7* Dolphins/Saints MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -2.5

7* NFC Game of the Year on Chicago Bears +7

6* Bills/Patriots AFC East *CA$H COW* on Buffalo +2

6* Browns/Packers NFL *CA$H COW* on Green Bay -7

7* Ball State/Georgia State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia State -5.5

6* Washington/Philadelphia NFC East *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia -6.5

7* Wyoming/Kent State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Wyoming -3.5

7* Vikings/Bears MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5.5

6* Tulsa/Old Dominion NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Old Dominion +9

7* Saints/Bucs SNF Game of the Year on New Orleans +11.5

6* Falcons/49ers NFC *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +10

6* Jets/Dolphins AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami -10

7* Patriots/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis -2

6* Oregon State/Utah State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Utah State +7.5

6* UAB/BYU NCAAF *CA$H COW* on UAB +7

7* Chiefs/Chargers TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5

6* 49ers/Bengals Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -1.5

6* Ravens/Browns AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -2.5

6* Cowboys/Washington NFC East *CA$H COW* on Washington +4.5

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Las Vegas Raiders +10.5

7* Patriots/Bills MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -2.5

6* Ravens/Steelers AFC North *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +4.5

6* Colts/Texans AFC South *CA$H COW* on Houston +10

7* Houston/Cincinnati AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10.5

6* Georgia/Alabama SEC *CA$H COW* on Alabama +6.5

6* App State/Louisiana Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana +3

7* Cowboys/Saints TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -5

6* Rams/Packers NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Denver Broncos +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Eagles/Giants NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +4

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana-Monroe +22

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday AAC *CA$H COW* on Navy -12.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Year on Florida State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Coastal Carolina/South Alabama Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on South Alabama +15.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on UTEP +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Kansas State/Texas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Bills/Saints Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -6

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Bears/Lions NFC North *CA$H COW* on Detroit +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Texans +10.5

The Key: The Houston Texans are coming off their bye week and 8 straight losses.  The Tennessee Titans are coming off 6 straight wins with the last 5 coming against playoff teams from last year.  This is a letdown situation for the Titans.  It's a get right situation for the Texans, who will be hungry to beat their division rivals.  I like their chances of hanging close with Tyrod Taylor making his 2nd start back from injury.  All Taylor does is cover everywhere he has gone, and I like the idea of getting double-digits with him and the Texans off their bye.  Take Houston.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on New Orleans Saints +3

The Key: I like the matchup for the New Orleans Saints.  The Philadelphia Eagles have been running wild on teams of late in their last 4 games.  But those 4 games have come against 4 teams that rank an average of 25th against the run in DVOA.  Now they will be up against the top-ranked run D in the NFL according to DVOA in the Saints.  The Saints yield just 73 RYPG and 3.1 YPC.  They are going to force Jalen Hurts to try and beat them through the air, and he hasn't proven he can this year.  The Eagles are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS at home this year and still in search of their first home victory.  They won't be getting it here Sunday because of the bad matchup.  Take New Orleans.

7* NFL Game of the Year on Miami Dolphins -3

The Key: The Miami Dolphins just beat the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 in a dominant effort last Thursday.  They outgained the Ravens by 46 yards and had Lamar Jackson flustered the whole game.  The Dolphins have one of the best secondaries in the NFL and were able to play man to man coverage and blitz the entire time.  It came a week after holding the Texans to 9 points and forcing 4 turnovers with another blitz-happy scheme.  And now they will definitely be blitz-happy again against the Jets this week and trust in their secondary to stop the immobile Joe Flacco.  Flacco is their 4th string QB this week and will be getting the start to try and avoid any QB controversy surrounding rookie Zach Wilson moving forward.  Mike White and Josh Johnson are both better than Flacco.  The Jets are essentially packing it in.  Their defense has yielded 43.4 PPG in their last 4 games and is the worst defense in the league.  Tua looked great in the 2nd half against Baltimore in place of an injured Jacoby Brissett and should be good to go again this week.  The Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Jets, winning both matchups last year by 24 and 17 points.  Take Miami.

6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +30.5

The Key: UConn is actually 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall to make backers some good money down the stretch.  The public doesn't want to bet this team so their lines are inflated consistently.  They were getting too many points against Clemson last week, and they're getting too many points against UCF this week.  UCF is 6-4 on the season so has already clinched a bowl and is just playing out the string.  The Knights lost 55-28 to UCF last week after only beating a bad Tulane team 14-10 the previous week.  The Knights are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off a loss.  UCF is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against a team with a losing record.  The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.  The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take Connecticut.

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on UCLA -3

The Key: The UCLA Bruins want to avenge their 43-38 loss to USC last year in which they had the game won but somehow lost it in the final seconds.  This is a different USC team.  The Trojans are just ready for their season to be over at 4-5 this year.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 games by 15 points or more, and their lone win was a 7-point victory over terrible Arizona.  The Bruins own bad teams, going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.  And the Trojans will be without starting QB Slovis and 1,000-yard receiver London.  Take UCLA.

6* Texas/West Virginia Big 12 *CA$H COW* on West Virginia -2.5

The Key: Texas is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall and coming off that upset loss to Kansas as a 31-point favorite.  They cannot be trusted to even get off the bus this week against West Virginia.  They face a Mountaineers team that always seems to play well at home because it's such long travel for every other member of the Big 12.  The Mountaineers recently beat Iowa State at home, the same Iowa State team that beat Texas 30-7 the week prior to the Longhorns losing to Kansas.  The Mountaineers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a game where they didn't force a single turnover.  Take West Virginia.

7* Patriots/Falcons TNF Game of the Year on Atlanta +7

The Key: The Atlanta Falcons just lost by 40 to the Dallas Cowboys.  The New England Patriots just beat the Browns by 38.  Now the price is right to back the Falcons Thursday night.  Atlanta was only a 4-point underdog in this game going into last week.  Now after those results, the Falcons are 7-point dogs.  This is the same Atlanta team that upset the Saints on the road the previous week.  They just came in fat and happy against the Cowboys, while the Cowboys were pissed off after getting upset by the Broncos the previous week.  It was a predictable result.  The Patriots cannot be going on the road and laying 7 points against almost anyone.  They just aren't that good this season, and it will show Thursday night.  Take Atlanta.

6* Louisville/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville -19.5

The Key: Duke is 0-6 in its last 6 games overall.  5 of the 6 losses have come by 25 points or more.  So the Blue Devils haven't even been competitive and won't be tonight either.  This Louisville team is looking to clinch a bowl berth with a win tonight and won't want to have to wait until Kentucky next week, where they could be underdogs.  The Cardinals are way better than their 5-5 record as they have so many close losses this year.  They took out their frustration with a 41-3 win over Syracuse, which was coming off a bye last week.  And it should be more of the same here against this Duke team that appears to have quit.  Duke gives up 44 PPG and 551.7 YPG in conference play this year.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS against good offensive teams that average 425 YPG or more over the last 2 years.  Take Louisville.

7* Central Michigan/Ball State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5

The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas have gone 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point.  They are still alive to win the MAC West due to this run.  They would need to win out and have Northern Illinois lose its final 2 games, which is very possible considering NIU is only a 1-point favorite at Buffalo tonight and has Western Michigan next week.  The Chippewas will show up tonight.  I question whether or not Ball State will show up.  The Cardinals were just eliminated from MAC West title contention after losing on a last-second field goal to NIU 29-30 last week.  The defending champs now have nothing to play for other than bowl eligibility, which they can accomplish next week at home against Buffalo.  I think they will suffer a hangover from that NIU loss last week and not show up this week.  The Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as road favorites.  The Chippewas are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.  The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.  The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 matchups.  Take Central Michigan.

7* Rams/49ers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3.5

The Key: Kyle Shanahan has had the Rams' number over the last couple seasons.  The 49ers are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  They won outright as underdogs the 3 times they were in this role.  I like the price we are getting on the 49ers after their upset loss to the Cardinals last week.  The Rams continue to get respect despite losing outright by 12 as 7-point favorites to the Titans last week.  This game should be lined much closer to a PK as these are closer to even teams than their records would suggest when you take a deeper look into the stats.  Take San Francisco.

7* NFC Game of the Year on Carolina Panthers +10

The Key: The Panthers will go with a run-heavy approach with deal-threat QB PJ Walker and RB Christian McCaffrey this week.  It will work against an Arizona defense that ranks 31st in allowing 4.8 YPC.  It will also help shorten the game and keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  I like Carolina's defense which ranks 2nd in the NFL in both YPG (293.1) and YPP (5.0) allowed.  It sounds like the Cardinals are likely to be without Kyler Murray again, and they will be without Chase Edmunds and De'Andre Hopkins as well as all 3 our doubtful or out.  WR Rondale Moore is in concussion protocol as well.  It's asking a lot of Colt McCoy to repeat the performance he had last week.  The Cardinals go from being 5.5-point dogs to the 49ers to 10-point favorites against the Panthers, which is too big of an adjustment.  Arizona is 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.  The Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take Carolina.

6* Sunday NFL *BLOWOUT* on Indianapolis Colts -10

The Key: The Colts are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  Their only losses came to Baltimore in OT after blowing a 19-point lead and to Tennessee in OT after also blowing a lead and being in control most the game.  The 4 wins all came by 10 points or more.  I think you can chalk up another double-digit victory here against the Jaguars.  This is a letdown spot for Jacksonville off their shocking 9-6 upset win over the Bills last week.  The Bills gave that game away with 3 turnovers as they held the Jaguars to just 216 total yards.  Jacksvonille has been held to 23 or fewer points in all 8 games this year and an average of just 16.5 PPG.  They won't be able to keep up with the Colts on offense.  The Colts have scored 25 or more in 6 straight and 31 or more in 4 straight.  Take Indianapolis.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on New Orleans Saints +3

The Key: The Titans are coming off 4 straight outright wins as underdogs.  Now they find themselves in the favorite role after managing just 194 total yards against the Rams last week.  The Rams simply gave that game away.  It was a poor offensive showing in Tennessee's first game without Derrick Henry.  They won't be able to run the ball on this stout New Orleans front 7.  And it's going to be hard to see them having much success through the air without Julio Jones as well.  Ryan Tannehill will be under duress all game and will make some mistakes.  The Saints just have to take care of the football and they win this game, and Trevor Siemian has done a good job of that with just one turnover in their last two games.  The Saints are 8-1 ATS as underdogs over the last 2 years.  New Orleans is 36-16 ATS in its last 52 road games.  The Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as road dogs.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take New Orleans.

6* Kentucky/Vanderbilt SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +22.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Vanderbilt today.  They are coming off their bye week and it is Senior Day, so they will put forth a good effort.  I question where Kentucky is mentally after starting 6-0 and dropping 3 straight to fall out of the SEC East race.  They won't be that excited to be playing Vanderbilt this week.  Vanderbilt nearly upset them last year in a 35-38 loss as 17.5-point road dogs.  This one will be closer than expected too given all the situations in the Commodores' favor.  Take Vanderbilt.

7* SEC Game of the Year on Tennessee +20.5

The Key: Tennessee has the best offense that Georgia has faced this year and should be able to put up enough points to stay within this number.  The Vols also have a better defense than they get credit for yielding only 5.3 YPP and 3.8 YPR.  Their fast tempo will be something that Georgia hasn't seen this season and may not be prepared for.  It is the type of style that can actually find some holes in this amazing Georgia defense.  QB Hendon Hooker has thrown 21 TD against only 2 INT this year with 69.4% completions.  He has also rushed for 457 yards and 4 TD while being one of the most underrated QB's in the nation.  Take Tennessee.

6* Boston College/Georgia Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech -1.5

The Key: Georgia Tech is coming off 3 straight close losses to Virginia, Virginia Tech and Miami.  The Yellow Jackets will be hungry for a win with Boston College coming to town today.  The Eagles are coming off a huge national TV win over Virginia Tech on Red Bandana night.  This is a letdown spot for the Eagles.  Boston College is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off a conference win.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Syracuse/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville -3

The Key: Louisville is so much better than its 4-5 record.  The Cardinals outgain teams by 35 YPG and 0.5 YPP this year.  They have played a much tougher schedule than Syracuse has.  The Orange are 5-4 and 8-1 ATS and getting respect now with that ATS mark.  They will fall flat on their faces here and Louisville will be hungry for a win knowing it needs 2 more in its final 3 games to make a bowl.  Louisville is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  The favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  Take Louisville.

6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +41

The Key: UConn has gone 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games overall and has been competitive more than expected.  That includes 2-point losses to both Wyoming and Vanderbilt.  I don't know if Clemson can even score 41 points with their offense this year.  They have been held to 30 or fewer points in 8 of their 9 games with the only exception being the 49 against South Carolina State as a 50-point favorite.  They didn't score enough in that game to cover that large number, either.  The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.  The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs.  Take Connecticut.

6* Ravens/Dolphins AFC *CA$H COW* on Baltimore -7.5

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens are outgaining opponents by 52 YPG this year while the Miami Dolphins are getting outgained by 95 YPG.  The Dolphins have been even worse with Jacoby Brissett at QB and he is likely to start in place of an injured Tua again tonight.  They stand zero chance of keeping this game closer with Brissett at QB.  The Ravens are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in the last 9 matchups with Miami with 7 wins by at least 14 points.  Take Baltimore.

6* Toledo/Bowling Green MAC *CA$H COW* on Bowling Green +10.5

The Key: The Bowling Green Falcons have had 2 full weeks to get ready for Toledo.  They are coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo as 13.5-point dogs on the road 2 weeks ago.  Now they come in with confidence and the fresher team.  Toledo is coming off a 52-49 loss to Eastern Michigan last week that definitely would have taken a lot out of them.  They should not be double-digit road favorites here when you consider they are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 3 games with their only win coming against Western Michigan in a game they were outgained by 68 yards.  They were upset by Northern Illinois, Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan in their 3 losses.  The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog.  Take Bowling Green.

