Taking the PATRIOTS. I am sure the 20 something people ahead of me in the Super Contest will be on the home dogs. They see Miami's 27-20 win last year and think more of the same. Well, we here Brady talking about how Dolphins play good and we don't in Miami. I am expecting more of what we have seen in 3 of the last 4 encounters between these two teams. They have been 35-7, 35-17 and 35-14. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Going UNDER the total here. Will tell you this, with the Steelers pending, I am looking at a 3-1 day in the Super Contest (Top 20) and have the Redskins for Monday night. Dogs are 15-4 ATS last 19 vs Philly. Why not take the Skins here you say? Well. Even though I put out a bunch of plays sometimes, I really try to put out my strongest numbers. And in MNF tonight, that edge is the UNDER. You know whenever I see that home team as less than a 7pt fave, I say to myself I here the talk at the water-coolers of the every-man. Oh man. You telling me the Eagles can't win by a touch-down. I love them tonight. Who is Colt McCoy. Give me Wentz all day. So we like the under based on what I think is the Philly DL getting pressure on the QB. Washington with some extra prep time which is huge this time of year. 6-5 Skins 5-6 Iggles. Desperate SB Champs. Chasing 7-5 Cowboys- Oh the humanity! FG wins it for someone. 4* Total Money UNDER Redskins/ Eagles 

Taking the STEELERS. Hate going against the Chargers. We have had them several times already this year. But Pitt at home is a different animal. Big Ben, totally different at Heinz field. Will probably look into the over here as the game gets closer also. Flex helps a bit so it's not an early body clock game for LAC - If the Chargers had a healthy Gordon, maybe I would think about bucking Pitt at home. Can't see Rivers having a day like he did last week vs Arizona. Steelers will be in foul mood after losing at Denver. It's a short number, and Steelers dominate at Heinz. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS 

Going OVER the total here. Leaning towards NE in this game, but here, simply a play on the over. 4* Total Money OVER Vikes/ Pats 

Taking SEATTLE. Will lay this. Seattle hurt me last week as we had Caroline. Our only loser on a 7-1 Sunday of NFL action. This SF team has hit hard times. The offense is terrible. Can't see them putting up 14 here vs the Seahawks who look they are ready for a playoff push. Seattle 10-2-1 ATS last 13 in the series. Mullins or Beathard vs Wilson. I was never a huge Wilson fan. But the guy is great. Seattle going away 30-13. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the BROWNS. We will find out just how good the Texans are eventually. They are really getting all kinds of gifts in this win streak. OT Coaching blunders by Colts and Dallas. Injury to QBs during games. Games with backup QBs starting. Pick 6 INTs with a minute left in game. Now they are on a short week off that Monday nighter against Titans - and have big division game on deck vs Colts. Texans 4-11 ATS last 15 and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Browns come into town showing zero quit and battling every game. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the COLTS. Time to send in the clowns. Jags officially done. We faded them and cashed last week. Will do the same here. Streaking Colts looking to the playoffs. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the BILLS. This group shows zero quit. Buffalo has covered 7 of 10 in the series. Miami showed some life with Tannehill behind center. But I like the Bills defense right now and the 3.5 is too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the FALCONS. I actually took these guys early on one of my NJ Apps at +3. No way in heck should Lamar Jackson be favored here. Give me Ryan at home all day long. 11-3-1 ATS as dog or Pk.  I know Ravens have some defense in play. But Atlanta is not a bad team. I look for them to bounce back today. Baltimore hitting the road. A lot different in the dome vs these guys. Extra rest for the Dirty Birds. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAMS. The door to the 1 seed has reopened. LA fresh off their bye. This could get ugly. McVay has no problem running things up. We will see 40+ this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking DALLAS here. Both teams last seen winning on Thanksgiving. We have made money on the Saints all season except when we had Tampa in Week 1 and then Cincy 3 weeks ago. If NO is going to get clipped, it's here or in 2 weeks at Carolina. The first of 3 road games for the Saints. This is a tough game. Dallas finally putting some offense together. They do have a decent defense, though it doesn't really get turnovers. Take the home dog tonight. Won't be shocked if they steal an outright win here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. I get how everyone will run to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Last we saw these guys they were busy blowing a double digit lead on the road to Seattle. Always tough game after playing up there. GB now a miserable 0-5 this year on the road and 7 straight! 7 straight losses and a 1-5-1 ATS run for the Packers when they aren't at home. Minny on a 17-4-1 ATS as a home fave. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with both of thees guys last week. Will fade the road team today. I know that overall, Arizona has a pretty decent defense for themselves. And laying basically 2 TDs is a tough cover. But Chargers aren't too shaby themselves. Rosen has more INTs than TDs this year. he will cough it up. LAC needs to shut down the Cards RB. I don't see Arizona getting more than 13 points. Unless we have Rivers and LAC with 4 TOs on the wrong side of the 50, this games should be 30-10. A nice steady pace of Gordon on the ground and Rivers in the air should make this a nice afternoon win. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the BILLS. Think it is safe to say the party is over for the Jags. What a brutal way to go down last week to the Steelers. Now you are expecting them to get off the deck to win on the road, in Buffalo? I get the Bills are a bad team. But, we have revenge from the playoffs last year. Still some hold-over from that team. And, there has been plenty of play-off payback this season already. So again.. Both teams 3-7. Jags officially out of the playoffs. Up 16-0 and blowing it vs Steelers. On the heels of coming up short vs Indy. 6 straight losses. Bills dropped 41 on the Jets and have to be feeling good about things coming out of their bye week. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the GIANTS. I never thought that NYG was as bad as the record. They had a heck of schedule out of the gate. I should have grabbed the 6 earlier in the week, but, I think we have the shot at the outright win today. Eagles don't look good. The offense isn't the same missing last years OC. The defense has been hit with injuries. GMen do have a couple play-makers that can cause some trouble for this Eagles crew. As much as people make fun of the Giants and Cowboys not scoring - Philly has scored more than 24 points just once this season! NYG has gotten 27 or more on 4 occasions including their last 2. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking the BROWNS. Going ML. Of course the one time I don't load up games early, the line goes from 3 to 1. No worries though. As much as Cincy battled back last week vs the Ravens, what do they have left in the tank for the Browns. Cleveland in off bye week, and previously, a big win over the Falcons. These guys showing some fight. I think we have 2 teams heading in opposite directions. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking BALTIMORE. Looking to really move a bit here on the Ravens. Last week I took it right on the chin backing Arizona. What the heck are the Raiders doing winning games when they need that top draft pick? Oh. Carr says screw the draft, he wants to win. Well why I won't be shocked one bit when he is on the bench at halftime in say, a 16-3 game. He isn't going to be in Vegas. Gruden will be. Now from Arizona out the east coast vs a desperate Ravens squad. A bunch of 5-5 teams in the AFC. Baltimore needs to notch a win. Raiders had lost 5 straight games by at least 14 points before pulling out the W last week. I see this in the 27-13 range. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Both teams in off bye weeks. Both in off losses. Pats on the road vs Titans as we backed Tennessee and their NE connections to a nice dog outright. Jets crushed at home by Bills. HC match-up is a complete mismatch. And one of them is having a rough go of things lately. NE has covered 3 of 4 off bye weeks and 13 of 17 off SU losses. Laying double digits to a division foe who plays you tough is a tricky spot. But as we toss in a rookie QB and the total state of Jets, a clearer picture comes into focus. At 7-3 NE has its work cut out for them if they want to be the 1 seed. It is a crowded room as Pitt 7-2-1, Houston 7-3, Chargers 7-3 are all looking at the 9-2 Chiefs. I'm thinking NE 27-13 with a couple of INTs by whoever is under center for NYJ. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking CAROLINA as our Top 10* today. Last we saw Seattle, they were beating the Packers for all the world to see. Extra rest helps the cross-country trip. But still a 10am body clock game. Panthers last see costing us bankroll in a game vs Detroit. Look. I have had Seattle as a rebuilding club all year. That isn't changing. Carolina at home is a big step up from win-less on the road Green Bay. Cam is usually on the money in his home games. I see this as a 10 point win for us. 10* Money Bomb CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Going OVER the total. Saints go under last week putting up 48 points! Look. This is a lot of points that NO is laying, 12-13 in some places. I think they score 40+. This Falcons defense couldn't stop them at home. And the Saints defense had problems also. Brees at home has been, well, the guy is  HOFer. That is all you need to know. Atlanta with enough O to put up 24-30. 4* Total Money OVER Falcons/ Saints 

Taking the SAINTS, and will look for a 20+ point win. Look. Had these guys last week. And they rolled. And it looked like they went easy on Philly. Falcons in off loss to Dallas. We had the Cowboys and the points (lost the Over though). This is it for Atlanta. For you to be on the Falcons you have to be thinking they win out. They need to win their final 6 games for 10 wins and a playoff spot. They still have games at GB, Carolina and TB. And before you laugh at Tampa, just look at the points they put up. Plus games at home vs Baltimore and Arizona. And to tell you the truth, that isn't really weighing all that much on my play here. Rams won on Monday night. And for NO to hold that tie-breaker edge and home field through playoffs, they need to win. And this team isn't a win by a point team. Brees is on another level right now. He should carve up this defense like we will be carving up our Turkeys and Hams 3 hours prior to this kick-off. New Orleans again will toy with dropping a 50 spot. The sites don't have first half lines - But I can see NO jumping out to a fast lead by half-time if you want to sprinkle something on that. At this points, Saints really can just name their score vs teams. I think they want this 40pt streak to continue. The spots where I think NO is ripe for being picked off (though I was wrong at Cincy) is possibly Dallas next week or, playing their 3rd straight game at Carolina in 3 weeks. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking DALLAS - I know that Dallas is terrible at home ATS wise 0-7 on Thanksgiving. I know that Thanksgiving home faves are great ATS wise 15-3 when laying 7 or more. I don't think there is much drop off at the QB position for Washington. I think the bigger issue is their OL play. Dallas defense is tough. Not great at turning teams over, but the defense is very sound. Last game, Jason Garrett clapped his way to lose. That's what this clown does. Crush peoples hopes and dreams when you back them. In this spot, like last week. I swallow hard and pray to the football Gods that in a league that gave us a 100pt game on Monday night, this guy doesn't continue to bring back 3 yards and a cloud of dust football. Zeke is the key. The kid does it all out of the backfield. He then opens things up for Dak.  Back to back upset road wins has Cowboys back in the NFC East hunt - Winner here takes first place as even splitting, Dallas 3-1 in division, Redskins 2-1. Huge game for Cowboys. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going UNDER the total. I just feel everyone will be thinking this is 45-40. I have to think opposite of that. 34-30 is a winner. How about Gurley for 140 yards, milking the clock for 34-28. I know we have seen some big over games this year. But if you have been following me this year or last year, or ever, you know we go outside the box sometimes. 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Rams 

Taking the VIKINGS. Going ML. If you want to buy the 2.5 to 3, I guess that is fine. I just don't think we need the points. A nice spot with Minny coming off their bye. Playing better winning 4 of their last 5. Finally getting healthy. This is a great story going on in Chicago. Might be the only time that the Bears face a defense that is probably as good as theirs - Vikes can bring it on that side of the ball. Trubisky having a nice year. But the offense really gets rolling off the defense making plays. Bears missed 2 PATs and FGs last week. That can come back to haunt you vs good teams. This Minny team was suppose to be a top flight NFC contender. Like Zimmer to get it done on the road. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the SAINTS. We faded NO last week and it cost us. Otherwise, we have pegged these guys all season long. This line is moving. Not surprising really. Eagles O didn't look good vs Dallas. And Saints D is not as good as the Cowboys defense. But at home, Brees and the New Orleans will do damage. Golden Tate will probably score a TD this week. There is a nice prop bet if you can find it. But I don't think that Philly can slow down this machine right now. Rush, pass. Doesn't matter. NO finds ways to put points on the board. Take out a 34 game vs the Giants, and the Philly high water mark is 24 points. Not enough bullets for this battle. Scoring 22 a game and giving up 20 will get you exactly what the Eagles are. A 4-5 team. They got very hot and rode it all the way to a Super Bowl Championship. Well - things seem to lining up perfectly for a Saints run as they scored at least 40 in 5 of their nine games. A little luck doesn't hurt either. And they have been falling into their share of breaks along the way. Just 2 losses their last 11 home games. Tough stopping this group in the dome. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking ARIZONA. Yeah. Tough taking a 2 win team to win by 6 points. But they are playing the Raiders. The Raiders who have score 6,3,3 in 3 of their last 4 games. 5 straight losses of 14 or more points. It really comes down to this for me - Oakland is clearly 'tanking'. They want the #1 Pick. They won't get that by beating a team h2h and tying them with 2 wins.  The trades of Mack and Cooper, waiving Irvin. Clear signs this team is done. I think everyone has checkout. For Arizona, a tough year sure. But they have their franchise QB. They also have a new OC who is looking to spice things up a bit. He has David Johnson who is still a stud RB. HOF Fitzgerald who should find some space vs this terrible Oakland secondary. Cards 5-1-1 ATS run shows no quit even with their poor record. *Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Had these guys last week. And even sleepwalking they managed to cover double digits. This just seems like a different all around team. Still don't like their kicking game, but man oh man, what a year from Rivers. Let's not forget Gordon either. The RB is having a great year rushing, and catching the ball. First 'home' game for LAC in 6 weeks! Remember London. They are 7-1 here at Stub Hub. Neither of these coaches are at the top of any of my lists. Maybe worse NFL lists. Broncos in the midst of a terrible year. I think Vance Joseph is out the door in January. When I see Denver I see 2 pt loss vs Houston (home0, 7pt loss on road to KC, 3 point loss to Rams (home), 4 pt loss to KC (Home) -- Plus 1 pt win at home over Oakland, 3pt win at home over Seattle. Yes. They are 'in' games. And losing is a reflection on the coach. You think Case is happy about trading WR Thomas? How the heck is he matching big-plays from Rivers today? 34-16 loss at Jets. 27-14 loss at Ravens.. That is what we will be seeing from Denver this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Have been back and forth with this. Not a fan of laying on the road. But Panthers were humiliated on Thursday night football last week. It was nice as we cashed the over, but they want to move on from that in a quick minute. Lions. Man. What are they doing? I thought they were going for it by trading for Snacks. Then they deal Tate. I like Ron Rivera over Patricia for sure. Better defense with something to prove off that Steelers loss. Lions had covered 5 straight, now 3 straight double digit losses. Short week with Bears on Thanksgiving. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Always tough backing this team because not only do you have an entire team on the other side of the field working against you, you have a head coach who is against you for about 40 of the 60 minutes of the game. If, huge if - If Dallas gives it to Zeke, should be a nice easy day. He is a legit playmaker. Kid is very good. He opens things up for Dak. Cooper has caught some balls since he arrived. I expect more of him vs a banged up Falcons defense. I know in the dome ATL can light it up. But the Dallas defense has actually been good. The don't get many TOs, but they don't give up a ton of points either. It is a tough spot as Falcons come in off terrible loss to Browns and the 'Boys upset Philly on the road. I'm still grabbing the points though. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going OVER the total. So, we are also on Dallas here. I think the Cowboys will get their points. They should at a minimum, put up 27-34 points. Yes. I know the have strong under trends. But I'll toss them against this Falcons defense and favorable field. Dallas does sport a good defense. But they haven't faced this kind of QB and WR combo. ATL, as it does at home, will put up their points. I'm thinking this should be over 30 points by half-time. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Atlanta 

Going OVER the total. Thought about taking Indy in this spot. Then I think about their defense and want to take the Titans. We will go over. I like Tennessee. Had them right out of the gate to start the season. This is a tough team. Solid defense. Underrated offense. And this offense should have success vs the Colts. Forget about that Bills game. Indy let rookie Darnold 2 TDs, Bortles 2 TDs Carr 3 TDs Brady 3 TDs. We won't even really dive into the completion percentage (about 75% combined). I don't care how good Luck is. Or that they have a RB or healthy WRs. You need about 35 points to pull out games if your D is giving up numbers like this. 4* Total Money OVER Titans/ Colts 

Taking SEATTLE. Had thought about these guys yesterday at 2.5 or the total. I still like the over a bit. We will see some points tonight. GB is not that good. Coach is garbage. 0-4 on the road. This Seattle team. Man, I was wrong. I put out Under their win total way back in July and they have a shot at getting the over right now. Look. Seahawks even off 2 losses are tough, especially at home. They were in these games late vs the Rams and Chargers. We cashed GB last week. Pretty easy as they were off Rams and Patriots and get the Dolphins at home. As I said. 0-4 on the road. Losses at Washington, Detroit, Rams, Patriots. Wilson getting some RB help that just makes him better. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the GIANTS. So. Going ugly here. What worries me is this line moving up a half point. I don't really like that too much. I know that SF looked good last Thursday vs the Raiders. But, it was the Raiders. New York in off their bye week. You have to think that they are going to get Barkley more touches. Kid is electric. And that will open things up for Eli to at least complete pass to another unworldly talent in ODB. And I say that as someone who can't stand the G-Men. But those 2 guys are great. I know the race is on for a top pick, but this team has too many veterans and attitudes to mail it in. I saw 2 spots with conflicting SF trends. 2-9-1 ATS last 12 as a fave and 1-12 ATS last 13 as fave. So maybe they used different closing numbers. In taking NYG, I am under the impression that their HC gets away from relying on Eli and moves more to the RB he took at the top of the draft. Rested dog gets the call in Prime Time. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the PACKERS. Not a fan of laying double digits that's for sure. Especially with a coach I hate. And this guy ranks up there with his brothers from Dallas, Chargers and Denver. But this QB is a beast. He actually is getting some RB help. I like when A-Aron is angry. This Miami team is like a JV club coming to town after the Patriots and Rams. Miami does have a pretty schedule if you look at records and who they have to play. They are projected to be a AFC 6 seed. GB with Seattle and Minny on deck. They can't overlook an AFC team. They can't overlook anyone when you are 3-4. Dolphins needed a lot of extra help, as in 4 INTs to get a win over the Jets (Miami my Top 10 LW)- And I am grateful for the win. But that shouldn't inspire much confidence as they come to a cold city with Brock leading the troops. If Osweiler keeps Miami in striking distance I will really be shocked. 5* Best Bet GB PACKERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Yes. Very tough laying this with the Chargers since I can't stand their HC and I don't think they know they need a placekicker to score points. But it is clear that the Raiders are checked out and looking forward to Vegas. Picking up draft picks and cutting vets. Rivers having a monster year. Gordon back. LAC can name their score. I'm thinking something like 27-6. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS  (took me 3 times to write this as I keep putting SD instead of LA) 

Taking the TITANS. Uh. Going against Brady and friends. Never really a wise move. We did cash with the Patriots over Green Bay last time out and failed to cover as we had Dallas Monday night. (Side note, only loss for me on a 4-1 Super Contest day currently 18th overall out of 3200 people) So we have seen ex Pats in the form of Lions HC get the better of their former mates. We have that again today. Plenty of ex NE's on the Titans side of the field. Tennessee lost 35-14 to NE in last years playoffs. This years team is bad on offense. I get it. But the defense is a top unit. I think they hang here. Have to grab the TD with a home dog who knows their way around the Patriots thinking. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the JAGUARS. I get we have 2 teams that look totally different right now. Jax off their bye week. Licking their wounds. Benching QBs. Pointing fingers. Train running off the tracks. While Indy looks like things are great with Luck healthy and back behind center. They have 2 straight beating the Raiders and the Bills. Not exactly NFL royalty. This team gave up 42 points to the Jets and were in the throes of a 4 game losing streak when Buffalo arrived with Derek Anderson at QB who they pulled out of a rest home. This is the Jaguars season. The defense did an awful lot of talking and has produced just 7 TOs after 33 last year. Time to step up and Jax has had success vs the Colts. Jags 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 8-3 ATS last 11 in Indy. Will also be looking at the Under in this game. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Going UNDER the total. Under 11-3 last 14 in the series and has gone under in 7 straight here in Indy. Colts have gone 5-1 under their last 6 in division play. Jax 12-4 to the under last 16 vs AFC teams and 5-1 in their AFC South. 4* Total Money UNDER Jax/ Colts 

Taking the BENGALS. Now. We are 6-1 when betting Saints game. Had TB in Game 1, lost our fade of them vs NYG. In this spot, I will again go against them. More a situational spot more than anything. NO comes in winners of 7 straight. A tough come from behind win over Baltimore on the road. And ugly win at Minny. Then, shooting out to a fast lead, only to the Rams tie it up at 35, before winning by 10. That is an emotional run the last couple weeks. And, Super Bowl Champion, Philadelphia Eagles on deck. Losing out of conference isn't a bad loss by any stretch. Maybe a slight look ahead. Cincy in off their bye week. Dome team outdoors. Bengals quietly the most efficient red-zone team in the league. Again. Ravens missed a PAT that would have forced OT. Vikes turned the ball over at the worse time. Rattling off 10 points after a Rams rally. You need some luck to go along with talent to win. But you can't get that every time you suit up. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Going OVER the total. And why wouldn't we? Every week some one is putting up 30- points on TNF. 57 -69 -62- 55-65. We had 2 teams putting up 34 each while the weak offense teams they played couldn't muster much offense. Won't be the case here. We know Big Ben puts up big numbers at home. Pitt isn't missing a beat minus Bell, as Connor is a beast. Panthers playing at the top of their game. They will put some points up today. Won't be shocked to a see a wild 34-30 back and forth game tonight. Panthers over in 5 of their last 7. Steelers over in 5 of their last 6 home and 7 of their last 10 overall. 4* Total Money OVER Panthers/ Steelers 

Going OVER the total. Both teams off their bye weeks. Both pretty desperate to get their offenses going. Defenses are the strength of both squads. Something tells me though we see some new wrinkles. Dallas actually playing well this season at home. I won't be shocked if they get 30 themselves. This is the second lowest line this week. I have this at mid to high 40s. 5* Total Money OVER Titans/ Cowboys 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know a lot of people all over Titans. Right off the bat, gut tells me to go opposite of that thinking. I like Dallas. Am a fan. Hate their HC. Guy wasted Romo's career. Can't manage the clock, timeouts and plays to tie instead of winning. Even after that, I will lay the number tonight. Both teams off byes. A reason why I a like the over, which was 40.5 when I put it out, now 40, even a 39.5 creeping up. I think out of the bye we see some more wrinkles in the offenses. Points will be scored. The Cooper trade - people have opinions on. Getting out of Oakland will help. Dak can throw the ball. I think this is a good pickup. Won't be shocked when he scores a TD on MNF. Just him on the field will open things up for Zeke out of the backfield. I think Dallas gets over 30 tonight. At 6.5, I was leaning Titans early, now at 4. Last home game 40-7 over Jacksonville. Everyone moving on Tennessee now has me heading to cash my ticket in the opposite direction. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. First to admit we scored a gift cover on Monday night with the New England. Sure did look NE was going through the motions against the Bills. Not doing anything fancy. FGs all over the place. Just enough to escape with the win. While last we saw GB fighting to the absolute bitter end vs the Rams. That kind of loss hurts. Hurts so much they cut people. Rodgers is one of the best. Brady arguably The Best. Cross Country back to back road games. Tough for sure as the Packers head to Gillette. Do you really feel comfortable backing McCarthy over The Hoodie? He'll do something stupid. Pats by 10. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Been on this New Orleans money train for a couple weeks now. Last week we get the cash and Brees basically takes the day off. Nice road wins in Minny and Baltimore for us. We crushed them over the Redskins. We have a pretty good feel of this club right now. Rams a good team. Probably the 2 best teams in the NFC battling it out today. But we have seen the Rams secondary get abused by A-Aron, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins and Phillip Rivers. Brees will put up points. This game is a PK. We just have to win. Not like we are laying 3-4-5 or more. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Going OVER the total. Think we are going to see some points on the board. Chargers off their bye week. Seattle off a nice road win. Rivers and this offense will put up their 20+ points. Wilson always seems to get points on the board for the Seahawks. This game will be played with both teams in the 20s and should eclipse 50 points. 4* Total Money OVER Chargers/ Seattle 

Taking the BROWNS. Have to take these home dogs today. So - Every pundit, fan, tv talking head said how Hue Jackson was the worse coach in the NFL. Well, time to find out. If that was the case, just him being removed should up the players. If he was still here, what is the line, 12? 15? New OC along for the ride. Gregg Williams the DC now the top dawg. KC with Browns than Arizona. So should be a couple of cupcake wins. And perhaps today will be. I am betting on the players in this spot. Big number to lay on the road and Chiefs can still walk out with a W and not cover. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the VIKINGS. So, we had the Saints on Sunday and even though the scoreboard was all New Orleans, Minny wasn't terrible. If you tell anyone that Brees is tossing for 120 yards - that Ingram and Kamara are going 26 for 108, I would be worries NO is run out of town. But, turnovers hurt. So this is now a huge game for the Vikings. And normally, I might be thinking of taking the Lions. Heck. We lost with them last week. And have been on, and off them, in previous games. What really sticks out for me is that Detroit has thrown in the towel.  As I write this they just trade their best WR in Golden Tate- Maybe there is a good reason. But at 3-4, with Minny 4-3-1 and Bears 4-3 GB 3-4-1 ahead of them, why send up the white flag? I don't get it one bit. A big take away from Sunday was the way Minny defended the run. And now the Lions will really lean on RB Kerryon Johnson. Again. Back to Minny being in a desperate spot. While Detroit looks to me they are throwing in the towel. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the DOLPHINS. So - I was looking at the under in this game and saying how the Jets, barring that 48 spot at Detroit opening night, have scored 17-12-10 their other 3 road games. 20-12 back in September when these guys played. Brock, Tannehill. I mean for me, it doesn't matter. I have seen Brock put 23-21-28 up in his 3 games. NYJ missing some key guys. Powell gone for year. WRs Enunwa down and Anderson banged up. CB Johnson limited. Stills is probably out for Miami. I just think we see a big RB attack from Gore and Drake from the Dolphins. That keeps the pressure to a minimum on Brock. Miami with the extra rest of the loss at Houston. Can't discount that time to brush up on a rookie QB and his habits. 10* AFC East GOY MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Ugh.. Glutton for punishment. Had these guys last week. So they battled back from down 10-0 in the first. Took a 14-10 lead. A 21-13 lead. A 28-21 lead. They just couldn't hold on. Luck is better than whoever the Niners trot out behind center. SF defense nothing to smile about. The rebuild is on for Oakland. But I don't think we see any quit in these guys - Especially on a stand alone game where the entire league is watching. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Laying 2 TDs, on the road, is far from a recipe of success in NFL sports betting. But I will bite the ugly sandwich tonight. So, we cashed NE last week as we held off a hail-Mary prayer. Are the Pats a team that are going to be pumped about a 1-1 road trip. Bills first MNF game in 10 years. Is Derek Anderson!! Derek Anderson putting up 20 points today? Nate Peterman! Pats last 4 games here. 23-3 last year. 41-25 2016. 40-32 2015. 37-22 2014. Let's look at the Bills points scored their last 4 games 5-13-13-0.. Honestly. Maybe this is a total sucker play. And I like to fancy my self a bit of sharp, or pro player as I love my dogs. And I have taken ugly dogs most of my life. But if you are saying that Brady, even without Sony Michael can't put up 24-30 points tonight, I will humbly disagree. Under should be looked at also. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Yes. Tough taking a team in back to back to roadies. Especially they won they battled back. How much do they have in the tank? Well. I don't ever sell Brees short. Guy is a beast. No way in hell do these forget that miracle playoff win for Minny last year. (I had Minny!) But this Vikings team as well as they have played of late, to me, a paper tiger. 3 INTs of rookie Darnold. 1 INT from rookie Rosen. And I love this HC. You know this. Had them both of those weeks. But the injury bug has me concerned here. Brees is going to put points up even on good defenses. And he has a RB combo that alleviates a lot of pressure. Minny missing Joseph is tough. Barr adds to it. Rhodes is whipped cream on top. Normally, missing a guy won't really have anything to do with my thought process (unless it is a QB). But the collective of those 3 hurt the defense. And New Orleans, coming in with bad memories, is not a team you want to come in under manned against. Tough road coming from Baltimore and with Rams on deck. But I am siding with the road team to win this thing. 5* Best Bet NO SAINTS 

Going OVER the total here. Sorry for the late add. Look. I don't see how this isn't 60. Packers defense is terrible, or at least very bad. I can't see them holding LAR to under 40. And Rodgers should be able to muster a few TDs. I actually almost laid the big number with the Rams in the Super Contest. But that backdoor will be wide open. Either for a GB cover or a score for this over. Again. I see 40-45 from the Rams. 4* Total Money OVER Packers / Rams 

Taking the RAIDERS and will sprinkle ML +150ish on these guys. Off their bye week. They are done right? Trucked in London by Seattle. Traded Cooper. Carr crying. Heck. Who wouldn't be crying getting mauled every week. This is just their 3rd 'home' game. 33-13 losers to Rams. They looked good out of the gate! - 45-42 over the Browns in that wild game. And that Seattle-London game was a home game. Colts defense nothing pretty. I'll tell you what you should already know. Cooper wasn't doing much here. I think TE Cook really gets things going now. Can we get a Jordy Nelson TD this year? As we always say. No team is as bad, or good as they look the week before. The look ahead number was I think 1 or 1.5 Raiders favorite. Now they are a full 3 and in some spots you can get 3.5. Colts were laying 7 to the Bills last week. Would you be laying 9 or 10 with Indy at home in this spot? Clear overreaction. Doggy outright possible. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the BEARS. Faded both of these guys last week and it paid off. Will take Chicago based on their defense and facing a rookie QB on the road. Bears have their own young QB. But we have seen him score at home - On the road as a fave, a bit different for Chicago. But at home vs a team that is a little banged up. This is a big number when you think the Jets put up 48 on the road at Detroit and then 42 and 35 at home vs Colts and Broncos. Bears defense a bit better though in my opinion. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the PANTHERS. You can lay the -120 for +3. But I will grab +105. Heck. ML should be sprinkled in. I am not betting on Carolina to lose when I am getting 2 points. So two teams in off drastic outcomes. Panthers rally for huge win over defending Champs. Ravens blow lead late and then score TD to tie things up. But their automatic HOF kicker misses! Oh the humanity. Look. 4th road game in 5 games for Baltimore. Steelers on deck for them. Winning is important. But next week is the 'bigger' game for the Ravens. Panthers have covered 6 of their last 8 at home. And those 2 were them as faves. I'll back my tough home dog every time. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the REDSKINS. The sell off is on for the Giants. Now, I did have them ML on Monday night. Put a fork in them. ODB is going to have a tantrum. Eli will be hitting the bench. Sitting at 1-6, the life has been sucked out of the season. Send in the clowns. Washington off a win because Jason Garrett still doesn't know how to coach. Skins have to smell blood in the water against their hated rivals. I can't see New York 'circling the wagons' to save the season. Not happening. All in on the Redskins Sunday afternoon. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the LIONS. Cashed these guys last week as our Top 10* Money-Bomb - Will roll with them as a Best Bet today. Detroit has been in the money the last 5 weeks. We have been all over with this team. Faded them vs Jets, NE, Dallas. Backed them vs GB and Miami. And here we are again. This is quietly a decent team. Seattle gets a lot of love. Yes, they are off their bye week. Last we saw them beating up the Raiders in England. I am not sold. Russell Wilson is great. I give that guy a lot of crap, but man, he is an excellent player. By himself, makes this team competitive. What I have liked as the season has progressed from Detroit is the run game. And the fact they are finally using it to help Stafford. Lions have to be confident that they can make a move in the division. I know there are many on Seattle. Matt Patricia stole a Super Bowl from Carroll with that INT. Cowboys lucked into a win over these guys or Detroit would have 4 straight wins. Buying on the small home fave. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS

Taking the JAGUARS. Well. Could be easy to say - Oh, Bortles stinks. He was benched last week. Team is in turmoil. I think this is just what they need. Escape to London where they have played 5 straight years, wining 3 in a row. Scoring a grand total of 28 points in 3 straight losses some may say we are nuts for backing Jax. But do the Eagles really deserve to be faves here on a neutral? What would the line be at Philly? Are they THAT much better than the Jags? 2-5 ATS for Philly. Jax as a dog much better bet than when they are faves. Won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the GIANTS and going ML. Could have grabbed the nice number earlier in the week, and it is now down to 4. But I will go for the +170 tonight. And basically, this is it for NYG. Could be the end of Eli at QB. Against this Atlanta defense though, I will take the shot. Lot of drama around this team. So we have had success both on and against the Falcons. I can see them totally laying an egg here at home on MNF. I personally lost money on them when they let some clown name Geno Smith on the Jets march in here and take their lunch money. With extra and sheer desperation, GMen get it done. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Going OVER the total here. Last 5 in this series have all gone over the total with every game hitting at least 50 points. It might appear the offenses are down, but I expect to see a bit of fireworks this afternoon. Dallas can get after the QB- but I think Alex Smith will counter that and make Dallas pay. Elliot is a beast and I think Dak is full of confidence off last weeks big home win over the Jaguars. We cashed on both of these teams last week in pretty easy fashion. And I think we see, again, something along the lines of 33-24. I know Dallas has been pretty much an under machine lately. But we toss out those numbers in this series. Cowboys 8-2 SU in this series so at least Garrett appears to be able to not hamstring his team against the Redskins. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Washington 

Going UNDER the total. San Fran crushed me by somehow showing up at Green Bay and ruining my night. I am not buying them again. And I am not buying them having an offense to compete with the Rams. Rams in off a tough game at Denver. So this is a 3rd straight road game vs a team off the short week Monday Nighter. Rams with a much bigger home game next week vs Packers. I can see them just giving it to Gurley and calling it a day 27-10. Then again, Gurley is no slouch so this is never as easy as it seems. Just think that Rams would want to give their banged up players an easy day if possible. No need for McVay to run up 40+ points in this spot. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Niners 

Taking the RAMS. Will admit that SF has not been kind to me this year. I cashed fading them in Week 1 vs Minny. I lost backing them in KC. I had the Chargers and SF came out with firing. I had the Cardinals as a dog outright winner. I had GB on MNF. And I will again lay a large number fading the home dog. Look. These guys have shown fight as big dogs. But that was a tough loss to swallow in Lambeau as time expires. I guess they will be pumped to face a division foe. Rams playing their 3rd straight road game coming out of Mile High. But they pretty much cruised in that game. I can see a big effort here as SF did win last year when LA sat guys in a New Year's Eve home loss. Rams have been in some close games lately and appear to be just going through the motions at times. With GB at home and trip to New Orleans coming up, I think McVay is going to want to see a complete game from both units for an entire 60 minutes. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had Dallas last week in nice upset win, and will grab them again. They have had a good run vs the Redskins. But this is a bit of a different, on both sidelines. Also cashed with Washington last week. That was easy money after they were destroyed by the Saints (we had NO) on Monday night. Nobody ever as bad, or good, as they look the week before. And saying that, I really like what I saw from Dak. You all know I hate this Dallas HC. Guy wasted Romo for years. He was going to do the same with Dak. For whatever reason, the offense is coming along. It improved in the Lions game before the HC got scared and played not lose. Then he played not to lose again and lost against Houston. Elliot is a beast. The OL is still pretty good. The run game should dictate the outcome here. Dallas D does get pressure on the QB -  8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going OVER the total. Saints off the bye week. I know this is a dome team outside, in October. But the weather is fair. And this NO team does have a decent rush attack so it is not all on Brees to do the heavy lifting. Baltimore by far the best defense that Saints have faced. But this is a tough spot. Yes, they are home. But Ravens off 3 straight road game. At Steelers, a huge division game that we cashed backing them. At Cleveland. An OT grudge match that was a defensive battle. Then, they battered around the Titans last week. Another physical game. Not that teams take off non-conference games, but this is a tricky game with a road game at Carolina next. I think we see plenty of scoring today. Saints defense isn't that good in any stadium. 4* Total Money OVER Saints/ Ravens 

Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS 

Going UNDER the total here. I don't think the Titans can look any worse than that home loss last week. But the offense is rough to watch. Even the proverbial rebound after horrible game won't jet them to hurt this under. Chargers are good. I did that early prop video where I had Allen WR and Rivers QB most yards at their positions. Chargers will score a bit. But this is still a long hike from home. I see something along the lines of 24-13. 4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Chargers 

Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BRONCOS here. A rough NFL last week. Still at 61% on the year. And quite frankly, normally I am hovering around .500 this time of year as the dogs really don't come out to play for me until December (hello 76% 31-10 last December!!) 76% !! - So, as good as the start of the season has been, it will only get stronger and better as we move forward. 

Ok - onto Denver. For me. This is it for the Broncos. A couple feel good home loss moral victories to KC and the Rams don't have HC's keep their jobs. Joseph, I think, will be canned if he loses this one tonight. No reason to wait till a bye week or end of the year. So this will it for him. I expect a no holds barred totally effort tonight. Offense letting loose. Risky, ballsy play calling all over the place for the Broncos.  - Now, for Arizona. They cost me a win in the Super Contest as they manage to lose by 10 for a push in the contest. A defensive TD hurts. And you can look, and say, hey, this team is playing tough. They are in these games. And yes. We have cashed with Rosen and the Cards as a home dog vs the Bears, and on the road vs San Fran. I just look at this anemic offense and can't see them doing much. I think Von Miller terrorizes Rosen tonight. At least Arizona is breaking in not only a rookie QB, but a rookie HC. Can't see them firing Wilks this season, even as bad as he has made this team look. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the PACKERS. Do you think this makes me happy? Laying big numbers like this in the NFL - after having our Top GOW on the Lions fading this Green Bay team? - Well, that week is behind. New week. New teams playing. I think Rodgers is getting ready to bring his fury done on the HC. McCarthy probably on the way out after this season. Favre and Rodgers for 20 years and you get 2 Super Bowl wins. What a disgrace. Cousins, Alex Smith, Stafford all a bit better than CJ Beathard. The defense should be able to do something here at home on Monday Night. Bye week up next so GB must exhibit some kind of life. Last time here, they beat up the Bills pretty good. Should see more of the same vs a banged up San Fran team. I took NE a couple weeks ago laying points at home to Miami. Said, if it's over, I will go down with one last swing on a legend. So, I say again. If Rodgers and this GB is officially on the outs, I will go down with a last swing when they know everyone thinks they are down and out on MNF. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Not going to jump on the trending dog in this spot. Going with the veteran HOFer to win this one by 10. I'm not saying KC isn't a decent team or Mahomes isn't good. But beating the Chargers who find new ways to lose every week, a struggling Steelers team, the Niners, pulling out a late win at Denver and getting 5 TOs from the Jags isn't putting them to the top of my charts. Especially with the worse defense in the league giving up over 460 yards a game. Patriots with extra rest last covering for us on Thursday night vs Colts. Also with revenge from opening day loss last year. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS 

Taking DALLAS, again. Got a win with these guys last week by a hook. I hate Garrett. You already know this from previous write ups. Draft Zeke and don't go for a win on the road in short yardage. Unbelievable. I nearly put this out +150 on the ML. Because that is what is going to happen. Dallas will be up late. And maybe Garrett pulls a Garret and they lose by 1 on a late FG. But how can you back Bortles laying points. I know he can't be worse than last week. But KC has no defense. At least Dallas has some guys to pressure the QB. Maybe they will get some INTs in the secondary eventually. Dak mobile enough not to be a sitting duck vs this defense. We need him to produce at least 1 TD in the air today. I get it. At first look, you have to play the Jags off that terrible game. But this is a back to back road game, out of conference. Big home game vs Houston up next. We either steal this or keep it close enough to cover. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Have we finally the real deal from these guys yet? A nice road win over Philly hopefully gets them on track. Having a shot to tee off at home vs a pasty like Arizona should really get this team humming. We did have Arizona last week as a nice win at San Fran. I don't see them scoring like that today. 26 points in the final 7 minutes? Minny will not overlook the Cards. Hello. They got trucked here by a terrible Buffalo team 27-6. You think they are taking things for granted? They beat San Fran in Week 1 in a miracle cover for us. A tie at Green Bay. Tough spot short week vs Rams, loser 38-31, before last weeks win 23-21 that seemed closer than it was with a late Eagles TD. At home today, I expect for the defense to finally show some teeth vs a rookie QB. Rosen, and his Arizona teammates in an early time slot. How about 0-10 ATS run at this hour of the day? I had Minny pegged as a Super Bowl contender. Time for them to right the ship. Can't see Arizona getting to 17 points. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the REDSKINS. Public love what is fresh in their minds. And what is fresh is Drew Brees and his record breaking performance last week. Skins walked into a buzz saw on Monday night. We knew that. We had the Saints. That game is what people think of Washington. They don't remember the Panthers sleepwalking against the Giants. We backed the Panthers last week with extra prep time and they need a 63 yard FG to walk out of their home stadium with a win. Giants are bad. I know that. I had them on Thursday night. Washington is a tough team. They knocked off GB (we had Skins) here already. Last game on the road, the Panthers gave the Falcons their lone win on the year. I think Alex Smith leads Washington to victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the COLTS. I am kicking myself for not taking the Jets last week over Denver. But I will easily fade NY off that game. Colts with extra rest since we faded them in that Thursday night game vs New England. Have to love any defense getting any extra prep time facing a rookie QB. And as much as I like the pick for NY, and think he is a franchise QB, the kid has a long way to go. Yes, Jets rushed for over 300 yards last week - 200+ from Cromwell. He is a 'questionable' with an ankle problem that kept him out of practice until Friday. Darnold 10-22 for 198. 76 on 1 play. So that is 9-21 for 122 - That won't win many games as a favorite. I'm not a fan of the Colts or Luck. But I think they are a decent play on team as the season progresses and he gets back in the swing of things. In this spot, just have to fade NY as small home faves. You know I don't like backing home teams giving less than 3. Being on the road 4 times in 5 weeks is tough for Indy. But the extra time off from the last game I think off-sets some of that. 4* Money Maker INDY COLTS 

Taking the TEXANS. Not trying to make a habit of taking double digit faves in the NFL. That isn't healthy for long term bankroll. But I will fade the Bills here. So we Houston win last Sunday (had Dallas +3.5) in a game that both coaches appear to try to lose. I know the Bills somehow knocked off Minny at home. We saw what happened last time they traveled. 22-0 at Green Bay. A defense nothing like this one. Texans still bring the defense. And the Bills sure don't bring much offense. 47-3 in that Ravens win over Buffalo we had in Week 1. I can see something like that today. Same kind of defense. Back to Back OT games is not what the doctor ordered for sure. Add in Jaguars on deck and this good be like Minny looking ahead to the Rams. Rookie Josh Allen is just too erratic with zero NFL quality receivers. 53% completions. 2 TD 5 INTs. 23-10 gets us a cover. I see plenty of short field opportunities for Texans today. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the DOLPHINS. So, wasn't that long ago we faded the Bears on the road against Arizona. Will do the same today. Can't trust Mitch as a favorite on the road. This Miami team has been pretty good as we try to forget blowing a 17-0 lead on the road last week. Yes, Bears off their bye week. But I think that hurts them as they looked unstoppable in that 48-10 destruction of Tampa. People love what they see. They see Miami blowing leads and the Bears scoring 40+. Have to grab the home dogs. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the BROWNS. Tough, I know. You look up for a Top Play and it is on a team with 1 win the last 2 years. But we get the Chargers playing on the East Coast clock. They have a game in London up next. Where is the enthusiasm. We had the Chargers last week and they did not disappoint. And I do hate backing this HC. But there is zero quit in the players. Are these guys the cardiac kids or what? Tie vs Pitt. Last second loss to the Saints. Late TD for the win over the Jets. Wild shootout in OT vs Raiders. A OT win with 2 seconds on the clock last week. They sure don't make it easy for the fans. 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the GIANTS tonight. Now. I know you are wondering why we aren't just getting some +130 ML with the G-Men. Well, you should already know that I hate both of these teams. But I don't let my heart or feelings really get in the way of backing teams that make me ill. Plus, these are the Giants. I crashed and burned with them in home dog spot vs the Saints where they failed to show up. Then they rip my heart out last week as they put up a fight vs Carolina. What I am 100% certain of is fading the Eagles. I said this last year after Wentz went down. How could they say he would be ready by the start of the season. It's now mid-October and he still looks out of sync. Their WR situation doesn't help. Nor does the depleted RB field. Home dogs I believe are along the lines of 16-7 so far this NFL season. We have cashed with them plenty of times. Eagles now 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as faves. NYG 6-3 ATS last 9 as division home puppies. Both teams in the proverbial 'must win' spot. But only 1 is the home dog in this bitter rivalry. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS

Taking the SAINTS tonight. Have to say, and you should know this with me by now. Hate, hate hate, laying less than a TD with the home team. Cause all I used to here from every day sports bettors was, oh man, Saints win by a TD no problem. Now, after sitting in a sports book in Jersey for 14 hours, it is 100 times WORSE!! That being said, I still think New Orleans gets it done tonight. Brees should be able to set some records tonight. The dome will be rocking. As good as the Redskins defense appears on paper (3rd in total defense), facing Arizona, the Colts, who they lost to at home, and then beating GB (and lets be honest people. GB is not that good this year - Top 10* on Lions yesterday and had Redskins over them) is a lot different than Brees at home. I do like Alex Smith. The guy doesn't make mistakes, and we also know that the Saints defense gives up points. I just think we have too many horses out of the stable tonight in what should be a high scoring affair. Also like the Over tonight - 2 winners 1 great price! 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking DALLAS. A battle for Texas. With arguably the 2 worse coaches in NFL. Though fans of the Browns, Chargers, Broncos and Cardinals might chip in their two cents. Garrett plays scared and what should have been a Cowboys cover for us turns into a loser. But for the Texans, well O'Brian really takes the cake. I will be on the Under 45 here also. Since I think we see a steady diet of Elliot from Dallas. When he isn't pounding the ball, I think we see him catch about 10 passes out to he backfield. Cowboys have a decent defense. Better than the Texans clinging to their history. After their OT win snapped a 9 game slide, Houston now a 2-12 run their last 14. 2-12! (4-10 ATS) I know Watson is suppose to be the savior for the Texans. They need OT at Indy to get to 1-3 this year. Can't trust them as a fave. We are catching a hook which helps the cause. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly in late action. I'll grab a rookie QB on the road. How do you trust the Niners in this spot? Oh you say. They nearly beat the Chargers last week. CJ Beathard is not going to salvage this season for San Fran. SF with some OL injuries starting to mount. Arizona has actually won 6 straight in this series. Best player on the field, Card RB David Johnson. Rosen gets his first win. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. So typical Chargers they nearly lose as double digit faves vs SF and a back up QB in his first start of the year. Now they face a familiar foe in division rival Raiders. Oakland got a huge OT win in what should have been a home loss to Cleveland. If an NFL game was 1 quarter, Raiders would be a perfect 4-0. But it's not. They look terrible at times. Chargers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Probably will see a bunch of points as both defense have to make a stop this season. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the BILLS. Ok. Have to be honest. This line scares me a bit. I was all in ML on Buffalo when they were getting 3. Now it has risen to 5. That isn't Joe Public money coming in. But that edge is gone for Titans backers at a FG. It was a what I thought, and probably many others, a prime let down spot. Upsetting Super Bowl Champs at home in OT. That was a very nice win while the Bills were out getting drilled again. Will probably be on the Under 40 also. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the LIONS. Easy to look at this and say, oh man, Rodgers and the Pack just have to win! Easy money. Look. Not that I think the Lions are some great team. They burned me last week as I had the Cowboys. But the Dallas defense is better than this GB bunch. And let's call it the way it is. If the Bears didn't choke away opening night, Packers can be sitting with 1 win right now. They didn't look good in Washington. Think Stafford takes advantage of his WR edge on the secondary this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Had the Giants last week and they laid an egg at home. Now they face Carolina off their bye week. Give me the rested team. Not happy with the line, but will still back Cam and friends. This NYG team has had trouble now for the last couple years scoring. Panthers always bring defense to the party. Should be a 10pt win for the home team today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS

Late add here at about 930 Sunday morning. Taking the STEELERS. Yeah, we are going 10*. I was tossing and turning on this all week. Simple cause both teams 'need' a win was one of the reasons I chose to try and avoid it. But as I get ready for my sons football game today, I think of his teams advantages. And I just can't not think of how Big Ben has the WRs to destroy this leaky Falcons secondary. We saw it last week in their home loss. We saw it the week before in their home OT loss. Now a dome team is outside vs an always physical bunch coming off being humiliated at home on SNF. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Going to go UNDER the total. My normal thinking here. Short week. Colts banged up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk banged up as usual. For me to be on the over, it would mean I was looking for a 34-20 type game. When I think this game is going to be 27-17. 4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Patriots 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I am also on Under 51 here. And like I said in that write up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk a little banged up. But we still have Brady. And I have zero respect for Luck and the Colts on the road right now. They have a ton of guys banged up. And who knows, maybe they all play and everyone is healthy. I still think the Pats put up 27 points. I can't see Indy getting more than 17. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the RAVENS. Not sold one bit on the Steelers. Baltimore cashed for us nicely last week, (had Bucks on MNF). Ravens 5-1-1 last 7 ATS in the series. Pitt won both last year. Probably see some points tonight, but in the end, we get that outright win. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Not really a fan of laying 2 scores. But I think this is a spot where Rivers and the company drop 30+. Let's toss out the huge loss of Jimmy G. That has to suck the wind out what was thought by some to be a playoff bound season. We have see the CJ Beathard show behind center. Didn't we see an 0-9 start and he goes 1-5. I see the offense with points of 10-10-10-13 .. 21 at home vs NYG and 23 at Washington in his first start. Not sure how he pulled out 2 TDs. But I can't see him coming in and going toe to toe with Rivers. Chargers defense not elite. But neither are the Niners. 3rd road game in 3 weeks even though it is in state. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the GIANTS. You have to know by now how much I hate NY. But I am not blinded by my heart. They have some major problems. For me here, all about the spot for the Saints. Off a huge OT win at Atlanta. Division rival. Now back to back roadies. Home dog who finally got a win last week as a dog. Saints defense is far from decent and even farther from good. This NY team still has some weapons. Barring a huge shift in weather, (not calling for winds), this game should be wild one. We have cashed fading the Saints in Week 1, and playing them in Week 3. What is clear in all 3 games. They could easily be 3-0 or 0-3. Don't think they should be favored, especially outside on the road. 8* Sure Shot NEW YORK GIANTS

Going UNDER. Dallas has gone under in 11 of their last 12. This offense is sputtering. The defense has been solid. Lions off huge win Sunday night over the Patriots. Defense showed up finally for them. Or are the Pats slipping with Brady having trouble with nobody to throw to? Dak has nary a soul to throw to also. If we get steady Zeke, that milks the clock for us. Stat-ford, I mean Stafford can air it. But I just can't get off the fact of how poorly this Cowboys team has performed for almost a year now. 4* Total Money UNDER Lions / Cowboys 

Going UNDER here in Tennessee. Have you seen these two play? One, Wentz still shaking off the rust. Titans a tough team to play. Maybe their last 2 big wins, over the Jags 9-6 and Houston 20-17 were more being familiar with opponent and grinding out an ugly win. But Philly comes in with bigger fish to fry on deck as the Vikings come to down. An out of conference loss won't way as heavy. We saw the Eagles lose outright on the road in Tampa. Different offense in place though for Titans. Not going to shock me to see 17-3, 20-0, 20-17. First team to 20 wins. 4* Total Money UNDER Eagles/ Titans 

Taking the BENGALS. Have to fade the Falcons here. So we backed them against the Eagles and Panthers. But had New Orleans last week and will go against them again this week. That was a tough division game. OT to boot. And you had the ball pushed down your throat for TD in that OT. Injuries starting to mount for Falcons. Always a soft spot for Cincy and I don't know why. They always seem to break my heart as the calendar turns later and later in the fall months. Back to back roadies, and 3rd road game in 3 weeks has me down-grade this a bit. But Cincy has been a strong ATS team in Septembers. (15-6-2) 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Maybe I should have thought more about pupil facing teacher last week. Lions going all out for their coach, who knows a thing or 2 about the Patriots, after having their backs to the wall out of the gate. Well now it is time to back another home team with their backs to the wall. Not saying if NE loses here they can't real off 10 straight when they get their WRs back. But there is no way I can back Miami in this spot. Maybe Brady and Hoodie are on the outs. And if it is, so be it. We have always heard after a loss or 2. Well. this is it. Brady done. Pats done. Dynasty over. It takes a lot for not to be on the Dolphins. When I see 6.5, all I think about is Joe Public saying no way the Pats don't win by a TD. They've lost 2 in a row. They're due! - We all know that sports betting isn't that simple. It is simple for me though. If the end has finally arrived for New England, it will be with me backing them to win by a Touchdown over their division rival. Small play - 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Look. This is a difficult call I get it. We look at Dallas, the offense has been terrible, Dak,terrible for a years worth of games. Why will that change now? Well. For me, I really like this spot today. We have the Lions coming in off their Super Bowl. Let's face it. They get humiliated on MNF Opening night. They show up with about a quarter to play in SF to make the score respectable. Then, the game their new HC is probably most worried about. Not the Bears. Or Packers. Or Minny.. No. New England. His former boss. A team that is the Apex predator of all teams. The most hated QB and HC and franchise in all of football. And he only just left a few month ago with all he knew about all his players. Wish I really thought about that more last week cause I would have unloaded ML on the home dogs. So where to go but down? Dallas is the desperate team now. They will be the ones pulling tricks out there pockets. They need to do something, and they need it done yesterday. I am also on this under 44. Because of the Cowboys said woes on offense. But I think this defense is pretty good. They will give Stafford from problems. I see this shaping up to be a 23-13 type of game. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Maybe this is a sucker play. I see 6.5 in spots, 7. A few 7.5 - For me. A total overreaction line off Minny losing at home to the Bills. No way around it. Do we forget last year in Minny, Rams scored on first drive, then, nothing. 24-7 win with the Vikes scoring 17 in the 4th. This is a HUGE gave for Minnesota. Off a terrible loss. They have a tie. They need a Win. Rams are as talented as any team in the league. Some CB problems now for LA. Cousins needs a good game. He beat the Rams last year while playing for the Redskins. Believe it or not I am also liking the Over 49.5 a bit. Revenge yes for the Rams. But Vikings really with their backs to the wall tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS