Love the Spurs here tonight against the Rockets.  The Rockets came to play in game 1 and completely destroyed the Spurs.  Rockets hit 22 3's in game 1 and that is no realistic for game 2.  Coach Pop will have these guys ready to play here tonight.  Spurs make it look easy tonight

I think this is a lot like the Cavs situation we had last night.  The Warriors are a well rested team while the Jazz are coming off a 7 game hard fought series against the Clippers.  There really hasnt been any time for rest for the Jazz.  I just think this game has blow out written all over it and the Warriors are out to prove something this postseason.

The Cavs are well rested and that is the angle I am using here for Game 1.  They haven't played in 8 days now and will be hungry to come out with a win.  The Raptors were in a very tough series with the Bucks as they put up a bigger fight than probably what Toronto had expected.  I think the betting public might be a little hesitant with the Cavs as they only covered one game despite sweeping the Pacers.  The Raptors come in covering 3 straight.  However, I expect this line to go up because of the rest factor

It's hard to not take a home team in game 7 especially after they went on the road and stole one with that being an elimination game.  With a veteran team being able to do that, I believe that really helps them here given this situation now.  The Jazz have to be deflated knowing they blew the chance on their home court.  

You have to be super impressed with what the Celtics did after being down 0-2 and considering they dropped both of those at home.  They came back to win and cover 4 straight.  They now have all the confidence in the world.  They get to face this Wizards team who will have their hands full because the Celtics play such good defense.  Wall and Beal won't be having their way here.  I wasn't very impressed with the Wizards in that series they seemed very fortunate in a lot of key situations.  Celtics make a game 1 statement 

This series is now over.  This young Jazz team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and I believe they seal the deal on their home court tonight.  Clippers without Blake are just a very average basketball team.   

I know this will be the public side for sure, but I also think it has created some value with the Spurs since they lost games 3 and 4 at Memphis.  The Spurs want the series to end tonight and we all know that Coach Pop any time he can get extra rest he will take it.  I believe we see a max effort here from the Spurs to end this series and they will do so tonght 

There is a lot of talk now that he media will drive here with a possible Rondo return.  It doesn't matter to me if he does or not the momentum has shifted big time here as the Celtics now put their foot down.  The Celtics were in full control of both of those games in Chicago and now return home where I expect them to have a huge effort.  Let's say Rondo returns here, is he really going to provide a spark offensively with a broke thumb?  He could never shoot anyways and that will allow the Celtics to really crowd the paint and take away what he does best and that is drive the ball

Really like the Clippers here tonight coming back home.  I believe the betting public will jump all over the Jazz given the situation regarding Griffin.  People are forgetting the Clippers were right in that game 4 and had a chance to win.  The Jazz even shot lights out during that game making 54% of their shots.  Clippers take game 5 tonight

Going to lay the 7.5 with the Rockets here as they are just the better team.  This Thunder team goth their one win of the series and now have their backs against the wall.  Also,  Westbrook has to be running out of gas here.  The Thunder just dont have enough pieces in place.

Really believe the last game was a turning point for the Raptors.  That was the first game they had covered in this series and I believe are in a gret spot now playing with the confidence they needed.  

Missed a good number here with the Jazz but I still think they cover this pretty easy.  The Clippers don't have another scoring threat and will miss him more than ever.  The Jazz had a letdown in game 3 and are primed for a big bounce back here.  

Should be by no surprise that we saw the Celtics handle the Bulls in game 3.  Yea I know everyone will say well their backs are against the wall and they needed it which they did. But for me it is how much different the Bulls team looked without Rondo.  They aren't making up for his loss anywhere and Thomas  can pretty much do whatever he wants.  Celtics know how important this game is as well heading back home for game 4.  

Even though this line has jumped I still see the value with the Spurs.  The Grizzlies were in the desperate spot last game down 2-0 so you knew they were going to give it all they got.  I trust Coach Pop here to really motivate them here and get the easy win.  Hey don't want the Grizz thinking this series is now wide open 

I expect the Hawks to be very motivated here as they really wet the bed last game not even covering.  They lead for most of that game and even in the 4th.  The Hawks have been in the mix in both games despite not shooting well.  I see them bouncing back in a big way 

Westbrook won't let his team quit.  They had gae 2 in the bag the other night until the Rockets just made everything they looked at in the 4th quarter.  I see the Thunder winning tonight's game

I do think with Rondo now out will have a big impact based on how good he has been playing.  This is also desperate mode here being down 2-0 in the series and as everyone knows game 3 is cruncial given hear circumstances 

Pacers have covered both games so far coming back in both of them.  The third game is obviously the most crucial.  If they have any hopes of winning the series everyone knows you can't fall behind 3-0.  Pacers get the W.

