Taking the JAGS here. Appears all these guys needed was new coach on the sidelines. Colts will mail it in with nothing to play for here. While Jax players need to show ownership and whatever HC will be taking over, that they are quitters. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking TAMPA here. Part of me says take Carolina as they will be playing for pride and yada yada yada. Super Bowl team out of the playoffs, that type of motivation. But I can't overlook the injuries here. I know all teams are banged up. But I think the Panthers mail it in here. Bucs have the slimmest of shots at the playoffs. Honestly, for them to make it, they need a real miracle. But you figure with no pressure they win it going away here. In front of a home crowd, I think getting to 9-7 is a big deal. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY 

Taking CLEMSON here. Where is the respect for this team? Total smack in the face. Dabo will have these guys extra chippy with a monster chip on their shoulders here. Ohio State has set the precedent that you don't have to be a conference champ to get in the playoffs. And you can lose a h2h with the conference champ and still get here. I don't want to hear how the Big 12 has no championship game and gets left out of these things from now on. Look. Buckeyes have a good team, but are not as explosive as years past. They are 6-6 ATS this year. Penn State and Michigan beat them in the trenches and Clemson is +22 sacks on the year. That is where this game will be won. And this Clemson team is nothing but focused at getting back to Alabama.. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

Let's get it here. ROLL TIDE - How can we not take these guys. They have been rolling all year. We had the over in the SEC Championship Game and I said that both sides of the ball from Alabama wears you down. Do we really think extra time off is going to help here? Let's be honest. This line will only get higher. I might come back with a middle if it gets to near 20. Washington is a good team. The ole, chip on the shoulder, disrespected thing going on here. PAC 12 is the little brother conference and all that jazz. Are we really giving this Alabama staff nearly a month to game plan here? I can have a big to-do about individual players on both sides and balls and run down some stats. Bottomline is this - I see something like in the 38-17 range. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

Taking LSU here. This team is good. You know I like their HC and have cashed already with him this year. We have the whole Heisman jinx thing going on for UL. And look. UL Had much higher hopes than the Citrus Bowl. These guys climbed to #3 in the polls after they pasted Florida State. But they lost to Houston and Kentucky. And are here. A dog to a 7 win team. Fournette was banged up this year and the Tigers really skip a beat with their rush attack. 10* Money Bomb LSU TIGERS 

Taking FLORIDA STATE with the points and ML +225 here. What is there not to like? 'Noles get to a face another big league program. And to help things along, a pro-style offense that their defense can contain while catching a TD. Sign me up. FSU was at it's worse playing run-type QB offenses. Michigan is not that kind of offense. Plus, they limped to the finish line. The covered 1 game against a ranked team they played. That was Penn State. Colorado, Wiscy, Iowa, Ohio State. All tough games for the Wolverines. Florida State defense was #1 in the nation in sacks, Michigan #2. But we have seen the Michigan OL struggle lately. Dog outright here. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. These guys were humiliated last year in bowl action, and no way Mike Gundy lets that go down 2 years in a row. Cowboys excited and bring a potent offense into the Alamo Bowl. Both teams off losses that would have given them Conference Titles. But I think Colorado, for all the times we did cash on them, is just the weaker team. Buffs new to the bowling with nary a player ever been to one. This is routine for Okie State. Can't help but think we will have a Big 12 friendly crowd playing here in Texas also. Final thought is that Colorado loses it's DC. So even with a replacement in-house, it just isn't the same as a the experience walking away. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. How can we not back this HC? Snyder a profitable 5-1 as a dog this year (loss at Oklahoma) and are 27-13 67.5% last 40 under him. A&M roared out to a fast start but has been pedestrian down the stretch. Sumlin < Snyder is no contest. Sumlin 0-7-1 ATS last 8 game for the Aggies. Whispers that Snyder is hanging it up after this win. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE

Taking NORTHWESTERN and the ML +185 here. And why not. Last year we cashed a monster 10* on Tennessee and they destroyed Northwestern. No way they come out like that here against Pitt. This line I think will continue to rise since the public just loves a team that scores 70 in regulation. But Northwestern can move the ball themselves and have a defense capable of a stop or two. I think getting to 7-6 is a big factor backing the Wildcats. 5* Best Bet NORTHWESTERN 

Taking DENVER and grabbing the +160 here. We had the Broncos at home blowing a game vs these guys on Sunday night. Well, what better gift than revenge here on Christmas night. KC 2-8 ATS last 10 home games. Denver out yarded this group by 200 yards and blew an 8pt lead with 12 seconds to go. Not happening here. Denver defense should again corral Smith and I am expecting the Broncos offense to score us a low scoring outright win. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the SAINTS here. A little revenge game for Brees and New Orleans. Tampa kept Drew out of the end zone 2 weeks ago, but he is in off a monster game against Arizona. Like my Titans/Jags write up. How do know what Tampa does here? They haven't been in must win games in years. Final home game for Brees. It could be his final home game for the franchise. Heck, their HC could be ousted at the end of the year. Something tells me that Brees and the boys have one more big game left in the bag. 8* Sure Shot NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the PACKERS here. Oh how the times have changed. Vikes started 5-0. I know I can't take last weeks loss to the Colts (we had Minny) as a main reason to like GB, but you can't be happy with the total play of the Vikings. The OL is still a mess. The defense can't bail you out every game. And let's be honest here. Minny was a dome team for a long time even though they play outdoors now. So in Green Bay, the advantage grows with Rodgers behind center. And what about A-A-Ron. Guy has pulled the Pack off the trash heap and primed for a playoff spot. This is one of those spots that Green Bay excels at. Taking advantage of a floundering team. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the BROWNS here and grabbing +210 on ML. This is it for Cleveland. Road trip at Pitt next week who will probably be in some kind of playoff positioning game. So here it is. San Diego, on the road, cold weather and elements. Rivers tosses more INTs late in the season than anyone I can remember. We know that the Browns are going to show heart here. Nobody wants to go win-less. I think that the Mike McCarthy HC era will be coming to an end. This team is 9-21 their last 30. Where is the motivation for them? At least Cleveland is playing its final home and will want to get that W for them. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML +155. We cashed with Carolina on MNF over these Redskins. Now they are really backed into a corner where they need to win and get help. Bears have been competitive with Barkley behind center. So MNF, now on the road, on a Saturday vs a team being led by a guy who is out to prove himself. Live dog for me here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS

Taking the BILLS here as my NFL GAME of the YEAR - Right off the bat we have Rex Ryan coaching for his job and questions around QB Tyrod Taylor. Rex is a players coach, and his players will go all out here in their final home game. We have the fact that the 3 years here in Buffalo, the Bills won by 16 (33-17), 19 (29-10) and 19 again (19-0). Are we really sold on Matt Moore for 2 solid road games in division play coming off the bench? The truth is, Miami can lose this and face a NE team that is already locked into 1 bye seed in cozy Miami next weekend. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in this series last 11. Miami 2-5 ATS last 7 vs Bills and 0-4 ATS here in Buffalo. 10* NFL GOY BILLS 

8* Sure-Shot Total OVER La Tech/ Navy

Going OVER the total here. Tulsa should put up about 50 here. I am pretty confident that the Chippewas can get us 24-30 points. Tulsa has a pretty potent offense and CMU has a timely defense that has put some points on the board. Won't be shocked a bit to see a special teams score here either. Should be a wild one in Miami. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Central Michigan/ Tulsa 

Taking the RAVENS here. Tough spot for us off that MNF push. But Baltimore is a veteran team with a very good coach, so I think they take care of the sliding Eagles here. We have a very good defense vs a team that is 2-8 their last 10 games. 2-8! Remember all the talk of the new Philly defense and their QB. Well the rookie has 14 turnovers his last 8 games. Eagles have failed to score more than 15 in 3 of their last 4 games. They face an angry BLT squad that boasts one of the best defenses in the league. In off that loss, with bitter rival Pitt on deck, Ravens can't afford a slip off. A loss and they are out of the playoffs. This is a playoff game for them. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking TENNESSEE here. One of the few positives from the year for us was our call on these guys. This is a solid team. They aren't sexy in today's fantasy league style of play. They are ugly and pound you death. As I said on my Thursday podcast, all KC does is win. Win win and win some more. But they are 2-7 ATS last 9 at home, and Mariota looks like he is putting it together with 21TD and 3 INTs his last 10 games. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the COUGARS here. I'll be honest, was thinking of grabbing the ML dog here. But I think that Houston still has plenty to prove here. They will get to send off their QB with a nice bowl win, and enter their new HC, OC Major Applewhite with a bowl win. They also keep their DC in place. Can't forget that these guys beat the Big 12 Champ in Oklahoma, and a pretty good Louisville team with a QB who nearly won the Heisman. Aztecs don't much gas left in the tank. I can see them being close for half, but Houston is pulling away for a double digit win here. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. Normally you would shy away from a team making a repeat appearance in b2b bowl games. But for the Lobos, this is a sweet spot for them. A home game! They lost in this bowl last year to Arizona. They are now nearly a TD fave over bowl newcomer UT San Antonio. Just have to think that Bob Davies group is hungry for a win here. A nice 8-4 season would turn into something huge to catch a bowl win since they haven't since 2007. They offense is powerful enough to overcome the short comings of a bad D. I see a 10pt cushion for us this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb NEW MEXICO 

Taking the RAVENS here as my GOW. Look. This Baltimore team always plays the Patriots hard. They have proven they can win up here in the playoffs. They aren't afraid of Brady. The defense is the real deal. They are coming on when it counts. Flacco can do enough to keep it close here. They have a solid FG kicker who can kick in the elements. So no Gronk. A banged up Bennett. A banged up Brady. Ravens finally looking healthy. I'll grab the points here. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking DALLAS here. Were done in again with a late score that cost us a cover last week. I don't want to hear about how the Giants won in Week 1. A totally different Dallas team coming to town tonight. First. We are in with extra rest. Always a plus, especially in mid-December. Giants didn't face this offense. Oh, they saw a little Elliot and glimpses of Dak. But we are way past Game 1 and the Dallas OL is a well-oiled machine making this offense one of the leagues best. The bend don't break defense lives up to that exact billing. Losing JPP is a painful loss for the GMen. They will need to find someone else to step up and generate some pressure on Dak. Nothing has changed for me about NY. Their run game is suspect. It is ODB or nothing in the air. The DL will struggle here. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS here. I see from 7.5 up to 8.5s in some spots, and even a 7 or to. Look. It is an ugly Sunday of dogs for me for sure. One. I like my dogs. And we had been close to 60% before the last week's horrible 1-7 day of sides and totals. That being said. That is one day. We are going to get back on track as we always done season after NFL season. So, nobody giving Chicago a shot here. All I hear is revenge game for the Lions. We have talked about on my podcast how Detroit seems to rally in the 4th. The back-door should be wide open for a late cover here. Also, we can't discount that Detroit home games have been decided by  1-1-3-3-7-3 points this year. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the TITANS here. Tell me you had Tennessee favored over the defending Super Bowl champs here? I faded Denver last week off that KC game and they scored late to crush my bankroll. I will do it again here. I know the Broncos have a pretty good defense, but I think they favor a more pass happy team, then the power run game that the Titans will use. Tennessee with the edge at QB regardless who starts for Denver. Coming out of their bye week, this is a perfect spot for us to jump on the home team. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BILLS here. So we have the 6-5, fighting for their playoff lives Buffalo Bills catching just a lowly FG from the 9-2 Raiders? Seems a little sketchy to me. Tough spot as the Bills are West Coasting it for the 3rd time this season. But I think Rex gets the best out of his troops this afternoon. Oakland with huge game next with against KC. Buffalo can put points on the board. And we know the Raiders stop unit gives up plenty of yards and points. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking ATLANTA here. Sign us big time here. I think Atlanta is having a nice little season. They have always played good with Matty Ice here at home. But what really gets me on them here is last Sunday night. Granted, we failed to get the cover as we had Denver. But KC left it all on the field for that win. Played an extra quarter of football vs a bitter division rival. Oh, and they have the other division leader, the Oakland Raiders on deck. KC has been winning games. But a closer look over the last few shows us this. A late rally and OT win at Denver. A home loss to Tampa. A miracle win in Carolina down 17-3 in the 4th. Getting out-yarded but beating the Jags. Just playing with fire in my book. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking CLEMSON here. I think Dabo rates a clear edge over the new VT staff. This has been a huge year for the Hokies in Year 1 after Beamer Ball. But this Tigers team has responded after a rough loss. I just think this team is really focused on getting back to face Alabama. They seemed to go through the motions a few times this year. But they know they are out of the playoffs with the way the Committee is treating the Big 10 teams. I expect a statement here. Hokies possess a dual threat QB and we saw how Clemson handled UL in almost the same spot. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS

Going OVER the total here. I can lay the 24 with Bama. I know we all here how they can lose and still be #1. I can't see Saban having his guy taking a game off. The dude is nuts. The defense is good. We all know about the 12 defensive/special teams TD. Fact is this. Bama lines wear down teams. Florida is not close to being ready to compete here. They have given up 466, 423 and 387 yards to Arkansas, LSU and Florida State. Now you are stepping up to play the defending champs in a rematch of LYs Tide win. Alabama has given up 18 points in November. I think the Tide get into the 30s and I am looking for 1 measly score from the Gators. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Florida/Alabama 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. Talk about send in the clowns. This Baylor team has absolutely collapsed. Grobe is out as HC. They are on a long trip with a freshman QB. 6-0 to 6-5. These guys were in the Top 10! What the heck!! 62-38 Bears walloped the Hokies last year. Time for the payback. 8* Sure Shot WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking NAVY here. 22-2 SU at home. 11-1-2 ATS L14. And we are laying this? If this line was higher I would rate it higher. I am trying to figure out why this is so low. I do respect the Temple defense. But man, they are really expecting them to shut this Middie offense down. They just put up 75 last week. Temple in the Red Zone - 57% TD rate, Navy 82% - 5* Best Bet NAVY

Taking GREEN BAY here. Have to say, I will be taking GB +165 on the ML here also. Think this line is a little sketchy. Eagles have played their best at home, going 4-0. Yet, this line is barely moving off a FG. Wentz after a fast start has come back down to rookie Earth. He has 4TDs and 6INTs his last 6 games (11TD 7INT year). Green Bay also playing their 3rd straight road game. If you have been living under rock, GB has been shredded for 89 points against the Titans and Redskins. That being said though. Why do I have that feeling that A-A-Ron is going to have a vintage, since he has been terrible, performance. I see one of those blast from the past 4 TD nights where Green Bay finally plays some decent ball. He has 25TDs and 7INTs which isn't too bad considering how bad they have played. We have cashed in 3 of the Packers last 4 games so I think I have a pretty good feel of their level of play. Desperate team with a HOF QB will get it done here on the road. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the RAVENS here. Had these guys last week and Dallas knocked in a late one for a non cover. That being said. Oh have the Bengals have fallen. 3-6-1 on the year. No playoffs. Green and Bernard missing. Just add to the missing assistants that have left off both sides of the ball the last couple years and the talent and coaching level has dropped. It has really been a fast fade this season. Baltimore is looking to take control of the AFC North and keep pace with the Steelers. I think they do it behind a very good defense this afternoon. Ravens have lost the last 5 in the series, but I see a big payback coming there way here. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Arizona off a loss and in b2b road games. Not an ideal scheduling spot for them as they get Atlanta off their bye week. Look. Arizona had a great year last year. But that is not this team. Carson Palmer looks like father time took a bite out of him. Just 13TD and 10 INTs on the year. Both sides not with the strongest secondaries, but you have to think Ryan to Jones will have a monster afternoon here. I think the Falcon defense can control David Johnson. Arizona 1-3 on the road and that was a win over the Niners giving up 28ppg. That won't help vs an Atlanta team that scores at will in the Dome. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking MIAMI here. Again with these guys. How many times have we cashed on this team? I'll tell you. A LOT $ And we will go back to the well again. Sp, they had a great comeback last week. That is the stuff that you look for. A team not responding to their coach or lacking motivation, or belief in themselves would have given up late. They battled and snatched victory from the jaws of defeat! Look. SF is bad. I see stuff like, oh the played the Pats tough basically held NE scoreless the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Well. Guess what? They lost! And couldn't cover double digits! Stop with they play tough already. Cross country for an early start time. Chip Kelly is probably going back to Oregon or another college. Couple that with there is just a lack of talent on both sides of the ball here for San Fran. Miami has been playing great and it is the result of good OL play. They should exploit a terrible 49er front 7 that gave up 249 and 248 rushing yards to the Saints and Bucs. They gave up 170 to the Pats last week. Ajayi will probably have 120 by halftime. If the Dolphins have any hope that they are a wild-card team they need a 10+pt win here. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA here. How can we not? I get it. Laying 17 is a ton. Iron Bowl be damned we are laying the wood here though. We get Alabama off a terribly sloppy game last week. To be expected though. They know the big game was this week as they have a spot in the SEC Championship Game locked up. Tide continue to get defense and special teams help on the scoreboard. The defense is just insane. They haven't allowed a TD in 13 quarters. They give up 2 yards a rush. Less than 70 a game. Their worse performances have been on the road for sure. But we are home here. And probably half a bit of inflated line. Tigers QB Sean White is banged up. RB Pettaway who is explosive is expected back after missing the last 2 games. But again. 2 YPR for this 'Bama defense. 40 sacks, 2nd to Florida State's 41. 9 Defensive TDs. 3 Punt Return TDs. A QB in Hurts, who just hurts opposing defenses through the air or with his legs. The Tigers defense is good, but they have beaten up on weak teams. Clemson (19-13) and A&M (29-14) beat these guys while Bama beat A&M 33-14 earlier this year and Clemson 45-40 in the NC last year. The Bama offense just bullies teams into submission over the course of 4 quarters. They are just trying to beg people to go against the Tide with this number. This team is an all around 'team' and I think a 20+pt win is in the making. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking OHIO STATE here. Right off the bat. When was the last time Harbaugh won a big game? NFC Championship Game over the Falcons? Urban 60-5 at Ohio State, 3 losses in Big 10 play. Twice to Michigan State. They have crushed Michigan 42-13, 42-28 the last 2 years, 42-41 in 2013 and 26-21 in his first year when he went 12-0. The were ranked 3rd that year but ineligible for post season play. Let's be honest, they can easily have 2 Championships under Meyer right now. Michigan comes in with a backup QB or a starter with a bad collarbone. Either way, edge Buckeyes. Both defenses are serious stop units, but only Ohio State has play-makers on the offensive side of the ball. Barrett a solid dual threat QB with 24TDs 4 INTs on the year and 8 more TDs and over 700 yards from his feet. O'Korn had one decent year with Houston but Ohio State is an entirely different breed of defense than the AAC. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES 

Taking TULSA here. This Cincy team is done. On national TV last week, at home, for senior night, fighting to get bowl eligible, they flat out laid an egg losing 34-7. Heck it was 34-0 in the 3rd before Cincy put up a score in the early 4th. So now they get revenge minded Tulsa who is cruising with a top 10 ranked offense looking to impress the bowl people. Hurricanes have scored 40 or more in 11 of last 13 games. This isn't last years Bearcats who can score. They have been outscored 112-26 last 4 games 1-8 ATS last 9. 5* Best Bet TULSA 

Taking TEXAS here. It is easy to think TCU gets the win with their secure HC on the sideline. We have been talking about Charlie Strong getting the boot for 2 years now. Man. I do like this guy. Did a good job at UL. But after we cashed opening day with Texas beating ND, it has been a nightmare. Well, I think his players really like him for one. What better way to screw with the boosters than to get to be bowl eligible. Also. This TCU defense is really bad. Longhorns can move the ball. That hasn't been their problem. A little double revenge angle is the whipped cream angle on why Texas should be big winners this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over 

Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over 

 Taking the RAIDERS here. Just the better team and not laying a ton. Game in Mexico. The Raiders and Dallas, probably the 2 biggest surprises on the year. Carr is really maturing into a top QB. 17 TDs and just 3 INTs, while the big contract Osweiler signed doesn't look that good in year 1, 11TDs 9INTs. The OL has been very good. Texans defense nothing like when it has Watt coming after you. Raiders in off a bye week and have had success vs Osweiler when he played in Denver. So the added tape will only help. When is the last time the Texans played good on the road vs a team with a winning record? They haven't. I know the Raiders are young and the defense doesn't scare. But this is a talented group that is finding direction under Del Rio this year. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Have to grab my boys here in revenge mode. I lost with these guys last year in the playoffs and I expect some payback here on Sunday night. Fact is, Green Bay is 9-12 their last 21 games. If you think Aaron Rodgers has been anything but average the last calendar year, you are sadly mistaken. No way the Packers lose 4 straight right? I thought the Redskins were getting zero respect from odds-makers to win the NFC East with a pair of rookie QBs leading the Eagles and Dallas. This is a good team that plays well within its mean under their coach. Pack with injuries concerns on both sides of the ball. Josh Norman has been a boost to the Washington secondary. Kerrigan and Murphy have 7 sacks apiece for the 'Skins and A-A-Ron has been put on his back 22 times so far. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Tough in a b2b road spot, but you can't back the Rams here. I can say I would have liked Miami +1, but I was thinking they win outright anyway. Jeff Fisher is just not getting it done. I mean, why are we waiting till now to trot out their QB of the future? Maybe because the coach is terrible and the QB had been terrible in pre-season. Dolphins have been money for us since we cashed them as a top play home dog over the Steelers. The OL is really the difference for me and has opened things up for their offense. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the JAGUARS here. I said on my podcast that the Gus Bradley era is over and it looks like Jax is mailing it in. But I look at this line and say to myself. How many people are saying 'no way the Lions don't win by touchdown this week!' I can see eliminator pools dwindling by the thousands come 4pm Sunday. Lions out of their bye, are now in first place in the NFC North. They also have a big Thursday Turkey-day showdown against the Vikings ahead. The Jags actually have the statistically better offenses and defenses in this match-up. Tossing out the Lions 6pt OT win over Minny, their other 4 wins have been a combined 11 points! And they are asked to lay nearly full TD here? How many times have we seen Bortles put up points when his team is down. The back door is wide open here. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking VANDERBILT here. I had higher hopes for Vandy this year. I think their coach might get shown the door after the season. I do like them in this home spot though. They have a tough finale against the Vols next, but this game is winnable to me. I know the offense is bad, but the defense, especially home, has proven to be a good unit. Now we get a freshman QB making his 2nd start, on the road to boot, laying double digits? 'Dores on a 7-2 ATS run as double digit dogs! They have been in every game this year with the except Ga. Tech. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT 

Taking TCU here. Oh, another flat-out gem to unload on. The old ranked team getting points from an unranked team. How many people are saying.. Okie State is ranked getting points and beat them 49-29 last year. Easy Money! - As our buddy Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend. Sign me up for some Gary Peterson bye-week magic. This is far from a vintage Horned Frogs unit. But they had no probably crushing Baylor 62-22 on the road 2 weeks ago. And with extra prep time, I am sure the coach has refreshed the memories of last year. On the road, undefeated and ranked #5 in the land, only to have their season blow-up in their faces. Payback is in order as they snuff out any flicker of hope that the Cowboys had at running the table and somehow climbing the playoff rankings. 5* Best Bet TCU 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. As close to a 'no-brainer' out there as I can get. First, we have such a huge edge in coaching this really should be a 10-20 pt win for us. Just look at Baylor. They road their negative press to a fast 6-0 start beating cupcakes and have now lost 3 straight. The last 2 by a combined 61 points. Where is the motivation for the Bears? Lost their QB.  Their coach is not going to be here at the end of the year. Assistants probably working on resumes. Lame duck staff with no major bowl pending. And then we have Bill Snyder a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 out of byes. Need a win for bowl eligibility. 10* Money-Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Said on my podcast that UL has to really make a statement here. The powers that be obviously adhere to a little head to head action as Clemson is ahead of the Cardinals. So I expect a big showing tonight to show the committee that they are to be taken seriously. Now, if Houston has been sitting pretty at 10-0, then things are totally different. But with losses to Navy and SMU, well they can only really be a semi-spoiler. So, a short week and Houston QB Ward nursing a shoulder injury. Plus we get the revenge factor on top of the perfect storm of upsets last week. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE 

Taking the PATRIOTS here. How can I not grab them off a bye week. Short week for Seattle coupled with a long trip east. And frankly, I don't think they are as good as past editions. We have faded them on several occasions already. Brady is just doing Brady things. Throwing TDs, winning. Gronk and Bennett are monsters over the middle. I think Brady is really on a mission to make up for his suspension. There will be Super Bowl revenge as Seattle offense is a shell of that team. 8* Sure-Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking CAROLINA here. They have put 2 straight together and might be looking at playoff spot if they keep it going. Won't be easy though as KC has gone 16-2 L 18 and 17-3 L 20 SU. Those are some tough numbers to fade. I just feel the Panthers are finally better football after their bye week. KC isn't dominating the stats but are getting the TOs (+13). Cam is having a poor season overall, but has gotten it done the last 2 weeks. At 3-5 they are in no position to be overlooking or past any opponent. Just certain spots where I feel a team is that 'must win' spot, and this is one of them. 10* Money Bomb CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking COLORADO STATE here. One. The HF for Air Force is negated since the Rams are use to this altitude of play. Two. We get the Falcons off a big road win over a fellow Academy win in Army. Colorado State basically off 2 straight bye weeks as they won 37-0 last week. AF is 2-11 ATS last 13 games after facing Army and Navy. 5* Best Bet COLORADO STATE 

Taking ARKANSAS here. Back on the Hogs here. We were 'Bama last week and they got us the W. So how can we, or anyone for that matter back LSU as a road fave? Nowhere to go but down and that is a bad spot vs an Arkansas team that has beaten them the last 2 years. 5* Best Bet ARKANSAS

Taking LA TECH. These guys have lost to Arkansas and Midd Tenn State by 5 points combined. They hung with an explosive Texas Tech offense 59-45 on the road. They passing offense is one of the best in the land. QB Ryan Higgins 30 TDs and just 4 INTs on the year. Final home game for the Bulldogs. I see a 50pt day lining up. UTSA is a middle of the road team and quite frankly, could be very flat here. As I said, Tech lost to MDST while the Road Runners come in off an outright win over Midd Tenn winning 45-25 as 19 point DOGS! Reality check in Ruston this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Man. Laying this kind of number vs a team that averages 40ppg! Just screams that the Sooners win this 63-35. Where has is the motivation for the Bears. How is an interm HC in Grobe getting this team off the mat? Road loss at Texas knocked them from the unbeaten. They get absolutely thrashed allowing 62 at home to TCU. Now they face a Sooners team with extra rest and getting weapons back on offense. 2 years go the Bears won here. Payback in order. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking the RAIDERS here. Oakland has killed it on their east coast trips, but haven't done well in front of the home fans. Maybe you can say playing better teams, like the Falcons and Chiefs will do that to you. Maybe you think well, they aren't that good. True. They are terrible undisciplined and the defense leaves a lot of room for improvement. But this offense can generate yards and points. Do we forget that they went into Denver last year and shut out Oswieler in the 2nd half, scoring 15 points themselves winning the game 15-12? I get the Denver defense is the real deal. I get in a Pk, you don't need much from Siemian at QB or a patchwork RB duo. I think the Raiders are believing in themselves. And to get the defending champs at home for a battle to see who is top dog in the AFC West. 5*  Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the PANTHERS here. I can't tell you how many times we have cashed the Rams as dogs over the last couple years. I can tell you about just as many times we faded a Panthers team to a win. Things are different for Carolina as they look far removed from a Super Bowl team of last year. I have to say though, something tells me that Cam Newton gets some calls this afternoon. He has been getting drilled and nary a flag. Now, I am not some pussifacation of the game guy. I think QBs should take their licks. And I also think that if they removed Cam from that Denver game, the same people complaining would have lost their minds. A starting QB removed with a minute to go driving for a GW score. Come on. Again, that being said here I think after meeting Goodall, he will get a benefit of a call or 2. Enough of my QB safety rant. The Rams. A picture of 8-8 or 7-9 every year, every team under Jeff Fisher. Guy will soon have the most losses of ANY NFL HC! Let's face the truth here. This Rams offense is brutal. They draft a QB and let him sit while they don't amass any wins. Carolina has a decent rush defense and Gurley hasn't impressed this season. Tough laying points with a fave that looks to be having a down year. But I feel there is too much pride here for them to slip up again on the road. 8* Sure Shot CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Yes the old -3.5. You know from my podcasts that I love this and the 7.5 faves. As much as I cash dog-outrights, when I see these lines, I pounce like a puma! Miami off their bye week. Jets in b2b road games and 4th in 5 weeks. Dolphins OL healthy and you get b2b 200 yard rush games. These guys have a talented DL and will hound Fitzmagic into something bad. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Saban's bunch is 22-2 SU L24 with 19 wins coming by 7 or more. How can we not take the best team in the land when they are laying less than 10? This is a dominate team. I am sure Lane Kiffin will dial something special up here against LSU. Both teams off bye weeks. But the Tigers have a lot more to worry about in my eyes. Bama has scored 12 non-offensive touchdowns. 9 on defense, 3 special teams. That is basically a score a game. So stat wise you are telling me with that, I am getting the Tide at a pick? Sign me up. I do like Orgeron. And I think he should get a full time gig. But this Alabama crew. Come on with this coaching staff. LSU safety says they are going to dominate and have been letting Alabama off the hook - Why give the Tide any more fuel to their undefeated, National Championship repeat , us against the world mentality. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking NC STATE here. Trying to find some motivation for the 'Noles. 5-3. I thought these guys could be a playoff team. I mean, a lot of people had high hopes for these guys. Now they will be in some crap bowl. State off a bad loss for sure. But I can see them being pumped up to take down Florida State in this spot. And.. You know when I see teams, especially a big name like FSU laying that 6.5, the voices in my head hear weekend warrior bettor saying, no way Florida State doesn't win by a touchdown. We could score and outright win tonight. 5* Best Bet NC STATE

Taking ARKANSAS here. Just like this spot for the Razorbacks. Rested, Gators off a huge win over Georgia. Arkansas was smashed their last time out. Wish I moved on this earlier in the week as the line has dropped. But in any case, I think we get an out-right victory this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS 

Taking the BUCCANEERS here. Yep. Going ugly again on a Thursday night. Tampa off a crazy OT loss to the Raiders. They are sinking. Winston in the 'sophomore slump.' Nary a rushing attack. Defense looks like swiss cheese. But sign me up for the home dogs. Falcons in prime let down spot. Big win over GB last week. They are also off 4 straight close games, and 5 tough ones if you include their win over Carolina before that. This is a step-down in class by the looks of things. Look. TB HC Koetter is now 3-0 vs his old team. Like I said when he rolled on the Bucs in Game 1, they have the inside edge as they also employ old Atlanta HC Mike Smith on the defense. Falcons 1-11 ATS under HC Quinn. That is nuts. Tampa gets their first home win on the year here. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the COWBOYS here. The trends all say Philly here. 15-3 ATS last 18 vs NFC East teams. Dallas 3-12 ATS last 15 as home faves, 9-24 ATS last 33 in those games under Garrett. But this is a different team, and the coach is doing something different. Normally they go and lose games at San Fran or GB. But Garrett is putting Dak and the offense is great spots. He isn't resting on the fact he Tony Romo in there to sling all game long no matter what play calling he was giving. But this under control offense is a beast. The OL is still the best in the game. Elliot is doing a great job hitting holes. Could be a Dez sighting tonight. And, the 'Boys are off their bye week. That extra time is great especially since Philly threw some new wrinkles into upending Minny last week at home. Now, if the Eagles were coming in off a loss, then I could see backing the dog. I just think this Dallas team is really working very well right now. Let's not forget that Philly is also bringing a rookie QB on the road with them. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS here. Will grab the home dogs here. Nearly went +120 and will probably sprinkle a little ML in here. Look. Brees at home. A beast. 11 TDs 2 INTs leading an offense scoring 36ppg here at home and putting up over 500 yards of offense. And speaking of beasts, the Beast Mode is gone and Seattle has nary a rush attack. Wilson is clearly hobbled. Guy has rushed for 33 yards this year after going for 2300+, over 500 a year in his other 4 seasons. At this rate, he might not get to 100. I know the Saints defense is bad. But the catch Seattle with an early start time off the Sunday night game. Did you watch that game? What a slug-fest. What do the 'Hawks have left. A loss here and they are still atop the NFC West. For New Orleans, it is clearly get busy time. They are 2-4 but still in the hunt as the Falcons are 4-3 atop the South. Saints 10-3-2 ATS last 15 as dogs and have won their last 3 SU as dogs. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking CLEMSON here. Rolling our Top Rated MONEY BOMB out on the Tigers. I know the 'Noles are 23-1 SU last 24 here at Doak. But I do not like what I have seen. FSU scoring 35ppg. But have notched 35-20-17 last 3 games. Are they saving it up for tonight? They have allowed 34 to Ole Miss. 63 to Louisville. 35 to South Florida and 37 to North Carolina. What is going to happen when the best QB they have seen comes to play here? 40+? Clemson is 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series and 4-1 ATS last 5 here on the road. What really comes into play for me here is defense and the QBs. Clemson defense allowing 15ppg which is basically have of what Florida State gives up. Add in we have the more experienced QB and I think we cruise to a double digit win here tonight. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Higgs is cruising along crushing the books with his NFL Selections. Sean is locked in here on MNF with his Top Rated 10* MONEY-BOMB. Do your wallets and bankroll a favor. Take your opinion, walk outside to the garage, get a shovel and dig a hole. Put whatever idea you have for this Texans / Broncos match-up in that said hole, and bury it. 'Mr Money' is going to deliver another GUARANTEED WINNER to start your week $ 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Had the under last time these guys played on Thursday night and cashed another NFL ticket. So we get a little extra rest which is always a blessing. Also, a 4pm start time is much better for a west coast than a 1pm kickoff. I know what you are thinking. Higgs. Falcons beat-up the Panthers at home. Won at Denver. Should have won at Seattle. Now you are telling me they don't beat a San Diego team that gives away leads by a touch-down! I had Seattle last week out of their bye thinking they would handle things. This Atlanta team looks pretty good. But b2b west coast games vs a pair of real physical defenses takes a toll. Also. Falcons have a 'bigger', so to speak game up next against the Packers. If they are to stumble, against an out of conference team is the way to do it. Chargers even in finding ways to lose, don't get blown out. SD 20-9 ATS L29 as road pups and 8-2 ATS last 10 overall. 2-4 with 3 losses by 8 points and the 6pt loss to KC in OT! They have actually outscored their opponents on the year. Falcons 2-6 ATS last 8 at home. 10* Money Bomb SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Tough taking a road fave for sure. But we get Minny out of the bye week. We have Philly in a stumble dropping 2 straight as we cashed with the Lions and Redskins against them the last 2 weeks. Look. Mike Zimmer is a great HC. The team really responds to the guy. How does 19-3 ATS last 22 grab you? How about 10-2 ATS L12 as a fave and 9-1 ATS L10 on the road. I fully expect the Vikings defense to take control of the rookie early here. And I am not hating on Philly. When you beat the Browns, the Steelers missing guys and a the Bears, you really aren't beating the league elites. We saw Pitt just lay an egg in Miami to a Dolphins team that had looked horrible. Rookie HC and QBs rarely have playoff bound first years. I would say Philly might have a bit of edge facing their old QB. But what did Bradford really do here? I think that trade will be great long term for both clubs. Philly recoups a pick and Minny is undefeated with a top defense that has a legit shot at a Super Bowl right now. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking WYOMING here. Have cashed with the Cowboys a few times and will come back to them here laying the small number on the road. Nevada is in total free fall. The offense is absolutely terrible. They have scored more than 17 points once in their last 4 games. Wyoming has lost at Nebraska, then blew a game late at Eastern Michigan. But they have crushed Colorado State and Air Force their last 2 outings. We are also in off a bye week which does nothing help. 5* Best Bet WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE here. Uh.. Going ugly here. Aggies got hammered on the road last week at Idaho giving up 55! Georgia Southern though looks like a shell of its former self. Pretty simple in my thinking here. We get New Mexico State at home off a debacle. We have Georgia Southern playing their 4th straight game! GA Southern off a big game vs Georgia Tech and have an even bigger game vs Appalachian State up next. 8* Situational Sure-Shot NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking AUBURN here. These guys started slow for sure. And when you see ranked teams giving double digits to other ranked teams, I am sure you scratch your head. But this isn't like Alabama huge line over the 6th ranked Aggies. Tide just get an extra couple points on them just because of their name. In this case, the Tigers are a vastly improved unit. I do like the smash-mouth Hogs. But off Alabama and Ole Miss in b2b, hitting the road for Auburn off their bye week is difficult. Also a little revenge angle for last years crazy OT loss for the home team. Arkansas has given up 45 to Texas A&M and 38 to TCU both on the road. So we have seen Auburn play some defense. They held Clemson to 19, A&M 29, LSU 13, Miss. St 14. Not saying that these 4 teams possess the best offenses in College Football. Just pointing out that this defense can make stops. They will especially be able to make stops with an extra week of prep and rest under their belts. Public money flowing like an open dam on the Hogs, yet the line is now up a full 3 points since opening. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking BOISE here. Keep it real simple here. I just think this is a flat spot for BYU. Not that they won't be up for this game, but what is left in the tank? Off OT vs Mississippi. That on the heels of crushing Michigan State on the road. What a brutal schedule. Boise looking for revenge from last year. 5* Best Bet BOISE STATE 

Taking SEATTLE here. Am I missing something? Are they starting some QB from the street here? Will they be playing with a secondary? I really can't believe this line is so low. Maybe it is just because I think the Falcons are going to get destroyed here. Look. You know that I am not a huge backer or lover of Seattle. But in this spot, I am all in. We get the Falcons off a road win in Mile High over the defending Super Bowl Champs. That was on the heels of them knocking off the reigning NFC Champs, their own division winners, the Carolina Panthers. Now they face another physical defense coming off a bye week. Sign me up please! This is a long haul for Atlanta. To Denver, back home and now out west again to Seattle. 8* Sure Sure SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. Absolute no-brainer for me. We get Andy Reid off a bye week. The guy is nothing but a winner in his career with rest to the tune of 15-2 SU. Add in some added motivation after being trucked on national TV and KC will be extremely focused here. Raiders 4-1 but could easily be 1-4 the way their games end. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the REDSKINS here and will probably scoop up +135 ML too boot. We had the Lions last week. And I will fade again on the rookie in b2b road games. I have been on the 'Skins a few times already. Do we forget these guys made the playoffs last year. This is a pretty good offense even without Reed. The film is out on Wetz and teams will adjust accordingly. I'm calling for a dog outright here. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking BAYLOR here. Laying 7 TDs is a tough pill to swallow. But, we have a lot of things working in our favor. First, the history. 66-7 last year, 60-14 2014. 59-14 2013. Now, the numbers. 59-46-45. The margin of victory in those games. Next up. Kansas last week left it all on the field. Blowing a 9pt lead with a 90 seconds left is painful. Missing the game winning field as time expired is painful. Missing 3 FGs in the 4th quarter is downright inhumane. Fresh off taking TCU to the bitter end, we know that Jim Grobe will have these guys on their 'A' game. Especially off their bye week. Especially the way they played against Iowa State having to come back from being down 42-28 entering the 4th quarter. So they had a week to think about that. Now they see the Jayhawks aren't going to be quitters as they fought tooth and nail for a win. Bears have another bye week next week before facing Texas. Rest assure. Their sole focus is to come out here with a Baylor classic 64-16 win. 8* Sure Shot BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Easy Best Bet winner last week as Virginia Tech beat the 'Heels. Now the whole let down factor was a major reason we were on the Hokies. The piss-poor weather was just an added benefit. No hurricane rain or winds for NC this game. And lookie here. Miami is off a tough loss to that same Florida State foe. Now. Not only does Miami blow a 13-0 lead. But with a chance to tie it up at 20 with a minute and a half left, they pull a page from the FSU playbook and their kicker gets a PAT blocked! The U had that game circled as a we are back type game. Total flat spot for them. North Carolina QB Mitch Trubisky has 13 TDs and just 2 picks and a depressed Hurricanes bunch will find themselves in a fast hole. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking the BILLS here. Right off the bat I like the extra rest. Tough flying cross country. Even tougher when you are off a win over a hated rival. But let's not forget that this a talented team. They started out sluggish but have come on strong. Let's be honest. You really think the Rams are good? I am not buying it. They have been out-yarded in every game! Are they winning 4 in a row? Will the get 5 turnovers today? Another huge division win for them over Arizona. I just see a let down and a correction to the norm. Gurley is averaging 2.6 yards a carry! Dog Outright. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Circle the wagons time for San Diego. Are you kidding me? Blow a 21pt lead to KC and lose in OT. Blow a lead to the Colts with a minute and change. And last week's Saints debacle blowing a 13pt lead with 7 minutes to go. Well. The Raiders offer the perfect remedy. We have double-revenge working for us. We have the fact that Oakland has already made 3 trips east already and that adds to fatigue. We have the fact that the Raiders have been out yarded in all their games. We know that they have been on the lucky side of things as they edged the Saints and needed a late TD to get past Baltimore. SD is 16-10 SU 19-7 ATS and are getting a nice number. Sprinkle that 165 ML in here. These teams are pretty evenly matched and one is ready for a huge win! 10* Money Bomb SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the FALCONS here. I don't know. This line just sucks me in. Maybe I'm the sucker. But I will gladly grab an Atlanta team that is an offensive explosion lately. I know that the Broncos can bring heat on Matt Ryan. I am not sold on the Denver QB whoever it is no matter how great the defense helping him is. Might sprinkle some ML +180 on this puppy. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. Like Snyder in this role. Off a loss last week to West Va, and with a big revenge game here at home. Texas Tech dropped the 'Cats 59-44 last year putting up nearly 700 yards of offense. This K-State defense is one of the toughest in the land (4) in total yards yielding under 240 a game. We saw them against the cupcakes (FIU, Missouri St) give up 7 points. But holding a pretty good Stanford team playing at home to just 227 total yards is a good showing. Texas Tech can score, but the defense is putrid. Try allowing 43ppg last 13 road games. Over 500ypg allowed. Final thought here. Last 2 games here in K-State, 45-13, 55-24 good for 31 and 32pt wins. This would have been a play regardless of QB status. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Straight up situational play here. We have North Carolina in off an emotional and physical battle vs Florida State. So. Not only did they jump out to a 21-0 lead on the 'Noles, they gave it all back and then some to be down 35-34 (blocked PAT) with 23 seconds left. They connect on a 54 yarder as time expired. To say there is nowhere to go but down is an understatement. NC is a good club. They have won 15 of their last 16 regular season games. But Virginia Tech is off their bye. The Florida State 10 pt dog outright, last second win. Add in that Tarheels have the Hurricanes on deck. Perfect sandwich flat spot. We also know that the Hokies are 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series and the road team is 7-3 ATS last 10. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH

Taking MINNESOTA here. I will be the first to say that I was totally wrong about this Iowa team. Obviously, everything that had to go right last year did. Because they are really paying their debts this year. A loss to North Dakota State. Barely edging out Rutgers. Losing at home to Northwestern. Winning the stats in just one game shows their true colors. They will be in for a battle here against Minny. I have had these guys several times already and will come back to cash a ticket here at high noon. Golden Gophers 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series, dog 5-2 ATS also. But at +1, I will just go for the even money here. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Faded both of these guys last week with mixed results. Skins cashed on the free pick video, while the Panthers were mauled by Minny. Let's cut to the chase here. Defense. Even though the Giants poured what, 100+ million onto that side of the ball, they can only look on in envy at Zimmers unit. This guy is a great coach. 25-5 ATS last 30 and 16 of last 18 good for 89% against the number! No AP no problem. McKinnon and Asiata filled in just fine when Peterson was lost for the year. Bradford is getting more comfortable by the day with his new club. Minny has given up 14, 16 and 10 in their games. The defense is a straight up public enemy. Giants already to have some injuries pop up. Eli is a statue and will go down at least 3-4 times tonight. One will probably result in a fumble, and he will toss a pick or 2 as he will be harassed all night long. 10* MNF GOM Vikings 

Taking ARIZONA here. The ol' perfect storm set-up shaping up nicely for us. We have the Cardinals off a game where they were thoroughly embarrassed on the scoreboard and all aspects of game play. The Rams flew to the east coast after beating division rival Seattle and their offense exploded to the tune of 37 points in Tampa. Make no mistake though, this Rams offense is not good. Before heading to Tampa, this offense punted on 16 of 22 possessions and had 3 TOs without scoring a touchdown. Besides in off back to back upset wins and a cross country back to back roadie, they face a very angry Arizona team. These guys have Super Bowl aspirations. Bruce Arians will have these guys on fire from the coin toss after a 5 TO game. Remember the game after losing to the Patriots? 40-7 over Tampa. I'm looking for more of the same this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the JETS here. Going to grab them +125 on the ML also. Have to love the home dog getting points. I know it is Seattle, but still not a fan of west coast teams coming east in early action. Couple that with the fact that Wilson is banged up. Jets defense is a beast and gets plenty of pressure on opposing QBs. Seattle has quite frankly, struggled out of the gate here. I know the Jets were humiliated last week. QB play was absolutely brutal last week. 6 INTs from Fitzpatrick, 8 TOs total, including 2 defensive TDs. You aren't winning any games at any level pulling stunts like that. 10* Money Bomb NEW YORK JETS

Taking CLEMSON here. Wow. What a slap in the face to the Tigers. I know they haven't been very sharp to start the season. But these guys are very good. I think it is safe to say the Heisman front-runner will emerge between the QBs here tonight. For me. It basically comes down to defense. Clemson with the better one. Everyone is in love with the offense attack of Louisville. Let me check some here. 18 straight home wins. Undefeated home dog. Team that lost in the National Championship Game last year. yep. I am correct. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Ranked team a home underdog to an unranked team. Sign me up Sooners! I said on podcast week 1 that Oklahoma is terrible when ranked high to start the year. And out of the gate, they lose outright as a double digit fave. Then get assaulted at home by Ohio State. Now they take to the road to face a TCU team that is a tough out in any venue. But Oklahoma is talented even with the losses. This is the type of team that will now run the table, and at the end of the year, everyone will be saying that, hey, if you lose early, it is better than losing late. That being said, with 2 losses they are most likely out of any Playoff talk unless things get crazy for other teams. Sooners also with 2 weeks to think about that home loss and get ready for a team that nearly beat them without their starting QB on the road last year. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking MICHIGAN here. Gotta love a team in the Top 10 getting double digits. Wow. What does that tell us? I think Wisconsin is overrated. I had LSU and Wiscy beat them. But where is LSU now? They beat Michigan State as a small road dog but got 4 TOs. But now they travel to face the Wolverines with a young signal caller. Michigan will be looking to attack all day with 17 sacks already on the young season. Wiscy in tough b2b road venues has Ohio State at home next. Tough stretch for any team. Michigan now playing their 5th straight at home to start the year and have essentially a bye next week on the road at patsy Rutgers. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Like I said in my podcast the other day. Be it College Hoops or Football, when I see the 'ranked' team getting points from a lower, or un-ranked club, fugedaboutit - all in on that team. Cowboys were a pre-season Top 25 team. They shouldn't have covered in that crazy Central Michigan game, but they shouldn't have gotten the L either. They did lose to a good Baylor club. But running the table to 8-2 heading into the last games at TCU and Oklahoma is a very good possibility. We cashed Texas over ND week 1 but how good does that win look now? Also, Texas gave up 50 to Cal. Mason Rudolph leads Okie State to 40ppg and even with a bye week, the Longhorns will have trouble slowing things down. I do like Charlie Strong as HC. But this is a tough spot with a desperate team who's season can really get bad with a loss here and the big Red River Rivalry game vs Oklahoma up next. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking the BUCS here. Great spot for us here. We get the Rams (who we cashed with last week), off another win over bitter division rivals, the Seattle Seahawks. Last year in an identical spot after they bear Seattle, we grabbed the Redskins as a Top 10* as rolled to 24-10 win. On top of that, and the flight cross country, we have Tampa in off a humiliating loss. 40-7. 4 INTs for Winston. 27-52. Yikes. Ugly. I think Tampa is a playoff type team. They are a talented bunch. The Rams are the Rams. A team that can't even start a guy they take at the top of the draft. The defense is solid, but on the road I have zero faith in the team as a whole. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the JAGUARS here. They were tough here at home and probably should have gotten the W. They were taking out on the west coast, but I like this match-up here. Ravens a bit long in the tooth compared to the younger Jags. The offense finally got going against (down 20-2) the Browns, the BROWNS, but they were in danger of losing. They didn't look too fluid in their opener vs the Bills. Same Bills unit that was mauled for 37 by the Jets last week. The seat is starting to get pretty warm now for Gus Bradley. Jags are 12-38 under on his watch. These guys were the off-season darlings. Time to man up. Gut Check. Back to the wall. Whatever cliche you want to throw out there. At 0-2 the time is now. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking AUBURN here. Now, I have seen reports of buying out contracts here. Who knows what is true. What I do know is that Auburn can bring some defense to a game. Home dog in the SEC? Sign me up. LSU is working on a new QB. Everything trend wise says LSU is the play. I just think we get a huge effort as Malzahn's job is on the line. 5* Best Bet AUBURN 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. Lost badly last week with these guys as the 'U' rolled to a glory day beat-down. But make no mistake, this is a talented crew. Let's cut to the chase though. Akron is off a game for the ages. A 17 pt dog winning by 28 points putting up 65. Yes 65 Points! Down 21-7 entering the 2nd Q and score 5 TDs. They aren't getting that kind of luck today. Not from a much more disciplined club off a beating themselves. A big step down in class for Appy and they should roll to a double digit cover here. 10* Money Bomb APPALACHIAN STATE

Taking IOWA here. Never like laying nearly 2 TDs on the road, but these programs are in different places. Iowa in off a last second loss to North Dakota State! Now, NDST is a FCS school, they are one of the top ones in the nation. I don't think Rutgers would win against them. That being said. Iowa has zero room for a slip up. Maybe if they didn't lose you could say they would over-look the Rutgers. But they aren't in a spot with Northwestern up next. QB Beathard is 15-3 and, as a senior, won't be intimidated playing in New Brunswick. I don't think that the Scarlet Knight offensive, especially at QB, will be able to mount any serious offensive drives. We saw them get hammered 48-13 at Washington. Iowa has the same kind of talent. Howard and New Mexico are not even close to Big 10 talent. 5* Best Bet IOWA 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Ugly win for sure last week for Minny. But that should have been expected after the loss of their QB. I don't think it really matters who starts this week. It is about AP breaking things open, and defense that is one of the best in the games. Pack barely escaped last week with a win. Vikes opening a new stadium, which I would normally fade. Just like Thursday when the Bills trot out Bruce Smith. Whenever things like this go down, they seem to be a distraction. That being said though, Minny has hopes for a deep playoff run. It gets real serious here on Sunday night. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Uh. Don't like the cross country flight. But I am following my gut here. Miami defense is the real deal. Facing Seattle at home, you really can't get on them for mustering 10 points in that 12-10. The defense just couldn't hold on the last 30 seconds. Was I expecting the Pats to win in Arizona? Hell no. I wasn't expecting a win there with Brady. Maybe the Cards just took Garoppolo not being Brady and Gronk not playing and figured they can skate through a home game. I doubt Miami will be overlooking anyone behind center wearing a Patriots helmet. The Dolphins should be able to harass the youngster. Pats OL is not their strength while the pass rush is a huge one for the visitors. Defenses know have a game tape of the new QB, and I am pretty sure he won't be completing 73% of his passes this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Lost with these guys as my Top 10* last week. Nearly came back on them here. Are you kidding with this line? I could have moved earlier on the sites and gotten 2.5. How is that possible? 1 game. Really? These guys were a playoff team last year. Cousins is perfect for Grudens system. They have a great group of WRs. The defense, although terrible on Monday night, is a decent unit. And speaking of MNF, getting humiliated at home is a great way to get people off your bandwagon. The Dallas Dak attack was right there until a bonehead play by Williams cost them a shot at a game winning FG. Now. Dak 'looked' good. No sacks or INTs. But a pair of 50+ FGs and a chance at 3rd won't win you many games. His 227 yards on 45 pass attempts is a little more than 5 a throw. That isn't cutting it. Dez had nothing targeted to him down field. Washington on a 'early' short week since they had the 1st MNF game now has some game film. I think they win this by double digits. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. I know it is easy to fade Stoops. Guy seems to be clueless at times. They never seem to live up to their high rankings, but come out of know where when nobody is watching. And right now, the people watching are waiting for Urban Meyer to have his Buckeyes bury the Sooners at home. As Lee Corso likes to say. Not so fast my friend. OSU a very young team. Yes. Outscoring teams 62.5 to 6.5 is impressive. But Bowling Green and Tulsa at home are not football factories. Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense should have the advantage over a young, albeit, talented defense. And let's go back to the beginning of Summer for a second. Oklahoma was a 9pt fave when this game was first lined. It was then down to 6. And after losing to Houston, now the Sooners a small dog. Wow. Houston is a good club. But not enough to warrant that kind of line move. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Hopefully 3rd times the charm for the Tide. Ole Miss has won the last two and now we come in laying double digits. I had Ole Miss against FSU and they looked good for a half. Make no mistake this 'Bama defense is as good or better than the 'Noles. I respect that Chad Kelly is the best QB in SEC play. But they lost their starting QB and top CB already. I know the recruit well, but Saban will light into Kiffen to make sure they don't turn the ball over 5 times in this one. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA