Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
03-25-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Memphis Grizzlies +1 |
|
111-89 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
03-25-15 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 202 |
|
101-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
30* Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 202 This one basically comes down to the two horrible defenses of each team. Both teams give up more than 105+ points a game. I see this being a game played up and down the court with some sloppy play at times but ultimately scoring buckets. I'd be very surprised if each team couldn't reach 100 in this one. The over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs.
|
03-25-15 |
Tennessee-Martin +5.5 v. Eastern Kentucky |
|
70-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
03-24-15 |
Vanderbilt v. Stanford -3 |
Top |
75-78 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA BEST BET Stanford -3
|
03-24-15 |
Toronto Raptors v. Detroit Pistons OVER 201 |
Top |
104-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
40* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons OVER 201 As usual with most of our totals plays, almost all the trends are on our side. Both these teams are in their highest scoring situation and their worst defensive situation tonight. Toronto scores 106 points and gives up 104+ on the road. Detroit scores 100+ points and gives up 101+ points at home. The over has cashed in 6 of the last 7 road games for the Raptors and has cashed in 4 straight home games for the Pistons. The over has also cashed in 4 straight meetings between these two. Look for both teams to get to 100 with ease.
|
03-23-15 |
Murray State +3 v. Tulsa |
|
83-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-23-15 |
Oral Roberts +5.5 v. Loyola-Chicago |
|
78-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
03-23-15 |
Illinois State +3.5 v. Old Dominion |
|
49-50 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
03-23-15 |
Kent State v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi +3 |
|
69-65 |
Loss |
-102 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
20* Texas A&M Corpus Christi +3
|
03-23-15 |
Cleveland State v. N.J.I.T. +3.5 |
|
77-80 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
03-23-15 |
Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
84-72 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
50* NIT UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR Louisiana Tech +4.5
|
03-22-15 |
Northern Iowa -140 v. Louisville |
Top |
53-66 |
Loss |
-140 |
32 h 5 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA BEST BET BAILOUT Norhern Iowa -140 Kicking myself for not releasing this one earlier when it was at -1. Betting this on the moneyline to take the points out of the equation.
|
03-22-15 |
Iowa v. Gonzaga -6.5 |
|
68-87 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-22-15 |
Detroit Pistons v. Boston Celtics -5.5 |
|
105-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 5 m |
Show
|
30* Boston Celtics -5.5 The Celtics have been on fire against the number and the Pistons are just falling apart and not having Monroe hurts this team. Almost every stat and trend points to the Celtics and fades the Pistons. The Celtics are 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 home games, 13-3 ATS facing a team with a losing road record, and are 22-7-1 ATS their last 30 games overall. This team continues to be under valued by the oddsmakers. This one is simple. Boston is outstanding at home and Detroit is pathetic on the road. Detroit is 0-4 their last 4 meetings against Boston. Look for the Celtics to continue their success against the Pistons.
|
03-22-15 |
Wichita State +2 v. Kansas |
Top |
78-65 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 20 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH Wichita State +2 Ever since Selection Sunday I was hoping for this match-up, knowing I would have a play on it, and we got it. What makes this game even better is that Wichita State barely escaped Indiana and Kansas destroyed New Mexico State. I've decided that instead of going on and on about stats and trends about this game that favors the Shockers, I will tell you this. Wichita State has been begging and pleading to get a game against the boys from Kansas and the Jayhawks have been ducking them. Well, they can't avoid them anymore and Wichita State is going to be foaming at the mouth to lay a beat down to their in-state rival. The odds-makers are clearly telling us something here by making this game a virtual pick-em game between a 2 seed and a 7 seed. The public is going to be lining up to get a piece of a 2 seed just needing to win the game. As Lee Corso would like to say. "Not so fast, my friend." I expect the Shockers to "shock" a lot of people here as they pull the upset Sunday and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.
|
03-21-15 |
Arkansas v. North Carolina OVER 157 |
Top |
78-87 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
40* Arkansas vs. North Carolina OVER 157
|
03-21-15 |
Arkansas +4.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
78-87 |
Loss |
-106 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-21-15 |
Utah v. Georgetown OVER 123.5 |
|
75-64 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
30* Utah vs. Georgetown OVER 123.5
|
03-21-15 |
Georgia State v. Xavier -7 |
|
67-75 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
03-21-15 |
Ohio State v. Arizona -8.5 |
|
58-73 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
03-21-15 |
Cincinnati v. Kentucky OVER 118.5 |
|
51-64 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
30* Cincinnati vs. Kentucky OVER 118.5
|
03-20-15 |
Coastal Carolina v. Wisconsin -19.5 |
Top |
72-86 |
Loss |
-106 |
80 h 35 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK Wisconsin -19.5 Yours truly, is a graduate from the one and only Coastal Carolina University and West Virginia University. I follow these teams very closely and go to plenty of their games and know people close to the organizations. I will tell you this. The kiss of death when wagering on sports is betting with your heart and not your head. Don't get me wrong, I would LOVE to see CCU take out Wisconsin, but I don't see that happening one bit. The Chanticleers are just too small. Their best low post presence, Badou Diagne, is just 6' 7". Good luck having to guard Frank Kaminsky and Sam Dekker. I see this being a blowout of epic proportions, Even if CCU starts draining 3's and makes this game close at half, this Wisconsin team has the capability to just steam roll you in a hurry. CCU is just way too small to be able to compete with the big boys of Wisconsin. Coastal Carolina actually was up on UVA 31-21 last year in the 1st half. They ended up getting outscored 49-23 in the next 20 minutes. My point is that CCU is not going to be able to hang with, in my opinion, the 2nd best team in the land behind Kentucky for 40 minutes. Even if Wisconsin gives them a little hope in the beginning, the Badgers can still roll when CCU starts going cold from the field. I personally see this being a wire-to-wire domination as the Wisconsin Badgers easily cover this number.
|
03-20-15 |
Boston Celtics v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 207 |
|
89-101 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
30* Boston Celtics vs. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 207
|
03-20-15 |
Davidson +2.5 v. Iowa |
Top |
52-83 |
Loss |
-116 |
26 h 53 m |
Show
|
50* VEGAS INSIDER Davidson +2.5 Iowa has NEVER won an NCAA tourney game under their coach and Davidson is the best team against the spread in the nation. Davidson's last loss was to VCU but VCU also had a severe blowout revenge in that game. Davidson has lost against the number just ONCE following a loss. Wrong team favored here and if Davidson is knocking down their three's (which they shoot a ton of) they will win this game going away.
|
03-20-15 |
Oklahoma State v. Oregon +1 |
Top |
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 13 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH Oregon +1 Let me start with this. Coaching in the NCAA tournament is extremely important and Oregon has one of, if not, the most under rated coaches in the game in Dana Altman. He's got his Oregon Ducks flying high right now and took them all the way to the Pac-12 Title game. Even though they got destroyed by Arizona, I believe this gives us value on them as this is the last thing the public remembers about the Ducks. As for Oklahoma State, they have completely limped into the tourney and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. This team is in a funk right now and I'm not this biggest fan of Travis Ford either. This team has just been awful ATS of late and have 1 or zero wins in multiple trend categories. The Ducks have been on fire against the number and have played very well on neutral sites. The Ducks are 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 neutral site games and are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 non-conference games. Oklahoma State doesn't match up well against Oregon and Joseph Young should carry the Ducks to a convincing win tonight.
|
03-20-15 |
Valparaiso v. Maryland -4.5 |
|
62-65 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
03-20-15 |
Cal-Irvine v. Louisville UNDER 125 |
|
55-57 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 27 m |
Show
|
20* Cal-Irvine vs. Louisville UNDER 125 This one is pretty basic. Both team's strength is their defense and can struggle on offense. Both have huge big men that can make it difficult to score in the paint. Both teams ranked 2nd in their respective conference in points allowed. This total is simply way too high and frankly I'm pretty shocked this total is lined in the 120's.
|
03-20-15 |
Cal-Irvine +8.5 v. Louisville |
|
55-57 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
03-19-15 |
Eastern Washington v. Georgetown OVER 146 |
|
74-84 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 55 m |
Show
|
30* NCAA PARLAY Eastern Washington vs. Georgetown OVER 146
|
03-19-15 |
Eastern Washington +8 v. Georgetown |
|
74-84 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
30* NCAA PARLAY Eastern Washington +8 Georgetown is ALWAYS overrated and I don't understand why. They are a 4 seed and so is Maryland. The Terps are 10 times the team the Hoyas are this season. Georgetown has a history of chocking year in and year out and I wouldn't be shocked if they barely make it out of this one. Georgetown has NO business laying 8 here. Eastern Washington is a very dangerous underdog because they shoot three pointers at an incredible rate. EWU is one of the best teams in the country shooting the three ball and Georgetown is one of the worst at defending it. If Eastern Washington is dropping treys, this is going to be a long day for the Hoyas.
|
03-19-15 |
Wofford +7.5 v. Arkansas |
|
53-56 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
03-19-15 |
LSU v. NC State -2 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-105 |
32 h 28 m |
Show
|
20* NC State -2 Georgia State +9 just missed the card, for what its worth.
|
03-18-15 |
Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz -3 |
Top |
88-84 |
Loss |
-113 |
22 h 21 m |
Show
|
40* NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT SPECIAL Utah Jazz -3 The Utah Jazz are on fire right now, winners of 7 straight. They have also had great success against the Wizards at home, winning 3 straight. The Jazz have really been hitting a groove and they have been doing so with their outstanding defense and rebounding. In fact, they are the best defensive team at home this season. Utah is 10-2 ATS their last 12 games after allowing 75 points or less and are 7-0 ATS their last 7 games facing a team with a winning record. As for the Wizards, they have been terrible on the road. They are just 7-19 ATS their last 26 road games and are in the bottom of a ton of statistical categories when playing away from their building. Washington also comes off a big win over the Portland Trailblazers their last game and I expect a bit of a let down here. Look for Utah to keep playing their stellar defense as they get the W in front of their home fans tonight.
|
03-18-15 |
Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 v. Miami Heat |
|
104-108 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
20* Portland Trailblazers -2.5 Solid situation here as we have Portland coming off a loss and Miami coming off a huge win against the Cavaliers. I expect a serious letdown from the Heat. You know playing the Cavaliers is like their super bowl and they got the job done. Bad news for Miami is that they are 0-6 ATS following a win of 10 or more points. Portland is a very good bounce back team as they are 5-1 ATS their next game following a spread loss. They are also 5-0 ATS their last 5 after allowing 100+ points. Look for Portland to continue their success in Miami tonight as they are 5-1 their last 6 meetings in Miami.
|
03-18-15 |
Robert Morris v. North Florida -145 |
Top |
81-77 |
Loss |
-145 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA FIRST FOUR MAX BET North Florida -145 Instead of just listing stat after stat about this game, I'll say this. North Florida has the advantage in almost every area of the game. Better offense, better 3 point defense, better free throw shooting, commit less fouls, more experienced, deeper bench, and have a stronger strength of schedule. North Florida is also 8-2 ATS their last 10 neutral site games. Going to take the points out of the equation and just pull for a North Florida straight up victory, which should have a VERY good chance of happening.
|
03-17-15 |
Central Michigan v. Louisiana Tech OVER 151.5 |
Top |
79-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
50* NIT MAX BET Central Michigan vs. Louisiana Tech OVER 151.5
|
03-16-15 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards OVER 197 |
Top |
97-105 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
50* ONE & ONLY NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR Portland Trailblazers vs. Washington Wizards OVER 197 This game really comes down to the numbers and the averages of both teams in their current spot and on the year are above 100+ points in every category. Portland allows 100+ and scores 100+ on the road and the Wizards score 100+ at home this season. The over has cashed in 5 of Portland's last 7 road games and has cashed in 5 of the Wizard's last 6 home games. The Wizards were in a gigantic funk a couple weeks ago, but seemed to have turned a corner and their offense really has been clicking. They are averaging 105+ points a game in their last 5 contests. Another huge factor for both of these teams is that they score a lot of points when playing the better teams of the league. The Trailblazers have gone over the total in 9 of their last 11 games facing a team with a winning record above .600 and the Wizards are 4-0 in the same spot. I expect John Wall and Damian Lilliard to really push it up the floor tonight and dish out for many corner threes. If those 3's are falling, especially for Portland because they shoot so many, this flies over the total with ease.
|
03-15-15 |
Portland Trail Blazers +2 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
113-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
30* NBA UNDERDOG SHOCKER Portland Trailblazers +2 The Trailblazers are hot and the Raptors are not. All key stats and trends favor Portland here. Portland is 9-2 ATS their last 11 and 4-1 ATS their last 5 meetings in Toronto. They are also 5-1 ATS their last 6 games overall. As for Toronto, they are just a mess. They are just 1-5 ATS their last 6 against the Western Conference and just 2-9 their last 11 home games facing a team with a winning road record. Portland is just too big for Toronto and they should clean them up on the glass. As long as Portland shoots a good percentage from beyond the arc, we cash this ticket.
|
03-15-15 |
Michigan State v. Wisconsin -6.5 |
|
69-80 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
20* Wisconsin -6.5 Play Wisconsin -6.5 for 1% and we're also going to play Wisconsin moneyline with Atlanta Hawks moneyline parlay for 1%
|
03-15-15 |
Arkansas v. Kentucky -13 |
Top |
63-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA MAX BET Kentucky -13 The Kentucky Wildcats have been playing their whole season for these big games and I believe they make one hell of a statement here guys by DESTROYING the Arkansas Razorbacks for all to see and to put the fear in everyone for the Big Dance. Let's face it, there is Kentucky, then everyone else. The mismatches this team creates is unlike anything anyone has seen before. The Wildcats absolutely dismantled Auburn in the semifinals and they didn't have to use much energy to do so. What I love about Kentucky with these big numbers is that they don't have any scrubs. Most teams when having a big lead, coast and bring in their terrible players. Kentucky's 10th man would start anywhere else in the country. Kentucky has been on an ATS tear of late. They are 8-1 ATS their last 9 games, 8-1 ATS following a straight up win, and 8-1 ATS against the SEC. Kentucky is also 11-2-3 ATS their last 16 neutral site games. As for Arkansas, this team may keep it close for the first half, but they will begin to break down in the final 20 minutes as Kentucky will prove to be way too much for them. The Razorbacks are just 2-7 ATS facing a team with a winning % above .600 and they are only 1-5 ATS their last 6 games following a straight up win. Look for Kentucky to dominate Arkansas in every aspect of the game as they cruise to a big win.
|
03-14-15 |
Eastern Washington +101 v. Montana |
|
69-65 |
Win
|
101 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
20* Eastern Washington +101
|
03-14-15 |
North Carolina v. Notre Dame OVER 149.5 |
|
82-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
20* North Carolina (UNC) vs. Notre Dame OVER 149.5
|
03-14-15 |
Wyoming +6 v. San Diego State |
Top |
45-43 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA TOP PLAY SHOCKER Wyoming +6 This IS the season for Wyoming. A loss here, and their not dancing. As for San Diego State, they know they're in the tournament, regardless of the outcome, so this game means much more to the Cowboys. SD State also has a quick turnaround as they played late last night, beating Colorado State. That final score is misleading though because they didn't have their best player, Avila, who averages over 17 points a game. I feel that's why we're getting a ton of value here. This should be a very low scoring game, so getting this many points is a much bigger deal than if this was a game lined in the 150's for instance. I personally played this at +7 because that is a very key number (3 possession game) and it takes 8 to beat us here. I see this game coming down to the final possessions and it would not surprise me at all if Wyoming stole this one tonight.
|
03-14-15 |
Yale v. Harvard -123 |
|
51-53 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
30* Harvard -123 You got to think that Harvard is licking their chops for another shot at Yale today. Yale completely blew their shot to win the Ivy league and get their bid to the NCAA Tournament, but a late collapse to Dartmouth cost them their bid. That loss set up this, winner take all, game and I feel this greatly favors Harvard. Yale's confidence as got to be thin and if Harvard jumps out early, Yale could start thinking "Oh no, did we blow it?" Harvard is 3-0 with home loss revenge and I expect them to stamp their ticket to the big dance with a W here today.
|
03-14-15 |
Middle Tennessee State v. UAB OVER 121.5 |
Top |
60-73 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE MONTH Middle Tennessee State vs. UAB OVER 121.5
|
03-14-15 |
VCU v. Davidson OVER 142 |
|
93-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
20* Virginia Commonwealth (VCU) vs. Davidson OVER 142
|
03-14-15 |
Purdue +9.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
51-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-15 |
South Carolina v. Georgia -140 |
Top |
62-74 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR Georgia -140 South Carolina now has to play it's 3rd game in 3 nights after squeaking out a win last night against Ole Miss. They also had a tough time with, one of the worst teams in the game, Missouri in their first game of the tournament. This means very tired legs. One of, if not, the biggest weakness of the Gamecocks is their depth. I don't see how this team is going to be able to hang with Georgia for 40 minutes. Georgia is rested as this is their first game of the tournament. The Bulldogs also have double revenge as South Carolina beat them twice this season. Granted, Georgia did have Kentucky on deck so I'll give them a pass, but they still beat them, so we have the revenge angle going for us here. The only thing South Carolina does well is rebounding but bad news for them is that the Bulldogs are the #23 ranked team in that category so if you take that away from them, Georgia will have the advantage in every aspect of the game. The only thing that could hurt us is if SC goes off beyond the arc like they did the second time these teams met. That was an anomaly though as the Gamecocks are one of the worst 3pt shooting teams. So if SC has a poor shooting night from beyond the arc, Georgia cruises in dominant fashion.
|
03-13-15 |
Baylor +101 v. Kansas |
|
52-62 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-15 |
North Carolina +3.5 v. Virginia |
Top |
71-67 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK North Carolina (UNC) +3.5 For those of you with books that allow 6 point teasers, I absolutely LOVE a 6 point teaser with UNC +9.5 and Baylor +7. How many of you see a Duke UNC championship game? Well I do, and I think the NCAA wants it too. The Tar Heels want another shot BADLY at the Dukies and I think they will get it. North Carolina's offense has really been clicking and I believe they will hit the key shots to sink UVA. This game clearly means more to UNC then UVA. Virginia is basically a lock for a #1 seed. The Cavaliers beat and covered against FSU yesterday. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS their last 5 following a spread cover. If you look deep into who these two teams have played lately. UNC clearly has the upper hand. The only good team Virginia played was Louisville. Guess what? They lost and that just so happens to be the team UNC just smashed. For all intents and purposes, this is a home game for the Tar Heels. This is a neutral site though and UNC is 5-0 ATS their last 5 neutral site games. Look for UNC to give UVA all they can handle and getting the +3.5 is just a bonus in my opinion.
|
03-13-15 |
VCU v. Richmond +2 |
|
70-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-15 |
Cal Poly v. UC-Santa Barbara -5 |
Top |
50-54 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA BAILOUT BLOWOUT UC-Santa Barbara -5 In my opinion, this is the best team in the Big West. This team should absolutely punish Cal Poly. Santa Barbara won't forget what happened last year in this same spot. They got CRUSHED by Cal Poly by 30+ in the tournament. No doubt they will want their revenge. Santa Barbara already beat this team twice this year and both times were by more than this spread. The Gauchos have been playing great of late and are 4-1 ATS their last 5 and 6-2 ATS their last 8. Look for UC-Santa Barbara to take this one by double digits tonight.
|
03-12-15 |
Xavier v. Butler -1.5 |
|
67-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-15 |
Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -4.5 |
|
49-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-15 |
Air Force v. Boise State -10 |
|
68-80 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-15 |
Alabama +4.5 v. Florida |
|
61-69 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-15 |
West Virginia v. Baylor -4 |
Top |
70-80 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA TOP PLAY EARLY TIP Baylor -4 Yes, I am aware of the saying "It's tough to beat a team three times in one season" but I think we have something different here. Baylor has beat this team both times handily, by double digits. WVU relies on their press to frustrate you and to cause turnovers to have success. Teams that know how to beat their patented press, destroy the Mountaineers. Baylor knows how to do that. West Virginia is just 1-5 ATS their last 6 meetings against the Bears. Look for the Baylor Bears to continue their dominance today.
|
03-12-15 |
Florida State v. Virginia -12.5 |
|
44-58 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
20* Virginia -12.5 Florida State BARELY escaped Clemson yesterday after almost successfully blowing a 20 point lead. This team had to use a ton of energy and FSU just doesn't know how to take care of the ball. That's the last thing you want when playing one of, if not, the best defenses in the country in the Virginia Cavaliers. UVA also comes into this game off a loss to Louisville, so I expect a very focused effort here. This team more than likely is a 1 seed going into the tournament. But if they slip up here, you never know. Look for the Cavaliers to guarantee their coveted 1 seed with a blowout victory.
|
03-12-15 |
Michigan v. Illinois -3.5 |
|
73-55 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
20* Illinois -3.5 I did personally buy the hook to -3 as this makes it a one possession game. I simply don't like this Michigan team. They rely way too heavily on the 3 ball. Illinois has been playing good basketball lately and they need a solid run in this tournament as they are on the bubble. One little interesting fact about Illinois is that they are the best free throw shooting team in the nation. I'll take that any day of the week.
|
03-11-15 |
Colorado -3.5 v. Oregon State |
Top |
78-71 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER Colorado -3.5 My long term guys know what's coming but I personally bought the hook on this game at -3 since its a very key number (one possession game) The Colorado Buffaloes sit at 14-16 on the season and the Oregon State Beavers are 17-13 this year, yet Colorado is favored in this game. I believe the odds makers are telling us something here. If you look deeper you will see that Oregon State is ONLY good on their home floor. They are a laughing stock on the road. OSU is just 1-5 over their last 6 games, with their only win coming against this Colorado club. We remember that game because we rode the Beavers with our PAC-12 GOY. This time around though, we're going with the better team, and the team with revenge.
|
03-11-15 |
Orlando Magic +7.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
91-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
30* Orlando Magic +7.5 The Magic have been doing well this year as big road dogs. They are 18-8 ATS facing a team with a winning record and 16-5 ATS facing a team with a home winning record. I also like the Magic tonight because they just got blown out. Teams usually respond well after a drubbing and the Magic have done well lately in this spot. Orlando is 5-0 ATS their last 5 after allowing 100+ points their previous game. Milwaukee has been a bad team of late. I still believe that trade for MCW was a total joke and screwed this team up. They are just 4-11 ATS their last 15 games and 3-7 their last 10 straight up. This is too many points for a struggling team to lay.
|
03-11-15 |
TCU v. Kansas State -1.5 |
Top |
67-65 |
Loss |
-106 |
25 h 1 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH Kansas State -1.5 This is practically a home game for the Wildcats tonight. Playing at the Sprint Center is right in their backyard. KSU is starting to play their best ball of the season. They knocked off Kansas and Iowa State and their confidence is starting to grow. As for TCU, they have lost 3 straight and 4 of their last 5. One of the most important things going into the conference tournaments is momentum. Teams that limp into the tourney, have early exits. Teams that enter hot, can make deep runs. TCU has not done well in their current situation. The Horned Frogs are 4-11 ATS following a blowout loss at home, 2-6 ATS following a straight up loss, and just 1-4 ATS their last 5 following a spread loss. Look for the Wildcats to get the W.
|
03-10-15 |
Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 188.5 |
|
86-118 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
20* Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers UNDER 188.5 We cashed our money line parlay last night with Detroit and Nashville for 1% so let's try another. I do feel that Indiana ML + San Antonio ML is a solid bet. Even Gonzaga ML could be a solid option also. (ML = money line) As for this UNDER. The stats and trends for both teams are pointing towards the under. Orlando has gone under the total is 43 of their last 60 games on the road. This Magic team has turned into a dead nuts under squad since the firing of their coach. As for Indiana, this team is in a combined 42-2 spot to the under in their current situation. They have gone under in 7 straight and 6 straight home games. The Pacers have one of, if not, the best home defense in the league. Expect a low scoring defensive battle in this one.
|
03-10-15 |
Wisconsin Green Bay v. Valparaiso -2.5 |
Top |
44-54 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA GAME OF THE WEEK Valparaiso -2.5 I personally did buy the hook to -2 All the sharps are lining up on this one. Historically, teams in these smaller conferences that play their conference championship on their home floor have had great success. Throw in the fact the Valpo has only one loss on the season at home, and we have a solid opportunity here. I do see that this line has climbed. At -3.5, I would recommended buying down to -3, as that is a very key number (one possession game)
|
03-10-15 |
Georgia Tech v. Boston College -2 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-106 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
03-09-15 |
Pepperdine v. Gonzaga OVER 126 |
|
61-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
30* Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga OVER 126
|
03-09-15 |
New Orleans Pelicans +108 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
Top |
114-103 |
Win
|
108 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
50* NBA UNDERDOG MAX BET New Orleans Pelicans +108 Let me start by saying this. The Bucks were a good team. Emphasis on were. When they got rid of Brandon Knight in a trade for Michael Carter-Williams, they really screwed things up. MCW is the most turnover prone player in the league. This kid throws up terrible shots at times and add to the fact he shoots a low %, and you got a recipe for disaster. Well so far it's been a disaster because they are 3-6 with him. The Pelicans are hot as a firecracker and they need to keep piling wins together to stay in the playoff picture. They have excelled on the road of late, winners of 7 of their last 8 ATS against teams with a winning home record. They are also 7-2 their last 9 overall. Wrong team is favored here, IMO. Look for New Orleans to get the W. Milwaukee is just 1-7 ATS their last 8 against the West. Expect that trend to continue tonight.
|
03-09-15 |
Sacramento Kings v. Atlanta Hawks -11 |
|
105-130 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
30* NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK Atlanta Hawks -11 The Hawks just recently got upset by the 76ers their last time out, but don't look too much into that as they were primed for a let down after beating the Cavs and they rested a few of their players. However, this team has also been great bouncing back after losses. Atlanta is 7-1 ATS their last 8 following a straight up loss. They are also 14-4 ATS against the West and 21-6 ATS playing on just a days rest. Sacramento has been very inconsistent and hasn't had any success at all against the Hawks. The Kings are just 1-6 their last 7 in Atlanta and losers of 5 straight overall.
|
03-09-15 |
Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Hornets -1 |
|
95-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
30* Charlotte Hornets -1 Pardon my french, but until the Wizards get their heads out of their "you know whats" there's no way anyone should be putting money down on them, especially against this Hornets squad. The Wizards are just 1-4 ATS their last 5 meetings in Charlotte and 0-5 their last 5 meetings overall. The Wizards don't have ANY wins in multiple trend categories in recent play and it's pretty embarrassing. They are a combined 0-25 ATS in their current situation. Look for Charlotte to continue their dominance against Washington tonight.
|
03-08-15 |
Northeastern v. North Carolina-Wilmington +3 |
|
78-71 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
30* North Carolina-Wilmington (UNC-W) +3
|
03-08-15 |
Wisconsin -1 v. Ohio State |
Top |
72-48 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA ROAD WARRIOR OF THE MONTH Wisconsin -1
|
03-07-15 |
Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets +5 |
|
114-100 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-15 |
Duke v. North Carolina -1.5 |
|
84-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
30* North Carolina (UNC) -1.5
|
03-07-15 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +5 |
|
113-121 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
20* Minnesota Timberwolves +5
|
03-07-15 |
Columbia +4 v. Princeton |
|
83-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-15 |
Utah -13 v. Washington |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-15 |
Kansas v. Oklahoma -5 |
Top |
73-75 |
Loss |
-117 |
16 h 41 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN OF THE YEAR Oklahoma -5 This game came out at -4 and if it stayed there, this would've been the 70* BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON. Now with it at -5.5 and -6, we'll play for 5% ALL signs point to Oklahoma here and ALL signs point to fade Kansas. Oklahoma comes into this game off a monumental collapse at Iowa State. No doubt they will be focused. This Oklahoma club is a completely different animal at home. They just destroy every one that enters. This is senior night and the last home game of the season playing Kansas. No doubt this place will be ROCKING. The Sooners also have a revenge from an earlier loss to Kansas. As for Kansas, they enter this game with a monumental comeback to beat WVU and clinch the outright BIG 12 title. I smell a letdown. Perry Ellis is out in this game and I feel that Kansas is just going to lay down in this one. They have not been a good road team this season and have struggled at times to hit FTs and 3 pointers. The most important thing to do on the road is to hit key 3 pointers and make your free throws. Not a good sound. Kansas really doesn't have anything to play for here. Kansas hasn't covered a spread in 5 games and I think they extend that streak to 6 games today.
|
03-07-15 |
Florida v. Kentucky -15.5 |
Top |
50-67 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR Kentucky -15.5 Well the perfect regular season comes down to this home game against Florida. I expect the Wildcats to absolutely beat the piss out of this team and put an exclamation point on this terrific season. Simple fact of the matter is that Florida stinks on the road. They are just 1-6 ATS their last 7 road contests. They also are just 3-13 ATS following a straight up win this season. I expect an insane crowd tonight with a TON of big 3's and alley oops as Kentucky rolls.
|
03-07-15 |
Xavier v. Creighton +3 |
Top |
74-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA TOP PLAY UNDERDOG Creighton +3
|
03-07-15 |
Connecticut +3.5 v. Temple |
Top |
63-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER Connecticut (UCONN) +3.5 This game opened at -4.5 and has been bet down to -3 in some spots with 75% of the bets placed on Temple. Also 81% of the moneyline tickets on are the Owls as well. Ton of money is coming in on the dog here and we agree with the move.
|
03-06-15 |
Los Angeles Lakers +11.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
90-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
20* Los Angeles Lakers +11.5
|
03-06-15 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 200 |
Top |
97-106 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
50* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks OVER 200 analysis tomorrow
|
03-06-15 |
Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 188.5 |
Top |
84-98 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY Chicago Bulls vs. Indiana Pacers UNDER 188.5
|
03-06-15 |
Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers -6 |
Top |
84-98 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY Indiana Pacers -6
|
03-06-15 |
Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +2 |
|
59-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
03-06-15 |
Illinois-Chicago v. Oakland -7.5 |
|
72-69 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
03-05-15 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 198 |
|
75-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
30* Portland Trailblazers vs. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 198
|
03-05-15 |
VCU v. Davidson OVER 143.5 |
|
55-82 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
30* VCU vs. Davidson OVER 143.5
|
03-05-15 |
Colorado -125 v. Washington |
|
64-47 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
03-05-15 |
VCU v. Davidson -2.5 |
Top |
55-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
50* A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR Davidson -2.5 This game is HUGE for Davidson. Senior night is always a big deal but when it's a game of this magnitude, it's something else. Davidson is eyeing the A-10 title and with a win here, they're in the driver's seat. They also would stamp their ticket to the Big Dance. Many may not know this but Davidson is the best team ATS in the land. They have covered 7 straight and 20 of their last 23 games. This team is on a roll and not to mention, they have revenge from a prior loss to the Rams. As for VCU, it's the opposite. Injuries have hurt this team and the loss of Weber crushed this team. They are not the same without him and it has shown. This atmosphere tonight is going to be electric. The ESPN cameras will be there and this place will be sold out. You know the last time Davison had two straight sell outs? It was when a little guy by the name of Steph Curry was there. Every thing favors Davidson here and I expect them to roll. Davidson is 13-3 ATS as a favorite and 13-1 SU this season at home.
|
03-05-15 |
Arkansas v. South Carolina +3 |
|
78-74 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
|
20* South Carolina +3 Following the money here as Arkansas is the most popular bet on the board tonight and yet the line has stayed put and actually has dropped in some spots.
|
03-04-15 |
Oregon v. Oregon State -101 |
|
65-62 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
20* Oregon State -101 Really wanted this at +2 but I feel like this game at +1 is a great teaser opportunity. Oregon State is fantastic at home and the public is all over Oregon right now.
|
03-04-15 |
Cincinnati v. Tulsa -2.5 |
|
56-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-15 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3.5 |
|
102-100 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
UPGRADED* 50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH Houston Rockets -3.5 Most of my long term guys know this but I almost always buy the hook on a -3.5 line. It takes it to the key number of 3 (one possession game), especially on sites with juice of less than -110. For instance, bookmaker set 3.5 (-105) so you can get -3 (115) which is preferred. analysis coming
|
03-04-15 |
Miami (FL) v. Pittsburgh -3.5 |
|
67-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
30* Pittsburgh -3.5 This line has now climbed to -5 and 5.5. play for 10* at this number or I do think Oklahoma State and Illinois at least win outright, so a moneyline parlay would be a good option also.
|
03-04-15 |
Utah Jazz v. Boston Celtics -105 |
|
84-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
30* Boston Celtics -105 The Utah Jazz just upset Memphis at home in a very physical game. They now have to travel to Boston where the Celtics are 7-0 ATS their last 7 home games. The Celtics just got destroyed by the Cavs last night so you would expect Boston to come out pissed off and focused. I expect a let down from the Jazz and an inspired effort from the Celtics. Situational handicapping 101.
|
03-03-15 |
Villanova v. Creighton +10 |
|
76-72 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
03-03-15 |
Michigan v. Northwestern -3 |
|
78-82 |
Win
|
101 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
30* HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN Northwestern -3 Revenge spot here for Northwestern has they lost by 2 their last meeting against the Wolverines. The public always love Michigan and no doubt they'll be lining up to take them with the points. Senior night is going to be huge for these kids as they have a lot of upperclassman. They sit at 14-15 on the year. Love backing teams when they're one game back of .500. They know they won't be a losing team with a W here which is very important.
|
03-03-15 |
Kentucky v. Georgia +10 |
Top |
72-64 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA THE BIG UNDERDOG Georgia +10 HUGE game for Georgia. Athens is gong to be ROCKING. Whenever Kentucky comes to town it's a big deal, but this season's even bigger. Everyone wants a piece of them to be the team that finally pulls the upset. Kentucky gets EVERYONES best effort and you best believe that they get Georgia's best effort tonight. Super Tuesday has not been fun for Kentucky has the last 2 times they played on the road, they were extremely close to being upset. Florida and LSU's fans were going berserk and although they didn't win, they still made it a close game (single digits) and got the ATS win. I see a very similar result here. Am I calling for the outright upset? No. But double digits is just way too many points to have to lay in this environment.
|
03-03-15 |
Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5 |
|
92-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
20* Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5
|