Perhaps there aren't two teams that have shocked thus far in the ACC as much as Boston College and Wake Forest. Boston College defeated Providence as double-digit underdogs and took apart Syracuse's zone defense this past weekend. Wake Forest on the other hand had started off 9-3 before losing their first two ACC games. While many would expect Boston College to lay an egg heading on the road here, I believe they have gained confidence. Look for Wake Forest to feel the pressure of needing this win to avoid an 0-3 ACC conference start.

This line has come down .5 point from the opener. It's odd to see a Wizards team with as much talent as it has be steep underdogs. The lack of chemistry amongst it's star players and role players is the main reasoning here. John Wall, Bradley Beal, and Otto Porter are efficient nightly, but they're cohesion defensively/offensive with the rest of the Wizards is lacking. That's a problem on the road against a potent Rockets team that has found an higher level of balance since Patrick Beverly's return. Grab the Rockets here.

Monday, College of Charleston will travel to Delaware as sizable favorites. Delaware as a whole is a team with experience, but also one that has vast skill set deficiencies across the board. On paper they've managed to stay in half their losses competitively in narrow defeats. In their wins they have won with defense but have managed an average of 63.5 points. That's the key here as the College of Charleston's strength is defense, which should disrupt a turnover prone Delaware squad. Grab Charleston.

Damian Lilliard is out still with an injury and it's obvious like the Clippers how much they miss their star player. The Timberwolves inconsistency to win back to back games is bothersome here, but this is a spot where they should be able to runaway with offense alone. Portland's road woes even with Lillard in the lineup has featured a plethora of allowance of points north of 105. Grab the Timberwolves here.

The Pac-12 has had an interesting start to the season, as UCLA, Oregon, and Arizona have flip-flopped continuously in the top twenty five. Both Colorado and Utah were prior top twenty-five teams in years past but are now dealing with the loss of top graduating classes. Although Utah lacks the skill set offensive players Colorado has, they do still play solid half-court defense. Look for the Utes to carry the strength of their defense and home crowd to victory Sunday.

Present and past Butler teams have been known to lose head scratchers. Losses to Indiana State and St. John's showcase that this season. Yet, this is a team capable of being a top fifteen team and I expect them to bounce back solidly before a big mid-week game against Villanova. While the Big East has drawn praise for the top-level conference teams, Providence has been the lone regression strength team from prior seasons.

One of the memorable games this season in prime time was witnessing the Panthers botch a one-sided MNF game against the Buccaneers. With a chance to put the dagger kill shot on a worn down Buccaneers team, backup Derek Anderson threw an awful red zone pick. That game seemed to fuel the Buccaneers as they rolled to an 8-5 record. Yet two consecutive losses have derailed the Buccaneers chances, even though they still have a window of opportunity Sunday.This is a spot where you can ride against the motivation factor for the Buccaneers and take a Panthers team that let one slip away earlier this season. Grab the Panthers.

There's no denying Mark Price's solid job in what is perceived to be a turn around from his first year. The 49ers started off 6-2 before losing their last three games to Wake Forest, Florida, and Maryland. While North Texas's non-conference schedule was considerably weaker with similar results, this is a solid matchup for them. They run an effective small ball lineup similar to Wake Forest that posed immense issues for Charlotte. Look for the balance of North Texas to cause fits for the home 49ers.

Detroit's mishaps lately have created value here on the road against an Atlanta team that typically is a home team worthy of backing. Yet, this is a predictable head swing game. Atlanta's still trying to feel out their new lineup and more importantly consistent role players. Meanwhile, Stan Van Gundy has went with defense over offense by bringing Tobias Harris of the bench in favor of Jon Leur. I think the lineup has had enough time to get their chemistry in order to be a difference maker on the road. Grab Detroit.

George Washington has done their best to stay on target after losing players to transfer with the firing of their former coach. In fact, they had won five of their last six prior to their last loss against Miami. Friday, facing a Saint Joseph's team that's lost just as much talent from last year's tournament team figures to be a proper challenge for the Colonels. Yet this is a home spot where you can expect Saint Joseph's to close out this game in the final five minutes. Grab Saint Joseph's.

Record-wise Northern Kentucky (9-4) versus Detroit (2-10) looks like a clear mismatch.  Yet, oddsmakers aren't fooled by the non-conference schedule of Northern Kentucky. Detroit's youth in the starting lineup (2 Freshman/2 Sophomores) has caused senior Chris Jenkins to struggle thus far. In non-conference play he shot the ball a career low 39.8% from the field, well below his sophomore low of 45%. Northern Kentucky's lapses defensively have been on exhibit against lowly Austin Peay and top twenty-five West Virginia. Look for Detroit to find their confidence to start conference play.

