Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
12-12-17 |
Mississippi State v. Cincinnati -12.5 |
|
50-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
12-09-17 |
Portland State v. Santa Clara -2.5 |
Top |
87-84 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
12-09-17 |
Washington State v. UTEP +1.5 |
|
69-76 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
12-09-17 |
Magic v. Hawks -4.5 |
|
110-117 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-17 |
Portland State v. Loyola Marymount OVER 159 |
|
94-85 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
30* Portland State vs. Loyola Marymount OVER 159
|
12-05-17 |
St. John's v. Grand Canyon +6 |
|
68-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-17 |
Texas A&M v. Arizona +1.5 |
|
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-17 |
Vermont +4 v. Marquette |
|
81-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
12-04-17 |
Nuggets v. Mavs -2.5 |
Top |
105-122 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK Dallas Mavericks -2.5 I let you guys in on a little secret. When I look at the NBA card every day, I look for the lines that look out of whack. Usually there aren't many and rarely do you get one that makes your eyes go big. Whenever we find games like this one tonight, we go big. The last two we had that really stood out were the Heat +2 against the 16 in a row Cetlics and the 3-15 Hawks -1 against the Knicks. Well both of those cashed with flying colors. The Mavericks are favored over the 13-9 Nuggets. Need I say more?
|
12-04-17 |
Missouri State v. North Dakota State +3 |
|
71-58 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
30*
North Dakota State +3
This game is a system play from our College Basketball system. A note to subscribers. Our College Basketball season kicks off big time during Conference play (typically starts the end of December.) We gather the information during the first month of the season and pick our spots during the early going. Best of luck to everyone.
|
12-02-17 |
USC v. SMU -2.5 |
|
55-72 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
30* Southern Methodist (SMU) -2.5 Unranked team facing off against a Top 15 team and they're favored. Also love the fact that USC upset SMU in the tournament last year in the 1st round on a game that went down to the final shot. You always remember who ended your season the prior year and its been a solid angle to work with in the past.
|
11-30-17 |
San Diego State v. San Diego +4 |
|
66-57 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
11-30-17 |
Cavs v. Hawks OVER 214.5 |
|
121-114 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
30* Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks OVER 214.5
|
11-30-17 |
Texas Tech v. Seton Hall -2 |
|
79-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-17 |
Louisville v. Purdue -8 |
|
57-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-17 |
Iona +3 v. Ohio |
|
93-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-17 |
Wisconsin v. Virginia UNDER 122.5 |
|
37-49 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
30* Wisconsin vs. Syracuse UNDER 122.5
|
11-27-17 |
Maryland v. Syracuse UNDER 134.5 |
|
70-72 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 52 m |
Show
|
30* Maryland vs. Syracuse UNDER 134.5
|
11-24-17 |
Knicks v. Hawks +2 |
|
104-116 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-17 |
North Carolina v. Arkansas +4 |
Top |
87-68 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
40* CBB VEGAS INSIDER Arkansas +4
|
11-22-17 |
Celtics v. Heat +3.5 |
Top |
98-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER Miami Heat +3.5 This simply comes down to being the trap line. The Heat are only getting 3 points to the 16 in a row Boston Celtics? Boston is getting over 80% of the action at nearly every book, yet the line is starting to drop. The Heat should bounce back nicely here as well, since they got destroyed their last game. Miami is 15-6 ATS following a straight up double digit loss.
|
11-22-17 |
Toledo v. Syracuse UNDER 144 |
Top |
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK Toledo vs. Syracuse UNDER 144 I love taking Syracuse unders when mid majors come to the Carrier Dome. Sight lines are a big problem and that zone can make even the best offenses look mediocre. It reminds me a bit of the triple option in football. It's so hard to prepare for and if you aren't ready for it, you can look foolish.
|
11-21-17 |
Texas-Arlington +11 v. Alabama |
Top |
76-77 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
50* CBB UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH Texas-Arlington +11 Two of the most important factors to be successful on the road in College Basketball is being a great 3 point shooting team and having experience. Well, UTA boasts the 2nd best 3 point shooting team in the land and they start FIVE seniors. One of the biggest problems of Alabama is their FT shooting (#349) and leaving a ton of points at the line only hurts when laying points. UTA has done well covering the number against non-conference foes, going 20-7. This shows that they are constantly being under valued, mostly due from the fact they play in the Sun Belt.
|
11-19-17 |
USC v. Vanderbilt +3 |
|
93-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
30* Vanderbilt +3 One of my favorite home field advantages in college basketball is Memorial Gym, Vanderbilt. The raised floor really messes with site lines of visiting teams. Also, the #10 team in the nation is nearly pick em to this unranked Vandy squad and I'll tell you why...Vandy is money making machines against the winning teams. They have covered the spread 17 of the last 22 and this is USC's first true road game of the season.
|
11-16-17 |
Missouri v. Utah -4 |
|
59-77 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-17 |
Raptors v. Pelicans -2.5 |
Top |
125-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 The situational clearly favors the Pelicans. The Raptors are now playing back to back and 3 road games in 4 nights. The two prior games were against two of the best teams in the league, Boston (came down to the wire) and Houston (lights out shooting.) The Pelicans are playing their 3rd straight home game and had the night off last night. They are currently on a 5-1 win streak. Their only loss...to these Raptors just a few nights ago. Big time revenge angle for the Pelicans. The Raptors have also failed to cover the spread in 4 straight following a straight up win.
|
11-14-17 |
Denver +11.5 v. Colorado |
|
62-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-17 |
Lipscomb +14.5 v. Alabama |
|
64-86 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-17 |
Iona +10 v. Syracuse |
|
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
11-13-17 |
Coll Of Charleston +17 v. Wichita State |
Top |
63-81 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
40* College of Charleston +17 This game reminds me a lot of our Vermont selection last night that cashed. The spread just looks way too short/easy. Ranked teams typically lay nearly 20/30 points to these mid majors. This is the #7 Wichita State Shockers at home and they're only laying 17?! If you look closer, the head coach of CoC was an assistant under Marshall for 6 years and has familiarity with the program. Charleston also returns all 5 of their starters.
|
11-13-17 |
Hawks v. Pelicans UNDER 217 |
|
105-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
20* Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 217 I like how this game sets up from a trends stand point. There are certain key angles I always look at for totals and this game has several in our favor. The two we are focusing on here are how teams respond after getting blown out and after a poor defensive performance. The Hawks are 12-4 to the under after losing by more than double digits and the Pelicans are 5-1 to the under after allowing 100+ points. The Hawks are also known to go under when playing good teams (winning records) and both teams have had a night off, so legs should be fresher to play defense.
|
11-13-17 |
Minnesota v. Providence -2 |
|
86-74 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
11-12-17 |
Vermont +13 v. Kentucky |
Top |
69-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
11-10-17 |
Hawks v. Pistons -9 |
|
104-111 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
30* NBA Friday BEST BET Detroit Pistons -9 Atlanta just went through Murderer’s Row playing a 3 games in 4 nights sets against Boston, Houston, and an outright upset of the Cavaliers. They now have had 3 days off since then and I believe this will only hurt. The Hawks should be rusty as they are 5-13 ATS with 3+ days off. They face a Pistons team that is in an advantageous spot, having been playing at home since November 3rd winning 3 straight. The Pistons have always done well covering the number against the bad teams of the league (losing record) at home, going 13-3.
|
11-08-17 |
Heat -6 v. Suns |
|
126-115 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
20* Miami Heat -6 This play is based off the benching of Hassan Whiteside. I expect an inspired effort from Miami tonight, facing a Suns team that have OWNED in the past. Miami is 23-7 ATS which includes going 8-1 the last 9 in Phoenix. The Suns are also just 2-11 ATS when facing a team with a losing record.
|
11-03-17 |
Nets v. Lakers OVER 226 |
|
112-124 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
20* Los Angeles Lakers vs. Brooklyn Nets OVER 226
|
11-01-17 |
Rockets v. Knicks OVER 213 |
|
119-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
30* Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks OVER 213 I believe this game is going to be a 3 point shootout. We all know the Houston Rockets do nothing but shoot 3 pointers but now the Knicks are becoming a 3 point shooting team. During their 3 game losing streak, they weren't shooting as many 3 pointers and were playing slow. Since they picked up the pace and decided to let it rain from distance, they have won 3 straight. I also expect the Knicks to try and push the pace tonight since Houston is playing 3 games in 4 nights and on a back to back.
|
10-30-17 |
Nuggets -4 v. Knicks |
|
110-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
30*
Denver Nuggets -4
Going to give the Nuggets one more chance. They haven't been kind to us this year and if they can't take out the lowly Knicks in this terrific spot, it's time to stay away from them.
Obvisouly this is a let down spot for the Knicks, as they creamed the Cavaliers last night at the Q, but this has been an awful spot for the Knicks lately and I'll tell you why. NY is just 1-6 ATS following a double digit straight up win, which means they get over valued. They are also just 1-6 ATS when scoring 100+ points. This means that they usually have a let down after a solid offensive performance. The Nuggets have covered 5 straight in this series and I expect that perfect run to continue tonight.
|
10-27-17 |
Nets v. Knicks -2 |
|
86-107 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
30* New York Knicks -2 One of our main handicapping angles is simply fading the “trap” line or the spread that looks too easy. The Nets just took out the mighty Cleveland Cavaliers and are the main surprise of the NBA season so far. However this is a tough spot for them playing 4 games in 6 nights and alternating home and away games. The Knicks are winless on the season but are favored. That should tell you all you need to know.
|
10-25-17 |
Nuggets -2.5 v. Hornets |
|
93-110 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
30* Denver Nuggets -2.5 I love fading a public underdog. Also, there is a reason the Nuggets are favored on the road here folks. This game is a trend lovers dream. Denver is a combined 10-0 ATS on the road, facing a team with a a losing record and they are also 17-5 ATS following a straight up loss. Injuries have really hurt the Hornets to begin the season and to be quite honest, I love going against Dwight Howard. There are certain players I love betting on or hate betting against (Aaron Rodgers/Clayton Kershaw) and players I hate betting on or love betting against (Cutler/Anthony) and Dwight Howard is definitely one of them. He has that "I don't care" attitude and he can't buy a free throw to save his life.
|
10-24-17 |
Nets v. Magic UNDER 230.5 |
|
121-125 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
20* Brooklyn Nets vs. Orlando Magic UNDER 230.5 Familiarity helps the defense. That should be the case tonight as these two teams just faced of against each other last week. I also think the Magic are in for a let down after their terrific performance against the Cavaliers. Let's be real, 230 is a TON of points. In order to score that many, you have to just say "we're not playing defense." You also have to hit a barrage of 3 pointers, which they did in the last meeting. I don't see them having the same success tonight.
|
10-20-17 |
Magic v. Nets -1.5 |
|
121-126 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-17 |
Cavs v. Bucks +2 |
|
116-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-17 |
Clippers -6 v. Lakers |
Top |
108-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
50* NBA MAX BET Los Angeles Clippers -6 There is a TON of value on the Clippers tonight. In the last few years, I have almost blindly taken the Clippers against the Lakers. The Clippers always want to lay a beat down to the Lakers because they are the "little brother." Typically this line has always been in the double digits. It's now down below the key number of 7 simply because of Chris Paul and the Lonzo Ball hype. Patrick Beverly is a more than capable replacement and is a terrific defender. I also love the fact that the public is in love with the Lakers here. My long term clients know that one of my favorite angles is fading a public underdog. Look for the Clippers to continue their domination of the Lakers.
|
10-18-17 |
Nuggets +3 v. Jazz |
|
96-106 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-17 |
Nets v. Pacers OVER 217 |
|
131-140 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
30* Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers OVER 217 You know what happens when these two teams play each other? They score a ton of points. They have gone over the posted total in 37 of the last 53 meetings and is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. It's known that the Brooklyn Nets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA for a few years now and their defensive efficiency is abysmal. Listening to a few of the Pacers interviews with players they have mentioned that they are going to play much faster and avoid playing isolation offense. I expect this game to be played fast and to be total honest, I think you could blindly play every over tonight and come out on top.
|
10-17-17 |
Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
99-102 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 15 m |
Show
|
40* NBA on TNT GAME OF THE WEEK Boston Celtics +3.5 I think the number alone tells us who the right side is here. The defending Eastern Conference Champions are at home and are nearly a pick em? I think Boston has more to prove. For one, we all know Kyrie Irving is looking to dish out a little revenge. Also, it's clear that Boston has the head coaching advantage. I don't want to say they don't care at all about the regular season, but Cleveland is built for the playoffs. This team could walk to the 8th seed and they would still find away to make it to the NBA Finals. Cleveland knows its not the end of the world if they lose this game. I think it's going to just be a LeBron/Wade hang out party for awhile, just having fun, while the Celtics will mean business. I think the points are just a bonus tonight and I really like the Celtics chances of stealing this one on the road.
|
06-12-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 |
Top |
120-129 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
50* One & Only NBA GAME OF THE YEAR Golden State Warriors -8.5 I have been hoping for this since October and knew since the beginning of the season that if we got Game 5 in Oakland with the Warriors up 3 games to 1 that this would be the NBA GOY. Well our prayers were answered and let's hope it comes through. We ALL know what happened last year. Golden State was up 3-1 and fell apart (thanks to several injuries and a Draymond suspension.) You KNOW that the Warriors have been foaming at the mouth for this situation to happen again. This team has the ultimate revenge angle and they're all healthy. This reminds me exactly like the Spurs/Heat series a few years ago. The previous year the Spurs had the championship in their grasps and let it fall through their fingers. What happened the next year? The Spurs went up 3-1 in the series and opened up a can of whoop ass at home versus LeBron and the Heat. It's one of the oldest adages in the book..."History has a funny way of repeating itself." Just like the Spurs, I expect the Warriors to run the Cavaliers out of the gym tonight and get their sweet revenge in a big way.
|
06-01-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors -7 |
|
91-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
30* Golden State Warriors -7
|
05-23-17 |
Celtics v. Cavs -15 |
|
99-112 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
20* Cleveland Cavaliers -15
|
05-15-17 |
Wizards v. Celtics -5 |
|
105-115 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
30* Boston Celtics -5 Most of my long-term guys know that I am a fan of Washington sports. Yes, it is very tough. However, I never wear my fan hat with this team and will more often than not, fade these teams. We faded the Capitals for heavy against the Penguins and the Capitals did what they always do and laid a gigantic egg. I see a very simliar result for the Wizards here. There's just something about Washington that makes players choke. Look no further than their 37 year draught. Looks like it'll be 38 after tonight.
|
05-04-17 |
Celtics v. Wizards -5 |
Top |
89-116 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
|
50* NBA MAX BET Washington Wizards -5 Most of you that know me or my long term guys know that I am a fan of Washington Sports. I follow these clubs very closely. However, I will fade these teams more often than not and I don't let my fan hat get in the way of making decisions but tonight, I think it's a great spot to play on the Wizards. The Wizards could EASILY be up 2-0 in this series but in typical Washington fashion, they blew it late. The problem with this Wizards team is their lack of a bench. People always say though, "Role players play better at home." This game is do or die for the Wizards. I expect a huge effort from them tonight given that they were one of the best home teams in the game this season. The Wiz were 28-5 straight up and 21-12 ATS at the Verizon Center, post All-Star Break. I am also expecting a bit of a let-down from Isaiah Thomas. We all know what's been going on with him between his tooth and his sister. He also had a monumental performance in Game 2. It's typically a good bet to fade a hot shooting performance like that in the next game. With the Wizards backs against the wall and them being at home, I expect them to keep their foot on the gas and make this a series again tonight.
|
05-03-17 |
Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 |
|
96-121 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
20* San Antonio Spurs -5.5 The Spurs are in a dynamite bounce back spot tonight after getting dismantled in Game 1. Historically speaking, it's one of the best bets you can make in Game 2. This actually just happened with the Rockets in their series with the Thunder. OKC got CRUSHED by these Rockets in Game 1 but bounced back nicely in Game 2, having the lead nearly the entire game (blowing it late) but ended up covering the spread. I expect the seasoned Spurs to get it done here.
|
05-01-17 |
Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 |
Top |
105-116 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
50* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5 When taking rest into consideration, there are two angles for the NBA Playoffs. Sometimes you want to have a ton of time off before the next round and sometimes it benefits teams to start the next series immediately. When talking about young and/or streaky teams, it typically benefits them more when they play right away. Look no further than the Boston Celtics on Sunday. However, for the veteran squads that have done this year after year, they want as much time off as possible. The Cleveland Cavaliers haven't played since LAST Sunday! They will be healthy with a ton of practice time under their belts. This will be a huge positive for the defensive end of the floor, which is the Cavaliers only weakness. There is this glaring problem with the Toronto Raptors. They are terrible in Game 1s. This team is 1-11 all time in the first game of a series. Look at what they did Game 1 against the Bucks, and that was at HOME. They laid a complete egg. As long as the Cavs don't go ice cold from distance, they will run the Raptors out of the gym.
|
04-25-17 |
Thunder v. Rockets OVER 222 |
|
99-105 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
30* Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets OVER 222
|
04-21-17 |
Rockets +2.5 v. Thunder |
|
113-115 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-17 |
Celtics v. Bulls -130 |
Top |
104-87 |
Loss |
-130 |
32 h 30 m |
Show
|
50* NBA 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR Chicago Bulls -130 I have watched every minute of this series between the Celtics and the Bulls and let me tell you, it's a total mismatch. I hate to jump to conclusions or have a knee jerk reaction but it's not even close. The Chicago Bulls are OWNING the Boston Celtics. One of the oldest adages in Basketball is "No rebounds, no rings." Robin Lopez and company have dominated the boards. Just look at it from a talent stand point too. The Chicago Bulls have more talent and CLEARLY more big game/playoff experience and it shows. You could see the young Celtics bickering at each other and this was at HOME! Imagine if the Bulls start going on a run early on at the United Center?! It may get ugly. The Boston Celtics may be the worst #1 seed of all time. Yes, they may have the best record but we ALL know who the best team in the East is...Cleveland. The Playoffs are a completely different beast compared to the regular season and the Celtics are getting a big dose of reality. It honestly wouldn't shock me at all to see the Bulls sweep the Celtics, unless the officials just go wild and try to sway the game (but let's not get into that haha.) My final point. I'll just say the starting 5 and you tell who's better. Jimmy Butler, Dwayne Wade, Robin Lopez, Rajon Rondo, and Nikola Mirotic or Avery Johnson, Avery Bradley, Isaiah Thomas, Al Horford, and Jaw Crowder. It's almost laughable. The only way Boston can come back and win this series is if the make literally every 3 pointer they shoot. Good luck.
|
04-15-17 |
Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 |
|
97-83 |
Loss |
-102 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
04-15-17 |
Pacers v. Cavs -9 |
|
108-109 |
Loss |
-102 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
30* Cleveland Cavaliers -9
|
04-06-17 |
Wolves v. Blazers -5 |
|
98-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
20* Portland Trailblazers -5
|
04-06-17 |
Bucks +4.5 v. Pacers |
|
89-104 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
04-04-17 |
Hornets +4 v. Wizards |
|
111-118 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
04-04-17 |
Raptors v. Pacers -3 |
|
90-108 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
04-04-17 |
Nets -1 v. 76ers |
Top |
141-118 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
50* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR Brooklyn Nets -1 The Brooklyn Nets are FAVORED on the ROAD! That should tell you all you need to know. Brooklyn has won 6 games all year long away from home, yet they are projected to win. Without surprise, people are lining up to bet Philadelphia right now but this just looks like another trap line. Just last night we had a case of this with Portland and Minnesota and look who won. These two teams just met up recently with Philly winning a close one that came down to the wire. Solid revenge angle for the Nets here. Brooklyn has been playing solid basketball of late, winners of 5 of their last 8 games. They have also covered the number is 6 of their last 7 road games. This is a tough spot for the 76ers as they have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road and their last two games were against Toronto and Cleveland. They might just take a big sigh of relief that their long road trip is over and that they are playing the lowly Nets. The NBA is all about motivation and that motivation should be with the Brooklyn Nets tonight.
|
04-03-17 |
Blazers v. Wolves -120 |
Top |
109-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
40* Minnesota Timberwolves ML -120 This has trap game written all over it. The Portland Trailblazers have won 9 of their last 10 games and 6 in a row and they are dogs to Minnesota?! Books are begging you to take Portland tonight and so far the public is lining up to do so. We love fading the masses and we'll gladly here.
|
04-01-17 |
South Carolina v. Gonzaga UNDER 138 |
Top |
73-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 36 m |
Show
|
50* FINAL FOUR MAX BET South Carolina vs. Gonzaga UNDER 138 I'll let you guys in on a little secret. The first thing I always look at when the Final Four is set and books release their numbers is the under. Now obviously we aren't just going to play the under blind in both games but it certainly adds a ton a value if the numbers alone point to the under when breaking down the match-up. The reason is that the Final Four is usually played at an NFL stadium. This effects the sight lines and shooting in a big way. Add in the fact that you have young kids with shot nerves and the jitters (1st half under play) and this creates value. As for the game, we have two of the best defenses in the country going at it here. We all know by now how fantastic that Gamecock D has been but no one is talking about the Gonzaga defense. In this year's tournament, they have allowed 59, 58, 73, 46. However in the Northwestern game where they allowed 73, they only gave up 20 in the 1st half and the influx of points in the 2nd half was due to the blowout. Gonzaga only allowed 60.9 points a game this season. Both teams are a combined 30-11 to the under in non-conference games. I like using this stat because it shows how teams perform facing unfamiliar foes (tempo, pace, shot selection, etc.) South Carolina has shot better in the tournament but this team still ranks 291st in FG%, 241st in 3 point %, and 177th in points per game. There are just too many signs that point to the under.
|
03-30-17 |
Lakers v. Wolves -10.5 |
Top |
104-119 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 T.A.N.K. That's what the Lakers are doing. It's like they purposely lost last game against the Wizards, as they were outscored 37-14 in the 4th. This team is doing whatever they can to save that lottery pick. The Lakers are also just 4-14 ATS their last 18 games. This is also a revenge spot for the T'Wolves as they just recently met up with LAL a week ago and they managed to blow a 13 point lead to eventually lose in OT. I expect Minnesota to keep their foot on the gas here if they go up big tonight.
|
03-29-17 |
Coastal Carolina v. Wyoming -8 |
Top |
57-81 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
50* CBB GAME OF THE MONTH Wyoming -8 Well like when we took Gonzaga against WVU, I explained that I have two degrees from two different schools. One is West Virginia University and the other...Coastal Carolina University. I follow both of these teams extremely closely. There are 3 factors that really stand out for me with this play. 1. Coastal Carolina is dreadful on the road, going 3-10 with a scoring differential of -11.3. (PF: 69.2 PA: 80.5) 2. The high altitude of Wyoming and short turnaround. Coastal Carolina hasn't experienced playing in the altitude, typically staying in the southeastern part of the country. These kids should be gassed in the 2nd half. 3. The line. Wyoming just got blown out at CCU and now they are laying nearly double digits?! There's a reason for this folks. Coastal Carolina has lost 6 straight being an underdog in this price range (7+.) Also, Wyoming has been outstanding covering the number at home and following a straight up loss.
|
03-29-17 |
Bucks +8 v. Celtics |
|
103-100 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
30* Milwaukee Bucks +8 The Bucks are one the hottest teams in the NBA right now, winners of 12 of their last 15 games. Have to take 8 points here knowing that the Celtics are 5-16 following 2 days off and they are 0-7 ATS after a 4 game win streak. The Bucks are also 10-4 ATS the last 14 meetings at TD Garden.
|
03-28-17 |
Nuggets +110 v. Blazers |
|
113-122 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
20* Denver Nuggets ML +110
|
03-28-17 |
76ers v. Nets -145 |
|
106-101 |
Loss |
-145 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
03-27-17 |
Thunder v. Mavs +2 |
Top |
92-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
50* NBA Vegas Insider Dallas Mavericks +2 The public LOVES the OKC Thunder tonight. This line is begging you to take OKC. What do we do when the public races to bet one side? We go the other way. The Thunder are in a rough spot here, having to travel to Dallas on a back-to-back after a run and gun affair versus the Rockets. Dallas has had the benefit of playing their last 3 games at home and are rested. However, this is their last home game for awhile so I expect a solid effort from them tonight, especially since the playoffs aren't out of the picture yet. The Mavericks have been exceptional ATS following a straight up loss, covering 21 of 28.
|
03-26-17 |
Kentucky v. North Carolina OVER 159.5 |
Top |
73-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
50* March Madness TOTAL OF THE YEAR Kentucky vs. North Carolina OVER 159.5 The last time these two teams met, the final score was 103-100 (203 combined points.) Kentucky and North Carolina have two of the best offenses in the entire country. The Wildcats are 3rd in points scored and the Tar Heels are 2nd in points scored. The HUGE factor for this game is pace. Both teams love to run and play transition basketball. However, I believe this game will be won or lost with Kentucky. If Kentucky wants to slow this game down, that obviously hurts but I'm betting that both teams will be playing fast with a ton of shots from the perimeter. UNC is also a fantastic offensive rebounding team, which gives us a ton of put back point opportunities. Overs in the NCAA tournament have the added benefit of the extended foul game at the end. With this game lined nearly at a pick, its expected to be close and if the game stays in the single digits, there could be an extra 10-15 points just in the final minute.
|
03-25-17 |
Xavier v. Gonzaga -7.5 |
|
59-83 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
30* Gonzaga -7.5 Xavier is getting a ton of public love here tonight. I love fading a public underdog. Only thing making this from being a huge play is that Gonzaga just had a grueling game against that WVU press and they may be a bit tired. However, Goss had a terrible game and the Zags shot under 30% for the game, yet still won the game. This shows how good of a team this is and this is now the Zags chance to finally get over the hump against an 11 seed. Doesn't get much better than that to get the monkey off your back.
|
03-24-17 |
UCLA -110 v. Kentucky |
|
75-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
30* UCLA ML -110 Not over thinking this one. Lonzo Ball is the best player on the floor and the inexperience of Kentucky will be their downfall here. When UCLA faces a team that will allow them to run an gun, they look like a well oiled machine. Kentucky is almost always over-valued in the NCAA Tournament and their 1-5 ATS record shows this and I believe they will be 1-6 ATS after tonight.
|
03-24-17 |
Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 202 |
|
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
30* Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 202
|
03-24-17 |
South Carolina v. Baylor UNDER 135 |
Top |
70-50 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK South Carolina vs. Baylor UNDER 135 Will be playing 1st half UNDER 63 as well
Playing this under because of the offensive anomaly of South Carolina last game. This team (who ranks 300th in FG%) scored nearly 70 points in the 2nd half against Duke. That's what teams typically score for the entire game. What is the same for both these clubs is their defense. They both pride themselves on shutting you down. SC only allows 65.3 PPG, where Baylor only gives up 63.8 PPG. Another key here is the fact that oddsmakers have to adjust these totals up a notch because of the ridiculous over trend for the 1st two rounds. This has to regress back to the mean and we saw it last night with 3 of the 4 games going under the posted total. I do recommend betting some of your wager on the 1st half under because of the lack of deep Big Dance experience of these two squads and because you don't have to worry about the extended foul game at the end, if it should so happen.
|
03-23-17 |
Purdue v. Kansas -5 |
Top |
66-98 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 44 m |
Show
|
50* Sweet 16 MAX BET
Kansas -5 You might as well call this a home game for the Jayhawks. The Sprint Center is only a "hop, skip, and a jump" from Allen Fieldhouse. To show how important that is, Iowa State had "home field advantage" in the Big 12 tournament and they RAN through the competition and they have been in recent years. Also, Allen Fieldhouse may be the toughest place to win a game in all of College Basketball. The Jayhawks road to the Final Four is practically through their back yard. This is a HUGE advantage. This is a big time clash of styles with Purdue relying on the post game where Kansas plays transition perimeter ball. This is where HFA will be huge because typically the home team/crowd dictates the pace. If this gets into a run and gun, 3 point shooting contest and KU is knocking them down...Kansas rolls.
|
03-23-17 |
West Virginia v. Gonzaga -3 |
Top |
58-61 |
Push |
0 |
32 h 44 m |
Show
|
40* CBB TOP PLAY
Gonzaga -3 I have two degrees from two different schools. One of them is West Virginia University. I follow this Mountaineer club closely. One thing that I have learned with this team is that you bet on them either the 2nd round (Round of 32) or the Elite 8. This is because if they make it there, teams only have 1 day to prepare for the press and will have tired legs. A perfect example is this years tournament. They didn't cover in the 1st round but they cruised against a very good Notre Dame club in the 2nd round. Another thing to watch out for is when Dub V is an underdog in the tournament. They have failed to cover in 4 straight as a puppy in the Big Dance and they are 1-10 ATS their last 11 neutral site games as a dog. There is a lot of talk about Gonzaga being over-rated and that they are a fraud. This reminds me a bit of Villanova last year. Nearly everyone was talking the same trash about them..."They never make it far in the tournament." "Their coach always blows it." "They can't make it to the Elite 8." Well, we know how that story ended. The Zags have been money making machines all year long and were one of the best bets you could make in the game. They currently are on a 35-15 spread run and are 15-5 ATS when facing the best teams (.600+) in the nation. It's no secret, this game comes down to the turnovers. If Gonzaga can break the press and turn this into a half court offense type of game, WVU is in huge trouble because the Mountaineer offense is anemic in that spot. Another glaring issue is the officiating, which can really hurt the Mountaineers. If the refs are calling touch fouls and it allows Gonzaga to get into the bonus...goodnight.
|
03-23-17 |
Michigan -1 v. Oregon |
|
68-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
03-21-17 |
Clippers -9.5 v. Lakers |
|
133-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
30* Los Angeles Clippers -9.5 I love backing the Clippers when they take on their "Big" Brothers. In recent years, when the Clippers are healthy, they tend to lay a total beat down. The Clippers did play last night but the starters did sit the 4th, having a huge lead. They also don't have to travel so this back-to-back isn't as bad as it may seem. LAC is starting to turn it on at the right time and are battling Utah for the 4th spot. This game means much more to the Clippers here and the NBA is ALL about motivation. The Lakers just played the Cavs to the wire last time out and let the game slip away late. This team is in total take mode and as long as the Clippers don't take their foots of the gas, this is a complete blowout.
|
03-19-17 |
Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon |
|
72-75 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
03-19-17 |
Rhode Island v. Oregon OVER 139.5 |
|
72-75 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 41 m |
Show
|
30* Rhode Island vs. Oregon OVER 139.5
|
03-17-17 |
Kent State v. UCLA OVER 162 |
Top |
80-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
40* Kent State vs. UCLA OVER 162
|
03-16-17 |
Virginia Tech +5.5 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
74-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-17 |
VCU v. St. Mary's -4.5 |
|
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-17 |
Vermont v. Purdue UNDER 135 |
|
70-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
20* Vermont vs. Purdue UNDER 135
|
03-16-17 |
Middle Tennessee -1 v. Minnesota |
Top |
81-72 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 28 m |
Show
|
40* Middle Tennessee State -1
|
03-16-17 |
North Carolina Wilmington +7.5 v. Virginia |
|
71-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
30* North Carolina Wilmington (UNCW) +7.5
|
03-14-17 |
Blazers v. Pelicans OVER 216 |
Top |
77-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
50* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH Portland Trailblazers vs. New Orleans Pelicans OVER 216 You have to go all the way back to January to find the last time Portland hasn't given up 100 points. This team has one of the worst defenses in the league, especially on the road. They give up an average of 112 points per game. However, the Blazers do boast the 6th best scoring offense in the NBA. This team plays fast and scores a lot, but also gives up a ton (great for overs.) I believe this counteracts with the fact that New Orleans is on an under trend of late. This has given us a few points of value. If you look closer, these two teams scored 223 the last meeting and when the Pelicans play a losing team at home, they are 50-21 to the over. Another huge key tonight is the officiating. We have two of the top over referees in the game. Crawford and Blair are a combined 41-19 to the over, when the total is set at 205+. If these officials start calling a ton of fouls to force the teams into the bonus and give us points with the clock stopped, this game will soar over.
|
03-13-17 |
Wizards v. Wolves -1.5 |
Top |
104-119 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 This play is mostly a straight fade of the Washington Wizards. This could be as bad as it gets from a scheduling standpoint. The Wiz are playing their final game of a 5 game roadie, where they are coming off back to back games that BOTH went to OT. This is also their 5th game in 7 nights and their last game...they played in the dreadful 4 games in 5 nights set. This team has got to be (no pun intended) dog tired and there's a reason the 2nd best team in the East is a dog here. Washington is also just 1-10 ATS facing a team with a losing home record. The Twolves have been money making machines lately and are now 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. Minnesota is 16-5 ATS facing a team with a winning record and they have also covered the number in 5 straight games, coming off a loss.
|
03-12-17 |
Knicks v. Nets +1.5 |
|
112-120 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-17 |
Arkansas v. Kentucky -8 |
|
65-82 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-17 |
Rhode Island -1 v. VCU |
|
70-63 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-17 |
Yale v. Princeton -7 |
|
59-71 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-11-17 |
Arizona v. Oregon -2 |
|
83-80 |
Loss |
-101 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
03-11-17 |
Wizards v. Blazers -4.5 |
|
125-124 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
20* Portland Trailblazers -4.5
|
03-11-17 |
Duke v. Notre Dame +4.5 |
|
75-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
20* Notre Dame +4.5 We are taking WVU just waiting to see if it will drop back down to -3
|
03-11-17 |
Wolves v. Bucks -3 |
|
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
03-11-17 |
Iowa State v. West Virginia -3.5 |
Top |
80-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
40* West Virginia -3.5 Bought the hook to -3 Few notes: WVU is just a bad matchup for Iowa State. WVU won both meetings this season by double digits. Most people think that its really hard to beat a team 3 times in one season and love the double revenge angle. The other side of the coin says that this team just has your number. I'm going with the latter. WVU causes serious problems with their press, especially having to play this grueling style on a 3 nights in a row set.
|