Taking CHARLESTON SOUTHERN here. Winners of 9 of their last 12, getting hot coming into their conference tournament. I know it is a big number. But Presbyterian is one of the bottom 20 teams in the entire country. These guys split their games this year each winning on the others court. But Presbyterian has won just twice on the road in 14 games. 4-14 in conference play. CharSo 9-9 in conference play and has revenge for that home lost a couple weeks ago. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 

Taking the PACERS. Cuban says he's OK with his team losing. Well out of the break they get mauled by the Lakers. Dropped their next game vs the Jazz. Now face an Indiana team who has revenge for an earlier loss. And yeah. This isn't a huge rivalry. But you want to pay-back a team for beating you. Especially one that is mailing it in in February. Pacers with 4 straight and 8 wins in their last 10. We aren't laying a huge number, and Dallas will be a team I am looking to play against closing out the season. So if we can get any line as low as this, we will be on the road faves often. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS 

Taking QUINNIPIAC. Looking at conference play, not much of a difference. 7-10 Q, 8-9 for the Jaspers. Quinn with a 1pt home win already now catching a nice number. They are 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road. We had been 7-2 coming into the Friday with our MAAC selections. Looking to end the week strong with a winner. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC

Taking SIENNA. Ok. First off. A brutal Saturday. Haven't had a day like that in 2018. But 1 day doesn't make us. Like a day of when we go 5-1 is just 1 day. We just get up, and get back to the grind. Sienna, 4-13 in MAAC play, St Pete's, 5-12. Again. One bad day isn't getting me off a month plus worth of winners when playing these dogs. Sienna won already this year in OT. They have won 3 of the last 4. I have no road or dog trends to say this is a top flight game. They are terrible on the road this year (1-14). 4* Money Maker SIENNA 

Taking TULSA. Now. You know I am a Cincy backer where I think they can make a deep NCAA run. But you also know we have cashed Tulsa multiple times this year. We are getting nearly 20pts. I can't see how they don't get, at worse a back-door, and at best we are within 10 most of the game. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Taking RICE. Right off the bat. I will tell you right now I could never back a team that has 2 guys shooting better than 70% from the FT line. You can't give away free points. It is one of the things I really look at, especially when I am grabbing dogs. Can the other make the freebies. This one looks to be clearly in our favor. Rice nothing special with a 3-12 CUSA record. FIU better at 6-9, but I will fade away tonight. Rice won earlier this year at home by 9 and have won the last 3 times these guys have played. Owls 4-0 ATS last 4 on the road. A nice 9-3 ATS run for FIU. But as we dig into the numbers we see them favored just 3 times. 1.5 (loss at Rice) 2.5 (6pt home SoMiss) 7.5 (20pt home Charlotte). 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking STANFORD. Stepping into rare air for myself laying double digits. We have, who I think, probably the worse team in PAC 12, off a road win. 1-9 on the road for Washington State. 3-12 in conference play. Last regular season home game for The Tree. They will be extra excited to go out winners. Cougars 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road and 4-11 ATS last 15 in PAC 12 play. Stanford on a 7-0 ATS run at home and 10-4 ATS last 14 in conference play. I'm on the home fave. 4* Money Maker STANFORD 

Taking MONROE. Again. I have said this before. Why this love for Troy? I am not buying in. They are 7-8 in conference. Monroe 8-7. Average teams. Not much to tell them apart. ULM won by 5 a month go. Last year, Troy with an 1pt OT win on the road, and ULM smashed the Trojans on this court by 15. ULM has won 5 of the last 6 in the series (6-0 ATS). Warhawks on a 5-0 run through Sun Belt action. I'm on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker UL MONROE 

Taking SIUE this afternoon. How the heck is Eastern favored here. First off. We'll start with their 2-7 ATS record as faves this year. They covered as 1pt and 4.5pt faves. Lost outright as 4.5pt faves 3 times, 4,3,2,1 to close out their outright losses as faves. They're 6-11 in Ohio Valley action, SIUE 5-12. Eastern won by 4 a couple weeks ago shooting 57% from the floor. The dog is on a 4-1 ATS run in the series. Eastern 2-8 ATS last 10 at home.  9-17 ATS on the year tells us all we really need to know. And the numbers when they are favored is just the proverbial icing on the cake for me. SIUE has covered 4 straight in Ohio Valley play and 5 of their last 6 on the road. 4* Money Maker 

Taking SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. So. Normally. When I see a team 11-6 in conference play getting a low number from a 6-11 conference team I would be on the fave. Much like when we have the 'ranked' team getting points from 'unranked.' But in this case I am on the road dogs. Evansville has dropped 4 straight and 5 of 6. Southern off a loss to Loy-Chi (24wins) after 2 straight OT games. So that loss isn't as bad as it looks. I can say road team and underdog trends points to our favor. But Evansville has the numbers here at home. MVC has a lot of clutter and not a lot of separation between most clubs. But Southern is #2 and have played well this season. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking CHARLESTON. These guys haven't lost in over a month. They are just a machine right now. I know it is tough winning on the road in conference play laying a short number. The Tribe shooting 50% from the FG and showing no signs of letting up scoring nearly 85ppg on the year. But they give up over 80 too. CoC brings defense with them. 14-3 in CAA play. Already exacted revenge with a pair of big 20pt wins over those teams. They will be top seed in their tournament. W&M no slouch with 10-7 record. At this price, I am just taking who I believe is the better team. 4* Money Maker COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Underdog on a 10-2 ATS run in the series and the Huskies 6-1 ATS last 7 trips into Eastern Michigan. The Eagles 10-21 ATS last 31 in MAC play with half of those covers in their last 10 games. NIU has cashed 4 of their last 5 in conference play. I know that Northern is at the bottom of the MAC West. But I am not sold on Eastern and their 8-7 conference record. They aren't 8 points better than us today. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS

Taking MARIST, again. Had these guys in 2 of their last 3 road games, covering both. 9pt dog losing by 3 to St Peter's and a 8pt dog winning outright vs Manhattan. In fact, we are on a nice 7-2 run with our MAAC plays. Underdog 7-1 ATS last 8 and the road team 8-0 ATS last 8. Those numbers help the cause as our Red Foxes are on a 5-1 ATS run on the road. Niagara has dropped 2 straight. The loss of Matt Scott has been felt. Guy is easily one up there for MAAC POY consideration averaging 20pts 7.5 rebounds. But last I looked he was in an air-cast on crushes. I can't see him suiting up here. He won't be 100%, save him for the conference tournament. I try not to let things like that influence my play. Either way, I believe Marist keeps this within the number. 4* Money Maker MARIST RED FOXES

Taking BROWN. Sometimes I do venture into the Ivy. I see a pair of teams both 4-6 in conference play. Brown won by 3, in OT a couple weeks ago. They won the last meeting last March. The 3 most recent Columbia wins have been by 5-3-4. Brown shows up on Friday nights as they are 7-2 ATS last 9 while Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS.  They are on a 4-1 ATS run of late. Columbia 1-4 ATS last 5 at home vs the Bears. Underdog on a 8-3 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker BROWN BEARS 

Taking TENN STATE tonight. Just had their 7 game win streak broken. But they will be ready for this rival and to get a little revenge. Tenn Tech scored an OT win back in early January. Tenn State on a 4-1 ATS run in Ohio Valley play. They have 4 of 5 here in Tenn Tech and are 11-5 ATS last 16 in the series. Road team on a 4-1 ATS run of late. 4* Money Maker TENN STATE 

Taking WILMINGTON tonight. So, we dropped a 3pt game at home back in January where we battled back from being down 9 at half. I do like my conference dogs, but this is rough even for me to swallow. The Tribe is just shooting an unbelievable 50% from the FG, on the year. You see me type in the write ups over and over this month that in conference play, we see what the teams are. Yet, I just can't back W&M against NC. I have to grab the points no matter how much better they shoot the ball. Wilmington 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road and also on a 4-1 ATS run through CAA play. Maybe with Charleston up next in their final home game, a revenge game to boot, the Tribe let's NCW hang around. And when you give up over 80ppg, a team can hang around. 4* Money Maker NC WILMINGTON 

Taking GREEN BAY. I had backed Oakland over the last couple years. They had always been a nice mid-major that was under-valued and you could score nice 5-6 streaks with. That is not this team. I have been saying it since mid-January. There is no way they should be laying double digits. I know GB is not a great club. But the Golden Grizz is 0-5 ATS laying double digits this year. Let's drop it to laying -7 and Oakland is 0-10 ATS. Oh, laying 5 points. 0-12-1 ATS this year. GB won 80-79 as 10pt home dogs in December. They know they can hang here. Oakland has covered once their last 7 games. That 1-6 ATS last 7 coupled with 0-8 ATS run at home puts us on the puppy. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY

Taking RICE tonight. If I just wrote take the Owls ML for a guaranteed winner, would I be lying! Rice Owls, Florida Atlantic Owls. That last sentence is 100% accurate. Ok, jokes aside. Let us climb into the abyss and take a 2-12 Rice team in C-USA play. FAU killers at 5-9 in conference play. Look. As I have said all month. We are dogging up, and it has paid off to over 60% winners this month and 70% the last week. A pair of garbage teams, we have to grab the points. Road team 4-0-1 ATS last 5 in series and dog is 3-0-1 ATS last 4. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking ST LOUIS. Sign me up for some Billikens. Dayton 6-8 in conference, STL 8-6. STL won by 10 on their home court already this season. They are 11-4 ATS last 15 trips into Dayton. Flyers 1-7-1 ATS last 9 in conference play while STL is 7-2 ATS over the same amount of time. Billikens 22-6 ATS last 28 vs A10 teams and 30-12 ATS last 42 overall. Favorite 8-23 ATS last 31 in series. 4* Money Maker STL BILLIKENS 

Taking WINNIPEG and laying PUCK LINE. Can't lay a big number vs the Kings. Did lay some last night with Chicago over the Kings and will come right back and fade them tonight. 3rd game in 4 days, winding down a 6 game road trip. As much as I want to get in the win column, I can't lay 170 so will roll the dice PL as the Jets have outscored opponents 13-2 in their last 2 home games. 4* PL Money WINNIPEG JETS 

Taking AKRON. Yeah, I'll back a road team that has yet to win on the road this year. Zips 20-8 ATS last 28 vs Bowling Green and 11-3 ATS last 14 vs the Falcons in the series. That takes some of the sting out of that road record. Had Akron last time out on the road, and they fell apart with 5 to go. Losing the lead and then the cover. Think they stay close again. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. Will grab the dog here. I don't see much difference in this clubs. CMU 5-9 in MAC play, 7-7 for Western. Western Michigan on a 3-7 ATS run in MAC play. Underdog on a 10-2 ATS run in the series and road team 7-3 ATS last 10. CMU 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road, WMU 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. Taking the visitors tonight. 4* Money Maker CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking DETROIT. Ok. Detroit is bad. And we have made our living the last month+ cashing ugly conference dogs. I wish we were getting 2-3 points and I would feel very good about this play. This is our 4th straight road game. Never easy in college ranks and 3rd in 6 days. But, we are off a 10pt road win. Lost the first 2 by 3 and 9 at Oakland as 13pt dogs. What I really like is that Ill-Chi has a pair of huge games up next. Northern Kentucky immediately after this, then Wright St. Both of those teams sit at 12-3 tied for Horizon League leaders. Ill-Chi 11-4. So I can see them winning but not really blowing Detroit out. The old look-ahead spot. Detroit lost to these guys by 9 at home start of February. Only real trend helping us is that the road team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series. Ill-Chi 7-3 ATS last 10 at home over the visitors. I will come back to scheduling and I think we sneak in under the number. 4* Money Maker DETROIT 

Taking DRAKE today. Ok, first off. Apologize for the late add today. Long night here with a lot of heavy snow on the ground. But that isn't stopping us from cashing another winner in college hoops. So we are on the Bulldogs. Not sure why the line is so high. Maybe they are begging us to take the road dogs. I gladly will. I was high in Missouri State to start the year. And yes, they have strung together wins in their last 3 games. They had also dropped 6 straight in MVC play before those wins. I'm not sold on them - Drake won by 3 at home a month ago. I also see 3-1 (OT)-2 pt games the 3 games before that. Why won't we see another game like that? MSU on a 3-9 ATS run in conference play. Drake has covered 4 straight in the series. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Taking SIUE. Alright. Another conference dog that we will jump on. SIUE at 5-10 in Ohio Valley play while SEMO sports a 7-8 record. Both teams allowing more than they score, nearly 80 to nearly 78. SEMO scored a 12 road win back in January and have won 3 straight in the series. SIUE is on a 7-2 ATS run in the series including going 4-0 ATS while visiting. SEMO 1-4 ATS their last 5 at home. 4* Money Maker SIUE 

Taking NORTHERN ARIZONA. Going real ugly this afternoon. 4-22 overall, 1-12 in conference. Giving up nearly 80ppg. But we actually have the better scoring defense here! North Dakota allowing nearly 82pp! So. Last year these guys split. We won at home, lost by 5 on the road. Lumberjacks 3-1-1 ATS last 5 on the road, while North Dak counters on a 2-5 ATS run in Big Sky play. Northern Arizona on a 4-1 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA

Taking AKRON. Time for some MACtion. Akron 4-9, Kent 6-7 in conference play. I have this line closer to 3 than I do 7 so this is a value play for me. The dog is on a 8-3-1 ATS run in the series which helps since it is tough to look past the Zips 0-8 road record. Akron 5-2-1 ATS last 8 trips into Kent. Both of these teams are down. Last year Akron won the regular season title and Kent won the tournament. I expect a close battle. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS 

Taking GEORGE MASON. What is up with this number? I have to be missing something. But I have no clue what it is. Mason 6-7 in conference play, 4-9 for LaSalle. So a little better. I get maybe a few points for home court. GM was last year by 20 at home and have won 3 of the last 4 years they have played. Mason on a 4-0 ATS run through A10 play. LaSalle 1-4 ATS last 5 at home and 6-20 ATS last 26 in A10 play. Have to play the big dog here. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON

Taking QUINNIPIAC today. Easy for me to grab the points. We are at 7-8 in conference play. Stags at 6-9. Quinny on a nice 6-2 ATS run in conference play. Fairfield limping at 4-9 ATS last 13 in MAAC action. Let us look at the margin of victory in previous games. 5 last month, 2017 2 (OT) 2 - 2016 4 (OT) 5 - 2015 1  4(OT).. These guys play tough, close games. While will it be different this afternoon? Road team on a 5-0 ATS run. Underdog on a 5-2 ATS run. Quinny 4-1 ATS last 5 trips into Fairfield. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC 

Taking VMI. Keydets sitting at 2-10 in conference play with one of those wins, 88-81 over The Citadel. Bulldogs at 4-10 in conference play. With January's win, VMI has won 2 straight and 3 of 4. The 2 Citadel wins over the last 5 meetings were by 5 and 4 points. VMI 6-0-1 ATS last 7 in the series and 3-1-1 ATS last 5 while visiting The Citadel. Have to grab the points. 4* Money Maker VMI 

Taking ILL-CHI. Just like these guys. You see me take conference dogs o' plenty. But in this spot, off a bad home loss, I expect a full focused group. No overlooking a 'win' on the schedule. Short number, we can handle this. 7-1 ATS run in Horizon play for Ill-Chi. Flames also 6-2-1 ATS last 9 here in GB and 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series. 11pt home win already under our belts this year. Most of the 2nd half the lead was closer to 20 than 10. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS CHICAGO 

Taking IUPUI. Ok. Ok I get it. 1-14 on the road. Scary to take. 1-6 ATS run in league play. Understandable. But. We are 5-9 in Horizon play, Milwaukee 7-8. So not much difference. They rallied at home for 1pt (2pt dogs) after being down by 4 at the half. That was on top of Milwaukee hit over 50% of their shots. So, getting big points. I think we hang and can grab a back door cover in a worse case scenario 4* Money Maker IUPUI 

4* PL Money COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS 

Taking CLEVELAND STATE. I think the fade train is in full effect with Oakland. They are clearly not the same team. Now they have injuries that won't help their depth. They are basically a 2 man team. They lost Wednesday night. Now another conference road game, short rest to boot. They were 15.5 point dogs on the road last month (81-68) in a loss. Oakland 4-9 ATS last 13 on the road and 0-5 ATS last 5 in Horizon play. Cleveland St 4-1 ATS last 5 vs Horizon foes and have gone 3-0-1 ATS last 4 in the series. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND STATE 

Taking CAMPBELL tonight. A pair of 8-6 conference records in the Big South for both teams. Camels won by 3 a couple weeks ago. They have won 4 straight in the series and covered the only 2 lined games. Once as a 2pt fave, the other outright win as a 3.5pt dog. The one lined game for Radford in conference play they failed to cover at home an 8pt fave. 4* Money Maker CAMPBELL 

Taking MOREHEAD STATE. Hate taking a 2-10 team in conference play that has lost 6 straight. But that is what we will do tonight. Morehead lost by 3 at home just 2 weeks ago. They have losses of 12 and 1 pt in of the last 4 games before this year. The other 2 games they won by 2 and 5. Morehead on a 7-1 ATS road run and 7-3 ATS overall last 10. I'll take the stab with the big points. 4* Money Maker MOREHEAD STATE 

Taking TENN TECH. I do like Peay. We have backed them a couple times this season. But this might be a bit too many points so I will grab that extra value. One, not much separating these 2 teams, 8-6 for TT 10-4 Peay in Ohio Valley play. Tech won at home in January by 12. And last year in their only meeting won by 9. They are 11-2 ATS last 13 in the series and 5-1 ATS while visiting the Peay. 4* Money Maker TENN TECH 

Taking TULSA. What am I missing here? Is Connecticut good? Tulsa won in OT back in early January. If we go back the 4 games before that, we see splits and Tulsa losses by 2 and 4 points. The Huskies have been in a downward spiral for years. I think their coach is done, but that is for another day. As I have said all month in my write ups. Conference play. Tulsa 7-5, UConn 5-7. Tulsa the better team. Connecticut with the name. Huskies 7-19 ATS last 26 at home shows you how Uconn has fallen. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Grabbing MARIST as big dogs here. So, Marist won in OT 95-86 just about a month ago. Now we are getting double the points. I'm in. Not saying the Red Foxes are a great team. 3-11 in conference play, 1-5 on the road. That doesn't tell the whole story. Marist with 4-3-3-1 (OT) losses on the road. They did lose to Monmouth by 13, but that was a neutral court. So we know that the Red Foxes battle and aren't a walk-over. Fairfield 5-9 in MAAC play. Nothing great. Double digits is a tough cover for any team. 4-9 ATS last 13 in MAAC play. Marist 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road. 4* Money Maker MARIST 

Taking XAVIER. What am I missing here? Is this the low hanging fruit game I am going to get crushed on? Forget the #4 ranking. You know the only time I look at that is when the unranked team is favored. But 23-3, 15-0 at home. Think line is a bit short, so the value on X.  A pair of conference road losses. At Providence, where we had the Friars as X had Nova on deck. So a little look ahead spot, and then the Nova loss where we laid the big points. Hall have dropped 3 straight, 2 of those on the road. X already with a 9pt road win over the Pirates. 4* Money Maker XAVIER 

Grabbing OMAHA here. I'll go with the Mavericks. And why wouldn't I? Nice little dog. Already scored and OT win over Denver this year. Won both games last year. Not a fan of their recent Summit league trends. But I think we have a little value tonight. 4* Money Maker OMAHA 

Taking LOYOLA CHICAGO. Uh. Will lay it with the Ramblers. You know part of me wants to take this ugly Valpo team and double digits. But man, Loy-Chi rolling. 15-5-1 ATS last 2. Just 1 home loss in conference play this year. Let's look at their home games this year in Horizon play. 7- L -16-14-23 -22-15. Valpo is winless on the road in conference play. 1-6-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Ramblers 10-1 ATS last 11 in Horizon play. Valpo lost by 16 at home already to these guys. 33-32 turned into 50-37 and 70-54 loss. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker LOYOLA CHICAGO 

Taking DRAKE. Already scored a road win over Indiana State in January. You know that in mid February, I am looking at conference play. 6-8 for Sycamores, 8-7 for Bulldogs. Not much difference there. Not much difference in their overall numbers. But 1-5 ATS in MVC play for Indiana State last 6. Drake 8-2-1 ATS last 11 at home. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Coming with a late play on EAST CAROLINA. So we are getting double digits from a team we lost to in OT, by a bucket a couple weeks ago. 3-9-6-6-8 in OT the last 5 times these two have faced each other. Tulane 4-8 in conference, ECU 3-9. Doggy on a 8-1 ATS run and road team 7-2 ATS over the last 9 in the series. 4* Money Maker EAST CAROLINA 

Taking GEORGE MASON. Both of these guys 5-7 in conference play. Dayton laying? Home dog. Sign me up. Flyers 1-7 on the road. Are they going to break through with a double digit win tonight after their last 2 road games were OT losses? They are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 in A10 play and 0-4 ATS last 4 on the road. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. Any normal minded individual will be on Clemson. And why wouldn't you. Getting buckets. They are 'ranked'. 9-3 in ACC play, FSU 6-7. Looks easy enough right? Well, not for me. I am grabbing the home favorites. FSU has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 in the series. Clemson on a 1-5 ATS road run. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA STATE 

Again with a late addition. Like the ECU add, we find WESTERN ILLINOIS in a spot getting double digits when they won in OT in mid January. The split last year, FT Wayne by 4 in OT, Western by 2 in this building. 4* Money Maker WESTERN ILLINOIS 

Taking AKRON here. Thought about going ML here on the site at +135/140, but will grab the points. Up till their 5pt OT loss two and a half weeks ago, the Zips had won 9 straight going back to 2011. Now. Obviously not the same players. Akron always one of the better MAC teams. Ball State 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Can't trust them laying points. 4* Money Maker AKRON 

Taking BOWLING GREEN. Will grab another MAC doggy. Pretty much the same numbers as I look across the board here. WMU 7-5 in conference play, 6-6 for BG. Falcons on a 4-0 ATS MAC run and 4-1 ATS last 5 at home. They are also 5-2 ATS last 7 vs Western Michigan. They have been in dogs in 4 of their 5 MAC road games, 3-2 ATS overall conference roadies. Value on the home pups. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN 

Taking MIAMI OHIO. Will grab these dogs. Nice value for us. Redhawks 5-0-1 ATS road run, 5-2 ATS run in MAC play and 8-3 ATS last 11 here in Eastern Michigan. And speaking of EMU. Try on 8-20 ATS last 28 in MAC action. Laying points? Miami is 2-2 SU 3-0-1 ATS last 4 MAC road games. Won't be shocked at an outright win tonight. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO 

Taking JACKSON STATE. Ok. Trying to see what I am missing here. Throw out any trends. We see 2 games lined last 10 for Jackson State, 0 for Prairie View. Now. 8.5 points? I'll grab the low hanging fruit. Jackson 7-5 in conference play, Prairie 6-5. Jackson State with an 8pt win at home on January 15th. They have won 5 of the last 6 going back to 2016. I'll take a stab here with this small school doggy. 4* Money Maker JACKSON STATE 

4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS

Taking TENN STATE. So these guys have won 3 of the last 5 in the series including a 7 point home win last month. Their 2 losses, by 6 and 7 points. The Tigers 9-2 ATS last 11 in the series. They are 8-5 in Ohio Valley play, Jax State at 9-4. Not much difference between the 2 clubs. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE STATE 

Taking WYOMING. Tough stretch for UNLV. Lost in OT to Boise. Pulled off a big win over Nevada as 9 point dogs (I had Nevada). Now the Cowboys. Wyoming a good team. 4-4 on the road. 7-4 in MWC, UNLV 6-5. Underdog has covered 6 of the last 8 in the series. UNLV 3-10-1 ATS last 14 at home. I can't trust them laying this number. 4* Money Maker WYOMING

Taking UCLA here. Man. That 12-0 start for Arizona State seems like a very distant memory now doesn't it. 6-6 in PAC 12 play, 2-9-2 ATS last 13 vs conference foes. Laying points. Bruins aren't chopped liver. Won by 12 here last year. They have reeled off 3 straight and are off a big win at Arizona. Sign me up for another outright win. 4* Money Maker UCLA 

4* Money Maker OLD DOMINION

Taking OHIO here. Think we are getting good value. WMU has been favored by this or more 3 times at home in conference play. Failed to cover the last 2 after cashing the first. Ohio was 5.5 dogs on the road to EMU and won outright. Only other MAC game with a line like this they pushed 7 vs Buffalo. That's it. All other lines less than half of this except when they covered a 5.5 and 7 point faves. 4* Money Maker OHIO 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Big payback on tap this afternoon for Sparty. Lost by 20 at Purdue and 11 at home to the Boilermakers last year. Purdue picked off by Ohio State, so they will be chippy coming in. But I like bruising Sparty. These guys crash the boards like nobodies business. That is going to be the difference today. The ugly hustle points. 10* Money Bomb GOW MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking DRAKE. I do not care one bit of Northern Iowa winning 7 straight and 9 of the last 10. This Panthers team is a down unit. 4-9 in MVC play, 0-7 on the road including 5 double digit losses. Drake is an improved team. UNI already nailed a 14pt loss on them back in January. Revenge time. Northern Iowa 5-15-1 ATS last 21 on the road and 4-13-1 ATS last 18 vs Missouri Valley foes. Drake on a 7-2-1 ATS home run. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker DRAKE 

Taking SAN JOSE STATE. Of course I am backing a team 0-11 in conference play with 3 wins on the year. You have Col State playing their 2nd game without suspended HC Larry Eustachy. They lost last game to AF. Not sure how they respond. Maybe in blowout fashion at home. Players boycotted Thursday practice. Just not sure how they come out here. Do they mail it in? It is obvious their HC is done at the school. San Jose desperate for any edge. They are on a 3-1-1 ATS run in MWC play, while the Rams are 1-4-2 ATS their last 7. 4* Money Maker SAN JOSE STATE 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE. Again, we look at a pair of equal teams in conference play. Both sitting at 5-7, a pair of splits last year when facing each other. Not a huge fan of backing college teams in their 3rd straight game that's for sure. 4* Money Maker APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking WILLIAM & MARY. I want to be on Delaware. I do. You know I have been grabbing big dogs like this the last couple weeks and returning 58% winners. But I will go out of my comfort zone in this game. One. Blue Hens with 2 conference road wins. By 1 and 2 and they were 3.5 and 1.5 dogs in those games. Their 4 other conference road games. Losses by 13 (+9.5) 12 (+10) 27 (+8) and 15 (+8.5) - Notice any trend in these games? I'm backing a Tribe team looking to get back in the win column. They should win this by 14-20. Beat Blue Hens by 25 back in January. Beat them by 21 and 24 in 2017 and 26-15 in 2016. Looks like they know how to get things done vs Delaware. 4* Money Maker WILLIAM & MARY 

Taking YOUNGSTOWN, again. Lost with these guys the other night. But I'll back them as dogs here. They beat these guys by 23 a couple weeks ago. That was allowing 48% FG shooting for IUPUI. Now, not sure they shoot 51%. But I'll tell you this IUP is a low scoring team that's for sure. They have gone under 10 of their last 13 in Horizon play. Side note. I'm 11-19 on CBB totals so I am not touching the under. Youngstown is 4-9, IUPUI 5-8. Neither team going anywhere. But I will grab the points in what should be a close game. 4* Money Maker YOUNGSTOWN STATE 

Taking MARQUETTE. Maybe I am the sucker for taking this. But off back to back wins over Duke and #1 Nova. There has to be a let-down factor coming. Did you watch the end of the game? STJ running around like they are down 10 instead of winning. No clock management. You see them 2 teams like this and wonder how the heck they lost 11 in a row in Big East play before these wins. I love Mullin. I am an old-school Redmen fan. Mullin and Berry were there when I was 10, but I love my Boo Harvey, Malik Sealy teams. Look. I am going with the better team. I know it is tough to win on the road. In a Pk'em, I will grab the better all around club. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE

Taking VILLANOVA. Baking the Cats off that horrible loss to St John's. Maybe they were thinking about this revenge game. Butler hit 60% FGs and 68% from 3 in another upset of Nova. That is 3 straight after taking both last year. Comes down to me really believing that Villanova is one of the top programs this season. Butler a different team on the road. 3-4 on the year. 3-8 ATS last 11 on the road. They are off a tough OT home loss to Xavier. It isn't like they come in fresh. Siding with the angry, revenge minded home team that is prime blow-out mind today. 4* Money Maker VILLANOVA 

Taking FORDHAM. Going with this ugly looking dog. For me, just trying to figure out how the Dukes are such big faves here. Have been favored twice (-4, -5-5)in the last 10 games, both go to OT, and they split ATS. Oops. 3 times, they covered -1 in another OT game. We can go all the way back and see them covering by a half point over VMI or losing out-right as 6pt faves to Cornell. I can't sit here and say the Rams cover as big road dogs, because they haven't. But, Fordham 4-0-1 ATS last 5 trips here. The underdog 5-0-1 ATS last 6 in the series. Road team 12-3-1 ATS last 16. 4* Money Maker FORDHAM

Taking IDAHO. Have to say, a little surprised at Eastern Washington at 7-4 in conference play. Yet here they are a game behind the Vandals, who I thought would be the top dogs in Big Sky. Everyone looking up at Montana 12-0 in play. Now. Eastern already lost to Idaho at home this year 58-51 nearly a month ago. I expect more of the same tonight. For starters, this is their 3rd straight conference road game. A tough stretch for any school. In Big Sky or Big East. Just a lot of travel. 2-5 ATS their last 7 in Big Sky play and 5-11 ATS last 16 on the road. Vandals are 11-4 ATS last 15 at home. Grabbing the home team here for a 10 point win. 4* Money Maker IDAHO 

4* Money Maker CAL POLY

4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE

4* Money Maker ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK

Taking DUKE. Simple for me here. Duke off a terrible, absolutely terrible loss to St John's. Even with the Johnnie's beating #1 Villanova last night, this is still horrible. Duke is better than NC. This Carolina team is just not that good. I have faith in Coach K to get his team back on track. Duke 10-3-1 ATS last 14 on the road in basically a PK game. They are a 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series and 3-0-1 ATS visiting the Heels. 4* Money Maker DUKE

4* Money Maker YOUNGSTOWN STATE

Taking TULANE. Alright. We have zero trends working for us here. Just like this spot though. Seems like we are getting a couple extra points. The team stats aren't all that different. 4* Money Maker TULANE

Taking WILLIAM & MARY. Will grab the Tribe and the big number. You have heard me say this before. Maybe this is a sucker line. We'll jump on the lollipop though. W&M can score. And they will need it vs Charleston who is giving up less than 63ppg. But the Tribe is 8-4 in CAA play, CoC 9-3. Is Charleston this much better to lay this number? I know W&M is going to want to push the tempo and the defense is questionable at best. Tribe 6-1 ATS last 7 on the road and 5-2 ATS last 7 in this series. We'll grab the big dogs. 4* Money Maker WILLIAM & MARY 

Taking AUSTIN PEAY. Yeah. Another one of those why are we getting so many points. Like William & Mary, Peay, sitting at 9-3 in Ohio Valley play, Murray, 10-2. The Racers absolutely demolished Peay last year 102-58, that is a 44pt mauling for those counting at home. So, we have that to hang our hats on right off the bat to help motivate. Murray is a Top 20 Mid-Major for sure. That being said, I will grab them and the double digits. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY

Taking MANHATTAN. We have won with these guys several times already this year. Grabbing them as dogs has been profitable, 6-2 ATS last 8 away from home. They are also 8-2 ATS last 10 trips in to Rider. And listen, we like Rider. When you cover 9 of 10, you know you are helping the bankroll. But this number seems a bit inflated to be based on the run they are on. They are 10-2 in conference play for a reason. A lot of times I am backing dogs and thinking we win outright. In this spot, I think we are getting an extra few points that keeps that back-door open. We will back the Jasper to kick that open and eat some cake. 4* Money Maker MANHATTAN 

Taking QUINNIPIAC. Again, in the MAAC conference. Have you noticed a trend yet on our dogs. Conference play. This is all these teams have been doing for 2 months. The number play out. Bobcats 6-2 ATS last 8 on the road. Niagara 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. 4* Money Maker QUINNIPIAC 

Taking CLEVELAND STATE. So, the Vikings won by 3 as 1.5 dogs a couple weeks ago. Now catching a few more buckets. They are 3-9 in Horizon play, IUPUI 4-8. The Jaguars have lost 5 straight. How are they laying this many points? Again. Could be one of those too good to be true plays. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND STATE 

Taking MARIST. Again. This time of year, I look heavy at conference play. And when I see a pair of 3-9 teams facing off, I tend to take points. Yeah, St Peter's has owned the series winning the last 4 SU and 6 of the last 7 overall. Red Foxes though 4-1 ATS last 5 in conference play and St Peter's on a 2-6 ATS run. We'll grab the big buckets. 4* Money Maker MARIST 

Taking BRYANT here. Just trying to figure out this line. I mean, maybe Wagner wins by 20. But looking at how Bryant has played in the NEC, this is too many points. Ok, we are 1-11 in conference play and 2-23 overall. Nothing to cheer about. But I'll run down their NEC losses. Losses by 7-4-11 (5-4-4 on road). A 9 point 71-62 home loss to Wagner. 16-4-14. I'm not saying Wagner shouldn't win this by double digits. But we are getting nearly 20. I'll take a shot with the big, ugly dog. 4* Money Maker BRYANT

Taking NEVADA. Like this bunch. Have had them a couple times already. I think they could be dangerous in a month. They have owned UNLV since Mussleman has taken over. 3-1 vs the Rebs. Last year, wins by 36 and 27. Ok. You might think pay-pack. Fair enough. But we aren't laying 20. We have to win by 10. UNLV off tough OT loss at Boise. Now they face the top cats in the conference. Wolf Pack better across the board. How about Runnin' Rebels 2-10-1 ATS last 13 overall and 3-20-4 ATS last 27 on the road. I'm laying it. Bail-Out winner - 4* Money Maker NEVADA 

Taking BRADLEY. Some nights, I love a lot of games. Some nights, very few. I have to grab the points with the Braves here. Once, they rolled the Panthers by 20 on New Year's Eve. And if you thought Northern Iowa would be good in MVC play this year, well you are still waiting. 3-9 in conference play. Are they turning it on in February? Hey guys. Let's wait till we lose 3 in a row, 4 of 5, 7 of 10 and 10 of 14. Now! Now is the time! We have everyone where we want them!! Come on. Bradley the better team. NI is 3-13-1 ATS last 17 in MVC play, and they are laying a FG based on their home record vs Bradley. Well, I think a streaks are made to be broken. Might sprinkle some ML here also. 4* Money Maker BRADLEY 

Taking FRESNO. These Bulldogs have won 4 of the last 5 vs San Diego State. I get the Aztecs getting some love. They are team that people are familiar with seeing them in the NCAAs. But this Fresno team a bit better than SDST in my eyes. Fresno 7-1 ATS last 8 in the series. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking BOWLING GREEN. Again. We see similar conference teams (both 5-5) with similar stats but yet a decent size dog. I'll grab BG. They won both games last year. We can see they have won 9 of the last 10 going back in this series. Ball State 1-6 ATS their last 7 in MAC action. They were favored in 4 of those, lost outright in 2. BG 5-1 ATS last 6 in the series, we'll grab the Falcons. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN 

Taking BUTLER. Do we even blink taking this game. Unranked giving baskets to #5 in the land. X with just 3 losses, 2 of those in Big East play. 9 at Providence as 5.5 faves, then in their very next game by 14 at Villanova getting 9.5 - X won by 7 a month ago at home as 6.5 faves last time these 2 faced one another. 4* Money Maker BUTLER BULLDOGS. 

Taking SIENA.  A shade under 65% on our last 45 college hoops plays, and the majority of those have been ugly conference dogs. So we have 3-8 Siena and 4-7 Fairfield and a big line like this. Why? Maybe the old too good to be true comes into play. Sienna has won the last 3 in the series by 12, 9 and 7. Doggy on a 5-2-1 ATS run. Road team long term 17-7-1 ATS last 24. Siena 8-3-1 ATS last 12 here at Fairfield. Stags 3-7 ATS their last 10, no right laying this many points. 4* Money Maker SIENA SAINTS 

Going to lock in early here with the PATRIOTS. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Alright everyone. Thanks for the follow this year. Going to cap off a great NFL season with a final winner for our pockets. 40-14 good for 74% since December 1. In that time, 11-4 with our Top Plays. Best Bets, Sure Shots and Money-Bombs. But I am not going to put out a huge 'name' play, just because it is the final game of the year. This, as always, the longest write up of the year. Let's get to it - 

As a big dog guy, especially with NHL and MLB, almost by instinct, I am pulled towards Philly. And why not. One of those 4 Top Game losses was Philly over NYG. I like Foles. As I said in previous write-ups, and last weeks Over analysis. Do people forget 27 TDs from this kid a couple years ago. The guy can play in the NFL. Not saying he is Wally Pip'ing Wentz out of a job, or Brady Bledsoe'ing for the younger crowd. But he can play. And let's be completely honest. Eagles probably rate better overall across the board except for the QB position. Plenty of offense for Philly vs, at best, a middle of the road Patriots defense.

Yes. The Hoodie gets the, oh, Mr Adjustments. What a great defense. Come on. Bend don't break defense carried by the greatest QB/ HC combo of all-time. This total has already ticked up, and I still lean Over in this game. 

I am sure the sharps are going to be lying in wait. Seeing if the public comes heavy on NE as they normally do. Maybe we see 4.5 - Maybe we see 6.5. I am 2 weeks out with my play. When we grab dogs, like the Jags, we think they win outright. Which, maybe they should have. We will leave questionable play calling to the talking heads.

Back to NE. Look. I am not a huge Pats fan. I did have a Top 10* on them to roll the Titans. I took the +9.5 out of the gate in the Championship Game. As much as I see Foles getting better. I see Brady cementing a legacy, if he hadn't already. If this was Wentz/ Brady. I would probably be on the Eagles. But it isn't. These guys, at this stage, look for any slight, to come out and piss people off. So we have all heard of that story about the owner/coach/QB - Next game. Utter destruction of the Titans. What better way to really get under peoples skin and win b2b Super Bowls. Did anyone miss that Hoodie didn't even hold onto the AFC Championship Trophy? Is that crazy? That is all you need to know about this team. That is how focused they are. 

Philly will get everyone's love since they are facing the Evil Empire. The, We wear Dog Masks. No respect. I get it. House money. Back-up QB. Rally around the role. Understood. And that isn't all it has going for them. I think they have the much better defense. Special teams are probably a wash. Again, this is why I am liking the Over a bit also. Plenty of weapons for Foles. Dome setting should help. 

As much as there are checks to cross in the Philly box. I just can't go against this HC/QB combo in a Super Bowl. Brady has proven time and time again. Champion. Down 10. No problem. 28-3. No problem. Do we have to go back and see the stats vs the Legion of Boom? Do we remember how 'legendary' that Seattle defense was suppose to be? 13-15 2TDs in the 4th quarter as Seattle was for 2 straight Super Bowls. 

Maybe the Eagles are like the Giants. Getting pressure. Knocking Brady off his spot. Or. Brady gets the ball out and carves them up. I think the really underrated unit is the Patriots OL. These guys are quietly, a solid bunch. 

So. I am going PATRIOTS as a 5* BEST BET here in Super Bowl action. I think they get this done by a TD or more. 

My FREE PLAY is on the UNDER 48.5 -- 

Taking NIAGARA. Yes, I am on the maybe this is too good to be true train. Niagara sitting at 7-4 in MAAC play, while Monmouth 3-7. I have said many a time while fading Monmouth Basketball this year that to throw out the fun teams you saw on ESPN the past couple years. Very different team. Have you not noticed the 7-15 record? They have 6 one possession losses this year (3 1pt losses). 4 conference losses by a total of 7 points. I will gladly grab the points in what should be a close game. Niagara 7-2 ATS last 9 on the road. 4* Money Maker NIAGARA PURPLE EAGLES 

Taking CAPS and going PUCK LINE. This is a short line and laying -115 is fine. And the way my NHL has been this year, I should probably grab that for records sake instead of going for the big payday. This is the 4th road game for Knights. We faded them last time out cashing a big Puck Line win on at +200 in their 5-2 loss. I will do it again here. This is an early 930AM body clock game. And as good as they have been, there must be a regression or hiccup coming for this team. Why not against the Caps who were belted on the road losing 7-4 to the Pens. They will wipe that beat-down out of their minds with a resounding win this afternoon. 4* PL Money WASHINGTON 

Taking COLGATE. Experienced team. Beat Navy by 8 already at home. Split last year. Won 2 of the last 3 prior to that (3pt OT loss). Not many lined games in Patriot action, but I like the dog here. 4* Money Maker COLGATE 

Taking DELAWARE. I'll grab some Blue Hen value here. 5 straight conference losses has up at 4-7 in league play. Elon though is on their own 1-4 run, 5-6 in CAA. Stat wise, this looks like a pretty even match-up to me. The points give us the slight edge. 4* Money Maker DELAWARE 

Grabbing RICE. I didn't expect much from either team, but North Texas has been more of a shocker to me. I had to go back to January 2013 to find them as a double digit favorite. They lost by 13, at home laying 12.5. Too many points for me to pass up. Not saying it is easy taking a 1-9 road team in Rice. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking SOUTH ALABAMA. We have faded Troy before. I said it before, and will say it again. Troy caught huge breaks winning the Sun Belt last year. Not going to recap that run - Hello, they are 3-6 in conference, So Ala 4-5. Road team 20-7 run in the series. Look at the last 10 between these 2. No spread this big. One game has no line, an 8pt win for South Alabama. Last year was the only game that would have been decided by this number. Our Jaguars 6-1 ATS last 7 here. 4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA 

Taking GEORGE MASON here. So we are getting a nice chunk of points and GM has won 5 straight in the series and 7 of the last 8. They have 2 OT losses in their last 3 road games.  Yeah, they have dropped 4 straight in conference play and the Spiders have reeled off 5 straight wins. The dog has covered 5 straights. GM has covered 5 straight. I am bucking the home trend of Richmond and taking the doggy. 4* Money Maker GEORGE MASON 

Taking DREXEL. Now. This is team is bad. They were really one of my last cuts of the day. But we have done so well the last week with our CBB, I feel that if I left off games because the team was bad, we wouldn't be on a 65% run since last Friday. So we bite the bullet and grab the Dragons. Road team is 10-3 ATS last 13 so we have that in our favor. 4* Money Maker DREXEL 

Taking DENVER. I will say it over and over again for the entire month. We are grabbing our conference doggies. Especially getting nice points with these that are pretty much similar. Both teams 4-4 in Summit action. I get it. FT Wayne beat Indiana! They should run the table. They beat Denver by 19 on the road a month ago. They will win by 50 at home. FTW has covered 3 straight. But prior, a 1-5 ATS run with that Denver win being the only cover. They are 7-15-1 ATS in Summit Play. The dog has covered 7 of the last 9 in the series. Even though we are scoring 8ppg less, we are shooting 46% to their 43%. I like our chances with these points. 4* Money Maker DENVER 

Taking the WILD and going PUCK LINE. Looking for the big pay day. Should probably just lay the -140 on the sites as my NHL has been as cold as the playing surface so far in 2018. But this Vegas team continues to win. What a huge win their last game. Maybe they have something left in the tank after that miracle. This is their 3rd roadie in 4 days and a back to back on top of it. 4* PUCK LINE Minnesota Wild 

Taking GREEN BAY. Another conference road doggy. And why not. Again, team with the same record (5-7) in conference play. And we are getting a nice chunk of points. GB has won 5 straight in the series. Road team 8-2-1 ATS last 11, underdog on 5-1-1 ATS run - GB 4-1-1 ATS last 6, and a perfect 6-0 ATS in trips to Wiscy. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY 

Taking BROWN. Road team 12-4 ATS last 16 and Brown on a 7-1 ATS run in this series. We don't have the best scoring defense. But the other numbers don't really show me much separation between these clubs. 4* Money Maker BROWN BEARS 

Taking WESTERN CAROLINA. Uh. This is one of those games that I don't want to play, but I have to. Home team basically in a just win situation for us. I have said a couple times when fading Chattanooga that this is a bad team. The numbers reflect that. 7-28 ATS in Southern play. 3-13 ATS vs teams with losing records. WCU opposite trend at 10-4 ATS losing teams on the road. 4* Money Maker WESTERN CAROLINA