I am always a little worried about a line that begs for it.  I also don't think the markets have adjusted enough right now for the Thunder.  Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, but the Thunder have had a difficult travel schedule.  The Knicks right now are red hot winning 5 of 7 and playing their best basketball @ home going 7-2 on the season with wins in a row.  That is why this line makes me wonder a hair, but I'm on it.  Also the Thunder even with Durant have really struggled in New York going 1-6 ATS L7 games there.  

I will back the Trailblazers here at home tonight taking on the Rockets.  Houston is simply being over valued right now.  These teams have already played @ Houston and the Rockets were a 5 point favorite so going off that line Portland should be -1.  The Rockets did win that game, but made 14 3's which I highly doubt they do this time around.  Portland struggled on their long road trip, but won their first game back after that so they are rested and will be ready here tonight.  

This is more of a play against Maryland as they continue to win they are getting way to much respect.  This team lost a ton from last years team and are squeaking by everyone it seems like.  All their luck catches up to them tonight.  Kansas St beats them!

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These two teams played last night and I had the Knicks in a winner, now will back the Hornets in this spot which will seem like a of points.  However, the Hornets shot the ball very bad last night.  They were 27% from long distance and 63% from the free throw line.  So the fact they took it to OT is pretty good.  They get revenge here tonight 

I like the Hawkeyes to bounce back here today against Memphis.  Iowa played Virginia and looked bad, but this Virginia team is no joke and already look mid season form.  Providence beat Memphis and I'm not high on either team this year.  Memphis now have Tubby coaching and this will be a transition year for him.  Iowa will bounce back with a victory here tonight

I'm not gonna put much stock in the Nebraska win over Dayton as the Flyers were missing arguably their best player.  Plain & simple UCLA is loaded across the board this year and I see another blowout happening 

This line really tells the story here as the T Wolves are 1-6 on the road and are favored.  The Suns are coming off a win but that was in the midst of a 6 game road trip.  I see them being flat here and the T Wolves extra motivated to grab a road win during this trip as their next game is at the Warriors

The Jazz are extremely rested here as they haven't had travel and this is their 2nd game in 5 days.  The Hawks have had a brutal stretch here this will be their 4th game in 6 days with travel all over the place.  Lay the small number here the Jazz shouldn't have a problem at all 

I'm really confused by this line was no way I thought the Knicks would be underdogs.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now winning 4 of 5 and are 6-2 @ home.  The Hornets are playing their worst losing 3 in a row and 5 of 7.  They simply have no business laying points here I would expect a huge move here favoring the Knicks at some point.  

This LSU team obviously lost a ton and it shows.  They were blown out vs the Ahickers in the first game of this tournament.  VCU hung tough with Baylor in the first round and I see them just dominating from start to finish here.  Also LSU struggled a lot with ODU last night

The Celtics will definitely be treating this as a huge game.  This team is finally healthy and since they have been they have won 3 in a row and now have the chance to make a big splash.  I simply can't pass this number up with a quality team like the Celtics  

Seems like a huge over reaction from yesterday that Sparty was a small dog vs a better team and since they struggled yesterda.  Izzo apologized to his team so you can expect a big bounce back effort here.  grab the 6 here the Shockers don't deserve to be laying this much

I was hoping for this number to be around the 5 mark, but I still like it @ 8.  Vanderbilt is in a tough spot this season having to replace guys like Wade Baldwin and Damian Jones is extremely tough for a program like Vandy.  Those type of guys simply don't come around very often.  Butler did lose their scorer in Dunham last year, but do return quality players and it has shown so far.  These teams have a common opponent in Bucknell.  Butler beat them by 26 and Vandy lost by 3 as 12 point favorites.  I think that says a lot about what to expect. 

This is a neutral court game which is keeping this line down, but in no way can you back Temple as they are in a rebuilding mode this season.  Their best returning player is their PG and he is out with an injury here.  Florida St has a ton of athletes including two first round draft picks this year.  I see Bacon and Mayes taking this game over from the start 

I like this Baylor team a lot as I mentioned yesterday.  They were faced with a lot of adversity yesterday and handled it extremely well I thought. Sparty is still getting a lot of respect because of their name, but lets face it you can't back this team right now from what we have seen.  Baylor has more experience better players and athletes.  While Izzo does coach circles around Drew it won't happen in November

I was on the Nuggets last night as my TOP PLAY winner over the Bulls and now will be against them here tonight.  Another angle I like to use sometimes as well is that the Nuggets just beat the Jazz and the Jazz haven't played since then.  So they definitely will want the revenge here and plus have the upper hand with the Nuggets winning out right against the Bulls.  The Jazz have lost and havent covered 4 in a row so they won't be looking past this game plus with two days of rest that only adds to the value  

I like the Pacers here tonight for several reason.  One it looks like Paul George should be back in the lineup.  Also this game as you know means a lot to Jeff Teague who left Atlanta for the Pacers and he will want to beat them here.  The Pacers are coming off a brutal beat down to the hands of the Warriors so I always like teams that are in that situation.  The Hawks are struggling right now and have to be dead tired going from Charlotte to New York to back home last night and now to Indiana.  

I will go ahead and take the points here with the Suns tonight.  I do realize TJ Warren is out, but I see a bigger effort here from the Suns than the Magic.  This is the Suns last road game of a big trip here and you know they want to come away with a win.  The Magic however I see them having no interest here as they just had a hard fought loss @ the Bucks and return home.  The Suns also match up well against the Magic.  I don't see a blowout either way so give me the team with motivation.

I will gladly back Penn St here as they are way better than Colgate.  Penn St has played a very tough schedule with Duke and Cincinnati.  This will be a huge relief for them in this game.  This team has a ton of talent brought it and I expect it to show up tonight.  Colgate just lost to NJ Tech and and lost by 28 @ Syracuse

Pretty plain and simple here for me.  This UConn team is just terrible.  I also look for Oregon to build off that win yesterday vs Tennessee.  Won't go to much in depth on this game, but Uconn doesn't match up well I see the the Oregon guards going off this game

I'm really high on this Baylor team this year and I would grab this line now as I see it climbing.  VCU lost two key pieces from last years team and this is what I believe will be a semi rebuilding year for them.  Baylor is simply just loaded with talent starting with Motley.  They have key transfers that I feel are going under the radar right now.  This team absolutely blew out Oregon while I realize on their home court, but still something to be said about it.  I'm not a fan of Drew the coach as he always seems to screw things up.   As for today Baylor is just the superior team. 

I really love the Nuggets here tonight as they are catching points here against a very tired Bulls team.  This Bulls will have played 8 of their last 9 on road and this will be their 5th road game in 8 days and playing in the mile city is no easy task.  They are also being over valued since they have covered in every single road game during this trip.  However the Nuggets have covered 4 in a row and are coming off an impressive double digit win vs the Jazz.  I see another big effort here from the Nuggets tonight.   Bulls are 0-4 ATS L4 meetings in Denver. 

I will gladly back the Knicks here as a short home favorite.  They have won 3 of their last 4 and their only loss while it was against the Wizards it was the second of a back to back.  Portland is being over valued here as they gave it all they had last time out in a blowout win over the Nets knowing this wouldn't be a great spot for them.  This will be Portland's 4th road game in 6 days.  They are also missing two key pieces with Aminu and Ezeli.  The Knicks will be able to match up well with McCollum and Lillard here.  Grab the Knicks at short price here tonight

I'm going to back Northwestern here tonight against Notre Dame.  Notre Dame is going to face a team that plays relentless defense.  NW caused all sorts of problems for the talented Texas team and I see doing the same here tonight.  This Northwestern team is out to prove something to make the NCAA tournament this year and this win tonight will get them on the right track.

I realize UConn has struggled out of the gates but this line is a huge over reaction here considering its a neutral court.  This team was ranked a few days ago and now are getting points against possibly the worst team in the Big 12.  I'm not high at all on Oklahoma St this year.  This is will be the Cowboys first hard test as well and I can't believe they are favored.  UConn still has more talent and the better coach.  Grab the points 

This may come as a surprise play, but I really believe the Bucks will be focused here as they have 3 days off after this game.  They fought hard against the Warriors which I did have them but fell short.  The Magic are a bad team plain and simple and I don't buy their recent wins, beating the Pelicans and Mavs.  This young Bucks team will put forth a huge effort here

This seems like a big over reaction in the line as the Pistons were just favored against a better team in the Celtics and lost by just 2 which was their only home loss on the season.  Now they are catching points against a worse team and a team that plays zero defense.  This is the Rockets 4th game in 6 days and I see them over looking this one as it's a weird scheduling spot for them and they host the Raptors next.  I like the Pistons here tonight to pull out the win

I will gladly lay the points here with the Hornets who will be motivated tonight after losing at the Pelicans.  The Grizzlies are simply being over valued with two blowout wins.  The Hornets are a very good home team with a 4-2 record so far.  This is a hard spot for Memphis as well with this being their 4th game in 6 days and also now Parsons is out which is a big loss.  Hornets bounce back in a big way here

I'm really surprised this line isn't higher.  I still think it's because GW is coming off NIT championship win.  Well that team lost a ton of talent even though they do return Tyler Cavanaugh.  They lost 45 ppg from the guys who are gone that is asking a ton for a team to replace that doesn't get the blue chip recruits.  I have Georgia as a sleeper in the SEC this year and it starts with their go to guy JJ Frazier.  They do return a lot of experience here even though they lost Kenny Gaines.  I see Georgia taking this game.  Also Georgia wasn't as bad as what people may believe this team did win 20 games last year

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The Lakers are in a very good spot here and I expect them come out with the win here tonight.  The Bulls played a hard fought game last night vs the Clippers and you know they went out last night since staying in LA.  The Lakers will be ready for them and they are 4-2 @ home so far this season.  With the Bulls covering 5 in a row the betting public will be all over them here.  I actually expect this line to come down throughout the day

Really like Creighton here today taking on NC St.  This NC St is without one starter and two key role players.  Creighton is continued to be undervalued to start the season.  This team is a legit top 10 team lead by Watson and Foster.  NC St does have nice freshman Dennis Smith, but he will be outmatched here today.  Lay the points.

I was on UNI in their craxy come back against Oklahoma Friday night.  I see their luck coming to an end here today with Xavier.  Xavier is a team that will contend for the Big East title right up there with Villanova.  UNI is a good team, but I see the shots being a little harder here as the Musketeers play very good defense.

This Davidson team is loaded this year with stud Jack Gibbs who averaged 23.5 ppg last year and they also return Peyton Aldridge who averaged 15 ppg.  The A-10 is an extremely tough conference and I expect Davidson to be right up there when season ends.  Arizona St played a similar team to Davidson in UNI and got their clocked clean.  I see the same thing happening today 

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I was against the Warriors last night and will be against them again here tonight as this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days while the Bucks have had a day off.  Remember last year Bucks were also the first team to beat the Warriors so this team can do it.  Also I doubt the Warriors are really too focused on this game while the young Bucks literally will be up for the challenge tonight. 

I'm not going to lie this is a play strictly on the line move here.  It has jumped so much the Twolves have to be the right side here.  I feel that Vegas knows Grizz have some injuries here that haven't been released yet.  The Grizz are coming off a 4 game road trip winning and covering 3 in a row here.  T Wolves get the job done tonight

Both of these teams played last night and lost in bad fashion.  This Pistons team so far has been an easy one to figure out and that is back them at home and fade them on the road.  Pistons are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS @ home right now.  Celtics still have injury issues and the fact they are coming off the Warriors and probably don't have any interest in playing this game.

This Rhode Island team won't be getting much respect here vs a team like Cincinnati, but they are the real deal lead by EC Matthews.  Cincy was just tied at halftime with Albany and ended up blowing them out so that was a little misleading in that regard.  This game is also very close to home for Rhode Island even though played on a neutral court in Connecticut.  I look for Rhode Island and this experienced team get the win here today

The Nuggets have a huge advantage here being well rested as this will only be their 2nd game in 5 nights while, this will be the Raptors 3rd in 4 nights.  Why that is worth noting is also because the Raptors are coming off the Cavs and Warriors making this an extremely difficult spot to get motivated here for.  

I know the Celtics are struggling to start the season, but this is just too many points for the Warriors to lay against this caliber of team.  Celtics have had plenty of injury problems, but this team is still 4-1 @ home and will most definitely be up for this one.  The Warriors caught the Raptors in a perfect spot last game as they were well rested and it was the second of a back to back for Toronto.  Do let that fool ya here.  This Celtics team can play defense with the best and will have it out for the Warriors tonight.   

I'm going to back the Panthers here tonight.  Both teams are coming off blow out wins, but I was very impressed with how UNI played against Arizona St.  They do return a lot of key pieces from last year lead by Morgan and their coach Ben Jacobson is one of the most underrated in the country.  Oklahoma coming off a blowout as I have mentioned but Tulane is awful plain and simple.  Sooners I am looking to play against at the beginning especially with the losses of Buddy Hield, Cousins and Spangler.  UNI will get in their face and defend.  Wouldn't be surprised at all to see UNI win this game is a coin flip IMO 

Really like the value here with the Hornets.  Both of these teams are playing surprisingly well to start the season, but I am ready to fade away on the Hawks right now.  They have won 6 in row and now will be playing their 3rd game on 4 nights while the Hornets return home and have had two days off.  Dwight Howard is also still banged up and is a big question mark if he will even play.  Hawks are just 2-10 ATS on road vs a team with a winning home record.  

Michigan coming off a big blowout win over Marquette, but this game to me is more about who they have played.  Pitt who SMU beat is a better team than Marquette.  Also Michigan turned the ball over 17 times which is very concerning considering SMU only committed 7.  Michigan shot the ball great from deep @ 40% can they do that back to back games on a neutral court?  SMU plays solid defense and will make them work for everything.  Grab the Mustangs I see this line rising

I was against the Jazz in their last home as they was a very bad spot for them returning home off a tough road trip and they lost out right.  I will gladly back them here as now they have had two days and will be ready to go tonight.  The Bulls will likely draw the public here as they are coming off a blowout win @ Portland and have now won and covered 3 straight.  The Jazz are the better team here and with the rest they get the job done tonight. 

I will gladly take all the points here with this Grizzlies team who is now healthy.  This line has never been double digits going back 3 years for either team.  A large part of this inflated line is due to the Clippers hot start.  No doubt the Clippers are the best team in the NBA right now, but to be laying this many points with a team of this caliber makes no sense.  This will also be their 4th game in 6 nights as well.  I like the Grizzlies to keep this one a lot closer than people think

With the Thunder losing 4 in a row I believe that has created big time value here with them tonight.  First, I am willing to bet that they dont lose 4 games in a row @ home.  Two of those 4 losses were by two points which is getting over looked.  Also throw in that they simply weren't interested the other night @ Detroit.  This is a great spot for the Thunder to bounce back here as well since the Rockets still play zero defense.  Thunder are 6-0 ATS L6 games following a loss by 10 or more points. 

The Cavs are 9-1 and off to a great start of the season, however they have only covered 3 spreads and are in a difficult spot here tonight playing on a back to back against a division rival in Indiana.  Sure the Pacers have struggled so far with their new team and coach, but that is creating a ton of value here.  Indiana has owned this series as of late covering 7 of the last 8.  I like the fact they held the Magic to under 70 points the previous game which is telling me they are working harder to become a better defensive team which was hurting them.  Cavs have had 1 other back to back situation this season and failed to cover in that spot.  Take the live home dog here

Creighton struggled their first game, but I believe they were looking ahead to this match up.  The Bluejays are loaded this year.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and add a lot of depth here.  Marcus Foster a transfer from Kansas St is key here.  He will probably their leading scorer.  Him and Foster will give Wisconsin fits tonight.  Wisconsin is a good team and does return 4 starters themselves, I just have a gut feeling they won't be as good this year.  They won't be a surprise to anyone this year.  Also this is one of the least athletic teams they have had in a while as well.  Creighton just matches up extremely plus they are more athletic and playing @ home never hurts.

I'm going to back the T Wolves here in I feel is a big game for them as they try and get back to .500.  With the Sixers coming into town next and with them coming off a nice win which I had over the Lakers I see them putting forth a big effort.  I also think the Hornets will show very little interest here with them coming off a hard fought loss @ the Cavs.  Minnesota is playing a lot better lately and I see them winning this one here tonight as well.

Was hoping for a lower line with the Hoyas, but I dont mind it here.  Maryland is a team that will really struggle this year.  They lost a ton and I mean a ton of last years great team.  Sure they still have stud Melo Trimble back but that is the only starter back.  It came to no surprise to me that they struggled out of the gate with a 6 point victory over American as 20 point favorites.  G Town has really good depth and more importantly the edge here is experience.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and added some key pieces.  Transfer Rodney Pryor comes in from Robert Morris who averaged 18 ppg and displayed his immediate impact scoring 32 points in the first game.  G Town beats up on Maryland

The Thunder have hit a little slump here losing 3 in a row and were just upset last night on their home court to the Magic.  I see them losing again here tonight as quite frankly they will be over looking the Pistons here.  Detroit has had a rough start no doubt, but they are 4-0 @ home this season and will be plenty motivated here to play the Thunder.  This has been a place where the Thunder have struggled and that was with Durant.  They are just 1-4 ATS L5 meeting in Detroit.  With this being their second of a back to back I see the Pistons hungry another home win here.  

Villanova is the defending national champions coming into this season with a lot of expectations, but now also a big target on their backs.  This team will do great in the Big East again as the conference quite simply isnt what it use to be.  For me here tonight Nova is traveling to untested waters as they don't realize how hard it truly is to play @ Purdue.   This is a hidden gem as far as home courts are concerned in college basketball.  Nova has to replace Ryan Arcidiacono who I thought was the glue to last year's team.  He created so many opportunities for everyone and made them better.  They do have Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson who are both great players, but they will have to try and take games over themselves which is difficult task especially on the road.  Purdue lost AJ Hammons, but return sophomore stud Caleb Swanigan who quite frankly Nova won't have an answer to.  Their other twin tower is back as well in Isaac Haas.  This is the difference for me here in this game that Purdue will dominate down low and only give Nova one chance which is how you beat these guys.  Purdue also has some sneaky good guards themselves and they can shoot as well.  

I honestly cant believe the value we are getting here with the Suns.  I know most of it is because they played terrible last night in a loss to the Nets.  I feel the Suns were caught looking ahead big time here.  The Warriors are rested as well which is playing into the line but they have no motivation playing the Suns here before a big road trip awaits.  Just a couple games ago the Warriors were favored by this much over the Pelicans who are way worse than the Suns

I was sure wrong about both these teams last night.  However, I do see a big bounce back here for the T Wolves.  The Lakers are no doubt a nice surprise but I don't see them winning this one here tonight as both are on a back to back.  However, the Lakers have traveled from Sacramento to New Orleans now to Minnesota.  I see them running out of steam here

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The Bucks are being undervalued here due to their loss against the Pelicans that should wake them up enough and make them motivated for a big bounce back here. Memphis is still struggling injuries and Parsons is questionable and Allen is out.  This young Bucks team will respond here after an ugly performance 

This is a great spot here for the young T Wolves tonight.  They have had 2 days rest here and are just playing their 3 home game of the season.  The Clippers will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and 2nd on a back to back.  They are coming off a hard fought win last night @ Thunder which I believe will take a lot out of them.  

So we have a 1-8 team favored over a 5-4 team with the Lakers being one of the early surprises this year.  The betting public will love them some Lakers here no doubt about it.  While I can't blame them, but this line is a telling sign to me.  The Pelicans just got their first win and should be extra motivated following that.  I also think this young Lakers team won't have much interest here and plus they are coming of a road win @ Kings.  I need to see it before I believe it that the Lakers can win back to back games on the road

I will gladly take the 6 points here with the Hoosiers who are being very underrated IMO here.  Kansas is ranked high and will get a ton of love, but I see some struggles coming out of the gates here as they lost a ton.  They lost 6 key contributors including their glue guy in Perry Ellis.  I realize they do have stud freshman Josh Jackson but asking him to be the go to guy right away is always difficult.  It reminds me a lot of the Wiggins situation.  Indiana I am very high on this year they have two big time players in Thomas Bryant and OG Anunoby.  This team will defend at a high level and they can shoot it at a high level.  Getting this many points is a gift I feel 

I have been against them a couple times, but now I'm on board.  This Hornets team is simply on fire to start the season and are playing with a ton of confidence.  Hornets are 6-1 to start the season and I see them having another victory here tonight.  The Raptors will get a lot of love because of their road win @ OKC but it will be hard to follow that up.  

I really like this Arizona team coming into the season.  They have a great nucleus of guards and that includes their leading scorer from last year in Allonzo Trier.  They have stud freshman coming in all across the board.  If you haven't watched or heard of Kobi Simmons you will by tonight.  This kid is the real deal.  Michigan St is a good team no doubt but I really question their guard play this early with the do it all guy last year in Denzel Valentine obviously gone.  This Wildcats team comes away with the win

This Denver Nuggets team simply isn't getting enough credit right now.  I have briefly talked about them before the season had started about they were a team to watch out for in the West as a surprise.  The only thing I'm concerned about here is that they are coming off a east coast road trip, but I believe with them playing the Warriors that won't have a big effect as they will be ready for this contest.  This is the Warriors second of a back to back here winning in blowout fashion last night.  The Warriors have only had one other back to back situation and that resulted in a loss @ Lakers as double digit favorites.  I see the Nuggets keeping it real close tonight

I was on the Bulls last night and what a mistake that was.  This team still struggles big time on the defensive end of the ball.  They were in a great spot there and couldn't come through.  Now they are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Heat have had 2 days off now and I will gladly back them in this situation.  Also it is worth noting that this will be Wade's first return to South Beach so you can bet the Heat will have extra motivation here as well.  Bulls are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a losing record.  

This game has the classic let down written all over it.  I was on the Hawks last night as they handed the Cavs their first loss of the season.  The Hawks played great while the Cavs really shot terrible from the field.  Now the Hawks get a Bulls team who will be more than ready tonight.  It's just simply gonna be hard for the Hawks to match the intensity for the whole game tonight as they did last night.  Bulls are 4-1 ATS L5 games following a SU win

I know I just lost with the Wizards the other night, but I have no problem firing back again with them here.  This is more of a play against the Celtics as they are banged up right now with Horford and Crowder out again.  The Wizards truly need this game tonight so show some signs of life.  Celtics are 2-9 ATS L11 games playing on 2 days rest. 

I really believe this line is telling the story here as the Hornets are red hot but they are begging for you to take them here.  To me as I have mentioned a lot I am very high on this Jazz team as they are a top 4 team in the West.  They key here is now they are healthy with Gordon Hayward back in the lineup.  I was also not impressed with the Hornets blowout win over the Pacers as they are struggling big time on defense.  The Jazz have no problem playing defense and will lock down the Hornets tonight. 

This line definitely depends on whether Mike Conley plays, but I haven't found anything that he is out or will be a late scratch so I will be on Memphis here tonight.  This is a big game for them in the sense they have lost back to back home games will be putting forth a huge effort here tonight with 6 of their next 7 being on the road.  The Nuggets are on their final game of the trip with it being 4 games in 6 days.  This has already been a successful one for them picking up two win with one of them coming last game in a big upset over the Celtics.  This is simply a very bad spot for them here tonight.  Nuggets are 1-5 ATS their L6 following a SU win

This is simply to hard pass up on and maybe I'm on the wrong side but the Hawks are no joke this year.  The Cavs have been favorites around this number a lot being favored by 9 over the Knicks, which the Hawks are a lot better than them.  Favored by 10 over a injured Celtics team and 9.5 against the Rockets who are worse than the Hawks.  Both teams have had two days here.  I just think the Hawks will really want to make their presence known here.  I see this being an extremely competitive game.

I'm going to take the Bulls here in a spot where I feel they will respond with a big effort.  The Bulls have lost 3 in a row and have failed to cover in each of those games.  Losing to the Celtics Knicks and Pacers is nothing to hang your head on and 2 of those were on the road.  The home loss to the Knicks doesn't have me as concerned considering you were going to get a huge effort from Noah and Rose returning back.  So with the Bulls having 2 away games coming up and then a huge west coast road trip they will want to get the ball rolling in a positive direction.  The Magic have won 3 in a row but to the Sixers Kings and Wizards.  I see the Bulls responding with the big defensive effort here and pulling away 

I was on the Wizards as 1.5 point favorites over the Hawks in a nice win which was their first of the season.  I'm going to back them again here tonight as there is no better way of getting out of a slump than playing a team that doesn't play a lick of defense.  I Wizards realize that with Boston and Cleveland coming to town later this week this is a big chance for a win.  The Rockets IMO could simply over look this game here as they have a big one with rival Spurs on deck.  Washington should be more than desperate here and I see them coming away with a victory tonight.

I like the Pacers here tonight who I realize hasn't won a road game yet but I feel that is also creating the value here with them.  I was on the Pacers Saturday night in a nice win over the Bulls and I see them bringing forth a big effort again tonight.  The Hornets are off to a nice start themselves with a 4-1 record, but they have played a very easy schedule so far.  With wins over the Sixers Nets Bucks and Heat all 4 are below average teams.  Also the Hornets are dealing with injuries and illness.  Hibbert is out tonight which is a big loss in this matchup with Myles Turner down low.  Also Marvin Williams is very questionable being sick and even if he does go he is clearly not 100%.

This line really tells the story here for this game.  The win less Mavs are favored over a team that has won 3 in a row and 4 of 5.  They key here is that the Mavs catch Milwaukee at a perfect time with them playing their second of a back to back.  Another key here is that the Mavs go on the road for 4 straight games so you can definitely expect a huge effort today despite Dirk being out.  Bucks just 3-7 ATS L10 playing on 0 days rest and Mavs are 5-2 ATS L7 games following a double digit home loss.  

I was high on this Pacers team before the season and it doesnt surprise me that they have struggled out of the gate but I feel in large part that is due to the coaching change.  This a key game for the Pacers here just to gain some confidence.  They are catching the Bulls at the right time with it being a back to back here for Chicago.  Pacers get the job done tonight 

This is simply going to be a situation play here.  We all watched what the Warriors did last night, but they caught the Thunder in a perfect spot last night and the Thunder ran out of gas.  The Lakers have only played one home and won that game beating the Rockets.  I feel this is a team that you will want to back @ home as big underdogs.  It will be hard for the Warriors to match the intensity as they did last night.  The Lakers young team plays hard and can score.  I see them hanging in here tonight. 

This is just a lot of points here for the Clippers to be laying.  They were favored by 7 points @ home over Thunder and now are favored by 6 on the road?  I don't believe the Thunder is that much if at all better than Memphis.  Grizzlies has struggled shooting the last two games and like them to get out of the funk here tonight. The Clippers have a huge game tomorrow with the Spurs as you can bet they are looking forward to that one.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the Grizz beat them here but grab the points anyways. 

I believe this line is telling you everything.  The Atlanta Hawks have been favored in every game so far this season and now playing a team that hasn't covered a spread yet or win a game for that matter and the Hawks are underdogs?!  These teams have already met as well playing the first game of the season in which the Hawks won.  Second time around on the road is always difficult in conference play.  I like the Wizards to get their first win tonight

Sure the Suns are 0-4 to start the season, but to me they have played one of if not the hardest schedule so far in the league.  Facing the Warriors Clippers Thunder is nothing to shake your head at.  From what I have seen Devin Booker looks like a go tonight for the Suns.  They were without him last game @ Clippers.  Portland is in a tough spot here.  They rely so much on the outside shot and are coming off a ugly loss last night vs the Warriors.  I think that loss will be harder for them to get over.  The Suns will put everything they have on the table here as they do match up very well and also will want their first win with a 3 game road trip coming up.  

This is very similar to those who jumped on board last night with the T Wolves in a blowout fashion.  The Celtic and Bulls have already met in the first game of the season where the Bulls came away with the win.  They are now 3-0 ATS and 3-0 overall and flying high.  However, Boston won't lose to them again here tonight.  They have had 3 days off here to get healthy as all the key players are expected to go tonight.  The Bulls killed the Celtics by 23 on the boards in the first game and you can expect that Brad Stevens wont let that happen again.   

I'm not worried at all that this lined has flipped here.  The betting public will be all over the Raptors in this game here tonight.  Early in the season you have to take desperate teams and that is exactly what the Wizards are right now.  They have had two days off since losing @ Memphis and are 0-2 to start the season.  This will be their home opener tonight and I see them coming away with the victory.  For the Raptors sure they are a very good team, but so far they have played every game @ home.  I can't back a team that hasn't played a road game yet vs a quality team that really wants a victory bad.  Raptors are just 2-7 ATS L9 meetings against Wizards.

NBA TOP PLAY!

There is going to be a lot of love here for the Grizzles here tonight as they already beat the T Wolves on opening night.  However, if you remember the T Wolves took a lot of sharp money as they ended up being favored by tip.  This Wolves team will be desperate for a win following two road losses.  This will be their home opener and you can expect a huge effort.  T Wolves have had 2 days while this will be the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 days 

I really like the spot here for the Heat as the Kings are playing their second of a back to back here.  The Heat have lost back to back games here @ home but to the Hornets and Spurs.  Kings are a step down for them here.  The Heat really need this game in a big way with two hard roads coming up.  This will also be the Kings 3rd game in 4 days as well.  I like the Heat here tonight

NBA DOG OF THE DAY!

Really like the value here with the Nuggets tonight.  They are one of the most improves teams in the NBA this season and I totally expect them to compete for a playoff berth down the stretch.  The Nuggets should have beat Portland the other night but blew that game in the final seconds.  I dont see the Raptors being totally invested here in this game.  I also like backing teams when they are on their first road game of a long trip and that fits perfect here with the Nuggets tonight.  Road team has dominated this series going 7-1 ATS L8 games.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm gonna roll with the Jazz here which I expect them to give a tough battle against the Clippers.  The Clippers were extremely lucky to win @ Portland in their first game.  They shot a bad percentage in 40% and normally you don't win game on the road shooting that low.  Portland was also way off from the outside only making 4 threes all game.  The Jazz are a team I am very high on this year and wouldn't be surprised if they were the 3 seed in the West.  They haven't covered a spread in their 2 games yet so the public will be staying away.  The Jazz match up very well with the Clippers as well.  I expect a very close game here today.

I backed the Jazz in their first game as a loss @ Portland and will now gladly back them here again as they won't take the Lakers lightly.  This is the Jazz home opener which will provde plenty of motivation in itself.  The Lakers are still the worst team in the league and even though they upset the Rockets the other night I'm not buying it as the Rockets play right into the hands of LA buy playing zero defense. Lakers are 3-13 ATS L16 games after scoring 100 points or more in previous game.  Jazz are 4-1 ATS L5 game after allowing 100 points or more in previous game. 

I will take the points here with the Raptors as they will want revenge from the Cavs as they eliminated them from the playoffs last year.  This has been a series that is dominated by the team going 8-1 ATS the last 9 home games.  With the Cavs coming off a blowout win over the Knicks the betting public no doubt will love to lay this low number.  This is a bigger game for the Raptors 

I was against the Kings last night, but have no problem backing them here tonight.  I came away very impressed with what I saw especially their big men.  They took full control of that game in the 2nd quarter and never looked back.  I do realize this is obviously a back to back situation here, but the starters did have plenty of rest since they were up large.  The Spurs are coming off a blowout win over the Warriors which everyone is going to fall in love with, but the Warriors will continue to struggle as I have mentioned before their bench is gone and it will take them a while to figure things out.  I like the Kings to stay competitive here tonight.  

Both of these teams had bad seasons no doubt and that is why this line is low.  However, the Suns had to deal with major injuries all year long from key players Brandon Knight and Eric Bledsoe.  The Suns will be one of the most improved teams in basketball this year.  You simply can't trust this Kings team.  The Kings jump shooting I question a lot this year.  Their additions I don't feel like they actually got any better.  Take the Suns to win their opener tonight

To me it's really hard to back the Heat here going into this season with all the question marks.  Wade is gone Bosh having health issues.  The Heat will be one of the worst teams in the East right next to the Sixers.  While I do see the Magic fighting for an 8th seed.  They quietly have a nice front court with big additions of Jeff Green, Serge Ibaka & Bismack Biyombo.  This team matches up very well against the Heat as they aren't a jump shooting team and Josh Richardson maybe their best outside shooter is out for the game.  

The NBA is back!!

Im gonna go with the Jazz here as I fully expect them to be a threat for a top 3 team in the western conference this year.  I realize they will be without Hayward here but they have a great nucleus espec with the additions of Joe Johnson George Hill and Boris Diaw to go along with a lot of young talent in Hood Favors and Gobert.  The Jazz play great defense and will loock down on Lillard and McCollum here tonight.  Take the Jazz and the points 

GAME 7 FINAL TOP PLAY!

First, I want to thank everyone for the support this season it has been a great NBA run the whole year!  Let's go out with a bang!!

The Cavs are now getting credit since they have pushed this to Game 7.  However this is a similar situation to Game 6 where the Cavs were coming off a home loss in Game 4.  The Warriors lost Game 5 @ home and I don't see them losing two in a row in that building.  Let's also remember Draymond was out that game which was huge for the Cavs and LeBron took full advantage.  Let's also remember Games 1 & 2 where the Warriors absolutely dominated both of those games.  I see that happening tomorrow night.  This team will go down as having the best NBA season ever! 

I really think the Cavs get it done here tonight to force a game 7.  Cavs have lost one game all playoffs long @ home and that was the last time they played.  I don't see them losing tonight and definitely don't see them losing two in a row @ home.  LeBron will be on a mission here tonight and I expect Kyrie to keep going from the outside.  Last game showed me this team still believes they can do it.   

Even with Draymond being out tonight I still like the Warriors to get the job done.  The Cavs simply had no answer when it came crunch time last game and they just took the wind out of their sails.  Curry and Thompson caught fire which I fully expect to carry over into this game.  The Warriors will now have the greatest single basketball season in history!

This is very weird for me to make a play 4 straight times on a team in the playoffs, but I like what I saw finally from the Cavs last game as that was my Finals Play Of The Year!  Love being out was they key as the general public views him as a "star" like player but he actually hurts the team with the ball movement on offense and his inability to guard anyone on defense.  Also, with Love being out created openings in the paint as the Warriors weren't showing Love that much respect.  He will play some tonight, but I would be surprised if he played very much.  Cavs know if they lose this game tonight the series is over plain and simple.  Another thing worth noting is that Curry and Thompson are getting a pass as they have flat out played bad so far.  The Cavs have really locked down on defense on those two.  

NBA FINALS GAME OF THE YEAR!

I realize I have been wrong in the first two games on the Cavs, but I'm not afraid to back them here.  They have to much to pride here to go down 3-0 in the series.  We all know what happens when you go down 3-0 IT"S OVER!  The Cavs have shot the ball terrible in the first two games and there is no way LeBron will let that happen tonight.  They are due for a break out game and I expect a big effort and a nice win tonight! 

I was on the Cavs in Game 1 and have no problem backing them here again tonight.  They played about as lousy as you could have imagined.  They only shot 39% from the field while Warriors nearly shot 50%.  Both those averages will even out ere tonight.  Cavs can't afford to get blown out again and give the Warriors all the momentum here.  Cavs are 4-1 ATS L5 games following an ATS loss

I like the value we are getting here for Game 1 o the NBA Finals with the Cavs.  They have now had plenty of time off to rest and prepare themselves for this match up which they want bad.  Revenge is on their mind big time here as everyone knows Love missed the whole series and Kyrie went down in Game 1.  LeBron to me is still the best player on the planet and will prove it with quality players this time around.  I also believe Kyrie will be a handful here as we all know Curry isn't the greatest defender by any means.  I look for the Cavs to really control the game 1 tonight and make a statement! 

I really thought the Thunder would close them out last game as they were up 8 with 6 minutes to go.  I believe the Thunder are in the perfect bounce back spot here.  Game 7's are almost always close and I see it coming down to the wire again.  The biggest difference in last game was simply the three point shot.  The Warriors hit 21 threes to the Thunder's 3!  That is a huge difference.  The Thunder will be ready tonight for this crucial match up!   

I have yet to miss a game in this series and look for the motivated Thunder as I've mentioned in a lot of my playoff picks to get the job done tonight! I'm not gonna go into great detail here but I love the spot for Thunder and expect Durant and Westbrook to have spectacular games! 

I was dead on with the Cavs blowing them out in Game 5 and even though I picked the Raptors in games 3 and 4 and they won outright, I see the Cavs closing the door tonight.  This team is simply a lot better than the Raptors and I expect the momentum to carry over here.  I see the Cavs starting hot and really taking the confidence away from the Raptors early and ultimately pulling away here.  The Cavs have one major thing the Raptors do not and that is LeBron!  He will make a statement here tonight and take over! Cavs are 5-2 ATS L7 following an ATS loss. 

I have been perfect in this series so far and expect nothing different than another winner tonight.  The Warriors now have to win 3 straight as everyone is aware of.  Their shooting has been very suspect to say the least @ OKC, but now they return home where they have a huge advantage plus the Thunder are due for a little bit of a let down here as well.  I believe Kerr will counter the Thunder's game plan here as their big men have dominated the last two games.  Warriors are 7-2 ATS L9 following an ATS loss and are 8-2 ATS L10 home games 

I realize the Raptors have the momentum here and I was on them the previous two games.  However, they now have the attention of the Cavs and people are so quick to forget how Cleveland dominated the Raptors @ home winning by an average of 25 points per game.  The Cavs fell in love with the jump shot as they were simply on fire and then shot themselves out of it in Games 3 and 4.  Even though they did lose Game 4 that was an impressive come back.  Even though this series is now tied besides what the media will want you to hear this series isn't close in my eyes.  Cavs return back to form tonight and take care of business like they did in Games 1 & 2.  Cavs 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with a winning record.  Raptors 0-4 ATS L4 road games vs team with a winning home record.