MLB Monday 8* New York Mets Run Line -1.5 -140 @ Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as I am sure either Scherzer or Corbin will go and, of course, if either guy goes this is a great situation. Corbin has been nothing short of a disaster this season and enters this start having allowed 20 earned runs in less than 17 innings over his last 4 starts. Scherzer is a dominating starter and he is having another massive season plus facing his former team. He already dominated the Nationals the first time he faced them since leaving DC and now he gets another shot in DC and I am sure Scherzer will make the most of it. Regardless of who the starters are, I like the fact that the Mets are the much stronger team and have actually outscored the Nats by an incredible 53-12 in their 8 wins over Washington this season. That's right the average score was 6.6 to 1.5 in the 8 wins for an average margin of victory of 5 runs each. Look for New York to improve to 9-2 this season against the Nationals and win this game by 2 or more runs again. Mets enter on a 6-game winnings streak overall while Washington is on a run of 6-20 overall last 26 games. Each of Nats 7 losses by at least a 2-run margin. More of the same expected here. 8* NEW YORK METS -1.5 -140

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox -1.5 -125 vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers because the White Sox just so much better than the A's and I am comfortable backing Chicago no matter what here. However, the expected starting pitching match-up certainly does not hurt us! Dylan Cease and Adam Oller at different ends of the spectrum from sure. Cease has gone 6-1 with one no decision in his last 8 starts. Incredibly, Cease has allowed a TOTAL of ONLY 3 runs in these 8 starts and he went at least 5 innings in each start and averaged 6 innings per start. As for Oller, he has been okay out of the bullpen this season but has been back in the rotation again this month and the struggles have continued. Oller is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA in his 6 starts this season! Better team, better lineup, home field edge, and the expected starting pitching match-up features two guys at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5 -125

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -130 vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:07 ET - The Tigers are off the big upset win of the Jays 4-2 yesterday. However, Detroit is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a win and every single loss in that run was by at least a 2-run margin. In fact, the combined score of those 5 games was 29 to 9. Look for the Tigers to again get blasted in that situation here as, prior to yesterday's win, Detroit was 4-13 last 17 games! The Blue Jays are 3-0 last 3 times when off a loss. Prior to yesterday's loss, Toronto was 10-2 last 12 games. Toronto so strong against bad teams while Tigers so bad on the road. Also, 50 of Detroit's 60 losses this season by 2 or more runs. The expected pitching match-up is Stripling (5-2 last 7 decisions) versus Hutchison (1-4 this season) but, no matter the pitchers, this is simply a case the home team should roll huge in a bounce back spot! Action on pitchers. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -130

CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are the much better team defensively and deserved a better fate last week at BC. Montreal rallied late to win at Ottawa last week but their defense continues to struggle. Hamilton has allowed an average of 24 points last 4 games. The Alouettes have allowed an average of 35 points last 3 games. Also, Ti-Cats are 15-4 SU in home games dating back to 2019 season. The Alouettes, even with last week's rare road win, are on a 12-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. Home field edge and situational edge (hungry off loss and facing opponent off win) and the better defense. As a result, I have no hesitation in challenging the Als to win two straight road games! 10* HAMILTON -3

MLB Wednesday 8* Toronto Blue Jays Run Line -1.5 -115 vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I like this play regardless of the pitchers because the Blue Jays are red hot and have won all 4 games since the All Star break and are on an overall 7 game winning streak and have won 9 of 10. Note that 7 of the last 8 wins have been by 2+ runs and, the way the Blue Jays are swinging the bats right now, this should be a blowout. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have lost 9 of last 12 road games and often have struggled at the plate away from home. Speaking of road struggles, I will now touch on the pitchers in this one. St Louis is expected to start Adam Wainwright and he has a road ERA nearly 3 runs higher than his home ERA this season. Also, he has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last 4 road starts. Kevin Gausman expected to start for Blue Jays here and he has been hit a little harder this season but is working back from an injury most recently and sill has allowed only 7 earned runs in the 26 innings spanning his last 5 outings. Also, the Cardinals hitters that do have experience against him are a combined 10 for 64 for a combined .156 batting average. No matter the pitchers - but the expected starters are an added edge as you can see - this is a classic case of hot versus not and I will grab the run line in this one. 8* TORONTO -1.5 -115

MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Naitonals @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -290 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at HALF that price today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 64 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 57 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Look for another win by a multi-run margin. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Gonsolin has been absolutely dominant including 11-0 on the season and a 1.13 ERA and a .130 BAA in home games. Nationals Espino starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season as he has been roughed up in 4 straight starts and hit quite hard in each of last 6 starts. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. Also, LA has won 8 straight while Washington had lost 17 of 19 before yesterday's win. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 -145

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders PK -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - This line would have been around a full TD but has dropped to a pick'em because of the covid issues, injury issues, and suspension issues surrounding this game. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and this one sets up perfectly to fade the huge move from a team being a TD favorite to being a pick'em even though they are at home. Saskatchewan loves its team and has the most passionate fanbase in the league and is known for being a very tough place for opponents to travel to and face them. That said, lets talk some facts, the Argonauts are 0-1 on the road so far this season and the past 5 seasons went a combined 10-33 on the road! This is also a revenge game since the Roughriders lost to Toronto last week in the Touchdown Atlantic game in Nova Scotia. Saskatchewan is 3-0 at home this season and entered this season having gone 19-6 at home the past 3 seasons. Watch all the Riders step up here to make up for the guys that are out and they get the big win here. 22-6 run at home versus a 10-34 run on the road. Yes I will take pick'em odds on this plus let us not forget the West has dominated the East this season in interdivisional match-ups. More of the same here as last week's Riders loss to the Argos proves to be an aberration in the way the East-West battles have gone this season. 10* SASKATCHEWAN Pick -110

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 +105 vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -200 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at even money today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 63 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 56 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Kershaw has been absolutely dominant while Cobb is starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. That is why LA is a 2 to 1 favorite and I will gladly grab the even money on the run line in this one. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 +105

Thursday CFL 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Both teams off tight losses last week but the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Ottawa is very hungry for that first win here, they are at home, they put forth a very strong effort against a quality opponent last week and they should have recently acquired Nick Arbuckle available at QB for this one. The change of scenery will serve Arbuckle well plus the Redblacks showed against the Tiger-Cats that they absolutely are not ready to throw in the towel on the season just because they lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. That said, look for a huge effort from the home team here and note that Montreal is on an 11-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. I do look for the Redblacks to get their first win of the season but will grab the 3 points in case they fall just short. 10* OTTAWA +3

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +2.5 or +3 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 2 ET - The location of this Touchdown Atlantic game in Halifax certainly favors the Argonauts. The fact Toronto has fresh legs and has only played 3 games this season, compared to Saskatchewan having played 5 games already, certainly favors the Argos as well. I know the Riders are 4-1 this season and the Argos are just 1-2. However, other than 1 blowout loss Toronto has played quite well and their only other loss was by 1 point to a Winnipeg team that remains undefeated on the season after last night's win over the only other team, Calgary, that was also undefeated on the year. In other words, this Argonauts team deserves some credit plus note that the Roughriders historically do not play as well when they are away from home. Situational edges and I will grab the home dog in this one. Again, is not a true home game for them but certainly the location in Atlantic Canada favors the Argos over the Riders. 10* TORONTO +2.5 or +3

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Just too many points here. Match-up of unbeatens and Blue Bombers have home field edge and are the 2x defending champs. However, it was not that long ago that Calgary was in the Grey Cup championship 3 straight years and 5 of 7 years. The Stampeders appear to be back this season and also have a dual rest edge here. Not only did they play earlier in the week last week than Winnipeg did, they also had their bye week the week before. The Blue Bombers have yet to have a bye week and will be playing on short rest and a 6th straight week. Also, Winnipeg off the blowout win over a previously unbeaten BC team. The Lions were a bit over-rated in my opinion and yet that big Bombers win last week is giving us extra line value this week. 10* CALGARY +4

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +6 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - The Redblacks had been playing well, despite their record, but were then severely out-statted by BC in last week's 3-point loss. Ottawa should bounce back here and is a much better team their winless record on the season would lead you to believe. I know that Saskatchewan is off big win last week but Redblacks have the rest edge here as they played earlier last week and were coming off a bye entering that one. Additionally, the Riders off a very satisfying and dominating win. They could be a little complacent here as a result. There will be nothing complacent about this Redblacks team as they are very hungry with an 0-3 SU record on the season and an average margin of defeat of only 4 points. An outright win here would not shock me at all but I am, of course, even more confident with having the points on our side. Let's grab them for a big play here. 10* OTTAWA +6

*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 8* Houston Astros -1.5 -160 vs Kansas City Royals @ 2:10 ET -  I like the Astros to bounce back off yesterday's 7-4 loss no matter who the starting pitchers are. Make this run line bet with action and I am willing to lay the price as we bank on Houston to win this game by 2 or more runs. Astros are 5-0 L5 times when off a loss. Also, Houston was on a 16-3 run prior to yesterday's loss. Verlander has been lights out this season, as per usual, but his last home start was a rare dud so you know he is fired up for a much stronger effort here! As for the Royals Bubic, he is 1-5 with a 7.06 ERA and a .309 BAA. No matter the starting pitchers here, this one gets ugly for Kansas City. 8* HOUSTON -1.5 -160

