I'm not sure the Gophers deserve to be underdogs here.  They have lost two in a row, but both on the road.  Their only home was to a healthy Michigan St team in OT.  Wisconsin is a good team, but as we are seeing there isn't a dominate team in the Big 10 so with that I believe any small home underdog is worth a look

I like the Bruins here in this match up as this team is one of top 3 most talented teams in the country.  Arizona is a good team, but they are just over matched here.  Why this line isn't higher is because Arizona has covered 7 of their last 8.  With the Bruins being 11-0 @ home I see them winning and covering here

Oklahoma is staring to get healthy now with their best player Jordan Woodard now back.  Evidence is very clear as the Sooners went on the road and won @ West Virginia this week.  Iowa St is trending in the wrong direction losing two in a row and their only conference road win was @ win less Oklahoma St in the conference.  Iowa St has really struggled on the glass 

I will back the Rockets here as this line really caught me off guard.  The Warriors are being over valued after 3 home blowout wins.  The Rockets will want this game to prove they do belong.  They also already beat the Warriors and while Golden St will be up for it, it's just a bad match up I believe for the Warriors

I will back the Hornets here at a short home price.  The line is low because of their recent struggles, but all of their losses came on the road.  They did have a bounce back game against Portland and I expect that to carry over here.  The Hornets will also want revenge from earlier in season after they lost by 2 @ home. 

I'm gonna take the Heat here tonight as the Mavs just won three in a for the first time and in no way I see this bad team winning 4 in a row.  The Mavs are in an odd travel spot here as this will be their 5th consecutive different court on with travel and coming off a big win over the Bulls.  Heat just beat the Rockets as well and they have had no travel issues

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love Iowa in this spot here as people are quick to forget they just beat Purdue on their home court and then like a typical young team laid an egg on the road @ Northwestern.  As most of you know I'm not high on Maryland as this team has played a very easy schedule and actually has the easiest schedule in the Big 10.  They are missing Wiley tonight a key guard off the bench and possibly without their 7'1 center as well.  Iowa bounces back in a big way here tonight

I know I normally don't back the Thunder on road, but with the Warriors coming off that huge emotional win over the Cavs and now have the Rockets on deck.  The Thunder will be looking for a big bounce back following a bad loss @ Clippers, but that was their 2nd of a back to back.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

Love the Kings here in this spot going against the Pacers who are just 5-14 SU on the road this season.  Pacers have won 6 of 7 but 5 of those were at home like usual.  The Kings losing streak isn't due because they are playing bad it's because they have played the Thunder, Cavs, Warriors and Clippers during that stretch.  The Kings should be able to pull away here fairy easy

I know this play won't be popular but the Pokes are due for a conference win here.  They are 0-5, but have played a lot better than their record indicates.  They lost by Kansas by 7 Baylor by 4 Texas by 3 and lead Iowa St by 6 with 5 minutes left before blowing that one.  This is a big sandwich game for Kansas St coming off an emotional game vs Baylor and they host West Virginia here next.  

The Bucks will be very motivated here as they take on the Rockets.  They are coming off a loss to the Sixers, but now catch the Rockets at a good time.  Rockets just lost last night @ the Heat and I doubt they will be to focused here tonight as they have the Warriors on deck.  Will take the points in this situation 

No surprise to me that this line is climbing since the opener.  Yes, UNI has struggled this year and have battled injuries, but Morgan is now back and we saw what they did to Drake their last game.  UNI will also have revenge on their mind here in this situation.  Coach Jacobsen won't let this team quit at all.   

I will take Wake Forest here as a live home underdog.  Miami being way over valued because of their blowout win @ Pitt in which Pitt just gave up in the 2nd half.  Also Wake has played probably the toughest conference schedule so far that is why they only have 1 conference win.  Nothing to be ashamed about losing to Clemson FSU UNC and Virginia.  I believe Wake takes care of business here

TCU has sure been a nice surprise on the season with new head coach in Dixon.  They are coming off two big wins for them over Texas and Iowa St.  Tech simply isn't getting enough credit here as they are a perfect 11-0 @ home with two nice wins over Kansas St and West Virginia.  With them coming off a ver ugly performance @ Oklahoma I expect a big bounce back here tonight 

