St. John’s Red Storm.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 831.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends, there is no way Connecticut should be laying these many points. As a matter fact, I have them winning, but only by seven or eight-points. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. And by the way, that has been St. Johns. They have covered four in a row and six of the last seven meetings with their conference rival. They enter this matchup covering their last two outings, while the Huskies have failed to cover five of their last six contests. Yes, both teams can score. And yes, UConn’s defense certainly has better numbers. But the SJU offense can put up just shy of 79-points per game, and they rank 10th in the nation on the offensive boards. This means they’re going to get a ton of second-chance shots. Listen, the Red Storm starting-five all either average or are flirting with double-digits. Way too many points to give a team that could put up a ton of points. Take St. Johns. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

WC ANGLE PLAY.

Game 144.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Jacksonville comes into this Wildcard contest winning five in a row and six of the last seven straight up, covering five of those seven games. Yes, I know recently they haven’t faced some of the NFL’s premier quarterbacks. And they are certainly going to face a very talented QB here today. But the defense has stepped up, holding their last three opponents to a total of 22 points scored. I know the Jaguars possess one of the poorer pass defenses in the league. But their offense has played so well, it is keeping opponents defenses on the field and more importantly, their offenses off it. They are certainly more well-balanced offensively. And Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played versus AFC opponents. I definitely like the home ‘dog here in the Wildcard round. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Touchdown Play.

Game 142.

1:35 PM PST/4:35 PM EST.

One month ago, San Francisco took down Seattle on the road to give them a sweep of the Seahawks in this regular season 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. The 49ers enter today’s matchup possessing the top-scoring offensive unit in the league since Week 14. I just don’t see Seattle and they are lackluster “O“, keeping pace here offensively. Especially because they have the tougher task of facing the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the NFL. By the way, the 49ers have also snagged 28 takeaways, while the Seahawks have committed 23 turnovers. This heavily favors the 49ers folks. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at home, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the postseason, 8-0 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC West, and 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bearcats.

AAC Game of the Week.

Game 711.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

My friends, Cincinnati is 3-2 in conference play on the road to an overall record of 12-6. SMU, on the other hand, has struggled everywhere so far this season, going just 1-3 against AAC opponents and own an overall dismal mark of 6-11. The Bearcats have had their way in this series, winning eight of the last nine straight up and covering the last six in a row. They enter this matchup playing pretty darn good basketball. Not only have they won nine of their last 12 outings straight up, they are riding a 10-2 ATS hot streak. Meanwhile, the Mustangs last either won or covered on January 1, riding a three-game slide, both straight up and against the number. Not only that, but they’ve taken some beatings, losing by 34 to Houston, 32 to Central Florida, and by 9 to Tulane. I don’t see them keeping pace on the scoreboard here with an offense that averages just 69.0-points per game. Defensively, they are at a big disadvantage as well. The Cincy offense is putting up over 78.1-points per game and just hitting 36.6% from beyond the arc. They are also pretty darn good on the offensive glass as well. So, they get a lot of second chance shots. Guys, the Bearcats entire starting-five average double-digits. Like I said, a big mismatch here tonight. The Mustangs are 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played at home, 4-11 ATS last 15 games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, 9-23 ATS the last 32 games played following and ATS loss, and 7-17 ATS the last 24 games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Utah Utes.

PAC-12 Game of the Week.

Game 849.

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

The conference’s top-two teams face one another this evening as UCLA is 5-0 and Utah is 5-1 in Pac-12 play. Granted, the Bruins rank seventh in the nation and are riding an 11-game straight up win streak. However, this team is starting to look a little tired folks. And they’re certainly getting overvalued by the odds makers. They have covered just one of their last three outings. And they come off a very tough, physical, barn-burning to two-point win as an 11-point favorite over the rival, Trojans. UCLA blew an 18-point halftime lead and needed a three-pointer with 14.8 seconds left to escape with the win the other night. They shot just 22.7% from the field in the second half. Guys, this team is tired. Utah, on the other hand is going to be in bounce back mode here this evening. Following a three-game win and cover streak against Cal, Stanford, and Oregon State, they took a 10-point loss at home against Oregon five days ago. That was the Utes first conference loss. I looked for them to bounce back big time here. This is a team very healthy and on both sides of the court matchup very well here. Particularly on the boards, where they rank eighth on the offensive glass. Defensively, they will dominate there as well as UCLA is just atrocious on the offensive glass. Both teams possess four double-digit scores. However, without question, Utah has the bigger, stronger rebounders. Look for 7’0” 235 lbs. center, Branden Carlson (15.7 PPG/7.4 RPG) to go uncontested in the paint. The Utes are 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home. Take Utah. Thank you.

Colorado Buffaloes.

TV Game Winner.

Game 827.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

My friends, USC is taking their home court for the first time since December 18. I can tell you that their long away trip has taken its toll on this team. They have lost their last two outings straight up on the road at Washington State and at UCLA. Coming off the Bruins lost, I doubt they’re going to be able to bounce back here mentally as they were down by 18 at the half and cut the lead to just two points in the final minute before UCLA won 60-58. This is a team both mentally and physically fatigued. On the other hand, Colorado enters this matchup red-hot, winning seven of the last eight straight up and three of the last four against the spread. They’re playing very good basketball. You know they’ve had their way in this conference rivalry, taking seven of the last eight meetings with USC straight up and covering six of those eight meetings. This is a relatively healthy team that matches up well with the Trojans on both sides of the court. They have a big strong front court and a very talented back court as well. Both teams have a couple of double-digit scores and solid rebounders. However, there is no question, the Buffaloes are a little bit deeper. The road team has covered five of the last six meetings. The Trojans are just 7-19 ATS the last 26 teams played at home. Take Colorado. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs. 

SEC Game of the Week.

Game 666.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST

Well, I can honestly say that I feel the Georgia team, the coaching staff, and the entire crowd at the Stegeman Coliseum enter the tonight’s matchup with an excitement that will be unrivaled, coming off of Monday’s Georgia football team win for the National Title. Granted, Mississippi State did beat Marquette and Utah in the third week of November, failing to cover both games. But this teams record and stats have been padded by a lot of, let’s just say, less than mediocre opponents. Since the schedule started getting a little tougher, well let’s face it, they’ve lost three of their last four straight up. Not only that but they have point spread poison, only covering twice since mid-November. If you’re keeping score, that’s a 2-10 ATS slide. On the other hand, Georgia is a heck of a team. They’ve covered seven of the last nine. And following a four-game straight up win streak, although they covered on the road at Florida in their last outing, they did lose. I look for the team to bounce back big time. Yes, I know the Mississippi State owns a decent defense. But folks, this is the team that allowed the Crimson Tide and the Volunteers to put up a combined 165 points against them just recently. Trust me when I tell you the statistics are padded. The Georgia “D” is pretty darn good themselves, only allowing 65.2-points per game. This does not bode well as the Mississippi State offense leaves a lot to be desired. As a matter of fact, they rank worse than 300th in scoring, three-point percentage, and overall field goal percentage. The “O” is just atrocious. I don’t see them keeping pace with Georgia at all. There’s a lot more talent on the Georgia side than their counterparts here. Plus, they’re a lot deeper as well folks. Both upfront and in the backcourt, they are far superior. Mississippi State is just 2-6 ATS the last eight on the road, while Georgia is 5-2 ATS the last seven at home. Oh, by the way the home team has covered four of the last five meetings in this rivalry. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Nevada Wolfpack.

MWC GOW.

Game 659.

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

What a matchup! Nevada and San Diego State are the final two remaining unbeaten teams in the Mountain West Conference. Very quietly, the Aztecs are in their 94th week appearing in the rankings since the start the 2010/2011 season, more than any other program in the state of California during that span. They are a very good team my friends. However, they are being significantly overvalued by the oddsmakers. This is a team that is covered just twice since the last week of November, going on a 2-8 ATS slide. To make matters worse, they are laying just about double-digits here. As a favorite of 8.5-points or more, they are 0-8 ATS this season. Well, the Wolfpack enter this matchup covering five straight games. And to be honest with you, this is a team that is surprising most as they were picked to finished towards the bottom of the barrel in the MWC and have already taken down two of the preseasons top-four league teams. They possess a defense that will frustrate the San Diego State offense and force them into making quite a few mistakes, folks. Offensively, they are every bit as strong as their opponent tonight with a starting-five consisting of three double-digit scorers and a couple of monsters on the boards. This game will tend to get a bit physical, which will also benefit the Wolfpack as they hit just shy of 80% (79.4%) from the line. A far cry better than the 72.9% the Aztecs hit from the free-throw line. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings, while the underdog has covered five straight in this rivalry. San Diego State is just 1-5 ATS the last six at home while Nevada is 10-4 ATS the last 14 on the road. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

TCU Horned Frogs.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 287.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

What many sports bettors fall victim to this time of year is overthinking the National Championship Game. Obviously, with nine days between the College Football Playoff and the Title Game, you’re going to read countless articles, columns, trends, streaks, etc. My friends, don’t overthink this matchup. There is no questioning the Georgia Bulldogs have earned the No. 1 spot in the nation and deserve of all their praise and accolades. However, making this team nearly a two-touchdown favorite is a mistake. The odds makers are hoping that you buy into all the media and the hype the last few weeks. Yes, the Bulldogs are 14-0 this season. Yes, the Horned Frogs lost one game, sporting a 13-1 straight up record. I will not argue I feel Georgia is a little stronger in the trenches in this matchup. However, they are also overvalued quite a bit by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four outings. Their defense, which overall has been very impressive the season, has gotten plowed for 71 combined points over the last two games. And I feel they have significantly more pressure on them to win here on Monday. Not only that guys, but I think we can all agree that perhaps Buckeyes head coach, Ryan Day made a couple of bad in-game decisions last week. Granted, TCU did lose the Conference Championship in overtime to Kansas State a month ago. But it also showed this team and their coaching staff what they need to work on. I also don’t want you to solely judge the Horned Frogs by their decisive win over the Wolverines last week. Yes, Michigan is certainly one of the most complete teams in College Football this year. And TCU handled them pretty well. But looking at this team overall, this season they have knocked off five ranked teams, including three as an underdog. Many were worried that their biggest ball-carrier, Kendre Miller was sidelined. But I think we can all agree, Emari Demercado can fill in on the rushing game without missing a beat. On this platform, mistakes and turnovers usually play a key part in the outcome of the game. And once again, TCU is significantly better on both sides of the ball as they do not commit nearly as many turnovers as Georgia, and while they do snag more takeaways than the Bulldogs. One more item folks…they are money. They are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games played and 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 overall games played. Oh, by the way Georgia has failed to cover each of their last four nonconference games folks. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very talented and scrappy bunch like the Horned Frogs led by a quarterback, who perhaps possesses more heart and grit than any other QB in the nation. Take TCU. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Late Bailout Play.

Game 460.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

NFL Angle Play.

Game 469.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST

A lot of people are playing the Denver Broncos here because they think they’re looking to play spoiler I guess the Los Angeles Chargers. Denver is out of the postseason. They have absolutely no shot as they are just 4-12 this year. However, at 10-6, Los Angeles is looking to secure the number five AFC spot with a victory here. This is a team that is certainly riding momentum, winning and covering for in a row. Granted, they are not too much of a threat on the ground. But they enter this match up with the fifth ranked passing attack in the NFL. I know the Broncos overall are good defensively. However, this is a stop-unit that has started to spring a leak over the last few months. Let’s face it, they allowed Las Vegas to put up 22, Carolina to put up 23, Kansas City to put up 34, Los Angeles to put up 51, and Kansas City once again to put up 27. Their defense has sprung a leak. It is tired and overworked. It is very vulnerable in the air. On the flipside, we all know the Broncos possess the worst scoring offense in the NFL, averaging is 16-points per game. Making Los Angeles an underdog is a mistake as the ‘dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Oh, by the way, LA is also 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on grass, at 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of January. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

Game 473.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

A victory here and a little bit of help, and Dallas will be home for the first round of the playoffs. There is even a slight chance that they would wind up with the NFC East’s top-seed. What a better opponent to face then a division rival in which they’ve had their way with. The Cowboys have won and covered three consecutive meetings with the Commanders, including this year‘s only matchup, an early-October, 25-10 annihilation on the road. Washington enters this matchup having not won a single game since the end of November. They have failed to cover four straight as well. Let’s face it, offensively they just can’t compete with the explosive Dallas “O“. I mean the Commanders average just 18.4-points per game. A lot has been said over the course of the regular season about how good their “D“ is. However, this is a unit that has allowed their last four opponents to put up over 101-points on them. And a couple of those opponents are not known to have explosive offensive units. The Cowboys have covered six of the last eight meetings in this series on the road and sixth of the last eight overall meetings. By the way, they are also 23-9 ATS the last 32 versus the NFC East. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Pittsburgh Steelers.

No Limit.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

A lot has to happen, but Pittsburgh still has a slim chance of making the playoffs. Having said that, we all know Cleveland is out. The Steelers play at home in front of their loyal fans and can give them something to be excited about here with a big win. This is a team that has rattled off five wins over the last six outings, both straight up and against the spread. Not only that, but we all know Mike Tomlin and company enjoy payback. If you recall, the first meeting back at the end of September in Cleveland, the Browns embarrassed the Steelers 29-17. Even if Cleveland does look to play spoiler here, I don’t expect them to put their only true weapons, the rushing attack in jeopardy for far too long. Please remember, the Steelers do possess the seventh ranked run defense in the NFL. On the flipside, I just look for Kenny Pickett to continue to work his magic. The home team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record and 17-7 -3 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of January. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC South Game of the Month.

Game 458.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Jacksonville took the December 11 meeting with Tennessee on the road, 36-22. That win and cover started their current four-game win and cover hot streak. On the other hand, the Titans are going in a very different direction. Since the end of November, they have lost and failed to cover six consecutive outings. Their offense has been non-effective and non-existent, accounting for a mere, 14.8-points per game during their slide. Being that they can’t move the chains offensively, their defense is overworked, tired, and getting plowed. This does not bode well as they are facing a Jags “O“ that comes off scoring performances of 36, 40, 19, and 31-points. I just don’t see the Titans 32nd ranked pass defense slowing down, let alone stopping Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars 10th ranked passing attack. Derrick Henry is expected to play. But for how long we can only speculate. As of this post, even if he plays the entire game, he still must lineup against one of the toughest and stingiest run defenses in the NFL. To make matters worse, Tennessee has coughed-up the ball 21 times, while Jacksonville has snagged 24 takeaways. The Jaguars are 5-0-1 ATS the last six versus AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight on Saturday, and 5-1 ATS the last six in January. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers on the moneyline.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 502.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Covering five in a row and nine of the last 11, the Pacers have been money in the bank to us sports bettors. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to Wednesday’s trip to Philadelphia in which they lost a heartbreaker in overtime, 129-126. Now they return home to the Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where are they own a 13-7 straight up record, covering four straight en route to an overall 9-2 ATS run to face off against a Trailblazers team that is struggling. Portland has hit a wall, dropping five of the last seven outings both straight up and against the spread. The teams best contributors, Lillard and Simmons possess their top-scoring numbers, the back court tandem has overall struggled recently combining for just 41% from the floor since mid-December. Indiana is a little healthier and certainly comes in here more reliable against the number. Portland is just 0-5 ATS, both playing on one days rest and the last five games on the road, Indiana is a perfect 5-0 ATS both the last five games played on one days rest and the last five games played overall. Take the Pacers. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

High Roller Play.

Game 841.

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

The Cougars, which are perfect 2-0 in conference play enter this match with the Lions, extremely confident. You see, BYU has taken eight in a row and nine of the last 10 straight up in this series, covering eight of those last 10 as well. Coming into tonight‘s matchup, this team is red-hot, riding a seven-game straight up win streak in which they are 5-1 ATS in lined games. Loyola Marymount, following a three- game win streak both straight up and against the spread, finished December off with an ugly 78-72 loss and no cover on the road at Pacific. They are in for a long evening here as they just don’t have the muscle to contend in the paint with the Cougars front court. Take BYU. Thank you.

Purdue Boilermakers.

Big Ten GOW.

Game 759.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Purdue began this week as a number one team in the nation. On Monday they took their first loss, a heartbreaking one-point defeat at the hands of Rutgers, giving the Boilermakers their first “L” of the season. I looked for them to bounce back here in a Big Ten matchup against a team they know very well. They have taken five of the last seven meetings straight up in this series and making them an underdog here tonight is a mistake. Ohio State is riding a three-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread. However, opponents like Maine, Alabama A&M, and Northwestern have not prepared the Buckeyes for the step up in class here this evening. Yes, I know the Boilermakers haven’t covered since the end of November. But this is going to be a very physical contest and I don’t see anyone on the OSU roster that can contend with Center, Zach Edey. While the road team is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this rivalry, the Buckeyes are just 3-9 ATS the last 12 games played following a straight up win. Take Purdue. Thank you.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

ACC Game of the Week.

Game 721.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Guys, the number is way off in this matchup. The odds makers know that we are all going to look at Wake Forest’s away record and compare it to North Carolina’s home record. Currently, the Demon Deacons are just 1-2 as a visitor this season, while the Tar Heels are 6-0 at the Dean E. Smith Center. Let’s go over history first my friends. These two teams met four times over the last two seasons, with each team winning two of the match ups. However, Wake Forest covered three of those four and going back a bit, six of the last eight against North Carolina. They enter this matchup winning and covering their last two games over Duke and Virginia Tech. Mind you they were underdogs in both. The Tar Heels, following a four-game straight up win streak in which they went 3-1 ATS, lost a few nights ago on the road at the Panthers, 76-74. This is a team struggling right now folks. They are just 9-5 on the campaign. And once again this season are being overvalued by the odds makers, covering just four of their 14 outings. Both teams currently possess four double-digit scores and a handful of solid rebounders. Both teams are deep up front and have talented backcourts. As I said earlier, these two teams match up quite well. And I just don’t see how the odds makers can make the Demon Deacons a double-digit ‘dog. Take a Wake Forest. Thank you.

Miami Florida.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 675.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The 12th ranked Miami Hurricanes have won nine consecutive contests. Not only are they winning, they are getting us paid, covering six of their last eight.  Such teams as Providence, Central Florida, Rutgers, NC State, Virginia, and Notre Dame have all fallen victim to Miami-Fl. If you’re worrying about them being a visitor here tonight, don’t be. The Hurricanes have won eight straight regular season away games and seven straight conference road games going back to last season. They have dominated the Yellow Jackets, winning and covering both meetings a season ago by an average of 10-points per game. Georgia Tech enters this matchup dropping three of their last four straight up and four of their last five against the spread. On both sides of the court, they are outclassed here. I just don’t see their lackluster offense, which averages a mere 71.2-points per game keeping pace with the explosive Miami “O“. The favorite has covered five of the last six meetings in this rivalry, while the road team has covered nine of the last 13 matchups. Once again, the Hurricanes are money on the road, covering 23 of their last 29 as a visitor. Take Miami. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

Shocker Play.

Game 683.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, as of this morning most of the wagers are coming in on Michigan. Now while they’ve taken down Penn State the last two meetings straight up, the Nittany Lions have covered the last four matchups with the Wolverines. And before the last two, won the previous to straight up. Penn State is starting to be recognized as a contender in the Big Ten. They enter today’s game winning five in a row straight up, covering three of those five. They match up very well with today’s opponent. Speaking of Michigan, they are just 8-5 on the campaign. And it seems that each time they try to step up in class, they get romped. They took an early season beating at the hands of Arizona State, got crushed by Virginia, lost to Kentucky, and then lost to North Carolina. What they should really be concerned with is the fact that less than a week ago, as a 21.5-point favorite, they lost 63-61 to Central Michigan. Now they did bounce back and destroy Maryland three days ago, but to be honest with you I just don’t see them matching up with Penn State tonight. Both up front and in the back court, the Nittany Lions are chock-full of talent. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this rivalry. Penn State is 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road and 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played following an ATS win. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played at home and 6-20 ATS the last 26 games played following an ATS win. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.

LSU Tigers.

ESPN TV Winner.

Game 625.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

 My friends, I just can’t figure it. The Tigers possess a 12-1 record, are 1-0 in conference play, have rattled off seven consecutive straight up victories, and come off a 60-57 win over the ninth ranked Razorbacks, and yet they enter this matchup as of this analysis, nearly a double-digit underdog. No, it’s true, they do not have an explosive offense. But they down a defense holding opponents to just 63.4-points per game. I mean this is a team that each time they stepped up this season, has come through. They’ve already taken down Akron, covered against Kansas State, beat Wake Forest, and just come off that big win over Arkansas. While Kentucky is always a very competitive team, they’re just 9-4 straight up and a dismal, 4-8-1 against the spread on the season. To be quite honest, they haven’t covered a game since November 23, riding a seven-game ATS slide. Outside of a win at the beginning of December over Michigan, they have not played well against any formidable adversaries. Last season these two conference rivals split out straight up victories. However, the Tigers covered both as they were each decided by just five-points. Both teams have monster big men in KJ Williams and Oscar Tshiebwe. The better supporting cast and the deeper squad belongs to the visitor here. The road team has covered five of the last seven meetings. The Tigers have covered five of their last six on the road. Meanwhile, the Wildcats have failed to cover the last six at home. Take LSU. Thank you.

Marquette Golden Eagles on the moneyline.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 601.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

 Sports fans, they may have identical 11-4 records, but in conference play, Marquette is 3-1, while St. John’s is just 1-3. The Golden Eagles have already notched victories over such a notables as the Yellow Jackets, the Bears, the Fighting Irish, the Blue Jays, the Pirates, and the Wildcats. As a matter of fact, this team comes in here red-hot, winning five of the last six straight up and four of the last five against the spread. Take special note of the last two outings, both wins and covers over Seton Hall and Villanova. They are hitting just under 50% (49.6%) from the field and averaging over 81.5-points per game. On the other hand, the Red Storm is skidding, dropping three in a row, both straight up and against the spread. During their current slide, SJU has lost by an average of 14.0-points per game. In consecutive outings they have allowed 79, 78, 84, and 88 points to be scored upon them. Things just don’t look good here today as they face one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. They’re also in trouble on the boards, big time, as Marquette has three big men up front that will dominate in the paint. St. John’s just doesn’t have the physicality to contend in this match up. They are also 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Golden Eagles. Thank you.

USC Trojans on the moneyline.

Cotton Bowl Winner.

Game 280.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Both Tulane and USC, like every other team this Bowl campaign are dealing with some opt outs/transfer portal. Both also come in here with exact 11-2 records. While the Green Wave was is also 11-2 ATS, the Trojans were 8-5 a ATS this season. The big news entering this matchup is the health of quarterback, Caleb Williams. Trust me when I tell you there is nothing wrong with his hamstring. He will be full force 100% here for the Cotton Bowl. Having said that, I do feel the Trojans offense are significantly more potent and more explosive than their counterpart. If you recall, USC finished their regular season winning five consecutive games, covering the last three. It was particularly their last two outings of the regular season, wins and covers against UCLA and Notre Dame that impressed me quite a bit. Then they got steamrolled on December 2 by Utah. I look for them to bounce back and redeem themselves and finish the campaign on a high note. I think we can all agree Tulane was very impressive this season. They finished the regular season winning and covering three straight, including a big win in the Title game over Central Florida. However, I look for them to be in let down mode here for sure. I also think we can all agree that overall, the Green Wave do not face the same level of competition as the Trojans. On this platform, experience plays a part. And it will play apart again here as the USC defense rank a second nationally with 19 takeaways. You will see them force the less experienced, Tulane offense into making mistakes. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS their last four nonconference games, 4-1 ATS their last five versus teams with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS their last seven in January. Take USC. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

NFC North GOM.

Game 128.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

I’m not looking to take anything way from the Minnesota Vikings. But folks you’ve got admit, luck has played a part in their 12-3 record. Having said that I’m also going to give you a cliché. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Well, the Green Bay Packers opened this season with an embarrassing 23-7 loss on the road at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings. They then won three consecutive victories before hitting a big slide. Since December began, things turned a corner for this team, winning and covering three straight games with authority. Green Bay is back in the playoff race. They can sneak into the postseason if they win their last two games as long as Washington loses at least once or the New York Giants lose both of their remaining contests. Either way the Packers must win here this week. This is a team that is striding at the right time. Plus, they have Aaron Rodgers at the helm who is out to prove there’s still some life left in his aging body. We talked about the Vikings being lucky. They’ve been very lucky. While they have won two of their last three games straight up, they failed to cover all three outings. Their main offensive strength is in the air. But they must go up against the NFL third ranked pass defense here. Dalvin Cook is solid. But in all sincerity, this “O” ranks 28th in rushing. On the flipside, they rank dead last in the NFL defending the pass and have to go up against a surging and angry Rodgers. Understand that the Packers have started to get healthy coincidentally the same time they started to win. The home team has covered nine of the last 13 meetings of the series. Green Bay has covered nine of the last 13 against Minnesota at home. Ohm, by the way the Vikings are just 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus NFC opponents. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Washington Commanders on the moneyline.

High Roller Play.

Game 106.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Cleveland has been eliminated from any postseason chances. So, I doubt they’re going to jeopardize any of their star players here in the game that does not matter to them. Even playing spoiler makes no sense. The last few weeks, let’s face it, their offense has gone from bad to worse, only counting for a total of 33-points over the last three outings, which resulted in a 1-2 mark, both straight up and against the spread. Washington looks to keep their postseason hopes alive here. They can clinch their second playoff berth in three seasons, with a win over the Browns combined with some help. If they do not win here, they can still make the playoffs. But a lot of things has to happen for them to do so. Carson Wentz will start for the Commanders. He leads an offense that too has sputtered a bit recently. However, I look for this unit to steam roll the 25th ranked rush defense of the Browns on the ground. Being that they run the ball with such efficiency, they will also keep the Cleveland defense on the field and their offense off it. Washington is 4-0 ATS the last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the Commanders. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

No Limit Play.

Game 110.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Philadelphia Eagles can secure the top seed in the NFC playoffs by beating the New Orleans Saints here on Sunday. I must make you aware of the fact the New Orleans Saints can’t qualify for the playoffs if they don’t beat the Philadelphia Eagles here either. So, both teams have a lot riding on this game. I have to tell you no matter who is under center for Philly, I look for them to come out here and make a big statement following last week’s 40-34 loss in Dallas. Let’s face it, the Cowboys. But due to four turnovers, they lost the game. That won’t sit well with the Conference’s best team.  While the Saints are very good at defending the pass, they are absolutely atrocious defending the run. The Eagles come in here ranked fourth in the league in rushing, accounting for over 153.8 yards per game on the ground. They also own the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 29.7-points per game. Defensively, they are outstanding. I just don’t see New Orleans moving the chains, let alone getting in the end zone here. I do see the Eagles, which rank second in the NFL with 26 takeaways, forcing the Saints into making a lot of mistakes and turning the ball over. After all, they’ve already committed 23 turnovers, ranking 29th in the league. Philadelphia has won and covered the last two meetings over New Orleans. They also enter this game covering six of their last seven at home. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Late Info Move.

Game 274.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends the line has moved exactly where we wanted it here in this game. Very simply, both teams deserve to be here. However, looking at the close of the Buckeyes season, three of their final five games, their defense got plowed for 30 or more points. There is no way the Nittany Lions should’ve put up 31 on them. And there is no way the Terrapins should’ve scored 30 on them either. Their last game, a 45-23 loss against the Wolverines is understandable. Their defense has definitely sprung a leak. And I doubt psychologically this team can bounce back from that devastating loss to Michigan. Understand they’ve only covered one of their last five outings. They have become point spread poison. The Georgia defense took out starters in their last outing on December 3, a 50-30 win and cover in the Conference Title game against the LSU Tigers. Other than that, this stop-unit never allowed a single opponent to put up better than 22-points this season. And guys, they’ve faced some explosive offenses. The fact that they are so well-balanced offensively will keep the OSU defense honest and on the field. Not only does Georgia want to win the National Title game, they also want to stay undefeated. Today they achieve both of those goals. Ohio State is 2-6 ATS the last eight nonconference games, 1-5 ATS the last six neutral site games, and 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus teams with a winning record. Georgia is 8-2 ATS the last 10 Bowl games, 4-1 ATS the last five neutral site games, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 December games. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Cash Money Play.

Saturday, December 31, 2022.

