Taking TEXAS SOUTHERN. These guys split the regular season. Prairie View winning 96-82 at home on Feb 1, Texas Southern winning on their court 100-94 back on Jan 6. I just think Tigers have the better numbers across the board. And piggy backing on the other game in this conference tournament semi. All you need to know is that the 1 seed Pine Bluff, is a dog to the 4 seed Southern. And here we have the 3 seed as the biggest fave of the remaining Top 4 seeds. 4* Money Maker TEXAS SOUTHERN 

Taking DAVIDSON. Veteran team. Just better all around. St Louis a short bench. Fatigue could factor in as STL had 2 guys play 40, and another starter at 38 minutes. Davidson, rested. Winners of 5 of 6 and 8 of 10. Peaking at right time. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON

Taking GEORGIA STATE. Now. Troy won this thing last year. They have already bested Georgia State is the 2 seed as it dropped 4 of 6 down the stretch. They do have Sun Belt POY in guard D'Marcus Simonds who went for 21.5/6/4.5 across the board. Guy is a pretty good all-around player. Troy knocked these out last year in the semis. Georgia State the 2 seed, Trojans, then a 7 seed. Just think Panthers get a little payback tonight. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA STATE

Taking ARLINGTON. Look. They let me down a few times this year. I thought they would be the Sun Belt leaders. Off a slow start, they did come down the stretch winning 6 of 10 and 3 straight. Arlington won by 12 at home, lost by 4 on the road. Let's not forget. These guys went on the road and won at BYU, then lost by 1 at Alabama. Then best non-con win for Appy is over 11-16 South Florida. 4* Money Maker TEXAS ARLINGTON 

Taking GEORGE MASON. Should have had these guys yesterday. Saw it was a PK, starting thinking how I have really only cashed GM as dogs. What a run they gave us catching points in February. They have covered 8 of their last in A10 play. Not high on Joe's. I know they crushed RI, but the Rams have dropped 3 of their last 5. This is just about the grit of Mason. Battled back yesterday. Stone cold hitting last second game winners by Ian Boyd. That is what this time of year is about. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON 

Taking MARSHALL. So. Southern Miss knocks off top dogs Mid Ten State shooting 42% while Raiders at 49 - They needed OT to get to 71 points. Marshall can score. This wacky court set-up had no effect on them as they dropped 95 on San Antonio. Can't see Southern Miss being able to keep up. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL 

Taking ULL. Like Laffy. This is a good team. They beat Texas State by 10 and 15 this year. Beating Sun Belt teams on the year by nearly 14 points a game. Texas State had lost 9 in a row before beating Coastal. ULL comes in off their 2nd loss in conference play. An OT home loss - After their last loss, 1pt on the road to Georgia State, they reeled off 6 straight. I'm not saying they are Mid Tenn State, 16-2 in C-USA, 24-7 get picked off in tournament action. Make no mistake, these guys are in the same boat. A mid-major that doesn't get enough respect and will lose a spot to the Oklahomas, Alabamas, Syracuses of the world. ULL 26-5 overall, and 16-2 in the Sun Belt. I had them at Clemson and they were rolled by 29. But Texas State is no Clemson. ULL needs to win this by 20. 4* Money Maker UL LAFAYETTE

Taking EASTERN MICHIGAN tonight. Last year in the MAC Quarters, Akron smashed these guys 79-62. Well. Time for a little tournament revenge. They played just once at EMU, and the Eagles laid a 63-49 loss on the Zips. Expecting more of the same here. EMU comes in red-hot winners of 6 straight and 8 of 9. The lone loss, in OT on the road. Akron on a 3-6 run before upsetting Western Michigan by a point. Zips dangerous. Of course you have to look at a team in the conference tournament championship game the year before as a threat. But it is also a team you don't overlook. 5* Best Bet EASTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. I do like Fresno. You already know that. We cashed them several times this season. MWC has been good to us. But I am on the Aztecs. Bulldogs loss of Hopkins will hurt. 2nd leading rebounder and 3rd leading scorer. I get that the next man steps up. But this is a very tough spot. After dropping 2 straight on the road to Fresno and Nevada, SDST roared back to win their final 6 games of their capped with their seasoning win over top seed Nevada. Clearly firing on all cylinders coming into the tournament. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking GRAND CANYON. Antelopes with a pair of 17pt wins of KC already this year. I can't find a positive for the Roos except them being angry at 2 blowout losses. Numbers all point to Grand Canyon. Hate taking a game that looks 'too easy.' 12 isn't a short number though so we will need to have our defense handle KC like they did the last 2 meetings. Expecting a huge crowd for GC as this is their first tournament trip. 4* Money Maker GRAND CANYON 

Taking CLEMSON. Tough going for 3 in 3 days which is what BC is up against today. Clemson beat them earlier this year 74-70 in BC. Think the clocks strikes midnight for this Tournament Cinderella today. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON

Taking OREGON STATE. So. Here we are again. Washington the higher seed in PAC Tourney action, yet are catching points. 20-11 vs 15-15. Yeah, they split this year. Huskies win at home by a bucket, Beavers by 3 in OT at their place. 4* Money Maker OREGON STATE 

Takings ST JOHNS. So. Is Mullin suiting up like its 1984? Is Malik Sealy and Boo Harvey starting? Zendon Hamilton and Felipe Lopez? Johnnies laying points? Georgetown won both regular season games. Hoyas the higher seed. I am guessing that Ponds is playing for this line to be where it is. We have seen these guys knock off Duke and Villanova in back to back games. I think this group underachieved this season. If Ponds comes back, wow. I think they are a deep March team. They have a nice big man inside who blocks shots and protects the rim. Simon is a very good player all around. The cliche police say we run away with this if we force turnovers and limit our own! 4* Money Maker ST JOHNS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. With Colson and Farrell back, the Irish can make some noise. I have VT in the tourney, while ND needs to win at least another game. Not sure how they will hold this team when they lost their top players. That being said, they are on the court tonight and ND should win this one. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME 

Taking STANFORD. One. I think Cal is terrible. They have battled Stanford well beating them to start conference play winning on the road 77-74, and losing a close one at home 77-73. So why the big line? Maybe since Cal has dropped 7 straight and 9 of 10 while Stanford has won 4 of 5 with loss on the road in Arizona. Cal is shooting barely 41% from the field and less than 30% from 3. I can't see them catching fire here. Stanford is a team most expected to 'arrive' next year. This team was missing several players earlier in the year. All the top guys are back. I think they win this one going away. 4* Money Maker STANFORD 

Taking NC STATE. I'm kicking myself for not taking BC yesterday, but I'll take a 7-0 day of college hoops. That being said. New day. New team to back. And I like this NC State team. Bracket works out nice for them. Always a little brother in state to NC and Duke. But the Wolfpack did knock off both teams this season. They also beat BC by 16 earlier this year. Also winners of 4 of 5 coming into tournament play. BC had dropped 4 of 5 before taking care of Georgia Tech. 4* Money Maker NC STATE 

Taking TEXAS SOUTHERN. So. We can say that Tex So has won 10 straight in this series. They won 18 and 15 this year. Last year in the conference tournament, they won by 15 laying 15.5. They had beaten Alabama State by 13 and 2 during the regular season. Some teams don't match-up with others. It is clearly obviously in this case. Even though they are a 3 seed, I think TS has a shot at winning this thing. They are my highest rated team in conference play. 4* Money Maker TEXAS SOUTHERN 

Taking JACKSON STATE. So these guy split with each winning on the opposite home floor. I don't see much difference between these two. Southern was 10-8 in conference, Jackson State 9-9. 4* Money Maker JACKSON STATE 

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH. I liked this guys at +4 last night and here I am going to bed early and missing on that extra point. These guys split the season each winning at home. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH 

Taking VERMONT. So, laying 21 was a bit too much. But I think this number is about right. One, we have Stony off a doggy +9 outright win. Good work by them. They have also played Vermont tough. Losing by 9 at home and 11 on the road. They just are a poor shooting team. When you have Vermont hitting over 50% against you, you aren't going to win many games. They will hang around like they have. But I can't see them all of the sudden hitting shots and Vermont's entire team going cold. Vermont is a good team. 16-1 in conference with a 1pt loss on the resume. They lost 73-69 at Kentucky to open the season. Then won 5 road games before dropping a 4pt game at Bucknell. Who, is a pretty decent team looking to repeat as Patriot League Champs and go to the NCAAs again. The were down by 1 at Marquette before fading down the stretch and losing by 10. Lost by 4 at Northeastern, who will be playing for a CAA Title. A 4pt loss to a 24 win St Bonaventure team. Is a 2pt loss at Providence who was without their 2nd leading scoring a good loss? A win at Rutgers? I just think that Vermont is primed for post-season. There is no way that they shouldn't win this one by double digits going away. 15-20 should be the margin. 4* Money Maker VERMONT 

Taking NC CENTRAL. This Coppin team is terrible. 1-20 on the road. Lone win, over SC State, where they somehow shot 52% from the floor and drained 12 of 26 3s. I am looking at these conference losses. 13-18-20-11-13-20-8 . Central has won by 20 at home, and 9 on the road. It was a 15 lead on the road at half. They cruised with 52% FG shooting, 9-18 from 3. Coppin shoots 36% from the floor. That is horrible. It isn't like we are laying 20 or even 10. A decent number to lay, but still a lot of value in taking the favorite. 4* Money Maker NC CENTRAL EAGLES 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA. As I said. I am looking for all South Dakota Finals tomorrow night. The clear leaders of Summit League play. Now. Denver won 84-68 back in January. Pioneers jumped out fast and never looked back. 15-3 out of the gate, 14pt halft-time lead. But as we look into that game, what do we see before hand. Ah.. South Dak handed bitter state rival So Dak St it's only conference loss 87-68. Coming off a game like that, you know it would be a flat-spot. Denver off the double OT game last night. Denver can shoot the 3, but I am not sure if they will have their legs late to get in the back door. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA 

Taking EAST TENN STATE. These guys split the regular season. NCG winning by 18 at home as 2.5 faves, and ETST winning by 10 at home as 8.5 faves. East Tenn came slipping into the conference tournament. Dropping 3 straight and 4 of 5. But they have 18 and 11 pt wins under the belt in the first 2 rounds. Huge revenge for getting destroyed by NCG a month ago. The two best teams and the top 2 seeds is what it should be. But the 2 seed is a small fave. Also they were a much larger fave at home. My numbers have them pretty close and it reflects in the line. 4* Money Maker EAST TENN STATE 

4* Money Maker MIAMI HEAT

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. I'm calling for a battle of Sout Dakota in the Summit Championship game. They are the 2 best teams. So Dak St is lead by Mike Daum. Kid is a a beast. 23/10 on the year. Can put the team on his back. 14-1 in conference play. NDST 6-9. Held on yesterday for a win. Up 23, then 81-80 with 30 seconds left. 19 + 7 point wins for So Dak St over Bison this year. Let's grab the Jackrabbits. 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking QUINNIPIAC. Have backed these guys a few times lately as we had a nice 70% run with our MAAC plays during February. The dog is on 6-2 ATS run in the series. Quinn on a 5-1-1 ATS run in conference play. How about an 8-2 ATS run on neutral courts shows us the play well in tournaments. 3 of the last 5 games have gone to OT in the series. The 2 that didn't 5,2 pt wins for Quinnipiac.  4-5-3-2-4 has been the difference the last 5 games between these guys. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE. Again, we saw this with our play on Milwaukee. Fort Wayne with a pair of regular season wins. 12 on the road, 4 at home. They opened as a fave, now moving to a dog. These aren't schools that have huge public followings. I have these guys nearly identical in my Summit rankings. Bison to get it done tonight. 4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE

Taking NORTHEASTERN. I think NE is winning this tournament. They won by 3 on the road, and beat the Blue Hens at home by a dozen. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN 

Taking TOWSON. Tigers really took it The Tribe in 2 games. Last time they played, a 14pt win, in OT! 17-3 outscoring W&M in OT. That is crazy. Then they shot the lights out and beat them by 24 on The Tribe's home court. I know W&M can score 80ppg and is shooting 50% from the field on the year. But Towson has their number of late. In a toss up, I'll grab them for the win. 4* Money Maker TOWSON

Taking BUCKNELL. I am glad Boston was one of the 2 teams to knock off Bucknell in their 17-2 run through Patriot League action. We know they are not going to take them for granted. Yeah, the returned the favor with a 12 win on the road after that 5pt home loss. But they won't let Boston jump out like that. Not in a game like this. Bucknell is deep with returning players from last years team. This team has now won 4 straight Patriot League regular season titles. They won their tournament last year for the first time since 2006. They went b2b conference champs in 2005/6 and I think they do it again this year. Need to take care of business this afternoon. 4* Money Maker  BUCKNELL 

Taking LIBERTY. No MLs up right now or I would be on that. So. Radford won both regular season games. 13 on the road. 2 at home, 59-57 in OT. Add in last year's conference tournament where Radford upset Liberty 56-52 and we have a steaming pile of revenge to be served. Liberty, like Radford this season, had swept the 2 regular season games before failing in March. I think this plays out exactly like last year. 4* Big South Champions LIBERTY FLAMES 

Taking RIVERSIDE. The dog is 6-2-1 ATS last 9 in the series. Long Beach on a 2-6 ATS run through Big West play, while UCR is 4-1 ATS last 5 in conference action. Also a 4-0 ATS road run helps our cause tonight. Highlanders 3-1-1 ATS last 5 trips to the beach and the road team tidy 3-0-1 ATS last 4. 4* Money Maker UC RIVERSIDE 

Taking MURRAY. Belmont knocked these guys off in their only meeting this year. Not much I can say here. Both teams 16-3 Belmont, 17-2 Murray, rolled over OVC opponents. Just like the Racers a bit more. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE 

Taking UTEP. Not that Tim Hardaway is gonna show with his ole, UTEP 2-step and explode for 40 tonight. But I like the points here. For starters. North Texas off their biggest win of the year beating San Antonio. (Not counting scores vs McNeese + Eureka). Every other home game has been a battle. Let us look over recent home history. L2, L8 (OT) W4, W2 (OT), W6, L3, L2 . 2-3 ATS as home faves, nearly 1-4 scoring a W by a hook in that 6 point win. UTEP was 5-0 SU/ ATS before the 63-62 loss earlier this season. 4* Money Maker UTEP 

Taking HAWAII. Have to grab the points here. A 3pt Fullerton win in the ocean in their first meeting. Last year, home teams. 6 in OT for Hawaii. 3 here for Fullerton. Before that, 7 straight Rainbow Ws. 7-8 and 10-5 really isn't all that much difference in my eyes. 4* Money Maker HAWAII 

Taking JAMES MADISON. Not much to separate these 2 teams. I can say, hey Madison is on 8-2 ATS run in CAA play. But this game is a pick. They have played a pair of 2 pt games. 76-74 Drexel at home, 75-73 Madison at home. James Madison is 9-1 SU last 10 in the series, 6-1 ATS last 7. 4* Money Maker JAMES MADISON

Taking ARKANSAS STATE. So the Red Wolves won by 11 at home in the first meeting of these teams. Last year, after Arkansas State crushed ULM by 31 at home and won by 10 on the road, ULM got their revenge with a 3pt OT win in the conference tournament. The year before that. 2 more OT games between these guys. So safe to say, when Arkansas State isn't winning by double digits, we are in a dog fight. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE 

Taking WAGNER -- Sorry for the late add everyone. Wagner beat these guys by 13 in both meeting. This is their year. Morris just doesn't measure for me in this spot. 4* Money Maker WAGNER

Taking FLORIDA. Ok. Jumping right on the old unranked laying points to a ranked. Been saying this for the entire CBB season and even during College Football. Both teams pretty equal in my eyes across the board. Final regular season home game. Gators need 20 wins. I see them around town as an 8 seed. But I don't know. So they have 10 wins and a winning conference record. 19-12 going into the SEC tournament. You are telling me a 19-13 club, that would be 2-5 their last 7 is a sure thing for the NCAAs. This is a huge must-win for Florida. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS

Taking MISSOURI STATE, again. 2 seed as an underdog. Do I even need a write up? I said I like MizSt all year. They are a talented group who grossly under-performed. Much like our unranked favored over ranked. It is like the NCAAs. When a lower seed is favored, take notice. Then cash your ticket. SIU with a pair of 2pt wins this year over MzSt, one in OT. 2 of the last 3 have gone to OT with winning margins of 2-2-1. Bears are 8-2 on neutral courts, so you know we will be coming to play tonight. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI STATE BEARS 

Taking WINTHROP, again. Riding these guys. Radford defense hasn't shown signs it can slow down Winthrop. Split in regular season, Winthrop by 18 at home, 75-57 and Radford at home 85-79. That is a bit of a fluke in my eyes. Radford is a defensive team. I don't think they will be able to run and hit shots like. That have scored more than 78 just 3 times this year. 4* Money Maker WINTHROP 

Taking BRADLEY. So. We have a 5 seed favored over the 4 seed and Drake beat the Braves twice this year. 10 on the road, 2 at home. Bradley won all 3 games vs Drake last year including a 9pt MVC Tourney win. So the old hard to beat a team 3 times didn't ring true. Numbers tell me the Braves get it done. 4* Money Maker  BRADLEY

Taking LOY CHI. Have been down on the Panthers and will back the Ramblers who ran roughshod over the MVC going 15-3 in conference play. Loy Chi crushed these by 24 at home, and won on the road by 6. This is just a bad spot for Northern Iowa. For me, I have these rated numbers wise as an upper tier team in this conference. This is just a bad match-up for them. Ramblers on a 12-3 ATS run. I just think that after 30 games, a team is what it is. And Loy-Chi is a team shooting over 50 from the field. Tough to slow that down. 4* Money Maker LOY-CHICAGO 

Taking MARIST. Alright. Red Foxes not a good club. We lost with them awhile back, but I won't be scared away. This is a nice amount of points for us. These guys split the season series, Marist a home OT win by 6 and losing by 4 on the road. I'll grab the neutral court dog here. 4* Money Maker MARIST 

Taking AUSTIN PEAY. Grabbing these guys. I like Peay. Totally surprised many winning 12 games. Can't say it is fluke after an entire season. Eastern Illinois rolls in with house money as the 7 seed off a small upset. But Peay had their number this year winning on the road by 7 and at home 16. I think Eastern is flat off that win. They had lost to Tenn State by 3 and 4 during the regular season and scored a 2pt win last night ending in a last second 3 pointer being blocked. Give me the small faves. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. Now. I am down on this group. I was expecting them to be a top tier MVC team this season. Yet, here we are in the play-in round. Missouri State won both games this year. Crushing Valpo on the road by 17. A game they were nearly up 30. And at home by 7, having to nip and claw their way to the win. I think Alize Johnson is a beast that Valpo can't contain. 24-17 last game vs them. 15 and 11 averages on the season. We aren't laying any huge number here. I'm on the Bears. 4* Money Maker  MISSOURI STATE

Taking MARSHALL. Again. You have heard me say sometimes things look to good to be true and go the other way. Especially with bigger schools. Like us the other night going down in flames with Vandy and Mississippi State. But for a smaller conference, I will move on a team getting what I believe is too many points. One. I think Marshall is better. They won in OT in the first meeting while shooting just 38% while UAB was nearly 47%. That is what a good team. Grinds out a win. We have a nice big man inside who is a human fly swatter. Plus he drops nearly a double/double a game. We have a great do everything guard, and I mean everything. 22ppg 6reb 7ast a game. Guy is everywhere. UAB 0-4 ATS run at home. 1-4 ATS in last 5 CUSA action. Herd 4-1 ATS last 5 in conference. Grabbing the dog. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL 

Taking BOSTON here. Each team won on their home courts. Boston out for revenge for last years tournament 3pt OT loss. Sign me up on the dogs. 4* Money Maker BOSTON U

Taking WINTHROP. So, we have a lot of close teams record wise in the Big South. 12-6 for us, 9-9 for them. But Webb really had no answers for Winthrop in the 2 meetings. Lost at home 90-71 and lost on the road 90-67. Would love to see another 20+ point victory, but we only need half that. 4* Money Maker WINTHROP 

Taking NEW MEXICO. Rams coach resigns. Assistant resigns. Where is the motivation for a team ending its season tonight. Lobos still fighting for seeding in Mountain West. CSU lost by 33 at home last time out vs Boise. 1-10 last 11 game with that win against San Jose who is win-less in MWC play and has 3 wins on the year. Never a big fan of laying with conference road faves, but will in this case. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO 

Taking TENN TECH. So. Tech doesn't look that good as you check out the record down the stretch. 2-4. But digging deeper we see losses against Top 2 seeds in Murray and Belmont. A win over 3 seed Peay and a pair of losses to 4 seed Jacksonville State who I think can win this tournament. Laying the number here. 4* Money Maker TENN TECH 

Taking ST FRANCIS PA tonight. They covered both games vs FDU this year winning by 8 when laying 2 on the road. And winning by 14 covering the 8 at home. This team played in the CIT last year and I think they have bigger hopes with their eyes on the NCAAs this March. When I look at this line I can see where you would think you had FDU value. STFPA went 12-6 in conference, FDU 9-9. So really, not a lot of separation. PA did win both. Francis has won 5 straight coming into tonight with 3 by more than 20 points. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker ST FRANCIS PA 

Taking GEORGE MASON. Have to grab these guys. Been a covering machine as a dog lately. 5 straight doggy covers. 4 of 5 and 5 of 7 straight up wins. The losses at LaSalle 7 and at Fordham 1. VCU hasn't laid a number like this in over a month. They have dropped 3 of their last 4 and 5 of 7. Mason on a 6-1 ATS run in A10 play. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON 

