Football Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
01-14-12 |
New Orleans Saints v. San Francisco 49ers +4 |
Top |
32-36 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is the Saints first road game in a month and 3 of their last 4 road games were indoors in a dome. This is a true outdoor road game against a team with 2 weeks to prepare. Also, New Orleans is a much different team on the turf and the SF defense will keep them in check. The Saints offense put up over 600 yards last week and didn't even punt. They'll come back down to earth tonight! This was a 3 pt game late in the 3rd quarter and the 49ers defense is 5X as good as Detroits. New Orleans won
|
01-09-12 |
Alabama v. LSU |
Top |
21-0 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 0 m |
Show
|
The Tide roll in with the top-ranked scoring defense in the land, just 9 PPG, while holding all 11 FBS foes to 14 or fewer points this season. I dont see Nick Saban losing twice in the same year to the same team. Alabama
|
01-08-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
23-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
Despite all of the injuries for the Steelers, it wont matter against this over-rated Broncos team. The points totals for Denver in their last four games: 10, 23, 14, 3, three of them on this home field. The Steelers
|
01-08-12 |
Atlanta Falcons +3 v. NY Giants |
Top |
2-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
The Falcons have won 24 regular season games in the last two seasons, and Atlanta and New York are very similar in that each offense was originally built to run the ball a lot, but has made a desperate attempt at becoming wannabe passing teams to keep up with the passing fancy in the NFL. Offensive coordinators Kevin Gilbride and Mike Mularkey (who worked together in Pittsburgh 11 years ago) have had mixed results with better-than-average quarterbacks and receiving corps stocked with talent, while their rushing attacks have suffered for it and their defenses spend too much time on the field because of it. But yards are yards and points are points and the favored Giants have allowed more points than they
|
01-07-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals +4 v. Houston Texans |
Top |
10-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
CINCINNATI PLUS THE POINTS.... The Texans clinched their playoff spot relatively early
|
01-06-12 |
Kansas State +9.5 v. Arkansas |
Top |
16-29 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
Don't for a second think that this is not a statement game for Kansas State against Arkansas and the SEC. Kansas State has a dynamic rushing attack as they are Top 25 in the country in rushing and Top 30 in the country in points scored. Kansas State is also excellent against the rushing attack as well so this will force Arkansas into the air and I suspect that they will move back here to force Arkansas into many underneath throws. This is the same Kansas State team that lost 45-52 against Oklahoma State on the road, who are 9-3 ATS this year, who beat Miami on the road 28-24, and who beat Mizzou, Baylor and beat Texas outright on the road. In fact, Kansas State has been placed as an underdog eight times this year, they are 7-1 ATS in those eight times and won six of those games outright. This team really get motivated as an underdog and I like them here on Friday night plus the points. 5*
|
01-04-12 |
West Virginia v. Clemson -3 |
Top |
70-33 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
Clemson battled through a tough final month of the season, falling from an Undefeated contender to limp into the ACC championship. The Tigers came up big In that game and several other big games and this is an explosive offensive team. West Virginia has really struggled Against several average teams and may not be able to keep up in this match-up if Clemson plays up to its potential. CLEMSON is now healthy and has the better defense. 5*
|
01-03-12 |
Michigan -3 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
23-20 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
Michigan has a major edge on the offensive line and I expect Robinson to have a monster night. Michigan seeks its fourth straight victory when it faces a Virginia Tech tonight and I like them to get us the cash. The Wolverines will run the football with QB Denard Robinson (97 rushing YPG) and RB Fitzgerald Toussaint (92 rushing YPG) have led Michigan to 738 rushing yards (246 YPG) in the past three weeks. Michigan finished the season very strong and I like them by double digits in the dome tonight. 5*
|
01-02-12 |
Stanford +5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
38-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
The Cowboys felt slighted by the BCS and have been depressed the last few weeks.
I expect a huge game for Andrew Luck and he'll spread the ball around to his WR's and TE's.
Stanford has a good pass rush, and Stanford did well against the run this season and I like them to pull the upset here in the Fiesta Bowl so take the 5 points and the Underdog Stanford. 10*
|
01-02-12 |
Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 |
Top |
38-45 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
CHip Kelly takes a ton of pride in his style of play and is out to prove it will work on a national stage. The Ducks defense was also better against better teams, where Wisconsin was not. In conference games, Wisky
|
01-02-12 |
Penn State +8 v. Houston |
Top |
14-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
Penn St has always played well in their Bowl games. Head coach BRadley will have the boys ready. the Nittany Lions might not be in such bad shape here, as couldn
|
01-01-12 |
Dallas Cowboys +3 v. NY Giants |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
The Cowboys Tony Romo
|
01-01-12 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons -10 |
Top |
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
I can
|
01-01-12 |
NY Jets +3 v. Miami Dolphins |
Top |
17-19 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Jets aren
|
12-31-11 |
Virginia v. Auburn -2.5 |
Top |
24-43 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
I beleive with the extra time off Auburn with the extra practice time will be ready for this game. Auburn is one of the youngest bowl teams with only 5 senior starters and they played one of the toughest schedules this season. I'll take an SEC team over an ACC team anytime and Viringia is usually turnover prone. Also we have a SUPER STAT on our side as Bowl teams who were shutout in their previous game are 1-9 ATS 90% since 1985. Lets back Auburn here.
|
12-31-11 |
Utah v. Georgia Tech -2 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
I like Georgia Tech over the Utes, giving the points. The Yellow Jackets controlling running game will be a monster to defend against, with QB Tevin Washington and Orwin Smith. Georgia Tech has no problem putting up big numbers on anyone they face. Utah started the season sluggish, but came back on the year, although never really beating anyone with clout. Led by a good run defense, but it wont be good enough to stop Tech
|
12-30-11 |
Iowa v. Oklahoma -13.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* On the Oklahoma side of the offense the Sooners have had little trouble this season moving the football. QB Landry Jones has put up huge numbers completing 63% passing for 4,302 yards with 28 scores and 14 picks but finished the season poorly. If he wants to be a top draft pick this year for the NFL he needs to shine today Wide outs Kenny Stills and Jaz Reynolds are both big time players in the receiving core. Of course the biggest star in the receiving core is WR Ryan Broyles but Broyles was lost for the season with an ACL injury. Therefore both Stills and Reynolds must continue to pick up the slack which has not been much of an issue. With so much talent in the passing game, it's hard to imagine anyone slowing down the Sooners offense and they should pick apart this Iowa defense.
The Sooners own the 4th best offense in the nation averaging 532 yards per game and as previously mentioned the offense has been responsible for 40 points per game.
I just think Oklahoma's offense is too much here barring excessive turnovers. The Hawkeyes defense has had some horrific performances against the pass this season and that spells disaster in this scenario. Oklahoma will just have to contain McNutt as he is the only real threat that Iowa has.
|
12-30-11 |
Rutgers v. Iowa State |
Top |
27-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
Look for ISU and their swarming D to come up with a couple of turnovers in this game and take care of a Rutgers team who is lost on offense and a special teams disaster. Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. They are shading this line to give Rutgers some
|
12-29-11 |
Washington v. Baylor -9.5 |
Top |
56-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
Seeing Robert Griffin carry off the Heisman Trophy re-affirmed some of our faith in the often-convoluted world of modern college football (we won
|
12-29-11 |
Notre Dame v. Florida State -3.5 |
Top |
14-18 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
I'll ride the Seminoles because of their quick and tough defense. The Irish have struggled offensively all season. Tommy Rees, pulled from the season-closing loss to Stanford, starts today again at quarterback, but don't be surprised to see Andrew Hendrix get considerable time. ND turns the ball way to much and it will hurt them today.
They face a very athletic FSU defense that gets after QBs and is No. 2 in the nation at stopping the run, holding opposing backs to 2.3 yards per carry.
It is the speed of that defense that is the key element here, helping to create field position along with a punting unit that was #1 in the nation. And while the State offense did not develop on schedule, some of that was the result of E. J. Manuel missing some key stretches (like those losses to Oklahoma and Clemson). They bring enough to handle what is asked of them in this matchup.
The Noles go as QB E.J. Manual goes, and the signal-caller is the healthiest he's been in a while after battling injuries throughout the regular season.
FSU upset South Carolina in bowl play last year. Today they get the job done again. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play
|
12-28-11 |
California v. Texas -3.5 |
Top |
10-21 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
Texas, while not close to where they want to be, are an improving squad after a sub-.500 record last year. Head coach Mack Brown made some nice preseason coaching hires and the results showed. TExas struggled late in their last 5 games as several players were injuried including their top 2 RB's. Now that they are back, I expect a big performance tonight! A win in this game would be get that arrow squarely pointed upward with Texas as an up-and-coming squad. 5*
|
12-28-11 |
Toledo v. Air Force +3.5 |
Top |
42-41 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
Air Force has put up 42 or more points in 3 of their last 5 games as the offense was ticking. It is now 5 bowl trips in as many seasons for the Falcons as a tribute to the fundamentals and discipline they play with, and their ability to tweak the playbook. Yes, there is still a lot of option football being played, but with SR QB Tim Jefferson at the controls, they were also able to open up and throw it down the field
|
12-27-11 |
Louisville +2.5 v. North Carolina State |
Top |
24-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
I like Louisville tonight they can eliminate an aspect of NC State and make them one dimensional and that's the running game which is ranked 107th anyway. Give Strong 4 weeks to prepare for a one dimensional offense that can't protect their QB's and I see Louisville which has been an underdog all year coming up with another big win. The Cardinals put up 34 points in back to back games to close out the regular season against two very talented defenses in South Florida and Uconn and now they play another talented defense in NC State. NC State has had a much easier schedule to get to this point as they've faced two FCS foes and the average defense as far as total yards allowed was 60th compared to Louisville's opponents which came in at 45th. Louisville had to go up against 5 top 20 rushing defenses from ypc stand point and they themselves are ranked 9th. NC State did not play too well vs. Cincinatti ( Big East Opponent) and FSU who are the closest in scoring defense and rushing defense both in the top 10 too. I like Louisville here plus the 2 pts. 5*
|
12-27-11 |
Western Michigan v. Purdue -1.5 |
Top |
32-37 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
Purdue is a lot better than what people think. Western Michigan gave up an average of 434 yards a game, which was second to last in the MAC, a conference that
|
12-26-11 |
North Carolina +5 v. Missouri |
Top |
24-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is probably a disappointing Bowl for both teams that thought their seasons had much greater potential. But, both finished with identical 7-5 records. The Tigers offense struggled down the stretch where they scored just 24 points per game in their last three. Two of those games were against Texas Tech and Kansas.
The Tar Heels lost three of their last five, but two of them were to Virginia Tech and Clemson. Their defense was strong down the stretch allowing just 20.5 ppg, and with a struggling Missouri offense, the points look like the valued side here. The Tar Heels have been a very good choice as a dog where they are now 19-9 ATS in their last 28. Missouri has laid a goose egg (0-7 ATS) vs teams that can pass the ball and NC can pass and have a very good defense. I like NC plus the points here. 5*
|
12-24-11 |
Nevada +10 v. Southern Mississippi |
Top |
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
Southern Mississippi's head coach Larry Fedora has accepted the North Carolina coaching position, but Southern Miss elected to have him coach the team in this bowl game. I'm not really sure that was a wise idea and I'm not really sure that the players will be 100% focused for this game. We have seen it time and time again when a team rallies around a coach that has been fired, but you have to question the teams motivation when the coach leaves for another school on their own. Nevada is a very dangerous team and the pistol offense of the Wolfpack will put points on the board with the one two punch of quarterback Cody Fajardo and Tyler Lantrip. The Wolfpack also knows how to focus for a trip to the Islands as this will be their sixth game that they have played here in the last seven years while Southern Miss might be enjoying the warm weather and the beaches a little too much. Take the points with NEVADA here. 5*
|
12-24-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles +1 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
20-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
5*
|
12-24-11 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 |
Top |
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
Arizona has played well lately, but they faced St. Louis twice, Cleveland, Dallas at home where it has always struggled and San Francisco at home right after it clinched the division. NOW - Heading east in cold weather December after a three-game homestand is not easy. The Bengals kept their playoff hopes alive with a win at St. Louis and heads home for the final two games of the regular season. Currently the Jets own the tiebreaker based on a better record against common opponents but it is up to the Bengals to get their own business taken care of. The Bengals matchup very well against big backs. This season they have faced eight running backs that fits Wells' category of a big running back (over 220 pounds) and the Bengals have allowed only 484 yards on 3.3 ypc which is very impressive.
The Cardinals have been better of late, but they are still ranked just 20th overall and 17th in scoring. results, we are working with a good line on the home team. The Cardinals have not hit the road in a month and they have not acclimated well to the situation at hand here as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games in December, losing those games by an average of 2 touchdowns. Also, they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, losing by 21.1 ppg. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the BENGALS.
|
12-24-11 |
NY Giants v. NY Jets -3 |
Top |
29-14 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
I like the better defense and running game of the JETS here. The Giants are doing what has become their annual lateseason Mark Sanchez has a career-high 23 TD passes and the Giants secondary is banged up. The Jets are very good at home and the Giants have struggled on this field this year. JETS get my call here on Saturday. 10*
|
12-22-11 |
Arizona State +15 v. Boise State |
Top |
24-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
Arizona St has talent and is much better than their record. They have also played a much tougher schedule than Boise St. Dennis Erickson is coaching his last game for the Sun Devils after being let go following a disappointing finish to the season but we've seen many teams in the past rise to the occasion under the same circumstances and play their asses off to try and send their coach off a winner. The Sun Devils closed the year with four straight losses but it wasn
|
12-21-11 |
Louisiana Tech v. TCU -9 |
Top |
24-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
The TCU Horned Frogs wrapped up their 4th straight 10 win season with a 56-9 shellacking over UNLV in the regular season finale. The Horned Frogs finished the year with a 10-2 mark on the season. Looking back, the argument could be made that TCU just narrowly missed a 2nd straight undefeated season. TCU fell to Baylor 50-48 in their opener and then again in overtime to Southern Methodist midway through the year. TCU is young, but gained confidence and experience as the season went on. The Bulldogs of Lou Tech closed out the season with 7 straight victories to capture just their 2nd Western Athletic Conference Championship in school history but this isn't a strong conference. TCU knows how to put up a lot of points on opponents. In fact, the Horned Frogs rank 9th in scoring and have averaged over 41 points per game this year. The offense is led by a solid rushing attack that has racked up over 210 yards per game on the ground this season. The TCU offense is loaded with 3 different tailbacks in the backfield and they can all be very effective. TCU's record in the postseason is rather impressive as they have won 6 of their last 7 bowl games. Also, the Horned Frogs are 2-0 in their previous two Poinsettia Bowl appearances as well. 10* BOWL BLOWOUT!
|
12-20-11 |
Florida International -4.5 v. Marshall |
Top |
10-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
I realize that Marshall played the 5th toughest schedule in the nation, but they lost all of those games by 23 or more points. The Herd did go 4-2 in their last 6 games and their 4 wins were all vs losing teams, but they did struggle in the wins as they needed OT to beat a bad East Carolina team, they won by just 1 point over a 2-10 Memphis team and they won by just 4 over a 4-8 rice squad.
This is a team with many problems on defense as they are 87th overall (418 ypg) and 84th in points allowed 30.2 ppg, plus they are 100th vs the pass (262.8 ppg). The Offense for the Herd has not been that impressive as they have put up just 335 ypg (101st) and 22 ppg (98th).
FIU has a very talented, athletic, and aggressive defense. The Panthers are ranked 16th in the nation in scoring defense with just 19.4 points allowed per game. FIU was ranked in the top three in every defensive category in its conference, and led the Sun Belt in sacks per game with 3.6 per contest. On offense FIU has a star in T.Y. Hilton. The senior wideout caught 64 passes for 950 yards this year despite dealing with injuries along the way. Hilton was the favorite target of senior quarterback Wesley Carroll throughout the year. Carroll has not thrown an interception in three games, and has had the luxury of one of the better pass-blocking units in the nation, as FIU is only allowing 1.1 sacks per game. I'll take the veteran team with better special teams with TY Hilton and they should with this one rather easily. 5*
|
12-19-11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
3-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been the most opportunistic team in the NFL for decades and the door has opened once again for them. The Steelers clinched a playoff spot on Sunday. Most importantly, the Ravens loss last night gives the Steelers full control of the division. With three straight wins, beginning here, Pittsburgh will secure a first-round bye and home field thereafter.
Ben Roethlisberger is expected to start tonight and the decision had nothing to with the Ravens' loss Sunday night in San Diego. The Steelers reached the decision to start Roethlisberger before the Ravens' 34-14 loss to the Chargers. When there
|
12-18-11 |
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
14-34 |
Loss |
-121 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
I like Baltimore over the San Diego Chargers, giving the 1.5 points. The Ravens winners of 4 straight behind the play of Ray Rice, who is having a incredible season, with 1029 rushing YDs, 593 receiving YDs, and 12 total TDs on the season so far. He will give fits for the Chargers, who have given up 100 or more rushing yards 7 times on the season. The Chargers give Rivers so protection this year and I expect the Ravens defense to have a field day. The best part is that you can always count on a few scores set up by the Baltimore defense, even more so now that Rivers has to make almost all of the Chargers big plays on his own and forces the ball deep way too often. 10* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR!
|
12-18-11 |
Seattle Seahawks +3.5 v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Seahawks are playing really good football right now. They rely on Marshawn Lynch heavily and in a contract year he has delivered the goods in a big way. Their ability to keep the ball on the ground and control the pace of the game enables them to have a ton of confidence in the fourth quarter and against this Bears team that looks lost right now, that means a lot. The Seahawks have a great chance to win this game, and stay in the playoff hunt. Lets play Seattle plus the points here. 5*
|
12-17-11 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 |
Top |
31-15 |
Loss |
-120 |
31 h 10 m |
Show
|
Tampa Bay owns home victories against division rivals New Orleans and Atlanta. The Buccaneers should get excited, for this matchup on the NFL Network and being their last home game on the season and probably playing for their coaches job. Dallas operates off a short week since playing Sunday night, with one less dangerous running back than they had prior to last week
|
12-11-11 |
Oakland Raiders +12.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
16-46 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Raiders are still very much in the hunt for an AFC West title and with Tim Tebow and the Broncos as their only real threat I wouldn
|
12-11-11 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
22-17 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
New Orleans is 7-3 against the spread as a favorite this season and have covered easily in many of those contests. Drew Brees is having a great year and so is the Saints offense with multiple weapons and Brees is on pace to break Dan Marino
|
12-10-11 |
Army v. Navy -7 |
Top |
21-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Navy is by far the better team here. They offensive line and QB is much better. Navy also played a much tougher schedule and beat SMU and only lost to San Jose on the road and SC by only 3 points. In the last 9 meetings between these 2 teams the closest game was 12 points. 5*
|
12-05-11 |
San Diego Chargers -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
A win tonight by SD and they'll only be 2 games out of 1st place in their division. This is their season on MNF. Too much talent for this team to be riding a six-game SU and ATS losing streak and eventually that talent should win out. This week could be the spot, as Jacksonville is out of sorts after firing coach Jack Del Rio on Tuesday. The Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 in December while the Jags are on ATS downslides of 4-9-1 overall and 2-8-1 as an underdog. Plus, the Jags can
|
12-04-11 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals +5 |
Top |
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
Arizona is one of those teams that gets up to play the better teams in the league. They always have. In that same token, they are one of those teams that also plays down to any team as well. The atmosphere will be great in Arizona for this contest as the Cowboys come knocking. Arizona is the same team that has won 3 of their last 4 games including a big win against Rams on the road, defeating the Eagles as 13.5-point underdogs outright on the road and losing to the Ravens by just 3 points on the road as they were 12-point underdogs on the road. Its a little concerning to me that Dallas may have one eye on next week
|
12-04-11 |
Denver Broncos v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
35-32 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
Two of the worst passing offenses in football square off on the turf of Minnesota, as the Broncos chase an unlikely playoff berth. Denver brings the better defense and the better rushing attack. The Vikings will be without Adrian Peterson
|
12-03-11 |
Oklahoma +3.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
10-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
Defense is the key word for tonight's game! Unlike Oklahoma State who are ranked 107th in total defense Oklahoma is ranked 52nd and they are 30th vs. The run and 28th in scoring defense while Oklahoma State is ranked 65th. Oklahoma is 7th in the nation in sacks, while Oklahoma State has only allowed 11 on the season but they have faced 6 team defenses that are ranked 92nd or worse in sacks this year. It is also going to be very cold Saturday night in Stillwater and a chance of rain.
The Sooners are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and a PERFECT 9-0 ATS when they won their previous game by 20+ points.
I still think Oklahoma is the better team they have a defense that can make stops and the advantage Oklahoma State has in turnover margin won't be a factor as both teams turn the ball over around the same amount overall this year. Also when it came to 3rd down defense and red zone defense on the road Oklahoma got better showing that they are capable of stepping it up in hostile environments. Look for Oklahoma to step up in this rivalry and to get the outright win! 10* PERFECT PLAY!
|
12-03-11 |
Georgia +14 v. LSU |
Top |
10-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
Georgia opened the season with 2 straight losses,they were a very young team and continues to grow and get better each week and now has won 10 in a row. They have an explosive offense, averaging 34 ppg behind sophomore Aaron Murray (32 TDs, 10 INTs) and talented freshman RB Isaiah Crowell (832 yards). The defense (is great and burried Auburn with an edge in yards 527-195, so they are clicking at the right time. LSU is very good, but 14 points is a little too much. In their last 8 meetings, only once has LSU won by more than 7 points. 10* Underdog Diamond in the Rough
|
12-01-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
5*
|
12-01-11 |
West Virginia -2.5 v. South Florida |
Top |
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
Things aren
|
11-27-11 |
Denver Broncos +6 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
16-13 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a pivotal game in the race for the AFC West, and a surging Denver team comes into the contest with a decent chance to bury the slumping Chargers while keeping pace with the Raiders. SD is playing poor and turnover prone while Denver is RED HOT and playing last Thursday they had a few extra days to prepare. Protection has been a very serious issue for San Diego all year, and now LT Marcus McNeill (who was inconsistent at best this season) may be lost for the year with a neck injury. That bodes well for a Broncos team that has been terrorizing opposing quarterbacks in recent weeks, led by the stellar play of rookie Von Miller. This Denver offense won
|
11-26-11 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia +5.5 |
Top |
38-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
VIRGINIA is having a great year knocking off ranked GT, Miami, and FSU. Now they host #6 VTech and its a huge rivalry. Hokie sophomore QB Logan Thomas is still a question mark, we'll see how he plays on the road in a pressure situation this afternoon.
Virginia is very good and continues to get better. Their defense is limiting opponents to an average of 17.0 points over its last four games. I think this is a defensive battle and is decided late by a FG. PLAY VIRGINIA plus the points. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
|
11-25-11 |
Arkansas v. LSU -11.5 |
Top |
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
As we all know, the Tigers defensive reputation precedes itself. The Tigers own the 2nd best scoring defense giving up just 10 points per game and the 2nd best defense overall allowing just 247 points per game. Of course earlier this year, the Tigers shut down some of the nation's most potent offenses in Oregon and West Virginia. The Tigers defense has been their best offense this season keeping the Tigers "O" on the short side of the field. Therefore, it will be interesting to see if the Razorbacks are able to put together some drives to score points or at least just keep the field position battle neutral to allow their defense an opportunity. The key to LSU's offense is not beating their selves because their defense plays so well. I expect LSU to move the ball against Arkansas here this afternoon. Lee has done an outstanding job doing that this season and avoiding turnovers with just 3 picks on the year compared to 14 touchdowns. Even though LSU is not necessarily a big passing team, when Lee throws the ball well the offense can be explosive. Look for LSU to have a big game on the ground and through the air and their defense to keep Arkansas in check. PLAY LSU 10*
|
11-24-11 |
San Francisco 49ers +3.5 v. Baltimore Ravens |
Top |
6-16 |
Loss |
-109 |
22 h 37 m |
Show
|
One of the NFL's best team in SF and they are an underdog on Thursday night. SF hasn't allowed a 100 yard rusher all season and their defense is great! Alex Smith isn't making mistakes and the team is playing great! WR Mike Crabtree has stepped up and power RB Frank Gore is expected to play in this game. SF has played 4 road games this year and they were all on the EAST COAST which they won so I'm not buying the West Coast team flying East theory Baltimore has struggled this year and they haven't been a consistant or aggresive team. The 49ers are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall while Baltimore looks lost and Ray Lewis their defensive leader is banged up. The Ravens are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. 5* Turkey Day BEST BET
|
11-24-11 |
Green Bay Packers -6.5 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
27-15 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 39 m |
Show
|
Green Bay has won 10 of the last 11 meetings with Detroit and I see no difference Thursday afternoon. The Lions have allowed an average of 327 yards per game and 21.9 points per game and the Pack should score 35+ here.
GB has been 16 straight games dating back to last year. Green Bay is much better on offense and the defenses are equal. On 6 or less days of rest Green Bay is very good going 21-10 ATS over the last three seasons. ALso, Thursday
|
11-21-11 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. New England Patriots -16.5 |
Top |
3-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
Brady was terrific last week(329 yards with three TDs and zero INTs / 118.4 QB rating). The much-maligned New England D contained the Jets all game and while Sanchez threw for 306 yards, the Pats forced three turnovers (two INTs), kept New Yorks
|
11-20-11 |
San Diego Chargers v. Chicago Bears -3.5 |
Top |
20-31 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
The San Diego Chargers are 1-9 ATS last 3 years on the road when the total is 42 1/2 to 45 points. Chicago is 15-4 ATS since 1992 against AFC West division opponents. The truth of the matter is San Diego isn
|
11-19-11 |
Navy v. San Jose State +6.5 |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
The final home game of the season is on tap for the San Jose State Spartans this weekend as they break from Western Athletic Conference play to welcome the Navy Midshipmen to Spartan Stadium.
In the last few weeks, the San Jose State offense has finally been able to get on track, but wins have still been hard to come by, which was the case last week in the one-point loss to Utah State at Romney Stadium. Quarterback Matt Faulkner connected on 27-of-49 passes for 340 yards and one score, and Brandon Rutley ran for another, but it was kicker Jens Alvernik who really made things interesting with his four successful field goals. This San Jose team is much better than its record indicates with 3 losses by 3 points or less this year. Look for San Jose to put out a huge effort on Senior Day and their final home game of the season to cover this one as a home underdog. 10*
|
11-19-11 |
Iowa -1.5 v. Purdue |
Top |
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 6-4 with two games remaining while Purdue is
|
11-17-11 |
NY Jets v. Denver Broncos +7 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
Tebow completed only two passes and was still able to lead the Broncos to their third win in four tries with him at the helm while the Jets quarterbacking looks the same as it did in 2009 his rookie season. The defenses know what is coming with the Broncos offense and still cannot stop them. A win tonight by Denver and they'll be a surprise at 5-5.
The Jets played Sunday night and had a very short week to prepare for this game tonight along with travel. Denver is playing with intensity behind Tim Tebow who is 3-1 as a starter that will carry them tonight at home and getting 7 at home is very tasty. 5* selection on the Denver Broncos Thursday night.
|
11-13-11 |
Denver Broncos +3.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
Top |
17-10 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
DENVER won last week by running, running, running, defense and special teams. If you can do them well enough against mediocre competition, you can compete with a fine chance to win. The Chiefs are mediocre competition. Loved
|
11-13-11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 6 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh, which is tied with Miami for last in the league with four takeaways. They used to win with their tough defense and turnovers, but their defense is getting old and not getting the INT's and turnovers with good field position. The Bengals are very good on defense and playing great. The Steelers are off a brutal loss against the Ravens and it was a very physical game and the Steelers are banged up. The loss snapped Pittsburgh's four-game winning streak, and the 356 yards allowed were the most since giving up 385 to Baltimore in a season-opening 35-7 loss Sept. 11.
Pittsburgh's LaMarr Woodley will miss a second straight game due to a hamstring injury, but fellow linebacker James Farrior is probable to return after missing two games with a calf problem.
Cincinnati is playing great ball winning 5 straight and playing with confidence and I like them to pull the upset on Sunday at home over the Steelers. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK on CINCINNATI
|
11-12-11 |
Rutgers -8.5 v. Army |
Top |
27-12 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rutgers has been led by Mohamed Sanu, and the receiver continued his great season by hauling in 11 passes for 113 yards. The veteran wideout now has 844 yards and seven scores on 81 catches.
The offense has been able to work through its kinks because the defense has been outstanding for much of the season. Rutgers is a turnover forcing machine and comes into this weekend with 28 takeaways, which is second most in the nation while Army is very young and turns the ball over a lot this year.
Raymond Maples is Army's best player and he is OUT for this game. Army will get its production on the ground, but it will not be at its normal pace, because the Scarlet Knights have been tenacious defensively. Rutgers won't score much, but the team won't need to because the defense will do most of the work.
Rutgers shut down the Navy offense who runs a much better offense than Army does. I like RUTGERS BIG on Saturday as my 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR!
|
11-12-11 |
Texas v. Missouri +2 |
Top |
5-17 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 33 m |
Show
|
Texas has had only two true road games this year defeating weaklings UCLA and Iowa State and now travel to Missouri to play a desperate Tigers club (4-5) that needs a win here to become Bowl eligible. Texas finally hits the road for the first time in over a month as they played 4 straight home contests. Missouri likes to run the ball and pound it 40 times or more and with Henry Josey. Texas is ranked and played well at home, but now go on the road to play a very good Mizzu team. Don't get fooled by their records. TAKE MISSOURI as 10* SHOCKER.
|
11-10-11 |
Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers -7 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
The Raiders are a team that is reeling much worse than San Diego is. Oakland has lost two straight since the loss of quarterback Jason Campbell. Much has been made of the acquisition of Campbell
|
11-07-11 |
Chicago Bears +9 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
30-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
Chicago beat the Eagles last season at home in Soldier Field, 31-26, partly because of their ability to run the football (131 yards, 4.6 per carry). Cutler also had a huge game, with four touchdown throws and zero turnovers. You can't just look at one game and handicap a game. The Eagles had 2 weeks to prepare for Dallas last week and looked great! Now that line is over-inflated. The Eagles will win, but I don
|
11-06-11 |
Green Bay Packers -5.5 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
45-38 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
GREEN BAY is undefeated and in my eyes the best team in the NFL. They had 2 weeks to prepare while SD is still trying to figure out what happened on Halloween night when Rivers fumbled the snap and they could have won the game.
Aaron Rodgers will eat up this Chargers defense. SD is the worst 3rd down defensive team in the NFL and GB should pick them apart. Road favorites in the NFL off a bye week have gone an outstanding 37-13 ATS the L10 seasons league-wide for a 74% success rate. GREEN BAY falls into this category. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!
|
11-05-11 |
South Carolina +5.5 v. Arkansas |
Top |
28-44 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
The Gamecocks
|
11-05-11 |
Utah +4 v. Arizona |
Top |
34-21 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Arizona's defense was victimized by Washington running back Chris Polk a week ago, as Polk gained 144 yards and scored four touchdowns on 34 carries. The secondary picked off quarterback Keith Price three times, but Polk was able to score two touchdowns in the fourth quarter against a worn down defense to seal the win. Arizona is currently 113th in the country in total defense (467.2), and 110th in scoring defense (34.8). UTAH will be able to run the ball and control this game. The Arizona unit is also near the bottom in pass defense, ranking 116th and surrendering 293.2 yards per game. The Wildcats, who have recorded just seven sacks as a team this season, are led in tackles by Paul Vassallo, who has 53 stops. Arizona is a poor team with a new coach and Utah is better and will win here. 10*
|
11-05-11 |
Virginia v. Maryland +3 |
Top |
31-13 |
Loss |
-104 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
Virginia seems to play up or down to the level of their competition as they have beaten Georgia Tech and Miami and yet lost to NC State and Southern Miss as they are 2-6 ATS against teams with losing records. Terrapins coach Randy Edsall's club has lost six of seven but this is a major rivalry and the final home game for the Maryland seniors. Overall this season, Maryland is averaging 24.0 ppg and 382.4 total ypg. It is impressive that the Terps have lost only one fumble so far this season, and the club's 4.7 ypc average on running plays is solid. Meggett is a player to watch, as his quickness has enabled him to compile 625 rushing yards and three scores to date. Maryland has also generated 20 takeaways and is a plus-nine in turnover margin. In this final home game of the season for Maryland, expect the squad to gut out a narrow victory. 10*
|
11-03-11 |
Florida State v. Boston College +15.5 |
Top |
38-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
I think we have a solid play on Boston College to keep their game within the number hosting Florida State. It's not so much that I think the Eagles are any good, but rather the tremendous public backing of the obvious favorite here that has me fading the Seminoles.
Oddsmakers aren't stupid. They know everyone in the betting world will be playing the surging 'Noles here on National TV, so why in the hell would they give away money by setting a line that would reward all their backers? In other words, this line is big enough for BC to cover, but not big enough to scare away a public that's all hot and heavy for FSU. Also, BC knows they must win here to keep their slim bowl hopes alive. Between motivation, home field, cold NorthEast weather, familiarity and a generous number look for the Eagles to deliver the cash tonight. Take Boston College plus the points here. 5*
|
11-02-11 |
Temple v. Ohio +4 |
Top |
31-35 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
The home team has dominated this series winning all 4 matchups. Ohio has a huge passing attack and solid defense.
The Bobcats look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games in November. Ohio is the pick here tonight at home where the crowd will be rocking and wearing all black for a ESPN Nationally televised game.5*
|
10-31-11 |
San Diego Chargers -3 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
The first time they played it was a 3 pt game and then KC beat the Vikes and Colts who are BOTH AWFUL! Then they had 2 weeks to prepare for the Raiders who didn't have a QB. Now they face Rivers and SD who are off a terrible game both offensively and defensively. San Diego
|
10-30-11 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 50 m |
Show
|
I think game will be a total mismatch as coaching matters so much in NFL and Andy Reid off a BYE week is 12-0 in his career. Eagles at home should roll in this primetime game and with Felix Jones hurt and Dallas just CUT Tashard Choice on Saturday, they'll be hurting with inexperience at the RB position. Philly is now healthy and with the must need extra week off and of practice, they'll take down the Cowboys. The PHILLY corners shutdown the Dallas WR's and the Eagles outscores the Cowboys and win by 10+ as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR!
|
10-29-11 |
Wake Forest v. North Carolina -7 |
Top |
24-49 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
NORTH CAROLINA self destructed last week versus Clemson. They are now 5-3 and need a big win here. Last week they had a bunch of penalties and 6 turnovers. North Carolina
|
10-29-11 |
Syracuse v. Louisville -3 |
Top |
10-27 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
Defense vs no defense in this game. Simply put, Syracuse isn't a big fan of stopping the other team from scoring, they are supported on offense.
A better team putting pts on the board, bottom line, and moving the ball. With accurate Ryan Nassib at QB there are no issues there. And with Phillip Thomas roaming the secondary, he can disrupt some plays, but he
|
10-26-11 |
Connecticut v. Pittsburgh -10 |
Top |
20-35 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
The last 2 meetings between these 2 teams were decided by 3 points or less. Pitt has only scored 2 touchdowns in their last 9 quarters. Neither was from a pass, and one was a kickoff return. Their offense has been tentative, one dimensional and regressing.
UConn seems to be improving as they had only one bad half all season and that was the 2nd half versus W Virginia. Their defense improved lots in their last game against S. Fla, when coordinator, Don Brown, made cover adjustments.
The matchups tonight seem to be in Connecticut's favor and we'll take the double digits here. 5*
|
10-24-11 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars +11 |
Top |
7-12 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Ravens have won their past three games by 30, 17 and 15 points respectively, thus creating a higher line on an already inflated line. The Jacksonville defense is solid and I think 10 is too many points tonight. This indicates a low-scoring, conservative affair and one that can have the home dog hanging around long enough to cover this number. Take Jax and the points. 5*
|
10-23-11 |
Green Bay Packers -9.5 v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
33-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
Brad Childress isn
|
10-23-11 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders -3.5 |
Top |
28-0 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
5*
|
10-23-11 |
Chicago Bears -1 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Top |
24-18 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
The TB Bucs have been poor at generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks
|
10-23-11 |
Houston Texans +3 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
41-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
5*
|
10-22-11 |
Wisconsin -7 v. Michigan State |
Top |
31-37 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This Wisconsin team is for real. No weakness for this Badger team as every aspect of the game they have an advantage. MSU defense is getting too much credit as they really have played one good team in ND and they lost. WISC is a 6-0 and this run includes leading the nation with an average of 50.2 points while the Badgers' 523.2 yards per game of offense ranks eighth.
The Badgers are trying to prove they're worthy of being a BCS title contender, and the defense is doing its best to back that up by yielding 9.7 points per game. The Spartans are right behind at 10.8 per contest and boast a punishing defense with a growing reputation for intimidation.
It'll be important for Wisconsin to protect Russell Wilson, a Heisman Trophy contender and the Big Ten leader with 1,557 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and only one interception.
The Michigan St defense is talking smack and guarantees a win, but that will backfire tonight! Wisconsin's Montee Ball is among the top rushers in the nation, ranking second with 16 TDs while his 653 rushing yards are near the top of the conference. He's totaled 293 yards with seven touchdowns on 44 carries over the last two games.
Wisconsin has a huge offensive and defensive line and that game has blowout written all over it. Michigan State will also be without William Gholston after the Big Ten suspended the defensive end for this game because he threw a punch at a Michigan player last weekend.
10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH
|
10-22-11 |
USC v. Notre Dame -9 |
Top |
31-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
After years of frustration vs the Trojans and many blowout losses, the Irish got their first bit of revenge with a close win last year. Now it's time for this team to payback the Trojan for the many blowout losses, with a blowout win of their own Saturday night. The Irish are rolling right now after a slow start, as they have won 4 in a row, with 3 or the wins being by 18 points or more. The Irish this year are 22nd in total offense (468 ypg) and they have outgained their opponents by 105 ypg on the year. ND puts up 32.3 ppg, but in they come in averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 2 games and have put up 45 ppg in their last 2 games at home this year. I fully expect them to win this game by double digits. The crowd in South Bend will be fired up, as this is the first night game that they have played since 1990 at home. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any dog of 3.5 to 10 off 2 straight conference wins, if their win pct is 80% or higher and they are taking on a winning team. This has gone 30-6 ATS the last 5 years 5*
|
10-22-11 |
Penn State v. Northwestern +4 |
Top |
34-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
Penn State must be the worst 6-1 team out there. Both of their QB's stink and their offense is lost. They cannot move the ball at all. To be honest, Penn State has no business being a 4 pt favorite on the road against a talented Northwestern team. This is a must win game for Northwestern if they plan on making a run for a bowl game. The home team has been the side to play in this series, as they have covered 9 of the last 11 meetings. Look for Persa to have a big game at home against the Penn St defense. Play Northwestern. 5*
|
10-22-11 |
Oklahoma State v. Missouri +7.5 |
Top |
45-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
The Cowboys have one of the best offenses around, but this OKL ST team can't stop anyone. The Cowboys come in ranked 99th in total defense (427 ypg) and 95th vs the pass (250 ypg). Now they must face the Missouri offense that is 13th overall (496.2 ypg) and 34th in passing (260 ypg). Missouri is also 13th in rushing at 237 ypg and 5.5 ypc, while OSU has allowed 177 ypg on the ground and 4.5 ypc.
Missouri has something to hang their hat on as well as they have won 10 straight at home and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Mizzu is one of only eight teams that are ranked in the top 30 in both offense (13th) and defense (29th). Oklahoma State has played a relatively weak schedule so far this year and needed a huge second half rally to beat Texas A&M on the road. That win looked impressive at the time but doesn't look as good now that the Aggies have struggled lately. Missouri played a tougher schedule playing Kansas State, Arizona State, and Oklahoma and is a lot better than their record indicates. Missouri will be fired up for this featured home game, while Oklahoma State is coming off of a big win at Texas.
The Missouri ground game should really take over here and that will help them control the game and keep this powerful OSU offense off the field. I also look for that ground game to wear down this OSU defense that already spends too much time on the field, cause their offense scores so quickly. Take the points here with MISSORUI as our 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH
|
10-22-11 |
Illinois v. Purdue +4 |
Top |
14-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
I really see Purdue as a live home dog here. They are catching "#23 ranked" Illinois in a "sandwich scheduling spot" here. They are coming off a 17-7 loss at home to Ohio St last weekend, & they travel to play AT Penn St. following this game at Purdue.....Illinois has played ONE ROAD GAME all season...and that was at lowly Indiana. This will be a FG game either way. Take the home underdog.5*
|
10-21-11 |
Rutgers +1 v. Louisville |
Top |
14-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a big revenge game for Rutgers as Louisville beat them 40-13 on their home field last November, when Rutgers quarterbacks were sacked 9 times. Rutgers had this game circled on their schedule and remember the LVille players dancing around on their home field after the game. Last year
|
10-17-11 |
Miami Dolphins +7.5 v. NY Jets |
Top |
6-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
The Dolphins come off their bye with a new quarterback. Matt Moore lost the quarterback competition in the summer but is installed as the starter now. These two are bitter rivals and have a history of bizarre games. Last year, when the Jets were a whole lot better than they are this year, Miami came in here and won 10-6. After losing to the Pats last week, Rex Ryan said the Patriots are the better team right now. Despite being 0-4, three of the Dolphins four losses came against New England, Houston (when they were healthy) and San Diego, three of the more prolific offenses in the game and the Fish were in all of them. Now with 2 weeks to prepare I expect to see a good showing from Miami on MNF.
Miami will keep this one close so take the points with the FISH. 5*
|
10-16-11 |
Buffalo Bills +3 v. NY Giants |
Top |
24-27 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 50 m |
Show
|
The Bills shouldn't be getting points here! I think that Buffalo is the better team in this game and I am looking for an outright winner. The Giants have been outplayed over the last two weeks by two bad teams, Arizona and Seattle. They were fortunate that a bad call helped them beat the Cardinals and then they lost by 11 points as a double-digit favorite last week to the Seahawks. The Bills have been the best team in the league at forcing turnovers and this week they are playing against a Giants team that has a tendency to turn the ball over a lot. The Bills have won and covered all three of their games as an underdog this year and will be able to pass the ball against a Giants weak secondary. I think that the Bills will get the outright win Sunday afternoon. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK.
|
10-15-11 |
Virginia Tech -6.5 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 24 m |
Show
|
Wake Forest was handed the game last week by FSU as they had were +5 in turnover margin and FSU was heavily penalized but won by only 5 points. On the other hand VTech had their worst defensive game in years giving up(520 yards). VT has a solid QB in Logan Thomas and you can bet they'll be amped up this week on both sides on the ball and VT has the Special Teams edge as well. I dont see VT with 5 turnovers and they'll cruise to a double digit win. 10* Oddsmake Mistake Play
|
10-15-11 |
Baylor v. Texas A&M -8 |
Top |
28-55 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M which has won 18 of 20 from Baylor since the teams tied 20-all on Oct. 20, 1990. A&M has played the much tough schedule and while their defense is average, they do have a ton of sacks and a strong defensive line.
Texas A&M is also coming off its first conference victory of the season, defeating Texas Tech 45-40 on the road last Saturday as Ryan Tannehill threw for 188 yards and accounted for three TDs - two on the ground.
Senior Cyrus Gray posted the 13th 100-yard game of his career, compiling 116 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Christine Michael added 52 and another score.
Gray, who rushed for 137 yards and a career-high four TDs during last season's 42-30 come-from-behind win at Baylor, and Michael have combined to form one of the most productive backfield duos in the conference. Texas A&M ranks third in the Big 12 with 220.0 rushing yards per game.Look for Texas A&M to get a double digit win at home as they'll pressure Griffen all day long. 10* College Conference GAME OF THE YEAR!
|
10-15-11 |
Utah v. Pittsburgh -6 |
Top |
26-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
QB Tino Sunseri of Pittsburgh should be able to pick apart Utah Saturday afternoon at home. Pitt
|
10-13-11 |
San Diego State v. Air Force -7 |
Top |
41-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
The SDSU Offense is playing sloppy! Hillman has been awful his last 2 games and their offense looks confused.
The Aztecs lost both of last season's WR's Vincent Brown and Demarco Sampson to the NFL. Then both replacements suffered season ending injuries in the spring. What does it tell you when your starting WR's are a walk-on (Denso) and a converted defensive back (Lockett)? I knew the offense would struggle some this year but it's worse than I thought.
Contain Hillman and you have a good chance to beat the Aztecs. Air Force will be able to run the ball and the Aztecs have always struggled against AF. Plus this game is on the road at altitude on a short week and tough to prepare for the option. Air Force wears them down in the 2nd half and wins by 15.
|
10-10-11 |
Chicago Bears +6 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
13-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
The Bears have won the last 6 in this series and this is a rare Monday night appearance for both teams. The Bears is a team that is capable of slowing them down on offense. This is the first Monday Night Football Game for the Lions since 2001, but the Bears are desperate for a victory, as they cannot afford to fall three games back in the NFC North standings. Chicago is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday Night Football games and if their running game is on that will open up the passing game for Cutler. 5* on the BEARS plus the points.
|
10-09-11 |
Green Bay Packers -5.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
Top |
25-14 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
The Packers lost their regular season game here last year 20-17 but dominated that game from the line of scrimmage. A turnover at the goal line really turned that game around. In the playoffs GB got revenge with a huge 48-21 victory.
GB can score with the best of them and Atlanta has some potential to do the same but haven
|
10-09-11 |
NY Jets v. New England Patriots -7 |
Top |
21-30 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
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The Jets are trying to pull off what the Patriots did several years ago, shifting from a runbased offense and stingy defense to a more aerial attack - but is Mark Sanchez good enough to do what Tom Brady did? The Jets have looked terrible and the Patriots are playing with playoff recenge here.
Meanwhile, Brady just keeps getting better every year. New England was stopped in their quest for another title by the upstart Jets last season, and Brady is well-known for his disdain of Gang Green. It's a virtual certainty that this game was circled early in his calendar. They won't pull out all the stops, but the Patriots will be trying hard to embarrass the Jets and they'll have home field on their side. There's only so much a defense can do to stop the spread, and the Jets will find it difficult to catch up once they are down big on a beautiful sunny day in Foxboro. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH
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10-09-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Buffalo Bills +3 |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
The Eagles have been outscored 36-0 in the fourth quarter this season, and just allowed twice as many yards to San Francisco as the 49ers had gained in a game this season. The Eagles are also terrible in the redzone and have to settle for too many FG's.
Ryan Fitzpatrick is very underrated and the Bills are a very balanced team. Look for a lot of screen passes to C.J. Spiller to keep the Eagles off balance. 10* Underdog Slammer on the BUFFALO BILLS.
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10-08-11 |
Iowa +4.5 v. Penn State |
Top |
3-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
Penn State failed to cover once again last weekend in their conference opener against lowly Indiana. The Nittany Lions are on an 0-7 spread slide dating back to last season, and Joe Pa's team has been offensively-challenged this season with 16-points or less scored in three of their five games thus far.
Iowa has had a week to get ready for their conference foe, and the Hawkeyes have controlled this series of late, winning and covering each of the last three meetings. They're also a positive 10-4 against the spread as the road underdog since the 2007 season. Iowa signal-caller James Vandenberg has thrown just one interception this season versus 10 touchdown passes, and I certainly feel he is capable of leading the visitors to the outright win. The fact we are getting a few points makes me like this play that much more versus Penn St who hasn't even decided on a QB yet. Penn St seems to be headed in the wrong direction this year.
10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play
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10-08-11 |
Pittsburgh v. Rutgers +7 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rutgers has had one game circled since last season, and it
|
10-08-11 |
Missouri -4 v. Kansas State |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
Vegas is begging you to take Kansas St here. K st is ranked #20 while MIzzu is unranked and favored on the road. However Missouri is the better team who is coming off a BYE week and very talented. Kansas St is 3 plays away from being 1-3 and Missouri is 1 play away from being 3-1. Franklin is a very good QB for Mizzu with only 1 INT on the season.
Missouri will be too much for Kansas St and the extra week to prepare will be the difference. Mizzu by 14 a 5* play.
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10-03-11 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-109 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Unlike old looking Pittsburgh Steelers who allowed Indy to hang with them last Sunday night, the Tampa Bay Bucs show up fired up and ready to play hard for four quarters every Sunday. TB is getting a rare Monday night appearance and they will shine tonight! The Indianapolis offense that has generated only 236, 285 and 241 total yards in its three games. Teams that cannot get to 300 yards need to play great defense and special teams, but the Colts allowed 24.3 ppg last season and have allowed 27 and 23 in their last two. QB Josh Freeman will have a field day at home against the defense and the Bucs roll here BIG$$ 5*
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10-02-11 |
Buffalo Bills v. Cincinnati Bengals +3 |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
Buffalo may be 3-0 but they shouldn't be a FG favorite ont he road. This is a perfect spot for a letdown spot for the Bill. After defeating the Bills, the Buffalo players were bragging about how good they were. THis is a total flat spot for them as they are off the huge comeback win vs the Pats last week and they have the Eagles on deck. Look for the Bengals to pull a mild shocker here at home witht he 3 points. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK
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10-01-11 |
Nebraska v. Wisconsin -9.5 |
Top |
17-48 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
Welcome to the Big Ten! The Nebraska Cornhuskers make their Big Ten debut at Wisconsin Saturday night where both clubs enter this fray 4-0. Each of these teams crushed all the early season weaklings on their schedule but there is a difference in the defenses between the two. Nebraska has allowed mediocre competition to move the ball on the ground and that is something the Badgers (5.4 yards per run) will be sure to take advantage. Russell Wilson's passing rushing ability has given Wisconsin that little extra that they need to get to the National Championship game. Taylor Martinez can run the ball, but he cannot pass and it will hurt the Cornhuskers on Saturday. Lay it as the Badgers wear down the Huskers down in the second half in route to a big double digit win. 5*
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