Game 276.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, for once there is no questioning the Final Four teams that made this year’s College Football Playoffs. Normally, we’re engulfed in controversy about teams that made it and certain teams that should’ve made it. That’s not the case this season. And I expect the Peach Bowl between Ohio State and Georgia is a highly anticipated matchup as well as this game that I’m going to talk about, the Fiesta Bowl between Texas Christian and Michigan. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. The Horned Frogs possess a 12-1 mark, with their only defeat coming in the Big 12 Championship game at the hands of the Wildcats. The Wolverines, at 13-0 have already set a school record for most victories in a season. They’re also looking to finish undefeated for the first time since 1997, when they won a share of the National Championship, back then when it was decided by the polls. Guys, I’m not going to get in to some big debate over my next item, but I don’t think anyone would really question the fact that the Big Ten is a bit stronger than the Big 12. The Big 12 is chock-full of offenses that can light up the scoreboard. However, the Big Ten is made up of good, well-balanced offenses, along with defenses that could shut down opponents’ offenses. Looking at TCU‘s schedule this season, they had quite a bit of problems with opponents like Oklahoma State, Texas, and even Baylor. And as we all saw in the December 3, Big 12 Title game, Kansas State really took it to them as quarterback, Max Duggan and the offense looked very vulnerable. As far as Michigan goes, they didn’t have too many close games this season. As a matter of fact, the only opponent that gave them a tough time the entire campaign was Illinois. But as we came to find out, the Fighting Illini’s defense was the real-deal. Speaking of that loss to the Wildcats, the very smart head coach, Jim Harbaugh and his staff watched the game tapes of that contest and will take a page out of it as to how to slow down the quarterback and the rushing attack. Granted, the Horned Frogs offense is equally good on the ground and in the air, resulting in scoring 40.3 points per game. However, they haven’t faced a defense like they’re going to face here this week. The Wolverine stop-unit ranks fifth nationally, allowing just 13.4-points per game and was equally tough against the rush as well as a pass. They will shut down the ground game of TCU as did Kansas State. Thus, putting more pressure on Duggan, throwing a lot of different schemes at him and a lot of blitzes. Trust me when I tell you they will force him to make mistakes here in this game. Defensively, the Horned Frogs leave a lot to be desired. Overall, they give up 25.0-points per game. They rank 83rd against the pass and 64th against the rush. Well, I’ve got to tell you, the Michigan offense is so deep and so talented, they will keep their opponents “D” off-balanced this entire game and backpedaling. Come the second half, the TCU defense will be gasping for air.  I know Blake Corum is out. But backup running back, Donovan Edwards is outstanding. He tallied 872 yards rushing, averaging 7.5-yards per rush and seven touchdowns. Just against the mighty, Ohio State defense a month ago, the ball-carrier rushed for 216 yards and two touchdowns. He then put up 185 yards on the ground and another touchdown in the Big 12 Championship against Purdue. The Wolverines will exploit the Horned Frogs weaknesses on defense. Furthermore, they will keep that defense on the field and the TCU offense off it, resulting in their “O” not getting into any rhythm at all. And as I mentioned earlier the Horned Frogs have yet to face a defense as complete, as talented, and as ferocious as they will face here against the Wolverines. TCU is 3-7 ATS the last 10 Bowl games and 4-11 ATS the last 15 neutral site games. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven nonconference games and 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 overall games. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

UNLV.

MWC Game of the Month.

Game 726.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

San Diego State has played some pretty good basketball. And I feel there is a very decent team. However, since the end of November they’ve only played one formidable foe and that was Saint Mary’s in a seven-point loss on a neutral site as a 1.5-point favorite. Other than that, they’ve been double digit favorites or had no line in every other contest. So, I feel they got to come in here very overconfident. They face a UNLV team that has played some very good basketball as well. They have dropped two of their last three both straight up and against the spread. And I feel are in serious bounce-back mode here today. This is a team that knows the Aztecs very well. The Rebels have three double-digit scorers and without question will control the tempo with the superior back court. I feel this is way too many points to give a very game UNLV team which is 5-1 ATS the last six following a straight up loss, 4-1 ATS the last five at home, and 6-2 ATS the last eight overall. By the way, the San Diego State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss, 0-5 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-7 ATS the last eight overall. Take the Rebels. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Bowl Game of the Season.

Game 272.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Guys, I’m not going to break this game down like I normally do in detail. I am going to break it down for you in common sense. ‘Bama quarterback, Bryce Young and linebacker, Will Anderson will be playing this game. Many expected both to opt out at this point. But being that they have not, tells me a few things about the Sugar Bowl. Especially because of the 13 Crimson Tide players who entered the transfer portal, only one was a starter. Granted, I know Nick Saban‘s Alabama squad has not been a covering machine when it comes to Bowl games. However, this years squad is a lot different than past squads. First of all, they did not make the College Football Playoff. And anything short of that, Saban feels is a losing season. While they have a 10-win campaign this year, this is a team that following their second loss of the season back in November to LSU, a one-point overtime defeat, has since rattled off three consecutive straight up victories. As a matter fact, both of the Crimson Tides defeats the season came on the final plays of the game against the Volunteers and the Tigers. And both of those opponents were highly-ranked at the time. Saban will go out of his way to have his boys prepared, revved up, motivated, and ready to prove to the pollsters that this year was a fluke. No matter who is under center for the Wildcats, I think we can all agree that Kansas State is not a passing team. Their offense relies upon the rush. They have an excellent RB in Deuce Vaughn. But the ‘Bama defense ranks 30th nationally against the rush. And guys, they have faced some pretty darn good rushing attacks this season. If they can slow down Vaughan, and I believe they will, this leaves whichever quarterback is at the helm, Howard or Martinez, a sitting duck. Alabama‘s pass rush is one of the best in the nation and they rank 16th overall in passing yards allowed. While K State plays in the Big 12 and faces a lot of very high-powered offenses, I just don’t see them slowing down, let alone stopping the well-balanced ‘Bama offensive juggernaut. This is a team that averages over 40.8-points per game, while playing some of the toughest defenses in the nation. That is unfamiliar territory for the Wildcats, guys. Once again, I feel that Nick Saban is going out to prove a point in this matchup, especially because this game goes off before the two CFP contests. He can really make a statement here. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games, 10-4 ATS the last 14 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS the last five games in December. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes on the moneyline.

Music City Bowl Winner.

Game 269.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Obviously, the odds makers are counting on a very low-scoring affair here. Neither offense is known for putting up too many points, while both defenses rank among the best in the nation. Having said that guys, the Wildcats will be without starting quarterback, Will Levis and running back, Chris Rodriguez due to transfer/opt outs. The Hawkeyes will be without starting quarterback, Spencer Petras due to a shoulder injury. Without a doubt those absences are going to be more significant for Kentucky. Just between us guys, no matter who is at the helm for Iowa, it won’t change a thing. This is a team that possessed one of the poorest offenses in the nation, and yet they rattled off seven victories in one of the toughest conferences in college football. Only once this season did they allow an opponent to light them up and that was Ohio State. On the Flipside, Kentucky only got lit up themselves one time this season, and that was against Tennessee. However, their defense was definitely a bit more vulnerable. They allowed quite a few opponents to put points up, including a few less than formidable foes. Revenge also plays a factor here as this is a rematch of last years Citrus Bowl in which the Wildcats prevailed, 20-17 over the Hawkeyes. Overall, Iowa’s defense is a lot more well balanced, deeper, and once again has that revenge factor going for them. That is why I am taking the Hawkeyes on the money line. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 267.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, there is no questioning the fact that the Tennessee Volunteers offense finished the season ranking first in total yards and points scored. Their success offensively came off the arm and the leadership of Hendon Hooker, who is out with an injury. Now the reins are in the hands of Michigan-transfer, Joe Milton III. I’ve got to tell you folks, I’ve never been a big fan of Milton. And now he must start a Bowl game and play without the services of two of the Volunteers top-four receivers in Hyatt and Tillman. By the way Milton is it known to run the ball as well as Hooker either. He is definitely a one-dimensional quarterback. They must face the nation’s 18th ranked defense, allowing just 20.1 points per game, consisting of college football’s 10th ranked run defense. I feel the fact Clemson stuffs the run so well, it is going to hurt the Tennessee offense significantly. Offensively, the Tigers will start phenom quarterback, Cade Klubnik. This will be his “coming out” party on a national platform. Clemson will get a chance to show the world of college football that next year they are gunning for a CFP spot. This is a team that finished the season very strong dominating opponents. Their one recent loss was a one-point heartbreaker at the hands of South Carolina, a team in which devoured Tennessee two games ago, 63-38. I see Klubnik dissecting the Volunteers 127th ranked pass defense. He also has the luxury of RB, Will Shipley in the backfield to keep the UT “D” honest. The Tigers are 16-5 ATS the last 21 in December, 4-1 ATS the last four Bowls, and 20-6 ATS the last 26 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Friday Bowl Best Bet.

Game 264.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Guy, the line moved in this game yesterday morning because of the wiseguy‘s here in Vegas. And I’m not going to lie to you. I was one of those sharp players who bet Notre Dame, moving the line up to -3. South Carolina’s claim to fame is the fact that their last two games of the season were outright wins against Tennessee and Clemson. If that wasn’t the case, you would see this line closer to a six or even a seven. Having said that my friends, the Gamecocks are depleted. While head coach Shane Beamer will have his starting quarterback Spencer Rattler at the helm here, most of his other stars have run for the hills in one way or another. Opt outs, transfer portal, and injuries have really depleted this team of their biggest playmakers for the most part. On the flipside, Notre Dame finished the season winning five of the last six games straight up. Yes, they took an 11-point loss on the road at USC to finish off the campaign. But this team will be in “bounce back” mode here. Understand that not only do the Fighting Irish have a long tradition of winning, but they are very deep…very deep. Let’s talk about that real quick. Quarterback, Drew Pyne is heading to Arizona State. And tight end, Michael Mayer has opted out to prep for the NFL. But if you recall Tyler Buchner entered preseason camp as the starter and a shoulder injury forced him to miss the last 10 games for the Irish. He’s been getting first team reps in practice and is expected to be back at the helm here. So, no big disappointment under center for Notre Dame, guys. A few other items that you really need to take note of: Understand this was not an offense that had explosive passing attack to begin with. They ran the ball and passed off the run. And just FYI folks their biggest ball carriers are playing here and get to face the 113th ranked run defense of South Carolina. Next, the Fighting Irish will absolutely dominate the Gamecocks in the trenches. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, their linemen are much bigger, much stronger, and much better. Then, Spencer Rattler is a very good quarterback. However, he goes up against the nation’s 20th ranked pass defense. And he’s going to do it without his two best ball-carriers in the backfield. Both Lloyd and Bell have entered the transfer portal. Lastly, in consecutive games, South Carolina got plowed for 24, 23, 27, 38, 38, and 30-points. They’re going to give up a lot of points here, folks. As I said earlier the line is way off here. And that’s why we’re going to stay with Notre Dame. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Washington Huskies.

Alamo Bowl Winner.

Game 257.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

There is no question that both Texas and Washington possess two of the best offenses in college football today. The Longhorns average over 35.7-points per game on 430.3 yards per game, while the Huskies account for 40.8-points per game and over 521.7 yards per game. Texas enters this matchup on a 3-2 straight up run and have split out their last six games against the spread. Washington is a little hotter, riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering the last three in a row. However, the Longhorns might have a little bit of trouble keeping pace offensively as they lost their two best offensive weapons in running backs, Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson. The tandem accounted for over 2,134 yards rushing and 23 touchdowns on the ground, with another 344 yards receiving and three TD’s in the air. No other ball-carriers have any real experience other than the pair. This will surely put extra pressure on the young and inexperienced quarterback, Quinn Ewers. If Texas cannot move the ball on the ground (which I doubt they will), their defense will get very tired here. Something they are not accustomed to being. The Huskies, behind the nation’s top-ranked passing attack will dissect the 88th ranked pass defense of the Longhorns in this matchup. Quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. (who will be coming back next year), has tallied over 4,354 yards passing and a 29-7 TD/INT ratio. He does have a couple of good ball-carriers at his disposal to keep the Texas defense honest. I just don’t see the Longhorns keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard with the Huskies. Washington is 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

Cheez-It Bowl Winner.

Game 256.

2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.

If there was another team more disappointing this season than Oklahoma, I don’t know which team that would be. The Sooners finished the campaign 6-6 and every time they stepped up in class, they seemed to have taken a big beating. Now, they have been hit with a large amount of opt outs. They face a Florida State opponent that enters this Bowl matchup winning five in a row straight up going 4-1 against the spread. As a matter of fact, since they lost a few games in a row back in October, this team has played perfect football. Unlike their adversary here, they have not been hit by too many opt outs. Moreover, this is the first Bowl game in a while and an opportunity for them to reach the 10-win mark, which would be huge for this program. Reports are Sooners head coach Brent Venables spent the last few weeks not preparing for this meaningless Bowl matchup, but instead recruiting for next year’s class. The Seminoles will enjoy basically a home crowd being that this game is being played in Orlando, Florida. While this is a lot of points, please understand that on both sides of the ball, FSU is far superior. The average over 36.2-points per game and they face one of the worst defenses in the nation. On the stop end of the ball, the Seminoles rank 16th, only allowing 19.7-points per game. Oklahoma, even at full strength would have a problem here because of their horrible Swiss-cheese like defense. However, I think things are going to go from bad to worse for this team because their only true offensive weapon, running back Eric Gray has opted out. They are 1-6 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record and 2-7 ATS the last nine overall. Florida State is 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 Bowl games and 8–2 Ats the last 10 following a straight up win. Take the Seminoles. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

Liberty Bowl Winner.

Game 248.

2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.

This is unfamiliar territory for Kansas, as they have reached a Bowl game for the first time since 2008. You know guys, in my opinion, momentum plays a big part of winning during the Bowl campaign. And you can’t ignore the fact this team has dropped six of the last seven straight up, and they have only covered two outings since October 1. Meanwhile, Arkansas has split out their last six games straight up, covering four of the six ATS. Both teams give up a ton of yardage. However, you’ll definitely see a more well-balanced, deeper, and more talented stop-unit on the Razorbacks side of the field. This is a team that played some very good offenses and yet they certainly held their own this season. The Jayhawks don’t have too much of a passing attack, so you can expect them to keep the ball on the ground quite a bit, in a slow-paced offensive scheme. Sports fans, this is a team that plays in a high-scoring conference and yet managed to eke out just 23-points per game over the last three contests. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are more well-balanced offensively as well. They have a good quarterback and one of the most explosive rushing attacks in the nation. As a matter of fact, they average over 224.9 yards per game on the ground, which ranks ninth nationally, and they get to face a leaky run defense which allows 193.8 yards per game to the run, ranking 115th in college football. Overall, the Kansas defense is one of the worst in the nation, getting plowed for just shy of 34-points per game. One more item that plays a major part in why I like this team here this week is they are very physical. They are big, they are strong, and they are very physical. I just don’t see Kansas standing up to Arkansas in the trenches at all. The Jayhawks are 9-22-1 ATS the last 32 nonconference games, 6-17 ATS the last 23 following a straight up loss, and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. The Razorbacks are 9-2 ATS the last 11 versus the Big 12, 4-1 ATS the last five at neutral sites, and 4-1 ATS the last five Bowls. Take Arkansas. Thank you.

East Carolina Pirates.

Birmingham Bowl winner.

Game 241.

3:45 PM PST/6:45 PM EST.

Three-time Sun Belt Player of the Year, Grayson McCall, despite entering the transfer portal, will play quarterback in this game for Coastal Carolina. The rumor mill has been buzzing that he has quite a few offers from SEC squads. He has put up some outstanding numbers in his tenure with the chanticleers. However, he’s coming off of foot injury and does not have his offensive line intact in this Bowl game. After missing the embarrassing, 47-7 loss at James Madison at the end of November, he did return at the beginning of December and was clearly hobbled with that foot injury in the team’s, 45-26 loss at Troy. Granted, he has had several weeks to heal. But without his offensive line at full force here, he’s going to be on the run for most of this contest. While the Pirates possess one of the worst pass defenses is in the nation, they are one of the best against the rush. Trust me when I tell you, they can still get to the quarterback here. At the very least, they will shut down the rushing game of Coastal Carolina, forcing McCall out of the pocket and committing turnovers. ECU has a much more well-balanced offense. They average just shy of 31-points per game, ranking 16th in the nation in passing and 55th in rushing. Due to the fact that they have a well-balanced offense, they will keep the CCU defense busy and on the field for most of this contest. Please take note the Chanticleers pass defense is just as bad, ranking 124th nationally. One more item that is vital here is the fact the Pirates do not turn the ball over. And let’s face it, the Chanticleers are not known for creating turnovers. This is going to play a big part in today’s matchup. By the way, East Carolina quarterback Holton Ahlers is going to wrap up his five-year career here. This season he has thrown for 3,408 yards and 23 touchdowns, with just five interceptions. All three of the Chanticleers losses this season were outright beat downs. I think you’re looking at another beat down, folks. CCU is 0-4 ATS the last four games in December, 2-8 ATS the last 10 games versus teams with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games overall. Take ECU. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

MNF winner.

Game 481.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

It would be bad enough for the Colts losing four in a row and seven of the last eight straight up. But the last loss on December 17 at the Vikings, 39-36 in overtime, blowing a 33-point lead is devastating. To add to their pressure, the Colts have not taken the field in nine days. Trust me when I tell you this is not an experienced, intelligent team lead by true leaders. So instead of bouncing back here, I look for things to get even worse for the Jeff Saturday experiment. To add to their laundry list of problems, their only true offensive threat, Jonathan Taylor is out. With the Jets, the Patriots, and the Raiders all losing this past weekend, the Chargers can clinch a playoff berth with the win here tonight. Los Angeles enters this matchup winning three of the last four straight up and possessing the league’s third-ranked passing offense. Justin Herbert, who has passed for over 4000 yards this season (4,019), on a 67.5% completion rate, with 21 touchdowns, is salivating knowing he gets to go up against a defense that has allowed 39, 54, and 24-points over the last three weeks. Running back, Austin Ekeler will keep the Indy defense honest and allow Herbert to open up the passing game. One more item folks, the Chargers rank amongst the best in the league at not turning the ball over, while the Colts rank as one of the worst in the league at creating turnovers. On the flipside, Indy has turned the ball over 27 times which already ranks dead-last in the NFL. As I mentioned earlier in this breakdown, things will go from bad to worse from the Colts. Los Angeles has been money on the road covering five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Game 235.

11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, you ever noticed you never see a sportsbook, a casino, a racetrack, or even a local bookmaker go out of business? Do you know why? Because the general public loses. And that’s what’s going to happen in the Quick Lane Bowl on Monday between New Mexico State and Bowling Green. The Aggies actually opened up a slight one-point favorite here. And as of this show, this line has now moved to make the Falcons a 3.5-point favorite. The general public is all over the MAC team. Now guys, I know New Mexico State plays in the Independents Conference. And they are outshined by other representatives like Notre Dame, Liberty, BYU and even Army. But I’m here to tell you this team is a pretty decent team. They started the campaign off losing their first four games. And then something happened. The team solidified behind quarterback, Diego Pavia. Oh, by the way, the play-caller was a little banged up but. But it was announced that he’s at least 90% recovered from a hamstring issue. So, no worries there. When he got the starting job, the offense got in sync He produced an 11-1 touchdown-interception ratio. Now this team has won five of their last six both straight up against the spread. But when Pavia took all over the reins, things certainly changed significantly for the better. They have rattled off four wins in the last five games, both straight up and against the number. They have really stepped up a notch. So, when I tell you that their numbers over on the season are skewed…believe me they are skewed. Look for the outstanding gunslinger to decimate the Bowling Green 104th ranked pass defense. Now when the Falcons have the ball, it’s no secret they are a passing team. To be honest, they can’t rush the ball at all, barely breaking 100 yards per game on the ground averaging 101 yards per contest. They strictly throw the ball. They rely… let me rephrase that, they live and die by the pass. Now they have a pretty darn good quarterback themselves in Matt McDonald. But he must face an Aggies pass defense that ranks 14th nationally. This team frustrated much better offenses in the air this season. By the way, coming back around to Pavia folks, he’s a monster threat on the ground as well. He really compliments Starr Thomas and Jimony Jones, their solid backfield tandem as he has added another 452 yards and six TD’s with his legs. So once again, when he took over the reins the entire offensive unit got in sync and everybody started producing at a much higher level. And once again, their statistics are skewed because it that was so bad the first portion of the season that it doesn’t show overall. One more item folks, Bowling Green has only been favored away from home once in the last five years and they failed to cover that game, which occurred back at the beginning of October this season. When it comes to covering, New Mexico State has been money. So, let’s go with the money and take the 3.5-points with the Aggie’s. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Game 234.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, putting these two teams together in the Hawaii bowl seems to me to be inhumane. Blue Raiders are not a bad mean. I mean they finished the season winning the last three outings straight up. But let’s face it, being Charlotte, FAU, and FIU will definitely give this them a false sense of security. Yes, they ranked 31st in the nation in passing. However, the Aztecs defense is one of the best in college football. They allow just 20.2-points per game, equally good against the pass as well as the rush. Middle Tennessee State has not faced a defense of this caliber at all this season. I mean this is a team that had trouble scoring on James Madison, UAB, and Western Kentucky. Being that the San Diego State stop-unit is so strong, they will get the Middle Tennessee State offense off the field very quickly with a lot of three-and-outs and even force some turnovers. This will then tire out the Blue Raiders defense and allow the Aztecs offense to go to work. Granted, the San Diego State “O“ is slow-moving. But they have three phenomenal wideouts that will absolutely exploit the MTU 129th ranked pass defense. They have a solid backfield that will keep this defense honest and allow their quarterback to open up the passing game. The Blue Raiders are 2-5 ATS the last seven Bowl games, 2-7 ATS the last nine games in December, and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games overall. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

NFC East Game of the Month.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

This line is so off it is absolutely absurd. I know the absence of Jalen Hurts is significant. Obviously, as he is a favorite to take the league MVP this season as of this point. But can you really trust the Dallas Cowboys in a big-game situation like this? I mean come on folks a week ago they took an overtime loss in Jacksonville. They tend to get over valued by the odds makers, covering just two of their last six outings. And now they face a division rival who took them down 26-17 back in mid-October. And they are this high of favorite because Hurts is out. I’m here to tell you Gardner Minshew is one of the better backup quarterbacks in the NFL. Obviously, the dynamics change with him at the helm. Are people forgetting that this is the second ranked scoring offense in the NFL, averaging just under 30-points per game? Are people forgetting they rarely turn the ball over? Are people forgetting they own a top-five rushing attack? And it will be that rushing attack that will allow Minshew some time and open up the passing game. Their ground game ranks fourth in the league, averaging over 158.6 yards per game. My friends they face one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL here. Dak Prescott is erratic at best. Let’s face it the passing attack of Dallas is no attack, ranking 17th in the league. And they must lineup against the number one ranked pass defense in the NFL. Not only that but the Eagles only allow 19.1-points per game. And they’ve already forced and taken 25 turnovers. You can bet your butt that they will pressure Prescott and force him to make mistakes. Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS the last five games versus teams with a winning record. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Cleveland Browns.

Angle Play.

Game 456.

10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST.

Since Deshaun Watson took over the reins, the Browns are 2-1. Overall, Cleveland has won and cover three of the last four outings coming into this matchup. And now they see the return of Nick Chubb to spearhead the NFL’s fifth ranked rushing attack. Trust me when I tell you they are going to steamroll the very lax 23rd ranked New Orleans run defense. The Saints are going to be missing several key players. But even if they were at full strength, I still don’t see them even competing in this matchup. They are 0-5 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS the last six games played on grass. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Detroit Lions on the moneyline.

NFL Game of the Month.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Momentum means a lot in the NFL in the month of December. The Detroit Lions have momentum. They enter Saturday’s matchup winning six of the last seven straight up and as far as us bettors are concerned; they have covered seven straight outings. This is a team that has not been to the playoffs in over six years. Head coach, Dan Campbell has them believing not only that they can get to, but they could win in the postseason as well. But they have to get there first. Standing in their way this week is the Carolina Panthers. Granted this team has covered six of the last eight games. But they are banged up, depleted, and fatigued. I know the Lions defense leaves a lot to be desired. But I doubt they’re going to be in too much hot water here this week against one of the worst offenses in the league. On the opposite side of the ball, Detroit has become a monster scoring machine. They face a Carolina defense that over the last few weeks has been outmuscled and steamrolled for a combined 48 points. Detroit is 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus the NFC, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

No Limit.

Game 459.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, very few teams can come back from the devastating loss like the Patriots suffered last week in Las Vegas. Trust me when I tell you this is not the Bill Belichick New England squad that we are so used to seeing over the last two decades. Just over the last four weeks they are on a 1-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. And things aren’t looking too good for them as they face a team a arguably with the most momentum going into this weeks games. Cincinnati Bengals are running red-hot, winning and covering six consecutive outings. Joe Burrow and the Bengals top-10 offense are salivating just knowing they get to line up across from the leaky Patriots defense. Sure, overall, on the season the New England “D” has impressive stats. However, over the last four weeks they have allowed a combined 99-points. By the way the Patriots have lost the last five as home underdogs without Tom Brady, going 1-4 against the spread. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, 35-17 ATS the last 52 games played on the road, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the AFC. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 465.

10:00 AM PST,1:00 PM EST.

Both teams need to win here this week. Kansas City is looking to claim the AFC‘s number one seed. And Seattle is just looking to add to their chances of making the postseason. Folks I’m here to tell you that there is no way that the Chief should be a double-digit favorite against any opponent in the NFL. Especially one that matches up this well with them. Kansas City is absolute point spread poison folks. To be honest with you they have covered just one game since mid-October. I think we can all agree the odds makers tend to overvalue them because they know the general public likes to bet them. However, they’re making a huge mistake here. Seattle is on an 0-5 ATS slide themselves. But they have not been given this many points. The Chiefs defense has allowed 27, 28, 24-points over the last three outings. And to be honest with you, a couple of those foes possess lower-tier offenses. Seattle will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 22nd ranked pass defense of Kansas City. Granted the Chiefs will do what they do and put points up. But the lack of a major rushing game will not allow them to eat up a lot of clock in the process. There are also 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home, 1-10-1 the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Under in the Air Force/Baylor Armed Forces Bowl.

NCAAF Total of the Month.

Games 227/228.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Just for the record, the Baylor Bears enter this Bowl matchup having played two unders in their last three outings following having played six consecutive overs. As the season progressed the odds makers looked to trap you. We all know the type of game plan Air Force plays, thus resulting in five unders in their last six outings. Having said all that, both defenses are amazing. The Bears, which play in the explosive Big 12, allow just 26.6-points per game. The Falcons, ranked number one in the nation, in both yards allowed and passing yards allowed. They rank eighth in rushing yards allowed and third in college football in points scored, yielding a mere 13.3-points per game. The matchups here are very interesting. The Bears, which are a good team offensively, will have a lot of problems. This is a team that primarily relies upon the run to open up their passing game. Well, the Falcons are amazing at stuffing the rush. On the flipside, Air Force we all know, tops the nation in rushing. That is one area that Baylor was very good at defensively in the conference. They allowed only 137.6 yards per game on the ground. Two items that really stood out to me here; Baylor coach Dave Aranda, who really got the head coaching position he currently holds due to the fact that he was the defensive coordinator for Ed Orgeron during the 15-0 National Championship season of 2019 for LSU. He just recently fired his defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts and is taking over the reins here. You can bet your kid‘s college fund that he has prepared his defense for the explosive rushing attack they will face here this evening. Switching it around, we all know the Falcons are the best in the nation at running the ball. Well, they use up a lot of clock on the ground. They don’t score a lot of points, but they use up a lot of clock. The under is 4-1 in the Bears last five games played versus the MWC, 4-0 in their last four games played at a neutral site, and 4-0 in their last four games played in the month of December. The under is 16-5 in the Falcons last 21 nonconference games, 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, and 4-1 in their last five Bowl games. Take the under. Thank you.

Whether you look on the 3-DAY, the 7-DAY, or the 30-DAY leader boards in the NBA, it doesn’t matter, because you will find the name Joe D’Amico there. Once again, this season, since the opening day of the campaign, I have been a fixture on the NBA leaderboard. Tonight, I have just one big money maker for you on the pro basketball hardwood in my 41-16 NBA FAST BREAK PLAY. I have it posted right now for you.

New York Knicks.

Fast Break.

Game 540.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Sports fans, you cannot find two teams trending in more opposite directions than the Toronto Raptors and the New York Knicks. Toronto is on a six-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. New York is riding an eight-game hot streak, both straight up and against the spread. While the Raptors had a night off following with their overtime loss at the 76ers, the Knicks had six players score in double-digits last night at the Garden in their 132-94 crushing victory over the Warriors. Granted, in some of their losses during their current losing streak, Toronto played some very close games. However, coming off that overtime loss is going to find them very fatigued here tonight. Their offense is basically nonexistent, ranking 22nd in scoring, 28th in field-goal percentage, and 29th in three-point percentage. This does not bode well as they must face a New York defense that ranks in the top-10 in several major categories. New York is also one of the healthiest teams in the NBA, while Toronto has several players out and a few also listed as questionable this evening. The Raptors are just 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on the road, 0-4 ATS their last four games played on one days rest, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played versus teams with a winning record. New York is 4-0 ATS their last four games played at home, 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 teams played on zero days rest, and 4-0 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Best Bet.

Game 603.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

In a game being played at Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, Nebraska we see the 8-3 Drake Bulldogs face the 11-0 Mississippi State Bulldogs. Drake is playing some decent basketball. However, they have stepped up in class three times this season and lost and failed to cover all three against Indiana State, Richmond, and Saint Louis. They are also on an 0-5 ATS run. On the other hand, Mississippi State possesses a perfect record and has already taken down such notables as Akron, Marquette, Utah, and Minnesota. By the way, they have covered three of those four games against formidable opponents. While Drake has played some good basketball, they are in big trouble here today facing Mississippi State’s third-ranked defense, allowing is 52.1-points per game and just 35.8% shooting. They are absolutely stifling, defensively. Offensively, you can expect Mississippi State to also get a lot of second-chance shots as they rank 16th nationally on the offensive glass and they are facing one of the worst teams in the nation on the defensive boards. This is a big mismatch here, folks. Take Mississippi state. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

MNF WINNER.

Game 332.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Let’s go to Lambeau Field as the Rams take on the Packers. There is no question that both Los Angeles and Green Bay have fallen way short of expectations this season. I mean the Rams are just 4-9 following up their Super Bowl season. In all fairness a lot of their woes are due to injuries. But in all sincerity, a lot is also due to inconsistent play. They finally got a win last week, their first since October 16, as they faced the lowly Raiders. Baker Mayfield, who just joined the team two days earlier, rallied his team back from a 16-3 deficit late in the fourth quarter to steal a 17-16 win. The Packers will be a much, much different opponent here this week. First of all, Green Bay has dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight straight up, and all eight against the spread. Next, to say that Los Angeles is running on fumes would be an understatement. Their injured list is longer than Deshaun Watson plaintive list LOL. They already rank 25th in passing, 30th in rushing, and 29th in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also rank 28th in turnovers committing 20 miscues on the campaign. Green Bay got a big December 4 win over division rival Chicago, 28-19. What will certainly benefit this team is coming off that win and then having a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare for this week’s matchup. In rookie wide receiver, Christian Watson, Aaron Rodgers finally has a go to receiver to complement wideout Allen Lazard. On the ground, the Packers are pretty stable as Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have combined for nearly 1,500 yards rushing and five TDs. The offense is now well-balanced and will certainly exploit the depleted, Los Angeles defense. It’s true, the Packers have lost three straight as a home favorite this season. But, in all sincerity, two of those games were earlier on, and before Rodgers started connecting with Watson. Throw into the mix that the biggest defensive threat Los Angeles has, Aaron Donald is unlikely to play here and I will tell you that I do feel Green Bay is going to light up the scoreboard. Oh, by the way, they also had a while to prepare for Mayfield at the helm. The Rams are 1-4 ATS their last five games played following a straight up win and 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played versus NFC opponents. I see the Packers making a push late in the season, and it starts here. Lay the TD with Green Bay, folks. Thank you. 

Minnesota Timberwolves.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 508.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

My friends, there is no way Minnesota should be an underdog in this matchup. I have them a two-point favorite on my power ratings. They come off back-to-back wins and covers, including a huge 150-126 victory last night at home against Chicago. They set a franchise mark for points scored and field goals. Don’t expect a let down here as they will keep their foot on the gas because a victory tonight would bring them a better than .500 record. They play a Dallas team that they have taken three of the last five meetings against a season ago. This will be the first meeting this season. However, the Mavericks over the last few weeks have been very inconsistent, going just 2-4 both straight up and against the spread. While both teams have a few questionable players here, the Timberwolves are certainly deeper and can’t sustain the injury situation a little bit better. They are the third ranked field goal shooting team in the league, hitting just shy of 50% from the floor, while the Mavericks rank 26th, allowing 48.1% shooting. Dallas is 6-14 ATS the last 20 games played on the road and 7-17-2 ATS the last 26 games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Angle Play.

Game 321.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

If there is one team in the NFL that you could actually say is “Jekyll and Hyde“, it’s the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, one trend you cannot ignore is the fact that since they started winning, they alternate weeks winning and losing. November 6 was a win and cover against Las Vegas, November 13 was a loss and no cover against Kansas City, November 27 was a win and cover at home against Baltimore, December 4 was a loss and no cover on the road at Detroit, and December 11 was a win and cover away from home at Tennessee. They are alternating wins and losses. Well, I think you’re going see the trend continue for them again here this week. The Jaguars are running into the NFL’s second ranked defense of the Dallas Cowboys, which is allowing just 17.6-points per game. The Cowboys are winning. Let’s face it they’ve won for in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 10-3. During their current four-game hot streak, they are accounting for over 37.2-points per game. Not only that, but I do see them moving the chains with their well-balanced unit against the Jacksonville defense that last played a well-balanced unit and gave a 40-points to Detroit. The tandem of Pollard and Elliott have teamed up for over 1,600 yards rushing and 18 TDs this season. They will control the pace of this game, move the chains, and open up the passing game for Dak Prescott. One more item that is very important folks, the Cowboys are one of the most bankable teams in the NFL. They are 8-1 ATS their last nine games played in the month of December, 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games played on the road. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC EAST GOM.

Game 310.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

San Antonio Spurs.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 552.

To 10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST.

As of 6 AM PST this morning, the Miami Heat have 15 players listed on their injury report. I guess being fined for violating the league’s injury reporting rules had no effect LOL.  Now I will tell you only two are listed as out, six are listed as questionable, and seven as are listed as probable. That has little to do with why I am coming in on the San Antonio Spurs. But it does play a small part. Obviously overall the Heat are a little banged-up. But Miami travels down to Mexico City after playing two games back-to-back down to the wire in Oklahoma City and in Houston. I think this team is going to be a little weary and a little tired. Despite winning three in a row, the Miami still ranks 29th in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 108.0-points per game. They’re also absolutely horrible on the boards, and shooting from downtown and overall, from the floor. Granted, the Spurs defense leaves a lot to be desired, ranking 30th in several categories. However, they’re not too bad on the defensive glass. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four outings. They are also no strangers to playing in Mexico City.  Over the years they have played six games south of the border, with the most recent coming in 2019. San Antonio took down Miami just seven days ago on the road, 115-111. Normally I look at the losing team in a rematch within a week, however they’re traveling south of the border and as I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, the Heat are weary and tired. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record, 7-18-2 ATS their last 27 games played following a straight up win, and there’s 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take the Spurs. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

Cure Bowl.

Game 211.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The depleted Cougars defense was running thin at the linebacker position as several key players entered the transfer portal several weeks ago. To thin the corps even more, their best player OLB, Henley has opted out to prep for the NFL Draft. Washington State is also going to be missing several coaches. Offensively they will be without their two of their top three wideouts. But in all honesty, even if this team was at full strength, I think they would still have a hard time with a Fresno State squad that has run off eight consecutive wins and six covers out of those eight contests. Look for quarterback, Jay Haener to absolutely decimate the depleted Washington State defense. He heads up the 27th ranked passing attack in the nation. And he’s going to face a pass defense that ranks 113th. And that was before they lost all their linebackers. He’s got a great offensive line that will give him all the time in the world to pick the Cougars ”D” apart. I’ve got to be honest my friends, on the flipside, Wazzu quarterback Cam Ward is a stud. However, being without two of his favorite weapons and without a true rushing game to keep the Broncos defense honest, I think he’s going to be a sitting duck, guys. Understand Fresno State’s pass defense is one of the best in the nation, ranking 23rd. And as I said, the Washington State rushing game is absolutely deplorable, ranking 113th. I know there’s a lot of emotion on the Wazzu side with recent off the field heartbreaks. However, I just don’t see emotion beating experienced talent in this matchup. One more major item is that this game is being played in Inglewood, California, where there will be more of a Bulldogs crowd. The Cougars are 3-7 ATS their last 10 nonconference games, 1-4 ATS their last five Bowl games, and 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of December. I doubt you’re going to need it, but buy this line down to -3 just to err on the side of caution. Take Fresno State all the way here guys. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide on the monyline.

Above The Rim Play.

Game 611.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

This matchup puts together the fourth ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and the 15th ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs played in Birmingham, Alabama. A 9-1 Alabama team bounced back from their only loss of the season on November 25 to rattle off four consecutive wins over such notables as North Carolina, San Diego State, Houston, and Memphis. This team is absolutely crushing opponents. They’re averaging over 83.0-points per game and top the nation on the offensive boards snagging 45 rebounds on the offensive glass per game. I think we can all agree the 8-3 Gonzaga squad is not the same team we are accustomed to seeing. They have played some good basketball. However, having a very close call against Michigan State early on and following that up with an embarrassing, 93-74 loss against Texas told us what we were in store for. Granted, they did take down Kentucky. But losing by 18 to Purdue and a one-point loss to Baylor has shown us that this team cannot step up and play top-tier opponents. As a matter fact, they’ve only covered two of their 11 contests this season, and the last cover was back on November 20. While they can still score points, their defense is getting beaten up pretty badly. The problem in this matchup is the Crimson Tide enters here allowing just 70.1-points per game. It’s going to be a very long day for the Bulldogs folks. Not only does the Crimson Tide possess the talent and the depths to beat the Bulldogs, they will devour them in the paint as well with the much more physical roster. ‘Bama took last December’s meeting, 91-82. Gonzaga is point spread poison, going 2-12-3 ATS their last 17 games played versus teams with a winning record, 1-9-1 ATS their last 11 games played on a neutral site, and 3-15-3 ATS their last 21 games played overall. Roll Tide. Thank you

Brooklyn Nets on the moneyline.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Brooklyn has taken all three meetings with Toronto this season, both straight up and against the spread. The most recent, a 114-105 win less than two weeks ago at home. The Nets are surging. They have won eight of their last nine straight up. And are playing equally good at home as well as on the road. Their last two outings within the last week were both wins and covers at the Pacers and at the Wizards. On the other hand, the Raptors are struggling. They have dropped seven of their last nine both straight up and against the spread. This includes a three-game slide (L3 games) in which they were favored in all three games and lost outright. Things will go from bad to worse for this team as they face one of the best defenses in the NBA. As a matter of fact, nothing looks good for Toronto offensively. Their field goal percentage ranks 26th in the league, and their percentage from beyond the arc is a dismal 28%. They’re even struggling from the free throw line, hitting just 78.6%. Defensively they are one of the worst in the league, allowing a whopping 48.4% shooting. This doesn’t bode well as Brooklyn ranks second in shooting, hitting 49.9% from the floor. Outside of Curry, who is questionable this evening, the Nets are relatively healthy. I wouldn’t worry about the guard playing, they have Harris and Simmons to rotate. Toronto is a little thin upfront, and I believe will be over matched on the boards here. The Nets are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Brooklyn. Thank you.

Princeton Tigers.

LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE PLAY.

Game 876.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, Princeton is a very good team. They are off to an 8-3 start already on the campaign, winning eight of the last nine straight up. Getting them off their first loss since mid-November will be fatal for Delaware team that is severely overmatched here. The Tigers had won eight straight outings before Tuesday’s heartbreaking, 70-64 loss against the Gaels, a game in which they did cover. As a matter fact, they have covered three of their last four games. Now Delaware has won three in a row straight up, covering two of those three outings. And they looked pretty good beating Davidson, 69-67 at the beginning of the month. However, their only contest this season against an Ivy League team happened at the end of November when they visited Penn and got devoured, 86-73. The Blue Hens have an outstanding player in Jameer Nelson Jr., who is averaging just shy of 20-points per game. He is a stud. But his supporting cast leaves a lot to be desired. When your best rebounders are all guards, there will be an issue when you have to face a big, strong front court. And that is exactly what the Tigers possess. They have four double-digit scores. But they are very strong upfront with their three best rebounders all being big men. They significantly overmatch their opponent here on both sides of court, particularly on the boards, where they will absolutely dominate. Delaware is just 5-12 ATS their last 17 games played following a straight up win, 4-10 ATS their last 14 games played on the road following three or more consecutive games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played on the road. Take Princeton. Thank you.

UC Irvine.

Best Bet Play.

Game 863.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Guys, UC Irvine is a very strong team. They have taken down the likes of Oregon, Loyola Marymount, and New Mexico State. All this and they played very tough in a heartbreaking three-point loss to San Diego State as a 12-point underdog. This is a very good team. Not only that but they are 6-2 against the spread this season in lined games. They enter this match up against a Santa Clara team that has failed to cover their last five outings. Once again, this season this team is being overvalued. The Anteaters have an enormous amount of confidence knowing they have won and covered the last four meetings against the Broncos going back seven years. This includes last years meeting, 69-64. They possess an explosive offense averaging 80.1-points per game. And a defense allowing just 63.5-points per game. Offensively they are one of the best in the nation both from downtown and on the glass. Defensively they’re one of the best in field goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. Outside of a mid-November win against Depaul, Santa Clara really hasn’t showed us very much. They took some beatings already to the likes of Utah State, Central Florida, and San Jose State. I will not argue that the best player on the floor is guard Brandin Podziemski. But the Anteaters certainly have the depth and the talent to frustrate the stand out guard and also overwhelm him. They also have a team that rotates players a lot more because they’re so deep and this will be a major factor here. They are 4-0 ATS their last four games played on the road, 5-1 ATS their last six games played following a straight up win, and 4-1 ATS their last five games played overall. The Broncos are 0-5 ATS their last five games played at home, 0-4 ATS their last four games played followed a straight up win, and 0-5 ATS their last five games played overall. Take UC Irvine. Thank you.

Houston Rockets.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 524.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

The Houston Rockets have shown signs of life. They are coming off back-to-back victories for just the second time this season. And the last two opponents were no pushovers in the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns. If they would’ve had a letdown situation, it would’ve been following the Bucks victory. But instead, they clobbered the Suns by 15-points. As a matter of fact, they have won five consecutive games at home while covering their last six outings at the Toyota Center. Their defense has really played well. I understand that the Heat are a very good team, however they are just 5-9 straight up on the road this season. And to be quite honest with you their offense leaves a lot to be desired. I know defensively they are one of the better teams in the league. But the way the Rockets are playing I just don’t see the Heat contending as a visitor here tonight. By the way, Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 games played following a straight up win, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus a team with a losing record, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall Take Houston. Thank you.

Central Florida.

Best Bet Play.

Game 651.

4:30 PM PST 7:30 PM EST.

In my opinion this is one of the best matchups on the board Wednesday night. You have two very strong teams both sitting at 7-2 on the campaign. Many people out there are expecting a very high-scoring a fair. I’m looking at the side in this match up. Mississippi, according to headlines come off their best performance of the season a few nights ago. However, beating a team like Valparaiso by 37-points when you’re a 15-point favorite does not impress me much. Their previous two outings were both losses and no covers against Oklahoma and Memphis. Two solid opponents. On the other hand, Central Florida has played consistently the entire season. They opened up the campaign with an overtime loss against UNC Asheville then rattled off five consecutive wins and covers. They dropped a two-point heartbreaker to Miami and then won their following two games. Their last two opponents, Samford and Tarleton State are not the strongest adversaries. I will admit that. However, they got back on track. Both teams have several solid scorers and a couple of good rebounders. But the big difference in this matchup is the fact that the Knights are quite a bit stronger defensively. They are allowing just 60.3-points per game, 37.6% shooting from the floor, and only 26.7 shooting from downtown. This game is going to be a very close game. Central Florida is 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Ole’ Miss is 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS win. Takes a nice. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Angle Play.

Game 124.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The number is short here due to the QB situation. Brock Purdy has the luxury of stepping in to a monster offensive unit. San Fran is loaded with playmakers on the “O”. They also possess one of the NFL’S best stop-units, ranking in the Top-10 in just about every major category. They are 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus the NFC and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played at home. Take the 49ERS. Thank you.

OVER in the VIKINGS/LIONS matchup.

NFC NORTH TOM.

Games 105/106.

10:00 AM PST/1:00PM EST.

The over went money in four of the last five meetings in this division rivalry, including the September 25 matchup which tallied 52 points. Take the over. Thank you.

Bengals.

AFC NORTH GOM.

Game 114.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Cincy is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS this season and is looking for some revenge here after a late-October humiliating loss to Cleveland. The Bengals are playing solid ball, and making bettors money, covering nine of their last 10 outings. They have also covered 12 of their last 16 meetings with the Browns. Cincinnati is healthier, is at home, and is rolling. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 683.

2:15 PM PST/5:15 PM EST.

Sporting an 8-1 overall record, the sixth-ranked Kansas Jayhawks are well-rested, having not played since December 1. They face a Missouri Tigers team that is undefeated thus far this season at 9-0. Even with that flawless record, the Tigers are not ranked in the Top-25. There is a good reason for that. They have yet to face a true opponent. Playing teams like Southern Indiana, Penn, Lindenwood, SIU Edwardsville, Mississippi Valley State, Coastal Carolina, Houston Christian and South East Missouri State is the reason why they own a 9-0 mark. Their only true opponent was Wichita State and that game was their most competitive as they eked out a four-point victory in overtime. Kansas has already taken down such notables as Duke, NC State, Wisconsin, and Seton Hall. Their one loss was a bad one at the end of November, getting routed by Tennessee. However, they did bounce back strongly and have won and covered their last two outings. Last year‘s meeting with the Tigers was an annihilation, crushing them 102-65. Missouri does possess the No. 1 scoring offense in the nation, averaging over 93.0 points per game. But once again they have not faced a team anywhere near the level as they are going to face today. The Jayhawks also possess a very good defense, holding opponents to just 65.4-points per game and under 40% shooting from the floor. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Navy Midshipmen on the money line.

Game 103.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Navy took last year’s meeting, 17-13 to get their second win and cover in the last three matchups with Army. Obviously, we know that this is going to be a ground-and-pound game. We know that 15 straight meetings in this rivalry have gone under the total. And the reason why is because both teams own predominantly rushing offenses. Neither offensive unit is known for throwing the ball. Having said that, the Midshipmen own the seventh-ranked rushing attack in the nation, while the Black Knights possess the second-ranked ground assault in college football. The big difference in this matchup is the fact that defensively, Navy ranks fourth in the nation against the rush, allowing 85.8-yards per game on the ground. On the flipside of the ball, Army ranks 115th nationally defending the run, getting plowed for over 193.6-yards per game on the ground. While both teams are very successful for us sports bettors against the spread, the Midshipmen come into this matchup covering three straight against three solid opponents in the Bearcats, the Fighting Irish, and the Knights. Granted, the Black Knights are on a five-game cover streak, but have not faced the same level of opposition. As a matter fact, they are just 2-2 straight up their last four outings. Their two most recent contests were against UConn and UMass, games in which they were 10.5 and 19.5-point favorites. One more major item here, guys. Navy is a lot more well-rested, having had seven more days off than Army between their last matchup and this one. The underdog is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a bye week, 11-2 ATS their last 13 games played against teams with a losing record, and 7-2 ATS their last nine games played overall. Take Navy. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

High Roller Play.

Game 610.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The ninth-ranked Razorbacks are 8-1 on the season. To be quite honest, they really haven’t faced too many tough opponents. They lost to Creighton a few weeks ago and then followed that up having a tough time with San Diego State, eking out a four-point win in overtime. Their last three opponents were Troy, San Jose State, and UNC Greensboro. They are stepping up in class here big-time, facing a very strong Oklahoma squad. And they must do it without their biggest presence in Trevon Brazile. The forward is their strongest presence on the floor, one of their top-scorers, and their best rebounder. He will be sorely missed here as the Sooners are loaded up front and rotate four very physical, very big forwards. With wins over Nebraska, Seton Hall, and Mississippi, this team has faced some tough opposition. They played strong against Villanova a week ago in a heartbreaking four-point loss. Their defense ranks 13th in the nation, allowing just 57.9-points per game and will frustrate Arkansas. Oklahoma took last year‘s meeting 88-66 and has been money against the spread going 6-1 ATS their last seven games versus teams with a winning record, 6-0 ATS their last six games played on a neutral site, and 4-1 ATS their last five games played overall. Take the Sooners. Thank you.

Temple Owls.

Bookie Buster Play.

Game 615.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Temple comes into today’s match up red-hot, winning and covering their last four outings. They face a Penn team that is ice-cold, riding a three-game slide straight up, going 1-2 ATS. Towards the end of November, the Quakers faced several subpar teams to pad their record. But their last three opponents were a big step up in class, hence their losing streak. The Owls are another big step up in class for them here today. Both squads have solid starters. However, Temple is much deeper overall and also possess four players that are either averaging or flirting with double-digits. They took last year‘s meeting 81-72. Oh, and by the way the road team is 16-6 ATS the last 22 meetings in this series. Take the Owls. Thank you.

UConn Huskies.

BOOKIE BUSTER PLAY.

Game 705.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

No. 5 UConn is not just a perfect 9-0 this season. They are also 8-0-1 against the spread. I have read that this is the first true road test of the season. And I get it. However, on neutral courts this team has already taken down the likes of Oregon, Alabama, and Iowa State, covering each of those outings. This is a very well-balanced squad. Offensively, they have six-players either flirting with or averaging nine-points per game or more. Their starting backcourt of Hawkins and Newton are combining for 24.7-points per game. They have a very strong front court consisting of three starters or 6’9” or taller. They are led on the floor by forward, Adama Sonogo, who is accounting for 18.7-points per game and 6.9-rebounds per game. Florida is a decent team. They are 6-3 on the season but are being a bit overvalued as they have just covered four of their nine outings. They hit a rough patch in November covering just one of six games across nearly three weeks and dropped three of those six, losing to Florida Atlantic, Xavier, and West Virginia. Their last two games, they absolutely blew it up. But their opponents were Florida A&M and Stetson. I believe they’ll come in here with a false sense of security and very overconfident. Offensively, they can score. It is their defense that is in big trouble here against one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. It’s not just that folks. But the Huskies also possess one of the toughest and most frustrating defenses in college basketball. They rank 20th in the nation allowing only 58.7-points per game and 10th nationally grabbing 26.3-defensive boards a game. They have accumulated these statistics playing better competition my friends. The Gators are 2-12 ATS their last 14 games played following a straight up win and 4-9 ATS their last 13 games played overall. Take Connecticut. Thank you.

Indiana State Sycamores.

High Roller Play.

Game 589.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Indiana State owns the best record in the Missouri Valley Conference at 8-1. This does include a record of 1-0 in League play. Southern Illinois, which is also 1-0 in Conference action, is an overall 5-3. After losing four straight in this series, the Saluki‘s did take both of last year‘s meetings. However, these are two very different teams this year. The Sycamore’s are playing some great basketball. They currently rank 15th nationally in scoring, averaging over 84.1-points per game. They’ve already notched impressive victories over such notables as Drake and Miami-Ohio. Southern Illinois is posting good numbers defensively. However outside of an early-November victory over Oklahoma State, they have been very unimpressive thus far. They lost to both UNLV and Saint Louis. And also needed overtime to eke out a victory against Cal Baptist. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired. They lost their biggest and strongest big man Scottie Ebube about a month ago. This is the matchup he will be sorely missed. Indiana State has a very talented backcourt and a very strong, physical frontcourt. The Sycamore’s are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played following a straight up win. The Saluki‘s are 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Indiana State. Thank you.

Sports fans, my college basketball conference GAMES OF THE WEEK are 100% this season. Today we continue to stay perfect in my NCAA Basketball GOW’S as I have my BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK in the Maryland Terrapins/Wisconsin Badgers matchup. Not only will you win big with this Big Ten GOW Winner, but you could also watch your money roll in as it is being aired on ESPN2. 

Maryland Terrapins.

Big Ten GOW.

Game 645.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Maryland is a perfect 8-0 on the campaign. They are 1-0 in conference play. And the Terrapins have covered seven of their eight 2022 contests. They have already notched wins over such notables as St. Louis, Miami, and Illinois. This team is loaded with talent, possessing four double-digit scorers and a couple of big men upfront that are monsters on the boards. As a matter of fact, they are averaging over 80.8-points per game and are only allowing 61.0-points per game. They are excellent on both ends of the court on the glass. And are deep on the bench as well. At 6-2, Wisconsin is a pretty good team themselves. They’ve taken down a couple of big teams too. However, in their last few outings they took a loss at home against Wake Forest in which they were a 6-point favorite. And then a few days ago, won a grueling overtime contest at Marquette. They are not as explosive offensively. They’re only averaging 66.4-points per game. And they are not very good on the offensive boards. Don’t expect them to get too many second-chance shots. Their strength lies on their defense which is allowing 59.9-points per game. However, their last two outings, their defense got blown up for 78 and 77-points. Look for the Terrapins to get a little revenge from last years, 70-69 heartbreaking loss to the Badgers. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this rivalry. Maryland is 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a winning record and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

Phoenix. Suns.

OM PLAY.

Game 543.

5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST.

The Suns have dominated the regular season play with the Mavericks over the past three or four campaigns. But you may also recall last years Western Conference Finals in which Dallas took the final two games by 27 and 33-points to end Phoenix’ season. In their only matchup this season, the Suns eked out a two-point victory at home against the Mavericks nearly two months ago. Fast forward to tonights meeting, and Phoenix comes in here winning seven of their last eight straight up, which includes a 38-point blowout in San Antonio last night. Dallas had a day off to rest following their 21-point drubbing over New York at the Garden a few nights ago. That was their second win and their last three outings. However, that was also just their second win in their last seven outings. And only their third cover in the last 10. The Suns are still looking for a little pay back from being ousted from last year’s Western Conference Finals and they can exact a bit of vengeance here tonight. I just don’t see the Mavericks contending offensively with the seventh-ranked scoring offense in the NBA. When it comes to defense, both teams are very good. But because the Suns are so strong offensively it will slow Dallas down in transition. Oh, one more item, the Mavericks are one of the worst in the league on the offensive boards and they are facing one of the stingiest and most ferocious defensive rebounding squads in the NBA. So, second-chance shots will be at a minimum. I know the Suns have a couple guys that are banged-up here. It doesn’t matter folk. They will still be very competitive and keep this game close. Getting a few baskets is the play. Take Phoenix. Thank you

Boston Celtics.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST

Yes, I am well aware of the fact that Toronto is 9-2 SU at home this season. But Boston is pretty darn good on the road themselves, going 8-3 straight up away from home in 2022. These two teams share the Atlantic division as the Celtics are atop with an overall record of 19-5 and the Raptors sit tied for second just above .500 at 12-11. For our purposes, the Celtics have covered three straight in this rivalry. And going back a bit, seven of the last 10 meetings. They come in here a bit hotter and with the No. 1 scoring offense in the NBA. As a matter fact the rank in the top-three in every major offensive category. I just don’t see the Raptors keeping pace with them on the scoreboard offensively.  Boston is 9-0 ATS the last nine meetings in Toronto. Take the Celtics. Thank you.

New York Jets.

No Limit.

Game 451.

Ready 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

For those of you who remember Rodney Dangerfield, his catchphrase was “I get no respect“. Meanwhile he was one of the most successful comedians that ever lived. I kind of think the New York Jets feel the same way. No matter what this team does, they just can’t earn any respect. No respect from the league. No respect from the media. And no respect from the odds makers. Well, we can’t do too much about the league or the media. But we can certainly take advantage of the odds makers. Not only does the team own one of the best records in the AFC at 7-4. But they’re also 7-4 against the spread in 2022. As far as the Minnesota Vikings go, I have been saying for quite a while now that this team is one of the luckiest in the NFL. Guys, I cannot argue the fact they have won nine-games. But they got a little luck in winning those nine-games. One thing for sure, you can’t bet on them because they’re just 5-5-1 against the spread this season. This tells me that the odds makers know the general public is going to bet on them and they inflate the line because of it. And once again here in this weeks match up, they’re doing that exact thing. Ya’ know they rank 32nd in the NFL in passing defense. The way Mike White looked last week passing for over 315 yards and three touchdowns, and most importantly, no interceptions, tells me he’s going to have another successful performance this week. On the flipside, very quietly New York possesses the fifth ranked defense in the NFL, yielding a mere 17.8-points per game. And being that Minny has no rushing attack to speak of, the Jets defense can key on the passing game, pressure Kirk Cousins, and force mistakes. New York has been money on the road this season covering four of five as a visitor. Oh, by the way this is usually the time of year when Minnesota starts to fold like a cheap suit, only covering twice over the last eight in the month of December. I like the Jets outright. But I’ll take the points here with Gang Green. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

High Roller.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

There is no questioning the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles are a very good football team. However over recent weeks we seen teams play them a lot tougher. They could not cover the point spread in Houston at the beginning of November. They lost outright at home against Washington. They eked out a one-point victory at Indianapolis. And then they got a little lucky with a seven -point victory over the struggling Green Bay team at home. Over the last month, each of their opponents have come to realize they can exploit the Eagles weakness. That is when adversaries control the clock and the time in possession. By running the football each of those opponents have made it very difficult for Philly and their office to get an any rhythm on the field. Well, this week they have to go up against one of the best running backs in the NFL in Derrick Henry. The stellar ball-carrier already has over 1,048 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him running the ball and pounding the Eagles defense play after play. This will keep the Philly “D” honest and on the field. And most importantly Jalen Hurts and their offense off it. By the way, last weeks 20-16 loss to Cincinnati was Tennessee’s first no-cover since mid-September. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up loss, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Angle Play.

Game 460.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM PST.

You know guys, sports betting isn’t about who wins. It’s about who covers. And right now, no team is running as hot against the spread as the Detroit Lions. Detroit has covered four consecutive contests. Meanwhile they’ve also won three of their last four and to be honest, had the Buffalo Bills on the ropes the entire game last week. The Lions are without question, a much-improved team right now from the start of the season. And they are getting better with each passing week. And you know what folks, they’re getting healthier too. They should see the return of some key cogs in the wheel on both the offensive and the defensive squads this week. Lots of the headlines surrounding the Jaguars are about Trevor Lawrence orchestrating a game-winning drive last week against the Ravens. But in all sincerity, their defense was steamrolled the entire game. And I think we would all agree Lamar Jackson and Baltimore has been known to give up quite a few leads this season. I know both defenses here rank among the worst in the NFL. However, running back Jamaal Williams has very quietly tallied over 13 touchdowns on the ground. And wide receiver D’Andre Swift looks to be 100% healthy again. Having both of these guys full throttle this week will allow quarterback Jared Goff some time to do what he used to do… and that’s pick defenses apart. Let’s not forget Detroit had an extra few days to rest, heal, and prepare. And Dan Campbell has proven to be a pretty sharp guy. Jacksonville is 1-1-7 ATS the last nine games played on the road, 0-7 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-13-1 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Detroit is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at home, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following in against the spread win, 5-2 ATS the last seven home games played versus teams with a losing road record, and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played on field turf. Take the Lions as my best bet this week and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 324.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The news of running back, Blake Corum sidelined here for the Big Ten Championship game moved the line slightly. And I’m here to tell you although the ball-carrier is an outstanding athlete, it won’t matter much. The Michigan backfield is deep. Edwards and Stokes are excellent running backs. They both have an enormous amount of experience. Both saw a lot of action this season. As a matter of fact, Edwards played in nine games and Stokes in 10. We’ve seen some very peculiar things occur during this college football campaign. We saw teams, despite winning, still dropping in rankings because they did not annihilate lesser opponents. Michigan not only needs to win this game they need to blow Purdue out. They rank second in the polls. As you may or may not know, they are only one of three undefeated teams. Going off earlier on Saturday is LSU and Georgia. The Bulldogs top the rankings. While I think the Tigers are no pushovers, I do expect Georgia to prevail. Also, earlier on Saturday the third-ranked Horned Frogs will have a tough time with the Wildcats. Then the one-loss Trojans played Friday night and have a very worthy adversary in the Utes (as of posting this game, the Pac-12 Title game has yet to take place). Then there is the fifth-ranked Buckeyes which also have just one loss. My point being, Michigan must go all out in this matchup on Saturday. Now I know there are naysayers out there that would think that after they defeated Ohio State a week ago, 45-23 that they might take their foot off the gas a bit or maybe even be in for a left down here. There is no way Head Coach, Jim Harbaugh will allow his boys to do anything but annihilate their opponent here on Saturday. He won’t take the chance. And he wants his team to be riding momentum for their next contest. Speaking of their opponent, Purdue is outclassed on both sides of the ball in this match up. Just FYI folks, the 23-points given up in last weeks win over Ohio State, was the most Michigan has allowed since late-September. I really don’t see the Boilermakers having any success, whether it be on the ground or in the air here. I don’t see them moving the chains. And I certainly don’t see them putting too many points on the board. They don’t have a ground game to speak of. That leaves their one-dimensional offense very vulnerable. They can pass the ball. I will give them that. But the Wolverines own the 11th-ranked pass defense in the nation. Being Purdue cannot run the ball, the Michigan “D” will be able to key on their passing game. On the flipside, I just don’t see Purdue slowing down the juggernaut which is the Michigan offense. Understand that they’ve been much bigger favorites than 16.5-points this season against better opposition and they covered those outings. They will cover the spread here again this week. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Mississippi Rebels.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 699.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Getting Mississippi coming off their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign is going to be a very tough task for Memphis. The Rebels began the campaign 6-0 and went to the mat with Oklahoma last week, losing 59-55. This is a very talented team. But what makes them so strong is their defense. They have a swarming and frustrating “D“ that is allowing just 62.9-points per game and is one of the best in the nation on the defensive glass, currently ranking 13th nationally. Offensively, they have three players all averaging double-digits. And quite a few solid big men up front. I think this is a perfect opportunity for Mississippi to take advantage of a Memphis team that might come in here a little overconfident coming off three consecutive wins over teams like Nebraska, Stanford, and North Alabama. However, I believe the Tigers are going to get caught looking ahead as they are entering a stretch in which four of their next five games are against SEC teams. Up next is a game in which they host Little Rock. Then they face No. 15 Memphis, then Auburn, followed by No. 11 Alabama, and then they host Texas A&M. This is a very rough stretch for this team and I believe they will get caught looking ahead today. The Rebels know the Tigers very well and they have covered six straight meetings in the series including the most recent back in 2019 and 2021. By the way, they took a December meeting a year ago 67-63. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 605.

9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST.

My friends, there is no question that Oklahoma should be a very small favorite in this match up with Villanova today. Following their season opening loss, the Sooners have now won seven consecutive games straight up, covering their last three. They are doing it with a combination of accurate shooting and frustrating defense. They are hitting over 48% from the floor while their “D“ is allowing just 56.9-points per game. On the other hand, Villanova is in for a very long season. They have dropped four in a row straight up and have only covered one game going back to April of last season, riding a 1-7 no cover streak. Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road. Villanova is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Ohio Bobcats.

MAC TITLE GAME WINNER.

Game 310.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends it doesn’t have to be the SEC, the Big Ten, or even the Big 12 Championship game for you to make money in it. The 7-5 Toledo Rockets face the 9-3 Ohio Bobcats at Ford Field in Detroit for the Conference Championship. This is the 18th straight season that the title game for the MAC is being played on this field. You may not realize it, but Ohio is one of the hottest teams in college football. They began the campaign 2-3. But since the beginning of October, they have run off seven consecutive victories straight up. Oh, and by the way they’ve also covered eight straight. On the other hand, Toledo comes in here struggling. They have dropped their last two straight up. And have failed to cover five consecutive contests. Now sports fans, the line is off here. And I’ll tell you why it’s off. For most of the campaign Kurtis Roarke was at the helm for Ohio. He passed for over 3,200 yards with 25 TDs. He is out in this matchup. Now if he was playing, you would see the Bobcats closer to a touchdown favorite. But let’s pump the brakes on that guys. His back up CJ Harris doesn’t have a lot of experience. But is a solid quarterback. He threw for 196 yards and a touchdown in the air and ran for 65 yards and three more touchdowns on the ground in the victory over Bowling Green. My friends this team has an explosive passing attack and the lesser experienced quarterback has a lot of luxuries at his disposal. He’s got four receivers all with 500 or more yards receiving. And he has one of the best running backs in the conference in Sieh Bangura, who has over 884 yards rushing and 11 TDs on the ground and another 200 yards receiving and two touchdowns coming out of the backfield. This team is loaded with playmakers. So don’t worry about their quarterback situation. Defensively, they’re pretty damn good as well. I mean they’ve held their last six opponents an average of just 18.0 PPG. And that’s pretty darn good in the MAC folks. Toledo is 0-5 ATS the last five games played on a neutral site, 0-5 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS the last five versus conference opponents, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in December. Take the points with Ohio and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

I OWN THE PAC-12. Every season I get you paid in this conference in college basketball. Well, get ready to get paid once again this season. And today we tip-off the conference schedule with my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. If you only play one game today make sure it is this one.

UCLA Bruins.

Pac-12 GOW.

Game 779.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

UCLA is without question a much stronger team than Stanford. And being at this is their first conference matchup of the campaign, you can rest assure that the Bruins will come out here to make a statement. Following back-to-back hard-fought losses to Illinois and Baylor, UCLA has since decimated both Pepperdine and Bellarmine. On the other hand, Stanford is in for a very long and arduous season. They are just 3-4 with some very ugly losses. They are getting devoured by better teams. I just don’t see how a team that averages 66.6-points per game can contend offensively with the explosive offense of UCLA, which is averaging over 83.0-points per game. No matter how you look at it, the Bruins outclass the Cardinal. Not only will they beat them inside with a bigger stronger front court, but they have some of the most accurate shooters in the nation, averaging over 50% from the field and almost 40% from downtown. They won and covered both meetings in this conference rivalry last season by 23 and nine-points. This is a very short price to lay with a much better team. Stanford is just 2-6 ATS the last eight games played at Maples Pavilion. Take UCLA. Thank you.

Arizona State Sun Devils.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 767.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Since their November 13th OT loss to Texas Southern, Arizona State has won and covered four consecutive contests. They’ve had a couple of pushovers during their hot streak. However, they also took down Virginia Commonwealth and Michigan with authority, winning both of those outings outright as underdogs. They enter this matchup without one of their star forwards, Marcus Bagley. But not to worry, this will be the sixth game without him on the floor. Other than that, this is a very healthy team. They’re also confident knowing they took the last matchup with Colorado last February. The Buffaloes are a decent team. They’ve notched wins over such notables as the volunteers and the Aggie‘s already. However, they have looked pretty bad against several lesser teams. Colorado has dropped games against Grambling, UMass, and Boise State already. They come off a very difficult contest in which they eked by Yale 65-62. They have failed to cover three of their last four outings. Both of these teams are pretty good offensively. Defensively Arizona State is much stronger. They are holding opponents to less than 60-points per game and less than 34% shooting. Oh, by the way they crushed Grambling more than a week ago by 31-points. The Buffaloes are 6-13-2 ATS the last 21 games played at home and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following a straight up win. Take the Sun Devils. Thank you.

Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season.

I also posted my two strongest college hoops releases thus far this short campaign today: 52-15 NCAAB LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE which are 1-0 this season already and my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. I have them posted individually and in a DISCOUNTED 2-PACK.

Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots.

Game 302.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you.

Virginia.

Game 635.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

No. 3 Virginia has already tallied victories over a couple of ranked teams. They’ve taken down Baylor and Illinois with decisive wins and covers in both contests. Granted, Michigan is at home and sports a 5-1 record. But playing against the undefeated Cavaliers is definitely a step up in class for the Wolverines. Michigan has had problems with lesser teams and for our purposes, covering the point spread. They’ve already lost against Arizona State. And they failed to cover for all their last five against teams like Eastern Michigan, Arizona State, Ohio, and Jacksonville State. Both teams score about the same amount of points. But once again this season the Cavaliers possess a monster defense, yielding only 57.6 points per game. They’re also one of the best in the nation on the defensive glass. This means the Wolverines won’t get as many second chance shots as they like. This will be a game changer here. One more item guys. Look for Virginia to absolutely decimate Michigan from beyond the arc as they are hitting approximately 45% from downtown. This is a place where the Wolverines always have a problem defending. Virginia is 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road Michigan is 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Wisconsin.

High Roller.

Game 634.

6:00 PM PST/ 9:00 PM EST.

Wisconsin is playing some great basketball. The Badgers are already 5-1 and have taken down such notables as Stanford, Dayton, and USC. And went to overtime suffering a one-point heartbreaking loss against Kansas. One thing they have done has covered, going 5-1 ATS this season already. This does include three consecutive ATS covers against the Flyers, the Jayhawks, and the Trojans. Wake Forest has played good basketball as well. But let’s be honest, they just haven’t played the same level of competition as their counterpart. And the fact that they had some problems with Utah Valley and lost to Loyola Marymount, cannot be ignored. While the Demon Deacons are accounting for over 81 points per game, they just cannot contend with the Badgers stifling and frustrating defense that’s only yielding 54 points per game. Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Badgers. Thank you.

Houston Rockets.

Slam Dunk.

Game 513.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

The Houston Rockets own one of the poorest records in the NBA at 5-14. However, one thing they do is get us bettors paid, going 11-8 ATS this season. They are starting to show signs of life, winning their last two games straight up and covering three in a row and four of their last five against the spread. While the Denver Nuggets are one of the better teams in the NBA atop the Northwest division at 12-7, they are crushing anyone who supports them at the betting window. There is a reason for this my friends. They are severely overvalued by the odds makers. Put a pin in that we will come back around to it. They are currently without several key players. Recently added to the injured list is Jeff Green, who is expected to be out this evening. And Michael Porter Jr., who is most-likely going to be sitting tonight. (Always do your due diligence and check status on both). The Nuggets are not that deep with experienced backup players folks. To be honest with you, both teams statistics as far as scoring offensively and defensively are very similar. Going back to the ATS situation for Denver, they are just 6-13 ATS the last 19 at home, 1-7 the last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record, and 7-19 ATS the last 26 following a straight up win. This is way too many points to give a game team like Houston. Take the Rockets. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

95% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 256.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Ron Rivera has the Washington Commanders not just believing they can win, he has them winning. This is a team that has won five of the last six straight up and is just a half-point away from covering six in a row. It seems that they are progressing with each game. If they were going to drop a game, it would’ve been last week in a letdown mode following the thumping of the Eagles a few weeks back. However, they came out strong a week ago and took down the Texans with authority. I don’t see the team slowing down. They have a very good chance of the postseason. Believe it or not they are still in the running for the Division. With teams like the Eagles and the Cowboys looking mortal, and the Giants, well being the Giants, the Commanders have a mathematical chance of taking the competitive NFC East. And what better team to face the Atlanta Falcons. Talk about a “Jekyll and Hyde” team. This team is not just struggling, they are also failing to get bettors paid covering just once since mid-October. The once high-flying aerial assault of their offense is currently ranked 31st, passing for just 154 yards per game. This offense solely relies upon the run. Well, that does not bode too well as Washington enters this matchup with the sixth ranked run defense. Overall, they allow just 20.3 points per game. I know their offense, statistically leaves a lot to be desired. But you can’t ignore the fact that they put up 55-points the last two weeks. One thing the Commanders string together is paydays for those who bet on them. They are 18-7-1 ATS 26 following a straight up win. Take Washington. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 140.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

You know guys, when Kansas began the campaign at 5-0, both straight up and against the spread, people were out there talking that this was a Cinderella team and they were making headlines. But I’m here to tell you that the carriage has turned into a pumpkin and their 15 minutes of fame is over. Following their fast start, the Jayhawks have since gone just 1-5 straight up and just 2-4 against the spread. Now, I get it, this is a big rivalry. But, Kansas, let’s face it, they’ve done the bare minimum to become a bowl eligible. Now that’s a pat on the back for a head coach, Lance Leipold. But guys, they don’t need to even try here. Kansas State head coach, Chris Klieman has gone out of his way, taking a lot of pride beating up… nay in crushing their rival since he’s taken charge of the team, winning and covering the last three meetings by 28, 41, and 25-points. A win here gives the Wildcats what they want most, a rematch with the Horned Frogs in next weeks Big 12 Title game. Having a backup like Will Howard has done well for this team. The quarterback has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions filling in for injured starter, Adrian Martinez. Not only will the Wildcats dissect the Jayhawks 109th pass defense in the air. They will also decimate them on the ground with the 17th ranked rushing attack in the nation on the legs of Deuce Vaughn. The running back averages over 5.2 yards per carry. And has already accumulated over 1,148 rushing yards. He’s also pretty dangerous coming out of the backfield as a receiver, folks. On the flipside of the ball, KU will have a hell of a time trying to move the chains, let alone get in the end zone against the 15th ranked scoring defense of KSU. The Wildcats only allow a mere 18.7-points per game. And they have held some very good defenses in check once again this season. They have momentum, winning and covering their last two, and are riding an 8-3-1 ATS streak the last 12 overall. FYI guys, the Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS the last 13 meetings in this rivalry. Take the Wildcats to crush here and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Game 199.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Yes, I am well aware of the fact that the Trojans are looking for a big victory here to keep their CFP hopes alive. And I’m not looking to take anything away from USC. They certainly deserve their 10-1 record and their ranking of sixth in the polls. But they certainly got a little lucky this season. And to be honest, the odds makers tend to overvalue this team. Case in point, they are 4-4 against the spread over the last eight games. Outside of their contest against Colorado a few weeks ago, the USC defense has gotten steamrolled for 43, 37, 35, and 45-points just since mid-October. Their defense is tired and overworked. And when facing well-balanced offenses, they can be exploited. Let’s not sell Notre Dame so short, sports fans. After starting the season 0-2, the Fighting Irish have now rattled off eight wins over the last nine outings. This is a team that has run scores up (outside of their sole loss) on every single opponent since mid-September. They have a pounding running attack, which will take its toll on the USC overmatched defense. This will also allow Notre Dame to open up their passing game. Please remember this is a team that has put up over 31-points per game this season. The Trojans will be without several key defenders, including a fee in their secondary. When USC has the ball, they are without their leading rusher in Travis Dye, who was injured a few weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top ball-carrier. When they go to the air, which they have had a lot of success with this season, they must face the 16th ranked pass defense of Notre Dame. Irish head coach, Marcus Freeman has a very well-balanced team. Offensively, defensively, and on special teams, this team is very talented. They will also come into this game, agitated that they lost a few games in the beginning of the campaign and looking for a little redemption. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS the last seven on grass, 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, 11-3 ATS the last 14 following a straight up win, 13-3 ATS the last 16 on the road versus teams with winning home record, 19-7-1 ATS the last 28 overall on the road, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Fighting Irish to keep this game very close. Thank you.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.

SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 175.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Due to their transition to the FBS level, James Madison is ineligible to participate in the Conference Championship game. In my opinion it wouldn’t matter. No matter what, making the Dukes a 14-point favorite over the 9-1 Chanticleers is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. This astounds me. Coastal Carolina won this conference in 2020, was one-game off the lead last season, and enters this match up with a one-game lead in the Sun Belt East, and is getting two touchdowns. As I said, this astounds me. They enter this matchup coming off a bye week because their game with Virginia was canceled. They are well-rested, healed, and very prepared for this match up with James Madison. Now maybe the line is way off because their starting quarterback, Grayson McCall is out. But the talented Jared Guest is expected to get the start. And if he falls into trouble, five year QB, Bryce Carpenter is ready to take his place. This team is strong enough and well-balanced enough to handle they’re starting quarterback sidelined here. Listen guys, the Dukes aren’t playing for anything. Just maybe some pride. But is pride enough to make this team a two touchdown favorite? I mean they’ve lost three of the last five straight up, failing to cover four of their last five. And to be honest with you, the games they lost weren’t even close. Their defense has been throttled in four of those last five, all ATS losses, allowing 45, 26, 34, and 40-points. This team is tired, overworked, and frustrated that they can’t play in the Championship game. The Chanticleers are 20-9 ATS the last 29 on the road. The Dukes are 1-10 ATS the last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes.

Consensus winner.

Game 132.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Yes, it’s true Iowa has struggled offensively. But when you’ve held your last four opponents to less than 11-points per game, you don’t have to score too many points. Oh, by the way during their current four-game win and cover streak, they have outscored their foes by 20, 21, 14, and three-points. A victory here puts the Hawkeyes in a position to play either the Wolverines or the Buckeyes in the Conference Title game. What better adversary to face to notch that well-needed win than the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is riding a five-game losing streak. Their offense is nonexistent and their defense is getting steamrolled. Their statistics offensively are some of the worst in the nation. And when you face one of the top defenses in college football, things are going to go from bad to worse. Granted, Iowa does not have an explosive offense. But their defense is so strong and gets opponents offenses off the field so quickly, that come the second half their “O” can exploit overworked and fatigued “D’s”. They have taken seven consecutive meetings and this series straight up. They need this victory. They will not let their foot off the gas. And they will crush another conference opponents here. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

NO LIMIT PLAY.

Game 109.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

Sports fans, I have been saying for months that I feel Minnesota is a very lucky team. Yes, I am noy going to argue the fact that they have won eight games. But I feel that scheduling and may be a little bit of luck has gone their way this season. If you look at the teams they’ve beaten, only one really good team did they get the better of and that was a few weeks ago at Buffalo, winning 33-30 in overtime. Let’s talk truth, they had a few things go their way for them to earn that victory. Other than that, they have played only two decent teams, and lost both of those contests in Philadelphia and against Dallas. In last weeks 40-3 embarrassing rout at the hands of the Cowboys, the Vikings weaknesses were exposed. One thing head coach Bill Belichick can do is exploit weaknesses. Put a pin in that we’re going to come back around to it. Very quietly, the Patriots are winning. They have won five of the last six straight up and six of their last seven against the spread. The Minnesota offensive line got flattened last week, allowing seven sacks. Like I said Belichick and his very smart coaching staff will exploit this weakness. Not only is the Vikings offensive line in for a long day here, but overall, their offense is going to have a tough time moving to chains whether it be on the ground or in the air against the top-10 Patriots “D”. In every category the stop-unit of New England is extremely strong. To add insult to injury, they only allow 16.9 points per game. Oh yeah, Minny has also lost one of their better receivers and a starting cornerback. Look for the New England offense to spring back to life here and further beat up on an overworked and overrated Vikings defense. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS the last seven in November, 3-0-1 ATS the last four on the road, and 3-0-1 ATS the last for versus teams with winning record. Take New England. Thank you.

Mississippi Rebels on the MONEYLINE.

Egg Bowl Winner.

Game 112.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I know there’s a lot of talk surrounding Mississippi Head Coach Lane Kiffin possibly taking the Auburn job. And people are saying this will distract the Rebels. And I say, “NONSENSE”. Understand that this is a team that began this campaign 7-0, only to drop three of their last four games. And all sincerity though they did play LSU Alabama and Arkansas. They beat some very good teams for sure. On the flipside, Mississippi State has been a “Jekyll and Hyde” team all season long. Both of these teams score about the same amount of points. And both of these teams give up about the same amount of points. However, the Rebels offense is led by an explosive rushing attack, ranking third in the country and averaging just under 280 yards per game on the ground. Between Judkins, Evans, and dual-threat quarterback, Dart, these three ball-carriers have accounted for nearly 3,000 yards on the ground (2,836). Being that their quarterback is a dual-threat, this allows the team the luxury of passing off the run. Going back to their rushing attack, they will absolutely devour the Mississippi State 70th ranked run defense. On the opposite side, we know the Bulldogs cannot run the ball at all. Their entire offensive success relies upon the pass. And Mississippi has done well against the pass the season. Because of a lack of any serious threat on the ground, MSU is in real trouble here. Ole Miss can and will key on their passing game and wreak a lot of havoc on them. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road, 0-4 ATS the last four versus conference opponents, and 1-4 ATS the last five games overall. Take the Rebels. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

ANGLE PLAY.

Game 106.

9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST.

Guys, I know how good the Buffalo Bills are. But this long and arduous season seems to be taking its toll on the team. And I think that we can all agree that over the last several weeks not only have they looked beatable, they have been beatable. This is a team that has dropped two of their last three and has failed to cover three of the last four. Their defense in the month of November has allowed 20, 33, and 23-points. Well, in comes the Detroit Lions, which have won and covered three straight. A victory here would put them in the NFC wildcard race. There is very little pressure on this them and they are starting to roll. Offensively, they account for over 25-points per game with a squad that is very well-balanced, having success both in the air and on the ground. It is through the air in which they will exploit the 20th ranked pass defense of Buffalo. Because they run the ball also with success, they can eat up the clock and keep the Bills defense on the field, and Josh Allen and their offense off it. I understand how poor the Lions defensive statistics are. But the Bills are looking mortal these days. Not only that, but their turnover ratio is now -3 over the last eight games. They’ve also only covered one of their last four as a visitor this season. Oh, by the way, they failed to cover the little last two as a double-digit favorite as well. Detroit is 6-0 ATS the last six in November, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, 6-2 the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Ohio Bobcats.

MAC Game of the Week.

Game 102.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This contest will decide the conference’s East champion and reserve the winner a place in the conference championship next Saturday. Ohio is one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning six outings in a row straight up. And for our purposes, covering seven straight as well. They have had their way in this series against Bowling Green, taking five straight meetings prior to last years devastating 21-10 upset in which the Falcons took down the Bobcats as a 17-point underdog. Revenge will play a big factor in this match up, guys. Both teams have explosive quarterbacks. However, the passing attack of Ohio is quite a bit more powerful. They also have a decent rushing attack while Bowling Green possesses a very low threat on the ground. Defensively, I expect the Bobcats stop-unit, which has tightened up quite a bit over the last few months, to frustrate the Falcons offense. Ohio is 21-8 ATS the last 29 versus teams with a winning record, 13-3 ATS the last 16 versus conference opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight In November, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. Take Ohio. Thank you.

Ball State Cardinals.

MAC Money Maker.

Game 103.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Guys, both teams are playing for their sixth victory and bowl eligibility here. Now Ball State comes off two losses. That’s no secret. But their two losses were very competitive contests against the two best in the MAC, Toledo and Ohio. Miami Ohio has a question mark on their quarterback tonight. But to be quite honest their passing game isn’t all that thrilling to begin with. They rank 122nd in the nation in passing. They’re also don’t possess the greatest rushing attack either. This is a team that averages just 20.5-points per game. They don’t score a lot of points, folks. They are pretty good defensively. But they will have a lot of problems facing the 1-2 punch of Ball State quarterback, John Paddock and MAC leading-rusher, Carson Steele. This is a very good offense, a very well-balanced offense. And it will be that rushing attack that will keep the Redhawks defense on the field and tire them out, especially as the game progresses. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a losing record. The Redhawks are 2-8 ATS the last 10 following an ATS win. Take the points is Ball State here. Thank you.

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Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Game 804.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

While both California Baptist and Minnesota entered this matchup 3-1 straight up at 1-3 against the spread, that is the where their similarities end. Granted, the Lancers just took down the Huskies with authority a few nights ago. But I will tell you this is not a team that could step up in class. A season ago, they took a 24-point loss at Texas, and a 24-point loss at Arizona and the first month or so of the regular season. I know Minnesota is kind of a doormat in the Big Ten. However, they do face a higher level of competition and do like to beat up on lesser opponents. A season ago, this team started the campaign rattling off seven consecutive wins, going 5-2 against the spread. And mind you, not all of those teams were inferior adversaries. They took down Western Kentucky, Princeton, Pitt, and Mississippi State. Then after a loss at Michigan State they took down Michigan. Through the season they held their own ATS against better conference opponents. Although Cal Baptist has a big strong front court, they just don’t have the depth or the athleticism to match up in this contest. They are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played overall. Meanwhile Minnesota is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on a neutral site. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

California Golden Bears on the MONEYLINE.

Game 762.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

My friends, Cal is off to their worst start in over a quarter of a century. They are 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And really haven’t faced too many tough opponents thus far. While Texas State sandwiched two wins in between two losses thus far, they are without their 2022 top-scorer, Jalen Celestine. This is a game that they will sorely miss their biggest producer. Golden Bears head coach, Mark Fox refused media access to his players after Friday nights loss. Rumors are, he read his team and his coaching staff the riot act following their fourth consecutive loss to begin the campaign. You will see this team come out motivated and with something to prove here tonight against a lesser opponent. They’ve got a phenomenal guard in Devin Askew and a very big front court made up of strong, talented forwards. Look for the Golden Bears to make a statement here tonight and get back a little redemption as they earn their first victory. This is a short number to lay. Take California. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 469.

5:25 PM PST/8:25 PM EST.

Injuries are really starting to pile up for Los Angeles, despite covering their last two outings. On both sides of the ball, the list of injured players is too long to even name. Kansas City has their own health issues. But I think we would all agree the Chiefs are much deeper and more talented than the Chargers. Looking at the L.A.’s five victories this season, not one has come against an opponent currently owning a winning record. Meanwhile K.C. is starting to stride, Patrick Mahomes is about to surpass 3,000 yards passing and as long as he has Travis Kelce at his disposal, the Chargers can not trade scores with the Chiefs. Kansas City is posting over 30.0 points per game while their “D” has held their last two foes to just 17.0 points per game. To make matters worse for Los Angeles, they have failed to cover the last three at SoFi Stadium. The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS the last nine in Los Angeles and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

New York Giants.

High Roller Play

Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

-3.

Consensus.

The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

91% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

You know sports fans, with the Eagles looking mortal and the Cowboys…well looking like the Cowboys, the Commanders certainly have a chance at possibly competing for the NFC East crown. Moreover, sitting at 5-5 right now and a lot of NFC mid-level squads like the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Falcons all dropping games a week ago, this team has a very, very good chance at making the postseason. Taylor Heinicke will remain the starting QB, and why not? He’s been adequate and will be under center for his fifth start this season. Chase Young is expected to make his return. While it was released and he will be on “pitch count“, he will still have an impact on this game. Washington enters this matchup motivated and rolling. Let’s face it, they’re a half-point away from covering five straight and a little better than a field goal away from winning five straight. This is a team that is playing with momentum, enthusiasm, and optimism. No, they’re not flashy, but they do play good solid football. It seems that with each passing week, they are getting better and better. Their defense is holding teams to just over 21-points per game. And as I mentioned, their offense is improving with each outing. As a matter fact, the 32-points they put up, throwing a monkey wrench into Philly’s perfect season was the most they’ve accounted for in any outing thus far. On the other hand, the Houston Texans own the worst record in the NFL at 1-7-1. This is a team with very little talent, playing with no motivation, and let’s be honest, a head coach who hasn’t led a winning team in over a decade. They pose almost no threat offensively. And I feel things are going to get worse for this team. There are rumors that the Texans might have a quarterback change very soon. But it really doesn’t matter who is at the helm here, this team has very little talent. And because their offense is so weak, their defense is overworked. The Commanders are 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a straight up win, 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a losing record, 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played in November, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take Washington here. Thank you.