We've tailed against Michigan State throughout non-conference play. Pre-season expectations were clearly misleading as the Spartans tallied five losses, including a head-scratcher to Northeastern as 12.5 point favorites. The Gophers have played well against the Spartans in years past against their formidable teams. A 12-1 start would  seem to suggest this is a spot to take the Gophers. Instead, look for the Spartans to lean on their tough schedule to test a Gopher team that's strongest matchup was their lone loss against Florida State.

Will SMU's balanced attack and size advantage get them past Memphis? Both teams enter conference play with three non-conference losses. To not be mistaken in this matchup is Memphis's ability to score just as well as SMU. The two point spread on SMU's side has more to do with their strength of schedule and better overall defense. Yet, I'll back Memphis here on a home court advantage and their ability to score in bunches. Grab the Tigers.

Post holiday the 76ers will have one of the toughest games, as they travel to take on the Kings. Pre-holiday the Kings posted comeback wins over both the Trailblazers and Jazz from double-digit deficits. They've seem to put some of the negative media attention behind them. The 76ers on the other hand are in a tough position dividing up minutes amongst their young roster. Grab the Kings to continue to win ATS and tonight against Philadelphia.

The Pelicans take on a Dallas Mavericks team that has caught attention of backers lately. They upset the Clippers, took the Jazz to the brink, and have played better as of late. Yet, this is a spot where the Pelicans balanced and potent offensive attack should overwhelm the Mavericks. Play the Pelicans.

A subpar San Diego State team looks to avoid their fifth loss of the season against San Francisco. The game takes place in Hawaii as part of the Diamond Classic. Yet I like SDState here based on their strength of schedule versus the Dons, whose one main win comes against a Utes team also struggling. Grab SDState to right the ship before Mountain West play begins. 

Folks, saw the Denver Broncos cave on their home field and are now in a similar position as a year ago. With two games left they could possibly find themselves on the outside looking in for the playoffs. Making matters worse is they'll face a Chiefs team coming off a home loss and one that is in better shape to control their playoff destiny. Still, besides the Chiefs dominance over the Raiders they've failed to exhibit quality dominating football. Even in a must-win home spot, look for similar issues to arise.

The Bulls recent slide on the road has featured losses against the Hornets and Bucks. Disarray has shown on both ends of the floor, and one would expect this to be a revenge spot off the Bulls home win over the Spurs earlier this season. Combined with the Spurs strong play as of late, the spread seems correct. Yet, I like the mixture of the Bulls experience to show it's colors in a spotlight game. Grab the points here.

To start the NFL season perhaps there wasn't an uglier performance than the one the Rams had against the San Francisco 49ers. In the game the road favorites were defeated handily, in a game that was sign of things to come under Jeff Fisher. Now both the 49ers and Rams have two different quarterbacks under center, with the Rams inputting rookie Jared Goff. Goff hasn't been stellar by any means but has delivered timely throws and shown he is on the cusp of a breakout game. This is a change over game that few teams get for motivation into next season. Having been embarrassed 28-0 in week one on MNF combined with a fresh new look quarterback and interim coach, leads to the ATS cover for the Rams.

This time a year ago the Falcons were playing the spoiler and knocked off the undefeated Panthers. Now, they aim to be the main reason the Panthers avoid finishing the season at .500. Though the Panthers have shown that they're not mailing it in with two straight victories, the fact of the matter is they're a shell of what they were a season ago. Solid game plans against Ron Rivera's former team in the Chargers (defensive coordinator) and the Redskins have overvalued the Panthers here. The fact of the matter is Matt Ryan has been a comfortable quarterback against the Panthers. In his last three games he has thrown for 1,033 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions against the Panthers. That should be enough for a division foe such as Atlanta to exploit even on the road. 

A fairly weak schedule looks even worse for the Eagles as they've lost three of their last five games. Losses were to Harvard, Hartford, and Fairfield, which has shone the spotlight on today's spread. Providence is 8-2 and showcasing the defensive-offensive balance that has boosted Ed Cooley led Friars squads of the past. Still, this is not the same level of Friars team we're use to seeing. Look for the Eagles to play with a high intensity and put forth a sound effort.

South Florida

South Florida had issues prior but now those have grown as top scorer Jahmel Murray has decided to transfer. That leaves a steep void of twenty points per game against a veteran Delaware team. Still, Delaware does not have great size or boast solid defense. This is the type of methodical game you'd expect the Bulls to be able to handle. Grab South Florida.

There may not be a team in need of conference play more than Georgia State. Boasting former Indiana Hoosier Jeremy Hollowell, former Charlotte 49er Willie Clayton, and Alabama transfer Devin Mitchell has not helped elevate the Panthers. Their last two losses have been by double-digits against Mississippi State and Old Dominion on single-digit point spreads. In fact, all four of their road games this season were losses by an average of fifteen point. Relentless style of play from Middle Tennessee is going to create rushed shots, turnovers, and a brand of basketball uncomfortable to Georgia State.

We're starting to see the same pattern of veteran age creep up on the Cavaliers as it has the past two seasons. Both Kevin Love and JR Smith are dinged up but the Cavaliers still have their top two players in Kyrie Irving and LeBron James. After defeating the Bucks last night in overtime by a margin of six, we're seeing the same number here on their home floor tonight. Yet, perhaps no team in the Eastern Conference has grown from a matchup standpoint against the Cavs as the Bucks have. They not only boast athleticism but feature immense size. Of the Bucks top eight man rotation no one is shorter than Matthew Dellavedova at 6'4. It's almost a carbon copy of the Cavaliers size, except a high advantage of youth lies with the Bucks. We'll side with that factor here and take the Bucks as a road dog.

This would seem like a spot that the Blue Jays would slip up. It's the end of non-conference play and the Blue Jays showed rust in their last game(1-point win over Oral Roberts). ASU also has intel on the Blue Jays as they defeated the Blue Jays last season 79-77. Still, the Sun Devils are a disorganized team that is playing below standard similar to Oregon State. Grab Creighton to pounce on the Sun Devils even on the road.

With how solid the Nets are playing offensively it'd seem like they'll be in for a good fight tonight against Toronto. Yet, the Raptors are too potent of an offensive team to allow the Nets to stay in this one. I'm also concerned with the Nets road trip causing a significant let down here. Grab the Raptors.

The Pirates offense rank is abysmal, as they're coming off an atrocious performance against Charleston. Now the Pirates step up in class against another Carolina school in UNC Wilmington. This figures to be a mismatch with how potent the Seahawks are. Yet, the Pirates are a veteran team that have received downgraded play from both Kentrell Barkley and BJ Tyson. Look for both to step up and be catalysts against the Seahawks. Take the points here.

SMU's talented starting five has rolled off four straight wins after a 4-3 start. In fact SMU's offensive efficiency features four players that average double-figures led by senior Ben Moore and Duke transfer Semi Ojeleye. At home they're undefeated at 7-0. Yet the bench recently thinned as they lost Harry Froling who decided to transfer. That's an issue against a defensive minded Stanford team. Even though they've lost two of three I like the points here on a line two to three points higher than it should be.

A year ago at home, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston suffered one of his worst visual performances in a 10-6 win against Dallas. That loss for the Cowboys was a microcosm of the need to upgrade the running back (McFadden 17 carries for 32 yards) and quarterback (Cassel 186 yards, 1 pick) position.  Keep in mind this Bucs team has traveled on the road to KC and San Diego, and played two tough home games against the Seahawks/Saints over the last month. Dallas on the other hand had the benefit of consecutive Thursday games followed by a divisional game on the road. Sometimes teams peak at the late stages of a season only to fizzle out of the playoff hunt. Tampa Bay will be that team.

Having won three straight the Michigan State Spartans are now 7-4. Losses to Arizona, Kentucky, Duke, and Baylor will look like an acceptable resume when you creep to 8-4 and 9-4 before conference play. Yet, I like the value here on Northeastern. At 5-5, they have not won or lost a game by more than ten points. In fact all five of their losses have been by six points or less. They'll play tough for the full forty minutes and give the Spartans another hard fought battle.

Something has to give Sunday between the youth of the 76ers and that of the Nets. Brooklyn attracted value prior to their loss against the Magic with key ATS covers against the Wizards, Nuggets, Rockets, and Lakers. The blending of their youth has flourished as of late with Brook Lopez as a catalyst. Yet, their issues on the road (one win) are troublesome for a young team. The 76ers have several big men to throw at Brook Lopez which is going to leave the Nets needing to find extra scoring. Look for the Nets road issues to continue.

The Patriots have taken advantage of an easy schedule over the last month to jump out to an 11-2 record. Denver on the other hand has been topsy turvy with inconsistent play lurking one week to the next via special teams, offense, or defense. To beat New England even at home you need to be able to depend on all three phases. While the Patriots defense isn't elite, they'll be the difference on the road to out duel a former top defense of the Broncos.

Sunday, the Clippers continue their east coast road trip in Washington. The Clippers are coming off consecutive narrow ATS losses to Orlando and Miami. In last year's late spring matchup in LA against the Wizards, the Clippers surrendered a 6.5 point spread loss in the final few minutes thanks to a flurry of final minute three pointers from John Wall. The game was Blake Griffin's return from a lengthy absence and team chemistry was rusty. That's a non-issue Sunday and I expect the Clippers to take advantage of a small road line.

Playing well below their capabilities have been Old Dominion. At 5-4, many people probably have already forgot that their first loss came in two overtimes against a talented Louisville team. They also were in all three of their other losses to LSU, Rhode Island, and recently VCU (surrendered a double digit lead late). Georgia State's subpar defense should open the door for an Old Dominion team that has under achieved offensively.

