Taking LIPSCOMB here. A little A-Sun tourney flavor tonight. Going against NJIT as I think they are ready to wrap up their disappointing season. Last year as a 2 seed they were upended in the first round. Might be easy to think they will rally around that with a couple starters back. But the fact is this team is 3-11 in conference play and 2-14 on the road. Those wins, over Stetson who is also 3-11 in conference play and sits behind NJIT, and a 4pt win over Idaho State, on a neutral court, as 7pt faves. They do come in with 2 straight wins. 1 over said Stetson who they swept. And their only other conference win, over SC Upstate. Now, Upstate was off a OT loss over top dogs Gulf Coast. They needed to rally for 52 points in the 2nd half to even force OT. So safe to say they were spent as clearly evident that NJIT scored 51 in the second half after being down 16 to win 88-87. Lipscomb comes in 11-3 in conference play with a loss to top seed Gulf Coast, and getting swept by North Florida. North Florida were regular season champs last season and were expected to be the team to beat. After an up and down year, they are 7-7 in conference. But they still have talent so I won't hold that against our Bison. Bison like to push it (85ppg) and I can't see NJIT 41% FG shooting holding up to make this a game. 5* Best Bet LIPSCOMB BISON 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Alright. Let's close out the week with a nice little home-fave here on Sunday. As I said on my video, a couple tough losses to end Saturday. I would rather take a couple rough ones like that now instead during conference tournaments coming up. Ok. So we are on UL. Easy fade of Syracuse off that last second win over Duke. They probably have punched their NCAA ticket. Cards off NC loss. So they want to get straight in a hurry. This line tells me everything I need to know about these 2 clubs. SU is 9-7 in conference play, UL 10-5, yet are pretty big favorites this afternoon. Orange 2-8 ATS last 10 on the road and 1-8-1 ATS  last 10 trips into Louisville. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE 

Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA again. We cashed with an out-right win on Thursday night with this bunch. And are back on the ugly dogs again. Lumberjacks posted a 7pt home victory over these guys already this year. Ok, I see the 'revenge' angle for the Vikings. But double digits? Come on. Portland State is 6-9 in Big Sky play, NAU 5-10. Are they that much better. Stop. NAU now 6-2 ATS last 8 overall. Road team 3-1-1 ATS and dog 4-0-1 ATS last 5 in the series, Northern Arizona a perfect 4-0 ATS here at Portland State and on a 7-0-1 ATS run last 8 in the series. Vikings 0-5 ATS last 5 as faves, 0-4 of those at home. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA 

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH here. We cashed with these guys on Thursday and will back them again tonight. Right off the back I don't like the CS foul-shooting. 3 of their top 4 guys under 70%. Obviously I think this line is a bit inflated and expecting a closer game. And when you start bricking FTs, it gives our dog a shot at an outright win. CS Sac won by 5 over us back in mid January. But they needed a blistering 56% from the floor to do so. I will take a stab with the dog. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH 

Taking KENT STATE here. Ohio won by 18 back in January. But I think Kent gets its revenge tonight. Golden Flashes 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series and 4-1 ATS last 5 here at home against the Bobcats. Kent the best rebounding MAC club and I don't any answer for Jimmy Hall with Ohio's best player (Campbell) out. Both teams come in on win streaks, but I have to grab the home team. 4* Money Maker KENT GOLDEN FLASHES 

Taking IDAHO here. So, Weber won by 25 back in January. And it's basically a pk. Interesting. Sign me up for the reveging home team. Weber on a 1-10 ATS run in Big Sky play while Vandals on a 4-1 ATS run at home and 8-3 ATS in conference. 4* Money Maker IDAHO 

Taking PEAY here. Now, we cashed with the Govs last game. Both teams closing out the regular OVC season. Yes, SE battling for a higher seed. But as I said in Peay's write-up over Tenn-Martin on Thursday, these guys are a tough team. They won the OVC tourney last year as a low seed. Road team and underdog on 4-1-1 ATS runs in the series. Governors 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road and SE Missouri State really doesn't have favorable ATS numbers as a home fave. Dogging it up again in the Ohio Valley. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY

Taking YOUNGSTOWN STATE. I will be the first to say. When I see a pair of crap teams like this getting together, and the team with less wins overall and in conference play laying points, I am scratching my head. My first instinct is to actually lay it. It seems a little to good to be true getting points from an 8 win team. Penguins won by 3 at home a month ago. They are 4-1 ATS last 5. Youngstown 6-1 ATS last 7 here in Cleveland State. Road team 10-4-2 ATS last 16 and underdog on 12-3-2 ATS run in the series. Cleveland State 7-15 ATS as a fave lately. Have to grab the points from an 8 win team. 4* Money Maker YOUNGSTOWN STATE 

Taking WOFFORD here. I have to say. This line looks a little fishy to me. I think they are begging us to take the Terriers. I get that Furman has the better conference record, 13-4 to 10-7. But Wofford won by 9 last month. Looking at past games I see 4,1,3,2 point games. How can we not take the points? Going back further we 21,20,24 and 13 point wins by Wofford. Terriers are on a roll. 11-2 ATS last 13 on the road, 10-2 ATS as a dog, 9-1 ATS as a road dog. 11-4 ATS in SoCon play. 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and 6-2 ATS here at Furman. Paladins 23-8 ATS last 31 at home so they are no push-over. The crowd will be pumped for the final home game, and maybe I should just of left this off the ticket. But the numbers say we are a live dog here. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD TERRIERS 

Taking FAIRFIELD here. Both teams teams for that bye spot in conference tournament play. As I have said recently in my write ups. Let's look at the conference records here. Stags 9-9, Griffins 10-8. Stags out for revenge off double digit home loss back in early January. Fairfield 9-3 ATS last 12 on the road while Canisius is 6-13 ATS last 19 at home. 2-5 ATS last 7 as home faves. Stags 7-1 ATS last 8 vs Canisius and the road team has ripped off a 8-2-1 ATS run last 11. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD STAGS 

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH here. Going ugly for sure with a team that has 5 wins on the season. But I am betting into numbers here, not the Thunderbirds as a whole. And the numbers say that Portland State, 1-5 ATS as faves, 0-4 ATS as home faves, are not up to the task tonight. Southern Utah with 3 conference wins, Portland State with 5. So is there really this much of a difference between these programs? Road team on a perfect 6-0 ATS run. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH 

Taking NORTHRIDGE here. Davis won by 3 last time they met. But the road team has cashed 5 straight in the series and the underdog 4 straight. CSN 9-4 ATS last 13 as road dogs. This is a start of a 3 game road swing for CSN, and I expect their best performance. 4* Money Maker CS NORTHRIDGE 

Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA. Yikes. I know, I know. Higgs, really with this crappy 7 win teams. I get it. It isn't pretty. But the points are too good for me to pass up. Sacramento has 10 wins. They have 3 more conference wins. They aren't some juggernaut. Lumberjacks 5-2 ATS last 7 in conference play. They are also 9-3 ATS last 12 here at Sacramento State. Road team 4-1 ATS last 5. We will take a late night run on the doggy. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA 

Taking TENN TECH here. Again. Looking over this conference I see a pair of team that are pretty equal to each other. 8-6 Tech, 9-5 State in conference play. Tech notched a 76-73 win last month at home. I'll take a shot with the points here. 4* Money Maker TENN TECH 

Taking AUSTIN PEAY here. Back to the OVC. Like our Murray pick, Tenn-Martin in a big spot. They face each other with what could be the West on the line. This could be a prime 'overlook' spot. Peay not a bad team, but not one that I think the Skyhawks are taking too serious. They had a 51-37 half-time lead on the road and won 85-79. Peay won the OVC tourney last year as a 6 seed and have 3 starters, and 10 total players back. So they know they can win against any OVC team. Road team 6-1 ATS last 7 and the Govs 4-1-1 ATS last 6 trips into Tennessee. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY 

Taking MURRAY here. These guys have revenge from a 1pt home loss a month ago as 8pt faves as they blew a 9pt half-time lead. Racers with zero room for error here. Last year they won the OVC West, but with tie-breakers were 6th in their tournament. They have to win out here. They want the bye. So, they have lost 4 games on the road in OT, plus 2 1pt losses. That is 6 games that even going 3-3 changes their record a bit. Murray is always one of the top 2 teams in OVC play and this year is no different. What is different is SEMST picked to finish last yet sitting strong at 8-6 in conference play. That being said, I just think that Murray is the more tested team and in a basic pk'em spot, have to go with the revenging club. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE 

Taking LIU here. Ok.. a late add to the card today. I have been looking at this off and on for hours. For whatever it's worth, LIU is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 in conference play. But, these games get lined few and far between. That being said. MSM won by 2 back in December. I will say that MSM isn't afraid to hit the road to play early games (2-11 to start the year). The last 2 games have been decided by 5 total points. LIU has arguably the NEC's top player in F Jerome Frink. Have to take the points here. 4* Money Maker LIU

Taking NEVADA here. Yes. You know I like my conference dogs most of the time. But this line, to me, makes me think they want you on Boise. Wolfpack crushed these guys by 19 a month ago. Now, a small home fave. Nevada just seems like they are the better team here. I will be the first to say they let me down against the Aztecs. I really thought they would take care of San Diego State and they laid an egg on the road. But here they are, a game behind Colorado State and tied with Boise for 2nd place in Mountain West play. Boise with 3 more winnable games ahead. While Nevada still has as a season finale against Colorado State. They need this game more. 4* Money Maker NEVADA 

Taking the BISON here. I will be the first to say that I do not like this line at all. And in other spots I would be on the small home dog here. But North Dakota State is in a dog fight with South Dakota for the top seed here in Summit play both sitting at 10-4. Oral is in last with a 4-11 conference record and just 8 wins on the year. They are also on the outside looking in at a 8 team conference tournament. Yes, they could very well be highly motivated to make their conference tourney. But Oral has not be dominate in Summit play in nearly a decade. North Dakota State has won 2 of the last 3 conference tournaments. Obviously they are better team. The records speak to that. I just think at this short price, I have to go with a the better team and not a desperate team who hasn't played well for nearly four months. 8* Sure Shot NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking E TENN ST here. What is up with this line people? Furman on top of the SoCon with a 13-3 record and a 13pt win over ETST just a month ago. Now, catching a touch-down on the road. Hmm. Have to grab the home team in what looks like a case of something being too good to be true. 4* Money Maker EAST TENNESSEE ST

Taking COLORADO STATE here. I had New Mexico back in January when they went on the road and won at CSU. That was a different team. That was a team that was just recently dealing with player losses. Well, take away the Rams next game after that loss and all they have done is go 8-1 SU/ATS with the lone loss by a 3pt (line 2) to Boise. Addition by subtraction I guess for Rams. Lobos no longer dominate at home with a 2-6 ATS mark their last 8. New Mexico also down a big scorer. I just think that Eustachy's bunch has rallied since January, and I can't see them ending this run before their tournament. 4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE 

Taking DAVIDSON here. Richmond won the earlier meeting by a bucket as 11pt dogs. Now they are barely a home dog. Davidson 7-7 in conference, Spiders 9-5, both middling in A-10 play as they look up at 12-2 VCU and Dayton. Wildcats do have Dayton at home on deck.  But I can't really a look ahead spot when you are sitting in 8th place. You need every win. Davidson 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON 

Taking FAIRFIELD here. You lose by 40 to a team and I am nearly automatic grabbing you the next meeting. So here we are with the Stags. Monmouth has the regular season conference wrapped up. Maybe they are looking past Fairfield here. They have a tougher home game next vs Siena. Hawks just 2-6 ATS last 8 on the road while the Stags are 6-1 ATS last 7 as home dogs. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD 

Taking ARLINGTON here. So we have a pair of Sun Belt leaders as Arlington is 10-3 and Southern tied with Arkansas State at 10-4. But as I look at conference play, I see that Arlington has already knocked off the other top teams, Arkansas State and Georgia State (9-4). Georgia Southern has yet to play either. So what I see is a team that has beaten the lower tier teams of the Sun Belt. While the Mavericks have taken care of business against all comers. Arlington has won at Texas and St Mary's this year. Plus i can't discount this is the same team that won at Ohio State and Memphis last year, while losing at Texas in OT. So they have played and won, in hostile venues before. 4* Money Maker TEXAS ARLINGTON 

Taking BOSTON here. These guys are top 2 dogs in Patriot play. Bucknell 12-3, Boston 11-4. The difference is the Bison 70-59 home win a month ago. So we have a little revenge angle working from that recent get together. More importantly, Bucknell has owned the Terriers winning 6 straight over Boston dating backing to 2014. Boston has won 6 of 7 while Bucknells has dropped 2 of 3. These guys have won the regular season conference title 5 of the last 6 years. So you know they always have top conference talent. I just think the small home dog rates the edge here. 4* Money Maker BOSTON U

Taking PORTLAND STATE here. Ok. So like our other write up, we are looking for Montana to be looking ahead against Montana State in this spot. Vikings won by 9 over these guys about a month ago and now we are getting what I think is a nice little road number. Speaking of numbers, Portland State 7-2 ATS last 9 as road underdogs which helps the cause. While the Grizzles are 2-6-1 ATS last 9 overall, including 0-4-1 ATS run at home. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS last 7 in the series. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND STATE 

Taking NIAGARA here. Having some luck in MEAC action lately with our dog selections. Here is another that doesn't look like much, but should come packing a nice bite with its bark. Siena has covered just 2 of their last 10 at home. They have road revenge game up next over conference beasts Monmouth. I can easily see them looking past the Purple Aces here enough for us to give them a scare and get us the cover. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA 

Taking TENNESSEE TECH here. We have a nice little revenge angle off a 74-59 home loss last month. Again, we look at a close conference record which tells me there guys aren't that far apart. Tenn Tech on a 6-2 ATS run as road underdogs. Jax State, just 2-9 ATS last 11 at home including 1-7-1 ATS here at home vs teams with losing records. Clearly they seem to not take teams seriously. 4* Money Maker TENN TECH

Taking SACRAMENTO STATE here. Yes we cashed with these guys their last road game. And yes, we are back on them again this afternoon. What I look to again is conference play. 7-6 for us, 8-6 for them. Not much of a difference. Hornets now 6-1 ATS last 7 overall while Montana State is 0-5-1 ATS their last 6. Oh, and lookie here. Montana State just happens to have a huge home revenge game up next against Montana. Wonder where they might be looking ahead to? 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE 

Taking ST LOUIS here. We have STL on a 6-2 ATS run in the series which is nice. But what really grabs me is there recent play posting a 6-1 ATS run their last 7 games. Rams on the complete opposite of that going 1-6 ATS in the same span. STL has won 3 of their last 4. Looking at a 4-9 for STL and 5-8 for Fordham, there isn't much difference in conference play. And with this amount a points, I will grab the scrappy dog. 4* Money Maker ST LOUIS BILLIKENS 

Taking PENN here. A pair of 2-6 Ivy Conference teams doing battle. Brown won on the road last month by 12. Now they are a home dog? Seems a bit odd to me. We do know this though. Road team on a 11-4 ATS run. 4* Money Maker PENN 

Taking KENT STATE here. I said at the beginning of the year Akron is probably a 25 win team. And they will probably close that number by the end of the month. That being said, I just think this is too many point for the Zips to be laying. Akron 2-6 ATS last 8 at home. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS last 9 in the series. Golden Flashes 15-3 ATS last 18 as dogs of 7-12pts. Have to ride the trends here. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE 

Taking SACRAMENTO STATE here. I have to say. This series has played out that home team normally wins and wins by a decent margin. But I have to look at the way these 2 have played recently. Sac St has covered 5 of their last 6 in Big Sky play while Montana has gone 2-5-1 ATS last 8 in conference. These teams numbers aren't vastly different. I have to grab the points. 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE 

Taking FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL here. When I see a team that is 2-10 in conference play, 2nd to last, favored over any team not below them, I have to grab them. So. Miss is a terrible offensive club. 38% from the field, 27% from 3. Golden Panthers 8-1 ATS last 9 as road faves. 4* Money Maker FIU 

Taking MICHIGAN here. So we have that old 'ranked' team again on the road. Pk or small dog. Doesn't matter. For me, how can you be sold on Wiscy? Especially on the road. They have gone to OT against Minnesota, Rutgers and Nebraska. I get they will be ready after a home loss to Northwestern. But, Wolverines played them tough just a few weeks ago in Madison. I also have to say. When the top 2 scorers for the road team aren't that good from the FT line, I have to think to myself. The way this line is, it should play out as a close game. And in that case, I will take the team that can hit its free throws. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN 

Taking MANHATTAN here. Had Siena last game against Monmouth. And they were absolutely crushed 102-82 at home. Easy to think hey, they bounce back and get that bad taste out of their mouths. I just don't think it is that easy. Down a point at the half and getting ambushed like that in the 2nd, at home no-less? You should be doing that damage, not the opposing team. Saints 1-8 ATS last 9 at home. Jaspers don't have great numbers working in their favor either. But again, this looks like a big number to cover and Manhattan can easily come out extremely flat here off that bigger game. 4* Money Maker MANHATTAN 

Taking CAL POLY here. First. What a rough one last night. Are you kidding me with Pitt blowing an 11pt half-time lead and Bowling Green covering for 59 minutes. Uh. Those days hurt. But that just means we will be on the other side of some bounces tonight. So we will grab SLO tonight. We know the dog has covered in 5 straight in the series. CSN has conference leader Davis on deck. So maybe they look past this Mustangs team a little bit and squeeze in the back door. 4* Money Maker CAL POLY SLO 

Taking WOFFORD here. What's not to like about Wofford here? 10-1 ATS last 11 on the road that also translates to 10-1 ATS run as a road dog. 16-5 ATS last 21 overall. They scored a 19pt win last month over NCG. Terriers 5-2 ATS last 7 here vs Greensboro. 16-5-1 ATS last 22 in the series. And finally, Greensboro 1-6 ATS last 7. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD TERRIERS 

Taking PITT here. So we have the fade train arriving in station as the Hokies are off a big home win over highly rated, and bitter in-state rival Virginia. We see 17-7 vs 14-11 and Pitt being 2-8 SU last 10 games. Yet, here they are, favored. VT did just lose Clark and that thins out their front court some. Which just happens to be a Pitt strength. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking BOWLING GREEN here. Following the trends. Road team and underdog on 7-3 ATS runs. Falcons also 5-1 ATS last 6 overall and playing at Western. Both of these teams with identical 5-7 conference records. BG had won b2b OT games and had a 1st half lead before Buffalo outscored them in the 2nd half 49-32. I just think this is a big line when neither team is that much better than the other. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN 

Taking SIENA here. 21-5 vs 12-14 and only a couple points. - This isn't last year's Monmouth team. Beating UCLA, Georgetown, Notre Dame all with a bench full of fun antics that were great for the camera. They are 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road and are 8-13-1 ATS overall on the year. Siena was swept last year and I think they get that revenge tonight. 4* Money Maker SIENA 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. As I have said before. Like yesterday taking SMU giving 5 to 'ranked' Cincy or, us taking points with Nevada against SDST. When things look to easy, they usually aren't. So we have 16-9, 9-3 tied atop the Sun Belt Georgian Southern Eagles now a dog, a DOG to Appy State who is 2-10 in conference play and has 7 wins on the year! Give me the home team. 4* Money Maker APPALACHIAN STATE

Taking NEVADA here. I can say this line is a bit odd to me since I think Nevada is the better team. And comparing record in conference play, it is crystal clear who is better. But the Aztecs are still a tough team even in a down year so I can see this line being fair. I just can't buck a 13-3 ATS underdog trend for the Wolfpack or the fact they are a 19-9-2 ATS last 30 games. 4* Money Maker NEVADA Wolf Pack

Taking SMU here. So we have an unranked team laying points to a team ranked '11' in some polls. You know I love the polls. They are absolute garbage! Don't be fooled by some number in front of a name. The only numbers we worry about are the spreads. And this one tells me all I need to know about backing the home team. SMU 7-1 ATS last 8 as home faves  and 13-3-2 ATS vs AAC opponents. 4* Money Maker SMU 

Taking SOUTHERN MISS here. So, we just cashed UTEP as a Best Bet the other night. But this screams to me as a let-down spot. They had won 3 straight before a rough 62-61 loss on Wednesday. Can't discount So. Miss 7-3-1 ATS run. This is a lot of points for a team, I think, won't be 100% ready to go here Saturday night. Miss won by 8 a month ago at home and are now catching double digits. Maybe it's too good to be true. But I'll grab the dog. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS 

Taking RIVERSIDE here. Just another February doggy for us to lunch on. Road team on a 7-3 ATS run and the dog is on 4-0 ATS. Highlanders also 7-3-1 ATS last 11 in Big West play while Davis counters with a 2-11 ATS home fave run last 13. UCR pulled off a 6pt win at home last month, and history has showed us games decided by 1,2 and 3 their previous 4 match-ups. 4* Money Maker UC RIVERSIDE 

Taking OMAHA here. I'll grab the points in this spot. Underdog on a 7-1 ATS run last 8 and road team 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. Mavs also 7-3 ATS last 10 in Summit play while Ft Wayne is 2-7 ATS last 9 in conference play. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA OMAHA MAVERICKS 

Taking JAMES MADISON. Now, we have taken some ugly conference dogs lately. But I can't get behind the Blue Hens here. They are getting absolutely demolished on the road during conference play. 28 at NC Wilmington - 8 at Hofstra - 24 at William & Mary - 16 at Drexel - 27 at Towson - 36 at Northeastern. They have covered 4 of their last 5 as home dogs, but this is on the road vs a team they beat 2 weeks ago. Have to go with the revenge minded Dukes here. 4* Money Maker JAMES MADISON 

Taking EASTERN MICHIGAN here. 20-3 overall, 10-1 in conference play and are barely a favorite over 13-11, 5-6 Eastern. hmm.. A little odd in my eyes. We've lost 3 straight after 3 of 4 on the road. I look for a little home cooking tonight. Zips have won their last 4 by 2,5,3,1. That shows me they get some bounces in their favor. That can't go on forever. Especially against a hungry team like the Eagles looking for a W. 4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking IDAHO STATE here. Again. This line just doesn't fit the bill for me. Idaho State has won 5 of the last 6 in the series, and the loss was in OT. Now, it isn't like these teams get one and done guys. They pretty much stick to the same style of recruiting and players. So I think it is safe to say the Bengals know to play Portland State. As I have mentioned in previous write ups. The conference records are nearly the same. 3-7 Idaho State. 4-6 Portland State. Not much a difference at all playing the same talent of teams. Yet we are getting a big number. Bengals a perfect 5-0 ATS of late in the series. 4* Money Maker IDAHO STATE 

Taking UTEP here. We have big revenge from a 20pt road loss in early January. But that was a different Miners team in my eyes. These guys have been winning games lately. 6 of their last 7 and that includes outright wins when they were +11 and +14 dogs. Sign me up for the hungry home dog. UTEP 13-3 ATS last 16 as a home puppy. LaTech hasn't covered in 4 straight while UTEP is 5-0 ATS in that stretch. Home team on a 6-2 ATS run. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet UTEP 

Taking YOUNGSTOWN here. Ill-Chi 5-6 in conference play, Youngstown 4-8. That is pretty much where the similarities end though. The trends show Ill-Chi running away with plenty, including a 10-4 ATS run in the series. The road team is 6-2 ATS last 8 which is a good sign for us. But what grabs me here is that the last 2 games have gone to OT. A 3pt win this year by Ill-Chi, and a 1pt win last year by Youngstown. In the last 10 meetings, this line would have been covered twice, with Youngstown putting up double digit wins. 4* Money Maker YOUNGSTOWN STATE 

Taking NORTH TEXAS here. Yikes.. Backing a team that has lost 11 straight and is 0-10 in conference play! That's how we do conference action though. Ugly dogs. Look, the road team and underdog are on 6-2 ATS runs in the series. Mean Green a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 in the series and have covered 5 straight here against FAU. 4* Money Maker NORTH TEXAS 

Taking WISC-MILW here. These guys aren't that far apart when it comes to conference play, 4-8 to 6-5. So we look to the road team 4-0 ATS last 4 and the underdog on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. Panthers are 5-2 ATS last 7 vs Wright State. Also, 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games have gone to OT. Now, we are either in store for a cover or a terrible, heart-breaking loss. Trends show us we are a live dog. 4* Money Maker WISC-MILWAUKEE 

Taking FULLERTON here. Just once in the last 8 meetings has the line been more than this, and shocker, the dog covered. In fact, the underdog is now on a 12-4 ATS run last 16 in the series. Have to grab the points. 4* Money Maker CS FULLERTON 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE here. So we already knocked these guys off on the road back in December. But I think the Bison really want to lay it on them here at home. I can't help but think they are still brewing over the Jackrabbits beating them in the Summit Championship last March. In fact, in 2 of the last 3 championship games, SDST has ended NDST hopes of the getting to the NCAAs. Now it is only February, but I just can't see the Bison giving SDST any breathing room here. Jackrabbits already under-performing on the year. Why give them any hope of a happy season? They have 2 road wins all year. An 8pt win over Drake. (who was drubbed at home last night by 29) and a 4pt win over Omaha when they had to hit 50% of their shots. We have lost twice at home. Once to North Dakota (we beat them in their place a week later) and our last game. Losing by 10 to South Dakota as they shot over 50% from the field. So off that loss, I am thinking we get the proverbial 'A' game from the team with a big focus on defense. 10* Money Bomb NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking WESTERN ILLINOIS here. What can I say about taking ugly road dogs in conference play? I can't help myself. But we have the very friendly numbers working for us as Western is 7-2 ATS last 9 and the underdog has cashed 7 of the last 8 in the series! We just leveled these guys a month ago at home by 15, and now we are catching a very nice number. Part of me does say, well it looks a little to good to be true. I mean, Western Illinois isn't the worse team in the Summit. We have Oral sitting at the bottom of the conference (we are right above). I mentioned the nice trends that the Leathernecks are working on above. But how about Oral Roberts laying an 1-10 ATS egg in their last 11 when favorites of 7-11 points. Too many points for us to pass up. 4* Money Maker WESTERN ILLINOIS 

Taking MARQUETTE here. The old unranked giving to ranked. Granted, we are barely a fave here. But the fact remains this is a toss up to the books. Home edge will be huge. Marquette with revenge from a 8pt loss last month that saw them blow a 41-25 half-time lead giving up 63pts in the 2nd half! Now Butler is in off b2b home losses. They will be angry and focused for sure. But Marquette knows it can get a nice lead on these guys. They have knocked off Creighton after that Butler melt-down, and followed that up with a big win over Villanova here. I expect another 'A' game showing tonight. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN here. Trying to figure out this line. They are nearly equals in conference play 5-5 CMU, 6-4 Ohio. CMU was picked to finish mid-pack, Ohio a top team. But the Bobcats have lost their best player and have gone 3-2 SU without him. When things look too easy, they usually are. But I am grabbing the dog here anyway. 4* Money Maker CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking ALABAMA here. I just think we have a nice rebounding edge here. Plus, we can get to the line. Tide 3-1-1 ATS last 5 and dog is on a 5-2-1 ATS run last 8 in series.  4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking PENN STATE. We have had trouble cashing these lately, but I am sticking to what has worked year in and out for us. That is fading 'ranked' or public teams on the road. PSU is a 12 win club and is getting a couple buckets at home from a 20-3 ranked Maryland team. Terps on a 10-1 ATS run vs Big 10 teams! I will buck that trend and look for some home cooking. 4* Money Maker PENN STATE 

Taking SOUTHERN here. Will head to some SWAC action. It would be easy to grab the dog at first glance. But Jackson State throws up bricks. They, by themselves, can build Trump's Mexico Wall! 38% from the field- You can't back any team that shoots like that and only getting a couple points. Their leading scorer is at 36% from the floor. I also don't like their size, which again, hurts when you need to crash boards on the road. Jaguars are led by 2 guys who can actually hit the bottom of the net at a decent clip. Jackson State won a month ago when we hit 33% from the field. I expect the exact opposite in this game as we win this one going away. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN JAGUARS 

Taking WOFFORD here. Will grab this scrappy home dog. Coming off 3 straight road games with 4 of their last 5 away, they are happy to be home. They play ETSU tough over the years. I think we have a nice edge here, especially at the FT line. Terriers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. They are 9-2 ATS last 11 at home with both losses The Citadel the last 2 years. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD TERRIERS 

Taking QUINNEIPIAC here as a late addition. Will follow the line drop as the Bobcats have won 3 straight in this series and are on a 8-2-1 ATS run their last 11 overall. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Just think NC has too much size here for the Irish. If ND drains 15+ 3s we are probably in a dog fight. Just think the Heels are more talented though. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking HAWAII here. So the Rainbows have won 5 of the last 6 in the series with the lone loss a 3pt OT road loss in 2014. We have CSN coming in off a big win over Long Beach State who was the premier Big West teams for years. Matadors 1-6 ATS last 7 as home faves and Hawaii 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. 4* Money Maker HAWAII 

Taking SACRAMENTO STATE here. We cashed these guys as a dog the other night, and are back on them again. So last year we swept the series with a 3pt and 2pt win. Now we are getting 8? I don't think double revenge is worth that many points is it? Hornets on a 6-1 ATS run vs Big Sky opponents and a perfect 5-0 ATS last 5 on the road. 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE 

Taking DREXEL here. I had Hofstra the last time these two met up which resulted in a home OT win for the Dragons. Since then, Drexel has lost 3 straight and in off an OT loss. This is also their 3rd straight road game which I am not a fan of. But I have to take the points here. Neither team with any good trends working in their favor. 4* Money Maker DREXEL 

Taking MARIST here. Again, like our Drexel play, we are going against a home with revenge from an earlier loss this season. And again, we have 2 of the lower tier conference teams battles, with one being too big a favorite for my liking. Red Foxes all the way. 4* Money Maker MARIST 

Taking EASTERN KENTUCKY here. Will ride the underdog here as it is on a 6-2 ATS run in the series. I find playing on these trends in there smaller conferences really pay off this time off year on the schedule. 4* Money Maker EASTERN KENTUCKY

Taking FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL here. I know it is tough taking a 1-8 conference road team. But I actually think this line is a little low and they want people on Charlotte. Golden Panthers on a 6-1 ATS road run. While Charlotte is 4-10 ATS their last 10. 4* Money Maker FIU

Taking TENNESSEE TECH here. They come in after getting pasted at home 75-46. They aren't a terrible Ohio Valley team as they are 5-5 in conference play. So they can beat teams.  Eastern Illinois 3-8 ATS vs Ohio Valley and we have the Golden Eagles on a 6-2 ATS road run . 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TECH 

Taking PORTLAND STATE here. We faded EW against Sac State and cashed and will do it again here. Portland State is 12-4 ATS last 16 in the series. Will ride the Vikings here. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND STATE 

Taking NORTHERN COLORADO. This is just an ugly, ugly dog. I sure as heck don't like backing road teams that a collective 59% from the FT line. But they are 4-6 in conference which shows they can win a game or 2, or 4! They have played 3 straight 1pt games, 74-73 and 71-70 in 2016 and 72-71 in 2015. Their other 2015 game was an OT 10pt win by Northern Colorado. Just seems like too many points. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN COLORADO 

Taking ST PETERS here. Last week in the Free Pick I told you to grab the ML with our dog and it cashed for +290. Tonight, we will grab the 8 and sprinkle some ML on St Peter's, They already knocked off Monmouth a month ago. Peacocks on a perfect 7-0 ATS run as dogs and have cashed 16 of their last 21 on the road. 4* Money Maker ST PETER'S

Taking BYU here. Zags working on a school record win streak and the lone undefeated program in the AP, thrusting themselves to #1 across hoops polls. Well the fade is on. BYU is 76-10 SU at home. 4* Money Maker BYU 

Taking SACRAMENTO STATE here. Again, this time of year in conference action. We are looking the numbers. The underdog on a 8-3 ATS run and as an added bonus Sac State 11-4 ATS last 15 in the series including 6-2 ATS on the road. 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE 

Taking ILLINOIS CHICAGO here. I have said in previous write ups I like this team. Maybe they are a year away from really making a splash in mid-major levels. But I will gobble up the 8 here. GB just lost at a far worse Detroit team. Maybe they took them too lightly. Sure they will be focused here off a bad loss. The are right behind Valpo for the Horizon top spot. But the dog is on a 7-2-1 ATS run last 10. I will give you 2 guesses who that has been, but you will only need 1. With top dog Valpo on deck, I can see us squeezing out the back door here. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS CHICAGO FLAMES 

Taking JAMES MADISON here. So yeah, we are going pretty ugly here.  Dukes have lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7. The lone win? Only a 60-59 nail-biter at home over this same Elon bunch. But the road team is on a 5-0 ATS run and the dog has cashed 4 of the last 5 times out. JMU is 4-1 SU in the series the last couple years. Maybe we just have their number. 4* Money Maker JAMES MADISON 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC here. As the we hit a the heart of conference play, you know I will be going heavy on dogs. And it won't be pretty. But these two teams aren't that far apart. Both aren't very good. But as a trusted fellow capper taught me a long time ago. We aren't betting teams. We are betting numbers. And the numbers say we are on the Owls. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking DETROIT here. A couple years ago, I was all over the Titans. This year's team was an easy fade for me. Opening up 2-14 always helps. They scored a couple early conference wins before dropping 3 more in a row. I thought they would be a bottom tier team in the Horizon. And they are. Along with Cleveland State. Now, maybe this is a dumb play to back. Is Detroit that bad? They just scored a nice 93-92 win over GB. Cleveland State IS the worse team in conference sitting in the basement a game behind Detroit. The numbers are close enough that we are taking the dog. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TITANS 

Taking TEXAS TECH here. So, a team that has lost 20 straight to the Longhorns in Austin is favored, on the road. Sign me up! 5* Best Bet TEXAS TECH 

Taking PURDUE here. This is a big line and I think everyone will be on Northwestern here. We have the size inside and that will be the difference in getting easy baskets. Not sold on the 18-4 record of the Wildcats. 4* Money Maker PURDUE 

Taking WESTERN ILLINOIS here. Just seems like too many points in my eyes. Granted Leathernecks with 2-9 road record. But they managed a 10pt win at home a month ago. They should be able to hang here. 4* Money Maker WESTERN ILLINOIS 

Taking GEORGE MASON here. So, I think STL is a bad team. So maybe this is a sucker line since I am blinded by how I perceive the Billikens. But they are one of the worse scoring and shooting teams in the land. Mason now 6-1 ATS on the road. We have HUGE revenge angle for us as STL beat us at home and we were 14pt favorites! It was as tough spot coming off a St Joe's road win and a game at Richmond on deck. But I don't think we shoot under 40% here. In their last home win, STL shot 55 FTs. 55!! Any team shooting 55 FTs at home is going to be in a game. I would be shocked if we didn't win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb GEORGE MASON 

Taking WYOMING here. I just think this is too many points for SDST. This isn't like the Aztecs of a couple years playing defense, winning games 53-48. I think Cowboys have been competitive in their road games in conference play. And State has been inconsistent at best this year. We are either in a nail-biter where we can cash a +400 play. Or the wheels fall off and we lose by 30. But with our balanced scoring and rebounding, I think we hang tight. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking OHIO STATE here. The old unranked laying point to a ranked team. 6 straight wins and 9 of 10 for the Terps. Yet, they are small dogs vs the Buckeyes. 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE

Taking BUTLER here. Creighton a different team without their PG. We had the Hoyas at home and they trucked the Blue Jays. Butler is just probably better defensively and overall than Georgetown. Creighton beat DePaul, but has struggled, losing 2 of 3 since Watson went down. Butler with 11pt revenge on their minds from a road loss 2 weeks ago gets it done. 5* Best Bet BUTLER

Taking BUFFALO here. I just like this spot. In off not 1, but 2, 1pt road losses. Losing twice on the road isn't good for anyone, and losing by a lone point probably hurts even more. But now we are home and facing a CMU off a road OT win. So maybe they are content to go 1-1 on a road trip. They have a tiny spark plug 30ppg scorer. But I think the way the Bulls have played the last 2 games, the defense will shut things down a bit. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. What team has lost 4 straight and lost the same opponent by 31 a month ago? Oh the home team in basically a PK 'em. The home squad is on a 6-2 ATS run in the series. Ohio can easily be looking past WMU as they home revenge game against conference top dog Akron on deck. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Pretty simple in my thinking here. One. We have a big revenge from last year when the Cowboys put up just 49 points getting pasted 71-49 on the road. They haven't had trouble scoring putting up nearly 90 a game this year. They also come in winners of 3 straight. Sooners sitting around waiting for football season. They have lost 8 of 10 and just were trucked by 30 at home. We can say they, hey, big bounce back game. In state rival. Huge game. Yes. And all of that is true. But the Oklahoma have owned State winning 7 straight in the series including 9-1 ATS last 10. I think some payback is in order tonight. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking VILLANOVA here. First off. What a terrible day on Saturday as we only caught a few ugly dogs. That being said for you weekly and seasonal players. One day doesn't make us. It's a day grind. We sometimes have a couple games. Other times we are going to be over 10 on a Saturday - Back to VILLANOVA - Off blowing a 17pt lead I have to think they are coming out strong vs Virginia this afternoon. We have Virginia off a strong road win over Notre Dame. I am sure they will be happy going 1-1 on this trip. Some of the names have changed, but the Nova still has revenge for last years 11pt loss on the road when they ranked #2. 4* Money Maker VILLANOVA WILDCATS

4* Money Maker EASTERN KENTUCKY

Taking NORTHRIDGE here. Riverside off a big road win at Hawaii and now travels home. Road team 9-2 ATS and underdog 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Matadors 4-1 ATS last 5 trips into Riverside. 4* Money Maker CS NORTHRIDGE 

Taking TENN-MARTIN here. Back again in the Ohio Valley. These guys both tied for the top spot in the West sitting at 5-3 in conference play. They split out last year each winning their home games. 4* Money Maker TENN-MARTIN 

Taking KENTUCKY here. What do I say about the lower or unranked teaming giving points. Here we have Kentucky, no slouch in being ranked pretty high, laying a TD to Kansas who was just blitzed by West Va (a nice win for us). The Wildcats also come in off a loss. Again. This looks like they are begging you to take Kansas. 5* Best Bet KENTUCKY WILDCATS 

Taking SIEU here. The two teams at the bottom of the Ohio Valley and we are getting a nice amount of points. Both teams will be gunning for a rare conference win. But I have to grab a desperate dog getting points like this. 4* Money Maker SIEU COUGARS

Taking UTSA here. We faded Western Kentucky and cashed in their last game, and doing the same here. San Antonio should be able to hang around here. 4* Money Maker UTSA 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. These guys battle for the top of the Mountain West. Give me the Lobos in revenge spot from 105-104 home OT loss back in January.  Underdog 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO 

4* Money Maker APPY STATE