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Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-13-14	Minnesota v. TCU -16	Top	7-30	Win	100	18 h 7 m	Show
TCU needs a statement game, and this team has been playing better dating back to last year. Minnesota is 2-0, make no mistake that they have not played anybody, and this is a Minnesota team that faces their toughest contest, and in particular one of the toughest offenses they will face all year compared to Big 10 competition. If this team gives up 44 points in their last two games to no-names, imagine what is going too happen to TCU here between the Horned Frogs tough offense and defense. This just might be very well a blowout in the making this evening. You have a TCU team that is absolutely hungry for a statement win, and you have a Minnesota team that might not know what hit them by the time the time the third quarter rolls around. TCU will be more than prepared for MN considering they have a by-week while MN plays MTSU. TCU plays a no-nonsense game and they should win by at least 20. BIG 10* Offshore Steam Play!
09-11-14	Louisiana Tech +4 v. North Texas	Top	42-21	Win	100	10 h 5 m	Show
Both of these squads looked great last week in their respective wins. LA Tech completely dismantled LA Lafayette who many consider the head and shoulders favorite to win the Sun Belt and even more impressively they picked up the win on the road. LA Tech is coming off a big win over UL-Lafayette, while North Texas is coming off a blowout win over SMU. North Texas is getting too much credit in this game because of their big win over SMU but SMU gave up five turnovers which the Mean Green aren't going to catch from LA Tech. N Texas had a tough defense but very one dimensional on offense and cannot pass the ball to save their asses. LA Tech is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games and has a balanced attack and tough defense. Take the small dog with LOU TECH on Thursday night.
09-08-14	NY Giants v. Detroit Lions -6	Top	14-35	Win	100	6 h 42 m	Show
Everything I looked at for this game is pointing towards a play on the Lions in this spot. First off the Giants are implicating a new offensive scheme, and it sure didn't look like the Giants first string grasped it at all in the preseason and I believe this will take time for them to get on the same page offensively as they are thin at the WR postion. Lions have made a ton of moves starting with a new coach and their defensive front is very tough. Stafford to Megatron and now you add Tate. Who do the Giants cover. I like the Lions to get the win by double digits tonight! 5*
09-07-14	Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5	Top	20-14	Loss	-110	20 h 25 m	Show
The Carolina Panthers started last five seasons 0-1; they scored 10-7 points in losing last two season openers. Panthers lost last five road openers (0-5 vs. spread). For Tampa Lovie Smith went 29-19 his last three years coaching Bears; playoff losses got him fired,, but he is a huge upgrade at HC for Bucs, who had only one TD on 20 drives vs. Carolina LY, with three TO’s, eight 3/outs. Carolina has some major offensive line problems and they also lost their #1 receiver with Steve Smith. Cam Newton had a rib injury and didn't have much time to practice with his new WR's. If I would do an offensive line ranking the Panthers would be last. Lovie Smith is an expert defensive coach and will know how to scheme against a very inexperienced offensive line. Tampa Bay also has tall receivers going up against small DB's. Look for TB to come out strong at home and steal a win against an overrated Panthers team who I think takes a step back this season and misses the playoffs.10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
09-06-14	BYU -1 v. Texas	Top	41-7	Win	100	10 h 15 m	Show
BYU is loaded on both sides of the ball and the team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big 12 The Cougars pounded Texas last season in Provo and the Horns have numerous injuries heading into this week. Texas has a new coach with a new system and is still young. BYU QB Taysom Hill was once again the catalyst for the Cougars as he had a hand in all 5 of the Cougars touchdowns. Hill threw for 302-years and 3 touchdowns, in addition to running for 97-yards and 2-scores. BYU had over 150 penalty yards in that game so they could have won by a lot more and they will be much more dicipline on Saturday. Texas was an easy 38-7 home winner over North Texas in head coach Charlie Strong's debut. The Longhorns have a huge game on deck against highly rated UCLA. That game will be played at the Dallas Cowboys home Stadium in Arlington. It certainly raises a red flag in regards to this game being overlooked by the Longhorns. I like the BYU Cougars to make it two wins in two years over the Texas Longhorns. BYU returns a handful of suspended players this week, including RB Jamaal Williams, who carried the ball 30 times for 182 yards in last season's 40-21 BYU win. 10*
09-06-14	Kansas State -11.5 v. Iowa State	Top	32-28	Loss	-110	3 h 46 m	Show
The Wildcats beat Stephen F. Austin 55-16 with quarterback Jake Waters having a great game with 223 yards passing with 2 TD's and although receiver Tyler Lockett only had 1 catch it was still a easy victory. Lockett should be a big factor in this meeting. Iowa State lost receiver Quenton Bundarge for the season with a torn ACL and the defense allowed 506 yards in a embarrassing loss to N.Dakota St. 34-14. KSTATE won last year 41-7 and Waters will have another huge game on Saturday against the Cyclones. Iowa State has dropped 32 of its last 36 matchups with ranked opponents, including seven straight. Kansas State has won the last six meetings overall after last season's 41-7 win. When ranked, the Wildcats have defeated the Cyclones in 10 straight dating to 1994. Look for Kansas St to win big heading into their BYE week. 10*
09-05-14	Pittsburgh v. Boston College +5	Top	30-20	Loss	-110	6 h 26 m	Show
The Pitt Panthers looked pretty good in Week 1, defeating a upcake Delaware by a score of 62-0. Of course we can't get too excited about a blowout win against a small school. The Panthers face a much tougher test this week, taking on the Boston College Eagles on the road. The BC defense is tough and I expect Pitt to have trouble moving the ball in this one. Tyler Murphy BC's Senior QB comes over from the Florida Gators, and he's wasted no time making an impact. Murphy completed 70% of his passes for 174 yards and a TD, while picking up another 118 yards and a TD on the ground. He'll give the Eagles a dual threat weapon, and Pittsburgh should have it's hands full trying to contain him. Boston College ran the ball 61 times for 338 yards in their opener, dominating time of possession holding the ball for 42 minutes. Getting the Eagles as a home dog of more than three points is excellent value, especially when you consider that Pitt was 1-4 ATS on the road last year. I'll take the home team getting 5 points on Friday night. 5*
08-30-14	Clemson v. Georgia -7.5	Top	21-45	Win	100	7 h 58 m	Show
Georgia knows that Clemsons defense is good, but the Dogs also play SEC defenses every year, which means they know fast defense, and Clemson lost way too much from their team. Clemson wont be able to go score for score with this Georgia team, and the Dogs will pound the ball and score a lot of points. Georgia comes in with a punch you in the mouth defense as well, especially behind the great linebacker corps that Georgia has this year. The big edge in terms of returning starters it would go Georgia as they return most of their defense. However, it's important to point out that it wasn't a great defense a year ago as their final yards per point number of 12.9 shows. They'll be better this year but they gave up on average 29 points per game a year ago. Look for Georgia to lockdown Clemson with their defense and forcing turnovers here in the opening week and grab a double digit win. 10*
08-30-14	Marshall -24 v. Miami (OH)	Top	42-27	Loss	-110	5 h 1 m	Show
Marshall might go undefeated this season and if they want to get some respect in the poll, not only do they have to win, but they need to blow teams out. It starts on Saturday with a blowout here. . They are very good on both sides of the ball. Marshall is coming off a 10-4 season with quarterback Sr. Rakeem Cato who had a monster year with 3,916 yards passing and 39 TD's and could be a contender for the Heisman this season. His favorite target at receiver is Sr. Tommy Shuler who had 106 receptions, 1,165 yards and 10 TD's. On the flip-side Miami -Ohio was 0-12 last year and things don't look much better this season. THey cant get out of their own way and I have them at 130 in my college power rankings. Marshall is 7-1 ATS last 8 meetings with Miami-Ohio and 8-1 ATS last 9 game as a favorite. Miami-Ohio is 1-7 ATS last 8 non-conference games and lost to Marshall last year 52-14. Marshall in a major BLOWOUT here in this one. 10*
08-30-14	Western Michigan v. Purdue -8.5	Top	34-43	Win	100	2 h 35 m	Show
For Purdue, they’re looking to be better this season as their futures win total is 3.5 wins. For Western Michigan it’s looking like another bad season as they have only 13 returning starters coming back. The Sportsbooks opened the Boilermakers as 13-point favorites. But that proved to be a bad number as the line was steamed down to 8.5-points. Despite the big move the money is split on the game. It’s tough to lay 10-points with a Purdue team that averaged only 15 points last season. But they have QB Etling and RB Hunt back and they have the experience and home field in this one to get the win and cover for us. 5*
08-29-14	BYU -14.5 v. Connecticut	Top	35-10	Win	100	4 h 22 m	Show
Uconn hosts BYU in the opener for both teams on Friday, August 29th in Connecticut. The Huskies are off a 3-9 season while BYU was 8-5 and appeared in the Fight Hunger Bowl, losing to Washington. . These two programs are night and day in terms of talent. BYU is a well coached program built to win now and compete with the top 30 teams in the nation while Uconn has very little talent and is in the process of rebuilding. Hiring Paul Pasqualoni was a mistake. He wasn't the right guy at the right time for Uconn. It set the program back. Bob Diaco takes over and really has his work cut out for him. BYU figures to have major edges across the board in this game, including coaching and QB. QB Taysom Hill is an extremely talented player and could start for many top programs. Uconn doesn't figure to have an answer for Hill and this fast paced offense, especially right out of the gate in week 1 with good weather tonight.I like BYU to cruise to a comfortable win. 5*
08-28-14	Texas A&M v. South Carolina -10.5	Top	52-28	Loss	-102	28 h 39 m	Show
This SC team is very good. They have a huge offensive line and a great running game and going against Texas A&M who couldn't stop anyone last year as they outscored everyone behind Johnny Football. Their defense is tough as well. South Carolina has been a staple in the mighty SEC for the last 4 seasons, I don't see a huge drop off this year either. They need to make sure they commit themselves to stopping the scoring outburst of the pass happy offense of Aggies with a young QB which I think will take A&M some time and for him to gain experience. South Carolina wins big! 5*
02-02-14	Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos	Top	43-8	Win	100	21 h 18 m	Show
For only the 2nd time in the last 20 years has the top 2 seeds made it all the way to the Super Bowl. In 47 tries, no quarterback has EVER won a Super Bowl with 2 different teams. Denver set an NFL record scoring 606 points in the regular season, averaging 37.9 PPG & 457 YPG. The last 5 teams that broke single-season scoring records went a perfect 0-5 SU in the Super Bowl. Also the past 7 times a team played 2 games in a row at home and then was installed as Super bowl favorites, that team has gone a perfect 0-7 ATS. Denver hasn't faced a mobile QB who can run this year. 75% of the public likes Denver because of Manning. First let's not forget the Manning does not play well in cold weather, and remember this game is going to be played outside in 30 degree temps by kickoff. This is a real tough place to throw the ball in adverse weather conditions and wind as Manning doesn't have a strong arm and his plays are based on timing and accuracy which the cold and wind will hamper. Plus let's not forget they will be facing the #1 defense in the entire league. How I see it is that I feel the Seahawks will get pressure on Manning rushing just 4 and put back 7 in coverage and this will frustrate and throw Manning's timing off all game long. I'll take Seattle here plus the 2.5-3 points on Sunday. 4 prop plays I like. ------------------ Total Receptions - Knowshon Moreno (DEN) UNDER 3 -115 Will Knowshon Moreno (DEN) score a TD in the 1st Half? NO -220 Total Receptions - Wes Welker (DEN) OVER 5.5 -125
01-19-14	San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -0.5	Top	17-23	Win	111	6 h 51 m	Show
NFC Championship Game San Francisco at Seattle and all I'm hearing is that quarterback Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers offense is now at 100% and will win outright while Seattle is waiting in their home stadium ready to ambush them. This is SFran's 4th straight road game(finished the season at Arz, then at GB, then at Carolina last week and now at Seattle). The Seahawks have dominated San Francisco in their last two meetings in Seattle with the Seahawks outscoring the 49ers by a whopping 71-16. So until the 49ers can show that they can be competitive here at CenturyLink stadium I am going to ride Seattle by 7 or more.
01-19-14	New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4	Top	16-26	Win	100	3 h 33 m	Show
Denver
01-12-14	San Diego Chargers +8.5 v. Denver Broncos	Top	17-24	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
San Diego has nothing to lose, they are playing on borrowed money. They have been playing some great defense recently, only allowing 16 pts per game in their last 5 and commanding teams. Besides the fact that Phillip Rivers, has played very good against Denver, overall, he doesn't fear them in the least bit. And they have have some very good solid weapons and Matthews, Woodhead and rookie Keenan Allen. He will be a tough cover for the Broncos, last time they played he scored twice. Denver scarcely beat the Chargers the first time they played, with a great comeback from San Diego, and then lost to them the second time around. It's a division rival and anything can happen and this is their 3rd matchup this season, Chargers keep it closer than many may think. The Chargers are not afraid to come into Denver and play Peyton Manning and the Broncos. They have the right formula to win, Running the ball and 3rd down conversions. I expect this game to be close through out, and 10 points is to much here. 5*
01-12-14	San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers +3	Top	23-10	Loss	-125	4 h 48 m	Show
Carolina's Ron Rivera expressed that the pressure is on the Niners. I think the Panthers matchup well with them. The Panthers had the extra week to get ready and they are going to come out sharp on Sunday. They have the recipe to beat San Francisco at home and play the 49ers very well. The 49ers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 meetings and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Carolina. The Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games & are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. The Panthers also have a very good offensive line and I expect them to be able to run the ball. Look for Carolina to get the job done here at home and Cam Newton to step up and have a monster game. Carolina pulls away in the 2nd half and its our 10* NFL PLayoffs GAME OF THE YEAR!
01-11-14	Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots -7	Top	22-43	Win	100	12 h 44 m	Show
The Patriots' were banged up all season, but still managed to impress in stretches. New England does very well in the REDZONE allowing just 11 touchdowns on the season on the ground. The Patriots won't mismanage the game the way the Chiefs did. Bill Belichick gets my vote for coach of year for going 12-4 with a team banged up with injuries. They are still without Gronk but getting 2 weeks to prepare and I expect them to eat up the Colts with Tom Brady and Belichick to lockdown Luck. The Patriots beat the Colts 59-24 last November and they have beaten the Colts three straight times over the past three years. Visiting team 5-13 ATS in Colts postseason games. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and I look for a double digit win here at home on Saturday night. 5* BEST BET.
01-06-14	Auburn v. Florida State -9	Top	31-34	Loss	-125	11 h 42 m	Show
We had another HUGE Bowl season and on a current 15-6 tear in the Bowls and Monday night we are going to finish strong! We cashed big in last years BCS game with Alabama BIG over ND. In the last 15 BCS Championship games the actual spread didn't even factor on the game. Either the underdog won outright or the favorite won big! I look for that trend to continue tonight! Hopefully it will be just as easy as last year was. First off Florida State's Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston is very good and so is the FSU defense. He leads a Seminoles offense that leads the nation with 90 touchdowns while ranking second in scoring at 53 points per game with a low output of 37 points. This will be the difference here he Seminoles scoring so fast the Tigers run oriented offense will be forced to play catch up and this is how this game will turn into a blowout for Florida State as their defense ranks first nationally in scoring defense (10.7) and passing defense (152 per game) and third in total defense (268.5). While the same can't be said for the Auburn defense that is allowing 24 points per game and ranks 88th in total defense (423.5) and 104th in passing defense (260.2). Florida State has had five weeks to put together a defensive game plan and practice containing this unusual Auburn option offense. The Seminoles have quick and talented LBs in Terrance and Telvin Smith, plus DE Christian Jones provides an athletic defender on the edge. Florida State has been exceptional against the run for most of the season and we expect nothing less here. The Seminoles barely broke a sweat this entire season. Bottom line Florida State rolls to the dominating win and the National Championship. 10*
01-05-14	San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5	Top	27-10	Loss	-103	4 h 38 m	Show
This year the Bengals get to play their playoff game at home in the jungle where they went a perfect 8-0 both straight up and against the spread this season! San Diego must do a good job dominanting the time of possession. And we have the history of the Chargers, come playoff time, no matter their record, they seem to collapse. West Coast team playing early in the cold weather on Sunday. Cincinnati has been just devastating opponents at home and the D is even more destructive their than it has been away. With the defense playing lights out, Bengals do what they need to do at home. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home. After a perfect 8-0 home campaign during the regular season, look for Cincy to extend things to 9-0 with the playoff home win and cover today against San Diego. 5*
01-04-14	Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts	Top	44-45	Loss	-125	5 h 18 m	Show
KC RB "Mr. Everything," Jamal Charles and his 19 TDs is going to tough to defend. I also think that being on the road helps Alex Smith, playing in a dome, I see him playing better particularly since it will be easier for speedster Jamal Charles to run on artificial turf. The Colts went into KC a couple of weeks ago and got the win and expect the Chiefs to return the favor today. KC didn't have Justin Houston for that game. He is an elite pass rusher and hasn't played since week 12, so the Chiefs will instantly become better defensively. Don't be fooled by Andy Reid as many believe he is holding a restaurant menu on the sidelines and not a playsheet. He is a very good coach and knows how to prepare his teams for road games. Kansas City proved they have great depth almost beating SD last week while resting almost all of their starters. Indianapolis played all out last week for seeding purposes and paid for it with some defensive injuries. Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Indianapolis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played in January. 10* NFL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK
01-04-14	Houston v. Vanderbilt -2	Top	24-41	Win	100	5 h 53 m	Show
I feel inside though that with Vandy's defense and SEC schedule and feel they have a big advantage in this one. Vandy has a stone wall defense, that can shut it down fast. Houston is a turnover machine, in a good way sitting at +25 on the season in the turnover margin, this is tremendous stat but Vandy doesn't turn the ball over and a very smart team. With their big time WR as well, Deontay Greenberry and 76 rec, 1106 yds, and 10 tds he can make teams back peddle end-to-end. I don
01-03-14	Clemson +3 v. Ohio State	Top	40-35	Win	100	8 h 25 m	Show
The big question in this one is whether or not OSU will be focused after losing the Big-10 title game and their chance at playing for a national title. Just like last night OHio St's bubble has been popped just like Alabama's and the key players don't want to hurt themselves as they prepare for the NFL draft. Clemson comes into the game with their high powered offensive attack, and a high-octane passer in Tajh Boyd. Lighting up opponents for 40/game, and a top ended passing attack, ranking them 11th in the nation. Coming in off their loss vs #10 South Carolina L 31-17 , they need to focus on this game even more. I am expecting this to be one of the more entertaining bowls, with 2 of the nation's most prolific offenses on display. The explosive offense of Clemson make this worth watching, without question. CLemson lost its last Orange Bowl 70-33 so you can bet your hairy asses, they'll be more prepared this time. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games and I like Clemson here to get the win and all of the Oranges. 5*
01-01-14	Iowa +8.5 v. LSU	Top	14-21	Win	100	2 h 12 m	Show
This is another game where the starting quarterback is injured. LSU's Mettenberger is out and true freshman Anthony Jennings will be making his first start. This is a huge downgrade and one that Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz should have plenty of time to capitalize on. Ferentz is not a stranger to being a underdog in a bowl game either so he will have his troops ready to put up a fight as he is 6-2 ATS his last 8 games as an underdog in bowl games. Iowa has the better quarterback in this game clearly and they have a running game that will wear opposing defenses out. Iowa has the edge on Special Teams as well. I also like the fact that Iowa's punter pinned almost half of his punts inside the 20 yard line this season and I can see Iowa pulling the upset in this one. 5*
12-31-13	Virginia Tech +8 v. UCLA	Top	12-42	Loss	-105	3 h 15 m	Show
Virginia Tech has a great defense, only giving up about 17 a game. UCLA will need to score more than that to win this thing. Frank Beamer has his squad bowling for the 21st straight year. That is the longest streak in the nation. It must be respected and he has the experience. Beamer and DC Bud Foster continue to churn out top defensive units. Not too mention a special teams squad that always seems to make key plays. The Hokies will slow the tempo and it wouldn't shock me to see them with a chance for the outright win here. Virginia Tech has a ton of speed and is well coached. VTech also has the edge on Special Teams. UCLA is 110th in pass protection and Virginia Tech was #1 in sack percentage. I expect a low scoring game so look for the Underdog Hokies to get us the cash.
12-30-13	Texas v. Oregon -14	Top	7-30	Win	100	21 h 53 m	Show
4*
12-30-13	Ole Miss -3 v. Georgia Tech	Top	25-17	Win	100	17 h 22 m	Show
For the most part these GT teams have been a middle of the pack team in a terrible conference and they struggle to move the football against teams with speed. That is what the Rebels have on defense and having over a month to prepare for a triple option attack is a great thing. That may explain Tech
12-29-13	Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +3	Top	33-28	Loss	-105	4 h 2 m	Show
3*
12-29-13	Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5	Top	7-20	Win	100	17 h 33 m	Show
Look for Pitt to establish the run which will open up the passing game for Big Ben here on Sunday afternoon against a Browns team who has pretty much given up. Cleveland got hot for a few weeks with wins over Minnesota, Cincinnati, and Buffalo. Since that nice little streak, they have gone 1-9 and haven't been competitive at all. The Browns at 4-11 are one of the NFL's worst teams. I fuly expect Mike Tomlin's group to beat the Browns handily taking advantage of a defense that has struggled in recent weeks. Cleveland didn't allow any opponent to top 370 yards for the first 12 games of the year -- then proceeded to cough up 484 against the Patriots, 440 against the Bears and 422 against the Jets. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has scored 30 and 38 points the past two weeks and the offesne has looked great. Le'Veon Bell was the key against the Packers last Sunday,posting his first career 100-yard rushing game in the win. We like the Steelers to take a game they need badly to even up their record at 8-8 and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. STEELERS by 17.
12-29-13	Carolina Panthers -5.5 v. Atlanta Falcons	Top	21-20	Loss	-102	1 h 37 m	Show
3*
12-28-13	Michigan v. Kansas State -5.5	Top	14-31	Win	100	14 h 6 m	Show
Michigan is slumping, losers of 4 of their last 5 games. They play no defense, giving up 26.5 a game, including 24+ 7 times on the season. For years the Big 10 has been publicized as some of the most decorated, respected and dominant football programs to ever play college football. They need this win more, bottom line. And even though finishing bad, we know they can play, look what they did vs. OSU. Where they looked deadly. Playing against the Kansas State Wildcats, who really have been starting to play to their potential late in the season, scoring 30+ easily a game. They can blitz well and they have to be capable to stop the run. Although they play tight games, most of the time, I expect this to be the same throughout, but enough to cover. Kansas State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games and the Wildcats are the better team on both sides of the ball and also better coached. 5*
12-28-13	Miami (Florida) +4.5 v. Louisville	Top	9-36	Loss	-105	11 h 37 m	Show
I really like Miami over Louisville here on Saturday evening, taking the points. Miami has established already that it can score on just about anyone at anytime even in the absence of RB Duke Johnson. Miami can shut down opponents in the air, with one of the best pass defenses in the NCAA and now healthy after being off and rested since Nov 29th. However, this has been somewhat of a breakout season for the Hurricanes and Coach Al Golden has the program on the upswing. Perhaps in another year or two, the Hurricanes could return to prominence just as their rivals have done over in Tallahassee. A stepping stone would be capturing a marquee victory over a top opponent which could be accomplished when they meet Louisville in Orlando. Miami can throw up big points in bunches, scoring 35.9 ppg, led principally by their RB Dallas Crawford and his 12 Tds. Louisville comes in with the big name QB Teddy Bridgewater and his gaudy numbers 3523 yds, and 28 TD against a cupcake schedule. And even with their soft schedule, after the UCF game, they have looked very mediocre at best. Louisville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games. TAKE THE MIAMI HURRICANES playing in their home state here on Saturday evening. 5*
12-27-13	Washington v. BYU +3.5	Top	31-16	Loss	-110	24 h 7 m	Show
While the Huskies have one of the nation's top offenses with 38.5 points per game, they could have their hands full with a BYU defense that's allowed an average of 21.3.The Huskies of Washington raised their offensive pro?le this season, to 514 yards per game and 38.5 points per game. But on grass ?elds, they scored 34, 31, 28, 24, and 31, all below their overall average. BYU is a home-?eld grass team, for whatever that
12-26-13	Pittsburgh +6.5 v. Bowling Green	Top	30-27	Win	100	6 h 25 m	Show
I really like the Pitt coaching staff and I feel that there
12-24-13	Oregon State -3 v. Boise State	Top	38-23	Win	100	21 h 54 m	Show
I like the Oregon State Beavers -3 here on Tuesday. Oregon State lost their last 5 games of the season so they are hungry to go off on a high note especially with a senior laden team led by their QB Sean Mannion. They faced 5 top 50 pass defenses down the stretch and 3 were in the top 20. Oregon State is ranked 3rd in the nation with a passing play % of 65% so to beat them you have to be able to stop the pass which is evident by their struggles down the stretch vs. top passing defenses of the PAC 12. Boise is not very good at stopping the pass and Sean Mannion feasted on his other opponents this year with 29 TD's and only 4 INT if you were not ranked in the top 50 in pass defense. He has a serious weapon in Brandin Cooks who was the nation's best WR winning the Fred Biletnikoff Award. Oregon State's pass defense has been great all year coming up with a 115 QB rating allowed in road games. with 15 interceptions and Boise lost when they couldn't pass having a QB rating that was 61 points less in their losses. Boise St will be coached by one of their assistant coaches for this way and also without their QB. Boise is a respectable 31st in passing yards for, 32nd in rushing yards for, and 17th in rushing yards for but the Broncos, although highly capable, seem to be wandering around in a drunken stupor waiting to make a play. That attitude will get you beat against the better teams and it is also the reason why Boise cannot
12-23-13	Ohio v. East Carolina -14.5	Top	20-37	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
East Carolina is a perfect 9-0 ATS following their last nine straight up losses and East Carolina is a good team, probably much better than Ohio, This team was absolutely trucked in their last game by Marshall by a score of 28-59 and they will be itching and hungry to get back on the field. This is the same team that beat NC State 42-28 earlier this year and has one of the most dynamic offenses in the country scoring 63 against UAB and 58 against Tulsa. This team has also covered 4 of its last 5 and as they come off one of their worst losses of the year, I like them to bounce-back here. Ohio comes off a huge win against UMass and they have struggled against similar top 140 teams such as Kent losing 13-44 or against Buffalo losing 3-30 and I like ECU and their top 30 defense to step up here against Ohio is a top 90 ranked offense overall. With ECU's balanced attack as a top 30 offense as well as top 30 defense, I like ECU big by 24 or more points here Monday afternoon. 5*
12-22-13	Chicago Bears +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles	Top	11-54	Loss	-110	10 h 13 m	Show
PLAY THE CHICAGO BEARS Jay Cutler came back last week and threw for 265 yards with 3 passing touchdowns to lead the Bears to victory. Both star receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery came up with huge plays down the stretch to help the cause and they should both do well against the eagles secondary. Marshall led the team with 6 catches for 95 yards and a touchdown. While Jeffery added yet another brilliant 45 yard touchdown grab between two defenders which was one of the plays of the week. Jeffery has been making those big plays consistently the last few weeks which has been pivotal in helping the Bears overcome their defensive woes and continue to win games. Marshall and Jeffery are both big physical receivers that seem to always come down with the football. Now both receivers will get the chance to continue their impressive play against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Philadelphia ranks 2nd to last against the pass allowing 292 yards per game. The Eagles are also 3-18 ATS on the second game of back to back games that they are favored. Also, it Dallas wins earlier in the day which they are favored to do then the Eagles wont have anything to play for and might rest players. I'll take the veteran QB with Jay Cutler and the Bears here on Sunday night plus the 3 points. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH
12-21-13	Colorado State +6 v. Washington State	Top	48-45	Win	100	15 h 3 m	Show
Colorado State is in the midst of turning around their long-tormented program. Going 7-6 this season, after winning 7 games over their last 2 seasons. Colorado State likes to forge it forward with power RB Kapri Bibbs, the nations leading TD rusher, with 28 on the season. And his massive 1,572 YDs, good for 6.2 yards per carry. When looking at this game, I 'd first like to look at the fact that Colorado State has a well-balanced double deuce offense led by Garrett Grayson and his 3,000+ passing yards and RB Kapri Bibbs and his 1,500+ rushing yards. .They finished the season on a 5-2 SUATS run and were 5-2 'ITS' as well. Wash St QB Halliday tends to throw too many interceptions as his 28 TD/ 21 INT mark is evident. There might be sloppy weather for this game with 15-20 MPH winds and showers and that will favor Colorado State and their strong rushing attack and stiff defense. Another advantage that Colorado State has is they already played in this stadium this season. Also, it can be noted that Colorado State HC McElwain was the offensive coordinator under Nick Saban before getting the job here for the Rams. "This is an exciting day not only for our team and our program, but for fans of Colorado State who have waited five years for the chance to go back to a bowl game," said coach Jim McElwain, who also turned a program around in his second year. I know Nick Saban is known for having his teams ready to play in bowl games, and I have to think that McElwain will do the same with plenty of time to prepare for this one. Statistically, Colorado State has the better offense and the better defense and I like Colorado State with the points in this game. 10* College Bowl Underdog Gem on COLORADO STATE +6
12-16-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Detroit Lions -5.5	Top	18-16	Loss	-103	7 h 48 m	Show
These two NFL teams are polar opposites, with the Ravens poised and methodical and the Lions anything but. However, when you consider Baltimore
12-15-13	Arizona Cardinals v. Tennessee Titans +3	Top	37-34	Push	0	5 h 26 m	Show
4*
12-15-13	Chicago Bears v. Cleveland Browns +1.5	Top	38-31	Loss	-110	2 h 3 m	Show
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road and I really like the Browns at home to take care of business and look for an emotional letdown from the Bears after their HUGE MNF win over the Cowboys. The Bears played a near perfect game after not even punting against the Cowboys. Its very hard to come back after a game like that. And now their rhythm will be changed with Cutler back in the lineup. Chicago cannot stop the running game as has been proven several times this season, giving up 157 on then ground. The effect of Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon has been amazing. And they have Jordan Cameron is a top 5 TE in the league. PLAY THE CLEVELAND BROWNS. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
12-09-13	Dallas Cowboys +1 v. Chicago Bears	Top	28-45	Loss	-102	7 h 16 m	Show
4*
12-08-13	NY Giants +3.5 v. San Diego Chargers	Top	14-37	Loss	-100	6 h 26 m	Show
I like the Giants here on the road plus the points. A pair of 5-7 teams hook up today as the Giants visit the Chargers. It
12-08-13	Detroit Lions +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles	Top	20-34	Loss	-114	4 h 44 m	Show
This late in the season is when the NFL betting markets tend to overreact to what happened the previous week and everyone remembers the Eagles win over Arizona. I guess too many people forgot what the Lions did on Thanksgiving as their offense and defense were great. They ripped GB a new ass. .Detroit also got an extra 3 days to prepare for this game and their defense is much better than the Eagles and it will show on Sunday. Nick Foles is gonna see a lot of heat and pressure. I just cant see the eagles defense slowing down Stafford, Megatron, and Reggie Bush. We are backing the Detroit Lions +3.
12-08-13	Miami Dolphins +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers	Top	34-28	Win	100	3 h 25 m	Show
Lets go with the Miami Dolphins over the Pittsburgh Steelers, taking the +3 points. Miami is playing on the road in the cold again this week. Miami's Mike Wallace gets to play against his former team, and show them what he can do, his blistering speed will be a tough handle, but Ike Taylor will likely be matched up with him throughout the day, and can match up with his aggressiveness. The Dolphins will make the most of their D-line and explosive young, DE Oliver Vernon to attack repeatedly on the weakened O-line of Pittsburgh. This is a big game with possible playoff significance's all over it. Banged up and beat up Pittsburgh, comes limping in yet again, with injuries and the team being carried along with more turmoil after Head coach Mike Tomlins field episode . I have no faith in Pittsburgh
12-08-13	Kansas City Chiefs v. Washington Redskins +3.5	Top	45-10	Loss	-115	3 h 22 m	Show
4*
12-07-13	Ohio State -5 v. Michigan State	Top	24-34	Loss	-110	11 h 36 m	Show
Ohio State's offense trumps Michigan State's defense plus the Buckeyes' defense is underrated. The Buckeyes have played with big leads in many of their games so their defensive numbers are somewhat skewed. Michigan State hasn't faced an offense nearly this good, nor a quarterback anywhere near the caliber of Braxton Miller, nor a running back as good as Carlos Hyde. The Buckeyes are No. 3 in the nation in scoring at 48.2 points a game and rank sixth in total yards at 531. Ohio State's win streak nearly ended at 23 this past week against Michigan but they'll play much better today. I like Urban Meyer off a big scare as he'll have his boys prepared and motivated. I see the Buckeyes coming in with their A game. 10* College Game of the Week
12-07-13	Missouri v. Auburn	Top	42-59	Loss	-110	6 h 22 m	Show
I'm taking MIzzu in the SEC Championship.. I believe left it all in the tank last week and are off a huge emotional high. Missouri has to feel like they are getting no respect for the lack of media attention and that just fuels them and fits in with their season long mantra. Nobody thought this Missouri team belonged last year, but very quietly Gary Pinkel has his team in contention to get to Pasadena. Their offense is balanced and as explosive as any offense is with Henry Josey at RB averaging well over 6 ypc, James Franklin an accurate mistake free QB, and the big receivers in a spread offense that's going to be a nightmare for Auburn's over rated defense. Auburn struggled vs. Georgia and A&M both who have balanced offenses with tall receivers. Mizzu has 3 receivers over 6'4. I feel this is just a bad match up for Auburn. Mizzou Tigers offense has been clicking and QB for Mizzou is getting healthy everyday so look for QB James Franklin to out-perform the QB of Auburn. Mizzou is 8-1-1 ATS following a SU win and Mizzou is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games. Auburn will get their yards, but Missouri will force the turnovers and be more explosive on offense on the turf with their speed Mizzu pulls away for a double digit win.
12-06-13	Bowling Green +4.5 v. Northern Illinois	Top	47-27	Win	100	8 h 38 m	Show
4*
12-05-13	Louisville v. Cincinnati +3	Top	31-24	Loss	-110	6 h 18 m	Show
5*The Bearcats have been on a major roll since a loss at USF as they now have won 6 games in a row including a big win at Houston 2 weeks ago. They had a week to prepare for their cross state rival the Louisville Cardinals and they come into this game with revenge on their minds from last years heartbreaking loss in Louisville 34-31. I think Cincinnati has more to play for here, the better defense and the strong offensive line. Lets take the home dog here on Thursday night college football.
12-02-13	New Orleans Saints +5.5 v. Seattle Seahawks	Top	7-34	Loss	-110	9 h 3 m	Show
New Orleans plays very well on MNF cashing their last 5 and well rested. Sproles is back tonight for the Saints which is huge for Special Teams and out of the backfield. Brees is having a spectacular season and I like him as an underdog here tonight to pull the upset. New Orleans has won three straight, but it's had to squeak out the last two by a combined seven points. After setting a franchise record with 625 total yards three weeks ago in a 49-17 win over Dallas, the offense has been less-than-stellar the past two weeks, but the Saints still rank third in the NFL in total yards per game and second in passing yards. The defense, often a weakness for New Orleans, has been rejuvenated under coordinator Rob Ryan and has allowed more than 400 total yards only once all season. Saints are playing as well as anyone right now with only losses to Jets by 6 and improbable loss to New England, so we will grab points here tonight. The game played on Turf and the Saints offense is very explosive. 5*
12-01-13	Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs +7	Top	35-28	Push	0	7 h 34 m	Show
4*
12-01-13	Atlanta Falcons +4 v. Buffalo Bills	Top	34-31	Win	100	6 h 15 m	Show
The Falcons played well last week vs their division rivals in the Saints. I think they show up in this one in the dome in Toronto Canada and extra rest and play for some pride and win this game. The Falcons showed last Thursday night in a 17-14 home loss to the New Orleans Saints that they have not given up on the season and I do expect them to carry that same focus against the Bills. If Buffalo had any advantage at all in this one, it was the home field but this game is being played indoors at the Rogers Center in Toronto where the Bills are 1-4 in their five games played there. Matt Ryan comes back into form and has a big game over the Buffalo Bills and the dome advantage is HUGE for the Falcons here. 10* Game of the Week
12-01-13	Arizona Cardinals v. Philadelphia Eagles -3	Top	21-24	Push	0	3 h 8 m	Show
The Cardinals have won four in a row, but the victims were three teams going nowhere (Falcons, Texans and Jaguars) and one floundering of late (Colts) with three of the wins coming at home. Now they're back on the road playing an early game for a west coast team and that puts them at a disadvantage before getting on the field. It is also very cold in Philly which Arizona will not be used to. Philadelphia is rested and on a roll, having beaten Washington at home plus Green Bay and Oakland on the road prior to a bye. Nick Foles (16 TDs, 0 INTs this season) completed 71 percent of his passes with 10 TDs during the streak. The Eagles' defense has held seven straight foes to 21 points or less. They've got to put pressure on Carson Palmer, who's been sacked 30 times already this season and is NOT mobile. With Arizona's ground game next to non-existent, the pressure will literally be on Palmer to produce and I'll take Philly in this matchup 5*
11-30-13	Air Force v. Colorado State -15.5	Top	13-58	Win	100	23 h 42 m	Show
Air Force has beaten Colorado St 6 straight times by 20 or more points. Colorado St is very good this year and their defense is excellent. They are off a 13-0 shutout and you can bet they are licking their chops for this matchup on Saturday. Colorado State has the Kapri Bibbs kid at running back, able to run crazy with 25 rushing TD's. The Air Force defense is begging to be dented as they are terrible. UNLV RB Tim Cornett looked like Bo Jackson running against it. It
11-29-13	Iowa v. Nebraska -2.5	Top	38-17	Loss	-110	1 h 5 m	Show
I like Big Red in their final home game against Iowa here on Friday afternoon in the early kickoff. The Hawkeyes quarterback is a disaster waiting to happen. Jake Ruddock has been picked off 12 times this season, three of those interceptions came at home against Michigan last week. Nebraska will stack the line and force Iowa to pass the ball. Neb will likely go with backup quarterback Ron Kellogg III a duel threat QB. The senior completed 20-of-34 attempts for 221 yards and a touchdown in last week's and he's done a good job protecting the football with smart decisions, with five touchdowns and just a single interception this season. Ameer Abdullah is very good and will need a big performence today. He's run for at least 100 yards in 10 of his 11 games this season. The Nebraska seniors will be pumped up for their final home game and I look for Nebraska to get a big win. 10* HOME COOKING PLAY
11-28-13	Oakland Raiders +9.5 v. Dallas Cowboys	Top	24-31	Win	100	5 h 15 m	Show
The Cowboys have one of the worst defenses they have put on the field in a while and that can keep Oakland hanging around within this big number. Oakland should have won against Tenn but Janikoski missed 2 rare FG's. Expect a heavy dose of running from the Raiders as Dallas has allowed 169, 242 and 202 yards rushing in its last three games. The Cowboys are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a win while going 0-6 ATS in their last six games in the second half of the season against teams with a losing record. Oakland hasn't been turning the ball over and as long as they don't have 3 or more turnovers, they'll cover this 9 pt spread on Turkey Day. The only thing holding me back from making this a 10* play is the fact that this is the Raiders 3rd game in 11 days. 5*
11-28-13	Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions -7	Top	10-40	Win	102	3 h 32 m	Show
Green Bay has struggled since Aaron Rodgers went down. The Packers have since gone 0-3-1 straight-up and 0-4 ATS. Rodgers is worth about 10 points in my opinion and the Packers just played 5 quarters of football on Sunday in their overtime game and got beat up pretty good. The Lions have been awful on Thanksgiving Day at home for several years now, but most of that was because they were an awful team in general. The Lions have come a long way since finishing last season 0-8. I expect Stafford and Megatron to have huge games on the National TV stage on Thanksgiving afternoon. The Lions also had 5 turnovers last week and their defense is better than people think. This is a statement game and the Lions are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 after gaining over 350 yards in their previous game. The Lions roll big time this afternoon over the punchless Packers. 10*
11-25-13	San Francisco 49ers -4 v. Washington Redskins	Top	27-6	Win	100	9 h 20 m	Show
The Niners are in a must win game here, losing 2 straight,and now fighting for a wildcard spot. The Redskins are a team that now has virtually no chance at making the playoffs, and their is players talking about one another to the media and that RG3 isnt a leader in the lockeroom or on the field. He is not very accurate with his passes either. I dont see it getting any better against this SF defense. Look for the Niners to get a big road win on MNF. 5*
11-24-13	Tennessee Titans -1 v. Oakland Raiders	Top	23-19	Win	100	8 h 35 m	Show
The Titans have messed up their 3-1 start by losing five of their last six games. That puts them in must-win territory at 4-6, especially since this marks the beginning of a three game road trip. Following this matchup, the Titans play at Indianapolis and Denver. They won't be favored in those games. So this becomes Tennessee's key MUST WIN game. It's certainly winnable. Oakland's Rookie QB Matt McGloin became Oakland's 15th starting quarterback since 2005 and led the Raiders to a surprising Road win against Houston this past Sunday. The last time Oakland strung consecutive Wins was Games 6 and 7
11-23-13	Missouri v. Ole Miss +3	Top	24-10	Loss	-115	10 h 24 m	Show
The Ole Miss secondary is more physical than what Missouri is accustomed to facing. Earlier this season, the Rebels upset LSU here. They needed a last-second FG to Get over the hump, but it was a clean win. Ole Miss out-yarded LSU 525-388 and Did it without their top RB, Jeff Scott, who returned last week. Prior to missing Three games with a bone spur, Scott was averaging 8.2 YPR. Scott was limited to 13 touches last week as Ole Miss set a school record for total offense; his role will Inevitably expand today. Missouri is allowing 111.9 yards per game on the ground but has been vulnerable through the air, ranking last with 274.9 yards allowed. That would appear to be good news for Rebels quarterback Bo Wallace, fourth in the league with 266.4 passing yards per game, but the Tigers also lead the SEC with 34 sacks and 17 interceptions. Ole Miss HC Hugh Freeze is 25-8 ATS over the last two- Plus seasons.
11-23-13	Colorado State v. Utah State -11	Top	0-13	Win	100	10 h 44 m	Show
We really like what Utah State has done with their team since having to replace QB Chuckie Keeton. They struggled last week a bit with UNLV, but have been scoring over 31 ppg. They are very talented on both sides of the ball. The story, however, has been their defense, as they are holding opponents to just over 19 ppg. Interesting stat here....in games against common opponents, Colorado St has given up an average of 36.5 ppg while Utah State has only allowed 16.5 ppg. The Aggies defense and home cooking spells a HUGE VICTORY for Utah State. 10* Home Cooking BURIAL!
11-23-13	Indiana v. Ohio State -34.5	Top	14-42	Loss	-115	6 h 10 m	Show
4*
11-23-13	Pittsburgh v. Syracuse	Top	17-16	Loss	-110	3 h 10 m	Show
Pittsburgh comes in losers of 3 of their last 4 games. They play a slow paced offensive style, no rush to move the ball quickly. They are very reliant on their passing game, and they struggle to step up and get 1st downs when needed. Pittsburgh doesn
11-23-13	Michigan +6 v. Iowa	Top	21-24	Win	100	3 h 40 m	Show
Michigan averages 34.3 PPG and has the #19th ranked defense allowing only 347.6 yards per game. QB Devin Gardner with 25 total TD's has 2 top receivers's in Jeremy Gallon and Devin Funchess who both average 16.3 yards per catch. Michigan struggled last week but that game was in the rain and mud. These defenses matchup with each other but Michigan has way too many playmakers on offense and as long as they protect the football they will win this game SU. Michigan routed Iowa 42-17 last year and much hasn't changed for these 2 squads. Take the Wolverines. 5*
11-18-13	New England Patriots +3 v. Carolina Panthers	Top	20-24	Loss	-110	10 h 48 m	Show
Cam Newton is off his biggest win of his career winning at SF and now playing a primetime game on MNF. I love Belichick off a BYE week with 2 weeks to prepare and the Patriots are off a BYE and now healthy on both sides of the ball. NE is getting 3 pts and scored a ton of points their last time out. Ridley will rush the ball because the Panthers will have to cover all of the NE spread it out with WR's and Gronk. With a revolving cast of characters at receiver and at running back, Brady has managed to keep the Patriots offense in the top-10 in a few categories, but there
11-17-13	San Francisco 49ers +3.5 v. New Orleans Saints	Top	20-23	Win	100	6 h 26 m	Show
I am backing the SF 49ers here on Sunday in NFL action. My reports say that Davis and Reid will play here. SF is very good off a loss and they played awful last week. A game in which they managed a mere 46 passing yards. New Orleans is off a huge primetime win where they blew up Dallas 49-17 and set an NFL record for most 1st downs in a game. I believe the 49ers win this game outright. They are coming off a loss and are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU loss. I think this is a terrible match up for the Saints and the 49ers should be able to run on the Saints who are 32nd in run defense in yards per carry allowed while they are 22nd in rushing offense. The 49ers will have success running the ball and that will mean Colin Kaepernick is having success too thru the air and with his legs!
11-17-13	Detroit Lions v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3	Top	27-37	Win	100	3 h 3 m	Show
This is a must win game for the Steelers to keep their hopes alive. They do come in with winning 2 straight at home vs. Buffalo and Baltimore. Detroit comes off a signature road win over the Bears last week and I don't think they can win back to back road games. Steelers Ike Taylor is quietly shutting down every elite WR that's thrown at him and we have all seen how this Lions offense struggles when they don't have Calvin Johnson having a huge game. I Meanwhile the Steelers win games when they can run the ball and the Lions are ranked 25th in run defense. They have been able to score into the 20's in each of their games against bad running defenses and I think that's enough to win. The Steelers are not as bad as their record shows as they are allowing just 250 total yards at home. Detroit is 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 November games. Lets play the PIttsburgh Steelers on Sunday. 10* Home Cooking Play
11-17-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Chicago Bears -3	Top	20-23	Push	0	3 h 2 m	Show
This Sunday the Bears will start back-up QB Josh McCown when hosting Baltimore. While starting QB Jay Cutler played last Sunday he looked sore and his injured arm didn't allow him to make the throws that were needed to win the game so the Bears lost 21-19 to Detroit. QB McCown looked solid when beating Green Bay two weeks ago 27-20 and throwing for 271 yards. Expect the Chicago offense to look better at home this Sunday against a Raven's team that's struggles away from home posting a 1-4 SU & ATS road record. I'm back the home squad with the better defense and specials teams at home. 5*
11-16-13	Houston +17 v. Louisville	Top	13-20	Win	100	6 h 11 m	Show
4*
11-16-13	Michigan v. Northwestern -2.5	Top	27-19	Loss	-116	6 h 28 m	Show
This afternoon I like Northwestern over Michigan, giving the points. NW is just 4-5 and need to win 2 of their final 3 games to become Bowl eligible. This is their most important game as NW is home and coming off their BYE week and playing with revenge from last years loss. Michigan has struggled with unsteady QB play behind Devin Gardner, who has thrown 14 TDs and 11 picks. And Gardner has really only had 2 really good games this year, odds are telling me he will struggle against a very good pass coverage with the Wildcats. They lack a solid offensive line, giving up 7 sacks vs. MSU, and have been struggling on 3rd downs in their last 2 games, coming in losers of 3 of the last 4 games. The Wolverines seem to be crashing back to reality after their red hot start on the season. Northwestern is a much better team than their subpar 4-5 record would suggest, they play the pass good, and can stop teams from getting key 1st downs on the field. I think Northwestern will put up some points and pull away in the second half for a double digit win. Michigan is also 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
11-16-13	Oklahoma State -3 v. Texas	Top	38-13	Win	100	6 h 26 m	Show
The Texas Longhorns have won six straight, but their game at West Virginia last week proved to be costly, as they lost two of their top players due to injury. - Texas had already lost starting quarterback David Ash, and linebacker Jordan Hicks prior to last week. Now losing star running back Jon Gray and DT Chris Whaley leaves even bigger holes in the lineup. While Brown is just as talented as Gray, one can't do it without the other. They both average around 18-19 carries per game and when one of them is out, it's going to be really tough for the other one to pick up that slack. The Longhorns are going to be forced to pass the ball more than they want, and that plays right into Oklahoma State's hands. The OSU run game will keep the Texas offense on the sidelines longer and I look for OKL ST to win this one going away big! The Cowboys have won their last two visits to Texas, both by double-digits. They have won their last two road games by a combined 49 points, and one of those was at #15 ranked Texas Tech. 10*
11-16-13	Kentucky +13 v. Vanderbilt	Top	6-22	Loss	-115	3 h 18 m	Show
4*
11-15-13	Washington +3 v. UCLA	Top	31-41	Loss	-110	12 h 51 m	Show
We have another good game on Friday night college football here with Washington U and UCLA. Stats wise, Washington is a very good team. The Huskies rank in the top 25 with their passing offense, rushing offense, and points scored per game. These guys are good and can compete with the best of them. A record of 6-3 is not too impressive, but lets not forget that two of their losses (Oregon and Stanford) are also the same two teams that took down UCLA. I look for Washington will win this game on the road pulling the upset behind their tough defense. Washington comes into this battle unranked with a record of 6-3 but their specialty is their defense and stopping the pass and UCLA is a pass happy team. 10* HOT SIDE
11-14-13	Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +3	Top	30-27	Push	0	23 h 0 m	Show
Indy comes into this game at 6-3 and leading the AFC South, while the Titans sit two games behind them in second place with a 4-5 record. Tennessee is coming off a bad loss, letting the Jacksonville Jaguars record their first win of the season as the Titans had a season high 4 turnovers. A win on Thursday puts Tennessee right back in the thick of things with a 5-5 record. The Colts are hurting on offense with the loss of Reggie Wayne. Defensively, the Colts aren't overpowering, and I think the Titans can take advantage. Tennessee has one of the leagues best passing defenses and they will not make things easy for Andrew Luck. Indy will need to balance the run attack with their pass in order to keep the Titan defense honest. I check with my offshore and Vegas contacts and 85% of action is on the Colts for this one which is very lopsided. The Colts were exposed this past Sunday and I am not so sure they are as good as we think they are. I like the Tennessee pass defense a lot in this game. Lets go with the home underdog on Thursday night with the TITANS pulling this one out 23-20.
11-11-13	Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3	Top	19-22	Win	100	11 h 39 m	Show
On Monday night against the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and the Miami Dolphins will try to move past a week full of headlines involving alleged internal harassment between players and a league investigation into the matter. On the ground, the Dolphins average 97.6 YPG, which gives them the 22nd-ranked ground attack in the league. At 0-8, the Bucs bright spot is their 18th-ranked rushing game, which is averaging 107.5 YPG. TB is led by quarterback Mike Glennon, running back Mike James, and wide receiver Vincent Jackson to lead the team. With the exception of Jackson, that triumvirate doesn
11-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +1.5	Top	17-20	Win	100	3 h 9 m	Show
I love Baltimore who is 19-4 after a loss. The Bengals are banged up on both sides of the ball and just beat up especially on defense. Baltimore is too good and the Bengals struggle at Baltimore and this is a MUST WIN for the Ravens as they are 3-5 as the season is on the line and this is when this team excels. I expect Baltimore to come out and give maximum effort. They have lost their last 3 games by a total of 9 points. This has been a subpar year so far, and a win here would go far to start to right the ship. Cincinnati comes off an OT loss against Miami and is traveling for the 2nd week in a row, although they played on Thursday and get the extra rest, but have arch rival Cleveland on deck. They have lost in their 3 previous trips to Baltimore and come into this game banged up and without their best D lineman Geno Atkins and best CB Leon Hall. If the Ravens can pressure Dalton, he will turn the ball over as witnessed last week when he threw 3 Picks. Balt is 1-4 on the road and a PERFECT 3-0 ATS at home. 10* HOMECOOKING WINNER!
11-09-13	Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +4.5	Top	21-28	Win	100	21 h 30 m	Show
The 24th-ranked Fighting Irish have won the past three meetings against the Panthers by a total of 12 points, and could be headed for another tight finish Saturday at Heinz Field against a desperate Pitt team.Pittsburgh has had a history of keeping things quite close against Notre Dame as the last 3 meets were very close, The last five meetings between the Irish and the Panthers have been decided by six points or fewer, perhaps none more dramatic than Notre Dame's 29-26 triple-overtime win last November when Pitt blew a 14 pt forth Q lead. PITT is led by QB Tom Savage who has 14 TD'a and 7 INT's. on the season. Pitts plays relatively decent pass coverage, only giving up 59% completion to opponents, behind defensive experts like K'Waun Williams and Anthony Gonzalez who can both cover the pass They will give Rees problems and I'll back Pitt here to get the win and propel them close to a bowl game with a Saturday night upset. 10*
11-09-13	BYU +8.5 v. Wisconsin	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	16 h 1 m	Show
BYU is a very good team and play well as underdogs. They are led by a hurry-up offense that has given opposing defenses fits with their pace. They have managed to open 6-2 with impressive wins over the likes of Texas (40-21), Utah State (31-14), Georgia Tech (38-20), Houston (47-46) and Boise State (37-20). Their two losses came by a combined 10 points early in the season, and they have reeled off 5 straight wins. BYU is putting up 32.4 points and 511.2 yards per game to rank 13th in the country in total offense. That 511-yard output becomes so much more impressive when you consider that the eight teams BYU have faced only allow an average of 398 yards per game defensively. They are outgaining that average by roughly 113 total yards. Its BYU's speed versus Wiskys Power with similiar styles here and I like the underdog. 5*
11-09-13	Kansas State +3 v. Texas Tech	Top	49-26	Win	100	13 h 32 m	Show
Kansas St is building a lot of momentum at the right time in covering their last 4 games in a row and playing great ball. And you better believe that at 4-4 this team is on a mission to become bowl eligible. With only 4 games left they are not going to leave anything on the table. On the other side TTech is reeling from getting pushed around and run over in the running game for the last two weeks. After their easy early season schedule over a bunch of cupcakes that made them bowl eligible and lifted Kliff Kingsbury to stardom as the new cool coach on the block, they are now getting hit in the face by the big boys. And now they have the best running team of all coming to town for a morning game. I love taking teams as dogs who have had back to back easy cover wins like KSU has. The Cats are playing well on both sides of the ball. And their defense has only given up an average of 10 ppg the last 2 games, and gave Baylor and OSU all they could handle in their two previous games. Lets back the old veteran coach Snyder coming to town. Good luck outcoaching that old buck. Lets back KANSAS ST here plus the points.. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
11-07-13	Oklahoma v. Baylor -16	Top	12-41	Win	100	3 h 26 m	Show
BAYLOR is very good! Pretty much this team has a very slim shot at a BCS Title game, but if they want to keep that slim hope alive they will need to win this game big and impress the voters and BCS. Oklahoma is not as good as in the past as did allow 30 points to Texas tech and 36 to Texas, so they can struggle vs good offenses. The Baylor Bears are good on defense and offense where they averaged 768.6 ypg and 70.6 ppg this year. The Oklahoma Offense has been inconsistent this year as they have averaged 31 ppg overall, but have also scored 20 points or less in 3 of their games and this Baylor defense is no slouch, especially at home where they have allowed just 292 ypg and 14.4 ppg on the year. Baylor has a ton to play for and are seeking revenge for last years loss. Waco will be rocking like never before on Thursday night, and the key will be whether the Bears can handle the atmosphere in a positive way, or if they come out too emotional and make mistakes. I expect Baylor to score over 50 pts here tonight and win by 20+ as our 10* Thursday Night College GAME OF THE YEAR!
11-03-13	Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans +3	Top	27-24	Push	0	11 h 9 m	Show
4*
11-03-13	Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +4	Top	23-13	Loss	-105	4 h 39 m	Show
Buffalo comes into the game as a home underdog and a team who runs the ball really well (ranked 7th in the NFL). The Bills have played a pretty tough schedule. They have already faced New England, Baltimore, New Orleans, and Carolina. The Bills have been battle tested so far. Buffalo has a very good defense and I like them at home to knock off the undefeated Chiefs. The cold hard facts are that the Chiefs have an average defense. They have allowed 5.4 yards per play to a schedule of teams that average 5.4 yards a play. They are allowing 4.7 yards per rushing attempt to teams that average 4.0. It really has been a lot of luck, and some smoke and mirrors and an easy schedule for them so far this season. So now it begins, as mandated by the 1972 Miami Dolphins. The official
11-03-13	New Orleans Saints v. NY Jets +7	Top	20-26	Win	100	4 h 38 m	Show
I looked at some numbers from my offshore contacts and the public is absolutely pounding the Saints in this game at an 80% clip. One site that I check my stats stated that 90% of the action was on New Orleans Saints. This is a home game for the Jets who are very tough on defense and coming off their worst game of the season. The temp is also going to be cold in the mid 40's on Sunday. I have a feeling the Saints are about to find themselves in a dog fight against the Jets. I see a 27-23 type game here. I am going to take the Jets plus the points. Take the NEW YORK JETS +6 as a FIVE STAR BEST BET.
11-02-13	Tennessee +11 v. Missouri	Top	3-31	Loss	-110	9 h 52 m	Show
Tenn is a very under-rated team. Dont be fooled by their 4-4 record as they are tough and just had some turnover issues in a few games. The Volunteers have done something that Missouri has not and that is beat South Carolina at home. I do not see Tennessee being this bad on the road and it is an over reaction by the linesmakers because they know people will still bet on Missouri in this spot. Tennessee can take away Missouris defensive strength which is its pass rush. Tenn has the best offensive line in the country by manys opinion and they come into this game only allowing 8 sacks on the year and making room for a running game by 5 yards per carry led by RB Rajon Neal. I think Mizzu got beat up pretty good last week with SC and this should be a tight game throughout on Saturday evening. 10* Underdog Shocker
11-02-13	Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -10.5	Top	10-21	Win	100	9 h 49 m	Show
Pittsburgh has not really played anyone this season, playing what I would describe as a soft schedule. Georgia Tech is a good team, and one dimensional, although their style works, and they are very athletic this season. Going up against this option offense is going to be very hard for Pittsburgh D to handle. The Yellow Jackets average 315 ypg 4th in the country. Im betting they run wild at home here on Saturday. The Pitt Panthers have also failed to cover 9 straight ACC road games. Look for GT to win by 15 or more. 5*
11-02-13	Michigan v. Michigan State -4	Top	6-29	Win	100	5 h 20 m	Show
MSU will have revenge on their mind this afternoon as its four-game winning streak in the series was snapped with a 12-10 loss in Ann Arbor last season. The Spartans are also looking to beat the Wolverines for the third consecutive time at Spartan Stadium for the first time in school history. I got the Spartans here as their defense is legit ranked top 5 in every major statistical category. Michigan State leads the FBS in total defense, surrendering an average of 215.5 yards. Michigan's offense is one dimensional and will rely on the run where Michigan should dominate. Michigan at some point will have to try to force the pass and that's where the Spartan defense has been a rock. Michigan turns the ball over too much with 3+ turnovers in 4 of 7 games this year. Devon Gardner's 108 QB rating on the road is not impressive compared to Michigan State's QB who is gaining confidence and has taken care of the football 12 TD to only 2 interceptions. The difference in this game is going to be the defense. Michigan State can force turnovers and have a short field Michigan can not. Michigan State had issues moving the ball early on due to WR drops and inconsistent play at RB and now it seems like they have corrected that issue and have found consistency with Langford. Michigan TE A.J. Williams (violation of team rules) will serve a one-game suspension and not play and I think Michigan State wins this one by double digits. 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK
11-02-13	Virginia Tech v. Boston College +4.5	Top	27-34	Win	100	2 h 50 m	Show
V-Tech has played exactly two road games, barely beating ECU and beating G-Tech by 7, only managing to score 17 points. This game should be low scoring, BC is a tough place to play (small stadium, terrible facilities) and the Hokies have Miami next week and probably looking ahead to that big game. The BC Eagles have played FSU, Clemson, and SoCal in California, they should be pumped for this game and already battle tested this season. BC only had 57 passing yards last week and they had some intense practices this week. They still need three more wins to get to six, and it starts here. BC is tough at home behind their defense holding opponents to 20 ppg and the Virginia Tech offense is awful. Duke just beat VTech and played awful in that game as they were 0-11 on their 3rd down conversions. 5*
11-01-13	USC v. Oregon State -3	Top	31-14	Loss	-120	8 h 30 m	Show
USC has failed to cover 10 straight on the road while OREGON ST has covered 5 in a row at home versus USC. I will look to the Beavers in this one as they couldnt convert in the redzone last week and their passing attack should dominate in this game. They lost a big shot at showing that they are for real last week with their home game vs Stanford, but the Cardinal won in the end. I expect the Beavers to bounce back here at home over USC. Their offense is too good to be held down two weeks in a row and the Trojans have shown that they can be scored on, as they allowed 61 points to ASU, and 31 points to Arizona earlier in the year. They did hold the Irish to just 14 points, but ND was using backup Hendrick for most of that one. On offense, the Trojans have been hit hard by injuries and will be missing Lee for this one. They just will not be able to put up enough points to keep this one close. OSU should win by at least 10 here on Friday night. 5*
10-31-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins +3	Top	20-22	Win	110	5 h 54 m	Show
Miami started 3-0 and gave them a great shot at making a Playoff run, but now the losses just keep coming. What makes it worse is that the Fins really should have won three of the games that they lost (Ravens, Bills and Patriots). Don't be spooked by the results on Halloween night! Playing on the road on 3 days rest and going from 50 degree weather to 85 degree weather is brutal! Miami should be able to run the ball which will open up the passing game and the Miami defense is under-rated. Take the FISH to win an ugly game. 5*
10-31-13	Louisiana Monroe +3.5 v. Troy	Top	49-37	Win	100	4 h 59 m	Show
ULM is well known for its shocking wins, hence the Arkansas game last season and the Wake Forest this season, shows they are capable of winning against the bigger schools. UL Monroe can put up points with Browning at QB. The Troy defense is not good at stopping the rush or the pass. I beleive it will be close throughout, but I see a ULM victory tonight on the road and I'll gladly take the 3.5 points. 5*
10-30-13	Cincinnati v. Memphis +3	Top	34-21	Loss	-120	4 h 27 m	Show
The Tigers look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is coming off a 41-16 win over Connecticut their last time out and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. I have a feeling about the improved Tigers, especially home. They played well against UCF and Houston while Cincy has played a weak schedule thus far. Cincy is 1-4 ATS following a bye week, and Memphis going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at home. Look for the Memphis Tigers to outscore the Bearcats and be fired up tonight for this ESPN mid-week TV home appearance. 5*
10-28-13	Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams +14	Top	14-9	Win	100	7 h 35 m	Show
This has been a solid spot for the Rams. They were inexplicably undisciplined and sloppy last week against the Panthers and should be more focused tonight on MNF. Coach Fisher is an excellent head coach and should have them ready tonight. St Louis is 7-0 ATS as a dog vs a divisional opponent that has a better record. STL at home as a divisional underdog is in a good spot as they beat them here on this field last season. In addition, the Rams are 6-0 ATS when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30 over the years. 5*
10-27-13	NY Jets v. Cincinnati Bengals -4.5	Top	9-49	Win	100	5 h 7 m	Show
The Bengals have surfaced as a very good NFL team, play every opponent true-grit tough and just keep finding ways to win. They go for their 4th consecutive win and have the edges they need to get it done. It is of note Cincinnati is unbeaten at home and has beaten three quality opponents there - the Pittsburgh Steelers, Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots. Cincy is also coming off their worst defensive game of the year last Sunday so I expect a much better effort this week. The Jets have alternated wins and losses in every game so far this season. New York's four wins have come by 1, 7, 2, and 3 points while two of their three losses have come by 13 points or more. The Jets are ok but will have a difficult time overcoming the Bengals ball-control offense. Bengals by 13. 5* play
10-27-13	Miami Dolphins +7 v. New England Patriots	Top	17-27	Loss	-125	2 h 3 m	Show
I believe Miami is the better team and has few injuries here. There is something amiss in New England and that's not to say things are so good in Miami right now as they are coming off an ugly loss to Buffalo last week. The Dolphins were shut out it in the last game at New England and we should expect the team to remember that loss and will be out to at least to get some points up in Foxboro. The Patriots injuries on defense are starting to show as the team allowed a bad Jets offense to gain almost four yards of total offense. The Dolphins defense is better and I like them in the underdog spot on Sunday. 10* NFL Game of the Week
10-26-13	Texas +3 v. TCU	Top	30-7	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
Texas is getting better each week and now off a BYE week. TCU will have their hands full yet again with a Texas team that's gaining confidence and have their eyes on a Big 12 title which they are certainly in the mix for. TCU gets Casey Pachall back after he broke his arm to start the season, but it's unknown how much he'll play but even if he does I don't see him being effective. This is the worst offense that Texas has faced all year as TCU is ranked 110th in total yards, they have a zero dimensional offense averaging less than 4 yards per carry, with a 112 QB rating, 29% third down conversions and 56% TD % in the red zone. Texas has a ton of talent and with an extra week to prepare against an offense going nowhere, I believe they should dominate. Offensively Texas also has revenge on their minds after losing 20-13 on Thanksgiving last year and would love to get the win to move to 4-0 in the Big 12 and a win over state rival TCU means a lot here. Texas is +6 in turnover margin and McCoy is taking care of the ball as Texas has just 7 turnovers on the year overall. Lets play TEXAS as a small dog on Saturday evening. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK
10-26-13	South Carolina +3 v. Missouri	Top	27-24	Win	100	8 h 27 m	Show
The South Carolina Gamecocks were stunned in a 23-21 upset on the road in Tennessee last week. Despite being a favorite in the SEC East at the beginning of the season, the loss crippled the Gamecocks chances of capturing the division crown. Now the road to the SEC Championship goes through Columbia, Missouri and not Columbia, South Carolina. That's right the Missouri Tigers are the lone unbeaten team in the SEC East. Thanks to last week's impressive 36-17 victory over no. 22 Florida, Missouri now holds a 2 game advantage over all SEC East competitors. The SC Gamecocks have their backs against the wall and rest assured they understand the importance of this game. A South Carolina win would open the door once again to the SEC Championship and coach Spurrier claims the Gamecocks have yet to play their best football. Even with starting quarterback Connor Shaw out this week, backup Dylan Thompson has plenty of experience behind center. Thompson led the Gamecocks over a big win against Clemson last year starting for an injured Shaw and also stepped in to lead the Gamecocks to a come from behind win against UCF earlier this year. Running back Mike Davis is one of the best tailbacks in the SEC and he has had a huge year rushing for 879 yards with 10 touchdowns. Therefore it will be interesting to see if Davis can remain effective and if Missouri's defense has an answer for a Carolina run game averaging 224 yards (19th in FBS) per game. I expect the Gamecocks offense to actually benefit from Thompson behind center as they will spread the ball around in the passing game as SC has a ton of weapons at the WR position. Mizzu is off a HUGE emotional win on a national stage last week and I expect a letdown this week. Look for SC to bounce back here and upset Mizzu. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake PLay
10-26-13	West Virginia v. Kansas State -11.5	Top	12-35	Win	100	5 h 11 m	Show
4*
10-26-13	Northwestern +4 v. Iowa	Top	10-17	Loss	-110	1 h 25 m	Show
Northwestern would have been favorites in this game a few weeks ago, but after the emotional loss against Ohio State, a game they could have easily had they had to go face Wisconsin who in my opinion is better than Ohio State. Last week was a clunker against Minnesota without their star offensive player Kain Colter who will return this week to make a huge impact against Iowa a team he's own in the past. Pat Fitzgerald is a good coach and this is a desperate Northwestern team that is better than it looked the last two weeks. I think we get tremendous value here and Iowa never runs any team out of the building. Iowa has struggled to stop the run against good running teams and Northwestern still fits that bill. Northwestern should have success running on the edge where Iowa has issues containing. Iowa will be without their defensive leader in DE 5th year senior Dominic Alvis. Lets take NW plus the points in this early kickoff. 5*
10-24-13	Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7	Top	31-13	Loss	-105	7 h 46 m	Show
Tampa comes into this game as home underdogs and winless on the season. We had them on Sunday and they actually outplayed and outgained the Falcons yardage wise but couldn't convert in the redzone. Now they are at home and hungry on the short week. The public impression appears to be that Carolina comes into this game and gets an easy win. They are favored by almost a TD, and already, 70% of the betting action is on their side. Their QB, Glennon, is not as bad as some may think and he doesn't turn the ball over. The Panthers have gone 4-7 SU and ATS when coming off of two straight wins. Tampa must travel to Seattle next week and that looks to be an automatic Loss so I think they have a great chance to win this one at home as this is a rare National TV appearance for TAMPA. Lets play the home underdog on Thursday night. 5*

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