New Mexico is in a little funk right now losing 3 of 4 all by single digits.  One of those games against Utah St.  They have this one circled for revenge here.  Plus Utah St is coming off a huge upset win over Boise St.  We all the PIT is a tough place to play and I believe New Mexico responds with a huge effort here tonight. 

The Celtics should be plenty motivated here to avoid a 3 game home losing streak.  This will be the 4th straight road for the Clippers in 6 days.  Another reason I think we get a huge effort from Boston is for the fact this is their last game before All Star break.  

I like these type of games in the NBA where a team that just recently lost to a bad team get their chance or revenge right away.  The Pistons were a hot team for a little bit with they got Griffin.  Just two games ago they were beat by the Hawks @ Atlanta.  Atlanta played last night in a hard fought game and covered vs the Bucks.  I think the Pistons take some anger out here and blow them out 

Ignore the rankings here plain and simple.  I think the Florida St rolls in this one.  Clemson has benefited from with their 2nd best player being out playing winning 4 straight but 3 of those were against bottom feeders.  Florida St is a desperate team right now and need a major win after losing two straight.  This is where the injury to Grantham kicks in and Clemson starts to tumble. 

Maybe I'm grabbing this line to early as Bagley is still questionable.  Even if he doesn't go I will gladly take them and when the line drops I would love it.  Anytime a team goes on the road as a big underdog and wins SU and the fact that it was against their rival in Virginia makes much more difficult to back up.  That win will catch Duke's attention and we will see a big performance here tonight at home. 

Any time Nova goes on the road in the Big East it's a big game for their opponents.  Well this happens to be an interesting spots here and that is why I am backing Providence.  Nova has their biggest game of the year on deck this weekend @ Xavier.  I'm very high on Nova but 9.5 here is too many for a team who is 11-3 at home. 

Maybe, just maybe this is were Virginia is hitting their wall.  They just lost SU as a double digit favorite to their rival Virginia Tech for their 2nd loss of the season.  It will be interesting to see how they handle their first loss in conference play.  Miami is no joke at 18-6 and 9-1 at home I think they were looking ahead to this game tonight.  

Yes, the Gophers have been playing bad and I get that.  I just think you have to fade Mich St here as they are obviously coming off their biggest win of the season beating #3 Purdue.  We will get a max effort here out of Minnesota no doubt.  Sparty has only covered one road game since the new year and that was at Illinois.  

Rhode Island is a very good team there is no doubt about it.  I backed this team earlier in the season quite a few times.  Now you have to pay a price as everyone knows about them and their 20-3 record.  Richmond is 9-15, but what goes unnoticed is that they are playing their best basketball right now.  They are 6-2 SU their last 8 games covering 7 of those.  Their last 5 losses going back to December 30th all have been by single digits.   I think they keep it closer than 16

Missouri isn't getting enough respect here IMO.  The Aggies are making headlines now and jumped back into the rankings.  Both teams are 4-1 their last 5 games.  I just think Missouri has been more impressive as they won two of their games as underdogs.  Also I think the Aggies are firmly in the tournament while Missouri is one of those iffy teams right now.  However, a win here tonight puts them and they get the revenge 

Iowa St has had a down year for them, but this is one game for them that is always circled.  I backed Iowa St vs Oklahoma as a dog and they won SU.  Iowa St has beaten Texas Tech West Virginia and Oklahoma at home why not Kansas this time.  Maybe, they wont but I will take the points.  Iowa St took Kansas down the wire as a 16 point dog.  This Kansas team clearly isnt the same we are use to seeing.

This is a do or die game for Texas as they have 2 road games coming.  They have lost back to back since beating Oklahoma and can't afford a slip up here.  I also had Baylor on Saturday as they won vs Kansas setting up for a let down here.  I just think Texas has enough pride here to show up for a big effort plus the revenge is on their side as well 

I will say I don't like the fact that West Virginia has Kansas on deck.  However, I don't think they will be looking ahead here for the simple fact that they just lost to Oklahoma St at home as double digit favorites.   Throw in the fact they will want revenge a loss @ TCU.  West Virginia was -2 in that game so given that this is on their home court the line should be 8.5-9.  

I will take the Bulls at a short price here against the Magic.  The Magic have been playing better as they are 4-2 SU their last 6 and 4-2 ATS.  3 of those 4 games were at home though.  The Bulls do get everyone back tonight except Dunn so I think that helps them a lot.  Also I believe the Magic will struggle on the road without their best player in Gordon 

I know Penn St is the better team overall I just have a hard time backing a team that hasn't been in the favorite role at all on the road.  We will see what kind off fight this Illinois team has after a lousy performance last game vs Wisconsin where they shot horrible.  Penn St has a huge game for them Thursday with Ohio St coming to town.  

This may not be ideal here to back Duke off North Carolina but the gap of talent is just massive.  I think Coach K will have them ready here after dropping 3 of their last 4 and 2 consecutive road games.  They have to get a road win and blow a team out for confidence.  I think that is the case here tonight.  Carter and Bagley should just own this game. 

I like here to get the job done.  Illinois state sits at third in the conference while Valpo sits dead last.  Now you ask yourself why is Valpo favored by 5.  Well Illnois St will be without their 2nd and 3rd leading scorer today which is a huge loss.  Their 2nd leading scorer for today will be a guy who averages 6 ppg.  Valpo is playing better than their record indicates as well as they have lost 4 of their last 5 but their last two both on the road were by 6 and 4.  Valpo gets it done 

Let's take Bama here and I think they get the job done outright.  Tenn was so lucky their last game @ Kentucky winning in the final seconds after they hit a deep three.  This Bama team is 10-2 at home.  They are coming off a loss @ Miss St, but they were in a rough spot there after winning @ Florida.  Bama and Sexton get the job done tomorrow

This line will go up as well.  I was hoping that Purdue would win outright against Ohio St, but that wasn't the case.  I give Sparty credit surviving back to back road games that were decided in the final minute.  To me all the talent still belongs to Michigan St.  I know this game means a lot to Purdue, but for Sparty it would put them in a tie for 1st place. 

I see this line making a decent jump come tomorrow.  For those who don't follow the MVC very well this is a huge rivalry game.  Drake laid an egg in the first meeting which is no surprise, they haven't won @ UNI in forever.  Drake at one time was leading the MVC, but have had a rough stretch, but two of those game against the best team in Loyola.  Drake bounces back here and gets a nice revenge game 

I will lay the number here with Creighton as they are looking for a huge win.  Xavier just survived one last game at Butler winning in OT.  While Xavier is playing very well I can't ignore the fact that Creighton is a perfect 13-0 at home this season.  The Bluejays average 11 made threes at home and that will be the difference here

If you have followed me this season you know how much I love to fade Oklahoma on the road.  They have lost 5 straight road games and failed to cover in each.  I could make the case that they shouldn't even be favored here.  Oklahoma is just 2-5 SU their last 7 games. Iowa St has beat the likes of West Virginia and Texas Tech at home. 

This Kansas team is just way overrated IMO.  They have been on the right side of so many close games it makes me sick.  They laid an egg last game vs Oklahoma St the worst team in the Big 12 at home.  Baylor will want some big time revenge as they let a lead slip away at Kansas and I think they get their revenge.

This line could go up a little more.  I know some will say here that UNC will be focused because NC ST just came in their place and beat them as a 12 point underdog.  I just think this is such a brutal spot considering UNC just beat their arch rival Duke on Thursday night.  As everyone knows thats the biggest rivalry in college ball and sets up for a huge let down 

Utah is one of the hottest teams in the league right now winning 7 straight games, but they made a huge splash yesterday before the trade deadline.  With them shopping their best true scorer in Hood after playing so well I can see this having a negative impact on the team.  They plan on cutting Rose and Crowder isn't much of an upgrade considering how bad he has played.  The Hornets are in their final road game here so expect a big effort 

I like the Heat here tonight as they will have all the motivation to try and avoid losing 3 straight at home.  They have had some close games here lately and have wound up on the wrong side.  They have lost 5 straight, but all 5 were single digits including a couple that came down to the final seconds.  Wade may not play tonight and even if he doesnt that is fine but I think he will bring enough energy for the Heat here tonight. 

Maybe LeBron will put his team on his back here and he could, but there is no way I could back them as they barely can yield a team.  The Cavs made the biggest moves yesterday which I think were very good getting younger and better on defense.  None of those players are playing tonight throw that in with the fact that Love is still out.  I could see the Cavs just throwing this game since they might have 7 guys available.

I really like the Sun Devils here at home tonight.  They were the surprise team everyone was talking about making their way into the top 5.  Everyone knew they would come back to earth a little bit and they have.  They are 10-2 at home though and I think this a tough spot for USC who is coming off their rival in UCLA and they are obviously looking ahead to playing Arizona to fight for the PAC 12 title.  

Both of these teams are bottom feeders in the league there is no doubt about it.  I just can't back this Badger team who is a pathetic 1-10 on the road this season.  Illinois is 11-3 at home so given the huge home/road splits these teams have I will take Illinois 

I like fading teams who are coming off their best game of the season.  That is exactly what Stanford is doing here as they were 1.5 point dogs against Oregon and just blew them out winning by 35 points.  They shot a crazy 63% from the field.  That is simply a tough task to follow up and the fact they are 2-6 on the road tells me big let down spot against Utah who is 9-2 at home 

I think Virginia Tech understands the importance of this game tonight as they have 3 road games coming up and will be lucky to win 1 of those.  They simply cant lose back to back home games.  I also think NC St is being over valued here.  They beat a bad UNC team this year lets face it.  They also have UNC coming to town this weekend which will be a huge look ahead.  

Most will probably view this as a classic let down spot for Texas.  I just dont think they are getting enough credit for that win over Oklahoma.  They have won and covered their last 5 home games and this Kansas St team isn't trending well losing by double digits their last two games. 

Well this line is odd and dropping.  I know how good Virginia has been and they are covering machines, but it has to stop and will stop.  Florida St is playing with a ton of confidence right now after going on the road and winning @ Louisville.  Florida St is 10-1 at home and this will be a huge win tonight 

This is just crazy here.  These two teams have already met back in early December and Nebraska pulled the upset at that time as Minnesota was highly ranked.  The Gophers were favored by 9 yes 9 points.  Now on their home court they are 3.5  This huge adjustments just creates tons of value with Minnesota.  The Gophers are struggling but I think we get a gutsy performance 

The Raptors just don't get any love when it comes to the betting market and public.  The Raptors have a legit shot to be #1 seed in the Eastern Conference.  They also play damn good basketball at home with a 21-4 record.  The Celtics have some nagging injuries right now Toronto gets the best of them tonight

I will take the Knicks here tonight as they just faced this Bucks team at Milwaukee and let one slip away losing by 2.  The Bucks have some injury issues right now and Giannis will play tonight but wont be 100%.  The Knicks have been a bet on team all season at home with a 16-10 ATS record 

I have had this one circled.  I went against Kentucky in their last game @ Missouri which was a win and now will back them here as I think they were looking ahead to this game tonight.  The Vols have established themselves as the frontrunner in the SEC, but Kentucky is right on their heels.  Kentucky is 13-1 at home as well 

Northwestern has won 3 of their last 4 with their only loss being to Michigan.  The Wildcats have had a disappointing season to say the least, but now they are fully healthy and are also on the outside looking in for the tournament.  A win here would go a long ways and I think they do win this game tonight.  

Miss St was a team coming into conference play I was looking to play against because of their weak non conference schedule.  They are just 5-5 in conference play, but have won 3 straight games.  They played Bama tough the first game only losing by 6 @ and shot 37% from the field.

The revenge spot sets up even nicer here as Bama comes in off a huge road win @ Florida setting them up for a let down spot.  They also have Tennessee on deck as well.  

Miss St wins fairly easy

Butler is playing their best basketball of the season right now winning 4 straight and 5 of their last 6.  Butler lost to Xavier only by 7 in the first go around.  Butler also defends their home court very well having a 12-1 home record.  

I cashed in playing against Oklahoma on Saturday night and it worked again.  You simply can fade this team on the road and back them at home.  They are a perfect 11-0 at home and will want revenge here from earlier this season.  West Virginia was in a do or die spot vs Kansas St as they were coming off 3 straight losses.  They responded with a big effort and blew them out.  

Wizards have covered and won SU 4 straight games.  I think the Pacers are being under valued as they are playing well themselves.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games and 6 straight home games which has lasted 3 weeks now.  The Wizards will slow down here without Wall as he will be a big miss against this Pacers team 

This is just a brutal spot here for Indiana.  I backed Indiana Saturday night as a winner and they played their tails off against Michigan St.  It's very hard for them to get back up here tonight on the road coming off that emotional of a game.  Rutgers is a team that you want to back at home as they are 8-2 ATS 

LATE ADD....Jazz playing their 2nd of a back to back here and the Spurs are coming off a home loss.  This spot favors the Spurs for a bounce back and they play very well at home 

If you have simply faded Oklahoma blindly on the road like I have you would be 4-1 since the end of December.  This team has the public in love with them because of the attention Trae Young gets on this team.  I think they are very overrated I say it time and time again.  Texas is playing well right now and are probably on the outside looking in for the tournament but a win here would go along ways.  

I think you need to get this one now as Boatwright the best player for USC is questionable.  Even if he does play clearly he isn't at 100%.  I think now that Ball is gone from the Bruins they have been forgotten about.  They are 15-7 right now and have defended their home court very well going 11-2.  USC has a good record, but they have also had probably the easiest schedule you could ask for so far in the PAC 12

Miss St is a hard team to get a grasp on.  They did play one of the easiest schedules in the non conference, but they have actually played better than I thought in conference play with a 4-5 record.  They are 3-2 their last 5 games with both losses coming on the road at Bama and Kentucky, there is no shame in that.  They are 14-1 at home and are catching Georgia who is coming off a nice upset over Florida 

I just can't see this line going any higher.  I actually believe it will drop a lot.  Let's face it here this Michigan St team has a lot going on right now in their program.  I fully expect Izzo to be fired at some point and it is serving as a big distraction.  Indiana will throw everything they have at Sparty here to pull the upset.  Remember they were 8.5 dogs vs Purdue and nearly beat them SU and I think Purdue is a lot better team right now than Michigan St.  

This line has to go up.  Evansville is missing their 2nd and 5th leading scorer and both happen to be guards.  They are in a tough spot here coming off 3 straight wins but being short handed here will kill them.  Illinois St is coming off a nice road win over Missouri St who is one of the better teams in the MVC.  They also already won @ Evansville earlier this season when they were at full strength.  This line hasn't been adjusted enough 

Are people all the sudden now buying into Kentucky.  I think that win at West Virginia is still fresh in peoples mind.  I also believe the Big 12 is overrated big time.  Kentucky is also in a tough spot here with a huge look ahead game against Tennessee while you know Mizzou will want this one.  I also really like the fact Missouri bounced back last game with a good win at Bama.  They still have a shot at the tournament and a win here would put them on bubble

Texas Tech has won 3 straight here all by single digits.  Have I mentioned I think the Big 12 is vastly overrated.  Here is a perfect example a top 10 team getting points huh?  I dont like Tech at all going forward.  This TCU team last home game had their way with West Virginia and they have impressed me a lot with out their PG Fisher.  TCU is 11-2 at home and they are another one that needs quality wins

I like the Suns here tonight catching this many and really wouldn't be surprised to see the upset.  The Jazz are really thin at the guard position with some injuries.  This is also a classic let down spot here the Jazz are coming off two huge wins beating the Raptors and Warriors and now have the Spurs on deck.  The Suns snapped their losing streak last game and generally teams ride that momentum

The Lakers had been playing prior to dropping their last two games.  I think this road trip is now getting to them. Here is another games I like the fact that the Nets snapped a losing streak last game beating the Sixers as big underdogs.  Also the Lakers beat the Nets earlier this season so revenge is in the mind of the Nets here 

The Pacers are 4-1 SU their last 5 games, but all those wins came at home and one of them came against these Hornets just two games ago.  Im a big fan of the quick revenge spots in the NBA and that is what we have here.  I also think we get a strong effort from the Hornets because they have a west coast trip following this game.  

I think this is a tough game for ASU.  They started off the season so hot and were even ranked inside the top 5.  Well they have had a slow conference start with a 4-5 record.  I'm not sure if Washington does have a chance for the tournament bid, but I bet in their minds they do and they need a quality win like tonight to help get them there.  Washington wins this one

Let's take Denver here coming off just two brutal losses.  They lost by 1 to the Celtics and by 2 to the Spurs.  The Thunder had their winning streak snapped and I think they lose again here.  These teams have played twice with each team coming away with a win, but the Nuggets only lost by 1 at OKC.  

Well it's time to see how much hearth this Badgers team has left in them.  I think they respond here at home against Northwestern who is 3-7 on the road this season.  Wisconsin blew a nice lead against Nebraska and they actually were bigger favorites in that game then they are here against a worse opponent.

This is desperate time for Marquette tonight.  I think they get the revenge on Butler, but more importantly they really need this game for tournament hopes.  They are coming off a great game against Nova only losing by 3.  Butler has won and covered their last 2 games, but those were against St Johns and Depaul the two worst teams in the conference 

Really like Bradley here tonight to take down the conference leader in the MVC in Loyola.  Bradley is a perfect 11-0 at home this season.  Bradley has won and covered 3 straight games.  I think they are catching Loyola at the right time and throw in the revenge factor as well 

This is by far the largest home underdog role I ever remember Iowa St being in.  For that reason alone I have to take them.  Hilton is a tough place to play and I think we see a big time effort here.  I also think West Virginia is a little overrated this team blew some serious leads against Kansas and Kentucky on their home court.  

I think Auburn is the most overrated team in country.  I'm not buying their record or ranking at all.  Ole Miss has been a solid team at home they just beat Bama in their last home game and the one previous to that they beat Florida.  I think Ole Miss is prime for a so called upset 

Alright I'm ready to jump back on board here with Drake.  They have lost 2 straight and 3 of their of last 4 games.  The price is right now as they are still 8-1 at home.  I know Southern Illinois is playing well right now winning 3 straight and 4 of their last 5.  They are coming off a pretty big win here over Missouri St as a 6 point dog.  Drake shot terrible in the first meeting and still won

The line move I am not shocked by.  I think UNC will be extra motivated here coming off back to back losses.  I cant back Clemson here even though they are still ranked and getting respect because they havent lost at home.  When you lose a key player like Grantham it's hard to replace him 

This time of the season I always look for teams that have their season on the line.  I think Georgia is in that boat right now.  They have lost 3 straight now and the last 2 have been close fought games.  This is the game that will make or break the season.  I think they respond here with a big effort against a rival in Florida.  

I just think the wrong team is favored here.  Oklahoma St has two consecutive losses, but both were on the road and came down to the wire.  I like the way they are playing and just think TCU really misses Fisher right now.  They also have a couple other injuries they are dealing with which will make this difficult tonight

The Nuggets have one of the most underrated home courts in the NBA.  They are an impressive 19-6 at home this year.  Boston right now isn't playing great ball at all.  They are now just 1-5 SU their last 6 games.  I think this is a tough spot here for Boston coming off that thrilling game against the Warriors.  They also have some injuries with Smart and Rozier.  

I think the Big 12 proved a lot over the weekend how overrated they are as a conference.  I'm not buying into teams like Kansas and Oklahoma as they have been over ranked for a while now.  Kansas St is one of those sleeper teams and can actually tie Kansas in conference play with a win here tonight.  I believe they get the revenge as they only lost by 1 @ KU.  

Wisconsin has sure had a bad year, and I know Nebraska is playing decent right now with a 7-4 conference record.  I do think a large part of the Badgers struggles is because of their schedule.  They have played 5 of their last 6 on the road which is just crazy.  I think they get revenge here on Nebraska at a short price.  

I really like Tech here tonight against Clemson.  There is really one main reason here and that is the fact that Clemson lost Donte Grantham who was their leading rebounder and 2nd leading scorer.  They miss him a ton it and it will show as the season goes on.  Tech has only lost one home conference game and that was to the best team in the country in Virginia.  I believe this line drops as the day goes on 

Indiana St is worth the look here vs Bradley.  Indiana St may only be 5-4 in the conference, but they have had their fair share of close losses.  Bradley is coming off a couple big wins, but both of those were at home.  Also worth pointing out that they haven't won a conference road game yet either.  

Maryland still has a sour taste in their mouth after getting beat by 30 at Michigan St earlier this month.  I am high on this Spartan team, but lets be honest they have had a huge favorable schedule so far in the Big Ten.  The two hardest teams they have played, they have lost SU.  Maryland is a tough out at home with a 12-1 record.  

Notre Dame is starting to see their season slip away here losing straight games.  Well, the last 3 game were all against ranked teams.  They have had their battles with injuries along the way as most know.  I think we get a really good effort here.  Va Tech I want no part of in this situation.  I backed them last game over UNC and they ended up winning by 11.  This is a terrible spot for the Hokies.

I have had success this season for or against Iowa St this season.  In their last two home games in this role as an underdog they have won SU and their last two road games they were destroyed.  Iowa St is on the outside looking in right now, but a win here would go a long ways.  I also give them the edge since they play in a lot tougher conference than Tennessee.  

Maybe I am way off here, but I just can't stomach backing TCU here.  TCU is coming off their biggest win of the season beating West Virginia, but that was on their home court.  They have lost their last 3 games SU on the road.  I know Vandy doesn't have a sexy record but getting 5 points here is a lot considering they are only catching 2 against Kentucky and were actually favored by 3 over Bama 

Surprised this line has gone up over night.  I thought Bama would get the nod here actually.  Oklahoma is an auto fade on the road for me.  They have lost and failed to cover their last 3 road games.  Throw the fact that they are coming off a huge win over Kansas which I had.  Bama now has Sexton back in the lineup.  Bama is 9-1 at home and really need a huge win like this to keep tournament hopes alive 

I love Duke here today as this is the biggest game of the day.  They will want to make a huge statement against a Virginia team that has been red hot.  The thing is with Virginia is that they have had the easiest schedule possible so far in the ACC.  Now, I'm not taking anything away from them but just go look for yourselves.  This Duke team is a lot different than what they have seen.  Duke creates huge mismatches here especially in the paint and I think they expose Virginia 

Haven't been a fan of this Tech team all year.  They still get a ton of respect because they are ranked.  They have failed to cover now in 5 straight games.  South Carolina is starting to play very good ball.  They have won 3 of their last 4 games which includes wins @ Florida and @ Georgia and a home win over Kentucky.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence.  

The Knicks being favored on the road?  Big no thanks for me considering they are 6-19 SU and are now playing their 2nd of a back to back.  Yes, I know the Suns aren't world beaters by any means but on their home court here they should at least be favored by a couple points.  

I think the Lakers are being over valued here winning 7 of 8 games.   Only one of those wins came on the road and it was against the Mavs.  The Bulls have been playing well since healthy and I think they get the job done here tonight.  

The Pelicans are starting to play a lot better here and I will take my chances here.  The Pelicans have won 6 of their last 7 games.  They will be extra motivated here to take down the Rockets.  The Pelicans played them tough in the first game only losing by 7.  I wouldn't be surprised to see them upset the Rockets here

I'm not a fan of this Wizards team.  There is simply too much talent on that team to play like they do.  The only thing they have going for them tonight is having two days off after getting embarrassed by the Mavs.  The Thunder are playing well right now winning 5 straight games and I'm sure Westbrook and company haven't forgot about the 22 point loss @ Washington earlier this season

Ohio St sits at 18-4 and 9-0 in conference play.  They are clearly one of if not the most surprising team in the country this season.  Now the odds makers are catching up the Buckeyes making their lines too large.  I think Penn St is actually better than Maryland and Ohio St was only favored by 5 over them.  So, clearly now that the Buckeyes have had the continued success the line keeps sneaking up there.  Penn St has a ton of talent and can defend the 3 ball well.  I dont see Ohio St winning by double digits here

SMU is still getting a lot of respect for recently beating Wichita St.  They shot 64% from the field that game which is just crazy.  They could have beat anyone that day.  This is just too many points for SMU to lay here given the fact they are 2-5 on the road.  UConn is nothing special by any means, but they are 8-2 at home.  

I like Missouri here tonight on their home court as I think Auburn is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  Missouri should be hungry here coming off just an ugly game shooting 27% from the field.  The fact they only lost by 11 is miracle when you shoot that bad.  Missouri is 9-1 at home with their only loss being at the buzzer by Florida 

Louisville is another big time over valued team here.  They are 5-1 in conference play and go figure their only loss was to a team that is in the top half of the conference.  They have played some pretty easy opponents.  Miami really needs this one here as they sit 3-3 in conference.  I'm not a believer at all in this Louisville team 

Super quick turn around here for Nebraska as they played Monday night.  They took the Buckeyes down to the wire and clearly were up for that game considering Ohio St is first in the Big Ten.  I think it will be hard for them to match that here tonight.  Rutgers has simply been a bet on team at home as they are 7-1 ATS.  

I think we see a good ole fashion beat down here from Kentucky.  Coach Cal will have his guys ready here to play coming off back to back losses.  I also think that Miss St is over valued here as they racked up a ton of wins before conference play inflating their record.  They are 0-5 ATS in games away from home.  Given the situation I think Kentucky responds big time here

Remember about a month ago how Minnesota was a top 20 team in the country and they were the talk of the Big Ten entering conference play.  Well they came crashing down in a hurry.  This is the ultimate gut check game here for the Gophers if they want to make the tournament.  I did back NW their last game as they fought from behind and covered against Penn St.  The main thing here is these teams have recently played and NW just embarrassed Minnesota.  NW shot 50% from the field and a crazy 45% from 3.  Minnesota couldn't hit sand if they fell of a camel.  Gophers respond tonight 

I think it's time to fade away here on Bama who has won and covered 4 straight games.  They key was though 3 of them were at home and the road win was @ LSU who is nothing special.  With Sexton still being hurt is a huge concern on the road.  Bama does have a huge look ahead here this weekend with OU and Trae Young coming to town.  Ole Miss is a team that gets overlooked.  They have covered 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, but only have 2 wins.  

This Kansas team continues to be extremely overrated.  Sure, they have won 5 straight, but I cant remember a team that all 5 of those games came down to the last minute and they survived all of them.  Oklahoma is will hungry for a big time win following two straight losses.  

Iowa is coming off a terrible loss where the couldn't even show up against a highly rated team.  I think the Hawkeyes do show up here playing a team just as bad as them.  Wisconsin is 1-7 on the road this season.  They struggle shooting big time on the road 26% from three land.  Iowa should respond if they have any heart with a big effort here.

This line scared me to be honest seems too low here for Denver.  I think Denver will have the motivation here after having two days off and dropping their last home game to the Suns as big favorites.  Portland little over valued here winning 3 straight as all 3 came on their home court 

NCAAB PLAY OF THE DAY!

Really like Baylor here tonight against Kansas St.  Baylor is looking for a big win in conference play.  They have been on the wrong end of some tough games losing by 3, 3 different times already in conference play alone.  

Kansas St is being over valued comnig off back to back home wins over TCU and Oklahoma.  Both were very good spots for the Wildcats.  Kansas St ultimate let down spot here.

This won't be a popular play at all, but lets take a shot here.  I know the Grizz are banged up by quite franjly it hasn't stopped much as they have covered 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games.  This has the feeling of the ultimate let down spot for the Sixers here is the main reason going against them.  They have won 3 straight games which included the Raptors, Celtics and Bucks.  How will they handle this game?  Will this young team treat this one like the other?  I highly doubt it 

This just seems to high here.  I have said time and time again this isn't your usual UNC world beating team.  Virginia Tech really needs a signature win right now if that want to make the dance.  Not saying they do win, but they are 10-2 at home.  UNC has struggled against the number only covering 1 time in the last 7 games.  

I think Indiana should be favored here.  What Coach Miller has done in this turn around effort for the Hooisers has been very impressive.  They laid a complete egg last game @ Michigan St who was a pissed off team coming off a Michigan loss.  Before that though, they won 3 straight.  Maryland is has the guard play and are coming off a win and cover themselves.  I think this is a huge look ahead here with Sparty coming to Maryland this Sunday 

Let's take Southern Illinois here.  UNI is coming off two good wins in beating Valpo and Drake.  Those were both on their home court and given their situation then they were desperate for a win and wanted the Drake game big time as it was their rival.  Southern Illinois is 8-2 at home they aren't getting much respect since they have dropped 3 of their last 4 which all those 3 were on the road.  

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  Valpo is a team that is a lot better than their 11-9 record.  They have suffered several close losses here in conference play.  They are 2-5 in the conference while Loyola is 5-2.  This Valpo team man handled Drake the best team in the MVC which I had a couple games back.  Valpo defends their home court well with a 7-1 record.  

I backed NC ST in their last game as they won and covered against Wake Forest.  This Wolfpack team is just a whole different animal at home.  They have beat the likes of Clemson and Duke.  They need more quality wins as the season goes along to get into the dance.  Odds makers giving Miami too much credit since they ranked.  

Hornets are starting to play better as of late winning 3 of their last 4 games.  Where they have the huge advantage tonight is the rest.  They have had two days off while this will be Miami's 4th straight road game and second of a back to back.