Loving the Clippers here also.  I know so far it has been a dog day in the NBA playoffs.  It's about to turn now that we have all 3 home teams coming off a loss.  The key now for the Clippers is that Gobert is out.  That is simply huge for them as they can now control the glass and the paint.  Utah will have to shoot lights out from 3 in order to keep it close

Love the Celtics here tonight to bounce back.  They are way better than the Bulls even though I know most are thinking well the Bulls have Butler and Wade.  It was a difficult situation obviously dealing with what Thomas went through.  The Bulls out rebounded the Celtics by nearly 20 which is unheard of.  That won't happen again tonight.  The Celtics will be playing some of the best defense you have ever seen here.  I love the Celtics to blow them out tonight

The betting public tends to over react as we all know, but they do so on a larger scale come playoff time.  That is what is happening again tonight as yes, the Pacers had a chance to win the game and steal game 1.  They missed the shot so the Cavs were lucky.  I think now we see a much more focused Cavs team.  People are forgetting the Cavs were up 9 with under 3 to go.  The Cavs know this is a crucial game in the series and they will want to put them away.  

While I do love Westbrook and wish they would win this series I also don't think that is realistic.  This Rockets team is going to be a handful as they are just a mad match up for the Thunder.  With all the weapons surrounding Harden it makes it very difficult to guard all the sharp shooters they have.   

I think we are seeing an over reaction now with obviously the horrific new of the car accident involving Isiah Thomas sister.  This Celtics team is legit and I do expect him to play.  Even if he doesn't the team will rally around him here and get it done.  The Bulls are a terrible shooting team and the Celtics play some of the best defense in the league.  

The Clippers need to make a statement here tonight from the get go and not give this young Jazz team any hope.  I do expect this series to be a must watch one, but I look for the Clippers to be very hungry here tonight.  The Jazz are getting a lot of respect because they finished the season beating the Spurs and Warriors.  Both times in LA the Clippers won pretty easily. 

Really like this Raptors team here at full strength.  They now have Lowry back and aren't getting enough respect because they really don't have a so called super star.  The Bucks are a fun and exciting team to watch with all their young talent.  I just don't seem them hanging especially on the road when they have lost by double digits both times this year

Wizards now firmly in the 4 spot I expect them to rest players.  Not getting to in depth here no reason for them to show up

Heat still have everything to play for regarding the 8th seed.  Cavs are a mess as we saw yesterday.

If the Nuggets lose this game they are out of the playoffs.  If that isn't enough motivation then I don't know what is.  They have covered 4 straight and won 3 of those SU.  I know Westbrook is going for the triple double but I believe that is causing a distraction now and we saw that last game as the Suns blew out the Thunder.  His teammates are more into him than actually playing the game.  

Yes the Celtics have dropped 2 straight but I look for them to bounce back here playing a Hornets team who now knows they won't be making the playoffs.  The Celtics want to enter the playoffs on a positive note so you can expect Brad Stevens to have his guys ready tonight.  Celtics can still clinch the #1 overall seed as well as they are just one game back of the Cavs.  A win here tonight will put them half a game behind 

I know this is the public side and maybe I am way wrong in this game but with the Bulls trying to make the playoffs covering this low of line shouldn't be an issue.  Wade is now expected to be back here as well.  Bulls have came on very strong the last 3 weeks while the Nets have nothing to play for. 

With the Nuggets 1.5 behind Portland you know the effort will be here tonight in a big way.  It's obviously a do or die situation for them.  Cousins is questionable right now.  This is a home and home situation for the Pelicans having two days off after playing the Nuggets.  I see them look more forward to the Warriors tomorrow.

