Under in the NYG/LV matchup.

Games 469/470.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

This may sound crazy my friends. But despite possessing the best record in the NFL, I just don't feel the Philadelphia Eagles are in sync yet. They have looked vulnerable, fatigued, and at times, outclassed this season, despite their league-best record. Their defense, which tops the NFL against the rush, ranks 26th against the pass and 19th in points allowed. Guys, just over recent weeks they allowed the Washington Commanders to twice put up 31 points on them. They also let the Jets post 20 points on them. Guys, elite defenses don't allow teams like that to put up that many points. They must face the NFL’s third-ranked scoring unit in the Dallas Cowboys "O". The problem for the Eagles is that the Cowboys offensive unit is equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They account for over 28.0 points per game. And as far as a home field advantage goes, Philadelphia does not have one when it comes to covering the spread. They have covered just one game at home this season. Statistically, this is the best defense they've had to face this season. On both sides of the ball. They are in for a very tough battle here. Stepping up in class is going to hurt them. Personally, I think this line should be about to pick him. I will take the Dallas Cowboys. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts on the moneyline.

Game 467.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

This is the ideal situation for Indianapolis to get off their three-game slide. The well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Gardner Minshew, and running back's Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss will be too much for a Carolina defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in points allowed, getting plowed for over 28.4 points per game. Despite their current losing streak, the Colts are still averaged 28.3 points per game during their slide. I see the offense absolutely lighting up the scoreboard here. By the way, the Panthers have covered just one game since last January. Take Indianapolis on the money line. Thank you.

Washington Huskies on the moneyline.

Game 371.

4:30 PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 on the season, which does include a 5-0 Conference record. Believe it or not, they need to keep their foot on the gas if they want to take the Pac-12 regular season crown. There are two teams in the rearview, the Trojans at 5-1 in Conference play and the Ducks at 4-1 in Pac-12 action. If they can put USC to bed here, they have some tough, but beatable opponents on deck in Utah, Oregon State, and Washington State. Not only could they go perfect during the regular season, but they can make a big argument for the Conference Football Playoffs. Especially if they destroy their remaining opponents. With two losses, the Trojans can't be in the CFP. My friends this team is seriously overvalued, as they have failed to cover six consecutive games. Everyone they are faced, outside of the three earliest games of the season with pushovers, San Jose State, Nevada, and Stanford, have put points up on them. Look for the nation’s 112th-ranked defense to get beat badly. Take Washington. Thank you.

Iowa State Cyclones on the moneyline.

Game 380.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Iowa State has had their way with Kansas, taking seven of the last eight meetings straight up, and covering five of those eight contests. I expect the Jayhawks to be in a serious letdown mode, following last week’s outright win over the Sooners. This team has failed to cover their last seven games played away from home. My friends this includes all three road games this season. Something happens when they travel. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won and covered their last three outings over the Horned Frogs, the Bearcats, and the Bears. They have an amazing quarterback at the helm, and one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the country. And when it comes to turnovers, their offense doesn't make too many, and their defense snags a ton. The difference in this game will be defense and turnovers. And both of those point to Iowa State. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Game 402.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

There are five undefeated teams at the top of the nation’s polls. Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington rank in the top-five, and are all 8-0 overall. While there aren’t any easy opponents in the SEC, the Bulldogs certainly need to keep their foot on the gas, as the number one and number three ranked teams, the Buckeyes and Wolverines, will face one another in a few weeks. The number five team, the Huskies have a big matchup this week against the Trojans. Georgia cannot ease up at all. Not only do they need to win, but style-points mean quite a bit right now. While Missouri is 7-1 straight up, I just don't see them being in the same class as Georgia. The Bulldogs have taken the last nine meetings in this rivalry, straight up, I've got a tell ya’, they have been major favorites in most of them. Last year's meeting was a little too close for comfort as the Bulldogs pulled it out with a four-point victory. Trust me when I tell you they will not take this game lightly here. They can't. They have yet to allow any opponent this season to post more than 21 points. They will completely shut down the Tigers offense. On the opposite side of the ball, I just don't see Missouri's defense doing anything but getting flattened here. Take Georgia. Thank you.

North Texas Mean Green.

Game 388.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Guys, in my opinion, UTSA shouldn't be anywhere near better than a touchdown favorite against North Texas. Yes, I know they've won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS. But the Mean Green have made a lot of green for those who bet on them, covering four straight, and five of their last six outings. They play some very solid competition. And my friends, they cover the point spread. No, they are not going to win the National Title. And no, they are not going to win the Conference Title either. But they continuously get undervalued. They have a well-balanced offense that can and will own the time of possession here, keeping the Road Runners defense on the field and their offense off of it. Take North Texas. Thank you.

Nebraska Cornhuskers on the moneyline.

Game 343.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

One more win, and Nebraska is Bowl-eligible. With Maryland, Wisconsin, and Iowa up next, this is their one chance at a pushover game. Let's face it, everyone that has faced Michigan State has more or less manhandled them. The team has dropped six in a row straight up, and five of those six against the spread. They are absolutely getting crushed. Meanwhile, the Cornhuskers are riding a three-game SU win streak. They have the momentum and the personnel to not just win, but cover, and become Bowl-eligible. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 405.

9;00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yes, it's true, the Longhorns have taken the last six meetings over the Wildcats, straight up. And despite being 7-1 this season SU and 4-1 in Conference play, Texas is showing signs of weakness and fatigue. This is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State to leapfrog them and stay in the Conference regular-season Title hunt. My friends, there are five teams at 4-1 in the Big 12, the Sooners, the Cowboys, the Cyclones, the Longhorns, and the Wildcats. Several of these teams will be playing each other over the final weeks of the regular season. So, this is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State jump ahead this week. The Wildcats are on a three-game win and cover streak. Meanwhile, the Longhorns, haven’t faced an opponent of this caliber in a few weeks since their loss at home against the Sooners. They faced the Cougars of Houston and the Cougars of BYU their last two outings. Both defenses here are quite good. But the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack of Kansas State along with their offense that makes very few mistakes, will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

Game 573.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

The Denver Nuggets are an amazing team. They will definitely be there at the end of the regular season to defend their NBA title, barring a major injury. However, they haven't played the best of the best yet. And I get it, coming off their first defeat of the season, they should look strong this evening. However, Dallas matches up quite well with them. They are also 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS so far. Granted, they haven't played the best of the best in the league yet either. But they have covered four of the last six meetings in this series, winning four of those last six straight up as well. Kyrie Irving is listed as questionable this evening. Even without him on the floor (check status), they still are deep enough to run in this match up. Way too many points to give them. Take the Mavericks. Thank you.

Washington Wizards.

Game 571.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, Miami is certainly off to a disappointing start at 1-4 so far this season. This is a team that won 44 games a season ago. But please take note, only 13 wins were by the margin of 10 or points or more. This is a lot of points to lay for this team. The Heat aren't known to be the best scorers in the league…by far. And to add insult to injury lol, they are just 1-4 ATS this season as well. This is just way too many points for a team that is in crisis to give. Take the Wizards. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Game 566.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

 Milwaukee suffered not just a big defeat, but an embarrassing ass-whooping at the hands of Toronto on the road a few nights ago. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. They will bounce back here against an inferior opponent. The Bucks have had their way with the Knicks, winning and covering six consecutive meetings going back to November, 2021. I just don't see New York's lackluster offense keeping peace on the scoreboard here with a team that is looking to redeem themselves. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

TCU.

Touchdown.

Game 311.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, neither of these teams have really impressed too much this season. Both have some key players that are listed as questionable or out (check status). But coming off an embarrassing loss on the road at Kansas State, 41-3 will certainly motivate Texas Christian to bounce back here. They only have four games left in the regular season. And after this week, they have to face Texas, Baylor, and then Oklahoma on the road. They need every win they can get to at least become Bowl-eligible. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost and failed to cover their last two outings, both as a favorite: at home against Kansas State, and on the road at BYU. It's highly unlikely that his team could earn a Bowl spot as they have three games remaining in the regular season: obviously this week against the Horned Frogs, then go on the road to face the Jayhawks, and then finish the regular season as a visitor against the Longhorns. In my opinion, they threw in the towel already.  Oh, by the way, TCU has won and covered the last four meetings in this series. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets MONEYLINE.

Crash The Boards play.

Game 545.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Denver is looking to remain unbeaten as they are 4-0 this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 14.3 points per game. Minnesota is a talented team. But they just don't look to be in sync as of yet. Once again, this season, the Nuggets possess one of the most aggressive defenses in the NBA. I just don't see the sputtering Timberwolves offense, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Denver. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Fast Break play.

Game 539.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Boston Celtics are an outstanding basketball team. They are only one of three teams in the NBA currently that are still undefeated. But after tonight's contest, they have to go on the road to play Brooklyn, Minnesota, and Philadelphia. I'm not saying they're gonna’ take it easy this evening, but they are certainly going to be in a lookahead mode. Please understand that the Indiana Pacers are 2-1, both straight up and against the spread this season. Not only that, but they have covered four of the last five meetings with the Celtics. They play them very competitively, and I just don't see them getting this many points. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 531

4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST.

These two teams normally play each other very competitively. However, this season they look to be going in opposite directions. The Bucks are going to settle for nothing less than an NBA title. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just trying to stay alive. Milwaukee started the season 2-1, while Toronto is 1-3. They are on a three-game losing streak, failing to cover their last two outings. They have some grit on the team, they just don't have the personnel to contend with Milwaukee. They've only faced one solid upon thus far, and yet are averaging just 99.5 points per game. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the Bucks here. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Buffalo Bulls.

Game 301.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Toledo owns the best overall record in the MAC. They are also the only undefeated team in the Conference. Having said that, they could coast through the rest of the regular season and not worry. Buffalo, despite a 3-5 overall record, is 3-1 in MAC play. They won and covered the last three meetings in this Conference rivalry, including last year's, 34-27 victory. They enter today's contest covering four of their last five. And do matchup well with tonight's opponent. While the bobcats possess one of the best rushing units in college football, they also turn the ball over quite a bit. This doesn't bode well as the Bulls defense have already snagged 10 takeaways this season. I just think the circumstances prompt us to side with an underdog getting better than two touchdowns. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

Game 511.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, I'm not going tell you, I expect the Detroit Pistons to win the NBA Championship this season. But I will tell you, as far as sports betting goes, look for them to be an under-the-radar, ATS, cover machine, particularly in the beginning of the campaign. They have already gone 3-0 ATS in their three outings this season. They have actually won two of the three SU. They went on the road to Charlotte as an underdog and won outright, 111-99. Then at home a few nights ago, they crushed the Bulls as a 2.5-point underdog, 118-102. Oklahoma City is a good team. They are really a decent team… but not world beater. And I don't see them laying this many points to anyone, especially a team that matches up well with them. Last night, they hosted the defending NBA Champions, Denver Nuggets and took a beating, 128-95. Not only will they come in here with tired legs, I believe they are going be outmuscled. As I mentioned earlier, I don't expect the Pistons to win the NBA title. But they are playing very unselfish ball, playing tough in the paint, and their defense has certainly stepped up a bit. This game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE.

Game 513.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. I'm Sicilian folks, I know a lot about revenge (lol). Let's put a pin in that and come back around to it in a moment. I will tell you that if this number was higher, I would be apprehensive. But I think it's a very short price to lay. The oddsmakers know the Mavs are a fan favorite, so they inflate the number on them often. However, this is a low number and I feel it is an off number. Let's face it, the Memphis Grizzlies are a good team. However, at 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS so far this season, we are seeing them suffer due to the fact they are banged up with injuries. We all know all-universe player; Ja Morant is out until the end of December due to a suspension. They have quite a few supporting cast members also out. But I think the biggest key absence is going to be at center, with Steven Adams. Without him in the paint this team is getting manhandled. Last March, the last time these two teams met, the Grizzlies took down the Mavericks, 3-0. They took them down on March 11, March 13, and March 20. Luka Dončić does not like losing folks. He is surrounded by a supporting cast of playmakers. In the back court, Kyrie Irving is averaging nearly 20 points per game (19.5), while Tim Hardaway Jr. is right behind him at 18.o points per game. Joining Luka Dončić, upfront, Dereck Lively II is one of the most pleasant surprises so far in this young season. Throw in the mix, Williams, Green, and Kleber, and this team is just way too much for tonight's opponent. As I mentioned earlier, revenge is a dish, best served cold. Look for Dallas to exact same revenge from last year's March meetings. Take the Mavericks. Thank you.

Arizona Diamondbacks.

World Series Game 3 Winner.

Game 946.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

You may not realize this, but these two teams, through the regular and postseason have met six times in 2023. Guess what folks? Arizona has taken four of the six meetings. Granted, it's a whole different monster when the playoffs arrive. And to take it further, the pressure is even thicker when the World Series is upon us. As respected as the Rangers team is, the Diamondbacks play them very tough. It took extra innings for Texas to prevail in Game 1. Game 2 saw Arizona absolutely shred them. Game 3’s scheduled starters are Max Scherzer and Brandon Pfaadt.  There is no question the Rangers right-hander is going to go down as one of the most competitive pitchers of the past era. Let's face it, he is a 3X Cy Young Award winner. He is also a 4X wins leader. However, I think we would all agree, he isn't the same pitcher he once was. The team has dropped four of his last seven starts. And his numbers do soar when he's away from home. In his last two outings, he has lasted a combined 6.2 innings pitched and yielded seven earned runs. Overall, Texas has also dropped four of their last seven. Winning five of their last seven, Arizona is playing solid baseball. The Diamondbacks right-hander doesn't have the greatest numbers at home this season. But over the last three turns, he is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA, as the team has won five consecutive outings he has started. As a matter of fact, going back to those last five starts, he has allowed a total of five earned runs in over 21 innings pitched. If you just look at his last three outings, against the Dodgers once and the Phillies twice, he has been solid against two of the most explosive lineups in baseball. Playing at home will definitely benefit ‘Zona here. Take the Diamondbacks. Thank you. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers MONEYLINE.

Game 502.

4:10 PM PST for 7:10 PM EST.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging an NBA-best 136.3 points per game already. I know this season just began, but this team can star in their own highlight reel. Not only that, but they have won and covered both of their outings, this season, one at home and one on the road. As far as the Chicago Bulls are concerned, they are absolutely atrocious. They have failed to cover any outing this season, going 0-3 ATS, and eked out a one-point win for their sole victory at home against Toronto a few nights ago. The Pacers have won and cover the last three meetings with the Bulls, going back to January of 2023. Look for the much-improved, Indiana defense contain Zach Lavine, who does come off a good performance, the other night, but, as we all know, rarely can string together, back-to-back solid outings. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC West Game of the Week.

Game 271.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

Granted, these two teams met just a few weeks ago as the Chiefs prevailed at home, 19-8. They did get the win and cover there. Speaking of covering, this is a team that is 5-2 ATS this season. And going back a little bit further, have covered seven of their last nine outings. Playing in Denver is no benefit to the Broncos anymore. I remember a while back when the Broncos were a “gimmee” at home folks. But this team has covered just one home contest going back to last January. The Chiefs are rolling. Granted they have a meeting on deck with the Dolphins. But I don't see this team falling in the trap of being in a look ahead mode. They know how to stay focused on the task at hand. Let's face it, Denver has a lackluster offense that turns the ball over a lot (11 turnovers) and a defense that ranks 32nd points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, 30th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. I look for quarterback, Patrick Mahomes to have his best performance yet this season. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Afternoon Bailout.

Game 274.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The number in this game has been going up and down since it came out. Every time somebody comes in on one side, the line gets pulled back on the other side. Granted, the Cincinnati Bengals have one back-to-back games for the first time this season. They've also covered their last two as well. However, they line up against a 49ers opponent that just might be the most complete team in football. To make matters worse for the Bengals, the 49ers have lost and failed to cover their last two games. Please take a note that both of those games are played on the road and in both outings, they were without some key personnel. Several guys are expected to be back for San Francisco here at home in front of their faithful fans. They are certainly further along I believe than Cincinnati. Brock Purdy (check status) is expected to be on the field. Christian McCaffrey is a monster. And let's face it, they have more superstars on both sides of the ball than just about any other team in the NFL. Many people out there thought that these two teams might be competing down the road in the Super Bowl. And anything can happen between now, and then, my friends. However, I just don't see the Bengals defense containing Purdy and his arsenal of weapons. On the flipside, I do see the NFL’s third-ranked stop-unit of San Francisco, getting pressure on Joe Burrow. FYI, the 49ers have covered 10 straight on their home field. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Best Bet.

Game 263.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

In a battle for New York, the New York Jets are certainly in better shape at this point in the season than the New York Giants. They enter this matchup winning their last two games; on the road at the Denver Broncos, and at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only that, but they've covered three consecutive outings. No let down situation here as this team has had some extra time off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are expected to see the return of two of their starting defensive secondary stars. That's spells doom for the New York Giants, which will be without starting quarterback, Daniel Jones. That leaves the offense in the hands of Tyrod Taylor. Granted, the Jets passing unit is one of the worst in football. But so is the Giants passing unit. At least the Jets have a monster running back to rely on in ball-carrier, Breece Hall. They also possess a much stronger stop-unit, yielding just 19.8 points per game. I expect their defense to put pressure on Taylor and create turnovers. Please remember you'll see as many green jerseys in the stands as you will blue jerseys. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline.

NFC NORTH GOM.

Game 267.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET.

It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers.  Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you.

Oregon State.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 175.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, I looked at this game up and down and inside and out, and I just can't figure the line being this short. These two teams haven't met since 2019, when the Beavers took down the Wildcats, 56-38. Oregon State enters this match up on a win streak. Yes, 6-1 straight up this season, and going back to last season, on a 10-1 straight up run. And guys, when it comes to covering the spread, they are even more impressive. They are actually on a 16-1 ATS run. Let's face it, they get the bettors paid. Yes, Arizona is pretty good against the spread, covering six of seven this season. But the matchups just don't seem to be very kind here for the home team. They do put up some pretty good numbers on both sides of the ball. However, their numbers do not compare to the numbers Oregon State is showing. OSU averages just about seven points per game more on offense and do yield a little bit less on defense. They make less mistakes offensively, and have a lot more takeaways, defensively. I also like the more well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Uiagalelei, and running back, Martinez. 'Zona has a question mark on their starting QB, de Laura again. Even if back up, Fifita, who had a good game last week against Washington State, takes the helm, I'm just not in love with this kid. And their running back, Coleman is good, but not good enough to keep the very hungry Beavers defense at bey. Oregon State has covered five of their last six away from home. Take the Beavers. Thank you.

Nebraska.

TD PLAY.

Game 158.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Sorry, Boilermaker fans, but Purdue is absolutely horrible. They are 2-5, both straight up and against the spread this season. But going back a little bit further, they are a dismal, 2-7 both SU and ATS their L9 outings. They really haven't looked too good at all this season. They're only solid performance was over the “Jekyll and Hyde”, Illinois Fighting Illini. Meanwhile, Nebraska enters this match, hot, winning four of their last five straight up, including the last two. And by the way, they are less than a field goal away from covering those last two outings. They took down the same Illinois opponent three weeks ago, 20-7. I like the matchups for the home team here laying less than a FG, for sure. Purdue has a very lackluster offense. Outside of getting caught off guard earlier in the season by the very surprising, Colorado Buffaloes, and the shellacking at the hands of one of the top teams in the country, in the Michigan Wolverines, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have not allowed a single opponent to break 20 points, going back to last November. They've got a very strong defense, my friends. They are going to completely shut down the Boilermakers offense, meanwhile look for the nations 21st ranked rushing attack to absolutely dissect the Purdue defense. This game will get out of hand. I think it's one of the biggest mismatches on the board. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Iowa State on the moneyline.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 187.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The Big 12 is once again, shaping up to be one of the most competitive Conferences in college football. Oklahoma is the only undefeated team at 4-0 in Conference play. Meanwhile Iowa State is one of four teams sitting into second place right now at 3-1. Needless to say, they need every victory they can get. Meanwhile Baylor has fallen. It was only two short years ago that this was one of the best teams in the country. Now they are 3-4 overall, including a 2-2 record and Big 12 action. Yes, it's true, they have had their way in this series, straight up and against the spread. They've taken seven of the last 10 straight up and six of the 10 against the spread. This does include wins and covers the last two meetings. However, I really do like the way Iowa State is playing. Now their offense does leave a lot to be desired. But when your defense allows 20.0 points per game, you're going to be competitive. Think of it guys, as the Big 12 is one of highest-scoring Conferences in college football. And yet this team allows just 20.0 PPG. The Bears have a very solid passing attack. However, they are absolutely atrocious at running the ball. Without that well-balanced offense to keep defenses honest, they are in trouble. The Cyclones counter with a 33rd ranked pass defense in the nation. Guys ISU also ranks number one in college football with zero turnovers on offense, and number three nationally with 12 takeaways on defense. You can expect this team to cause some turnovers here. I just think they are too much overall for the home team. Take Iowa State. Thank you.

Eastern Michigan.

MAC GOM.

Game 150.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, it doesn't have to be a Power Five Conference matchup for us to make money in it. And believe me, we're gonna’ make money in the MAC this Saturday. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored. On my two different sets of power ratings, I have Eastern Michigan -1.0, and Eastern Michigan -1.5. My friends, the Eagles have won and covered four consecutive meetings in this Conference rivalry. They enter this matchup covering their last four outings. While both offenses are "less than stellar", in my opinion, this game will come down to defensive play. And you cannot ignore the fact that Western Michigan's defense has gotten plowed this season for over 34.3 points per game, while Eastern Michigan allows under 20-points per game (19.5 PPG). I think they win outright. But I'll take the points with the home ‘dog here for sure. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you.

Penn State.

OM play.

Game 156.

9:00 AM PST/12;00 PM EST.

With Michigan and Ohio State facing each other on the last regular season matchup (Nov. 25), one of them has to lose, obviously. Anything can happen between now and that as well. This means Penn State must keep their foot on the gas throughout the regular season. They have a match up with Michigan in a few weeks, and you never know what can happen. At the very least, this team has a chance at a Major Bowl game. Having said that, getting this team off their first defeat of the season is huge. They must come back and make a statement. And what better team to face to do just that, than Indiana. The Hoosiers are winless in Conference play and own an overall record of 2-5. They have failed to cover a single game over their last four outings. Obviously, the Nittany Lions have had their way in this series, taking eight of the last nine straight up, including six of the nine against the spread. This does include wins and covers in the last two meetings: 24-0, and 45-14. PSU allowed 20 points to OSU last week. That was the most allowed since January of last season. This is a team that yields just 9.7 points per game, equally good against the pass and the rush. They will completely shut down the lackluster, IU offense. On the flipside, expect their explosive ninth-ranked scoring “O” to completely steamroll, an Indiana defense that has gotten decimated by just about every opponent this season. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

Fast Break.

Game 537.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, I had Cleveland on the moneyline the other night, to get us all paid on the road at Brooklyn. And I expect great things from the Cavaliers this season. I really do. While Oklahoma City is certainly an improved team, I feel that many out there, including the odds makers and the general public don't feel they going to be able to compete too well this season. Well, that would be a big mistake my friends. I do feel they are going to be able to compete. I feel especially this time of the campaign, so early, we could take advantage of some lines that might be a little bit off. And I feel this line is certainly off. For starters, they've covered seven of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma City. They are also a very unselfish team. I watched this team in their season-opener on the road in Chicago, absolutely beat the Bulls in every aspect of the game, including tallying over 30 assists. They match up well here. And I think giving them this many points, is a mistake. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Crash The Boards.

Game 541.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Guys, the Boston Celtics are monster team, no doubt about that. Their season-opener, was a tough one. They visited Madison Square Garden to face their archrival, New York Knicks, and believe me, the game was even closer than the 108-104 score. They did not cover the game as it landed on the number. Going back a bit, this team gets seriously overvalued. They've only covered two of their last eight coming into tonight's matchup. And by the way, their opponent tonight is a very good team. As a matter fact, they've covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry. You can expect a very physical game this evening. And I think that definitely benefits the road team here. Miami can play very physical basketball, especially down low. I think they're going to come in here a little better rested than the Celtics.  These two teams know each other very well. And as I mentioned earlier, I expect a very physical game. I just think this is way too many points for the Celtics to lay against a very formidable foe. Take the Heat. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk.

Game 535.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, if this was a different situation, I would look at this match up very differently. These two teams, over recent seasons have played one another very competitively. However, having said that, the Nuggets will take out some revenge over the Grizzlies here tonight. We all know that Ja’ Morant is going to be sidelined for a while. That's bad enough. But now without, center, Steven Adams, I just don't see Memphis competing in the paint here at all. The Nuggets have been money on the road covering, their last five a season ago as a visitor. Take Denver. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings on the ML.

Above the Rim.

Game 523.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Sacramento was one of winningest teams during the regular season in the Western Conference a season ago. Unfortunately, Utah was not very successful last year. Not much is expected of the team either this year. The Kings certainly beefed up their roster, which does help this team as they are very fast-paced. They also took three of four meetings straight up last year against tonight's opponent. I expect a lot from them this season. And so should you. Take them on the money line tonight. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers on the ML.

Crash The Boards.

Game 513.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Guys, I'm not looking to take anything away from the Brooklyn Nets. They are a good team. They won 45 games in the regular season last year, then got swept in the first round by the Philadelphia 76ers. They have a lot of new faces, both on the sideline, and on the court at the beginning of this season than they had at the beginning of last season. But I really do feel their overmatched in this season opener. It will take time for the team to mesh, for sure. Cleveland is a monster team themselves. They come off their first 50-win season without LeBron James on the roster since the ‘92/’93 campaign. They are one of the higher ranked squads to take the Eastern Conference Title. This is a team that can play defense, they have big men up front, and they've got some new additions that I really feel will help bolster their lineup even further. Starting the campaign off with a big win over a team like Brooklyn, would certainly help kick start Cleveland right here. Take the Cavaliers on the money line. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Fast Break play.

Game 503.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Last season, both of these teams left the playoffs a lot earlier than they expected. They enter this season the second and third choice (at most books) to win the Western Conference Title. The Suns have taken four of the last five meetings over the Warriors, which includes three of four a season ago. There's a lot of underlying storylines going on here like Kevin Durant taking the floor in a Phoenix uniform against his former team. Plus, his old buddy, Chris Paul is now sporting a Golden State uniform. However good, Steph Curry and company is, especially at home, it is going to be an uphill battle for the Warriors in this matchup as they face a bolstered front line of Durant, Booker, and Beal. As in any game, always do your due diligence and check injury reports…especially in the NBA. I expect a faster start out of the gate by the Suns this season. Take Phoenix. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk play.

Game, 502

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Of course, there is no love lost between these two teams. The Nuggets ousted the Lakers from the postseason last year. Not only that, but they really had their way with them the entire season. Denver took six of the eight meetings last season over Los Angeles. There was a lot of talk this off-season about revenge. Both teams lost a few players and both teams game the few players. However, age has certainly caught up with the nucleus of the Lakers. Meanwhile, depth and talent are certainly on the side of the Nuggets. They must come out and make a statement here on the opening game of the season. To add to their motivation, unveiled during this game will be their Championship banner. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Liberty Flames.

C USA GOM.

Game 103.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Liberty isn't just a perfect 5-0 in Conference play; they are also 70 overall. And to be quite honest, after they put Western Kentucky to bed here this week, they can easily run the gauntlet and go perfect, facing remaining opponents, Old Dominion and Massachusetts. They have a real chance at a respected Bowl game. Not only that, but they are a covering machine. As a matter fact, when laying 10 or less points, they have covered six in a row, which includes all five in that situation this season. They possess a 1-2 punch of a great quarterback and an outstanding ball carrier. They rank second in the nation as a matter fact, in rushing, averaging over 274.6 yards per game on the ground. Western, Kentucky by the way, ranks 129th against the rush. Not only that but defensively this team does not allow a lot of points. The Flames defense yields just 19.7 points per game and are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. They also t0p the nation in takeaways, accumulating 15 snags already. The Hilltoppers are in way over their heads here. Take liberty. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Contrarian play.

Game 101.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

I know as of posting this play, most of the money is coming in on Louisiana Tech. And in all sincerity guys, I just don't see why. I have made money for all of us quite a few times on the Aggies this season. I mean folks, they are a half-point away from covering five straight outings. They enter this matchup with a very talented, dual-threat quarterback at the helm in Diego Pavia. They have a well-balanced offense. They don't make many mistakes. And they have a solid defense. Louisiana Tech comes in here dropping their last two games, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, they played a couple of tough teams this season. But I just don't see why everybody's playing them here. They are basically mediocre on both sides of the ball. Yes, they're pretty good against the pass. But they ranked 125th against the rush. And they must go up against the 18th ranked ground attack in college football here. New Mexico State will control the clock and the tempo, move the chains, and win this game outright. But I'll take the points here, folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 473.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

My friends, the line is a little bit short here and for a good reason. The 49ers have several key players that are either out or listed as questionable as of posting this play. However, you cannot deny that this team is loaded on both sides of the ball. They rank second in scoring and second in points allowed. They rank in the top-10 in just about every major offensive and defensive category. On top of that, they don't turn the ball over at all. They come off their first loss of their season and must bounce back here, for sure. I know they have the Bengals on deck. And if Cincinnati was the team that we had thought they were going to be at this point in the season, I might look to go against San Francisco this evening. But they are not the team that we figured them to be and I don't think the 49ers will be in a look ahead spot. Minnesota cannot run the ball at all. And without a solid ground game to keep the San Francisco defense honest, I just don't think they're going to be able to pull up too many points on the board here. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Houston Astros.

Game 934.

5:05 PM PST/8:05 PM EST.

It's no secret that the away team has won each of the games in the series. But the tide is gonna’ turn here tonight. In ta game 7 matchup at home with Scherzer and Javier on the mound, everything points us towards the Astros. They have so much postseason experience, it is uncanny. Not only that, but the once reliable, Scherzer just might be a little past his prime. The team has lost three of his last four starts. And let's face it, in two of those starts, he gave up a total of 12 earned runs in just 7.0 innings pitched. On the other hand, Javier has pitched very well, as the team has won four of his last five outings. And to be quite honest, he hasn't had a poor performance in quite some time. We all know that come to playoffs, it's a whole different monster. And there are very few teams in the League, if any they have the postseason experience that Houston possesses. Take the Astros. Thank you.

Philadelphia Phillies.

Game 932.

2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST.

My friends, this is certainly a lot of juice to lay on Philadelphia. But a win is a win. This team has played the best baseball at home this month by far. Let's face it, in the games they’ve won in this series, they’ve won with authority. In the games they've dropped, they’ve been competitive in both. They have a chance to become the first team to win back-to-back N.L. pennants since the Dodgers did it in the 2017/2018 seasons. Philly took Games 1 and 2 at home by a combined score of 15-3. The pitching matchup of Merrill Kelly, and Aaron Nola certainly favors the home team here. The team has won Nola's last six outings. And by the way, he has allowed two runs or less in each of those six turns. Too many factors point towards Philadelphia. Take the Phillies. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC West GOW.

Game 468.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

I know there's money coming in on the underdog here. I know last year’s meetings were each separated by three-points. But football and sports betting are each based on situations. Let's face it, Los Angeles isn't the greatest road team, while Kansas City is a monster team at Arrowhead Stadium. Since they dropped their season-opening game by one-point to the Lions, the Chiefs have rattled off five consecutive straight up wins, going 4-1 ATS. And if you're keeping records, they have also won 12 straight Division games, straight up.  Not only do they like to win games, they particularly enjoy beating AFC West opponents. Patrick Mahomes must be salivating, knowing the second-ranked passing offense in the NFL is going to line up against the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the League. Now that the Chiefs offense is starting to click, let's face it they are the most-complete team in football right now. Their defense has been outstanding, ranking second in points allowed, yielding just 14.7 points per game. I see they're LB corps spending more time in the Chargers backfield than the Chargers players lol. I look for Kansas City to make a statement here. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers on the moneyline.

BEST BET.

Game 469.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Does anyone remember when the Denver defense was feared? It seems like years have passed since those days. But it all sincerity, they were supposed to be a force to be reckoned with this year. And yet this team is 1-5 SU, failing to cover a single outing yet in the 2023/2024 campaign. Not only that, but their so called, “stop- unit” ranks dead last in the League. That's right, they are 32nd in points allowed (33.3 PPG), 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0 PY), 32nd in rushing yards allowed (172.3), and their offense has twice as many turnovers as their defense has takeaways (11/5). Because their “D” is so overworked and tired, their “O”, which was never a great offense, let's face it, is absolutely horrible. They rank in the bottom half in the NFL in every major category. Mind you, Green Bay, at 2-3, isn't all that great either. But I think we can all agree that they’ve been a bit more competitive this season, than many thought. And for us, sports bettor's, they have covered three of their five outings. The status of starting running back, Aaron Jones is still uncertain as of this post (check status). However, if he does not play, AJ Dillon has proved he can step in and contribute without missing a beat. And let's face it, as I mentioned earlier, the Denver defense ranks dead last against the run. The ability to move the chains on the ground will certainly open up the passing game for Jordan Love. Russell Wilson's numbers are horrible, ranking 27th in a league with a QBR of 39.8. He will have another long day here, going up against the much-improved, ninth-ranked pass defense of Green Bay. In my opinion, the Packers should be a favorite in this matchup of anywhere from 1.5-3.0. If you recall in the beginning of this breakdown, I mentioned about anybody remembering when the Broncos defense was feared. Here's another question I post to you; does anyone remember when playing at home was a must play on Denver? It seems like it was just yesterday that playing at Mile High was a definite play on the home team. Well, this team has failed to cover all three games played at Empower Field this season. Take Green Bay on the moneyline. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

High Roller

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I admit it folks, I am drinking the Kool-Aid. Just from a sports betting point of view, the Lions are money. Going back to last season, they are on a 14-2 ATS cover streak. And when an underdog, they have covered seven straight. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 3-9ATS their last 12 games when laying a field goal or more. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Very quietly, Detroit's offense ranks in the top-10 in every major category. I know the Baltimore defense is a true force. But they haven't faced a team this complete in quite a while, my friends. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions stop-unit tops the League against the run. If they could at least slow down Lamar Jackson and the rushing offense of the Ravens, this game can surely get out of hand. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Utah.

Pac-12 Payday.

Game 381.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

All season long the Trojans have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They are just 2-5 ATS this season, failing to cover the last four outings. To make matters worse, their defense has been bleeding all season long. Last week against the Fighting Irish, their weaknesses were unveiled. I do not expect a big revenge game here as the Utes handed them not just their only regular season loss, but also took them down with authority in the Conference Title game, last year. Utah's offense isn't so flashy, for sure. But their defense is outstanding. In their five victories this season, they have not yielded more than two touchdowns. FYI, and although they have Oregon on deck, I don't see a look ahead situation for the team. They can run the ball and they can stop the run. Not only that, but they make very few miscues on “O”, while forcing and snagging a lot of turnovers on “D”. This is way too many points for USC to lay. Take Utah. Thank you.

Michigan.

BIG TEN GOM.

Game 337.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

It's no secret that Michigan State has dominated this rivalry for quite a while now. After taking the two previous meetings, both straight up has underdogs, the Spartans got routed last year by the Wolverines, 29-7. The worm has turned my friends. And this year, these are very different teams. MSU is only four-game straight up losing streak, only covering one of those outings. And after last week’s, 27-24 loss on the road Rutgers, blowing a 24-6 lead, there is no way they could get up for this contest. With Ohio State playing Penn State early this morning today, no matter the outcome, Michigan must rev the engine, and turn it up here. After this game, they have an off week before they go home and face Purdue. The following week they go on the road at Penn State. They also go on the road after that to face Maryland. Then it is their regular season finale at home against Ohio State. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas here. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly stronger, without question the strongest opponent Michigan State has faced yet this season. The mistake-prone Sparty offense is going to turn the ball over quite a bit. And Michigan will capitalize. Over the last few weeks, the Wolverines have covered as favorites of 17.5, 19.0, and 31.5 against conference opponents. Lay the wood with Michigan. Thank you.

Miami-Ohio.

MAC GOM.

Game 362.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you.

Ohio State.

Contrarian GOM.

Game 326.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Everybody and their mothers are playing Penn State here. And why not? They are perfect 6-0 this season, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last season, the Nittany Lions have covered 13 straight outings. The team possesses some of the best statistics in the nation on both sides of the ball. But folks, look at their schedule thus far; West Virginia, Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, and Massachusetts. They haven't been less than a 14-point favorite over any opponent this season. Let's be honest, my friends, not one of those adversaries possess a solid offensive unit. And only one of them owns a decent defensive unit. They haven't been tested yet. They're going to come into this match up with a false sense of self-worth to face the third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, which have faced some solid opposition already. Offensively, Ohio State has the depth and the talent to move the chains. Defensively, they rank fourth against the pass, 23rd against the rush, seventh in total yards allowed, and third in points allowed. After this week, Ohio State doesn't have another formidable foe until their regular season finale on the road at Michigan. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas here. This is a low number. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Rutgers.

TD play.

Game 343.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Coming back and winning the game against Michigan State the way they did last week, shows a lot about this Rutgers team. They enter this matchup with momentum and motivated. At 5-2, the Scarlet Knights need another win to become bowl eligible. My friends, after this contest, they have matchups against the Buckeyes, the Hawkeyes, the Nittany Lions, and the Terrapins. To put it lightly, they must win here. Indiana comes in here losing their last two games, both on the road, by a combined 96-24. They are also riding a three-game ATS no cover streak. Look for Rutgers running back, Kyle Monangai, who leads the Conference in rushing, to absolutely steamroll the Indiana run defense. Lay the short price here with the road favorite. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Consensus GOM.

Game 390.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup.

Total of the MONTH.

Game 395/396.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you.

Under in the Jax/NO matchup.

Games 311/312.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you.

JMU Dukes.

Money Maker.

Game 313.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

James Madison is on a nine-game straight up winning streak going back to last November. This season, they are on a four-game ATS cover streak. They do pretty well on the road for us as well, my friends, covering their last two as a guest. Meanwhile, not only has Marshall dropped their last two games in a row straight up, they have failed to cover their last three overall outings. Their defense, which was respected earlier on the season, has now allowed a combined 124 points over the last three. Just for the record, that's 41.3 points per game. The Dukes are accounted for over 34.5 points per game on their well-balanced offense that rarely turns the ball over. Meanwhile, although their pass defense leaves a lot to be desired, they are actually the top team in the nation against the rush, allowing a mere, 42.8 yards per game on the ground. And they have already taken away 10 turnovers. I think those two items will be the key here. Take James Madison. Thank you.

Phillies.

Game 905.

2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST.

Short and sweet, folks. Philly has had their way with Arizona, taking both Games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 15-3. Going back a bit, the Phillies have taken five in a row over the Diamondbacks. Actually, you've got to give it to Philadelphia, which is on an 8-1 run overall, taking down all opponents recently, including New York, Miami, and Atlanta. Just over the last four games, they have crushed 15 home runs, which is a record by a team in a four-game span in Major League postseason history. While, I think the pitching matchups are solid here. You can’t ignore the fact Brandon Pfaadt, Arizona’s starter today, has allowed 22 home runs in 96 innings pitched during the regular season. Despite a couple of rough outings, the team has one Ranger Suárez' last five starts. The left-hander has done quite well as a guest this season, going 3-3 with a 2.75 on the road in 2023. The Phillies pitching has been outstanding, allowing three runs or less than eight of their last nine outings. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE.

OM play.

Game 277.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Coming off a bye week, following back-to-back wins, with the expected return (check status) of running back, Austin Ekeler, and getting points at home, makes Los Angeles a very enticing play. But as in life, sometimes things can seem too good to be true. That is the case here. Getting Dallas coming into this matchup, seeking redemption and vengeance after last Sunday’s demoralizing, 42-10 loss at San Francisco is a huge betting angle. For that alone, I would back to Cowboys. But the icing on the cake, they are 8-0 ATS their last eight games played following a loss. By the time they take the field on Monday, the Chargers would have been idle for 15 days. Can you say “Stale, Flat, & Rusty? Dak Prescott had his ugliest outing last week: 153 yards passing, 1 TD, 3 INT’s. He lines up across the NFL’s 32nd ranked pass defense here, a unit that has yielded over 26.0 PPG. Guys, Dallas is a good team. They are not a team to dwell on a past defeat, letting it linger. One big win, on national TV here, sets them back on track. Oh, BTW, my numbers have them a TD favorite in this matchup. Take the Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE (Just to err on the side of caution. But, we ain’t gonna’ need it. The line, while I was posting this, dropped a bit. So I saw value in the extra few pennies on the ML. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 272.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you.  

Philadelphia Eagles.

Consensus play.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS.

No Limit.

Games 257/258.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you.

Over in the Panthers/Dolphins.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 265/266.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you.

Under Ravens/Titans.

AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

Game 2517252.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you.

Oregon State.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 190.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you.

Auburn Tigers.

TD play.

Game 159.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it.  Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

No Limit.

Game 128.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

Memphis.

Friday Night Lights.

Game 122.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Guys, this might be one of the most exciting games on the board this weekend, believe it or not. There's a lot of drama surrounding this game. Both teams are 4-1 straight up. And believe it or not, even though we're about halfway done with the regular season, this match up has serious implications down the road for a New Year's Six Bowl possibility. Having said that, the home team has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. I want to talk about last year's matchup. Tulane was at home in a sold-out stadium, leading 35-0 at halftime. Memphis rallied back, but unfortunately lost the game, 38-28. I'm sure that left a very bad taste in the Tigers mouth. Both teams beat teams they should've beaten already, while both have also lost to teams that on paper, they were inferior than. Looking at each teams loss this season, the Green Wave took a bit of a beating at home against the Rebels. Meanwhile, the Tigers held on very tough on the road at the other Tigers (LOL) of Missouri. While both teams possess able quarterbacks and decent running backs, there is no question that Memphis owns a much stronger offensive unit. They average over 36.6 points per game, nearly seven points per game more than does Tulane. Defensively, the Green Wave puts up some very good numbers. But they're facing a very well-balanced offensive unit. One more item my friends that I feel is very significant; Tulane has turned the ball over seven times already. They make a lot of mistakes. This is a big matchup, lots of pressure, that they are playing on the road. I think the wrong team might be favor to hear. That's why I'm prompted to take Memphis plus the points. Thank you.

Over 8.5 Braves/Phillies.

Game 4 Totals Moneymaker.

Games 943/944.

5:05 PM PST/8:05 PM EST.

Well, my friends, to say this has been a strange postseason so far, would be an understatement. Just think of it, the Blue Jays, Rays, Orioles, Brewers, Dodgers, and Marlins are all gone. The first five of those departures have been a bit of a surprise. The American League Championship Series will be between the Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers. Meanwhile the Arizona Diamondbacks are laying and wait for the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies/Atlanta Braves series. Currently the Phillies own a 2-1 lead in this series. My friends, six of the last nine meetings between these two National League East rivals have gone over the total. This does include two of the three games played in the current series. These are two of the most explosive offenses in baseball. Coming into Game 4, the Braves have played to seven overs in their last 10 outings, while the Phillies have played to six overs in their last 10 contests. Obviously, as I mentioned earlier, these are two of the best offenses in baseball. Atlanta needs to win tonight to extend the series. And Philly wants to end this series tonight. It is the pitching matchups that I find very interesting. Spencer Strider and Ranger Suárez are scheduled. Overall, the Braves right-hander has done well during the regular season against Philadelphia. But he has an 0-2 record in two playoff starts against the Phillies, with a whopping ERA of 5.79. Coming into the start, although he is 3-0 his last three turns, he has an ERA of5.09. The Philadelphia right-hander also has done well against today's opponent. However, coming into today's contest, over his last three outings, despite being 2-0, he has a colossal ERA of 5.71. Not to mention his 5.45 ERA at home this season. Both teams desperately need to win tonight. The starters have been getting lit up of late. Take the over. Thank you.

West Virginia on the moneyline.

OM Play.

Game 119.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

West Virginia has been one of college football’s pleasant surprises so far this season going for 4-1, both straight up and against the spread. They opened the campaign off with a loss and no cover on the road a Penn State. They then followed that up with wins and covers against Duquesne and Pittsburgh. They started their Big 12 Conference play, winning both against Texas Tech at home and TCU on the road, outright as the underdog in both outings. On the other hand, Houston is heading in the opposite direction. They started the campaign off winning and covering at home against UTSA. But over the last four outings, they have been atrocious, losing and failing to cover three of four against the likes of Rice, TCU, and Texas Tech. Their only victory since early-September was against Sam Houston State. It is their losses in Big 12 play that caught my eye. They lost, 36-13 at home against the Horned Frogs and then on the road, 49-28 against the Red Raiders. Just for the record, the Mountaineers took down both of those Conference representatives. They beat Texas Tech, 20-13 at home and TCU, 24-21 on the road. The Cougars have gotten plowed defensively in conference play. They are particularly bad against the rush. This does not bode well as West Virginia is running the ball nearly 70% of the time. I look for the Mountaineers offense to grind down the already tired, Cougars defense, and move the chains. On the flipside, Houston isn't too much of a threat offensively. And let's face it, the West Virginia stop-unit has looked solid, allowing just 19.0 points per game. The Mountaineers have to keep their foot on the gas here. Their next five opponents are all teams they beat in previous meetings. If they stay focused, they have a real opportunity to compete for the Conference crown. Take West Virginia on the moneyline. Thank you.

Texas Rangers.

Grand Slam.

Game 926.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Texas knows a win here and they close out the series and get a little bit more time to rest, heal, and prepare for their next opponent. You may not realize this, but taking both Games 1 and 2 of this series, the Rangers have now taken five of the last six meetings with the Orioles this season. The pitching matchup of Kremer and Eovaldi, in my opinion, is a mismatch. The Orioles right hander is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in three career stats versus the Rangers. The Texas right-hander, in 18 career starts against Baltimore, is 8-2 with a 3.23 ERA. Both starters come into this matchup running hot. But playing Texas at home down two games to none, Baltimore has a lot of pressure on them. And folks, this team does not do well under pressure. Take the Rangers. Thank you.

Appalachian State Mountaineers.

Best Bet play.

Game 102.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Appalachian State has taken four of the last six meetings going back to 2017, with Coastal Carolina. This season, the Chanticleers are falling a little bit short. Granted, they started their season covering the first three games, but they have since failed to cover their last two outings. And to be quite honest, they look pretty bad against both Georgia State, and Georgia Southern. Going 3-2 straight up and 2-2-1 against the spread, the Mountaineers aren’t exactly where they wanted to be at this point either. But I must tell you, they beat all the teams they should've beaten, and against the two that on paper are better than them, they covered both. Those were games against the Tar Heels and the Cowboys. They match up well here. Coastal Carolina has a decent quarterback, but no running game whatsoever. This doesn't bode well for the Chanticleers as the Mountaineers possess an extremely strong pass defense. On the flipside, not only does Appalachian State have an extremely good quarterback, they have one of the best running backs in the conference. They have the ability to control the tempo and the clock and move the chains here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Game 475.

5:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST.

Green Bay had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup tonight. Losing at home against division rival, Detroit will further motivate them to put forth a solid performance on national TV. What better team to face than Las Vegas. My friends, I know the Raiders team very well. I watch them during practices. I see them each home game. I can tell you this is not a very good team, no matter who is at the helm. Latest reports show Jimmy Garoppolo (check status) will be back under center. But guys, does it really matter? The offensive unit ranks 30th in scoring, averaging a mere, 15.5 points per game. They rank dead last in rushing. And without a solid ground attack in the league in today's game, a quarterback like Jimmy G is usually a sitting duck. They've already coughed the ball up 10 times as well. Meanwhile, defensively, their numbers are just as bad. They are allowing over 25.3 points per game and rank dead last, and for the record, that's 32nd in the league with just one take away. Jordan Love had a less than stellar (lol) performance last week. I expect him to bounce back here against a very beatable “D”. It's true, he also has one of the worst rushing attacks in football. However, they can put up points, they rarely turn the ball over, and he is a good passer. He has several solid receivers at his disposal. And I do think the ground game will get going a little bit here and give the quarterback some breathing room, keeping the Las Vegas defense honest. For everyone that likes trends out there: Green Bay has covered three of their four outings this season, which does include both road contests. Going back a bit, they've covered four in a row as a visitor. Meanwhile, Vegas has covered just one game in the 2023 campaigns thus far, failing to cover either of their two games played at home. I'll take the points with a Packers here. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

High Roller.

Game 471.

1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est.

Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams

Touchdown play.

Game 468.

1:05 pm pst/4:05 pm est.

Guys I'm going to level with you. While, I think the Philadelphia Eagles are a good team. I mean obviously, they are at 4-0. I just don't think they're the same team they were even a season ago. I think this team is struggling a bit. And the oddsmakers are still treating them like the team they used to be. Yes, they are perfect so far this season. But let's take a look at some of their opponents: New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Washington Commanders (only one team with a winning record). Oh, by the way, they've only covered two of their four outings this season, too. The Los Angeles Rams are just 2-2 this season. However, they're a half a point away from covering all four outings. Let's start with some basics. First of all, the Eagles are traveling across the country. Jalen Hurts looks to be struggling. His numbers are certainly off from the season ago. And their defense has absolutely been atrocious. I mean come on folks, they allowed the Patriots to put up 20, the Vikings to put up 28, and the Commanders to put up 31. I see a major mismatch here between their 27th ranked pass defense and the explosive Rams passing offense, which ranks second in the NFL. On the flipside, I look for the seventh ranked pass defense of Los Angeles to wreak some havoc on Hurts and the 13th ranked passing attack in the league. I think the line is way off here. I think this is going to be a very tight game. To be honest with you, I feel Los Angeles has what it takes to possibly win this outright. But I will take four points at home with the Rams for sure. Thank you.

Houston Texans.

Bookie Buster.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

These two teams started the season very differently and now they’re heading in opposite directions again. The Atlanta Falcons started off the campaign winning their first two outings at home over both Carolina and Green Bay. But has since dropped road games against Detroit and Jacksonville. By the way, they failed to cover three in a row. The Houston Texans opened the season up with a road loss at Baltimore, and then a home loss against Indianapolis, only to win their next two games, the first on the road at Jacksonville, and the second at home against Pittsburgh. By the way, they've covered their last two outings. The last few weeks the Falcons defense have been nonexistent, while their offense has struggled badly. The opposite can be said for the Texans. Without question CJ Stroud is a quantum leap ahead of where Desmond Ridder. Stroud, who has 1,212 yards passing, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions, isn’t just producing, he is making zero mistakes. On the other hand, Ridder has only 744 yards passing, with only three touchdowns, and three interceptions. By the way, outside of running back, Bijan Robinson, Atlanta hasn't been too threatening offensively. Defensively, these teams have very similar statistics, however, one that stands out and certainly favors Houston is that they rank ninth against the pass, while Atlanta ranks dead last in the league at 32nd in passing. This is huge, my friends. Football is streaky right now. The Texans are streaking. Take Houston. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans on the moneyline.

Consensus play.

Game 457.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm pst.

Guys, I am going to keep this analysis just like me, short and sweet (lol). Tennessee's defense has very quickly become one of the toughest in the NFL. They are allowing just 17.5 points per game and have held some very good offenses in check. I look for their aggressive stop-unit to go after the mistake-prone, Anthony Richardson and wreak some havoc. On the flipside, running back extraordinaire, Derrick Henry is back to doing what he does best. With him carrying much of the workload, he will keep the Colts defense honest, and on the field. Oh, by the way, Tennessee has won and covered the last five meetings in the series. Take the Titans on the money line just in case. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

No Limit

Game 452.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Los Angeles Dodgers.

Best bet.

Game 908.

6:20 PM PST/9:20 PM EST.

Normally, I don't put out games this high of a price. But we are working with a limited amount of contests on the card due to the postseason. And win is a win is a win.

Once again, the Dodgers have dominated the National League this season. They took the West with ease, finishing 16.0-games ahead of the Diamondbacks, at 100-62. Obviously, Los Angeles has dominated most opponents this season. And Arizona is one of those teams. Just recently, they have taken five consecutive meetings over their division opponent. There are so many reasons why I like the Dodgers here. But one of the most significant reasons is today's starting pitchers. Merrill Kelly and Clayton Kershaw are scheduled. Throw out the Arizona right-hander’s numbers this season. Although they're decent, they're not great. But something you should definitely be aware of is the fact that in 16 career regular season starts versus LA, he is 0-11 with a 5.49 ERA. We can talk about Kershaw's numbers this season as he was 13-5 with a 2.46 ERA overall, which includes a 7-1, 1.58 ERA record at home. But even more impressive is his career numbers against Arizona. The seasoned veteran, in 44 career regular season starts against the Diamondbacks, is 22-12 with a 2.73 ERA. Guys this game is going to get ugly. The Dodgers want to end this series quickly and rest up for the next opponent in the NLCS. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

High Roller.

Game 369.

5:00 PM PST/8;00 PM EST.

Following their season-opening outright win as nearly a two-touchdown underdog at home against Texas Tech, there was a lot of excitement in the Wyoming camp. Granted, they won three of their last four outings, but they have really failed to impress me for sure. They played Texas tough for nearly three quarters a few weeks back, But, then the Longhorns went to town in the fourth quarter outscoring them, 21-0 to get the 31-10 win and no cover. If you're keeping records, please note that Wyoming has failed to cover their last three at home. Fresno State enters this matchup at 5-0 and ranked 24th in the nation. They have faced several good opponents in Purdue and Arizona State, winning and covering both of those contests, one as an underdog and one as a slight favorite. The other games that were huge favorites of 30, 27.5, and 25.5. Head-to-head with the Cowboys, the Bulldogs have now won and covered four consecutive meetings going back to 2017. However, the two most recent meetings, the last two seasons, they won 17-0 and 30-0. The matchups in this game heavily favor Fresno State. This is a team, granted that does not run the ball very well, but they rank 14th in the nation in passing, average over 36.4 points per game, and have yet to turn the ball over. I just don't see the very lackluster, very mediocre defense of Wyoming slowing them down, let alone stopping them. On the flipside, the Cowboys can't pass the ball at all. They rank 127th in that category. They rely solely upon the run, of which they do adequately. If there is one major mismatch here, it is their ground game going up against the 16th ranked rush defense of the Bulldogs. Overall, Fresno State allows a mere 17.0 points per game and has already snagged eight turnovers. This game isn't even close. It gets out of hand. Lay the short price with the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Crusher.

333.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Louisville might be 5-0, but this week they're currently ranked 25th in the nation. What does that tell you? It tells you they haven't played anybody good yet. And yet they've only covered two games so far this season. This is a major step up in class for the Cardinals, as they face a Fighting Irish opponent that that has faced some good opposition already. They covered against Ohio State a few weeks ago and played them extremely tough as the game came down to the final minutes. They followed that loss up by dominating Duke on the road a week ago. The Fighting Irish rank 10th in the nation, being the only team in the top-10 with a loss. They cannot afford another one. Therefore, I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here and easing up a bit even though they have the Trojans on deck. This is a game they have to rev the engines from start to finish and get some style points from the pollsters. Prior to the season starting, many thought Louisville will have one of the most-explosive offenses in college football. But only putting up 21 points against Indiana and 13 points against NC State tells me a lot about this offensive unit. And they have yet to face a defense as ferocious as they're going to line up against this week in the Notre Dame stop-unit, which has allowed just 13.0 points per game. I just don't see the out of sync QB, Jack Plummer having too much success in the air here. I do see him adding to his six INT's already. On the flipside, look for the Notre Dame well-balanced “O” to move the chains at will, get into the red zone, and put points on the board. In my opinion, they should be favored by double-digits. So, let’s lay the short price here and take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Oddsmakers mistake.

Game 401.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, Michigan is sitting pretty right now. They are a perfect 5-0, ranked second in the nation in the polls, and don't have a very tough opponent for quite a while until November 11, when they face Penn State. Normally you would think that you don't want to lay this type of wood when they have several weeks of pushover opposition upcoming. But they can't let themselves get stale, that's for sure. They also can’t put in a lackluster performance in which a result might be drop in the polls. These days style points mean a lot my friends. They have dominated Minnesota, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering eight of those 10, which includes wins and covers in the last two meetings. Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they got their first cover since last December last week, against the Ragin' Cajuns. This is a team that has really not impressed at all. They couldn't cover against Nebraska, Eastern, Michigan, North Carolina, or Northwestern. It was the last two games that I really focused on. Granted, they were on the road in both of those outings, but they got crushed at the hands of the Tar Heels offense, and then against the very mediocre Wildcats, they were just simply outplayed. The Wolverines possess one of the most well-balanced offensive units in college football. They average over 34.4 points per game and they've only committed one turnover. Defensively, they are the top stop-unit in the nation, allowing a mere 6.0 points per game, ranking 11th against the pass and 14th against the rush. By the way, they've already snagged five takeaways, too. This game will get seriously out of hand. But remember it's only the second game back for Coach Harbaugh, and last week against Nebraska on the road, they devoured the Cornhuskers, 45-7. This team will go above and beyond with their coach back on the sidelines to crush the Golden Gophers. As I mentioned earlier, style points mean a lot right now, especially being they’re playing some less than great opposition in the upcoming schedule. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Shocker.

Game 329.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

With all due respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, how did they really earn the number one spot this season? In my opinion they really haven't impressed me all that much. Yes, they are a very good team. But this is a team that has only covered one of their five outings, and that was against Ball State my friends. They failed to cover against Tennessee-Martin, South Carolina, UAB, and most recently, Auburn. But in all sincerity, I'm not sold on their offense, folks. One thing I know about the Kentucky Wildcats, they have a real-deal defense. Not only that my friends, but they very quietly have accumulated a record of 5-0 straight, up covering four of their five outings this season. They too, won and covered against Ball State, along with victories and ATS wins for us against Akron, Vanderbilt, and Florida. They did not cover as they took it easy and let their foot off the gas against Eastern Kentucky. They certainly impressed me shutting down Florida's “O” a week ago.  This is a team holding opponents to just 75.8 rushing yards per game. The rush is not a strength of the Bulldogs. But if they can slow down the rush, they can certainly get to quarterback, beck and force some mistakes. Offensively, the Wildcats, leave a lot to be desired, but they don't make many mistakes, and they do have a more than adequate ground game. With an offense that makes very few mistakes, a decent ground attack, and a ferocious stop-unit, I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the 14.5-point spread. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Atlanta Braves.

Double Play.

Game 902.

3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST.

Normally, I don't put out games this high of a price. But we are working with a limited amount of contests on the card due to the postseason. And win is a win is a win.

Once again, the Atlanta Braves in my opinion, has played the most solid and consistent baseball all season. They have dominated just about every opponent they have faced in 2023. That includes the Philadelphia Phillies. Just going back till the end of May, the Braves have taken seven in the last 10 meetings with the Phillies. They also happen to be one of the best home teams in all of the Majors. Today's pitching matchup is scheduled to be Ranger Suárez and Spencer Strider. The Philadelphia left-hander possesses some good numbers, and has done well in his limited, postseason appearances, but just doesn't possess the numbers, the Atlanta, right-hander possesses. It's hard to argue with a 20-5 record with a 3.86 ERA. Lol. FYI guys, the Braves have scored five or more runs in nine of their last 10 games. Not only do they have solid pitching, their lineup is also one of the most explosive in all of baseball. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Baltimore Orioles.

Grand Slam.

Game 904.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

While Texas has played well this season, one place they have struggled, is on the road. They must go into Camden Yards and play one of the best home teams in all of baseball. Going back to last season, Baltimore has taken seven of the last 10 meetings in this American League rivalry. Today's starters are Andrew Heaney and Kyle Bradish. The Ranger’s left-hander is 10-6 with a 4.15 ERA on the campaign. And in seven career appearances, which includes six starts against the Orioles, he is 2-3 with a whopping ERA of 7.63. The Baltimore right-hander is 12-7 with a 2.83 ERA in 2023. In three career games against Texas, he is 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA. However, in August and September he is on a 6-1 run with a 2.09 ERA in 11 starts during the two months. The Texas starter is making just his second start back after being in the bullpen for several weeks. To be honest with you, he hasn't gone more than four or five innings in months. I like the situation here for the home team. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Friday Night Lights.

Game 317.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Yes, it's true, both teams sit a 2-3 straight up this season. It is also true, neither has been very impressive. However, I just can't see Illinois laying points to any opponent out there. This is a team that hasn't covered a game since November of last season. They have also failed to cover five consecutive games played at home. Nebraska's played very competitively for most of the season until last week’s, 45-7 loss at the hands of Michigan at home. But I think we can all agree, the Wolverines are one of the top teams in the country and taking a beating from them shouldn't warrant too much shame. I'll look for them to bounce back here. You may not realize this because their numbers overall aren’t very impressive, but the Cornhuskers rank 15th nationally in rushing, averaging over 209.0 yards per game on the ground. They have the ability to control the tempo on the clock and keep the Fighting Illini’s “not so fighting defense” on the field, and their offense of it. One more item folks, they also possess the nation’s 15th ranked run defense. Thus, getting Illinois lackluster offense off the field in a hurry. I like the line here. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Minnesota Twins.

Grand Slam.

Game 956.

1:35 PM, PST/4:35 PM EST.

Minnesota ended an 18-game winless streak in the postseason yesterday by taking down Toronto, 3-1. The pressure is off the Twins now, and they can start looking towards the future as opposed to worrying about the past. José Berrios and Sonny Gray are schedule starters in Game 2. The Blue Jays right-hander is 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 32 starts this season. As you may recall, he spent six seasons with Minny. In five outings against his former team, he is a respectful 3-1, but does have any ERA of 4.03. The Twins right-hander is 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA in 32 starts during the regular season. He finished very strong to close out the season, sporting a 1.54 ERA and his final seven turns. He is 4-4 in 15 career appearances, which includes 14 starts against the Blue Jays. But owns a much more respectable ERA of 2.91 in those appearances. In four career playoff starts with both Oakland and New York, Gray has an ERA of 2.95. Both on the mound and at the plate Minnesota outclasses Toronto. Take the Twins. Thank you.

Milwaukee Brewers

Double Play.

Game 950.

4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST.

Maybe Arizona took four of the six meetings against Milwaukee this season, but come the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. Entering today’s matchup, the Brewers have won for their last five while the Diamondbacks are on a four-game cold streak. In my opinion, there is no comparison between today’s starting pitchers. Corbin Burns, who has a 10-8 record with a 3.39 ERA this season, has been solid the entire campaign. Brandon Pfaadt, who is 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA on the campaign, has been spotty at best. An added factor is Arizona just 41-40 away from home this season, while Milwaukee is a whopping, 49-32 at home. This may be a high price, but you don’t pay juice on the winner. Take the Brewers. Thank you.

Toronto Blue Jays.

Best Bet.

Game 947.

1:35 PM PST/4:35 PM EST.

These two teams have split six meetings this season. However, Toronto has taken two of the three meetings played in Minnesota. Granted, the Twins were a little more impressive in the last few weeks of the campaign, but the Blue Jays are one of the most impressive road teams in baseball this season, sporting a 46-35 away record. Something else I think is very important here; Minnesota’s last postseason victory was in October of 2014. They have lost 18 consecutive playoff games since. Starting pitchers today are Kevin Gausman, and Pablo Lopez. Gausman has made seven post season starts, while Lopez has only made one appearance in his career in the playoffs. I’ve said before, and I will say it again, postseason experience is huge. Take the Blue Jays. Thank you.

Texas Rangers.

Grand Slam.

Game 943.

12:05 PM PST/3:05 PM EST

Texas has taken four of the six meetings this season against Tampa Bay. While both teams enter today’s match up on a 6-4 run, I feel the starting pitching gives the visitor a significant advantage. Jordan Montgomery and Tyler Glasnow are scheduled today. Offensively, the Rangers have as good or better numbers than the Rays. But going back to the pitching, Montgomery has been solid down the stretch, going 2-0 to 0.67 ERA over past four starts, allowing just 19 hits in 27 innings pitch. He has made two career postseason appearances, which includes one start, sporting an ERA of 1.35. Glasnow is 10-7 with a 3.53 ERA, being hit or miss in the month of September, going 3-3 with a 4.86 ERA in six outings. Over his career, he has had a lot of problems come playoff time, he is just 2-5 with a whopping ERA 5.75 and nine starts in the postseason. While their career numbers against today’s opponent, definitely favors Glasnow, but come to playoffs, it is a whole different monster. And I just don’t see him being successful in the postseason.  And just for the record, three of his last four turns during the regular season, he got plowed for 14 runs. Take the ‘dog here. Take the Rangers. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks on the moneyline.

MNF WINNER.

Game 279.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

I think we can all agree that the Giants struggle on nationally televised games, particularly against solid opponents. Granted, the team is dealing with some injuries. But they are just 1-2 SU, failing to cover all three outings thus far this season. They opened the campaign up suffering a devastating loss at home against the Cowboys, 40-0. They then went on the road and eked by with a three-point victory over the Cardinals. There was some hype coming out of their camp following the win. Then they came back down to Earth, getting crushed in San Francisco at the hands of the 49ers, 30-12. Despite having a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare it is most likely they will once again be without running back, Saquon Barkley (check status). As of this post, technically, he is a gametime decision. The one positive note for New York is that they should see the return of left tackle, Andrew Thomas. The Giants have yielded 12 sacks already. Quarterback, Daniel Jones has been knocked around quite a bit, and seems to be running for his life regularly (LOL). Offensively, New York possesses one of the worst units in football, ranking 31st in points scored, averaging just 14.3 points per game. They’ve also turned the ball over five times in just three contests. Defensively, their statistics are just as dismal, ranking 30th in points allowed, getting plowed for over 32.7 points per game. To add insult to injury, their so-called stop-unit hasn’t recorded a single takeaway. The Seahawks opened up the campaign at home with an ugly loss to the Rams, 30-13. They then went on the road to take down a very talented opponent, beating the Lions, 37-31. Last week at home, they got another win and cover against the Panthers. With a well-balanced offense, Seattle ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring, accounting for over 29.0 points per game, while only turning the ball over once. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, a bright spot is ranking sixth in the League against the rush. If you recall, they took down the Giants at home last season, 27-13 to give them their fifth ATS cover against the G-Men over the last six meetings. Seattle is a better team on both sides of the ball and comes into this Monday Night matchup riding two consecutive wins and covers. Take the Seahawks on the money line. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Consensus Play.

Game 274.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST.

My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win    ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Cleveland Browns on the moneyline.

NO LIMIT Play.

Game 260.

Sunday, October 1, 2023.

10:00 AM PST/1:00PM PM EST.

The Cincinnati Bengals were predicted to run away with the AFC North. After three games into the regular season, they dwell in the division cellar at 1-2. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, and Cleveland Browns are all tied at 2-1. This past Monday night, the Bengals eked by the Rams, 19-16, still not showing much. This upcoming week Cincinnati will go up against Tennessee, while Pittsburgh faces Houston. This is an ideal opportunity for Cleveland to beat a division rival and make a statement to the rest of the AFC North. This is an interesting matchup as the Browns have won and covered two of the last three meetings with the Ravens, which includes the most recent matchup, last December, 13-3. Losing running back, Nick Chubb is a significant blow to Cleveland. They did pick up a well-known face in ball-carrier, Kareem Hunt last week to combine with RB, Jerome Ford. However, their ground game really couldn’t get it going in their 27-3 victory at home against Tennessee. They must establish the run here. And I feel they will. It seems each year they possess one of the top rushing offenses in the NFL. One thing for sure, they can still score points. They have accounted for 24.3 points per game thus far this season. And when you have Deshaun Watson as your quarterback, you know he’s going to also keep defenses honest with his legs. No matter what, their defense once again is ferocious. As of post, they rank number one in overall yards allowed, number one passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, and number one in points allowed. The stop-unit is the reason why they have won two games already. Their offense did cough the ball up quite a bit through Games 1 and 2. But reports are head coach, Kevin Stefanski was pleased after this past Sunday’s victory as Watson did not throw any INT’s and the team only lost one fumble. They are definitely improving. The Ravens, despite a winning record, have looked quite lackluster this season. They took down the Texans, and did beat a banged-up, Joe Burrow and the Bengals on the road. But just couldn’t do anything right against the mediocre, Colts this past weekend, losing 22-19. I think they are in real trouble here this upcoming week. Just looking at last week’s numbers, Lamar Jackson, accounted for 303 of their 364 total yards of offense. Facing a defense like they are going to face this week I feel Jackson’s numbers will plummet. The Browns DC, Jim Schwartz is a pretty sharp guy, and he certainly has the personnel to throw a lot of different schemes at Jackson and force mistakes. Going back to last season, Cleveland is 5-1, both straight and against the spread their last six games played at home. Playing at Cleveland Browns Stadium, in front of some of the loudest, rowdiest, and most loyal fans, against a hated rival is going to be an added factor for the Browns here. There is no love lost between these teams. I feel the Ravens are in big trouble. Just in case the number moves, take Cleveland on the money line. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills on the money line.

Bookie Buster.

Game 254.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, last week I was all over Miami in their 70-20 blowout at home against Denver. Yes, it’s true, they have won all three of their outings this year, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last year, they have covered six consecutive outings. But after last week’s massacre, they are in a huge “letdown” mode here as they must face the very dangerous Buffalo bills. I know the Dolphins play the Bills very tough, as all three of last year’s matchups we’re settled by three or less points. However, there is no place for Miami to go but down following last week’s performance. Please understand this will be the Dolphins third road trip in the last four weeks. And playing up in Orchard Park is always a tough task for any visitor. Their season-opening loss on the road on Monday Night Football to the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, motivated the Bills to then go out and destroy the Raiders at home, 38-10, and then go on the road and shred the Commanders, 37-3. That Week 1 MNF game raised a lot of concerns about Josh Allen and the team in general, as they turned the ball over again and again. However, their last two contests, they’ve only coughed the ball up once. And their defense has really stepped up.Miami’s statistics are a bit skewed due to their blow out of Denver last week. In just about every offensive category, they top the NFL. But they’ve also turned the ball over three times on offense against some less than stellar defenses. And to be quite honest, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. This is by far the best offense and the best defense they have had to face yet this season. Buffalo ranks second in the league in scoring and second in the league in points allowed. I doubt very much the Dolphins will be able to slow down Josh Allen and the juggernaut, which is the Bills “O”. On the flipside, the Buffalo stop-unit has looked absolutely ferocious, topping the league with nine takeaways, and only allowing 11.7 points per game. The clock strikes midnight for Cinderella here and the carriage will turn back in to a pumpkin. Just in case the line moves, let’s err on the side of caution and play Buffalo on the money line. Thank you.

Oregon.

High Roller.

Game 173.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

As of post, there are currently six teams in the Pac-12 ranked in the top-25 in the nation. There are also five teams in the Conference, that has started the season off at 4-0. This week, Oregon faces Stanford. In my opinion, the Pac-12’s preseason highest-touted team, USC, although is very strong, has a defense that is very beatable. This is the Ducks last opportunity to fine-tune their skills before serious conference competition. They have the Huskies up next. This is a team that has no problems running up scores. So far this season they’ve been favorites of 48, 4.5, 38, and 21.5, covering all four outings. Meanwhile, the Conference’s worst team, the Stanford Cardinal are 1-3 overall, which does include an 0-2 record in Pac-12 play. They opened the season with a respectable win and cover on the road at Hawaii. Then got shredded by USC, and believe it or not, Sacramento State, before losing a tight one at home against Arizona. Last year’s meeting saw Oregon shred Stanford at home, 45-27. That marked the third win and cover for the Ducks over the Cardinal in the last four meetings. Quarterback Nix, looks like he has found a home at the helm of the Oregon offense. So far this season he has a 79.4 completion percentage, thrown for over 1,169 yards, with 11 TDs and just one INT. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal along with a trio a very solid ball-carriers. As a matter of fact, running backs, Irving, James, and Whittington have combined for over 660 yards rushing and 11 TDs on the ground. The defensive of Oregon is almost as impressive, as their stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass, 33rd against the rush, and 17th nationally in points allowed, yielding just 13.3 points per game. Oh, by the way, going back to their offense, every aspect of it ranks in the top-10 in the nation, while not turning the ball over at all. My friends, in all sincerity Stanford is atrocious. They can’t score offensively and they can’t stop anyone defensively. I look for Nix to have his finest performance of the season thus far against the 126th ranked pass defense of Stanford. In an era where style points count for something in the polls, look for Oregon to light up Stanford like it’s the Fourth of July. Take the Ducks. Thank you.

LSU on the moneyline.

OM PLAY.

Game 201.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

My friends, this game caught my eye the moment the lines came out. And I’ve got to tell you, every day that I’ve looked at this matchup since, I’ve liked it more and more. Following their season-opening loss on the road at Florida State, LSU has rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. At 3-1 straight up, Mississippi’s record in my opinion can be a bit misleading. They played Mercer, Tulane, and Georgia Tech before losing to Alabama. In all sincerity, I think they got a little bit lucky, against both the Green Wave and Yellow Jackets matchups. The Tigers took last year’s meeting at home, 45-20. Dual-threat quarterback, Jaden Daniels is putting up some serious numbers. He leads an offense that ranks 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging over 42.8 points per game. This is a unit that does not turn the ball over, while they rank in the top-10 in both total yards and passing yards, and 37th in rushing yards. They will control the clock and keep their opponents defense on the field. The Rebels just don’t have the ground game to keep the Tigers defense honest and control the tempo at all. I just don’t see Mississippi keeping pace offensively with LSU here. Take the Tigers on the moneyline. Thank you.

Georgia.

VI MOVE.

Game191.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Believe it or not, Georgia is one of only three undefeated teams left in the SEC. The nation’s top-ranked team needs to pile up victories and pile them up with big margins for sure. What a better team to face than Auburn. The Bulldogs have had their way with the Tigers, taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Just going back, the last three years, Georgia has won by margins of 21, 24, and 32 points. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that this team has only covered one of their four games this season. None of those pointspreads were less than 26 points. They had each of the games won and started pulling starters out. This is a Conference matchup and with the Kentucky Wildcats up next, I expect the Georgia Bulldogs to flex their muscles and show the rest of the Conference that they deserve to be the top team in it as well as in the country. The Tigers started the season off winning three straight before stepping up in class on the road and getting embarrassed, 27-10 at the hands of the Aggies in College Station. That no cover marked the third consecutive for Auburn as they couldn’t cover in the SU win on the road at Cal and also failed to cover a big pointspread at home against Samford. While they’re defense seems to be adequate. They have not faced an offense of the caliber that they will face here this week. On the flipside, I doubt very much they’re going to move the chains at all against the stout, 10th ranked Georgia “D”, which has allowed just 11.3 points per game. One more item that has really stood out to me: the Bulldogs defense has snagged seven takeaways. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense have already coughed the ball up four times. Look for the Georgia defense to create some turnovers here and capitalize them with ease. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Louisville.

Friday Night Lights Play.

Game 113.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Louisville is only one of two ACC teams to have started this season off 2-0 in Conference play and 4-0 overall. Going back to last season, the Cardinals have won five consecutive outings SU. While NC State is off to a 3-1 start, they have been pointspread poison, failing to cover all four outings thus far this season. This is nothing new for the Wolfpack, as they have failed to cover five in a row and eight of the last 10 going back to last October. The only bright spot for the team has been their rushing game. However, sometimes statistics can be very deceiving. They piled up yardage on the ground against both Connecticut and VMI. I doubt they will have the same success against a very stout, Louisville defense, which has only allowed 19.0 points per game. Offensively, I don’t see how the Wolfpack can slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the Cardinals, which are accounting for over 43.0 points per game. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jack Plummer and running back, Jawhar Jordan will not just move the chains at will, but will light up the scoreboard here. Louisville just has too much fire power. And to be honest, they know if they play things right, they have a chance at competing for the Conference crown. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Detroit Lions on the money line.

Touchdown play.

Game 101.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Ya’ know my friends, I keep reading about “drinking the blue Kool-Aid.” But the Detroit Lions have been winning for a while now. And as far as covering games, they have been money. So don’t be ashamed if you walk around with blue stains around your lips from drinking the blue Kool-Aid (lol). Granted, both teams are 2-1 straight up this season, while the Lions have covered two of their three contests, and the Packers all three of their outings. You know, for quite a while, the Packers had their way in this series. However, Detroit has now won and covered the last three meetings against their division rival. Not only that, but this past January, they took their first overall meeting in Green Bay in quite a while. My friends, the worm has turned. The Lions overcame quite a bit last week in their 20-6 win and cover over the Falcons at home. They were a little banged up, didn’t really do too well on third down conversions, had a turnover, and yet they still dominated a formidable opponent. On the other hand, looking at the Green Bay victory at home against New Orleans last Sunday, they only started moving to chains and putting points on the board, after quarterback, Derek Carr went down for the Saints. While, both teams are dealing with some key players that a questionable tonight (check status), I just fell on both sides of the ball, the Lions are a bit stronger. I don’t feel Green Bay quarterback, Jordan Love is reading defenses as much as the team would’ve liked at this point. And without an adequate rushing game, I feel Detroit will put a lot of pressure on him and force mistakes. Speaking of mistakes, in the last three meetings between these two teams, the Packers are -8 in turnover margin. Lions head coach, Dan Campbell is a pretty sharp guy who knows how to get the most out of his personnel. And by the way, he is 10-2 against division opponents straight up the last 12. As both teams are 2-1, while the Vikings and Bears are sitting at 0-3 in the NFC North, Detroit has a real opportunity to take hold of the division. Take the Lions on the money line just to err on the side of caution. Thank you.

Baltimore Orioles on the run line.

Double Play.

Game 980.

3:35 PM PST/6:35 PM EST.

With just a handful of games left in the regular season, the Baltimore Orioles, which have earned a postseason spot already, sit 2.5 games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays in first place of the American League East. They have won two in a row and six of their last nine outings. This season, they have taken both meetings with the Washington Nationals. And going back a bit, they have taken eight of the last nine overall matchups with their National League East rival. Let’s face it, the Nationals started making vacation plans for October a while ago (lol). While they are a dismal, 35-41 on the road this season, the Orioles are a very impressive, 45-30 at home. Scheduled starters today are Josiah Gray and Kyle Bradish. The Washington right-hander is 8-12 with a 4.00 ERA on the campaign. The team has dropped three of his last four outings. The Baltimore right-hander is 11-7 with a 3.01 ERA in 2023. And the team has won seven of his last nine turns. I look for the explosive Orioles offense to light up the Washington pitching staff here. Take the Baltimore on the run line. Thank you

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MNF GOM.

Game 478.

4:15 PMPST/7:15PM EST.

Granted, Philadelphia is 2-0 this season. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t impressed me too much. Their defense has allowed 24.0 points per game against the likes of New England and Minnesota. I understand they own one of the top rushing offenses in football right now. But the Tampa Bay run defense has been stellar, yielding just 54.0 yards per game on the ground. I don’t have too much faith in Jalen Hurts and the NFL’s 29th ranked passing unit. And they must face a frustrating “D” that has already snagged five takeaways. In my opinion, the Buccaneers wins against the Vikings and Bears having more impressive. Offensively, it’s tough to put any real faith in Baker Mayfield. However, this unit has not turned the ball over yet, which is huge. By the way, the Eagles are just 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a road favorite. And going back to the start of last season, away from home, they are a dismal, 3-7 ATS overall. This game does include last year’s Super Bowl. Home ‘dog on Monday night is the way to go. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

Consensus.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

With all respect to Zach Wilson and the New York Jets, they came back down to Earth last week, getting crushed by the Dallas Cowboys on the road, 30-10. Now they must face a team they have not beaten in years. Let me put it this way folks, the last time New York took down New England, Ryan Fitzpatrick was at the helm. My friends, that was back in December of 2015. The patriots have beaten the Jets 14 straight times since. New England is 0-2 (both straight up and against the spread) for the first time since Drew Bledsoe went down, and Tom Brady came in off the bench. I can’t remember the last time the team started 0-3 (LOL). And guess what folks? It’s not going to happen this season. They played two extremely strong opponents thus far, in Philadelphia and Miami and played them both very tough. I just don’t see Zach Wilson, putting up too many points on an angry, New England defense. On the flipside, Mac Jones has looked OK. They need to put a little more stress on the running game. But either way, their offense will be too much for an overworked and battered, New York defense. I expect “The Hoodie” to come out with an extremely strong game plans and throw everything but the kitchen sink at Wilson and force mistakes. New England gets their first win of the season. And for us they get their first cover. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins.

No Limit.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Miami dolphins have played some stellar football thus far in this young season, going 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter of fact, as far as us, sports bettors are concerned, they have covered five straight games going back to last season. They face a Denver Broncos team that was supposed to be much improved this year. However, after both losses, and no covers at home against Las Vegas and Washington, they now hit the road. Russell Wilson and the offense finally put up some points. But it was is a losing effort against the Commanders. Let’s face it, the Broncos defense was supposed to be their strength again this season. And yet, Washington posted 35 points on them. This is Miami’s first home game. They have a loyal fan base that will further motivate them here and big part of another victory for this team. To add insult (no pun intended) to injury, the Bronco’s secondary is a little banged up. Look for Tagovailoa to have his best performance yet this season. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.