Taking HAWAII. Fading away Houston here. In fact, lets sprinkle some +300 ML here on the Rainbows. Cougars with at least 15-20 guys not suiting up here. 3 of them, your sack leader, tackle leader and a pretty explosive WR, helps our dogs cause. I think the lack of games for Houston, they have played once since mid-November hurts them. They have had some extended bouts of Covid Cancels. I'm grabbing the Rainbows and pinning faith on their backfield to land some haymakers against a weakened defense. 5* Best Bet HAWAII 

Taking BYU. Only loss that blemish at Coastal. Travel mid week to face another undefeated team in a crazy season. No shine of the luster in my eyes. Another big travel here down to Boca. But BYU is a program that will be proud to go 11-1 when some teams played 5 games. Defense the big edge here for me. UCF is a pretty good offensive unit. But the defense won't be able to slow down the road team. 8* Sure Shot BYU 

Laying it with APP STATE. Every loss on the season for them, well, that team was playing in conference championship game the other day. North Texas gives up 40ppg. App allows less than 20. In 2017 NT lost its bowl game 50-30 to Troy, 2018 52-13 to Utah State. 2019- No Bowl game. Not because they were banned for giving up 50 in back to back losses, no, they were 4-8. Give me App State to run Mean Green out of the South Carolina. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking ALABAMA. It would be great to cash my Gator SEC Future and the my Trask Heisman. But let's be honest here. This Bama team is steam-rolling people. Florida has slowed some bad SEC teams. They will have zero answers tonight. Alabama will put up 50 because that is what it does. I don't think Gators keep it within 20. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA - this line has moved to 17.. I would lay 20. 

Taking STANFORD. So, Stanford final game of the year. And we have UCLA in off that USC disaster. Safe to say that Bruins will be flatter than a pancake for this one. Leading the entire game until the final 16 seconds. Even your QB says it hurts. Stanford 10-2 ATS vs UCLA last 12. 5* Best Bet STANFORD 

Going OVER the total. Clemson at 7.5, 8 ok. 10+, eh. I will ride the OVER here. I think Tigers put up 40+ and ND has enough offense to put up 20+. We saw 87 with a backup QB in for Clemson. I think we get at least 70 with a guy who is suppose to go #1 in the NFL Draft. So back to the Irish - the offense has cracked 40+ 6 times this season. The defense has stymied lesser teams. Again, we saw Clemson get to 40 in a ND win. They can't stop a good offense. Maybe they slow it down a bit. I still see 30+ from the Tigers. We see the same from Clemson. What I can't see, is either team not get to 30. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/ Irish 

Taking A&M. Real simple thinking for me here. Aggies on the outside looking in sitting at #4. We know that at least 1 team ahead of them will be taking a loss. Their lone L is to #1 Alabama. This is the game they need to drop a 40+ spot for some extra style points. No way they can let the Vols come anywhere near them. Aggies defense should keep Tennessee under 10 points. If this game isn't 40-6 heading into the 4th quarter, I would really be shocked. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking the BROWNS. So yeah. Probably a little bias from me sitting on Stefanski COY tickets that will net be a few thousand and a Baker Comeback POY that will put another nickel in my pocket. That being said, there is a reason I made those bets! Stefanski has changed this team around. They are good! The OL is solid. The defense is solid. The QB doesn't have to force things to happen and make mistakes. He has a pair of RBs that can carry the team all game if need be. Now the Ravens. So I am writing this Monday before they even face Dallas. But as I take Dallas Tuesday I say - what have the Ravens looked like lately? The offense looks average. I think the league has caught up to Lamar. Much like when the offense was run in SF by Kap, the OC has yet to make adjustments. We had Cleveland in the first meeting and we were swamped. Look for some payback Let's go all the way to Romeo Crennal and 2007 for a 10 win season. Sitting at 9-3, playoffs still not locked in place. What better way to reach double digits and bury a division rival. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I'll lay anything less than 17 here. Denver, no matter who is behind center, has trouble getting into the end zone. KC cruised to an early lead and coasted to a win vs Tampa last week. Division game. Rivalry. Statement game to let the league know the best team still resided in the AFC West. 2 road games up next. Give the fans a nice 44-10 win. 5* Best  Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the RAMS. What is going on with Arizona? No home field edge here. Take away that Hail-Mary vs the Bills and you have 4 straight home losses. Now 2 straight losses, 17ppg. Couldn't score in NE. Sitting at 6-5 with SF on their heels at 5-6. 7-3 Rams in off loss to said Niners. But, Rams with 6 straight wins over Arizona, 5-0-1 ATS. Rams with McVay. 21-10 SU, 19-12 ATS on the road, plus 14-7 SU 13-8 ATS vs division. 4 TO's doomed LAR last week. I expect a crisp offense this afternoon. And defensively for us, we have the 2 best guys on the field. On the line with Donald, in the secondary with Ramsey. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the PACKERS. This should be an easy double digit win. We have GB in off OT loss to Colts. Bad enough to lose on a fumble to start the OT. But blowing a double digit lead is also bad. Full focus A-Aron tonight in Prime Time. Packers the #3 scoring offense while Bears can't score 16ppg. I don't care who is QBing tonight, it won't matter for Chicago. 5-5 with 5 straight losses. They could be 0-10! Final possession games vs Carolina and Giants. Rallied from double digit deficits against the Lions and Falcons. And the Tampa Bay Thursday night game. This team is an absolute fraud. Saints at 8-2. Rams and Seattle at 7-3. Tampa at 7-4, Arizona 6-4. GB needs to continue winning for playoff implications. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the BILLS. Chargers a nice story with their rookie QB. But their HC has got to go. Why I really like this game. A couple reason. Right off the bat, early start on East Coast. Poor HC who makes terrible in game adjusts. Weather could be a factor. LA, Buffalo. Totally different elements end of November. Buffalo has a pretty good defense. The offense is pretty darn good too. I can't believe we are getting this at less than a touchdown. Maybe its too good to be true. We will rate it a best bet instead of money bomb, but in the end, we are still collecting. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

So we like the OVER - I don't think Lane Kiffin will be taking his foot off the gas in this game. Ole Miss has put up 54+59 their last 2 games. They also had 42-48 point back to backs in a win at Kentucky and loss vs Alabama. We know they can score. The Air Raid of the Rebels hasn't taken off much. But there is signs of life showing - after 5 straight losses, they beat Vandy, and nearly picked off Georgia losing 31-24. I think this will be a wild Egg Bowl. 8* Sure Shot OVER Miss St/ Miss

Taking the CHIEFS. I will be honest. I was thinking, yeah, I'll grab the Raiders here as a nice home dog. But then reality smacked me in my giant head. Hello. Andy Reid off bye week where he is 25-6 SU and 21-10 ATS. Not too shabby. Let's add a tidy 17-1 SU 15-3 ATS run when Andy has Mahomes under center. Add a dash of revenge from a 40-32 home loss as the icing on this winning ticket. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS

Taking OREGON. Will lay the big number here. Not scared of UCLA. Yeah, nice little game last week beating up on Cal. But I will take that one with a grain of salt. I think Ducks roll here. Oregon is -5 in turnovers and still 2-0 on the year. They haven't played a crisp game yet and are still averaging nearly 40ppg. Short rest for UCLA who again, beat Cal early on Sunday. 10* Money Bomb OREGON DUCKS   

Taking FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will do it again and look for another huge offensive output. And why not. Yes we are in on Trask Heisman futures. You know that already from the other games we backed the Gators. You know we are Florida to win the SEC in our futures. Look. Vandy is not sniffing a win here short of something catastrophic occurring. Trask will throw 6 TDs by half time. This total is 68 for a reason - Gators will be approaching 60 themselves. No time to let up in this season. The team knows it. The coach and QB know it. Every game matters. Every stat matters. If you don't think the HC QB and this team knows it has the Heisman leader right now, you are crazy. No taking the foot off the pedal for Florida. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking BALTIMORE here. We had the Ravens last week, and will ride them again here on the road. Ravens crushed a better NE team last year 37-20. We saw how bad the Patriots looked on MNF. Now a short week to face an always tough Baltimore team. Forget it. Cam. Holy cow. If I hear one thing about how he is some kind of the next Kap when he isn't on a NFL roster next season. As much as 25-5 last 30 games with Lamar looks, 3-13 as a team when Cam is your QB is not a good look. 2 TDs 7 INTs on the year, he does have 8 rushing TDs to his credit. Patriots offense with the most turnovers in the league. That isn't a good club. It isn't going to flip a switch sitting at 3-5 and reel of a bunch of wins. The defense is showing its lack of depth with the opt outs. The offense is showing that there are not any kind of playmakers. Yeah. It is a big number. And we will hear all about The Hoodie being an underdog. I don't even think we have to worry about the back door. Ravens still looking up at undefeated Steelers and KC looms. They cannot lose a game if they want to make up any ground and wish to host a home playoff game. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the RAMS. Off a bye week, Seattle coming back west after a loss. Will happily take LA in this spot. McVay clearly knows how to play the Seahawks. Last year. 28-12 Win. 30-29 should have been a win. 2018 36-31 33-31 Win Win. 42-7 Win in 2017. You getting the sense of a trend going on here. Rams can rush the passer with a much better defense right now than Seattle. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the BROWNS. Off bye. Rested. Better team. Better defense. Better coach. The coach is the difference maker here. Not your same old Cleveland club. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS

Taking ARIZONA. Grabbing these guys off their bye week. Look. This is really just fading Tua. I had Miami last week. And somehow, we pulled out a huge win. And I say somehow - because, hello - Tua led Miami to a whopping 145 yards of offense. 12-22 93 through the air. 4  turnovers will make you look good. Not getting that vs this bunch. Miami was laying in wait for the Rams to come east. Now Arizona will return the favor. 3 straight wins for them by 17ppg. If the Dolphins defense forces 2+ turnovers, well, hats off to them. I just don't see that being the case. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the FALCONS. Uh. These guys kill me every year. Another NFC South future ticket down the drain. Another Matt Ryan MVP ticket to be used as kindling to a fire. On the bright side, no more Dan Quinn. Woo Hoo. Atlanta should be 3-0 under Morris except for that stupid final play vs the Lions. Denver comes in as a nice win for last week, albeit that was vs the Chargers and Anthony Lynn another HC who costs backers thousands. Falcons playing better ball right now. 27 Turnovers for Lock in 10 games is probably a favorable thing for the Atlanta defense. I mean, can't hurt when you are given 2 turnovers at some point during the game. 15 turnovers for Denver on the season - and that my friends is why I am calling for a double digit win here by the home team. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAVENS. Lost with these guys last week, and lost fading the Colts and taking the Lions last week. Will continue down that road. One. Lamar and the Ravens 23-5 good for a 82% since he took over under center. I'll take a shot on several things with an 82% return rate. We are off a loss. We are off 4 turnovers. We are off rushing for over 225 yards. We are not sold on Phillip Rivers finding the fountain of youth the last 2 weeks with 6TDs 1 int. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking MICHIGAN. We liked these guys over Minny when everyone loved the Gophers - we will like them today when people will want to back the small home dogs. Look. Harbaugh can't beat good teams. Ohio States Michigan States Penn States. Indiana is not a team like that. Just like Minny isn't. And oh. How about that Indiana win last week. We had the Hoosiers. But that was really me thinking that Rutgers wasn't going to someone muster 7 turnovers from another Big 10 team. And, we probably should have grabbed Sparty based on the horrible game vs Rutgers. Total overreaction. And that is what we see here. Oh, Michigan is bad. Indiana 2-0, beat Penn State. We had the Hoosiers that game also. Were totally outplayed there. Nearly blew a cover last week. I think Indiana is a little full of themselves right now thinking they will catch the Wolverines licking their wounds. I think the total opposite. Talent level not close. The vultures might be circling above the HC. I expect a big game from Michigan. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking the RAIDERS. Easy to say oh yeah Tampa. Tom Brady is the GOAT. They reeled off 38 straight vs Rodgers and the Packers. Ho-hum. Extra rest off a game where their HOF QB didn't know what down it was an embarrassed on national TV. Now they fly cross country to a team off their bye week. A team that just held a pretty good KC to 8 points after half-time. A team that has a RB that will run right at your defensive weak spot. Raiders not a bad bunch. Went on the road an beat a decent Carolina team. Beat the Saints here. Lost a tough one to the Bills turning the ball over 4 times. Beat the Chiefs on the road as double digit dogs. Lost to NE after that MNF Saints win. Let's not sell them short. Won't be shocked if we steal this one outright. 5* Best Bet LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Going OVER the total. Texans defense is like a wet bag trying to hold a brick. Absolutely pathetic. Cost us last week in these write ups. I can't see them slowing down an angry A-Aron. Rodgers hurt us also as we had the Over against Tampa. Well. Looked good early as it was 10-0 then Rodgers turns into INT machine and its 38-10 and we can't get any garbage scoring. Off that kind of game, I am all in on the Pack and Rodgers jumping out fast. Already on the first half over will also be on the full game. 8* Sure Shot OVER Packers/ Titans 

Taking DALLAS. I will never say 'bad pick' when I have a team +3 and it goes to -1. No way. But, Hello 2020. Plenty of time we have been ahead of lines and totals only to be beat. It is a tough grind. I can't believe how poorly things played out Monday night. But there is zero shot that I think that Washington is a good team. I do like their defense though. We are also on the UNDER in this game. And why not. Redskins now with 5 straight games of 20 or less points. I have faith in Andy. The playmakers are there for him to make plays. Dallas isn't laying anything this afternoon. Any early number of them laying is long gone. That's fine. Washington has been down double digits in EVERY game this season. Dallas 15-4 ATS last 19 in division games. I'll tell you this. Dallas loses here, there should be a HC change coming. There is way too much talent here going to waste even before Dak was injured. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU

Taking the COWBOYS. Ok. No Dak. I get it- huge loss. Guy has been throwing for 400 yards and 4 TDs a game. But, let's be honest. The turnovers have killed them early in games. The defense is like a wet paper bag trying to hold 20 tuna cans. Not going to hold. Give me some Andy Dalton. Do people forget this guy took Cincy to the playoffs? Have you see the offensive playmakers on this Dallas roster? The WR corp is possibly the best in the league. And, they RB is, I dunno, pretty good in his own right. Home dogs. I'll take the points and grab the ML. This team will be 100% improved based on the QB change. Why? Cause they will feed Zeke like a fat guy at a buffet. Then Andy will pick apart an Arizona defense playing their 3rd straight road game. Make no mistake people. The Cowboys offense isn't the NY Jets, Panthers or Washington Redskins. And it isn't the Niners or Lions either. And Dalton is probably a lot less likely to toss INTs then Dak.  No way you can lay points with Arizona in this spot. Murray may run all over the place. But the Cowboys are winning this one outright. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS. I am high on the Bills. We had the over on Tuesday, but all in all, I do like the club. Like the HC. Like the defense. Like the run game. QB a bit of a question mark. It shows at time. But look. How the heck are we getting in front of Andy Reid here. This is like a bye week for him. Extra rest for his guys - Extra prep. Off a loss on top of that where they played poorly. And the Bills. Ok, at home. Short week after a Tuesday game. I have taken my fair share of home dogs this season. We can run down those losers if we really wanted to. Not doing it. Give me the reigning champs, angry, with extra prep + rest. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

5* Total Money OVER Browns/ Pitt

Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE 

4* Total Money UNDER NC/BC

Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the RAMS. Eagles going to Eagle. We had Washington last week and the defense did exactly what I thought they would do. 8 sacks of Wentz. Injuries already piling up in Philly. Normally I don't simplify things by saying if you can't stop X, how will you stop Y. In a case of now preseason games and practices though, I will. Cowboys a much better team talent wise. Even if their new coach was as lame as the old one in the play calling. Rams have a lot to prove after last season. Can't see how their pass rush does not get to Wentz at least 5 times. They have the best guy on the DL in the game. Yes - early start west to east for LAR. But I will be more inclined to fade them next week at Buffalo since the Covid forces them to go home and not stay in nearby. McVay will have the offense exploiting Philly weaknesses. 5* Bets Bet LA RAMS

Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Not going to get real deep into this game. We have two teams, both different. KC is your new style air-assault. Niners bring a multi-headed rush attack. The defense has been much better for SF of late. But lets look at that. KC even falling behind by big scores has not only rallied to win the games. But also shut down those offenses. 37-14 the last two 2nd halves for KC. How about the 2nd quarter score of 42-10. We also have Andy Reid off a bye week which is always a profitable angle, not at 19-3 SU. Let's also reflect a little on SF play calling. This is the same HC that blew a 28-3 Super Bowl lead. He was cruising Sunday vs GB then you look up to see 27-0 has turned into 34-20 and the backdoor hope was alive for a moment for GB backers. As good as the defense has been for SF, I just think that Mahomes is on another level the last 2 weeks. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show.  Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON 

Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL!  5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS

Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking CLEMSON, going ML. I know its a couple bucks off laying -1. But in the long run, this isn't going to hurt as we win these games. Arguably the 2 best teams some may say. Clemson, through no fault of their own - Defending Champs, Undefeated, somehow fall out the Top spot. And never had a chance to reclaim it. Well the year long disrespect is ready to be faced head on. Here come the Buckeyes. Look. I like OSU. We have cashed with them several times this year - albeit not last week when we had them and the over. But the fact is their best win on the year was at home, as 20pt home faves. This was a great win for them as they showed some heart and dominated the 2nd half. Can't get down like that to Clemson though. Tigers now in their 5th straight playoffs. Defending Champs. 3 seed! OSU can play the revenge angle from 2016. But I am not betting against Dabo. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE

Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly

Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS

Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES 

Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU

Taking DALLAS. I just can't get over this line move. The look ahead was Dallas -4. Opening number last week -3. Now, +2 for the Cowboys. I get it. Garrett is a dead man walking. They don't need this game as long as they beat Washington and Philly they are in the playoffs, with, Home Field! But nothing is a given in life. Especially when Jason Garrett is your QB. Also, having your kicker miss 10 FGs isn't helpful either. Now. If you, with extra rest, Playoff Revenge, and quite frankly, some damn pride, can't get off the carpet at home and show your fans something this afternoon. Then this 3 game slide will be 6 because you won't beat Philly next week or the Redskins. Rams needs this more, understood. They also needed a win at Pittsburgh. They eked out a win over the Bears. Got mauled by the Raven. Beat a bad Arizona team. Last week, really got on Seattle good. San Fran on deck, then Cards to end the year. Everything pretty much screams LA Rams. We will go opposite and happily cash our tickets. 10* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

4* Total Money UNDER Northern Iowa / James Madison 

Taking the RAMS. Wilson and Seattle crushed my dreams last week on Minny. My Vikings NFC North ticket dangling in the wind. So yea, I will grab LAR here. I know I have kicked their teeth in at times this year saying they aren't a great team. From Super Bowl to possibly not making the playoffs. But man oh man, it seems like Seattle is playing with fire every game. Forget fire. TNT. I dunno, something worse. No Theilen or however you spell his name at WR. Cook goes out. That is a game changer. They eked out a win at home over LAR when Greg the Leg missed a game winning FG. Good for us as we had Seattle ML. But as I said - Seattle playing a little to close to the edge. OT to beat Tampa, Lost to Baltimore. Lost to Bridgewater Saints. Nearly lost to Bengals. 2pt win on the road at Pitt when Big Ben got hurt. OT win on the road at SF. 27-10 was their easiest win at Arizona. Heck 17-9 at Philly was painful to watch. I just can't see them catching every break all season long. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the SAINTS. Tough spot again for San Fran. Off a tough Ravens game - now coming to the dome to face Brees and Payton. This is a pretty short number. Normally I shy away from the long hanging fruit. But people will be all over SF for a second week in the row in a dog role. A little extra rest with the Thanksgiving Game in Atlanta, and this should be a nice cash. 8* Sure Shot 

Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Going OVER the total. 38-7 in the rain. Now - dome, fast track. #1 offense in the country and Wiscy is a lumbering defense. Buckeyes getting at least 45-50 tonight. I think Badgers can score a couple TDs. I won't be shocked to see something like 27-10 at half and the flood gates will just open. 8* Sure Shot OVER Badgers/ Buckeyes

Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking MEMPHIS. A repeat from last week. Think Tigers cover by double digits in this one. I'm thinking of a nice 20pt win actually. Cincy struggled with Temple and South Florida before last weeks game with Memphis. It was 17-3 in the first Tigers, and the beat down should have been on. I don't think Memphis lets this one get away. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking CMU. What a turnaround under McElwain for the Chips. 1-11 last year, MAC Championship Game this year. These guys on a 8-1-1 ATS run. 41 points in 5 of their last 7 games. We get an uninspired Miami Ohio gang for this game at Ford Field. How about a 20-17 win over Akron when you are laying 29? Then you follow that up with a 41-27 loss at Ball State who at the time had 4 wins, and, you were a dog! A dog to a 4 win team. 2-5 on the road for the MiaO and I think that road woes continue. Maybe this looks like the old low hanging fruit type of gang. But I am not getting in front of Central Michigan the way they are playing right now. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking UTAH. I think Utes best team in the PAC 12. Always lean to the better defensive team in this spot. Plus, we have a clear coaching edge. I opened the season with Utah over BYU and I will close out their regular season with them over Oregon. Top 5 D that will slow down the Ducks. Oregon is not a bad team. Top 25 on both sides of the ball. Arguably they have a Top QB draft pick in Hebert. I can forgive the crazy loss to start the year vs Auburn. But laying an egg in probably the biggest game of the year vs Arizona State. Not forgivable. Utes win this one going away. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES 

Taking the PACKERS. Had these guys ML last week and they totally wet the bed on national TV. Just looking at Rodgers face you can tell how pissed and angry he was. This Giants defense is nothing like San Fran. This is a team that the Packers beat. These guys are 8-3. Lost both games in Cali to Chargers and Niners in bad fashion. In between, a 8pt win at home over Panthers and a bye. Sitting at 8-3, same as Minnesota, Pack need a win. Again, Giants defense not anywhere near what the Niners will bring. Rodgers too much a competitor to not bounce back after that performance Sunday. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking UAB. Huge game here. Blazers trying to lock up CUSA West. Presently a 3 way tie with Southern Miss and La Tech. Good News. They beat La Tech head to head. Bad news. Southern Miss won their head to battle. But good news. UAB is facing a 4-7 North Texas team that has 2 home on the year over barely D1 schools UTEP and UTSA. And, they give 33ppg that places them on the other side of the Top 100. Blazers come in with a rough Top 10 defense that can smell it's spot in the Championship Game. Southern Miss this weekend. Well they face Florida Atlantic, who at 8-3, sit atop the CUSA East. But, with just a game lead over Marshall and Western Kentucky, they need a win. They REALLY need win since they lost to WKU and that would leap frog the Hilltoppers past the Owls into said Championship Game. Blazers just have to win this game which makes better since there is no spread to worry about. 10* Money Bomb UAB BLAZERS

Taking CLEMSON. Look. These guys. Defending Champs. Getting slighted since they play in the ACC. What a joke. I don't care if we are laying 30 here. Dabo will have this team firing on all cylinders coming out of their bye week. Statement time to let the powers that be know. We are the defending Champs. We are undefeated for the 2nd straight regular season. We have WON the National Championship Game 2 of the last 3 years. And have been in the National Championship Game 3 of the last 4 years. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking MARSHALL. I like Butch Davis. Wish he never left Miami U. But this is a real tough spot. Off huge upset of old school, nowhere to go but down. Look at the numbers. Plus 3 in TO's. They also stopped Miami twice in the red-zone (1,11 yard lines). Huge yardage discrepancy. Marshall also has a chance to make the CUSA Championship Game if they win and Florida Atlantic goes down. First thing to worry about . Taking care of FIU. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking the COWBOYS. Let's start with the Bills. An 8-3 team getting in some spots a full TD from a 6-5 team. Oh we have to take the team with the better record. Let's see. They have scored more than 30 twice, both vs Miami. Wins at NYJ and NYG. Were down big and needed miracle to beat Jets. Faced Rookied QB in Giants. Beat Cincy. Does that need a comment? Lost to Patriots. Whipped 31-10 at home by Eagles. Beat Redskins 24-9 with Haskins at QB. Lost at Cleveland 19-16. Beat Denver with Brandon Allen and his 82 passing yards at QB 20-3 at home. Dak and friends will have a field day here. Bad conditions and poor play calling cost them in NE. A huge, must , must , must win game for Dallas here. Short week. Desperate team. Huge talent differential at offensive skill positions. Bills beat the bad teams. Lose to good ones. It is proven in their games this season 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PACKERS. Getting GB off a bye week. Getting GB and Rodgers, angry. Last time in Cali they were a no show for a game vs the Chargers. I am sure - 100% positive, Rodgers took the team to task for that showing. As great as his 17 TDs and 2 INTs look. How about the run game with the other Aaron, Jones, with 11 rushing TDs (plus 3 in the air). Smith and Smith combo with 18.5 sacks. I am sure they will get some pressure on Jimmy G. And who is he handing off to? A lot of lingering injuries on both sides of the ball for San Fran. I don't find it hard to believe that Aaron Rodgers still holds a grudge for the Niners taking Alex Smith over him. ML and Points if you want them. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking DALLAS. Might also grab a little +245 ML. Listen. You don't make all that much money fading this QB + HC combo. And you all know how I feel about this Dallas HC. Brutal. But that's a story for another day. One. I think Dallas defense is pretty good. Albeit they have shown just flashes. But they can get pressure on Brady and their LBs are a solid group. This is really going to come down to dictating Zeke and their OL. Honestly though, the way Dak has played, you really can't get down if they have him passing often to his WR dynamic duo. I think this is just too many points. If you can get 7 at a little higher price, I think its worth it. But I also think Dallas has a shot at being a live dog this afternoon also. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the TITANS. Can't believe I didn't load this game up at the start of the week. Off bye week. Tannehill makes this team look 100% better offensively. Defense always solid for Tennessee. I like Foles. Thought it was a great signing. Guy has done nothing but win games when given a start. But, he has a game and a what, a series or 2 under his belt. You can't be breaking new QBs in Week 12. Especially when you are the Jags who historically struggle on offense. Sad for the lost year Jaguar fans. A lot of wasted talent on that defense. Give me the lunch box brigade. All the Titans do is win when nobody is looking and end up 9-7 and in the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking TENNESSEE. Vols rolling right now with 3 straight wins. Off a bye week, they get a free-falling Missouri bunch who has dropped 4 in a row. No offense to be found scoring 6-0-7-14 in those games. They had 33 or more in 20 of 26 games! MizzU has dropped 50 the last 2 times these guys have played. Vols rested, smell the blood in the water. Bowl eligible with a win. Sprinkle that +160 ML 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking LSU. No time to slow down the scoring. It is run it up time as it does matter in the rankings. How is Arkansas putting up points here? On the bad side of 100 for both offense and defensive ratings. What is this gonna be, 52-3? How about a 60 spot. Will the get to 70. Last week was the let down spot. This is back to work time to keep pace with Ohio State and Clemson putting up 50 a game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS

Taking MEMPHIS. South Florida done for the year. No bowl. The offense a total Jekyl and Hyde unit that has put up 17-7-45-3-27 their last 5 games. Can't be inconsistent against this Tigers team. 45-54--43-47-28Loss- 52-35-42-55. Too much to slow down for Bulls. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking TEXAS A&M. Rolling this baby out as a BEST BET. One day, Jimbo is going to have beat a good team. Not just a good team, but a Top 10 team. Somewhere. Here, the road. Outer space. You can't be in the SEC and face Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Georgia and not win a game. You will 8-4 every year and out the door in 4. Lost to Clemson, Bama and Auburn this year. Lose by 14 at Clemson, 20 at Bama, 8 to Auburn. Bulldogs have trouble on the offense sometimes. Too many points if you like Georgia in my opinion. Another loss most likely, but A&M in cover mode. 5* Best Bet TEXAS A&M

8* Sure Shot AIR FORCE 

Taking the COLTS. I am no fan of the Texans. Way too inconsistent for me. Especially laying points like this. Huge division game. I get Brissett under center. I have not 1, but 2 100 yard backs last week. I know Texans can be explosive on offense. But, if you aren't on the field all that much, good look. I can see how you would be on Houston after they had their doors blown off last week. Indy is 5-1 SU last 6 in this series. Jacoby, a perfect 3-0 vs Houston in his starts. So it wasn't all Luck for Indy. Cots when healthy a very solid team. And I have to be all aboard even in a short week. They made light work of the Jags. And with this last game as the exception, every Colts game is a possession game. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the BEARS. I have kicked Chicago's back in since pre-season. QB is brutal and the coach doesn't help a bit. But there is zero chance I am laying at home with the Rams. OL is a nightmare. Gurley is done. Guy hasn't been healthy last couple years. Goff making that contract look horrible. Not his fault that he is an average QB. Rams always have problems with good defenses. And, the Bears defense is still an elite unit. We might not win this one outright, but there is not a chance the Rams win this by a TD. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I get it. It might be a square play here with NE off a bye week. But I can't trust Philly even as a small dog. Especially with Super Bowl Pay-back on the menu tonight. This is NOT that Eagles team. This team has loads of problems on both sides of the ball. They are 5-4. Where is the good win? At Green Bay? Is that what we are hanging our hats on? Let's do a little recap here. Redskins jumped out early on them and Philly held on. Lost at Atlanta. Lions beat them here. The GB win. Mauled Jets with a backup QB behind center for the visitors. Beaten badly at Minny, then smashed by Dallas on National TV. Beat a so so Bills team. Again I ask - Will Brady beat this team by 4 points off a bye week with a Super Bowl loss memory fresh in his head. I don't think this game is close. It might be tight for a half, but Patriots defense will want to reshape their image after the Ravens game. Brady has something to prove. Brady 13-4 off bye week. Pats with the NFC East co-leader Cowboys on deck at home. Then South leading Texans then West leading Chiefs all coming up. This is the most focused and fresh they will be. I found this little tidbit on the web from the start of the season - Since 2002, away favorites coming off a bye are 66-31 against the spread (68%) and a phenomenal 28-6 ATS (82.4%) and 31-3 straight up (91.2%) when favored by at least 4.5 points. - 10* Money Bomb NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Have to grab this team off a bad game. NO not looking too pretty last week vs the Falcons. This is a game that the HC takes very seriously. TB off nice come from behind win over Arizona. But this isn't a rookie QB and HC. This is a HOF QB & Coach, and Super Bowl winning combo. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Last we saw Jax they were getting mauled in London 26-3 by the Texans. Minshew mania over after that 2 interception day. Off their bye week, Nick Foles returns. Minshew was solid. 13 TDs. 93 passer rating. Not too shabby for the rookie. But Foles has a playoff pedigree. We can laugh and joke about it. The guy wins. 14-4 back in 2013/2014 for Philly. Then 6-2 the last 2 years filling in for Wentz, and 4-1 in the Playoffs adding a Super Bowl Trophy to his shelf. Colts for me, way too shaky. And I was a big Indy guy this season. But TY out. QB questions. Not a spot to be laying points. Shaky kicking game. Jags all day for me here. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking IOWA STATE. Please explain this line. I know. Tom Herman what, 14-4 as a dog. Here getting a TD. Longhorns ranked in the Top 20. Iowa State 5-4, and laying a pretty decent size chunk here. World will be on Texas and Herman. We are going opposite. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking ALABAMA. We had LSU ML last week and it payed off. We will be all in on the Tide. Off a loss. Holy. Normally, their loss is the playoffs and they blast some team to open the season. Now the angry is fresh and will carry over. There will be no let-down for a double loss here. Tide still #5 in the Playoff Poll. That is an entire other argument as somehow Georgia who lost to South Carolina is 4 ahead of Alabama and undefeated Big 10 teams among others. Back to Miss State being a sacrificial lamb this afternoon. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking MARSHALL. Interesting 2 point line move and the money was already in on LT as they are always live as dogs under Holtz. LT also averaging over 50ppg last 4 and again, besides the line move, the total dropped. Thought about moving this to a Top 10, but even hitting 60% this month, we aren't forcing our hand. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking the NINERS here. I don't think I have heard one person say they like San Fran. I get Wilson is having an MVP year. Something tells me though that SF are practiced and ready to go. Extra prep time off the Thursday game. Injured guys get some more time. Sanders looked good in his first game since trade from Denver. The defense is not too shabby. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking the COWBOYS. Went back and forth a bit on this one. I do like Minny. Love their HC. But their QB is a Prime Time nightmare. How about 6-14 in prime-time starts, and 6-29 against opponents with winning records! Dak is 14-5 in his prime-time starts. Let's not forget 0 4th quarter comebacks either from Cousins, 0-10-1 when trailing coming into the 4th. Not going to say some negatives backing Garrett in this spot for Dallas. But Minny just hasn't figured it out when it matters on the road. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking CLEMSON. Undefeated, defending Champs, not in the Top 5 of the CFB Playoffs. I would lay 40 here. I think the Tigers demolish NC State who has been exposed the last 2 weeks giving up 89 points to Wake and BC. This is going to be a 55-10 type of game. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking TENNESSEE. Kentucky playing a WR at QB and he is acting like a RB. Vols need 2 wins to get bowling. This is one. Vandy to end the year the other. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE

Taking LSU here on the MONEY LINE, but also going to play some at +6.5. We have seen Saban teams have trouble with good offenses. Look at this line. A healthy Tua and we would be getting double digits, and I would still be looking at LSU. I can here all the Alabama backers saying Tide just have to win by a TD. Live dog today. 4* Money Maker LSU on the ML-- If you are taking +6.5, boost it to a 8* Sure Shot play.