4* Money Maker DENVER NUGGETS

Taking VANDERBILT. So, round 3 of our SEC home team round-robin! Again. When things look easy, I go the other way. I see an ambush. An 11 win team favored over an 18 win team. What do I even have to say to that? Vandy has been quietly playing better people. Florida, LSU, Alabama,  Mississippi State, Georgia and  TCU. Tigers have dropped 3 straight. Vandy 4-1 SU last 5 at home. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILT 

Taking ARMY tonight. Even when the higher seed is a slight fave, they are still favored. Both teams 6-12 in Patriot action each team winning on their home courts. 4* Money Maker ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS 

Taking CHARLESTON SOUTHERN here. Winners of 9 of their last 12, getting hot coming into their conference tournament. I know it is a big number. But Presbyterian is one of the bottom 20 teams in the entire country. These guys split their games this year each winning on the others court. But Presbyterian has won just twice on the road in 14 games. 4-14 in conference play. CharSo 9-9 in conference play and has revenge for that home lost a couple weeks ago. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 

Taking the PACERS. Cuban says he's OK with his team losing. Well out of the break they get mauled by the Lakers. Dropped their next game vs the Jazz. Now face an Indiana team who has revenge for an earlier loss. And yeah. This isn't a huge rivalry. But you want to pay-back a team for beating you. Especially one that is mailing it in in February. Pacers with 4 straight and 8 wins in their last 10. We aren't laying a huge number, and Dallas will be a team I am looking to play against closing out the season. So if we can get any line as low as this, we will be on the road faves often. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS 

Taking QUINNIPIAC. Looking at conference play, not much of a difference. 7-10 Q, 8-9 for the Jaspers. Quinn with a 1pt home win already now catching a nice number. They are 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road. We had been 7-2 coming into the Friday with our MAAC selections. Looking to end the week strong with a winner. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC

Taking SIENNA. Ok. First off. A brutal Saturday. Haven't had a day like that in 2018. But 1 day doesn't make us. Like a day of when we go 5-1 is just 1 day. We just get up, and get back to the grind. Sienna, 4-13 in MAAC play, St Pete's, 5-12. Again. One bad day isn't getting me off a month plus worth of winners when playing these dogs. Sienna won already this year in OT. They have won 3 of the last 4. I have no road or dog trends to say this is a top flight game. They are terrible on the road this year (1-14). 4* Money Maker SIENNA 

Taking TULSA. Now. You know I am a Cincy backer where I think they can make a deep NCAA run. But you also know we have cashed Tulsa multiple times this year. We are getting nearly 20pts. I can't see how they don't get, at worse a back-door, and at best we are within 10 most of the game. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Taking RICE. Right off the bat. I will tell you right now I could never back a team that has 2 guys shooting better than 70% from the FT line. You can't give away free points. It is one of the things I really look at, especially when I am grabbing dogs. Can the other make the freebies. This one looks to be clearly in our favor. Rice nothing special with a 3-12 CUSA record. FIU better at 6-9, but I will fade away tonight. Rice won earlier this year at home by 9 and have won the last 3 times these guys have played. Owls 4-0 ATS last 4 on the road. A nice 9-3 ATS run for FIU. But as we dig into the numbers we see them favored just 3 times. 1.5 (loss at Rice) 2.5 (6pt home SoMiss) 7.5 (20pt home Charlotte). 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking STANFORD. Stepping into rare air for myself laying double digits. We have, who I think, probably the worse team in PAC 12, off a road win. 1-9 on the road for Washington State. 3-12 in conference play. Last regular season home game for The Tree. They will be extra excited to go out winners. Cougars 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road and 4-11 ATS last 15 in PAC 12 play. Stanford on a 7-0 ATS run at home and 10-4 ATS last 14 in conference play. I'm on the home fave. 4* Money Maker STANFORD 

Taking MONROE. Again. I have said this before. Why this love for Troy? I am not buying in. They are 7-8 in conference. Monroe 8-7. Average teams. Not much to tell them apart. ULM won by 5 a month go. Last year, Troy with an 1pt OT win on the road, and ULM smashed the Trojans on this court by 15. ULM has won 5 of the last 6 in the series (6-0 ATS). Warhawks on a 5-0 run through Sun Belt action. I'm on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker UL MONROE 

Taking SIUE this afternoon. How the heck is Eastern favored here. First off. We'll start with their 2-7 ATS record as faves this year. They covered as 1pt and 4.5pt faves. Lost outright as 4.5pt faves 3 times, 4,3,2,1 to close out their outright losses as faves. They're 6-11 in Ohio Valley action, SIUE 5-12. Eastern won by 4 a couple weeks ago shooting 57% from the floor. The dog is on a 4-1 ATS run in the series. Eastern 2-8 ATS last 10 at home.  9-17 ATS on the year tells us all we really need to know. And the numbers when they are favored is just the proverbial icing on the cake for me. SIUE has covered 4 straight in Ohio Valley play and 5 of their last 6 on the road. 4* Money Maker 

Taking SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. So. Normally. When I see a team 11-6 in conference play getting a low number from a 6-11 conference team I would be on the fave. Much like when we have the 'ranked' team getting points from 'unranked.' But in this case I am on the road dogs. Evansville has dropped 4 straight and 5 of 6. Southern off a loss to Loy-Chi (24wins) after 2 straight OT games. So that loss isn't as bad as it looks. I can say road team and underdog trends points to our favor. But Evansville has the numbers here at home. MVC has a lot of clutter and not a lot of separation between most clubs. But Southern is #2 and have played well this season. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking CHARLESTON. These guys haven't lost in over a month. They are just a machine right now. I know it is tough winning on the road in conference play laying a short number. The Tribe shooting 50% from the FG and showing no signs of letting up scoring nearly 85ppg on the year. But they give up over 80 too. CoC brings defense with them. 14-3 in CAA play. Already exacted revenge with a pair of big 20pt wins over those teams. They will be top seed in their tournament. W&M no slouch with 10-7 record. At this price, I am just taking who I believe is the better team. 4* Money Maker COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Underdog on a 10-2 ATS run in the series and the Huskies 6-1 ATS last 7 trips into Eastern Michigan. The Eagles 10-21 ATS last 31 in MAC play with half of those covers in their last 10 games. NIU has cashed 4 of their last 5 in conference play. I know that Northern is at the bottom of the MAC West. But I am not sold on Eastern and their 8-7 conference record. They aren't 8 points better than us today. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS

Taking MARIST, again. Had these guys in 2 of their last 3 road games, covering both. 9pt dog losing by 3 to St Peter's and a 8pt dog winning outright vs Manhattan. In fact, we are on a nice 7-2 run with our MAAC plays. Underdog 7-1 ATS last 8 and the road team 8-0 ATS last 8. Those numbers help the cause as our Red Foxes are on a 5-1 ATS run on the road. Niagara has dropped 2 straight. The loss of Matt Scott has been felt. Guy is easily one up there for MAAC POY consideration averaging 20pts 7.5 rebounds. But last I looked he was in an air-cast on crushes. I can't see him suiting up here. He won't be 100%, save him for the conference tournament. I try not to let things like that influence my play. Either way, I believe Marist keeps this within the number. 4* Money Maker MARIST RED FOXES

Taking BROWN. Sometimes I do venture into the Ivy. I see a pair of teams both 4-6 in conference play. Brown won by 3, in OT a couple weeks ago. They won the last meeting last March. The 3 most recent Columbia wins have been by 5-3-4. Brown shows up on Friday nights as they are 7-2 ATS last 9 while Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS.  They are on a 4-1 ATS run of late. Columbia 1-4 ATS last 5 at home vs the Bears. Underdog on a 8-3 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker BROWN BEARS 

Taking TENN STATE tonight. Just had their 7 game win streak broken. But they will be ready for this rival and to get a little revenge. Tenn Tech scored an OT win back in early January. Tenn State on a 4-1 ATS run in Ohio Valley play. They have 4 of 5 here in Tenn Tech and are 11-5 ATS last 16 in the series. Road team on a 4-1 ATS run of late. 4* Money Maker TENN STATE 

Taking WILMINGTON tonight. So, we dropped a 3pt game at home back in January where we battled back from being down 9 at half. I do like my conference dogs, but this is rough even for me to swallow. The Tribe is just shooting an unbelievable 50% from the FG, on the year. You see me type in the write ups over and over this month that in conference play, we see what the teams are. Yet, I just can't back W&M against NC. I have to grab the points no matter how much better they shoot the ball. Wilmington 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road and also on a 4-1 ATS run through CAA play. Maybe with Charleston up next in their final home game, a revenge game to boot, the Tribe let's NCW hang around. And when you give up over 80ppg, a team can hang around. 4* Money Maker NC WILMINGTON 

Taking GREEN BAY. I had backed Oakland over the last couple years. They had always been a nice mid-major that was under-valued and you could score nice 5-6 streaks with. That is not this team. I have been saying it since mid-January. There is no way they should be laying double digits. I know GB is not a great club. But the Golden Grizz is 0-5 ATS laying double digits this year. Let's drop it to laying -7 and Oakland is 0-10 ATS. Oh, laying 5 points. 0-12-1 ATS this year. GB won 80-79 as 10pt home dogs in December. They know they can hang here. Oakland has covered once their last 7 games. That 1-6 ATS last 7 coupled with 0-8 ATS run at home puts us on the puppy. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY

Taking RICE tonight. If I just wrote take the Owls ML for a guaranteed winner, would I be lying! Rice Owls, Florida Atlantic Owls. That last sentence is 100% accurate. Ok, jokes aside. Let us climb into the abyss and take a 2-12 Rice team in C-USA play. FAU killers at 5-9 in conference play. Look. As I have said all month. We are dogging up, and it has paid off to over 60% winners this month and 70% the last week. A pair of garbage teams, we have to grab the points. Road team 4-0-1 ATS last 5 in series and dog is 3-0-1 ATS last 4. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking ST LOUIS. Sign me up for some Billikens. Dayton 6-8 in conference, STL 8-6. STL won by 10 on their home court already this season. They are 11-4 ATS last 15 trips into Dayton. Flyers 1-7-1 ATS last 9 in conference play while STL is 7-2 ATS over the same amount of time. Billikens 22-6 ATS last 28 vs A10 teams and 30-12 ATS last 42 overall. Favorite 8-23 ATS last 31 in series. 4* Money Maker STL BILLIKENS 

Taking AKRON. Yeah, I'll back a road team that has yet to win on the road this year. Zips 20-8 ATS last 28 vs Bowling Green and 11-3 ATS last 14 vs the Falcons in the series. That takes some of the sting out of that road record. Had Akron last time out on the road, and they fell apart with 5 to go. Losing the lead and then the cover. Think they stay close again. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. Will grab the dog here. I don't see much difference in this clubs. CMU 5-9 in MAC play, 7-7 for Western. Western Michigan on a 3-7 ATS run in MAC play. Underdog on a 10-2 ATS run in the series and road team 7-3 ATS last 10. CMU 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road, WMU 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. Taking the visitors tonight. 4* Money Maker CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking DETROIT. Ok. Detroit is bad. And we have made our living the last month+ cashing ugly conference dogs. I wish we were getting 2-3 points and I would feel very good about this play. This is our 4th straight road game. Never easy in college ranks and 3rd in 6 days. But, we are off a 10pt road win. Lost the first 2 by 3 and 9 at Oakland as 13pt dogs. What I really like is that Ill-Chi has a pair of huge games up next. Northern Kentucky immediately after this, then Wright St. Both of those teams sit at 12-3 tied for Horizon League leaders. Ill-Chi 11-4. So I can see them winning but not really blowing Detroit out. The old look-ahead spot. Detroit lost to these guys by 9 at home start of February. Only real trend helping us is that the road team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series. Ill-Chi 7-3 ATS last 10 at home over the visitors. I will come back to scheduling and I think we sneak in under the number. 4* Money Maker DETROIT 

Taking DRAKE today. Ok, first off. Apologize for the late add today. Long night here with a lot of heavy snow on the ground. But that isn't stopping us from cashing another winner in college hoops. So we are on the Bulldogs. Not sure why the line is so high. Maybe they are begging us to take the road dogs. I gladly will. I was high in Missouri State to start the year. And yes, they have strung together wins in their last 3 games. They had also dropped 6 straight in MVC play before those wins. I'm not sold on them - Drake won by 3 at home a month ago. I also see 3-1 (OT)-2 pt games the 3 games before that. Why won't we see another game like that? MSU on a 3-9 ATS run in conference play. Drake has covered 4 straight in the series. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Taking SIUE. Alright. Another conference dog that we will jump on. SIUE at 5-10 in Ohio Valley play while SEMO sports a 7-8 record. Both teams allowing more than they score, nearly 80 to nearly 78. SEMO scored a 12 road win back in January and have won 3 straight in the series. SIUE is on a 7-2 ATS run in the series including going 4-0 ATS while visiting. SEMO 1-4 ATS their last 5 at home. 4* Money Maker SIUE 

Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA. Going real ugly this afternoon. 4-22 overall, 1-12 in conference. Giving up nearly 80ppg. But we actually have the better scoring defense here! North Dakota allowing nearly 82pp! So. Last year these guys split. We won at home, lost by 5 on the road. Lumberjacks 3-1-1 ATS last 5 on the road, while North Dak counters on a 2-5 ATS run in Big Sky play. Northern Arizona on a 4-1 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA

Taking AKRON. Time for some MACtion. Akron 4-9, Kent 6-7 in conference play. I have this line closer to 3 than I do 7 so this is a value play for me. The dog is on a 8-3-1 ATS run in the series which helps since it is tough to look past the Zips 0-8 road record. Akron 5-2-1 ATS last 8 trips into Kent. Both of these teams are down. Last year Akron won the regular season title and Kent won the tournament. I expect a close battle. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS 

Taking GEORGE MASON. What is up with this number? I have to be missing something. But I have no clue what it is. Mason 6-7 in conference play, 4-9 for LaSalle. So a little better. I get maybe a few points for home court. GM was last year by 20 at home and have won 3 of the last 4 years they have played. Mason on a 4-0 ATS run through A10 play. LaSalle 1-4 ATS last 5 at home and 6-20 ATS last 26 in A10 play. Have to play the big dog here. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON

Taking QUINNIPIAC today. Easy for me to grab the points. We are at 7-8 in conference play. Stags at 6-9. Quinny on a nice 6-2 ATS run in conference play. Fairfield limping at 4-9 ATS last 13 in MAAC action. Let us look at the margin of victory in previous games. 5 last month, 2017 2 (OT) 2 - 2016 4 (OT) 5 - 2015 1  4(OT).. These guys play tough, close games. While will it be different this afternoon? Road team on a 5-0 ATS run. Underdog on a 5-2 ATS run. Quinny 4-1 ATS last 5 trips into Fairfield. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC 

Taking VMI. Keydets sitting at 2-10 in conference play with one of those wins, 88-81 over The Citadel. Bulldogs at 4-10 in conference play. With January's win, VMI has won 2 straight and 3 of 4. The 2 Citadel wins over the last 5 meetings were by 5 and 4 points. VMI 6-0-1 ATS last 7 in the series and 3-1-1 ATS last 5 while visiting The Citadel. Have to grab the points. 4* Money Maker VMI 

Taking ILL-CHI. Just like these guys. You see me take conference dogs o' plenty. But in this spot, off a bad home loss, I expect a full focused group. No overlooking a 'win' on the schedule. Short number, we can handle this. 7-1 ATS run in Horizon play for Ill-Chi. Flames also 6-2-1 ATS last 9 here in GB and 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series. 11pt home win already under our belts this year. Most of the 2nd half the lead was closer to 20 than 10. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS CHICAGO 

Taking IUPUI. Ok. Ok I get it. 1-14 on the road. Scary to take. 1-6 ATS run in league play. Understandable. But. We are 5-9 in Horizon play, Milwaukee 7-8. So not much difference. They rallied at home for 1pt (2pt dogs) after being down by 4 at the half. That was on top of Milwaukee hit over 50% of their shots. So, getting big points. I think we hang and can grab a back door cover in a worse case scenario 4* Money Maker IUPUI 

Taking CLEVELAND STATE. I think the fade train is in full effect with Oakland. They are clearly not the same team. Now they have injuries that won't help their depth. They are basically a 2 man team. They lost Wednesday night. Now another conference road game, short rest to boot. They were 15.5 point dogs on the road last month (81-68) in a loss. Oakland 4-9 ATS last 13 on the road and 0-5 ATS last 5 in Horizon play. Cleveland St 4-1 ATS last 5 vs Horizon foes and have gone 3-0-1 ATS last 4 in the series. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND STATE 

Taking CAMPBELL tonight. A pair of 8-6 conference records in the Big South for both teams. Camels won by 3 a couple weeks ago. They have won 4 straight in the series and covered the only 2 lined games. Once as a 2pt fave, the other outright win as a 3.5pt dog. The one lined game for Radford in conference play they failed to cover at home an 8pt fave. 4* Money Maker CAMPBELL 

Taking MOREHEAD STATE. Hate taking a 2-10 team in conference play that has lost 6 straight. But that is what we will do tonight. Morehead lost by 3 at home just 2 weeks ago. They have losses of 12 and 1 pt in of the last 4 games before this year. The other 2 games they won by 2 and 5. Morehead on a 7-1 ATS road run and 7-3 ATS overall last 10. I'll take the stab with the big points. 4* Money Maker MOREHEAD STATE 

Taking TENN TECH. I do like Peay. We have backed them a couple times this season. But this might be a bit too many points so I will grab that extra value. One, not much separating these 2 teams, 8-6 for TT 10-4 Peay in Ohio Valley play. Tech won at home in January by 12. And last year in their only meeting won by 9. They are 11-2 ATS last 13 in the series and 5-1 ATS while visiting the Peay. 4* Money Maker TENN TECH 

Taking TULSA. What am I missing here? Is Connecticut good? Tulsa won in OT back in early January. If we go back the 4 games before that, we see splits and Tulsa losses by 2 and 4 points. The Huskies have been in a downward spiral for years. I think their coach is done, but that is for another day. As I have said all month in my write ups. Conference play. Tulsa 7-5, UConn 5-7. Tulsa the better team. Connecticut with the name. Huskies 7-19 ATS last 26 at home shows you how Uconn has fallen. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Grabbing MARIST as big dogs here. So, Marist won in OT 95-86 just about a month ago. Now we are getting double the points. I'm in. Not saying the Red Foxes are a great team. 3-11 in conference play, 1-5 on the road. That doesn't tell the whole story. Marist with 4-3-3-1 (OT) losses on the road. They did lose to Monmouth by 13, but that was a neutral court. So we know that the Red Foxes battle and aren't a walk-over. Fairfield 5-9 in MAAC play. Nothing great. Double digits is a tough cover for any team. 4-9 ATS last 13 in MAAC play. Marist 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road. 4* Money Maker MARIST 

Taking XAVIER. What am I missing here? Is this the low hanging fruit game I am going to get crushed on? Forget the #4 ranking. You know the only time I look at that is when the unranked team is favored. But 23-3, 15-0 at home. Think line is a bit short, so the value on X.  A pair of conference road losses. At Providence, where we had the Friars as X had Nova on deck. So a little look ahead spot, and then the Nova loss where we laid the big points. Hall have dropped 3 straight, 2 of those on the road. X already with a 9pt road win over the Pirates. 4* Money Maker XAVIER 

Grabbing OMAHA here. I'll go with the Mavericks. And why wouldn't I? Nice little dog. Already scored and OT win over Denver this year. Won both games last year. Not a fan of their recent Summit league trends. But I think we have a little value tonight. 4* Money Maker OMAHA 

Taking LOYOLA CHICAGO. Uh. Will lay it with the Ramblers. You know part of me wants to take this ugly Valpo team and double digits. But man, Loy-Chi rolling. 15-5-1 ATS last 2. Just 1 home loss in conference play this year. Let's look at their home games this year in Horizon play. 7- L -16-14-23 -22-15. Valpo is winless on the road in conference play. 1-6-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Ramblers 10-1 ATS last 11 in Horizon play. Valpo lost by 16 at home already to these guys. 33-32 turned into 50-37 and 70-54 loss. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker LOYOLA CHICAGO 

Taking DRAKE. Already scored a road win over Indiana State in January. You know that in mid February, I am looking at conference play. 6-8 for Sycamores, 8-7 for Bulldogs. Not much difference there. Not much difference in their overall numbers. But 1-5 ATS in MVC play for Indiana State last 6. Drake 8-2-1 ATS last 11 at home. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Coming with a late play on EAST CAROLINA. So we are getting double digits from a team we lost to in OT, by a bucket a couple weeks ago. 3-9-6-6-8 in OT the last 5 times these two have faced each other. Tulane 4-8 in conference, ECU 3-9. Doggy on a 8-1 ATS run and road team 7-2 ATS over the last 9 in the series. 4* Money Maker EAST CAROLINA 

Taking GEORGE MASON. Both of these guys 5-7 in conference play. Dayton laying? Home dog. Sign me up. Flyers 1-7 on the road. Are they going to break through with a double digit win tonight after their last 2 road games were OT losses? They are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 in A10 play and 0-4 ATS last 4 on the road. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. Any normal minded individual will be on Clemson. And why wouldn't you. Getting buckets. They are 'ranked'. 9-3 in ACC play, FSU 6-7. Looks easy enough right? Well, not for me. I am grabbing the home favorites. FSU has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 in the series. Clemson on a 1-5 ATS road run. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA STATE