NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 44.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 91 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/ Chargers |
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10-06-19 | Broncos +6 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. Ugly for sure. But I have to think to myself. Why is this line so low? I mean, Rivers at home should carve this team up. But, we have a brutal HC patrolling the sidelines. He looks across to a football lifer who was actually a pretty damn good DC for a lot of years. Win-less is not where Vic expected to be, that's for sure. Denver hasn't forced a turnover. Von Miller has been invisible. And yet, I see this line. I'm gonna sprinkle some ML on this puppy. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-06-19 | Patriots -14.5 v. Redskins | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 143 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking PATRIOTS. I'll square play these guys. Didn't have any skin in the game last week. Kinda liked Buffalo and the points, but the numbers showed Brady historically destroys them. And to be honest. 13-0 early and Brady gets picked in endzone. It is 20-0 going half and not 13-3. Let's not forget Brady with 0 TD passes last week and just 150 yards passing. This guy is an ego maniac. He isn't talking another game off going through motions. He is throwing 3-4 TDs this week. Plus, a bonus if Redskins roll out Haskins for his first official start. Won't be shocked to see Gruden not even coaching this game depending how his week goes. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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10-06-19 | Vikings v. Giants UNDER 44 | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Minny/ Giants |
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10-06-19 | Jets v. Eagles -13.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Will lay the 2 TDs basically here. Look. We have extra rest. We have Philly seemingly getting better as the games progress. Jets a hot mess. Darnold injury just buries the season for NY. They can't rush him back. Bell saying the right things, but the mercurial RB is basically, in my eyes, a time bomb. Eagles should be able to exploit the defense for 4 scores. Wentz should have a nice day. The defense has no excuse possibly facing a 3rd string QB. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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10-06-19 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 24-31 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. Should have grabbed these guys earlier for the extra hook. But honestly, not sure it matters. Yeah, maybe we get a couple average bettors jumping on TB cause of their huge outburst last week. Facts are though, they have played NO tough. At home winning heading into the 4th, lose 28-14 after 17 points from Brees. That was after beating NO on the road 48-40. 31-24, a Tampa home win the previous December. They have split out the regular season going back to 2015. And that is with Brees. Granted, Bridgewater isn't chopped meat. But he isn't Brees. Offense hasn't look good in 2 of 3 games. They got some TOs and special teams help in Seattle. Tampa can move the ball and put up points. I like their HC. This division is wide open right now. Anything is possible. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY |
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10-06-19 | Falcons +4 v. Texans | 32-53 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking ATLANTA. Will grab the Falcons here. Tough yes. Looked terrible last week at home as we did cash on the Titans in that spot. I do have that future ticket for Atlanta to win the NFC South. Just too much talented to be wasted on the offense here. And let's be honest. Houston is as bad an up and down club as the Falcons. Their coach may possibly be worse. Make no mistake. Falcons lose here and you can close the door on their season. Rally the troops Atlanta. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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10-06-19 | Bears -4 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. Call me crazy. Call me anything you want. Just don't call me late for dinner. Said on my video last Sunday about this Bears offense. I think they are better with Mitch OUT. Give me Chase all day long. The offense can't get worse. Oh yeah, LONDON ALERT. This isn't in Oakland or LA, or Vegas or wherever the heck the Raiders lay their heads down. These outfit is half a globe away from home. You don't think Mack is going to wind up his buddies to make sure to release the dogs of war on his former team and coach? If Chicago can get any offense going this is going to be a blood bath. This would be a normal 10* Play. But have to downgrade a bit based on the travel, time, field. Bears roar behind their defensive leader. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-06-19 | Vikings -5 v. Giants | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 9 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. On these guys AGAIN!! Yes, we have been on Minny all season long with mixed results. I'll tell you this - If Cousins can't solve this defense, it is really time for them to move on. Eat the contract. What a waste of this WR dynamic duo. Not to mention their TE. Cook should feast on this Giants defense. This is a BAD TEAM people. Don't be fooled by a crazy comeback at Tampa or the fact they beat a rookie QB who looked lost last week. Daniel Jones has some problems that just haven't come up and bite him yet. Fumbles and INTs vs this defense, rest assured, will be turned into points by this anemic offense. For me. This is really a season changer for the Vikings. They should come in here with their excellent HC and defense and really dictate this game to the Giants. Cousins, even with short passes should carve these guys up. The NFC North is there for the taking. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 79 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I can see where part of you wants to come on and back a team that scores 40. I can see where you want to back a team that gave up 55 at home, since, you want to prove you aren't that bad. But what we have seen, two very extreme sides to the Rams. We see them struggle to put up 20 points in Cleveland. We see defense vs Saints and Browns. We see they can't stop Bucs. We see Goff struggle. We see 500 yards. We see 3 INTs. We see Gurley clearly has something wrong. We see this team is not a Super Bowl contender. I had these guys under 10.5 wins to start the season, still feeling real good about that. Now they face Seattle. Always tough at home. We had our Top Play on Seattle last week. And with good reason. Pete Carroll isn't letting rookie QBs and HC make him look dumb. He just went to work and won. Last year, 2 slug fests that Rams won 36-31 and 33-31. Gurley 120 in one game, 3 TDs in another. That guy isn't showing up. You know who is. Russell Wilson. Guy has been doing it for years. Not a flash in pan like Goff or injured like Gurley. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 3-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Both these teams in for a long season. I'll grab the veteran QB who has performed pretty good in prime time. Cincy already moved on from their HC and has a new regime. Pitt facing those choices now with Big Ben out of picture and them struggling. I know Pitt at home is tough, But I just do no think they are that good. We see no quit in Cincy. Tough at Seattle. Tough at Buffalo. Won't be different vs rival. 4* Money Maker CINCY BENGALS |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Saints | Top | 10-12 | Loss | -112 | 168 h 9 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Have yet to see the Saints defense show up for a series this season. Not a chance they can slow down Dallas. Even if Brees was playing, we would be on Dallas. Tons of talent on both offenses. Just think Cowboys D is a step or two above N'awleans. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-29-19 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -115 | 164 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. We have been on these guys all season. Will come back again here on the road. We had Packers over Bears here. We will take Minny over Bears. Vikes bring their own pretty good defense to the battle today. Getting a FG, I know its tough with Cousins and how he screws things up sometimes. But, this is a balanced attack. Not high on Chicago offense at all. They will be coming off MNF so that helps us a bit in the rest department. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-29-19 | Bucs +10 v. Rams | 55-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the BUCCANEERS. Rams on a short week. Didn't look to impressive barely eking out a cover. I get they are home where Goff plays better. But tough spot with angry Bucs in town. They themselves off a heart-breaker. 4* Money Maker TB BUCS |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 36 m | Show |
Taking SEATTLE. Punt return and a fumble return for TD put Seahawks in a tough spot. Gotta believe in Pete Carroll to have these guys ready to rock a rookie QB and HC. Clear edge on the sidelines for us. Panthers just came here and did whatever they wanted to do. Something that the Ravens couldn't do at home. But with a backup QB across the field, Arizona was ambushed by a 4 TD outings. Russell Wilson comes in off a 400 yard game. 4 of the last 6 games have been decided by a FG. The other two, a tie and a 6 pt win. I think this is going to be a beat down in the 30-10 type range. 440+ yards per game for Arizona D with 0 INTs yet. Cards 1-15-1 SU last 17 games. 10* Money Bomb SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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09-29-19 | Chargers -15 v. Dolphins | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 61 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I know. Laying huge numbers here. But this Miami team is terrible. Rivers to Allen alone should account for 28 points. And I am not saying he catches 4 TDs. I am saying along the course of the game that this combo is going to be position to put up at least 4 scores. Where is Miami getting 14 points from? Because I see at least 30 from the Chargers. 133-16! 6pts a game for Dolphins. Now back to back losses for LAC. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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09-29-19 | Redskins +3 v. Giants | 3-24 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Man. You would think that the next Brady, Manning, Phil Simms just fell into the Giants laps last week. The hyps is strong on Danny Dimes. Maybe fellow rookie Haskins makes and an appearance this afternoon. Look. I am not as high as everyone after one game. Everyone loving NYG today. Redskins have some pride themselves after being humiliated on MNF (we had them). Sign me up for the real ugly dogs early. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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09-29-19 | Titans +4 v. Falcons | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 61 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. I like the Falcons. This is their division to lose know with Brees out. I have them at a nice plus money ticket to win the South. But my oh my do they play down to teams. Their failures on the road continue after losing to Vikings and last week to the Colts. They mauled Philly in a physical affair - but, let's not forget they had to pull that win out of their butts. 6 INTs for Matty Ice after 7 all of last year. For me though, we get extra rest with Tennessee. The are going to try to run, run, run and then throw to their tight end. I think this is going to be an ugly affair. Falcons seem to play down to teams. But, Titans 12-10 their last 22, how about 8-16 last 24 for Atlanta. We have the better defense in a game of two desperate teams. Coin flip game to me and we are getting a bit more than a FG. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +4.5 v. Packers | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Also will be going ML +190 on this one. I know short week. On the road. Not high on the Packers here. Yes, we had them last week and faded the Lions. But, new day, new week. Getting more than a FG we have to play the dogs here. Banged up guys, questionable guys. Doesn't matter as long as we have our QB upright. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +4.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Look. I have faded Washington in both first two weeks. And, faded the Bears in both weeks. 3-1 there for us. But honestly, how can you like Chicago. I get it. The defense will travel. It is tough. But that offense is brutal. Borderline offensive. At least sitting at 0-2, Redskins haven't quit. They have are battling. Off 2 division foes, it will tough to get up. But hello Monday Night Football. Taking the home dog in prime time. I said from Day 1 I thought Bears would be down a bit. Barking doggy here possibly outright. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 15 m | Show |
Taking CLEVELAND. Look. Can't be happy at the sloppy play on MNF vs the Jets. Some real dumbness from the Browns. We get a little reprieve as this is the night game as opposed to an early start. Rams good yes. Faded them at Carolina, big backing of them vs Saints. But this is a tough spot. The OL didn't look all that good last week. Cleveland for all the ugliness can still bring some pressure. Talented home dog in Prime Time vs NFC Super Bowl Reps from last year. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks +1 | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. No Brees and can get a point. This line will be on the move. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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09-22-19 | Texans v. Chargers -3 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 45 | 33-27 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Saints/ Seattle |
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09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 164 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS. So Big Ben is injured. He plays, he doesn't. Steelers really have some issues brewing. They looked terrible at New England. That's allowed. But to not even be in control before Ben got injured. We saw Seattle basically lay an egg at home. And they are not historically good in September. Especially on the road. So now they may have a new man under center. We have seen the Niners perform pretty well on both sides of the ball so far. The rush attack is pretty solid. Defense getting it done. Actually shocked this isn't 3 with Big Ben. I guess the thinking is Pitt is desperate at 0-2. Home team for me. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRAN 49ers |
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09-22-19 | Panthers v. Cardinals +3 | 38-20 | Loss | -125 | 122 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Faded these guys in both games so far - hasn't worked out well. What I do see in this team is zero quit. So why wouldn't we play them as home dogs vs Carolina. Panthers look terrible. Cam is banged up again. More worried about like Whitney Houston in The Bodyguard at his presser then looking like a NFL QB. Panthers on a 2-8 ATS run last 10 - absolutely zero right being any size fave. Cards on a 7-3-1 ATS run their last 11. They covered vs Seattle and Chicago both here last year, and beat San Fran. I don't think Carolina is as good as any of those teams. Homies playing tough for their new HC. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers -8 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 161 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Had GB in Week 1, faded them against Minny. Had Denver both games. And the Broncos both games have looked brutal on offense. We saw Carr move the ball on these guys. I am sure Rodgers will be able to do the same. Packers defense was good vs Bears, but what does that mean. We just Chicago struggle at Denver. What I like was what we saw against Minny. Flacco not better than Cousins,and he does not have the skill players around him like the Vikings provide. This line will probably only go up. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS |
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09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -6.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -109 | 161 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Well. Interesting game vs the Raiders. Explode for 28 in the 2nd quarter, and decide to take the other 3 quarters off. Back to Back roadies to start the year, now their home opening. I had the Ravens both weeks. And I'll tell you what. If you can't contain a rookie QB and HC playing 3000 miles from home. And you want to get cute and not score TDs, well, you won't be winning 23-17 games. You will be losing 44-20 at KC and other good teams. Ravens don't look like an elite bunch. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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09-22-19 | Bengals v. Bills -5 | 17-21 | Loss | -115 | 160 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I am a Buffalo believer. Had them Week 1. Had them Week 2 as our Free Pick Video play. And will come again for their home opener. Cincy showing their true stripes at home as the Niners just absolutely rip them. Don't be fooled. Bills have a solid defense. And their OL can make some holes for their backs. Gore looks like the #1, but Singletary is the home run hitter coming out of the backfield. Cincy can't stop the run and have zero rush attack themselves. Bernard 13 for 27 and Mixon 17 for 27. Good luck sledding in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 42.5 | 16-27 | Loss | -101 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/ Packers - Going UNDER here. I think GB has a decent defense. Denver has shown zero offense so far. Don't think they somehow turn it on today on the road. Also on the Pack. Think this is a 23-10 type of game. |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -7.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 160 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Time to fade away on the Raiders. The losses will start piling up. Ugly game from Minny at GB, so you know they will be 100% focused here and not overlooking Oaktown. We saw the Bills come in here and still a win last year. Not happening. 1-1 for Vikes, and need to keep pace with 2-0 GB who is also 2-0 in division. Zim at home always strong. Everything just better for Minny on their home turf. We saw KC not score in 3 quarters and still dominate Oakland. I think Vikings put up 30+ and Raiders don't know what hit them. Their defense won't allow RB Jacobs to control this game. They have their own RB who can put on a show. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-22-19 | Lions +7 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So these guy buried us in Week 1. We avoided them last week against the Chargers. Now they take to the road getting a TD. You know I am no Philly fan. But the bias is not shying through here. This is an overvalued team right now. We saw it in Week 1 vs Washington. We even saw it last week against the Falcons. And we were on Atlanta. But that wasn't an easy win. Philly banged up all over the place. Plus, this can easily be a look ahead for them. Green Bay on Thursday night lurks ahead. Lions defense looked great first 3 quarters in Arizona before, I am assuming, not playing the 4th quarter. They held a pretty good QB in Brees in check last week. And we know Stafford is a stat compiler late in games. Back door wide open for him to come strolling in. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONS |
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09-16-19 | Browns -2.5 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 45 m | Show | |
Let's try of a middle here. BROWNS -- Like the Patriots line that has ran away from where we got it, a middle opportunity arises.. Fact is though. If Darnold and Bell were both playing, I would have been on the home dogs. Jets may keep it close for a bit, but the QB position is huge. I know Browns have OL problems, but they should be able to handle a depleted Jets team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Eagles took off the first half against the Redskins and then gave up a garbage TD with 6 seconds left to lose the cover. Falcons couldn't do anything right at Minny. Well. Matty Ice and friends are home in the dome. Matt Ryan 10-1 SU/ATS in home openers. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS. Lost an ugly one with these guys on Monday night. But we are home and angry. Plus, as everyone probably already knows. Our HC was the DC of the Bears. Like I said when we took the Packers of Chicago. Bears defense will be good. But they won't be historically great. We saw how bad the offense looks. Are you telling me Miller and Chubb won't be able to get after Trubisky this afternoon? He's a statue. And the play calling is highly questionable. Give me Denver who has every player strength and weakness marked down on that Bears sideline. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams -123 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. I get it. Saints want revenge for last year. Maybe the refs give them a play to make up for it. I don't think it will matter. We saw the Texans move up and down the field on Monday night. Rams can do the same. Gurley looked ok. Plus, with Brown, now they can really pound away and keep Brees off the field. Can't hide the now 2-9 SU and 1-11 ATS run that New Orleans has put together in Games 1+2 the last couple years. Maybe Brees is in his swan song. Last year was the least amount of passing yards in his 12 years with the Saints. I know he sat a game, but he would have need 400 to get up to next lowest total. Look. New Orleans is solid. But I think everyone already had this game as loss for the Rams. Super Bowl runner ups have their motivation. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Not impressed by what we say from the Redskins. Think that is a combination of Eagles playing down, and everyone against Washington. Once Philly turned it on, Washington had no answer. Garbage TD with 6 seconds left for the back door. Dallas looks pretty fluid. Defense should have no problem shutting this team down. Offense was clicking. We'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -105 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA. Will grab the Vikes as a small dog. I get GB with some extra rest. They will need it after that opening night slug fest with the Bears. We cashed them as a nice Best Bet, but here as a fave, we will back off. Cook really looks good. The run game for Minny very nice in win over Atlanta. Think we have the better offense. Think we have the better defense. Getting points. Minny 5-1-1 SU last 6 vs Packers. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-15-19 | Cardinals v. Ravens OVER 42.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 159 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Cards/ Ravens |
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09-15-19 | Cardinals v. Ravens -13 | 17-23 | Loss | -102 | 158 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Look. We had these guys last week. Scoring 59 was real nice. Do I expect that again. Of course not. Miami looks historically bad, and new out of the locker room looks very bad. Now Baltimore gets Arizona. A rookie QB and rookie HC. I will be the first to say my Lions picks was a brutal one. Up 24-6 in the 3rd and the team your playing having 3 first downs, you should really seal the deal. But hello Matt Patricia. Not that Kliffy is much better. We have the superior staff today. We have Arizona in an early time slot. More importantly, we have film on Kyler. This Baltimore is solid. If Hollywood is the real deal at WR, watch out. The run game is solid. Detroit should have sealed up a, at worse 24-10, 27-17 type of game. I can't see Cards pulling off the same stunt this week. I like the Over here as well because I think BLT gets in the 30s. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-15-19 | Patriots -14.5 v. Dolphins | 43-0 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the Patriots. Miami as bad as advertised. No OL. Poor defense. Poor QB play. Patriots look like, well, defending Super Bowl champs. Defense looks very good again. I mean..they shut down the Steelers. Don't forget how they shut down the Rams offense either. Does Miami have 1 offensive player starting on either team. It's a huge number. I get it. AB maybe on the field. As if Brady needs another weapon. I know Pat's have problems playing in South Beach, but we're laying it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | 28-26 | Loss | -100 | 146 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Please don't come in shocked off the Patriots beating these guys again. That is just what New England does. So Pitt at home. Big Ben always better at home. Not sold on this Seattle team. Looked a little dicey vs Cincy. For me, we have angry Steelers in home opener. Seattle can afford to lose a non conference game. Things get tricky if Pitt can't seal this one at home. They have to travel to San Fran next, which won't be easy if Jimmy G is shaping into form. Then home for back to back division games. Again. Seattle a different team on the road. Steelers a different team at home. Big Ben to JuJu for a big game this afternoon. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 20-14 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Tough loss backing these guys last week. But, short week. Home. Everything out of the locker room points to a big game. Tampa doing Tampa things with Winston still being turnover prone. 2 fumble. 3 INTs, INTs for TDs. Guy is a mess. Angry Panthers get it done. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-09-19 | Broncos +110 v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -100 | 121 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. I am not high on the Raiders at all. Forget about pre-season and Hard Knocks. This is Game 1. Denver with a new HC and this guy is no dummy who will make bonehead mistakes that cost his team wins. Defense will be excellent with their new leader. Von Miller could be defensive POY. Chubb will also be a beast. On offense. Super Bowl Champ now under in Flacco. I get it. Guy is a statue. People don't like him. Fine. Lindsey and Sanders are two guys with something to prove, mainly, their health. But Freeman and Booker are 2 solid RBs to help out. I think WR Sutton takes a step forward. Flacco will make rookie Fant a star. Their new OC had Kittle in San Fran catching almost 90 balls. How do you even think of getting behind Oakland as any kind of fave. And we have seen this line come down to nothing as Raiders opened at almost 3pt faves. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-08-19 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 46 | 17-35 | Loss | -119 | 273 h 18 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. In the past, we have seen a few overs when these guys get together. But times have changed. For starters - Dallas defense. I think these guys are one of the Top 10 units in the leagues. Doesn't matter who is behind center. They will stack the box to stop Barkley and unleash a pretty good pass run on whoever is handing the ball off. Dallas offense is lack luster for me. Maybe Zeke comes to play. Cooper still a little banged up. I just see this one being pretty low scoring. Think the Boys get in the 20s, but not expecting much from NYG. 27-14, 23-10. I really don't see more than 40 being scored today. 4* Total Money UNDER |
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09-08-19 | Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | 27-27 | Loss | -115 | 102 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Should have put this out earlier when it was 1, but what can you do. Still think we have value here. Look. I am not high on rookie QBs and HCs getting together. This is going to be a long year in Arizona. Across the field, we see a HC who needs to get out of the gate fast. Detroit looks like it finally has a bit of a run game to help their franchise QB. If you can't come in and take care of a rookie, even on the road laying a short number, you are going to have a long season. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 273 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I will tell you this. At -3 with Luck, I am on the Chargers. Rivers is back with a talented team around him. But this just seems like a huge over-reaction. Brissett has been in this role before. And he didn't do that bad. Problem was they couldn't hold on to any leads late in the game. This team was thought of as a Super Bowl sleeper. Now, Luck to Jacoby is a drop off. But the talent still surrounds him. Out of the gate, I look at this game like a rally around the leader type of situation. Everyone giving up on Indy. No hope. I think they hang around and can shock LAC with an outright win. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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09-08-19 | Ravens -6 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 186 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Will tell you this, thought about taking Miami before this monster trade. Stills, Landry, Drake, FitzMagic. You had some pros that, even though this is a rebuilding team, they wouldn't just not show up. Now you trade a franchise OL and your best WR. The surrender flag has been raised. I think Baltimore would be an average team this year. Nothing sexy. I know they win every preseason. Would like to see Lamar take a step forward at QB before really getting behind these guys. No way we see Rosen now that the OL has been weakened. The total tells us what exactly Vegas thinks of both of these teams. From what I read before this trade, they players didn't want Clowney for Tunsil. They can't be happy that he was dealt. If this team was tanking before the season, then they are officially dead man walking now. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +4 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. I know everyone loves KC and Mahomes and he'll throw 50 TD passes. Look. We don't need Foles to be Mahome. We need him to be Foles. We have the much better defense. Remember, this team was in the AFC Championship Game 2 years ago. Now they have a Super Bowl Winner under center. Bortles was just brutal. This defense is still a top unit. At home, in what could be sloppy conditions, have to lean to the defense here. We control the clock here and Mahomes doesn't get a chance to kill you at every turn. And this secondary will be looking to show everyone that this unit is back in top form. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 94 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS here, also leaning on the Under. First, I think we could have some sloppy conditions here with the hurricane passing by. That plays into slowing down the Rams. And the Rams. 4 straight road unders for them. West coast team playing early game. Panthers always tough at home. Going back we see them 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS before that collapse after their 6-2 start last season. I think we have the best guy on the field in McCaffrey. I am not sold on Gurley being 100%. And I know Cam was a bit banged up coming in. But the guy is tough as nails, and I am not even a huge fan of his. I think we can even go ML and score the win today. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-08-19 | Redskins v. Eagles -10 | 27-32 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Yeah. Laying double digits in Week 1. Look. I have this Redskins team rated at the bottom. Not only in the NFC East, but even in all of football. This team is going to be bad. Maybe not Miami bad, but bad. The defense is decent. I will say that. But, that being said. They will be worn out late and teams will take advantage. Eagles looking to prove something with Wentz back. Foles won their Super Bowl. The proverbial chip on the shoulder comes out to, cliche alert again, circle the wagons around their field general. Great defense. Weapons all over the skill positions. If this game isn't 34-10, and somehow close, the Iggles faithful will reign down with boo birds. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 93 h 53 m | Show | |
Going UNDER and also like the Panthers. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Carolina |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 52 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 45 m | Show | |
Going UNDER here. How is this in the 50s? Do we really believe Mahomes is tossing 50 TDs again? I don't see that. And, like I said in the Jags write up, this team was in the AFC Championship Game 2 years ago. The offense was the problem. You don't think this defense wants to come out and show the league they are back. What better way then to shut down this kid behind center. This game should be in the 40s. 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Jags |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 756 h 30 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY to open up the season. So real fast - You know we had a nice season in 2018. In 2017 we led ALL handicappers in NFL. And going back to 2010 and over 1000 picks, we are cashing at a 56% clip. This season, I feel a 60+ % season on deck. I've redone worked some numbers, and man, if I adjusted faster last season we would have added at a minimum, a half dozen more wins. -- For 2019 kick-off though, we are grabbing the dogs. I've said in videos already that I expect the Bears to take a step back. Losing their DC will be felt, especially early. Let's not forget that even though we cashed Chicago when they jumped to that 20-0 lead before losing 24-23. I still don't expect Mitch to outperform Aaron. Rodgers, I feel, has a lot to prove. New HC and now he has to show that his old HC was keeping him down. Getting a nice number, have to play the division dogs with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +125 | 13-3 | Loss | -100 | 163 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Well. Another profitable season ends. Couldn't repeat as the #1 NFL capper on this site, but still put money in our pockets. And with our nice performance in College Football, we had a successful football run for 6 months. We'll take it. - Super Bowl Sunday. Going with the dog. You can grab the points, but if I am taking 2.5 or 3, I think the Rams win outright. Now. I thought KC and the Saints would be playing today. What really gets me with the Rams was their comeback. Down double digits in the dome. I mean, you can find pictures of concrete falling the place was rocking so much. You come back on the road, vs that QB and HC. You are a good team. I don't care how young your coach or quarterback is. That is some good coaching and play calling - executed by the players. The Patriots Legacy is unmatched. I know it is tough going against this HOF combo on the sidelines. Everyone though that NE was dead with the way they played on the road, and more importantly, some of those losses. For me, it is simple. I think the Rams are the better team. They were more consistent on the year. They have the better defense. I think their defense is going to be the difference maker. Nothing left to be said. Suh and Donald are the key for us. And NE has nothing like that on their DL. Rams are 14-3 the last 2 years on the road (including playoffs). - The Patriots could easily be 8-0 in the Super Bowl, or just as easy 0-8. Those 8 Super Bowl margin of victories- 3-3-3-3-4-4-6-8 --- 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 57.5 | 37-31 | Loss | -115 | 147 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Chiefs |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -103 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. So I would really be looking to move on the ML if it gets to about -130. But for the sites here, we will lay the 3 points. I think money will come in on Brady. I had the Chargers last week, and I wish I could have gotten out of it on the sites as by Friday, it seemed the entire world was fading the Patriots. I think the cold and travel was just too much to overcome when you have a NE team on a 16-0 13-3 ATS run at home over their last 16 games. We took that loss and look to bounce back today. KC is tough at home. I know the defense isn't that good, but here, they play a lot better. I think that is the difference maker. Brady and the Patriots haven't won a road playoff game since 2007! Ok, that is 3 Super Bowl losses and a loss at Denver - Look, we have seen NE struggle on the road this season. 3-5. Jags and Lions took it to them. Titans took it to them. 43-40 at home vs KC this year. Last year, Alex Smith 4 TDs 368 yards in a 42-27 KC win. I know Andy Reid doesn't get much love. But he has shown he is tough vs NE. I know it is tough taking Reid and rookie QB over Brady and The Hoodie. Pats scoring and defense all trend down on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 97 h 8 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Pretty easy thinking here for me. Right off the bat, I though they would roll over Philly last week. That first quarter sunk any hope of a big win. But we move on. So home teams in Championship Round a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS. New Orleans defense also playing much better football. Forget that last game vs Carolina. That was an exhibition game for the Saints. We remove those 33 points and we see NO defense giving up 14.5ppg. Also. Rams at home, 1 team, Rams on the road, a different team. How about Goff with 10TD 9INTs on the road this year. I'll back Brees and Payton, the old guys, over the new kids on the block, McVay and Goff. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 9 m | Show |
Taking SAINTS. So 3rd straight road game and 5th in 6 weeks for Eagles. That is a tough run. Especially when every game is a playoff a game. Saints at home, rested, very dangerous. Yes, we can say, oh 48-7, should be just as easy. Well. I do think this is a 2 score win for New Orleans. Will it be a 40 pt win, that would be nice, but I don't think so. Now, Could the Saints get 48 again. Of course. Look. Mitch Trubisky just passed or 300 yards on this defense. Brees could have 250 at the half. Please throw out their final loss at home to Carolina. That was a pre-season finale game with the players they used. Saints getting knocked basically for a 3 game run of losing at Dallas, a sluggish game at the Bucs. And a horrible win over the Panthers 12-9. They go 2-1 and win ugly. They won ugly at Minnesota. That is what a great team will do. Eagles defensive backs to not put any scare into me. Brees will do Brees in the dome Playoff stuff. 3-4 TDs 325+ yards. - Back to Philly. I like Foles. Thought he should have gotten the nod the entire season or most of it. Guy can play a bit, and it's clear the players rally around him. But that being said - Eagles a great Cinderella story last year. But Cinderella only goes to the ball once. Season turns into a pumpkin this evening. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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01-13-19 | Chargers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -108 | 134 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS, again. Cashed last week and a little too close for comfort. But that is what happens when you are in cruise control most of the game. That won't be the case vs the Patriots. Who needs extra motivation to play these guys? Look. I have been on the Chargers numerous times this year. We have seen these guys win at Seattle, Pitt, Baltimore and KC. Technically, undefeated on the road since they had a 'road' loss at the Rams. It isn't like they have a great home field in that joke Center they play in. Bosa and Ingram can and will get pressure on Brady. He will be whining early when he starts getting knocked around. They say maybe snow. It won't matter. Chargers can run the ball or just do the short passing thing to move the chains. This is not a vintage Patriots team. We know this. Loss at Jacksonville and Detroit in back to back weeks. Lost at Tennessee. That crazy loss at Miami. The loss at Pittsburgh. This is a tough, all around talented visitor coming to down. Not a pair of rookie QBs like the Pats have faced the last 2 weeks. This is a HOF QB getting points with arguable the better defense and offenses that aren't that far apart. Sprinkle some ML. 5* Best Bet LA CHARGERS |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 32 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs UNDER 57 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. I know their might be some 'weather' issues. Maybe snow. Wind. Who knows? It will be cold. Shocking for January football. Look. We have a rookie QB who lost a great RB that helped things out. Yes, the KC defense is a shaky unit. But we have Luck and the Colts, build for the dome, outside in January. Everyone expecting a shoot-out but I think this can be stay under 50. 4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Chiefs |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. It is a tough call fading Foles. I think Philly really rally's around the guy. But something tells me this is all Chicago. I faded the Bears last week thinking they would rather face Minny who they have controlled this season, over the defending champs and St Nick at QB. But the coach has the players behind him and this team is really a tough club on both sides of the ball. I just think the Bears defense will maul this team. And the Philly defense is average on its best day. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +122 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 122 | 97 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Had the Chargers a couple weeks ago at home and the Ravens hurt our bankroll. But will fade Baltimore again. LAC defense now with some good tape on Thomas. This is a good team. You don't go 7-1 on the road winning in every time zone in American, and London with fluke plays. The defense is a top 10 rush unit which is where the Ravens strength comes from. Let's just look at their road games. At Seattle where it is always tough to play (ask KC who lost there). Steelers did fade or choke their 2nd half away. But down 13-0 and 23-3 and winning. How about down 14-0 early and 28-21 late and winning in KC? Baker Mayfield just threw for 357 vs this defense. Yes, Baltimore won in LA after the Chargers were locked in the playoffs while Ravens were desperate. Now you have a rookie QB as a fave over a HOFer - No way. Take out that win in LA and Baltmore, 6-1 behind the rookie, beat the Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Bucs and Browns. That's a 29-50-1 record and zero playoff teams. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 42.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Seattle/ Dallas |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -114 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 28 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS today. 24-13 was the score back in September when these guys met in Seattle. Different teams now. Yes, Seattle has won 4 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3. But do we want Matt Cassell at QB and Tony Romo in our ratings here. Let's look at Dak at QB and an 0-2 record losing 24-13 and 21-12. Not winning many games putting up 12.5 points a game. Dallas had played poorly in Jerry's World. But 7-1 this year. They have been playing well since November. And even losing fading them last week vs the Giants, you have to like that they wanted to win the game. Seattle just 4-4 on the road this year. 4 wins vs Raiders, Lions, Cardinals and Panthers. 4 teams with sub .500 records on the season. Lost at Denver by 3. Lost at San Fran by 3. Lost at Rams by 5. Lost at Bears by 7. Since their only home loss, Tenn MNF 28-14, the 'Boys have reeled off a 7-1 record. This game is basically a PK. I see -1's but will just go ML. As long as their crappy coach doesn't have his usual brain-farts, Dallas should be moving on the next round. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans -115 | 21-7 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Man. No love at all for Houston. Way too much talk on Indy here. I have to play this just on principle. Look. I know the Texans were gifted some wins by bad coaching by some coaches. Heck. He is facing one of those guys today. Colts were just 4-4 on the road this year. Beat Titans last Sunday night. Beat Houston here nearly a month ago. Beat the Raiders scoring 21 unanswered in the 4th back at the end of October. And beat the Redskins in Week 2. Losses at Philly, NE, Jets and that 6-0 clunker vs the Jaguars. Colts for all intention purposes have been playing win or go home games since Week 7. When you start 1-5, you really need to start winning games. They need to rally back against the woeful Giants. And in the Dallas game, look, we had the Colts there. That was a prime flat spot for Dallas off b2b home wins over Saints and Eagles, and Eagles game going to that wild finish and then OT. Texans quietly got their 11 wins and they move on this afternoon. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 40.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 59 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. Easy thinking for me. 1. I don't think the Bears are going all out here. They can say whatever they want to say. They are counting on a team that is 0-7 on the road and are double digit dogs to beat, not cover, win outright over a 12 win team. These guys will be playing next week's wild-card game in Chicago. Bland play-calling all around. 4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Vikings |
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12-30-18 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 49 | 32-48 | Loss | -114 | 53 h 39 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. So I will toss out some early Niner roadies since they are not that team from Weeks 1-3. Their last 3 road games 16-9-15. Rams under 3 of their last 4 overall also (3 road). I just think we get a workman like game from the Rams not looking to do anything special but getting a win under their belts. Can't see a shoot-out happening here. 4* Total Money UNDER Niners/ Rams |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. So we like the UNDER in this game also. Same thinking. If you like the Bears here, then you must be all over the 0-7 on the road SF 49ers beating the 12 win Rams as double digit dogs. No cover. Winning. I can't see it. You are telling me the Bears will be pulling new tricks out of their bag, and throwing in new wrinkles to confuse Minny who they are more than likely playing again next week. They want to try to knock out the Vikes to face the defending champs, Eagles with Foles behind center who the team does nothing but rally behind? Not buying it. Taking the Vikings who seem to have turned the offense around since canning their OC. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-30-18 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. Another Super Contest pick for me.. Tied for 42 heading into the final Sunday. So I like Baltimore. Everyone will be on the upstart Browns. I think this defense is too much for the rookie to deal with on the road. Ravens bringing some fire today - let's not forget a TD pass with 40 something seconds left, at home, to knock them out of the playoffs last year. Focused, they deliver us the W . 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-30-18 | Lions v. Packers -7.5 | 31-0 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. So we had the Jets last week and Rodgers came to play. So there is zero chance I don't back him at home. No way he lets the Lions come in here and hand him an L. Detroit 2-29 SU last 31 here. Packers with a lame duck fill in HC. He will let Rodgers do whatever the heck he wants to do. Again - Rodgers came to play in the Meadowlands. Down 14-0, 21-7, 35-20. There was no quit. And I expect the same here at home. Domers like the Lions want nothing to do with the weather in Green Bay last Sunday in December. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 41.5 | 36-35 | Loss | -114 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Don't think Dallas takes a meaningful snap. And I don't see Eli throwing 4 TDs. I think this is one of those 26-3 type of games. 4* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Giants |
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12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -5.5 | 36-35 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Grabbed these guys in the Super Contest and will play them here. Don't think we see much from Dallas. It is their bye week. Could be Eli's last game. Either way, if they can't beat Cooper Rush by 10, this team has huge problems heading into next season. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 102 | 120 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS. These guys haven't given up. They did lose (covered late) vs NE last week. But if we look at their 2 previous games at home. Beating the Lions and losing a tough one to the Jets. As we saw with the Jets vs GB, they haven't quit on their coach. This Bills team still has a pretty solid defense. And Miami wants no part of being in Buffalo in January. Back to teams showing fight. I think its safe to say the Dolphins have given up on their coach. We faded them 2 weeks ago in Minny and the Vikings ran them out of town. They still had a shot at the playoffs. And after scoring first to take a 7-0, Jags control the entire game. Nothing. No desperation. Jags off a loss to a 4th string QB picked up off the street. Where was their motivation? But pros with pride showed up for a road win. And as long as we are on road wins. How about Miami 1-11 SU last 12 on the road. 0-6 and 1-5 ATS last 6. Back on Dec. 2, Bills put up over 400 yards of offense and lost 21-17. That is what 3 TOs will do to a team on the road. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 170 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the RAIDERS here. Should really go ML here on the sites for +120. Final game here for Oakland. Should be an insane atmosphere. Now- Normally I like to fade home teams when they honor former players or come out with retired jerseys and so-on. But not here. We have a complete disaster on the other sideline with the Vance Joseph led Denver Broncos. Guy should have been canned for that FG on Saturday night. So Denver limps in officially eliminated from playoff action. Raiders have shown life playing at home. Dog outright tonight. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +3 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I will say this. I thought this would be a down year. Have these guys Under their win total. But yet, here they are. Fighting for a playoff spot. Now, last week was a brutal loss losing to San Fran. But that just gets us in a prime spot today. No way they are losing at home. Especially off a poor performance. KC comes in off that Thursday loss (we had LAC) with extra rest and time to stew on blowing that game. There is more going on in KC so. They lost hunt and we see a close game vs the Raiders. An OT game vs Baltimore at home. Blowing 14pt leads and losing at home. This line is 2.5 or 3 in most spots. If this game was in KC, would you be laying 8 points on a team 0-4-1 ATS last 5? Home about this - Seattle 11-1-1 ATS last 13 as home dogs. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints -6.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Had NE over the Steelers last week and that bit me in the behind. We will again fade Pitt though. New Orleans not looking overly impressive of late. And, as I said when we took Dallas on Thursday night, they were losing at Dallas or Carolina. Well, they lost at Dallas. A total flat spot vs Tampa on the road. Then in their 3rd road game, it was ugly vs the Panthers. I don't think the Steelers can slow down any part of this Saints offense. Do you know what I see after 3 games like that. I see a team that can win ugly. A team that isn't, just Brees putting up 40. A team that can make some stops when it needs them. After dropping 3 straight Pitt had all their marbles ending the Patriots hex on them. They won, finally. Speaking of wins, a W here wraps up home field for New Orleans. Lay it. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets +1 | 44-38 | Loss | -107 | 139 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Smacking myself for not taking them last night when I saw 3s and even a 3.5 pop up on the sites. I was liking NYJ before the Rodgers will or will not play rumors swirled. New York not a great team. But as we saw Saturday (we ended up with a push at 7) there is no quit in this bunch. Now we have GB in off having their season officially ended by the Bears. But has this team really impressed us this year at all? They are playing for a lame-duck coach who won't be back. I think they are thinking about Christmas with their families. This is one of those do they even get off the plane games. If A-Aron is sitting today, I would expect this line to move even more. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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12-23-18 | Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 95 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Cam looked absolutely terrible. Probably will be out as reports are starting to come he could be done. I had the over MNF and man, what a pathetic pick by me. And for that, I am sorry. But as I said on my free pick video taking Carolina, that was a game I felt they were playing for their coach. Won't be shocked to see him get the boot after the way things have gone after a 6-2 start. 6 straight losses now, no QB and a coach with a cloudy future. Look - I will be the first to say Falcons were a disappointment. And I won't be shocked to see them part ways with at least their OC who wastes, arguably, the best WR in the NFL. Atlanta doesn't want to end up in the basement of the South. Sitting at 5-9, same as Tampa, I think they take care of this beaten Panthers team. They left everything they had on the field vs the Saints. Packing it in for Christmas, road team gets the call. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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12-23-18 | Texans +2.5 v. Eagles | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Now. Before last week, Eagles as a home dog. I'm on them. Dome team outside for 2nd straight week. We pulled out a push with NYJ +7 last week in bad weather. Shouldn't be too bad tomorrow. Back to Philly. Though Foles should have started and stayed behind center a bit longer. But they yanked him for a non 100% Wentz. I have raved about Foles in this posts in the past. Not so much in this spot. Double digit dog with a HUGE road win. Maybe the Rams are down a bit. Either way huge win. Just feel that Houston playing some great ball right now. Getting points makes this a no-brainer play on the road team. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Only way to go in this spot. Off their first shut-out since Quincy Carter was their QB! Look. We had Indy last week. Real tough spot for the Cowboys off that OT Philly win. And a rough stretch in general. 5 straight. Road wins over Philly and Falcons. A Redskins game. That Saints Thursday nighter. A stinker was coming. It came. Let's not sell the Colts short either. They are a tough foe right now. So Bucs in a back to back road spot. 5 wins. Looks like they have lame duck coach who could be canned after the season. Perhaps the GM heads out also. As good as the TB QB tandem has been putting up points, 31 TDs it also has 15 INTs. And we won't talk about the terrible defense. Don't be confused by last week vs the Ravens. And I type that knowing we had Baltimore to get it done. Dak won't throw the ball 23 times for 131 yards. Amari Cooper could have 100 yards by half-time. Zeke will Zeke. Cowboys need to lock up their playoff spot. This is the spot. Now next week in New York with a wild-card game vs possible Seattle after that. They win this by double digits. Rest some guys vs the Giants. Ready for the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | Top | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 39 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Cashed with these guys last week, back on them again. I know that taking a division home dog in revenge spot is nice. Especially with a guy like Stattsford who can garbage time a back-door cover. But like last week, this play is based on the new OC getting things done. This team has been waiting to break out and I think with their season on the line again, we get another good effort. Let's not short change the defense that recorded 9 sacks last week. Safe to say Year 1 of the Patricia Era is closing out poorly. Lions scoring 16ppg and are getting out-yarded every week. Minny should crack 30 and this is a 10+ point win. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -3.5 | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I know that this could be a bit of let-down spot for LAC. There is no home field advantage. Winning out and a KC loss somewhere will get them a bye week. I thought that Chargers were a good team starting the year. I think they are better now. They have 2 nice comebacks under their belts. Zero quit in these guys. I know Baltimore is a good defense. But I think LAC can put up what KC did, and possibly more. Against KC and NO, two offense I would say rate well to the Chargers, we saw 24 points allowed. This LA team has a better defense. They will stop the rush game. And if come to Lamar Jackson throwing the ball. Let's look at his last 5 games. Yards -- 131-147-125-178-150. We won't talk about his completion % - Or the rankings of the Tampa, Chiefs, Raiders, Falcons or Bengals defenses. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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12-22-18 | Redskins v. Titans -10.5 | 16-25 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Was close to using these guys in the Super Contest (was in the Top 20, now Top 40) - It does look painful laying points with this offense. But I can't see a 4th string QB getting it done on the road. Yes, Redskins have over achieved with the way they have been playing. They are 4-3 on the road (Tampa, Giants, Arizona, Jaguars) - Are any of those teams playoff bound or alive here in December? Washington with 16-16-13 points scored their last 3 games. I won't be shocked to see a 30-9 game like the Titans dropped on the Jaguars two weeks ago. 4* Money Maker |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 50 | 12-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total here. I will tell you this is a tough spot for a side. We can say that the Saints are looking to wrap up home field. Will come out and take care of business. We can say the Panthers are playing for their HC who could be canned after the season as he enters MNF with 5 straight losses. 4 of those were on the road - Panthers always play better at home. Much more scoring. Let's remove 16 points over Dallas Week 1. And Dallas has shown they can play some defense this year. We see Panthers score 31-31-36-42-27. This is NO's 3rd straight road game. I said when we had Dallas over the Saints they either lose at Dallas or on the road to the Panthers. Now the Panthers are just a desperate home dog. And as much as they get by on, oh, they have a tough defense. Again, take out the Dallas 16-8 game. 21-33-21-28-30 allowed at home. I'm going square on this total and thinking we get at least 55. 4* Total Money OVER Saints/ Panthers |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -9 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. LA offense sure didn't look good in Chicago. I think things will be different at home. Both teams in off losses. But Rams still battling for that home field with New Orleans. Eagles defense has been a MASH unit nearly all season. Dallas put up nearly 600 yards off offense. Again. Bears defense and the cold a lot different than this Philly team that looks like it sold its soul for last years Super Bowl Win. 38-17 sounds about right. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Had both of these losing sides last week. And I gotta tell ya. What was The Hoodie thinking? How do you not punch it in and go up 37-28. If you fail, Miami is pinned in their 5 or closer. You take a FG and all hell breaks loose on the final play. I can't blame Tomlin too much. The guy is a big dummy. Takes Big Ben out and then puts him. The FG attempt. Just terrible. Now - Who do we think is bouncing back this afternoon? What HC/QB combo do you think we should be backing? Big Ben with rib issues. Maybe they get their RB back. They couldn't do anything against the 2nd worse rush defense in the league. 5 straight wins for NE in the series. How about Pats off SU loss and a fave of 3 or less, 20-0 ATS run. They are on a 14-4 ATS run in games after losses regardless of line. Now 3 straight losses for Steelers. Big Ben 7 TDs 6 INTs last 4 games. The run game has been lost. Anytime we get the Pats and a short number like this, we have to grab it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS here. As a Dallas fan, tough to go against them as they are playing some inspired football right now. But the way this game falls, it is a great situational spot for Indy. 5 straight wins anchored by wins over bitter rival Philly. The last game, a wild OT affair. That off of a huge home upset of New Orleans. Colts in off big win over the Texans. Just feels like the way Indy has been playing (minus that Jax game), this is spot they win 27-17. I can see the Boys and their flake HC really mailing it in here. They have Tampa at home, then close at the Giants. With a 2 game lead in the NFC East, I think we see them lay an egg. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-16-18 | Titans +3 v. Giants | Top | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS here. Should really be playing +125/+130 that the sites are offering. I am trying to get back to that #1 NFL Capper Spot. No shame being ranked where I am right now. But we are looking forward to a big month here after we go 31-10 (76%) last December - Let's jump right in on the Giants. Are you really impressed with a 5-8 record. Wins over Mark Sanchez and the Redskins. Chase Daniel and the Bears in OT (and let's not forget Bears nearly lost at Arizona, lost at Miami. Totally different on the road) A final minute over the Nick Mullens led 49ers. A wild shoot out vs Tampa and back up QB Fitzharris before Winston came in. 7 straight losses. A last minute win over a backup QB. A wild-shoot out over a backup QB and the worse defense in the league. A loss to Philly. An OT win. And a gift bag of Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson. Oh Christmas came early for sure for the GMEN. Give me Tennessee all day with extra rest. They will run over the soft Giants all afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -6.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 87 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. This is it for Minny. Had these clowns Monday night and they were brutal. Canned their OC who was suppose to be the 'hot' name for one of the soon to be opened HC jobs in the NFL. Well. The smart money ain't on that happening now. I like this spot based on 2 things. One - that poor MNF performance and the canning of the OC and two. How about the clouds that Miami is coming in on? Nowhere to go but to have that bubble burst. Now. As having the Patriots last week I am shocked that they didn't try to get 7 and instead settle for a FG. Heck. Run another run play and have them try to go 97 yards or whatever. So- Miami off a huge win and could be a flat spot. Desperate Vikes need to win out. How about Dolphins 1-10 SU last 11 on the road. Yikes. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. I know what everyone is thinking. Laying points like this with Lamar Jackson, and off that brutal OT game vs KC. I get it. You are worried. Well don't be. This Tampa defense, if it is plays more for the run, will give up chunks of yards, and enough points for a 10pt win. Did you miss the collapse last week (we got a miracle cover with NO) - plenty of mistakes to go around. Special teams looked like garbage. OL fell apart. Winston doing Winston things. How is that going to fly vs this Ravens defense coming in angry, vs a team that will be out of it's element and quite frankly, not a good team. As good as this TB QB combo is putting up 31 TD passes, they also have 24 INTs. I am sure we see at least 2 turnovers this afternoon. Tampa 2-12 SU last 14 on the road including a 3-9 ATS run in their most recent 12 games. In 6 road games this season - 40 at New Orleans, 48 at Chicago, 34 at Atlanta, 37 at Cincinnati, 42 at Carolina, and 38 at NYG. I know that this Baltimore team isn't the Greatest Show on Turf, but we will get our 30 today. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. I get the love on the Browns. It is like taking a chain off a rabid dog finally firing Hue Jackson. Look. I am no fan of the Denver HC. I don't like him, the Dallas HC or the Charger HC. I don't even name them. They are garbage. But I think the sexy pick on the Browns is really putting whipped cream on crap. Mayfield will have his hands full, or really feet moving Chubb and Miller have 25 sacks between them. It won't be easy for the rookie. And at least with a veteran QB on the other side of the field, with a RB closing in on 1000 yards, I like the chances of the home team. Broncos off a terrible loss at San Fran should take care of business here. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets +7 | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS here. I'll grab the points in this one. I guess it looks real easy to take the Texans and this defense vs a rookie QB. But I see a team that won by 2 at Washington 23-21. 19-17 at Denver. 37-34 at Indy. 20-17 loss at Tennessee. 20-7 win at Jax. I won't include 27-20 loss at NE. But I don't see a dominate team on the road. Loss by 5 at home to the Giants. Needed the Pick 6 Perriman of the Bills to toss another INT to win 20-13. 19-16 vs the Cowboys. Where is the dominance? 42-23 short week home win over Miami and back-up QB? I will give them Titans and Cleveland in back to back home games. But overall, this team has really gotten a lot of breaks, and luck along the way. There is a lot of love and I think inflated price on the Texans. Could be a nasty day as the weather is calling for 39-40 degrees and rain. Domed team from Houston playing in cold and nasty NJ weather. I'm dogging up. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 81 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with these guys last week as they sleep-walked setting for FGs last Sunday. I get it short week. Big, bad KC with their awesome rookie QB. They didn't have an easy Sunday as the Ravens took them to OT. And what I really take away from that, and why I had this circled early in the season. The defense. Not the Chargers defense. But the Ravens defense. That is like the old-school Steelers, Seahawks defenses of past. Where you get hit on every play. And the next game you are just mush. Baltimore brings that type of defense every game. And they got it for a game, plus OT. The short home week doesn't help them much other than sleeping in their own beds. I have been on LAC all season. This is a good team. The offense behind Rivers will carve up this KC defense. The Chargers defense isn't terrible. I think they can make some plays here. Bonus with the 3.5, but I won't be shocked at an outright win tonight. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS |
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12-10-18 | Vikings +155 v. Seahawks | 7-21 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS, going ML. You can grab 3, I'm going for the big pay-day. Both teams fighting for their playoff lives. I know this is a really tough spot. Minny off Patriots last week, now cross-country to fave Seattle in this tough home field. I'm just hoping after Sunday and all the craziness we saw in these games and upsets there is some magic left for us! - Seriously though. This has been a bad year for Minny. I thought they would be the top dogs in the North. I still have faith in their coach. Looking for the Vikes defense to step up and for Cousins to deliver on his game check. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-09-18 | Steelers -10 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Lost a brutal game on these guys last week. I am the first to say that I get you looking at Oakland here. Big Ben has some brutal road numbers. That being said though, I can't fade Pitt here. In a AFC North dog-fight, they need wins. Off that loss, they need a win. With their star fill in RB out, they really need a win. Raiders for some crazy win won at Arizona and cost me in that game. Last I checked, this team is, for a lack of a better word, tanking. They didn't want to pay Mack. They didn't want to pay Cooper either. I like their TE. And if they don't make any adjustments from LW vs LAC, a 40-20 win will turn into another mind-boggling 30-27 game. Big Ben should be able to pick apart this bad defense. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
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12-09-18 | Bengals v. Chargers -14 | 21-26 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I think they are just begging you to take Cincy. Look- I had the Steelers last week. Thought I was sitting pretty at the half. And then here come LAC. Now, we have had these guys a few times this year. I will grab them here. No let-down. This is a very good team. Both coaches for me are crap. And the guy on the other sideline should be run out of town after this season. Back up QB vs a tough defense. Potent offense vs the worse defense in the league. Chargers are scoring 35-40 today. Does Cincy get 20? 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS |
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12-09-18 | Saints -9.5 v. Bucs | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Have these guys at -7 that I put in last Sunday. Have them in Super Contest -8. No problem laying double digits today. New Orleans with rest. New Orleans with revenge. New Orleans defense vastly improved since Game 1 (we did have Tampa). New Orleans with 7 sacks last vs Dallas. New Orleans off worse offensive game since 2010. I"m not impressed with Tampa beating Washington, SF and Carolina at home. The first 2 offenses scare nobody. And Carolina, well, they were 6-2 at one point, now 6-6, so they are sputtering. Tampa defense may look improved. But they won't shut down a determined Saints offense. Bucs do have a great offense. #1 offense, #1 passing in the league. But prone to TOs. The defense is 27th overall, 28th against pass. Hello Brees to Thomas for 180 and 2 TDs. I'm looking at Kimara, Ingram and even Taysom Hill to have a big impact today. 4* Money Maker NO SAINTS |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. Not over thinking here. Dome team in cold weather. Aaron Rodgers gets his coach fired and I expect a huge day. Not just for him, but the entire offense. Defense is what it is. This is really a dead number - I don't think this is a FG game. This is GB running away by 2+ TDs as the Falcons, already sitting in last place, see their season slip away further. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS. |