7* Bears/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -6.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 3 in a row behind one of the best defenses in the NFL that has held their last 3 opponents to an average of just 16.3 PPG.  I don't see the Chicago Bears topping that number Monday, which will allow Big Ben and the offense to make just enough plays to cover this 6.5-point spread and win by a TD or more.  The Bears have the worst offense in the NFL, ranking last at 4.4 YPP this year.  They have been even worse with Justin Fields at QB.  They average just 264 YPG in their last 6 games with him as their starter.  Chicago's defense is a huge concern too with all the injuries.  They gave up 38 points to the Bucs followed by 33 points, 467 yards and 8.6 YPPG last week to the 49ers in their last 2 games.  Pittsburgh will get to 24, and that will be enough to win by 7 or more.  The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* Cardinals/49ers NFC West *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +2.5

The Key: The 49ers want to avenge their 17-10 road loss at Arizona earlier this year.  They had Trey Lance at QB for that game and he was awful, yet the 49ers still outgained the Cardinals by 34 yards.  Their defense played well in limiting the Cardinals to just 304 yards.  And there's reason to believe Arizona will be even worse off offensively in this one, plus they won't have JJ Watt on defense this time around.  Kyler Murray is banged up with an ankle injury and isn't himself, which showed in their upset loss to the Packers Thursday.  AJ Green is on the COVID list, and DeAndrew Hopkins is questionable.  The 49ers got their offense going against the Bears last week with 467 yards and 8.6 YPP while scoring 33 points despite settling for a lot of field goals.  Jimmy G is back and playing well and this will be a formidable team moving forward.  Take San Francisco.

7* Chargers/Eagles NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: The Chargers had 3 straight impressive wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns before being flat the last 2 weeks against the Ravens and Patriots.  All 5 of those teams are better than the Eagles, whose 3 wins this year have come against the Lions, Panthers and Falcons.  The Chargers will make easy work of the Eagles this week and get back on track.  Los Angeles is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games against NFC teams.  Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after covering the spread in its previous game.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +6

The Key: This is a big letdown situation for the New Orleans Saints off their upset win over the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs last week.  They now take on a Falcons team that they won't get up for.  The Falcons are 3-2 SU in their last 5 games overall with their 2 losses both coming by 6 points or fewer.  So I like the price we are getting on the Falcons this week to keep it close.  The Saints just lost Jameis Winston to a season-ending injury, Taysom Hill is questionable, so they could be down to 3rd-stringer Trevor Siemian.  This Saints offense isn't good already, and it is even worse without Winston.  The Saints average just 305.9 YPG on offense this year.  They get outgained by nearly 40 YPG.  Atlanta is only getting outgained by 24 YPG.  Bets against favorites who are off an upset win over a division opponent as a home underdog who also have a winning record on the season are 44-16 ATS since 1983.  Take Atlanta.

6* Clemson/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville +4.5

The Key: Clemson would be 0-8 ATS this year if not for a defensive TD on the final play of the game last week to turn a 24-20 win over lowly Florida State into a 30-20 win as 9.5-point favorites.  Louisville is much better than Florida State and one of the best teams that Clemson has faced this year.  The Cardinals will get the cover at home Saturday and likely win this game outright.  Louisville has the much better offense.  Clemson would be held to 24 points or fewer in 6 straight games if not for that defensive TD against FSU.  Louisville has put up 434 or more yards in 6 of its last 7 games.  The Cardinals have outgained 5 of their last 7 opponents with the only exceptions behind -19 yards against Virginia and -58 against FSU.  The Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games.  The Cardinals are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games off an ATS loss.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points last game.  Take Louisville.

6* Houston/USF AAC *CA$H COW* on South Florida +13.5

The Key: South Florida has played a much tougher schedule than Houston has this year.  The Bulls opened 1-4 with all 4 losses to ranked teams in Florida, BYU, SMU and NC State.  They were competitive ATS in 3 of those 4 games.  The schedule has lightened up and they have played better.  They only lost by 1 to Tulsa s 7-point dogs.  They crushed Temple 34-14 as 1.5-point favorites.  And they lost 29-14 to ECU only because they had 4 turnovers in a game that was closer than the final score.  Houston is coming off a massive last-second win over SMU in which they returned a kickoff for a TD in the final seconds to win 44-37 and hand the Mustangs their first loss of the season.  Now this is an obvious letdown situation for the Cougars.  Houston is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games off an ATS win.  South Florida is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off an ATS loss.  Take South Florida.

7* ACC Game of the Year on North Carolina -2.5

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have played a much tougher schedule than the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this season and they have had tough luck in close games, while the Demon Deacons have won all their close games.  That's the difference in UNC being 4-4 while Wake is 8-0.  But the Tar Heels will hand the Demon Deacons their first loss of the year this week.  The Tar Heels are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games against a team with a winning record.  The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 matchups in this series.  Take North Carolina.

7* VT/BC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +3

The Key: This is Boston College's Red Bandana game that stems back to 9/11 and the heroes.  Look up the story it's pretty good.  The Eagles have been great in this game year after year as it adds to their motivation.  And they won't have any problem being motivated with rival Virginia Tech coming to town for a National TV Friday night game.  I expect them to win this game on the field, but I'll take the 3 points.  The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off 2 straight games where they committed zero turnovers.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in 3 straight games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Virginia Tech is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Boston College.

7* Jets/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5

The Key: The New York Jets come into Thursday with confidence with Mike White under center.  They just had 34 points and 511 yards against a good Cincinnati defense last week behind 405 passing yards and three touchdowns from White.  The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a disappointing OT loss to the Titans and are on a short week.  They may bounce back with a win, but asking them to win by 11 points or more tonight is asking a lot.  Carson Wentz continues to make bonehead plays week after week.  And he'll be without TY Hilton, plus the defense will now be without DT Tyquon Lewis.  Indianapolis is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite.  Take New York.

7* Giants/Chiefs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City -9.5

The Key: The price is right to back the Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night.  They were 13-point favorites when this line opened and are now single-digit favorites.  They got crushed by the Titans last week, while the Giants crushed the Panthers.  Those recent results from last week are playing too much of a factor into this line this week.  Consider the Chiefs' 2 best performances this year came against NFC East teams when they went on the road to beat both the Eagles by 12 and Washington by 18.  They will also beat the banged-up Giants by double-digits this week.   New York is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after yielding 15 points or fewer last game.  Take Kansas City.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Carolina Panthers +3

The Key: The Carolina Panthers have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.  They lost 3 close games then were shocking blown out by the Giants.  Now we are getting the Panthers as dogs against a Falcons team that they are better than.  The price is right to pull the trigger on the Panthers.  The Falcons are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, so they are getting pricey.  The road team is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less.  Take Carolina.

6* Dolphins/Bills AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +14

The Key: The price is right to back the Miami Dolphins in this game Sunday.  Consider they were only 3.5-point dogs in their first matchup with the Bills and are now 14-point dogs in the 2nd matchup, which is a 10.5-point adjustment.  And the Dolphins have a healthy Tua back at QB and are getting healthier by the week, especially in the secondary.  They will have the goods to keep this game closer than 2 touchdowns against the Bills this weekend.  Bets on road dogs or PK who failed to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against a team that covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Miami.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +14.5

The Key: Tyrod Taylor makes his return to the Texans looking to pick up where he left off in the first 2 games this year and provide this offense the same spark that he had before.  Taylor accounted for 471 yards and 4 touchdowns without a turnover in 6 quarters against the Jaguars and Browns to open the season.  He has been a covering machine as a starting QB in this league.  The Rams won't be hungry enough to put away the Texans by more than 2 touchdowns.  And it's an early start time for a West Coast team here, which is always a tough situation.  Take Houston.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Kansas +30.5

The Key: Oklahoma State hasn't won a game by more than 11 points this season.  They may win this game by more than 11, but it's not going to be by 31-plus.  Kansas nearly upset Oklahoma last week and is getting better under their first-year head coach.  They will keep battling and keep this game competitive for 4 quarters.  The Cowboys are in a hangover situation after suffering their 1st loss of the season last week against Iowa State.  Take Kansas.

6* Arkansas State/South Alabama Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas State +9

The Key: Arkansas State gets a few extra days to prepare after a 27-28 loss as 18-point dogs to Louisiana on Thursday last week.  They are hungry for that first conference victory and will have a good chance of getting it today against South Alabama.  The Jaguars are 4-3 this year but their wins have come against Southern Miss, Georgia Southern, Bowling Green (by 3) and Alcorn State (by 7).  They tend to play in close games and it is hard to see them winning by double-digits today.  Three of the last 4 matchups in this series were decided by one score.  Take Arkansas State.

7* Packers/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +6.5

The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won and covered 6 straight since that ugly opening loss to the Saints.  They are missing some players tonight, but so are the Cardinals, most notably JJ Watt.  As long as the Packers have Aaron Rodgers under center they have a chance.  And it's worth noting the Packers are 6-0 in 6 games without Devante Adams over the last 3 years and scoring over 32 PPG.  Take Green Bay.

6* USF/ECU American Athletic *CA$H COW* on South Florida +10

The Key: South Florida played 4 Top 25 teams in their first 5 games and didn't fare well, which is understandable.  They have since gone 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS and should have beaten Tulsa, but lost 31-32 as 7-point dogs.  They came back with their best performance of the season last week in a 34-14 win over a Temple team that was in a good spot coming off their bye.  South Florida had 526 total yards and outgained Temple by 295 yards.  East Carolina is 3-4 and cannot be trusted as a double-digit favorite.  The Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as favorites, including 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as home favorites.  The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups, including 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups at ECU.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take South Florida.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +18

The Key: We have the perceived best team in the NFL in the 6-0 Arizona Cardinals against the perceived worst team in the NFL in the 1-5 Houston Texans here.  That fact has this number artificially inflated.  The Cardinals are primed for a letdown.  They just beat the Rams, 49ers and Browns and have the Packers on deck Thursday, so this is a sandwich spot.  This is more of a bet against the Cardinals due to the spot than it is a bet on the Texans.  But it's worth noting the Texans did outgain the Patriots by 8 yards 2 weeks ago and were only outgained by 35 yards by the Colts last week.  Take Houston.

6* NC State/Miami ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State -3.5

The Key: NC State is one of the best teams in the nation at 5-1 this year.  Their only loss came on the road against SEC foe Mississippi State.  They eat Clemson and are coming off a 33-7 win at Boston College last week following their bye.  So they should still be fresh here.  Miami's season is lost at 2-4 and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pack it in.  Especially coming off 2 straight gut wrenching losses to Virginia by 2 and UNC by 3.  Losing QB D'Eriq King really hurts them.  They have 16 players on the injury report while NC State only has 3.  The Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing their last game on the road.  NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 against a team with a losing record.  The Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 home games.  Take NC State.

6* San Diego State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on San Diego State +3

The Key: San Diego State is 6-0 this year and looks to improve to 7-0 with a win against Air Force on Saturday.  The Aztecs have one extra day to get ready after playing last Friday.  I like the matchup for the Aztecs as the Falcons can basically only run the ball, averaging 336 yards per game on the ground.  San Diego State only gives up 61 RYPG and 2.1 YPC.  They are the best team in the country against the run.  It's no surprise San Diego State is 8-0 SU in its last 8 matchups with Air Force.  The Aztecs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups.  Take San Diego State.

7* Oregon/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA -1

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have been getting too much love since winning at Ohio State.  They have lost to Stanford, nearly lost to Cal and played terribly against Arizona in their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS.  UCLA is the more legit of these 2 teams and is a field goal away from being 6-1 this year.  They want to avenge their 35-38 road loss at Oregon last year and I expect them to.  The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take UCLA.

6* Wisconsin/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +3.5

The Key: There was nothing fluky at all about Purdue's 24-7 win at Iowa.  The Boilermakers had 464 total yards against an elite Iowa defense.  They held the Hawkeyes to 271 yards and forced 4 turnovers.  Now they are home dogs against a worse Wisconsin team.  I like the price and I like the fact that Purdue had a bye 2 weeks ago and should still be fresh.  They only have one Big Ten loss and feel like a contender in the West.  Wisconsin is 3-3 this year with its 3 wins coming against Eastern Michigan, Illinois and Army.  They barely survived a physical 20-14 home win over Army last week and have been a huge disappointment with 3 losses already.  The Badgers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a winning record.  The Boilermakers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a dog.  Take Purdue.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -2.5

The Key: Colorado State is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.  The only loss came by 10 points at Iowa when they had the Hawkeyes on the ropes as 24-point dogs.  They won by 16 at Toledo as 14.5-point dogs.  They won by 18 over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  They won by 29 at New Mexico as 13-point favorites.  Utah State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall with its only win coming by 4 points against a very bad UNLV team.  They also lost by 14 to BYU and by 24 to Boise State, both at home.  The Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  Take Colorado State.

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Arkansas State +18

The Key: Game report coming soon.

6* Chiefs/Washington Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Washington Football Team.  Fading the Kansas City Chiefs has been a big money maker because they can't stop anyone.  The Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall with almost all their victories coming by one score.  Washington has the offense that can keep them in this game for 4 quarters and match the Chiefs score for score.  They have scored at least 21 points in 4 straight games, and Taylor Heineke is proving not to be much of a downgrade from Ryan Fitzpatrick at all.  The Chiefs give up 32.6 PPG, 437.4 YPG and 7.2 YPP.  They yield 141 YPG and 5.2 YPC on the ground.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that yielded 17 points or more in the first half of 2 straight games against an opponent that is off a loss by 10 points or more are 40-14 ATS since 1983.  Bets against favorites with a poor turnover defense that forces 1 or fewer turnovers per game after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Washington.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Detroit Lions +3.5

The Key: The Detroit Lions deserve to be better than 0-5.  They have showed tremendous resilience to keep fighting and will continue to do so behind head coach Dan Campbell.  They have lost on last-second field goals to the Ravens and Vikings in 2 of their last 3 games.  The other was a 14-24 loss to Chicago in which they had 4 trips into the red zone result in zero points.  They deserved to win all 3 games.  Now they will get that elusive first victory Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals.  It's a tough situation for the Bengals and a hangover spot.  They had their chances to beat the Packers, but lost 25-22 in OT after both kickers combined to miss 5 straight field goals at the end.  Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against a team that wins 25% of its games or fewer.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, a bad team winning 25% or less of its games when playing a team with a winning record are 32-9 ATS since 1983.  The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* AFC South Game of the Year on Houston Texans +10

The Key: This is a tough situation for the Indianapolis Colts.  They are coming off an overtime loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football in which they put everything on the line and probably deserved to win.  But they came up short after blowing a 19-point lead.  Now they are on a short week and in a hangover spot.  They face a Texans team coming off one of their best games of the season in a 25-22 loss to the Patriots.  They missed a FG and an extra point and probably should have won that game.  Davis Mills threw for 312 yards and 3 touchdowns and is improving.  He should be good enough to hang with the Colts.  This has been an extremely closely-contested rivalry through the years.  14 of the last 15 matchups were decided by 9 points or fewer.  Take Houston.

6* Kent State/Western Michigan MAC *CA$H COW* on Kent State +7

The Key: Kent State is one of the better teams in the MAC.  The 3-3 start has them lacking the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  The 3 losses have come to Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland all on the road.  They have handled their business in the other 3 games with 3 wins by a combined 67 points.  They will be able to hang with Western Michigan, which is coming off a 20-45 home loss to Ball State.  The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a double-digit home loss.  The Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games.  Take Kent State.

7* MAC Game of the Month on Ball State -1

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Ball State Cardinals are back to looking like the team that won the MAC last season.  They are coming off a 12-point win over Army as a 10.5-point dog and a 25-point win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point dog.  Now they basically are a pick 'em against Eastern Michigan, a team that isn't nearly on those other two teams' levels.  Eastern Michigan is 4-2 but the wins have come against 4 of the worst teams in the nation.  They are in over their head here against the defending champs.  Ball State is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset win as a dog.  Take Ball State.

6* Rutgers/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +2

The Key: The situation is a great one for the Northwestern Wildcats.  They are coming off their bye week and hungry to get their first Big Ten victory here against Rutgers.  I like their chances because Rutgers is tired.  The Scarlet Knights will be playing their 7th straight week.  They are coming off 3 straight grueling games against Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State.  They won't have much gas left in the tank for Northwestern.  Rutgers is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games against bad pass defenses that allow 62% completions or higher.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game.  The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 575 or more yards last game.  Take Northwestern.

7* California/Oregon NCAAF Friday Night Lights on California +14

The Key: The Oregon Ducks just had their dreams of making the college football playoff crushed with a 24-31 loss to Stanford last game.  The game prior was a misleading 41-19 win over an 0-5 Arizona team.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the Wildcats but were +5 in turnovers.  This Oregon team continues to get too much respect for its upset win at Ohio State.  Oregon just lost leading rusher C.J. Verdell and his 397 yards and 5 TD to a season-ending injury, too.  California always seems to play Oregon tough.  The Bears are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups the last 2 seasons.  They won outright 21-17 as 9-point home dogs last year.  The only lost 7-17 as 21.5-point road dogs in 2019.  They have the defense to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  They need their offense to play like it did at Washington 2 games back when they had 457 yards against a very good Huskies defense in an OT loss.  The Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  The Ducks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take California.

6* App State/Louisiana Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana +5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Louisiana as a home underdog to Appalachian State tonight.  The money has poured in on the Mountaineers as they have been bet up from -1 to -5.  It's now time to take the points with the Rajin' Cajuns.  They certainly don't have as good of numbers as the Mountaineers this year, but they have kind of been going through the motions against some mediocre teams.  I know we'll get the Rajin' Cajuns 'A' game tonight, and it will be good enough to cover this 5-point spread.  The Mountaineers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after yielding fewer than 20 points in their previous game.  The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Appalachian State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite.  The Rajin' Cajuns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.  Take Louisiana.

7* Colts/Ravens MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -7

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens always feast on bad teams like the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts.  The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record.  They face a Colts team that lost by 12 to the Seahawks and by 9 to the Titans.  Their only win came against the Miami Dolphins with backup QB Jacoby Brissett last week.  I think that win has them getting too much respect from the books here.  The Ravens beat the Broncos 23-7 last week and their offense humming right now, while their defense is as healthy as it has been all season and was a force against the Broncos last week.  Take Baltimore.

6* Giants/Cowboys NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +7

The Key: Betting the New York Giants when they are on the road has been free money over the years.  The Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as road underdogs.  They are also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games against NFC foes.  The Cowboys are getting too much respect from the books after opening 4-0 ATS, the last unbeaten team in the NFL against the spread.  These teams stack up pretty well on a yards per play basis.  The Giants average 6.2 YPP and allow 5.9 YPP, while the Cowboys average 6.4 YPP and give up 6.4 YPP.  The Cowboys have simply benefited from forcing 10 turnovers already, which is unsustainable.  The Giants had 485 yards against the Saints last week to flash their offensive potential.  Take New York.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-1 and come into this game with the Packers with extra rest and time to prepare after beating the Jaguars last Thursday.  They'll be up against a depleted Packers team that will be without 3 starters and possibly 5 more, who are all questionable.  The biggest concerns for the Packers are at linebacker and in the secondary, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover all these weapons that Joe Burrow has at his disposal.  This is an improved Cincinnati defense that is yielding 18.8 PPG and should hold the Packers in check.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Cincinnati.

6* Dolphins/Bucs Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami +10

The Key: This is almost strictly a situation play.  The Tampa Bay Bucs and Tom Brady are in line for a letdown after their huge win in New England on Sunday Night Football last week.  Brady's return to New England was the talk of the week.  Now they have to try and get up to play a Dolphins team that is coming off 2 straight losses and looked bad last week against the Colts.  The Dolphins will be all in here facing the defending champs.  I trust Brian Flores and this defense to keep them in the game, while Jacoby Brissett makes enough plays in the passing game to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  He'll be up against a depleted Bucs secondary that could be missing as many as 3 starters.  That's why they signed Richard Sherman.  Miami is 8-0 ATS in Weeks 5 thru 9 over the last 3 years.  Tampa Bay is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after yielding 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games.  Take Miami.

7* Jets/Falcons NFL London *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Jets in this neutral site game in London.  This line should be closer to a PK as there's not much difference between these 2 teams.  Zach Wilson had his best game yet last week in a 27-24 upset of Tennessee.  They have played a tough schedule and now it lightens up a little here against Atlanta.  The Falcons are 1-3 with their only win coming 17-14 over the Giants.  They lost by 26 to the Eagles, by 23 to the Bucs and by 4 to Washington.  Matt Ryan is broken, and their defense is the worse unit here yielding 32.0 PPG and 383.3 YPG.  The Jets only give up 23.5 PPG and 353.8 YPG and have been respectable on that side.  Wilson is only going to get better with each start, and should have his best game yet against this Falcons defense.  Atlanta is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 against teams that force 0.75 turnovers per game or fewer.  Take New York.

6* Memphis/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa -3

The Key: Tulsa will put its best foot forward Saturday with its season on the line after a 1-4 start.  The Golden Hurricane deserve better as they had both Oklahoma State and Ohio State on the ropes late in the 4th quarter on the road.  Those 2 efforts showed their potential.  And that potential will be unleashed here against a down Memphis team that is coming off 2 straight upset losses to UTSA and Temple.  The Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a game where they forced one or fewer turnovers.  The Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  Tulsa is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 against a team with a winning record.  The Golden Hurricane are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games off an ATS loss.  Take Tulsa.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +3

The Key: The Utah Utes are coming off their bye week and have had time to put the distractions and the poor start behind them.  Look for them to put their best foot forward against USC Saturday.  Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference win.  The Utes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as road dogs.  Utah is 46-22-2 ATS in its last 70 games as a dog.  The Utes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 October games.  Take Utah.

6* UTSA/WKU Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky -3

The Key: Western Kentucky has gone through the gauntlet the last 3 weeks with competitive losses to Army by 3, Indiana by 2 and Michigan State by 17.  This is actually a step down in class despite the fact that UTSA is 5-0.  The Roadrunners are 5-0 against a very weak schedule.  Western Kentucky will test them with a high-octane offense that averages 39 PPG and 521 YPG despite the tough schedule of opposing defenses.  WKU averages 7.6 YPP while UTSA only averages 5.5 YPP on offense.  UTSA does have the better defense at 4.9 YPP compared to 5.8 YPP for WKU, but when you factor in schedule of opposing offenses faced it's actually pretty close.  The 1-3 team is favored over the 5-0 team for good reason in this matchup.  Take Western Kentucky.