4*Baltimore Ravens -2.5

5*Carolina Panthers +5

These two teams played last season but the Panthers are running a new offense. The Panthers should have an edge schematically. Carolina is ranked higher than the Eagles in all the important analytical stats I look for. The Panthers have played well (5-1 ATS past six years) in the second game after their BYE week. Carolina is coming off a loss despite outgaining the Redskins. The Eagles are coming off a win despite getting outgained 401-379. Take the road dog!

5*Mississippi State +7

The total is 44.5 points which suggests the game will be lower scoring. I will take the underdog with the better offense and defense. The Bulldogs average 5.8 yards per play while LSU averages 5.4 yards per play. The host is coming off an emotional upset victory against previously undefeated Georgia and will play Alabama after its BYE week. LSU is 0-2 ATS after a conference victory this season. More of the same. Take the Bulldogs!

5*Cincinnati U +4

The Bearcats are really good at running the ball (255.5 per game) while the Owls are ranked 108th against the run. Cincinnati is averaging 6.4 yards per play against much better competition while Temple is averaging 5.5 yards per play. Cincinnati is allowing just 270 yards per game and 4.2 yards per play. Really good. The Owls played a very physical game last week against Navy. The Midshipmen rushed the ball 53 times. I see advantages in the red-zone, kicking, and special teams for road team as well. Lets not forget the road team has two weeks to prepare while playing with triple revenge. Take the Bearcats before the line starts to go down.

10*Denver Broncos +7

The Rams will be playing back-to-back road games with this one at altitude. Denver is returning home after a non-effort against the Jets and should be fired up after losing three straight. If any team is familiar with the Rams' defense and how to attack them it should be Denver, as Wade Phillips spent many years running the Broncos' defense. The Rams haven't played in Denver since 2010. Light snow and temps around 30 degrees in the forecast. Rams not accustomed to those conditions. I'm all over the Broncos in this spot.

5*Indianapolis Colts +2.5

The Colts have 10 days to prepare for the Jets who are coming off a blowout victory against the Broncos. The Colts have a real pass rush (5th in Sacks) going up against a Jets team that is ranked 20th in pass protection. Andrew Luck has been solid off a blowout loss as an underdog in his career. Take the Colts in this upset maker!

5*Coastal Carolina -4

This will be UL Monroe's third straight road game and fifth road game in 6 weeks. Tough. Coastal Carolina has two weeks to prepare for this big revenger and welcomes pro-style QB Kilton Anderson back from his sprained ankle. Last year, UL Monroe defeated CC 51-43 despite getting outgained 441-344. Take the hungry host in a blowout!

5*Oregon +3.5

The Ducks will be pumped up with two weeks off to get over their meltdown against Stanford. I love the Oregon QB and I'm just not sold on this Washington team right now. Take the points!

5*Duke +3

This one is simple for me. Two weeks to prepare for the option and the Blue Devils are 8-1 ATS against option teams under their current head coach.

5*Oakland Raiders +6

This line feels inflated to me, especially considering the Raiders' defense is comparable to LAC on a net yards per play basis (6.9 to 6.5). Actually, the Raiders' defense has a better QB rating against figure than the home team. Oakland could be the host as the stadium will have its share of of Raider fans. Oakland has been waiting for this matchup as the Chargers swept the season series last year. Both teams are not getting to the QB much as the Chargers have 8 sacks while Oakland has 5. The Chargers are ranked #31 in special teams while the Raiders are ranked #19 at Football Outsiders. Oakland is being undervalued so far this season. The Chargers are nicked up on the offensive line. Take the points with Oakland and its 2nd-ranked offense at 442 yards per game. I wouldn't be shocked if this line closes at less than five.

5*Buffalo Bills +3.5

In the NFL, teams are not as bad or good as they look the week before. This has to be a trap line where the oddsmakers are begging you to play the chalk. The Bills return home after getting shutout while the Titans just defeated the defending Super Bowl champions in dramatic upset fashion. These teams are just 13-41 SU in the very next game. The Bills defense is sneaky good allowing 5.3 net yards per play, while the Titans are allowing 5.7 net yards per play. Tennessee has been outgained in eight of their past nine games dating back to last season. When the Titans defeated Jacksonville they were just +1 yard better in the stats. They have played back-to-back physical games and this has upset written all over it. Take the Bills!

5*Mississippi State +4

The Bulldogs are coming off two listless games and the line is only 4 points. Trap. The public is backing the Tigers by a tune of 79%. Taking the points with the better offense and defense. The home crowd should be fired up in this upset maker. 

5*NC State -4.5

NC State has outgained their opponent in 9 straight games dating back to last season. Boston College is leaking oil having been outgained in their past two tilts. The Wolfpack has a lot of team speed something BC is lacking right now The Eagles come into this game "nicked" up on offense. The backups will be tested for sure. I'll take the host by at least a touchdown.

4*New York Giants +3.5

4*Arizona Cardinals +3.5

5*Chicago Bears -3

This will the Buccaneers longest road trip so far this season and they have fewer days to prepare. The Bears are ranked #1 in total defense while the Bucs are ranked #29 at Football Outsiders. Chicago is ranked 10 spots higher in overall team efficiency. The Bears will have a huge advantage in special teams as well. There are distractions with Winston coming back so that means Fitzpatrick took less reps in practice. Tampa Bay has played three high-scoring games to begin the season and this feels like a flat spot to me. Take the Bears!

5*California Golden Bears +3 (-103)

  This will be the Ducks' fifth game in 28 days. Tough. They blew a 10-point lead with 3:12 left in the final quarter against Stanford only to lose in OT last week. That was a game they really wanted to win. I don't think this is a great spot for the Ducks considering the Golden Bears will be playing with two weeks to prepare. Last season, Oregon defeated California 45-24, while Outrushing them 328-8. That's right, the Golden Bears only had 8 rushing yards for the entire game. The home team is holding opponents QB to a 91.8 rating, while Oregon is allowing QB foes to pass at a 144.7 clip. That ranks in the bottom half for any winning team so far this season. Take the home dog in this one! 

4*BYU +17.5

4*Georgia Southern +3.5

4*Indianapolis Colts +7

4*San Francisco 49ers +7

4*Washington Redskins +3.5

4*Oregon Ducks +2.5

4*Vanderbilt +2.5

4*Purdue +7

5*Indianapolis Colts +6

The Colts are my top selection in the Wise Guys contest. Love them in this spot. The Colts allowed the Bengals three scores in the final 19 minutes otherwise this line would be closer to 4.5 points. The Colts have an underrated front 7 in my opinion and they outgained the Bengals 380-330 last week. Washington defeated a team that is projected to be one of the worst. The Redskins ran 75 plays and you want to fade NFL favorites that run 70+ plays off a win. I know for a fact the oddsmakers inflated this line on purpose. The Colts with Andrew Luck at QB are a sparkling 10-1 ATS as underdogs when playing off a loss.

5*Pittsburgh Steelers -4

I don't play favorites in the NFL very often but this should be a great spot for the home team. The Steelers had a 21-7 lead in the 4th quarter against the Browns and only managed a tie. I had Cleveland as a service selection so I was happy with that result. The Steelers committed 6 turnovers and I believe they will be extremely focused in their home opener. The public always remembers what they saw last and that's why this line has come down from the opening number of Steelers -5.5. At one high-limit sportsbook 82% of the bets are on Kansas City. They are pounding the Chiefs while the Wise Guys are all over Pittsburgh. I don't think this line will dip below 4. It might go back up though. The Steelers are 51-33 ATS as home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993. Take the black and gold! 

10*Utah Utes +7

The Utes are a real team and have this game circled on their calendar. The Huskies already played their biggest game of the season in week one against Auburn. Utah has been holding back in terms of scheming in anticipation of this matchup. The Utes are 36-19 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points since 1993. Washington has a huge revenge game on deck against Arizona State. Take the home dog!

 4*TCU +13.5

4*Syracuse +3

4*Cleveland Browns +6

4*Houston Texans +7

5*New York Giants +3

The Giants should be much improved with new head coach Pat Shurmur running the show. The big handicap in this game is simple. The Jaguars have no clue what type of offense the Giants will be implementing. On the flip side, the Jaguars like to run the ball early and often thus making them kinda predictable. Take the home dog!

4*Stanford -5.5

5*Kansas State +9.5

I like the head coach and this team returns nearly all of its personnel on offense. The Wildcats defense held their last 8 foes below their scoring average last season. Kansas State had a scare last week in winning 27-24 against South Dakota. Should be much more focused in this one. This game should be a lot closer than most people think. Take the home team!

5*Western Michigan +6

This is a best bet selection based solely on my Power ratings. Because this is the first game of the year for both teams, I have this game at Syracuse -3.5. I will take the overlay with the home team.

4*Philadelphia Eagles +3.5

Yes the Vikings have a terrific defense, but don't sleep on this Eagles squad. Philadelphia has the #1 ranked front 7 according to Football Outsiders. Minnesota is ranked 13th. The Vikings played seven true road games (one in London where the crowd was cheering for them) that produced just a +2 point differential. To that point, they are ranked 21st in Net yards per play on the road. Minnesota is coming off an emotional miracle victory, and I wonder just how much pep they will have. I like the Eagles who are in the same exact spot as last week. A home team getting points in playoffs. Almost unheard of. Take Philly!

5*New Orleans Saints +5

This is a rematch from week one when the Vikings defeated New Orleans 29-19 as 3-point road underdogs. Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook played big roles so that game is meaningless. New Orleans has gone 9-6 SU and 12-3 ATS in revenge games of late. The Saints are ranked 1st in Net Yards per play (6.3) while the Vikings are averaging 5.4 Net Yards per play, which ranks 12th. We get the QB (Drew Brees) and head coach with significant more postseason experience. Sean Payton is 7-4 SU in the postseason, including a Super Bowl victory in 2009. Mike Zimmer is 0-1. The Saints are ranked 1st in overall team efficiency at Football Outsiders. The Vikings are ranked 4th. The Saints have the better numbers in five of the remaining six key analytical stats. New Orleans is also ranked higher in time of possession, red zone efficiency, and the kicking game. This is a classic overlay. Take the road dog!

5*Philadelphia Eagles +3

The Falcons played a very physical game last week and now must travel once again. Tough. This line would be Eagles -3.5 if Carson Wenztz was the starting QB. Yes he's the read deal, but Nick Foles has a lot of experience and his career QB rating is just six points lower than Matt Ryan. The Eagles have a strong running game (132.2 ypg) going up against a defense that is allowing 105 rushing ypg. The Falcons stop side is allowing a passer rating against of 88.4, which ranks last of the remaining playoff teams. Keep in mind, the Falcons are 6-12 ATS in all playoff games since 1993, including 1-6 ATS off an upset victory. Atlanta is ranked #15 in Overall Team Efficiency while the Eagles are ranked 5th at Football Outsiders. The Eagles are also ranked 5th in overall defense while the Falcons are ranked #22. Philadelphia is allowing just 211 passing yards per contest at home. Take the hungry and undervalued Eagles!

5*Alabama -3.5

I think the Crimson Tide will ride their experience and head coach to an easy victory. This line should be closer to 5. Georgia is coming off an emotional victory and now must travel back home to play a team on a mission after losing last year's Championship. Nick Saban has game planed extremely well against freshman QB's that are one-dimensional. I will swallow the 3.5 points and go with Alabama.

5*Carolina Panthers +7

These teams are very familiar with one another, and digging through the analytics I see some value on the underdog. The Panthers defense is ranked 7th at Football Outsiders while the Chiefs are ranked 30th. That's a big difference and consider the Panthers are allowing just 88 rushing yards per game, going against the Saints who like to run early. Carolina is ranked just eight spots lower than KC in overall team efficiency at Football Outsiders. It's also very difficult for a team (Saints) to defeat the same team (Panthers) three times in a given season. Carolina is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as underdogs. I'll take the points in this upset special!

5*Tennessee Titans +9

I think this line way too high. The Titans are allowing less yards per game and per play than the chalky Chiefs. The game will be played in freezing conditions and both teams will be playing a run first, pass late offense. The Titans have really good players on the offensive and defensive lines. Marcus Mariota will be able to pick up some key first downs with his running ability. Tennessee is much superior at stopping the run. Wild Card underdogs of 7 or more points with the better defense are cashing 66% over the past five seasons. This is a must take!

5*Miami U +6

Before the season started, I wrote about three College Football Spotlight teams which you can read at my website. The previous two (Michigan State & Texas) both won and covered their respected bowl games. Miami was my third. The Hurricanes should be pumped-up to play in the Orange Bowl at home. They've had tremendous success in this Bowl game and the fans will surely be on the Hurricanes' side. Wisconsin had its dream crushed in losing to Ohio State otherwise they would be in the playoffs. I think this line should be closer to 4. Don't forget ACC Bowl underdogs are 9-2 SU against Big 10 opponents. I will side with the Miami U plus the points.

10*New Mexico State +4.5

This should be named the Aggie Bowl. I believe the team from Las Cruces will be extremely motivated to win their first Bowl game since the 1960 Sun Bowl. It's been 57 years since New Mexico State has gone bowling. Only 275 miles from home, the team from Las Cruces should be well-represented in the stands. The Aggies of New Mexico State owns better stats on both sides of the ball, especially against other bowl teams. New Mexico State has dropped three straight against Utah State which brings me to this stat. Non-Conference triple revenge underdogs of 5 or less points are a sterling 12-2 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in the bowls. Lets take the generous 4.5 points in the Arizona Bowl!

5*Purdue +3

High-powered offenses (Arizona) tend to struggle as favorites with a month of rest. The Boilermakers improving defense will make it tough on Tate and company. Purdue went 5-2 ATS vs. other bowl teams while Arizona went 2-5 ATS. The Wildcats are allowing 6.5 net yards per play against other bowl teams while Purdue allowed just 5.5 net yards per play. Purdue had to pull an upset at Iowa to have a shot at a bowl game. I sense this will be a motivated team seeking to give Purdue its first winning season and bowl victory since 2011. Lastly, Rich Rodriguez has coached his teams to a 2-8 ATS bowl record in his career.

5*Northern Illinois +5.5

The Huskies own the better offense and defense. Duke is coming off back-to-back underdog revenge wins against GA Tech and Wake Forrest to become bowl eligible. They are now favorites despite going 2-5 SU and 2-5 ATS against other bowl teams. Not to mention, they were outgained in five of those seven games. Northern Illinois is allowing just 4.6 net yards per play while Duke is allowing 5.4 net yards per play. I like the Huskies plus the points!

4*San Francisco 49ers +4.5

5*Cincinnati Bengals +5.5

This one is quite simple for me. I believe the Bengals will play extremely hard in the last home game that Marvin Lewis will coach in. The Lions are a dome team having to play in very cold conditions where the kickoff temp is expected to be in the mid 30s. The Bengals are 7-1 ATS as home underdogs in December under Lewis. Take the Cats!

4*Tennessee Titans +7

5*Central Michigan +1

Central Michigan should be extremely motivated after losing last year's Bowl game by 45 points. The Chippewas are averaging 5.9 net yards per play on the road compare to 3.9 for Wyoming, which ranks 4th worst in the nation. Eight or more win bowl teams coming off a 40+ bowl loss have gone 9-3 SU of late. I have CM as 2-point chalk so lets trust my numbers and take the Chippewas.

3*LA Tech +5

10*Houston Texans +11.5

I have upgraded the Texans now that T. J. Yates will be under Center. Yates is 5-0 ATS in his career as an underdog and he played well in relief last week. Jacksonville is coming off a big win against the Seahawks last Sunday. Division home favorites are just 3-15 ATS after facing Seattle under Pete Carroll. This is a rematch from week one when the Jags crushed Houston 29-7. We note that Jacksonville benefited from a 4-0 turnover margin, while only gaining 280 total yards. The Texans remember how bad they played and have been waiting for this one. Also, double digit division underdogs are cashing close to 70% if they lost the first meeting by more than 20 points over the past decade. Jacksonville has played the fifth easiest schedule in all of football. Finally, the Jags have a huge revenge game against the Titans next week from a week two 37-16 home loss. Take the road dog!

5*Boise State +7.5

The Broncos have better numbers against other bowl teams than Oregon and it's really not close. I am really surprised this line is a full touchdown. Bowl favorites off a 65+ point victory are 4-12 ATS of late. The Broncos have been terrific in bowl games as medium range underdogs (4 -7 points) going 4-0 in their last four tries. Boise State went 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS against other bowl teams with a net yards gained of +42. Oregon went 3-5 SU and 3-5 ATS against fellow bowlers with a net yards gained of +4. Boise State is 26-14 ATS as an underdog of any kind since 1993. Take the points in the Las Vegas Bowl!

4*North Texas +7

North Texas should be extremely motivated after winning 9 games this season. Before the season started, NT was projected to win about four games. They allowed 41 points to FIU in their final regular season game and should be pumped up in this spot. North Texas played a tougher schedule than Troy, and the Mean Green went 4-4 SU and 4-4 ATS against fellow bowlers. The Trojans are 1-3 ATS as bowl chalk. I think this will be a one possession game so I will take the points with the Mean Green.

4*Arizona Cardinals +3

4*Carolina Panthers +3

4*New York Giants +4

5*Seattle Seahawks +6

The Eagles are 10-1 SU which looks really good. However, nine of those 10 victories have come against teams with currently a losing record. The Seahawks have lost their past two home games so I would expect a big time effort in this spot. Seattle has a Net Yards per play of 5.9 at home while the Eagles check in at 5.8 Net Yards per play on the road. The Eagles held the Bears to a 38.3 passer rating last week. In the last seven times an NFL team has held their opponent to a passer rating of 40 or below, six of those teams have lost the game outright. This line would suggest that the Seahawks would be 12-point underdogs if this game was in Philly. No way that would happen. This line should be closer to 4.5 points. Lastly, the Seahawks are 17-9 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993. Take the hungry host!

4*Wisconsin +7

5*Georgia +3

Auburn has played two emotional games in a span of three weeks. Teams have been a solid play against after upsetting Alabama with no rest. Georgia has a very impressive 7.2 net yards per play in their home state while the Tigers have a net yards per play of 5.4 on the road. I think the Bulldogs have the better offense and defense. I got to believe the Bulldogs will be pumped-up for this rematch of its only loss of the season. Georgia has cashed seven of their past nine tries in same season revenge games. Take the underdog in this upset maker!

4*LA Rams -120 (money line)

The Saints are coming off an emotional come-from-behind win against the Redskins last week. New Orleans hasn't played any game this season were the game time temp was above 75 degrees outdoors. The game time temp will be close to 80 and the Saints are more accustomed to playing indoors. The Saints home/road splits suggest they are much better at home or in a dome. The Rams are coming off a loss and they have been at their best in this role in 2017. The Rams' defense is holding opposing QB's to a 74.3 rating, which ranks 3rd. Also, teams off an overtime victory in which they scored 30 or more points, have been a great play against (14-3 ATS) if they play on the road against a winning team.

4*Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10

Tampa Bay has been solid on the road this season with a 5.7 net yards per play. My power rankings would make Atlanta 7-point chalk. The Buccaneers are ranked 25th in overall team efficiency while the Falcons are ranked 17th according to Football Outsiders. This line would reflect the Falcons ranking in the top 10. I believe this line is inflated so lets take the double digit points in this huge rivalry game. 

5*Fresno State +7

10*Iowa State +3

The Wildcats became bowl eligible in last week's 45-40 win against Oklahoma State. It was a phony win as they were outgained by 89 yards. In fact, Kansas State has been outgained in eight consecutive games. I have to question the host's motivation in this spot. They really can't improve their bowl position. On the flip side, we have a team that fully remembers what happened last season. Iowa State lost at home to these Wildcats 31-26 despite outgaining K-State 493-398. This is a circled game on the calendar for the Cyclones. We also get 3 points with the better defense that is allowing 59 fewer yards per game and 5.4 fewer points per game. I love using net yards per play in my handicapping process because it takes turnovers out of the equation. Iowa State has a net yards per play of 6.3 on the road while Kansas State checks in at 5.5 in home games. Overall, they are right next to each other in the rankings. The Cyclones also have a solid advantage in the red zone. Look for the road team improve to 10-3 ATS this season!

3*Dallas Cowboys +2.5

5*Chicago Bears +3

The key handicap to this game is a clear one. The Bears rushing attack (121.8 per game) going up against a defense that is ranked No. 32 in stopping the run at Football Outsiders. The Lions won last week 38-24, despite getting outgained by 68 yards against Cleveland. The Lions are ranked No. 32 in run-blocking and 23rd in pass protection. The Bears can't wait for this game. The host is ranked 4th in sacks and their defensive line is ranked 2nd overall at Football Outsiders. The forecast calls for temps in the low 30s and a tad breezy. The Lions won't be accustomed to those conditions. Detroit is 8-14 SU & 6-15 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1993. John Fox has been solid in his career after losing two or more games. Take the Bears in this upset maker!

4*Cleveland Browns +8

3*Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK

5*Texas Tech +7.5

This is a big game for the Red Raiders looking to become bowl-eligible. The host has a real shot as Texas Tech ranks 10 spots higher in Net Yards per play over TCU. The Horned Frogs are coming off an emotional season-crushing loss against Oklahoma. That's always tough to bounce back from. TCU is 9-18 ATS as a favorite over the past three seasons while Texas Tech is 8-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points of late. I have this game as a 6-point spread so lets trust my numbers and take the home underdog.

4*Cleveland Browns +11

4*Indianapolis Colts +10

4*Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5

4*LA Chargers +4

4*Cincinnati Bengals +5

10*Utah +1.5

I think Washington State is spent having played 10 straight weeks without rest. They will get a BYE next week before facing arch rival Washington U. The Cougars played a very physical game last week against Stanford and now must play a high-altitude game. Tough. The road team is one-dimensional on offense, averaging just 85 rushing yards per game compared to 161 for the host. The Utes are 8-2 ATS when playing teams with a winning record over the past three seasons. Utah has a Net yards per play of 5.8 at home, while WA State is at 5.3 Net yards per play on the road. College Football Home underdogs (above .500) that out-rush its opponent are 52-24 ATS this decade. Take the Utes!

5*Georgia Tech +3

After Virginia Tech saw its Coastal Title hopes dashed, this spot sets up perfectly for the Yellow Jackets to catch the Hokies sleeping with the early kickoff. The host runs that option up and down the field and are intent on snapping their recent slump. This team should be pumped up trying to stay in the hunt for a Bowl game. The Jackets are ranked five spots higher in Net yards per play over the Hokies. Take the hungry host.

5*Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7

The Buccaneers are not as bad as their record indicates. Tampa Bay has outgained five of its seven opponents so far this season. The Saints are ranked 3rd (6.1) in net yards per play while the Buccaneers are ranked 5th (5.9) so far this season. Solid. New Orleans has cluster injuries on their offensive line. Division road underdogs of 6 or more points coming off three or more consecutive losses have been very profitable this decade. Take the road dog!

4*Miami FL +3

5*Southern Miss +7

The Golden Eagles are a real team with a better offense, defense, special teams, time of possession, and discipline. Southern Miss has a net yards per play of 5.8 including 6.4 on the road. They are ranked 44th overall compared to 121st (4.5 net yards per play) for the host. Tennessee is just 6-14 ATS as home chalk over the past three seasons, while Southern Miss is 9-4 ATS in Non-Conference games over the same time frame. Lastly, the Vols are the third worst team in the Nation in net yards per play at home (3.7). Southern Miss has been very good as underdogs off a loss of late. Take the road dog in what should be a very close game.

4*Chicago Bears +9.5

4*Buffalo Bills -2.5

4*LA Chargers +7.5

4*New Mexico State +4.5

4*Texas A&M +1.5

4*Vanderbilt +7

5*Cincinnati Bengals +5.5

The Steelers are coming off a very emotional victory, derailing the Chiefs from the undefeated ranks. The Bengals lost both games SU and ATS against Pittsburgh last season. I think the Bengals will be super focused coming off their BYE week. The Bengals have a real defense, allowing just 4.4 yards per play compared to 4.8 for the host. With this low total points should be at a premium. Take the home dog!

5*Chicago Bears +3.5

The Bears have a really good offensive line and sneaky good defense. The stop unit is allowing a QB rating of just 88.5 which is 9 points better than Carolina. The Bears are averaging 5.1 Yards per play with Trubisky which is an upgrade. He has all the skills to be a top-notch QB in this league. This will be Trubisky's third start and that bodes well coming off his best game with a 94 QB rating. Carolina is averaging 5.0 yards per play this season which ranks 24th. The Panthers have a huge revenge game on deck against the Buccaneers. The Bears are 7-3 ATS in October under John Fox. I think this line is way out of whack. Chicago is the best 2-4 team in the league and trending way up. Take the home dog in this upset maker!

3*Oregon +7

4*Ball State +3

3*Iowa -120 (ML)

5*Pittsburgh Steelers +5

The line on this game before the season started was Kansas City -2.5. I think this line is inflated based on how the Steelers looked last week. Big Ben five turnovers in one his worst performances of his career at Heinz Field. I think the Steelers will be super focused going against a Chiefs' team that has Oakland, Denver, and Dallas on deck. Pittsburgh has recorded the 3rd most sacks in the league while Kansas City has allowed the 3rd most. Great spot for the road dog!

4*LA Rams +3

5*Chicago Bears +7

Baltimore returns home feeling confident after their west coast upset at Oakland. The Bears have a sneaky good offensive line and a real defense, which ranks 6th overall, allowing 27 yards per game less than the Ravens. Joe Flacco has the second worst quarterback rating (71.6) this season. Mitchell Trubisky should be able to make some chunk plays with his feet while avoiding the pass rush. The Bears are ranked 27th in yards per play (4.9) while the Ravens are ranked 29th (4.6). The Bears are upgraded at the QB position now while the host is just 1-6 ATS in non-conference games of late. Take the road dog!

10*Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +6.5

Miami is coming off two physical contests against Duke and FSU. The Hurricanes won last week despite getting outgained by 69 yards. Georgia Tech is averaging 6.4 net yards per play while Miami is averaging 6.5 net yards per play. The Yellow Jackets have two weeks to prepare for this revenge game as Miami won 35-21 at GA Tech despite getting outgained 361-355 last October. We are getting some nice value with the better defense in almost every measurable stat on the stop side. Miami is 1-3 SU in their last four tries after playing FSU. Take the generous 6.5 points with the road dog in this upset maker!

5*Dallas Cowboys -2

I had the Rams last week in part because I thought Dallas was looking ahead to this game. The Packers have eliminated the Cowboys from the playoffs in two of the past three seasons. Dallas really needs this game going into their BYE week. Dallas gets Anthony Hitchens (LB) and David Irving (DE) back and those two players should help going against a Packers' team that plays Minnesota next week. Take the host at -2 or less!

4*LA Rams PK -110

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5

5*Arizona U +7

The Wildcats committed five turnovers in a 6-point loss against Utah two weeks ago. Arizona outgained the Utes by 107 yards. The Wildcats have two weeks to prepare for this big revenge game as they lost by 25 points last season, despite winning the stats by a 412-388 mark. Colorado is just 1-5 straight-up in their last six tries after playing UCLA. Take the road dog in this upset maker!

4*Pittsburgh U +3.5

4*Cleveland Browns +3.5