Notre Dame is sitting a top the ACC right now, with Florida St in second and just suffered their first conference loss.  @ North Carolina.  This will be ND 3 road game in a row and you can expect some tired legs here while FSU is in a perfect bounce back spot.  I'm really high on this FSU team 

These two teams are both undefeated in the SEC right now and South Carolina wants this game to prove they belong.  They are 10-1 @ home this year with their only loss being to Clemson by 2 points.  Florida has played a lot of the bottom feeders in conference so far and only have 1 win by double digits.  They are being over valued simply because they have won 7 in a row 

I'm gonna back the Bulls here at a short price @ home.  They are coming off 2 wins in a row and the latest was a 8.5 point underdog @ Memphis.  The Bulls were absolutely embarrassed @ Dallas earlier in the season losing by 25 as 3.5 point favorites.  I see them wanting revenge in a big way here.  

Both teams are coming off very bad losses, but NC ST were favorite by 9.5 and previously they were favored by 5.5 in a loss to Boston College.  This NC ST team has played very well @ home going 10-1 SU with their only loss coming last game.  I see them responding in a big way here.  I also had Pitt in a losing effort and was very disappointed with the effort there.  This team really struggles to shoot the ball and with Louisville on deck I see them laying another egg here

I will back the Aggies here @ home who are in a desperate mode here sitting 1-4 in the conference.  This team simply has to much talent to be near the bottom of this league.  Remember earlier this season they gave UCLA all they could handle.  With their recent struggles it is adding value here and also Arkansas is coming off a blowout win over Missouri.  If the Aggies have any heart I expect them to respond 

This just seems like a lot of points for the Suns to be catching as they have been playing a lot better lately.  Devin Booker is now starting to show himself and this team is rallying behind him.  Suns are coming off a win over the Spurs in Mexico and they have been down there for a while which I believe that is playing into the line.  Suns have won 3 of their last 5 including a 2 point loss to the Cavs.  Jazz are playing well winning 3 straight , but all were at home and not sure how much motivation they will have here.  Also Rodney Hood being out is a bigger loss that what most people realize

BIG MONDAY SHOWDOWN!

I was against the Cyclones on Saturday as I figured they were in a huge look ahead spot here with KU coming to town.  This is a game that has been circled from day 1.  Iowa St is top 10 hardest places to play @ in college basketball.  Kansas is just 3-5 ATS on the road this season.  The Cyclones just pour in the 3's at home and they do it in a hurry.  I also haven't been impressed with KU lately as they have struggled against Kansas St Oklahoma and Oklahoma St.  They slip up tonight 

NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP!

The Warriors will be looking for big time revenge here as we all remember what happened on Christmas day.  They did do the Cavs a favor here on this west coast trip giving them 2 days off before wrapping up with this game.  I see the this getting ugly early.  The Warriors are a wrecking ball @ home winning by a margin of 14.  Cavs aren't playing their best either prior to covering last game they had failed to cover 6 in a row.  Lay the points

NBA BLOWOUT ATS WINNER!

This Pacers team is just a different animal @ home as compared to the road.  They are 15-5 SU @ home this season and are coming off a ugly neutral court loss to the Nuggets.  They also have the revenge angle here with the Pacers.  Pelicans are just 6-14 on the road and that is having to road wins just last week over the Knicks and Nets.  I'm not buying much stock into those wins 

NCAAB AFTERNOON SPECIAL!

Xavier is a perfect 9-0 @ home this season and expect that to continue.  They need a big time win here over Creighton after dropping two in a row on the road.  Their two losses were too top 25 teams though.  Creighton is riding high no doubt about it, but they are due for a wake up call.  

I don't trust this Thunder team on the road at all as most of you know.  They only have on road win the last 5 games.  The Kings will bounce back here after a hard fought loss to the Cavs 

I like the Buckeyes here today as this will only be their 2nd home conference game.  They have had a couple of close losses.  I'm just not sold on this Spartan team plain and simple.  I will gladly take the most desperate team 

These are by far the two best teams in the Missouri Valley this year and it's not even close.  The Shockers are getting a lot of respect here simply because of their name.  I actually believe that Illinois St should be favored in this match up.  This is a game Illinois St has had circled from the get go and you can expect a huge effort here from them tomorrow night.  I look for the so called "upset"

This line is one that probably smells the funniest throughout the day.  Utah is playing a lot better and that is the key here for me.  The reason for their better play is because they are now at full strength.  Obviously the betting public will be madly in love in the UCLA here.  Utah is an extremely difficult place to play and I look for them to pull the upset 

I love Illinois here tomorrow night against Maryland.  As most of you know by now I'm not high at all on this Maryland team.  Illinois two losses in conference both on road.  Maryland also blew Illinois out first game of conference play.  I had Iowa last night who got big revenge on Purdue after being blown out @ Purdue earlier.  Same situation applies here 

Great price here to back TCU who is 10-1 @ home.  I was against Iowa St in a loss for me @ Oklahoma St the other night.  They did rally from 6 down, but I don't think they can do that here.  TCU is one of the biggest surprises in all of college basketball this season.  Also a huge key here is that Iowa St has a massive look ahead on Big Monday with Kansas.  

Baylor is sure in a rough spot here after being embarrassed @ WVU.  Will they respond after that beat down is the key here.  I think K St is one of the most underrated teams in the country as they could easily be undefeated in conference losing to Texas Tech by just 1 and @ Kansas by 2 in which should have been OT but refs didn't call a travel.   

This is a situational play here pretty plain and simple.  West Virginia is coming off a blowout win over #1 Baylor ad now travel to Texas.  They are getting a ton of respect here being favored by double digits.  Well, this is a brutal spot for them as the intensity won't be as high and they are due a for a let down.  Shaka will have his guys ready as they are due for a big win themselves. Not saying they pull the upset but double digit home dogs with talent are hard to pass up on 

I realize Davidson doesn't have a great record to start the season, but this still a quality team.  We are getting a bonus here with Davidson due to the fact they haven't covered 5 straight and losing SU to Fordham as a 15 point favorite.  IMO they were clearly looking ahead to this game.  This is a do or die game for Davidson and I expect them to respond in this situation 

Notre Dame comes into this game tied for the lead in conference coming off a big win which I was against and now are underdogs? Hmmm this is the perfect let down spot for them as Va Tech is very tough @ home already beating Duke very handily.  Notre Dame has a huge game on deck as well @ Florida St next who is tied with them for conference play.  

This Minnesota team is getting a lot of credit as they are ranked, but Penn St has been just as impressive to me.  This is a young team getting better as the season goes along with evidence of that last game vs Michigan St.  I think the Gophers will be looking forward to their home meeting come against Wisconsin as opposed to this game.  

I was on Miami the other night as they let one slip away against Notre Dame.  I will go against them here as Pitt has lost 3 of 4 and simply cant afford a home loss here at all.  Pitt did just upset Virginia @ home a few games ago.  I look fro Pitt to bounce back here 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Hawks are quietly playing their best basketball right now winning 7 straight and 8 of 9.  This line is low because the Celtics have been playing well themselves.  This will be the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights with travel everyday which is difficult.  The Hawks are extremely rested here as this will only be their 2nd game in 6 days

NBA UNDERDO!

Great value with the T Wolves here as I believe they should be favored.  T Wolves are playing a lot better right now and coming off an impressive performance against the Rockets.  I say it a lot but I don't trust this Thunder team on the road and I doubt they are very motivated in this spot either.

I believe most will grab Purdue here as they dominated Iowa in the Big Ten opener.  Iowa was just returning their stud Tyler Cook back from injury and Purdue hit 10 3's in the first half.  That won't happen again here tonight.  Iowa is young, but I really like how these guys have handled adversity.  Purdue could be sleep walking here knowing they just blew them out.  

This Cincinnati team is going way under the radar because of their style of play.  However, I really believe this a legit top 10 team.  This is a huge game for the Bearcats and they will be out to make a statement.  SMU lost true road game @ USC and Boise St both teams aren't as good as Cincy.  They were also very lucky to come away with a win @ Memphis as well.  

Big bounce back spot here for the Knicks.  We all know what happened last night as the Sixers hit a buzzer beater to beat them.  They will be ready for this game obviously with Rose playing his former team.  The Bulls are a team that has struggled big time on the road.  Knicks bounce back with a big effort 

This is a very big game here for Miami and I believe they will respond.  They are undefeated @ home on the season and are coming off a very ugly game @ Syracuse which they are due for a big bounce back.  They also have 3 straight road games after this so you know there has been extra focus here given that.  Notre Dame in their only recent road game were very lucky to win @ Pitt.  Everything points here to Miami 

I'm going against Iowa St here on the road.  They did play Baylor very tough in a loss but I think Baylor was looking ahead to their match up with West Virginia.  The Pokes have dropped 3 straight so you can expect a big effort coming here tonight.  I also dont trust Iowa St on the road because their defense a a huge liability.  

I'm gonna take Creighton here at a fairly short price @ home.  Butler is a quality team no doubt, but what is keeping this line low is because of their win over Nova last week.  Creighton will be ready for this as they have a huge home court advantage.  

I really believe the wrong team is favored in this game.  Michigan has failed to cover 4 straight games with their only conference win coming against Penn St and that was a nail bitter.  Illinois coming off a blowout loss to Indiana.  I just think Illinois should be -2 or -3 here @ home given Michigan hasn't proved much at all

This looks like a big number but the Wizards are absolutely horrible on the road with only 4 wins all year.  Both teams played last night, but the Celtics will be hungry as they let one slip away @ Toronto big time while the Wizards hung on against the Bulls.  Celtics respond in a big way 

I know going against the Rockets isn't wise but this T Wolves team let the first game slip away from them.  The Rockets did play last night so travel is an issue.  They also hit 17 3's in the first meeting which I expect to come down.  T Wolves will be the more motivated team here 

I fully expect this line to flip flop here for Texas.  TCU is getting a lot of credit because of their record alone.  I'm simply nut buying it.  TCU played an extremely weak non conference schedule to rack up those wins.  Texas has been playing very well as of late although it hasn't shown up in the win column.  This will pull this one out tonight 

This line is climbing and I'm not quite sure why.  South Carolina are frauds to me so ignore their 12-3 record.  Tennessee is playing a lot better they were in a tough spot after upsetting @ Texas AM followed that up by 2 straight losses giving us the value here.  

The wrong team is favored here in this game tonight.  Portland is a terrible 6-15 on the road this season.  They just beat the Lakers last week so revenge plays a huge role here. Also the Lakers have been playing better winning 3 of 4 with their only loss as I have mentioned being @ Portland.  Lakers get the easy revenge here

I normally look to play against teams first game back of long road trips, but this is one where the Jazz won't have let down as they will be fired up for this one.  Both teams come into this game struggling to cover spreads, but all of Utah's were on the road and same with the Cavs.  Well the Cavs are on the road here and have failed to cover 3 of 4.  Also I don't believe Korver will play tonight so the Cavs are limited with players here.  The Jazz lost to Boston, Toronto, and Memphis all quality teams on the road so nothing to be alarmed about that.  

Had this one circled last night and as soon as I saw that line switch I was all over it.  I have faded Maryland a lot this season, but I just dont think this team is truly any good.  We are obviously catching a very short price because of the Hoosiers recent struggles.  They have way more talent than Maryland and I expect a huge effort here from them tonight. 

Really like FSU here tonight at a very short price @ home.  I actually think this team is a top 10 quality team.  Duke is a team I will be looking to fade on the road a lot as conference play goes along.  They are now without their glue guy and best defensive player in Jefferson which means Duke will struggle big time and will rely on the 3 ball all night night.  I believe they will literally shoot themselves out of the gym here tonight 

This is a really short price here to back Tech @ home.  They have dropped two in a row, but both games were on the road.  Cuse is a team I don't trust at all in this spot.  They are coming off two big back to back wins over Pitt and Miami and now travel.  Remember this Va Tech team handled Duke fairly easily on their home court.  Cuse getting way too much respect.  This team simply isn't very good 

I'm buying on the Bulls here as they are playing better basketball.  They have no won and covered 3 in a row and deserve to be bigger favorites against the Thunder.  The Thunder are just 8-10 on the road this year and have lost 4 straight on the road.  They are just 2-4 their last 6 games as well.  The time is right to buy on the Bulls. 

Good spot here to back the Raptors as I was against them last night.  They were in a tough spot vs the Bulls.  Yes the Rockets are playing very well but don't deserve to be favored here.  

I really like Purdue here today taking on Wisconsin.  The Badgers are coming off a huge road win @ Indiana and now have another tough one.  Purdue hasn't covered two in a row and had a loss to Minnesota SU which is giving us the value here.  

Not sure the last time UNI was catching double digits @ home.  They will be up for this game as it is a rivalry.  They have failed to cover 6 straight and now are getting some big adjusted lines.  

I know the Bulls have been disappointing this year but they don't deserve to be underdogs here.  They have won two in a row including a upset win over the Cavs.  They will no doubt want to build of that momentu.  I see them winning this one outright

I'm just not convinced this Maryland team is any good.  the betting public won't have anything to do with Michigan because they have only covered 3 times this year.  Michigan coming off an ugly game vs Penn St but they are primed for a huge game here.  Lay the points

Pitt is in a very difficult situation after upsetting Virginia @ home. Ow travel to Syracuse which is a hard place in itself but they also have Louisville on deck.  I was very impressed with what Cuse did to Maimi last game and I see them pulling this one out

I know this won't be a popular choice but this is all about the situatio.  Georgetown is desperate for their first conference win and Butler is coming off besting #1 ranked Niva.  After winning such a big game like that it's very difficult to travel no matter who you are playing

I will back the Wizards here as they return home.  They should be motivated following the loss to the Mavs.  Wizards are a lot better home team and the T Wolves strue on the road 

This line is one that will definitely be getting played by the betting public.  Nebraska is coming into their first conference home game after winning @Indiana and @Maryland.  This is a difficult spot for them and just begging for you to take the home team.  Iowa is playing a lot better as of late and are coming off a win in OT over Michigan that will serve this young team with a lot of confidenc.  Hawkeyes are a live dog here tonight 

I actually thought this line would be doubled.  Minnesota is no doubt vastly improved but it's a difficult spot as they are coming off a huge upset @Purdue.  NW will be hungry here as they are coming off a loss to the Spartans.  NW is a tourney team I habe no problem laying the short number with the Wildcats here

I still don't think then markets are being friendly enough to the Pelicans.  Now a healthy team they are playing up to their potentia.  They have covered 4 in a row and have won 4 straight home games as well.  The Hawks are playing better which is keeping this line low as they have won 5 of their last 6 but this is a back to back situation with travel which is always hard while the Pelicans have had two days off

It's pretty simple here for me as simply this is gut check time for the Pistons.  Pistons have the dreaded 5 game west road trip coming up so they should be ready here.  They are also catching the Hornets at a great time with them thumping the Thunder last night which I had but obviously are in a tough back to back situation here

This is one of those situations where people often over look.  The Raptors are a very good team no doubt and have an impressive record @ home which is playing into this line.  However, this will be their first game home since coming off a dreaded 6 games west coast trip.  These guys are very tired make no doubt it.  Well the Jazz failing to cover @ Boston they won't get much support here either

I fully expect this line to change as ND should be favored here.  They are being way undervalued due to them not covering 4 in a row.  Louisville is in a tough spot here coming off a big win over Indiana.  Their only true road game they struggled against Grand Canyon as they only won by 9.  

I will gladly fade away on the Hokies here as they are going on the road now after beating Duke.   The thing was is that they caught Duke at a great time with Allen being out.  NC St will be motivated as they are coming off a blowout loss @ Miami.  I like this spot for the Wolfpack

I will back the Hornets here as the Thunder are simply an overrated team on the road.  Hornets have lost two in a row but they are a good team @ home.  Hornets have a big road trip coming up so you can expect a max effort here from them tonight 

I will take Butler here as I believe they will beat Nova SU tonight.  Nova is now in consecutive road games as they pulled away from Creighton last week.  Butler plays better defense than any team Nova has faced.  Home dog wins out right 

I'm willing to back the Lakers here as they want revenge from earlier this season and plus the Grizzlies I doubt are too interested here as they have a bigger game tomorrow night against the Clippers then the Warriors after that.  Also Gasol probably won't play here tonight and they will miss him.  Lakers are a live dog 

This line is a big over reaction here to me as Texas Tech was only 4.5 point underdogs @ Iowa St and actually blew a huge lead in that game and even failed to cover.  Now they are 4.5 point under dogs @ home?  WVU isn't 9 points better than Iowa St.  Since WVU blew out Oklahoma St on the road they are getting the love, but I'm not buying it all here 

I like St Bonaventure here as a short home favorite.  They are a very under rated basketball that has a legit shot of making the tournament.  The key here though is that Dayton will be playing their first true road game and will likely be without their best player in Charles Cooke.  If some how he does play Dayton will probably go to favorites, but I would still like St Bonaventure then.  

I like the Pistons here as they now have something to build off with a good win @ Miami.  This Pacers team is simply one you cant trust on the road at all this season.  They are just 4-13 SU & ATS on the road.  With the Pacers winning and covering their last two games @ home it only adds to the value here with the Pistons.  

I know a cardinal rule you don't play against good teams after a road loss generally they bounce back.  However, I'm not sold this Carolina team is as good as people think .  Clemson is a very quality basketball team and they will be ready for this game tonight.  They are undefeated @ home to start the season.  

I like the Bucks here tonight as I believe they are playing very good basketball.  The betting public will likely be all over the Thunder and especially since they are coming off a blowout win over the Clippers.  If you throw out the two losses to the Cavs on back to backs for the Bucks they are 5-2 their last 7.  The Thunder are 5-1 ATS their L6 which is having them over valued and they have also benefited from playing teams with key injuries 

Yes I'm going to go with my team here in Iowa. I personally feel they should be favored here.  Iowa matches up extremely well with Michigan and their guards.  The Hawkeyes are coming off an ugly loss @ Purdue, but they don't match up well against those big men plus Purdue made 10 threes in the first half.  This is a great spot for a bounce back.  

This is a very difficult situation for Nebraska here.  They are coming off a huge upset win over Indiana in which they nearly shot 50% from the field.  Now they travel again to face Maryland.  Maryland took care of business easily in their first conference game over Illinois and I see them blowing out Nebraska here today as well.  

The betting public will be all over the Cavs here, but I think the value is with the Hornets who are playing very well as of late.  They have won 5 of 6 and want revenge of two losses to the Cavs both at Cleveland from earlier in the year.  I'm not sure how much interest the Cavs will have here in this game.  Also Kyrie isn't 100% either even though it looks like he is going to play.  Hornets are a sneaky good team 

I will back the Hurricanes here as I think NC St is getting a lot of credit based on their record.  Well, looking back they haven't played anyone and their two toughest games which were Creighton and Illinois they lost by double digits in both.  Miami has failed to cover 7 in a row, but a lot of those games are huge numbers.  One team being over valued and one team being under valued here

I know generally I have been going against a lot of teams in their first true road test, but the situation with Virginia is very hard.  They are coming off two huge road wins in a row @ Cal and @ Louisville.  This Florida St team has just as much talent as anyone in the ACC. I will take the points here as this line seems very inflated

Both teams are starting conference play and I will go with Pitt here.  This team doesn't get much love because of how they play plus they don't have any future NBA studs well.  They just play solid team basketball.  Notre Dame is a very good team themselves I think they have a huge look ahead here with Louisville coming to South Bend next.  Notre Dames does rely a lot on outside shooting and those are the teams I look to fade when they get away from home

I really like this Creighton as I have backed them several times this year.  They have everything you are looking for when it comes to a top team.  Nova is undefeated as well , but has really only had one big challenge IMO so far.  Creighton has had this game circled and is looking to make a splash which I think they will today

I really like this Duke team going forward, but this is a tough situation for them.  They have been under the spotlight with Grayson Allen and is tripping incident.  He is the guy that I would call the glue on this team.  Bolden and Giles are back, but both have seen limited action so far.  The question is will Luke Keenard be able to carry this team on the road.  I'm willing to bet no in the first game given this situation.  Va Tech is a sneaky team this year as they only have one loss which came to Texas A&M by just 3.

Cal isn't getting any credit as they failed to cover against Virginia last out which I did have them.  They blew that game though having a huge scoring drought when up 7.  Arizona is a good team, but they are battling injuries and their best player returning hasn't played a minute yet because of grades.  This is a young Arizona team as well in their first true road game.  I like Cal to pull away

I believe this line will change and Memphis will be favored by tip.  I backed them last out in a losing effort against SMU.  They actually should have won that game if it wasn't for the free throws and we see a totally different line.  I'm also not very high on South Carolina as they have benefited from an easy schedule IMO.  Memphis should be hungry for a big bounce back win here.  They also only shot 35% against SMU you can expect that to go up as well.

This line has dropped from the opener, but in no way can I back the Pistons here.  Their only win in the last 7 games was against the Cavs as they rested all the key players.  The Hawks are starting to play a little better and I am ready to jump back on board with them.  Also the best angle for me here is that the Pistons embarrassed the Hawks winning by over 30 @ Atlanta at the beginning of the month.  Hawks will want revenge here no doubt about it

Now is the time to buy on the T Wolves.  This team has been frustrating this year to figure out, but they are playing their best basketball right now.  They have covered 7 of their last 9 games.  During that stretch they have had 3 SU losses by 4 points or less.  The Bucks are coming off a blowout win over the train wreck Pistons so I'm not putting much stock into that.   

I fully expect this line to go up.  I'm not buying the Red Raiders 11-1 start.  They have played a very easy schedule and this will be their first true road in a extremely tough environment.  Iowa St has the talent of a Top 10 team they just need to play better defense as a whole.  I like the Cyclones to make a statement in the Big 12 opener. 

I know Sparty is down this year, but I have say I was extremely impressed the other night with them going on the road and winning @ Minnesota in OT.  They showed a ton of fight without their best player in Bridges.  Northwestern is a vastly improved team but this line is saying the Sparty is only a few points better than Penn St.  Winning on the road in college basketball is very hard and winning 2 in a row is even more difficult.  

The Pacers are in a primed bounce back spot here against the Bulls tonight.  They just lost @ Chicago a few days ago and this will be the last time they play in the year.  The home team has covered every game so far this season.  Pacers play very well @ home with a 11-5 record and the Bulls struggle on the road with a 6-10 record.  Pacers have lost 4 a in row, but I expect a huge effort here tonight.  

I know it's hard to back the Suns but they blew that game last night being outscored by almost 30 points in the 2nd half and not covering.  The Raptors fought like hell to get back into the game last night @ the Warriors used a ton of energy and now won't be as interested here.  The Suns are a good home dog and getting this many points is a treat.  

I'm going to lay the the short number here with the Grizzlies as I expect them to respond with a big effort tonight after dropping back to back road games.  The Thunder are being overvalued due to their 4 game winning streak and covering 5 of 6 games.  The Thunder are just 2 games SU above .500 on the road and this is a very good home team.  

This just seems like way to points for this young Kentucky team to be laying on the road in conference.  The SEC is hard to figure it out, but I think Ole Miss is easily a top 5 team in conference and with them catching double digits it's just to hard to pass up.  Ole Miss has played some tough competition as well this season so they should be ready for the test 

I will take the Raptors here as I think this is a tough spot for the Warriors.  They are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Cavs on Christmas day.  I believe this line is inflated because everyone knows about the Warriors never losing back to back games.  The Raptors are 11-3 SU on the road this season and will definitely be ready for tonight's big game.   

The wrong team is favored here and the Kings are getting way too much respect for me.  They have won 4 in a row including a win over Portland not to long ago.  The Trailblazers are without Lillard again but dont deserve to be underdogs.  They made a team worst 4 threes against the Kings and will be out for revenge here tonight.  

Temple simply isn't getting enough credit here as this was a game I think should be closer to a PK.  The Owls have beat West Virginia and Florida St two teams that are way more athletic than Cincinnati.  I know Cincy went on the road and won @ Iowa St earlier, but the Cyclones shooting was pathetic that game.  Temple is a live dog here

There is no doubt that UCLA is a very good team as they have been the surprise of college basketball so far.  However, I feel people are overreacting and also forgetting that this Oregon team was preseason Top 5.  If this game would have been played early in the season the Ducks would have been favored by 5 or more.  Now we are getting a ton of value here.