Taking the BILLS here. Talk about a must with game. This is the one Buffalo needs in a bad way. Look. Saints are no great shakes. The defense that had been carrying them has been bad the last couple weeks. It started with 27 to Tampa. 27 more to Atlanta, who we saw lay back to back eggs on offense at Dallas at home to the Patriots. 23 to Titans not terrible. But, hello. 40 to the Eagles. Wow. Now an angry Bills team coming in off a humiliating loss. Maybe no Kimara again. This is far from a vintage New Orleans offense. Bills with a pair of clunkers in 2 of their last 3. Yes, Patriots on deck - but after this Thursday game, you worry about New England. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Cowboys

Taking the COWBOYS. Not that we love laying points at home with Dallas, but, they had been taking care of ATS business in Jerry's World with the exception of that Denver game. Now they are off an ugly Kansas City game. So. Amari banged up. Lamb too. Maybe Zeke. You know what. It won't matter. Because this Raiders team is in a free fall. 3 straight losses. Not even close the last 2. Oh. They are going to turn it on for Thanksgiving. I don't think so. I wasn't high on these guys to start the year. No way I can back them even at a TD price. Lots of problems on and off the field. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the LIONS here. Uh. The Lions.  But you know what, if they are going to win, today is the day. We lost a rough one with Bears ML last week. Yes, Chicago the more talented bunch. As I have said before on Mid Day Money - this team Does Not Quit. I want to go ML here. But I have been through enough emotional abuse for the week taking the Bears over the Ravens. Goff or Boyle, I think it doesn't really matter. Bears are a mess. Nagy could be canned. On the road with a backup Detroit battled a team better than this. This is going to be an ugly dogfight. Sign me up for the home puppy. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Going OVER the total. Brady will be on fire tonight. Bad loss. There is no way he gets outplayed here by Daniel "turnover' Jones. Start with TO Jones. He is good for a pick or fumble, probably 2. Short field generates points. Brady will torch NYG defense. Tampa defense is, eh. NYG off bye week. I expect to see some flare from them. Mid 50s sounds about right. 4* Total Money OVER Giants/ Tampa 

Taking the CHARGERS. Are you kidding? Pitt ties the Lions. Wow. Somehow these guys haven't lost in their last 5 games. This game is huge for both teams if they are thinking about having any chance of making the playoffs. And I have to side with the Chargers here at home. Better defense. Better QB. Big Ben might play. Maybe not. If he's out, this line is probably near 7. Doesn't matter. Steelers are mess with banged up guys. I like their coach - and he doesn't have them mail it in. But sometimes the talent is too much to overcome. And the talent is across the field tonight. Will be looking at the under here also. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS

4* Total Money UNDER Pitt/ Chargers 

Taking SEATTLE here. Here we go. Desperate team at home. 3-6. Off a shutout. Give me the small dogs here. Murray banged up if he plays. And I get it. Getting smacked by Cam and Carolina is pretty bad. But I like our HC better to respond off a bad game. We have a great leader on the field. No way he is taking being in last place in the division lightly. Circle the wagons time. Russ is 21-3 SU at home coming off a loss.  Bad game last week, got the rust off so to speak. And- Say Murray is back. Is coming in sharp as a tack throwing dimes? This Seattle defense is doing a great job. 17 on the road to GB. 7 to Jax. 13 to New Orleans. I should really just say that crazy Titans game and giving up 30 Minny on the road are their only bad games. Dog Outright is my thinking. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know KC finally showed up after what seems like an eternity of not covering game. 15-3 ATS NO Covers for KC last 18. How about an 0-9 ATS run at home. Yeah. A short number. But how many people will be saying - Oh, Mahomes and KC just have to win by a FG. Easy Money. Dallas Outright for me - Short week in Vegas. Back in first place in the AFC West. Have to take any points with Dallas. Their offense is just as good or better than Kansas City. Now. Coaching another story. Dallas with a Big D as in Dummy on the sidelines. Cowboys had it going last week, and that was with a big road trip to Arrowhead on deck. This is a big measuring stick for Dallas and Dak. I like the small dogs to win this one. 5*  Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking CINCY here. So we get the Raiders in off that KC Sunday night loss. Didn't look that good. I had Vegas there. Tough to back KC the way they had been playing. And playing on someone waiting to have a good game isn't how you make money over the years betting. In this spot though. Short week off big rivalry game for Vegas. They have to go to Dallas for Thanksgiving. And they have to face the Bengals, off their bye week, where they will be totally focused after getting blitzed 41-16 to the Browns before hand. Now. even off the bye we do have the Steelers lurking next week. Normal scheduling, this would probably be a pass. But the Bengals need wins sitting at 5-4. They are actually behind the 5-3-1 Steelers in the North. Conference wins will be important in a muddled playoff picture. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS 

Taking MIAMI. Extra rest off a nice win. A little booster heading to New Jersey knowing they have beaten the Jets 6 of 7 and last year's two games were a combined 44-3. Zach Wilson. Mike White. Josh Johnson. Joe Flacco. Does it even matter who is behind center? I understand wanting to maybe play on NYJ. Last time they got smashed 54-13, they upset Cincy 34-31. So after back to back games giving up 45 to the Colts and Bills, you think they show up. I don't think so. Joe Flacco looks to be getting the start. If Miami wants to at least show some pride in this season, beat a bad Jets team. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

4* Total Money UNDER Niners/ Jags

Taking MINNESOTA. For me it is simple. Wide open for the playoff pickings. And Minny needs a win here. At home. GB can lose, it won't crush them. Cousins has enough around him to match Rodgers. Now. Him rising to the occasion can be problematic, especially in prime time. 1pm Sunday he is primed to keep his solid year going. Will also be on the Under here. 4* Money Maker MINNESTOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML. You can grab the points. I am going for the big pay day. And why not. Baltimore 1-6 ATS as faves - straight up losses as faves to the Raiders, Bengals and Miami. How about the Lions game with a 700 yard FG! Easy money Ravens backers. Oh. Overtime for wins over the Colts and Vikings. I know Chicago and Fields is a tough backing. But, off a bye week, I think this will be their best game of the season. Plus. Anyone remember last time we saw the Bears on MNF getting hosed by the refs. Maybe we get a little repayment with a call or two. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the ATLANTA FALCONS here at home Thursday night. Have the Falcons ever recovered from 28-3? I mean, seriously. It has been a rough one since that Super Bowl. Look. We have NE in off a 38 point win over the Browns. Atlanta losses by 40 to Dallas. For me, a clearly buy low spot. I know people have short memories and it is a what have you done for me lately world. We saw NE struggle at Carolina. That game was 14-6 before a 88 yard pick 6 to make it 21-6. We can make fun of Matt Ryan - but the guy is better than Sam Darnold at home. Or how about the 27-24 road win at Chargers. Another dogfight.  I know you guys forgot- but I didn't since I had the Texans. 25-22 where the Patriots 10 points in the 4th quarter to over come a 22-9 deficit to, checks notes, Davis Mills! Sam Darnold and Davis Mills gave this team a hard time. Oh, you say they just play down. Fine - you win, the Falcons have 1 less win than Carolina. Desperate team in Prime Time. Cash that ticket baby. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Falcons 

Taking the RAMS. Had the Rams last week at -3.5 and the Niners at +2.5 and lost both having those numbers. Sometimes the good numbers do not matter. I think Rams rebound and SF continues to sink. It is that simple. One coach superior to the other. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Vegas played the Chiefs tough when KC was good. This team looks uninterested. I don't what else to say. The offense isn't as explosive. I know the Raiders have a bunch of off the field BS going on, but I have to take the home dog here. 4* Money Maker VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking SEATTLE. Will grab Seahawks at this price. Maybe Rodgers is forced out another week. Even if he plays, we know Seattle plays some wild games with Russ behind center. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the VIKINGS. This is a good team. We know we saw them losing to Dallas on SNF and Cooper Rush and think they are done. But take that bad game out. Their other losses are really tough losses. Chargers a solid bunch- that being said, I like Minny and the points. 5 losses by 18 points. Cousins 16 TDs 2 INTs. I think Cook is the difference maker in this one for us and runs through LAC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the COLTS. Indy 4-5. All 4 wins by double digits. All 4 wins over garbage teams. Miami, Texans, Niners, Jets. Ok maybe SF isn't as bad as the other 3. But the Jaguars are as equal to those team. Extra rest for Cots. Wetz with multiple TD passes in 6 straight games. 17 TDs 3 INTs on the year. A 5-1 ATS run (loss to Tenn) Jags off a huge upset over the Bills. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the BROWNS. This line hasn't budged and it looks like both Chubb and Hunt are out for the Browns. I don't care about ODB. He played, Cleveland lost. To NE. Are we impressed with their wins? 3 points over the Texans. The Jets? Panthers? Even the Chargers win was a close one. Baker might have not his top 2 RBs, but we saw the back up tear things up on a Thursday night. The OL is still solid. He still has guys to catch the ball. And the coach. The coach is good. You know we cashed a big COY ticket on him last season. The defense is good enough to cause problems for Mac. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had these guys last week, and we faded Atlanta in what was a miserable day. Today though, Dallas gets straight. Atlanta gave up 25 points to Trevor Simien and the Saints. 28 to Tua and Miami and 48 to Brady all on the road. Do we forget that Hurts and Philly put up 32 on these guys. Dallas better all over the field. After that loss, payback time. They cost themselves with some failed 4th down tries. A weird punt block. If Dallas doesn't get to 40 I will be shocked. And I don't think Atlanta scores 30+. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAMS. Well, another game we get a good number on. Didn't work out well for us with Cincy -4 last week vs the Jets. But again, we are ahead of the move - this time with Henry out of the year. Doesn't mean this is winner. I laid off Tenn/Indy last week since I thought beating the Bills and KC was tough. Add in an OT win over division rival that is a real tough run. Just a tough schedule spot having to come to face a good Rams team. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS

NO PLAY with no Rodgers -- Taking the PACKERS. Give me Rodgers getting any points and some extra prep time. What is there to say about KC? You will hear about the defense. You will head about their poor ATS run. Packers a solid team - at 3, count me in. 4* Money Maker GREEN  BAY PACKERS 

Taking SAN FRAN. Niners nearly beat these guys in Arizona. In fact, they should have won. And that is coming from someone who had the Cardinals that day. Murray banged up which is probably why the line is moving. Niners scored on 7 straight possessions vs the Bears. Maybe the offense is coming around. I just think that the even with the extra rest, Arizona will lay another egg here. I think SF takes the GB blueprint and runs through Arizona. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

4* Total Money UNDER Falcons/ Saints

Taking the COWBOYS. Could have grabbed Dallas at 7.5 waited, and here we are a point higher. Honestly. I don't think it matters. Cowboys should win this one by double digits. The offense is humming. Dak or no Dak. It was a big ugly in Minny, but Cooper got the job done. The defense is the real deal. Denver does not have the horses to run up and down the field here. If Dak plays, this is a 20 point game. With Rush, Dallas should still put up 30 here at home. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAVENS. Baltimore of their bye week. Spent that one thinking about how Cincy came in here and took their lunch money. Now they get Minny fresh off a Sunday night vs Dallas and a home loss to Cooper Rush! Man. This offense looks bad. Ravens looking to redeem themselves. Zim, who I loved, has been a money burner after a huge winning run. Vikings just 3-11 ATS their last 14. This might be too easy thinking all Baltimore has to do is win by a TD. The do have a short week going to Miami Thursday night. Still going with the home team. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking CAROLINA. Best HC maybe in NFL history vs Sam The Man at QB for Carolina. And this is the line. Panthers OUTRIGHT. Mac Jones with 1 passing TD on the road this season. Yeah. Put up some points last week. I think 900 FGs! A pick 6 INT and a rush TD. Nothing from Mac. I still like the Carolina HC. Maybe CMC plays. Guy can't stay on the field. Best WR is on the home team. I almost want to see QB2 for Carolina here. Fading the Patriots is a tough one, but I think we score the W here. Matt Ryan is still a decent QB and this defense did a great job. I think they can do the same this afternoon. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS

Taking the SAINTS. Matt Ryan an underdog to, checks notes, Trevor Siemian! A win over Brady will do that to you. But it is more than that. One. It starts with the defense. New Orleans will bring a defense to the field today. They will rally around the backup here. We have Kamara in the backfield to ease the burden, no worries in my mind. Atlanta. Ridley out. Defense still bad. I had both of these guys last week with mixed results. Carolina with the ugly 19-13 win. Falcons look lost on both sides of the ball for sure. Before that FG fest, they were in a wild game in Miami. They let the Jets score 20 on them. Safe to say backups and average QBs can move the ball and put up some points. How about that offense? What is going on with Matt Ryan. 13 points - 17 points at Giants - 6 vs Philly. Ok, want to be happy with the 30 in Miami and 25 at Tampa. We know Tampa D is suspect. 30 vs Washington. Again, home vs a bad defense. Saints defense will make plays when needed. Chalk up a 10 point win here. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Taking the COLTS. Are you really buying into the Jets? Bengals on the road for 3 straight games. Browns on deck. Jets gave up 54 the week before. This game was 31-20 before the Jets pulled off a miracle win. Colts much better coached team than Cincinnati. Off an OT loss and bad QB play, Indy will bounce back big here. I also like the UNDER. I think this is 27-10 type of game. Look for an improved Wentz here. Titans dealt a huge loss with Henry out. Colts need every game if they want to claim this division. Starts here at home vs a bad New York team. Let us not forget - these are the same Jets that lost 19-14 to the Panthers. 25-6 and 54-13 to NE. 26-0 to Denver. Yes, the pulled out weird wins over Tennessee and the Bengals. But they are 0-3 on the road scoring 16 points a game. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the COWBOYS. At a pk, worth the grab here on Dallas. The offense is really clicking. A bye week to get a little healthier. I do like Minny. I like Zimmer. You will how Cousins can't win Prime Time games. I don't worry about that. I think as much I like Zim, and he is a defensive guy, this Dallas offense is just too much for most teams. Cowboys defense does it what it needs to do to win games. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS. The betting world saw a 13-10 New Orleans win on Monday night where they couldn't score and let Geno Smith hang around. Oh what will Tom Brady do to them! Saints do have a decent defense. Maybe it is too good to be true and Tampa wins by 17 and Brady throws 4 more TDs. But I will grab the home dog here. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking CINCINNATI. Jets are a complete mess. If that is what you get out of a bye week - Send in the clowns. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the FALCONS. We will continue to fade the Panthers and Sam Darnold. I would have preferred to lay the early 1, but 3 it is. Falcons offense will score. We need the defense to make some plays. If Atlanta didn't blow a late lead to Washington, they would be 4-0 their last 4 games. Again, Panthers were darlins when they were beating the Jets and Titans with rookie QBs. Ryan has Ridley and Pitts and these teams are heading in opposite directions. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the BROWNS. Baker cleared to play. Bu you know what, I don' mind the back-up. Getting Chubb back is more important. Extra rest not really a factor as Pitt is in off their bye week. We last saw them battling Geno Smith and Seattle in Prime Time. Two straight wins for Cleveland after Pitt had reeled off 7 of 8. This Steelers team is really a shell of what he is use to having. Big Ben in for a long afternoon. I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the LIONS. Should have grabbed 3.5. Had +154 ML on Detroit out of the gate. Who is Philly to be laying? Lions always fighting to the end in their games. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS

Taking the BILLS. Buffalo with an extra week to think about that Titans loss. (winner for us on Tennessee!) Dolphins absolutely reeling. A gift win to start the year in New England. 6 straight losses since. 4th different stadium for Miami in 4 weeks and 8 straight games of football. Team is hot mess. Bills won 35-0 in Miami and they didn't break a sweat in the humidity. I have Buffalo putting up 40 here. Can't see the Dolphins staying close. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking ARIZONA. So we had both of these guys on Sunday. But this spot, it is all home team. GB is a traveling machine right now. Arizona tonight. At KC next week. WFT was sandwich between trips to Cincy and Chicago. Cardinals have made believers out of me. Total domination of the Rams and Browns. Rams, a team that had owned them. And the Browns, without bring their HC and others, not even close. Until someone gets within 5-10 of these guys, the offense will score 30+ and the defense will keep opponents under 20. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA CARDINALS

Taking SEATTLE. We had the Seahawks last Sunday night and will do it again here. Maybe this is the low hanging fruit with Winston and the Saints laying this kind of number. Toss out any old NO trends or stats. This isn't a Brees team. Same with Seattle. 10-4 ATS home dog run, but different times. Yes, Saints in off bye, but Seahawks in SNF to MNF not terrible. Geno with more reps under his belt, I think the defense will perform well. Winston completed 50% of his passes vs Washington. He had a nice game at New England. His other road game, a loss in Carolina. Too many points for that guy who Seattle will dare to beat them. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking TAMPA BAY, again FIRST HALF.. -6.5. Like Rodgers as our Top Play last week over Fields, we will take Brady vs the rookie. If the Bears do mount any kind of offensive attack, it will be late in the game. I think TB should win and cover both spots either way. This Chicago defense is decent, but the offense has major concerns. Brady lost to Bears last year - has gone 17-4 since leading Tampa. Back to Bears offense. Scored 14 or less in 3 of 6 games. 34-14 AT Rams. 26-6 AT Browns. 24-14 vs Packers. So on the road vs 2 playoff teams. 20 points. Allowing 60. Last we Tampa, they were letting Philly score 15 unanswered on a Thursday night. Extra rest. Revenge. Offense problems with a rookie HC. Take TAMPA BAY 4* Money Maker 

Taking the RAMS FH -8.5 here. Should have grabbed them at 13 when the line first opened, waited like a dummy and it is now 16. But 1st half. Let's get it. Lions shut out in 3 of their last 4 games in the first half. Add in the QB switch - the Rams HC despising his old QB. I think we have a blowout brewing. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS First Half 

Taking the FALCONS. Atlanta in off their bye week after playing Jets in London. Miami, back home from London, gets a game. Bad spot for the Dolphins. Value play for me. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the PACKERS. Now. At 9.5/10 points on the opener, I would be more inclined to take Washington. GB in off win over rival Bears. Huge short week Thursday game on deck vs Cardinals. But sitting at 7.5, I will grab the Packers here. And look at this scheduling spot. Back to back road games - Cincy and Bears. They beat Pitt here 27-17, before that, road game in SF. Next up-trips to Arizona and Kansas City. At least they have home games when the weather turns to a clear edge for them. I have to think they the move down is a reflection of that. On the road 5 of 6 weeks is tough. Guessing most guys have families and such that need addressing. But also. They are home. The fans. The field. They don't want to lay an egg here. They need wins. A tough pair of games up next. Washington looks like a team in complete disarray. So yeah, at 10, maybe WFT gets a look. Now at 7.5, I think GB is talented enough on offense to pull away here. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Carolina/ Giants

Taking the GIANTS. If ever a team was in a 'must win' mode, NYG is in it. Injuries. Bad play. Turnovers. Just a hot mess. The team is a MASH unit. Who knows who is even suiting up. Barkley?  WRs? Doesn't matter. This is make or break time for Danny 'Dimes', oops, I mean, Danny Turnover Machine. Joe Judge is on his way out if this team does not win today. He might not get fired after this game, but if they lose here, he is done this season. Carolina, even with a HC who I really like, is still missing its best player in CMC. And - Sam Darnold, yes that Sam Darnold, is back in the Meadowlands, as a favorite! So he looked good beating his old club, them NO who his DCOs know well. Then his team beats Davis Mills. But hello, Dallas. Heck, they should have beaten Hurts and the Eagles, but the team couldn't. Somehow the forced OT last week. But honestly, besides showing some fight against Minny, you want me to have faith with this guy leading the charge. Now the Giants are far from the Cowboys or Vikings. But this is really a 'circle the wagons' game for them. 1-5 on the year, and can turn into a 3-15 season in 60 minutes tomorrow. I'm taking the 3 and grabbing some +120 ML. 4* Money Maker NEW YORK GIANTS 

Taking the TITANS. Oh yeah. Everyone loving the Bills off a big win over KC. We can go easy and say, well, let down game. Of course there will be a bit of a let down. A road win in KC is a big deal for many teams. And people will be saying. You can't bet on Tennessee. They lost to the Jets! Well. I know last year the Titans steamrolled these guys 42-16. Turnovers help, and you can scream revenge angle if you want. But Titans with their WRs back. A bruising RB. A QB who is pretty good and nobody notices. Defense is yes, a little suspect. Titans not in any position to overlook teams with KC lurking ahead. Bills heading to an early bye week. Have to take the home dogs in this spot though. The look-ahead line of this game was Bills -2.5. This is a big overreaction the KC win. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money OVER Seattle/ Steelers 

Taking the COWBOYS. I like the Texans last week. I thought they would win outright over the Patriots. This NE team still struggling to score. Maybe at home they dial up the defense to slow down the Dallas offense. I don't see it. I think the Cowboys can overpower almost any team in the league. The defense is a solid, bend don't break unit. Not high on Mac Jones. HC edge for NE as always. But if you don't have the horses to run, tough to win the race. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BROWNS. A pair of losses for them in a pair of shoot-outs. But Arizona showing some dings in the armor. Cashed them last week as a Top 10, but it wasn't easy. Browns cost us a play last week. Tough one losing when you put up 42 and have no turnovers and can't close a game out. I think Browns getting home, run it down the Cardinals throats. The run game of Chubb and Hunt is unbelievable. Defense will regroup after last week. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the RAMS. Yes. Early start time for LA. But there is no way I am backing the Giants. Not off the Dallas game. I would have really loved the Rams if Philly or Washington was up next, but it is just the Carolina Panthers. Better coach. Better defense. Team that is must win mode because they have Super Bowl goals and want home field. This line will just go up and am happy to grab it under a TD. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the LIONS. Bengals with a coulda shoulda woulda game against Green Bay. Now they hit the road against another NFC North team. Detroit no world beaters, but they are scrappy. And as much as people love Burrow, I am not loving the coach. And I will gladly fade them as road favorite. Not many willing to give Detroit any love - but I won't be shocked if they win this one outright. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Giants

Taking the VIKINGS. Not sure why I waited on this one. What have we seen out of Carolina? Them shut down Hurts, Darnold, Mills and Winston. I am not sold on this defense. Dak lit them up for 4 TDs. Cousins isn't Dak, but he better than the other 4 guys. Philly barely got the win here. A better home team wins that. CMC sighting expected. But is he 100%, doubtful. So they bring him back early to get some pressure off their QB. Won't help. The defense will be chewed up by an experienced QB. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking GREEN BAY. Stop with the Bears talk already. You beat a reeling Raiders team. Bears last in NFL in total offense and passing yards. Your QB threw for 111 yards last week. Fields is completing 51% of his passes. 1 TD (2 yarder) and 2 INTs on the year. The team threw for 1 yard against Cleveland. I will say I will agree, the Packers defense isn't the Browns defense. This team is not a good team. Passing yards for Bears game with Fields and Dandy Andy. 109- 185-1 -83 - 188..  In today's NFL, you are leaning on this passing game? Hope the QB gets 2 TDs and play the field position game vs Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers will laugh at his HC when it is 4th and 2 on the Bears 36 and will have the offense out there looking to score TDs after last week's game. Again. You are betting on Fields over Rodgers. You aren't getting 17 like the Texans were getting. You aren't getting 10. You aren't even getting half of that. Last year. 35-16 GB, 41-25. Even if middle the Bears points and you think they score 20 - You really think GB isn't getting 25? This game is 34-13 all day and the Packers win this by double digits 99 out of 100 times. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking MIAMI. Miami off getting squashed by Tampa. No shame in that. That Jags are the Jags. I think Urban gets left in England after this game. Actually, the owner is such a nice guy, he will fly him home. Miami will be refocused and ready to get right. And this is a get right opponent. Nothing to really say here. The Jaguars come into every game with a severe disadvantage based on their coach. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking TAMPA. Bucs with a 'easy' win over Miami. When I say easy, I say from a physical stand point of the game. Yes, they had a cushy win, but Eagles in a tough grinder vs the Panthers. And let's really just get to the bottom line here. Last time we saw Brady and Tampa in Prime Time, they looked terrible vs New England in the rain. Short of another driving rain, Tampa wins this one by double digits. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Going OVER the total. Don't really over think this thing - First -- Last year this game was 24-10 in Indy. That was with Rivers at QB. A QB who the Ravens had seen enough of. 2 -- Colts are 10-2 ATS last 12 in the series. They have played twice since 2014. I wonder who was the QB for those other 10 games. --  I think both defenses are suspect. Indy is an Over team. 7 straight vs teams with winning records. Why? Because the defense isn't good and a good team will score. Over in 4 of last 5 on the road. Why? The defense is not good. Over is 9-4 last 13 games. Why? The defense is not that good. Colts in Week 1 with a banged up QB lost 28-16. A 27-24 loser in Week to Rams in a game they should have scored more. Laid an egg at Tennessee. 27-17 at Miami. Miami scores 17 with that offense. Ravens played a 33-27 and 36-35 games in b2b weeks. The 19-17 game in Detroit was shocking I had Lions + Over thinking I would get a late backdoor in something wild. And 23-7 at Mile High was expected. Here at home, I expect nothing less than 31 points from Baltimore. 5* Best Bet Total Money OVER Colts/Ravens 

4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Chiefs

4*  Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Taking the COWBOYS. So we rolled out the Giants in our Tuesday Teaser show on Mid Day Money and again on the Sunday Free Pick show. But that was against a poor New Orleans bunch. You can say what you want about it will be a 'tough' division game. Last year we saw 23-19 and 37-34 games. One game with half of Dak, the other without. Before injuries, Dallas Dak won winning games 37-18 and 35-17. This is that kind of offense. And the defense is a very improved unit from the last couple years. I have said before - when I see 7.5 (or a 3.5), I am jumping on the favorite. It is going to be blowout. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. I thought that the Rams coaching would force the Cards to lay an egg last week. But LA could not overcome the hangover win over Tampa. Out of the gate fast, Arizona never looked back. Not sure how SF slows this offense down. Or, even keeps up. I don't like Lance. Like I don't like Wilson. You can't just toss rookie QBs out there and expect HOF results. Now, with Jimmy G hurt again. And who knows if he plays or not. This is early week write ups and betting. Even if he goes, he is not 100%. Not close. This team has injuries that are hurting them. Back to Lance as a rookie starting on the road. How did that work out when we faded Fields and the Bears in his first start in Cleveland. Arizona fans will be nuts today. Cards get to 40 here. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the BROWNS. Cleveland in off a dog-fight - happy to cash them as a Sure Shot Play last week. Back to back roadies are tough. But Chargers with zero edge playing at home. They are on a short week. Added bonus to that is they just played their division rival. We have see this two headed rush attack of the Browns and that will keep Herbert off the field for long stretches. And if he is on the field, it is because our offense is carving up their defense. Browns a solid team on both sides of the ball. New regime still working out the kinks for the Chargers. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the BEARS. This is really just fading the Raiders off of MNF. Tough division game. Everyone watching. Now they get Da Bears. Chicago defense still decent. Mack might want to make a statement vs Gruden. Who knows. That will just be talking head chatter this week. I don't like Fields. Would rather have one of the veterans behind center. Worse case, he gets pulled and we rally for the back door cover. Honestly- not going to be shocked if Vegas lays a total egg and losses this outright. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the TITANS. Had these guys -5 last week and they lose outright. Just because you get the best number, doesn't mean you get win. A couple WRs missing, Tennessee still should have beaten the Jets. A Jets team that had done absolutely nothing on offense. I am not saying 'No Way Titans Lost Two In a Row." They can easily lose this game. Any team can lose. Jags with extra rest. Everyone saw them on Thursday night football looking like they win on the road. But I am not buying it. Bengals still a young team. This is a veteran team. Veteran coach. Bad defense, yes. But they should take advantage of Trevor and Urban. And oh Urban. Should be a fun presser on Monday morning. Tennessee to get back on track for me. I'll take a shot here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Going OVER the total. Cincy is going to be throwing the ball. They do not have an answer for Rodgers. I will be shocked if he doesn't throw 5 TD passes. Maybe Jones runs a couple short ones in. But Green Bay will be approaching 40 today. Bengals have offensive weapons. They have a QB who can chuck it. Anything Over 55 should be a winner this afternoon. 4* Total Money OVER Packers / Bengals

Taking the JETS. Jets hurt he bankroll last week. No WRs  might have helped the cause. Now they get a reeling Atlanta bunch. Now - in the Dome, maybe I would be thinking Falcons. But in London. Road game. Not a chance. And honestly. I like the way the Jets coach has his guys not quitting. Falcons are in a bad place. I think their HC is overmatched. Not impressed at all. Give me any points I can get with New York. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders are 3-0 with a pair of OT wins. Chargers 2-1 and could be 3-0 if they got some calls vs Dallas. And before we get into, oh, let down spot for LAC with win in KC, remember, Vegas could be in a let down spot themselves. I mean. They get a huge non call that Miami should have had a PI in the end zone. Short line here, so I am grabbing the home team. LAC has shown they can slow down, and stop an offense. Chiefs and Dallas can move the ball and score with anyone. Raiders, for me, with wins over a backup Miami QB - a game they battled back and could have lost. At the Steelers, who, the question is, how did the Bills choke away the game. And finally, an opening night win over the Ravens with RBs they picked up at the RB Dollar Store. And you need OTs vs the street RBs and a journeyman QB. Like we saw with the Ravens over the Broncos. Sometimes the record is inflated based on the teams you play. Chargers the better roster. I think they have big edge with their WRs over the Vegas corners. Herbert will exploit that. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. I don't see how this line does not get pumped up. I don't even know what happens vs the Rams, but I think this is a game for Brady to explode on. And that is saying something cause the guy tosses 4 TDs a passes a game like clockwork. I can't see NE keeping it within a touchdown. I know The Hoodie will have some insight on how to slow down Brady. But there are just too many weapons for Tampa. Overall talent wise on both sides of the ball, edge Bucs. This is just a bad spot for Mac Jones. The defense for Tampa will want to stomp this kid out for their QB. Maybe I am being a square on this one. But unless this line moves at least 2 or 3 points, I can't even think of grabbing the Patriots. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the PACKERS. This Steelers team is a hot mess.But short of Rodgers retiring, Green Bay should be able to exploit this Pitt defense. I won't get into a lengthy discussion about Big Ben. The entire Steelers offense is worrisome. I know it is easy to say fade GB off a big road win. But I can't see Pitt slowing down this offense or, having even offense to stay within a touchdown. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Going OVER the total here. These guys have played over in 5 of their last 6. I won't be shocked when both teams get to 30 here. But the fact is, we need one to get there and the other to be in the 20s. I think that is a solid play. Seattle gets up and down the field. Wilson is again off to a blazing start. Injuries again piling up for San Fran. The offense can still score, especially against this Seahawks defense that, let's face it, is not very good. 5* Total Money OVER Seattle/ Niners 

Taking SEATTLE, going ML. I mean, if you think the Seahawks hang in there get a backdoor to lose by 1, I guess, you grab the 2.5 or buy to 3. But I am going ML. I though San Fran would battle the Rams for the top of the NFC West. This team looks to has some major flaws again due to injury. Russ will Russ. We know Seattle scores and gives up points. But we are always in it. We faded them last week with this game being the more important road game of the two. The win outright this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the RAMS. Ok. At first glance, we think let-down spot right? Off big win over the Super Bowl Champs. A nice game on both sides of the ball. Maybe Tampa was looking ahead to NE. Maybe their secondary isn't just that great. I think it is a combo of both plus, the Rams are good. Here comes the early MVP favorite in Murray and the Cards. Early start last week. Struggled a bit. Easy to think they come in here, cover or even knock off LA. I don't see it. One. Huge edge coaching for the Rams. Two. LA owns Arizona. 8 straight wins over the Cardinals. 9-10-7-27 the last 4 margins of victory. Maybe people have forgotten the miracle win for Arizona at home over the Vikings. I guess they forget them being behind at the half off a crazy special teams play. Not buying Arizona. The money has come in from 6 to 4.5 on Arizona. Edge for us on the shorter number - though I think this is a double digit winner. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking the CHIEFS. So we all know KC has is now what, 1-12-1 ATS last 14 or something terrible along those lines. I will say I have had KC all 3 weeks. I thought they were begging us to take Cleveland week 1. And I love me some Browns this season. In Week 2, we had a nice 2.5 early number and had a double digit lead before a collapse on national tv. Then last week. A game I thought they would come out and dominate based on the Ravens game, and, more importantly, having a full season of film on Herbert, and seeing the Chargers not really get the offense offense vs Washington and Dallas to a lesser degree. Now this is it. Coach out of the hospital. 2 straight losses. This line will only go up. Every saw the Eagles look awful last night. But news flash, this is not a good team. This is as much of a 'must win' game for KC as any tam needs a 'must win.' Philly might be able to run a bit since we saw Lamar expose this defense. But there is zero way that Mahomes doesn't shred this defense. Simple for me. I hate saying someone has to win. But I will go back to the well one last time on the Chiefs. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BROWNS. Might be a square play, but I am taking it. You know I was high on Cleveland last year. I am still high on them this season. Defense. Run Game. Ball control. I like the HC. He knows this Minny team. I think people forget he was on this Viking staff. This defense will know exactly how to contain Cousins. Also. Seattle was the same small fave last week over these guys. And the Browns overall, head and shoulders better than the Seahawks. Oh. Pretty sure Seattle was up double digits early in this game also. Make no mistake. Cleveland gets up and they can bury you with a double headed brutal rush game. The defense and pass alone, and Stefanski knowing this team. Huge edge. We cashed Minny as our Top 10* last week. Total opposite thinking today. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Going UNDER the total. Both teams decent on defense. We have seen Dallas lay eggs off prime time games. Panthers will look to milk the clock. 4* Total Money UNDER Carolina/Dallas

Taking the TITANS. I have an old buddy named Scoop. He would always say when talking about his mid 90s Steelers. Can't win if you can't score. Gregg Lloyd and Rod Woodson took peoples souls. I say the same about the Jets. This QB looks like a deer in headlights. I thought it was a bad pick in April. I think it is bad now. Maybe he grows and is the QB they think he will be. But for now. I can't see NYJ slowing down the Titans. The offense is just too good. The line is short enough where even if the Jets somehow punch one in late, I don't think the spread will come into play. Henry will maul these guys. Then the WRs will get their shots in. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BENGALS. I'll be honest. Part of me wanted to jump on the Jaguars here. Thought about it last week against the Cards. Early start time. Rams on deck. Even with that, and a special teams TD, Jags couldn't muster a backdoor cover. I don't think they get one here either. Burrow has command of his offense. Plenty of weapons before his WR teammate from college arrived. Defense is solid. Trevor looks over-matched out of the gate. This isn't the ACC baby. NFL defenses. 7 INTs 54% completions. That won't get you many win or even covers here. You're coach will be retiring in December. I am no fan of the Bengals HC either. But they have too much talent on offense not to win this one by 2 touchdowns. Short week also hurts the young Jags. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Maybe they do have a bit of a defense. Had Dallas and the Over last week, got a split. We faded the Eagles again and got the win. That is 2 straight wins for us on San Fran. Tonight though. Dallas. I have to say, this over looks a little high, 52. With scores of 17-11 and 20-17 last week. Fishy. I know Philly plays the Boys tough. I just think the offense should be able to get us over the hump here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the VIKINGS, going ML. This is an absolute 'must win' circle the wagons' whatever you want to call it for Minny. They have let 2 games slip through their fingertips. Pressure is on. Good thing though -Seattle comes to town. A team that has no problems going up and down the field. Hey, we get up 20 points its ok, we will let you come back and tie things up. Cook might not be Henry, but he is a great back. Should open things for the WRs here. Vikings can easily be 2-0. Don't blame the offense. They will put 30+ up on this Seattle unit. We just need a defensive stop. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Just a better team for me at home. I have not been high on Miami coming into the season. I won't be high on them during the season. I think the defense is overrated. I think the offense is overrated. Though they do have an edge at HC. I really like Flores. Something about being home in Vegas I like about the Raiders. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Going OVER the total. Ravens defense doesn't look like the 2000 edition. And this is another tough, tough spot. Opening on the road in Vegas and going into OT. Home vs the Chiefs. This game just screams over. 4* Total Money OVER Ravens/ Lions

Going OVER the total. Washington does have some extra time to prepare. The defense looks like it needs a little help. And the Bills offense has been so-so in their first two games. This is just a low line even if Washington defense shows up like they were part of their Super Bowl Champion teams. 4* Total Money OVER Washington/ Bills 

Going OVER the total. I almost want to take KC minus the -6.5 here But I just hear the voices -- All Mahomes has to do is win by a touchdown. Easy money. Forget it. I am going OVER. KC will put up 30. Chargers offense will chuck it with their young QB. This line will be 54-56 soon. 4* Total Money OVER Chargers/ Chiefs 

Going UNDER the total. Browns defense will feast on this Bears team. I am just worried that Cleveland scores 37+ and threatens the over by themselves. 4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Browns 

