Virginia.

ODSSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY.

Game 155.

7:15 pm pst.

BYU us fading fast. With two losses and a two-point squeaker over their last three contests, the Cougars have now failed to cover three straight. In comes a Virginia team on a four-game win and cover hot streak, beating Miami Florida, Louisville, Duke, and Georgia Tech. Brennan Armstrong leads the nations 2nd-ranked passing offense. The Cavaliers quarterback has tallied 3,220 yards passing, a 64.2% completion rate, and 23/6. This does not bode well for a BYU defense ranking 85th vs. the pass and allowing 70% completion rate against Power-5 foes. Virginia is 5-0 ATS the last five game played against nonconference opponents, 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played following an ATS win. Take Virginia. Thank you.  

New York.

Fast Break play.

Game 505.

4:10 pm pst.

New York sits atop the Atlantic at 4-1 while New Orleans dwells in the Southwest cellar at 1-5. Don’t be shocked but the Knicks own the No.2 scoring team in the NBA, accounting for over 115.8 PPG. Without Zion Williamson, the Pelicans just can’t score (102-2 PPG) With six players pitting in serious minutes and Kemba Walker proving to be a significant addition, New York just outclasses New Orleans. Plus, they had a day off to rest while the Pels had a tough outing in last night’s, 113-109 loss to the Kings. The Knicks are 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played at the Pelicans, 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a road favorite, and 15-7 ATS then last 22 games played on one days rest. Take New York. Thank you.

Florida State.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 147.

12:30.

It’s not just the departure of Trevor Lawrence and a handful of playmakers. It’s also not just that the team was hit with the injury bug. On top of all that, Clemson just doesn’t possess the heart, the enthusiasm, the confidence, or, and most importantly, the personnel. Florida State has issues too. But, one thing they can do, is score points. The Seminoles, behind a ferocious ground attack, are averaging 31.3 PPG. They have won three in a row SU and believe that Bowl eligibility is within their grasp. Corbin, Ward, and dual-threat quarterback, Travis will control the clock and the tempo on the ground here and wear down the Tigers “D”. The last time Clemson covered a game was back in December. They are riding an eight-game ATS slide. By the way, that includes failing to cover five straight as a double-digit favorite. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Michigan State.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 124.

9:00 am pst.

This is a battle between two teams that know one another very well. Two teams that are ranked in the top-10. Two teams that are undefeated. And two teams that are getting bettors paid against the spread. However, Michigan State had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. And guys, that is huge here. Not only that but, I’m not the biggest fan of Jim Harbaugh in big games. My friends this is a big game. And he just has never shown me that when it’s time to step up, he can get the job done. Offensively the Spartans are more-well-balanced and can keep the Wolverines defense honest because of it. Michigan is not a great passing team. They are pretty one-dimensional. Now, they can run the ball. I am not gonna’ argue that. But the Green & White are excellent at defending the run. Getting four points with a team that is rested, more complete offensively, and having covered 11 of the last 13 meetings is a gift. MSU plus the points is an early Christmas present. Take it, unwrap it, and enjoy it. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Navy.

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS play.

Game 113.

4:30 pm pst.

It’s true, Navy is just 1-6 SU in 2021. However, the Midshipmen are on a 4-1 ATS run. All against superior opposition. While Tulsa has been winning (3-1 SU L4), they have been eking by foes. They beat Arkansas State by seven, Memphis by six, and South Florida by one. The Golden Hurricanes aren’t so golden when laying double-digits, going 0-2 ATS this season in that situation. Navy has the ground game (23rd) to eat away the clock, grind Tulsa down, and keep this contest very close. The Midshipmen are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at the Golden Hurricanes, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. Conference opponents. Take Navy. Thank you.

Coastal Carolina.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 110.

4:30 pm pst.

The 24th ranked Chanticleers dropped 10 spots in the polls this week following their first loss of the season. Coastal Carolina does not take dropping in rankings or losing very lightly. Their last loss was December 2020, to finish out last season. They began this season blowing up Citadel, 52-14. Laying points is nothing new either as they have been favorites of 4.5 points up to 36 points, covering five of their seven contests (-32, -26.5, -36, -33.5, -26) this season. The Trojans are known for their defense. But against who? In their last four outings, Troy has allowed ULM to post 29, South Carolina 23, Georgia Southern 24, and Texas 28 points. All no covers. Coming off a loss and needing style points, Coastal Carolina and their 3rd ranked scoring offense (45.7 PPG) will light up the scoreboard here. The Trojans are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, 1-8 ATS the last nine games played following a SU win, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as a road underdog. The Chanticleers are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. teams with a winning record, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played against conference opponents, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you.

Charlotte.

ABOVE THE RIM PLAY.

Game 529.

4:10 pm pst.

Charlotte is sitting atop the Southwest at 3-1. Through the first four games of the campaign, the Hornets own the No.2 scoring offense in the NBA, accounting for 121.5 PPG. Coming off their first loss of the season and playing the lowly Magic (forecasted as the worst team in the NBA), they will bounce back here and win big. They won and covered two of the three meetings with Orlando a season ago. The Magic just can’t compete here and keep pace in scoring donning the 28th ranked offense (98.3 PPG) in the NBA. The Hornets are 14-5 ATS the last 19 games played at the Magic, 7-1 ATS the las eight games played as a road favorite, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played following an ATS loss. The Magic are 2-6 ATS the last eight games played on one days rest, 1-8-1 ATS the last 10 games played as a home underdog, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Charlotte. Thank you.

Houston.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 523.

5:40 pm pst.

Houston isn’t touted to have a great season. But the Rockets have some very solid talent and match up well with the Mavericks. They have the size and the strength to give Dallas problems. Currently, all five starters are averaging double-digits. Speaking of double-digits, the Mavericks, while possessing some very good personnel, aren’t known to blow-out opponents. A season ago, they were favorites of 10 or more points seven times. Outside of two meetings with the lowly Cavaliers, they went 1-4 ATS in the other five contests. One of those outings were against the Rockets, laying 10-points and losing outright. As a matter of fact, Houston has won six of the last eight meetings in this Texas-rivalry SU, including the most-recent two meetings, in January and April. The Rockets are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played in Dallas 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a SU loss, and 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road. The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS the 2-5 ATS the last seven games played overall, 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following a SU win, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Houston. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Monday Moneymaker.

Game 514.

5:10 pm pst.

A quick turnaround from Saturday’s matchup at the Target Center which saw the T-Wolves get a 96-89 win, missing an ATS cover by a half-point. In that meeting, Minny exploited New Orleans’ weaknesses, taking advantage of the absence of their top-contributor and floor general, Zion Williamson. The Timberwolves won’t take this matchup lightly, knowing they have both the Bucks and the Nuggets coming up. Looking at the ATS stats, the Pelicans are 0-4 ATS the last four games played on one days rest, 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played following a SU loss. Take Minnesota. Thank you.  

Indianapolis.

SNLB GOM.

Game 471.

5:20 pm pst.

San Francisco is on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. Garoppolo is most-likely out (check status). And both Mostert and Kittle are injured. Even if the trio was in uniform, the team just does not match up well with an Indianapolis team that has covered their last three contests. Wentz (1,545 yards passing, 64.2% completion rate, 9/1) and Taylor (682 total yards and five TD’s) will decimate the overworked 49ers “D”. They are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 10-27-1 ATS the last 38 games played as a favorite. The Colts are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played in the month of October. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Carolina.

BOOKIE BUSTER.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst.

Losing three in a row, the Panthers must turn their season around right now. Playing the Giants will do just that. New York can not score at all. And playing the NFL’s 6th ranked defense, things will go from bad to worse for the team. The 1-2 punch of Darnold and Hubbard will prove to be too much in this matchup as the tandem will light up the scoreboard here against the 30th ranked “D” of NY. Carolina is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Green Bay.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

Let’s be honest guys. As much as we all enjoy football. We are not here to have fun. We are here to make money. The Green Bay Packers are just that, THEY ARE MONEY! The Packers have won and covered five straight. Very simply, Green Bay, behind the leadership of Aaron Rodgers, is one of the best teams in the NFC and one of the best in all of football. They have lined up against some very tough defenses and have lit them all up. The WFT won’t be able to stop the bleeding here. Prior to the season starting, their defense was supposed to be one of the toughest in the league. Well, they rank 32nd vs. the pass, 31st in total yards allowed, 23rd in takeaways, and yes, 32nd (in case you’re keeping score, that’s dead-last) in points allowed. They are getting blasted for 31.0 PPG. That would be enough folks. But Green Bay’s stop-unit has emerged to be one of the best in the NFL. Look for Rodgers to have his best game thus far this season facing a defense that is allowing 65% completions. The Packers win by 2 TD’s or more. Thank you.

Tennessee.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 458.

10:00 am pst.

The cat is out of the bag folks. Kansas City is beatable and their weaknesses have been exposed. The Chiefs have crushed bettors, only covering two outings in 2021 and going back a bit, they are on a 4-13 ATS slide. The Titans, behind the rushing of Derrick Henry will shred the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs, controlling the clock and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with KC, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games played. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following an ATS win. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Atlanta.

NLCG GOM.

Game 924.

2:05 pm pst.

Atlanta returns to Truist Park, where they took Games 1 and 2 of this series. As if posting this release, Los Angeles has yet to name a starting pitcher. Reports are that Max Scherzer was supposed to go. But several media outlets stated that he was scratched (check status) and the team may go with a bullpen game. Ian Anderson is taking the mound at home. The Braves have won his last four starts, including Game 2. Las season, Atlanta has a 3-1 lead over L.A. in the NLCS and lost the series, 4-3. They will not let that happen again. The Dodgers are 0-4 the blast four games played at the Braves and 7-16 the last 23 games played on the road. The Braves are 6-0 the last six games played at home and 4-1the last five games played as an underdog. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Virginia.

ACC GOM.

Game 338.

4:30 pm pst.

Virginia is on a three-game win streak both SU and ATS. The first two games, were as underdogs against Miami Florida and Louisville, both on the road. this says a lot about this team. Then last week’s 48-0 shellacking of Duke at home says even more. The Cavaliers bring into this matchup, one of the nation’s top-offensive units in total yards and passing yards. Guys, the Yellow Jackets are allowing over 382 YPG which includes 228 passing yards per game. WOW! Quarterback Brennan Armstrong is a stud, with 2,824 yards passing, a 64% completion rate, and a 19/6 ratio. With a few more solid performances, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was mentioned in the Heisman watch. Counterpart, Jeff Sims, four picks in his last two starts. There is no way he and his pedestrian Georgia Tech offense will be able to keep pace with Armstrong and the high-flying aerial assault of Virginia. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you…the home team is 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 the last five on the road and 4-12 the last 16 vs. teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers…7-3 the last 10 in conference play and 10-3 the last 13 overall. Take Virginia here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Syracuse.

CONSENSUS WINNER.

Game 341.

9:30 am pst.

Syracuse is money, covering five straight and going back a bit, eight of their last nine outings. The team is just a handful of points away from being undefeated instead of 3-4. The Orange defense is solid and will completely shut down the Hokies lackluster, 111th ranked offense. The Syracuse “O” is led by the nation’s No.2 leading rusher, Sean Tucker. The running back has tallied 948 yards rushing and nine TD’s on the ground. Add another 224 yards receiving and another two TD’s coming out of the backfield. The 12 ranked rushing unit in college football will control the clock, move the chains, wear down the 79th ranked run defense of Virginia Tech, and win this game outright. The Orange are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games vs. conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed overall. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Utah.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE play.

Game 551.

7:10 pm pst.

Guys, the oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. This line should be closer to a -9 or even a -10. Utah is a monster team looking for redemption. Following last years 52-20 regular season, they were ousted from the postseason in the second round. The Jazz won and covered all three meetings with the Kings in 2021 and four straight going back a bit further, and eight of the last nine overall meetings. Sacto’s only strength is scoring. But facing the stingy Utah “D” is going to be fatal here. Defensively, the Kings are a doormat. At least six or seven Jazz players will be in double-digits tonight. Utah is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite and 6-1 ATS the lasts even games played following a SU win. Sacramento is 7-15-1 ATS the last 23 games played at home and 5-11 ATS the last 16 games played on one days rest. Take the Jazz. Thank you.  

Atlanta.

Game 919.

5:05 pm pst.

As of 10:15 am pst/1:15 pm est, Los Angeles has not named their starter for this game and looks to be trying to keep their season alive with a bullpen game. However, up 3-1, Atlanta sends Max fried to the mound. The LH has been outstanding, allowing two runs or less in his last six turns and eight of his last nine overall starts. The team has won his last eight on the hill. The Braves will put away the Dodgers here and get a few extra days to rest before the Fall Classic. They are 9-3 the last 12 games played on the road, 4-1 the last five games played as an underdog, and 6-1 the last seven games played overall. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Philadelphia.

CRASH THE BOARDS play.

Game 515.

5:10 pm pst.

The news this week was all about Ben Simmons being suspended for the season-opener. No big deal. The guard averaged a mere, 9.9 PPG in the Conference Semi Finals last season. What is a big deal is the absence of Pelicans standout forward, Zion Williamson (foot). I understand New Orleans is excited about their new additions. However, without their floor general and team leader, they team just won’t be able to compete here. Philly will go out to prove they don’t need Simmons and the distractions he causes. The Pelicans are 2-5 ATS the last seven home games. The 76ers are 12-5-1 ATS the last 18 games played as a road favorite, Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Milwaukee.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE.

Game 502.

4:40 pm pst.

Both teams are loaded with talent. And both will be competing for the Eastern Conference title. However, without Kyrie Irving (out), Brooklyn must alter their gameplan. For Milwaukee, tonight will be an emotion-filled evening as they will be presented with their Championship rings and have their banner raised in front of their home crowd. The Nets are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at the Bucks and 1-4 ATS the last five games played as a road ‘dog. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at home, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a home fav. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Atlanta.

HOME RUN PLAY.

Game 913.

2:05 pm pst.

The Braves lead this series, 2-0. And today, have one of baseball’s most-experienced postseason pitcher on the mound. Charlie Morton was 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA in the regular season. The veteran also went 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA vs. the Dodgers. Atlanta is 5-0 the last five playoffs’ games played, 12-3 the last 13 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 8-1 the last nine road games played vs. RH starters. Take the Braves. Thank you.

Houston.

Game 909.

5:05 pm pst.

Houston has taken six of the nine meetings with Boston this season. They are ties at one game apiece in this ALCS. These series are all about pitching. Jose Urquidy went 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA in 20 regular starts. In his career, the RH is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in eight postseason appearances (four starts). The team has won his last four and 13 of his last 16 turns. He faced Boston once in 2021, holding the Red Sox to one run on three hits with nine K’s in 6.0 IP. Eduardo Rodriguez went 13-8 with an ERA of 4.74 in the regular season. The LH went winless in two playoff starts vs. Tampa Bay and is 0-1 with a 7.02 ERA in 10 career postseason games (three starts). The 28-year-old struggled vs. Houston, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in two regular season starts in 2021. Over his career, he is 1-3 with an 8.53 ERA in six starts vs. the Astros. Houston is 4-0 the last four games played following a loss, 5-2 the last seven games played vs. LH starters, and 9-4 the last 14 playoff road games played. Take the Astros. Thank you.

Arizona.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE.

Game 267.

1:05 pm pst.

The only undefeated team in the NFL won both games in 2021 in which they were road underdogs. They enter this matchup in the same situation. The Cleveland offense owns the top-ranked rushing unit in football. But their top running back, Nick Chubb is ruled out this week. They are effective because they have two ball-carriers in the backfield. Without both, they aren’t the same. Baker Mayfield is in for a long day against one of the league’s best pass defenses. The Browns “D” sprung a leak last week allowing the Chargers to put up 47 points. The Cardinals have an awesome passing attack and will take a page from the Chargers playbook and exploit the Browns weaknesses. Arizona is 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 games played as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Green Bay.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

Make no mistake of it guys, Green Bay is an NFC elite team. The Packers have now rattled off four straight wins and covers. This is a team, no matter the circumstance or the opponent, that does what it takes to win and also to cover. In one of footballs oldest rivalries, don’t kid yourself, Green Bay enjoys beating Chicago. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings SU, going 7-3 ATS, including four consecutive wins and covers. The Bears defense, on paper, is good. However, they have faced two solid offenses in 2021, losing 34-14 to the Rams and 26-6 to the Browns. In comes Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense which has posted 29.2 PPG during their current win streak. Chicago just doesn’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard here. The Packers are 17-5 ATS the last 22 at the Bears and 20-7 the last 27 overall vs. the Bears. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Los Angeles.

HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

Game 261.

10:00 pm pst.

The Chargers are money, covering eight of their last nine games and are 4-0 SU and ATS their last four games played as a visitor. To go even further, Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS their last six games played vs. AFC opponents. The Ravens lost to the Raiders, went to the mat with an overrated Chiefs team, had a tough time with the winless Lions, beat a banged-up Broncos squad, and then needed overtime to best the Colts. None of these teams are as complete or are paying at the same level as LA. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS their last five games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Arizona State.

ANNIHILATOR PLAY.

Game 161.

7:00 pm pst.

There is a big difference between playing consistent solid football and getting lucky. ASU is the first. Utah is the second. And in this battle for the Pac-12 South, you will see the difference. The Sun Devils are on a three-game win and cover streak. Dual-threat quarterback, Jayden Daniels won’t have a problem moving the chains here against the “cushy’ Utah defense. Speaking of the Utes, they are in major “let down” mode here after last week’s win at the Trojans, in which USC accounted for nearly 500 yards of offense. The Utes just won’t be able to pass against one of the toughest pass defenses in the nation. Let’s not forget the Sun Devils “D” ranks 13th in points allowed (16.2 PPG) and have 11, yes 11 takeaways. This doesn’t bode well for the mistake-prone Utah “O”, which have committed five turnovers already. Arizona State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. conference opponents. Utah is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Sun Devils. Thank you.

Alabama.

SEC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 183.

4;00 pm pst.

Taking their first loss in just short of two years is bad enough. But dropping from 1st to 5th in the polls, behind four undefeated teams does not sit well with Nick Saban. Don’t put too much stock in last week’s loss. This is a team that was playing at such a high level for such a long time, they were bound to drop a game sooner or later, guys. When you have a team loaded with talent and a coaching staff as good as Alabama, a loss does two things for the team: No. 1, it takes the pressure off. No. 2, it shows you what you need to work on. For the polls, they can’t afford NOT to blow out Mississippi State here. The Crimson Tide will bounce back and make an example of a Bulldogs team that just won’t be able to score on them or stop Bryce Young and the explosive ‘Bama passing attack. The Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Bulldogs, outscoring them by 25, 48, 24, 31, and 41 points in those five ATS victories. Any point spread under four TD’s is a joke. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Michigan State.

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 131.

9:00 am pst.

When your quarterback has thrown for 1,575 yards passing with 14/2, your running back has ran for 913 yards rushing with nine TD’s, and you have two receivers about to each hit 500 yards receiving, it’s no wonder why your offense is posting over 36.7 PPG. Through six games, the Spartans are 6-0 SU and 4-0-2 ATS. They have outright victories over Northwestern and Miami Florida and have thumped Nebraska and Rutgers. That would be enough to back the team here. However, the Michigan State defense has been stellar, yielding only 19.3 PPG. Indiana is a train wreck. The Hoosiers own some of the poorest numbers in the conference, on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they just can’t score against any solid stop-units. And defensively, they are yielding 28.2 PPG and have just two takeaways. At 1-4 ATS this season, they are point spread poison. MSU has taken 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series SU. And this matchup has been circled on the Spartans calendar since last year’s 24-0 embarrassing loss to the Hoosiers as a 16.5-point favorite. These are two entirely different teams this year. With Michigan on deck, and the schedule getting tougher, Michigan State needs wins and needs to tighten the ship here. They are 12-5 ATS the last 17 games played vs. Indiana and 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a road favorite. Indiana is 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall and 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog. Take the Spartans. Thank you.     

San Diego State.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 119.

4:30 pm pst.

With a ranking of No. 24 in the nation and a 5-0 record, if San Diego State is to be taken seriously, the must continue to shred opponents. The Aztecs have covered four in a row with outright victories over Arizona and Utah and covering large spreads over Towson and New Mexico. San Jose State was a surprise a season ago. This season, they are a mess. They went from a 7-0 SU regular-season record (6-0-1 ATS) in 2020 to a 3-3 mark in 2021, covering just once, and currently riding a five came no cover streak. The San Diego State defense is tough and will shut down the lackluster San Jose State offense. Look for the Aztecs to also decimate the Spartans in a mismatch in their rushing attack. San Diego State is 4-0 ATS the last four games played at San Jose State, 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 17-6 ATS the last 23 games played on field turf. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Houston.

Game 1 WINNER.

Game 902.

5:07 pm pst.

Houston has taken five of the seven meetings with Boston this season. The Astros also have the edge of coming in here a bit more rested as well. Chris Sale was shellacked in his last outing and has yielded seven ER’s in his last two outings, lasting a combined 3.1 IP. Framber Valdez owns a 2-1 record with a 1.59 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against the Red Sox. This season, the LH has allowed just two ER’s and fanned 18 batters in 14 1/3 IP en route to a 2-0 mark with a 1.26 ERA in two starts vs. Boston. The Red Sox are 2-5 their last seven games played at the Astros, 5-13 the last 18 games played as a road ‘dog, and 2-5 the last seven games played vs. LH starters. The Astros are 4-0 the last four home playoff games played, 41-18 the last 59 games played as a home fav, and 4-1 the last five overall home games played. Take Houston. Thank you.

Syracuse.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 116.

4:00 pm pst.

Clemson is just 3-2 and is having trouble scoring. Coming off a bye week is not going to change things at all. They enter this matchup and face a very scrappy, Syracuse team which has had their last their outings all decoded by three-points against some stiff competition (Liberty, Florida State, Wake Forest). As a matter of fact, the Orange are on a four-game cover streak. Even when the Tigers were a top-ranked team, they had trouble in this series, going 1-3 ATS the last four meetings with their conference rival. The ‘Cuse possess both a solid ground game (10th) and a run defense that has been stellar (31st). While Clemson’s “D” has been very good, they will wear down here. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS the last six games played as a favorite. The Orange are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played as an underdog. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

Blue Chip play.

Game 109.

5:20 pm pst.

Slowing down Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense is a task that very few can accomplish. The Bucs are averaging 33.4 PPG. The Philly offense just won’t be able to keep pace score for score in this matchup. And finally getting a win last week at the Panthers, you can expect the Eagles to fall back down to Earth. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Houston.

HOME RUN PLAY.

Game 973.

11:07 am pst.

Houston wants this series over. So, they are sending Lance McCullers to the mound. The RH won 13 games in the regular season and has the experience of 15 postseason appearances with a 2.87 ERA. The team has won all three of his turns against Chicago this season, including a 6 2/3 IP shutout in Game 1of this series. The Astros have taken seven of the 10 meetings with the White Sox in 2021 and are 12-4 their last 16 divisional playoff games. Chicago is 7-17 the last 24 overall games vs. the Astros and 1-4 the last five playoff games. Take Houston. Thank you.

San Francisco.

HOME RUN PLAY.

Game 957.

6:35 pm pst.

San Francisco has gotten the better of Los Angeles this season, winning 11 of the 21 meetings with their division rivals. As the campaign progressed, they truly dominated the Dodgers as the Giants won seven of the last 10 matchups. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 3.84 ERA in 11 regular season starts against San Fran. Over his last three turns, the RH allowed 11 ER’s on 20 hits, in 14.2 IP. Wood (10-4, 3.83) owns a 3.05 ERA with 17 wins in 52 lifetime appearances at Dodger Stadium. The Giants are 21-5 the last 26 games played following an off day, 43-13 the last 56 games played vs. RH starters, 41-13 the last 54 games played vs. the NL West, and 44-16 the last 60 games played on the road. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Indianapolis.

MNF MM.

Game 479.

5:15 pm pst.

The Ravens are just a few points away from donning the same 1-3 record the Colts are sporting. Yes, they are riding a three-game SU win streak. But the team has a ton of holes that can’t be filled by gametime. Getting their first win of the year last week will give the Colts the boost of confidence they needed. Doubtful, Lamar Jackson can replicate last week’s 316 passing yard performance against the improving, Indy pass defense. This along with the Baltimore injury-plagued backfield, prompts me to take the TD on MNF here. The Colts are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at the Ravens and 10-2 ATS the last 12 games played overall vs. the Ravens. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Bills.

Sunday Night Late Bailout.

Game 477.

5:20 pm pst.

With all respect to the Chiefs, which are a talented team, they are not under the radar anymore. And, Andy Reid is no genius. Let’s be honest, his time has passed. The guy owns a 17-15 postseason record as a coach. He does not adapt well. The Kansas City defense ranks 31st in yards allowed, 27th vs. the pass, 30th vs. the rush, and 31st in points allowed. They are getting shellacked for 31.3 PPG. Patrick Mahomes and the offense are as good as any in football. But the Buffalo “D” is one of the toughest in the NFL right now. They are No.1 in total yards, No.1 vs. the pass, No.4 vs. the rush, and yes, No.1 in scoring, allowing a mere, 11.0 PPG. On the flipside, look for running back, Devin Singletary to shred the KC defense and allow Josh Allen to open up the passing game. The Bills are 5-1 ATS their last six games played on the road, 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games played as a road ‘dog, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played vs. AFC opponents. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Houston.

Game 933.

5:05 pm pst.

Houston is one win away from a division series sweep. Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30) took a no decision against Chicago one June 18, allowing just one run and seven hits in 7.0 IP, with two BB’s and eight K’s. Dylan Cease (13-7, 3.91) is 0-3 lifetime vs. Houston with a 6.60 ERA in 15.0 IP. To make matters worse, he will be making his first postseason start here. The Astros have taken seven of the nine meetings with the White Sox in 2021. They are 5-1 their last six playoff games, 56-18 their last 74 games played following an off day, and 11-4 their last 15 games played as an underdog. The White Sox are 2-5 their last seven games played vs. AL West foes, 1-5 their last six division playoff games, and 0-4 their last four overall playoff games. Take Houston. Thank you.

Raiders.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 470.

1:05 pm pst.

Even if they were riding in a tank, the Bears offense still couldn’t be able to get into the endzone. They are 30th in scoring, posting a dismal, 16.0 PPG. With a passing that ranks 32nd, the Raiders can key on their running game and shut down the entire offense. There is no possible way they can keep pace with the high-flying Las Vegas scoring machine. To make matters worse for Chicago, they must face a Vegas team returning home following their first loss of the 2021 campaign. Whether it is Andy Dalton or Justin Fields under center, Raiders head coach, Jon Gruden will have his defense prepared, primed, and ready to go. Quarterback, Derek Carr (1,399 yards passing, 64.1% completion rate, 8/3) and his arsenal of receivers will light up the scoreboard here and rival the lights on the Vegas Strip. Chicago is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS their last five games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Raiders. Thank you.

Panthers.

BLUE CHIP.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

No Christian McCaffrey (check status), no problem. Following three straight wins and covers to kick-off the season, Carolina suffered a heartbreaking loss to Dallas last week. The Panthers will come in here angry. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The running back lines up against the NFL’s 32nd-ranked run defense. That would be enough. However, sorry Eagles fans, but the team is their own worst enemy, committing 44 penalties through four games. Their current three-game loss and no cover streak speaks for itself, Now, they must face a top-10 defense in every major category. The line should be closer to a touchdown here. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 4-9 ATS their last 13 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take Carolina. Thank you.

Packers.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 465.

10;00 am pst.

Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Cincinnati may be 3-1 as well. But, let’s take a look why. They beat a Minnesota team in overtime that is currently 1-3. They lost to a Chicago squad that can’t seem to cross the goal line. They trounced the fading Pittsburgh team that is struggling. And last week, they eked out a win and no cover against a winless Jacksonville club. Their last three outings, the Packers are posting 30.6 PPG. Aaron Rodgers is in top-form. So is his stellar wideouts, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. The Bengals secondary is outclassed and outmatched here. Throw in the mix that Rodgers is supposed to get back several offensive linemen this week and when this game is over, it just might be the biggest aerial assault we’ve seen this season. Green Bay has a couple of linebackers playing in their second full game back and reports are that their linebacking corps is just about whole now. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS their last seven games played following a SU win. The Packers are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Under in the Patriots/Texans matchup.

TOTAL OF THE WEEK.

Games 467/468.

10:00 am pst.

Bill Belichick and his coaching staff are excellent at confounding rookie quarterbacks. First-year play-caller, Davis Mills and the Houston offense is in for a long day here as they line up against the top-10 ranked stop-unit of New England. The last two weeks against the Carolina and Buffalo defenses, they have accounted for a total of 9.0 points. Mac Jones and the Patriots offense will keep the gameplan very simple and very conservative not to make any mistakes.  The under is 5-1 in the Patriots last six games played on the road and 7-3 in the Texans last 10 games played as an underdog. Take the under. Thank you.

Alabama.

SEC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 387.

5:00 PM PST.

Nick Saban seems to go out of his way to shellack his former assistant coaches. He is now 24-0 SU against them. This doesn’t bode well for Texas A&M head coach, Jimbo Fisher. There are a few more angles that support playing the Alabama Crimson Tide this week. For starters, the No.1 team in the nation has Georgia just over their shoulder in the polls and need all the style points they can get before a likely SEC title game meeting down the road. The team can easily run the gauntlet and throttle the rest of their remaining regular-season opponents. The Aggies have now dropped and failed to cover their last two outings. Both against teams they were favored over (Razorbacks and Bulldogs). The team also has injuries to two of their starting cornerbacks (check status) and have to face the stellar passing attack of the Crimson Tide. Offensively, they are having issues at quarterback as starter, Haynes King (check status) has been out with an ankle injury and backup, Zach Calzada’s weaknesses have been exposed (1 TD, 2 INT’s, 286 yards passing) two games as a starter. Neither play-caller has what it takes to line up against this defense. With no ground game to rely on, the offense is way overmatched here facing the might ‘Bama stop-unit. On paper, the Texas A&M defense has good numbers. But they haven’t face anywhere near the caliber of QB in Bryce Young (17 TDs, 2 INT’s, 73% completion rate, 1,365 yards passing) or an offense that accounts for over 45.6 PPG and doesn’t make mistakes (one turnover). The Crimson Tide have taken the last eight meetings in the rivalry SU, going 5-2 ATS the last seven. They are also 8-2 Ats the last 10 games played vs. conference opponents, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take Alabama and ROLL TIDE. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 397.

4:30 pm pst.

Notre Dame comes in here angry and looking for redemption following their first loss of the campaign. But the 14th-ranked Fighting Irish know that if they win out, they have a shot at a major Bowl, and perhaps more. The Hokies come off a bye following a lackluster, 21-10 win and no cover against the Spiders (Richmond). That was their second straight no cover. They don’t have the offense to keep pace with Jack Coan and the Irish “O”. Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played on the road. Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. nonconference foes and 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a bye week. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Atlanta.

Game 925.

2:05 pm pst.

These short series are all about pitching. Max Fried (14-7, 3.04) has won his last seven decisions over his last 11 starts. The LH is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in three career starts vs. Milwaukee. Brandon Woodruff (9-10, 2.56) was 0-3 with a 4.09 ERA in the month of September. In his only start vs. the Braves this season, the RH allowed three runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 IP, in an 8-1 loss. The Brewers bullpen is depleted which will be a factor here today. Atlanta is 12-2 their last 14 games played vs. RH starters, 7-2 their last nine games played on the road, and 12-3 their last 15 games played overall. Take the Braves. Thank you.

Oregon State.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 349.

1:00 pm pst.

Oregon State, the only undefeated team in the Pac-12 North, is riding a four-game win and cover streak. It seems without Mike Leach, Washington State just can not compete, going 3-7 SU their last 10 games. They don’t possess the talent to contend in this matchup. On both sides of the ball, the Beavers are far superior. The road team is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings in this series. Oregon State is 10-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played against conference foes. Take the Beavers. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY.

Game 319.

12:30 pm pst.

No, it’s not Clemson, not Louisville, not Pitt, and not even Virginia Tech. Very quietly, Wake Forest is the only ACC team with an undefeated record. The Demon Deacons are 5-0 overall, including a 3-0 mark in conference play. Their offense is putting up over 38.4 PPG. But it has been their defense that has amazed the college football world. They allow a mere 18.2 PPG, have seven takeaways, and 16, yes 16 sacks. What are the limited and very immobile Syracuse quarterbacks, Shrader and Devito, who by the way, have combined for 3 TD’s AND 4 INT’s, what they heck are they gonna do here? The line is currently -6. I have them winning by at least 10-12 points. Anything under a TD is an early Christmas gift guys. The Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. conference opponents. Take Wake Forest here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Michigan State.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 315.

9:00 am pst.

Michigan State knows if they keep their foot on the gas, they have a very good chance at the Big Ten title. While Rutgers has shown some grit, they stepped up in class twice, resulting in losses their last two outings. The Spartans “D” will be too tough here. On the flipside, the Scarlet Knights won’t be able to stop the powerful Spartans rushing attack. Michigan State is 5-0 ATS their last five games played as a road favorite. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Texas.

Game 380.

9:00 am pst.

It isn’t about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. And Oklahoma is getting too much credit from the oddsmakers, going 1-4 ATS in 2021. On the other hand, Texas is 4-1 ATS this season with three straight wins and covers. Both teams match up well here. And both know each other very well. But, the Sooners, despite a 5-0 SU mark, have let some very poor teams hang in there with them this season. The Longhorns 1-2 punch of quarterback, Thompson and running back, Robinson can control the clock and the tempo here. Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at Texas and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played overall vs. Texas. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. Take Texas. Thank you.

Braves.

Game 919.

1:35 pm pst.

These two Division leaders have played each other tough this regular season, splitting six meetings. But the postseason is an entirely different monster. Milwaukee finished the regular season dropping nine of their final 13 games and have sat idle since October 2. Now, Corbin Burns is making his first career postseason start. The RH made one turn this season vs. Atlanta, yielding five runs on nine hits. The Braves, which ended the regular season 12-2, send Charlie Morton to the hill. The RH owns a lifetime 7-3 record in 13 postseason appearances, making 12 starts. Atlanta is 5-1 the last six games played vs. the NL Central, 16-5 the last 21 games played vs. RH starters, and 22-8 the last 30 games played on the road. Take the braves. Thank you.  

Los Angeles.

Blue Chip Play.

Game 601.

5:20 pm pst.

This is an ideal spot for sportsbettors to get a big weekday win. The Rams come off their first loss of the season and are looking for redemption. A loss is more helpful to a team than a win. It shows where they need improvement. Let’s be honest, if Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t get hurt last week, Seattle would most-likely have suffered their third consecutive loss and no cover. Matthew Stafford and the Rams enter this matchup with the NFL’s 4th-ranked passing unit. They face the Seahawks 28th-ranked pass defense. You can also expect the running back corps of L.A. to establish the ground game vs. the leagues poorest rush defense. The Rams are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following a SU loss, and 23-9-1 ATS the last 39 games played vs. the NFC. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Rays.

Game 914.

5:05 pm pst.

Tampa Bay has dominated Boston, taking seven of the last nine games played at Tropicana Field and 11 of the last 15 overall matchups. McClanahan was 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts vs. the Red Sox this season. Rodriguez is 2-4 with 5.21 in 13 career starts against the Rays and has never won a postseason start, going 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA in eight prior appearances. Overall, Tampa Bay owns the more consistent personnel, both on the mound and at the plate. They are 10-4 the last 14 Playoff home games, 45-17 the last 62 games played vs. the AL East, and 4-0 the last four games played vs. LH starters. Take the Rays. Thank you.  

Houston.

High Roller.

Game 303.

4:30 pm pst.

We are used to seeing Houston put up some very impressive numbers. This season, one of their most impressive stats is that they don’t turn the ball over. In five games, not one turnover. Once again this season, they have a heck of an offense, scoring 36.6 PPG. Clayton Tune and Alston McCaskill are a mighty 1-2 punch, as good as any quarterback/running back combo in the nation. They will do what every other offense has done to Tulane this season, and that is shred them. This is a defense getting plowed for over 40.2 PPG. I get that the Oklahoma and Mississippi lit them up, but so did ECU last week, for 52 points. WOW!!! The Green Wave has scored their share of points as well. But, they haven’t lined up against a defense as ferocious as the Cougars. They are equally strong vs. the pass and the run and are a top-10 stop-unit in points allowed, yielding a mere 15.0 PPG. And already have six takeaways. Houston is 13-4 ATS the last 17 meetings with Tulane, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 4-1 ATS the last five game played vs. teams with a losing record. Under a touchdown is a gift folks. Take Houston here for a Thursday night win and cover. Thank you.

Astros.

Game 912.

1:05 pm pst.

The White Sox have had problems with the Astros, losing four in a row at Minute Maid Park and are just 6-15 the last 21 overall meetings. McCullers has made six career starts against Chicago, going 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA. Lynn is 5-7 with a 4.41 ERA in 14 lifetime appearances (13 starts) vs. Houston. Don’t go by recent records. Their last six games, the White Sox played the Tigers and the Reds while over their last nine outings, the Astros faced the A’s and the Rays. Chicago is 1-4 the last five road playoff games and 15-40 the last 55 games played as a road ‘dog. Houston is 8-1 the last nine home Division playoff games and 55-18 the last 73 games played following an off day. Take the Astros. Thank you.

Yankees.

WC WINNER.

Game 937.

5:05 pm pst.

Despite having the same record and also playing this game in Fenway Park, New York comes in to this WC matchup with confidence. They have taken six in a row against Boston and nine of their last 12 overall, which includes four of the last five meetings in Boston. A.L. Cy Young candidate, Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23) is 8-4 with a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. History repeats itself as the two rivals played a one-game playoff in 1978 with the Yankees winning and eventually winning the World Series. The Red Sox are 4-14 the last 18 games played as an underdog, 1-6 the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 the last six games played vs. the AL East. The Yankees are 4-0 the last four games played following an off day, 5-1 the last six games played on the road, and 9-3 the last 12 games played overall. Take New York. Thank you.

Raiders.

MNF Winners.

Game 279

5:15 pm pst.

Las Vegas owns the NFL’s top-ranked passing attack as the offense is accounting for over 30.0 PPG. While Los Angeles is a good team, each week their defense is yielding more points than the previous week (16, 20. 24 points allowed) You can also expect the Chargers to be in “let down” mode following their victory over the Chiefs. The underdog is 18-6 ATS the last 24 meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The Raiders are 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played at the Chargers, 5-1 ATS the last six as a road underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played on MNF. The Chargers are 16-37-1 ATS the last 54 games played at home, 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 as a home favorite, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on MNF. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.

Buccaneers.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 277.

5:20 pm pst.

Maybe Belichick isn’t that great of a coach with Brady as his QB. On both sides of the ball, New England is outclassed and overmatched here. After rattling off 10 consecutive victories including a super Bowl, Tampa Bay lost a game to Los Angeles last week. They will come in here pissed-off and looking for vengeance. The Bucs “D” will put pressure on the Pats rookie QB while Brady does what he does best. The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a loss. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Ravens.

Blue Chip.

Game 277.

1:25 pm pst.

I understand Denver is undefeated and their defense ranks among the best in football. But their opponents thus far have a combined record of 0-10. Baltimore with their top-ranked rushing unit, has now rattled off two straight wins. The Bronco’s “D” have faced two rookie QB’s and a “never was.” Lamar Jackson is neither of those. The Ravens defense can and will neutralize the Bronco’s ground game and get to Teddy Bridgewater. Look for Baltimore to make a statement here. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. AFC foes, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Packers.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 275.

1:25 pm pst.

Both Pittsburgh and Green Bay are dealing with a laundry list of injuries. But that is where their similarities end folks. These are two entirely different teams, playing two entirely different types of football, heading in two entirely different directions. Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has shown they are an NFC elite team. After a season-opening outright win, Pittsburgh has dropped two in a row to two squads they were favored over and on paper, should have beaten. The Steelers offense just can’t seem to punch it in the endzone and won’t be able to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense. Something unique this year that I have noticed. Green Bay has been adapting their schemes to matchup up with opposing defenses. Traditionally, they play THEIR game. But this season, they are changing their offensive gameplan to take advantage of the weaknesses by the opposing defense they line up against. Defensively, the Packers can counter Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers only offensive threat, their passing game, with a top-10 pass defense. Green Bay gets another win and cover while Pittsburgh sinks further into the abyss. Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Green Bay is 5-2 ATS their last seven games played as a home favorite. Take the Pack here guys and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Titans.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

Sports fans, just like me, I am gonna’ keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet. It’s no surprise that the Titans are perched atop the AFC South. It’s also no surprise that the Jets are winless. Listen guys, it takes at least five years for a good college QB to develop in to a good pro QB. Poor Zach Wilson. He’s having a heck of a tough time. The New York passing “LACK OF” offense ranks 30th. Wilson doesn’t have a ground game to rely on as that ranks 29th. Overall, the unit ranks dead-last in scoring, posting a dismal, 6.7 PPG. The Jet’s “D” isn’t that bad. But they spend so much time on the field, they are getting worn down. The legs of Derrick Henry will keep the New York stop-unit honest and allow Ryan Tannehill to hook up with his favorite wideout, Julio Jones and even Henry coming out of the backfield. The Titans “D” have improved with each contest and now they face an overworked Jets offensive line and a rookie QB. New York is 1-5 ATS their last six games played in the month of October and 0-4 their last four games played as an underdog. Take Tennessee and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.  

Panthers.

Las Vegas Strip Move play.

Game 261.

10:00 am pst.

Christian McCaffrey (201 yards rushing, one TD) isn’t the reason why Carolina is winning. Now that he is out, nothing changes. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The Panthers nasty defense is allowing a mere, 10.0 PPG. They will slow down Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense. But it will be QB, Sam Darnold that continues to shine as he and the 8th-ranked passing unit lights up the Cowboys 31st-ranked pass “D”. Carolina has won and covered the last two meetings in this series and is 8-0 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 6-0 ATS their last six games played as a road ‘dog, 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. NFC foes, and 5-1 their last six games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Fresno State.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 223.

8:00 pm pst.

Guys, I’m not usually a fan of laying double-digits on the road in college football. But there are a few situations in the Fresno State/Hawaii matchup that urges me to do just that. This is a team, that once again is getting bettors paid, at 4-1 ATS this season. They crushed UConn, hung in tight with 3rd-ranked Oregon, decimated CP, beat UCLA, and then last week hung on to beat UNLV. Real quick, let’s talk about that game. The Bulldogs off a big high after beating the Bruins and was in “let-down” mode against the Rebels. To quote Forrest Gump, “That’s all I have to say about that.” LOL They come in here looking to make a statement against and overmatched and outclassed Rainbow Warriors team. This is one of the nation’s top passing units facing one of the worst pass defenses. QB, Jake Haener has tallied 15 TD’s, two INT’s, and 1842 yards passing. He will pass at will here and allow RB, Ronnie Rivers to move the chains on the ground. Flipside, Hawaii’s only strength offensively is throwing the ball. But once again, Fresno State’s pass “D” is very tough and very stingy. The Bulldogs have covered five of the last six meetings in this series. Oh, and one more angle guys, revenge. Last season’s meeting was the worst defeat of Fresno’s campaign. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS their last eight games played at the Rainbow Warriors and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games played as a road favorite. The Rainbow Warriors are 10-21 ATS their last 31games played vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS their last six games played following a SU win. Lay the points here guys. Take Fresno State.  Thank you

Boston College.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 117.

4:30 pm pst.

Clemson has now failed to cover five straight going back to last season. Boston College can control the clock with their outstanding rushing attack and keep Clemson’s “D” on the field and more importantly, the Tigers offense off of it. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS their last five games played at the Tigers, 19-7 ATS their last 26 games played as a road ‘dog, and 23-9-1 ATS their last 33 conference games played. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Army.

Annihilator play.

Game 129.

2:00 pm pst.

Ball State is on a three-game SU (four-game ATS) losing streak. They played three teams that were favored by a total of 34-points and lost by a combined 54-points. The Cardinals have no way to stop the Black Knights mighty rushing attack (2nd nationally). Army will completely shut down the BSU offense with one of the stingiest stop-units (19.0 PPG allowed) in college football. The Black Knights are 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. nonconference foes, 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-2 ATS their last seven games played on the road. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

USC.

PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 155.

11:00 am pst.

After last week’s embarrassing loss to Oregon State as a 10-point favorite, expect USC to come out here looking to make a statement against the conference doormat, Colorado, which has covered just one point spread since the beginning of last December. The Buffaloes are accounting for a dismal, 13-8 PPG. The Trojans post 32.5 PPG and will light it up in the air here with the nations 17th-ranked passing unit against the lax, Buffs pass defense (63rd). Colorado is 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall. Take USC. Thank you.  

Texas.

Touchdown play.

Game 185.

9:00 am pst.

Since starting Casey Thompson at the helm, Texas is 2-0 both SU and ATS. The QB (in his two starts), has thrown for 464 yards passing, an 80.8% completion rate, 7/2 ratio. The offense now has a passing attack to go with the nation’s 7th-ranked ground assault (267.8 yards per game rushing). This doesn’t bode well for a TCU team that allowed a pedestrian Cal squad to put up 32-points and SMU to gain 595 yards of offense, both Ats losses. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS their last five games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on grass, and 5-1 ATS their last six game splayed overall. Take Texas. Thank you.

Iowa.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 107.

5:00 pm pst.

Maryland may be 4-0 (3-1 ATS), but outside of West Virginia (which they eked by), they haven’t faced any solid adversaries. Iowa, which is also 4-0 (3-1 ATS), have faced several good opponents in Indiana and Iowa State, covering both contests. Granted, Taulia Tagovailoa and the Terrapins offense have put up some impressive numbers. But they have not lined up against anywhere near the caliber of defense the Hawkeyes possess. Maryland won’t be able to run the ball at all here, making their offense one-dimensional. When Tagovailoa gets pressured, he makes mistakes. Iowa has already accounted for six takeaways and that number will skyrocket here. Without any bells and whistles, the Hawkeyes “O” is posting 28.8 PPG. Their defense gets offenses off the field quickly allowing their offense to control the clock and wear down defenses. Iowa won and covered the most recent meeting, back in 2018, 23-0. They are 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 20-6 ATS the last 26 games played as a road favorite, 6-1-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. conference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Cincinnati.

Thursday Night Winner.

Game 102.

5:20 pm pst.

Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon have been steadily improving. One thing for sure, they have been consistent. Lining up against one of the NFL’s weakest defenses will surely pay off for the Cincy offense. The Jaguars are allowing over 30.3 PPG while accounting for e mere, 17.7 PPG. They are 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents, 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

New York.

Best Bet.

Game 967.

4:05 pm pst.

New York has won seven games in a row, including yesterday’s series-opener with Toronto, 7-2. The Yankees occupy the first AL WC spot with a two-game lead over the Red Sox. Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.08), who is 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA in eight starts since being reinstated from the COVID-19 injury list, has done well against the Blue Jays. The RH is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four starts this season vs. Toronto and 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA in eight career starts vs. them. He is also just 11 K’s (237) away from the all-time club single season record (248). The Yankees are 4-0 the last four games played at the Blue Jays, 4-0 the last four games played on the road, and 4-0 the last four games played vs. RH starters. Take New York. Thank you.

San Francisco on the run line.

Home Run.

Game 914.

6:45 pm pst.

The Giants magic number to clinch the NL West is five. They face a Diamondbacks team they have dominated, taking four straight and eight of the last nine meetings. Currently, San Francisco owns the best overall record (102-54) in baseball while Arizona is tied for the worst (50-106). Luke Weaver (3-6, 4.38) and Logan Webb are scheduled here. Neither pitcher has faced their opponent this season. However, Weaver is 3-3 with a 3.16 ERA in six lifetime starts vs. the Giants. Overall, the team has lost his last three turns. Webb is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two career starts vs. Arizona. The team is 16-3 in his last 19 turns as the pitcher hasn’t lost s decision in 20 starts. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 the last 16 games played at the Giants. Take San Francisco on the run line. Thank you.

St. Louis.

Best Bet.

Game 910.

4:45 pm pst.

St. Louis, which has won a team-record 16-games, needs a victory here to clinch a WC spot. Milwaukee has already locked-up the NL Central title. The Cardinals have taken four straight over the Brewers. Today Brandon Woodruff (9-10, 2.52) and Adam wainwright (16-7, 3.05) are scheduled. Woodruff is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts vs. St. Louis this season and 3-0 with a 3.09 ERA in nine career outings against them, including seven starts. Wainwright is 1-1 with a 3.80 ERA in four starts vs. Milwaukee in 2021 and 19-12 with a 2.59 ERA in 48 lifetime outings against them, including 41 starts. The Brewers are 0-5 the last five games played vs. the NL Central. The Cardinals are 10-1 the last 11 games played vs. the NL Central, 5-0 the last five games played at home, and 4-0 the last four games played during Game 1 of a series. Take St. Louis. Thank you.

Seattle.

Best Bet.

Game 958.

7:10 pm pst.

Winning eight of their last 10 has put Seattle in a position to earn a WC spot. But with just six games remaining in the regular season, they need wins to do it. The Mariners have taken nine straight meetings with the A’s this season, including all four September matchups. Chris Flexen (13-6, 3.56) is 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts vs. Oakland in 2021. Cole Irvin (10-14, 3.99) is 0-4 with a 7.56 ERA vs. Seattle over his career. The A’s are 1-6 their last seven road games played vs. teams with a winning record. The Mariners are 5-0 their last five games played during Game 1of a series. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Overall, my BIG GAMES ARE ON-FIRE. This Sunday I have isolated just 2 BIG GAMES on the NFL card for you: 2-0 HIGH ROLLER and my first BOOKIE BUSTER of the season. They went 12-2 a season ago. Get both, go 2-0, and GET PAID.

Free NFL WINNER: Green Bay Packers.

Game 495.

5:20 pm pst.

The Packers are still slated to represent the NFC come this February. Their embarrassing season-opening loss fueled their fire. Last week, their game was as sharp as we expect it to be. This is the matchup Green Bay needs to put any doubts behind them and go forward with confidence. San Francisco has a slew of injuries, particularly to their running game. Currently, five running backs are listed as questionable or out. Without a solid rushing attack to crutch on, Jimmy Garoppolo just isn’t the same quarterback folks. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers is an MVP quarterback that shines in both tough situations and in big games. This contest, he shines like the sun. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS the last eight game played at home and 5-20-1 the last 26 games played as a home favorite. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Seattle.

Bookie Buster.

Game 493.

1:25 pm pst.

The Seahawks enter this matchup angry after squandering a 24-9 halftime lead to eventually lose to the Titans in overtime, 33-30. That’s the first time since early 2015 they have blown a double-digit second half lead. This team is looking for vengeance and now they get to face to hapless, 0-2 Vikings. After their second very tough loss, Minnesota looked beaten emotionally and that is difficult to bounce back from. This is a team that crushed bettors, covering just once since mod-November. The Vikings defense is getting plowed for over 30.5 PPG and in comes Russell Wilson and the Seahawks mighty “O” (29.0 PPG). Seattle is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of September, and 34-15-4 ATS the last 53 games played following a SU loss. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Baltimore.

High Roller.

Game 473.

10:00 am pst.

Guys, as far back as I can remember, no matter who is under center, Detroit just can’t win. The last year Barry Sanders donned a Lions uniform, I believe was 1998. It’s been 23 years and this offense hasn’t had a playmaker since. Let’s put a pin in that for a moment. Now, through the first two games, the Baltimore defense faced Vegas and KC, two big offenses. The Ravens “D” will make an example of Lions offense here. The Detroit defense has gotten smoked for over 76 points already. In comes one of the most-explosive offenses in the NFL here. Baltimore is No.1 in rushing, No.3 in total yards, and No.4 in scoring. YIKES!!! The Ravens have won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, outscoring the Lions, 110-39. This game gets uglier than a Kardashian prior to cosmetic surgery. LOL Baltimore is 6-1 ATS their last seven games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on the road, and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you.   

Kentucky.

Annihilator.

Game 315.

4:00 pm pst.

For all you Gamecock fans out there that are excited that after six straight losses and no covers to finish last seasons campaign, that this season South Carolina has a record of 2-1 SU and 2-0-1 ATS, let’s pump those breaks a bit. Mark Stoops and his Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings in this series SU and more importantly, seven of the last eight ATS. The most recent matchup, last December was a massacre with Kentucky shellacking South Carolina, 41-18. This season, Kentucky is already 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. They beat ULM and bested Missouri and then in a sandwich spot took it easy on Chattanooga, looking ahead to this matchup. Penn-transfer, Will Levis is a heck of a gunslinger. The QB has a 64.6% completion rate, 800 yards passing, and 7/4 ratio. Then there’s the very exciting legs of running back, Chris Rodriguez, who has tallied 377 yards rushing and four TD’s. This tandem will keep the Gamecocks defense back peddling all game. While the stellar (and I mean STELLAR) defense of the Wildcats shut down the very pedestrian offense of the Gamecocks. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS the last seven games in conference play, 1-5-1 ATS the last seven games played as a home ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record. Lay the short price with Kentucky here. Thank you.

Kansas State.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 369.

4:00 pm pst.

Both teams are 3-0. But that’s where their similarities end. The Oklahoma State offense is a far cry from the squads we have grown accustomed to. They can’t run the ball with any efficiency. And their passing game is the poorest we have seen in years. Now the struggling “O” must face one of the nation’s toughest defenses (15.7 PPG allowed) with a top-10 unit against the rush. Kansas State has faced not one but two good teams (Stanford and Nevada) and have crushed both. Running back, Deuce Vaughn (371 yards rushing 5 TD’s) is a monster. He will shred the Cowboys defense and allow the Wildcats to open up their passing attack. Kansas State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played as an underdog, 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played against conference opponents, 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played on the road, and 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Louisville.

CONSENSUS.

Game 367.

12:30 pm pst.

Florida State is a mess. They are 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS). Granted they lost to a ranked Notre Dame team in their opener. But losing to Jacksonville State as a 28-point favorite is something to be concerned about. You would have thought, if they had any pride or talent, they would have bounced back after that loss. But no, they got smoked by Wake Forest, 35-14. Louisville is a solid, well-balanced club. The Cardinals took down the Seminoles last year, 48-14. Malik Cunningham and Jalen Mitchell are an outstanding 1-2 offensive punch. FSU just can’t stop the pass at all. Dual-threat Cunningham will establish the offense in the air and then run off the pass and move the chains. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS their last five games played in this series. The Seminoles are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games played overall. Take Louisville. Thank you.

Boston College.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 344.

9:00 am pst.

Pay no mind to the fact that quarterback, Jurkovic went down. Senior, Grosel is an able backup. Besides, when you have a rushing attack accounting for over 205.7 YPG and you’re lining up against one of the nations weakest run defenses, it won’t matter. The Eagles will control the clock and the tempo. When on “D”, the very stingy BC stop-unit will contain the Tigers “O”. Missouri is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road favorite, 0-6 ATS their last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-6 ATS their last six games played overall. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Seattle.

Best Bet.

Game 927.

6:38 pm pst.

Winning five straight, Seattle owns sole possession of 2nd place in the AL West. However, the Mariners are 2.0 GB of a WC spot and need wins. The Angels have no shot at the postseason and have really fizzled down the stretch. They are just 1-6 their last seven games coming in to this series. As a matter of fact, the Angels are a dismal, 1-8 their last nine games at home. So, the fan support is dwindling as well. The Mariners have dominated this division rivalry, winning five of the last seven meetings. Logan Gilbert is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA in two career starts vs. L.A., both this season. Jose Suarez has never faced Seattle. The Mariners are 4-0 their last four games played during Game 1 of a series; 5-0 their last five games played vs. the AL West, and 7-0 their last seven games played as a road favorite. Take Seattle. Thank you.

San Francisco.

Crusher.

Game 957.

1:10 pm pst.

The Giants are looking to be this season’s first 100-game winner while keeping distance from the NL West’s 2nd place Dodgers. Playing the 3rd place Padres will get them another victory here. San Francisco has taken Games 1 and 2 of this series and seven of the last 10 meetings with San Diego. The Padres have sunk to 22.5 GB. The team is on a five-game losing streak and overall has dropped 10 of their last 12. Logan Webb (10-3, 2.79) is unbeaten in his last 17 starts, going 9-0 with a 1.97 ERA. Yu Darvish (8-10, 4.13) has only registered one win in his last 12 turns. The Giants are 23-6 their last 29 games played as a road favorite, 44-16 their last 60 game splayed vs. RH starters, and 41-17 their last 58 games played following a win. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Houston Astros on the run line.

BEST BET.

Game 921.

6:30 pm pst.

Houston has an eight-game lead over Oakland in the AL West and still they need more wins. The Astros have owned the Angels, taking five of the last six meetings in Los Angeles and overall, eight of the last 11 contests. Going back, they have dominated L.A. as they own astounding 42-19 record over the last 61 meetings. In their eight wins over the last 11 matchups in this rivalry, none were by a single run. Houston is 5-6 their last five games played on the road and 39-17 their last 56 games played vs. the AL West. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you.

Houston.

Crusher.

Game 971.

6:30 pm pst.

Houston has a seven-game cushion over Oakland in the AL West and still wants and needs more wins. The Astros have dominated the Angels, taking four of the last five meetings in Los Angeles and overall, seven of the last 10 matchups. This is nothing new. Going back a bit, they own astounding 41-19 record over the last 60 meetings. Jose Urquidy (7-3, 3.38) is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA in five career games (four starts) vs. L.A. Packy Naughton (0-2, 4.32) is making his fourth Major League start (six outings) and just can’t seem to do enough to earn himself a victory. In their seven wins over the last nine matchups in this rivalry, none were by a single run. Houston is 4-1 their last five gams played on the road and 38-17 their last 55 games played vs. the AL West. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you.

Toronto.

Best Bet.

Game 915.

4:10 pm pst.

The Blue Jays are 15-3 in September while the Rays are sliding at just 8-10 this month. These division rivals played a three-game series a week ago, with Toronto taking two of the three matchups. The Blue Jays powerful lineup ranks 3rd in scoring (5.27 RPG), 2nd in Team BA (.267), and 1st in both OPS (.797) and HR’s (237). Over their last nine outings, they are 7-2 and have averaged 9.87 RPG in those seven victories. Making his Major League debut for the Rays is Shane Baz. The 22-year-old played in both the Double-A and Triple-A systems this year. And now he must face the dangerous Blue Jays batters here. Robbie Ray (12-5, 2.64) has gone up against Tampa Bay five times in 2021, going 2-1 with a 1.85 ERA. Toronto is 9-1 their last 10 games played on the road, 12-3 their last 15 games played vs. RH starters, and 16-5 their last 21 games played vs. the AL East. Take the Blue Jays. Thank you.

Seattle.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 292.

1:25 pm pst.

Tennessee is a mess off the field as well as on it. Health protocols and injuries are already taking its toll in this team and it’s only Week 2. They were shelled by Arizona last week, 38-13. Now they must face one of the most complete teams in football. The Titans allowed Kyler Murray to light them up. Well, Russell Wilson will absolutely scorch them. Even if they didn’t have to contend with injuries and illnesses, they wouldn’t be to compete on this matchup. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. Seattle is 5-0 ATS their last five games played this month. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Denver.

High Roller.

Game 283.

10:00 am pst.

Guys, I like Urban Meyer. And I like Trevor Lawrence. However, I like what I see in the Denver Broncos a heck of a lot more. Teddy Bridgewater and Melvin Gordon provide the perfect 1-2 punch to knockout most NFL defenses. And the Jacksonville defense, if you wanna’ call it that, they are in for a longer season than last year. Last week against Houston, they allowed 289 YP and 160 YR. Bridgewater and Gordon are salivating right now folks. Von Miller and the ferocious Broncos LB corps are going to go after the young Lawrence, wreak havoc, and create turnovers. Denver is still a well-kept secret to offer value, at least for another week or so. Here’s some ATS stats for you. Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played vs. the AFC, 2-5 ATS their last seven games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played overall. Under a TD is an early Christmas present. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Consensus.

Game 178.

4:00 pm pst.

San Diego State can run the ball successfully against any defense in the nation. They also have one of the best defenses we’ve seen thus far. Utah, on paper, should have beaten BYU last week. But was manhandled, eventually losing 26-17. Sure, they can beat the likes of Weber State. But here they are overmatched. The Aztecs will control the tempo and the clock with their stellar rushing attack, keeping the Utes defense on the field and tired come the second half. Utah’s only weapons are running back’s, Bernard and Thomas. But the San Diego State eight ranked rush defense will contain the pair. The Utes are 2-6 ATS their last eight games played as a favorite, 1-8 ATS their last nine games played in September, and 0-5 ATS their last five nonconference games. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Iowa.

Annihilator.

Game 148.

12:30 pm pst.

Laying this type of lumber isn’t an issue here folks. Going back to last season, Iowa has won eight consecutive outings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Granted, this is bit higher of a price than they are used to laying, but Kent State is clearly outclassed and overmatched. This is the last tune-up game the Hawkeyes have before they start facing tough opponents and conference foes. Their stout and stingy defense will shut down the Golden Flashes “O” even worse than the last time they stepped up in class, a 41-10 loss to the Aggies just two weeks ago. Since 2002, Kent State has been outscored by 41.1 PPG while going 0-10 vs. top-10 teams. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 nonconference games. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Purdue.

Touchdown.

Game 137.

11:30 am pst.

For the life of me, I can’t figure out how Notre Dame can be ranked 12th in the nation. Guys, they have no rushing attack whatsoever. Their QB, Wisconsin-transfer, Jack Croan ….it’s not his six TD’s that impresses me. It’s his two interceptions that stand out far more to me. The team needed overtime to beat FSU and then need a last-minute score to beat Toledo. COME ON. Their swiss-cheese like offensive line has yielded 10 sacks against two mediocre defenses. On the flipside, their defense is getting plowed for 5.0 YPC and has yielded 5 TD’s on the ground. Well folks, in comes a Purdue team riding high after a season-opening win and cover over Oregon State and then a real confidence building 49-0 shutout over UConn. QB, Jack Plummer is the real deal. He’s a great leader and has at his disposal, amazing receivers in TE, Durham, and WR Bell. He’s also got two solid ball-carriers in Dourue and Downing. And it’s that backfield that will earn them this win here. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Fighting Irish. I like them outright so the +7.5 is a gift. Take Purdue. Thank you.

Virginia Tech.

NO LIMIT.

Game 119.

9:00 am pst.

The Virginia Tech defense is going to maul the slow-footed, West Virginia quarterback, Jarrett Doege while Braxton Burmeister (311 yards passing 7/2 in the air and 94 yards rushing and one TD on the ground) and his arsenal of weapons cut through the Mountaineers “D” like a hot knife through butter. The Hokies are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played as an underdog and 5-2 ATS their last seven games played in this series. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you.

Philadelphia Phillies.

Best Bet Play.

Game 953.

4:10 pm pst.

With only 18 games remaining in the regular season and sitting 3.0 GB of Atlanta in the division, and 2.5 GB of a WC spot, Philadelphia needs wins right now. They have taken the last four meetings with a New York team, which happens to be sliding at the moment. The Mets are 3-7 their last 10 overall outings. The same problem has plagued the team all season, no offensive production. However, lately, their pitching staff is looking fatigued from trying to compensate for the lack of scoring from their lineup. Wheeler (13-9, 2.86) is 3-1 with a 2.72 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Mets. The Phillies are 20-8 their last 28 games played vs. the NL East. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Houston Astros on the run line.

BEST BET play.

Game 917.

5:05 pm pst.

Houston, winning six of their last nine contests, now owns a seven-game lead in the AL West. Taking two of three meetings this series, the Astros continue their dominance of the Rangers, winning eight of the last 10 meetings in this division rivalry. Framber Valdez (10-5, 3.26) is 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA in eight career games (five starts) against Texas, including a 2-0 record with a 1.38 ERA in two starts this season. Rookie, Glenn Otto (0-1, 6.92) gets the nod here at home. The Astros are 7-3 their last 10 games played as a favorite, 5-1 their last six games played vs. RH starters, and 36-17 their last 53 games played vs. the AL West. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you.

Over in the Red Sox/Mariners matchup.

Top Totals Play.

Games967/968.

1:10 pm pst.

All season long Boston’s lineup has ranked among the best in baseball. They are currently 5th in scoring (5.05 RPG) and 3rd in Team BA (2.60). They also hit the long ball (8th), swatting 197 HR’s. The Seattle offense has started to surge. Now, the team sits in 2nd place in the AL West, 6.0 GB of Houston and 2.5 GB of a WC spot. They need wins. Houck (0-4, 3.54) and Gonzalez (8-5, 4.03) are scheduled here. Houck has been back and forth from the Red Sox to their Triple-A squad. Gonzalez is 1-2 with a 5.87 ERA in three career starts vs. Boston. The over is 7-0 the last seven meetings in Seattle and 14-3 the last 17 overall meetings. Take the over. Thank you.  

Toronto.

AL EAST GOW.

Game 920.

4:05 pm pst.

Tampa Bay has lost four of their last five outings. Toronto is on-fire, winning 15 of their last 17 outings. With less than 20 games left in the regular season, the Blue Jays are just 8.0 GB if the Rays in the AL East. Toronto has exploded for five or more runs in 12 of their last 13 games. The Rays are 1-5 their last six games played on the road. The Blue Jays are 5-0 their last five games played at home, 10-1 their last 11 games played following a loss, 9-1 their last 10 games played vs. RH starters, and 14-3 their last 17 games played vs. the AL East. Take Toronto. Thank you.

Over Boston/Seattle.

Crusher play.

Games 965/966.

7:10 pm pst.

With two teams that have played to 10 overs in their last 11 meetings, that would be enough. But both teams are absolutely crushing the ball. Boston’s lineup has been scoring all year, ranking 4th and accounting for 5.04 RPG. Meanwhile, Seattle has played nine straight overs. Rodriguez (11-8, 5.15) and Gilbert (5-5, 5.10) are scheduled. Both starters have been reliable for yielding a ton of runs. Both teams are vying for postseason slots and will be at their best here. The over 5-0 the last five meetings in Seattle, 11-5 in the Red Sox last 16 games played on grass, and 5-1 in the Mariners last six games played at home vs. LH starters. Take the over. Thank you.

Baltimore.

MNF winner.

Game 481.

5:15 pm pst.

With so many underdogs (11 of 15) not just covering, but also winning outright (8 of 15), Baltimore won’t take any chances this Monday Night Football contest. Ravens head coach, John Harbaugh is notorious for covering in the teams’ season-opener, going 5-0 ATS their last five in Week 1. They also get us bettors paid when in this situation, going 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played as a road favorite, and 12-5 ATS their last 17 games played on MNF. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Denver.

High Roller.

Game 475.

1:25 pm pst.

New York quarterback, Daniel Jones better take some life insurance out this week. He will be mauled by Von Miller and Bradley Chubb and the now full-strength Denver “D”. The Giants are in for a very long season and starting it off in Week 1 against the new and improved Broncos which are out to make a statement, just might be fatal. Denver is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 6-1 ATS their last seven games played on fieldturf. New York is 0-4 ATS their last four games played in week 1 and 6-17-1 ATS their last 24 games played at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Washington Football Team.

BLUE CHIP PLAY.

Game 462.

10:00 am pst.

To me, this just might be one of the strongest plays this entire weekend. Let’s talk coaches really quick. One side, Brandon Staley. He’s been an assistant for eight or nine years now. This is his first game ever as a head coach. The other side, we have Ron Rivera in his 25th season as a coach in the NFL. One of the best at game prep, one of the sharpest and well-liked player-coaches in football. Quarterbacks…Justin Herbert one year as a starter. Impressive numbers but that inexperience will hurt here. Then there’s Ryan Fitzpatrick. Not flamboyant, but over a decade as a starter under his belt. The Chargers have ball carriers, even I don’t know all their names. The WFT has a hungry, talented slew of running backs that will move the chains here. Defensively, the WFT is one of the most complete and underrated stop-units in the NFL. DE, Chase Young, CB, William Jackson III, and LB, Jamin Davis lead a defensive unit that will spend more time in the L.A. backfield than the L.A. team themselves. The WFT is the best kept secret in the NFC. Take the WFT. Thank you.

Seattle.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 465.

10:00 am pst.

The Colts are dealing with COVID issues along with some key injuries. But even at full strength, Indianapolis just doesn’t match up well with Seattle. The Seahawks are strong both up front and in their secondary. The seasoned Russell Wilson-led team are notoriously strong starters, going 4-0 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. The Colts are not, going 1-11-1 ATS their last 13 games played in Week 1 and 0-5 ATS their last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Seattle. Thank you.   

Utah.

Holy War Winner.

Game 383.

7:15 pm pst.

Utah has dominated the “Holy War” winning the L9 meetings with their in-state rival, BYU. My friends I was in attendance last Saturday at Allegiant Stadium when BYU came to town to meet the doormat also known as Arizona. They eked by with a win and no cover. In no way, shape, matter, or form is this the same Cougars team that suffered just one loss a year ago. It’s not just the departure of Zach Wilson, who is now donning a New York Jets uniform. He’s gone, the running game is gone, and a few major defenders are gone too. Utah is a solid squad. Under head coach, Kyle Wittingham, they are smart, disciplined, and make very few mistakes. The explosive offense returns 10 starters and has added QB Charlie Brewer. You may remember from his time at Baylor, carving up BIG 12 defenses for over 9700 yards passing and 65 TD’s. Oh, the offense also added a couple of Power-5 transfers in their backfield as well. This unit will light up scoreboards this season BIG TIME. The Utes are 5-0 ATS their last five games played at the Cougars. BYU is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played vs. the PAC 12. Take Utah. Thank you.

Liberty.

Consensus play.

Game 367.

4:00 pm pst.

Just because a game doesn’t consist of Power-5 teams doesn’t mean there isn’t gold in them thar hills. The Liberty Flames weren’t just a good team a season ago, going 10-1 SU including a big Bowl victory, they were also money to us bettors. The Flames went 9-2 ATS in the 2020/2021 campaign, rattling off eight straight covers to finish the season. Quarterback, Malik Wills is a stud. Last year he had a 64% completion rate, 2,040 yards passing, 20 TD’s and only 4 INT’s. Add another 900 plus yards and 14 more scores on the ground and each game Wills can star in his own highlight reel. With him at the helm, opposing defenses stay on the field a long time and come the 2nd half, run out of gas. Troy is a good team. But they are not a great team. Missouri-transfer, QB, Taylor Powell has Trojans fans very excited. However, overall, they just don’t have the personnel to compete in this contest. Particularly on the stop-end of the ball. Liberty is 8-0 ATS their last eight nonconference games, 6-1ATS their last seven games played vs. the Sunbelt conference, and 23-8 ATS their last 31games played on the road. Take the Flames. Thank you.