The Cardinals M. Mikolas (9-3, 2.63 ERA) continues to pitch great, the same is not true of the White Sox D. Covey (3-4, 5.54 ERA). He's tasted adversity as of late with a 0-3 record and a 13.20 ERA in his last four starts. The Redbirds offense has perked up in averaging 5.7 RPG in their last seven, while the Pale Hose has lost five straight, nine of 11 and are  2-15 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's a start this season. 

I would rather pay the higher price for A. Nola in Game 2 against the Mets on the road. Nola has been extremely sharp everywhere of late and he and the Phils are 10-1 vs. a NL team with an on-base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Plus, New York is 2-19 as a home underdog of +125 to +175.

Betting against the Orioles continues to be quite profitable. They face Sabathia in the opener and are 10-20 against lefties. In addition, the O's are 2-18 as a home underdog of +100 or higher, losing by 2.5 RPG and 3-20 after scoring one run or less this season, losing by 2.4 RPG.

The Cubs don't quit and their last eight wins have been in come from behind fashion. That will not a problem today as they get after L. Castillo and J. Lester works his magic. The Cubs are 14-3 when Lester starts this year and are 27-8 after batting .315 or better over a 5-game span.

Boston is really good and Kansas City is flat out horrible. This season the Royals have played 24 games against teams with .620 or better win percentage and they have lost those games by 3.8 RPG on average. 

Though the Brewers J. Guerra has an outstanding 2.67 ERA and is backed by a great bullpen, he's only 5-5 this season. Milwaukee is in the midst of a great season but is only 9-9 vs. LH starters. I'll back the Braves who are 20-10 in days games and 9-1 after two straight games with no home runs this season. 

The K.C. young starter has been sharp, but he's not faced the Red Sox lineup. Look for D. Price to have a bounce-back game versus the worst lineup in baseball. I have a Super System to play against the Royals and the average margin of victory is 3.9 RPG.

I understand J. Arrieta has not been particularly good of late for the Phillies. But Philadelphia is on a 7-1 tear while Pittsburgh has dropped five of six. Arrieta is also 12-6 with a 3.01 ERA in 22 career starts against Pittsburgh. The Phils have won all five games against the Bucs this season and are 20-8 after scoring 8 runs or more.

I have never thought J. Samardjiza was anything better than a No.5 starter and him having a 10-27 mark playing against a team with a winning record the last three seasons (Team's Record) proves that point. C. Martinez is coming around and St. Louis is a perfect 10-0 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.65 or worse.

For the time being, Kenta Maeda (5-5, 3.36) has shed his up and down tendencies and been quite effective of late. Maeda figures to suppress an Angels offense that is averaging 3.1 RPG in their last 10 contests. Nonetheless, the total in the opening battle in this I-5 series has risen from 8.5 to 9. Among the reason why is a Dodgers offense that has heated up again, which at 6.3 RPG in their last seven. With Dodger Blue at a robust 5.5 RPG on the road and 12-4 OVER in away games after a victory, the OVER makes sense. 

Reports out of Detroit have J. Zimmermann having a good change and getting command of the slider again. I think Zimmermann pitches well, the Tigers score on B. Colon and get a victory. 

M. Gonzales has not been fantastic against the Angels, but Seattle has won both his starts and the two combined are 6-2 at home. The team from Anaheim has struggled all year against LH starters, putting together a 6-15 record. Finally, consider the Mariners are 18-4 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season and that Gonzales is 9-0 after giving up one or less earned runs in his last start. (Team's record) 

M. Minor pitching surprisingly well, but so is G. Cole and that Houston bullpen has been airtight of late. Cole is 19-3 as a favorite of -150 or more the last seasons (Team's Record) and the Astros are 19-3 in road division games.

As previously expressed, I'm no fan of W. LeBlanc, still, the Angels are 6-14 vs. LH starters. Also consider LeBlanc and the M's are 6-0 at home and he's 12-0 in home starts the past three years. (Team's record) Lastly, when A. Heaney starts and his team is off a loss, they are 1-9. 

It's a given how bad the Orioles are. In addition, teams like Philly off two consecutive one run wins over a division rival, that is starting a pitcher who gave up two or less earned runs in his last two outings are 31-11.

Twins bullpen a disaster right now and starting pitcher J. Odorizzi seldom has back to back strong outings. Look for Brewers to further expose Twinkies relievers, as Minny is 2-10 after a 5-game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. 

Both the Cards and D-Backs are coming in off being swept at home. The Snakes caught a Giants team at the wrong time and matches up against the Cardinals where they have overall pitching edges. Plus, here is an angle worth noting. In the last two years, R. Ray and the Diamondbacks are 14-0 after he gave up one or less earned runs in his last outing.

I thought the Padres would win the series going in against Pittsburgh and I like the fact T. Ross and his team are 11-5 when he pitches and is 5-1 at home.

F. Peralta has thrown very well for Milwaukee, which is not what you can say about M. Harvey for the Reds. The Brewers bullpen had a rotten day and as a team, they bounce back and the Crew is 11-2 after a loss by four or more runs. 

C. Sales is in a great groove and S. Gray is a wild card each time he takes the ball. Red Sox even up series with a victory.

Nats bats finally came alive last night and J. Hellickson is back from the DL for them. Also, teams like the Phillies off a loss by eight runs or more to a division rival, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or lower over his last three starts, are 8-21 since 2016 and 0-6 this year. 

Everyone is down on J. Chacin after one bad outing. RELAX! He is still 12-4 vs. teams outscored by 0.5 or more runs/game the last two seasons. (Team's Record) Plus, the Reds are 2-13 playing with triple revenge. 

T.Skaggs against A. Cashner is a mismatch for starters and the Halos are 18-3 vs. teams outscored by one or more runs a game on the season. 

This is strictly a matter of not trusting J. Teheran and the Braves bullpen, especially lately. M. Mikolas is capable of slowing Atlanta's offense and the Cardinals have won nine last 12 against the Braves. 

With two of the best teams in baseball having two of the best offenses in the sport, the total in the series opener has been bumped from 9 to 9.5. Here is why this looks like wrong way action to me. The Yankees this month are 22-4 UNDER and are facing Eduardo Rodriguez (9-2, 3.86), who is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher and 8-2 UNDER against the Pinstripes. C.C. Sabathia will toe the rubber first for New York and he is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since last year and is 26-14 UNDER versus Boston.

A. Nola does not win every time (Phillies 11-5 this season), it just seems like it. At home, Nola and the Phillies are a perfect 7-0 this season. The Washington bats are cold in averaging 2.5 RPG in their last seven outings and they have been shutout three times. T. Roark until recently was not pitching poorly, but he has been of late with an ERA over 8 in his past three starts. With Philly 16-4 vs. a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better, let's take the home team. 

I know this seems boring, but I'm on Seattle again. Baltimore had the game won and still found a way to lose it last night. That's what bad teams do and today they are starting a no-name pitcher and the Mariners are expected to get some very good swings against him. The M's are 12-4 in M. Leake starts, while the O's are 6-22 after three or more consecutive losses this season. 

After years of being an automatic pick for baseball bettors, after two injury-plagued seasons and being on a weaker squad, Madison Bumgarner (1-2, 3.20) is no longer revered. He and Giants opened as -160 home faves and now are hanging out in the minus low 140's as they prepare to face Colorado. Mad Bum will face a pretty good lefty in Kyle Freeland (7-6, 3.55) and he's only 5-16 the last two seasons. (Giants record) This is not all Bumgarner's doing since San Francisco has only averaged 2.8 RPG in his starts in this period. With the Rockies on a three-game slide and San Fran winners of six of seven, I'll take my chances with the home team. 

St. Louis is tearing up Cleveland and are playing very well. J. Flaherty is pitching well and the Cards offense is white hot. I'll back the Cards with Indians just 13-19 against winning teams this season. 

I remember hearing about Andrew Heaney (4-5, 3.43) when he came to the Angels in 2015 from Miami. Though he didn't throw as hard as reported, he had smooth, repeatable delivery. After a couple of injury-filled seasons, it's good to see him pitching to his potential. However, I cannot justify him and the Angels dropping from +150 to +120 underdogs at Boston tonight. I'm well aware Rick Porcello has a 5.51 ERA against the Halos and the team's he pitched for have lost 11 of their past 15 against them. Still, Anaheim has lost seven of 10 and had been outscored 36-4 in four beat-downs against Boston. And Heaney and the Angels are 1-5 on the road this year. 

Certain baseball bettors are a glutton for punishment evidently. For a third straight day, they have lowered Seattle as a favorite, this time from -125 to a Pick (-105) against bumbling Baltimore. As stated many times here, I think Wade LeBlanc (3-0, 3.26) is pitching way over his head and was finally exposed at Boston last week (11 hits and 6 runs). Nevertheless, given the choice between LeBlanc and Orioles starter Alex Cobb (2-9, 6.56), the former draws my approval. Maybe the Birds finally win, but I cannot back a team that is 1-15 after scoring three runs or less in three straight games. 

Some influential bettors are ignoring certain facts and focusing on the peripherals. Seattle has lost six of eight and their best pitcher James Paxton (6-2, 3.72), has 7.54 ERA in his past three starts. Baltimore is the worst team in the AL, but their starting pitching choice Kevin Gausman (3-6, 4.38) has a 3.04 ERA in four starts against the Mariners. The M's have slid from -165 to -140, yet, how do you overlook the Birds are 5-23 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games and Gausman being 4-18 as an underdog of +100 to +150? (Orioles record) 

After losing the first two contests of their homestand, Cleveland frolicked the rest of the way and starts their road excursion on a seven-game winning streak. The Indians have punished the Twins, White Sox and Tigers in this stretch, outscoring them 52-8! #Ouch

Mike Clevinger (6-2, 3.00 ERA) will be the Indians choice for the series opener and he's pitched extremely well in his past three starts. The right-hander has thrown at least into the seventh inning in this trio of starts, allowing 14 hits and just four runs in 21.1 innings. Clevinger has fanned 26 and walked only six in this period. On the road this season, the 27-year old has 2.27 ERA and opposing batters are hitting just .185 against him when playing in their own park.

With Michael Wacha on the DL, manager Mike Matheny give the ball to John Gant (1-2, 4.39), who will make his fourth spot start of the year. Both bullpens are in the bottom third of baseball in ERA, but Cleveland has proven to be better at saving games (66.6% vs. 58%).

 There is little reason to believe Cleveland's offense cannot stay hot against Gant and Cards bullpen. Clevinger has a 1.69 ERA of late and St. Louis is  0-7 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. Take the Tribe. 

Texas might have been shutout yesterday, but they should score some runs against the Padres J. Lucchesi. C. Hamels has been in very good form of late and faces a San Diego lineup scoring 3.5 RPG against lefties. Over the last two years, the Friars are 2-16 in road games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up one or more HR's a start.

A nice step down in class for Seattle after a rough week. As many of you know, I'm no fan of A. Cashner and while King Felix is no longer the king, the Mariners are the better team and are 21-8 when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. 

I definitely prefer the pitching matchup overall, plus, Sunday NL road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Cardinals, hitting .255 or lower, against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less, are a miserable 11-51 since 2014. 

In winning six of seven, the A's offense has scored 6.1 RPG. They are going up against a White Sox bunch that continues to struggle and is 5-21 having lost four of their last five games this season. 

Cleveland has allowed six runs in their last five games and T. Bauer has been excellent all year long. With the Indians 21-6 at home against Detroit, their offense on fire and averaging 5.2 RPG against LH starters, I'll step up and say the Tribe win by at least three runs. 

I have been a fan of S. Newcombe all year and when his team is off a loss by two or less runs this season, they have won by 2.8 RPG the next time out in 11 games. Baltimore, well you know how bad they are. 

With last place Cincinnati having won four in a row and seven of nine, enough bettors are giving them a chance in Game 2 of their series with the Cubs. The Reds have been lowered from +145 to +130. This might not be the best decision on the side play with Jose Quintana (6-5, 4.06 ERA) having a 2.70 ERA versus Cincy and Chicago 3-0 against them. Though Cincinnati's Luis Castillo (4-8) has thrown well twice against the Cubs, his velocity is down and his ERA is 5.77 compared to last year's 3.12.

Z. Eflin pitching well and Phillies have been swinging the lumber. T.Roark and Nats are just 5-9 in his starts and I can see Philly winning this contest. 

I don't think Boston has another off game and favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, with a hot starting pitcher whose WHIP 1.00 or lower over his last three starts, with a rested bullpen having thrown five innings or less over their last three games, are 94-36.

Since the start of interleague play, Atlanta is 15-5 (+14.0 Units) road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better. Plus, AL teams like Toronto with an OBP .310 or lower, against an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or less, starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned run in last outing, are 11-40 since 2014.

Marlins playing good baseball and Straily has been tough on Giants. 

I understand Matt Koch (5-3, 4.09) of Arizona is not unhittable, still, the Angles have lost six of seven, are below .500 at the Big A and are in desperate need of any pitching with eight pitchers on the DL. Going up against some dude named Felix Pena (0-0, 10.13), I'll gladly take the D-Backs at +140 compared to +120. 

Milwaukee might have lost two of three to Philly at home, but I'll take J. Chacin (6-1, 3.32 ERA) to end their brief losing streak. The Brewers have won seven of Chacin's nine road starts and they will face T. Williams (5-4, 4.38), who has an ERA over 8 in his past five starts. The Brew Crew and Chacin are 8-0 as a favorite of -110 or higher, while the Pirates are  3-11 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher.

Tampa Bay is back to struggling and is 1-13 in road games after scoring four runs or less in three straight games this season, losing by 2.8 RPG. 

I'll side with the better starting pitcher and Cincy being 7-20 with double revenge. 

Though the Padres remain competitive, Atlanta is 16-6 in day games and is ATLANTA is 12-2 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. 

Milwaukee has been battering Philly pitching and the Phils are not keeping playing on the road, with a 13-20 record and scoring only 3.6 RPG. Besides the Brew Crew being  20-8 when the money line is -100 to -150, check this out.  NL underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA), scoring 4.0 to 4.5 runs a game, against a starter whose ERA is 3.00 or lower, batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games, are 18-58 since 2014. 

The Mets have folded like a cheap umbrella during a rain storm in losing 18 of 22. Friday (essentially series opener) road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 like the METS, after three straight games where they had seven or less hits, are 12-41 since 2014. 

A potentially good pitching matchup in K.C. with Charlie Morton (7-1, 2.82) facing Jakob Junis (5-6, 4.05). This has sent the total south from 9.5 to 9 and Kansas City scoring 1.3 RPG in their last eight outings also has something to do with it. Junis was lit up in his last start but usually bounces back. However, Houston averages 6 RPG on the road and Morton is regressing towards career norms. Additionally, the Astros are 17-3 OVER on the road after scoring seven runs or more in two straight games.

Playing the numbers. Braves are 8-0 at home vs. Padres. C. Richard is 1-6 against Atlanta while B. McCarthy is 8-1 against the Padres. 

With Washington an outstanding 22-12 on the road this season, they have been shoved from -115 to -130 in their series opener at Toronto. The Blue Jays are only 16-19 at home and will see the tosses of Gio Gonzalez (6-2, 2.65). The Jays do not figure to do a lot with Gonzalez since they are scoring just 3.9 RPG against left-hand starters. With Toronto not good at home and having just been swept at Tampa Bay, they are 3-12 in home games having lost three of their last four games this season. 

AL division leaders open up a big four-game series in Coffee Town. This contest has a bit of an old-school feel to it with two noted pitchers past their prime in David Price (7-4, 4.00) and Felix Hernandez (6-5, 5.70). Boston was sent out as a -135 road favorite and has come back 10 cents lower to -125. With Price more consistent and the Red Sox have a deeper bullpen, Boston gets the call being 39-15 against right-handed starters and 12-2 in road games after allowing two runs or less this season. 

Normally I'm not of fan of betting on bad teams, but I like the Reds here. Neither starting pitcher is going to make anyone love them, but T. Mahle has been more consistent and Cincy has a much better pen. When looking at both offenses over their past seven outings, the Reds are at 5.3 RPG and the Royals are 1.6 RPG. 

Both T. Bauer and D. Covey have been in good form, with both starting pitchers having ERA's under 3. For whatever reason, Cleveland has not scored well against lousy teams and is 12-3 UNDER in road games when playing against clubs with a win percentage of 38% or lower. Add in Bauer is 12-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw three walks or less/game the last two seasons and the lower score gets the call. 

Arizona's offense continues to mash and I don't see that stopping today. In addition, as I have said many times here, Z. Greinke is one of the best home pitchers ever to bet on and he and D-Backs are 21-6 at Chase Field the last two years. 

P. Goldschmidt and Arizona bats are hot and pitcher C. Buchholz has been tremendous in the comeback. The Snakes have a superior bullpen and are 11-4 after a win by four or more runs and teams like them that have won four straight by four or more runs are 36-14 the next time out. 

Despite San Fran's road record, I will trust them with C. Stratton pitching. The Giants are 10-3 in his starts this season and most have come against teams way better than Miami. Plus, with the total at 8.5, Stratton the Giants are 11-0 when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Philadelphia has fallen 20 cents on the money line (now -145) to Colorado, but why? The Rockies have lost four straight, eight of 10 and the bullpen has allowed 8.5 runs per game in this stretch. Does Jon Gray (6-6, 5.66 ERA) really seem like a better choice against Aaron Nola (7-2, 2.35)? Sure the Phillies offense is struggling, but Nola and friends are 11-1 at home when he's working on five or six days rest.

Play Against home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY METS) playing with double revenge, starting a rested pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest. (39-7, 84.8%, L5Y) The average margin of victory is 2.8 RPG. 

M. Estrada has not exactly been great for Toronto, but seriously, Baltimore! The Orioles are 1-13 after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span and follow that up with a 2-17 record after two or more consecutive Under's this season. 

This is simple, the Reds are 2-13 revenging four or more straight losses and the Cards M. Wacha is 10-1 vs. Cincy for his career. With the Cardinals 8-0 against the Reds this season, make it 9-0.

2-Teamer - Cubs and Astros, $100 pays $152 and change

I'm a big J. Arrieta fan and I think he bounces back from meltdown in Frisco last Sunday. In addition, NL teams like the Phillies with a slugging percentage of .390 or less, against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 to 1.30, batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games, are 24-10 the L10 years.

J. deGrom or not, Mets scoring 1.6 RPG in their last seven contests. As great as deGrom is, he and Mets are 1-3 vs. the Yankees in four starts. I'll back the better team, better offense and better bullpen, with the Yanks, 11-1 after allowing four runs or less in three straight games this season. 

With Seattle leading the AL West with a 39-22 record, I'm baffled why they are a sinking favorite again versus Tampa Bay. The Mariners opened at -140 with Marco Gonzales (6-3, 2.38), whose given up one earned run in his last 26 innings, yet now they are now an underdog. While the M's have won 15 of 19, the Rays have dumped seven straight, including four to Seattle. With starting pitching injuries, apparently, there is nobody in the minors to pitch, as Tampa Bay will start another reliever, this one named Wilmer Font. Maybe the Rays can end their losing streak, but with a 2-15 record after scoring four runs or less in six consecutive contests, Seattle works for me.

After a slow start, M. Leake has a 1.66 ERA in his past three starts and Seattle has won nine of his 12 starts this season. Tampa Bay is not hitting a lick and off their loss at Houston, Seattle is 9-0 after a loss by two runs or less this season. 

A big division in pitching matchup in Angels favor and AL underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season, and has an ERA over 7.00 in his last three starts, is 27-74, losing by two runs a game.

In spite of Dan Mengden (6-4, 2.91 ERA) having his best year in the big leagues to date, he and his fellow A's players are not drawing much support, crumbling as favorites from -135 to -115. In May, Mengden had a 1.51 ERA and a .181 batting average allowed. He's facing 45-year old Bartolo Colon (2-3, 4.21), whose most recent efforts show him with an 8.81 ERA. I'll stick with Mengden and Oakland, as the Athletics are 20-9 when the total is 10 or higher, but back the lower score. 

There are many reasons not to like S. Gray of the Yankees, nonetheless, here is why the Bronx Bombers win. For starters, they are 14-3 with a rested bullpen having thrown two innings or less in each of the last two games, plus, Toronto is 2-11 at home having lost three of their last four contests. 

Looks to me we are getting quite a bit of value this afternoon in this contest. Mike Foltynewicz has been super for Atlanta and the Padres are doing a "bullpen" start again. The Braves come into this game 9-3 away after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more, while the Friars are  5-17 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. 

Seattle really playing well and have their ace Paxton pitching. Keuchel continues to scuffle and Tuesday (usually series opener) AL road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE),  with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season, are 32-11 since 2014. 

The Tigers are 9-18 on the road and starting a rookie pitcher in Fenway. Boston 20-8 at home winning by 1.9 RPG and they have the same exact scoring margin vs. RH starters, whom they are 25-13 against. 

T. Ross and Padres are 7-0 when the money line is +125 to -125 this season and he's 4-0 lifetime against the Reds. 

I'll take Arrieta over rookie pitcher anytime. Also, Phils off consecutive shutouts. 

Wacha tough at home and Cards 16-3 in home games after scoring three runs or less in two straight games.

Mets deflated, Lester a tough customer. Plus, Play Against NL Sunday underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) hitting .255 or less, against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 lower. (78-19, 80.4%, L5Y - 7-1 this season)

Zack Greinke has always been a fantastic home pitcher and is 56-16 as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career (Team's Record) and the past two years he's14-1 as a home favorite of -150 or more. (D-Backs Record) 

Vince Velasquez has been in good form for Philadelphia and Phillies are a sensational 17-6 off a defeat. The Giants will start Andrew Suarez and they have lost six of seven times this season when he's taken the ball. 

Play Against AL home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) scoring 4.2 or fewer runs/game, against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or lower, after a loss by eight runs or more. (46-11, 80.7%, L21Y)

Snakes offense finally coming to life and Miami cannot sore. The Marlins are 11-29 on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 and their bullpen blows. 

The Brewers are playing excellent baseball and have won five of six and eight of 10 and make another trip to Chicago, but this one will be on the South Side. Milwaukee figures to win this series with ease versus the White Sox, but the Brew Crew is a dwindling road fave, down 25 cents to -130.  The Crew's Chase Anderson (4-3, 4.42) has an ERA over 7, which is accounting for the skepticism, with the Sox well-traveled Hector Santiago (1-2, 4.87) having a respectable 3.54 ERA over his last 20+ innings. I cannot get past Milwaukee's 18-10 road record and the Pale Hose at 8-18 at home.

Though the Mets Zack Wheeler (2-4, 5.40 ERA) has hardly been effective, baseball bettors feel vilipend towards the Cubs Tyler Chatwood (3-4, 4.10) has walked 45 batters in just 48+ innings and has been working with coaches to find the proper release point. The total has also been affected by these two hurlers, rising from 8.5 to 9. With New York 33-14 OVER after a loss by four runs or more, I'll back it.

The Tigers have been swinging the lumber on this homestand and against J. Garcia there is no reason to think that cannot continue. Detroit's B. Hardy does not walk batters and Blue Jays are scoring a mere 3.3 RPG in last seven tries. 

Both these NL Central combatants are off division series losses and want to win the opener of their four-game series. St. Louis was released as a -165 home favorite, but has since crumbled to under -135. That is fascinating since Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty (2-1, 2.15 ERA) bested Pittsburgh righty Trevor Williams (5-3, 3.43) last Saturday on the road 4-1. I'm inclined to take the value with the Redbirds with Williams having an ERA over 7 versus the Cards.

Just riding the facts, Texas is 5-17 against the run line after a win this season. M. Moore of the Rangers is 4-11 against the run line in road games after a win the last three seasons. (Team's Record) J. Paxton of the Mariners is  10-3 against the run line after giving up one or less earned runs last outing the last two seasons. (Team's Record) 

The Reds are so bad Arizona has started hitting again. S. Ramano of Cincy is pathetic, while P. Corbin is having a nice year now that he's healthy again. Check this out, the Reds are 3-17 playing with double revenge opponent this season, losing by two runs a game. 

After a sluggish start to his career, Blake Snell is really coming around. With Oakland averaging 1.7 RPG on their last seven games and Tampa Bay  8-2 after three or more consecutive wins this season, I'm on the Rays. 

Mostly betting against J. Samardzija who is 10-26 playing against a team with a winning record the last two seasons. (Giants Record) Also like the groove K. Freeland is in for the Rockies, who are 15-5 against San Fran of late at Coors Field. 

I'm going to trust J. Lester and NL favorites with a money line of -110 or higher hitting .255 to .269, against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or lower, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, are 91-31 since 2014.  

Washington in a good groove and we know how Baltimore is playing. J. Hellickson is throwing really well for the Nats and they are 14-3 road games against right-handed starters this season. 

Big fan of Junis and KC has won seven of his 10 starts and Twins Lynn has been very hittable.

Big Jacob deGrom fan and think the Mets and Braves split today.

Justin Verlander at this price, too good to pass up. Astros win.

Orioles have a big edge in starting pitching and swinging the bats better. 

These rivals are 15-5 OVER at Detroit.

With Strasburg pitching, the Nats should win by at least three runs. 

Similar to last night, a very good starting pitching matchup but the bullpens are a world apart and Houston 15-3 in road games after a win by 8 runs or more the last three seasons. 

I don't trust the Mets Vargas and Milwaukee is simply playing better baseball. New York will face C. Anderson and they are  7-15 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.