Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-28-15 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Minnesota slogged through an emotional roller coaster of a season that watched them lose head coach Jerry Kill to retirement due to epilepsy off the field, and now have a chance to play in this Bowl game. The Golden Gophers are one of those teams that reached the postseason with a losing 5-7 mark, and while they finished the year with five losses in their last six games, we still believe they are the better overall team. That 1-5 losing streak to end the year had everything to do with their tough schedule, falling against Nebraska, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, and Wisconsin - all teams that are playing in other bowl games. What we like about Minnesota is how they played in those losses, losing by three points vs. Michigan, by five points vs. Iowa, and even playing TCU tough in a six-point loss to start the season. Central Michigan played well against the lesser teams in the MAC Conference, but they are not at the level to hang with a quality Power 5 Conference team. Gophers pull away in the second half and win by double digits on Monday evening. 5* |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3 v. Navy | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
In this Bowl we have a ranked team versus an unranked team. The heart and soul of the Pitt offense is the combination of quarterback, Nathan Peterman and running back, Quadree Ollison. Peterman passed for over 2,100 yards in 2015 and had 19 touchdown passes and just five interceptions. As long as Pittsburgh doesn't turn the ball over or pick up some dumb penalties they should get the job done this afternoon. 5* |
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12-27-15 | Giants v. Vikings -6.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The New York Giants WR Beckham has been suspended one game and is OUT today. The Giants will have no motivation tonight as they are OUT of the playoffs and I think they get blown out. The locker room is a mess for NY too. The Vikings are a very impressive on the defensive side of the ball and they get a rare Sunday Night TV appearance. The GMen defense is ranked dead last (32nd) in yards allowed per game at 423. While the Vikings' defense is ranked 13 in all of football. Mike Zimmer is a great defensive coach and deserves a lot of credit this season. The Giants have one of the worst pass defenses, and I expect the Vikings to take advantage here tonight between passing and rushing AP. Take the Vikes on Sunday night. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska +7 v. UCLA | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
UCLA finished 8-4 with much higher hopes than playing in this Bowl game which is in their backyard. Most teams get excited to travel to a new area in a Bowl game. Nebraska is excited to be here since they finished with only 5 wins this season. They are a young team who gets an extra month of practices. Coach Riley is a good coach who has his team excited and their fans travel well. Nebraska has taken their share of knocks this season as they transition into the Riley era. But through all the struggles and strife, they managed to remain a dangerous opponent in a lot of tough spots, being competitive against the better teams they faced this season, while holding a win over a team that is now in the CFP. UCLA isn’t the best candidate to cover a big number against a decent defensive front like Nebraska, who ended the season with a little better momentum. I’ll take the points here tonight. 5* |
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12-26-15 | Indiana v. Duke +3 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
For all of Indiana's greatness on offense, it ranked among the very worst in College Football on defense. Their offense is nowhere near powerful enough to withstand a defense that gives up an average of 37.1 points and over 500 yards of total offense per game. They were ranked dead-last out of 128 times in passing-defense, with some quarterbacks literally exploding against this secondary. It was a bad sign when in their first game; they gave up 47 points against FCS opponent Southern Illinois in a one-point win. Duke lost to some of the better teams in the ACC, though falling to Virginia and narrowly beating Wake to end the season This will be the fourth straight season Duke has played in a bowl game. With time to prepare Duke is the better overall team and their defense will step up and get the win at Yankee stadium on Saturday afternoon. 10* BOWL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss v. Washington -8.5 | Top | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
The Washington Huskies take on Southern Miss in the first ever meeting between the two schools. Chris Petersen, Head Coach of UW, has a reputation for putting together winning teams and he’s begun to do this in Seattle at the U of W. Petersen’s Huskies finished 6-6 this season but their record really doesn’t do them justice as they have poured it on towards the latter part of the regular season. In the Husky’s last two games of the regular season they scored a combined 97 points and only allowed a total of 17 points. With the extra practice time Washington should come out strong here Saturday afternoon. Southern Miss has a good record but they played a weak schedule and conference. Now they face the best defense in the Pac-12 and will be a serious step-up in level of competition for Southern Miss. Washington is on an 8-1 ATS run as a favorite of 4-10 points, outscoring those nine opponents by 22 ppg. Take the Washington Huskies here. 5* |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -3 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
Not having Gunner Kiel will equal trouble in this game on Christmas Eve. He is their leader and just 6 days ago he took a personal leave so CIncy didn't have much time to prepare with their backup QB. San Diego State can run the heck out of the ball and they play tremendous defense. It’s not an altogether-complicated recipe for success, but a dependable one. And they have a little built-in advantage with being familiar with the stomping grounds they enter in this game, having played Hawaii on the road this season in this very venue, winning 28-14 on October 10.
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12-23-15 | Boise State -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 55-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL Boise State measured against its own expectations may have been a letdown in some respects, but they still won 8 games and look to cap off the season with a nice bowl win. The Boise offense looks to have a good future in the hands of QB Brett Rypien. Though he came on in late-September after an injury to the original starter, he threw for almost 3000 yards on the season. The youngster leans heavily on running back Jeremy McNichols, who was one of the more-productive backs in the MWC this season with 18 touchdowns on 1244 yards running, along with 46 receptions. WR Thomas Sperbeck figures to be a handful in this game, as will be Chaz Anderson and Shane Williams-Rhodes. This is an offense that averages nearly 38 points per game. Boise is by far the better team in my eyes and should win handily by double digits. 5* |
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12-22-15 | Akron +7.5 v. Utah State | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Terry Bowden's team is cresting right now, as they come to Boise having won and covered 4 straight! The Zips also punched the ticket in 7 of their final 9 games against the spread this season.Akron defense has been tough and I think that their defense will keep them in this game The same cannot be said for Utah State, as injuries really stymied the Aggies season this year, and Matt Wells' team struggled down the stretch with losses in 3 of their final 4 games, and spread losses in all 4 of those games! True, Utah State is playing in their 5th straight bowl game (3 straight wins and covers), and playing in this very bowl game for the third time in those 5 years, but that could very well translate into a "been there, done that" attitude and usually teams returning to the same bowl game as the previous year have struggled and lack motivation. Play the Akron Zips as the live dog. 5* |
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12-21-15 | Western Kentucky v. South Florida +2.5 | Top | 45-35 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
I like the way USF has been playing as of late beating teams like Cincinnati and Temple. The South Florida offense has been rolling scoring 153 points in their last 3 games and I see USF not only scoring in this game but their defense controls the Hilltoppers offense.
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles +4 | Top | 40-17 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Eagles are very much in contention for a division title after beating the Buffalo Bills last Sunday. They aren't turning the ball over and playing much better. Chip Kelly’s men have come back to life to win their last two games against the Patriots and the Bills. QB Sam Bradford’s good play has helped the Eagles overcome their continued inability to run the ball with much consistency. DeMarco Murray has a chance to make good on his claims as being needed in a larger role and should have the big game of which he's capable. THe Eagles are at home in chilly Philly and I'll grab the home underdog here tonight with the Green Birds. 5* |
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12-20-15 | Dolphins v. Chargers -1 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins come to face the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium on Sunday. This game could carry a little extra emotion with it for the Chargers, with this possibly being their last home game in San Diego. For the second straight game, they scored 3 measly points on Sunday. On the flip side the SD defense has been stout, giving up just 20 combined points in their last two games against division studs Denver and KC. They even managed to pick off Alex Smith, who threw his first pick in 10 games. The Miami defense isn’t picking up the slack. Their 26th-ranked passing defense was exploited on Monday, as they were picked apart by Manning. I look for a little extra emotion from San Diego and Rivers here at home, as they get the win and cover on Sunday evening. 10* |
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12-19-15 | BYU +3 v. Utah | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Brigham Young overcame a lot this season. Taysom Hill was lost for the season, forcing Tanner Mangum into the starting role, where he’s been a nice surprise. He has thrown 21 touchdowns and 7 picks with over 3000 yards, Mangum leads this offense and has been a real gamer, fighting with a lot of grit for his team. Mangum works with a nice cast of receivers who provide matchup concerns with almost every defense they face, led by excellent Mitch Mathews, Devon Blackmon, Nick Kurtz, Terenn Houk, and Mitchell Juergens. Houk is 6’5,” while Mathews and Kurtz are 6’6.” They are very tough because of their size and strength. The run game is now led by Algernon Brown,and they average 34.2 points per game. The BYU defense is pretty good too as they are a balanced group that gives up an average of just 21.8 points per game and forces turnovers. Bronson Kaufasi is a difference-maker with 11 sacks, as he applies a ton of pressure. Utah will have to fend off a potential letdown spot here in this game. This is far from what they were envisioning. And their offense just couldn’t hold up. They will be without Devontae Booker, who had 1261 yards on the ground through 10 games before going down for the season. And the pass-game is stripped dry with injuries to Kenneth Scott (questionable) and Britain Covey (doubtful). I like BYU to send off their coach a BIG WINNER as he's been great for the BYU program and school. PLAY BYU! |
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12-14-15 | Giants v. Dolphins +1 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Two teams with identical 5-7 records, but seemingly heading in opposite directions on the season will tussle in week 14 NFL action inside Sun Life Stadium, when the New York Giants and Miami Dolphins get together. The Dolphins should be able to move the ball in this game. The Giants are 31st in yards allowed (423 ypg) and dead-last 32nd in passing yards allowed per game (315 ypg). Its been awhile since the Dolphins have played in the NFL’s primetime featured game on Monday, and hopefully that will fire them up here. The Giants haven’t enjoyed the Monday Night spotlight either, going 1-5 ATS in their last six games in primetime. The public is all over the favorite with the Gmen, but I'll take the Dolphins here at home on MNF. 5* |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
Washington comes to the Windy City off a terrible MNF loss against the Dallas Cowboys and now the Skins have a short week to prepare. The Bears are also coming off a horrible loss last week as they lost to the 49ers at home 26-20 in overtime where Robbie Gould missed a pair of easy FG's. The Redskins offense has also been inconsistent and often struggles to move the ball with the 25th-ranked total offense at 333 yards per game. I see a pissed off Bears squad taking this home game in a big way. Washington has dropped 3-straight road games by double-digits and hasn't won a road game all season long. Chicago has a very solid offense and Washington is 1-5 ATS in the month of December and the Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -10 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
One quick note - despite being a horrible stretch with our picks, nothing is getting done differently and unfortunately this type of stretch happens during a season. I've been in business for 22 years and
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12-07-15 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Redskins | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
The Cowboys season is on the line and Matt Cassel is back at the controls and will at least have a healthier Dez Bryant to work with. Dallas also has a great offensive line and should be able to rush the ball tonight. 5* |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals v. Rams +6 | Top | 27-3 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
The public is all over the Cards here but I like the home dog with the Rams. The leading rusher for Arizona is out due to an injury. Chris Johnson is rumored to have a broken leg. His backup, Andre Ellington is also out. So much for a Cardinals rushing game this afternoon. The Cardinals have struggled playing in St Louis and if the Rams lose this game they have no outside chance at the playoffs so this is their season on the line. Nick Foles played alright last week completing 30 of 46 passes against a good Cincinnati defense. Foles had his best game of the year in the Rams' 24-22 victory at Arizona on Oct. 4, throwing for three TDs. Todd Gurley had 146 yards of rushing in that game. I also look for Tavon Austin to make some plays here today. 10* |
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12-05-15 | Michigan State -3 v. Iowa | Top | 16-13 | Push | 0 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I look for Spartans QB Connor Cook will shine Saturday night. Iowa didn't have to face Ohio St or Michigan this year while Michigan St had to face both of them (won both) and beat Oregon earlier in the season. |
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12-05-15 | North Carolina v. Clemson -4.5 | Top | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
We are 11-3 on our College Football 10*'s this season and haven't dropped back-to-back 10*'s all year. Championship weekend will conclude this Saturday night with a heavily anticipated matchup between the#1 Clemson Tigers and the 8th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in a battle for the ACC Championship. Clemson held off a tough challenge from rival South Carolina last week in a 37-32 but the game wasn't as close as the final score. Clemson was up big early but 3 turnovers allowed SC to get back in it. Clemson had over 500 total yards in the game. Victory to seal their first perfect season since their 1981 National Championship campaign. Clemson will have the chance to join the 4 team playoff and compete for another National Championship if they can take care of the Tar Heels this Saturday night in Charlotte. Clemson gave up 181 on the ground vs South Carolina and I expect their defense to bounce back big here on Saturday night. Every game after their defense allowed 24 or more points in their previous game this Clemson defense came back strong and only allowed an average of 14 points in their next game. From what I read their practices were intense this week and I look for Clemson to win by double digits here on Saturday night! |
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12-05-15 | Temple +6 v. Houston | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
Three years ago, current Temple head coach Rhule took over a 4-win Temple team. In the 3 years at the helm, Rhule has built the program from 2 to 6 to 10 wins this year, including a 9-3 ATS pointspread run and 7-1 SU conference record. Temple is a very good team with a tough defense that shut-down explosive Memphis for a 31-12 victory, then last week concluded their conference slate with a 27-3 blowout of UConn, in which they outrushed the Huskies 161-9 and held UConn to 138 total yards. Houston is coming off a HUGE win over Navy last week and I look for Temple to keep it close here. The difference here will be the defense as Temple is tough and Houston struggles. They allowed 30 or more points, 4 times, to Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis and Navy (with the latter 3 of those in the last month). I'm back Temple plus the points here in the early kickoff on Saturday at Noon EST. 5* |
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12-03-15 | Packers v. Lions +3 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
The Packers have only 1 win in their last five games. Jordy Nelson not being in there this year has hurt and Davante Adams has been a profound disappointment as his role has been increased. The Lions have looked good the past few weeks and I like them in this spot at home. Detroit is not doing a ton of damage with their ground game, but at least they’re trying now. It’s opened things up a bit. On Thanksgiving, Stafford threw for five touchdowns on 337 yards passing. Calvin Johnson looked like vintage Megatron, catching three touchdown passes. Theo Reddick and Golden Tate each snared a TD pass, as well. Joique Bell added nice production on the ground and through the air. Really making it come together for the Lions is the play of their defense. The front has been disrupting quarterbacks while stifling the opposing ground game. Everyone is saying revenge for the Packers but I like the Lions as a home dog here on THursday night. 5* |
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11-30-15 | Ravens v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a great spot for the Browns coming off their bye playing at home on Monday night football and I expect to get their best effort in this game. The Ravens will struggle without Joe Flacco and running back Justin Forsett for the season. With a 3-7 record and now without their starting quarterback and running back, the Ravens officially know that this is a lost season. I like the Browns here on MNF at home. 5* |
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11-29-15 | Giants v. Redskins +3 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK: The Washington Redskins still have a punchers chance to win the NFC East. At 4-6, they are just a game out and a win over the Giants this weekend can make things really interesting within the division. It is almost like every Sunday is a playoff game for every team in the division. I expect the Redskins to put up some points here at home. The Giants defense is 25th in the NFL so I look for Washington to be able to move the ball and put up some points this afternoon and get the outright win. |
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11-29-15 | Bills +5 v. Chiefs | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
The Chiefs have allowed a whopping 34 sacks in 10 games and I look for a big game from the Buffalo defense here on Sunday afternoon. Look for the Bills to use even more blitz packages than normal, as Alex Smith has struggled with a QBR of 23 when facing teams that blitz more than 50% of the snaps. Last season, the Bills outgained the Chiefs 364-278. Buffalo was up 13-3 in the fourth quarter before the Chiefs scored 14 unanswered points to steal a win. The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after playing on Monday Night Football. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last last seven meetings. Too many points here and I like Buffalo in a tight game +5. 5* |
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11-28-15 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Virginia | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Tough overtime loss by VT last week at home against North Carolina as we had them with the cover, and retiring 29 year head coach Frank Beamer does need the win here to make it back to a bowl game and extend Beamer's career. I will look for that motivation to be enough to carry the Hokies to the road win against a Virginia team they always seem to beat. Tech has dumped UVa 11 straight times straight up, and they are 8-3 against the spread in those 11 series meetings. That includes a 4-1 spread mark at Scott Stadium the last 5 series meetings. Virginia probably even wants to see Frank Beamer make it to one last bowl game before his retirement and their tough defense should be enough to cover the 3 pt spread here this afternoon.! Play the Hokies to make it a 12 straight series wins, and a 9-3 cover mark in those 12 wins. 5* |
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11-27-15 | Iowa v. Nebraska +2.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
In key Big Ten action, the unbeaten Iowa Hawkeyes come into Lincoln to face the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Friday afternoon. Nebraska is team that already beat an unbeaten team this season, spoiling the plans for Michigan State a few weeks ago. At 5-6, this is Nebraska’s last chance to become bowl eligible, and they could very easily be 11-0 as they had the lead in all 6 losses late and 5 of their losses in came the final seconds. Nebraska is rested, having played two Saturdays ago in a 31-14 win at Rutgers. It was their second win in a row, as they try to salvage a 3-6 start to the season. Iowa won their 11th in a row to start the season on Saturday, a 40-20 home win over Purdue. Tommy Armstrong, Jr. Has given it his best effort in the new Mike Riley Cornhuskers offense, as he has 21 TD throws and 12 picks on 2560 yards passing. He has 5 picks in the last two games, a pattern that would really hurt in this game against the opportunistic Hawkeyes. Armstrong, Jr. Is also useful with his feet, having run in 6 touchdown scores. The run game is in the hands of talented backs like Terrell Newby and Imani Cross. The ‘Huskers have a nice 1-2 punch at receiver with Jordan Westerkamp and Brandon Reilly. They put up an average of 33.6 points a game—a respectable figure in what is really a transitional season for Nebraska. The Nebraska defense has been pretty good against the run, but that might be a result of teams having so much success with what is really a backwards secondary. They give up an average of over 300 yards per game and this area of the team is a big reason why Nebraska will be at home during bowl season if they don’t score the win this week. They have shown some fight in the last two games, holding off Michigan State, before allowing only 14 to Rutgers. Lincoln is a very tough place to play especially late in the season and the Cornhuskers will be pumped here. An 11-0 team versus a 5-6 Nebraska team and Iowa is only a 2.5 pt favorite. The Oddsmakers are begging you to take Iowa but we aren't biting and we'll take the under-rated Cornhuskers here on Friday afternoon as our 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR$$. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 0 m | Show |
This is a big game for Dallas, who ended a 7-game losing streak on Sunday with a 24-14 road win over Miami in Tony Romo’s first game back after being out with a shoulder injury. His presence makes Dallas much better and they look to notch a big win on Sunday. The odds-makers have upgraded Dallas on their Power Rankings with Romo and Dez back. Romo's passing and mobility should also open up the running game. The Carolina Panthers Cam Newton threw for a career-high 5 TD passes last week so I don't expect that again on the road with a short week. The Cowboys are 3-0 with Romo as the starter, and 0-7 in the seven games he missed. The Cowboys are also 15-2 in his last 17 starts, so there's reason for optimism in Dallas. The Cowboys will be primed for a really good start and game this week at home. 5* |
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11-23-15 | Bills +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
On MNF the Patriots will be looking to remain undefeated on the season while the Bills are hoping to continue their recent AFC East winning streak, having beaten the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets the previous two weeks. Rex Ryan has had 11 days to prepare for this game and I expect a close game here.
The Bills should be able to move the ball on offense against the Pats The Patriots suffered another injury to a key player this eason as they lost leading receiver Julian Edelman for two months due to a broken bone in his foot that he suffered in last week’s 27-26 win on the road against the Giants. He is one of Brady's favorite targets and goto guy. This is the second straight week New England has lost an offensive skill position starter after Dion Lewis tore his ACL seven days earlier against the Redskins and will miss the remainder of the season. Look for Buffalo to give the Pats all they can handle on MNF. 5* |
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11-22-15 | Raiders v. Lions +1 | Top | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders make the long trip to the Motor City to face the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on Sunday. The Raiders have raised their profile this season, but after two straight losses and a home defeat to the Vikings on Sunday. Detroit scored a nice win on Sunday, going into Lambeau and beating the Packers—something they haven’t done in a very long time. Matthew Stafford didn’t have an electric game, but got the ball into the hands of his receivers, big talent like Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, and Lance Moore, who caught a TD pass. The Raiders are brutal against the pass, with only one other team having given up more yards through the air than Oakland. They are giving up nearly 27 points per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Detroit should have a field day here at home with their passing game led by Matthew Stafford. |
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11-21-15 | Tennessee -7 v. Missouri | Top | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Tennessee visits Missouri for this 7:15pm ET kick, as televised by ESPN2. Last Saturday, Tennessee recorded their 6th win of the season to qualify for a Bowl Game in successive seasons (had not played in a Bowl the 3 previous years before that). Tenn scores 34 ppg and averages over 400 total yards each game. They are playing a very bad Mizzu team who only puts up 15ppg. I expect Joshua Dobbs to have a monster game here on Saturday night. Tennessee has to score TD's here because their kicking game is not good. Moving the ball into the end zone is crucial to their success. Under 3rd year HC Jones, the rejuvenation of the Vols’ program continues. This year, the offense has improved from 29 to 34 points and the defense from 24 to 21 points. It is the 3rd consecutive year for scoring improvement under Jones. The Vols now gain a balanced 210 yards, both running and passing, with a defense that allows just 21/381. They are clearly deserving of their Bowl invite. Losses have come only against quality teams Alabama by 5, Arkansas by 4, Florida by 1 and Oklahoma by 7. TENN VOLS have played a very tough schedule and have a balanced attack and should put the Mizzu Tigers away here by double digits. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-21-15 | Michigan v. Penn State +4 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
The Penn State Nittany Lions have fared quite well in recent meetings with the Michigan Wolverines, posting a record of 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their last five meetings. Included in there are three-straight wins at home in Beaver Stadium, the most recent of which was a 43-40 win as 2-point home dogs in 2013. Penn St is coming off their much needed BYE and ready for a HUGE home game on Saturday. The brilliant early season Michigan defensive run is a thing of the past. Following their October 10th (38-0) shutout of Northwestern, Michigan have allowed more potent Big 10 offenses to score 110 points for an average of almost 28 PPG. Last week, that defensive decline culminated when Michigan allowed 527 yards to Indiana including the Hoosiers winning the overland battle 307-141. Michigan was fortunate to emerge with a victory in OT. Penn St. has had 2 weeks to prepare for this revenge game and I expect them to be very hungry and I look for a low scoring grind it out game with Penn St plus the points at home getting us the cash. 5* |
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11-19-15 | Titans v. Jaguars -3 | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Jacksonville’s ability to become a more competitive entity this season can be attributed to the growth within their offense. There are a lot of first and second-year players who give the Jaguars something to look ahead for in the future. You can begin to see the beginnings of a true identity forming on this offense, with QB Blake Bortles showing some major improvement behind center this season. I really like the way this Jax team is playing right now. |
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11-16-15 | Texans +11 v. Bengals | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The Houston Texans enters this week’s game on Monday Night Football fresh off of a long 15 day layoff, having won their last time out on November 1st over Tennessee then going into their BYE week. With the extra week to rest and also prepare, there should be no excuses for the Texans to come out strong in front of the country on MNF as a huge underdog to boot. The Texans will have to try and keep the Bengals pass rush off of Hoyer all game. Historically, the Texans have had the Bengals number in head-to-head matchups. Houston had won five straight meetings with Cincinnati from 2008 to 2013 before the Bengals finally broke the string in last year’s game, 22-13. With 15 days to prepare for this one, it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Texans come out of the gate strong in this game and cover the double digit spread. 5* |
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11-15-15 | Saints v. Redskins +1.5 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The Redskins are looking to win their 4th straight home game, which should surprise a lot of people. The NFC East is wide open and the Redskins are getting healthy. Kirk Cousins is playing confident as if he and the entire team have something to prove. Pierre Garson should have a big day against the Saints defense and should put up big numbers(Great fantasy WR pick this week). The Saints defense is terrible and even worse on the road. The Redskins have a lot of heart. They will continue to play hard for Coach Jay Gruden. They have a few more tough games down the stretch and if they have any desire to make a post season run, as unlikely as it may seem, they must win this home game. The key is defense. Just like I said for the Saints, the Redskins need to slow down the Saints offense. Washington can put up some points on that awful New Orleans defense and win this game today. 5* |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys -1 v. Bucs | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
I like the Dallas Cowboys on the road to get the win over the young TB Bucs. The Buccaneers, led by rookie quarterback Jameis Winston, have averaged 23.25 points scored per game on their home turf, but the defense has allowed the opposition to score an average of 35.5 points per game. This is the week the Cowboys offense should get back on track. Dallas has played much better over the last three weekends. They had a tough luck loss versus the Giants, another difficult loss versus the Seahawks, and then nearly beat the Eagles last weekend. This team is starting to figure out how to play without Tony Romo, and this will be the game that breaks their six-game losing streak. The Cowboys are getting solid play from Darren McFadden behind their great offensive line and Dez Bryant is nearly 100% healthy. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games on grass and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Look for Dallas to score some points here and get the win by double digits. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-14-15 | SMU +21.5 v. Navy | Top | 14-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
You cant just look at the 1-7 currentl record SMU has. They will be pumped up for this game as they get to play a top 25 team. SMU is a much better team than their record shows. This team nearly beat Temple on National TV and though they did lose by 20 points, the game was nearly tied in the 4th Q. The SMU team scored 40 points on Temple who has a very good defense. This is a squad that only lost by 19 points to TCU 37-56 as 37 point underdogs. This team also covered against Baylor and Houston. THey have played some very stiff competition so I expect a tight game on Saturday. 5* |
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11-14-15 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +8 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Alabama Left tackle, Rufus Warren, who injured his left leg in the last game, could have some lingering problems this week. Alabama is great at stopping the run but Miss St will spread them out and beat them by passing. Look for QB Dak Prescott to have a good game. |
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11-14-15 | Southern Miss -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 65-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Southern Mississippi is coming off a bye, which allowed for an extended celebration of its first season of bowl qualification since 2011. They are well rested for this game and playing with revenge from last years loss to Rice by 18 prs. Southern Miss has been HOT winning 3-straight games by double-digits and their defense continues to get better and lately outstanding in those 3 wins holding opponents to 11ppg. Rice has dropped 2-in a row at home and they are not that good. The favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS and again Southern Miss should win this game by double-digits. S Miss QB Nick Mullens who has 25 tds and is averaging over 320 yards a game and a solid two-man run attack of senior Jalen Richard and sophomore Ito Smith, they're not only going to be bowling but also have a shot at the West Division title. Rice has lost 2 in a row. At 9.6 yards per attempt, only two other teams in FBS are worse against the pass than Rice. I am expecting a BLOWOUT here Saturday afternoon. 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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11-12-15 | Virginia Tech +3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This Thursday’s matchup is intriguing with VT Head Coach announcing his retirement but I expect him to go out strong these last 3 games and especially with 2 weeks to prepare for this one. Both offenses focus heavily towards running the football. The Yellow Jackets run the triple option while Virginia Tech uses a more traditional style set. The Hokies freshman running back Travon McMillian will likely be the most exciting player to watch. McMillian is a tough runner that has a lot of upside to go along with his youth. Georgia Tech has absolutely zero confidence or ability to throw the football so when they get into 3rd and long plays they are screwed. QB Michael Brewer has provided the Hokies offense with a spark since taking over for Brendan Motley. Brewer has thrown 4 scores compared to just 1 picks in the last two games and he looked great against a tough Boston College defense. Frank Beamer is 24-9-1 ATS in his career when playing with revenge, including 10-0 ATS from Game 10 out in the season. Rambling The Host in this series is 1-8 ATS, including 0-5 ATS the last five. Take VTECH here on Thursday night. 5* |
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
The Chargers have a ton of injuries on the offensive line and at WR. Just as it appeared that they could get healthy again, we saw players go down on the field in Baltimore on Sunday. Last Sunday, an already-battered Chargers squad saw injuries with WR Keenan Allen (out indefinitely), TE Ladarius Green, G Orlando Franklin, C Chris Watt, T King Dunlap, LB Manti Teo, CB Brandon Flowers, DE Corey Liuget, and S Eric Weddle all listed as questionable for Monday’s game.
Take tbe BEARS plus the pts. |
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11-08-15 | Giants v. Bucs +3 | Top | 32-18 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
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11-07-15 | LSU v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
These LSU vs. Alabama games have been great matchups over the last several years. Alabama has had the upper hand winning the last 4 but they have all been tough hard fought games by both teams. This Alabama defense is for real and I cant see LSU scoring more than 15 points here. The Tigers will struggle to rush the ball as Alabama will stuff the run. Interestingly Alabama’s offense is designed with a heavy focus on the run. The Crimson Tide have an outstanding running back in Derrick Henry who has already eclipsed the 1,000 yard barrier and has 14 touchdowns on the season. Since Nick Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa, he has put an enormous amount of effort towards recruiting excellent offensive lineman and talented running backs to build his offenses. Alabama still has that same pedigree of offensive talent that yields one of the best rushing offenses in the country. I think Alabama has a major advantage in terms of flexibility on offense. Quarterback Jake Coker has developed into a good passing quarterback this season and offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin has opened the playbook up quite a bit since the start of the season. If these game goes back and forth in favor of the defenses, I like Alabama’s ability to draw up isolation passing situations and simply call shots down the field. A few big plays could easily decide the outcome of this game and Alabama appears to be the team most suitable to pull off the big plays with their ability to throw the football down the field. This is a major mismatch and I look for Alabama to win by double digits. ROLL TIDE! 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-07-15 | TCU v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | Top | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
High scoring Oklahoma State is very real. And Emmanuel Ogbah is as real as real can be especially while playing opposite of lengthy Jimmy Bean, they terrorize teams. And the Olines will have their hands full dealing with these two, all day long. But this will be, by far their toughest game of the season thus far. I never saw this coming with Oklahoma State being unbeaten so late in the 2015 season. Oklahoma State is not far behind TCU in the scoring category. The Cowboys themselves are averaging 44 points a game and giving up 24. They also are passing for over 350 a contest too. These two teams are very similar, but this is not a very good Gary Patterson defensive unit and on the road, it will show. and I like the Home Underdog on Saturday afternoon +5.5 |
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11-04-15 | Ohio v. Bowling Green -21 | Top | 24-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Bowling Green is currently riding a three-game win streak over Ohio, including last year’s, 31-13 victory in Athens. Ohio U has scored more than 24 points just once against a FBS opponent all season long, and based on their 24 and 35 points margins of defeat in their last two games, this has all the makings for another lopsided final score. |
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11-02-15 | Colts +6 v. Panthers | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
The Colts are 3-4 and have dropped 2 in a row but it looks that Luck is starting to get his strength back. It's true the Carolina is undefeated at 6-0. But a close look at its schedule reveals they defeated weak opponents vs Jacksonville, Houston, New Orleans and Tampa Bay to open the season. We have a play in a game where we think the Panthers will run the ball at will and Andrew Luck and the Colts will finally get their offense back on track in a nationally televised game Monday night. I look for a close grind it out game here and the Underdog Colts to get the cover. 5* |
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11-01-15 | Packers v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos will look to stay undefeated here in 2015 when they welcome the Green Bay Packers Sunday night. The Broncos have posted a 14-6 ATS record in their last 20 games following a BYE week and they have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Manning is coming off a tough game and I look for him to be keyed in tonight! The Packers come into the game undefeated as well but they have struggled in November ATS as they have gone just 3-7 dating back to the 2012 season. First and foremost is that the Broncos are allowing a league low 17 PPG, 281 YPG, and only 4.5 YP play. I love seeing Denver with their #1 defense as an underdog at home. Secondly, is the strong home field of the Broncos, which finds them to be 24-2 SU the last 3+ years since QB Manning joined the Broncos. Denver's defense is ranked #1 in yards against and #2 in passing yards against, while allowing just 281 ypg this season. Denver leads the NFL with 26 sacks and will add to their total in getting to Rodgers. Rodgers’ only poor performance this season came against the St. Louis Rams, who like the Broncos, have a top pass rush. Look for Manning and the Broncos to come out smoking here Sunday night quieting his critics. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-01-15 | Seahawks v. Cowboys +5 | Top | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
I like Dallas at home with their season on the line here Sunday as a home underdog. Now that Cassel has had time to learn this Cowboys offense and an extra week of practice. My sources tell me that Dez Bryant will likely return The Cowboys need this game to save their season and try to stay close to .500 for when Romo returns. Even with all of the Cowboy's injuries they would have won outright against the Giants if it was not for 3 interceptions in the second half. I look for Cassel to be a lot better with the ball this week after having the time to practice with this offense. The Cowboys had 14 more first downs than the Giants, 171 more total yards, and also dominated them in almost every category, however when you throw 3 INT's and also lose a fumble in any game you have no chance to win or cover. The Seahawks are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the Cowboys and the underdogs is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games between these two teams. Seattle hasn't played good on the road and I'll take Dallas behind their strong offensive line to get the ATS Win here at home. 5* |
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11-01-15 | Chargers +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
I like the Chargers plus the pts here on Sunday afternoon. Melvin Gordon has not been what was expected so far. Getting less than 4 YPC. And hasn't ever seemed right in the system for the Chargers, yet. But when Philip Rivers is leading the team on the field, he can make magic happen. Baltimore's defense is not that good and SD will take advantage. The Chargers fell behind last week but they came out smoking in the 2nd half vs the Riaders. That showed me something about their character in the second half and I believe it will carry over to today. The Ravens, on the other hand, used a lot of energy in Monday Night's loss at Arizona. Now, not only are they going to be a tad emotionally fatigued, but they've got secondary issues and the left side of their offensive line could be out. Chargers get the win here. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Michigan v. Minnesota +13 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
No.15 Michigan is playing their 1st game over their heartbreaking loss to Michigan State on the final play and its still on their mind. Minnesota won this game last year and I like them getting double digits at home here on Saturday night. Heavy hearted Minnesota Gophers team hosts the Michigan Wolverines Saturday night and I see this game being much closer then the oddsmakers posted playing for their coach who resigned this week due to medical problems. I believe every Minnesota football player will be playing to win this game for their former head coach Jerry Kill with heavy heartsteam and the success of the ground game I see Minnesota hanging around and covering this double-digit number. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State +11 | Top | 56-41 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
I don’t think there’s any doubt we are seeing an inflated line here with Clemson coming off that 58-0 win over Miami. This is a massive lookahead spot for Clemson. The ACC Atlantic Division title will be on the line next week when the Tigers host FSU, and they will certainly be thinking about that game rather than focusing on the task at hand. Over the last 5 years NC St is 5-0-1 ATS when hosting a ranked opponent. Last 3 years: Upset No. 3 Florida State 17-16 as a 16-point dog in 2012, covered as a 13-point dog against No. 3 Clemson in 2013 and covered as a 18-point dog last year against FSU. I think getting an inflated line only adds that much more value here to the Wolfpack. I like the double digit home dog here. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Ole Miss -7 v. Auburn | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Ole Miss who is 6-2 on the season is undoubtedly in the hunt for the SEC West crown despite being trailing #4 LSU and #7 Under quarterback Chad kelly, the Rebels boast the SEC's top offense in scoring, total yards and passing. Ole Miss looked like the best team in the SEC last week in large part because left tackle Laremy Tunsil returned from a seven-game suspension. The 6-foot-5, 305-pound All-America candidate played a big part if the Rebels’ 471 total yards in a 23-3 win over Texas A&M. Quarterback Chad Kelly was hurried only twice and sacked once as he threw for 241 yards. Auburn has had major issues applying pressure with its front seven. Auburn won't be able to line up against this Ole Miss defense and march down the field. On the season, Auburn has been outgained by 1.20 yards per play in SEC action. Ole Miss meanwhile hold a very solid 1.14 ypp advantage on SEC opponents. I like this underrated MISS team to take care of business once again here on Saturday. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Illinois +6 v. Penn State | Top | 0-39 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Penn State is 6-2 overall coming into this one but I'm not buying into it that at all. The Nittany Lions have gotten the worst from a few opponents thus far as they benefited from a +3 fumbles situation in their win over San Diego State, faced a Rutgers squad that was missing a ton of key guys due to suspensions including their head coach, won against an Indiana sqaud who was without their starting quarterback in the game and Penn State was also +5 in turnovers combined in their two close wins over Army and Maryland, both of which they failed to cover the point spread against either. Overall they've only won just one game this season against a team that has a winning record. Illinois has a big edge in this one as the Illini play in their 2nd game back from a bye week while Penn State plays for the 9th straight week in a row. The Fighting Illini are yielding just 20.3 points per game and 345 yards, down from 456.4 a season ago so their defense is really stepping up. Illinois also beat Penn State last season and also played the much tougher schedule this season. The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Penn State. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 10* College Game of the Week |
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10-30-15 | East Carolina -7 v. Connecticut | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
We won by fading East Carolina at home against Temple last week but will switch gears and back the Pirates on Friday night as they should dominate UConn. UConn is coming off back-to-back losses, including a blowout loss at Cincinnati last week. The Huskies were outgained by a whopping 346 total yards in that contest. I have a tough time believing they'll get things sorted out against another tough offensive opponent here. This is a classic case of contender vs. pretender. The Huskies have been one of the worst bets around this season while the Pirates are capable of rising to the occasion, and I like them by double digits here on Friday night, 5* |
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10-29-15 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | Top | 10-40 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
After opening the season with 3 straight wins, West Virginia hits Fort Worth with 3 straight losses as they take on undefeated TCU. The Horned Frogs have covered in 9 of their last 10 at Carter Stadium, TCU looks like the play tonight against the Mountaineers who are a poor 3-10 against the spread on the Big Twelve road under Dana Holgorsen. With 2 weeks to prepare, it is a positive situation for the Frogs who are 12-0 ATS with rest. That’s a far dichotomous number than the 0-7 ATS mark of WVU against conference opponents when rested. With a TCU defense getting healthier by the week, it is bad news for WVU and I like TCU big here tonight at home. 5* |
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10-25-15 | Oakland Raiders +4 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
I like the Oakland Raiders here on Sunday coming off of their BYE week. SD is coming off a pair of heartbreaking losses on the final plays vs the Steelers and Packers. Rivers threw for a record da over 500 yards and the team will be emotionally spent. |
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10-25-15 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 23-30 | Push | 0 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Tom Brady threw a rare INT last week vs the Colts. He has thrown 14 touchdowns with just 1 interception for the season (71%). The Home team is 29-8 ATS in Pat games, and New England is at 36.4 points per game in their last 8 games. New England has a very heavy pass attack and will spread out the Jets and expose the rookie HC. Tom Brady has been amazing, getting every throw that is needed, and has been remaining on his torrid pace, over the last 3 games. They are also the best on 3rd down conversion, converting 51% on the crucial down, they keep drives alive and score TD's not FG's. THe Pats are 8-0 ATS at home versus opponents who are off 2 wins and cruise this afternoon to be big win at home. This is a statement game for the Super Bowl Champs! 10* |
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10-24-15 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Texas A&M is off of a bad loss and they got physically beat up in that game. Last week, the Aggies entered as an undefeated home dog against Alabama. They leave College Station FOR THEIR FIRST TRUE ROAD GAME with the embarrassment of a (41-23) loss in which the Aggies suffered a trio of pick 6s. Last year, A&M was in a similar situation. They began the year with 5 consecutive victories before traveling to Starkville where they were beaten (48-31) by Mississippi St. The ensuing week, they returned home to face Ole Miss. With their bubble burst, they fell (35-20) courtesy of a (-3) net TO margin which included both a pick 6 and fumble 6 return. Well aware that Ole Miss is off its own embarrassing defeat, when they lost (37-24) at Memphis. But, that situation puts the advantage directly in the favor of the Rebels, who already suffered their own bubble burst after a Florida loss, only to bounce back with a (52-3) win and cover against New Mexico St. the following week. Texas A&M defense is bad at stopping the rush giving up 10 TDs on the ground. Ole Miss, I feel this team will be be primed at home on Saturday. Jaylen Walton is experienced and is a very talented RB he will be wanting to come back after his letdown play recently. This teams offensive firepower is very good and surprising. 10* College game of the month. |
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10-24-15 | Kansas State v. Texas -7 | Top | 9-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
One week after the Kansas State Wildcats were pummeled by the Oklahoma Sooners, 55-0, they travel to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns, and it could be just as bad. That game was in Manhttan, now the 'Cats have to travel? Texas may have saved its season and coach Charlie Strong's job with a win over Oklahoma. Now the Longhorns will make a run at six wins, and become bowl eligible. Look for the difference here to be Texas' running game. Texas has shown success on the ground this season and I think will be able to carry the momentum into this game, after a 313-yard rushing performance against Oklahoma. Freshman Jerrod Heard is crafty, and knows how to make the most of open spaces. He will terrorize the Wildcats once he gets into the secondary. Texas is at home and need a win here to continue momentum and should win this one big on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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10-23-15 | Utah State -3 v. San Diego State | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
4* |
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10-22-15 | Temple +3 v. East Carolina | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
this Temple team is a very solid football team. The defense has been great holding opponents to just 296 total yards per game (13th in FBS). In fact it is the defense’s success that has played a large role in their impressive start. The Owls have allowed just 29 points combined in the last 3 games and their defensive play will be an important factor this Thursday. 5* |
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10-19-15 | NY Giants +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Eagles despite recent signs of their offense clicking are not yet ready to face a quality team like the Giants, who could very well be 5-0 to start the season, if it was not for some unlucky breaks in the 4th quarter. THe Eagles tend to turn the ball over a lot and this is a big divisional game. The Giants have averaged 26.4 ppg this season and they are stout against the run defensively allowing the 4th least rushing yards in the NFL. Did you know that the Monday-night underdog is 5-1 against the spread this year? The Giants are also, 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. The Eagles have struggled at home recently going 12-25 their last 37 home games. The Giants are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The GMen are playing with double revenge after getting swept last year and I like them in the underdog spot here tonight on MNF. 5* |
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10-18-15 | Washington Redskins v. NY Jets -6.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
The Jets have the NFL's top rated scoring defense. Allowing just 13.8 points per game, the Jets have given up only 55 points in their four games played which is pretty impressive. They are also coming off of a BYE with 2 weeks to prepare for the Redskins who lost a heardbreaker to ATL last week in OT. The Redskins are riddled with key injuries right now. They’ll be missing two starting offensive linemen, including Kirk Cousins best protector, tackle Trent Williams; bad news on a week where the Jets get behemoth defensive lineman Sheldon Richardson back in the lineup. Washington’s secondary is a mess as well, and the Jets will take advantage.. |
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10-18-15 | Arizona Cardinals -4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 13-25 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
We roll with Arizona this week as we have consistently felt that it is great to fade the Monday Night Football winner the following week, and that is why we took the Eagles last week over New Orleans as our top 10*. In a similar fashion, we roll with Arizona who is the much better team than the Pittsburgh Steelers. Arizona stayed on the East coast and practiced this week after their game last Sunday.
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10-18-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Buffalo Bills +3.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
This game opened at a pickem, but the public loves undefeated teams and it quickly pushed the Bengals to -3. We went against the Bengals last week and had to settle for a push after watching Seattle blow a 24-7 lead, and then lose in OT. Cincinnati allowed over 400 yards to each of their previous three opponents, then allowed another 397 yards last week to Seattle. I think the Buffalo's offense will be able to move the ball with EJ Manuel likely starting behind center. LeSean McCoy may even see action, upgraded to probable for this one. The Bills' have a tough front four to get after Bengals QB Dalton and cause some turnovers. I liket his home underdog as the Bills are 9-2 ATS their last 11 when getting points. 5* |
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10-17-15 | Arizona State +5.5 v. Utah | Top | 18-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
ASU quarterback Mike Bercovici has thrown 7 touchdowns in his past two games. ALso DJ Foster is peeling off big runs, with Bercovici adding off some key plays, as well. Receiver Tim White was fantastic last week, with 144 yards and a pair of TD catches. ASU is playing some good ball right now and this is a good undedog spot here on Saturday night. With the way ASU is playing the last couple weeks, it’s not hard to imagine them hanging in there with Utah, with a chance to even win the game. After all, Cal only lost by 6 points to the Utes last week and that was with 6 Cal turnovers in the game. Look for the Sun Devils to pull the upset here. 5* |
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10-17-15 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +4 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
This is a major revenge game as Texas A&M was down last year 45-0 at halftime against Bama and ended up losing 59-0. They had this game circled here all season long. The Aggies are 5-0 home dogs in Game 6, playing with revenge and I like them in this spot on Saturday afternoon! 5* |
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10-17-15 | Iowa v. Northwestern +2 | Top | 40-10 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
Northwestern comes off a brutal beating last week as they got blasted 38-0. Their QB were a pathetic 15-33 with one INT. They only rushed for 38 yards on 25 carries and their special teams were bad. Not only will Northwestern want to erase last weekend's blowout loss, 38-0, but also last year in Iowa the Hawkeyes beat Northwestern 48-7 so they have some major revenge on their minds. Northwestern has had some big home wins already this year, beating Minnesota 27-0 and in their first game this year they beat Stanford 16-6 and Saturday look for Northwestern defense to bring home another defensive win. I see Northwestern coming out at home with a chip on their shoulder. Northwestern is 6-1 ATS following a SU loss of 20 points or more, and the Cats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The home team in this series is a perfect 5-0 ATS, and I expect a huge all out effort here at home on Saturday afternoon and NW to get the WIN! 10* |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
SD is a much different and better team at home. San Diego will welcome back from suspension TE Antonio Gates for this one, giving QB Philip Rivers another option in an already potent passing attack. Gates will be his #1 target on MNF. Under Mike Tomlin's guidance, the Steelers have never won a game in California. QB Michael Vick's throwing ability has become noticeably worse. There is little zip and hardly a spiral on the veteran QB's passes. Defenders can give Pittsburgh's speedy receivers plenty of room knowing Vick's limitations. Now 35 years old, Vick averaged just five yards per completion in his start against Baltimore to go along with four sacks. The Chargers also have healthier offensive line here and they should win big on Monday night! 5* |
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10-10-15 | California +8 v. Utah | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
I like CAL in this game on Saturday night. They have probably the best QB in the nation right now with Jared Goff. He is a beast having thrown for 15 TD's and 1630 passing yards. Cal's defense leads the nation in creating turnovers and is the Pac 12's number 1 team in sacks. This CAL team is very good all around and coming off a poor showing last week despite the win. These two teams are the only undefeated teams in the PAC 12 so the winner will have steam to get into the College Football Playoffs. Look for Jared Goff to come up HUGE and raise his 1st round NFL stock by leaps and bounds. Look for Goff to hit WR Kenny Lawler time after time for big yardage. Goff can also hand it to Daniel Lasco as he is fully recovered from his injuryand CAL was a perfect 5-0 ATS last year as underdogs on the road. TAKE CALIFORNIA 10* |
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10-10-15 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 21-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Florida could have a letdown after defeating Tennessee and Ole Miss in back to back weekends in the tough SEC. Missouri is #2 in the nation in tackles for a loss so getting inside the Gators backfield can stop many drives and keep the crowd in the game. Pay special attention to Tigers Walter Brady as he will live in Florida's backfield and is a monster. Defensive home dog supreme with a situational advantage against the Florida team laying an inflated after two 2 wins for Florida spells letdown with travel to Mizzu on Saturday night. 5* |
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10-10-15 | Northwestern v. Michigan -10 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan just continues to play better each week. Their offensive line is playing great and I think they'll keep NW in check. Northwestern has a solid defense but their offense is not good. Michigan also has a great D, but its more of timely great defense. They have been amazing vs 3rd down conversions. Keeping drives short, if the Wolverines defense can stop them on 3rd downs, and at home Michigan will be rocking. This is only NWestern's 2nd road game and I think they are in trouble. NW is ranked#13 and getting 7.5 pts. The oddsmakers are begging out to take them but we aren't biting. Michigan pulls away in a defensive battle. 27-10 |
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10-10-15 | Georgia v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses, so this is a team that could very well be a perfect 5-0. They have 18 returning starters from last season. This TENN team is very good and despite their record this team has talent. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions +10.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
The Lions blew an early 21-3 lead in a season-opening loss to San Diego and have gone down meekly in losses at Minnesota (26-16) and to Peyton Manning and Denver (24-12) in last weekend's home opener. "I think our team is right there," Detroit coach Jim Caldwell insisted. "You just can't see it, but we can." Quarterback Matthew Stafford should have a solid game along with Golden Tate with his return to Seattle. Also look for RB Ameer Abdullah to be used a lot in screens and out of the backfield. I expect a tight game to take the Lions PLUS THE DOUBLE DIGITS here on MNF. 5* |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +6 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Texans will keep Julio Jones and company off the field with their defense and pressure. Houston is one of the best 3rd down defensive teams in the NFL. With the 3-0 start the Falcons have gone from being a +3 home underdog in the opening week to being nearly a touchdown home favorite in Week 4. Houston's losses have both come by just seven points and with just 20 points allowed per game as the Texans figure to be the superior defensive team in this matchup. The Texans also finally got back to running the ball with success last week posting 186 yards on over 4.0 yards per carry and Ryan Mallett's confidence should grow with a win under his belt. The Houston defense will attack Matt Ryan and make the offensive line uncomfortable throughout and I think this will be very tight and the Houston Texans are ready to pull the upset on the road. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Arizona State +14 v. UCLA | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
UCLA always has a history of losing a game at home to a team they shouldn't be losing to and this game screams trap game. They are sandwiched between a nationally televised primetime game and a team who Jim Mora hasn't beaten yet ( Stanford ). I expect Arizona St to have a crazy pass rush and all out blitzing of the Arizona St Sun Devils. At best, Josh Rosen will be forced to throw short passes as going deep will be remove from the offense tonight. The key to the upset is the Sun Devil's potent pass rush. The top 3 tacklers for a loss in the Pac 12 are all on the Sun Devils side. The Devils can run the ball which bodes well against the Bruins main weakness as they have little in the form of a run defense. This is a major revenge game as ARZ St lost by 38 last year against UCLA. Look for a letdown after just destroying Arizona on the road last week opening up their conference play action. This is too many points to give a solid defensive team. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Ole Miss v. Florida +7 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Florida have definitely played some very solid defense as well against Kentucky and squeaking by Tennessee. This Florida team is young but very athletic and fast. Look for a tight game throughout and the Gators to pull the upset late at home. 5* |
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10-03-15 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
My biggest problem with Arkansas however is its defense. There are some alarming red flag-type numbers to be aware of. Three weeks ago, Toledo hit them up for 237 yards through the air which while not horrible, was a precursor of things to come. Both Texas Tech and Texas A&M had no trouble against UA's secondary with 673 yards combined at well over 10 yards per pass. Tennessee's passing numbers don't look all that impressive but it's had more to do with the in-game situations rather than their capabilities. The Vols stuck to the ground with big leads against Bowling Green and Western Carolina and were wise not to test Florida's elite level secondary. Tennessee has weapons at the receiver position and will assuredly unleash them against Arkansas' soft secondary. Tenn already has 2 losses and they need to run the table and win every game big and it starts today! Play the VOLS! 5* |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers are 3-0 ATS in 2015, have Le'Veon Bell back, and are only allowing, 17.3 PPG. The Ravens are 0-3 (both SU and ATS), can't run the ball, WR's are old and the secondary is terrible. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS their L8 overall, 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC, and 6-2 ATS their L8 at home. Giving Pittsburgh some extra hope moving ahead without Big Ben is a defense that is getting better and better with each game. This is a Pittsburgh defense that is in the midst of a transition, with a leaning toward youth and the departure of Dick LeBeau in the offseason. On Sunday, Baltimore allowed 383 yards in the air by Andy Dalton, with AJ Green having a monster game with 227 yards receiving. Vick has had a week to prepare and I'll back the Steelers at home catching 3 points. 5* |
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09-28-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Green Bay Packers -5.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers are looking to jump to a 3-0 start as they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to Lambeau Field for a Monday Night matchup. KC plays too conservative for my liking and I expect them to fall into a hole against the high powered GB Packers on MNF. The Packers enter the week as the top ranked team in the Power ratings with the Chiefs checking in at the #9 spot. In his last 17 home games, Rodgers has thrown for 41 touchdowns and zero interceptions on 512 pass attempts. Rodgers has completed 77% of his passes through two contests and the Packers are 5th in points scored, averaging 29 a game. Eddie Lacy is battling a sprained ankle but does hope to play with the extra day of rest. If the bruising back can’t go, veteran James Starks should be able to pick up the slack without too much dropoff and Green Bay didn’t miss a beat in the run game last week against a tough Seattle defense. Both teams have good but not great defenses. Green Bay typically plays with a lead and that lets guys like Julius Peppers and Clay Matthews go for big plays. KC has been stout against the run so far, allowing just 80 yards on average but ranks outside the top-20 in pass yards allowed, not exactly a good stat as you go up against the best QB in the business and their pass happy offense. I think 6.5 points is safe to lay, especially in Lambeau. Look for the Packers to get a big win on MNF over the Chiefs. 5* |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos v. Detroit Lions +3 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Denver comes in at 2-0 off a miracle win at rival KC last week a game they had 5 takeaways and barely won. The defense is very good, and manning showed glimpses of the old Peyton in the 2nd half of that game. But can he keep it up? Especially behind an terrible OL with 3 new starters? Detroit's season may be on the line as they have started out 0-2 and they have a solid defense and a lot of weapons on offense. Lions are still able to throw the deep ball with touch and tolerable accuracy. Look for a lot of screens to the Lions RB's and Detroit to keep Denver off balance. I expect the Lions to win this game outright. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +7.5 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This annual SEC matchup again takes place at the home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas. Last year Texas A&M won this contest 35-28, but in so doing, they were outrushed by Arkansas 285-137 so I am looking for a similiar outcome this year. I expect HC Bielema is rebuilding this Arkansas program in that same mold as he did with Wisconsin. Arkansas does, however, have one of the largest OLs in the country. My what I have heard Bielema is going to return to the ground game on Saturday and just keep pounding it and controling the ball in an effort to control the clock and the flow of the game. With the Hogs off two horrendous performances, we are now getting 2 TDs more from where this line would have been opening week. Although Arkansas (1-2) needs to work on its leaky pass defense, its power offense should find some success against a vulnerable Aggies run defense. Lost amid the glossy offensive numbers Texas A&M (3-0) has posted thus far is a shaky run defense that gave up 393 combined rushing yards to Ball State and Nevada. The Razorbacks are capable of pounding the ball downfield and shortening the game with their offense. They gained 285 rushing yards on Texas A&M last year. Look for a close game throughout and Arkansas to pull the upset catching 7.5 points at home. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +10 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
For East Carolina, WR Jones will be an extremely valuable asset in this game, Isaiah Jones has shown excellent concentration especially in his receiving routes. EC has a strong home field, where in the last 3 years under 6th year HC McNeill, they are 16-3 SU with only losses to UCF by 2, VA Tech by 5 (last time here in 2013) and Navy which they struggled to prepare for their option. With extra value in the line, look for the Pirates to bounce back in a game they can take to the wire as QB Kemp has admirably replaced 4 year starter Carden in putting up 300 PYPG. Look for another close game here in EC. 5* |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Andrew Luck simply does not lose back to back games. He has a great record coming off of a loss and the Jets will be without number 2 corner Cromartie. The Colts will play better on both sides of the ball in this one and they will have a huge boost from the home crowd in the home opener on MNF. The Colts are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games after a loss and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are hoping their second matchup with an AFC East foe goes better than the first. Playing at home should provide an added lift for the Colts, who will try to rebound from a season-opening drubbing in Buffalo when they host the New York Jets on Monday night. Play the Indianapolis Colts -7 with confidence Monday night as Luck should bounce back with a big night on MNF. 5* |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | Top | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
With 10 days to prepare, the Pittsburgh Steelers play their home opener after losing last Thursday against the Patriots. SF is on the short week playing late on MNF plus traveling to the east coast. Even though the Steelers lost 28-21, they outgained the Patriots by 103 yards. New England lost the stats by a 464-to-361 margin, proving the Steelers offense looks dynamic. Mike Tomlin usually bounces back strong with extra time to game plan. The Steelers have enjoyed a lot of success at home when playing the NFC West. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home against NFC West teams in his career. Pittsburgh has scored 30 or more points in five of their last six home games. The Steelers actually could have won the game late. I just do not like the SF team this year and I look for Pittsburgh to even up their record at 1-1 with a big win on Sunday afternoon at home. 10* |
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09-17-15 | Clemson v. Louisville +6.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
ACC Football takes over this Thursday night as the Louisville Cardinals host the no. 11 Clemson Tigers inside Papa John’s Stadium. Louisville has suffered two straight close losses to start the season including a tough match to open the season against no. 6 Auburn. This week the Cardinals continue the search for that first win with their 3rd straight home contest. Meanwhile the Clemson Tigers have got off to a quick 2-0 start as the 11th ranked team in the land. However, the Tigers have beaten the likes of Wofford and Appalachian State meaning this week’s Thursday night battle on the road in Louisville will be their first true test of the year. Everyone knew that Louisville coach Bobby Petrino was going to have his hands full this year after losing the most starters in the ACC and the 3rd most starters in all of college football from last year’s team. Louisville will be too much to handle in this game on both sides of the ball as a 7 pr home dog. This is a nice rebound spot for the Cardinals and they win big on Thursday night. 5* |
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09-13-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans +1 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. 10* |
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09-13-15 | Cleveland Browns +3.5 v. NY Jets | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. |
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09-12-15 | Pittsburgh -11 v. Akron | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a very good Pitt team and one that no ones talks about. Akron did an outstanding job of slowing down the Sooners rushing attack, but struggled in the air. That got battered and bruised up good in that game. Look for the Pittsburgh Panthers to roll here and cover this double-digit line easily. 5* |
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09-12-15 | Oregon State v. Michigan -14.5 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
The Wolverines had to deal with all the first game pressures and played a tough Utah team on the road. Now with the extra rest and time to prepare for this game and play a much weaker Oregon State team who has a new coach this year and will be playing it's first road game of the season and doing do so with a true freshman quarterback. Oregon State doesn't move the ball well in the air. I expect Michigan QB Jake Rudock to adjust and not make the mistakes he made throwing 3 picks like he did against Utah. WR Amara Darboh will be tough to handle. Lastly, Oregon State is also playing what amounts to a start time of 9 a.m. PST here in this one here on the road very start on Saturday. Look for Michigan to come out strong and not look back as they have the better offense, defense and special teams in this battle. 10* |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Tom Brady will have his team fired up for this NFL opening kickoff game on Thursday night. The Patriots will take advantage of the poor play of the Steelers defense and secondary. They lost their coordinator and several playmakers on their defense. The Steelers will also be without stud RB L Bell. Look for the Patriots to be super motivated after court decided to give him a pass from Deflategate. I expect Gronk to have a big night as well. 5* |
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09-05-15 | Arizona State v. Texas A&M -3 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 101 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
If Texas A&M wins its season opener for the third year in a row Saturday night, they'll need to control the ball. The Sun Devils may be out of their element in Texas versus a team that will be highly motivated to reverse course from last year. The Aggies dropped five of eight down the stretch, wasting a 5-0 start. Gone from A&M is quarterback Kenny Hill, who broke Johnny Manziel's single-game passing record in his very first start with 511 yards against South Carolina. His replacement, Kyle Allen, took over after the losing streak and ended up winning Liberty Bowl MVP honors as a true freshman. In that game, A&M beat West Virginia 45-37 as a 3.5-point underdog. Allen was actually a higher-rated recruit than Hill coming out of high school. I think Allen will torch the Sun Devils as Texas A&M has a ton of weapons on offense and the fans to back them in this game. Aggies by 10 here on ESPN Saturday night. |
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09-04-15 | Charlotte v. Georgia State -7 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
This is the first year in this conference for Charlotte U. They are undersized and are coming into this game with last minute changes to their QB position. Their team is built of inexperienced sophomores and Juniors. Georgia St. defensive line is stronger, and their backfield is loaded with depth. I expect Geo St to keep the ball on the ground and pounding which will open up the passing game and they should win by double digits here on Friday afternoon. 5* |
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09-03-15 | Michigan v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
I know Harbaugh will turn the Wolverines around but it will take time for players to learn his system and also for him to get the right guys there. I think Kyle Whittingham is one of the best coaches in CFB that no one outside of Utah talks about. Best special teams in the country and they are tough at home. The Utes are a rugged and fast team, and have steadily advanced in the Pac-12. Last season, their fourth in the conference, they posted their first winning record in Pac-12 play with a 5-4 mark. They ended up 9-4 overall, topping their season with a 45-10 rout of Colorado State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utah returns an excellent dual-threat quarterback in Travis Wilson, and one of the best running backs in the country in Devontae Booker. Last season, the Utes went to the Big House and clobbered a listless Michigan team 26-10. Utah has a solid defense and a very tough pass rusher in Hunter Dimick. Altitude won't even need to be a factor but it will be. Utes rolled last year at Big House 26-10. I see more of the same here on Thursday night. UTAH by 17. 10* OPENING BLAST |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots -1 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 290 h 19 m | Show |
I am starting to wonder how long this game will remain a pick'em, so I want to give it out before we lose any more value. I believe the Pats and Brady come up with a game plan that can take advantage of the questionable health of the Seahawks secondary. I look for Brady to pick apart the middle of the field with Gronk and a combo of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola on crossing routes. Russell Wilson is not playing to his full capability and making a lot of poor decisions with his passes. NE and Brady can spread you out and also attack you with 2 solid RB's. I like NE to win this years SUPER BOWL.
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 23 m | Show |
Indianapolis had a great year and had a cold stretch 2/3 of the way thru the season, but are clicking again.
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01-12-15 | Ohio State v. Oregon -6 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
On New Year’s Day, the Ducks pounded FSU 59-20 with one of their most complete performances of the year. At halftime, Oregon held just a slim 18-13 lead. However the Ducks offense, which is built for speed, quickly turned the game into a blowout in the 3rd quarter by scoring 27 points in the first 13 minutes of the 2nd half. Osu better be ready to run on Monday because, those FSU linemen were totally gassed 3 plays into the 3rd quarter. The Ducks offense consistently blew away Florida State’s talented defense with 639 total yards and 301 yards on the ground. The Ducks offense has been clicking and posted incredible numbers against opponents. In fact, the Ducks have scored a minimum of 42 points in each of their last 9 games while covering the spread in each of their last 9 games as well. Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota threw for 338 yards with two scores against Florida State while he ran for 62 yards with another touchdown. Mariota is the heart of this Oregon offense and Ohio State must do a good job of getting pressure on him as they did against Blake Sims. Otherwise, it is going to be a long night. The difference in this year’s Oregon team is not on the offensive side of the ball, but rather their defense has been really good. I think the Ducks defense is the difference in this game as I think they'll hold Ohio St to FG's and not TD's and the Ducks will pull away in the 2nd half as 10 days is not enough time for Ohio St to prep for this explosive Ducks team. Oregon wins by 14-22 points in a high scoring game! 5* BEST BET CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER! |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys +6 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Dallas main key here today will be keeping Rodgers off the field as much as possible. The Cowboys should bring pressure on the injuried Rodgers this afternoon. I expect the Cowboys offensive line to play better and we'll see a lot of DeMarco Murray, all day long, They obviously have been a great scoring team, regardless of the defense they have played all season. And for those who question, for what could be a pretty good linebacking unit, Rolando McClain was the key ingredient for the Boys, him being questionable is a certain worry. I also look for a big game from Witten and Dez Bryant and other receivers have been the bulk of their scoring plays. The calf injury to Aaron Rodgers is not to be taken lightly. He's a mobile QB that likes to get out of the pocket and buy some extra time. Additionally, the Dallas defenders know exactly where the injury is and may put their helmets in that area as they hit him. He only took 50% of the reps at practice this week so he might be rusty with 2 weeks off. Dallas has been very good on the road this year and so has Romo. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road and I'll back them as a nice dog on Sunday. 5* |
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01-10-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
I love the Patriots coming off a BYE here on Saturday afternoon at home. Their offense has been unstoppable and their defense has been tough. NE also played a very tough schedule and I expect them to put a lot of pressure on Flacco. Baltimore has consistently struggled against the Pass this yearand look for New England who took a beating in the last few years' playoffs run to finally step up here and do well. The Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and the Patriots to their credit are 8-0 ATS intheir last 8 home games when facing a team with a winning road record and the Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. New England is coming in off a useless loss vs Buffalo, that meant nothing to them, so they will be good and rested coming into this matchup. They have been like machines, and have been excellent on 3rd down, all season long, keeping drives going. New England is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Pats have a great secondary with Revis & Browner who have the certain ability to shut-down any top ended WR in the league, Look for Brady - Gronk and company to get a double digit win at home here Saturday afternoon. 10* NFL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals +4 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati has a surprising top end running game, and the emergence of Jeremy Hill has been great for Bengals fans. The Colts offense has been dead over the past month. |