Taking RHODE ISLAND here. Boucher a big loss for Ducks. Oregon might feel a little pressure here with this Rams team. They have the defense to put the clamps on Brooks. 4* Money Maker RHODE ISLAND 

Taking WICHITA here. I see some payback for the Shockers here. These guys can't get a break from the committee. Undefeated, they came in and had to face the Wildcats in Round 2. Now this year, again. What a joke. Well the Shockers defense is the real deal. Kentucky has a young group of players. I can see them getting slopping. An outright win wouldn't be a surprise. But this is going to be a close one either way. 4* Money Maker WICHITA 

Taking the MAVERICKS here. Any other time I would probably have this has a huge GOW or GOM. Dallas was just absolutely destroyed by 44 in Philly Friday night, 116-74. That is a straight up beat down. Have to think these guys respond in big fashion tonight. Nets still the worse team record wise in the league. Their first pick will be the Celtics, but, hey, at least they tried to go for it a few years back. That being said. Mavs should be focused off that utterly embarrassing loss. 4* Money Maker DALLAS MAVERICKS 

Taking ARIZONA here. I am trying to figure out why this line isn't closer to double digits. Who did Mary's beat that makes you think they hang here? They lost at home to Texas Arlington by 14. (we did cash that NIT winner as dog out-right over BYU). Back to Mary's. Lost to Zaga by 10, when somehow the line was down to 4. Lost at the Zags by 23. And lost to them by 18 in the conference tournament. So. How could was that WCC this year? Do we give them credit for wins over Dayton and Nevada? Stanford? I know how good the PAC 12 is. Arizona, Oregon and UCLA are top seeds here. If we look at the Zags 7pt win over Arizona earlier this year, we see 'Cats leading scorer didn't see the floor at all. What I do know is that Mary's lost to every good team it has faced. While Arizona, even with a 5pt loss to UCLA and 27pt loss to Oregon, redeemed themselves. Beating UCLA 96-85 on the road before their home loss to them. And after that home loss, getting sweat revenge when it counted with a 9pt win over the Bruins in the PAC 12 tourney, and winning the crown by knocking off the Ducks by 3. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA WILDCATS 

Taking MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE here. Had these guys in Round 1. Will come back again. Faded Butler for a loss in Round 1, and will look for a different result here. Blue Raiders won a nice game going away with their best player being far from good. That shows the depth and experience of this club. Butler was the original mid-major giant slayer. But now they take are a legit Power 5 team that is no longer on the attack. They are the prey. As I said earlier. We lost by a hair with Winthrop against these guys. I am just not high on the Bulldogs. Will be going ML +170 also for some extra change. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATE 

Taking FLORIDA STATE here. I am not sold on Xavier. I did cash them in the Big East tournament +4 vs Creighton after they knocked off Butler and DePaul in the rounds before. But that was a desperate team that needed a win to get to the NCAAs. They had lost 6 straight before beating DePaul twice. Once to end their season, and then to open the Big East tourney. Look. They gutted out a pair of 2pt win over the Hall after their assist leader Sumner went down. But fact is, they won 3 games over DePaul and a desperation win over Butler that was tied with a minute to go. No way I trust them again a very good Seminoles team. Let's see Winthrop, Minnesota, Florida, Wake, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, Miami.. Just the NCAA teams they knocked off this year. Xavier lost to Baylor, Lost Butler twice. Lost to Nova twice. Lost to Creighton twice. - I mean, you can't even compare, especially with the injury last month. Give me the Noles big. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE 

Taking GONZAGA here. I get that Northwestern is a nice story. But this is where dreams come to die. Zaga overcame a terrible first half and put away SD State by 20 without breaking a sweat. Rest assured, there will be no adjustment period here. HC Few knows he needs to make some noise. These guys aren't a little Cinderella bunch anymore. They were a dominate team all year and have the 1 seed. Northwestern was given a gift foul that they delivered on. And, it probably should have been more seeing how Seton Hall had a flagrant called against them today that totally blew the spread and any chance of a win. These guys took care of Florida, Arizona and Iowa State all on neutral floors. I think those teams are better than Northwestern. Sorry ESPN Greeny, your boys are in for a rude awakening this afternoon. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking CINCINNATI here. I really want to up the rating on this game. But this line is a bit tricky for me. Bearcats are 29-5. 29 wins! I don't care what conference you play in, that is a good season. What I like a lot about this spot is pretty simple. K-State off a game with zero defense played. Then they travel and have limited prep time for a team that is physical and has a smothering defense. I would actually like this game more if Cincy was  5-6pt fave. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking WICHITA STATE here. What a complete joke? What the heck does the committee have against the Shockers? They screwed them in their undefeated year putting them in the Kentucky bracket and here as a 10 seed they get Kentucky again as a 2 seed. I do like Dayton. But the Shockers have been running roughshod over teams.. Try these margin of victories on for size - 20,15,26,19,26,29,19,17,18,41, .8. 15,42,26,17 - you get the picture yet. Forge the 8pt win. That is an anomaly. Minimum 15 points. So double what they are laying here. If you don't think they will be motivated to crush the Flyers you are sorely mistaken. 5* Best Bet WICHITA STATE 

Taking RHODE ISLAND here. Like grabbing a hot team coming in. Not a huge name. But these guys have won 8 straight and captured the A10 Tournament Crown. Always nice to come in peaking. Creighton to me at least, still looks lost at times since losing G Watson. 4* Money Maker RHODE ISLAND 

Taking SMU here. 16 straight wins for the 30 victory Mustangs. People talk about seeds, but man. How about the way that the AAC is looked at. Terrible seeds by SMU and Cincy. No respect. If Connecticut made the dance, they would be on a 5 line based on their name. So USC in off a huge comeback win. They might feel good about themselves. They beat SMU back in November 78-73. In fact SMU lost to Michigan, USC and Boise all away from home back in November. But even with those non-conference losses, Vegas still sees theses guys as a decent size favorite. Let's roll the dice on the fave here. 8* Sure Shot SMU MUSTANGS 

Taking SETON HALL here. Not getting fancy in my thinking here. Both teams lost in the conference championship games. No harm in that. But this really rests on the Hall defense getting the job done. And the fact that they are in their 2nd straight tournament. They went to Gonzaga last year. And that is a great growing experience. Arkansas is a 25 win program. Clearly not a push-over. Just think the experience factor is high here. 10* Money Bomb SETON HALL 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. How many people are going to be all over the Wolverines with this line. The Big 12 was better people. Cowboys are going to score here. They always do. At least 80 points in 13 of their last 16 games. I've seem Michigan fail to score 70 (8) more times since they scored 80 (6) in the last 2 months. Can't sleep on Oklahoma State today. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE

Taking NEVADA here. What team is going to play the disrespected card more than the Wolfpack? They weren't going to be invited unless they won the MWC. This is a 29 win team. They are pretty good. I get people normally see San Diego State out here. But this bunch has something to really prove here. I had Iowa State through the Big 12 and even at +475 to start the tournament there. Not a surprise as they have won this tournament a few times over the last couple years. Just think they might be counting their chickens before they hatch here. 10* Money Bomb NEVADA WOLFPACK

Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Almost put this out on the sites ML +200. VT had reeled off wins in 4 of 5 before Florida State beat them in the ACC tournament. I just can't trust Wiscy. Yeah, they some Final Four hold-over guys. But before their season finale win over Minny, and 2 tourney Ws, they had lost 5 of 6. So what team is showing up? The one that run out of the building Sunday? The one that beat Indiana, who we faded and cashed with Georgia Tech as a nice dog with? ACC was much better than the Big 10 this year. Va Tech went into Michigan and beat the Wolverines. And also beat Nebraska on the road. They beat Duke, Virginia, Miami. These guys play for Buzz. Wiscy was 21-3 in early February. I make it a habit of not backing teams on a slide. Especially come tourney time. And ones that are laying points to boot. Live dog here. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH 

Taking MID TENN STATE here. Are you kidding with this line? PK? 5 seed a pick with a 12. What is the committee doing? Another bad seed job. Blue Raiders beat Vandy by 23 and lost on the road to VCU by 3 to the only tourney teams they played. They knocked out Michigan State 91-80 last year in Round 1 when we cashed with them. Their top 3 guys are all back from that group. Final thought. Minny lost G Springs. The 2 deep bench is now 1 deep. Committee has Minny ranked 18 and Mid Tenn 48. And we are a PK. Not an upset in my book. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATE 

Taking EAST TENN STATE here. I know Florida is playing in Orlando. But I have to grab the big points here. ETST is a veteran group. A conference champion taking double digits? Gators in a bit of slide to me. 3 losses their last 4 games. ETST is 9-1 last 10. The proverbial David vs Goliath match-up, SoCon vs SEC. A lot of the times I take my dogs expecting outright wins. But when I venture into big dogs like this, I expect us to be in it to the end with a chance for the victory. 4* Money Maker EAST TENN STATE BUCCANEERS 

Taking WINTHROP here. Back in the day Butler was a regular tourney play-on for me. But those days are long gone as evidence of them laying double digits. I know they are a big, bad, Big East team now. But I must be missing something. They come in on a 5-5 while the Eagles of Winthrop are streaking, winners of 9 of 10. The one loss, 3pts in OT. I get it. The Big South. But the Big South is on a 4-1 ATS run in the tournament. This is veteran team. Cooks and Johnson were on 3 straight teams that went to the Big South Championship Game. They finally captured the crown. They are a legit pair of guys who can carry a team. Or at least, do enough to get us inside this number! 4* Money Maker WINTHROP 

Taking PRINCETON here. Have to grab the points with the Ivy here. Always bringing a competitive team to the dance. Last year, Yale as a 12 beat 5 Baylor and lost to 4 seed Duke by 7. In 2015, 13 seed Harvard lost to 4 seed North Carolina 67-65. 2014 saw Harvard as the 12 upend 5 seed Cincy before losing to 4 seed Michigan State 80-73. In 2013, 14 Harvard beat 3 seed New Mexico before losing to 6 seed Arizona. Notice a trend here. Ivy plays teams pretty tough out of the gate. If the Tigers can neutralize double-double machine Colson off the glass, they have a real shot at winning this thing outright. 4* Money Maker PRINCETON TIGERS

Taking UT ARLINGTON here. Also might sprinkle some ML +185 on this. Not sure of the status of Jalen Jones otherwise this could have been possibly a Top 10* Look. I had UT to win the Sun Belt. Make no mistake, this is a good team. As I have said before, road wins at Texas and St Mary's shows us these guys can play. Now they head to a tough BYU court. Most teams getting NIT bids feel snubbed from the NCAAs and fail to show up. Arlington is one of those teams that has to win their conference tournament to get a bid. So they will be especially ready tonight to take care of a 'bigger' named school. 5* Best Bet UT ARLINGTON

Taking FRESNO here. Maybe this is a sucker line. But how do you trust TCU laying double digits? Even with that upset of Kansas, they are on a 2-8 SU run. Bulldogs 6-1 SU last 7 after losing MWC Championship. Just think this is too many points for a mediocre at best team in the Horned Frogs. 4* Money Maker 

Taking HOUSTON here. Yeah, a little bit of a big number for us, but I think worth the shot. I think Cougars win this by 10 going away. Fact is, where is the motivation for Akron. I had them last year in the NIT. But that was against Ohio State. Huge motivation. Even after losing the MAC Championship. These guys had NCAA dreams, and for the 2nd straight year are in the NIT. And have to fly to Houston. After losing to rival Kent St. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON 

Taking GREENSBORO here. Forget about Boheim said about the ACC tourney playing in Greensboro. That is alright for talking heads and people selling those dumb shirts. But fact is coach was on ESPN radio this morning moaning over how they should be dancing. They beat Duke, Virginia, Florida State, Wake, Miami, all ACC dancers. Guess he forgot losing to BC by 15. Or St John's by 33. They have dropped 5 of their last 7. I had the Orange in that ACC opener. I thought they need at least 1 win to dance. So it isn't like I don't think they are good. But they don't have any motivation here. On the flip side, Greensboro happy to face an ACC team. Even if they are in NY, this is still a huge game for them. 9-1 their last 10. They did blow a lead to East Tenn State in their championship game. But as the saying goes. Tough to beat a good team 3 times right. Still, NCG is going to be really excited about this one. It isn't the NCAAs, but they get a huge program like Syracuse so their guys will be extra pumped tonight. 4* Money Maker NC GREENSBORO 

Grabbing UTAH VALLEY here. Love me some sub .500 teams in tournaments and bowls! What is there not to like here? The Wolverines won at BYU, Denver, New Mexico State. Nearly won at Utah losing by 7. Lost by 23 at Gonzaga. Like our depth here to offset the long trip. GaSo basically a 2 man show and we should be able to control the boards. 4* Money Maker UTAH VALLEY

Taking GEORGIA TECH here. So Indiana gives up the home court because they wouldn't have a crowd? Maybe they are just upset about this underachieving team they have. Look. Hoosiers are very talented, that is why they are favored on the road. But I have to question the motivation for them. Yellowjacks beat ND and Florida State here b2b and also knocked off North Carolina and NIT 2 seed Clemson at home. You know they are pumped just to be playing and they get a big name like Indiana on their court. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA TECH 

Taking COLORADO STATE here. These guys 9-2 SU last 11 with Nevada the only ones to knock them off. What a year from this group! Who would have thought they would be here after their January. These guys have been playing with 7 scholarship players. Can't under estimate the elevation either. Charleston not accustomed to it that's for sure. Rams were upset 2 years ago here as a NIT 1 Seed by South Dakota State. Can't see them failing after the run they had this year. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO STATE 

Taking NEW ORLEANS here. You really want to pull for a team who's second leading scorer is 5'5 and pumps in 14 a game. But I just think that Mary's is going to have trouble on the glass. They were a terrible rebounding team all year (-7 a game) and are the 5th worse team in the country at it. NO bring in Southland POY who, along with Travis Thibodeaux could really exploit the paint. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS PRIVATEERS 

Taking WISCONSIN here. Wolverines are red hot. No doubt about it. But I can't over-look the Badger defense. 49 to Minny to end the year when the Gophers were putting up 85ppg their last 4. 60 points to high-flying 80ppg Indiana. 48 to Northwestern on 34% shooting. 4 games in 4 days. tough one. These guys split each winning on their home courts this year. I'll grab the small fave in the rubber match. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN BADGERS 

Taking TROY here. Cashed these guys yesterday. Will grab them to punch their Big Dance Ticket. Look. I was dead wrong on Arlington yesterday. I really thought those guys were cruising in to a 12 seed and already had them in the 2nd round. As we know, games aren't played on paper. So we grab Troy as Texas State shot the moon yesterday. Upsetting the top seed. 52% from the floor. Hitting everything. But we have Troy the 6 seed as a small fave over the #4 and their big win. And. Texas State beat them 2/25 63-59. Looking at the numbers, I just think we are the better club. 4* Money Maker TROY TROJANS 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA here. Everyone knows Weber State. But the Fighting Hawks were the best team in the Big Sky beating them twice and taking care of the only other contender, Eastern Washington. Weber knocked these guys out of the tournament last year and now it is time we exact our revenge. Nearly rated this a 5*, but the last two days forces my hand and we have to pull back a little before we start to press again.  4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA 

Going IOWA STATE here. Had these guys on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video at +475 so why would I not take them now. ML +135 would have been what I put on the site, but slumping, so I just need some wins to get us back on the right path. Like I said the other 2 days taking this team. Veteran team. Have own this before. Focused. West Va pressure defense in b2b2b won't be as effective. They shot what 26% last night. Forced nary a TO. But they are a good time so they won. But they won't be able to pull that with these group. 10* Money Bomb IOWA STATE 

Taking VILLANOVA here. Have to lay this even though I don't like it. Creighton was up and down prior to 2 tournament wins. Nova is on a mission. Said on my Tournament Talk video these guys won it all last year, but missed out cutting down the Big East nets. Not this time around. They just look unbeatable which is why we are laying double digits. Normally a double digit championship dog would be a key release for me. But I think Nova can exploit the Jays being without as they did at the end of February. They gradually grind you down. And when they shots are falling like they have been, it makes it all that more difficult. 4* Money Maker VILLANOVA 

4* Money Maker HARVARD 

Taking TROY here. Fact is, I could probably rate this game higher, but I am not going to up wagers while we are in a 2 slide. These guys split the season each winning on the others home court. Ga St 78-72 end of January, Troy 80-77 2 weeks earlier. Troy on a 7-2 ATS run in the series which is a nice trend. But I just think they are looking good right now. 4* Money Maker TROY

First off--- Let me say I am sick over the way things have been going down the last 2 days. GW misses out by a point each day. Georgia. Maybe a push or win depending when you got it in. I took the L. West Va last night on 3 FTs with seconds left. A couple OT games. Just haven't gotten the bounces like we have had coming into Thursday. - Depending on the when the lines come up, will be on Iowa State. I will be attending my 5th funeral in 2 weeks tomorrow. So I won't be posting some of these games until after 2 or 3pm, if I get to post at all. I also have had 2 weddings, so it hasn't been all doom and gloom. - Ok. back to work. Taking TEXAS ARLINGTON here. Yesterday we had a similar game to this. MidTenSt over UTEP. Big line. The dog looks easy. Texas State won the first match-up. Well, that was when TA was right out of non-conference play. They played some real teams. Which is why I like them. They scheduled up, and it is paying off. This is a good team, and we will be following closely their seed in the NCAAs. 4* Money Maker TEXAS ARLINGTON 

Taking XAVIER here. Again, probably should be going ML +170 just on principle. Not betting on X to lose by 3. Obviously I think they win outright. Both teams lost key players. But Creighton seems to be still up and down, trying to find themselves. Xavier has now won 3 straight after knocking off Butler. Give me the live dogs here. 4* Money Maker XAVIER 

Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON again! Yes, we lost a terrible 10* on them last night. But they can't be any worse than that. They had 13 points at half-time and didn't cover by a bucket putting up 40 in the 2nd half. Richmond beat them already this year. But as I said, this team has some solid pieces. Said yesterday they won last years NIT. They won't back down from the Spiders. Underdog 12-4 ATS last 16 helps a little. 5* Best Bet GEORGE WASHINGTON  -- Be Sure to Check Back after 2pm for any Night Game Additions 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Time slot is a boon for Duke after that tough affair with UL. These guys split their games this year. NC put in a workman like game over Miami and just drubbed The U to death by 25. It was a nice way to start the day as we went 3-0 at noon. Duke had to battle back, and if it was for horrible FT shooting, UL would be in this game. Forget the gambling aspect. I can't understand how these kids today can chuck the ball from 30FT, but can't hit a FT with nary a soul guarding you. All I do is teach my kids basketball team FT shooting! They are FREE THROWS - ok, back to this game. These guys have played 2 high scoring games already. But it's tourney time. I expect a bit of a slow down. Especially with Duke off that kind of game. I think NC is the team to beat. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking IOWA STATE here. How am I not taking these guys? Cashed them yesterday. Said on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video that these guys +700 were our dark-horse play. And now they get TCU off a huge upset. Now, regular season and opening rounds of tournament, I will fade away on a line I think is short. TCU had dropped 7 straight coming into the Big 12 Tournament. Now they have 2 wins under their belt. You have 14-15 losses, I don't there is any way you should be in the NCAAs. Stop with this 6-7-8th team in these big conferences. Give me the Belmonts and Monmouths, mid-major madness. I think the bell tolls for Cinder-Fella tonight. Cyclones the better team. So the Horned Frogs won 2 straight. Iowa State won this thing in 2014 as a 4 seed and 2015 as a 2 seed. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking UL LAFAYETTE here. Should really be going +135 ML. But after some tough losses yesterday, I just need to get some wins here on the sites. We cashed these guys as a Top 10 last game, and are back for more. UL lost 85-82 back in early February. State roared out to a 52-37 half-time lead before we got to withing 10 with 7 to go. That being said, we have reeled off 7 in a row. The conference records aren't that different. I like our chances. This 7 seed is a live dog! 4* Money Maker UL LAFAYETTE 

Taking LOUISIANA TECH here. 3rd game in 3 days for the Herd and they get a tough team this afternoon. Marshall gets up and down the court but are off a hard fought 64-63 win. Bulldogs a little better and should pull away late for us. 4* Money Maker LA TECH 

Taking GEORGIA here. Kentucky swept the season winning 90-81 in OT and 82-77 at Georgia. But the Bulldogs had late leads in both. They know they can play with the 'Cats. Georgia 10-2 ATS last 10 as dogs. Have to take a desperate team trying to take down the conference top team. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking ARLINGTON here. Have my eyes on these guys. Beat Texas and St Mary's on the road. Played tough vs Gulf Coast, Arkansas. Had a 5pt lead at half-time over Minnesota. 4* Money Maker TEXAS ARLINGTON 

Taking PURDUE today. Michigan rolled these guys by 12 handing them their only loss since the end of January. Wolverines with a lot of emotion spent in yesterday win crushing Illinois. The plane crash thing is one thing. But they you had them super pumped about the Illini calling them soft and that Illinois is tough. You knew something extra special was coming from Michigan. Well I think that here. Boilermakers with something to prove again a team that their worse defeat of the year. 5* Best Bet PURDUE 

Taking  BUFFALO here. I got these guys to win the conference tourney, so you know I will be on them here. I guess you can go ML -135 if you want. But I think the Bulls are too talented and focused to let Kent linger. They both won on each others courts, Kent winning by 8 at the end of February and Buffalo by 13 in January. Bulls 9-1 ATS last 10 in this series. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BULLS 

- ALWAYS Check Back, Lines come up late with these conference tournaments ! -- Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON here. We had the Dukes as a free play last night and they collapsed down the stretch vs STL. But we can't forget the Billikens were a dog to the 14 seed. A terrible road record. GW won this year by 8 already. They won the NIT last year. They need a run to the championship to even think of getting into NCAAs. I also like their 2 big guys inside. 10* Money Bomb GEORGE WASHINGTON 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. This is all about the West Va pressure. And although I don't like it hold up all the way to the championship game. You can rest assured that Huggins will have these guys swarming in their first tournament game.  Shaka Smart might be in over his head here. I thought he would have this program going in the right direction by now. Texas rallied from 9 down in the second, so as a 10 seed, the 'Neers won't be looking past them. Especially after a 74-72 in Austin. 4* Money Maker 

Taking TULSA here. Tulane scored a 12pt win to end the regular season over Tulsa, so I expect revenge to served up tonight. At first you look and think, well this is a low line no? Tulane has 6 wins on the year, 5 of them.. South Florida (2), Southern Miss, Southern, Southeastern Louisiana are against teams that have SOUTH in their names. Weird. But Tulsa only has 1 players scoring double digits and isn't a high scoring club. Favorite on a 6-2-1 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Taking HOUSTON BAPTIST here. A little late with this pick and I apologize. Baptist won both meetings this year. At home by 11 in mid February, and the end of December by 14 on the road. 12-6 for Houston, 11-8 for Sam Houston in conference showing us not much of a difference. But what was a big difference was that Baptist hit their FTs in both games. And, double digit wins in both. And here, a small fave. I can't say I know much about the Southland Conference. But in a spot like this, I am going with the team with the better numbers across the board. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON BAPTIST 

Taking MONTANA here. Again, going to isolate a 5 seed being favored over a 4. These guys split the season with Montana winning by 13 on the road and Idaho needing OT after rallying being down by 8 at  half-time. 4* Money Maker MONTANA GRIZZLIES 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. Fresno won this tournament last year, so they are battle tested. These guys split their 2 games. But in the Fresno win, Tim Williams did not play. Well he is back. New Mexico has a great 1-2 punch, they get to the line, and hit their FTs. In what should be a tough battle, have to go with the better FT shooting team. 8* Sure Shot NEW MEXICO 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. I don't know. Call me crazy. But something tells me that Pitino will have these guys primed up this afternoon. I know they have already beat Duke at home this year. And you can say, oh revenge for Duke. But this Blue Devils bunch was up and down all year. UL brings the defense every night. This ins't a game in North Carolina. We are in Brooklyn. UL played Big East Tournaments up here. I think that these guys will be ready to roll. Last year, they had a self imposed tournament ban on themselves. They are hungry. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE 

Taking IOWA STATE here. Look. I do my little tournament talk videos for the conferences and I pick a dark horse. And the Cyclones are my Big 12 play. They are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 vs the Cowboys. Never hurts with a nice trend working in our favor. I am by no means knocking Oklahoma State. I had them as a Top 10* their last game at home as PK vs #1 Kansas. Should be a bunch of points for sure. Just think that we pull away late here for the win. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Didn't even think Miami would make it past the Orange. Why would I think they win today. Carolina is a good team. You know that. Defending ACC Champs. Deep and talented. Long and athletic. Also, with a little revenge on their minds. Hurricanes won the only meeting this year by 15 and were in control from the 10 minute mark on. The game was never close. I don't expect to see 35% shooting here from NC that's for sure. After losing to Nova last year, I really think these guys are a mission. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking DAVIDSON here. Now, we have had mixed results so far in conference tournaments taking the 'lower' seed favored. See Stanford yesterday for us losing in OT. LaSalle won the only meeting between these guys back in January. I will still be on the Wildcats. 4* Money Maker DAVIDSON 

Taking LEHIGH here. No ML or we would be on that here. Lehigh has beaten these guys twice already and I don't think that changes here. This just isn't a good matchup for the Bison. I liked the Mountain Hawks to win the conference back in November, and nothing had changed. Lehigh 15-2 ATS last 17 as road underdogs! 5* Best Bet LEHIGH MOUNTAIN HAWKS 

Taking ST JOHNS here. Now, not that I think the Johnnies are a good team by any stretch. They are the 8 seed and the Hoyas the 9 seed for a reason. But I think we have 2 teams squarely heading in opposite directions. Chris Mullin is leading a new charge for SJU. While it appears that Georgetown has quit on their coach. SJU will be extra motivated playing here in front of their home town. Both teams won on their home court with GT laying a near 30 point beat-down, while SJU won by 6. Still. Georgetown comes in losers of 5 straight and 7 of 8, and SJU not much better. That being said, I still like SJU to get it done. 4* Money Maker ST JOHNS 

Taking ULL here. Like these guys to make a little noise down in Katy, Texas and not just because my brother in law lives there! Laffy beat these guys twice this season. They won 69-52 on the road and 88-82 at home. Don't be fooled by that close score. Cajuns were up 20 at the half and 20 with under 4 minutes to go. I see ULL winning this one comfortably. 10* Money Bomb UL LAFAYETTE 

Taking STANFORD here. Pretty simple here people. Nothing has really changed for me when it comes to what I look for in March. So when I see a 9 seed favored over an 8 seed, you know I am interested. Added bonus of Arizona State sweeping both games this year. Sometimes we have to get ugly 4* Money Maker STANFORD 

Taking SYRACUSE here. So, I picked these guys as my dark-horse ACC tournament winner. There will be no way I won't be on them here at high noon. As I write this, there is no ML up otherwise this would be a ML play. I believe both teams need some wins to hear their named called on Sunday. Have to like the Orange playing in Barclays which isn't too far from their old Big East stomping grounds at MSG. 4* Money Maker SYRACUSE ORANGE 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE here. Cashed these guys as a free pick on my video last night and as a service play the day before. Will go back to the well tonight. Can't knock Omaha. They are on a 12-3-1 ATS run vs Summit teams. The offense is clicking. But the Jackrabbits can score. And what I liked most last night was they never quit and the defense. Daum is a best inside and out. He is the guy that can carry teams in these tournaments. These guys split shoot-outs this year. But I have to give the edge to SoDak and the defense. Rabbits 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 8* Sure Shot SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking MOUNT ST MARY'S here. Just the better team. Not much more to say. They sweep Francis this year. Francis a young bunch and not sure how they handle the pressure of a championship game on an enemy home-court. 4* Money Maker MT ST MARY'S

Taking CLEMSON here. How can you back NC State. Coach is gone and these guys didn't step up for him once since the announcement. They are 2-8 ATS last 10. Are we suppose to believe that today, in ACC Tournament Play, the State is going to turn things around? Forget it. I'll lay the small number with the Tigers. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON 

Taking SIENA here. These guys split during the year. Siena off upset of the #1 seed Monmouth. This is tournament action, so I can't see a let-down. Home cooking for the Saints. 4* Money maker SIENA 

Taking HOWARD here. Not even going to try and play it off like I know MEAC action. But I do know this. Howard is the 11 seed, Coppin the 6. Coppin beat the Bison by 9 last month. And yet, are dogs. 4* Money Maker HOWARD BISON 

Taking ALBANY here. Stony won both meetings this year. Heck, they beat Albany while the Danes were shooting 56% from the floor and rallied from being down 37-24 at home before winning 72-70. Then Stony went on the road and won 72-65. Yet, the #2 seed is still a dog to the #3 seed. 5* Best Bet ALBANY 

Taking GREENSBORO here. Have these guys at the start of the tournament at +600 as the 1 seed. Obviously, East Tenn State was the favorite regardless of tie-breakers. But NCG beat these guys on the road by 4. And finished up the regular season with a 72-66 win. The dog has covered 4 straight in the series so that's a plus for us. Might sprinkle some +190 ML on this also. 5* Best Bet NC GREENSBORO 

Taking ST PETERS here. These guys are the 2 seed. They lost both meetings to Iona this year, 69-66 OT on the road, and 79-59 at home. Taking away that home loss, their other losses in conference play were by 2,1 (OT), 2 and 2. This is a good, tough team. Also, when I see a team get swept and are now faves, well I have to think they are the better team. Peacocks get their revenge tonight. 4* Money Maker ST PETERS 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE here. A quasi home game but that is not why I am on the Jackrabbits here. Just look at Denver coming into this game Losers of 3 straight and 4 of 5. SDST has won 3 straight including the regular season finale 88-64 over Denver. Denver won 91-82 back in January. Both teams 8-8 in conference play and are similar statistically. Just can't back a slumping team, even with revenge coming into tournament play. We saw how we faded a slumping Chattanooga team paid off. And I expect the same tonight in Summit action. 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking GREENSBORO here. Now. At first glance, you would think I would be on Wofford here. And why not. We just cashed those doggies yesterday. I mean, the overall 1 seed in basically a PK here. But UNCG has little respect in the league as they, even as the #1 seed were +600 to win this thing when it started. Now I gladly got down on those odds. These guys split this year with both teams winning in blow-out fashion. And again. I had Oklahoma State at Pk over #1 ranked Kansas yesterday. So when I see a line like this, you know I am drawn to Wofford. But the overall body of work shows me UNCG should pull this out. 4* Money Maker UNC GREENSBORO 

Taking GREEN BAY here. Going to go with the Phoenix. And why not. I put them out in my on my Horizon League Tournament Preview Video at +550. As I said, they had beaten both Valpo and Oakland, the 2 top dogs in league play. Now both are eliminated and our GB team should stand out here. We have cashed a few times with Ill-Chi on the year. But the time has come to fade away and lock in Phoenix. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY 

Taking NORTH FLORIDA here. Payback baby. Last year Gulf Coast won this tourney and knocked regular season champs (No Fla) out in a 33pt beat-down in the semis. We had North Florida as a Top 10* +400 and +9 and they delivered. Will again be going ML +500 with the dogs who are looking for quadruple revenge this afternoon! 10* Money Bomb NORTH FLORIDA

---- Be Sure to check back after 12pm EST for ADDED Plays --- Taking LEHIGH here. Boston swept the 2 game season series winning in convincing fashion 76-59 as 7.5 pt dogs at Lehigh and by 14 at home holding the Mountain Hawks to 35% shooting. Courtesy of the sweep Boston is the 2 seed, Lehigh the 3. Lehigh did sweep 1 seed Bucknell this year by a combined 18 points, while Bucknell swept Boston by 31. So we know that Lehigh can play. And they have 2-Time Patriot League POY in Tim Kempton. 4* Money Maker LEHIGH 

Taking SIENA tonight. We took both games during the year and our playing a tournament game on our home court. Not much else to say. 4* Money Maker SIENA SAINTS

--- If you are on a weekly or seasonal package, you must check back for selections. Some lines don't come out late ----  Taking TOWSON here. Now. This is a tough one for me. A short line in a 3/6 battle. Conference wins not that much different 11 for Towson. 8 for Northeastern. Teams split on the year, each winning on own home courts. But Northeastern comes in a limping a bit. 2-6 their last 8 with a pair of 1pt wins. And one of those was in OT. I can only think that Northeastern will be getting some players back. As of now, they have a real short bench missing a couple scorers. I think they get 2nd leading scorer Alex Murphy back. But G Begley is still up in the air. Both Murphy and Begley played in the season splits combing for 26 and 28 in the 2 games. Towson had won 7 of 8 before dropping a pair on the road to close the season. But no shame losing at top seed Wilmington and then at William Mary who are 13-1 at home. 4* Money Maker TOWSON TIGERS 

Taking JACKSONVILLE STATE tonight. And why not. 4 seed just knocked off the 1 seed and is favored over the 2. They crushed Martin on the road 92-72 back at the end of December. This is what the Madness is all about. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE STATE 

Taking RIDER here. Will grab the points with the Broncs. These guys can score. They put up 103 in a win over Iona 2 weeks ago. They split the season series. Rider can score some points having scored 90+ 3 straight heading into the MAAC tourney. 4* Money Maker RIDER 

Taking CHARLESTON here. Just the better team by far. Cougars should feel right at home here. They have a pretty good defense that should cause Madison some fits. They also have been shooting the ball a lot better down the stretch. These guys might be cutting down the CAA nets if all goes right. 4* Money Maker CHARLESTON 

---Weekly + Monthly Followers... Be sure to check your mail as lines come up late ------- Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Have to go back to our Top 10* on West Virginia laying points to #1 Baylor last time I liked a ranked match up like this. Forget about West Va who was a Top 10 team at the time laying points. We have a totally 'unranked' team over the #1. Disclaimer. I did have Kansas the other night and they failed to cover double digits. Should have used my head a little better and fade the newly minted #1 in their first game. That being said. The Cowboys in their final home game vs the top dogs in the land? Should be a wild one for us. Kansas also knows it just needs to win the Big 12 Tourney, which they do in their sleep, to lock up a 1 seed in the NCAAs. Oklahoma State on a 10-2 ATS run last 12 and 5-2 ATS last 7 at home vs Kansas. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking SOUTHERN ILLINOIS here. Why wouldn't this be a close, ugly game? 50-46, 60-53 tell us this will be a defensive battle. Even though Illinois State went 18-1 in conference (Wichita), they are not really designed to be a blow-out winner most nights. In a close game, the crowd will be with the Salukis and the Red Birds might start to feel the pressure as a tight game progresses. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. I know that TCU is suppose to be a bubble team. But come on. They have dropped 6 straight. They will flip the switch on the road all of a sudden. Sooners in their final home game of the season. And you know when I see 10 wins laying to 17 wins it will peek my interest. TCU 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road and 1-7 ATS vs Big 12. Oklahoma on the other side of things on a perfect 5-0 ATS run. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA 

Taking WOFFORD here. Honestly, what a slide for the Mocs. I thought these guys would win this conference. And here they are, limping in as the #4 seed and with 4 straight losses. Chattanooga won both regular season game (11 and 8) but that seems like an eternity ago. Mocs 3-13 ATS as faves and 3-14 ATS last 17. Wofford 10-3 ATS run as dogs. 4* Money Maker WOFFORD 

Taking VIRGINIA here. Have to say, you know me. Not a big fan of laying double digits. But I think we have a couple good angles working in our favor. 1. We have senior day to close out the regular season. The fans will be pumped up. 2. Revenge. No way we look past a team that beat us by 12. (we cashed Pitt with that OT win). Virginia had a 4 game slide (2 OT losses) but have rebounded their last 2 taking care of NC and NCST. They held NC to just 43 points. That is the Tarheels lowest point total in 38 years. So, safe to say the defense will show up here. Pitt comes sliding in having dropped 3 straight and 4 of 5. Right now Pitt is a 14 seed for the ACC tournament. What are they playing for today? 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. A 7 seed as a small dog every time. Murray had a down year after being picked to win the west finishing 3rd. But here they come. They did drop 3 straight coming into tourney play. But found them favored in the opening round against the 6 seed. They then took care of business vs 3 seed Morehead last night and we cashed them as a best bet (had them as Best Bets in both games). So we again will be on board the Racers express. +135 is ok if you want to go ML. Both teams won their home games in the series this year. Jonathan Stark with 37 last night and 41 the night before, seems to putting the team on his shoulders. Tenn Martin is sitting, rested with a double bye. Fresh memory of beating Murray to end the regular season last week. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking CAMPBELL here. Will be honest, nearly went Radford. I mean. Do we really expect 56% shooting from the field again tonight? 53% from 3? Probably not. Now. Both teams in off upset wins. So they both know they are a game away from the championship. They are playing with house money. The Camels won both meetings this year. They grinded out a 3pt home win when both teams shot 38% just a week ago. And they won by 17 as a 3pt dog when they shot a blistering 57% from the floor and 52% from 3. Stop me if that sounds familiar. Have to take the team with a bit of a hotter hand here. 4* Money Maker CAMPBELL CAMELS 

Taking HARVARD here. Not sure what I am missing here. Yeah, Princeton undefeated in the Ivy. But Harvard is 10-2 with a 1pt loss vs Princeton and a 3pt loss at Columbia. These guys are clearly the class of the league. And they will probably face off next Sunday in the Ivy's first tournament championship. But I can't see Harvard saying, yeah. Let Princeton beat us again so we can go surprise them in the tournament. 4* Money Maker HARVARD 

Taking LOY-CHI here. So, like the Atlantic Sun Tournament, we will back the lower seed being favored over the seed above them. Again. That is basic play for me. Much like when we see the 'ranked' team on the road as a dog to some unranked team. But as I look at this years game between these 2, I see something in our favor. Southern Illinois shot 50% in their first win on the road, and 56% at home to close out the regular season. Which, even hitting 56% they won by a bucket. On the year these guys make 43% of their shots. I can't see this shooting continuing during the tournament. Loy-Chi again is the 5 seed, yet has much better odds than their 4 seed counterparts this afternoon. 4* Money Maker LOYOLA CHICAGO 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. Coming right back on the 7 seed. What a terrible night for us as both Murray and Tennessee State fail to cover in OT for us yesterday. But I go back to what I thought before the games started. Why are the 7 and 8 seed favored? Because they are the better clubs that's why. Now Morehead is the 3 seed but I don't see much difference between Murray's 9-8 conference play and the Eagles 10-6. Morehead did the game in early February 101-100 at home. Won't be shocked if Murray takes the +140 on the ML in this game. As we saw last night, Jonathan Stark can win a game by himself. Doesn't hurt that he also has a 2nd OVC 1st team selection in Terrell Miller to help pick up the slack. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking BRADLEY here. Braves won both meetings this year. And let's be honest. How can we back Drake? They are 1-11 on the road this year. Even getting a couple buckets doesn't justify a dog play in my eyes. They are a 1-7 ATS run while Bradley on the opposite going 7-0 ATS. Braves have covered 5 straight in the series. 4* Money Maker BRADLEY BRAVES 

Taking SACRAMENTO STATE here. Well, well, well. Look who is popping up on ugly dog night. Our beloved Hornets. And why not . 7-1 ATS last 8 on the road and as underdogs. They are also on a 6-1 ATS road underdog run. Now, North Dakota is still fighting to secure the 1 seed. So there is really no room to knock them. Their numbers of late are just as impressive as Sacramento's. But we did battle them to OT in our first meeting. No. Dak also has a revenge game vs Portland State on deck who throttled them by 37 the game before our OT affair. 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO STATE 

Taking UTEP here. Not really sure why I am not going +130 ML here since I said to take North Florida +900 .. that being said, UTEP playing great lately. 5 straight wins. More importantly. They are off a perfect 4-0 road swing. That is a great accomplishment. They have really turned things around. Now OD is 11-5 in conference play like our Miners. But I have to grab the home dogs just based on their output. OD shoots just 41% from the field. UTEP at nealry 47. OD the tougher scoring defense. OD 3-7 ATS last 10 as faves. UTEP on a 11-0 ATS run.  I just think that we will get more uglier shots to fall tonight. 4* Money Maker UTEP 

Taking NORTH FLORIDA here. Going to sprinkle some ML +400 here also. Osprey's swept the series this year winning by 11 on the road and 6 at home. Now they are getting a huge number. I know the first inkling is to say. Well, it is tough to beat a good team 3 times. I get it. But North Florida is really on a mission here. They won the regular season last year. Then Gulf Coast bounced them on their own floor by 33! We did cash Lipscomb opening round, but we are the big dogs tonight. 10* Money-Bomb NORTH FLORIDA 

Taking RADFORD here. I think this will be an ugly affair. Radford lost by 3 on the road and in OT at home after being down 37-12 at half-time! 37-12. That shows me some heart and no quit mentality. Also, for a team like Liberty that went 14-4 in conference, doesn't this line seem a little light considering a 13-17 Radford record? 4* Money Maker RADFORD 

Taking ASHEVILLE here. You know I am not a fan of taking big faves like this, especially in early tournament time games. But NCA is the class of the league. The defense should take care of business and we will pull away for the cover. 4* Money Maker UNC ASHEVILLE 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. Again in the OVC the lower seed is favored. 7 Murray over 6 Tenn Tech. What is going on here? Personally, I think the Racers underachieved by not winning their side of the conference this year. Tenn Tech scored a 4pt win back in January when Murray shot 34% from the field. Not going to win many road games shooting like that. Plus, the Racers are limping in having dropped 3 straight. Normally, I would be fading this kind of action. But as I have said before in spots like this. When I see the perceived better, or 'ranked' higher team in the dog role, I know the numbers are on my side to roll with the fave. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking ROBERT MORRIS here. Nearly went ML +160. Obviously I am thinking we are winning this outright. Not sure who takes a dog to lose by 3. Both teams on nice win streaks coming in. But. This line looks a bit low considering that this is a 2/7 match-up. Morris is 13-18 on the year, and LIU has that 20 wins after their names. These 2 split this years games with Morris winning by 4 on the road in early February, and LIU by 11. This line has come down and we are taking the dog for a walk. 4* Money Maker 

Grabbing UMBC here. These guys played Saturday to a 94-90 OT win by New Hampshire. That was some payback for UMBC's 105-103 OT win a month before. Safe to say, we should see some points, and get a game that should be pretty close. Baltimore City obviously can shoot the rock as they are at 39% from 3 and 46% overall FG. 4* Money Maker UMBC RETRIEVERS 

Taking TENNESSEE STATE here. This is a nice experienced team from last year. They went 20-10, 11-5 in OVC play last year. I thought they would be better than they performed this year. But this is a talented bunch. McCall is the OVC DPOY for the second straight year. The Tigers are the 8th seed, yet are favored here over 5 seed SEMO. A flat out no-brainer for me when I see things like that. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE STATE 

Taking AMERICAN here. These two split the season with each winning on the others home court. American won at Army 61-58 and Army won 53-49. So we have 2 games decided by 7 points. And the line is 7. This is the Patriot League. So when I see nearly identical conference records, 5-13 American, 6-12 Army, I don't see this much of a difference. American is in off 2 road wins and playing some good ball. Army had won 3 straight before dropping their season finale vs Lehigh. Will grab the dog in this 8/9 match-up. 4* Money Maker AMERICAN U

Taking KANSAS here. Nearly made this a Top 10* Money-Bomb. But I really try to avoid big faves like this. Yes, we cash Louisville yesterday as a double digit fave. So why again tonight? Well, we have seen just how bad Oklahoma is going 4-12 in conference, and 10-18 overall. Add in the Sooners are 1-8 on the road and we are getting a recipe of success together. Kansas looking to lock up a 1 seed and in their final home game, I expect peak performance from all. Fans and players alike! - Just can't see Kruger's bunch putting up much of fight here. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS