and against quality teams.  Milwaukee isn't a quality team at all and are overvalued due to their win last out vs the Mavs.  Knicks are 4-2 SU L6 with wins over Detroit Miami and Atlanta (2).  The Bucks are also 5-16 SU on the road this season.  Bucks are 3-8 ATS L11 following a SU win.  Knicks 5-0ATS L5 playing on 1 day rest,  7-1 ATS L8 after allowing 100 points scored or more previous game,  4-0 ATS L4 playing team with losing record. 

This line is begging for people to take the Rockets.  The reason this line is low because Rockets have won two in a row, but both against a struggling Jazz team.  The Rockets are also just 2-6 ATS L8 games.  0-4 ATS L4 after scoring 100 points or more.  Dwight Howard is also questionable to play today as well.  Pacers have been playing great 3-1 SU L4 with their only loss being @ Miami by 3.  Pacers 4-1 ATS L5 road games.  5-1 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest.  

The public will be all over the Pacers but this is their 4th game in 7 days.  The Pelicans are rested and are looking to bounce back after a home loss.  Pelicans are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss and 4-1 ATS L5 following SU loss.  Pacers 2-6 ATS L8 vs team with losing record

The Bucks are the more desperate team here and look for them to start picking it up.  Looking back at their schedule it has been extremely difficult the pa two weeks.  They have also had two days of rest.  Bucks 7-3 ATS L10 following a SU loss.  Mavs just 7-20 ATS L27 vs team with a winning home record

We are seeing a little over reaction due to the Wizards losing two in a two to the Heat and Cavs but they gave the Cavs all they wanted.  Wizards are also getting healthier here and look for revenge following last week 3 of loss @ Raptors.  Several key trends here.  Raptors 0-8 ATS L8 following a ATS win.  Wizards 10-1 ATS L11 following a SU loss.  

Coming later

Coming later

Coming later

There will be lots of love here on the Clippers as they have won 6 in a row and covered in 5 of them.  The motivation will be with Portland here to rebound from a loss to Memphis Monday night.  Portland does bounce back well going 4-1-1 L6 following a double digit loss at home.  Clippers just 1-7 L8 ATS following a win of more than 10 points 

I'm not sold on this Ohio St team at all and look for a bounce back game for Northwestern.  Ohio St is getting to much credit for beating Kentucky.  Northwestern has good guard play and Maryland was a bad matchup for them.  NW 6-0 ATS L6 following a double digit loss at home

We are getting good value here with the Celtics as they aren't getting much respect due to losses to Nets and Lakers but the Pistons haven't been playing any better.  Pistons coming off a blowout win which is why this line is low but they are just 2-4 SU their L6.  Celtics will get back on track.  5-1-1 ATS L7 playing on one day rest 

This game here to me is all about motivation as the Magic lost all 3 on the road and failed to cover in those 3 as well.  Magic are a great home team going 12-6 SU Pacers are just 7-10 SU on the road.  Pacers just 1-4 ATS L5 playing a team on road with winning record.  Magic 9-3 ATS L12 when opponent scores more than 100 points.  

Wake Forest is actually one of the most improved teams in the ACC.  We are getting a good price on them at home and they will be ready.  Wake has wins over Indiana UCLA and @ LSU.  Good losses as well to Xavier and Louisville.  WF is 16-6 ATS L22 playing team with winning record

I really believe George Mason is the better team here despite record.  They have beat Ole Miss and Oklahoma St also have two good losses to Virginia and UNI.  UNI was only favored by 5 @ GM and UNI is clearly way bletter than St Bonaventure.  

Iowa had the best week on any college basketball team last week beating #1 Mich St and winning @ Purdue coming back from 19 down!  They are now on the map and this isn't a good scheduling spot here.  Iowa does have Mich St next already even though the game isn't this weekend I still question the hangover from last week.  Nebraska dropped two games at home to Northwestern and Indiana, but were in both those games.  I see them being very hungry here.  Since joining the Big Ten Iowa has only beat Nebraska once by more than 14 points. 

LSU is coming off a big upset win @ Vanderbilt being a 10 pt dog in that game.  I look for them to ride that momentum into tonight's game.  Kentucky is a good team no doubt, but they just don't pass the eye test for me compared to past teams.  Kentucky lost to a bad Big Ten team in Ohio St who I don't think will make the tournament and also UCLA who will be border line on making it.  They aren't the same team away from their fabulous home court. 

South Carolina is one of the early surprises so far, but their best win is Memphis? Clemson? not impressed with either team.  I think we are seeing this line inflated due to the fact South Carolina is undefeated.  Auburn has by far played a tougher schedule and they are coming off a nice home win vs Tennessee.  Auburn has owned this series the last few years with Pearl going 6-1 SU L7.  Underdog is also 14-3 ATS L17 games.  Pearl will have his guys ready.

I think we are getting good value here with the Bulls @ home.  First glance, most people will look at the records and think it's a slam dunk.  Both of those teams are top of the class in the MAC.  Buffalo has played a tougher schedule by far and that is why they aren't favored here because they have 6 losses.  Losses at Duke Iowa St VCU and St Joe's is nothing to hang your head on.  Meanwhile Akron has been skating by some very easy competition.  Beating Lipscomb by 7 and South Carolina St by 10 Coppin St by 6 isn't that impressive.  Bulls are the better team here don't let records fool you

With Lillard's status still in question this is a good spot to back the Grizzlies while Portland is coming off a hard fought win last night @ Denver.  Portland also has big look ahead games with Clippers and Warriors coming to town next.  The Effort will be here for Memphis as they have @ OKC next so this is a spot to likely get their road win.  Grizzlies 23-10 ATS L33 when opponent allows 100 pts or more previous game.  Portland just 8-17-1 L26 ATS playing a team with a winning record. 

We are seeing an inflated line here in a rivalry game.  Virginia coming off a nice win vs Notre Dame is why this line is high.  VA Tech were only underdogs to WVU by 8 and Iowa St by 7 who I consider better than Virginia plus you get them at home.  Virginia's offense benefits them at home but will it travel?  Underdog has owned this series 10-31 ATS L14 and home team is 4-1 ATS L5.

You look at this line and think hmmm something is off.  The Rockets have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover in all 4 of them and are favored on the road?  Rockets will be more motivated here and the Jazz have been very lucky lately winning a couple and that is why the line is low.  Jazz still have a ton of injuries to key players.  

I was on the Raptors yesterday and yet another double digit blown lead late in the game.  I think that will take the wind out of their sails here as the Cavs are well rested.  4th game in 6 days for the Raptors and on like I said a tough back to back.  The Cavs have a long 6 game road stretch coming up so I expect a big effort out of them tonight.  Raptors 1-4 ATS L5 after allowing 100 pts or more and 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU loss.  Cavs are 6-1-1 ATS L8 following a SU win and are 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams above 500

The injuries aren't slowing down the Wizards as they have been playing their best basketball lately.  They are 5-2 SU L7 with two losses being both close and good one vs Clippers and Raptors.  Heat also have Pacers coming to town tomorrow night which is a big game.  Miami for some reason also struggles to score on the road only averaging 92.6 ppg.  Heat are 3-13 ATS following a win of 10 or more points.  Wizards 4-1 ATS playing 1 day rest,  4-1 ATS following an ATS win,  4-1 ATS L5 home games

We are getting a respectable line here with the Raptors due to the Bulls 3 game winning streak.  The Bulls beat the Raptors last week and like the Raptors to get revenge today.  Raptors are a very good home team 11-5 SU and Bulls very poor road team 5-7.  Bulls are just 1-11 ATS L12 following and ATS win.  Look for the Raptors to get revenge here

The Bucks come into this game winning @ Indiana and are on their last game of a 4 game road trip and look for them to ride the momen into this game.  Minnesota is just 1-5 SU L6 and 3-13 ATS @ home. 

I really expect the Pacers to be motivated here coming off 2 loses in a row.  Paul Georgoe was quoted saying "it is very unacceptable". Look for them to make a statemen.  Also Detroit ended their 3 game skid but that was against a very bad Minnesota team. Pacers are 13-3 ATS teams with a winning record 

The Pelicans are in a good spot here catching the Clippers on their 2nd back to back and now their 5 road in which they have won every one.  Pelicans have been playing better and are 4-1 SUnat home L5.  Pelicans are also rested and coming off an ugly loss @ Orlando expect them to bounce back

Denver coming off a close 6pt loss to the Cavs last night and go to Portland tonight.  Really bad spot for Denver here also with the Warriors on deck.  Plus the Nuggets will be without Gallinari and Mudiay which is key and Portland is returning Lillard.  I believe Portland has gained a lot of confidence after beating the Cavs badly and see no reason why that won't continue.  Portland 8-3 ATS L11 at home vs team with losing record. 

Really like this spot here for Minnesota.  They have lost 4 in a row but were to the Spurs twice @ Boston and the Pacers 4 quality teams.  Minnesota will be motivated here to get a win while the Jazz literally come limping in.  Jazz have been without Gobert now are without Burks and Favors thise are huge losses and tough to overcome.  

Look for the Wizards to bounce back here after losing a close to the Bulls.  This line looks obvious to pick the Wizards here but they are dealing with a a lot of injuries and have benefitted by playing poor teams during their winning streak and also they were at home as well.  It caught up with them last game as the Clippers took it to them being a quality team.  The Raptors are a quality team as well and have played their last 5 of 7 on the road.  Raptors are 6-2 ATS following a ATS loss.  Also 7-3 ATS following a SU loss

While I do like what Northwestern has done I'm not sure they deserve to be this short of price.  Their record looks great but their best win is Missouri who is a bottom team in the SEC.  Nebraska has played some tough competition with Cincinnati and Tennessee beating Tennessee.  They also played @Miami in a very close close losing by 5.  The records are why this line is low but the competition easily favors Nebraska 

Getting good value here with the home team.  I actually think these two teams are equal.  Michigan isn't the same as previous years. Illinois has played Iowa St and Notre Dame very tough in losses but I see no reason why Michigan is this big of a favorite 

the public will love Mich St here since they are the #1 team in the country.  Denzel Valentine is the Spartans best player who is out for a couple weeks.  Mich St really struggled last time out vs Oakland and actually should have lost that game.  This is a big game for Iowa and I expect them to be ready for the challeng.  Iowa has played a tough non conference schedule and should be no surprise that they are favored here.  I really think Iowa presents some matchup problems with Mich St and also depth will be an issue for the Spartans

NBA Play of the Day

We are getting good value here with the Knicks who have lost 4 in a row and failed to cover in 3 of those.  3 of those 4 games were on the road and all vs Eastern Conference Playoff teams in Cavs Celtics and Hawks.  New York will be motivated to bounce back from those 3 games.  Pistons are on a 2 game losing skid themselves.  Pistons are just 5-18 ATS L23 meetings in New York.  Pistons also just 4-9 ATS L13 road games.  

I think people still have a lot of respect for Wisconsin and because of their program and also how well they are at home.  Howeve, we have seen that this isnt the same Wisconsin team at all.  Purdue is a legit final 4 contender in my eyes and they have mid matches all over the place here and it starts down low.  They will control the glass and wear the Badgers down who aren't a great shooing team like usual 

I believe we are getting good value here with the Wolfpack because they are still figuring in the Northeastern win @ Miami.  That win was a month ago and Northeastern hasn't been playing that well as of late losing on the road to Detroit and and Western Michigan.  NC St is a solid team at 9-3 with two of those losses coming down to the final minute to Arizona St and Michigan.  Wolfpack are 21-7-1 ATS following an ATS loss.  

This won't be a popular play by the public but I really like this spot.  I realize the Bucks have been terrible on the road this year.  The Bucks are coming of an ugly home loss to the Raptors and this is their first road of a 4 game stretch which I expect them to play very hard.  Bucks are 5-1ATS L6 following a SU loss.  The Mavs are in a weird spot here coming off a big win vs Chicago which I had, but they have the Warriors coming to town Wednesday in a huge sandwich spot here.  Mavs are also just 2-5 ATS L7 following ATS win.  

Good spot to back Indiana here as the Hawks have won 6 in a row and covering in 5 of them.  While the Pacers are just 1-3 SU their L4.  That is why the line is short here.  I look for the Pacers to really be focused as they have a tough matchup tonight and then @ Chicago on Wednesday.  Indiana has been a really good team with a 10-4 record.  Pacers are 11-3 ATS L14 games when playing a team with a winning record.  They get up for the better teams.  

The Magic present some really good value here after losing to their rival Miami @ home last time out.  The Pelicans beat the Rockets last out but were catching them in a great spot after Houston beat the Spurs.  I expect the Magic to be motivated here after losing at home.  Going back to the first part of November the Magic haven't lost B2B home games.  Magic are 10-6 ATS at home,  8-0 ATS playing a team with a losing record,  8-2-1ATS when playing with 1 day rest.  Pelicans are just 3-14 on the road this year SU and are 1-5 ATS L6 following and ATS win

The Clippers were lucky to escape Utah with a win last game out and are still getting enough respect because of their name.  This will be their 3rd game in 4 days and also their 2nd without Griffin which I believe will catch up with them.  Wizards are playing really good ball with now even without some key players.  They have won and covered in 4 straight.  Clippers are 0-9 ATS L9 following an ATS win thats a big stat there.  Clippers are also 1-5-1 ATS L7 road games with their last game being the one they covered.  

The Clippers were on a verge of a blowout win up 28 but let the Lakers get within 10 which meant they had to play their stars a lot longer than expected.  Clippers are just 1-5 ATS L6 with zero days of rest and 0-5-1 ATS L6 road games.  Utah will be motivated coming off an ugly loss at the Warriors and are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss.  Underdog is also 4-1-1 L6.  Good spot for Utah

Bulls pulled the biggest upset yesterday winning @ OKC as a 10 point dog.  Can they back it up tonight? Well Chicago is just 4-12 ATS after a win.  Mavs have had 2 days of rest and are 8-1 ATS following an ATS loss.  Bulls are still just an average team on road 5-6 SU

Rockets come off a big Christmas win vs the Spurs and the Pelicans come off a heartbreaker in losing in OT @ Miami.  I really expect the Pelicans to bounce back here and this is a good spot here begging for people to take the Rockets.  The Spurs had a terrible night shooting just 40% which ob benefitted Houston and it wasn't because the Rockets play defense because we know they don't.  Houston is just 6-8 on the road.  Underdog is 14-6-1 ATS L21

Another game going against the team who played on Christmas Day.  I was on the Heat yesterday but they were extremely lucky.  Miami 5-11 ATS after a win while Orlando is 12-4 ATS off a win.  Magic are a great home team with a 10-5 SU record.  Heat just 4-5 SU on road.  Magic will be very motivated as they are young and and still don't get the respect that big brother Miami does.  

We are getting good value here with the Hornets who have been struggling without Al Jefferson.  He returns tonight which is big.  Hornets have only won and covered in 1 of the last 6 games and Al was out for 5 of those.  Hornets are still a quality home team 11-5 SU and Memphis is just 7-9 SU on road.  Hornets are 4-1 ATS L5 with at least 2 days rest.  Memphis isnt playing great by any means either just 3-5 SU L8 

I know this isn't a popular choice but I really believe we are getting great value here with the Lakers.  The Clippers haven't been exactly clicking as of late either losing 3 in a row.  The Lakers are clearly a bad team team but their average loss at home is by 7 points and we are getting double that which is very rare in the NBA plus I think this high line has a lot to do with the blowout loss vs the Thunder.  The other reason here is simply Kobe Bryant.  This is his last Christmas day game with a huge stage.  I truly believe Kobe will have his teammates ready to play and expect a jaw dropping performance tonight.

This is a great spot to fade the Spurs on a big stage where the betting public will be all over them.  They have been playing great winning and covering 7 in row.  However, the Rockets have been playing better at home going 5-0ATS L5.  This series is also one that the home team has been dominating lately.  Home team is 6-0 ATS L6 and the Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 meetings @ Houston.  

The Heat come into this game losing to the Pistons at home and are due for big bounce back vs the Pelicans.  The Pelicans have won and covered the last two games and that is why this line is low.  I still don't believe in this team even though their players are back.  They still only beat the below average teams.  Heat will be the motivated team here for sure as they are 7-3-1 ATS after a loss. Pelicans are just 1-5 SU following a win and their average loss on the road coming by 9 points 

UNI needed that wake up call last night.  Now they will be more settled in and also focused to get a W.  Washington St was blown out last night vs OU.  They played Gonzaga at home thats the only tough game they have played and lost by 9.  UNI is obviously battled tested with their resume.  Wash St 1-6 ATS L7 following a loss of 20 or more and 2-5-1 ATS on neutral site games.  UNI 10-1 ATS neutral site games and 4-0ATS following and SU loss 

We are getting great value here with a potential final four team.  Yesterday my free pick was Hawaii and was dead on as they caught UNI in a great spot.  Now we are seeing a low line because of that win and also on their home court.  Oklahoma is the better team and should take care of busines.  Hawaii just 2-7 ATS vs teams with a winning record

The Magic are quietly going about their business they are 16-12 and 9-5 at home.  Houston comes into this game extremely over valued because of their 3 game winning streak.  They beat the Lakers then caught Clippers in a great spot and won in last 20 seconds vs Hornets.  I'm still not convinced in this team.  Orlando is 11-2-1 ATS L14 And are 10-4 SU.  Magic continue to be undervalued simply because they don't have a "superstar".  

We are getting a great short line here with a home that is 11-4 SU.  Why this line is low is because Hornets have dropped 2 straight on the road but they will be the motivated team here.  The Hornets also lost to the Celtics just a little over a week ago at home.  Hornets are 10-2 ATS after allowing 100pts or more previous game. 

This line is low here with the Wizards winning and covering 2 in a row.  However, I believe all the injuries will catch up with them tonight.  That's why the line was begging for Washigton.  Memphis is 4-0 ATS with zero days rest.  Wizards 1-5 ATS L6 following SU win

NBA Play Of The Day

Raptors come here losing to the Kings at home and that is why we are seeing a generous line.  The Mavs are just 8-7 on the road but the teams they have beaten on road are lower tier teams.  Raports will be very motivated here after playing poor just like the Celtics last night.  Raptors are 5-1ATS L6 following a ATS loss showing they have good bounce back.  Mavs are just 1-4 L5 ATS following a SU win 

The question in this game is can Iowa St bounce back from losing to UNI.  I dont believe Uowa St is as good as the average person may think.  They had an extremely lucky comeback over rival Iowa at home.  Iowa St relies a lot on the 3 and they are without for the rest of the season IMO their biggest threat Naz Long.  Oddmake saying Cincy is only 2 point fav on neutral court I believe higher. This is a big game for Cincinnati also I love they way they play defense which is why I like them here

The Clippers opened here as the favorite but that has changed due to the public betteing the Thunder.  The Clippers were playing pretty good on a long road trip winning 4 out of the 5.  They also gave the Spurs all they could want on Friday and were in a terrible spot Saturday vs Houston and the Rockets took advantage of that.  The Thunder are still only 5-6 SU on the road this season.  I expect a big bounce back here for the Clippers after losing to Houston and that is why we are an overreaction.

Good spot here to back the Jazz after they ended a little skid vs Denver last time out.  The Suns are coming into tonights game after losing to Milwaukee last night.  The Suns are just 4-10 on the road this season and 3-7ATS L10 vs Western Conference opponents.  This series has also be owned by the home team in the previous 5 meetings.  I look for Utah to play solid defense which is what they are known for and make it difficult for the Suns guards Bledsoe and Knight who they rely on heavily in a tough back to back game

This line is set high for a reason and makes you want to take the T Wolves because of their success on the road this season.  Also Boston hasn't winning lately, but they are losing to quality opponents and have been in tough spots.  After Boston's 3 game losing streak they have no had two days off to prepare and expect them to be extremely motivated here.  The T Wolves come off a road win @ the Nets last night but this is now their 5 game in 7 days.  

I will keep backing the Magic as the general public still doesn't think this team is good.  Well the Magic are 9-4 and 8-1ATS last 9.  Hawks are just 7-6 SU on the road this season and are coming off a nice win @ Boston, but they caught them in a good spot.  

This is a great bounce back spot for Miami, playing against a weaker western conference opponent.  Miami lost last as a same favorite against Toronto who is clearly much better than Portland.  We see the value here.  Miami is a solid 11-5 @ home while Portland is 5-11.  Miami 7-3-1 ATS following a SU loss.  

NBA Play of the Day

The Bulls come into this game after playing a 4OT game last night in a losing effort vs the Pistons.  The Bulls are just 4-5 on the road this year.  I expect this line to change more as the Knicks should be favored given the spot here.  They have won 3 in a row and are playing with some confidence.  Knicks 10-2ATS L12 following a ATS win.  Knicks 6-0 ATS when playing teams with over a 60% win percentage. 

Not going to go into great detail here but Maryland is by far the superior team.  Princeton has played absolutely no one this year.  They have lost @ Stony Brook and @ St Josephs by double digits I see no reason why Maryland can't put them away early 

No doubt in my mind something is going on with the Rockets.  Thley have laid two eggs in a row @Nuggets and @Kings and see no reason to back them here.  I also like the fact that the Lakers are coming off a nice big win with some momentum to ride on.  

This is a good spot to back the Hornets who just got embarrassed last night @ Orlando.  I expect them to bounce back here and the public will be all over the Raptors.  Raptors lost by 16 last out @ Indiana but won 4 straight prior but 3 of those were against the bottom feeders in the league.  Public eye refuses to give credit to the Hornets but they are 10-4 @ home this year while the Raptors are just 8-6 on the road.  They don't deserve to be favored here