Illinois Fighting Illini.

Illinois/Purdue Winner.

Game 691.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I'm not going to ruffle any feathers and say Purdue isn't deserving of their top-ranked college basketball status. This is an amazing team. And they have taken the last three meetings in this series. But Illinois is playing some very good basketball this season, at 11-2 overall, winning four in a row straight up, and nine in a row against the spread. By the way, they have covered all four games they have played away from home this season. The Fighting Illini possess a very deep roster with one of the best starting back courts in the land. They have speed, they have height, they have muscle. Obviously, the Boilermakers are a monster squad. Arguably, they have the best player in college basketball at the helm. But these two teams mirror one another statistically. They both score north of 80 points per game, while both defenses allow under 70 points per game. I do feel college basketball’s second-best offensive rebounding core of Illinois will be the difference. They're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. I just think this is way too many points. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you.

Quinnipiac Bobcats.

Under the Radar play.

Game 590.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Bobcats have dominated this conference rivalry, taking six in a row, and eight of the last nine straight up, and eight of the last 10 against the number. While both teams will be making their first appearance of the New Year here, Quinnipiac certainly comes in hotter and possessing a much better record. Overall, they are 9-4, including 1-1 in conference play. They return home to the M&T Bank Arena, where they are 5-1 this season. Rider is struggling, dropping 10 of their first 13 overall games and both contests played in the Metro Atlantic conference. They are also just 1-7 on the road this season. Granted, neither team puts up impressive numbers, but the Bobcats are certainly stronger at both ends of the court. And as expected, this game will be physical, which benefits them as well as they hit nearly 79% from the line. Take the home team here with Quinnipiac. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Michigan has certainly had their way in the series, taking eight of the last 10 straight up. However, Minnesota has covered six of those 10 meetings. And my friends, the worm has turned this season. The Golden Gophers enter this matchup with a 10-3 overall record, winning five in a row SU. Meanwhile, they are one of the best covering teams in college basketball right now, going 12-1AT. And just FYI, they've covered both of their Conference matchups thus far. On the other hand, the Wolverines are a disappointing 6-7 straight up, only covering five of their 13 outings this season. At home they are just .500, at 3-3. To make matters worse, they've only covered two of their last 10 games. Both teams possess high-powered offenses. They both average over 80 points per game. But there's no denying Minnesota's rebounding superiority. They are also a little tougher on the defensive end of the court. Giving this team this many points, especially the fact that they are a covering machine this season, is a gift. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

Oregon.

I know Washington has taken the last two meetings over the last two seasons in this Conference rivalry. But prior to that, Oregon took six straight. This season these teams are on opposite sides of the Pac-12. The Ducks are tied atop the division with three other teams at 2-0 in Conference play, possessing an overall record of 10-3. The Huskies are towards the cellar at 0-2 against Pac-12 opponents, owning an overall mark of 8-5. The visitors are certainly hotter as I mentioned earlier. While Washington puts up a few more points on offense, they also are allowing a lot more points on defense. I think that's where this game will be won. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML.

Best Bet play.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Saint Joseph's Hawks.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 671.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The Hawks have taken the last two meetings in this conference rivalry over the last two seasons, both straight up and against the spread. They enter this season's matchup running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight straight up, and seven of their last nine against the spread. They have played very competitively against the likes of Kentucky. But they have won some matchups with such notables as Villanova, Temple, and Princeton. The Rams have not done so well. The only bright spot they have this season was starting to campaign off 3-0. But since then, they have dropped seven of 10 straight up, and eight of 10 against the number. On both sides of the court, St. Joe’s outclasses Rhode Island. The Rams already have trouble putting points on the board, and now they have to face a very frustrating hawks defense, that is putting up impressive numbers in every major defensive category. Take Saint Joseph’s. Thank you.

George Washington Revolutionaries.

Atlantic 10 Annihilator.

Game 676.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, in my opinion, GW should be a favorite of at least seven or eight points here. This line just doesn't make sense to me. This is a team that is tied with George Mason for the best overall record in the Conference, at 11-2. They are 9-0 at home this season. And they are riding a five-game win streak. Fordham is off to a very lackluster, 6-7 start. This is a team having trouble putting points on the board, averaging just 72.9 points per game on 41.1% shooting from the floor. To make matters even worse, they hit just 30.8% from downtown, and a dismal, 65.1% from the line. Their defense isn't that much better. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the sharpshooting, explosive offense of George Washington, which is averaging over 80.8 points per game and shoot lights out from beyond the arc, hitting over 37.3%. They are also monsters on the offensive glass, which means they will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. That would be enough for me to decide with this team at home. However, they also allow just 38.6% shooting on defense.  The line is way off here. Let's make the oddsmakers pay for their mistake. Take the Revolutionaries. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 279.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 276.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 278.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL).  What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Play LA.

Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Play Dallas.

Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Play PSU.

As of posting this play, by far, Penn State will be affected less significantly than Mississippi as far as opt out or transfer portals. But more than that, the Nittany Lions were hoping for a New Year's day Bowl for sure. They feel a little short-changed here because they suffered two losses. But this is a team on both sides of the ball that are loaded with playmakers, and guys that are starters, which are coming back next year. They want this game. They want this Bowl. Take Penn State. Thank you.

Play Clemson.

Despite rumors that Kentucky's early NFL draft entrants are going to play and some of Clemson’s are not, it reflects in the number still. The Tigers want and more over need this win. This is a team for more than a decade dominated college football. And yet they're just 8-4 this season. But please remember they finished strong, winning of covering their last four games. They want to win this Bowl game and finish out the year on a high note. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 2056.

6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST.

There are certainly a lot of good stories in this matchup. Oklahoma begins a new era at the quarterback position. And they narrowly missed playing in a New Year's Bowl Six matchup. I mean playing in the Conference they play in and going 10-2 is pretty darn respectable, in my opinion. On the opposite Sideline, Arizona is trying to match their longest winning streak in 25 years. And they were certainly one of college football's biggest surprises this season. But the line is off my friends. I understand quarterback, Dillon Gabriel will not be at the helm here. This is truly a big loss. I also understand that overall, the Sooners rank 100th in pass defense. But they have a smart coach and a long tradition of winning Bowl games. This is a very well-balanced team that is truly deep at every major position. They had one of the best rushing attacks in the country and average over 43.2 points per game, which is good enough for being the third highest-scoring team in the nation. Defensively, they rank second in takeaways, snagging 19 turnovers. Oh, by the way, they only allow 22.3 points per game in a Conference known for some of the most explosive offenses. The Arizona defense is good, but they're not very good at creating turnovers. They're also not very good against the pass either. And trust me when I tell you, backup quarterbacks in Oklahoma can start for just about any other team in the country. The line is off here. Take the Sooners. Thank you.

NC State.

Game 253.

2:45 PM PST/5:45 PM EST.

Several of the teams this Bowl season lost starters, and yet still played very well. Trust me when I tell you Kansas State will not be one of those teams. Losing quarterback, Will Howard and the teams second-leading rusher, running back Treshaun Ward, it's a big blow for this offense. This is a good team, don't get me wrong. But you just can't fill the shoes so easily of an on-the-field general and leader like Howard. Especially against the team like NC State, which ended the season with five consecutive wins and covers, four of which they were a ‘dog. Brennan Armstrong should be back at the helm here (check status). But I don't think it matters, because this team and their success solely revolves around their defense. And their defense is intact. They only allow 20.2 points per game. And have snagged over 17 takeaways already this season. Whoever is at the helm for the Wildcats, is going to be in for a long day. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

Miami Florida.

Game 252.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With word starting quarterback, Tyler Van Dyke, and back up, Emory Williams, not playing here, oddsmakers have the line at Rutgers -1.5 (as of post). Please remember, this team was a solid team this season. They were only a handful of points away from 10 wins. Yes, they finished 7-5. But three of their losses were by a touchdown or less. I just don't see Rutgers, which ended the season on a four-game lose and no cover streak, competing with them. Yes, the Scarlet Knights have a very strong rushing attack. But they're going up against the 11th-ranked run defense in college football. Offensively, overall, the Scarlet Knights average a mere, 22.2 points per game. Yes, I see their defense overall played well. But please remember that those numbers are skewed as some of the teams they thumped were teams like the Owls of Temple and the Seahawks of Wagner. When they went up against strong defensive units, they folded like a chief suit as they will hear today once again. Let’s not forget they are riding a four-game slide, both SU and ATS Take Miami. Thank you.

SMU.

Game 249.

8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST.

My friends, with no major opt outs in this Bowl game, it seems like we are in uncharted territories (lol). What amazes me is the fact that SMU, which finished first in the AAC at 11-2, is only a 10-point favorite over BC, which finished 10th in the ACC at 6-6. I know, I know, I know, there are some mismatches between these Conferences during the Bowl season. But I don't think this is one of them. The Mustangs enter this match up on a nine-game straight up winning streak, going 6-3 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Eagles finished their campaign on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, Boston College has a quarterback and a running back that put up some impressive numbers, facing the SMU very stingy defense is going to be a tall order for the team. The ‘Stangs allowed just 17.4 points per game this season against some very good offensive units. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. Because their defense is so good it allows their offense to tire out opponents defensive units and put points on the board as they average over 40.6 points per game, offensively. I think there's a major mismatch between their 36th-ranked, rushing attack and the Eagles 125th ranked run defense. This game is going to be won by more than two touchdowns. Take SMU. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

Game 248.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

There is so much going on between the coaching staff and the players for Texas A&M, with so many big names, opting out on the field, as well as a good portion of the coaching staff going on to bigger and better next season. There is no question Oklahoma State is a little more intact. And the trio of Bowman, Gordon, and Presley, all of which are expected to play, is one of the best offensive arsenals in the country. For once I think the general public has it right. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

West Virginia

2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.

Very simply, West Virginia is one of the most complete teams in the Bowl season, with only a few players opting out here. Meanwhile, North Carolina lost their entire offense. Quarterback, Drake Maye will be going to the draft. The dual-threat QB was their on-the-field at general. The combination of the nation’s third-ranked, rushing attack on offense, and a very stout intact defense, tells me West Virginia is the play here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you.

Tulane.

Game 242.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

This time of year, it seems more about the transfer portal and opt outs than it does the actual players that are playing. While the team lost a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel, please remember the Green Wave wasn't about the offense this year. They are about the defense. Their stop-unit allows just 18.9 points per game and earned them victories over such teams as South Alabama, Memphis, and UTSA. They will completely shut down the Hokies ability to run the ball, thus taking away their entire offense. On the flipside, Tulane does have a solid ground attack and that is certainly a weakness for the West Virginia defense. And allows the Green Wave to control the clock. Take Tulane. Thank you.

Bowling Green Falcons.

Game 235.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Money was originally coming in on the underdog here. But the last few days the general public has been playing the favorite. My friends, I have the line here way off. My two sets of power ratings have Bowling Green a slight favorite of 1.5 points. Yes, I know Minnesota plays in a stronger Conference. But this is a team that was a doormat in Big Ten play. And they finished the season on a four-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. They have to take the field without their starting quarterback, Athan Kaliakmamis, who started every game this season, but has entered the transfer portal. They turn the reins over to Cole Kramer, making his first start. This is already a lackluster offense, averaging just 20.2 points per game, even when they had their first string QB at the helm, ranking 126th in passing and just 79th in rushing. The Falcons have a seasoned quarterback in Connor Bazelak, and a couple of strong rushers in the backfield. But is there defense that will shine here. They're one of the best in the nation in takeaways (16), only allow 23.5 points per game, and are equally strong against the pass as well as the rush. They will spend more time in the Minnesota backfield then the Minnesota players themselves (lol). Let's not forget this team comes in here red-hot, winning and covering five of their last six games. And they are not intimidated by their opponent. As the last time they faced one another, they beat the Golden Gophers, 14-10, just two years ago. Take Bowling Green. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins on the moneyline.

Game 472.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Guys, I think the Dallas Cowboys are a good team. However, there's a few things that really stand out in my mind about this team. For starters, it seems each time are asked to step up, they fall short. Their last three losses this season were against San Francisco, Philadelphia and Buffalo. Sure, they can be teams like the Jets, the Chargers, the Giants, and the Panthers. But each time they have to step up in class and face an NFL elite team, they fall short. Secondly, they might be 7-0 at home, but they are just 3-4 on the road this season straight up.  They have failed to cover four of their last six on the road in 2023. And lastly, I really don't think Dak Prescott is a big game quarterback. While he'll put up statistics and numbers, etc., he folds like a cheap suit in big game situations. And this is a big game situation. The Dolphins are a monster team, the number one scoring offense in football, averaging over 31.5 points per game. They are equally good in the air as they are on the ground. And defensively I like the way they match up here. Yes, the Cowboys own the number two scoring offense in the league. However, they face a defense here that matches up well with them as Miami’s stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass and forth against the rush. The dolphins are 6-1 SU at home this season, going 5-2 ATS. Being at home in front of a friendly crowd, I feel the Dolphins are the play here. Take Miami. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, I understand that Atlanta is playing at home. But I still think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have dropped five of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread, including the last two games coming into this matchup. Meanwhile the Colts have been much more consistent, winning and covering five of their last six games coming into this contest. Taylor Heinicke has been named starter here. I could just leave the analysis at that and I think we'd all know what we should do (LOL). But I'm not crazy about this kid. I don't like the way he calls a game, and I don't think he's a leader. At least not yet. I see the 1-2 punch of Minshew and Moss moving the chains offensively for Indianapolis and wearing down an already-fatigued Atlanta defense. Take the Colts. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals on the moneyline.

Game 453.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Very simply, the Bengals need wins. Yes, the Steelers need wins too. But I think we can all agree, Cincinnati is starting to run at the right time, winning and covering their last three outings, while Pittsburgh is ice-cold losing and failing to cover their last three contests. These two teams certainly know each other well and don't like each other. The Bengals have taken four of the last six both straight up and against the spread in the series and have revenge on their minds, because they did drop a November 26 meeting at home against the Steelers, 16-10.  The Pittsburgh offense is non-existent. During their current three-game slide, they have accounted for an average of 13.6 points per game, while their defense has gotten blown up for 75 points during their skid. Good teams rise to the occasion. And Cincinnati is a good team. Take the Bengals on the moneyline. Thank you.

James Madison Dukes on the MONEYLINE.

Game 225.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

My friends, I'm asking you to take this game on the money line only because I see the line ping-ponging around a bit, and I want make sure we don't get hooked somewhere. Personally, I have the line much higher than the oddsmakers. I feel the Dukes should be favored by at least a touchdown or more. Having said that, this is James Madison's first ever Bowl appearance. And trust me when I tell you, they've been waiting for this moment for years.  I know the Sun Belt isn't recognized as one of the strongest conferences in college football. However, this team is 11-1 straight up this season, covering eight of their 12 games. My friends this is no fluke. If you go back five years, this team has accumulated an overall record of 52-9. That's pretty impressive. This season their only setback was at the hands of Appalachian State in a heartbreaking, three-point loss. If you look at some of their opponents, they beat some very good teams; Virginia, Troy, Utah State, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, Marshall, Georgia State, and Coastal Carolina. That's just a few of the good teams they took down.  I know Air Force is known to have a phenomenal rushing attack. But this is a team, after starting the season 8-0, that has dropped their last four outings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back to the rushing attack, it is quite impressive. However, take into consideration James Madison ranks No. 1 in the nation against the rush. They have allowed a mere, 61.5 yards per game of the ground this season. And if you want to go on further and say the Falcons are better than some of their opponents this season on the ground, the Dukes had extra time to prepare for their ground game here. They also come in here allowing just 18.5 points per game, and snagging 13 takeaways. This is a problem for Air Force as they tend to turn the ball over quite a bit. The Falcons are also going to be in for a long day defensively, although they are good against the run, the Dukes are an amazing team on the ground, and balance it out with the 17th ranked passing attack in college football. Take James Madison here for sure. Thank you.

Utah State Aggies on the moneyline.

Game 228.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Despite both of these teams, being 6-6 this season, there are a lot of disparities. Georgia State plays in the Sunbelt, while Utah State plays in the Mountain West. You cannot compare the two conferences. As most teams in college football this time of year, both of these teams were affected by the opt outs and transfer portals. But the Aggies were only slightly bit, while the Panthers have taken a significant loss. Georgia State also enters this matchup losing five in a row straight up and four of those five against the spread. Utah State has won three of their last four straight up and split out those ATS. As I mentioned earlier, the Panthers took more of a loss in opt out than did the Aggies. On both sides of the ball, I see Utah State dominating. Offensively, they will steamroll the Georgia State defense with a very well-balanced offense averaging over 34.1 points per game and only committing six turnovers. This is a big mismatch. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 452.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Despite both the Saints and the Rams possessing identical, 7-7 records, Los Angeles is in the seventh seed while New Orleans is in the ninth seed in the NFC. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and covers against the Panthers and the Giants. However, facing Bryce Young and Tommy DeVito are far cry from facing Matthew Stafford. Neither Carolina’s, Chuba Hubbard, or New York's, Saquon Barkley could do anything on the ground either. It's not because the New Orleans run defense is so good. It was because those running offenses are so bad. Tonight, they must face a very solid ground attack of Kyren Williams. Prior to their last two games, the Saints defense got thrashed for 27, 24, and 33 points against the likes of the Vikings, the Falcons, and the Lions. I expect them to get thrashed again this evening, facing the leagues ninth ranked-scoring offense. Speaking of Los Angeles, they enter this matchup winning four of their last five straight up, and their last four consecutive against the spread. This team is rolling. And they are rolling at the right time. They need victories to better their situation for a postseason opportunity. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Game 688.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Very simply, the Tar Heels have not looked good against strong opponents this season. While this is not a true home game for North Carolina, it is still being played in Charlotte, in front of some friendly fans. However, that does not negate the fact Oklahoma is 10-0 this season straight up covering eight of the 10 outings against the spread. They have looked very good against solid opponents at both ends of the court. Their average margin of victory this season has come by 23.1 points per game. There are equally strong offensively as well as defensively, and are far superior on the boards in this matchup. I really feel the only reason why Tar Heels are favored in this game is due to it being played in North Carolina. Take the Sooner. Thank you.

Houston Rockets on the ML.

Game 544.

5:10 PM, PST/810 PM EST.

I don't think there's a team in the NBA so far this season that has been more “Jekyll and Hyde” than the Houston Rockets. Outside of the Detroit Pistons, the Rockets own the poorest road record in the league. However, they own the best home record in the NBA as well. That's right, they are 11-1 at the Toyota Center this season. The last time they failed to cover a home game was in their home opener back on October 29. They come off back-to-back road losses and return home tonight in front of a friendly crowd to face an Atlanta Hawks opponent that has been less than stellar overall, at 11-15 straight up. Talk about pointspread poison…the Hawks have covered just one game since November 25, going 1-10 ATS. Granted they possess an explosive scoring offense. However, they are going up against the NBA's second-best scoring defense. As a matter fact, the Rockets rank in the top-five in every major defense category. On the offensive side of the ball I look for Houston to get an enormous amount of second-chance shots with a very strong, very big, rebounding core, ranking sixth in the NBA averaging over 45.5 rebounds per game on the offensive of glass. If Atlanta tries to shoot from the perimeter, they are once again going to be in trouble as Houston possesses the top three-point shooting defense in basketball. I think this line is off. Take the Rockets. Thank you.

Virginia Cavaliers.

Game 617.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Tonight's contest between Virginia and Memphis is going to certainly move one of the teams up and rankings, while dropping the other probably out of the top-25. The Cavaliers are 9-1, while the Tigers are 8-2. Both have faced solid opposition thus far in this short season. I think asking Memphis to face Virginia and their frustrating defense following consecutive games against Virginia Commonwealth, Texas A&M, and Clemson, is way too much to ask of the team. They have gotten to be running a bit ragged because all of those contests I just mentioned were very tight games. But none of those were against defenses as solid as they're facing here tonight. The Cavaliers are allowing just 53.3 points per game, while holding opponents to just 35.9% shooting. They're also one of the best in the country against the “3”. On the other hand. They are also pretty darn good at shooting the “3”. I know their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But your defense is so frustrating, I just feel Memphis is in way over their head here tonight. They can score points, but their accuracy from either the floor or beyond the arc isn’t anything to brag about. And if it gets physical, they are also not too good from the free-throw line. Take Virginia. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves on the ML.

Game 507.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Minnesota possesses the best record in the Western Conference at 19-5. And yet they are coming into Miami to face a Heat opponent with a line opening at pick ‘em. With all respect to the Heat, they have been point spread poison, failing to cover four of their last five, and overall on the campaign, have covered just 11 of 26. Once again, Miami is being overvalued. Meanwhile, Minnesota enters tonight's matchup winning nine of their last 10 straight up and six of their last nine against the spread. They have been money on the road, covering four of their last five in the visitor role. These two teams have met only once this season as the T-Wolves downed the Heat at home, 106-90 back at the end of October. However, going back a bit, they have dominated this series taking eight of the last 10 SU, covering seven of those 10 meetings ATS. The Heat are the best three-point shooting team in the NBA right now. But not to worry my friends, because the Timberwolves rank second in three-point defense. But they do rank No. 1 in both points allowed and field goal percentage allowed. I just don't think the lackluster offense of Miami will succeed against this defense. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 324.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Atlanta Falcons.

Game 307.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play.  possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins.

Game 320.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

If you looked at this game and did your due diligence, you will see the Dolphins are the play. Money came in on the Jets early then bounced back on the ‘Fins. In your research, you had to have checked the remaining regular season games for Miami. Following this contest, they have Dallas at home, Baltimore on the road, finishing the regular campaign up with Buffalo at home. That is a tough slate to end the season. This is a must win for the team and sincerely, the only real pushover for the Dolphins. The Jets have only won one game since November began and only covered one outing since mid-October. They won last week and got their “face-saving” victory behind them. Now New York comes back down to Earth. No way their laughable offense, which has posted 13 or less points in five of their last six outings, can match up with the angry, redemption-seeking, second-ranked scoring offense of Miami here. This game gets ugly. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.  

Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Game 212.

6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST.

It's been reported the Red Raiders are expected to be without better than a dozen players for this contest. Don't overthink this. The Golden Bears will also be without quite a few playmakers. I know Cal ended their campaign winning and covering three straight. But going up against Texas Tech, coming off a loss, their first loss in November, an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Texas, will prove to be fatal for California. The Red Raiders are riding a Bowl hot streak, earning back-to-back outright upset wins over the last two seasons, beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs as a 10.0-point underdog in 2021, and ‘Ole Miss as a 4.5-point underdog last season. While, Texas Tech on paper is going to be shorthanded, offensively, expected to play is quarterback, Behren Morton, and running back, Tahj Brooks. Morton had a 61.8% completion rate, passing for 1,498 yards, with 12 TD’s and just seven INT’s, while Brooks tallied over 1,447 yards rushing and nine scores. There's also a significant advantage in turnovers, both offensively and defensively for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

Denver Broncos.

Game 311.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

My numbers have the line here closer to 1.0 or maybe 1.5. Detroit, which was one of the most exciting stories this season, has dropped two of their last three straight up, and three of the last four against the spread (which includes their last two games played at home). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid for a while. But it seems every time the Lions are asked to step up or play big, they fall short. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning six of their last seven straight up, and covering five of those seven outings against the spread. Since mid-October, their stop-unit has been one of the toughest in football. Coincidentally, when their defense stepped up, so did their offense. Looking at the history between these two squads, the Broncos have dominated, winning and covering the last three meetings going back eight seasons. With each of these teams completing the regular season on January 7, after this week, the Broncos certainly have a smoother ride, playing at home against the Patriots and Chargers before going on the road to face the Raiders. However, the Lions path is a lot tougher. After this week, they play visitor to both the Vikings and the Cowboys, before finishing the regular season at home once again against their division rival, Minnesota. The statistics are obvious. Detroit should have success on the ground against the NFL’s poorest run defense. However, that is a ranking that comes from the regular season, overall. And to say the Broncos "D" has significantly improved, would be an understatement. Look for quarterback, Russell Wilson to put up some of his best numbers so far in 2023. Take Denver. Thank you.

New Mexico State Aggies.

Game 207.

2:45 P PST/5:45 PM EST.

Both teams here will be missing some key players due to the usual opt outs this time of year. However, it looks like the Bulldogs have been hit a little bit harder with this issue than the Aggies. Following an eight-game win and cover streak, New Mexico State took a loss against Liberty on December 1. I expect this team to bounce back with a vengeance and earn a big Bowl victory here. This is a team that can put up points on just about any opponent, with a well-balanced offense. But it will be their ground game, which ranks 12th in the nation that will absolutely devour the 98th ranked rush defense of Fresno State. We are all well aware the Aggies secondary is vulnerable. I doubt this will be a problem, as the Bulldogs are having serious concerns at the quarterback position. Fresno State has also crushed bettors, covering just one of their last eight contests. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.

Temple Owls.

Game 617.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Temple took last season’s matchup with VCU at home, 83-73. They enter this contest winning their last two games straight up. And winning and covering both road games this season. They've already stepped up in class and beat the likes of Drexel outright, a tough LaSalle foe, while covering but not getting the win against Mississippi with a heartbreaking, one-point loss. Meanwhile, the Rams have already taken outright losses against the McNeese State Cowboys and the Norfolk State Spartans. This certainly raises a red flag for me, my friends. Giving the Owls this many points is a huge mistake. Take Temple. Thank you.

Baylor Bears.

Game 625.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST

The sixth-ranked Baylor Bears are a perfect, 9-0 this season and come into this matchup, well-rested, following an 11-day break from competition due to final exams. But this is a very smart, well-coached team. S Io have no worries about cobwebs or rust. They will come in here confident, knowing they have dominated every opponent they have faced this season. They have covered all one outing. And have already taken down such notables as Auburn and Florida. I know the Michigan State Spartans are college basketball royalty. However, they are a mess. They are just 4-5 straight up and have only covered three outings this season. They come into today's contest, losing and failing to cover their last two games against Wisconsin and Nebraska. Take note, they were favorites in both, and took beatings in both as well. The Bears are hitting over 52% from the field, 43% from downtown, and are accounting for over 91.1 points per game, while dominating the glass at both ends of the court. The Spartans don't stand a chance. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Brooklyn Nets.

Game 525.

6:10 PM, PST/910 PM EST.

With all respect to the defending world champion, Denver Nuggets, they are not the same team they were a season ago. At least not yet. Right now, they sit in fourth place in the West at 16-9. This is a respectful record. But I think we can all agree they are just not in sync. Something isn’t clicking on the Nuggets, and it is showing. Yes, they are a good team. But they are not good enough to lay double-digits against just about any opponent in the NBA, especially the surging, Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have won seven of their last 10 straight up and eight of their last 10 against the spread. They are playing superb basketball. They have covered three of their last four as a visitor, and have given the Nuggets all they can handle in recent matchups. At both ends of the court, they are playing so0lid basketball. They are the best team in the NBA on the offensive glass. So, second-chance shots are huge here. And there is a big mismatch between their third ranked three-point shooting offense, and the Nuggets 14th ranked three-point defense. Giving Brooklyn this many points as an early Christmas present. Take the Nets. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline.

Game 511.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

The Lakers achieved a goal they wanted in winning the in-season tournament. Then in their first game back in regular season play on the road last night, they lost 127-125 at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks. Losing doesn't sit well with LeBron James and company, that's for sure. What better team to face to get back on the winning track than the San Antonio Spurs. Los Angeles has won and covered the last four meetings in this rivalry going back to November of 2022. Not only that, but it is well publicized San Antonio is riding a 17-game SU losing streak. During their current slide, they have only covered five contests. The Lakers have turned it up on both ends of the court as their offense is scoring points, and their defense has become quite frustrating. I see them really lighting up the Spurs here and taking out a bit of frustration carried over from last night’s defeat. Take Los Angeles on the moneyline. Thank you.

Louisville Cardinals.

Game 634.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Last year was head coach. Kenny Payne's first season at the helm for the Louisville Cardinals. And to say it was a disastrous season would be an understatement. The team went 4-28. Now, I'm not saying this team is going to compete for the conference title. But one more victory and they surpassed last season's win total. This is a very big, very emotional game for this team. Arkansas State is less than a formidable opponent, for sure. They are winless on the road and an overall 3-7. They have played three power conference squads already, and got outscored by a total of 67 points at the hands of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Alabama, all resulting in losses. Although Louisville is not as strong as those teams, they are still a step up in class here. I expect the Red Wolves to fold like a cheap suit. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 620.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Following back-to-back straight up losses to USC and Alabama, Oregon is now back on track winning and covering their last few games against Michigan and UTEP. As a matter of fact, the team is 5-3 ATS this season already. At home. They are perfect at 4-0 and what better team to face to continue their win streak than Cal Baptist. With all respect to the Lancers, they don't pose too much of a threat here tonight against the Ducks. This is a team that's already suffered losses at the hands of the Portland State Vikings and the Utah Tech Trailblazers. I know several of the Oregon big 0names have been sidelined. But this team is stacked deeper and higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. Granted, California Baptist possesses a statistically solid defense. But they haven't played any decent opponents yet, let alone the caliber offense that accounts for over 80.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the line and 37.6 shooting from beyond the arc. Take the Ducks. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Game 127.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 109.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Detroit is tied for the second-best record in the NFC at 9-3. They have won five of six road games this season straight up, and are 6-2 SU in conference play. As far as the NFC North goes, they are 2-1 SU against Division opponents this season. As far as covering on the road, they have gotten sports bettors paid, going 5-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. They have taken the last three meetings against Chicago SU, going 2-1 ATS. I am well aware the Bears are rested, coming off a bye week. But I think we can all agree they really aren't too much of a team. With all respect to Chicago fans, this team is downright atrocious. And my friends, they've only covered one game at Soldier Field this season. Things have changed for sure for them as they have no more home field advantage. Granted, they do lead the NFL against the rush, defensively. Looking at their schedule, you will see the defensive numbers are skewed, having not lined up against too many solid running attacks. Detroit ranks third in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 137.7 yards per game on the ground. The ground assault will keep the Bears defense honest, and open up their passing game, which ranks fourth in the football. That is the mismatch that really caught my eye here. Because Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams against the pass in the League, ranking 25th. They have given up a ton of yards in the air to every decent quarterback they have faced. I see the 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jared Goff, and running back, David Montgomery, putting up their best numbers of this regular season here. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Game 743

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

The No. 7 Bulldogs have dominated the Huskies, winning seven consecutive meetings straight up, going back quite a while. This contest will be the seventh matchup just over the last eight years for the two West Coast squads. Gonzaga, has gotten the bettors paid, covering all but one. Since suffering their lone defeat back on November 20, at the hands of Purdue, the Zags seem to be on a mission, riding a five-game straight up hot streak, taking down such notables as Syracuse, UCLA, and USC. Washington is struggling, with three losses already. It is obvious the Huskies beat the beatable opponents, while get beat up by the solid ones. Granted, losing to Nevada, San Diego State, and Colorado State isn’t something to be ashamed of, but they seem to fold when facing strong competition. And folks, Gonzaga is just about as strong as it gets (LOL). No matter how you look at it, the Bulldogs are far superior here. Take Gonzaga. Thank you.

Navy Midshipmen.

Game 104.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

We all know these teams know each other very, very, well. For many years, Navy dominated this rivalry. Then in 2016, Army began their first of three consecutive wins in this historic rivalry. However, over the last four years, they have alternated wins, both straight up and against the spread. If you recall, a season ago, the Black Knights bested the Midshipmen, 20-17 in overtime. Now that's not enough reason for me to side with Navy here. But it certainly peaked my curiosity. Both teams are known as rushing powerhouses. However, this season both tried to open up their passing games with a little more success than they have had in previous years. There are a few key items that prompt me to take the Midshipmen here. For starters, they are much stronger against the rush than their counterpart. As a matter of fact, they rank 30th nationally against the run, yielding just 121.9 yards per game on the ground. Army allows 178.4 yards per game on the ground, ranking 114th. Turnovers are big, especially in matchups like this. And there is no question that the Midshipmen are better on both sides of the ball in that category. Army turned the ball over 11 times on offense, while their defense has only snagged eight takeaways. Meanwhile, Navy has just seven offensive turnovers, while their defensive unit snagged 10 takeaways. Also, on defense, although they both allow about the same amount of points, the Midshipmen have blanked three opponents this season. At times yes, it is true, they have allowed several solid opponents to put up numbers on them. But those three shutouts really mean a lot coming into this matchup, in my opinion. Outside of an early- season contest against Delaware State, Army has allowed every single opponent to score on them. Going back to the revenge factor, the last dozen meetings in this series, the avenger is 10-2 ATS. Take Navy. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline.

Game 504.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

This is very interesting matchup that definitely favors Los Angeles, my friends. For starters, the Lakers know, are very familiar with, and are very comfortable playing just a short trip away from their hometown in Las Vegas. They also have a huge fan base here. And I expect a lot of purple and gold in the stands for this contest. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. However, a season ago, Los Angeles took two of three matchups with New Orleans, both straight up and against the spread, which includes the two most recent. Both teams are winning and covering. However, on this platform in Las Vegas, and just one win away from the in-season tournament final, I see King James and company coming out victorious. Please remember that this is the first time the in-season tournament has ever taken place. While LeBron James is a 19-time All-Star, with four regular season MVP’s, four championship rings, and is the all-time leading scorer in the history of the league, this would be another feather in his illustrious cap. Take Los Angeles on the moneyline. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 467.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

 Without question, these are certainly two of the best teams in football. This game will also have some serious implications down the road. Having said all that, we all know that San Francisco is 8-3, while Philadelphia is an NFL-best, 10-1. But there's a few items I would like you to remember. For starters, the last time these two face one another was in late-January, a season ago when the Eagles ousted the 49ers, and then went on to the Super Bowl. San Francisco has had this game circled since the schedule came out. Not only are they a smart, well-coached team, but they are perhaps the most-complete team in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, ranking at top-10 in every major category. And their defense is the best in football. I don't think the matchup favors the Eagles here at all. I'm not looking to take away anything from their success. They've earned all of it. But their defense at times, has shown flaws. And I believe those flaws will be exploited here in this matchup. I know they're one of the best in football against the rush. But they rank 29th against the pass. Going back to the 49ers stop-unit, it is the best “D” Philly has faced this season. The Eagles rely upon their ability to move the ball on the ground, thus opening up the passing game. However, this is the second-best run defense in the League. And I think they're going to get very frustrated here and add to their 16 offensive turnovers. One more item I would like you to keep in mind; the next few opponents for San Francisco are definitely beatable. However, coming on deck for the Eagles is the Cowboys on the road. They might be caught in a little bit of a lookahead situation as well. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 453.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

 The Detroit Lions have a nice cushion in the NFC North and are currently tied for the third seed in the NFC at 8-3. They come off a disappointing, Thanksgiving Day loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. The first time they dropped the game this season in mid-September, they followed it up with four consecutive wins and covers. They lost their next game in late-October, following that defeat up with three consecutive straight up wins, going 2-1 ATS. This is a team that bounces back very well. They are also 4-1, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor in 2023. Meanwhile, New Orleans is just 5-6 overall on the season, covering just two games on the campaign. At home, they split out at 2-2 straight up, failing to cover all four on their home field. They are riding a two-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover their last three outings. On both sides of the ball, the Lions outclass the Saints. They own a top-10 offense, averaging over 26.7 points per game. And what better team to face to change things around for their leaky defense. The Saints offense is mediocre at best. They are in for a very frustrating day here. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all, which is not good in this matchup. I just look for the Lions, which are a well-coached, talented team to bounce back here and get back on track and start getting some victories to close out the season. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles on the moneyline.

Game 322.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the Louisville Cardinals, they are not perfect. Do you know who is perfect? The Florida State Seminoles are at 12-0 this season. I know they lost starting quarterback, Jordan Travis. But they have an able back up that has played in seven games this season, throwing for 510 yards, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions, in Tate Rodemaker. This is a team that runs the ball with great success and has one of the best defenses in the country. That's right, they own the nation’s 11th ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.8 points per game, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush.  I know the Cardinals are a good team. But the Seminoles and their dual-threat offense can pound the ball on the ground to open up the passing game, while they are defense certainly contain the Louisville offense. By the way, the Cardinals have only covered one road game this season. And this is certainly one of the most-complete teams they have had to face in 2023. Take FSU on the moneyline just to err the side of question. Thank you.

Santa Clara on the moneyline.

Game 681.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I understand that Santa Clara plays in the West Coast Conference, while California plays in the PAC 12. But there is no universe in our solar system that the Broncos shouldn't be favored by several baskets over the Golden Bears here. For starters, Santa Clara is 7-11 straight up, taking down such notables as Stanford and Oregon. This is a good team, my friends. Meanwhile, despite covering three in a row, Cal has dropped four straight outings, mostly against teams they should've beaten. Granted, they come off a loss on the road at San Diego State. But prior to that, they took losses against Montana State, UTEP, and Tulane. They've also lost this season against Pacific and eked out a narrow victory over Saint Thomas. The Broncos have a lot to prove. And getting a big victory here over a Pac12 opponent, would certainly get them going on their way to achieve their goal. They have a very good outside shooting team, are excellent on the offensive boards, and are pretty frustrating on the defensive side of the court as well. Take Santa Clara on the moneyline. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 318.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, Nick Saban doesn't lose too many big games. Not only that, but as far as us sports bettors are concerned, the Alabama Crimson Tide has covered eight of their 12 outings this season, while their opponent has only covered five of their 12 contests in 2023. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has matured this season, better than just about any other player in college football. He proved he can lead, he can win, and he can win in big games. The situation is very simple, Alabama beats Georgia and they could jump into the four-team College Football Playoff. The early season loss to Texas stunned many people, including the Tide themselves. But they went on a 10-game straight up winning streak, covering seven of the 10. And last weeks late comeback victory on the road at the Tigers showed me exactly what Milroe and the Alabama team are made of. I think the line in this matchup should be a lot closer to two or maybe even a field goal. But no higher than that. And that's only because Georgia is undefeated this season. I'm not sold on Kirby Smart in big game situations. This is the most complete team the Bulldogs have gone up against this season. It is a big step up in class for them. and I think they're going to come in here overconfident and underestimating their opponent. Take the points and Roll Tide! Thank you.

UNLV Rebels.

Game 314.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

While three teams were tied at 6-2 for the best Conference record, the team with the most wins overall in the MWC was the UNLV Rebels at 9-3. Not only that, but they were monster moneymakers for sports bettor’s, covering 10 of 12 contests this season. While Boise State is a good team, there were just 7-5 overall on the season and covered just six of their 12 games on the campaign. By the way, they only covered one of their five away games in 2023. The Rebels possess quite a few of the Conference’s best players for sure. And believe it or not, they own the nation’s 19th ranked scoring offense, averaging over 35.5 points per game. They're offense makes very few mistakes, while their defense snagged 13 takeaways. Not to take anything away from the Broncos, but I feel quarterback, Jayden Maiava is going to have his best performance of the season going up against the 117th ranked pass defense in college football. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Take UNLV. Thank you.

Memphis on the moneyline.

Game 619.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Memphis has some very high expectations this season, led by Coach, Penny Hardaway. The team is already taken down such notables as Missouri, Michigan, and Arkansas. But come off their first loss of the campaign over a week ago at the hands of Villanova. I expect them to rebound here and come back and make a statement against Mississippi. Granted, the Rebels are undefeated at 6-0 straight up. But they are just 1-5 against the spread so far, and they really haven't faced the cream of the crop. This is a big step up in class for them. And I don't see them coming out of it with a victory. The Tigers have height, speed, depth, and some serious rebounders. Take Memphis on the money line. Thank you.

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks.

Game 311.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

The line here is a little skewed, because the RedHawks are without their starting quarterback, Brett Gabbert. But backup QB, Aveon Smith has filled in quite nicely in his absence, winning all four of his starts since Gabbert went down. My friends, this offense does not revolve around the passing game. They are a ground and pound attack that wears down defenses. Speaking of defense, Miami (Ohio) possesses the nation’s eighth-ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.3 points per game. While the Toledo Rockets have a pretty solid offensive unit, the matchups heavily favor their opponent here in this contest. The Rockets do not have the same type of defense. Although they are good, they have sprung some leaks lately yielding quite a few points to some less than stellar offenses. By the way, the RedHawks have also covered nine of their 12 outings this season. Take Miami (Ohio). Thank you.

Purdue Boilermakers.

Game 875.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And right now, the No. 1 team in the nation, the Purdue Boilermakers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. If you recall a season ago, the Northwestern Wildcats took them down, 64-58. Last season, Purdue went 15-5 straight up in Big Ten play to win the Conference regular season title. They then followed that up by winning the Big Ten Tournament. But that loss against Northwestern will motivate them here tonight, not just to win, but to win big. They were ranked No. 1 last season when they did take the loss to the Wildcats. The Boilermakers are a monster team, with arguably the best player in the country, owning an explosive offense, and a frustrating defense. They have already taken down such notables as Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Marquette. They have done quite well so far possessing an unblemished 7-0 record straight up, while going 6-1 against the spread. While Northwestern is a formable opponent, they just don't have the personnel to stack up here. They enter this match 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS. And to be honest with you, they haven't faced anyone near the caliber of opponent as they're facing here tonight. The boilermakers get their revenge. Thank you.

Texas Longhorns.

Game 756.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Following their only loss of the season at the hands of defending National Champion, UConn Huskies, the Texas Longhorns, crushed the Wyoming Cowboys, 86-63 at home. They continue to stay at the Moody Center where they are perfect this season at 4-0 SU. I think that loss at the hands of the Huskies motivated this team to keep their foot on the gas. After this matchup, they have a pushover opponent in Houston Christian before playing a neutral site game against LSU. So, this is their final last few games to get in sync and work out any kinks. What better opponent to face than the Texas State Bobcats. They have taken the last 12 meetings in this series. Just going back, the last 10, they have one by an average margin of 24.9 points per game. They seem to take a lot of enjoyment in beating up on their in-state rival. Lol. Outside of the Sooners, which they were annihilated, 93-54, the Bobcats haven't faced any teams of the caliber as they are facing here tonight. Let's face it, the Longhorns average over 82.0 points per game, while allowing just 67.2 points per game. They hit over 51.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, while making over 72.2% of their free throws. They're also monsters on the boards. None of these matchups will benefit the visitor here. Take the home team Texas. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings.

Game 570.

7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST.

This line might be a bit skewed here, due to the fact that Kings played last night in a barnburner, eking out a one-point victory over the Warriors at home. But let's face it, this team is playing some great basketball. They have won eight of their last 10 straight up, riding a momentum wave for sure. On the other hand, the Clippers are certainly struggling. They were highly touted this season. Meanwhile, they are just 7-9 straight up. And as far as covering your spread goes, they are atrocious, going 6-10 ATS. They struggle went on the road as well where they are just 2-6 straight up away from home. And by the way, overall, just 2-6 ATS their last eight in the role of a favorite. Many out there might think they're in for a bounce back situation here tonight after getting embarrassed a few nights ago at home against the Denver Nuggets. I don't see it. This team is not built to bounce back the way they are currently struggling. I just don't see them keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard in this matchup. Take Sacramento. Thank you.

Baltimore Ravens.

Game 271.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

With the Miami Dolphins victory the other night, prior to this Sunday's contest, the Baltimore Ravens share the AFC’s top-spot with them at 8-3. They have an opportunity to take sole possession of the top-seed in the Conference with a victory here. They had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. After this game, they will be idle with a bye week prior to a December 10 home game against the Rams. This team is running hot, winning five of their last six games straight up, covering four of those six. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers dwell in the AFC West cellar, at 4-6, and own the Conferences 13th spot. They have lost and failed to cover their last two outings, while only covering one of five home games in the 2023 regular season. The Chargers offense certainly can be dangerous. However, running into the NFL's second-ranked defense is going to be a problem. That's right, the Ravens allow a mere, 16.1 points per game, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But I think it will be on the other side of the line of scrimmage that will prove to be fatal for Los Angeles. They ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd in passing yards allowed, and 25th in total points allowed defensively. Dual-threat quarterback, Lamar Jackson will light up the scoreboard, both on the ground, and in the air here. If you recall, he heads up the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense, while sitting at fourth in the League in points scored, accounting for over 27.6 points per game. Justin Herbert was listed as questionable with a left finger injury. Guys, I expect him to play (check status). But the point is moot, as he must lineup against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, particularly against the pass. Oh, by the way, the Baltimore stop-unit is by far and away the best in pro football at sacking the quarterback, leading all teams with 44.0 sacks. This game gets ugly. Take the Ravens. Thank you.

Pittsburgh Steelers om the moneyline.

Game 259.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Pittsburgh has a chance to better themselves in the Division, while putting some distance between them and the disappointing, AFC North’s last-place squad, the Cincinnati team. They have done well when facing Division opponents this season, going 2-1 SU, while the Bengals have failed to win any meetings against AFC North opponents thus far in the 2023 regular season. The Bengals have had a few extra days to rest and prepare. But it won't matter. There is certainly a fire under the Steelers backsides, as this week, head coach, Mike Tomlin fired offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and replaced him with Eddie Faulkner. Quarterback, Kenny Pickett will be at the helm, with the luxury of Najee Harris, heading up the ground attack. Say what you want about Pittsburgh’s statistics, but you can't argue with the 60.5% completion rate for the QB, or the fact he heads an offense that ranks second in the league, committing just eight turnovers. This will be the game that Pickett will put up his best numbers, facing the League’s, 27th ranked pass defense. But it won't stop there as the ground game will be very successful lining up against the NFL’s 30th ranked rushing defense. We all know Jake Browning will be the starter for the Bengals. He took his first significant snaps more than a week ago in a loss on the road at Baltimore. Despite having a solid workhorse in the backfield in Joe Mixon, the offense ranks 30th in the League on the ground. Without a solid, rushing attack, the Cincinnati offense is in real trouble here. Pittsburgh will exact a bit of revenge as they have lost and failed to cover four of the last five meetings in this heated rivalry. I know the Steelers are on the road and laying a small number here. I believe they will dominate this contest. But just to err on the side of caution, take the Steelers on the money line. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

Game 145.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Kansas, despite being Bowl-eligible had higher expectations than a 4-4 Conference record this season.  They are a respectable, 7-4 overall. And they have covered six of their 11 outings this season. However, two losses in a row over the last two contests compels this team to bounce back here against the Conferences poorest representative. That's right, the Cincinnati Bearcats are 1-7 in Big 12 play this season, and tan overall, 3-8. To make matters worse for the team, they have absolutely crushed any supporters, going just 2-7 ATS their last nine outings. Their defense has gotten steamrolled. The matchup here heavily favors the visitor, for sure. Kansas averages over 32.2 points per game with one of the most dominating rushing attacks in the nation. They are just as good in the air, too. This does not bode well as I see Cincinnati experiencing the same issues they have experienced all season long against Conference opponents…and that is getting steamrolled on defense. The Jayhawks seriously wants to earn eight victories this season and this is the opponent to accomplish their goal. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

Game 153.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friend, the money this week has been coming in on Florida. I understand why. They are at home, and Florida State has quarterback issues. However, so does Florida. Having said that I want you to know that the Seminoles need this win badly. They are one of only five undefeated teams in college football right now and they round out the top-five as a number five team in the country. They need to keep their foot on the gas here. Georgia is going to have a tough time coming up with Alabama in the SEC Title game next week, Ohio State and Michigan square off on Saturday and Washington has a tough game as well. They have a chance to sneak into the top-four, for sure. Having said that, I'll tell you why I like FSU so much. It's not just because they are perfect 11-0.  I understand the quarterback issue is a major issue. However, this team possesses a solid ground attack, and one of the best defenses in the country. Those two reasons alone make me side with them here. However, they also do have an arsenal of receivers for their backup quarterback to connect with. Let's face it, the gators are horrible. They started off the season good enough. But over the last month have lost four in a row, failing to cover three of the four. They have also failed to cover three of their last four on their own field. They have their own quarterback problems. But they don't have a solid ground attack or a smart backup like their counterpart does. And their offense makes a lot more mistakes while their defense is mediocre at best. The Seminoles keep their foot in the gas and run the score up to make a point to the pollsters. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 213.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Northwestern Wildcats.

Game 221.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

For the life of me guys I cannot understand why Illinois is nearly a touchdown favorite in this matchup. They are just 5-6 this season overall, going 3-8 ATS. This does include a Conference record of 3-5 SU. This is not the same Fighting Illini team that we have seen over the last few seasons. Their once-feared defense is allowing over 28.0 points per game this year and has gotten beaten equally on the ground and in the air. Offensively, they are one of the poorest scoring teams in the Conference. And their offense has committed eight turnovers, while their defense has just five takeaways. The Northwestern offense is just as lackluster. But they rank number one in the nation in turnovers. They have committed just one turnover this season. They don't make many mistakes. That's for sure. They are a smart, well-coached team that comes into each contest prepared. Defensively, they can counter their opponents 45th ranked passing offense with the nation’s 13th ranked passing defense. I think they win this game outright. This game will certainly be a lot closer than the pointspread dictates. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes.

Game 121.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Iowa has already locked up the Big Ten West Division Title and a spot in the Conference Title game on December 2. And normally I would shy away from playing a team like this in this situation. We all know that Nebraska needs this win to become Bowl-eligible. However, Iowa, despite all their accolades and playing in the Conference Title game, is still ranked 17th right now. Let's face it, that they won three in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 9-2 this season. And yet they're not getting the respect that they deserve. Yes, I know their “O” is stagnant. But when your defense yields just 12.4 points per game against some of the best offenses in the country, let's face it, you don't need an explosive offensive unit. This is one of the strongest stop-units the Cornhuskers have faced this season. And just over the last several games, their offense has sputtered. They put up 17 points against the Spartans, 10 points against the Terrapins, and 17 points against the Badgers: all games that they lost and failed to cover. The matchups heavily favor the Hawkeyes here. What's funny about Iowa is their defense is so strong, they get their opponents offense units off the field very quickly thus allowing their opponents defensive units to become tired from overwork. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 109.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 521.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

My friends, Indiana is playing some very solid basketball. Offensively, they lead the NBA in scoring, averaging over 125.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, in just about every offensive category, they rank in the top-10. Granted, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their rebounding core is strong on the stop end of the court. On the other hand, Atlanta is struggling. Right now, they sit at 6-6 and to be quite honest with you, they are point spread poison, failing to cover five of their last six outings. I remember a time when the Hawks were money at home against the number. Not anymore. They have failed to cover their last four games played at the State Farm Arena. This is a team that can score, but is getting manhandled on the boards. Particularly on the offensive glass. So, they aren’t getting too many second-chance opportunities. Defensively, they are in big trouble here trying to stop the deadly, seventh-ranked three-point shooting team of the Pacers. I just don't see the Hawks. Keeping pace here (No pun intended). I really think the wrong team is favored. So, take Indiana. Thank you.

Bowling Green Falcons on the moneyline.

Game 103.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both Bowling Green and Western Michigan have been good against the spread the season, covering seven of their 11 contests in 2023. However, I don't think there's any question that the Falcons are deeper and stronger on both sides of the ball than the Broncos. There is a question mark on running back, Terion Stewart. He has an able back up in Ta’ron Keith. So, I wouldn't be too worried about that. The big difference in this matchup is on the defensive side of the ball. Bowling Green has a monster defense. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Colorado Buffaloes.

Game 647.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

At 4-0, Colorado is off to their best start since the 2019/2020 season. The team is ranked 18th in the nation right now. Not only are they winning, but they are covering, going 3-1 ATS. This is a team that beat some very good opposition a season ago, including some very solid, non-conference foes. If you recall, last November, they took down Tennessee outright as a 15.0 point ‘dog and Texas A&M outright as a 6.5 point ‘dog. I feel Florida State is not on the same level at all. If you recall last year, they began the campaign off going 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. They lost to teams they should've beaten; Stetson, Central Florida, Troy, and Siena. As the season progressed, things didn't get too much better for the Seminoles. Offensively, the Buffaloes possess better scorers, both inside and out. As a matter fact, they're hitting just shy of 50% from downtown. They're also a lot stronger from the line And I do believe this game will get physical. Oh, by the way, on the defensive side, they are feisty and own the better rebounders. Take Colorado. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

Game 473.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Game 472.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS.  They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Game 555.

12:10 PM PST/310 PM EST.

Like many teams in NBA Philadelphia has dominated. But there might not be a team they have flexed their muscles more against than the Brooklyn Nets. The 76ers have taken eight in a row in this series straight up, going 7-1 against the spread. They enter today's match up sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference, just 1.0 game behind the Celtics at 9-3. They can further distance themselves from the third place team in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks. Let's face it, Philadelphia does not like Brooklyn, at all. They take an enormous amount of enjoyment in beating the Nets. The 76ers are significantly healthier than their counterpart this evening as the Nets will be without Ben Simmons and Cam Thomas once again. On a sidenote, as a big basketball fan, it seems like the 76ers are also enjoying success even more without James Harden on the roster. On both sides of the court, they possess significantly stronger statistics. They are all so much stronger at both ends of the court on the boards. But where I feel you are going see the biggest advantage for the visitor, is at the free-throw line, where they top the NBA, ranking first, hitting over 86.3%, while Brooklyn ranks 21st, making a mere 76.2% of their free throws. Take the 76ers. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Game 329.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

 The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you.

North Carolina Tar Heels.

Game 341.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

North Carolina possesses one of the most well-balanced and explosive offenses in college football. They average 39.9 points per game behind a solid quarterback, and a devastating ground attack. Offensively they don't make too many mistakes, only committing two turnovers. Now I do understand that their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their offense is so well-balanced and they have such a good ground game, that they will keep the Clemson defense on the field. Please remember that when they're on “D”, there stop-unit has already grabbed 12 take away's already. That does not bode well for a Tigers “O” known to be mistake-prone, committing 11 turnovers. I just think this is way too many points to give a team like UNC. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes on the moneyline.

Game 360.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

 Yes, it's true. Iowa owns an offense that ranks 123rd in scoring, accounting for a measly, 18.8 points per game. But they also have a defense that ranks third in the nation, allowing just 12.3 points per game. As a matter fact, the Hawkeyes are on track to play in the Conference title game. They need another big win here to ensure that. Let's face it, Illinois does not have a very explosive offense to begin with. And going up against this opponent, is going to be one of the toughest tests so far this season for the team. They have yet to face a defense this ferocious. Maybe the last time they faced any sort of defense that comes near this was a mid-September meeting at home against Penn State, in which they were thumped, 30-13. Take Iowa. Thank you.

Louisville Cardinals.

Game 333.

 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Guys, the Cardinals should be at least a three-point favorite in this match up. They are stronger on both sides of the ball, come in here with momentum, and are playing for a big-time Bowl spot. Miami has lost their last two straight up and two of the last three against the spread. I keep hearing how good the Hurricanes defense is. But in consecutive outings, they've allowed 23, 41, 20, 26, 20, and 27 points. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired and they make a lot of mistakes. They're running into perhaps one of the strongest defenses they've had to go up against in quite some time this week. The Cardinals only allow 17.1 points per game and have snagged 11 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. We’ve seen Miami struggle offensively. But we've also seen their defense give up a lot of points. That is not a good combination against this week's opponent. Take Louisville. Thank you.

Northwestern Wildcats.

Game 352.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

One more win and the Wildcats become Bowl-eligible. They enter this matchup getting bettors paid, covering four straight games. This is a feisty bunch that really don't match up well for the Purdue Boilermakers. Purdue just got off a four-game slide, beating Minnesota. The balloon will pop my friends, as they plummet back down to Earth. If you recall, Northwestern got their top quarterback back from injury last week as they took down Wisconsin, 24-10. That's a big win for the team. They get another big one here and earn Bowl-eligibility. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Game 371.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games.  Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you.

Colorado Buffaloes.

Game 317.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

I think it's safe to say that both Colorado and Washington State fell a little short of their expectations this season. Now if this would've been an early season matchup, this would've been one of the most exciting matchups on the board. But it isn’t. While both teams are 4-6 overall, and both teams own identical 1-6 Conference records, to us bettors, this isn’t about which team wins, this is about which team covers. And the Buffaloes have been covering. They are on a three-game ATS cover streak. This is a team that plays very close games. Meanwhile, the Cougars are not only riding a six-game straight up losing streak, they've only covered one of those six outings. A few items to please keep in mind here; Deion Sanders is a prideful man. And I believe he's going to give his all and have his team ready to make a good showing on television this evening. Something else to keep in mind: Washington State has a lawsuit against the Pac 12. Now, I'm not saying the referees are going to be on the side of Colorado. But I am saying that WSU may not get many very favorable calls this evening. I just feel the Buffaloes have played a lot of competitive games and are covering the point spread. Deion Sanders will have his team revved up and ready to go. Take Colorado. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 257.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

There's still a lot of questions surrounding the Detroit Lions around the league in around the sports betting industry. People are deciding whether they are a contender or a pretender. In my opinion, they are a contender. They own the second-best record in the NFC at 6-2. Believe it or not, the same questions surround the Los Angeles Chargers. They certainly have a solid roster of talent. But each time they're asked to step up in class, they lose, and they fail to cover. Sure, they can beat teams like Minnesota, Las Vegas, Chicago, and New York. But this season, they took losses against Miami, Dallas, and Kansas City. Don't kid yourself, Detroit deserves to be put in the same class as those teams. They are equally good at home as they are on the road. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense is only allowing 20.6 points per game. I feel the major mismatch between the leagues sixth-ranked passing attack going up against its 32nd ranked pass defense is going to be the factor here. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

Game 246.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The early season funk of the Cincinnati Bengals is now in the past. This is a team looking as strong as we expected them to be this season. I think we all know that a few injuries, especially to quarterback, Joe Burrow, not being 100% to kick off the campaign was the reason why they fell short of expectations early. However, over the last month, they have won and covered all four games against some formidable opponents; on the road in Arizona, at home against Seattle, on the road in San Francisco, and at home against Buffalo. Not only has their offense have gotten it done, but their defense has stepped up.  While the Houston Texans certainly have talent, and in my opinion, the best young quarterback playing today, this team just falls short overall. They don't have a ground assault to complement the passing game. It hurts them offensively. On defense, while they have played well overall, they rank 24th against the pass, and that does not bode well as they go up against the Burrow and the surging aerial assault of the Bengals. I do believe this is the game in which Cincinnati establishes their ground assault behind the legs of Joe Mixon. Remember, the Bengals are tied for second place in the AFC north, along with the Browns and the Steelers. A big win today and they can certainly move up a notch. Overall, they could notch another AFC victory. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Oregon.

Game 186.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

The Ducks are making all opponents pay since their sole defeat a while back. They know they must close out the regular season strong. With huge lopsided wins throughout, OU can make a case for the CFP. Trojans are vulnerable. By the way, USC have not covered a game this season as a guest while the Ducks are 4-1 ATS at home in 2023. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Game 171.

7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST.

The Cyclones come off a loss. The last time that occurred, they rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. The Cougars are outmanned and overmatched. A win here, and Iowa State becomes Bowl-eligible. Look for their swarming stop-unit to completely shut down the BYU erratic offense. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Washington State.

Game 175.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

The Cougars have won and covered the last two meetings with the Golden Bears. After a 4-0 start, WSU has now dropped their last five. They know they dominate Cal and this their shot to earn a well-needed, ego-boost, and get back on track. Washington State steps up huge here. Take the Cougars. Thank you.

Missouri.

Game 196.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

A win here and the Tigers out some distance between the rest of their SEC East reaps, and take a stronghold in the Conference as the second-place team, behind the Bulldogs. Missouri matches up well with Tennessee, makes fewer mistakes on offense and has the talent to win this one outright. Take the Tigers. Thank you.  

Utah.

Game 177.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The matchups just favor the Utes here. The Huskies are an outstanding team. But they have started to show cracks and thew long season has taken its toll on the squad. Utah can and will exploit those weaknesses and keep this contest much closer than the number. Take the Utes. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Game 211.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The Aggies are on a five-game win and cover streak. The Hilltoppers are killing bettors, failing to cover their last three outings. NMSU can and will control the clock with their powerful ground game on offense and do possess a much more balanced defense. They have also covered their last four as a guest. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

Boston College.

Game 134.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

The Eagles are surging at the right time, riding a five-game SU winning streak. And to add to their advantage, Boston College had and extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. The Hokies have yet to win an away game this season, going 0-4 SU on the road, and 1-3 ATS as a visitor. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Michigan.

Game 149.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Nebraska.

Game 218.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

It’s not about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. Right now, the Terrapins are sliding, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. With Michigan on deck, I see Maryland in a lookahead spot here and Nebraska, matches up well with them. Winning five of their last seven SU against some formidable foes will give the Cornhuskers the momentum and the motivation to win this one. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

UCF.

Game 827.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This is just way too many points to give a very capable, very feisty, and very underrated, Central Florida squad. The Knights are motivated by the preseason prediction of finishing last in the Conference. They will come out here with something to prove and make a statement. Take UCF. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets moneyline.

Game 579.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

With all respect to the Golden State Warriors, which are playing outstanding basketball, this will be their fourth consecutive game played on the road just since November 3. I believe their legs will be tired. Please remember they're not youngsters anymore on this starting roster. And even Superman had a weakness with kryptonite (LOL). On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets are on a three-game win and cover streak, which have all been played at home. These two teams don't like each other. And yes, the warriors might have a little revenge on their minds, getting swept last season by this team, three games to none (and by the way, they failed to cover all three last year as well), I just don't see this team having enough gas in the tank to run back-and-forth all night. Please remember the Nuggets play a very aggressive, very frustrating defense. I think there's a mismatch here tonight. And I do think Golden State will be tired. Take Denver. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Game 561.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Obviously, at 3-4 the Phoenix Suns aren't looking like the team they were just a season ago. However, injuries are a big part of that. When you don't have all-universe, players, like Booker and Beal on the floor, it’s going to show in the record.  On the other hand, the Chicago Bulls, at 3-5 are exactly where many thought they would be at this point. This is not a very good team. So, this is a perfect opportunity for the Suns to flex their muscles. They have had an extra day off to prepare and rest for this match up. They have also covered three of four road games this season. On the other hand, the Bulls have covered just one of their four games played at home in 2023. And to say Phoenix has had their way in this series would be an understatement. Just going back the last few seasons, they have taken seven in a row straight up, covering five of the seven meetings. They need a big ego boost and this is the situation they get it. Take the Suns. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 556.

4:10 PM, PST/710 PM EST.

The Indiana Pacers offense is proving to be one of the most explosive in the NBA thus far. As a matter fact, they top the league in scoring, averaging over 124.9 points per game. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, facing an opponent like the Utah Jazz isn't going to be a problem this evening. The Jazz have a mediocre offense and a defense that's allowing a league-ranked, 26th, allowing 120.1 points per game. It is ridiculous. They are going to get lit up like a Christmas tree in November.  Look for a little payback from the Pacers as they lost their last two outings against the Jazz last December and this past February. But these are two different teams this season. As you know, Utah is on a 0-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. They just don't have what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard here. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Game 476.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST.

Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 768.

1:30 PM, PST/4:30 PM EST.

The Georgia Bulldogs seriously underwhelmed a season ago. They also lost several key players, including their three-top scorers. As a matter of fact, they do not return a single player that averaged double-digits a season ago. On the other hand, the Oregon Ducks are expected to be one of the best teams in the Pac-12. They return their top-scorer. Overall, three of their four top-scorers from last year's roster are back. While the Bulldogs haven't been to Sin City, since Tom Crean was on the sidelines, the Ducks are a fan-favorite here. And are certainly used to the bright lights on the Strip, playing in Las Vegas the last six seasons. They have a lot to prove in the season-opener. This is a team that should've won the Conference Title season ago. And when they went to play in the postseason in the brackets, won and covered against UCI and UCF, but lost a heartbreaker to Wisconsin. They have a lot to prove here and they will. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Crash the Boards

Game 521.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well.  Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you.

Cowboys/Eagles OVER.

NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK.

Games 471/472.

Sunday, November 5, 2023.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you.