Taking DAYTON. I know this is a big number when we look at the fact that St Joe's has been on a 12-1 ATS run in this series. But even with that trend, how do you trust a team shooting 40% from the field vs a team shooting 50%. Joe's 1-6 on the road, 2-5 in conference. In off 8pt loss at Penn. Lost at STL by 11, lost at Duquesne by 1, lost at St Bonnie by 26. I've seen other power numbers that have this at 13. I have it at 11. It's a value play at a bare minimum. 4* Money Maker DAYTON 

Taking KANSAS. So doing a Sunday podcast with Tony T and I was ready to move on Texas. Just think Shaka is on the hot seat and this is the proverbial 'circle the wagon' need a win game with Kansas in off loss at Kentucky. I said I don't think Shaka is a could recruiter. His best years at VCU and Texas have been with out coaches players. Hanging tough and losing won't get them to the NCAAs. At this price, I have to back the Bill Self Jayhawks. Kansas 38-3 off a loss since 2013-14 season. Laying a point, I can not buck that number. 4* Money Maker KANSAS

Taking LIPSCOMB. Have the Bison rated as the fave in this spot and I am getting points instead. 4* Money Maker LIPSCOMB

Taking TENNESSEE. Just think Vols are better team. We see Tennessee 6-2 ATS last 8 and South Carolina 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. Vols 7-3 ATS last 10 games here. When your leading scoring is shooting 29% from 3 and 39% from the floor, points will be tough to come by. Vols just a tough team all around. Everyone with a chip on their shoulder. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE 

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. So after a big upset win over Buffalo, the Huskies promptly laid an egg in 67-65 loss to Akron. Now they get Ohio who comes in on a 2-8 ATS run their last 10. NIU on a 8-3 ATS run their last 11, 7-1 ATS last 8 at home, and 7-2 ATS last 9 vs MAC foes. Ohio comes in off 2 home wins. Prior to that, we saw 13pt loss at Toledo, 14pt to Kent and 19pt loss at Bowling Green. Think this shapes up to a double digit win by home team. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking BAYLOR. Like the way these guys have playing. Crashing the offense glass and hitting 3s. Raise your hand if you had these guys at 4-2 in Big 12 play ending January? A new guy seems to step up every game. That is how you win with balanced offensive efficiency. Just too many points to give a hot team with a balanced attack. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking OREGON. Let's look at this 1-5 run by Washington State. Losses by 13,12,18,32 and 18. Lone win at home over Cal. 0-4 on the road. 4* Money Maker OREGON

4* Money Maker LIBERTY

Taking QUINNIPIAC. St Peter's 1-9 on the road. Every common conference foe they have faced so far, Q has taken care of business. Peter's, not so much. Quinny with big revenge motivation as St Pete has won 4 straight in the series. Double digit win for the home team today. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Will say it again after we cashed them their previous game. This is a Final Four team. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE

4* Money Maker NORTHERN IOWA

4* Money Maker LSU

4* Money Maker BRADLEY

4* Money Maker OLD DOMINION

Taking the JAZZ. Back to back out of LA for Minny who is also playing their 3rd straight road game. 4* Money Maker UTAH JAZZ

Taking MICHIGAN here. Off a pair of tough shooting games including their 1st loss, we look for the Wolverines to get it done big tonight. Losing by 10 at Wiscy, then nearly losing to Minny pulling out a 59-57 nail-biter. Michigan has owned this series and Indiana. Wins by 11-14-12-30 their last 4 meetings. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN 

Taking PORTLAND STATE. Both these guys are brutal. Both under 40% from the field! You know I run from road teams that can't shoot 40. Well Eastern is on a 1-11 ATS road run. 0-9 SU this year. They are 3-15 ATS last 18. Vikings not much better, but are averaging 10ppg more than EW. Home team 5-1 ATS run. Favorite 15-5 ATS run. Port St. 8-1 ATS last 9 here at home over the Eagles. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND STATE 

Taking UCSB. A bit of square play for sure. 14-3 team in a pk or getting 1 from a 6-12 team. Santa  Barbara on a 15-5 ATS road run. They are 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series, 7 SU wins in last 10 games. Titans on a 3-9 ATS run their last 12 and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. 4* Money Maker UC SANTA BARBARA 

Taking AUSTIN PEAY. 8-2 ATS run for the Govs. Tenn State with their 3rd straight road game. Peay happy to be home after their own 4 game road trip, 3-1 SU 2-2 ATS all as faves. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY 

Taking MURRAY STATE. Yeah, Belmont is  a good team. A Ken Pom top 100 team. But Murray isn't too shabby themselves. A top 50 team. I think they are begging us to take the dogs here when we look at this at first glance. These are your Ohio Valley top dogs for sure. Murray on a 15-5 ATS run overall and 8-2 ATS vs OVC. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE 

Taking SE MISSOURI STATE. Edwardsville comes in losers of 5 straight, SE Missouri, 4 straight and 9 of 10. Desperate home team who I have 6 points better.  4* Money Maker SE MISSOURI STATE 

Taking RICE. This is a bad Mid Tenn team. Have them past 300. Not that Rice is a powerhouse. Blue Raiders win-less on the road. Barely hitting 40% of their shots. MTSU has owned this series with 4 SU wins the last 5 meetings. And some beat-downs. 19-14-24 (3). Rice home after 3 straight on the road. 4* Money Maker RICE 

Taking HOFSTRA. 8-1 ATS road run. 10-3 ATS last 13 vs Madison. 4* Money Maker HOFSTRA 

Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. I will continue to run away from a team that shoots less than 40% from the field and 27% from 3. And scores less than 70ppg vs a team scoring over 80. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. We here about Duke, Gonzaga, Kansas, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee. Get yourself a future ticket on this Final Four team. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking CHARLESTON. 3-4 in conference. Have not looked good dropping 2 straight on the road and 4 of 5 overall. Yet. We are laying 2 Touchdowns. Elon snapped a 4 game slide and in off road win. But they had lost 6 of 7 before that. Let down spot for them, desperation for home team. 4* Money Maker CHARLESTON 

Taking NORTHEASTERN. Think they win by 20 tonight. Only conference losses. The look-ahead to playing at Hofstra. And that was an OT loss. And a 3pt loss at Hofstra. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN 

Taking IUPUI. It has been a rough stretch, but I am sticking to my numbers. Nothing to write. We are going to stay the course on our games. Not press up bets. Stick with 4* selections. Ride it out. 4* Money Maker IUPUI 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. Grabbing the home dog. Just seems this line is a bit short. I think Loy Chi is a bit down from last year. But, still 5-1 so far in conference play while the Bears are 2-4. Facing a Final Four team though at home, I think we get a huge effort. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI STATE

Taking MARQUETTE. Think we actually have some line value here. DePaul in off big road win over Seton  Hall dropping 97. That's good for us. They will be happy with a split when the wheels start falling off the bus in tonight's game. Giving up 93 to the Hall has to have this Marquette team very happy. At home, they are stingy. Allowing 68.66 and 52 to Big East opponents. Think this turns into a 15pt win for the home team. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE

Taking FAU. I know this is still in Florida, and not really a 'road' game. But, this is still 3 straight away for FIU. Lost by 1 at WKU. Tried to keep pace with Marshall and lost 105-97. Now face the Owls, who also just lost to WKU by 6, and Marshall by 12. Not fooled my the FIU scoring average. 4 games of 100 vs fake schools. In conference play, just 2 eclipsing 80, going 1-1. A team shooting 65% from the charity stripe and 29% from 3, on the road. I have to play the home team who I have rated at a minimum, 3-5 points better. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking NAVY. Lehigh in off tough 85-83 loss to top dogs Bucknell. Now they face a tough Navy team. Navy won both games last year. So yeah, a revenge angle for the visitors. But I will grab the points. 4* Money Maker NAVY 

Taking FORDHAM. So, I have this line nearly doubled. Small play on the home team. 4* Money Maker FORDHAM RAMS 

Taking FRESNO. Yes, the underdog is on a 7-2 ATS run in this series. But that has been the Bulldogs. How about Fresno 8-2 ATS last 10 in the series. Aztecs had a nice time winning games in the MWC. But this is a different team. Losing at home to Brown by 21.  24 at Boise. 14 at Air Force. Those are 2 road beat-downs. How about their HC just came from the Aztecs as an assistant the last 5 years. Ya think he might the ins and outs of any guys playing tonight? How about the Fresno Assistant HC. 11 years as a player and coach for the Aztecs. Nah, they aren't looking to stick to their old club tonight. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking the SUNS. Minny pulled out a 116-114 win at home on Sunday. Revenge time and we are getting a couple buckets. Phoenix beat these guys by 8 back in December as 7.5 dogs. I see more of the same tonight. 4* Money Maker PHOENIX SUNS

Laying the big number with FLORIDA. Texas A&M showing some real problems. I mean. 43 points at home vs Missouri? I get losing at home by 20 to Auburn. But shooting 26% on your own court? This team has problems. They have lost to Cal Irvine and Texas Southern. And I like Irvine.  But you can't invite them to your home court and lose. Gators at 10-7 but they are losing to legit schools. I think Florida wins this by 15. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking KENNESAW STATE. Now. I do like Lipscomb. I think these guys should in the NCAAs. They are rated that high. But man. Nearly 30 points. 20, even 25 I might get behind. I just think this is too many points. I'm banking on Kennesaw getting 55 points. We get that or more, we should be good. 4* Money Maker KENNESAW STATE

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Not being fooled by Terps big win at Ohio State. Yes, nice win. But back to back spot. Tough having close with Sparty. 14-3 ATS run for Michigan State. MSU is a Final Four team in my book, and a double digit favorite. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE

Taking the NETS. Just like this bunch. Have been playing very good lately. Big win over the Celtics. Then a huge OT win at Houston. They could have easily mailed that one in. But no quit in these guys. Franchise looks like it is turning itself around. Another road game for the Kings, we will fade them with the short home faves. 4* Money Maker BROOKLYN NETS

Taking ORAL ROBERTS. Denver might be a small fave since they are home, but not this many points. I think we are getting about 4 extra points in this spot. Dog and road team on a 6-1-1 ATS run in the series. Last year Denver won by 2 in OT and by 1 here as 5pt faves. 4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS 

Taking DRAKE. First, a tough Saturday of College Hoops. Sometimes it happens. Can't win every game or every day. Back to the grind today. - So I like Drake in this spot. I know they are without their guard Norton. 2-2 in MVC play without him. They are 7-1 at home this season. Home team 17-7 ATS last 24 in the series. Drake 23-8-1 ATS last 32 at home. Drake 12-3-1 ATS last 16 overall. Missouri State 11-23 ATS last 34 and 3-8 ATS last 11 on the road. They are 1-4 ATS last 5 vs Drake and 0-5 ATS last 5 here. I think this line should be double. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Taking MARQUETTE. 2 OT games the last 5. Last 6 games decided by 2-5-4-1-5-1. So, some tough battles. But we see the Friars just 4-14 ATS last 18 in this series. I see 1-3 and 4-1 conference play records. Tells me 1 team is for real. I think this line is off by about 3 points when all is said and done. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE

Taking MURRAY STATE. Still looks like these guys are the class of the OVC. 5-0 and looking to roll SIUE who gives up 80ppg. To score on a team that gives up 65ppg when you shoot 40% from the field. Murray 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road and 8-1 ATS L9 vs OVC. Races with edges across the board. Home the 24th vs Belmont,- though I don't think it is a look ahead with the time off and Murray being home. I have this number at 17. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE 

Taking WOFFORD. Adding some late CBB today. Going against some of these moves. I have these final teams rated a minimum 2-3pts better than these number. I know Furman is tough. 24pt winners last game they played. But , 1-7 ATS last 8 here. Wofford 10-3 ATS last 13 vs SoCon foes. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD

Taking MOREHEAD. Not like either of these teams or lighting things up. Both not going anywhere. But Tenn Martin is flat out bad. Bad- Bad. 0-9 on the road bad. 0-5 in conference play. Morehead beat them by 17 here last season. In off a 24 road loss, Tenn Martin does have a pair of OT road losses under the belt, losing both by 5. Morehead far from a great shooting team. Just think that in their 2nd straight back to back, the home team will pull away from UTM. 4* Money Maker MOREHEAD STATE 

Taking VCU. And another. Have this one at 12, and I can get it at 8.5. 4* Money Maker VCU 

Taking MONTANA STATE. Will grab these guys getting a couple buckets. Value play for me here. I know that sometimes when seeing a 4 win team laying to a 7 win team I would look at that team. But the numbers show me Eastern Washington is what they are. A 4 win team that that shoots 39% from the field. Better shooting from the visitors, and we are catching a couple buckets. 4* Money Maker MONTANA STATE 

Taking TEXAS STATE. Grabbing the Bobcats. These guys playing very good out of the gate in Sun Belt action. Better shooting team gets it done this afternoon. Red Wolves 2-7 ATS run on the road, while Texas State 5-2 ATS last 7 at home. 4* TEXAS STATE BOBCATS

Taking WILLIAM & MARY. Tribe really control these guys with a 7-2 ATS run and 5-1 ATS here at home. How about a 8-22 ATS road run for Elon? 1-5 in CAA play with a 12 and 14pt road losses already under their belts. Scoring 64 a game on the road isn't a recipe for success, especially when facing a team that puts up 80 on their home court. 4* Money Maker WILLIAM & MARY

Taking COASTAL CAROLINA. Appy in with 5 straight losses and 7 in their last 9. Neither team Sun Belt royalty. That being said, will take the home faves to get it done. Have them rated a couple points better than this line. 4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA 

Taking DETROIT. Both teams surprising me in conference play so far. But I am taking Detroit in a triple revenge spot. Oakland is the better shooting team. But when I see this number, not like Detroit has some overwhelming home court edge. I think they are trying to get us to grab that ole 'low hanging fruit' for something that looks easy. Detroit looking strong at home so far vs Horizon foes. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker DETROIT 

Taking INDIANA STATE. A little home dog action in the Valley. Last time these two played - 79-44 Loy Chi. Ramblers in off of crushing Valpo and I think we have a bit of an inflated line. Huge revenging dog angle, plus a let-down off monster win. Sycamores the call. 4* Money Maker INDIANA STATE 

Taking QUINNIPIAC. Niagara with 3 straight wins over the home team. Time for payback. Looking at their conference play and who they have played already this year, I think this line is short at least a bucket. 1-4 for Niagara with 3 double digit road losses already on the ledger. Add another to the list. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC 

Taking KANSAS. I have this number at nearly 7. Kansas might be down a bit, but West Va is 0-5 in conference and looks lost. 4* Money Maker KANSAS 

Taking FAIRFIELD. Nice line here as I have this one nearly double. We get the Stags home after a pair of road losses - We now they will be extra motivated. Canisius a poor shooting team barely hitting 41% of their shots, including 30% from 3. We are at 45 from the field and 37 from deep. Small home faves early in this spot. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD 

Taking HAWAII here. I am just not a fan of this CSN team. I know Hawaii on the mainland is normally not a big recipe for success. But, the Warriors have won here the last 2 years. We'll grab who I have as the better team in this spot. 4* Money Maker HAWAII 

Taking RADFORD. 4* Money Maker 

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH tonight. Portland State has won the last 10 in this series. But, there are always buts, sometimes big ones - Not trusting this team in this spot. I can never back a team that shoots less than 40% from the field on the road. This group, shoots 37%. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH 

Taking AUSTIN PEAY. I have Peay as a 20+ win team, while SIUE won't crack double digits. Govs play defense and have one of the better OVC offenses. Let's just say the Cougars of SIUE are not as good as the visitors. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY

Taking MURRAY STATE. Have these guys as one of the Top 50 schools in the country. They will have a tough game or 2 with OVC Jax State, Belmont and Peay. But the Racers are good. I do have to say I don't like this is their 3rd straight road game. But 18 and 21pt wins show me they handle the road just fine. They did lose by 5 at Auburn and 6 at Alabama. The 2 other road games in between - 18 and 22 point wins. Lay it- 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE 

Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. Do not be swayed by FIU putting up over 80ppg. There is a lot of fluff in their early schedule. Dropping 100+ on teams like Florida Memorial, Ave Maria, Webber (Not that Weber) and Johnson and Wales is not a testament to being an offensive powerhouse. CUSA play will separate the men from the boys. WKU will be fighting for a top spot in conference, while FIU will be floundering with a sub .500 record. WKU has knocked off Wisconsin, St Mary's, Arkansas and West Virginia. They are battle tested. 4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY 

Taking TEXAS STATE. These guys and Georgia State should be 1-2 in the Sun Belt. At best Little Rock is a .500 team in conference play and possibly, 18-20 losses on the year. Going to find out just how good this defense is. 61ppg looks pretty stingy. ALR comes in off 91 points and is shooting nearly 50% from the field. The number tells me that the defense comes to play. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE 

Taking SAN ANTONIO. This is not the old Mid Ten State teams. This team is a whole new bag. It is evident by their 2-13 ATS number. UTSA, 10-3 ATS. Back to the Blue Raiders. New coach in town. Have this time outside of the Top 300 schools in the country. We will lay the small number with the as of now leaders of CUSA. 4* Money Maker UTSA ROADRUNNERS

Taking the PACERS. 4* Money Maker 

Taking HOFSTRA. Wilmington gives up way to many points. I know double digits is tough with a back-door, but Pride scoring over 80 a game. I can't see NCW keeping within 15- especially here on the road. NC Wilmington won both games last year, but we get our revenge tonight. 4* Money Maker HOFSTRA 

Taking EASTERN KENTUCKY. Not that EKU is some huge power out of the Ohio Valley, they will be a sub .500 club. But Tenn Martin could be the worse team in conference play. Skyhawks 0-8 on the road and give up nearly 82ppg. EKY likes to push the pace- They will give up points, but I don't think Tenn Martin has enough guns to pull it out. 4* Money Maker EASTERN KENTUCKY 

Taking PORTLAND. Will lay the big number tonight. Look. Cavs left it all in LA. They had dropped 12 straight. You know they wanted to beat the Lakers. Forget that LeBron wasn't playing. That team is everything Cleveland ins't. Which is... - LeBron's team. That was the game they were going to let it all hang out. They had given up 140 in back to back games! Look for a return to the norm, and that is Cleveland getting drilled on the road. 4 wins. Trailblazers looking to get back on track after dropping 2 straight on the road at Denver and Sacramento. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 

Taking TEXAS TECH. Like this bunch. The defense is great. They did cost me against K-State when they stopped scoring. I don't think that happens in this spot. Iowa State on a 2 game slide after beating Kansas. And 2 close, crushing losses. 73-70 and 59-58. I think the Red Raiders are the real deal. And they need to take care of teams like this if they are a serious contender. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH 

Taking EVANSVILLE.  So- I try to put up games the night before, or early in the morning. And everything I had circled moved. Except this one. This moved in the other direction.  But Presbyterian went from Pk to -3, Auburn 4 to 6, Liberty 15 to 17, New Orleans 1-3, Winthrop 10-12. And here we have Evansville from +2.5 up to 5.5. Frustrating to say the least. 4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE

Taking LIPSCOMB. A rare game that did not move on me. If you didn't read my Evansville write up, you can see my frustration with this college hoops season. 4* Money Maker LIPSCOMB

Taking DAVIDSON. This is a tough little squad. I have them in the mid-major Top 10. They are good. These are just 2 teams going in opposite directions. Davidson winners of 3 straight. 2 of those, George Mason 5 on the road, and Duquesne 4pt wins. But for Joe's, A 25pt home loss to Mason, and 1pt road loss to Dukes. Also, a 14pt home loss to GW. A 26pt loss at the Bonnies. Then that 1pt Dukes road loss where they played with a little prided after getting ripped. This isn't a huge number and Wildcats with ample time off before Saturday's game vs Richmond. Not really a look ahead spot. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON 

Taking BUFFALO. Big number, yes. But they have really been taking care of business their last few games. 18pt road win over the Bonnies, 12 at Syracuse, 15 at Canisius, 16 at EMU - 30 and 24 point home wins. Clearly on a mission this season - 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking TOLEDO. My models show this from 12-24 win for the Rockets. I'll grab them with the value. I have Toledo as one of the better MAC teams and they should be able to score a double digit win tonight. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO 

Taking the JAZZ. Utah has been methodical lately. Winning by an average of 13ppg. 7-3 their last 10. Wins by 8-18-13- 5(road)- 25(road) -32-21 -- Pistons had lost 4 straight before beating the Clippers 109-104. I'm looking for the Jazz to wrap up a nice 4-0 home-stand by winning this by double digits. 4* Money Maker UTAH JAZZ

Taking TEXAS. I'm not high on Kansas. You should know this over the last couple games. The loss of their C will take it's toll. Texas with some size inside to exploit that loss. Horns on a 4-0 ATS run in Kansas and road teams on a 8-0 ATS streak. 4* Money Maker TEXAS 

Taking PITT. Will sprinkle some ML in on the home dogs also. Tough spot for Florida State. Let's look at this stretch of games. Virginia - rival Miami - Duke. And oh what a heart-breaker vs Duke. Now, a little bit of a let down, step-down vs the Panthers. Don't see Pitt short though. Tough loss at NC State on the road. But they did beat Louisville in OT on this court. Again, just a tough scheduling spot and the way the chips fell in that Duke game. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking NEBRASKA. No ML up or I would be taking that. 2.5 will be fine though. Look. I say this all the time. If a team can't lay a 3 for home court, they aren't the better team. Then we add in a team that shows up in some Top 25 'rankings' and they aren't laying 3 - well, we are on the visitor like white on rice. Nebraska 11-4 ATS last 15 on the road. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA

Taking JACKSONVILLE STATE. Think there is still some value on these guys. Have this at almost 17 points. SIUE in off 2 straight road OT losses. Cougars won on their home court last year. I think payback is in order with a 20pt win on tap. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS 

Taking GARDNER-WEBB. Not going to back Upstate at really any number on the road. Just a poor shooting team. I like the back-court, and they should be able to get us the win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GARDNER WEBB

Taking TEXAS TECH. Uh. Will grab the low hanging fruit. You know I hate games like this and usually am grabbing the home dog in this spot. I am just high on Texas Tech. Defense travels. And in a what amounts to nearly a Pk, I will take the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH 

Taking LIBERTY. Everybody but 1 player from a 22-15 CIT semi-final team last year. First year for them in the A-Sun coming over from the Big South. Jax lost an all conference defensive POY and another all conference 2nd teamer. Even with those guys, this was a bad overall team. Defense for Liberty the key. They are on a 10-4 ATS run and 8-2 ATS run at home. 4* Money Maker LIBERTY 

Taking RUTGERS. Think this line is a bit inflated. We have Rutgers off a big win over Ohio State. Now hitting the road to face Minny off a loss. 6-7 points maybe. 10+. I will grab the big dogs. Rutgers won here last year after Minny won at the RAC. Scarlet Knights haven't been pushovers on the road 3pt win at Miami. 5pt loss at Wiscy. 8pt loss at Fordham (tough sandwich) 6pt loss at Seton Hall. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS 

Taking KENT STATE. Well. EMU is in off a huge OT road win listed as 11pt dogs. I know that since I had the other team. I still don't think EMU is a good team. When I see 12-3 teams getting points from 7-8 teams, normally I take the sub .500 or leave it off the ticket. But the EMU offensive numbers are just that - Offensive. Barley 40% FG. 28% 3pt 60% FT. 62ppg. Don't be fooled by EMU 8-1 ATS run in MAC play. That was last year, and they were dogs in some of those. Currently on a 1-7 ATS run. Kent 8-3 ATS last 11 here. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE

Taking IONA. So. We look at these teams and see Niagara 0-2 in conference play, both losses on road and 7-8 overall. Iona comes in 2-0 after going 2-9 out of conference. Last year Niagara win 85-84 at Iona and Iona win here 98-93 in OT. Just have the Gaels rated a bit higher. 4* Money Maker IONA 

Taking IRVINE. So Cal-Davis has won 3 straight over Irvine, yet, are catching double digits. Maybe it has to do with their 0-7 road mark. Or their 39% FG shooting. Their 29% 3pt shooting ability? Maybe it's cause they average less than 60ppg. Don't be fooled by Davis winning the regular season title. This team is a bit different. You can tell by their 4-10 record. I know you are thinking Big West teams just go and get payday from Power 5 schools. Not really. They play other mid-major type programs. And Davis was getting beat often. 3 of their wins - Holy Names, William Jessup, Texas A&M CC (not the real A&M). Irvine and some of their 12 wins include away from W's at St Mary's and the real Texas A&M. We will lay it with the home team. 4* Money Maker CAL IRVINE 

Taking OREGON. I know that UCLA got a little shot in the arm with their coaching change. I know Ducks banged up a bit. Both teams were preseason picks to be the top programs in the PAC 12. Underwhelming start for sure. My numbers show Oregon 5-7 points better. Better defensive at home. Visitors a poor FT shooting team. 4* Money Maker OREGON 

Going to lay the big number, on the road, with NORTHEASTERN. So I had these pegged as the top dogs of the Colonial. Back to back losses for NE. Not a good look. And each was a tough one. Loser in OT by a bucket to the Blue Hens. Then a tough 3pt loss at Hofstra. A game they gave away. I think they will be extremely focused today. They can't slip vs a weak Elon team. Need to get those 2 losses out of their heads. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN 

Taking FAIRFIELD - Peter's winless on the road. Lost by 9 here last season. We had Fairfield on Monday night. And will cash them again in this spot. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD 

Taking TCU. Hate to be going against Kansas. But this just does not seem like a vintage Bill Self team. TCU I believe will be right in this thing to the end. 4* Money Maker TCU

Taking NEW ORLEANS. Not sure why this is so high. Not much difference in these Southland teams. NO won by 10 last year. Won on the road by 2 in OT in 2017. Won by 2 at Lamar in 2016. Won by 5 the year before that. I might get some ML down if I can find it. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS 

Taking VANDERBILT. 4* Money Maker 

Taking XAVIER. X has really dominated the series, going 13-4 SU and more importantly 4-1 ATS last 5. 4* Money Maker XAVIER 

Taking UNLV. Prime let-down spot for New Mexico. Off a total beat down of Nevada. Crowd rushing the court. That's a big win. And playing here is no easy task for visitors either. But off that win, maybe a little value on the dog. Going back last 5 games we see wins by 1pt - 4pts - 3pts -5pts- 4pts. Pretty tight games. Oh, and we see 3 straight New Mexico wins and 4 of 5 for the Lobos. Doggy revenge. 4* Money Maker UNLV 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Like this team a lot. Forget about Purdue rolling a 'ranked' team as a 10pt faves. Sparty is a totally different animal. This is a complete Final Four team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking the PACERS. Will lay it here in Cleveland. You would think this could be a spot that the Pacers get ambushed. In off loss at Toronto. Celtics on deck. But, they lost to the Raptors. And to add insult to injury, they lost to the Cavs, at home, as 12pt faves, 92-91. They aren't go take them lightly. They are looking to revenge that game. And get the bad taste of their previous loss out of their mouths. Cavs have been absolute putrid. 35pt loss, 26pt loss, 25pt loss, 3pt loss (Hawks), 18pt loss, 12pt loss, 20pt loss, 16pt loss, 11pt loss. Do we sense a trend the last 9 games. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS 

Taking VILLANOVA. Not sure what St John's has left in the tank. Tough OT win on the road at Georgetown. Now on the road at Nova. And looking at them on the road, well the 14-1 record looks a bit padded. Playing at MSG and the Barclays isn't really traveling. I will give them credit for a big win at the RAC vs Rutgers. That's a fun court. But they lost at the Hall. This is a tough spot. Nova not like previous teams- but, still dangerous. Think the Cats pull away and this is a double digit win. 4* Money Maker VILLANOVA 

Taking TOLEDO. These guys just got rolled at home as 4pt faves over Ball State. Now, Ball State was probably picked a bit more to lead the MAC West over Toledo. So it is not a terrible loss. But I am expecting a better game vs the reigning champs. Buffalo a good team. Now the 'ranked' number next to their name. Just think this a big number. Bulls with a pair of 10pt wins over the Rockets last season. Think we keep it closer here. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Kicking myself for missing them over Kansas. That is what happens with 130 games. Sometimes a couple slip through the cracks. Won't happen again. No let down. You don't have let down when you are favored over a team and win. Cyclones can name their score. I know winning on the road is tough. And they will have the old bulls-eye on their backs after their win. Just think that Baylor won't be able to keep pace. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking BALL STATE. Now. Everyone knows Buffalo as the MAC darlings. But this is a sneaky good team. 4 top scorers back from last year. Every year getting better. They are the #1 team out of the West. EMU is a poor shooting team. When your top 2 scorers are 37 and 38% from the field and 36 and 27% from 3, you are going to have problems keeping pace with the Cardinals putting up nearly 85ppg. Last year, 58-41 EMU as Ball State shot 27%. Payback in big fashion. 8* Sure Shot BALL STATE 

Taking FAIRFIELD. A 3-11 team favored at home, where they are winless, over a 7 win club. Sign me up. Stags have won 7 straight in the series, so we have that going for us. Also, and more importantly, Niagara not a good shooting team. Under 40% on the year. 31% from 3. Fairfield has played the tougher schedule, that is why I mention the records, there is a method to the madness. 4* Money Maker FAIRFIELD