The Blazers just lost @ the T Wolves by 1 point just a few days ago.  I see them getting their revenge tonight pretty easily.  I know Portland is missing Nurkic but I'm not worried about that as Portland as a very tough home crowd and they know whats at stake as they control their destiny right now in the 8th spot.  

The Pacers had a hard fought game against the Raptors coming back from as much as 15 down to really taking it to them.  They won't lay over here as they are now tied with the Heat and Bulls for a spot in the playoffs.  The Pacers have been rock solid at home with a 27-12 record.  The Bucks have now lost 2 straight and haven't covered 3 straight.  I believe this veteran Indiana squad takes it to the young Bucks. 

Cavs are in a tough spot here after a double OT win vs the Pacers I expected them to rest guys during last night's game vs the Magic and they did the exact opposite.  This will be their 3rd game in 4 nights while the Celtics have had 2 days off.  Pretty easy to realize who has the big advantage here.  Cavs have been very vulnerable lately and at this point in the season I believe the Celtics want it more. They will play their you know whats off tonight as they want that #1 overall seed 

Late add for premium subsribers only. 

The Hornets season is on the right now after a toug loss last night vs the Wizards.  Hornets are no doubt playing their best basketball right now.  The Heat are ahead of them but with a win tonight the Hornets will only be .5 game back of them and 1.5 for the 8th spot.  There is a big line move happening here as well so I suggest to grab it now

Here is another situation where the Wizards have nothing to play for as well and the Hornets still have a chance for a playoff spot only one game behind the Pacers and Heat.  The Wizards are coming off a a 5 game west coast trip so you no they are tired.  Throw in the fact as I have mentioned they aren't going anywhere I see this being a big flat spot for them tonight.  Hornets have won 3 straight and 4 of 5 

Well it's put up or shut up time for the Pacers tonight.  They are currently tied with the Heat for the last playoff spot, but the Heat hold the tiebreak over them.  This to me is a must win game and I believe they come through.  The Raptors have absolutely nothing to play for here and I wouldn't be surprised to see them rest some guys here.  This will be a max effort here for the Pacers.  

Gonzaga is a team that I believe can't be stopped at the moment.  So many throughout the season called this team a fraud because of the conference they play in.  We are now seeing that obviously they are legit and haven been very deserving of a #1 seed.  What has caused North Carolina fits this year are teams that are just as long and athletic as them.  Meeks will not have a game like he did against Oregon and Jackson will have to work even harder to get open looks with Collins on him.  The Gonzaga Bulldogs win the 2017 National Title!

A lot of value here with the Jazz as the Spurs are resting a ton of players here today.  This Jazz team is starting to click right now winning 3 straight and 4 of 5.  They also are one of the rare teams in the playoffs that still has motivation as they want home court advantage in the first round game.  

Everyone thought since losing Boucher the Ducks would fall apart.  Well that have done exactly the opposite of that.  I love their guard trio with Dorsey Brooks and Benson.  UNC has no dodged two bullets in the tournament and I dont believe they dodge a third here.  While I do UNC the edge in the paint I think the guards for Oregon as I have mentioned can really find holes in their defense because UNC isn't about playing hard nose defense 

The Gamecocks have been a great story here beating the likes of Duke and Baylor on the way to the final four.  This one here is all about the match up and quite frankly the size of this Gonzaga will cause havoc as South Carolina isn't a great jump shooting team so they will rely on getting points in paint which plays into the hands of Gonzaga.  The Bulldogs are also shooting the lights out of the ball here as of late and I don't see that changing.  Gonzaga runs away with this one 

George Hill expected to miss this game does hurt the Jazz here, but I believe they are catching the Wizards at the right time.  This will be their 3rd road game in 4 days with those extra days being spent in LA.  I doubt they are to interested in this game tonight especially since they have the Warriors on deck.  I do think the Jazz still have something to play for in their heads as they want home court advantage over the Clippers in the first round.

While I know the match up doesn't favor the Thunder I just think they are still giving big time effort.  The Spurs were up big in the 1st quarter on the Warriors and completely laid an egg the rest of the game.  This team looks tired plain and simple.  They now are content with the 2 seed in the West knowing they cant catch the Warriors now so I don't see them playing to hard.  While, Westbrook is playing lights out right now and the Spurs aren't going to have any guard that can stop him.  He is clearly playing for the MVP title and is making a huge case down the stretch.  With the Clippers having the night off I see the Thunder only being one game back for the 5 seed 

I normally don't play big double digit favorites, but with how the Magic ended their last game vs the Thunder.  They blew a big 4th quarter lead Westbrook hit a 3 with a few seconds left to go into OT and then the Magic just fell apart.  I don't see them coming out here after that heart breaking loss.  The Celtics just lost @ home to the red hot Bucks, but now are back in first place so they still have that to play for here.  Also the Celtics have blown out the Magic in the 2 meetings this year.

There is no doubt who the betting public will be all over in this game and that is the Rockets.  Honestly here though the Rockets have absolutely nothing to play for as they have the 3 seed locked up and cant move up or down.  There is zero motivation here for them.  Portland has all that motivation though as they have a one game lead for the 8th seed in the Western Conference.  They are quietly one of the hottest teams in the league winning 4 straight and 7 of 8.  I believe they get another win here

Maybe this is the breakout game for the Cavs, but I will pay to see it.  This team has been flat out awful lately and while they do have the 1 seed to play for the Bulls have the playoffs to play for as well.  Last game really showed me that Bulls are still fighting as they won @ Milwaukee in impressive fashion as the Bucks are one of the hottest teams in the league right now.  I also think most would be surprised here to know that the Bulls are 3-0 SU against the Cavs this year.  Will fade the Cavs until proven other wise especially with how bad that defense has looked 

TCU is just a really good team that could have mad some noise in the big dance this year, but they have a rough stretch during the middle of the season which ultimately kept them out.  When looking at the two roads each team has had to get here, the Horned Frogs have had a much tougher draw.  They beat #1 seed Iowa @ Iowa City in OT, followed that up with an impressive 20 point win over Richmond and just man handled UCF in the first game at the garden.  Tech has had a great year as well, but this team is very young and their road was a great set up for them.  Despite winning their first game at the graden they are still just 4-11 away from home this season.  

GAME OF THE MONTH!

We are really getting a discount on the Clippers here tonight.  This team is coming off a terrible loss where they blew and 18 point lead to the Kings in the final 5 minutes of that game.  They now have had two days off and will be eager for a big bounce back.  The Wizards played last night beating the Lakers and staying an extra night in LA for these guys isn't always a good thing.  The Clippers do have big motivation here also as they are only ahead of the Thunder by 1 game.  The 5 and 6 seed is very crucial because they would rather play the Jazz and the Rockets first round.  I see a big bounce back the Clippers tonight

I was against the Bucks last night in a loss, but will go against them again here.  They played a Hornets team who failed to show and gave them open look after open look.  This Bucks team won't shoot over 60% against a defensive team like Boston no way.  The Celtics are red hot right now winning 4 straight and 7 of 8.  This streak has now gave them control on the Eastern Conference.  With a win here tonight they go a full game ahead of the Cavs.  That serves as enough motivation for me plus catching the Bucks on a back to back doesn't hurt either.  

Call me a sucker here but I'm going to take the Thunder.  They have everything to play for and I believe that great comeback win over the Mavs last game will serve as big time motivation.  The Thunder laid an egg to the Magic @ home already, but that was a different Magic team then before all the trades happened.  Thunder at worst want to keep their 6 seed because falling to the 7 and 8 is a no no in the West.  This is also Oladipo's first game back @ Orlando since being traded there.  I see big effort from the the Thunder tonight 

Anther situation here for desperate teams.  While both teams have been playing very well the Nuggets and Jokic have been getting all the attention.  Well, Portland has won 3 straight and 6 of 7 here to get themselves in contention.  In fact these are the only two teams that can make it for the final spot in the Western Conference.  Nuggets just 2-3 SU their last 5 and a large part of their success came because they have been at home for a long time 

Rockets are't getting enough respect here with the Warriors coming to town.  Rockets will want revenge after losing to them on their home floor the first time around.  They key here in that was Durant was still playing.  The Warriors haven't been the same without him.  I know the public will be backing Golden St because they still have the 1 seed to play for.  I just think the Rockets are a bad match up without Durant in the lineup. 

If any team is due for a blowout win it is the Hawks.  Yes they have struggled big time recently, but they are still in the hunt for the playoffs which should give them all the motivation here.  Atlanta is in a 3 way tie for the 5th 6th and 7th spot right now.  The remaining games are very crucial.  

Also we all know that the Suns are tanking right now as they have lost 8 straight and 10 of their last 11 games.  They are also in a rough spot with this being their 6th straight road game in 10 days.  Even though the Hawks are missing players they still should have no problem as the Suns are extremely young and missing all their veteran players 

It's do or die time right now for the Hornets who are sitting outside the playoff race.  Hornets are two games back of the Miami Heat and need this if they want a chance.  The Hornets have had the Bucks number this year winning every game so far.  This will be the Bucks 5th game in 8 days which is a big factor.  With a game @ Toronto looming the Hornets know they need this in the worst possible way 

The T Wolves to me are a telling sign of another tanking team as they have lost 6 straight and failed to cover in each of those games.  The Pacers are tied with three teams right now for spots 5-8 so this game is very important.  This will be the T Wolves 6th road game in their last 7 games.  With everything at stake and being a short home favorite I expect them to take care business 

The Grizzlies are comfortable in the playoffs right now, but there is no doubt they would like to improve their seed to avoid the Warriors or the Spurs.  They are only 1.5 games behind the Thunder.  Both teams played last night Grizz lost @ Warriors and Kings had a crazy comeback vs the Clippers.  I don't look for the Kings to be very interested here as they were very excited last night.  The Grizz do have the motivation here and would like to finish this west coast road trip with a win.  Ty Lawson is also questionable for the Kings 

I don't trust the Cavs here at all as they have shown zero interest on the defensive side giving up 100 + points 5 straight games.  On the road they have gave up 10 straight games over 100 + points.  With that obviously comes struggle and they are just 5-5 SU heir L10.  The Spurs are only 2.5 back of the 1 seed with this game and the Warriors coming to town next they could be within one game.  

I backed Kentucky in their last game and I not going away from them now.  That was a Kentucky team that was dominant.  Monk and Fox are becoming extremely special right in front of our eyes.  While yes UNC does the revenge angle here I just believe this Wildcat team matches up very well against them.  UNC has had a pretty easy road IMO so far and I see Kentucky exposing them on.

Both teams are playing well at the moment, but all the motivation lies here with the Thunder.  The Rockets are locked in to the 3 seed in the Western Conference.  All 3 games between these two teams have been decided by 3 points or less.  With the Thunder trying to climb into the 5th spot to avoid playing the Rockets first round I see them playing extra hard.  Also the Rockets will be without Ryan Anderson who is more crucial than the average person thinks 

I'm not going against this Bucks team who is one of the hottest in the league right now.  With the Bulls losing to the Sixers @ home it tells me they are done for the year.  The Bucks have owned the Bulls this season winning every game by double digits.  They are 8-2 SU their last 10 with the 2 losses coming @ Memphis and @ Golden St, both very good teams obviously.  

Really like Portland here tonight as they are a desperate team trying to make the playoffs.  They currently sit 1.5 games out of the 8th spot behind the Nuggets.  The T Wolves are in a tough spot here playing last night in LA and lost to the pathetic Lakers.  Portland won't be taking any games off for the rest of the season, while I think Minnesota has clearly tossed in the towel now losing 5 straight 

While I know Kansas hasn't had any problems so far.  I believe this Oregon team is one that can stop them.  I love the trio of guards for the Ducks with Benson Dorsey and Brooks, these guys can flat out shoot it.  With this line they are saying that Oregon is worse than Purdue and equal to Michigan St.  I'm not buying that at all as Oregon is a lot better than both those teams.  

While the Raptors have been playing good without Lowry this a a Mavs team that has been rock solid @ home the last couple months.  They are 15-4 ATS L19 home games.  It's also evident that the Mavs haven't quit on the season as they just beat the Clippers last game out.  I like the Mavs to take this one 

Wisconsin is simply getting way to much love after beating Nova.  They played a great game and shot it extremely well.  I feel Florida is being under looked because of that, but lets look at Florida so far this tournament.  They handled ETSU by 15 and then blew the doors off of Virginia holding them to 39 points!!! I dont care what caliber of team you are holding an opponent to under 40 points is very impressive.  This Gator team will cause havoc for the Badger guards.  

Really like the fact that Kentucky lost to these guys on their home court earlier this season.  They have been great when they can get revenge and I expect that to happen again here tonight.  I also think there is a huge coaching advantage with coach Cal over Alford.  There are to many distractions going on with this UCLA team and as we all know regrading the Ball situation

The luck has ran out for the Gamecocks here.  They were unreal in the 2nd half against Duke hitting everything.  Baylor is a team that has a ton of talent and plays better overall better defense than Duke.  People are forgetting that this Baylor team was ranked #1 at one point this season.  We are getting a good discount here now.  

This is a tough spot here for the Nuggets.  They are coming off a big win over the Cavs and now playing a desperate Pacers team.  The Pacers are on a weird little trend thing dating back to late February.  If they didn't cover the previous game every single time they have followed that up with a win and cover.  

While Xavier is a nice story and have made a great run, their time has simply run out.  They blew out Florida St which was a team this year that never lived up to their full potential.  They are several things going against Xavier with first being the location on the West coast.  The Wildcat fans travel with the best of them and it will obviously be a big advantage for them here.  I was super impressed with Arizona in the 2nd half vs St Marys.  It proves they can handle any style that a team wants to throw at them.  Also the match up issues here a in big time favor of Arizona as they have the length across the board.  Xavier shot the lights out of it vs Florida St, that wont happen here tomorrow night against a team that can really defend  

The Heat have been by far the most over achieving team in the league this year IMO.  Odds Makers are clearly giving them a lot of respect here saying these team are pretty much equal on a nuetral court.  Raptors are without Lowry, but they are now starting to click winning 3 straight and 4 of 5 and they have a ton of motivation trying to catch Washington for the 3 seed.  Ibaka is out for his fighting the other night.  All of that is definitely playing into the line.  Whiteside is also banged up for Miami and they are missing Waiters.    

I just don't think you can go against this Michigan team right now.  They truly believe they can beat anyone right now and I'm not willing to bet against it.  What they have done over the last two weeks has been beyond impressive.  Oregon was very lucky to escape Rhode Island last game as RI controlled the ball game.  They did so because Dorsey got hot hitting 9 of 10 shots.  If you have to rely on that, it will come to an end.  Michigan presents a nightmare match up for them with Boucher being out.  DJ Wilson and Wagner have been so good and can really stretch the floor.  I see Michigan getting all sort of easy buckets and the streak continues 

I will lay the points here with the Hornets as I have said they are a desperate team right now trying to make a late push for the playoffs.  They are only 3 games back of Miami for the 8th spot right now and simply cant afford a loss to one of the worst teams in the league.  Magic have won back to back games but were against the Suns who are tanking and the Sixers in OT.  Hornets are a lot better across the board I see them motivated and focused here

The Pelicans are starting to make a late push for the playoffs now.  Most knew it would take a while with the Cousins deal to take shape, but now it has.  They have won 4 of 5 now and with antoher win here tonight they can climb to just 3 games out of the 8th spot.  So you don't have to question the effort here.

The Grizzlies are getting a lot of respect because they have now won and covered 4 straight including a win over the Spurs.  I believe this is a flat spot for them because they have the Spurs again next followed by the Warriors.  

I really love the Thunder here tonight in a triple revenge spot.  This team is now starting to playing very good basketball while the Warriors have been struggling.  Warriors are just 5-5 SU their last 10 games.  OKC is now riding a 5 game winning streak and they will be our for blood tonight.  They biggest overall reason why I love the Thunder is that out Durant is out.  He has torched them every game this season.  The Thunder are also trying to get into the 5th spot in the West and I see them coming out guns blazing and taking one 

I like the Celtics to bounce back here from a bad loss yesterday to the Sixers.  They need this game a lot as Washington is right behind them for the 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.  Wizards have hit a wall as of late not covering in 4 straight and and only winning one of those games.  

I have to take the Pacers here as they are due for a big bounce back.  Since February 16th every loss the Pacers have had they have followed the next game up with a SU win.  I see that happening again here tonight as they are hanging on to a playoff spot right now.  The Jazz have dropped 4 of their last 4 road games as well.  This will be their 4th game in 6 nights and yes the Pacers are on a back to back but prior to yesterday they have 3 days off so rest for them doesn't apply.  

I'm liking this Rhode Island team more and more.  I backed them in their first round game over Creighton and will do so again here tonight.  Oregon is getting a lot of credit since they did cover their opening game but that was Iona and they gave up 77 points.  Rhode Island has the guards here to make this very difficult and this is where not having Boucher will come into play.  

The Wichita Dayton game final was very misleading IMO.  The Shockers shot 40% from the field compared to Dayton shooting only 31%.  They also out rebounded Dayton by 20!! and yet could only win the game by 6.  Kentucky and Coach Cal are a team I am looking to back here.  When it comes to guard play they have a huge advantage over almost anyone.  The Shockers were a bad seed no doubt, but now this matchup is a difficult one for them

I will take Louisville here as the Michigan hot streak comes to an end.  This Louisville team can really defend and Michigan won't be getting those easy looks from deep here.  Michigan hit 16 threes in game 1 and 11 came in the 2nd half to still only win by 1.  Michigan wont have an answer for their big guys and that will be the difference in the game 

Virginia was very lucky to escape their first game with a win over UNC W.  I don't think they have a chance here against this long athletic Florida team.  The thing is that Florida can really defend here and shut down the likes of Perrantes.  Florida also has the benefit here of playing in Orlando as well I thought the line would be closer to 4 or 5

Love Arizona in this spot.  the PAC 12 is getting no love but they are a solid 5-0 to start the tournamen.  St Mary's is a good team but they don't have the athletes here to compete with this Zona team.  Zona to me fits the eye here as a team to win the whole thing.  They are a skilled team at every position and we have seen what happens tonSt Mary's when playing a team like Gonzaga who is similar 

I like Midd Tenn St here tonight taking on Butler.  The Bulldo shot the lights out of the ball vs Winthrop and still barely managed to cover.  They are playing a team now who seems very comfortable with themselves and Midd Tenn dominated their opening game vs Minnesota.  I don't believe Butler is any better than the Gophers.  Take the points 

I think the wrong team is favored here.  A lot of times when we a team has a scare like ND they end up making a run and I see that happening here.  West Virginia will continue to press press and press.  That won't work here as ND has great guard play and they are the best free throw shooting team in the country.  WVU better be careful

Good for Kent St winning the MAC and making the tournament but this is a brutal spot playing out west for them so far away from home.  They will be shocked by how good this UCLA team is on offense and the talent gap is huge.  Lonzo Ball hate him or love him will be playing big time this tournament.  Kent St is no match at all I see this getting ugly early!

FRIDAY PLAY OF THE DAY!

I really think Michigan St is getting to much respect because of their coach Izzo here.  Sure it's March, but how did that work out for them last year?  Miami is a very underrated physical team that man handle these young guards for the Spartans.  Miami has beat teams like Duke and North Carolina this year.  Sparty has been awful away from home as well going 5-12 SU.  Miami wins going away here

Cincy isn't getting any credit at all here considering Kansas St just played a hard fought game the other night to get into this position.  This Cincy team can play some serious lock down defense and with Kansas St lacking a go to guy I see them really shutting this team down.  Don't let the other night fool you Kansas St shot 66% for the game!!! How often or ever does that happen?? This Cincy team will play with a chip on their shoulder because of their seed.  

I'm not so sure Rhode Island shouldn't be favored here.  Most people are forgetting that this RI team was a top 25 pre season team before they suffered injuries along the way.  This team took Duke down to the wire when they were healthy.  Creighton I'm not buying here without Watson.  I really like the momentum with Rhode Island as the A 10 is a very underrated conference.  

I'm gonna lay the number with SMU here as I believe they will be catching a tired USC team.  USC had to travel to Dayton and play the play in game.  They were once down by 17 came all the way back used a lot of their tank in doing that and now traveled again and have to get up for a team that ca really play some defense.  SMU is one of the hottest teams no one is talking about.. this team hasnt lost a game since January.  I think they catch a tired USC team here who will struggle on defense 

Not many teams are coming into the tournament any hotter than the Cyclones.  Was extremely impressed with how they played in the Big 12 tournamen.  The key for Iowa sat right now is that they have found quality minutes from their big men who have been misssing most of the season.  I look for them to ride a wave of mom here

Talk about a first round game that will be intense it's definitely this one.  FGCU will leave everything on the table here against this Florida St team.  Sure they aren't rivals but it's just how the average person views each school.  Florida St has great talent no denying that but I simply don't trust them away from home.  They were below .500 on the road and even got lucky in a few more games to get a win.  Not calling for the upset but don't sleep on FGCU here

Winthrop is one of these teams we see every year based on their style of play come in and pull one upset.  I'm not very high on Butler or the Big East for that matter.  This Winthrop team just keeps chucking up threes and we all know if an underdog seems them go in early it usually spells upset.  Butler isn't a offensive juggernaut and are nothing special on D.  I think we have a live dog here

I think we have another live dog here to start off the tournamen.  UNC W is one of the most experienced teams in the field and you know they would love nothing more than pulling the classic 12 over 5.  Virginia plays way to slow keeping teams always in the game.  I don't like how Virginia has played the last 3 weeks of the season.  They simply don't have the athletes or shooters we are accustomed to seeing.  

I realize Princeton comes into this game having not lost a game in conference.  They seem to be getting a lot of respect here against a very talented and quality team like ND.  Was impressed with ND throughout the ACC tournament taking Duke down to the wire.  They are just a complete mid match on both side of the ball.  I just believe Princeton's stats are very inflated due to their lack of competition 

I really think people are sleeping on the quality of the Pac 12 this year.  USC is a long and very athletic team with shooters than can create havoc.  Providence did end the season well to get into the dance, but laid an egg in the tournament I was impressed with that @ all.  USC took UCLA down to the wire in the Pac 12 tournament losing 2 that would have been the 2nd time they had beaten them this year.  Also this is a revenge game from last year as these two met in the 8 9 match up.  USC took them down to the wire, but lost so I see them coming extra focused here and quite frankly they have the better athletes by far 

Well the Pacers should be a pissed off team after last night's 2nd half performance.  They scores a miserable 29 points in the whole second half.  That is something I haven't seen in a long time.  Pacers need this one now and are being under valued because of a back to back here and them not covering 3 straight.  They are only 1.5 games ahead of the 8th spot.  I see a big bounce back here.

First game back for the Wizards after a grueling road trip is always tough.  This will now be their 6th game now in 9 days with travel every day.  Sure the Wizards are a lot better but I doubt also the Mavs are a team they will be up for.  Mavs are still a fighting team right now trying to make the 8th spot.  

We have seen a big push on Kansas St and I'm not quite sure why.  I believe Wake is the better team here and plays in a much tougher conference with the ACC compared to the Big 12.  I think people are over valuing the win over Baylor in the Big 12 tournament as their coach has proven to get the least out of good talent.

The trade for Cousins hasn't worked out like the Pelicans had hope.  However I dont think this team is ready to quit either.  Evidence in their last game winning @ Hornets in OT.  They get a Portland team playing better but my money is against them as they have only won 12 road games all year and have never won 3 road games in a row this season.  With the short price I like the Pelicans 

The Pacers are just clinging on right now just 2.5 games above the 8th seed.  I see them really making a charge down the stretch with a favorable schedule.  The Knicks are a team you want no part of right now winning just 1 game their last 6 tries.  The Pacers will want revenge here also following a home loss to this Knicks team a while ago.  Give me the team with all the motivation here.  

Like the Wolves here in this spot as the Wizards will be playing their 5th game in 7 days and all of those on the road.  They have to be exhausted here after coming back by 20 plus points against the Trailblazers last time out.  Minnesota is quietly playing better and are to a surprise only 3 games back now of the 8th seed.  In recent home games they have beat teams like the Warriors, Clippers, Mavs Raptors, Bulls.  The only game they haven't covered @ home was the Cavs and they let that one slip away.  It's safe to say they are playing their best basketball right now and catching this Wizards team at the right time.  

Yes I know two teams that have been going opposite directions.  I think this is just an absolute must win game for the Grizzlies here as they have a lot of road games coming up.  They need to get the ball rolling in the right direction.  While the Bucks have been hot they have done their damage @ home.  The only road game recently was @ Sixers.  I do like this Bucks team a lot but I prefer them @ home and not against a quality Western Conference team