Taking SOUTHERN MISS. I do like UAB. 6-2 looks nice, but no real upset, major wins. In off 30-7 at Tennessee. Now, rested So Miss off bye week. They are 5-3 but like UAB, 3-1 in Conference Play looking up at 4-1 La Tech. Just the scheduling spot I have to go with the home fave here. 5* Best Bet SOUTHERN MISS 

Taking STANFORD. Back with a QB behind center, we will take the small faves here. Off their bye-week, sitting at 4-4, nice staring at Colorado who has dropped 5 straight. Buffs haven't won a game in November since 2016! 5* Best Bet STANFORD 

Taking the COWBOYS. Think this will be a bit of shootout, so maybe look a little at the over. But my top play is on the side. Dallas out of the bye. Getting healthy all around. The defense has under-achieved in my eyes. I think they really get after Jones behind center. NYG OL not great shakes at all. Key here to a nice double digit win is Zeke and Dak. They pound early, open things up, and you get the big plays from Dallas WRs. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BROWNS. I wasn't high on these guys to start to the year. Still not high on them. But they have the best offensive guys on the field. If they can't pull out a win here, fire the coach before the flight home. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. Like Russell for sure. This is a no brainer when it comes to the QBs here. But Seattle does like to run. And Tampa brings a solid run D. Also, I don't think Seattle can handle the Bucs WRs. These are two #1 wide-outs that could star on any team. Seahawks just not covering as faves. How about 10 straight dogs now in Seattle games? 1-5 ATS this season for Seattle and 0-4 ATS at home. Their 2 wins at home, 21-20 over Cincy, 30-29 over the Rams (remember Rams missed FG at end). Lost to Teddy Bridgewater 33-27, lost to Ravens 30-16. Can't trust them laying even vs this team. 8* Sure Shot TB BUCCANEERS 

Taking the JETS, my Top Play of the Week. All the money pouring in on the Dolphins. I get Jets looking bad. But I am all over them today. Let's remember, Gase was run out of Miami last year. You don't think this is a huge game for him? You don't think any Jets players on the roster from last year wants payback for losing both games to Miami. Jets by double digits. 10* Money Bomb NEW YORK JETS 

Taking MEMPHIS. Line opened 3 and as high as 6 now at some shops. We have the lower ranked team vs the undefeated higher ranked team and laying a little chunk at home. SMU undefeated, but not sharp last week. Some call SMU HC Sonny Ykes since he isn't fond of playing much D. Or at least that is what I call him. You give up 73 and 96 yard TD passes last week to a back up QB on the road. Tigers tough at home. I think they win by 10. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking WASHINGTON. Will grab Chris Peterson and his troops as a small home dog. Look. He has had trouble when he is a favorite. Even at Boise, he thrived in the dog roll. And here, out of a bye week, at home. Forget. 18 straight wins out of the bye for Peterson. Eason doesn't turn the ball over, this is an outright win for the home team. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON HUSKIES 

Taking GEORGIA. Here is another Radio Game I did on Monday. The line then, Florida laying 4. Heck, I even saw a sporadic 3.5 laying around. Opened at 6.5, dropped rose again. Not even sure of what to make of that. A group really trying for a 2 point middle? Well. I will say I was leaning Gators. And why wouldn't I? Fromm not looking like a guy some say should go #1 in the draft. Struggling last 2 games. But why do I see this turning into a big Bulldogs win going away. Both teams off bye weeks. What has been super for Georgia all year, their defense. 40 points allowed in 4 SEC games. You know how you do that. Control the clock. Gators have allowed LSU and South Carolina to both go for over 200 yards on the ground the last 2 games. Double digit win here for the visitors. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Off a bye week, I think they are ready to pick off the Niners. We had the Redskins and managed a half point cover without scoring a point. Washington then proceeded to bite us in the butt on Thursday night as they don't force a punt, but still manage to cover the number. Back to the Niners. Just a spot I think is bad for them. Still banged up on the OL. Plus, short week with division rival Arizona on deck. That is where their focus will be. They can drop an out of division game. Heck, they can win and not cover. I just think that since Cam has been out, this is a different team. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the COLTS. Again, back as our Top Play this week. I can't believe this line is where it is. I am shocked is not over a touchdown. In fact, it has dropped a bit. I have no clue why. How can a sharp money player come in on Denver? They just traded a veteran WR. Their QB has looked awful in pocket. Their defense is ok which you would expect from this HC. But everything else is a mess. Indy a focused a group. I said this from the moment Luck went down. There is not really a huge drop off to Brissett. Kid filled in when Luck was lost for the season before. That is huge. The defense cost them games that season. That has improved. The OL has improved. The run game. Everything has improved. Like this HC. You see how Philly has struggled since he has left. Much like the guy in SF. He leaves ATL after the Super Bowl loss and Falcons can't muster anything. Huge end on the sidelines for us today. I don't care about extra rest for Denver. That team played scared even after Mahomes went down. If this isn't a double digit win I will be shocked. 10* Money Bomb INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the GIANTS. Might even sprinkle some +250 ML here. Giants getting healthy on offense. Rookie Daniel Jones with some new toys returning. Barkley, Tate, Engram. They will score some points here. Lions who I thought were off to a promising start, well, losing your RB hurts. I just can't back the Lions as a favorite of this size. 8* Sure Shot NY GIANTS  

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. Rocky Long has the Aztecs back in the hunt this year. Defense a Top 10 unit and should be able to man handle UNLV late night here. Revenge for home loss last year. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CAL. Big ballsy play as a 10*. I get it. 3 straight losses. An offense that can't score 20. But, we are getting 3 TDs tonight. Utah with their own injured QB. Maybe he plays a bit. Maybe he gets hurt. Bears defense hasn't give up more than 24 points in 14 straight games. I'm looking for a score or 2 and we should be home free with a win. Thought about the Under 37.5, but this is a 6 full points lower than any Cal total this season. Bears on a 13-3 under run in PAC 12 games and 10 of their last 11 on the road have gone under. Just tossing out some trends for you. 10* Money Bomb CAL BEARS 

Taking LSU. Give me these guys at home all day long here. No look ahead here. These guys are taking care of business every week. Saw Bo Nix toss 3 INTs vs the Gators. This defensive backfield is just as good. Delpit or Stevens will have some big plays this afternoon. Burrows the Heisman leader right now. LSU by 20+ 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking the JETS. New Jets team people. I thought at the start of the season, they were a playoff team. Then mono and injuries show up and you have a 3rd stringer in their behind center and the wheels are falling off. Well, Mono-Man is back. The OL is still a concern for me. But I do like the defense. I think with a real NFL QB you make your RB that much better. Everything improves. Jets HC has beaten Pats while in Miami. Always a tough series here. You can't really knock NE. The defense is taking the ball away every game. What I see is Brady throwing some end-zone INTs. Patriots offense is ok, but nothing really special. 5* Best Bet NY JETS 

Taking the BEARS. Great run by Teddy B with 4 straight wins and the Saints can't be complaining. Guy was decent in Minny, so not exactly a true back up. But, back to back road games tough in the NFL. At Seattle, home vs Dallas and Tampa - road win vs hot Panthers. Bears going to be an angry bunch for sure. Bad loss in London. I don't care who is throwing the ball, Chicago wins with defense. And, we have seen when Teddy and the Saints get a good defense, they struggle. 13-6 last week. 12-10 over Dallas. We have seen Tampa and Seattle give up plenty of points. Bears allowing just 13.8ppg and are on a 17-6-1 ATS run at home last 24 games. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the FALCONS. Both of these guys in a bit of a free-fall. I think the Dan Quinn era(rror) is going to be coming to an end soon. Granted, the kicking has bit them in the butt, but what a waste of this offensive talent. Rams come in now losers of 3 straight, and have an early start time, while playing Matty Ice at home who has pretty good numbers here. That says all you need to know about the state of the Falcons. Ryan leading the NFC in TD passes and yards. He has a pair of pretty decent wide-outs if you don't know them. Job on the line here for the home team HC. Dog Outright. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the COLTS. Big game here for Indy. Rested, off bye. Guys back getting healthy. Hilton and Mack are great weapons for Brissett. They have won 7 of their 8 at home. They have covered 9 of 10 against teams with a winning record. 27-8 SU vs the Texans. Houston in off huge win over KC. In fact, both teams last win over Chiefs. Back to back roadies tough. Double tough after winning at Arrowhead, then coming to a play a team that beat you in the playoffs last year. Colts get it done. 10* Money Bomb INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking PENN STATE. I just think this is going to be a beat down. Michigan is done. I think Harbaugh is out of here. White-out game vs these guys? Forget it. Penn State line is going to maul the Wolverines on both sides of the ball. We can beat the Michigan / Harbaugh vs ranked teams thing to death (1-6 on the road). PSU defense clear edge over Michigan. This team is in real trouble. I don't think they score 10 points tonight. 10* Money Bomb PENN STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Had Bears last week and that bit us in the butt. But that is who they are. Beat bad teams. Lose to decent teams. Now on the road, the 'Ranked' and "Undefeated" Baylor Bears are dogs. Chuba Hubbard to run all over the Bears. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking LSU. I see this as a 20+ point win for LSU. Miss State having trouble scoring lately. 10 points at Tennessee! If Auburn is dropping 56-23 on you, I see LSU getting mid 40s at a minimum. Even at home, State going to have problems containing Burrows. QB problems don't help. Having your defense drafted into the NFL doesn't help. LSU can really name their score tonight. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking CLEMSON. So, last year 77-16. Not that I am expecting that. But, we did cash Louisville last week. A wild, wild, 62-59 game vs Wake. Going on the road and knocking off a ranked team is a big deal coming off last season's 2-10 train-wreck. Even catching this big number, I don't think it's close. Clemson putting up some big numbers. 45-14 last week. 52 vs Charlotte, 52 vs GT. 41-6 at Syracuse. Can you say Louisville is along the lines of GT, SU? Even a down FSU? Forget this Tigers QB as a Heisman guy. The Heisman guy is his RB. 7 yards a carry. Heck, Dixon with 6ypg. Birds gave up 123 and 95 last week to a pair of Wake RBs. I am sure Clemson tailbacks licking their chops here. How about Tee Higgins seeing a Wake WR going for 196. I think Clemson drops 50 easy today and Cards don't have the horses to stay within 30. Also. Let's not rule out some Playoff Points. OSU and Oklahoma putting up big numbers. LSU and Alabama will cancel each other out, or will they? Pour it on 80s style. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS

Taking FLORIDA. I get the thinking. Let-down off that LSU loss. I don't think so. Gators with bye-week next week. They know they need this game. A big what-if last week with an end-zone INT and stopped at LSU 2. Had lead at half-time. Tough loss for sure. But South Carolina comes in giddy upsetting Georgia. Deeper looks shows 4 Bulldogs turnovers help the cause greatly. Getting out-yarded by nearly 200 yards. Not sure who is QBing for Gamecocks, but I still think they don't score more than 13 points. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking OHIO STATE. How the heck is Northwestern keeping this within 30 points? Nebraska 13-10, Wiscy 24-15, 31-10 Michigan State.  So 10-15-10 vs Big  10 teams. Ohio State has given up 17 in 2 Big 10 road games. 48-7 at Nebraska, 51-10 at Indiana. Is Northwestern on either of their levels? 99-17 outscoring conference foes on the road for OSU. Ohio State is scoring 40-50 here. I don't think Wildcats get past 10 - and if they do, Buckeyes will surely answer any score. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking the LIONS and will be looking at +215 on the ML. Everyone will be on the Packers after they dismantled Dallas early. They will probably over look the INTs, the missed FGs, the 500+ yards off offense they gave up. Oh, it's Aaron Rodgers at home and they only have to win by a touch down. Detroit off bye. Had that crazy KC game before. For me though. This is just a great situational spot for the road team. Extra prep time for division rival. I get it. GB will be looking for revenge off 31-0 loss here at home last year. But, no Rodgers. I don't put much merit in that angle. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the CHARGERS. This Pitt team is in trouble this year. Forget the QB problems. This defense has yet to get an offense off the field when it needs to. Enter the Chargers off a brutal home loss. Yeah, we had Denver and the points. But I thought they would hang tough and too much Rivers and Allen would win a close shoot-out. Instead. LAC couldn't do anything right. I expect them to get right here. A big offensive night for this team. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS 

Taking the RAMS. So, we had ML play on Seattle last Thursday. Tough, tough loss as Rams miss FG at end of game. Looking inside the stats here. Rams put up basically 30 points in about 25 minutes of work. Closed in on nearly 500 yards of offense. This is a huge game for LAR sitting at 3-2. We have Niners here on Monday Night. I think they win this over the Browns. That means, a short week. Off a MNF win. While Rams sitting with extra for this monster divisional game. Everyone remembers what they last saw. That is Niner domination, and Rams chocking on a late FG.  10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Saints have bit us in the butt the last two weeks. We will fade them again. So, on the grass, out of the dome, and off a big SNF win over the Cowboys. And a big division win over Tampa Bay. Taking to the road in a non-conference game seems a bit of let-down spot. Teddy B off his best game ever. This Saints team still has had trouble offensively - Yes 4-1. But winning by just 4 points a game and having eclipsed 300 yards of total offense twice. How is that possible in today's NFL? Christian McCaffrey had 250 yards himself in a game last week! - Look. Maybe Ramsey is back as he sees the team competing. Fournette having a huge bounce back season. DJ Chark is on the same page as Minshew. Bears on deck for NO, so you think they might eye that NFC game more important. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking INDIANA. Have to say. As a Jersey guy, it pains me to see how brutal Rutgers is. Every time I watch 30 for 30 The U, I think to myself. Man, can Rutgers just keep NJ kids in this state for a few years. Ah, what could be. That being said, in reality land, Rutgers is terrible. They have scored a grand total of 23 points their last 4 games vs Big 10 games. All 23 at home, 16 vs BC, 7 vs Maryland. Did I mention getting blasted 30-0 at Iowa and 52-0 at Michigan. Ok, Hoosiers may not be that level. The fact Indiana put a 31 spot up on Michigan State is enough for me to get behind them. Yeah, even a Sparty team that was possibly looking past Indiana. Is Rutgers that much better than UConn who Hoosiers beat 38-3? I don' think so. Eastern Illinois lost here 52-0. I can see something in between like the 45-10 range. I feel safe laying 30 here off a bye week.  5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS

Taking the COWBOYS. I get that people will be giddy getting Aaron Rodgers at a FG or maybe even 3.5. This game is going to be a Dallas BLOWOUT. One. Let's talk about what we last saw from Dallas. Them struggling in the Dome vs the Saints. Wasn't like the defense didn't show up. Hats off to Sean Payton and company out-coaching Jason Garrett though this is nothing new. At home, off a prime time loss, Dallas primed for a rout. So GB has some extra rest. They need it. They were just exposed by the Eagles. If you want to say Dallas didn't play anyone, let's talk about the Packers defense and their performances. You really impressed with them shutting down the Bears and Broncos. And getting Cousins at home to throw a bad INT - No DeVonte is a big blow to Rodgers WR corp. Someone will probably step up, but it won't be enough. Think Dallas OC adjusts, and Zeke has a monster game to open things up for Dak. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS. Call me crazy. Call me anything you want. Just don't call me late for dinner. Said on my video last Sunday about this Bears offense. I think they are better with Mitch OUT. Give me Chase all day long. The offense can't get worse. Oh yeah, LONDON ALERT. This isn't in Oakland or LA, or Vegas or wherever the heck the Raiders lay their heads down. These outfit is half a globe away from home. You don't think Mack is going to wind up his buddies to make sure to release the dogs of war on his former team and coach? If Chicago can get any offense going this is going to be a blood bath. This would be a normal 10* Play. But have to downgrade a bit based on the travel, time, field. Bears roar behind their defensive leader. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the VIKINGS. On these guys AGAIN!! Yes, we have been on Minny all season long with mixed results. I'll tell you this - If Cousins can't solve this defense, it is really time for them to move on. Eat the contract. What a waste of this WR dynamic duo. Not to mention their TE. Cook should feast on this Giants defense. This is a BAD TEAM people. Don't be fooled by a crazy comeback at Tampa or the fact they beat a rookie QB who looked lost last week. Daniel Jones has some problems that just haven't come up and bite him yet. Fumbles and INTs vs this defense, rest assured, will be turned into points by this anemic offense. For me. This is really a season changer for the Vikings. They should come in here with their excellent HC and defense and really dictate this game to the Giants. Cousins, even with short passes should carve these guys up. The NFC North is there for the taking. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking OHIO STATE. I know Michigan State brings a defense. But until I see the Buckeyes offense slowed down, I am not getting in front of it. 26-6 last year, 48-3 the year before. The question isn't will Sparty slow down Ohio State. The question is can Michigan State get into double digits to sneak in the back door! I'll forgive giving up 31 to Indiana (OSU 51-10 @Indy this season) last week with Ohio State on deck. Clear look ahead. But, Sparty struggled with Arizona State at home. They got 3 INTs from Northwestern. OSU putting up 52ppg giving up 8. - Sparty always seems a bit slow vs OSU. And I don't think their D is up to the task vs these athletes. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking GEORGIA. So we lost with the Bulldogs against ND. That was a pretty physical game and bye week was much appreciated. Now time to get back to business. And that is destroying week teams to make the top SEC teams look powerful and mean. Hello Tennessee. Oh how the Vols have fallen. Guys quitting the team in September. Georgia by 41 and 26 the last 2 games. This should shape up as a 30pt win. Not bothered by the OC for Tenn having been on GA sidelines. The Vols offense and QB situation in complete shambles. Tenn 4-13 ATS last 17 at home. 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA BULLDOGS

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Don't be fooled by Northern Illinois coming in with 3 straight losses. Playing at Utah, Nebraska and Vanderbilt is a bit of step of from MAC play. Now the huge drop off to Ball State. A team that NIU has dominated going 17-3 last 20, 10 straight wins and 7 straight ATS covers. Huskies much better team, battle tested. Nothing better than coming home where you are 47-9 SU last 56 games. This should be a 10 point win. 10* Money Bomb NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. This is not your old Texas Tech team. First off. They are on their 3rd QB of the season. Their old offense is in the NFL. This team is struggling right now. We will toss out the recent numbers head to head based on that. New regime for the Red Raiders. Will on across the field, Gundy just keeps the offense churning. I just don't think Red Raiders can keep up. I know double digits on the road, in conference is a tough pill to swallow. But TT, 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS last 8 games. Tech put up 14 against Arizona and 16 vs Oklahoma. Can't have faith backing that. Add in a revenge spot for the Cowboys. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking UCF. I get it. People down on these guys right now. Their undefeated and Playoffs hope dashed by a loss at Pitt. Now everyone thinking that Cincy is live home dog. I get it. But this line will probably bottom out around here. I saw some 4.5s which are no long gone. Central Florida just on a 28-1 SU regular season run. That is tough to ignore. Again, we are small fave. Cincy off a blowout win over Marshall. I think that dropped this line a bit. UCF rolled Uconn in a final score that was not even that close. UCF putting up nearly 50ppg and has scored 30 or more in 31 straight games. Not saying UCF is Ohio State, but Cincy can be had by some speed across the field. How about Cincy just 1-5 last 6 as a home dog. 8* Sure Shot UCF 

Taking the COWBOYS. Have yet to see the Saints defense show up for a series this season. Not a chance they can slow down Dallas. Even if Brees was playing, we would be on Dallas. Tons of talent on both offenses. Just think Cowboys D is a step or two above N'awleans. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. We have been on these guys all season. Will come back again here on the road. We had Packers over Bears here. We will take Minny over Bears. Vikes bring their own pretty good defense to the battle today. Getting a FG, I know its tough with Cousins and how he screws things up sometimes. But, this is a balanced attack. Not high on Chicago offense at all. They will be coming off MNF so that helps us a bit in the rest department. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking SEATTLE. Punt return and a fumble return for TD put Seahawks in a tough spot. Gotta believe in Pete Carroll to have these guys ready to rock a rookie QB and HC. Clear edge on the sidelines for us. Panthers just came here and did whatever they wanted to do. Something that the Ravens couldn't do at home. But with a backup QB across the field, Arizona was ambushed by a 4 TD outings. Russell Wilson comes in off a 400 yard game. 4 of the last 6 games have been decided by a FG. The other two, a tie and a 6 pt win. I think this is going to be a beat down in the 30-10 type range. 440+ yards per game for Arizona D with 0 INTs yet. Cards 1-15-1 SU last 17 games. 10* Money Bomb SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the TITANS. I like the Falcons. This is their division to lose know with Brees out. I have them at a nice plus money ticket to win the South. But my oh my do they play down to teams. Their failures on the road continue after losing to Vikings and last week to the Colts. They mauled Philly in a physical affair - but, let's not forget they had to pull that win out of their butts. 6 INTs for Matty Ice after 7 all of last year. For me though, we get extra rest with Tennessee. The are going to try to run, run, run and then throw to their tight end. I think this is going to be an ugly affair. Falcons seem to play down to teams. But, Titans 12-10 their last 22, how about 8-16 last 24 for Atlanta. We have the better defense in a game of two desperate teams. Coin flip game to me and we are getting a bit more than a FG. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking ARIZONA. No no no. Not sold on UCLA. Even though they buried us coming back from a 49-17 hole. What do they have in the tank here after putting up 63? And really. A team that had not scored more than 14 in a game scored 50 in 20 minutes. Not buying it. Arizona in off bye and back to back road games for bad teams helps our cause. UCLA now 2-16 last 18 SU on the road.  5* Best Bet ARIZONA 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Was looking at this game before the King news. Figured to be a high scoring affair. King a beast with 50 TDs last season. But do not overlook Mason Fine. He's no slouch. Mean Green should be at top of CUSA North. Balanced O that is stacked with experience. Defense can be shaky. But little brother vs big brother and now a blow like this to Cougars. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS

Taking OHIO STATE. Rolled with these guys last week. Putting up 70+ with Nebraska on deck. And said Cornhuskers trailed on the road last week by 14 multiple times as a near 14 pt road favorite. Buckeyes are scoring 44+ tonight. I think the defense does the rest in a 20+ pt win. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. One, we have the ol' unranked team favored over 'ranked' team. Love seeing that nonsense. So, again, K-State ranked? Based on a win over Mississippi State? Nicolls State, Bowling Green, road win at Miss State. Barely over 100 yards passing from your QB. A 100 yard Kick return, leading rusher 59 yards on 17 carries. Look. We were big on Texas last week over the Cowboys. Muffed punt cost me the cover the there. But, Spencer Sanders looks solid at QB. This defense will be fine vs Wildcats. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking LIBERTY. New Mexico off their biggest game of the year vs New Mexico State. Now have to fly cross country. Hugh Freeze really has this team moving the ball. Liberty won by 9 last year. Their QB last week had 300 yards passing on just 10 completions last week. Eventually Liberty will be up by 20 and New Mexico is going to have to get away from their strength of running the ball. 8* Sure Shot LIBERTY 

Taking CLEVELAND. Look. Can't be happy at the sloppy play on MNF vs the Jets. Some real dumbness from the Browns. We get a little reprieve as this is the night game as opposed to an early start. Rams good yes. Faded them at Carolina, big backing of them vs Saints. But this is a tough spot. The OL didn't look all that good last week. Cleveland for all the ugliness can still bring some pressure. Talented home dog in Prime Time vs NFC Super Bowl Reps from last year. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the NINERS. So Big Ben is injured. He plays, he doesn't. Steelers really have some issues brewing. They looked terrible at New England. That's allowed. But to not even be in control before Ben got injured. We saw Seattle basically lay an egg at home. And they are not historically good in September. Especially on the road. So now they may have a new man under center. We have seen the Niners perform pretty well on both sides of the ball so far. The rush attack is pretty solid. Defense getting it done. Actually shocked this isn't 3 with Big Ben. I guess the thinking is Pitt is desperate at 0-2. Home team for me. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRAN 49ers

Taking the VIKINGS. Time to fade away on the Raiders. The losses will start piling up. Ugly game from Minny at GB, so you know they will be 100% focused here and not overlooking Oaktown. We saw the Bills come in here and still a win last year. Not happening. 1-1 for Vikes, and need to keep pace with 2-0 GB who is also 2-0 in division. Zim at home always strong. Everything just better for Minny on their home turf. We saw KC not score in 3 quarters and still dominate Oakland. I think Vikings put up 30+ and Raiders don't know what hit them. Their defense won't allow RB Jacobs to control this game. They have their own RB who can put on a show. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the LIONS. So these guy buried us in Week 1. We avoided them last week against the Chargers. Now they take to the road getting a TD. You know I am no Philly fan. But the bias is not shying through here. This is an overvalued team right now. We saw it in Week 1 vs Washington. We even saw it last week against the Falcons. And we were on Atlanta. But that wasn't an easy win. Philly banged up all over the place. Plus, this can easily be a look ahead for them. Green Bay on Thursday night lurks ahead. Lions defense looked great first 3 quarters in Arizona before, I am assuming, not playing the 4th quarter. They held a pretty good QB in Brees in check last week. And we know Stafford is a stat compiler late in games. Back door wide open for him to come strolling in. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONS 

Taking TOLEDO.. Rams in off getting crushed by Arkansas. This is a bad team. A bad team with no QB. Rockets with a ton of experience and should contend for MAC Championship. 5* Best Bet TOLEDO ROCKETS 

Taking GEORGIA. Listen. Notre Dame cannon compete on the road with top programs. 0-8 in their January Bowl Game vs elite team getting outscored by 21ppg. Make no mistake about it. Georgia is an elite team. 30-3 losers to Clemson last year. 44-28 losers to Ohio State in 2016. Do I have to go back to 2013 and Bama crushing them in NCG 42-14. Even in the regular season. Last year 24-17 losers at USC. And SC had been down lately. Losers at Stanford 38-20 and 41-8 at Miami U in 2017. 45-27 at USC in 2016. Look. ND a good program. But they get exposed by real football schools as they do not have the depth and speed to keep up. Irish defense will be in for a long day against this Bulldogs OL. Ian Book can't do it by himself. Balanced Georgia and better defense at home. I'll lay the big number. 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking TEXAS. Not backing a freshman tonight. Tough place to play. I was down a bit on Texas. Had LSU over them to open things up. But Longhorns have been putting up plenty of points. Cowboys also, 52-56-40. But this defense a little tougher than Oregon State, McNeese and Tulsa. Oklahoma State has really owned Texas going 7-2 SU last 9. Time for some payback. Again, Spencer Sanders on the road. Not buying it. 3rd road in 4 weeks for Cowboys. Ehlinger looking good. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS 

Taking OLD DOMINION. They guys hung vs Va Tech. Now, a run first team, who look to milk the clock, getting 4 TDs. And, 4 TDs from a team that let it all hang out in huge program win over Florida State. Now, Noles not be old time Noles, but for Virginia, huge, huge win. And, hello Notre Dame on deck. Do we really expect them to come out and put 40 plus after rallying last week? Play down to the competition week with ODU off a bye ready for this VA attack. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION 

Taking the BRONCOS. Lost an ugly one with these guys on Monday night. But we are home and angry. Plus, as everyone probably already knows. Our HC was the DC of the Bears. Like I said when we took the Packers of Chicago. Bears defense will be good. But they won't be historically great. We saw how bad the offense looks. Are you telling me Miller and Chubb won't be able to get after Trubisky this afternoon? He's a statue. And the play calling is highly questionable. Give me Denver who has every player strength and weakness marked down on that Bears sideline. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the RAMS. I get it. Saints want revenge for last year. Maybe the refs give them a play to make up for it. I don't think it will matter. We saw the Texans move up and down the field on Monday night. Rams can do the same. Gurley looked ok. Plus, with Brown, now they can really pound away and keep Brees off the field. Can't hide the now 2-9 SU and 1-11 ATS run that New Orleans has put together in Games 1+2 the last couple years. Maybe Brees is in his swan song. Last year was the least amount of passing yards in his 12 years with the Saints. I know he sat a game, but he would have need 400 to get up to next lowest total. Look. New Orleans is solid. But I think everyone already had this game as loss for the Rams. Super Bowl runner ups have their motivation. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking OKLAHOMA. This UCLA team. Geez. Had them them in both of their losses this season. And they have looked terrible. I am the first to say we don't overreact to a game. But I have seen nothing the last 2 games that says Chip Kelly is going to be able to keep up here. This opened at like 18/19. I still think anything under 30 is a gift. 14 pts in for UCLA. Sooners with 700 yards of O in their games. Oklahoma a bye week next. UCLA with PAC 12 home opener up next. Only way this game is close is if UCLA manages 3 8 minute TD drives to keep visitors off the field. Not happening. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA. Yeah, I will lay a quarter on the road. Freshman QB vs the Tide. Bama in a normal game wins by, like 22-23 a game. Now they get to feast on a young signal caller. This is Charleston Southern. I can't see South Carolina getting into the teens here. Alabama is good for 45+ today. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking AIR FORCE. So Colorado comes in off huge rivalry games. Wins over Colorado State and Nebraska. The Cornhusker Comeback was a wild down 17-7 win 34-31 OT win. If there was a ever a spot for a little letdown, here it comes. Triple Option team who is off their bye week. Now, this isn't a huge number, but worth the value on the dog. A good schedule spot for Air Force. They will want to show up against in-state 'big brother.'  How pumped will this crowd be for Air Force after Nebraska? 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE 

Taking GREEN BAY to open up the season. So real fast - You know we had a nice season in 2018. In 2017 we led ALL handicappers in NFL. And going back to 2010 and over 1000 picks, we are cashing at a 56% clip. This season, I feel a 60+ % season on deck. I've redone worked some numbers, and man, if I adjusted faster last season we would have added at a minimum, a half dozen more wins.  -- For 2019 kick-off though, we are grabbing the dogs. I've said in videos already that I expect the Bears to take a step back. Losing their DC will be felt, especially early. Let's not forget that even though we cashed Chicago when they jumped to that 20-0 lead before losing 24-23. I still don't expect Mitch to outperform Aaron. Rodgers, I feel, has a lot to prove. New HC and now he has to show that his old HC was keeping him down. Getting a nice number, have to play the division dogs with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking LOUISVILLE. Irish couldn't cover 20 in 4 contests last year. Can't see them doing it here. Ok, ND has Ian Book back at QB. But - lost their leading rushing and receiver. And 4 of their top defensive guys. We see them get rolled in January Bowl games because they don't have the depth to compete. Not that UL is a New Year's Day bowl team, but the talent is still ACC level and pretty decent. Satterfield comes over from Appy State where he was 28-4 in Sun Belt play. This team absolutely quit on Bobby Petrino last year. Leading Florida State before losing 28-24. Then they get wholloped 66-31 by Georgia Tech. And then the wheels just fall off as they allow 56-77-54-52-56. That is nuts. But, a new regime in charge. A new attitude. A defensive coach with 10 starters back, 6 on offense. UL players have been waiting a year to redeem themselves. Irish to open a good start and getting 20. 10* Money Bomb LOUISVILLE 

Taking RUTGERS. These guys basically in my backyard. And nothing would make me happier for them to start winning games in the Big 10 and bringing some respect to our State's football status. Chris Ash needs a big win for his program. UMass is the right opponent to start the year. A new HC breaking in schemes. Just 8 returning starters. Last year, 4 wins, 3 vs FBS teams. All 8 losses by double digits. 34 at BC, 21 at Georgia Southern, 39 at FIU, 16 at Ohio, 39 at Georgia, 19 vs BYU, 16 vs USF. Look Rutgers not some awesome program. 1-11 last year and laying 2 TDs. This is probably Ash's best team. As bad as they were last year, they didn't quit. Nearly beat Northwestern and Michigan State. Lost to Penn State here by a TD. 8* Sure Shot RUTGERS

Taking UTAH. So this line has been sliding down. I get BYU is tough at home. But I really like this Utah team. I am as of this writing Tuesday, trying to find the best number for them to win the PAC 12. That is where I think this team is. Great coach. Like the defense. Always solid units. Returning starters. They check all the proverbial boxes. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES 

Taking HAWAII here.  I get people like Arizona a bit thinking Tate is healthy at the QB spot. Kid was a beast 2 years ago. I also think people are expecting him to become Johnny Manziel under Kevin Sumlin when he was at A&M. That was 2013. Rainbows were a little bit of a darling to start the year. Off a 3-9 season, finished with 8 wins. Now, they have Arizona, Oregon State and head to Washington to start this year. That isn't easy. But you have to like having 18 starters back including your QB who went for 36 TDs and nearly 3900 yards in the air (just 10 INTs.) Getting double digits as a home dog is always nice - But the long travel for any team coming here adds more value to the points. Again, off a nice break out season, these guys are thinking they can win both of these games vs the PAC 12. Big brother vs Little brother and we will grab the live dog here. 5* Best Bet HAWAII RAINBOWS 

Taking the GATORS. This should be a double digit win for Florida. I'm a Canes guy, but this is not a good spot for them. New HC. New schemes. New coaches. New plays. New systems. Defensive guy taking over a team that couldn't get any QB play from a good offensive coach. Gators with another year under their newer coach Dan Mullen. Gators always bring a defense and the offensive should take another step forward. 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking the CHIEFS. So I would really be looking to move on the ML if it gets to about -130. But for the sites here, we will lay the 3 points. I think money will come in on Brady. I had the Chargers last week, and I wish I could have gotten out of it on the sites as by Friday, it seemed the entire world was fading the Patriots. I think the cold and travel was just too much to overcome when you have a NE team on a 16-0 13-3 ATS run at home over their last 16 games. We took that loss and look to bounce back today. KC is tough at home. I know the defense isn't that good, but here, they play a lot better. I think that is the difference maker. Brady and the Patriots haven't won a road playoff game since 2007! Ok, that is 3 Super Bowl losses and a loss at Denver - Look, we have seen NE struggle on the road this season. 3-5. Jags and Lions took it to them. Titans took it to them. 43-40 at home vs KC this year. Last year, Alex Smith 4 TDs 368 yards in a 42-27 KC win. I know Andy Reid doesn't get much love. But he has shown he is tough vs NE. I know it is tough taking Reid and rookie QB over Brady and The Hoodie. Pats scoring and defense all trend down on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the SAINTS. Pretty easy thinking here for me. Right off the bat, I though they would roll over Philly last week. That first quarter sunk any hope of a big win. But we move on. So home teams in Championship Round a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS. New Orleans defense also playing much better football. Forget that last game vs Carolina. That was an exhibition game for the Saints. We remove those 33 points and we see NO defense giving up 14.5ppg. Also. Rams at home, 1 team, Rams on the road, a different team. How about Goff with 10TD 9INTs on the road this year. I'll back Brees and Payton, the old guys, over the new kids on the block, McVay and Goff. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking SAINTS. So 3rd straight road game and 5th in 6 weeks for Eagles. That is a tough run. Especially when every game is a playoff a game. Saints at home, rested, very dangerous. Yes, we can say, oh 48-7, should be just as easy. Well. I do think this is a 2 score win for New Orleans. Will it be a 40 pt win, that would be nice, but I don't think so. Now, Could the Saints get 48 again. Of course. Look. Mitch Trubisky just passed or 300 yards on this defense. Brees could have 250 at the half. Please throw out their final loss at home to Carolina. That was a pre-season finale game with the players they used. Saints getting knocked basically for a 3 game run of losing at Dallas, a sluggish game at the Bucs. And a horrible win over the Panthers 12-9. They go 2-1 and win ugly. They won ugly at Minnesota. That is what a great team will do. Eagles defensive backs to not put any scare into me. Brees will do Brees in the dome Playoff stuff. 3-4 TDs 325+ yards. - Back to Philly. I like Foles. Thought he should have gotten the nod the entire season or most of it. Guy can play a bit, and it's clear the players rally around him. But that being said - Eagles a great Cinderella story last year. But Cinderella only goes to the ball once. Season turns into a pumpkin this evening. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the CHARGERS, again. Cashed last week and a little too close for comfort. But that is what happens when you are in cruise control most of the game. That won't be the case vs the Patriots. Who needs extra motivation to play these guys? Look. I have been on the Chargers numerous times this year. We have seen these guys win at Seattle, Pitt, Baltimore and KC. Technically, undefeated on the road since they had a 'road' loss at the Rams. It isn't like they have a great home field in that joke Center they play in. Bosa and Ingram can and will get pressure on Brady. He will be whining early when he starts getting knocked around. They say maybe snow. It won't matter. Chargers can run the ball or just do the short passing thing to move the chains. This is not a vintage Patriots team. We know this. Loss at Jacksonville and Detroit in back to back weeks. Lost at Tennessee. That crazy loss at Miami. The loss at Pittsburgh. This is a tough, all around talented visitor coming to down. Not a pair of rookie QBs like the Pats have faced the last 2 weeks. This is a HOF QB getting points with arguable the better defense and offenses that aren't that far apart. Sprinkle some ML. 5* Best Bet LA CHARGERS 

Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Had the Chargers a couple weeks ago at home and the Ravens hurt our bankroll. But will fade Baltimore again. LAC defense now with some good tape on Thomas. This is a good team. You don't go 7-1 on the road winning in every time zone in American, and London with fluke plays. The defense is a top 10 rush unit which is where the Ravens strength comes from. Let's just look at their road games. At Seattle where it is always tough to play (ask KC who lost there). Steelers did fade or choke their 2nd half away. But down 13-0 and 23-3 and winning. How about down 14-0 early and 28-21 late and winning in KC? Baker Mayfield just threw for 357 vs this defense. Yes, Baltimore won in LA after the Chargers were locked in the playoffs while Ravens were desperate. Now you have a rookie QB as a fave over a HOFer - No way. Take out that win in LA and Baltmore, 6-1 behind the rookie, beat the Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Bucs and Browns. That's a 29-50-1 record and zero playoff teams. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS 

Taking the COWBOYS today. 24-13 was the score back in September when these guys met in Seattle. Different teams now. Yes, Seattle has won 4 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3. But do we want Matt Cassell at QB and Tony Romo in our ratings here. Let's look at Dak at QB and an 0-2 record losing 24-13 and 21-12. Not winning many games putting up 12.5 points a game. Dallas had played poorly in Jerry's World. But 7-1 this year. They have been playing well since November. And even losing fading them last week vs the Giants, you have to like that they wanted to win the game. Seattle just 4-4 on the road this year. 4 wins vs Raiders, Lions, Cardinals and Panthers. 4 teams with sub .500 records on the season. Lost at Denver by 3. Lost at San Fran by 3. Lost at Rams by 5. Lost at Bears by 7. Since their only home loss, Tenn MNF 28-14, the 'Boys have reeled off a 7-1 record. This game is basically a PK. I see -1's but will just go ML. As long as their crappy coach doesn't have his usual brain-farts, Dallas should be moving on the next round. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking OHIO STATE. Urban's swan song. We saw these guys destroy Michigan and their 'great defense.' Do we think that Washington has seen anything like this Buckeyes team in the PAC 12. Rose Bowl is a big deal for the conferences. But in today's day and age, they really are a step down from the Play-offs. This is all about motivation. And the OSU kids will want to send out their coach on a winning note. Not even going to overthink things. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

Taking CINCINNATI here. I am actually kind of shocked that this line moved down a bit. I thought it would be moving up. Not sure why there is so much love for Virginia Tech. Hokies had to pay Marshall to come play to qualify and be bowl eligible. I think the Herd took the payday and got ready for their bowl game (who we cashed with) as it was 21-7 after 1 and off to the races. Back to the Hokies. This isn't Beamer ball. These guys are giving up more than 30ppg. 6-6 vs 10-2 yes the line looks low. But I am backing the Bearcats with something to prove beating an ACC team. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking the VIKINGS. So we like the UNDER in this game also. Same thinking. If you like the Bears here, then you must be all over the 0-7 on the road SF 49ers beating the 12 win Rams as double digit dogs. No cover. Winning. I can't see it.  You are telling me the Bears will be pulling new tricks out of their bag, and throwing in new wrinkles to confuse Minny who they are more than likely playing again next week. They want to try to knock out the Vikes to face the defending champs, Eagles with Foles behind center who the team does nothing but rally behind? Not buying it. Taking the Vikings who seem to have turned the offense around since canning their OC. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking the RAVENS. Another Super Contest pick for me.. Tied for 42 heading into the final Sunday. So I like Baltimore. Everyone will be on the upstart Browns. I think this defense is too much for the rookie to deal with on the road. Ravens bringing some fire today - let's not forget a TD pass with 40 something seconds left, at home, to knock them out of the playoffs last year. Focused, they deliver us the W . 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the BILLS. These guys haven't given up. They did lose (covered late) vs NE last week. But if we look at their 2 previous games at home. Beating the Lions and losing a tough one to the Jets. As we saw with the Jets vs GB, they haven't quit on their coach. This Bills team still has a pretty solid defense. And Miami wants no part of being in Buffalo in January. Back to teams showing fight. I think its safe to say the Dolphins have given up on their coach. We faded them 2 weeks ago in Minny and the Vikings ran them out of town. They still had a shot at the playoffs. And after scoring first to take a 7-0, Jags control the entire game. Nothing. No desperation. Jags off a loss to a 4th string QB picked up off the street. Where was their motivation? But pros with pride showed up for a road win. And as long as we are on road wins. How about Miami 1-11 SU last 12 on the road. 0-6 and 1-5 ATS last 6. Back on Dec. 2, Bills put up over 400 yards of offense and lost 21-17. That is what 3 TOs will do to a team on the road. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking SYRACUSE. I would have been on the Orange outright with or without Will Grier. Zero motivation for West Va. Big year for Babers and company in Syracuse. 10 wins a big deal for the team and coach. I think they pick their score and nothing closer than 10. 5* Best Bet SYRACUSE 

Taking VANDY. Won't be shy about laying a couple points even if Baylor has a bit of home edge playing in Texas. Bears come in losers in 4 of their last 6. Their wins, a TD pass with 6 seconds to go over Oklahoma State. And win over Texas Tech who canned their HC after the game. How about that Baylor didn't beat a team with a winning record this year? Vandy was competitive in their games. I give them a pass on getting run out by Georgia. The other bad loss was to South Carolina after they played ND on the road and lost 22-17. They just ran out of gas in the 2nd half to SC. They have better talent right now with Shurmur at QB and a 1000 yard RB averaging 7 yards a carry. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT 

Taking the RAIDERS here. Should really go ML here on the sites for +120. Final game here for Oakland. Should be an insane atmosphere. Now- Normally I like to fade home teams when they honor former players or come out with retired jerseys and so-on. But not here. We have a complete disaster on the other sideline with the Vance Joseph led Denver Broncos. Guy should have been canned for that FG on Saturday night. So Denver limps in officially eliminated from playoff action. Raiders have shown life playing at home. Dog outright tonight. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Only way to go in this spot. Off their first shut-out since Quincy Carter was their QB! Look. We had Indy last week. Real tough spot for the Cowboys off that OT Philly win. And a rough stretch in general. 5 straight. Road wins over Philly and Falcons. A Redskins game. That Saints Thursday nighter. A stinker was coming. It came. Let's not sell the Colts short either. They are a tough foe right now. So Bucs in a back to back road spot. 5 wins. Looks like they have lame duck coach who could be canned after the season. Perhaps the GM heads out also. As good as the TB QB tandem has been putting up points, 31 TDs it also has 15 INTs. And we won't talk about the terrible defense. Don't be confused by last week vs the Ravens. And I type that knowing we had Baltimore to get it done. Dak won't throw the ball 23 times for 131 yards. Amari Cooper could have 100 yards by half-time. Zeke will Zeke. Cowboys need to lock up their playoff spot. This is the spot. Now next week in New York with a wild-card game vs possible Seattle after that. They win this by double digits. Rest some guys vs the Giants. Ready for the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Cashed with these guys last week, back on them again. I know that taking a division home dog in revenge spot is nice. Especially with a guy like Stattsford who can garbage time a back-door cover. But like last week, this play is based on the new OC getting things done. This team has been waiting to break out and I think with their season on the line again, we get another good effort. Let's not short change the defense that recorded 9 sacks last week. Safe to say Year 1 of the Patricia Era is closing out poorly. Lions scoring 16ppg and are getting out-yarded every week. Minny should crack 30 and this is a 10+ point win. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking ARMY today. Right off the bat you know Army is showing up big time for the Armed Forces Bowl. Army has won 3 straight bowl games over SMU, North Texas and San Diego State. Houston comes in with 2 straight bowl losses vs San Diego State and Fresno State. Where is the Cougar motivation? They lose their QB and were blitzed in their final game 52-31 by Memphis. We add game and we see the Cougars dropping 3 of their last 4. Army has reeled off 8 straight after losing by a TD at Oklahoma. Houston canned their DC, will be without their best DL and will also be missing some other key DL members. Black Knights roll. 10* Money Bomb ARMY 

Taking MARSHALL. So South Florida playing a quasi-home game - Do you really think that matters? Banged up QB - 5 straight losses , all by double digits by nearly 20ppg. The OC left for McNeese State. I think that is a step backwards! Look. Marshall defense very good. Doc Holiday a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS in bowl action. Herd come in off loss at Va Tech. But don't fool yourselves. They got a nice payday from the Hokies to show up, lay down, and get VT bowl eligible. Low scoring affair that Marshall should wrap up 29-13. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking the RAMS. LA offense sure didn't look good in Chicago. I think things will be different at home. Both teams in off losses. But Rams still battling for that home field with New Orleans. Eagles defense has been a MASH unit nearly all season. Dallas put up nearly 600 yards off offense. Again. Bears defense and the cold a lot different than this Philly team that looks like it sold its soul for last years Super Bowl Win. 38-17 sounds about right. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking the TITANS here. Should really be playing +125/+130 that the sites are offering. I am trying to get back to that #1 NFL Capper Spot. No shame being ranked where I am right now. But we are looking forward to a big month here after we go 31-10 (76%) last December - Let's jump right in on the Giants. Are you really impressed with a 5-8 record. Wins over Mark Sanchez and the Redskins. Chase Daniel and the Bears in OT (and let's not forget Bears nearly lost at Arizona, lost at Miami. Totally different on the road) A final minute over the Nick Mullens led 49ers. A wild shoot out vs Tampa and back up QB Fitzharris before Winston came in. 7 straight losses. A last minute win over a backup QB. A wild-shoot out over a backup QB and the worse defense in the league. A loss to Philly. An OT win. And a gift bag of Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson. Oh Christmas came early for sure for the GMEN. Give me Tennessee all day with extra rest. They will run over the soft Giants all afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the VIKINGS. This is it for Minny. Had these clowns Monday night and they were brutal. Canned their OC who was suppose to be the 'hot' name for one of the soon to be opened HC jobs in the NFL. Well. The smart money ain't on that happening now. I like this spot based on 2 things. One - that poor MNF performance and the canning of the OC and two. How about the clouds that Miami is coming in on? Nowhere to go but to have that bubble burst. Now. As having the Patriots last week I am shocked that they didn't try to get 7 and instead settle for a FG. Heck. Run another run play and have them try to go 97 yards or whatever. So- Miami off a huge win and could be a flat spot. Desperate Vikes need to win out. How about Dolphins 1-10 SU last 11 on the road. Yikes. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAVENS. I know what everyone is thinking. Laying points like this with Lamar Jackson, and off that brutal OT game vs KC. I get it. You are worried. Well don't be. This Tampa defense, if it is plays more for the run, will give up chunks of yards, and enough points for a 10pt win. Did you miss the collapse last week (we got a miracle cover with NO) - plenty of mistakes to go around. Special teams looked like garbage. OL fell apart. Winston doing Winston things. How is that going to fly vs this Ravens defense coming in angry, vs a team that will be out of it's element and quite frankly, not a good team. As good as this TB QB combo is putting up 31 TD passes, they also have 24 INTs. I am sure we see at least 2 turnovers this afternoon. Tampa 2-12 SU last 14 on the road including a 3-9 ATS run in their most recent 12 games.  In 6 road games this season - 40 at New Orleans, 48 at Chicago, 34 at Atlanta, 37 at Cincinnati, 42 at Carolina, and 38 at NYG.  I know that this Baltimore team isn't the Greatest Show on Turf, but we will get our 30 today. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking FRESNO STATE. Big turn around for this program under Jeff Tedford. Not a chance in hell they take this game for granted. Mountain West vs PAC 12 and the little brother has something to prove. Nobody expected much from Herm Edwards at ASU. Yet, they are bowling. Good for him. But they will be without a huge piece of the offense as their star WR is sitting out getting ready for the NFL Draft. Bulldogs bring it and win this one going away. 5* Best Bet FRESNO STATE 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Will also be sprinkling in some ML on Mean Green. Right off the bat. Where is the motivation for Utah State? Yeah. A great year. 10-2 - close loss at Michigan State. Ranked in the Top 25. But losing to Boise crushed their MWC Title hopes. So here they are in an early bowl game vs Conference USA, in the New Mexico Bowl, which they have been to already. To add insult to injury, their HC is off to greener pastures to take over Big 12 Texas Tech and probably will be bringing his OC and DC with him. North Texas gets a shot at 10 wins and win a bowl game. NT is the only team in FBS to not trail a team by more than 1 possession in a game this season! 3 losses in conference play by a combined 13 points (3-8-2). Live dogs. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with these guys last week as they sleep-walked setting for FGs last Sunday. I get it short week. Big, bad KC with their awesome rookie QB. They didn't have an easy Sunday as the Ravens took them to OT. And what I really take away from that, and why I had this circled early in the season. The defense. Not the Chargers defense. But the Ravens defense. That is like the old-school Steelers, Seahawks defenses of past. Where you get hit on every play. And the next game you are just mush. Baltimore brings that type of defense every game. And they got it for a game, plus OT. The short home week doesn't help them much other than sleeping in their own beds. I have been on LAC all season. This is a good team. The offense behind Rivers will carve up this KC defense. The Chargers defense isn't terrible. I think they can make some plays here. Bonus with the 3.5, but I won't be shocked at an outright win tonight. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Not over thinking here. Dome team in cold weather. Aaron Rodgers gets his coach fired and I expect a huge day. Not just for him, but the entire offense. Defense is what it is. This is really a dead number - I don't think this is a FG game. This is GB running away by 2+ TDs as the Falcons, already sitting in last place, see their season slip away further. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS. 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I am sure the 20 something people ahead of me in the Super Contest will be on the home dogs. They see Miami's 27-20 win last year and think more of the same. Well, we here Brady talking about how Dolphins play good and we don't in Miami. I am expecting more of what we have seen in 3 of the last 4 encounters between these two teams. They have been 35-7, 35-17 and 35-14. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Taking SEATTLE. Will lay this. Seattle hurt me last week as we had Caroline. Our only loser on a 7-1 Sunday of NFL action. This SF team has hit hard times. The offense is terrible. Can't see them putting up 14 here vs the Seahawks who look they are ready for a playoff push. Seattle 10-2-1 ATS last 13 in the series. Mullins or Beathard vs Wilson. I was never a huge Wilson fan. But the guy is great. Seattle going away 30-13. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the FALCONS. I actually took these guys early on one of my NJ Apps at +3. No way in heck should Lamar Jackson be favored here. Give me Ryan at home all day long. 11-3-1 ATS as dog or Pk.  I know Ravens have some defense in play. But Atlanta is not a bad team. I look for them to bounce back today. Baltimore hitting the road. A lot different in the dome vs these guys. Extra rest for the Dirty Birds. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAMS. The door to the 1 seed has reopened. LA fresh off their bye. This could get ugly. McVay has no problem running things up. We will see 40+ this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking OHIO STATE. So I am no fan of tOSU - But I will lay it and would lay 20 here. Fast track in the dome and I don't think Northwestern is keeping up. I know that Buckeyes have had some up and down performances. But not in Championship Games. They come to play, and Meyer won't be ashamed to run it up tonight. Last game on the card, so he will know how all the Sooners and Georgia did. I think Alabama, Clemson are locked in no matter the outcome of their games, plus ND. Who saw last week's butt-kicking of Michigan coming? Much like that 59-0 drubbing of Wisconsin in 2014 Championship Game. Not sure how Wildcats going to slow this machine done. No grass to help the cause. Ohio State has dropped 50+ 4 times and 49 on 2 more occasions. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Taking ALABAMA today. My NJ Fan Dual app had this at 11 and I grabbed it.They sometimes have lines a couple points off, so that is nothing new. I feel just as fine laying this. We had the Tide last week. Eventually. This train breaks loose and it's a 20pt win. This isn't last year. Yes, Bulldogs with revenge for the Championship OT loss last year.  A full season, and a full game Tua is a tough match-up. I hate comparing how they do in SEC play. But, Alabama 29-0 at LSU and Georgia losses 36-16 at LSU. I'm going to lay it. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking OKLAHOMA. Forget about Tom Herman dog trends. Big revenge spot for the Sooners. Oklahoma has a bad defense- Well, after spotting Texas 3 turnovers and a 45-24 lead, Oklahoma only reeled off a 21-3 4th quarter. Did Texas just sit on their heels? Or did the Sooners play some defense? 56 points allowed last week. But hey, 2 defensive TDs. I don't think Ehlinger can keep Texas in this thing. If you are telling me you know that Boomer Sooner is turning the ball over 3 times and Longhorns hold onto the ball and turn those into 21 points - then I can see taking Texas here. No way Texas slows these guys down. 7 times scoring more than 50. 10 times scoring more than 45. High Noon Assault in Jerry's World. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS