Baltimore, of course, moves the ball on the ground excellently with Forsett. They have a strong defensive front stopping the run, only giving up 3.6/carry. The Ravens have largely been forgotten about this year despite their 10-6 record. They have a veteran QB with Joe Flacco while the Steelers will be without their #1 RB Bell. Baltimore's secondary will have a better game with Bell out of the game as they'll be able to focus on the Steelers WR's and TE more. Look for the Ravens defense get real aggressive and come up with some key stops. I expect to be a very hard hitting, brutal game that we seem to always expect when they play, close playoff game here, Ravens with the points. I like the Ravens +3 to win this one outright on Saturday night!
10*

5*

Arizona have been awful, losers of 4 of their last 6 games. And obviously have serious QB issues to deal with. Carolina comes in running the ball well and Cam Newton on a mission. They are playing some great ball, winners of 4 straight and they have gotten hot at the right time, obviously. As well as beating 2 teams with strong offenses, New Orleans and Atlanta. O dont trust Arizona with Lindley here. Its a QB league this year and Newton is worlds better than Lindly. The Panthers defense has also been tough just surrendering an average of 10.8 points during the winning streak and limiting Atlanta to a season-low three points in last week's division clincher. Look for Kelvin Benjamin and tight end Greg Olsen to have big games today.

Kansas State lost 3 games this season, all to teams who were ranked no lower than 6th. In other words, only elite teams have been able to subdue the Wildcats this season. Kansas State's Jake Waters looks to continue the strong finish to his college career, having completed 73.9 percent of his passes for an average of 331.3 yards in his last three games. The dual-threat quarterback has thrown for 3,163 yards and 20 touchdowns with six interceptions while rushing for 471 yards and eight scores. Kansas State’s offesnse relies heavily on the pass, not that they can’t run the ball, as Charles Jones and DeMarcus Robinson have been productive in spots. Jones has 13 TD runs on just 521 yards rushing. Waters himself has run it in 8 times. But at under 4 yards per run team-wide, their strength is the aerial attack, with dynamic Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton. Lockett has 1351 yards on 91 catches, while Sexton has 955 yards receiving. Both players are top-notch and very dependable. Defensively, Kansas State is pretty tough. They allowed only an average of 21.8 points per game, while being particularly stout against the run, allowing an average of 124 yards per game. When averaging 36 points per game offensively, I like them as a small dog here. Kansas St is well coached by Synder.K-State is just as physical as Stanford. This is NOT a good matchup for the Bruins. K-State does not beat itself They have committed just 11 turnovers this season, tied for second-fewest in the FBS. The Wildcats have allowed 32 points off turnovers, eight-fewest in the FBS. Kansas State has committed 11 defensive penalties this season, second-fewest in the FBS. If K State controls the ball it is lights out for the Bruins. Head Coach Bill Synder is a guy who can coach a team. Very disciplined. His only losses are to Auburn and he should have won that and Baylor and TCU on the road. Bill Snyder will have his team ready for this bowl game this evening.  10*

Oregon is 12-1 on the year with their only loss coming from inner division play. Florida State has been a top notch team, obviously as their record indicates. But they also have 7 games that could have ruined the undefeated season. Jameis Winston has taken a step back since last year, his big play ability moving the ball downfield has declined greatly and has shown a lack of leadership at times. Granted, FSU has a shockingly fast defense, and have a massive O Line. Biggest thing here will be turnovers, FSU simply can't afford the typical mistakes it's made all season.

Oregon has been nothing short of awesome, all year. Obviously with Heisman winner Marcus Mariota and his awesome season are the huge headline here. But don't overlook the importance of Royce Freeman hitting the ground for 1299 yds, and 16 tds. They will continue to put pressure on Jameis and stop the offense of FSU. Even with a tight thrower like Mariota, they actually are a run heavy team with a huge RB in Freeman, who will wear them down in the trenches. Both teams have had a long time to prepare, Oregon will win this game, by 10 or more i beleive. Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games OREGON ROLLS THEM!  10* College Bowl BURIAL!

This should be a very good game. Boise State is looking to prove they belong with the big boys again, that they aren't your average mid-major. And I truly believe they aren't. They've recovered from the loss of a great coach and are back. Arizona might be feeling some letdown with the way the season ended. They were right on the cusp, on the verge of big things if they could beat a team in Oregon they had beaten in their last two games. To go from that to facing Boise is a bit of a come-down.

Boise State is the highest-ranked team not from one of the big five conferences. Coming off an 11-win season, they earned a major bowl berth on the heels of a great season. First-year coach Bryan Harsin has whipped this Boise State team back close to its glory years of several seasons ago. Gunning for their 12th win, they are a heck of a team--they can run and throw the ball well and even play some defense. In their last game before this bowl game on December 6, they beat Fresno State, 28-14, to win the Mountain West Conference championship. The Broncos need to run the ball, which they usually don’t have much trouble doing with RB Jay Ajayi. Once he gets rolling, QB Grant Hedrick can open up with the passing attack with some little trick plays thrown into the mix. Senior quarterback Grant Hedrick has been solid this season. His accuracy is excellent, as he has completed 71% of his throws, along with 22 TD throws and 8 on the ground. It’s good enough for an average of 40 points per game and I love them this afternoon as Boise Wins this bowl game today.  10*

Monday, December 29th, tune into ESPN at 5:30pm to watch the Russell Athletic Bowl.

I will take Bob Stoops with over 3 weeks to prepare for this ranked Clemson team and also an underdog for a reason.

Clemson is going with their second string QB here for the Tigers as Watson is gone with an ACL surgery.

While the Sooners' offense is getting healthy, the defense has been tough on the road this year.

The Clemson Tigers could have trouble moving the ball on the ground considering Oklahoma is 10th against the run at 109.6 yards per game.

The Sooners, who were No. 4 in the preseason poll but went 0-3 against Top 25 teams, were 10th in the FBS in scoring at 38.9 points per game and eighth in rushing, averaging 268.6 yards.

The Sooners have plenty to prove here and their offense is averaging 39 PPG..They clearly have the offense to do it, behind what figures to be a now healthy QB Knight.Oklahoma averaged 39 PPG with a ground game that averaged 269/6.1, leading an offense to 481 YPG on 6.6 YP play.

The DL and OL will be the difference in this game and catching OKL off a loss in their last game as Stoops should have them focused in Orlando Florida Monday afternoon.

I look for OKLAHOMA to jump out early in this game and not look back. 10*

After coming off a big win in New Orleans to stay alive, the Atlanta Falcons open as a 4 pt favorite at home against Cam Newton and the Panthers. The total points are set at 47 overall for this match-up too. So far, 69% of the money is being wagered on the home team Falcons to cover the spread. The Carolina Panthers have come on strong the last couple of weeks. Carolina has the 9th best pass defense in the NFL and they need this to hold true. Their secondary also has gotten faster with a switch to younger defensive backs. Carolina is giving up an average of 13.3 points during its last three games in beating the Saints, Buccaneers and Browns. Carolina also has a strong history under Ron Rivera in December going 14-4 SU and 12-5-1 ATS.

The Falcons defense is not that good and they struggle at stopping good TE's. Look for a big game from Greg Olsen. With a playoff spot on the line this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game with the winner claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well. Take the CAROLINA PANTHERS plus the points. 10* GAME OF THE YEAR!

The Trojans face Nebraska tonight in the Holiday Bowl and come into the contest with a 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games against Big Ten opponents. Nebraska obviously is led by one of the best backs I have seen play, in Ameer Abdullah, he can make plays happen all day. Nebraska, though, ever since the Wisconsin game, have been not themselves, after that 59-24 drubbing, they went into a nasty spiral, and they haven't looked the same since. Nebraska has had problems playing ranked opponents, we have seen them struggle with that all season. Their coached was fired and a new staff is coming in.

 USC and Cody Kessler will be more than ready in this game. Kessler and his 36 tds are going to looking at that pass defense that has given up only 196 a game, and will be ready for the challenge. USC simply has more talent than Nebraska, they have a team that is definitely heading back in the right direction. USC has had a feeling for what the Pac-12 offers, when they play Nebraska, it's going to look a little bit better than what they saw playing in the Pac-12.

Nebraska is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games and I like USC big here on Saturday night! 5*

The BC Eagles run the ball over 70% of the time, logging the 8th most rushing attempt per game and rank 11th in time of possession. :Penn has the defense and LB's to stop the run. Now they will face the #1 ranked rush defense of Penn State and the Lions have held the opposition to 84 yards per game on the ground. Linebacker Brandon Bell is slated to return for PSU after missing the final two games of the regular season, further improving that stout run defense. Christian Hackenberg makes the PSU offense go and his inconsistencies have largely led to the 6-6 record. With an extra month of practice I beleive that will really benefit Hackenberg with more time with WR's. Penn St also has Akeel Lynch and Bill Belton are serviceable runners DaeSean Hamilton has been a stud at receiver, grabbing 75 passes for 848 yards but has managed just one trip to the endzone and is about the only dependable option in the passing game. Penn St also has a very good kicker which may factor into this game. Take Penn State plus the 3 points here on Saturday evening. 10*

NC is off a terrible game their last time out getting pounded by NC St. Their QB play was poor, RB, penalties, turnovers, offensive line stunk! Now they've had some very tough practices the past 4 weeks and will be ready to unload on Rutgers. NC was so bad that they only had 30 rushing yards in that game. Look for NC QB Marquise Williams to have a big day and move the ball. THey also have a standout WR with Quinshad Davis. Favored by just 3, North Carolina is looking to finish the 2014 season with a win and an overall winning record. The Tarheels have come a long and improves as the season continued. Winning four of their last six games is what saved the season and allowed UNC to even make it to a bowl game. Rutgers came out early in the season and were winners of five of their first six games. Since that time, they have dropped four of six and find themselves as underdogs to UNC. Statistically, Rutgers is not really impressive in any area and I like NC to come up big here on Friday afternoon. 10*

I like Rice by 7-13 points. Played at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu Starting Time: 8pm EST on ESPN Sunny. Winds northwest at 1-5 m.p.h (Honolulu, HI) Game-time temperature: Around 75.

Rice had a good season and though they came up monumentally short on the road against Marshall and Louisiana Tech, they had been in really good form. For Rice to win 6 games in a row with none of them being close is quite a feat for this Owls’ program. But their best win may be their November 21 win over UTEP, another bowl-bound team. In that 6-game winning streak, they beat teams who are a combined record of 23-50. So let’s call a spade a spade. Against teams over .500, the Owls are 1-4 while being outscored 203-77 in their 4 losses. Rice’s offense has some good balance, led by junior QB Driphus Jackson, who has thrown for over 2500 yards and 21 touchdowns, similar stats to Burrell’s, just with half the picks at 8. The run game is led by Jowan Davis and Darik Dillard--a capable explosive duo. Their best receiver is Jordan Taylor, while Mario Hull is an ultra-dangerous playmaker, with a quarter of his touches going for touchdowns. I like Rice laying a small number against a Fresno State team that really struggles defensively. The Bulldogs rank 111th in the nation in total defense with 455.8 ypg allowed. Rice has the more reliable defense, one that ranks 66th nationally with 396.8 ypg allowed. Lastly the Rice Owls are 11-3 ATS under Bailiff when getting more than a week to prepare for the opposition.

5* Best Bet Play o the Day! Merry Christmas and have a great day!

Navy comes into this matchup with their usual big time triple option running game, behind Keenan Reynolds and his 21 tds.  This Navy squad definitely also comes in with a massive chip on their shoulder. Navy has always been looked at as a team that should be beaten by major schools, but we can look back and ask ND that. San Diego State has a poor passing game, no question, which has been nothing more than scraping by through the season throwing the ball.

The U.S. Navy has there is a huge Naval base in San Diego and their will be plenty of support for the military in this game tonight. SD ST is a bit lacking on the offensive side of the ball. QB Kaehler is far from dramatic with 56% completions and only a 9/10 ratio.
 THis Navy team is very good  behind dynamic QB Reynolds, the Middies were the No. 1 rushing team in America this season at 345/6.2. With nearly 2 weeks to prepare for Long’s unique defense, expect Navy HC Niumatalolo to devise an attack which will succeed. Navy has always did well when an underdog as they have gone 19-9 ATS of late.  10* College Bowl Gem.

Memphis finished the season very strong and Monday afternoon they go for their 7th straight win. First Bowl since 2008 for Memphis, who turned it around for HC Fuente. The Tigers went 9-3 SU, as they enter today on a 6-game win streak. That 9-3 SU mark followed a 12-48 SU streak the previous 5 years. QB Lynch operates behind an OL that allows just 15 sacks. Memphis is also on a 6-1 ATS run vs. Non-conference foes. Memphis has a very good defensive team especially vs pass coverage. And have been also scoring like crazy recently, putting up 38 or more in 4 of their last 6 games and playing in the warm weather of Florida will only help them with their team speed. And their QB is an excellent athlete, can make plays with his feet, picking up 10 tds in his out of pocket plays. Coach Fuente has done an amazing job in making Memphis believe and in turning this school around.
BYU is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games
Memphis wins here on Monday afternoon.5*

With Lindley taking over at QB, now even more pressure is going to be put on the Cardinals defense to completely carry the entire load for this team. The Arizona tough defense and great special teams is what is going to keep this home dog in the game today. Lindley was 4-for-10 for 30 yards when he was called upon last week after Drew Stanton got hurt, and there’s talk out of Arizona that they may have a “package” for rookie quarterback Logan Thomas (Virginia Tech) who can run and pass to take advantage of his mobility on Sunday. Also note the home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings in this series and the Cardinals are unbeaten at home, I'll take my chances. The Arizona defense is one of the best in the league, and even if they only score 7-10 points in this game, their defensive presence alone against a very average Seattle offense should keep this game close. Seattle with Marshawn Lynch boast the NFL’s top running attack at 169 yards a game, but the strength of the Cardinals defense is still their defensive line and their run defense, so they’ll likely try and find a way to make Russell Wilson beat them by throwing it. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 16. Take the Cardinals here on Sunday night primetime action. 5*

KC’s QB, Alex Smith, put together a decent game last week versus the Raiders. Smith was 18 of 30 for 297 yards passing and 2 TDs and no INTs. RB Jamaal Charles took a big hit to the head and left the game where he went through a number of concussion tests (he returned but briefly). RB Nile Davis relieved Charles and pulled in a 70-yard TD reception from Smith and also ran for a TD to add to the Chief’s scoring. KC dominated this game and made that quite evident when they put up 21 points in 4 minutes and 42 seconds in the 3rd quarter alone. KC’s offense, defense, and special teams all looked really good. KC’s defense is ranked No. 5 in points allowed on the road at 19.29 per contest. Kansas City is solid on both sides of the football, and the same cannot be said for Pittsburgh. Their defense ranks in the bottom half of the league despite playing some of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Kansas City has been a great road team under Andy Reid, covering the spread in 11 of 15 road games the last two years. KC plays tough on the road and I'll take the 3 points with the Chiefs here on Sunday. 10*

On Saturday, Robert Griffin III will again be the starter for Washington because of a neck injury suffered by Colt McCoy. Griffin NEEDS a good showing, in a bad way. The crazy thing about the terrible record for Washington is the fact that statistically they are not that bad of a team. They rank 10th in the NFL in passing, and their defense ranks 7th against the run and they would love to beat the Eagles here at home and lessoning their chances of making the playoffs. RG3 needs to lead the Skins on long TD drives and also, avoid turnovers. Almost 70% of the public money is on the Eagles. Home field in the NFL is huge...ask Buffalo and Green Bay. I like Philadelphia to go into Washington and get the win, but I think it will be a lot closer than most think. Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Take the RedSkins and the points here on Saturday!  5*

Utah played 6 ranked opponents this year in a very tough schedule while Colorado State played ZERO ranked teams. Utah is very good when they have more than 2 weeks to prepare for their opponent.

Utah is facing a team that gives up 187 yards rushing per game. Utah needs to run the ball, and will, without question. QB Travis Wilson is going to be the X-factor simply because, if Utah is forced to rely on Wilson to throw the ball efficiently, he needs to find Kaelin Clay, it makes them that more dangerous to stop.  10*

The Utah defense is very very good with one of the best defensive fronts in all of college football. UTah had 52 defensive sacks, a number that leads the nation and will make life miserable for QB Grayson.

The Utes recorded 5 road wins.A negative is a 0-5 ATS record as road or neutral favorite.But, under HC Whittingham, this team is 8-2 ATS in Bowls, indicating his ability to motivate his team for these games and make them a priority. Utah St's coach left and I don't expect the team to be the same. UTAH ROLLS!

The Saints got the kick in the teeth that I believe will turn their season around. I see them coming back strong in this one and beginning a streak of wins to end the season. The Saints have more weapons on both sides of the ball. While both teams are 5-8 the Saints have the better QB who doesn't turn the ball over and still alive for the playoffs. Saints are favoured here but that’s a testament to just how bad this Chicago defense has become. The Bears have allowed the most points in the league, an average of 29.1 per games and that includes 75 points in its past two games when the Bears were still in playoff contention. It also helps that Chicago WR Brandon Marshall has been sidelined for the year, allowing the Saints to key on WR Alshon Jeffery. Saints better on road lately and they can control this one. The Saints rebound in a big way and win on MNF.  5*

Dallas played their worst game of the season on Thanksgiving against the Eagles. Romo wasn't himself and the Cowboys didn't run the ball or use TE Witten much. Dallas now has had 10 days to prepare for this game while Philly has only had the standard time and got beat up good last week versus Season. This gives Dallas a decided advantage in game-planning. While Sanchez has been mediocre since taking over for Nick Foles, Romo has been having another very good season and despite his back injury is currently rated #3 in Total QBR. He had a bad game against the Eagles last time out and I expect a much better performance from him this time around.

Dallas has played very well on the road this season (6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS) and with situation, value and a revenge spot all lining up on the Cowboys. Dallas has played much better on the road this season, going 6-0, and the visitor has been the play in this series, covering the spread in 6 of their last 7 meetings. I am still not a big believer in Mark Sanchez, and the Seahawks provided a blueprint last Sunday as to how to shut him down. The road team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this series, the Cowboys are 22-12 ATS as a pup since 2009 and the dog in Dallas games since 2010 is 51-23 ATS.

Kyle Orton captains the ship for the Bills and the veteran has kept thing moving in the right direction. Orton isn’t a top-level talent at QB but controls the game and makes good decisions, throwing for 14 touchdowns against 7 interceptions. Fred Jackson is back to near full health for the Buffalo and he is the do-it-all guy for this offense. Jackson is a capable runner but really poses a match-up problem in the pass game when he has 53 receptions despite missing time this season. Orton is off a terrible game last week and I expect him to bounce back at home this week.

Buffalo is very good on the defensive side of the ball.

 Sammy Watkins can take the top off the defense but the Bills pass game is designed to pick up yards underneath and grind out clock. Robert Woods and Chris Hogan are serviceable possession options for Orton and he has spread it around plenty with nine different Bills catching at least one touchdown pass.

Green Bay has won five straight games but the last three in that stretch have come by three, five and seven points, making this five-point line right in danger zone for the Pack.

Look for a lot of Fred Jackson running and pass catching for the Bills with some short routes sprinkled in to move the chains. Scott Chandler could see a lot of action in the seam as Green Bay struggles to cover the tight end. I expect a letdown for GB here and this is a MUST WIN for Buffalo at home if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.  The Bills plus the points at home look very tasty to me this afternoon.

Steelers Head Coach, Tom Tomlin was criticized last week for his poor clock management at the end of the first half in which many thought the Steelers could have a had a better chance to put points on the board. Although a seasoned coach with plenty of significant games under his watch it is a bit surprising the Steelers were not more prepared for the mediocre Saints. Hopefully the Steelers show up and play better all-around this week at Cincy otherwise they may be in for yet another tough game. We expect the Steelers to bounce back well in what is a must-win game for them for their playoff hopes and Jarvin Jones is also back for them today and he is tough on defense. The Steelers have won 11 of their last 14 games in Cincinnati, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games when they are coming off a loss. QB Andy Dalton has been poor playing at home this season with a 73.2 passer rating. Both of these teams know the importance of the next four weeks especially Pittsburgh as they are the team under the gun and facing all the pressures of missing the playoffs unless they win at least 3 of their last 4 contests. I think the Steelers manage to pull it together this week and despite the negative press and injuries facing them they get the job done in a grinder on the road—typical Pittsburgh style. I like the Steelers to cover on the road and send a message here on Sunday. Cincinnati is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 14. Take the STEELERS and the points.

The Ohio St offense overall has been great and playing indoors in the dome will only make them better with their team speed. Ohio State might get into some interesting looks this weekend in order to give Jones some help in deciphering the defense. Wildcat or max-protect packages should slow the defensive pressure and if nothing else, Jones can use his big body to go right up the gut and earn yardage against a solid but small-ish defensive front seven. Ezekial Elliott sits at 1,182 yards and 10 touchdowns entering the week. Urban Meyer will use Elliott to carry the mail but look for play-action off of that as Jones can certainly use his deep-ball prowess to find Devin Smith, averaging 25.5 yards per catch. I was very surprised to see the Badgers as a 4-point favorite. They are a solid team overall but the general lack of consistency at QB makes them very shaky favorites to even win the game straight-up, much less cover the spread. I like Ohio St st plus the points.  10*

Alabama comes into the SEC Championship game this weekend as the top ranked team in the nation, boasting a 11-1 record, going and going 7-1 in the conference ranked #1. Laying this many points is a recipe for disaster. Missouri heads into the game with the identical 7-1 mark in the conference and are 10-2 overall. Mizzu is very good on the turf and has a ton of speed. The Tigers have put together six straight victories and are coming off a 21-14 win over Arkansas last weekend. Quarterback Maty Mauk has taken every snap for the Tigers this season, going 193-361 for a total of 2,279 yards through the air. The Tigers are giving up less than 20 points per game, and ranked 13th in the nation in points allowed. While Mizzu might not win this game 14.5 points is a lot for these two tough teams and I like the underdog and the points. Mizzu is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games and will be pumped playing the #1 team in the Nation here this afternoon.

East Carolina can play some football. These guys are ranked 14th in the nation in scoring at 37.8 points per game scored. Much of the Pirates offensive success can be credited to the passing game led by quarterback, Shane Carden. This season, Carden has thrown for nearly 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns which has the Pirates ranked 3rd in FBS in passing. Not only does Carden throw for a lot of yards, he also does a good job of protecting the ball. With those 25 TD passes, he has only thrown six interceptions.

EC is very good offensively and they don't turn the ball over.  UCF has struggled when it hasn't been able to run the football. We've seen that in each of its losses. The Knights average only 3.1 rushing yards per game and don't figure to get anything easy against an ECU defense that has held opponents to 3.2 yards per carry on the season.  A great stat I have in conference play is you want to fade teams that average just 3.0 to 3.5 yards per carry when they are up against a team that holds its opponents to 3.0 to 3.5 yards per carry.  Doing so has produced a 52-12 ATS mark the last five seasons.

I like East Carolina a lot in this game, and should get the job done here. 5*

The offense of Denver has been playing sloppy, they have not been crisp, moving the ball. They have had drives that have been stalling at times. KC is tough at home and off a rare loss against the Raiders. KC has had a few also days to prepare for this game as well. Look for Alex Smith to bounce back in a big way and Dwayne Bowe to exploit the Broncos secondary,. Andy Reid is a good coach and we'll have the Chiefs ready for this Sunday night game. I also expect Jamal Charles and the KC rushing attack to be able to move the ball against Denver. They seem slightly more together than the Broncos at this particular point in time. Peyton Manning struggles in the cold and wind. I look for a pumped-up Chiefs team to find a way to get it done on Sunday for the big win and get us the cash.

This game will be full of emotions for the Boise State Broncos as it is senior night and these guys will want to go out in style. Obviously the blue turf is a hard place to get a win, add to that a group of seniors who have won 40 games or more throughout their career and it gets that much harder. Boise State is ridiculously good here at home! The Broncos balanced offensive attack is too much for the Aggies to handle. Boise State, the complete opposite, they have an offense that is strong. Hanging 34 or more in 9 of 11 games this year. The QB play of Grant Hedrick has been up and down. Jay Ajayi on the ground has been nothing short of phenominal. BSU leads the series over the Aggies 14-4 and has won the last 11 meetings. A bad Bronco team went into Logan last year and beat the Aggies by 11 points, and this game will be even worse. Boise State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning road record.  5*

CAL QB Jared Goff is very good with 31 TD passes and just 6 INT"s.  California is playing at home  and I expect him to light up the BYU defense. This team should have beat UCLA and Arizona and is a very athletic team.
BYU just clobbered Savannah State 64-0 and have actually played 3 cupcakes the past 3 weeks.
That was no great feat. BYU is still without Taysom Hill and Jamaal
Williams, but the schedule got softer.
Cal is 4th in passing offense. Nothing like taking someone's strength and matching it to BYU's weakness.
CAL needs to win to get their 6th win.
The Cougars already know
 Their bowl fate.
BYU is headed to the Miami Beach Bowl.
 Cal is 5-6. This is their final chance to become bowl-eligible and I think they do it in a big way on Saturday afternoon.
The best QB that BYU has faced this year, Boise State’s Grant Hedrick, riddled the Cougars for
410 passing yards.

BYU U has been playing down in class for three straight blowout wins. They finish The Season Up In Class On The Pac 12 Road, With Plenty Of Injuries and a defense that allowed 55 and 42 points the last two times They played real o?enses on Boise State and Nevada. Cal is 5-6, needs a Win for bowl eligibility in coach Dykes’ Year Two. They’ve handled North-Western on the road, Northwestern has beaten Wisconsin and Notre Dame, and the winning teams they’ve lost to in the Pac 12 are all pretty Darned Good. Cal Stat-sheeted Stanford just ?NE In The 31-17 Loss, Until You come to the 12-4, 113-has been playing down in class for three straight blowout wins. They  finish  the  season  up in  class  on  the  Pac  12  road, with plenty  of injuries and a defense that allowed 55 and 42 points the last two times they played real offenses on Boise State and Nevada. Cal is 5-6, needs a win for bowl eligibility in coach Dykes’  second Year. They’ve handled Northwestern on the road, Northwestern has beaten Wisconsin and Notre Dame, and the winning teams they’ve lost to in the Pac 12 are all pretty darned good. Cal is just a far more superior team in my eyes and their speed will be there difference here.  10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR!

The Stanford Cardinals are 6-5 on the season and looking to escape the year by staying above .500. Stanford will look to continue playing top notch defense. The Cardinals are only allowing 16.5 points per game to opposing teams and UCLA is off that huge primetime game where they pretty much played a perfect game.
This Stanford team is very physical and a dominating style and will keep this game close.
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings so lets back the underdog here in this one. 5*

Texas has been coming around lately. They beat TCU last season by 23 and I like them again on Thanksgiving night. The Longhorns are playing rugged, tuff and well discipline football. Charlie Strong has not only changed the culture, but he has already kicked off nine players. He is cleaning house in a major way. The Texas defense is ranked 24th in the country in points allowed. If Texas can slow down the TCU offense, they may have a shot to keep this thing close. The Longhorns average 212 passing yards per game and 154 rushing yards per game. While Texas only scores 24 points per game every time out they have proven themselves to be stout on the defensive side of the ball. Slow, low scoring games sort of set the mark for what to expect out of a Texas match.

I truly believe this game will come down to the final moments, and I like Texas to show up and try to pull the major upset. TCU can score, but the Texas defense has played pretty stout all season long and should keep them in check here. I look for a 3-4 point tight game throughout so we are backing the underdog Texas team. Hook'em Horns!  10*

Its been a week for the Bills, who because of the massive snow storm had to move their home game to Detroit. The bigger problem for Buffalo isn't the game location but the fact that they have not had a normal week of practice, and we don't believe they'll be properly prepared for this game against the Jets. Many players were stuck at their homes and couldnt get a full practice in with the team. The Jets come off they bye week following a morale-boosting win against Pittsburgh. The Jets have played a string of games against very good offensive teams, but Buffalo doesn't quality averaging less than 100 yards rushing and 230 yards passing per game. This is the type of team the Jets can matchup well against and also playing with revenge I like the Jets behind Vick to get us the win. 5*

The Rams have been tough in certain spots. They’ve had their share of duds, but with wins over Seattle, San Francisco, and Denver, they have scored a nice handful of meaningful triumphs. Coach Jeff Fisher made the somewhat-controversial move to start QB Shaun Hill on Sunday and it paid off, with Hill an efficient 20-29 with 220 yards, a TD throw, and no picks or fumbles. Rookie back Tre Mason ran for 113 yards, while WR Kenny Britt broke out with a 4 catch/128-yard performance. And obviously, holding Denver to a lone touchdown over 4 quarters could prove to be a confidence-building game for a defense that has shown signs of coming around. The Rams defense is very tough and I'll take them as underdogs on Sunday. Even the Rams losses were to good squads as they lost by 3 to the Cowboys, lost by 6 at Philadelphia, and the week before beating Denver, they took a lead into the 4th quarter against the now 9-1 Cardinals. Take the STL RAMS here on Sunday afternoon. 5*

The Detroit Lions defense is tough and I think they'll get after Brady this week. New England is a popular play by the public this week because of their recent outburst of offensive production as they have now scored 42+ points in their last 3 games. I want to note that NFL teams who scored 42 or more points in each of their last 2 games are 0-8 ATS when facing an opponent off a SU loss of 6 or more points. Detroit is also expected to get Reggie Bush back in the lineup and this offense is back to being healthy with TE Eric Ebron back in the mix as well. Bush will add the speed to the running game. Megatron and Golden Tate are a receiver duo difficult for any NFL defense to contain. Stafford is coming off a terrible game at Arizona and I expect the offense to bounce back. I look for the Lions to open the offense up, especially on 3rd down and make some big plays down the field and giving their #1 defense enough support. Keep in mind the Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-division home games following a non-division game, and they lost 3 of those 6 outright. The Lions have the offensive weapons to stay in this game throughout. The Detroit defense has held opponents to only 15.6 points and 290.3 yards per game. The Lions are 7-0 ATS and 6-1 straight up in their last 7-games as an away underdog of 8.5 or less following a game in which they scored 26-points or less. My 10* NFL Underdog of the Month is on the DETROIT LIONS +7

Big letdown spot for the Hurricanes here after their narrow loss against the Seminoles last week making foplay on Virginia tonight. The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a BYE week. Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. All four of Virginia's victories have come here at home where they are outscoring foes by 11 ppg. Miami is just 1-3 on the road with all three of those losses coming by double-digits (Louisville, Nebraska, and Georgia Tech), and away from home the Hurricanes scoring drops a full 9 ppg down from their season average Virginia battling to get bowl eligible, Miami battling to get into a better bowl game. Miami hangover from Florida State loss will keep the Cavaliers around. Field goal game here. 5*

Wisky is off a 35 pt win against Nebraska last weekend. I expect this game to be much closer. he Hawkeyes are very strong up front, with tackles Carl Davis and Louis Trinca-Pasat and end Drew Ott in consideration for All-Big Ten honors. Iowa did look much better stopping the run in last week's win at Illinois. I love playing against teams that are coming off their most impressive wins on season and then having to travel away from home in next outing and play a tough conference opponent. Wisconsin has heard for a week now how great they were last week and that can only mean one thing; let down spot this week.Don't expect a ton of scoring as defense is name of game in this one and I'll gladly take the points with this IOWA team. 10*

This Arizona team is not that good. They are winning with smoke and mirrors and it seems this Wildcat has 9 lives. The Wildcats used another one of their lives, when they were outrushed 245-133 by Washington, outgained 504-375, yet still came away with a 27-26 win. Now they are on the road in high altitude in Utah and probably looking ahead to Arizona St's showdown next weekend with a potential shot at the divisional crown next week. It is here they will meet a sneaky good Utah team who has recorded a mark of 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS. They do it with a defense that allows 3.6 YPR and has recorded a nation high, 47 sacks. Along with outstanding special teams, this well coached team makes the most of each opportunity. They have no questions of their scoring ability, they can score with Arizona. And it's likely thei defense is a little better as well. They are a good team with Devontae Booker doihng the damage. Utah gets my call here and wins by 10.

Something happens to a lot of teams psychologically when an 0-10 squad. It was 1 yr ago this week that the Raiders got their last WIN. KC could be in for a letdown after a big win over Seattle last week. KC plays tight games and not to lose. Oakland is pretty scrappy and getting 7.5 points at home this week and looking for their 1st win and a rare Primetime TV game I think this one will be very tight. I think the Raiders could be catching a slightly off-key Chiefs team this week. I see the Raiders giving it a good go and staying within reach to get the cover. Take the Raiders plus the points on Thursday night NFL action. 5*

Pittsburgh is coming off a heartbreaking loss to the New York Jets, but the two games before that, the Steelers looked unstoppable. A few times this year, Pittsburgh has allowed themselves to start slow and get themselves down early. If they want to go into Nashville and get the win and the cover, they need to start fast and finish strong. The Tennessee Titans have gone to rookie QB, Zach Mettenberger, and he is still learning the game as he goes along. The only true strength the Titans can claim is that they have a top ten pass defense, but that is it. That is their bread and butter of their defense as their secondary is tough. Michael Griffin, the team's 2007 1st overall pick, has become one of the better safeties in the game, amassing 47 solo tackles with two interceptions and three sacks on the season. But with a good secondary and the Jets game film from last week, taking the points is the right thing to do here on MNF! The Steelers will have to run with Le'Veon Bell who has only a single touchdown to go with his 747 yards in rushing, while LeGarrette Blount has only 260 yards rushing in ten games. This will be a game where the team that scores last will win and I'll take the Titans +6 seeing as how the Steelers have had their suspect moments, the Titans are a hungry team, and over 70% of gamblers are all over Pittsburgh tonight, I am going to do the smart thing and take the Titans and go against the public tonight with the underdog.  5*

Arizona Cardinals are going to live now without Palmer, who is gone for the season. Coming in winners of 5 in a row, Arizona is undefeated at home this year in 5 tries. It has only lost 3 of its past 15 regular-season games. Detroit has lost the past two seasons at this venue and not a good road team or on grass. Detroit has yet to face a winning team while on the road. Of course, there is concern in ’Zona with QB Drew Stanton taking over for the injured Carson Palmer, but Stanton has gone 2-1 in relief this season already. He will need to make connections with a nice receiving crew of resurgent Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, rookie John Brown, and RB Andre Ellington, who has caught 37 balls. Ted Ginn, Jr. is still a game-changing return man. In truth, the Cardinals have a defense that could help, ranked 4th in points allowed at 18.9 per game. They are very good against the run. I like Arizona at home on Sunday as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK.

If Miami can feed Johnson the ball and keep the chains moving while pounding the running game it will accomplish two important things to help out the Hurricanes defense. It will chew up the clock and limit Florida State’s chances on offense. Both of those obstacles will be vital towards keeping the Seminoles off the scoreboard often this Saturday night. Just like Miami, the Seminoles offense has played exceptionally well during the latter part of the season. The ‘Noles’ offense has scored at least 31 points in 6 straight games since Jameis Winston served his 1 game suspension against Clemson. Winston has struggled with the interceptions, 11 to be exact, have been somewhat concerning this year. In the last 3 games, Winston has tossed 6 picks and that is something that he must avoid this Saturday. The Hurricanes have an underrated defense that does not get the credit they deserve. Miami has held opponents to just 21.9 points per game this year as the 27th best scoring defense in college football. If Winston turns the ball over and gives the Miami defense confidence, the Seminoles will be in a tough predicament for 60 minutes this Saturday. Miami is good enough on both sides of the ball to pull the upset and I'll take the home underdog here tonight!  10* GAME OF THE WEEK

It's not very often you see the #1 team in the nation getting 8 pts as an underdog. Alabama has their stout defense as usual, playing great in particular vs the run. And they definitely want revenge vs the entire state of Miss, being that that is their only loss on the season thus far to to Ole Miss back on 10.4.2014. QB Blake Sims has been leading them all year with making smart plays and not turning the ball over.

This is their only chance to make it to the college football playoff because with Auburn's loss, this team really has nomore chances to prove itself worthy with so many other teams in the mix. If Alabama is able to rout this team at home, and theoretically the #1 team in thecountry it makes for a great statement here.

We like Alabama to play a complete game of Football here as note with State barely by multipleteams they likely finally get exposed here by Alabama as Mullen hasconsistently struggled against scoring against Saban's defense as the National Championship Offensive Coordinator has had his issues against Saban. Look for Alabama to be as well prepared as you can possibly be and his team come out fired up and WIN this one by double-digits here on Saturday afternoon.

Nebraska right now, has the best RB in the game with Ameer Abdullah. They have a very steady offense and defense, with DE Randy Gregory on the outside.

Nebraska enters as the 10th best rushing team in the nation, averaging 280 yards per contest. Obviously, they are better with Abdullah toting the rock but will be okay with back-up combo of Imani Cross and Terrell Newby. That duo has accounted for 603 yards and 9 touchdowns to this point and we haven’t talked yet about the running production from the quarterback. Tommy Armstrong is the second leading rusher on the team with 571 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 203 pass yards per contest. Look for very tight game here with the winner pulling it out by just a FG. Take the points with the Nebraska Cornhuskers here on Saturday early afternoon. 5*

Ryan Tannehill’s success has come from both his arm and legs. Regarding the former, he’s been spreading the ball around between 8-10 receivers every game, which includes getting rookie Jarvis Landry into the mix. The receiver, who doubles as the kick and punt returner, had seven receptions for 53 yards last week, while the team’s premiere wideout, Mike Wallace, had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown. As for getting it done on the ground, Tannehill has broken 20+-yard runs in several games this season, though the staunch Lions defense managed to shut him down. It hurt them too as their starting running back, Lamar Miller, was limited with a shoulder injury. Backup Daniel Thomas carried the load five times for 14 yards, but his role diminished when he lost a fumble. The Dolphins have been playing well – they were on a three-game win streak before Week 10 – The Dolphins have a rock solid defense and an offense that has been revitalized by the play of Ryan Tannehill. Overall I think Miami is at least 7 points better than the Bills and we'll back the Dolphins here on Thursday night.  5*

Bowling Green has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the month of November and they have covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 games coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game. This is a rare TV Primetime appearance for them and they'll want to shine with their huge offensive attack, Kent is just a very bad team. The Golden Flashes are 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the spread in all games this season. They have been atrocious offensively, averaging just 14.8 points and 303.6 yards per game to rank 120th in total offense out of 128 teams. They haven’t been much better on the other side of the ball, surrendering 29.4 points and 425.8 yards per game this season. Bowling Green should roll big time in this game tonight!  5*

The Rockets' offense is led by sophomore running back Kareem Hunt, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in all six games he has played this season. Hunt missed three games earlier this year with an ankle injury, but has returned with vigor - rumbling for 339 yards and a touchdown on 44 carries in victories over Massachusetts and Kent State. Quarterback Logan Woodside suffered a leg injury against the Golden Flashes and will likely be a game-time decision. Toledo has a ton of weapons and I think they use their strong rushing attack to stay undefeated in the MAC Conference. N Illinois tends to play sloppy with turnovers and penaltys and it will cost them tonight.
The Rockets head to Northern Illinois tonight where they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Huskies. N Illinois is 1-6 their last 7 ATS at home. PLAY TOLEDO

The one advantage to the Panther getting embarrassed slightly in primetime last Thursday night is that they did get 11 full days of rest to prepare and get healthy again. Left tackle Byron Bell, and starting guards Trai Turner and Amini Silatolu are all listed as questionable for the game on Monday, so if they can get any of all of them back in the lineup maybe the Panthers offense can get back on track. I like Carolina to be able to rush the ball well against the birds. The Eagles defense certainly hasn’t been the strongest unit in the NFL (22nd overall), I’m not a big fan of Sanchez and I expect the Panthers to pressure him a lot. Look for Cam Newton and the Panthers to come up big on MNF and I'll take the underdog Panthers +7. 

The Lions have the league's top defense, their best WR back in the lineup and off a BYE. The offense should be clicking with the return of Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and some of their banged-up tight ends. Matthew Stafford is a much better quarterback when he has Johnson, and the Lions playing at home are tough in the dome. The Lions rank first in the NFL in fewest yards per game and in scoring defense holding opponents to less than 16 points a game. Detroit, has their own big air game, with Stafford and their defense has also been great defending the pass. Coming off 2 straight tight wins. Miami is coming off a huge win at home and now has to play on the road where they've yet to have a tough opponent- until today as the Detroit Lions get a big win over the fish on Sunday. 10* Game of the Month

Ohio State leans on J.T. Barrett to be a do-it-all QB and he had performed well, throwing for 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns while adding 496 yards and six scores on the ground. There aren’t many teams that spread it around like OSU. Seven different receivers have at least 10 catches on the year and nine different pass catchers have at least one touchdown. Both teams have leaders, are well coached and have plenty of playmakers so I like the underdog in this one. Ohio State is 7-1, keeping them in the running for a championship bid. But they need a marquee win like this if they want to impress the selection committee. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State. The Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Don't worry about OSU's freshman QB. He has Urban Meyer at his side along with a bunch of playmakers.
10* UPSET SPECIAL.

5*

The growth of QB Clint Trickett has been a big part of the West Virginia resurgence. He has thrown for nearly 3000 yards and his value goes beyond stats, as he is a leader and a positive and energizing presence on the field. Wendell Smallwood and Rushel Shell are a nice combo at running back. RB Dreamius Smith is also a dependable playmaker. He also has a ton of speed at the WR positions. While the image is that West Virginia is by far at their best at home this season, they are actually unbeaten on the road in 2014. Oklahoma State was the best of that bunch, a game they dominated, 34-10. In other words, this Mountaineers team can travel and facing a Texas team with a lot of issues and injuries. I’m licking my chops on this spread and betting on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus 3 points.  10* Blowout Game of the Week

Cleveland is coming off of a hard fought win against Tampa Bay while the Bengals enjoyed dismantling the Jaguars. Brian Hoyer is very smart, has a quick release and he doesn't turn the ball over. He has proven that he is the man in Cleveland and has led them to a 5-3 start to the first half of this season. The Browns already have wins over the Saints, Steelers, and Titans this season. As for the Steelers, Cleveland is 1-1 against them but was just seconds away from being 2-0 after blowing a huge lead in week one. The underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in this series lately. Its gonna be cold, wet and windy tonight so I am backing the Cleveland Browns +7

The Giants’ best plan of attack is to slow down the Colts high-scoring attack by keeping Andrew Luck and his talented group of receivers off the field. New York has the offense to do it, and will go with a run-heavy attack and the short, quick-hit passes on their new West Coast offense. NY has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. The Colts were embarrassed on defense by the Steelers last week, giving up 55 points on 639 total yards. New York’s defense has played well inside MetLife Stadium, allowing just 17 and 20 points in its last two home stands – wins over Houston and Atlanta respectively. The G-Men welcome another indoor team to East Rutherford, where the temperatures will dip into the 40s. The Colts haven't had the best success in outdoor venues, putting up only 24 points in Denver, and managing 34 points – 14 of those in garbage time – at Pittsburgh last week. I like the home underdog here tonight plus the points. With 2 weeks to prepare for this one and NY cannot afford to drop to 3-5, I think the Giants come to play on Monday night. 5*

Miami is a very underrated team and they are likely to surprise a lot of people including the public when they beat the Chargers at home. Miami has quietly won 3 of 4 games and frankly, it should be 4 in a row as they gave up the game to the Packers earlier in the year on the final play. This San Diego team struggles against strong defensive lines as they continue to not have Matthews for this game and likely will find it troublesome running the ball. The rushing game has also gotten a boost from quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has been keeping the ball more as the coaches open up the playbook with designed runs. It’s given the offense a much-needed spark as he’s averaging 7.3 yards per carry having rushed 27 times for 198 yards. Through the air Tannehill has gone 154 of 247 for 1,619 hands, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions – good for a 25th-ranked QB rating of 86.1. Tannehill has developed a fine chemistry with wide receiver Mike Wallace, who has 32 receptions for 418 yards (13.1 Avg) and five touchdowns, but it seems to have come at the expense of the other receivers. Granted, rookie Jarvis Landry is making a big impact having caught 25 passes for 255 yards (10.2 Avg) and a touchdown, but where have Brian Hartline (20 receptions for 215 yards and a touchdown) and tight end Charles Clay (22 receptions for 205 yards and a touchdown). Look for Rivers to be forced to pass the ball against a very competent Miami secondary and the Dolphins get the win here.

 UCLA has done well against Arizona the last two years, winning by scores of 31-26 and 66-10 overall winning as both -2.5 chalk and +1.5 underdog.
The last time UCLA dropped three straight home games, it was 43 years ago at the Los Angeles Coliseum. Avoiding a repeat of that scenario would provide it with a crucial win in the tight race for the Pac-12 South Division lead. Brett Hundley and the 25th-ranked Bruins are in fifth place but one game out of first, and they can leapfrog one of the teams they're chasing when they face No. 14 Arizona at the Rose Bowl on Saturday night.
What's interesting is after destroying Arizona two years ago and being an underdog last year to an Arizona team that had massive revenge, this team still found it within them to win that contest, which says a lot about the character of the UCLA coaching staff to have their players ready for that trap game. UCLA matches up very well against Arizona and they are very familiar with the system that Arizona runs. Note, UCLA is not that much different in makeup to USC, and with the Trojans beating this team earlier this year 28-26, look for UCLA to do a step better here as if Arizona had their troubles against Cal and Nevada, they are going to have their hands full against UCLA. The public is all over Arizona, but I think UCLA is the better team and playing at home I have them winning by 14 points here late Saturday night!
10* College Game of the Month!

The majority of the Rebels offensive success this season has relied on the arm of senior quarterback Bo Wallace. If Wallace can just mimic a portion of South Carolina’s success against Auburn in the passing game, then the Rebels will be in great shape when you factor in their scoring defense into the equation.

Auburn is a one dimensional offense ranked 84th in pass and 10th in the run and same goes for their defense they can’t seem to stop the pass, but they are solid vs. the run. Ole Miss strengths fit nice here and they have a solid balanced defense that is one of the best in the nation ranking top 25 in pass and run defense. LSU wasn’t supposed to beat Ole Miss and the offense looked horrible and now we get a spread that’s at least 2 points in our advantage.

Ole Miss leans on Bo Wallace to play a good game to win, and I have never trusted him on the road so I wasn’t surprised to see him looking lost at LSU at night with all the noise in a tough place to play.

Auburn’s two struggles this year have been against Miss State 13th passing the ball, and Kansas State 24th. Now they face Ole Miss who has the passing game and a better defense than both. This is basically an elimination game and I’ll take Ole Miss to bounce back and get the win at home. 10*

Red Hot Duke (6-1) visits the Pitt Panthers (4-4) who last week were thrashed at home by Georgia Tech 56-28. Tech led 28-0 in the “first quarter” and glided the rest of the way for the blowout. Pitt was physically beat up in that game with GTech's rushing attack. The Blue Devils show in a more positive state of mind after a bye and back-to-back conference wins over Georgia Tech and Virginia. One of the overlooked strengths for Duke this season has been their -5 TOs versus +13 in the takeaway category. Add that to an improved defense (15.1) and an overall balanced offense it’s easy to see they have a legit shot at returning to the ACC Championship game.
Techs have the Blue Devils covering 4 straight in the month of November, while on a very high note 10-2-1 ATS record on grass surfaces. Pitt, on the other hand, has been bad at home and 1-4-1 ATS L6 overall. Take Duke here in the Saturday early kickoff. The Line is dropping as sharp money is coming in on Duke. 5*

Cincinnati will travel to New Orleans and take on the Green Wave in Yulman Stadium with a 4-3 record and need to win 2 more to become Bowl eligble. The Bearcats allowed just 20 points in wins of 34 and 17 including early game competition that resulted in wins of 24 vs. Toledo and 7 vs. Miami, OH. It means the Bearcats are 4-3 SU with victories against every team they should beat. Whether it’s QB Kiel at the helm or former starter QB Legaux, look for a resurgent Bearcat team to continue their success against lower echelon teams and win big here on Friday night.  5*

Running back DeAngelo Williams declared himself ready for Thursday's game, the first time in four games since he injured an ankle. Williams rushed for 210 yards against the Saints in 2012 and will likely share duties with Jonathan Stewart in the backfield for the Panthers. The Saints are a different team on the road and home teams have dominated on Thursday night in the NFL this season. 5*

The LVille Cardinals defense has the talent to contend with Florida State. First year Coach Bobby Petrino is known for his offensive mind but he inherited a great defensive team whose foundation was laid back Charlie Strong. The Cardinals scoring defense ranks 4th in the FBS holding opponents to just 14.6 points per game. The Cardinals defense has not given up more than 23 points all season. I am not a believer in Florida State being a national power and their 1-6 mark ATS supports my theory. Louisville’s defense should be the most talented group the Seminoles have faced all season. If you look at the only two decent defenses (Clemson and Notre Dame) that Florida State has played, they have not looked very impressive and slow to the ball. They were outgained 470-323 against Notre Dame and 407-313 against Clemson. I like the home underdog with Louisville on Thursday night ESPN action.  5*

This is a huge game for New Orleans as they cannot afford to lose another game. The Saints gave one away last week in Detroit, so I look for them to bounce back at home. New Orleans is 2-4 this season but 2-0 at home, and as we all know this is a completely different team when playing at home in the dome. One area that I think the Saints will be able to take advantage of is the run defense of the Packers that is last in the NFL. I expect a heavy dose of Mark Ingram as the Saints will try to control the time of possession and keep Aaron Rodgers off the field. Take the Saints on Sunday night.

The Bears are coming off of another home loss on last Sunday, this time against the Dolphins. Brandon Marshall called out his QB Jay Cutler as the postgame Chicago locker room was very heated. The Bears and Cutler play better on the road and the Pats have struggled on defense giving up 25 points to an anemic Jets team on primetime Football. With the Bears needing a big game here and the Pats struggling on defense. I expect Chicago to respond with a strong showing in New England. The Bears play much better on the road and running back Matt Forte should have a huge game against a New England team that struggled to stop the run without linebacker Jared Mayo. Brandon Marshall and Jeffrey should have big days receiving here. I think Chicago has a great shot at the upset, take the + 6 points with the Bears here on Sunday as our 10* NFL Underdog Game of the Week.

Arizona State might be looking ahead to Utah and ND coming up, so this is a look ahead spot. The Sun Devils are 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are at Washington and this Arizona State defense is not that good, giving up 27.8 ppg (ranked 78th in the nation). Washington has only two losses and they were to No. 16 Stanford (20-13) and No. 9 Oregon the last game, a blowout loss, but the Huskies are 12-5 ATS after a loss of more than 20 points. Washington has a strong offense with 183 yards rushing yards per game while averaging 32.7 ppg. Take the home underdog here Saturday night on the last game on the board.  5*

Ole Miss is off to a great 7-0 start and they are also 7-0 against the spread! LSU is improving, but they are still a very young team led by a freshmen quarterback who will be facing a Rebels defense that is one of the best in the nation. It is rare to see LSU as a rare home underdog in a night game in Baton Rouge and is too good to pass up. LSU lost 27-24 last season at Ole Miss and the Tigers are a perfect 9-0 against the spread as an underdog seeking revenge. Tigers head coach Les Miles will find a way with this young LSU team with a ton of speed and talent to keep this one tight. 10* Upset Special

The Mountaineers are coming off of a huge home underdog win over the #4 ranked Baylor Bears last week. The hosting Oklahoma State Cowboys are in a pissed off mode as they were drilled last week in Fort Worth by TCU. I look for the roles to be reversed in this game. Oklahoma State has a strong scoring team, and can also move the ball in the air, with Daxx Garman, on occasion. But, they are coming off a beat down to TCU 42-9, in which they looked awful and I expect a major bounce back at home here on Saturday! This Mountaineer defense that has allowed an average of over 35 points per game in their two road games at Texas Tech and Maryland. The Cowboys have scored 37 or more points in all four of their home games this season and I love them at home in an angry mood Saturday afternoon! 10*

Boston College is significantly better in the power rankings here than Wake Forrest and we like the fact this is an afternoon game. BC comes off a tough loss to Clemson at home by 4 points and now this team is set as nearly a two touchdown favorite over Wake on the road. BC has played the 50th toughest schedule this year, held a potent Clemson offense to just 17 points, and should have no problem disposing of an awful Wake Forest team.  5*

Virginia Tech’s defense has kept them in games this year as the 19th best scoring defense in the country. However it is fairly obvious that the offense is going to have to do much better to start winning football games. The Hokies will get their chance against a subpar Miami defense this week as they look to right the ship. The Hurricanes defense has been rather average at best so this team has to score points to win. The Hurricanes are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road trips and playing on a short week. However, I like the fact that Virginia Tech is 10-3 in their last 13 meetings against the Canes. This is one of those really important games for Virginia Tech and I expect to see some urgency out of this team on Thursday and at home in chilly Blacksburg VA. 5*

The Steelers just look old and slow this season. Partly due to OL injuries and defensive attrition, the Steelers haven’t been as formidable as they were during the Roethlisberger Super Bowl years J.J. Watt is having an MVP type season and the Texans defense is tough! Also, Jadeveon Clowney is close to returning after a minor knee injury in the opener. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick still commits too many turnovers but he is a smart QB and getting used to his new team. The Texans also had 11 days to prepare for this game. RB Arian Foster has four 100-yard games and has had few extra days to nurse his sometimes-balky hamstring. I like the points with the Texans on MNF. 5*

Miami comes in with Brent Grimes and Cortland Finnegan giving them a good pass coverage, which has held every opponent under 300 in the air thus far. Miami will use Mike Wallace alot and get him involved. Chicago has struggled at home and Miami is coming off a tough loss. Chicago is 4-13 ATS last 3 years at home. Chicago is 0-2 SU at home this year where they are allowign 30.5 points per game. Chicago is 3-10 ATS last 13 games after a SU win. Chicago is 0-5 ATS last 5 games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.Tannehill has been gelling well with wide receiver Mike Wallace, who has caught 25 passes for 313 yards (12.5 Avg) and four touchdowns, while rookie receiver Jarvis Landry has shown promise with 18 receptions for 186 yards (10.3 Avg) and a touchdown. Getting back Moreno is a huge plus to their ground attack plus it provides Ryan Tannehill a dangerous receiving option out of the backfield. The Bears are 0-3 this season when Cutler throws an interception. Cutler didn't throw a pick last week, but was intercepted four times during his previous two games. The Miami Dolphins defense is very good and I think they'll cause some turnovers against the Bear offense. The Dolphins offense has some good parts and getting better each week. I like Miami to take care of business in this one as an underdog. 10* NFL SHocker Game of the Month

Missouri is certainly not as bad as it showed last week in their 34-0 loss to Georgia as MIssouri turned the ball over 5 times. They had only turned the ball over 4 times before that game. I Look for them to bounce back here as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss and 10-2 ATS following a SU loss. Gary Pinkel is a much better coach than Will Muschamp who is 4-11 ATS following a SU loss. I Florida's offense is just terrible led by Jeff Driskel who has a 102 QB Rating. Missouri is just a bit better in red zone offense and defense and that will be the difference in my opinion. Lets back Mizzu as a 10* Underdog BEST BET

Arkansas is a desperate team here looking for a win in the SEC for the first time in 16 games. They keep inching closer and closer and really out played Alabama at home last week, but an extra point miss kept them from winning this game or forcing OT. Georgia have been winners of 4 in a row, but how long can they stay strong without Gurley? Arkansas has a very efficient ground game themselves, with Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams. The team overall, has been a monster on the field, pounding it for 279/game. They are coming off 2 very tough losses, where they had their chances in both games.

Arkansas arguably the best balanced offense that Georgia has faced all year. Yes, Arkansas will run the ball 62% of the time and try to shorten the game, but Brandon Allen is healthy and has 10 TD and just 2 interceptions and they utilize their TE's who very hard to guard very well. Georgia isn't as good as their record indicates and Arkansas continues to be under rated. I think this is the perfect spot for Arkansas to pull off the upset over Georgia this week. Missouri really played an awful game last week which may have given the Bulldogs a bit of a false sense of security. 10* College Game of the Week!

NY Giants have held opponents to only 99 a game on the ground this season. Eli Manning still has so much confidence in throwing the ball and spreading the ball out to multiple receivers. Philadelphia is obviously built off their passing game, and Foles isn't putting up numbers like last year. The Eagles have been winning with turnovers and special teams. I dont see that happening here. Philly’s defense is allowing 274.2 passing yards per game (29th in NFL) and 132.0 rushing yards per game (24th in NFL), and the Eagles have a lot of injuries. Take the NY Giants to get the upset and win outright here on Sunday night!  5*

Cleveland has quietly been running the ball great as well, with Terrance West who has been solid and with Ben Tate doing the dirty work, and really coming on lately. The Cleveland Browns are sick and tired of losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh isn't even close to the team they used to be, and Cleveland is a team on the rise. The Browns have one of the best offensive lines in football, and that has allowed them to stay balanced on offense. The Steelers aren't the team they used to be and they dont have many big play weapons. I believe that Brian Hoyer is a QB who can get the plays made when need be, and will again here at home.  5*

The Patriots bounced back with a great win last week on MNF as they beat the Bengals 43-17. Tom Brady threw for 292 yards with 2 TD’s. New England has obviously made some significant adjustments and those will carry over into this week’s matchup with the Bills. New England has a great pass defense, which will cause some problems today. Buffalo has to get better on getting 1st downs, their running game has been getting only ranked 21 so far on the year. The Bills got lucky vs Detroit last week, with the FG issues Detroit had. Kyle Orton is not the same QB as EJ Manuel and he isn't mobile. New England has owned Buffalo in this series. They’ve won an incredible 25 of the last 27 meetings while averaging 39 points. In particular, Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski have had some of the best success. Gronk has 9 TD’s in just 6 games against the Bills while Brady has thrown for 54 TD’s in 24 games. The success will continue Sunday. Take the Patriots. 10* Play On New England. 10*

The Razorbacks are a much-improved team, but I do not feel they are ready to battle to cream of the crop in the SEC. The last two matchups have been won in a blowout by the same score of 52-0 the past two meetings. This is actually a great matchup for Alabama as they do not have to worry about the spread offense in this game as the Razorbacks line up in a traditional formation and run the ball. Alabama has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 matchups and I expect Nick Saban to come out strong in a big way here on Saturday evening. Look for the Alabama defense is come out strong and shutdown Arkansas. 10* BURIAL PLAY

TCU, which knocked off Oklahoma 37-33 over the weekend, could contend for the Big 12 title for the first time. The Horned Frogs were just 6-12 in their first two years of Big 12 play.

The Bears have a 12-game home winning streak since losing to TCU at their old stadium in October 2012.

At Texas last Saturday, reigning Big 12 offensive player of the year Petty was 7-of-22 passing for 111 yards, though he did throw for two touchdowns after halftime.Shock Linwoodran 28 times for 148 yards with a 1-yard TD in the fourth quarter.

One of Petty's worst games last season came at TCU, going 19 of 38 for 206 yards with two TDs and one interception, but the No. 9 Bears held on for a 41-38 win.

Overall I think Baylor has too much speed on both sides of the ball along with home field and the crowd behind them to get a big double digit win here. There has been few teams as dominant at home as Baylor. In the Bears last 22 home games, the team is 21-1 straight up and 19-2 against the spread.

Baylor has one of the best offenses in football and should win here handily with their first home game in over a month. 10*

Houston's defense is much improved from last season. They have allowed an average of just 17.4 points per game over 5 games and kept the Dallas Cowboys tough offense in check last week. Houston plays Indy well at home. Last season at home Houston was leading Indy 21-3 at half time. Coach Kubiak had to leave the game for medical reasons and the the Texans lost the lead and the game 27-24. Indy is tired after playing a very tough physical game vs Baltimore. Look for Houston to keep this game close and playing at home I look for a possible upset win taking the 3-3.5 points tonight.
5*

Super Bowl champions are 1-8 ATS as non-division road favorites of more than three points on Monday nights. The Seahawks are 0-8 ATS off a SU ATS win when playing with extra rest. Washington is coming off getting their asses beat by the hands of the NY Giants last Thursday 45-14 and now have 11 days to prepare for this MNF game.
NFL dogs of more than three points off a home loss of 24 or more points are 31-11 ATS since 1980. The Redskins also had 6 turnovers in that game so I expect a much better performance on Monday night! 10*

New England could not have played any worse last week in KC on MNF, and because of that they enter this game as an underdog at home for just the 2nd time in close to a decade. Tom Brady will have a HUGE game here and the Pats will come out strong on both sides of the ball on Sunday night. The Patriots need this game in a big way and they get it at Foxborough on Primetime TV to show the world they are still a good team. This is the same team that was in the AFC Championship Game last year. 5*

Houston has come out surprising most folks with their play. Although being a very average team on the whole. J.J. Watt's explosive play has been nothing short of amazing. He is simply a beast on the DE slot. Granted, Ryan Fitzpatrick is always up and down, he has that one game with some mistakes, and then he makes some really smart plays the next and always keeps his team in the game. Houston has a tough defense and this is a major rivalry game. The Dallas Cowboys (3-1) impressed everyone with a 38-17 win at home over New Orleans on prime time Sunday last week and getting too much respect here and this line is way over-inflated. Look far a healthy Arian Foster this week, the Texans offense will be much more dynamic. Expect this big contest in the heart of Texas to be a very competitive game where taking the points would seem to be the sound wager. The Cowboys are also without Mo Claiborne for the season, isn't going to help vs. Hopkins and Johnson of Houston. Houston will need to sustain drives and keep Romo and Murray off the field. Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games and we'll take the Texas plus the pts here as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK!

Mississippi are getting all the hype so far this season in the SEC and deservingly so.  Their defense is very good and I like them to upset Bama here on Saturday!
Alabama has been led by Blake Sims arm and his accurate and smart play this season. But they come into the game with their 1st road game on the year, and playing in Mississippi will not be easy. Alabama has to slow down Jaylen Walton to have any chance to stop this team, and they won't. Ole Miss has a stifling defense, that has shut down every opponent to under 15 pts this season. Ole Miss obviously feels very confident and strong about their team, relayed by their safety Cody Prewitt's comments, stating "We don't really think Bama is as good as they have been" and we will see. Bama is good, but I like Ole Miss in this game at home.

Mississippi is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

10* GAME OF THE WEEK

I love the home underdog in this one. These are two option teams. And these are two big rivals from the service academies. Air Force has lost to Navy the last two years and they will want to turn that around. This has been a very even series the past five years with Navy winning three times and Air Force winning twice. AF is tough at home and the public is loving Navy in this one, but not us. AIR FORCE wins this one outright! 5*

If UCF can establish consistently solid O-line protection for 4 quarters the Knights should roll on to a victory. UCF has a very good defense and it wont be a good opportunity for Houston to do much on offense. Maybe some other time. The Houston defense is bad and with 2 weeks for UCF to gameplan here I expect a huge effort and a very close game. Take the points with the road underodog and UCF on Thursday night. 5*

New England has not played well, and are fortunate to be 2-1. They face a Chiefs team that is getting healthy with the extra rest and Charles will play. I’m not sure what to make of the Patriots right now. Belichick and Brady are still there, and the Pats are 2-1 out of the gate. But there are some items of concern here, and it’s at least conceivable that there’s a bit of decline taking place on this roster. The public all on the New England here with 62% of all bets placed - yet the odds makers have gotten so much Sharp money on the Chiefs that they did something they never like to do and that is come off the magic number of 3 trying to get some money back on the Patriots at 2 1/2. I like KC at home in a rare MNF appearance and we'll back the home dog.  5*

Jay Cutler and the Bears have looked really good since the second half of the game vs. the Niners, but that can be a bit deceiving... especially when you consider Jay Cutler is a measly 1-7 against the Packers in his last eight tries. GB really needs this game and the Bears have done a lot of traveling the past 2 weeks. Simply put, Green Bay can't afford a loss here. In a fairly competitive division, if you fall to 1-3 you will be looking up at at least two teams and having to play catch up most of the year. Green Bay will be playing with a lot of urgency here. Aaron Rodgers has struggled in the first 3 games, but he hasn't had a lot of help. The good news is... he's 14-5 ATS following a loss, including a startling 7-1 when he's a favorite 7 or less points. I just believe the Bears aren't as good as advertised while I believe the Packers are better than they appear. Lets take GREEN BAY to get a big win here on Sunday. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK

Jay Cutler and the Bears have looked really good since the second half of the game vs. the Niners, but that can be a bit deceiving... especially when you consider Jay Cutler is a measly 1-7 against the Packers in his last eight tries. GB really needs this game and the Bears have done a lot of traveling the past 2 weeks. Simply put, Green Bay can't afford a loss here. In a fairly competitive division, if you fall to 1-3 you will be looking up at at least two teams and having to play catch up most of the year. Green Bay will be playing with a lot of urgency here. Aaron Rodgers has struggled in the first 3 games, but he hasn't had a lot of help. The good news is... he's 14-5 ATS following a loss, including a startling 7-1 when he's a favorite 7 or less points. I just believe the Bears aren't as good as advertised while I believe the Packers are better than they appear. Lets take GREEN BAY to get a big win here on Sunday.  5*

Notre Dame produces a very good defense and has not allowed a rushing TD yet this year, and they can stop the pass and the run very good. And NDs defense should be more than enough to stop the Orange on offense. Syracuse obviously lacks a passing game, with Terrel Hunt only hitting less than 59% of his passes this season and he is very inconsistant and with this game being played at Metlife stadium in NJ I think he'll struggle outdoors. The Irish coming off a bye week and 2 weeks to prepare for this one. Everett Golson has passed for 780 yards with 7 TD's and 0 INT's for Notre Dame. Receiver Williams Fuller has 19 receptions for 225 yards and 3 TD's for the Irish The Irish is 3rd ranked only allowing 10.3 points per game and shut out Michigan 31-0. The defense leads the nation with a +8 turnover margin. Look for the defense to key on stopping Hunt and NOTRE DAME to pull away big in the 2nd half here. 10*

Missouri heading out to South Carolina is a rough game to expect a win. Especially after losing to an inferior team like Indiana at home. Not a confidence builder for any team that is supposed to be a solid competitor. Last year S.Carolina won 27-24 and I expect another tight game on Saturday night. Missouri is 6-1 ATS last 7 road games and 8-2 ATS last 10 games against teams with winning records. Missouri is a well coached team that is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 following in ATS loss. I don't think South Carolina's offense is good enough to score and cover the spread here on Saturday night.  10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH

Kentucky is a massive favorite in this one. It’s a little disorienting, in fact. But Mark Stoops has this team playing well, and they have had two weeks to prepare for this revenge game against the Commodores. Kentucky has lost three straight in this series – all by double-digits – and they were embarrassed 40-0 on this very field just two seasons ago. It is payback time this year. Vanderbilt is a train wreck. They are on the road for the first time this year after a 1-3 homestand that saw them get demolished by Temple (37-7) and Ole Miss (41-3). South Carolina was in a letdown spot and did everything they could to give Vandy that game last week, and the Commodores still lost by 14. Kentucky has a ton of talent on this team and I beleive they are at least 24 points better. 5*

The Bruins have not looked like the on the rise team everybody was expecting to start the season but now they get a big Thursday night primetime game to showcase their talent. They've had plenty of injuries to slow them down with QB Brett Hundley being the main one. However, they play an Arizona State team tonight who does not have the defensive personnel to slow down UCLAs run game. The Bruins will man handle ASUs offensive line and create turnovers. Look for UCLA to show up big as they have too many athletes and too much speed in this one. UCLA rolls!  5*

After a poor performance last Thursday night against the Ravens in their 6-26 loss, the Steelers will look to get back on track Sunday night against the Panthers with 3 extra days to prepare. As is the case in most games, the loser is generally on the wrong side of the turnover battle, as the Steelers were last week with a turnover difference of 3. Pittsburgh comes off a 6-26 loss to Baltimore, but it’s hard to fault Pitt here. Baltimore had an emotional game amid the Ray Rice scandal, the public was on Pittsburgh, the underdog in that contest, and the trap was set and the public took a hit. Similar situation here as the public is now on Carolina after their exciting 2-0 start to the year and 66% of the latest consensus polls backing Carolina coming off a big win over the Lions. However, the Lions were coming off a big win over the lowly Giants on Monday Night Football and were in a classic let down spot (that was another game where 66% of the public took the underdog in the Lions and got buried Pittsburgh has actually thrown the ball well this season. Ben Roethlisberger ranks 5th in the NFL in passing yards at 582 yards, but he has only managed one touchdown pass.

Look for the Steelers to be ready and focused here as people have said Tomlin has lost his team. The Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games when facing a team with a winning home record and I look for a big win for them here on Sunday night primetime action. 10*

The New York Giants are in a world of trouble if they lose this game. Lat year they started out with a horrible start. They are off to that same start again. Turnovers are killing this team and bad play at the QB spot isn't helping either. The Giants have a better QB and offensive weapons. They win the turnover battle and they win this game. Houston comes in with a 2-0 record but have beat teams that really are not that great either. The Texans are playing on back to back road games will hurt this team. I just like this one spot here. Getting +1 points here offers a little extra value at home.  5*

Arizona is in the top 25 in rushing and passing and are very good at home. They've had a fairly easy schedule but so has Cal. Arz QB Solomon is only a freshman but he is a smart QB. He doesn't turn the ball over and makes very good decision and now playing in his 4th game of the season. He also has a great core of receivers improving rapidly as well, and perhaps the second coming of Carey in Wilson, that line looks pretty good. The defense is fast and you have to like the Arizona trademark linebacker play. California has definitely struggled at times against the RBs they have faced this season so far, giving up 108 and 118 in their games thus far. Can't see Cal scoring more than 20 here and this Wildcat offense is very explosive.  10*

North Carolina getting no love at on the road this time around, as ECU is coming off a big and emotional road win at Blacksburg, upsetting Virginia Tech last Saturday. Tar Heels lost by 24 points last season at home to the Pirates, but it was the first non-cover for UNC in the series since 2001! ECU is 3-13 ATS vs. teams with winning records AND 3-13 ATS in last 16 home games following consecutive non-conference games. North Carolina coming off BYE with extra time to prepare and playing in Revenge mode and ECU walking into a let-down game! Take NC here.  5*

In last weeks loss, Maryland's defense was overmatched by the up-tempo WVU attack. The Terps allowed 694 total yards and 33 first downs, including 511 passing yards and 4 pass TD to WVU QB Trickett. You best beleive the focus at practice this week was DEFENSE! Look for a letdown from the Orange after that big win as they take on a Maryland team that will not only be in a bad mood following last week’s crushing loss to West Virginia, but is also playing with revenge following a 20-3 loss to Syracuse last year.  5*

This weekend the Hawkeyes travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Panthers at Heinz Field. Pitt is 3-0 on the young season after defeating FIU 42-25. Pittsburgh’s potent offense is putting up an average of about 45 points per game and is 5th in the country in rushing, averaging 344 yards on the ground per contest. Pitt is led by James Conner who has already amassed 544 yards on the ground this season and a very solid and accurate QB. This is Iowa's first true road game of the season. The Hawkeyes have been abysmal on offense this year averaging just 21.7 ppg. Not sure Iowa even gets their average as Pitt is a very talented defense and has athletes on both sides on the ball. Panthers offense will wear down Iowa and late in this game Pitt offense does whatever they want in easy win for ACC. Panthers by double digits!
10*

TB has been favored in both of their games and lost straight-up to the Panthers with Derek Anderson at quarterback and to the Rams with third-string Austin Davis behind center. The last 4 meetings between these two teams have all been very tight. Let's not forget that Tampa Bay is coming off of playing against 2 very solid defensive units in the Panthers and STL Rams. Look for the Buccaneers to run all game long on this defensive front of Atlanta that allowed 140 & 170 rushing yards in their first 2 games and ranks 26th in the entire league against the run. This is TB's only primetime game of the season. The Falcons are relevant again on offense with a return to health of Julio Jones, Roddy White and Steven Jackson along with the addition of Devin Hester. Atlanta would be using their third offensive left tackle, though, if Jake Matthews remains out with an ankle injury. The Falcons giving up an average of 472 yards a game. This will open up things up for Josh McCown to hit some big play action passes all game long. So let's take the points with Tampa Bay on this primetime game for the Bucs.  5*

Andy Luck had a big game versus Denver last week passing for 370 yards on 35-of-53 with 2 TD's.  The Colts are 6-1 ATS at home their last seven. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS versus the Colts while Indy is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a Monday Night favorite of more than 2 points. I don't think the Eagles defense will not be able to contain Luck. Their corners will be in trouble tonight and Luck will eat them up here at home as he hasn't lost back-2-back starts in his last 33 starts and off a loss last Sunday night. 5*

Colts by 11 on MNF.

5*

The Saints defense was piss poor last week. They'll show up this week in Cleveland and keep them in check.

Who is more likely to start the season 0-2 - Cleveland or New Orleans. I don't have to tell you the answer to that question. Did you see how horrible Pittsburgh looked on Thursday? That was a team that was destroying the Browns for most of the game last week until falling apart to let them back in. With no weather problems to face in September and nice weather in Cleveland this afternoon look for the Saints to spread the ball all over.  In the redzone they score TD's not FG's and should have no problem covering this number.

 Look for the Saints to roll to a big win as the play of the week. 10*

Rutgers home fans have had this game circled all year. Rutgers have a strong rushing and passing attack and will take advantage at home against Penn St. I like them to win this one outright. Rutgers QB is very consistent and understands defenses. ? ? Rutgers Senior QB Gary Nova makes smart decisions with the ball and Rutgers had big WR's to take advantage down field. . When Rutgers gets a good rushing attack to help make that downeld passing work even better. Penn St has a very poor offensive line and their running game isn't working with the new offense they are implementing. The public is all over Penn St and 90% of the bets are on PSU but this game is sold out and the stadium will be rocking. I like Rutgers here by a touchdown 30-23.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH

SC's Todd Gurley has been nothing short of amazing in what we have seen so far, and seriously can make a run at the Heisman this year. The strength, beyond their excellent RB is their defense which is looking to prove that they can shut the run down when need be. South Carolina, on the other hand has a D that has looked very vulnerable at times but I think the Ole ball coach will have his boys ready at home here. Lets back the home dog with SC on Saturday afternoon. 5*