Taking the PACKERS. GB offense absolutely humming. Jones + Rodgers combo looks really good right now. Piling up points. Saints will be in off MNF. Now. I faded both of these last week for different reasons. Aaron Rodgers just looks possessed right now. Guy playing with a chip or maybe cheese wheel the size of Wisconsin on his shoulder. Could be a wild high scoring affair. I'll take whatever points I can get. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS 

4* Total Money OVER Lions/Cards

4* Total Money OVER Cowboys/ Seattle 

Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PANTHERS. So - we faded both of these last week with mixed results. I will gladly take Carolina even with no CMC here. Chargers already said Taylor the starter if healthy. Herbert was more than solid in spot start vs KC. And lets talk about that game for a second. LAC goes toe to toe before the bumbling HC makes another dumb call to punt in OT - like hey, KC hasn't scored that much today, we can hold Mahomes down. 58 yard FGs like chip shots. What a demoralizing loss. Tough to get off that matt after that one. Tough loss. Bad coach. Give me the points. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the BENGALS. So - Cincy has cost me the last 2 weeks of NFL. I will now jump on the back-door kids. And honestly, I think they win this one outright. Fact is, Philly basically a .500 club since winning the Super Bowl. And their Super Bowl MVP is on the bench in Chicago. Cashed a Best Bet on Rams last week. We will fade Philly for the 3rd consecutive week. Give me the points. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the TITANS. We are Tenny again. 3 in a row on these guys. Look. I have a under future on Minny. Obviously, I thought they would be just ok. But this offense has been brutal. I say that even after they put up those points vs GB. This is a team in flux. The defense, a ZImmer staple, is bad. Colts should have scored 40+. I think Stefanski leaving the OC and heading to HC Browns is a problem. Diggs gone is a problem. No fans, a huge problem. Titans just grind out games and win. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

4* Total Money OVER Miami/ Jags

Taking the JAGUARS. So, this guys bit me in the ass the last 2 weeks. Miami another team I backed last week. Look. We are already on this over at 46 and 46.5. I think we see some points. I just don't know if Miami keeps up. FitzMagic as I said is a yo-yo. Good, bad, great, horrible. Playing the Bills tough is one thing. They are division rivals. Always a tough one. Now they out of division vs a team playing way better than anyone though. Minshew Mania is real. Guy is off to a nice start. Obviously, I was wrong out of the gate on these guys. I thought dejected franchise. But, never quit vs Colts. And the Titans, who mauled them last year, they gave them all they could handle. I'll lay the short price on a short week. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Faded these guys and nearly pulled it on with some ML magic on Carolina. I will gladly take them  here as a nice home dog. As much as we liked the Saints and cashed them on the Free Pick Video, Brees was ok, nothing special. And he loses his #1 WR target. They still have weapons though. That being said, I think we pound them with Jacobs on the ground. Saints got 3 TOs including a nice pick 6. Upset in Sin City. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking the RAVENS. Huge edge at HC - and that is where these games are won. Ravens wasting no time making up for their playoff last year by blasting the Browns. Now they get a rested Texans team. 41-7 last year Baltimore. Houston looked great for us opening night. A nice TD on the opening drive. Then, nothing. Remember. the 41-7 game was 0-0 after the first quarter ended. After that 7-0 lead on KC in the first quarter, 31 straight before Texans scored with 7 minutes left in the 4th. Do we have to even go back to the playoffs. It was 21-0 Texans in KC after the 1st quarter and 24-0 before KC scored with 10 minutes left in the 2nd. Hello 28-24 KC at half and 41-24 before Texans score again. Ravens by double digits and off to the races. HC opening ahead in Houston. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the CHIEFS. How many times have the Chargers screwed me over. Over the last few years, holy cow. I am doing my best to get away! Look. They had chances to cover that number vs Cincy. Cincy though looks like a good back-door team as they are 2-2 after the Thursday game. That being said. Center out. Still learning offense QB who I actually like. A HC that should be shown the door at seasons end. Andy Reid basically on a bye with this extra rest. I think its something around 20-3. But who needs that when you are on a 10-0 ATS/SU run anyway? KC can dictate the score here. Double digits should not be a problem. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS

Taking the REDSKINS. Had both of these dogs last week. One undefeated will fall from the ranks today! - Look. I know everyone is down on Washington. But. I like the HC. Instant respect from the players. The offense is what it is. The defense though. Always tough. Like I said last week. It is a unit that gets overlooked. Make no mistake, they will get after Murray. And you know I like this kid and have high hopes for the Cards this season. Washington gets after the QB, and will force some mistakes and bad throws. If you can find a 7 great. Either way, I think this one plays close. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

4* Total Money OVER Lions/ Packers

4* Total Money OVER Falcons/ Cowboys

4* Total Money OVER Vikes/ Colts

4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Dolphins 

4* Total Money UNDER Jags/ Titans 

Taking the BUCS. Uh. You know I hate big faves like this. That being said, think we are in a good spot this afternoon. We get Tampa off loss at Saints and Brady not looking good. Panthers come in off wild one vs Raiders. Now. If you are in that kind of shoot-out with Vegas, you are in trouble vs Tampa. Rhule has to adjust to NFL defenses and realize this isn't Big 12 football. Joe Brady is the wonder OC from LSU. Well, that offense that made a Heisman winner for Burrow was just so adapted from his time as a Saints offensive assistant. The same offense they played last week. And same offense they play twice a year, every year. I don't think Carolina scores 20 today. And my numbers show 31+ for Tampa. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Denver/ Steelers 

Taking the JETS. Going to be an ugly one this week. Grabbing NY here. Look. They looked terrible against the Bills. Couldn't get anything going early. 4 punts and a pick first 5 drives while giving up TDs on 3 of the Bills first 4 drives. SF losing last week not shocking. We had Arizona. And as I said then - Cards play SF tough. Now the Niners are flying east for an early start. Everyone expecting a blow out. No Bell, No Problem. Gore is ageless! Would you really be shocked to see him work over a team he played with for a decade? Everyone looking one way, we are going opposite. 4* Money Maker NY JETS

Taking the DOLPHINS. Yes we will go with another ugly home dog today. The sports world penciling the Bills in for the playoffs. Bills Mafia booking Super Bowl reservations. Me, I'm grabbing Fitz-Magic off a bad game. Guy is a yo yo. Double revenge spot as Bills won both last year. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the TITANS. Faded the Jags last week and they bit me right in my fat butt. Had Titans at a PK so I was happy. But really, that is a loss. FG kicking becoming something of a novelty I guess- a dozen misses last week? Look. We are getting great value here. This line should easily be double digits. But Minshew Mania is in full effect. FG kicking worries for the home team off a nail-biter. 42-20 last year here, 30-9 the year before. Safe to say Tennessee handles Jax at home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the LIONS. Ooh. This is a tough pill to swallow for sure. We were all over Rodgers and the Pack last week like white on rice. It would be easy to say, oh course GB will win this by a touchdown. I don't know folks. If things were that easy would there be billion dollar hotels in the middle of a desert? Lions already in mid-season form. They blew 7 4th quarter leads last year and are jumping into that deep end of the pool right out of the gate allowing the Bears to run off 23 and lose. I will say now that I think Matt Patricia is out of Detroit after this season, 100%. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the RAMS. Eagles going to Eagle. We had Washington last week and the defense did exactly what I thought they would do. 8 sacks of Wentz. Injuries already piling up in Philly. Normally I don't simplify things by saying if you can't stop X, how will you stop Y. In a case of now preseason games and practices though, I will. Cowboys a much better team talent wise. Even if their new coach was as lame as the old one in the play calling. Rams have a lot to prove after last season. Can't see how their pass rush does not get to Wentz at least 5 times. They have the best guy on the DL in the game. Yes - early start west to east for LAR. But I will be more inclined to fade them next week at Buffalo since the Covid forces them to go home and not stay in nearby. McVay will have the offense exploiting Philly weaknesses. 5* Bets Bet LA RAMS

4* Total Money UNDER Cincy/Browns

Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the TITANS. One. I like Denver to go Under their season win total. The loss of Von Miller is a big loss. Hopefully Tennessee will start pounding the ball and not an entire season to get their run game involved. I still like the offense and I think their defense should contain Lock and this Bronco O. 4* Money Maker TENN TITANS 

Taking GIANTS -- First.. A quick Sunday recap on some games. I know some of you follow me on twitter if you don't you should real underscore higgs.  Saw a couple of you passing through AC yesterday. I'll be back this Sunday the 20th at Bally's Wild West Fan Cave -That is why we have a late update. Computer down! - Carolina. I thought we were going to win outright. I think we should have. Real tough losing that one. Colts. Hey. I had the Jags all wrong. I thought their were a team in chaos. Not so. Bad play by me. The Browns. Looking back maybe I should have stayed a way. First year HC with a team historically know for being terrible. I like the HC when he was OC in Minny. That is why I am holding Coach of Year tickets and thought it would translate to Baker Comeback POY tickets. We did hit other games to make it just a loser in juice. But not the start I wanted -

So - the GIANTS. At 3/3.5 I could make a case for Pitt. 5.5/6 - I am taking the added value here. Big Ben hasn't played ball in over a year basically. We saw some sloppy play yesterday. The guy is no spring chicken. Giants offense can score. At least they should with the guys they have. This is more fading of Big Ben and getting nearly double the points in one week after a number sat for months. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

4* Total Money OVER Cowboys/ Rams

Taking ARIZONA. I think Murray was pretty good last year. Not too shabby for a rookie. Arizona plays San Fran tough. No way around. Go look at the scores for the last 5 years. 10 pretty good games. I like Drake in the backfield. You have HOF Larry Fitzgerald still lead the young QB. And some other guy they grabbed named Hopkins is a pretty good receiver in his own right. Again, he gets even better with a HOFer to learn from and gives the young QB more help. Plus. I can't leave out Kirk. San Fran comes in off a Super Bowl loss. Hi, we cashed KC and it was great in the Fan Cave at Bally's AC. But, they are now the hunted. Let's see how they respond and in the meantime, I'll grab the points. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. So Rivers is in Indy. I like Tyrod. Guy is 24-21-1 as a starter. And that is 3 full season as the Bills starter. He is 31, but I think people forget that for 4 years, he collected dust in Baltimore. Plenty of weapons. Hunter, Ekler, Allan, Williams. Got a rookie taking the field under center with zero pre-season reps. Yeah, good luck with that. Don't care how great in college he was. Bosa and Ingram will welcome him with open arms to the NFL. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the PACKERS. I do like Minny. Was high on them last year. But, we do have an Under 9 Future ticket in hand this season. So, no fans. That for me is big. This is a place where Minny is 24-9 SU and 21-9-3 ATS (70%)! - No easy task I get it. But no fans. We must take that into consideration when getting points from road teams this season. Also - GB. I get everyone thinks they are down. But Rodgers is gonna Rodgers. 4-2 last 6 vs Vikes, and, they swept Minny last season. New OC, New DC, No Diggs for Minny. Dog outright in sight. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS

4* Total Money OVER Bears/ Lions 

Taking the BROWNS. I know everyone will be on Baltimore. Ready to redeem themselves. Well. I am a Cleveland believer. I have Comeback POY on Baker. I have Coach of Year on Stefanski. Look. 4 HCs in 3 years. How do you even fault Baker? This year though- new pieces on the OL. Gets a solid TE in Hooper - add him to Chubb and Hunt in the backfield. Landry and that fecal freak ODB. Back to the TE and OL. So they drafted a TE and still have 1st rounder Njoku and 2nd year guy Carlson. Stefanski had Case Keenum toss 21 TDs. He improved the Minny offense. I suspect the run game and short passing attack will play heavy here. I can't say anything bad about Baltimore except I think this is a lot of points to be laying out of the gate to a talented team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS  

Taking the CAROLINA PANTHERS. Almost wrote Hurricanes! - Haa.. So we have the Raiders as road faves. Come on. I know Carolina is starting over. But please. What have the Raiders done to show they should be favored on the East coast? I think its safe to say we have the best player on the field in CMC out of the backfield. Teddy isn't a terrible QB when healthy. And DJ Moore had over 1100 yards receiving last year. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the FALCONS. Have these guys to win the South and a MVP ticket on Matty Ice. I think the offense will be as good as any in the league. Could have the best WR duo - Gurley, I know, I bad mouthed this guy all last year. But I think we see a rotation out of RB and he can contribute in limited carries. This is a passing team. Ah Seattle. Another team I have a future ticket on. Man. Wilson is a good QB. Guy is terrific. But I think the defense is suspect - and against Jones and Ridley they could be over matched. I will also be on OVER 49. On a side not, I think Dan Quinn is on the hottest of hot seats. Lost the Super Bowl in year 2. Lost to Philly in playoffs next year. Back to back 7-9 season. Win or hit the road coach. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money OVER Seattle/ Atlanta 

Taking the COLTS. I'm a believer. Have these guys to win the South and Over their win total. The talent is there. I like the coach. And across the field is absolute chaos. If you can find odds on who is going to have the worse record in the league, throw a little change on the Jags. I guess this is kind of a square play. Lord knows that I have been on Jax after that AFC Championship run which seems like decades ago. Let the rebuild commence. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the REDSKINS. This line on the way down. On a Thursday no-less. So, lots o' changes in Washington underway obviously. RBs out HC out Front Office out Name out - But I do like the Ron Rivera hiring. I think people forget that the defense here is pretty solid. It just got over-looked by how bad the offense was. Now they have a real coach and I think Haskins will be better. Eagles are always littered with injuries. I think the back 7 can be exploited by a smarter coach. Remember, last year a worse Redskins unit held a lead on these guys on the road and Philly need a miracle rally to pull out a 5pt win. 20-7 and 14-10 half-time leads in both games last year. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the OVER here. I think we see a little shoot out tonight to start the season. We know the big trade Texans made getting rid of their WR. But I am not worried about them putting up points. This KC defense isn't some juggernaut unit. They will give up 24. Mahomes will come out with 5 TDs. Chiefs get to 40 on their own and I can't see Houston not putting up at least 3 TDs. 4* Total Money OVER Texans/ Chiefs

Taking the CHIEFS. Not going to get real deep into this game. We have two teams, both different. KC is your new style air-assault. Niners bring a multi-headed rush attack. The defense has been much better for SF of late. But lets look at that. KC even falling behind by big scores has not only rallied to win the games. But also shut down those offenses. 37-14 the last two 2nd halves for KC. How about the 2nd quarter score of 42-10. We also have Andy Reid off a bye week which is always a profitable angle, not at 19-3 SU. Let's also reflect a little on SF play calling. This is the same HC that blew a 28-3 Super Bowl lead. He was cruising Sunday vs GB then you look up to see 27-0 has turned into 34-20 and the backdoor hope was alive for a moment for GB backers. As good as the defense has been for SF, I just think that Mahomes is on another level the last 2 weeks. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the PACKERS. I had GB way back in November when San Fran totally ran them right out of the building on Sunday Night. I couldn't even get the over as the cheese melted so fast that Rodgers took to the bench. I get SF is cruising. Making it look easy over Minny last week dominating the clock with their run game with Jimmy G completing just 11 passes. But here comes an MVP in his own right. A guy with a monster chip on his shoulder over his last game in this stadium. Also - he is exercising the demons of his old coach. Make no mistake about it - Rodgers is the one calling the shots here. He will gladly gamble and take shots. And as we saw last week, won't be shy about handing the ball off when need be. GB can get pressure on the QB themselves. This might like simple. But I just have to take Rodgers here getting this amount of points. Especially off an embarrassing game. Rodgers had 26 TDs and just 4 INTs this year. Aaron Jones rushed in for 16 TDs. Say we take 6 of those away and the conversation about Rodgers changes to oh, 32-34 TDs, just 4 INTs .. over 4000 yards. So efficient. Putting my faith in a HOF QB to keep us in the battle. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

5* Best Bet UNDER Titans/ Ravens 

Taking the RAVENS. Have the UNDER here also. My thinking is this. Titans going to want to run, run and run some more. Baltimore defense I think is better than the Patriots. Also, not that we look at the last game and think, hey, Tannehill threw for 80 yards or whatever (72 yards!). But, say the Ravens bottle up Henry, and instead of going for 182, he goes for 92 - do you have faith in Tannehill to exploit the Ravens secondary? Because I don't. And I was big on the Tennessee most of the year. This is a 2nd back to back playoff game vs a better team. If these guys were playing the Chiefs, I would be more inclined to grab the points in that spot. This is just not the match-up for them. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL!  5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the EAGLES here. The team  nobody is giving a shot. I get all the Seattle trends. But I am not buying. I was in the Fan Cave at Bally's (where I will be Super Bowl Sunday for those in the area) watching this slop game back in November. 3 TOs for Philly sealed that 20-9 win. How about just 2 Seahawks wins by more than 7. Dogs live in all their games. I don't think Seattle has improved much from then. But I have seen a lot of improvement from Philly. And, not by beating the Giants who they own, or a bad Redskins team. Heck, I will toss out the win over a talented Dallas team. Those 4 wins are very nice. But more importantly to me is the play of the players. Improving every game. That is huge when you have dealt with the losses Philly has. And, with all that, Philly has still outscored and outyarded their opponents on the year! Finally- tough spot for Seattle travel wise. A win late last Sunday and they are home. Instead, they can't knock off San Fran and take a 3000 journey for a short week game. At least NFL gave them the last slot. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the TITANS here. I know it is tough going against this QB + HC combo at home. Especially when not laying a TD. I guess people think it looks real easy for New England. I don't know. What I know is that Patriots not the same in Wild Card round as they are with a bye week. First time since 2009 no bye. And, no Super Bowl runs when in a Wild Card round for NE. Defense is very good for NE. But this offense is a step back. Titans will ride Henry like a mad-man here. Also - Tannehill. 30ppg with him under center (7-3 SU/ATS). Tennessee was at 16 with Mariota. Let's not forget Titans beat the Pats last year 34-10. Ex-Pats coach Vrabel will have his team focused. Might sprinkle some ML here. Also on the Under. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Patriots 

Taking the BILLS. Not a fan of OBrian for the Texans. This guy does almost as much less with more than his State of Texas counterpart Jason Garrett. Give me Buffalo all day here. Better defense. Better rush game. Bills not a sexy team, especially in the day and age of QBs airing it out. They win with their D. #3 in yards allowed and #2  in ppg. Texans as a 10 win team have been outscored on the year. We have the better coach. Catching points. Hungry team. Also lean Under. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Bills 12-4 to the Under, Texans Under in 6 of their last 9. 

Taking SEATTLE. Got to love Wilson as a home dog. I know these guys are banged up. But I will roll the dice as dogs. I have mentioned numerous times their home issues. Losses to Saints, Cards, Ravens, near loss to Bucs in OT, Bengals in Week 1, Rams missed FG. But all as faves. SF back end of the schedule real tough. Cracks appearing as we saw in that crazy Falcons loss. Live dog here with this HOF coach and quarterback. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the TITANS, again. Hurt me last week. Win and in. Texans assured of their home field. Won't risk any injuries. Letting it fly on Tannehill and friends. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the GIANTS. Super Bowl here for the GMen. A win over rival Philly could possibly knock them out of the playoffs is Dallas wins. Huge motivation for another wise down team. They nearly pulled out in Philly with Eli. Danny Jones off a huge game. Leaning home pups who are live. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Ravens 

Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored? Totally out of it. Nothing to prove. Banged team most of the year. No playoffs after Super Bowl. Give me the young team on the other side that is playing for pride and jobs. That is what you do when you are a 5 win team. Come hard every week. Off huge win, they want to build going into 2020. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the COLTS. Jags really screwed us 2 weeks ago. Had to show up for 1 quarter! Really? One quarter they show up in their last 7 games. Their last 2 home games they have been ambushed 45-10 by the Chargers and 28-11 by Tampa. Indy wants to end their year .500. They have the superior HC. I can't see any motivation here. Lay it. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Jags

Taking DALLAS here. And why wouldn't I. Everyone has written them off. And maybe they are right. HC is a dead man walking. They need the Giants to pull off a miracle. But, this old coach is good for one thing. And that is being a .500 guy. 8-8 will be his legacy. 3 straight 8-8 seasons. 12-4, then 4-12 when Romo was crushed. 13-3, 9-7, 10-6 and 7-8 heading to his farewell. Nothing good be finer than an 8-8 season to round out his career. Speaking of contracts running out. Dak. The guy wants 30-40 mill. Would we be shocked when Jerry comes in at 25 an says, with the best OL in football you have gone 9-7, 10-6 and (hopefully) 8-8.  I can't see Dak losing here at home. This Redskins defense is a hot mess. Especially the secondary. I am not going to be shocked when Dallas scores 40+ to close out the season this afternoon. OVER in play also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS

4* Total Money OVER Redskins/ Cowboys 

Taking the RAVENS. Give me a break. I know the Steelers have had an awesome year based on the way things have gone. You are on QB #3 and can still make the playoffs and win 9 games. But I see no way, NONE, that Harbaugh and the Ravens let Pitt celebrate that on their home field. We see the way this guy prepares in preseason with wanting to win every game. Give me RGIII all day in this spot. Also like the UNDER here. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the JETS. Who knows what could have been had these guys had their QB for the season. What we know for sure is Buffalo is locked into facing the Texans. Give me the small dogs here. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

4* Total Money UNDER Miami/ Patriots

4* Total Money UNDER Chargers/ Chiefs 

4* Total Money UNDER Saints/ Panthers 

Taking the BENGALS, going ML. Looking for an outright win today. Yes. Outright with the team with the #1 pick in the draft. Andy was mad after last week. Complaining about fans wanting them to lose to secure the top pick. Well. He will be looking for a new team and contract next year. Mixon will want to prove something against the RB across the field from him. And lets not forget another losing season for the Browns. This team - all hype this year. From their QB to their WR. -- we are winning the North - Playoffs - Super Bowl dark-horse. pfft. Now 12 straight losing seasons. How about this is just the 4th time since 1999, yes 1999! that the Browns have been a division road fave. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS

4* Total Money UNDER Packers/ Lions 

Taking the FALCONS. This team was 1-7 and instead of quitting on their coach, or him being canned, they came out of the break with a win at New Orleans and haven't looked back. 5-2 SU last 7 games. Revenge for an earlier loss at home to Tampa. Tampa and Winston without his top 2 WRs. Julio Jones doing his usual thing. Winston on cusp of 30/30/5000. I'm taking the better QB with a slightly better defense playing for their HC. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Not high on GB. Think they are a phony team. Rodgers barely completing 50% of passes the last few weeks. Minny defense off a 7 turn over game have to be feeling good coming home in this spot. Minny 5-1-1 last 6 vs GB. Packers have been out-gained in 9 of 14 games. Zimmerman 60-34-3 ATS. Guy is a covering machine. 28-10-1 ATS at home laying less than a TD. Vikes undefeated at home on the year. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking BEARS, going ML. You can grab 6 or more if you find it. Chicago out of it, yes. But I dunno. Something tells me Nagy and Mitch have something to prove. One, Nagy's old team. Two. Mahomes picked after Trubisky. I'm taking a shot ML for the Christmas miracle but think Bears will be within striking distance to get us a straight up win. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

4* Total Money OVER Cards/ Hawks

Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Chargers

Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS

Taking the RAVENS, laying the big wood. Baltimore still with a lot to play for. As in home field. This Browns teams is done. What a disaster? And they are keeping this coach. Wow. Browns players yelling for Arizona to come and take them away. What is this Calgon? Total coaching mismatch. Total QB mismatch. Revenge from the Browns dropping a 40 spot on them in their house. Baltimore or nothing. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

4* Total Money UNDER Cincy/ Miami

4* Money Maker NY JETS 

4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money OVER Rams/ Niners

Taking the BILLS. I like the Bills. You have heard me say this before. Love the HC. Like the defense. The QB I can give or take. He has his ups and downs. But the team is solid. I can hear everyone saying how easy it is to take the Patriots today. Just need to win by 7. This offense does not scare me. Brady still does. He can make plays. But they just have a lot of ugly on the offense. OL. Run game, WRs TEs. This is not a vintage team. Oh they win, and win ugly. But so does Buffalo. I know it is tough going against the NE HC + QB. But I'm doing it. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

4* Total Money OVER Texans/ Bucs

Taking the COLTS. One.. We have the Saints bringing in their 2009 Super Bowl Champion teammates back for a little party after 10 years. I find that whenever teams do these things, bad things happen. And we don't even need an outright win here. We can easily get a back door for a New Orleans team that is 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. How about 1-5 ATS last 6 on Monday night. Colts in a bit of a free fall dropping 5 of 6. But every game is close. 3 last week at Tampa and they blew a lead. Titans won by 14 but very misleading on a special teams TD late. Lost by 4 to Miami. Lost by 2 to Steelers. And this is a spot wear the Saints HC doesn't have a huge edge in that area. And Finally. Let's be honest here. This Saints defense is having problems. Last 2 home game - SF beat them putting up 48 spot. And Carolina, SHOULD have won with their 31 points but should have probably been 37 or 41. I'll grab a desperate, talented Colts team with a back door opportunity. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking ATLANTA. Faded San Fran the last two weeks and it has cost us. 3 in a row anyone. Niners have to come up for air at some points. Had that OT game vs Seattle. Shoot out vs Arizona. Clubbed GB on Sunday Night. Tough physical, road loss at Baltimore. A wild back and forth game at New Orleans. Rams on deck. Today, say hello to 3 win Atlanta. Falcons with the 6th best O which is prime back-door country. SF wins, but this is too many points. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money OVER Rams/ Cowboys 

Taking DALLAS. I just can't get over this line move. The look ahead was Dallas -4. Opening number last week -3. Now, +2 for the Cowboys. I get it. Garrett is a dead man walking. They don't need this game as long as they beat Washington and Philly they are in the playoffs, with, Home Field! But nothing is a given in life. Especially when Jason Garrett is your QB. Also, having your kicker miss 10 FGs isn't helpful either. Now. If you, with extra rest, Playoff Revenge, and quite frankly, some damn pride, can't get off the carpet at home and show your fans something this afternoon. Then this 3 game slide will be 6 because you won't beat Philly next week or the Redskins. Rams needs this more, understood. They also needed a win at Pittsburgh. They eked out a win over the Bears. Got mauled by the Raven. Beat a bad Arizona team. Last week, really got on Seattle good. San Fran on deck, then Cards to end the year. Everything pretty much screams LA Rams. We will go opposite and happily cash our tickets. 10* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA here. Back to Back Sooner Heisman QBs squaring off! Do you really trust this team to lay points on the road? The, we are going to the Playoffs and Super Bowl in July Cleveland Browns. Maybe, maybe, they are playing to finish with a winning record. But this team is a hot mess. I think they have to can their HC. Guy is terrible. Raise your hand if you think OBJ is back in New York next season. What a waste of talent on this offense. On the flip side, home dogs. I'll grab the rookie HC and QB duo here. Granted. The season is bad. Nothing unexpected. Final home game for the Cards. I bet Klingsbury would love to end Baker here. Was benched (for Mahomes) by him then went on to the Sooners. Maybe he gets Chandler (14 Sacks) to rattle the cage a bit. This is a hold your nose play as Arizona is on a 2-12-1 run at home. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. So, you know I have Minny NFC North Champ futures. But, the Chargers. Can anyone figure this group out? We faded them correctly in Denver. Then we thought with their season in shambles flying cross country we would fade them again. Nope. Now home. They have already took care of Green Bay pretty convincingly here. Chargers have outscored and outgained their opponents on the year. Probably should be 8-5 instead of 5-8. Zim has some very good numbers in Minny - but 1-6 in Mountain and West time zones. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS

Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking MIAMI. How the heck are the Giants favored. Miami is in every game. Heck, they should have won at the Jets - we had NYJ there. i'm done trying to figure these guys out. The team is playing hard for their HC. They play hard for their veteran QB. The Giants, are well, they are what they are. Not a team that should be favored. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS

Taking DENVER. So we had these guys the last 2 weeks and it has paid off. Will come back to them again here in KC. Look. KC is the better team. That isn't an argument. But, the spot. We have Chiefs locking up the AFC West. We get them off a big road win at New England. The way Denver has moved the door leads us to possibly get a back door if need be. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the REDSKINS. This Eagles team looks pretty done to me. I know they are still alive with Dallas and winner takes the division. But, they have to beat the Skins first. Maybe this is when the Cowboys line went from -3 to +1. They know Eagles are losing early. And I guess Dallas will rest guys since they won't have a bye week? Look. Skins not a good team. But, new coaches will be coming in. Maybe new ownership. Maybe a new franchise QB. Who the heck knows? I do know they blew a big early lead vs these guys to start the year. I know they haven't thrown in the towel behind their rookie QB. Would really like them if they had Guice at RB. Then you look over and see the Eagles with WRs they will pluck off the practice squad. Down OL. Down on defense. Redskins with 3 straight ATS and covers in 5 of their last 7. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS