20*

Washington Wizards -113

20*

Dallas Mavericks -3.5

20*

Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 211

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Los Angeles Clippers -11.5

This one is simple. The Lakers have dominated the Clippers basically their entire existence, until recently. The Clippers have always been overshadowed by the Lakers. But now since they clearly have more talent, the really lay the hammer down when they have the opportunity. Just look at recent meetings. The Clips have won 9 of the last 10 meetings and 7 of those meetings have all been blowouts. This game is nationally televised for all to see so you know the Clippers want to let everyone know who they big boys of LA are and that they're here to stay. As long as the Clips don't just go flat out ice cold, this is an absolute blowout.

20*

Oklahoma -13

30*

San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets OVER 200.5

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210

This very well could be the finals preview again and these players know it. So this is a big game for them. There's an old saying and that's "Big games go UNDER." Teams really step up their defensive intensity in meaningful games and nerves tend for more missed shots. When looking back to last year's NBA Finals, not one game out of the 6 saw this total. The highest scoring game was 208 but that was Game 1 that went to overtime. I can see both teams showing a lot of pride in shutting the other team down tonight. Each team wants to be able to say "We shut down LeBron" or "We shut down Curry" it'll mean more than "We outscored them." Golden State plays outstanding defense in their building and surprisingly the under has cashed in 15 of the last 22 home games. This stat is very key for this game. Cleveland and Golden State are 4-1 their last 5 to the under when playing a team with a winning record.

50* NBA ROAD WARRIOR OF THE MONTH

Memphis Grizzlies -9.5

Most of my long term guys know that I love fading the 76ers and for good reason. This is probably the worst team I have ever witnessed. There are 2 types of 76ers teams. The bad and the awful. Usually the awful shows up and they get completely blown out. Even the bad 76ers can easily get beat by 10 here with a very good defensive team in the Memphis Grizzlies. Teams have had great success covering less than double digits against this Philly squad. The 76ers have covered just 1 time in their last 11 games. Look for Memphis to roll tonight. 

40*

San Antonio Spurs -7.5

30*

Phoenix Suns +12.5

Two situations that are key in sports, especially the NBA, are involved in this game tonight. One is when teams return from a lengthy road trip, they struggle their first game back home. The other is when a team goes a very long win streak. When they finally lose, you fade them the next game. Conventional wisdom has you believe that they'll bounce back but that's rarely ever the case. Only thing keeping this from being a TOP PLAY is that this IS the Golden State Warriors. They are a exceptional team. However, this is just simply way too many points and both situations call for Phoenix to keep this one respectable.

30*

Arizona State vs. UNLV OVER 137

20*

Washington Wizards +13

Washington is getting no respect here. This line is this high because of the last performances of each team. The Wizards just got embarrassed by Memphis their last game so they should give a solid effort here. As for the Spurs, they dismantled Utah their last game so they should have a bit of a letdown. Let's not forget, the Wizards beat this San Antonio team earlier this season. They can compete with this team. I know the Wizards have been awful in San Antonio in prior years but we're getting two touchdowns. That's a a lot to lay in the NBA and we'll take our chances.

20*

Memphis Grizzlies +3.5

The Bulls continue to be over-valued. They have not had success ATS and they are a very public team. Chicago is 0-8 ATS their last 8 following a spread win and they are just 2-10 ATS following a S.U. win. The Grizzlies have done well against Chicago of late. They have covered 5 of the last 6 meetings. Chicago has had serious 4th quarter problems and there is a serious mis-match at PG. Conley, IMO, is much better than the over-rated Derrick Rose.

20* 

Minnesota Timberwolves +5

20*

Boston Celtics +2.5

30*

Milwaukee Bucks -3

Most people are going to think the Bucks are in for a letdown after beating the mighty Golden State Warriors. I think they'll stay hot given that they get to face the lowly Lakers. The Bucks are playing on 2 days rest and the Lakers are returning home from a lengthy road trip. Most of you know by now that I love fading teams in this spot. In fact, the Lakers are just 1-5 in said situation. The Bucks have done well in LA going 12-5 ATS their last 16.

30*

UC-Davis -2.5

20*

UCLA -11.5

30*

Orlando Magic vs. Brooklyn Nets OVER 198

30*

New Mexico -4

70* The #1 and BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

Charlotte Hornets -2

Let me start with this. We RARELY release a 70* play in ANY sport. We haven't had one in the NBA since Game 5 of the NBA Finals when the Spurs beat the Heat. In fact, our last 70* overall was the New England Patriots season win total OVER 10 wins. We're 1 win away from cashing that ticket. But back to why you're here and that's this season's 70* The #1 and BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON!

Let's begin with the Boston Cetlics. This team just played their biggest game of the season last night against the Golden State Warriors. The media heads all said the atmosphere there was like a playoff game. This wasn't even the ESPN game but all the ESPN members were there previewing this game. The Celtics gave one hell of an effort. They took the Warriors to double overtime where they lost in the final seconds. These players gave everything they had in front of their home fans. They now have to travel to Charlotte and attempt to get up for this game against the Hornets. This is an AWFUL spot for the Celtics. This game against the Hornets with be their 3rd game in 4 nights and 4th game in 6 nights. No doubt this team will be tired and in for a serious let down. If you thought it couldn't get any worse for Boston, they have the Cleveland Cavaliers on deck. Every situational angle you can think of goes against the Celtics Saturday night.

Now let's talk about the Charlotte Hornets. This team is rolling. They have won 4 straight games and they have been against solid competition. Their last 3 games they have destroyed everything in their path. They beat Memphis by 24, Miami by 18, and Detroit by 20. Charlotte has played extremely well at home as well. They are 10-3 in their building and their last 2 losses were to Golden State and Cleveland. This team is undervalued right now. Asking the Hornets to just win the game here is a no brainer. Look for Charlotte to roll here tonight.

20*

Boise State -2.5

20*

Portland Trailblazers vs. Phoenix Suns OVER 209

20*

Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 214.5

20*

Detroit Pistons -8.5

30*

Orlando Magic +3.5

30*

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Chicago Bulls OVER 200.5

30*

Orlando Magic +4.5

This is not the Orlando Magic we have come to know. This team is on fire. They have been playing exceptionally well over the last few weeks and we're going to ride them like a rented mule until they cool off. They have covered the spread in 7 straight contests and 4 straight on the road. 

One of my favorite spots in sports, especially basketball, is when a team returns home from a lengthy road trip. This is Phoenix's first game home since the end of November. In fact, the Suns are just 1-8 ATS their last 9 coming home from a road trip of 7 or more.

Riding the hot team here that benefits playing a team in a horrible spot that also hasn't been playing well. Take the points all day.

30*

Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 199.5

20*

West Virginia +4.5

20*

Long Beach State +11

20*

Detroit Pistons -6.5

40* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Orlando Magic vs. Utah Jazz UNDER 190.5

No doubt the injury to Gobert is going to effect the Jazz's defensive prowess but typically in the NBA when a star goes out, the team steps up big time and their performance (where they would be lacking without their star, rises drastically i.e. their defense.) 

Orlando has been playing great lately but have honestly beaten up on bad teams. I like the Jazz as well in this spot and typically if the Jazz win, the game is going under. The Jazz gave up 100+ points their last game and when that has happened, they have gone under in 5 of the last 6 games. They really prepare well and step up their defensive performance after a poor one. For Orlando, just the long term stats show they play under ball games away from home. They have gone under in 55 of their last 80 on the road.

20*

Illinois +2.5

20*

The Citadel vs. Air Force OVER 168

20*

Vanderbilt -20.5

50* NBA DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR - Atlantic

New York Knicks -8.5

This is what I like to call "The sigh of relief" game for the 76ers. They finally get the monkey off their back by winning their first game of the season and subsequently ending this dreadful losing streak. When this happens, team's usually going into the tank next game suffering a letdown. The 76ers know they're not going anywhere. What makes this worse for them is that this was the Lakers and Kobe returned to Philly last night for a farewell ceremony. Add even more of an emotional toll. Just listen to all the quotes from the 76ers players. They were totally start struck by Kobe. Now they have to get up and travel for a back to back facing a Knicks team hungry for a win. Not a good recipe for success for a bad team. 

We all know that the 76ers rarely win so even though this trend is only 6 games, we know that it is very spread out. Philadelphia is just 1-5 ATS their last 6 coming off a straight up win. That should tell you everything you need to know about this game.

20*

North Carolina (UNC) -6

20*

Arkansas State +8

20*

UAB -6.5

20*

Memphis Grizzlies +103

20*

Orlando Magic +2.5

20*

Brooklyn Nets +3

20*

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 197

20*

Philadelphia 76ers -108

30*

Clemson +113

20*

Boston Celtics +3.5

40* 

Alabama vs. Notre Dame OVER 138

20*

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz UNDER 197

20*

Belmont vs. BYU OVER 171

20*

San Diego State vs. West Virginia UNDER 139

20*

George Washington -5.5

20*

Detroit Pistons +8

20*

Atlanta Hawks +3.5

20*

California vs. San Diego State OVER 134.5

20*

Clemson -12.5

20*

Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 211.5

30*

Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs OVER 197

30*

Chicago Bulls -140

20*

Los Angeles Clippers -7

20*

Oregon State -1

40*

Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks OVER 203.5

20*

Penn State -8.5

20*

Creighton -12

20*

Utah Jazz -3.5

20*

Detroit Pistons -3

20*

Iowa State -16

20*

New York Knicks +5

30*

Denver Nuggets +11.5

Got to love this spot for the Denver Nuggets. Golden State comes off two huge wins on back to back nights against top opponents. This is now the Warrior's 3rd game in 4 nights. That's hard enough as it is, but doing that at the high altitude in Denver is a whole different story. I can see these Golden State players getting worn out in the 2nd half, especially since their starters have played a ton of minutes lately. The Warrior's are notorious this year for getting off to a slow start to begin games and that is going to be a problem if they do it again in this one, given from what we have mention before about playing in Denver.

Everyone knows that Golden State is going for the record tonight so no doubt there should be some nerves and tight play. You know they want this record, they have stated it. All that is on their mind's is win. Winning by 12+ seems like a lot. Denver can play very loose in this game and has the chance to play spoiler, which teams love. Golden State is just 2-5 their last 7 games against the Nuggets. Look for Denver to keep this game in single digits tonight.

20*

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 210

Golden State comes off a huge comeback win last night where they had to use a ton of energy. They also started out of the gates slow against the Clippers and this team makes adjustments very well. A very key stat for GSW is that the over is 5-0 the last 5 games where their starters played more than 160+ minutes combined. 

It takes more effort to play defense than offense. It's easy to come up and down the floor and take shots but it's difficult to defend the speeds of these NBA players and contain when you have tired legs. I expect a rocking chair type scoring affair between these two clubs tonight.

50* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers +3.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are in a monumental let down spot here as they come off a heart breaking loss to the Golden State Warriors at home last night. Man, Chef Curry is the best shooter I have ever seen, but I digress. The Clippers were shooting lights out and were running back and forth all night with the Warriors and it meant nothing. It's going to be tough for these Clippers to get focused and travel to one of the best home court advantages in the game at the Moda Center. 

Portland has been playing a lot better than their record. They come off a tough loss as well but they have had some time to dwell on it so I see a focused effort. It took a Corey Brewer 30 footer to lose that game. It took terrible defense and typical Clipper failure for Los Angeles to drop last night. The Clippers have covered just 1 out of 6 tries after scoring 100+ points and they are the same ATS when allowing 100+ points, as well. The dog has covered 4 straight in this series and I expect that trend to grow to 5 tonight. 

20*

Detroit Pistons -140

We'll go ahead and take the points out of the equation here but if you don't want to lay the juice, buy the hook to -2.

20*

Georgia -7.5

20*

Bradley +24

40*

Oregon State vs. Rice OVER 139.5

20*

Indiana Pacers -7

We did drop our last 76ers game by 2 points as Philly gave up and chose not to foul in the final 11 seconds. Can't win them all but my point is that even though we lost last time fading Philadelphia, we've still done extremely well doing so and we'll try our luck here again tonight.

Taking a hard look at the over in the Sac/Atl game and will post if it becomes a play.

20*

Brown -3.5

20*

Charlotte Hornets vs. New York Knicks OVER 196

20*

Duke +105

20*

USC (Southern California) -10

20*

Arizona State -4.5

20*

Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls UNDER 198

20*

Boston Celtics +5

20*

Dallas Mavericks -8.5

We have been a roll fading this 76ers club and we're going to do it again tonight. This team just can't put a solid effort up for 4 quarters. Let's say they start off the 1st quarter well and have a lead. In the 2nd half, they still manage to get destroyed. At any time, Philly has the chance to get blown out by double digits.

20*

Indiana -29.5

40*

Detroit Pistons -4

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Chicago Bulls -6.5

This game sets up nicely for the Chicago Bulls. They just played the 76ers on Monday and haven't played since then. Chicago also doesn't play again until Monday where they get to stay put at the United Center, so no travel. This means we should have a fully rested and focus team playing tonight. To add even more to this, Charlotte destroyed them two weeks ago so no doubt the Bulls have revenge on their minds. The Bulls have covered 28 of the last 39 games when revenging a double digit loss. The Hornets comes off an exciting buzzer beating victory that almost was not as they escaped the Knicks by a fingertip. Charlotte is 2-7 ATS their last 9 coming off a win.

20*

Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics OVER 207

20*

Colorado +10

40* NBA on TNT GAME OF THE WEEK

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 210

This total is unusually low for this contest between these two. This total did open at 209 and quickly jumped to 210/210.5. The last 6 meetings have all seen lines in the 200 teens and even as high as 220. We are basically getting 10 points of value here. Both teams are averaging over 100 points in their current situation tonight. GS scores 113 on the road and Minnesota scores 101 a game. The flip side to that is that Minnesota is giving up over 100 points a game as well. Golden State comes off a big game against the Memphis Grizzlies last night so I expect them to have some tired legs and not give as great of a defensive effort tonight. Both teams should push a shoot a lot of three's. If Chef Curry and Andrew Wiggins are hot, this ticket cashes easily.

20*

Indiana Pacers +3.5

20*

Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics OVER 201.5

20*

Toronto Raptors -9.5

This game reminds me of the Bulls game a couple nights ago. We missed the lower number and took the Bulls at -9 for a smaller play and they destroyed the 76ers. The 76ers are one of my favorite play against teams and they can get blown out on any given night. Its extremely hard for this team to put it together for a full 4 quarters.

Also like the Detroit Pistons +1 is DeMarcus Cousins isn't playing. Will make it an official play if he is ruled out.

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Toronto Raptors -8

20*

Chicago Bulls -9

Was going to make this a bigger play at -7 but this number got away from us. -7 is a very key number in the NBA as teams typically some fouling at the end of the game when down 3 possessions. The Bulls come off a OT loss to Minnesota and they don't play again until Friday after this game. I don't expect them to take the night off because if they do, that's the only way the 76ers can be competitive. If the Bulls stay focused, this is a double digit blowout easy.

20*

Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 196

20*

Los Angeles Clippers -8

20*

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz UNDER 180

20*

San Antonio Spurs -10

40* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors UNDER 213