7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah -7
The Key: Utah has won 8 in a row against Utah State by a minimum of 16 points. It has also won 6 in a row on the road in the series by 8 points or more. Keep in mind the last 5 road wins have come by at least 20 points. Utah State has some nice pieces on offense, but it didn't see a defense last season like it's about to see tonight. I expect Utah's DT Star Lotulelei to be very disruptive. I also expect the Utes to be able to run the football effectively with John White. In the end superior defense and a big game on the ground from White should get us the cover.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -7.5
The Key: The Hokies have dominated conference competition at 43-21 ATS in their last 64 conference games. The Yellow Jackets, meanwhile, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. Under coach Beamer, VA Tech is 38-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. It has won by an average score of 29.5 to 17.4 in this situation. The Hokies won last season's meeting by 11 on the road. They had the superior defense and a more balanced offensive attack in that contest. This should remain the case. We'll lay the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor -8.5
The Key: Baylor no longer has Robert Griffin III, but the program is more equipped than ever before to handle such a loss. QB Nick Florence gained valuable starting experience in 2009 and he has certainly learned from RG3. WR Terrance Williams is an elite weapon, and he's not the only piece of artillery at Florence's disposal in a deep receiving corps. The biggest reason I like the Bears, however, is their defense. Expect a stop unit that returns 8 starts to be much improved. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. SMU.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Colorado State +6.5
The Key: I love the Rams catching this many points as I believe they have an excellent chance to win this one outright. Colorado ranked 109th nationally in both scoring (19.8 ppg) and scoring defense (36.5 ppg) last season, and I don't it making any drastic improvements. The Buffaloes were counting on huge offensive production from WR Paul Richardson, and he is out indefinitely after suffering an ACL injury. Without Richardson to move the chains and stretch the field, the Buffs will have an even tougher time getting their anemic running game going. Taking underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO ST) in the first month of the season that return 6 or more starters than their opponent has produced a 46-16 ATS result the last 2 decades. The underdog has scored an average of 23.9 points in this situation while the favorite has only scored an average of 24.2. And, it's also worth mentioning that Colorado is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 Saturday games away from home.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan State -6.5
The Key: The Broncos and Spartans both lost some key players, but I believe Michigan State brings back more. It has a nice running back in Le'Veon Bell and the defense is still stacked with talent. William Gholston (70 tackles 5 sacks in 2011), Denicos Allen (11 sacks last year) and Max Bullough (89 stops, 3.5 sacks last season) anchor a ferocious front seven. The Spartans led the Big Ten and ranked 6th nationally in total defense a season ago, and I believe they can be every bit as good in 2012. This defense will cause major problems for a Boise State program that tries to adjust to life without Kellen Moore and Doug Martin. Take the Spartans and lay the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Vanderbilt +7
The Key: The Commodores aren't getting the respect they deserve at home this evening. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS at home under coach Franklin and have won these games by an average score of 33.9 to 19.3. Vandy is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games in the underdog role. It took Georgia and Arkansas down to the wire at home last season, and I like it to come through against the Gamecocks as well.

7* BCS Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama pk
The Key: I love Alabama in this revenge spot considering it outplayed the Tigers in the first meeting but came up short due to 4 missed field goals. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

7* GoDaddy Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +1.5
The Key: I'll take the more explosive offensive team in what will likely be a shootout. Statistically, Arkansas State is solid defensively. The statistics, however, are misleading considering the Red Wolves play in the Sun Belt and it was a down year for the league. I just don't see the Red Wolves having an answer for Chandler Harnish, who led the Huskies to an impressive 40-17 win over Fresno State in last season's Humanitarian Bowl. The Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. Take Northern Illinois.

7* Compass Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on SMU +4
The Key: Pitt isn't the same team without RB Ray Graham. Now the Panthers are too reliant on QB Tino Sunseri. That's not a good thing as teams have really been able to go after him, taking advantage of a weak Pitt O-line. The Panthers have allowed Sunseri to be sacked 54 times this season. Look for SMU to win the battle of the trenches and the football game.

7* Cotton Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on Arkansas -8.5
The Key: Arkansas is the better team on both sides of the football in terms of statistics and talent and should win by double digits tonight. The Razorbacks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, winning these contests by an average score of 40.3 to 18.3.

7* Orange Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on West Virginia +3.5
The Key: The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big East.

7* Sugar Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan -3
The Key: Both of these teams had good seasons defensively, but Michigan averaged 5.7 more points per game and did so against better competition. That's not a general statement. The Hokies played 7 bowl teams and the 63rd-toughest schedule while the Wolverines played 10 bowl teams and the 39-toughest slate. The Hokies are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. We'll take Michigan.

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Wisconsin +6
The Key: Wiscy has the better defense and the better quarterback and I believe wins this game outright because of these 2 factors. The Badgers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite. Take the points.

7* Chick-fil-A Bowl Blowout (ESPN) on Virginia +3
The Key: The Chick-fil-A Bowl isn't too exciting for an Auburn team that played in the BCS title game last season. Apathy toward this bowl is only part of the problem for the Tigers, who are dealing with the departure of D-coordinator Ted Roof and O-coordinator Gus Malzahn (he will be on the sidelines but has had bigger things to worry about concerning his new job than preparing for Virginia). Plus, Auburn is missing its best offensive weapon - Michael Dyer - who has been suspended for violating team rules. Virginia has a lot more team chemistry entering this game and has a lot more to prove. We'll take the Cavs as they crush the reigning champs.

7* Insight Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Iowa +14
The Key: The Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as a favorite. Take the points.

7* Alamo Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Washington Huskies +10
The Key: Baylor is being overvalued here because of all the hype surrounding Heisman winner RG3 and we'll take advantage. While Baylor has one of the top offenses in the country, it also has one of the worst defenses. Bad defensive teams have tough times covering big spreads. The Huskies have been a quality investment, going 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games. They are a rock solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as an underdog.

7* Holiday Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas -3.5
The Key: Texas has one of the best defenses in the country and likely would have added a couple more wins had it not caught the injury bug at the running back position. Fortunately, the Horns have two of their talented running backs back for this game, and that will make all the difference in the world. UCLA rushed for 294 yards against Cal and ASU rushed for 213. If these teams could run the ball on the Bears, I fully expect Texas, which averages 210.4 rushing yards per game, to be able to gash the Cal defense tonight. Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when laying points. Lay the points.

7* Belk Bowl Blowout on Louisville +1.5
The Key: The Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. the ACC, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Wolfpack are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. Take Louisville.

7* Independence Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina +6
The Key: The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Take the Tar Heels.

7* Hawaii Bowl Blowout on Nevada +8.5
The Key: The Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. I love them in the underdog role here against a So. Miss team that is dealing with the issue of head coach Larry Fedora taking the UNC job.

7* Las Vegas Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Arizona State +14.5
The Key: The Boise State Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when valued as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. The Sun Devils are a solid 6-2-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and an even more potent 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. Take ASU.

7* Pre New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +9.5
The Key: The Bulldogs only have 1 loss of more than 6 points this season, and they are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when listed as an underdog of pickem. The Bulldogs are also a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing away from home as well. It is also worth noting that the Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Take Louisiana Tech.

7* Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Marshall +4.5
The Key: FIU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing a game following an off week. It has lost these contests by an average 16.8 points. It's also worth mentioning that the Golden Panthers have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 games when laying points. Bet Marshall.

7* Bowl Game of the Week on Temple -7
The Key: The Owls have been nothing short of awesome against non-conference foes the last two seasons, posting a perfect 7-0 ATS record and winning by an average score of 31 to 17.4. Despite winning 8 games last season, Temple didn't receive a bowl bid. Getting one this time around is a huge deal for this team, and I expect it to make the most of it. Lay the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (CBS) on Army +7
The Key: Navy has won 9 straight in this series but Army has narrowed the gap the last 2 years and I fully expect the Black Knights to take the Midshipmen down to the wire. Not only is Army undervalued here because it has lost 9 in a row in the series, it's last impression on the public was a poor performance against Temple in which it gave up 42 points and 335 yards rushing. This actually bodes well for us considering the Black Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Take Army.

7* NCAAF Game of the Month on New Mexico State +15
The Key: New Mexico State beat Utah State by 3 points at home as a 10.5-point underdog in 2009. It was an 18.5-point underdog at Utah State last season and only lost by 5 points. I know New Mexico State is coming off a pair of bad losses on the road, but it is expected to get QB Matt Christian back and it will be jacked up for this game on senior day. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points.

7* Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on UCLA +32
The Key: The Ducks are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games. Also, plays on road underdogs (UCLA) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival that return 6 or more starters than their opponent are 55-24 (70%) ATS since 1992. We'll take the points.

7* Big East Game of the Month (ESPN) on West Virginia -2.5
The Key: Under coach Holtz, USF is 0-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents, 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS in home games in the second half of the season. We'll lay the number with the Mountaineers.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Vanderbilt -1.5
The Key: Vandy is the more talented team from a tougher conference, and I like it to roll here with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

7* SEC Game of the Week (CBS 2:30 ET) on Arkansas +12.5
The Key: Arkansas is 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS when checking into a game off 2 or more consecutive overs the last 2 seasons. Arkansas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Texas +8
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and further motivated by last year's 7-point loss to the Aggies, expect the Longhorns to give A&M all it wants and more here. The Aggies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

7* MAC Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Miami Ohio +9
The Key: With nothing to play for after clinching a spot in the MAC title game last week, look for the Bobcats to come out flat this evening. Miami Ohio is 4-3 in its last 7 games and 2 of those defeats came by only 3 points. Look for the Redhawks to take Ohio down to the wire with a chance to win in the end.

7* PAC-12 Game of the Month on Cal +18.5
The Key: The Cardinal are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when coming off an upset loss to a conference foe. Stanford has actually lost these games by an average of 4.3 points. Expect a letdown from the Cardinal after having their national championship hopes crushed by Oregon last Saturday.

7* Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN) on Iowa State +28
The Key: Iowa State needs to win 1 of its final 3 games to become bowl eligible so it will be leaving it all on the field each week. The Cyclones have had an off week to gear up for this one, and it's senior night. In other words, a nice combination of extra preparation and extreme motivation are in our favor. It's been a short week for Oklahoma State, and its biggest task right now is to make sure it's healthy for Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on UNC +10.5
The Key: The road team has been the play in this series as it is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Plus, VA Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. UNC, meanwhile, is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Take the points.

7* MAC Game of the Week on Bowling Green +7
The Key: Bowling Green is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series. It's also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of 10 points or more at home.

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Central Florida +9
The Key: Love the Knights catching more than a TD as they have either won or lost by 7 points or less in 8 of 9 games this season. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Plus, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. UCF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation (4th in total D and 5th in scoring D). This defense has kept the Knights in nearly every game this season, and it will give them an opportunity to win this game outright. Take the points.

7* Big East Game of the Month on S. Florida -3.5
The Key: The Bulls are 5-1 straight up and against the spread all-time versus Syracuse, including a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in games at Syracuse. Those 3 wins have come by an average of 24 points. Lay the points with the Bulls.