Not many teams have tail spun as negatively as the Eagles have. They've lost four straight with a defense that looks defeated, and an offense struggling with a rookie quarterback. Opposite the Ravens are in a must win situation to keep pace with the Steelers and remain in the wild card hunt. With rookie quarterback Carson Wentz struggles it's hard to see him getting out of it on the road. Yet, with his rookie expectations toned down I believe he can finish the season strong. Grab the value here on the Ravens.

UIC +8.5

Finding offense after losing a player that averages twenty points per game is tough to do in a power five conference. UIC will try to do it as they lost Dikembe Dixon to an ACL tear in their latest game against DePaul. Loyola Chicago has won six of their last seven, with an added offensive dimension to their typical strong defense. Sometimes subtraction of a star player brings forth a strong effort and higher level of focus on both sides of the court. Look for UIC to play team basketball and hold within the spread.

New Mexico -7.5

New Mexico looks to take advantage of their home field as they take on UT San Antonio. UT San Antonio snuck in at 6-6 but did stand forth in close losses against Colorado State and ASU. Yet, New Mexico has an up tempo offense that will be too much for Texas San Antonio. Grab the Lobos to put on an offensive show.

The Clippers continue their road trip in Florida, after a five-point victory over the Magic. Beyond the second quarter in the contest the Clippers led in solid fashion. For the Heat one has to disbelieve they have the offensive punch to keep up with the Clippers.  Yet, defensive pieces are there with Justice Winslow back combined with Tyler Johnson and Hassan Whiteside. Grab the Heat to make this more interesting than anticipated as they become the second Florida home team to cover as underdogs against the Clippers.

We'll grab Bradley on Friday, against a UT-Arlington team that may be a bit over inflated. Off a big win over Saint Mary's, UT-Arlington does not lack offensive talent. With the Braves struggles at 5-5, it'd appear this is a clear overmatch. Yet, at the tail end of non-conference play you start to see teams at .500 gain better traction. Grab the Braves to play some of their best basketball of 2016.

The fire power the Raptors are showcasing currently is quietly being devalued. DeMar DeRozan is playing at a level unseen and the Raptors rotation balance extends as deep as any team. The struggling Hawks would seem as no match especially after a recent forty-four point loss in Toronto. Yet, this is a good buy low spot to grab the Hawks against the surging Raptors.

An odd line takes place in most eyes Friday as the Nets are six point underdogs against the Orlando Magic. The main reason here is the Nets have been dysfunctional to say the least on the road, with a 1-10 record. I see that extending Friday and at the right price for the home Magic. Brooklyn may seem to have ATS value as they've covered four of their last five, but are still in a major conundrum rotation wise. Grab the home Magic to take advantage.

After a losing road trip the Trailblazers took care of business against the Thunder. Now they head back onto the road aiming to win a third matchup of the season against Denver. One of those match ups was an overtime win in Denver October 29th, in which the Trailblazers erased an eight point lead in the final two minutes. While many may see motivation on the side of the Nuggets combined with the Trailblazers slide as an angle, I'll side with the value of another Portland win over Denver.

Here we'll take a look at a Pelicans team that's regaining health and value. Indiana on the other hand has struggled with consistent play over their last three games. Two of the three were wins which may seem strange, but in both they needed to rally either from surrendering a steep deficit or in comeback fashion. Traveling in consecutive nights should extend that weakness as the Pelicans are becoming a potent offensive team. Grab the Pelicans.

Two 7-3 teams will battle it out Thursday as College of Charleston heads to East Carolina. The Pirates are coming off a steep twenty-three point loss to Virginia, and should have thoughts of getting out early against Charleston. While East Carolina may be the veteran team and at home, Charleston has the better core talent and cohesiveness. Grab the small line on the underdog Cougars.

Detroit

Off a poor home loss to the 76ers, one would believe the Pistons are vulnerable here on the road against the Mavericks.

Yet, the Pistons are a capable team of bouncing back here. Even on the road, one can not mask the poor play the Mavericks have exhibited. 

Imbalance with youth and veterans is an odd mix that doesn't bode well against a reliable depth-laden Pistons team.

The sports betting market is always quick to remember the cinderellas, especially in non-conference play. Middle Tennessee State was one last year as they advanced to the sweet sixteen. Facing Belmont hasn't tricked oddsmakers, and I believe this line should be slightly in their favor. They have a way of finishing off games as they did recently against Evansville, and will do so here again tonight. Grab Belmont.

Monmouth +3.5

Based on strength of schedule one can see why Memphis is the slight favorite. They're the home team tonight and the well known school. Yet, neither Monmouth or Memphis has been stellar in non-conference play. Both have lost to the main schools on their schedule---Monmouth (Cuse, South Carolina), and Memphis-(Providence, Ole Miss). This is where I'll lean to a veteran Monmouth team that's played several top schools dating back to last season. Lacking the same fire power as a year ago may stray folks from backing Monmouth as their last three wins over Canisius, Wagner, and Army have been subpar. Grab the contrarian play here with Monmouth.

Portland's sloppy road trip continued to go worse as they blew a 98-90 fourth quarter lead, regain the lead back to six, and lost it once again.

This doesn't seem to bode well for them on Monday as they travel to Los Angeles, a team that has already exacted revenge for last year's playoff exit twice.

To get the job done Monday, I expect the Trailblazers to capitalize against a boosted line here.

Both the Trailblazers guards are playing at peak levels right now, and if one other player can get back on track this should be an easy cover.

The Pelicans lost in embarrassing fashion on Saturday to the Clippers. With several starters out--including key star Anthony Davis who DNP due to rest. Expecting the Pelicans to be refreshed against a Suns team they took to overtime at home is a factor here. Phoenix is also a team that's not shown consistency off a key win, as they just defeated the Lakers. Yet, I like the Suns here to grow off of Friday's win and keep the Pelicans reeling on their current road trip.

I'll lean to the side of the Giants who have not been a strong team all season ATS at home. They're coming off a poor performance which could have been much worse than the score indicated against Pittsburgh. Dallas on the other hand has played consecutive Thursday games and remains unbeaten since week one. Rust showed in both their Thursday wins and I believe it carries over to Sunday night. Dallas may escape with another win but the Giants get the cover.

Not often will I play against a team on consecutive days, but Sunday I will with the Timberwolves. Golden State is coming off a steep loss to the Grizzlies in which they weren't in it from the onset. Minnesota on the other hand has been abysmal ATS, because of the inability to finish games. Three quarters in they've been competitive. At home and playing the best team in the NBA, I do not expect their motivation to fall apart late. Grab the Timberwolves on a line that should be closer to 7.5-8.

The Detroit Pistons are coming off two impressive wins including a blowout win over the Timberwolves. Their value is even higher as they've been a different team on their home floor. That figures to play into the hands of a 76ers team that is subpar on paper and poor on the road. Yet, I see the 76ers coming to play in this one. Grab the value on the high line.

It's hard not to be distracted by the NFC South which features all teams that grab headlines. The Falcons with Julio Jones and their turn around season, the Saints in the Sean Payton era, and the Panthers weekly episodes. Under the radar have been the Bucs who are quietly battling for the division title. Momentum continues to rise on their side as they won last week in San Diego. At home this will be a matchup that the Bucs need to rely on their defense more than their offense to get the W. Look for that to happen as the Bucs defense over the years has been strong at home against Drew Brees. Grab the Bucs.

Memphis +10.5

For Saturday we'll back the home Grizzlies who many may believe are an illusion at this point. A five game win streak has boosted their record from 11-8 to 16-8. Each win was slim with none higher than five points. The competition in those wins can also be a question mark. Yet, this Grizzlies team knows how to stay in games and is riding the great underrated play of Marc Gasol. With the Warriors having won in easy fashion as of late, I'd be leery with how they finished of their last win against the Jazz. Grab the Grizzlies.

Are the Bruins seeing too high of a line adjustment or are they still devalued? I'm on the devalued side especially against a Michigan team that's issues are hidden via their record. They lack the ability to play two halves of solid basketball which is a scary proposition against an old school potent Bruins squad.

Off a poor loss the Butler Bulldogs will look to bounce back against a Bearcats team built to play for forty minutes. Yet, the Bearcats have had a long layoff not having played since last Sunday. They've also not traveled much early in the season with all home games besides their win against Iowa State and an early tournament in Connecticut. Grab the Bulldogs here on downgraded value off their first loss.

On paper one has to wonder why Dayton is a seven point favorite. East Tennessee State not only has shown great scoring ability but also turns teams over at a high rate. While Dayton may not be at it's strength of two seasons ago they have a carbon copy of style of basketball that East Tennessee State tries to enforce. A smaller rotation on Dayton's side equals better balance in my opinion. The Bucs depth and lack of solidified rotation hurts them in this matchup. Grab the Flyers.

We'll grab the Irish in a spot that makes you do a double-take on the spread. Villanova has been a non-conference juggernaut ATS the last three seasons and also have their March tournament run fresh on people's minds. Yet, the one flaw on this newly made over Villanova team is excelling on the defensive end of the floor. Minus big man Daniel Ochefu interior shot blocking is gone, and on-ball defense is not as strong as well without Ryan Arch. Look for the veteran Irish to stand ground as their record suggests and get a big day from VJ Beecham and Steve Vastruria.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have looked out of sorts since Ricky Rubio returned from injury. The ball is not moving fluidly and frankly the youth is showing. Home/away losses to the Knicks, and a loss to the Spurs have detracted their value against a Raptors team that has been a strong home team. With the Raptors losing their latest game to the Cavs many may want to jump on the Raptors here. Instead, grab the roster versus roster value here on the Timberwolves who are much more athletic and have a size advantage over the Raptors.

Traveling across the country to take on UMass will be Pacific University. The Minute Men have failed to play to their optimal levels thus far this season, and should get another challenge here from a decent Pacific squad. While many will anticipate a travel factor and UMass poised to break out, side with the underdogs here.

It's not typical to see a team play three games in three nights. Amidst the NBA's plans to adjust scheduling to avoid such, some people may get caught into the Bulls current slide. They've lost in consecutive nights and are facing a Detroit team that's 7-3 at home. Off a home loss to the Magic one would expect the Pistons to bounce back strongly here against a tired Bulls team. Instead we'll grab the Bulls to challenge the Pistons with a deep roster, and get unexpected points from one of their young talented bench players.

One thing for sure Tuesday night is little to no defense will be played between the Phoenix and Central Michigan. Expected offensive outbursts usually sway to the home team, especially early in the season in non-conference. In fact Central Michigan defeated the Phoenix 89-77 at Green Bay. In the win the Chippewas erased a four point half time deficit. Expect the Phoenix to be ready to play for a full forty minutes this time with the loss fresh on their minds. Grab the Phoenix.

Having lost three of four Rhode Island's value has diminished. Yet, this is a talented Rams team that will bring their value back up to tournament standards before conference play. Facing an Old Dominion team that's two losses were by six points each to Louisville and LSU figures to link bettors to their side. But the Monarchs are a low scoring team and that should pose to the side of the Rams who are an efficient half court defensive and offensive team.

Carolina +8.5

The distrust in the Carolina Panthers has finally set in for oddsmakers. Seattle coming off a poor loss is still seen as an overmatch here. I'm not sold on that, as even though the Panthers have under performed they've been in the majority of their games. The notion that Russ Wilson is healthy and should pick apart a poor Panthers defense, should be discounted. Over the years Russ has struggled to move the football against the Panthers defense even during the Seahawks peak period.

Teams traveling from coast to coast on a road trip aren't supposed to gain in value ATS. Yet, the Kings won outright against the Nets, pushed against the Wizards, and covered by a point against the Celtics. The Knicks on the other hand have won consecutive games against the Timberwolves to push themselves back above .500. So why is this line so small? A season ago the Kings swept the Knicks, which included a home game in which they nearly blew a nineteen point lead. The fact that the Knicks have added better pieces does not mask the issues they still have defensively. Even minus Rajon Rondo the Kings have proper balance to cause the Knicks problems once again.

It may be two years since Georgia State's great run in the NCAA tournament, but they've kept their recruiting principles in line. Miss State on the other hand is a conundrum hard to figure out. They've had solid wins against Boise State and in their latest game against Oregon State, yet have lost to UCF and Lehigh. Look for Georgia State to prove to be the better two-loss team here.

Tampa Bay +4

The back and forth display all season from the Buccaneers is resembled of a team in transition. Perhaps being in a division with sporadic play throughout has swayed proper views of the Bucs. Dirk Koetter has allowed Jameis Winston to lead on the field with full freedom unlike any other quarterback in football. It's grown confidence of every position on offense, and spiked higher effort from a subpar defense. Look for the Bucs to travel well here and take care of business against the Chargers.

We'll grab Monmouth against MAAC conference opponent Canisius. The Golden Griffins have won two straight while Monmouth has bounced back nicely since losing to South Carolina and Syracuse. With both teams excelling at scoring, one may want to lean Canisius getting so many points. Yet, I expect Monmouth to be able to land more scoring punches and outscore the Golden Griffins.

The question for everyone is how far can the Bengals sink before a complete 360 is done from oddsmakers. Yearly the NFL has proven what you saw last year is not the case the following. More than any other team in football the Bengals have got in their own way. This is a stylistic game that favors the Eagles with slight advantages on the sideline, red zone scoring percentages, and big play ability on both sides of the football on third downs.

Wisconsin -3

Sometimes it's hard to resist the new and improved team, which is Penn State. They've won with an array of different styles and are coming off an impressive cover against Michigan State. Yet the Badgers have the formula of play that is suited for handling counters of Penn State for four quarters. Grab the Badgers.

Georgia State +7

Here will look at two teams that quite frankly are even on paper. Idaho's above average offensive display lately and home advantage has inflated this line. Georgia State has vastly under achieved and has the offense to test an Idaho defense masked by a great offense. Grab Georgia State as our last Sun Belt play of the season.

LA Lafayette -6.5

It's been an oddsmaker nightmare all season for Lafayette. I've harped on this fact all season long, and will conclude with it here. A shift has occurred as Lafayette finishes out the season as they've been strong against the number. They've done so by trusting their defense and toning down expectations of the offense. It's worked as turnovers have dwindled. Monroe is a team that can't function successfully without pace. Look for Lafayette to disrupt Monroe's pace and win the turnover battle.

New Mexico State +13

With doubt on New Mexico's State's starting quarterback it would seem that South Alabama should be in for an easy win. A win and they'll be eligible for a bowl game. Yet, I'm always a proponent to be leery on backing teams needing one more win that have had a poor conference season. South Alabama's success came pre-conference schedule as they've been dysfunctional in the Sun Belt. Grab the Aggies to fight and hold within the spread.

Here we have a rematch from a few weeks back between the Magic and 76ers. When both were winless the Magic eked out a two-point win at Philadelphia as a five point favorite. In fact, they faced steep deficits in the matchup before rallying back with a 41 point third quarter. Fatigue is factored into this line swaying as well as the 76ers detracted value amidst their poor start. Grab the 76ers who should wear out a road weary Magic team.

Pittsburgh -15

We're going to go ahead and add a play on Pittsburgh tonight against Duquense. Pittsburgh's on floor talent isn't going to blow anyone away, but they are as spurt team. Duquense's lack of size is a prime factor for a Pittsburgh team that can muscle to the hoop in the interior and excels at rebounding. Look for offensive rebounds and turnovers to be the spread toppler here. 

An intriguing night cap matchup sets the stage Thursday night. Here, we'll aim to grab the value with the underdog in UT San Antonio. UT San Antonio has already thrived in underdog roles this season against Fresno State, Oregon State, and UIC. In fact, they have lost all four match ups they've had on the road. Still, Cal Poly is a work in progress offensively, which should bode to the advantage of a feisty UT San Antonio team. Grab the Road Runners.

After losing to the Bucks in blowout fashion one would expect the Cavaliers to bring their A game on Thursday. Yet, the Clippers are also coming off a poor loss to the Nets. One in which their head coach Doc Rivers was ejected with intense emotions. Three straight losses on an East coast road trip to the Pistons, Pacers, and Nets, would lead to the assumption that another downfall is expected Thursday. Instead, look for the Clippers to attack a Cavaliers team they've had scoring success against.

Seton Hall is coming off a loss to a Stanford team in which they blew an early first-half double digit lead. The Pirates transition offense was halted, which is where I believe Columbia can thrive Thursday. With a steep point spread, look for a key sequence from Columbia to carry us to an ATS cover.

ASU

Last year the Arizona State Sun Devils saw first hand the dominance of the Wildcats. After controlling the first half the Devils quickly caved and allowed a late surge from the Wildcats. It was enough just to topple a 13.5 point spread. Now a younger team compared to last year's veteran team you'd expect the Devils to be in for another loss to a stronger Wildcats team. Yet, I expect ASU to not go through the same offensive lulls experienced last year and to give the Wildcats a true test.

Sunday, we'll grab Stanford in a spot that would seem suited for the Seton Hall Pirates. After all the Cardinal struggled to match a poor shooting Miami Hurricanes team in their latest loss. Yet, there were positive signs to be taken from that game. Look for the Cardinal to find better balanced offense here and showcase their typical sound defense.

The Jaguars fell far below pre-season expectations, while the Bills have seemingly exceeded. This is a barometer test on both teams, where the oddsmakers have over-adjusted value on the Bills. Look for the Jaguars capable offense to test the Bills poor pass defense and close the gap on a steep point spread.

Issues with special teams and imbalance offensively have caught up to the Arizona Cardinals. Still, over the years Matt Ryan has had issues facing this Cardinals team. In 2013, Ryan threw four interceptions against Arizona and an abysmal five interceptions against them in 2012. With Ryan's value sky-high currently and the Cardinals inability to cover spreads this seems to be a great spot to grab Atlanta. Instead, grab the Cardinals to get back to .500. 

Colorado -9

At first glance it may be shocking to see the Buffaloes as nine point favorites. Yet, they've grown on both sides of the football. Offensively they continue to score at a high rate, and now their defense has met the challenge. Utah has struggled to generate four quarters of consistent offense, and this matchup should see a rise in their faults. Grab the Buffaloes.

Idaho -5.5

All season long I've harped on South Alabama and their downgrading play. They've come to play against San Diego State and Mississippi State. Outside of those wins they've struggled especially in-conference play. On the road against a potent Idaho team is not a prime scenario for the Jaguars. Grab the Vandals.

Orlando Magic +2

Post Thanksgiving serves us one of the best line traps of the season involving the Washington Wizards and Orlando Magic. Already this season the Magic defeated the Wizards 88-86 on their home floor, in a game they won with lackadaisical effort. With the Wizards having won two of their last three, they're finally showing signs of life. Yet, they're 0-5 on the road and continually dig themselves a hole in the first quarter. Look for the Magic to get out early and hold on for the ATS cover.

Mercer

An intriguing game on Friday will take place between Mercer and East Carolina. Mercer comes in as a slight favorite in large part as they battle an experienced East Carolina team. Both teams have issues with scoring efficiency, which would lead you to lean with the Pirates depth and experience. Instead grab Mercer here which is devalued and capable of raising their offensive efficiency to levels seen last year.  

Boise State -8

In a year where the Mountain West has seen other teams raise their level of talent, perhaps Boise State is still being devalued. They're certainly not the same level top-tier team they were under Chris Peterson, but they have the extra skill positional players you look for on the road in a tough road environment. Air Force should challenge in this game for two and perhaps two and half quarters. But expect Boise State to pull away late.

New Mexico +5

Is the Virginia Tech program ready to make a semi-leap before conference play in the ACC? Under Buzz Williams they've certainly grown as a program in two short seasons. Still, a factor to consider here is the size and depth of the Lobos. Size has consistently given the Hokies trouble in particular at the forward position. Forward Tim Williams who averages over 23 PPG and tall athletic former Butler guard in Elijah Brown should pose for a long day for the Hokies. 

Washington +7

This is a great spread on two teams obviously playing at peak levels. Can Washington's pour defense handle the potent Cowboys? It'll be a tough task but during a short week one they can accomplish. Amidst the Cowboys headline play has been how under rated Washington has been offensively. They've answered the bell each time when needed recently having won or tied in seven of their last eight games. Take the points here.

Temple +10.5

There is no denying the talent disparity between Temple and Florida State. In fact, if this game was played even two to three weeks down the road it may have been a play on Florida State. Instead, this is an early season game that bodes to the advantage of the Temple Owls. Look for the Owls yearly system of tough defense and timely scoring to outpace Florida State's frenetic flow.

Detroit

After defeating the Arizona Cardinals at home all figures to be well with the Vikings, correct? Not necessarily. Positive signs have been shown with the Vikings offense as they've moved the football two weeks in a row against the Cardinals-Redskins. Throughout that process the defense has slid. This is a game where Jim Bob Cooter can exploit the Vikings defense with his short quick passing game. Grab the Lions.

Boston

People still aren't buying the Celtics as a strong team let alone sizable home favorite. Combine that with being a road favorite and there is even more disinterest. Yet, the Nets are starting to show heavier cracks to their overall team, in particular on their most recent West Coast road trip. Those issues lingered over in their home loss to the Trailblazers this weekend. Grab the Celtics to showcase one of their stronger outings of the season tonight.

Chicago's strong west coast road trip has not lost steam. They'll look to add their fourth win on the trip against another difficult opponent in the Denver Nuggets. Both teams exhibit an up and down tempo, yet the Bulls also have the capability of honing in on defense when necessary. Grab the Bulls to cash as small road favorites

Towson

We won't be fooled here by the ACC Boston College Eagles. They'll face Towson on Tuesday as slight underdogs. Frankly, Boston College has failed to inherit ACC caliber players and lost key talent last year via transfer. Grab Towson to dictate this matchup for the full forty minutes.

Packers +3

This is the same spot the Packers were in last season as the entered the playoffs. Odds were against them as small dogs on the road against the Redskins. Though the Packers personnel seems a bit more behind than last season, there is still plenty of time to phase to a higher level. Oddsmakers have kept the Redskins as small home favorites all season long that can't be ignored here. Grab the Packers to right the ship just as they did last January.

Patriots -11

New England travels across the country after a prime time SNF home loss to the Seahawks. They'll also be without Brady's favorite target in Rob Gronkowski. Yet, the 49ers are in mirage territory as offensively they've shown signs in consecutive weeks against the Saints/Cardinals. Even though the Patriots offense may not be 100 percent in sync expect the Patriots defensively to push forth the debate once again on Kaepernick/Gabbert in San Francisco.

Chiefs -7.5

Of all the issues teams have dealt with, Kansas City's Andy Reid does not get enough praise for keeping his Chiefs from faltering. They've dealt with numerous running back injuries, Alex Smith missed time, and the defense is not as strong as last year. Yet, the Chiefs know how to win and Sunday they should be able to exhibit a higher level of separation in the win department. Grab the Chiefs to take over a Buccaneers team that is as one-dimensional as any team in the NFL offensively.

Oregon State -5

The bottom of the Pac-12 features a matchup that many will ignore. Oregon State has lost five consecutive and both programs are 2-8. Yet, there's a difference with a team with a losing record that showcases fight versus a program that needs an obvious change of staff. This is a vote of confidence game for Coach Riley to build his OSU program for next season, while the Wildcats direction is unclear. Grab the Beavers.

Play Charlotte 

BYU -28

This season UMass has hung in contests against Mississippi State, Florida, South Carolina, and Troy for a half. Under normal circumstances this spread would be in the mid 30's, as BYU has not been a strong backer ATS. Even off a bye week, UMass's tough schedule and road travel (close out the season with five of seven road games) are too much to ignore.