5*Florida Gators +7

The Gators have a really good defense (top-ranked) and backup QB Austin Appleby is more than capable of pulling off the upset victory. Appleby has played in big stadiums before when he was with Purdue. His teammates have a lot of confidence in him and so do I. He's a big kid (6' 5", 229) that knows how to prepare the right way. Florida has defeated Tennessee in 19 of the past 23 matchups, with only one loss by more than three points. The Vols offense doesn't scare me against this Florida defense. Take the points! 

4*South Florida +5.5

5*Atlanta Falcons +4.5

No team is as bad as they looked in the NFL and Vice Versa especially after week one. The Falcons should be able to score some points on this Raiders' defense. Atlanta outgained Tampa Bay in their week one loss while the Raiders were outgained in its win over the Saints. Oakland's offensive line is very "nicked" up and their depth will be tested in this game. The Underdog is 14-3 ATS in Dan Quinn's head coaching career. While I am high on the Raiders this season, this is a role that Oakland has struggled with. The Raiders are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games when installed as the favorite. I have the Raiders just 3-points better at home against Atlanta. NFL teams that are 0-1 facing a 1-0 team have a lot of motivation to not begin the season 0-2. Close game by a FG either way. Take the road dog this one!

4*Tennessee Titans +6

4*Cleveland Browns +5

4*East Carolina +3.5

4*Nebraska -3.5 (+104)

5*Bowling Green +6.5

I think this line is way out of whack. Bowling Green lost to Vanderbilt last week by 23 points despite outgaining the Commodores by 151 yards. My power rankings have the Falcons a 3.5-point underdogs. I think we are getting tremendous line value. Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points over the last three seasons. The Blue Raiders are 1-4 ATS against MAC foes since 1993. Take the home dog in this one!

5*New England Patriots +6

The Patriots have a very good defense, especially their front 7. The Cardinals' offensive line struggled early in preseason games and that was their first team unit. Carson Palmer is an above average thrower, but struggles with pressure in the pocket. Bill Belichick has been excellent with extra time to prepare and as an underdog. In fact, Belichick is 12-4 ATS as underdogs of 6 or more points in his time with the Patriots. I think New England with be just fine without Tom Brady for the first four games because of the brilliance of Belichick. Arizona has led the league in turnover differential for two consecutive seasons and that tends to regress to the mean over time. I will trust my numbers (2.5-point line value) and take the road underdog in this spot.

5*San Diego Chargers +7

The Chargers went 0-6 in all division games last season, despite having positive overall stats (gained more yards than allowed). Head Coach Mike McCoy has made it a point of emphases this season to be much better within the AFC West. San Diego showed nothing during the preseason so don't be scared about the team's performance last month. The offensive line is healthy and with the return of offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, the Chargers should have a pretty good offense this year. Kansas City relies on a good running game and playing stout defense. No Jamaal Charles in this one. Philip Rivers is a sparkling 10-2-1 ATS as road underdogs in all division games in his career. Lastly, NFL teams that missed the playoffs are 17-6 ATS when playing a team that made the playoffs in week one over the last four seasons combined. This line seems a bit inflated to me. Take the Chargers plus seven!

4*Chicago Bears +6

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +5

4*San Diego State -7

4*East Carolina +5.5

4*Purdue +6

5*Wyoming +9.5

The Cowboys only won two games last season while Northern Illinois has won six straight MAC West titles. This game will be played at altitude something Northern Illinois is not use too. The Cowboys have a plethora of returning starters and more talent than in year's past. Wyoming has won 13 out of their past 14 home openers with that one loss coming last year against North Dakota State. I will trust my numbers (2.5 point line value) and take the home underdog in this spot.

5*Southern Miss +7

Southern Miss has a new head coach with the hiring of Jay Hopson, a 24-year veteran of coaching college football, including stints with his new team as defensive coordinator. He led conference USA in scoring defense in each of his three seasons with the Golden Eagles. The offense should be in good shape with QB Nick Mullens returning along with three good offensive lineman. Southern Miss went 9-5 SU last season (lost Heart of Dallas Bowl 44-31 against Washington) and should be just as good this year. With Kentucky facing the Gators next week, I'll grab the points in what should be a very close affair.

4*Colorado State +8.5

5*Denver Broncos +6

This game reminds me of when the Broncos got crushed by the Seahawks 43-8 in Super Bowl XLVIII. Denver was favored by -2.5 points with 75% of the public backing them. Carolina opened as 3-point favorites and the line quickly moved with 74% of the bets and close to 90% of the total dollars wagered on the Panthers. The average home-field is worth 3.5 points so that means this would make Carolina -9.5 at home. Crazy. I would expect a pro Broncos crowd in Santa Clara. Denver has the No. 1 ranked defense and they are very active at all three levels. Manning should be able to read Carolina's defense and have some success on the ground and through the air. I think Gary Kubiak will do a great job having Thomas Davis (broken arm) isolated in coverage against one of his running backs. The team with the better defense has won 40 out of the past 49 Super Bowls straight-up. Also, Super Bowl teams with the #1 ranked defense have gone 9-2 SU in Super Bowl history, including a loss last year. The weather will be ideal with Sunny skies and temps approaching 70 by game time. I don't think this line will move much higher so I'm taking the Broncos plus the generous 6 points. 

4*Arizona Cardinals +3

The Panthers defeated the Cardinals in last year's playoffs 27-16 while outgaining Arizona 386-78. Those 78 yards represent an NFL playoff record for fewest yards gained. Carson Palmer watched helplessly from the sidelines as Ryan Lindley threw for just 51 yards. I think Bruce Arians will "play up" the underdog card to his team. The Panthers' secondary has some holes and I believe the road team has the skill on the outside to take advantage. Carolina benefited from one of the easiest schedules and they have been outgained by 232 yards combined in their last three games. Take the points in what should be a very close game! 

5*Seattle vs. Carolina Over 44

Both teams are stout against the run and I would expect Seattle and Carolina to employ more of an uptempo offense in hopes of moving the ball. It's worked all season as the Seahawks and Panthers are ranked #2 and #3 respectively in net yards per drive. Only Arizona is better. Both teams rank in the top 10 in red-zone efficiency. NFL West Coast teams playing and early 10 AM game favors higher-scoring games if the winds are less than 10 MPH. The Over is 33-14 when the total is less than 45 and the weather looks great. Sunny and calm winds. Go Over 44 points! 

5*New England -4

The Patriots are better in my opinion and appear to be getting healthier. I like Bill Belichick with extra time to prepare. The Chiefs' defense is ranked No. 28 in sacks allowed with 46. That's a bad matchup for the road team going against a Patriots team that is ranked 2nd in QB sacks with 49. The Chiefs played in a cozy indoor building last week and now must play a cold-weather game in a tough environment. Ignore the Pats two-game losing streak as injuries and Belichick pulling back the reigns were major factors. New England is being undervalued here. Pats by 7!

NFL Wild Card

4*Minnesota Vikings +5

I am going against the Public in this one and taking the home underdog in what could be one of the coldest games ever played in Minnesota. I would expect a much closer game than the first meeting. The kickoff temp is going to be around 0 degrees. In extremely cold weather you are more likely going to see one-possession games late in the fourth quarter. Both teams have a great running game and barring any crucial turnovers, I think the home team will keep this one close. Mike Zimmer loves playing the underdog card with his team. The Vikings are 21-10 ATS as underdogs over the last three seasons, including 6-1 ATS this year.

4*Houston Texans +3.5

The Texans are in a good spot if they can hold up on special teams. Houston has outgained seven of their last eight opponents, while holding six foes to season-low yards. The Texans have a sneaky good offense, averaging about 16 more yards per game than KC. The Chiefs are leaking oil, having been outgained in three of their past five games. Lets not forgot, the Texans outgained KC 396-330 in their 27-20 week one loss at NRG Stadium. Houston is ranked No. 11 in red-zone efficiency. The Chiefs are 5-11 ATS when playing on Saturday and 6-13 ATS in January games since 1993. Both teams mirror each other and I would expect this game to be decided by 3 points or less.

10*Oakland Raiders +7

This will be Oakland's Super Bowl. The Raiders lost by 14 points despite outgaining the Chiefs 361-232 in the first meeting back in early December. In fact, the Raiders blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead and should be focused at finishing the season at .500, after Vegas pegged their win total at 5.5 wins for the season. The Chiefs can only win the division if the Broncos lose at home as 10-point chalk against the Chargers. Kansas City is primed for a let down after winning nine straight to reach the playoffs. They are leaking oil, having been outgained by 89 and 110 yards respectively the last two weeks. Oakland has a sneaky good defense, allowing 5.6 yards per play while the Chiefs are allowing 5.4 yards per play. NFL division games tend to be closer in the second same-season meeting. The Raiders are 29-14 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 to 7 points, while the Chiefs are 6-12 ATS in January games since 1993. I would expect a very close game so lets take the road dog in this spot! 

4*Penn State +6.5

4*Northwestern +9

5*Michigan State +10

The Spartans have a QB that will be playing on Sunday's while Alabama is pretty much one-dimensional. I have this line closer to 8 so I'm taking the points with Michigan State. The SEC conference was sub-par while the Big 10 is arguably the best this season. The eye test tells me this will be a closer game than what the line indicates.

5*Mississippi State -5

The Bulldogs are led by a bunch of seniors, including QB Dak Prescott who is looking to make up for the way last season ended. He will also be playing in the Senior Bowl. Mississippi State is ranked 26 spots higher in the Las Vegas College Bowl Rankings. NC State went 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS vs. other Bowl teams, getting outgained in all five games. The Bulldogs went 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, and won the stats in five of their eight games against other bowl teams.

5*Air Force +7.5

The Falcons have all the motivation in this one and bring a potent rushing attack (322 YPG), going against one of the poorest rushing defenses of all the Bowl teams, allowing over 200 yards per game. The Bears are ranked No .102 against-the-run nationally and have the fifth-worse rushing defense of all the bowl teams. California is also ranked No. 124 in red zone defense. Air Force has a sneaky good defense allowing 5.5 yards per play, while California is allowing 6.1 yards per play. The Bears are 4-18 SU and 7-15 ATS against winning teams over the last three seasons. Take the underdog in this overlay!  

4*New York Giants +5.5

10*Atlanta Falcons +7.5

The Panthers' defense is leaking, allowing 38 and 35 points in their last two road games. Carolina is coming off a very physical game against the Giants last week and will be facing a team who has a lot to play for. The Falcons are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and they remember these same Panthers embarrassed them 38-0 just two weeks ago. Carolina held the Falcons to 250 total yards. This is the Falcons' Super Bowl and I would expect a top-notch effort. Look for the home team improve to 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Foster Farms Bowl

5*Nebraska +7

The Cornhuskers clearly have the talent to play with nation's elite, as evident by a win over Michigan State, a 4th-quarter game against Iowa, and a bunch of close losses this season. The Foster Farms Bowl figures to a big deal for head coach Mike Riley and the Cornhuskers, who can end the year on a high note with a win in the state of California, where Riley would to grab some top recruits from. UCLA lost a must-win game that would have clinched the Pac-12 South for the second straight season, and now must make a short trip North to play in a lesser Bowl game. The Bruins have suffered a plethora of injuries that should make them vulnerable in this spot. Love the fact that Nebraska has outgained six straight foes. Last season, Nebraska lost 45-42 as 7-point underdogs against USC in the Holiday Bowl at Qualcomm stadium. This line should be closer to four. Take Nebraska!

Pinstripe Bowl

5*Duke +2

Duke hasn't won a Bowl game since the 1961 Cotton Bowl and will be motivated to end that streak. The Blue Devils went 1-4 SU  & 1-4 ATS down the stretch, after starting the season with six wins in seven games. Duke's defense is much better, allowing 5.2 yards per play compared to 6.4 for the Hoosiers. Indiana is allowing 37 points per game and have allowed season-high yards in five of the last six games. Duke head coach Cutcliffe is 7-2 ATS in bowl games, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog. Duke wins outright! 

5*Southern Miss +9

Washington played a tougher schedule, but I believe these two teams style of play will keep this game close. Southern Miss has a passing attack than can score on any defense. Two very strong systems that support the underdog in this one. Bowl dogs of 7 or more points who lost their conference title game are 7-1 ATS. Nine win Bowl dogs of 8 or more points are 14-5 ATS when facing a team that doesn't have a winning record.

10*San Diego State +1.5

The Aztecs have already played in Hawaii earlier this season and did quite well with its 5th-best defense in the nation. San Diego State started slow with a 1-3 SU record, but turned it on winning 9-straight while going 7-1-1 ATS. They have outgained their opponent in nine straight games, thanks in part to a lethal running game and ball-hawking defense. The Bearcats will have to make the very long flight to Hawaii, knowing their defense is one of the worst out of all the Bowl teams. Cincinnati is allowing 5.0 yards per carry which ties in with their 86th-ranked defense. Donnel Pumphrey has rushed for 1,554 yards and 16 touchdowns and should have a huge game. He's averaging 5.5 yards per rush and 14.7 yards per reception. Defense travels well and the Aztecs have the better stop unit by far. They are really focused on capping its 10-win season with a Bowl victory, considering they lost their Bowl game by 1 point last season. The Bearcats are minus -16 in turnover differential, while the Aztecs are plus +19. Wow! The Las Vegas Bowl power rankings have San Diego State ranked 21 spots higher than Cincinnati. The Bearcats went 3-5 SU against Bowl teams, while the Aztecs went 5-2 SU against bowlers this season. SD State by 6!

5*South Florida +2.5

The Bulls are for real and will be playing essentially a home game. South Florida defeated Bowl-bound Temple and Cincinnati as underdogs to cement their legitimacy. They also own a defense that allowed 5.0 Yards per play this season. The Bulls went 5-1 ATS against other Bowl teams while allowing 26 points per game. Western Kentucky allowed 35 points per game against other Bowl teams while also allowing 6.4 yards per play. The Bulls have played Western Kentucky five times since 1999 and they have won all five times. The Bulls have not appeared in a Bowl game since 2010, and I would expect Willie Taggart and company to be pumped-up to the max. The head man is 16-3 ATS as an underdog off a victory. South Florida is 12-3 SU against Conference USA foes since 1993 and the Bulls went 5-1 SU in the state of Florida this season.

10*San Diego Chargers -1.5

The Chargers have scored six points combined in their last two games so nobody will want to back them here except some "sharps". This game will be like the Chargers' Super Bowl, considering they are a potential candidate to relocate. I know 12-year veteran QB Philip Rivers is pumped-up to give the fans a victory at Qualcomm. Miami is the perfect opponent for this Chargers team to play right now. The Dolphins are coming off a Monday Night high-heat & high-humidity physical game and now must travel three time zones off a short week in Week 15 of a long season. That's tough to do and the Chargers bring in the better offense, defense, special teams, red-zone efficiency, and time of possession stats. Miami has been outgained in seven straight games. If that's not enough to make you like the Chargers, maybe this will. Miami clobbered the Chargers 37-0 last November and held San Diego to just 178 total yards. Look for RB Melvin Gordon to have his best game of the season and the home team to improve to 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

5*Chicago Bears +5.5

5*BYU +2.5

I believe BYU is the more talented team and should be focused big time. They really want to give head coach Bronco Mendenhall one more victory, to reach 100 before he leaves for Virginia. His record of 99-42 is very impressive in 11 seasons with the Cougars. Teams returning to the same Bowl game they won last year (Utah) are 32-48-1 ATS as a favorite. Utah was once 6-0 and had their sites on a bigger bowl game, but losing three of their final six games derailed any chances for that. The Utes seem overrated, considering they've outgained their opponents in just 20 of 63 games over the last five years. Lets take the motivated underdog in the Las Vegas Bowl. BYU plus the generous 2.5 points! 

New Mexico Bowl

5*New Mexico +8.5

New Mexico will be pumped-up for their first Bowl game since 2007, playing a Pac-12 team in front of their home crowd. The Lobos' offense is more suited to hang with Arizona than ever before. New Mexico defeated Mountain-West division powers Boise State, Utah State, and Air Force down the stretch. New Mexico was a solid 4-4 ATS against other bowl teams, while Arizona went 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS. Lets take the motivated home underdog in this spot.

5*Cleveland Browns -1.5

This will be the second straight cold-weather road game for the 49ers. They must now travel cross-country to play a 1:00 PM E (10 AM Body Clock) game. The Browns will be playing its third straight home game after going 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS in the previous two. NFL teams in this role are cashing just under 70% if the line is +3 to -3. This seems like a great spot for the home team to end its long embarrassing losing streak. San Francisco is 1-5 SU on the road this season and hasn't won back-to-back road games with this new regime. The 49ers have been outgained by a whopping 953 yards in their six road games this season. They are 0-6 ITS (in the stats) on the road and 2-10 ITS overall. At five reputable sportsbooks combined, 71% of the bets are coming in on the road team and the line hasn't moved. This seems like a trap line and the smart play is on the home team. While I'm not a fan of Manziel's long term success in this league, I do believe he can make enough plays with his arm and legs to win this game. 

5*St. Louis Rams +3

The Lions are coming off a tough emotional loss, losing on a hail-marry and now must travel to St. Louis. The Rams are coming off a dismal effort losing 27-3 at home to the Cardinals. The public has bet this game from Lions +1 to Lions -3. The big advantage for the Rams is the offensive line. St. Louis is ranked No. 2, allowing just 15 QB sacks this season, while the Lions are ranked 19th, allowing 31 sacks through last week. The Rams have the better running game and better scoring defense. I like them in this spot getting three points after last week's ugly showing.

4*New Orleans Saints +7

4*Oakland Raiders +3

4*Cleveland Browns +10

4*St. Louis Rams +6

5*Temple Owls +6.5

The Cougars only loss this season was to Uconn who is ranked No. 34 in total defense. Temple brings in the 18th ranked defense in the nation, allowing 328 yards per game. Both teams recently played Memphis at home. Temple won 31-12 as 3.5-point underdogs while outgaining Memphis by a whopping 229 yards. On the flip side, Houston defeated Memphis 35-34 as 4.5-point chalk while getting outgained by 98 yards. The Owls love this role and will look to improve to 4-0 ATS as road underdogs this season. Temple has advantages in the kicking game, discipline, red-zone efficiency, and time of possession. Take the road dog in this overlay! 

4*Denver Broncos +3

4*Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

5*New Orleans Saints +3

I wanted to see how teams (Saints) with worst defense in terms of points allowed (318) have performed after its BYE week. The numbers suggest these teams play much better with two weeks to prepare, after hearing how bad its defense has been. NFL teams that are ranked last in points allowed have gone 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS coming of a BYE after Week 10 of the season. Also, the Texans are just 5-12-1 ATS following a straight-up win and will now face a new defensive coordinator in his first game with two weeks to prepare. Houston doesn't really know what to expect from the Saints on defense. All of the previous Saints' games on tape with Ryan running the defense are useless to the Texans' coaching staff. I like the Saints to win this game outright!

10*Florida +3

The Gators are well-coached under Jim McElwain and will bring in the better defense. Florida has held nine foes to season low or second low yards this year. Florida defeated Ole Miss 38-10 as a 7-point home underdogs earlier this season. Florida still has a chance at a top four NCAAF playoff birth by winning this game and the SEC Title game next week. The Las Vegas College Football rankings has Florida ranked No. 9 and FSU No. 18. That equates to about 4.5 points. Florida was clearly looking ahead to this game in last week's OT win against FAU. Win or lose, FSU is almost guaranteed a spot in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 31. I believe the wrong team is favored and will gladly take the motivated Gators at home in this spot. 

5*Duke -4

5*East Carolina -1

4*Chicago Bears +9

The Bears are by far the most improved team as far as coaching goes. John Fox has been excellent as an underdog off a loss. The Bears have played a lot of close games as six of their past seven have been decided by 3 points or less. Chicago outgained the Packers in their opening week home loss and one sportsbook manager told me this line should be closer to 7. NFL teams are just 3-7 ATS after playing the Vikings this season. Short week and a 100% chance of rain points to a Bears cover.

5*San Diego Chargers +3

The Chargers have two weeks to prepare for this double-revenge game and Philip Rivers is looking to snap his second-longest losing streak in his career. The Chargers are taking this game very seriously and despite only having two wins, they are outgaining foes by 50 yards per game. The Chiefs will be playing their second straight road game and these teams are big time fade material as favorites after Week 10. Kansas City played a physical game last Sunday and teams usually suffer a huge let down after defeating the Broncos in Denver. Take the home dog!

5*Colts +6

The Falcons' defense is very similar to what Matt Hasselbeck saw against the Jaguars. He went 30-of-47 for 282 yards and one score earlier this season. I think the BYE week and playing indoors will benefit the 40-year old QB. The Colts offensive line, defensive line, and overall team defense are ranked higher than the Falcons according to Football Outsiders. Atlanta is 5-13 ATS as a favorite in the last three seasons. This should be a very close game so lets take the points.

4*Washington +8.5

5*Vanderbilt +7

This will just be Texas A&M's third road game of the season and they were outgained by Ole Miss and Arkansas in both tilts. The Commodores have played their last four SEC foes to a combined score of 48-48. Vanderbilt needs one or possibly two more wins to become bowl-eligible. They have played really well in this spot (home underdogs of 7 or more points at night in conference play) going 12-2 SU & 12-2 ATS. Kyle Shurmur is getting better with each game and the 6-4, 225-pound freshman QB wants to give the fans a win in their last home game of the season. Lets take the motivated home underdog with the better stop unit in this spot.

4*Missouri +8.5

4*Ole Miss -4

4*Penn State +4

5*NY Giants +7.5

5*Washington +1.5

10*Tennessee Titans +6

The Carolina Panthers will be playing its first road game in just about 1 month after defeating the Packers, Colts, Eagles, and the Seahawks in successive weeks. Very tough especially later in the season. The Steelers were in this very same role last year and lost to the Jets, 20-13 as 4-point road chalk. The Titans have a sneaky good defense, allowing 21 fewer yards per game than the Panthers and their special teams is ranked five spots (23rd) higher than Carolina (28th). Mike Mularkey will bring something new on offense in his second game as interim head coach so the Panthers don't really know what to expect. Dorial Green Beckham is a rising star and I like his matchup against the Panthers' secondary. Jonathon Stewart is questionable and even if Stewart does play he won't be at 100%. Carolina has some injury issues on the offensive line as well. Finally, the Titans have lost their last four home games and are pumped-up for this game. Take the home dog in this classic overlay. 

5*South Florida +3

South Florida is one win away from becoming bowl-eligible. The Bulls have performed great in home night games against winning teams. South Florida has been very sound with the football this year, with just one turnover in 7 of 9 games. That's key against Temple who thrive on takeaways. The Bulls have already won three games as underdogs and I see more of the same in this one at home.

5*Rutgers +8.5

Nebraska's come-from-behind score should not of counted in last week's win against MSU. Rutgers will welcome back WR Leonte Carroo, who has missed the last two games with an injury. The Scarlet Knights will face a pass defense that has allowed 8 TD passes and seven 20-yard completions the last two weeks. That's a welcome sight for an offense which has faced three pretty good defenses the last three weeks (Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio State). The Huskers have lost both Big Ten games this season they have played as a road favorite. This should be a closer game than most people think. Nebraska is 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season. The host is 5-1 in their last six games as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the home underdog in this overlay!

4*Mississippi State +8

4*Tampa Bay +3

5*Pittsburgh Steelers -4

The Steelers held the Bengals to a season-low 296 yards in last week's home loss. I like the Steelers here at home with the Raiders flying cross country to play an early 1:00 PM E (10:00 AM Body Clock) game. DeAngelo Williams is a capable replacement at running back and I expect the Steelers to roll in this one. Look for the Steelers to push the pace on offense early and often.

4*Washington +14.5

4*Indiana +7

4*Pittsburgh +9

10*Duke +8

North Carolina kept Duke from a second straight ACC championship game with a 45-20 victory last November. It's customary for the winning team in the rivalry to spray-paint the Victory Bell in its specific shade of blue when the traveling trophy changes hands, but the celebration irked the Blue Devils because the carpet and inside and outside walls of the visitors' locker room at Wallace Wade Stadium were damaged by paint. Duke will be focused after losing in dramatic fashion at home last week to the Hurricanes. Replays showed the touchdown should not have counted. Duke owns the better overall defense by over 60 yards per game while North Carolina's run defense is allowing 180 yards per game. The Blue Devils average 205 rushing yards per game and should be able to score enough points to keep this one very close. Duke is 11-2 ATS on the road over the last three seasons and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. North Carolina has three big revenge games on deck starting next week. Take the road dog in this overlay.

5*Dallas Cowboys +6

The Cowboys offense is much better with Cassel under Center and I believe they match-up well with the Seahawks. Seattle has the worst offensive line in the league, allowing 31 sacks already while the Cowboys have allowed just 12. Dallas defeated the Seahawks in Seattle as 10-point underdogs last season. Dallas outgained the Giants 460-289 in last week's loss. This line is out of whack so take the home team in this overlay. 

4*Oakland Raiders +3

5*Chicago Bears +1

The Bears have a sneaky good defense holding four opponents to season-low yards this season. The Bears own the better offensive line by a wide margin. Minnesota has allowed 19 sacks while the Bears have allowed just 12 sacks this season. John Fox has been highly successful, winning his last seven games immediately after the BYE dating back to when he coached the Carolina Panthers. Fox is 10-3 overall after byes, with his last loss coming in 2007. Chicago has won and covered six out of the last seven meetings at Solider Field. More of the same. 

5*Iowa State +6

When Iowa State is not facing a top passing offense their defense is solid. The Longhorns' passing offense is ranked No. 122 in the nation and Texas will be playing just its third true road game of the season. Texas is 0-2 SU on the road and will be playing a pissed off team that has lost three straight games. Iowa State is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in night games after three straight losses. Take the home dog! 

5*Georgia +3

The Bulldogs enter with the better offense, defense, and special teams. Florida was holding open tryouts for a place kicker during their BYE week. In fact, both teams have a week of rest and the Bulldogs have some revenge on their minds. They allowed the Gators to rush for over 400 yards in last year's 18-point loss as 11.5-point home chalk. The Bulldogs are extremely focused on this game as a victory would put them in the drivers seat to win the SEC East. Georgia has been waiting for this game all season. Take the road dog and don't be shocked if they win outright.

5*Tennessee +6

I think the Titans' offense will be better with Zack Mettenberger. Lets fade the public and take home underdog in this one. I would not be surprised if the Titans won straight-up, so a little taste on the money line is recommended. NFL Home underdogs coming off a blowout (27 points or more) loss at home are cashing close to 80% if they play at home in their very next game. Tennessee is allowing 313 yards per game, while the Falcons are allowing 369.5 yards per game. I love NFL home underdogs with the better defense. 

4*Indianapolis Colts -4

4*Detroit Lions +2

5*Western Kentucky +17

10*Illinois +6.5

Illinois has two weeks to prepare for this contest and I am hearing extremely pumped-up for this game. Wisconsin will be playing their 8th straight game without more than 1 week of rest. Should be a low-scoring contest as Illinois is allowing 4.7 yards per play while Wisconsin is allowing 4.5. New head coach Bill Cubit will show something new coming off their BYE week. Wisconsin doesn't know what to expect. Illinois has covered three of four meetings in Champaign and are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games. I have Wisconsin as 4-point favorites. We are getting tremendous value on the rested home underdog with revenge from a 10-point loss last season.

5*Duke +3

5*Arizona Cardinals -3 (-125)

It's normally tough for NFL teams to play back-to-back road games on the East Coast. However, Arizona did something a little different. The Cardinals arrived at The Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia on Sunday night after defeating the Lions, a place they will stay through Friday before heading to Pittsburgh for this matchup. The Steelers were outgained in last week's victory. Michael Vick is 5-11 SU against winning teams after a SU win. Short week against an explosive offense. Take the road team!

5*Cleveland Browns +5

This will be Peyton's first cold weather and windy game of the season. I think the Browns will be fired up at home and should be able to score enough points to keep this one close. The Broncos played a physical game against a bitter rival last week. The Broncos are 3-11 ATS as road chalk after facing the Raiders with no rest. Denver's defense is a little "nicked" up this week. Take the underdog in the Dawg pound.

4*Florida +9.5

5*Buffalo U +7.5

The Bulls held high-powered Bowling Green to a season low yards two weeks ago. Buffalo will be playing with a week of rest along with revenge from last year's 6-point loss. These two teams have played very close games the last three years with no victory being decided by more than 7 points. Buffalo U has a solid running game and should be able to keep this one close.

4*Memphis +10.5

4*Ohio U -3.5

5*Oakland Raiders +6

The Raiders are coming home with a chip on its shoulder and should be pumped up for this rivalry matchup. Denver played a physical game last week against the Vikings last Sunday. Check out this nugget. NFL teams are 0-3 ATS after playing the Vikings this season. The Browns easily covered 7.5 points against the Chargers this past Sunday. Jack Del Rio facing former team. He served as the defensive coordinator for three years before taking the Oakland gig. Oakland enters this game with the higher-rated QB. Carr has a quarterback rating of 97.7, while Manning checks in at 80.7. Oakland has lost seven straight in this series and the line is less than a TD. Seems like a trap. I like the home team to keep it close.

4*Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5

4*Cleveland Browns +7

3*Rutgers +13.5

4*Northwestern +7.5

4*San Francisco 49ers +9.5

4*Cleveland Browns +7.5

5*New York Giants +6

The New York Giants have 10 days to prepare for this game. The Bills have to travel back home after playing the Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium. The Bills are cashing 33% after defeating the Miami Dolphins. Lets fade Tyrod Taylor is his first career game as the betting favorite. This line is too high so take the points in this overlay.

4*UNLV +7