*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 8* New York Yankees -1.5 -145 @ Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - The Pirates got the upset win yesterday but the Yankees did outhit them. Regardless of the starting pitching, I like New York to bounce back big and get a win by 2+ runs today. Not only is Pittsburgh 13-30 against teams with a winning record, they have won just 25% of games against AL this season and Yankees have won 75% of games against NL this season. Also, the Yankees are 32-10 against teams with a losing record this season. Prior to yesterday's win, the Pirates were mired in an 8-19 stretch. Yankees are 4-1 this season when off B2B losses and 4 of those 5 games were decided by a margin of at least 2 runs. The Yanks are expected to start Severino and he continues to handcuff hitters and dominate. Pittsburgh is expected to start Keller and he is 0-3 at home this season, coming off an ugly road outing, and has a 6.82 ERA in night games this season. Again, take action on pitchers and look for a road rout here. 8* NEW YORK YANKEES -1.5 -145

CFL Monday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way but, as per usual, it is not without good reasoning either. The Blue Bombers are undefeated on the season and, overall, the West has absolutely dominated the East so far this season. However, Winnipeg is 3-0 but the only two teams they have played are a combined 0-7 on the season. They are the only two teams in the league that remain winless after Week 4 action is in the books. Not only that, the Blue Bombers off huge win versus Hamilton in a Grey Cup rematch game. On deck for Winnipeg is a huge game versus fellow undefeated foe BC next week. That said, this is absolutely a tricky spot for the Blue Bombers and they are facing an Argos team that has another bye week on deck and that is coming off a 44-3 thrashing at the hands of the Lions last week. Simply put it is the ideal set-up for a huge effort from Toronto here. The Argonauts are very fresh as they have played only 2 games this season and, by the way, one was against a BC team that remains undefeated and the other was an Argos win over a Montreal team that is the other East Division team, besides Argonauts, that also has a win this season. Based on all of the above we have a lot of line value here with a big home dog. Keep in mind, it is hard to cover 5 points on the road when you are in a tough scheduling situation plus have averaged scoring only 21 points per game this season. By the way the Blue Bombers vaunted defense did give up big yardage to the now 0-3 Redblacks in the first two games of this season. Of course the defending champs are strong team but they are simply over-rated here! 10* TORONTO +5.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Special teams and turnovers were the difference in last week's Als blowout win in their home opener. Now the Riders are back at home and angry and will get their revenge. Note that yardage was roughly equal in last week's game so the 37-13 final was deceiving. Certainly Montreal deserved the win and they got it but now it is time for Saskatchewan payback! The West has dominated the East so far this season as the Riders loss to the Als is actually the only such loss for a West team versus an East team. We'll lay the points here. I know Sask is without Evans at WR but they still have Williams and many other weapons at the WR position. Additionally, I like the fact that the Roughriders went 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 against teams from the East. The Riders already won their first home game this season and are now 14-3 SU last 17 home games. We'll lay the very fair number here and look for immediate payback from the hosts this week. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -4.5

*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Atlanta Braves -1.5 -110 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 4:10 ET - Same play as yesterday's 9-1 win so much of the the write-up the same as yesterday. This game has blowout written all over it and is a play for me regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them below but this is all about taking one of the best teams in the league against a team that has been slumping badly in home games and catching all this in the perfect situation. The Braves just got destroyed by the Phillies at Philly Thursday and will respond huge throughout this series. The Reds got destroyed by the Cubs at Chicago Thursday but don't have what it takes to respond in a series against one of the best teams in the league. Note that Cincinnati is outclassed here. The Braves have won 12 of 15 games after yesterday's blowout win. The Reds have now lost 9 straight home games. Mahle is expected started for Cincinnati and he is 0-4 with 5.13 ERA in his 9 home starts this season. Strider the expected starter for the Braves and he has been piling up strikeouts and pitching very well since moving into the rotation! Road rout here regardless of starting pitching as this is a case of road warriors versus a team on a 9-game home losing streak. Lay it! By the way Reds last 6 home losses all by 2+ runs and Braves last 6 road games all decided by 2 or more runs. Love the run line here. 10* ATLANTA -1.5 -110

*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 8* Atlanta Braves -1.5 -150 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET - This game has blowout written all over it and is a play for me regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them below but this is all about taking one of the best teams in the league against a team that has been slumping badly in home games and catching all this in the perfection situation. The Braves just got destroyed by the Phillies at Philly yesterday and will respond big here. The Reds got destroyed by the Cubs at Philly yesterday but don't have what it takes to respond here. Note that Cincinnati is outclassed here. The Braves had won 11 of 13 games before yesterday's loss. The Reds have lost 8 straight home games. Minor is expected started for Cincinnati and he went 1-4 with 7.71 ERA in the month of June. Fried the expected starter for the Braves and he is now 45-15 the last 4 seasons combined! Road rout here regardless of starting pitching as this is a case of road warriors versus a team on an 8-game home losing streak. Lay it! 8* ATLANTA -1.5 -150

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +2.5 vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Lions are 2-0 this season and the Redblacks are 0-2. However, a ton of edges for the home team in this one. First off BC playing their first road game of the season. The Lions also are on short rest and will be without wide receiver Burnham. Conversely, Ottawa is coming off a bye week. The Redblacks are 0-2 on the season but they outgained Winnipeg in each of the first two games of the season. Keep in mind, this Blue Bombers team is a very strong team and now 3-0 on the season after beating a strong Hamilton team last week. The point is that Ottawa is playing much better than their record indicates and this includes against strong competition too. As for the Lions, they are 2-0 this season but played a bad Edmonton team and a Toronto team known for inconsistency. The Argonauts seemed to not show up last weekend at BC. You can bet (literally) the Redblacks are going to show up here and I expect the hosts to hand the Lions their first loss of the season but will grab the added insurance of the points here. 10* OTTAWA +2.5 

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Lions are off a bye week and they rolled 59 to 15 in Week 1 but are they really that good? Or is Edmonton just that bad? The Elks were plagued by turnovers in that game and BC will face a much tougher test this week with the Argonauts in town. Toronto had a bye in Week 1 so that negates some of the Lions rest edge here. There is truly not a big edge in terms of rest as a result. That said, like getting the points here with a scrappy Argos team that is facing a bit of an over-rated BC team in this one. Lions are going to be better this season than last season but this line has gone from around a 3 to a 5.5 and this is excellent line value on the under-valued road dog in this one. 10* TORONTO +5.5

Friday CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 or +5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Revenge game for the Tiger-Cats as they lost the Grey Cup to Winnipeg last year. Not only that, Hamilton also lost the Grey Cup in the prior season played (2019) and that makes this a double-revenge spot for the Ti-Cats. Yes it is now Dane Evans at QB rather than Jeremiah Masoli for Hamilton but I do feel he is settling in nicely. Also, this is similar situation to last night's play on Montreal which won 37 to 13. Here we have an 0-2 underdog against a 2-0 favorite and I like the extra hunger that will mean for this highly motivated Tiger-Cats team. Also, the Blue Bombers are indeed 2-0 this season but they were outgained in both games and are down big in the yardage differential department so far this year. In other words, though Winnipeg is indeed a good team, they have been fortunate, to say the least, early this season and we take advantage with the substantial value being offered to the underdog. 10* HAMILTON +4.5 or +5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +3.5 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes have a two day rest edge here compared to the Roughriders. Also, the Als have the home field edge. Montreal is off B2B tight losses to start the season. Extra hunger here for the 0-2 host facing a 2-0 Saskatchewan team. We get line value with as many as 3.5 points available for this one and looking at statistical factors, these teams are much more evenly matched than their records would suggest. Turnovers have been the difference early this season and now we take advantage of the added line value as a result of those factors. 10* MONTREAL +3.5

*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -155 @ Washington Nationals @ 1:05 ET (Game 1 of 2) - The Phillies are now 12-2 last 14 games after last night's blowout win. Philadelphia is simply enjoying a magical run since the managerial change and there is no signs of it changing here. Suarez has not been as strong as last season but he still rates a big edge over Adon (1-10, 6.95 ERA) as the Nationals right-hander has struggled badly for the season. Also, regardless of pitchers you have a red hot Philadelphia team and the Phillies last 11 wins have featured 9 by 2 or more runs. And here you are fading a Nationals team that has lost 8 of last 10 games. Also, Washington's last 28 losses have featured 25 by 2 or more runs. So I am very comfortable with the run line here. 8* Philadelphia -1.5 -155

*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -110 vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 1:35 ET - No matter who pitches here I like the red hot Phillies over a Diamondbacks team that has now lost 11 of 16 after losing 4-0 here yesterday. Philadelphia just recently fired Joe Girardi and they have now won 9 straight since the managerial change. While the Phillies have won 9 straight (and 7 of last 8 by margin of at least 2 runs, including yesterday) and have scored an average of 7 runs per victory in this streak, Arizona has scored an average of only 2 runs per game last 11 losses and had lost 16 of 24 games before entering this series off rare B2B road wins - albeit over a bad Reds team. Also, while I am making this play regardless of pitchers, note that the Phillies are 7-4 in the 11 starts Ranger Suarez has made this season and he has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts. Philadelphia has been red hot and is fired up about having now begun a homestand where they can keep the winning going and I know there is some uncertainty about the Dbacks starter here. Could be Kyle Nelson who normally pitches out of the bullpen or Luke Weaver who has not started a game in majors since last season and went 4-15 combined his past two seasons in MLB. Whoever is on the mound for Arizona faces a confident Philadelphia lineup. Hot Phillies over the generally road-adverse Diamondbacks and we get an excellent run line value here with the home favorite at a pick'em price if laying the 1.5 runs. The fact is we have the better and hotter lineup in this match-up. Happy to test the 9-0 / 100% PERFECT RUN with the home team in this one and, because this is run line, will mention that the perfect trends tested are 4-0 L4 overall and 5-0 L5 at home in term of Phillies wins by at least a 2-run margin! 8* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -110

*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -110 vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 4:05 ET - No matter who pitches here I like the red hot Phillies over a Diamondbacks team that has now lost 10 of 15 after losing 7-5 here yesterday. Philadelphia just recently fired Joe Girardi and they have now won 8 straight since the managerial change. While the Phillies have won 8 straight (and 6 of last 7 by margin of at least 2 runs, including yesterday) and have scored an average of 7.5 runs per victory in this streak, Arizona has scored an average of only 2.2 runs per game last 10 losses and had lost 16 of 24 games before entering this series off rare B2B road wins - albeit over a bad Reds team. Also, while I am making this play regardless of pitchers, note that Zack Wheeler 3-2 with a 1.73 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Philadelphia has been red hot and is fired up about having now begun a homestand and I know Madison Bumgarner is a solid pitcher for the Diamondbacks but he has a 5.82 ERA last 3 starts. Now he faces a confident Philadelphia lineup. Hot Phillies over the generally road-adverse Diamondbacks and we get an excellent run line value here with the home favorite at a pick'em price if laying the 1.5 runs. The fact is we have the better and hotter lineup in this match-up. Happy to test the 8-0 / 100% PERFECT RUN with the home team in this one and, because this is run line, will mention that the perfect trends tested are 3-0 L3 overall and 4-0 L4 at home in term of Phillies wins by at least a 2-run margin! 8* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -110

NBA Friday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors +4 @ Boston Celtics @ 9 ET - The Warriors are 6-0 the last 6 times when off a loss. That is 6-0 SU / 100% PERFECT! That said, the fact we get an added 4 points here with underdog Golden State is simply a bonus! I do expect GS to win outright but will grab the points as added insurance. The Warriors led the first game by 12 after 3 quarters and the second game by 21 after 3 quarters and they only trailed the third game by 4 after 3 quarters. The point is that the Warriors could just as easy be up 3-0 in this series rather than down 2-1. Give credit to the Celtics for their resilience and their ability to come up strong in 4th quarters. However, I look for the Warriors - with their backs against the wall - to absolutely come up big in this one. They should improve to 7-0 SU / 100% PERFECT last 7 times when off a loss but I will grab the points here as I feel this is an excellent line value that could prove well worth it in the event Boston prevails by a very slim margin. 10* GOLDEN STATE +4 

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Early in the season it is tough to just come in and right away start blowing out teams by a double digit margin. That task becomes even tougher when you are the defending champs and everyone is gunning for you. That tasks becomes even tougher yet when you are facing a star QB that has revenge against you. Yes, Jeremiah Masoli is formerly with Hamilton and now with Ottawa. The Redblacks are off a 3-11 season but are totally rebuilt team and that includes much more than just Masoli. A stronger offensive line, good weapons on offense, a rebuilt defense. Ottawa is not going to be a dominant force this season but they are much better than they were last season and Winnipeg will have its hands full here. Yes the Blue Bombers are a great team but they will struggle to win this game by more than a margin of one possession. The Redblacks are hungry and Masoli wants revenge and, as you know, the QB position is key in the pass-happy CFL. Look for the big dogs to stay inside the number here. 10* OTTAWA +9.5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -3.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 9 ET - The Alouettes are off a 7-7 season but were the only team to get bounced by a double digit margin in any of the post-season games last year. Montreal also went just 2-4 against West Division opponents last season and that means they are now 8-18 the last 3 seasons combined when facing teams from the West. I know the Stampeders disappointed last season but they lost in OT in first round of the playoffs and this Calgary team is hell-bent on a much stronger performance this season. Look for them to come into the new year and, especially this season opener at home, with a chip on their shoulder. The Stamps were 98-26-2 the last 7 seasons prior to last year's disappointing 8-6 result. This has been the class of the CFL for the past decade in terms of consistent results year in and year out and I do not trust the Montreal defense early in the season as they have a lot of question marks there in my opinion. That said, the better D, the long-term more consistent team, the motivational edge, and the home field edge - all of this adds up to a solid home win and cover in my opinion. 10* CALGARY -3.5

NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics +4.5 @ Golden State Warriors Sunday @ 8 PM ET - The whole world will likely line up on Golden State here. In fact this line could drive up even higher but I am getting the early jump here with a solid 4.5 soon after Game 1 of this series finished. I know the expectation is that the Warriors bounce back but that is hard to trust. They just outscored 40-16 in the 4th quarter of a game on their home floor in which they also were the more rested team. The news gets even worse for Golden State. Steph Curry had a huge Game 1 with 34 points and nailing 7 of 14 threes while Celtics start Jayson Tatum had just 12 points on 3 for 17 shooting. Stop and think about that for a minute. Should be easy GS win given those numbers. Yet the Celtics won the game by double digits. Not only that, the two days off in between games also means that Boston can hit the reset button and comfortably relax. All the pressure here is on the Warriors and they wish they could take the floor right away on Friday to make up for the debacle. This situation is perfect for a rested and relaxed Celtics team to steal Game 2 as well but will grab the points this time just in case the Warriors find a way to steal it late. Took the money line in Game 1 but more points are available in Game 2 and given the situation that is the best value as I will gladly challenge a Golden State team questioning itself to win this game by at least 5 points. The road dogs loaded with confidence now. 10* BOSTON +4.5

NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +7 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Amazingly, the Mavericks have not had a standalone win in 4 months. You have to go all the way back to January 24th to find the last time that the Mavericks were off a loss, had a win, and then lost their very next game. Since that time, the Mavs are 12-0 / 100% perfect in this situation. That is a SU record. 12 straight times the Mavericks have managed to avoid the dreaded standalone win. That said, I definitely like our chances here of getting at least a cover as the Mavericks look to keep their season alive with one big upset. Once again, when off a win that was preceded by a loss, the Mavericks are 12-0 / 100% perfect SU. Give me the points here. 10* DALLAS +7

NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +1.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat are off a loss and have been so strong off a defeat. The Celtics got the key Game 4 win to even this series up but now are over-valued on the road. Boston has been alternating wins and losses frequently in this post-season in the last two series and I look for that trend to continue here. The Celtics will have their hands full here with a Heat team that had won 10 straight home games prior to losing to 25 points as a host versus Boston in Game 2 of this series. Not only payback for that but Miami enters this game off a 20 point road loss in Game 4 at Boston. The Heat take back series lead with a key revenging win over the Celtics in this one. 10* MIAMI +1.5 

NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat could get Butler back for this game and I do expect that plus they are loaded with confidence after the big Game 3 win on the road. Miami does not have to win this game to get the money for us either. A loss by 6 or less points also cashes our ticket and 5 of Boston's 9 post-season wins have been by a margin of 4.8 points. All the pressure on Boston here to avoid a 3-1 series hole before heading to Miami for Game 5. As for the Heat, they already have accomplished the success of insuring they have home court edge for this series no matter what happens in Game 4. That said, they can play loose and relaxed basketball. With all the pressure on the Celtics, the Heat are going to be tough to put away in this one. Huge value with the points. 10* MIAMI +6.5

NBA Friday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks Money Line +220 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - If you think this series is over already think again. Ton of value here with Dallas and we don't need any points. Yes the Mavericks got blown out in Game One of this series but that was only the 2nd time they have been blown out by Golden State in the last 7 meetings. The two defeats were blowout losses but the Mavs won each of the other 5 games and ALL were straight-up outright wins. That is why I am advising NOT to take the points here. We will not need them. Dallas, overall, is 16-3 SU the last 19 times when off a loss. These teams knows how to bounce back and that is why losing streaks have been rare. That has played a key role in why the Mavericks finished up the regular season on a 36-12 SU run last 48 games. As for post-season, the Mavs are already 4-1 when off a loss and I am looking for a big-time bounce back here. The Mavericks had 4 more shots from the field and 5 more shots from the free throw line in Wednesday's 25-point loss. We have value here as a result because I am expecting much better shooting from the Mavs in this one. 10* DALLAS +220

NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 3:30 ET - Boston has home court here for Game 7. Critical, right? Hardly! The home team has only gotten the money ONCE in the first SIX games of this series. These are two very evenly matched teams and I like the value of having the 5.5 points on our side here. We'll grab the points in what should be a tight battle in Game 7. There has been only one blowout win for a home team so far in this series. Also, the same team has not won B2B games in this series yet and I do not expect that to change here. I am expecting the Bucks to get the outright upset win as they have the champion pedigree. But I am also grabbing the points should this be a tight finish decided by just a bucket or two. 10* MILWAUKEE +5.5

EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove PK -115 @ Leeds United @ 9 AM ET - Even though Leeds are hosting this one, they are slumping and have less rest and are a bit of a depleted squad right now. Conversely, Brighton is playing extremely well of late and has the rest edge here plus has won 7 road matches this season while Leeds have only 4 victories on their home pitch this season. A lot of pressure on the hosts as they are looking to avoid relegation while Brighton is loaded with confidence and playing without any pressure. Leeds allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season while the visitors allowing only 1 goal per match when traveling this season. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE PK -115

NBA Thursday 10* Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in the NBA of late and I expect more of the same here. Philly just got blasted by the Heat in most recent game so watch them bounce right back here. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the host has actually won 7 straight meetings dating back to regular season action in March. More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2

NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Bucks fell short in Game 4 as the Celtics rallied. However, Milwaukee is 4-0 SU the last 4 times when off a loss. Whether or not the Bucks get the outright upset here, I definitely like the fact that Milwaukee is getting a handful of points and I expect this game could go down to the wire! The Bucks had won 4 of 5 SU against the Celtics prior to Monday's loss and I feel strongly they will bounce back big here. At worst it will be a loss by a bucket or two in my opinion. Boston a bit over-rated here after the huge fourth quarter rally in Game 4. I do not expect a repeat of that here but yet we get line value as a result of that game 4 finish. 10* MILWAUKEE

NHL Puck Line Punisher Saturday 8* Nashville Predators Puck Line +1.5 -125 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 4:30 ET - The Predators are happy to be back on home ice and buoyed by the confidence afforded them by the strong performance of goalie Connor Ingram in Game 2 of this series. That was a 2-1 OT loss and, prior to losing Game 1 by a big margin, the Preds actually had won 3 straight over the Avs. Nashville scored at least 5 goals in all 3 of those wins and, in a critical Game 3, I do expect the Predators to come up big here at both ends of the ice. Look for the Preds to be in this one all the way and I love the excellent value of the goal and a half at a manageable price. 8* NASHVILLE +1.5 goals -125

EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester United PK -108 vs Brighton & Hove @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United undervalued in my opinion. They are off a key win in the last match and look revitalized. I feel that Brighton & Hove is overvalued here. This is a host that has won only 3 matches in 17 on their home pitch this season. Conversely, Manchester United is a club that has won 16 matches this season and seems revitalized of late. I feel strongly that the visitors will continue their strong recent run of play and get the big victory here. The nice thing is that a draw gets us a push here since the goal line is a pick'em. Man U has played 36 matches this season and only 10 were losses so, based on odds alone, we have value here with a 26 of 36 spot. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED PK -108

NBA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Sixers will still be without Joel Embiid. However, even on the road in Game 2, the only difference in the game was really the 3-point shooting of Miami. The Heat outscored Philly by 18 points from 3 point land and won the game by 16 points. The 76ers had just 8 turnovers while Miami had 14 and Philadelphia did have 6 more FG attempts in the game. Philly is going to bring a huge effort here and are going to shoot much better than the combined 14 of 64 they shot from distance in the first two games of this series in Miami. At the same time, I do not expect the Heat to make a ridiculous 14 of 29 from outside the arc like they did in Game 2. The Sixers can get back into this series with a win here and Embiid possible returning for Game 4. That said, this is Philly's season here and I expect a huge amount of fight in this dog at home! The Sixers have won 5 of last 6 home games and the Heat have lost 2 of last 3 road games. The home team has won 10 of last 13 meetings between these teams and I expect that trend to continue here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5

NHL Puck Line Punisher Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Puck Line +1.5 goals -120 @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals rallied for the win in Game 1 as they were down 2-1 after two periods. However, the victory was no fluke really. This Washington team built well for the playoffs and they outshot a tough Panthers team 38 to 32 in the game. I don't necessarily think they will spring the outright upset in each of the first two games of this series but they will be tough to beat here. Florida going to have to really battle just to win this game let alone cover the 1.5 goals on the puck line. Washington is a strong physical team and I also do not trust goalie Sergei Bobrovsky of the Panthers. Again, not saying they will not win this game. Just think it is going to be a tough battle all the way through and remember the Capitals tied for the league lead this season with 25 road wins in the regular season! 10* WASHINGTON +1.5 goals -120

NBA Early Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers off a double digit loss in Game 1 but should respond here even without Joel Embiid. Philly just getting no respect here and, with backs against the wall, will get back on track in Game 2. The Sixers had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss in Game 1. The Heat are 1-3 ATS last 4 times when off an ATS win. The 76ers are going to battle all the way to end in this one and remember they were only down 4 with 4 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +8.5

*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 vs Texas Rangers @ 6:45 ET - I do not care who pitches here but do expect it to be Suarez and the Phillies are 4-0 in his starts this season. As for the Rangers it could be Otto or Gray but most likely Gray and he has a 7.00 ERA so far this season and Otto is off to a good start this season but he got hammered last season. Otto is still inexperienced and whether he goes or Gray goes or whoever pitches for Texas here I like the Phillies to bounce back off a 10-6 loss to the Mets on Sunday. Philadelphia had won 7 of 10 games before that. I am comfortable laying the run line here as 10 of the Phillies 11 wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Texas is off B2B wins but had lost 14 of 20 games prior to that! Also, the Rangers last dozen losses have featured 10 by 2 or more runs. This one has home blowout written all over it. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +125 

NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - How many times have we seen a key player out for a team and then the line jumps the other way of course but it is the wounded team that actually gets the cover? Plenty! This has been a strong regular season trend and it has continued into the post-season. That said, with Joel Embiid out for at least the first two games of this series, this line on the Heat has gotten out of hand. Keep in mind, Miami is currently dealing with some nagging injury issues as well. Too much value to pass up here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7.5

*action on pitchers* MLB ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line +1.5 -140 @ 7:08 ET - Scherzer is a great pitcher of course but Eflin is solid too. That is why the posted total is only 7 runs on this game and is also why we have excellent line value with the +1.5 runs on the run line in this one. Scherzer did allow 8 baserunners in 5 innings in his first start versus the Phillies this season. Also, Eflin had a 2.25 ERA in his two starts versus the Mets last season and they have not yet faced him this season. It adds up to solid line value here with the road team getting the 1.5 runs. No matter who the starting pitchers are, note that Philly is 7-3 last 10 games and only twice in last 11 games have they had a loss by more than 1 run. The Mets last 8 games have featured only 4 wins by more than 1 run. Excellent value with the run line here as Philly lost 2 of 3 to the Mets earlier this season in Philadelphia and are hungry to return the favor here! 8* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -140

8* BURNLEY Goal Line Pick -103 @ 10 AM ET - Burnley has a great shot at the win here here based on current form but they only have 1 win on the road this season. That makes it hard to fully trust for the win but I do like the fact they have earned at least a point in half their road matches this season. Only 8 losses in 16 matches away from home for Burnley. Note that Watford has lost 13 of 16 matches on their home pitch this season. No team has more home losses. 8* BURNLEY -103

10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line Pick +101 - Brighton & Hove have lost only 4 of 17 road matches this season. They are coming off a match on their home pitch in which they had to settle for a draw despite jumping out to a 2-0 lead. This means extra motivation here for the visitors and note that Wolverhampton is in poor current form overall plus already has 7 losses on the season in 16 matches on their home pitch. The value of the goal line at a pick'em is that a draw becomes a push at the betting window and based on the current situation as well as current form and the fact that the visitors have picked up at least a point in 13 of 17 road matches this season, this is a top play for me on the side. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +101

NBA 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 - It is the Pelicans turn here. No team has won B2B games yet in this see-saw series and New Orleans is a home dog and will take advantage of Booker still being out for the Suns and I look for the home team to get it done here. I know there is speculation he might return tonight but I doubt he will. Even if he does, I like the fact that the Pelicans have been the much stronger rebounding team in this series and I expect them to shoot better from long-distance after a 5 for 25 at Phoenix in Game 5. The home dog gets it done here and extends the series. 10* NEW ORLEANS +2.5

NBA Double Perfect Play Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +12.5 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - The road team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in this series and on a 5-0 ATS run dating back to the regular season. Once this one is in the books, I am predicting that streak to reach 6 in a row. I do expect Milwaukee to close this series out with a home win tonight but look for Chicago to rally the troops, with Zach Lavine out, and battle hard all the way in this one to lose by just a single digit margin and get us the all-important ATS cover. By the way, the Bucks are on an 0-5 ATS run in home games dating back to the regular season as well. Hence, the double perfect situation here and I understand the line move but love fading line moves too and this is the perfect spot (literally) - filled with high value in my opinion. 10* CHICAGO +12.5

*action on pitchers* MLB PA Dominator Wednesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -110 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - Regardless of the pitching match-up here the Phillies confidence is up again at the plate as they have won the first two games in this series by a combined score of 18 to 5. In fact, their last 3 games against Colorado have now all been wins by a combined score of 27 to 11. So they are enjoying success against Rockies pitchers no matter who has been on the mound and now they are expected to face Feltner making his first start of the new season. He will be no match for expected starter Suarez in this one as the Phillies lefty is gradually showing more and more signs of being the pitcher he was last season and he should dominate this outing. No matter who the pitchers are, the Phillies hot bats carry the way again and the Rockies road struggles continue. 9* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -110

*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 +100 vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 3:40 ET - Love the home dog value here on the run line. We get value because Dodgers have been so hot this season and are off a 5-3 loss yesterday but give Arizona credit here. The Diamondbacks rallied from a 3-0 deficit yesterday to get that win. It was impressive and no matter who pitches here I like the fact that Arizona's last 8 games have featured only 2 losses my more than a single run. The expected pitchers here are Gallen versus Urias. I love the fact that Gallen has been strong early this season even though he faced a tough Mets lineup twice. He is throwing very well. Conversely, Urias got to enjoy a start against a bad Reds team plus he struggled badly in one of his two road starts as he got hammered by the Rockies. Though Urias is a solid pitcher for sure, so too is Gallen and the latter has enjoyed success against Los Angeles as well. I know Urias has good numbers against the Dbacks but he has allowed 9 hits in 10 innings in last two visits to Arizona and struggles again here. Regardless of starting pitchers, look for the Diamondbacks to make it 7 of last 9 games either being a win or a 1-run loss. Highly competitive match-up here and the home team finds a way. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 runs +100

NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Hawks just got embarrassed on their home floor in a 24 point loss on Sunday. This is now their season right here. I am not saying they will win this game outright but I do like the odds of at least a cover here. Since mid-February, Atlanta has gone 10-1 SU when entering a game off a non-OT loss! The only time they lost back to back was in Games 1 and 2 of that series and in that one that Game 2 loss they were down by just 3 points with 2 and 1/2 minutes to go and missed a game-tying 3 at that juncture in the game. The point is that the eventual 10 point loss was a closer finish than you think and that game was here in Miami too. Big value with the big points here given the situation and the 10-1 / 91% angle. 10* ATLANTA HAWKS +7.5

NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 8 ET - Look for the Sixers to respond off the Game 4 loss at Toronto. Even though the 76ers are still very much in control of this series they last thing they want to do is let this series go back to Toronto for Game 6. That is for two key reasons. Not only would that then give the Raptors a chance to tie the series up on their home floor and force an "anything can happen" Game 7, it also would lead to more tired legs for Philly if they do advance. Philadelphia wants this series to end right here right now and to let guys like Joel Embiid get some rest for the next round. Similar to the huge energy and motivation we saw from the Sixers in the opening game of the series, I am expecting a similar effort here. Philadelphia in a big home rout is my expectation here. The 76ers are on a 5-0 run in home games and the average margin of victory was 18 points in those 5 games. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5

*action on pitchers* MLB RL Dominator Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - So the Rockies are off to a great start this season and the Phillies are struggling and yet the home team opened up as nearly a 2 to 1 favorite here on the money line. What happened? Well for one thing, just playing the home team in Colorado game last season netted you a 102-59 record. Notoriously a solid home team but the Rockies are known for struggling on the road. Here they face a Phillies team that will be poised to bounce back big at home. Philadelphia is off a shutout loss to the Brewers last night in a frustrating game as Angel Hernandez was behind the plate and the man is the worst umpire in the game. Sickening calls that went both ways but sure did not help the flow of the game. The Phillies bats will get going tonight regardless of the pitchers. This season Philadelphia has been held to 1 run or less 5 times, including last night's game. After the first 4, the Phillies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. Freeland has struggled this season on the mound for the Rockies and Gibson has overall been solid for the Phillies on the mound and he also delivered an absolute gem in his only home start this season. Again, no matter who pitches here, the Phillies bounce back big at home and win this one in a rout.  5 of the Phillies 6 wins by at least 2 runs this season and all 5 Colorado losses this season by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +105

*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -105 vs New York Mets @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Diamondbacks as a home dog getting the +1.5 runs. Not only has Arizona won 3 of 4, none of their last 5 games have resulted in a loss by more than a single run. The Diamondbacks have been scrappy, they are at home, and Bumgarner has been solid so far this season. Megill started off great for Mets but did give up 4 earned runs in most recent start. Bumgarner has given up a total of only 2 earned runs in his 3 starts this season! Like the home dog to get it done here but will grab the run line in case they fall one run short in this one. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -105 

NBA Payback Special Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +1.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - After 3 straight games for us all slipping away in the 4th quarter in the NBA after cashing 8 in a row in NBA - most all of them easy no doubt winners without drama - I have no doubt we are getting back on track starting today. One thing is for sure, if a break is involved it most certainly should go our way here! The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams and the Heat won each of the first two games of this series at home. The home team dominance in this series continues here. The Hawks have won 28 of 42 home games this season and the Heat are 21-16 SU last 37 road games. You can see why, given those numbers, we have some line value here with the desperate and hungrier team available as a home underdog. 10* ATLANTA +1.5

NBA Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - The Wolves had turnover problems in the two games at Memphis but look for them to clean that up now that the series has shifted home to Minneapolis for them. As disappointing as the 124-96 annihilation was for the T-wolves in Game 2, they are still feeling very good about their situation in this series as they earned the all-important split at Memphis. Ja Morant suffered a quad injury in Game 2 and though it is not serious at all could it get sore on him as Game 3 marches on into the later stages and effect him a little bit? Certainly is not impossible but either way I love the Wolves here in a key game for them to respond after a 28-point drubbing. Keep in mind, before that big win, Memphis had lost 4 of 5 games and Minnesota had won 5 of 7 games before the blowout defeat. Hungry home team will get it done here in my opinion as they are buoyed by the confidence they gained by getting the big Game 1 win at Memphis and they draw on that here to take a 2-1 lead in this series. We'll grab the bucket being offered in case this one ends up decided by the slimmest of margins but I do sense a big home team win here! 10* MINNESOTA +2

NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +3.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Nets fell just short on a last second buzzer beater in Game 1. I actually expect a bounce back win here for Brooklyn after falling just short but I am still going to grab the points here just in case the visitors again fall just short. We can get 3.5 points with the road dog here and I will take it as the Nets showed me a lot in Game 1 and the fact they fell short on a last second shot only serves to give us even more line value here in Game 2. You know Brooklyn is going to be extremely hungry here in Game 2. The Nets have great shot at outright win which also means superb extra value with getting more than a 3-pointer's worth as the dog in this one again in Game 2. I'll take it as the impact of Boston not having Robert Williams available showed up already as they Celtics barely survived Game 1 and I feel they will not be so fortunate here. 10* BROOKLYN +3.5

NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks and Heat nearly the exact same number of 3-point attempts in Game 1 of this series. The difference in Sunday's game? Miami made 8 more of theirs than Atlanta did. The Heat won the game by exactly a 24 point margin. You see my point? Even with Trae Young having the horrible game he did that was the difference in the final margin of the game was just 3-pointers. Of course Miami's Duncan Robinson is not going 8 of 9 again from downtown just like Young is not going 0 for 7 from beyond the arc. In fact, now that I mentioned that, note that this is your 24 point margin right there! The fact is Atlanta got to the line for 50% more free throw attempts in the game. Essentially the Heat won the game from the outside not the inside. Possible impact to that inside game is the fact that Bam Adebayo is dealing with a quad injury entering this one. I know the Hawks struggled on the road in the regular season but they were 5-2 SU last 7 road games that were NOT the second game of a B2B before that loss at Miami Sunday. They get back on track here as Young and Company are out for payback. The visitors may fall short of the outright upset but they will do enough for the all-important cover here. 10* ATLANTA +7.5

EPL Day Game Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.5 goals +102 vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Ronaldo will miss this game for Man U plus Fernandes was involved in a car accident Monday. Unfortunately for the visitors there have been some distractions heading into this huge match-up Tuesday. Liverpool has been so strong for many weeks now plus they are one of the best clubs on their home pitch this season. The hosts have a goal differential of +32 in their 15 matches on home soil this season. Manchester United has won just 6 of 15 matches away from home and will get dominated here as the absence of Ronaldo hurts this club both emotionally and in terms of personnel on the field for this one. It has the makings of a rout. Liverpool is off a draw versus Manchester City in most recent match within league action. This followed 10 straight wins in league action and all but 2 of the wins were by at least a 2-goal margin. Liverpool blasted Man U by a 5-0 count earlier this season. Amazingly, Manchester United had only 3 victories in last 12 matches across all competitions prior to a victory Saturday over Norwich City. I just don't see the visitors as being able to keep up here against a host that has an aggregate score of 39 to 7 in home matches this season. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 +102

NBA TNT Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:30 ET - The Raptors lost by 20 in the first game and Tyrese Maxey had a ridiculous game for the Sixers scoring 38 points. So now everyone is saying Toronto will bounce back because no way Maxey plays like that again. This might be true about Maxey but it is not necessarily true about the Raptors bouncing back. The 76ers have a pair of stars you might have heard about before...guys by the names of Joel Embiid and James Harden. Those two guys combined for 11 of 32 shooting in the game Saturday and yet Philly still won the game by 20 points! Now you understand why Toronto is absolutely in trouble here. They may get a boost when the series shifts to north of the border and the Sixers Matisse Thybulle can not travel with the team due to his covid status. However, until then Raptors still in trouble and this is particularly true with injuries piling up for them. Scottie Barnes, Gary Trent Jr. and Thaddeus Young all listed as doubtful for this game! 76ers roll again in this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA -7

NBA TNT Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +11 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 6:30 ET - With the Bulls late season fade, we are getting extra line value here. Chicago is fully capable of turning things up a notch now that the post-season has arrived. Of course, the same can be said for the Bucks and that would absolutely be a true statement. However, lets not forget that Milwaukee is the defending NBA champion. Everyone is gunning for them in this post-season and this is particularly true of a nearby rival (Chicago only about 90 miles away). Additionally, the hunger factor is a question. Sure the Bucks want to win but will they be as hungry as other teams in this post-season? Honestly I doubt that. I am not saying the Bucks will not win this series nor am I saying that will not win Game 1. However, I am quite confident this Game 1 match-up will be decided by only a single digit margin. That said, big value with the big points here! Milwaukee won all 4 regular season meetings but the Bulls had at least 10 more field goal attempts in each of the last two defeats even though they were blowout losses. The problem was that the Bucks shot lights out. We are getting line value because of this here. The Grayson Allen with Alex Caruso further adds spice to this match-up and you are going to see a hungry underdog giving its strongest effort in a long time in this one and I just do not see them getting blown out here and an outright upset in Game 1 would not surprise me but a loss by a range of 5 to 9 points is the more likely result and that gets us the cash here! 10* CHICAGO +11

NBA ESPN Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 6 ET - The 76ers are undervalued here because of past playoff disappointments. In my opinion the Sixers will keep things up a notch now that the post-season is here and they have a guy by the name of James Harden to help lift them rather than a guy named Ben Simmons that was weighing them down. I know that the Raptors won the regular season series between these teams but this is playoff time and the Wells Fargo Center will be rocking for this one. Each of the last 7 meetings between these teams was decided by at least 5 points and I expect that that trend to continue here. Philly get gets it done on their home floor and opens the series with a big win and cover as Raptors drop to 1-3 SU/ATS last 4 road games (only win was against bad Magic team at Orlando). The hosts roll here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5

*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays Run Line -1.5 runs -110 @ 3:07 ET - The Blue Jays are 5-3 on the season after yesterday's 4-1 win over the A's and only 1 of their 8 games this season was a 1-run game. The Athletics are 4-4 on the season and, like Toronto, only 1 Oakland game this season has been a 1-run game. That said, if you like the Jays here the odds are in your favor for a win by 2+ runs. The Blue Jays are a big money line favorite for a reason but we will utilize the run line for max value here. Toronto's Ryu had a bad first start this season but we know what he is about long-term. Oakland's Blackburn had a good first star this season but we know what he is about long-term. Regardless of who pitches, note that the A's went 30-51 last season when facing teams that had at least a .500 record. The Jays are 3-1 at home this season and win big again here. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -110

NHL Puck Line Punisher Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets +1.5 -110 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Jets are battling hard to stay alive in the playoff race in the West. Florida is looking to lock things down for the top spot in the league heading into the post-season. The key here is the value with the +1.5 goals. Even without Scheifele for the entirety of the last game and most of the game before that, Winnipeg won both games. Overall only 6 of their last 22 games have been a loss by more than a single goal. As for the Panthers, as strong as they are they have only 5 wins by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 15 games. Florida wants to win and earn top spot in the league as they look for that home ice edge for entirety of playoffs or at least for the entire Eastern Conference post-season - as they may not top Avalanche out West in regular season points in the standings. However, one can not argue the fact that the Jets are even hungrier here. Winnipeg is desperate to earn points in the standings and still alive in the post-season chase but chasing two teams (Dallas and Nashville) makes it more difficult. With both those teams losing last night, the Jets got an added boost as their slim chances are still very much alive. Also, the Jets game getting canceled Wednesday at home (blizzard in Winnipeg) allowed them to stay in USA and they are well rested mentally and physically for this huge game Friday. They may ultimately still fell short but, if they do, I expect it would be by just a 1-goal margin as they have received solid netminding in 7 of last 9 games and arguably have the goalie edge here over Florida. 10* WINNIPEG Puck Line +1.5 goals -110

NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7 ET - The home team went 52-30 SU in Hawks games this season. Atlanta was 27-14 at home this season. Of all the teams that either made the post-season or play-in tournament, the Hawks are the team with the worst road record. That said, home court carried them. It is the reason they are here today and it is the reason they will advance to play Cleveland. Note that Charlotte lost 2 of its last 3 road games this season and the two defeats were each by at least 29 points. The Hawks have won 19 of last 22 home games and only 2 of those 19 wins were by less than a 6 point margin. You can see why I am backing the hosts for the win and cover in this one! 10* ATLANTA -5

*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Run Line -1.5 +120 vs Oakland A's @ 6:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. The A's lost by just a single run yesterday but I sense a blowout here. Last season Oakland went 30-51 against teams with a winning record. The Rays last season went 52-20 against teams with a losing record. TB generally does not falter against bad teams and Oakland is going to be down this season and I look for Mcclanahan to dominate the Athletics in this one. The A's are expected to start Montas and he normally is solid but he struggled against the Phillies in his first start. Considering how Philadelphia has struggled at the plate so far this season that is a bad sign for Montas. Now he faces a TB team that is 4-1 so far this season and has scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. No matter who is on the mound as starting pitchers in this one, Tampa is the better team with the better overall team including lineup and bullpen. Look for a strong home win by 2 or more runs in this one. 10* TAMPA BAY -1.5 +120

*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 8* Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line +1.5 -117 vs Houston Astros @ 3:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. The Astros are 4-1 this season but only scored well in one of their five games. In the other 4 games this season Houston has scored an average of only 2.2 runs per game! It is hard to win by a big margin, even with Valdez on the mound, when you are struggling to score runs. It will not get any easier for the Astros as they are expected to face Kelly of the Diamondbacks. Look for another tight game just like yesterday's 2-1 battle. That said, regardless of which pitchers get the start here, I like the value with the home dog getting +1.5 runs for a very fair price. The Dbacks have had only one truly ugly loss this season in five games and in the other 4 games allowed an average of only 3 runs. Home team looking to avoid the sweep here and, if they do fall short, look for it - just like yesterday's game - to be by just 1 run. 8* ARIZONA +1.5 -117

NHL ESPN Blowout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 goals -105 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 - The ability to get the full goal and a half with a scrappy Flyers team playing without any pressure and with Bobby Brink now added to the roster is too much to pass up on here. The Capitals are a rival of Philly and Washington is the team that still has not clinched a playoff spot. Yes the Caps are as good as in but they have not clinched so the pressure on them to perform here while game means nothing to Philly in the standings and they will simply go hard and look to be a spoiler. Though Washington has won 3 in a row, they have lost 20 of 38 games on home ice this season. All kidding aside, they might wish this game was in Philly! Also though the Capitals have won 12 of 20, the 18 games before B2B multi-goal wins featured only THREE wins by a multi-goal margin in an 18-GAME stretch! There is a lot of value with the puck line here as Flyers angry off a horrible performance in a 5-3 loss to Anaheim in which they blew a 2-0 lead after one period. It was the first time this season the Ducks won a game in which they trailed by a 2-goal margin. In the past two months dating back to mid-February, only 2 times have the Flyers lost consecutive games by a multi-goal margin. They bounce back here against the rival Capitals for at least the puck line cover. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 goals

NBA Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7 ET - The Cavaliers are expected to again be without Allen but that is keeping this line higher than it should be. Mobley has returned from a recent 5-game absence and is coming off a double-double performance. Look for Mobley to continue to fill the shoes of Allen and look for he and Love to carry the load in this match-up. The Cavs might fall short on the scoreboard but only by a bucket or two in my opinion. In the 118-107 loss at Brooklyn last week, the Cavaliers actually led that game by 5 heading to the 4th quarter after trailing by 15 after 1 quarter of play. Now it is payback time when it matters most after the Cavs were done in by a poor 4th quarter last week against the Nets. 10* CLEVELAND +8.5

NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +12.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - We had a tough loss with Philly yesterday when they dribbled out the shot clock late for a 24 second violation intentionally because they led the game by 16 points at the time and then the Pacers subsequently jacked up a 3 and hit it with just few seconds left on clock. Indiana then only lost by 13 and Philly was a 13.5 or 14 point favorite when we released that selection. Tough beat but now the situation Sunday is much different and favors the big dog strongly in my opinion. The Sixers need to stay healthy going into post-season. Yes their big guns are likely to see plenty of floor time here but not into the latter portion of the game if 76ers have a big lead. Also, the Pistons are off B2B ugly losses but had been one of the best ATS teams around for many weeks before those two big defeats. Dating back to March 1st, Pistons were on a 13-3 ATS run before the losses to Mavericks and Bucks. The Sixers know Boston is likely to also win Sunday and that means Philly is likely locked into the #4 seed and facing Toronto in first round. That said, giving too much effort here and ending up getting somebody hurt would be the worst thing the 76ers could do heading into the playoffs. Grab all the points you can and look for the Pistons to hang around throughout this contest! 10* DETROIT +12.5

EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 9* Top Play Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 @ Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Very short write-up here. There is no way to bash Manchester City of course. This a match-up of the top two clubs in the league. What I like about the dog here though is the fantastic price. In fact, I almost took Liverpool in the +250 range on the money line but instead we'll go ahead and utilize the goal line here and grab the +1/2 goal at a -120 price range on the underdog here. Liverpool has been the hottest team in the league. Yes, Manchester City is having a great season but they are at home here and all the pressure is on them and the road dogs come in playing with a ton of confidence as they have just looked so strong for months now! 9* Liverpool +1/2 goal -120

MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -105 vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. In this case, Kyle Gibson starts for Phillies and last year he split his time with Texas and Philly and went a rock solid 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA in home games and a superb 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in day games. In his starts at Citizens Bank Park he dominated in terms of hits allowed except for one bad start versus the ultra-potent Dodgers. In his other 5 starts at CBP he allowed just 15 hits in 23 innings! Now he faces an Oakland team that only had 6 hits yesterday and were it not for a 3-run bomb, would have had a very dismal effort at the plate yesterday. This A's team is just not very good and now former Phillie Cole Irvin is scheduled to take the mound for the Athletics. He led the American League in losses last season with 15! No disrespect as he is a solid young arm but I expect him to struggle here as he tries to overdo it against his former team and this Phillies lineup is stacked as they showed yesterday in the 9-5 win. The Phillies do have a lot of lefty lumber but the lefty Irvin actually hit just as hard by lefties as righties last year. Also, Oakland was very bad last season against teams with a winning record and this A's team is nowhere close to the level of last year's team so this looks like another ugly road loss for them and we'll take the run line this team with Philly as the money line just too high today in the -200 range. But Phils should win big again! 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -105

NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -13.5 vs Indiana Pacers @ 1:10 ET - Normally I do not lay big points but this is a rare exception. I love this spot for the Sixers. I successfully played against the 76ers with the Raptors on Thursday. But that situation was different as Philly was on the road and Toronto wanted that game just as bad as they did. Now the Sixers are back home where they won their most recent game by 30 points over a Charlotte team that is certainly better than this short-handed Pacers team. Indiana has been dealing with a myriad of injuries and they have lost 8 straight games! They are simply playing out the string on a disappointing season and here they run into a motivated Philly team that had won 3 straight before the loss at Toronto. The Pacers last 7 losses by an average margin of 15 points and I expect this one to be by 20+ as an angry 76ers team at home will show no mercy here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -13.5

NBA Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Toronto Raptors +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one has moved a full 5 points as yesterday it opened up with the Raptors at -3.5 and now the 76ers are at -1.5 this morning. This game has importance for both teams in the playoff picture so lets dive into some other factors I like a lot here. The 76ers have won 3 straight games but are on a 1-7-1 ATS run against the closing number last 9 road games. The Raptors are off a win and are  fantastic 12-3 SU last 15 games. Toronto is 5-1 SU L6 home games. The Raptors have covered 4 of last 5 games as a host to the Sixers. For all the hype Philly has had because of the big move for Harden, this is a team that has covered only 5 of its last 18 games. I know the spread here is very small but even SU Philadelphia was on a 7-7 SU run before this little 3-game winning streak they are currently on. These teams could meet in the playoffs and I look for the Raptors to make a statement about that on their home floor tonight. 10* TORONTO +1.5

NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - The Mavericks need to win for playoff reasons. But just like we used the Wizards over the Timberwolves last night for another easy outright underdog win, we roll with the Pistons here. It is practically the same situation except even better because Detroit is at home for this one. But, just like Washington, the Pistons currently are playing some of their best basketball of the season because they are fully relaxed and any pressure to make the playoffs is long gone for them. Detroit enters this game having won 3 in a row SU and also 5 in a row ATS and, in fact, the Pistons are on an incredible 17-3 ATS run last 20 games. So you have a Mavs team that is certainly high-quality but on the road and playing with all the pressure to try and move up to the #3 seed or at least make sure they hang onto the #4 seed and Dallas has B2B home games coming up to close the season. If there was a spot for the Mavericks to get tripped up late this season, this is it. The Pistons confidence is very high right now with 3 straight wins, 2 on the road, and they also have home wins over Sixers and Hawks recently so it is not like these victories were only over chumps. The hosts will not necessarily win this game outright but I absolutely expect them to be in it all the way to the final buzzer and that means they lose this by a half dozen points or less if they even do fall short! 10* DETROIT +8.5

NBA Dominator Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +12.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards just got their doors blown off at Boston Sunday. However, these Wolves are not those Celtics! It is the perfect time to back a Washington team that entered Sunday having won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS. By the way, the Wizards also have won 3 in a row over Minnesota. All the pressure here is on the Timberwolves. With the Wiz eliminated from the post-season they have been playing without pressure and really were playing well before running into a Boston team that was determined to put on a killing display in their final regular season home game. The Wolves are coming off a 4-game road trip and have 2 more home games after this one to close out the regular season. All these factors make this the perfect spot to fade them. Yes I see Minny finding a way to win this game but I absolutely see this one being decided by single digits. That said, I also love the fact that the line has gone from 10.5 to 12.5 as of early Tuesday morning. Grab the extra value! 10* WASHINGTON +12.5

NBA Dominator Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets -2 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 3:40 ET - The Lakers are still a public team when it comes to betting and they also are a team desperate for wins right now to keep playoff hopes alive. Also, the Lakers are at home here and have revenge against a Nuggets team that blasted them by 37 points in first meeting this season. However, in spite of all that both James and Davis are banged up right now and the fact is the confidence of LA is shaken as their hopes of earning a play-in spot for the post-season are fading. The Nuggets fully capable of blasting this Lakers team and we get line value because Denver is on the road! That is keeping this line low and yet Denver actually has won 9 of last 10 road games! Each of last 7 road wins by 4 or more points and I expect this one will fall into that category as well! The Lakers have lost 27 of 37 games. Incredible value here in fading LA! Adding to the value is the fact the Nuggets are off a tight, high-scoring home loss to Minnesota Friday. 10* DENVER -2

NBA Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Washington Wizards +13 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - Wizards playing loose and relaxed basketball as they are eliminated from the post-season. That is the reason they have won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS and just crushed the Mavericks by 32 as an 8-point underdog! Indeed, Boston should win this game but I just don't see the Celtics covering this large spread against the Wizards. Back when these teams met in Washington in January, the Wizards got blasted at home but they have won the first two meetings this season and now it is time for payback for the January loss. They may fall short of the outright win but they at least get the cover here. I don't see them losing by anything more than single digits here. All the pressure is on the Celtics here. Boston has covered only 2 of last 7 home games! 8* WASHINGTON +13

NCAA Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +4.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 6:09 ET - It is no surprise that the masses are lining up on Kansas here. The Jayhawks coming off that colossal 2nd half performance against Miami and they are the highest ranked team left in the tournament. Also, Villanova is without 2nd leading scorer Justin Moore after he got hurt at the end of the Michigan game. Well, as long-time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am on the Wildcats here and with good reason. One of the keys is Caleb Daniels is the guy taking Moore's place in the lineup. He is from Louisiana. This game is at the Superdome in New Orleans. Daniels is back home again. In fact his college career started at Tulane. He is a redshirt senior and 22 years old. He has a lot of experience and has been the 6th man for Nova this season but will embrace his new starting role and, though his shooting stats were not good, he did score 12 of Villanova's 50 points in the win over Houston in the Elite 8 round to help the Cats to get here! Also, the Wildcats are known for a certain style and pedigree in College Basketball just like Kansas is. Well, through the years even though the players change it is still noteworthy how these two powerhouses have fared when matched up against each other because their style of play is often similar year to year. Well, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in last 8 meetings with Kansas and the Jayhawks have won only 3 of those 8 meetings SU. Look for Collin Gillespie and Daniels to have huge games and look for Kansas to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread in this one! 10* VILLANOVA +4.5

NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 12:30 ET - The 76ers have lost 3 straight and the Hornets have been playing well so is it any surprise that a line that opened up as high as an 8 is down to a 5? Not really, no! But, in typical contrarian fashion I am going against the line move and grabbing the extra value here! The Sixers are very hungry and at home and they also have revenge here! After a long winning streak against Charlotte, Philadelphia got beat in mid-January by the Hornets in a rare double-digit home loss. Philly is out for revenge here and remember they were on a 30-11 run since Christmas before this current 3-game losing streak. Time for the 76ers to get back on track here and they will not be at home again until they wrap up the season here in Philly next weekend. So this game is ultra important for them and they catch the Hornets off a road win at New York. The set up is ideal for the hungry home team to do what the odds makers said they would do and yet what the betting markets are doubting here. Look for the Sixers to roll big at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5

NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Interesting late-season match-up here because one has to wonder...does Dallas even know what it wants here? In actuality, the West is a jumbled mess from spots 3 through 6 in the playoff picture. So yes Dallas will want to win but it is not even as critical as you think just yet because there is so much uncertainty who will finish in the 5 and 6 spots and then of course that impacts the match-ups for the 3 and 4 spots. Conversely, the Wizards are eliminated from the playoff picture and playing loose, relaxed basketball as a result. That makes for a dangerous underdog the way I see it and note that Washington is 20-19 SU at home this season and in terms of current trending, the Wizards have covered 5 of last 7 games at home. In terms of all games, home and away, Washington is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. Look for the Wizards to hang around in this game on their home floor. 10* WASHINGTON +8.5

CBB Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3 vs Fresno State Bulldogs @ 6 ET - This game was supposed to be played Thursday but ended up being pushed back to Friday when the Bulldogs had charter flight issues trying to leave from home. Anything that breaks the routine or normalcy for a team is not a good thing. Certainly they have had time to adjust but the fact that Fresno State flew across country later than expected and allowed the Chanticleers to comfortably rest at home and have more preparation time is unlikely to help the visitors. I also like the fact that the Bulldogs are just a .500 team SU on the road this season and Coastal Carolina is a solid 13-6 SU at home. Considering that plus the fact the Chanticleers are getting 3 points here and score very well at home while the Bulldogs tend to struggle scoring away from home, I like the home dog a lot in this one! 10* COASTAL CAROLINA +3

NBA Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one was as high as an 11 but has dropped to a 9.5 and the 76ers offer strong value here off B2B losses. Philly has lost B2B games for just the 2nd time since mid-December. The only other time it happened since then the Sixers went into Chicago and won by double digits! The Bulls are 2nd place in the Central Division behind only the defending champion Bucks! As for the Pistons, no team in the entire league has fewer wins than the paltry 20 victories that Detroit has on the season. The Pistons have been more competitive of late but they are hosting the Sixers at the wrong time. Philly will show no mercy given the situation and that means when they are up by 20+ points as this game goes on they will still keep their foot on the gas. I see no way they do not win this game by at least 10 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -9.5

CBB NIT Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The odds makers well aware that Musketeers 2nd leading scorer Paul Scruggs if out for season with torn ACL suffered in the win over Florida in this tournament. However, they still opened up the line on this one with Xavier as the small favorite. Sure enough, the line flipped and St Bonaventure is now the favorite. Historically I love fading line moves like this and there is certainly justification for fading this one. The Musketeers faced the tougher schedule this season. Also, their only loss last 5 games was in OT. Not including OT points, Xavier has scored an average of 77 points last 5 games. The Bonnies, on the other hand, have scored less than 57 points in 4 of last 7 games. Even without Scruggs, the Musketeers are the more talented and skilled team. The odds makers know that and so do we and, given the above scoring stats, don't be surprised if St Bonaventure can not keep up as this game goes on and the underdog pulls away in the latter stages for the outright win. Grab the point or two for added insurance but you should not need it. 10* XAVIER +2

NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +3 vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:10 ET - This is a contrarian play because most will be looking the way of the road team in this one because of the scheduling situation but I am grabbing the home dog! The Hornets are off a big win at Brooklyn yesterday and that was an upset win on the road which also followed an upset win at home versus Utah Friday. Will Charlotte run out of gas here? Absolutely not! The fact they are at home and in a battle for playoff position and are playing so well means they will not come up short here! The Hornets are red hot with wins in 7 of last 8 games. The Nuggets are off a win Saturday but it was a non-covering win versus a bad Thunder team. Denver's ATS slide has now reached 3-8 last 11 games. Also, prior to the SU win over OKC, the Nuggets had lost 5 of 8 SU. Based on all of the above, you can see why I am grabbing the red hot home dog that is playing with a lot of confidence right now. 10* CHARLOTTE +3

NBA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +4 @ Phoenix Suns @ 6:10 ET - The Suns are a great team of course but missing a couple solid contributors here with Cameron Johnson and JaVale McGee both expected to miss this game. Against a lesser team that would be no big deal but the Sixers are going to give Phoenix all they can handle here. Keep in mind, Philadelphia wants to prove that, with James Harden now on board too, they belong with the elite of the NBA. Phoenix, on the other hand, has certainly proven in recent seasons that they are among the elite of the NBA. That said, I also expect the 76ers to be the hungrier team in this one. They will want it a little more and I feel we have excellent line value with Philly as an underdog. The Suns have dominated this series in recent seasons and that includes winning at Philly early last month. Payback time here as Sixers hungry to end the dominance of Phoenix in this series by coming up big today. Suns off big win at Denver and have big game at Golden State on deck. Will they be totally focused on this non-conference match-up? Perhaps not and this is a Sixers team that won 12 of 16 games and going for 4 in a row here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4

NCAA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -5.5 vs Miami-Florida Hurricanes @ 2:20 ET - The Jayhawks were outshot by the Friars - in terms of FG attempts - in their Sweet 16 win on Friday. However, Kansas did win the rebounding battle and they had a huge edge in terms of getting to the free throw line. Had they not shot so poorly from three point land, the Jayhawks would have easily covered the game and won by double digits. The key here is that the same can not be said of the Hurricanes. Miami got a favorable match-up Friday in terms of facing an Iowa State team that, in the opinion of most, had over-achieved to even get to that stage. That said, the Hurricanes getting outshot 68 to 56 in terms of FG attempts plus having only 7 offensive boards comparted to allowing 16 to the Cyclones combines for some concern here as they now face one of the best teams in the nation. I feel strongly that the Hurricanes have reached the end of the line in their season and feel we are getting excellent line value. This spread is being held lower than it should be because of Friday's results. The Jayhawks make it 9 wins in a row and this one comes by double digits in my opinion. Keep in mind their last 6 wins in the 8-game winning streak have come by an average margin of 14 points. The Hurricanes get beaten on the boards and the Jayhawks also again get to the free throw line much more than their opponent. 10* KANSAS -5.5

NCAA Sweet 16 Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -7 vs Providence Friars @ 7:29 ET - Kansas just beat Creighton by 7 points to reach this game. The Bluejays are the same Big East team that knocked Providence out of the Big East tourney. Creighton beat the Friars by 27 points in that laugher. That does not mean this win will be so easy for the Jayhawks but I definitely do not see them being denied and I do expect a double digit win for Kansas. The Jayhawks have gotten hot at the right time and when this team is firing on all cylinders in terms of point production and offensive efficiency, look out! Kansas is on an 11-2 SU run and had one low-scoring win during this stretch but averaged scoring 79 points per game in the other 10 victories. Providence is 3-2 SU last 5 games and, prior to big win over Richmond, scored an average of 63 points over 3 prior games. The Friars averaged 66.5 points on the road this season while Kansas averaged 76.7 points on the road this season. Simply put, Providence just will not be able to keep up in this one and the Jayhawks eventually pull away for a win by a double digit margin. Lay it! 10* KANSAS -7

NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - Toronto opened up at a -3 and has jumped up to as high as a -5.5 already. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the line move. As per usual, the fade is not without reason! The Cavaliers are off a loss and the last 3 times they were off a loss by a margin less than a dozen points, Cleveland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU. Also, the Raptors are off a road loss (SU and ATS) at Chicago but, prior to this, the road team was on an 11-1 ATS run in Toronto games. Look for that strong road trend to resume here. The Cavs already won all 3 meetings with Raptors this season and average margin of 18 points per victory. Look for another road win here. 10* CLEVELAND +5.5

NCAA PA Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -4.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:29 ET - The Wolverines are off an upset win over Tennessee but a closer look at how that played out tells you all you need to know. Michigan actually had 13 LESS field goal attempts than the Volunteers but they managed to win the game handily because the Vols shot 2 of 18 from three point land! Also, Michigan had 15 turnovers compared to just 7 for Tennessee. Now we get line value here with one of the best teams in the country laying a short number, in part, due to the upset win for the Wolverines over Tennessee. On a neutral court, the Wildcats are much better than just a 5-point differential in comparison with Wolverines. Villanova enters this game having won 12 of 13 games and the Wildcats have seen 9 of those 12 victories come by a margin of at least 5 points. I am sure this one will too. 10* VILLANOVA -4.5

NCAA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +10 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 7:09 ET - The Razorbacks played the tougher regular season schedule in comparison with Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are a great team of course and ranked #1 in the nation but this is a tough spot for them to win by double digits. They barely got by Memphis and remember they lost at St Mary's in final game of February. Arkansas enters this game having won 17 of 20 and 2 of those 3 losses were by just 4 or less points. Look for another tight game here and having the big points on your side is the way to go in this one. 9* ARKANSAS +10

NBA Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +7.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line has jumped from Charlotte as a very small home favorite all the way up to as high as 7.5 points. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move and going with the big underdog. The Knicks are in 2nd game of a B2B but the last time they were in this situation they won by 16 points in the 2nd game of the B2B. New York is off B2B losses but last night's defeat was by just 6 points after Sunday's loss was by a double digit margin. Also, note all this was preceded by a 5-2 stretch SU and an 8 game run in which the only 3 SU losses were each by 4 or less points! Tremendous big dog value here when you consider that, althought the Hornets are on a 5-game winning streak, this was preceded by a 3-7 SU run. Also, Charlotte is playing 3rd game in 5 days so their scheduling situation truly not that much better than that of the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK +7.5

CBB CBI Championship Winner Wednesday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4.5 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - Middle Tennessee has some edges here and it makes me very comfortable in laying the 4.5 points in this one. The Seahawks are playing a 4th straight day in going for the CBI Championship today. Conversely, the Blue Raiders first game of this tournament was Saturday. The off day that Middle Tennessee had Sunday could pay major dividends here as they should have the fresher legs in pushing for the CBI Title! Also, the Blue Raiders have been the better shooting team on the season plus the better team in terms of defending including shutting down the 3-ball too. Those better numbers are a big reason that UNC Wilmington had just a 1-point win Monday while the Blue Raiders wins Monday and Tuesday were by a combined 46 points! Look for the favorite to pull away in the 2nd half for another big win here. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE

CBB NIT Tourney Smash Tuesday 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -3 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The Bonnies have surprisingly won back to back road games to reach this point in the NIT Tourney. However, entering this tournament, St Bonaventure had averaged scoring only 58 points in last 5 games away from home. Now the Bonnies are on the road taking on a Cavaliers team known for tough defense! Virginia will stifle St Bonaventure here and pull away in the latter stages. The Cavs last 8 wins have come by an average margin of 8 points. Lay the short number here for the big win. 10* VIRGINIA

CBI Tourney Smash Monday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 vs Boston University Terriers @ 6 ET - The Terriers had to play yesterday and they were down by 7 at the half before rallying in the 2nd half for the 3 point win over UNC Greensboro. That said, Middle Tennessee has an advantage because they played Saturday so they have an extra day of rest. Also, the Blue Raiders are the better team defensively in comparison with the Terriers. I also like the fact that Middle Tennessee was the better team ATS in comparison with Boston University this season and feel they are again undervalued here. Lay the short number here with the better team and look for a win by a double digit margin as the more rested team pulls away as this game goes on. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4

NCAA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -3 vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:40 ET - Great line value here in my opinion. Purdue is off a blowout win over Yale. The Boilermakers have now won 12 of 18 games away from home this season and here we are only having to lay 3 points to have the much stronger team in this match-up. The Longhorns managed to get a win over Virginia Tech Friday but entered that game with only 5 wins in 13 games away from home prior to that! The Boilermakers are a much better shooting team in comparison with Texas. The Horns making only 43% from the field in road games this season and overall 33% of threes this season. Purdue is hitting overall 39% of threes this season and 49% from the field overall. Before beating the Hokies, the Longhorns had been held to 63 or less points in 3 straight games. The Boilermakers have averaged 73 points last 3 games. Texas will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* PURDUE -3

CBB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders +3 vs Providence Friars @ 6:10 ET - This line looks funny does it not? Providence only favored by 3 over Richmond? Look at the records...look at the rankings...look at the seedings. You get my point and these are the types of situations I love to look for. I am going to ride this Spiders team as they are red hot and full of confidence. Richmond is on a 15-6 SU run and 4 of those 6 losses by 3 or less points. This Spiders team plays very well defensively and the Friars are going to have their hands full in this one. Give me the points! That was a solid Iowa team playing very well and with a such a potent offense and Richmond got the upset win over the Hawkeyes. That said, they can certainly knock off this Providence team too. We'll grab the points with the Spiders as added insurance. 10* RICHMOND +3

NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA

10* Arizona Coyotes +1.5 goals -120 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 5:05 ET - This is a tough spot for the Penguins and they are over-valued. They are off a 3-2 win in the shootout at St Louis Thursday. That was a big win for the Pens but this Pittsburgh team is only 6-6 last 12 games and 3 of the wins were by just a single goal. That means that at -1.5 goals the Penguins would be just 3-9 last 12 games. Now they face a scrappy Coyotes team that is at home and well-rested and has been playing well. Arizona has been off since Tuesday and they have won 8 of 11 games and 2 of the 3 losses were by just a single goal. That means that the Coyotes have only 1 loss by a multi-goal margin in last 11 games. Just a ton of line value here in a non-conference game in which the Penguins will be in a fierce battle just to win this game let alone win it by any kind of margin. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 goals