Taking the LIONS. If we have seen anything from the Lions, it is they Do Not Quit. Big comeback vs the Niners. And taking a lead into the half at Green Bay. Now they get the Ravens, and are nearly a double digit home underdog. Baltimore enters off a huge win over KC. A win is a win, but they got the gift fumble. Also, this defense is like a wet paper bag holding a rock. Way too many points and that back-door is wide open. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the BROWNS. You are kidding me with this line right? I though this line should be 9, maybe 10. Everyone excited about Justin Fields. Ok. Great. Cincy Joe Joe tossed 3 INTs, 1 for a TD. The score was 7-3 heading to the 4th before a flurry of miscues make it a 20-17 final. You have that much faith in the rookie on the road? In the Dawg Pound. Against a defense that just laid an egg? Good Luck. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I believe KC is now on something like an 0-10 ATS run. 1-11-1 ATS if you want to go back a little further. Tough one last week. I had KC -2.5 and still think I had the right side. Chiefs have been playing down and down and down to their opponents. I think Andy Reid doesn't call the dogs off today. He has a super QB. No way he is giving the ball to a RB with the game on the line ever again. They are in off a loss where the defense was absolutely horrible. Now they get Herbert. Kid was the spot starter after Tyrod Taylor was stabbed in the lung! Ok. They don't know much about the kid, close game. Then it was a Week 17 game. Yeah. KC was really invested in that game before the playoffs begin. Now they have a year of tape. They are off a bad game. They have seen the Charger score 20 and 17 points with their new coaching staff. If ever Andy Reid was to 'release the hounds', it is right now. KC should score 40 today. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Had these guys last week. Couldn't get it done. Slow start and we paid for it. Chiefs have owned Baltimore in the past. I don't see this changing much. They are really beat on offense. I won't be shocked at a Raiders win on MNF over the Ravens. I actually took Vegas +140 FH. Again. Ravens on offense, a mess. KC offense, well you see what they can do. I don't think this line gets any lower. Will only go up, especially if Baltimore lays an egg Monday night. I will grab KC early at this price. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the TITANS. Oh how bad did these guys look last week. Totally cost us a play on the over. We did cash Seattle and the Under in their game. I just feel that Tennessee is much better than what they showed last week. Might take a bite of the over 52.5 here also. I think this is going to be a back and forth game. Seattle is good for either being down, and coming back. Or being up, and allowing teams to score. Give me Tennessee to bounce back off their game and maybe even pull an outright win here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS

Going OVER the total. Dallas with extra rest here. Can't hurt Dak's arm. Guy was said to have a 'tired shoulder' in pre-season. Coach lets him throw the ball 47 times. The same as the 2nd year starter for the Chargers! Have to love coaches who want to chuck it up and down the field. Especially when one team has a terrible defense. Chargers defense ok,  but I don't see them holding the Cowboys offense in check. Shoot out in LA. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Chargers 

Taking the COWBOYS. Nothing like extra rest and prep time for a road trip. Dallas at home, tricky betting as favorites. On the road though, sign me up. I expect this game to be a shoot-out. We have the OVER 52.5 in this one. I can't say anything bad about the Chargers. They went on the road and beat, who I think, has the best defense in the NFC. I like the DL of Washington a bunch. But the Chargers escape with a win- albeit vs a backup QB as Fitzmagic got hurt. Dak is much better than those guys, and the Cowboys offense is electric. What we need for the outright win here is for the coach to stop with his bonehead decision making. A lot of times I just go ML on games like this, but Dallas is Dallas. Take the FG here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking SAN FRAN. Got a win at the right number last week with these guys. What an epic meltdown. No way the coach stands for that this week. Let's be honest. Eagles played way over their heads - and the Falcons did me no favors as I backed them. But is Philly that good, or is Atlanta just a hot mess. I am leaning more to the second. Back to San Fran. They were cruising. We see what happens when you take your foot off the case. A couple lucky plans and you barely get out of town with a win. NFC West clearly the best division in football. No time for mistakes or bad losses. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Going UNDER the total. Cleveland a run first team. A very good defense. Texans were a nice win for a last week. But this isn't Jax. Browns a team with Super Bowl dreams. Defense will overwhelm Houston. 4* Total Money UNDER Houston/Browns

Going UNDER the total. Jaguars are bad. Denver brings a solid defense. We know defense travels. Teddy B a nice covering machine when he starts. But the line is a bit too big for my liking. I don't see the Jags getting 20 points today. Broncos aren't a monster offense. For me, defense makes this team go. 4* Total Money UNDER Denver/ Jags

Taking the PATRIOTS. I see 3.5s up to 5. I will lay a little extra money if I have to 120/130. Obviously I think the Patriots are going to win this one by double digits. If I take a favorite, I am thinking blowout. When I take a dog, I think we are winning outright. I had New England last week. Tough loss. 1 of 4 in the red zone. A turnover 2 FGs. That won't cut it. The defense is good. We knew that. And now it gets to face a rookie QB. Did we see the Jets offense last Sunday? I won't be shocked if this game gets to 6 or 7. I think people will be hammering Patriots off a loss. In this spot, I think it is warranted. I would say, if NE was in off beating Miami, maybe I would think of grabbing the home dogs. But everything is week to week in NFL. And this one checks all my boxes for a huge blowout win. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the RAMS. I know people want to jump on the dog here. I wouldn't even bite if Fields was playing. Best defense guy in the game will be looking to feast on Bear meat tonight. I think Stats Padford. Pad Stattsford. Oh wait Matt Stafford will have a big game. A team he beat when he was on a bad team. This team has talent around him. Should be a fun offense to watch. Nagy should be canned. Could very well be on the under 46.5 here also. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS