Rocketmansports.net - Free Picks from Expert Hanidcappers

Become a Facebook Fan!

Follow Me on Twitter!

College Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-22-18	TCU -135 v. Texas		16-31	Loss	-135	7 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. Texas is coming off an emotional high after beating up on USC, and I think that sets them up for a let down against a far more disciplined TCU team. USC is sloppy, and their young quarterback is prone to making mistakes. TCU is a solid team with a solid coach, coming off a home loss to Ohio State. Since 2014 TCU is 4-0 straight up against Texas, and they won all those games outright. Texas still has a long way to go before they can be expected to compete with the top teams in the Country. I'll take the visitors here. GL, Jesse Schule
09-22-18	Texas A&M +27.5 v. Alabama		23-45	Win	100	101 h 18 m	Show
8*
09-22-18	Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5		43-29	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UGA@MIZZ to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC OVER 50		36-39	Win	100	21 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WAZZU@USC to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Penn State v. Illinois +28		63-24	Loss	-107	12 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Illinois. The question is not whether Penn State beats Illinois on Friday night, but rather will they beat them by more than four TDs. I don't see the Nittany Lions putting all their time and energy into a game on the road on a short week with Ohio State looming next Saturday. This is a classic "look ahead" game and the line looks grossly inflated. History certainly favors the home underdog, in a series where the favorite hasn't been asked to cover more than 14 points in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13.5		36-56	Win	100	48 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Central Florida Knights. The Knights have won 15 straight games, and 11 of those were decided by a double digit margin. They are a complete team with a solid defense to go along with their potent offense. They host the FAU Owls Friday, and Lane Kiffin has this team firing on all cylinders offensively. I am skeptical about this Owls defense though, as they come in giving up roughly 40 points per game. Sure you can't fault them too much for losing by 50 at Oklahoma, but giving up 27 to Air Force and 28 to Bethune-Cookman doesn't inspire much confidence. The Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and I think they are biting off a little more than they can chew here versus UCF. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55		17-31	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TULSA@TEMPLE to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	USC v. Texas UNDER 48		14-37	Loss	-105	81 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on USC@TEX to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Missouri -6 v. Purdue	Top	40-37	Loss	-110	76 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. The Tigers have won eight straight regular season games, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. Three of those wins came on the road, and two of those three wins came by a double digit margin. They lost 35-3 at home to Purdue last year, but this isn't the same team that lost five of it's first six last season. Drew Lock has thrown for 687 yards and eight TDs on 74.3 percent passing so far in 2018, and he led the nation in TD passes last season. Purdue is still trying to figure out who is their starting quarterback, and Elijah Sindelar hasn't inspired a lot of confidence, throwing for just 283 yards with 2 TDs and 3 INTs the first two weeks. Missouri appears to have improved defensively, ranking 20th in total defense after two weeks. I like the revenge angle here, and the Tigers are catching Purdue coming off an ugly home loss to Eastern Michigan. I expect the Tigers to run away with this game. Take MIZZ. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Alabama v. Ole Miss +21.5		62-7	Loss	-105	80 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Mississippi. Alabama has lost just five regular season games over the last six seasons, and two of those losses came against Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide also won a 48-43 thriller at Ole Miss in 2016. The Rebels success against Alabama has mostly been a product of stellar quarterback play. Chad Kelly threw for 421 yards and three TDs in the last meeting, and he was brilliant in the two wins. The Rebels have themselves a new gunslinger in Jordan Ta'amu. The Senior has thrown for 784 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs so far this season. Of course most people are predicting a one-sided win for the visitors, but given such a big number I am taking the dog with history on it's side. The Tide are just 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight at Mississippi. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Hawaii +7 v. Army		21-28	Push	0	125 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors are 3-0, and quarterback Cole MacDonald leads the nation in passing with 1,165 yards, 13 TDs and not a single interception. They were up 14-0 after the first quarter in their win over Navy, and they led 38-14 at halftime in that game. They have gotten off to big starts in all three of their wins, but they have allowed opponents to come back and make it interesting in the second half. They are getting points here on the road at Army this week, and while the travel is a concern, I still think they find enough offense to keep this game close. Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68		7-30	Loss	-107	73 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on FSU@SYR to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-18	Michigan State v. Arizona State +6.5	Top	13-16	Win	100	45 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Michigan State was ranked 11th overall in the AP Poll in Week 1, and they only dropped four spots after a disappointing start to the season. They got the win over Utah State, but needed to rally from behind in the fourth quarter to avoid an upset at the hands of a minnow from the Mountain West. The Spartans played five true road games last season, and only one of those was a win by more than four points. They lost in overtime at Northwestern, and beat Minnesota by just three points. Their trip to Sun Devil Stadium isn't likely going to be a picnic. The Sun Devils were 5-2 at home last year, and two of those wins came against ranked teams. They upset #5 ranked Washington in October, beating the Huskies 13-7. They also beat #24 Oregon in a shootout, 37-35. Senior quarterback Manny Wilkins delivered a flawless performance in a blowout win over UTSA in Week 1, and Herm Edwards might have something cooking here in the desert. The Spartans have covered just twice in their last eight versus the PAC12, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. I'll take the points with the home dog. Take ARZST. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-18	California v. BYU -155		21-18	Loss	-155	108 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars came into the season with pretty low expectations, and they were a double digit underdog at Arizona in Week 1. Not only did they beat Arizona outright, the final score doesn't accurately reflect what a one-sided game it actually was. The Wildcats trailed by 18 points heading into the fourth quarter, and they closed the gap with two TDs in the fourth quarter before eventually losing 28-23. Kahlil Tate was a popular pick to win the Heisman, but Tanner Mangum was the better quarterback, throwing for 209 yards and a TD on 18-of-28 passing. BYU will be at home in Week 2, hosting the Cal Bears. I had Cal last week, and I got a good line (-6.5). It turned out to be pretty significant, as they just barely held on to beat an undermanned North Carolina team 24-17. What looks like a rather unimpressive win on the surface, looks even uglier when you dig a bit deeper. The Bears were the beneficiary of four Tar Heels turnovers. Both teams were 4-of-17 on third down, and North Carolina held a 301-279 edge in total yards. The Bears used three quarterbacks who combined to complete just 50 percent of their passes for a total of just 119 yards. Without a +4 turnover ratio the Bears could have easily lost to a UNC team that was 3-9 last year, and had 13 players serving suspensions. It doesn't bode well as they head out on the road for a game at Provo. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-18	USC v. Stanford -169		3-17	Win	100	107 h 33 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Stanford Cardinal. The USC Trojans gave up 21 points and 405 total yards in a home win over UNLV in Week 1, and that's not going to cut it on the road at Stanford. The Cardinal were far more impressive in a 31-10 win over San Diego State in their season opener. Quarterback K.J. Costello threw for 332 yards and four TDs on 21-of-31 passing against the Aztecs. David Shaw was careful not to overwork Bryce Love in Week 1, the Heisman hopeful had just 18 carries for 29 yards. Love should see the ball early and often against a USC team that has struggled to defend the run. The Trojans have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-18	Wyoming v. Missouri -17		13-40	Win	100	87 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. I was pretty high on this Wyoming defense before the season started, and they still might prove to be one of the top teams in the Mountain West. Their home loss to Washington State last week doesn't give me any reason to think that they can compete with one of the most explosive offensive teams in the SEC, on the road at Missouri this week. The Tigers scored 51 points in a blowout win over UT Martin in Week 1, and they averaged over 50 points per game during a six game winning streak at the end of last season. Drew Lock threw for 289 yards and four TDs on 19-of-25 passing before the Tigers pulled their starters. Lock led the country with 44 TD passes last season, and he's likely to cause all sorts of problems for Wyoming. The Cowboys biggest problem appears to be their offense, with quarterback Tyler Vander Waal throwing for a measly 67 yards and an INT on 8-of-20 passing. If they can't move the ball, their defense won't stand a chance. Take MIZZ. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-18	TCU -22 v. SMU		42-12	Win	100	14 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TCU. The SMU Mustangs might consider this a rivalry game, but they have lost their last five games versus TCU by an average margin of more than 31 points. This year's game looks as lopsided as ever, and another blowout seems inevitable. The Mustangs fell behind 36-0 after three quarters in their season opener versus North Texas, before scoring three meaningless TDs in garbage time. It wasn't the fact that they lost by 23 points as a 3.5 point underdog that was the biggest point of concern, it's the fact that their offensive line got just run over by a freight train. Their quarterback was sacked nine times in the season opener. It won't get any easier against one of the top defenses in the BIG12. TCU should terrorize the Mustangs early, and this game should be over by halftime. Take TCU. GL, Jesse Schule
09-03-18	Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State	Top	24-3	Win	100	17 h 16 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Virginia Tech. The Willie Taggart era begins in Tallahassee tonight when the Seminoles host Virginia Tech. The Hokies are a significant underdog in this spot, and I like their chances of hanging with this new look Florida State team. While DeAndre Francios returns at quarterback, it will be his first game running the Gulf Coast Offense. There could be a few hiccups along the way. Justin Fuente has the advantage of bringing back Josh Jackson at quarterback, and he was outstanding in his freshman year throwing for 2,991 yards, 20 TDs and nine INTs, completing roughly 60 percent of his passes. The Seminoles have failed to cover in eight consecutive non-conference games, and I think it's asking a lot for them to beat the Hokies by more than a TD. FSU has won three of the last five meetings straight up, but the Hokies have covered the spread in three of the last four head to head meetings. Take VT. GL, Jesse Schule
09-02-18	Miami-FL -153 v. LSU		17-33	Loss	-153	10 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes started last season 10-0 before losing their final three games. Two of those losses came against #1 ranked Clemson and #6 ranked Wisconsin. The Canes figure to be a playoff contender again this season, with 5th year Senior Malik Rosier back at quarterback, and an offense loaded with talented athletes. Miami's most impressive win last season came at home against Notre Dame by a score of 41-8. The Turnover Chain came out four times that day, and I would be surprised if we don't see it in action here in tonight's game versus LSU. The Tigers offense is going to look a lot different without Leonard Fournette and Derrius Guice. They are going with graduate transfer Joe Burrow at quarterback, and tonight will be his first collegiate start. I am banking on Mark Richt to have his team better prepared for this matchup than Ed Orgeron. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Navy -10 v. Hawaii		41-59	Loss	-106	31 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Navy Midshipmen. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were originally a 17-point home underdog in this matchup versus Navy, but after a big upset over Colorado State in their season opener, the line was bet down by a TD. I think this knee jerk reaction is an over-correction, and that has since been further evidenced by Colorado State suffering another blowout loss at the hands of Colorado. Navy ran for 452 yards and seven TDs in a 49-7 win over Virginia in the Military Bowl last season, and their offense is expected to be even more dynamic with Malcom Perry taking over at quarterback this season. While the "run and shoot" was effective for Hawaii against a brutal CSU defense, I expect Hawaii's offense to be on the sidelines for the majority of this game, watching the Midshipmen run up and down, burning up the clock. Take NAVY. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Michigan -125 v. Notre Dame	Top	17-24	Loss	-125	1478 h 31 m	Show
This is a 10* GOY play on the Michigan Wolverines. The Irish won 10 games last year, including three wins against ranked teams (USC, NC State and LSU). Most of their success came because of their power running game, with Josh Adams running behind a stacked offensive line. Adams is gone, as are Quenton Nelson and Mike McGlinchey. They will need Brandon Wimbush to step up this season, and he draws a tough assignment in Week 1. Michigan's defense ranked #1 in the nation against the pass last season, and #3 overall in total defense. They bring back almost everybody, and this should be the most talented squad that Harbaugh has had in Ann Arbor. An upgrade at quarterback might make Michigan a true playoff contender. Shea Patterson threw for 2,259 yards and 17 TDs in just seven starts for Ole Miss last season. He's easily the most talented quarterback that Harbaugh has had to work with since returning to the college game. I think this is a case of Michigan being the better team, with a better defense, a better quarterback, a better coach and superior talent. Needless to say, I am expecting it to be a blowout. Something similar to when the Irish lost 41-8 at Miami last year. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	North Carolina v. California -7		17-24	Push	0	100 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on California. The Tar Heels have just a dozen starters returning from last season's 3-9 squad, and 13 players will be serving suspensions early in the season for NCAA rules violations. That will leave North Carolina undermanned here on the road against a Golden Bears team that beat them on their home field in 2017. California is in good shape at quarterback with Ross Bowers returning. He had one of his best games last season against the Tar Heels, throwing for 363 yards and four TDs on 24-of-38 passing in a 25-20 win at Chapel Hill. North Carolina was brutal defending the run last year, and it's doubtful that they can completely turn things around here in Week 1. This has all the markings of a double digit win for the home team. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5		16-21	Win	100	24 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WAS@AUB to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48		7-33	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NIU@IOWA to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-18	Colorado State v. Colorado -7		13-45	Win	100	7 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat. Losses to UCLA and Arizona each came by less than five points. They shouldn't have much trouble mopping the floor with this Rams team that is still trying to sort out new personnel. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
08-30-18	New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47		10-48	Loss	-110	14 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on NMST@MINN to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
08-25-18	Wyoming -170 v. New Mexico State		29-7	Win	100	68 h 49 m	Show
This is a 5* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys lost Josh Allen to the NFL draft, but they bring back eight starters on a defense that led the nation in takeaways last year. They have experience on the offensive line and at wide receiver, and this should be one of the best teams in the Mountain West. The Aggies are coming off a miraculous season finishing with six wins and then defeating Utah State in the Arizona Bowl by a score of 26-20 in overtime. They may be hard pressed to maintain that success this season, having lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and top wide receiver. A New look offense is likely to struggle in Week 1 against the best defense in the Group of Five. The Aggies first win of last season came by a score of 30-28 versus New Mexico, a team that lost 42-3 to Wyoming. Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule
01-08-18	Alabama -170 v. Georgia	Top	26-23	Win	100	105 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Alabama's loss to Auburn was in a way the best thing that could have happened to Nick Saban's squad. At the time they were banged up, and they weren't playing well. If they had to play Georgia back in December, they might not have survived. Instead, they were given more time to rest and prepare than all the other teams that played conference championship games. Fair? Not at all! The Alabama team that beat Clemson last week isn't the same team that lost to Auburn in December. That's bad news for the Bulldogs, who's defense was shredded by the Sooners in the Rose Bowl. Oklahoma ran for 242 yards on 45 attempts, and the Bulldogs gave up a total of 531 yards. Georgia was extremely lucky to come back and win in overtime, but I don't think the Bulldogs will be so fortunate against Bama. Alabama has won the last three meetings between the two schools dating back to 2008, and two of those wins came by a double digit margin. If Alabama plays the way they played in the Sugar Bowl, this game isn't going to be close. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-18	Alabama v. Clemson +2	Top	24-6	Loss	-110	658 h 28 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. The Alabama Crimson Tide were a controversial addition to the College Football Playoff, after they lost to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. They didn't even play in the SEC Championship Game, and still the public is branding them the team to beat. The fact is that the Tigers are the defending champs, beating a better version of Alabama last year. All the talk of Alabama's top ranked defense is a little bit misleading, given that their strength of schedule is questionable at best. The Tigers finished the season strong with six straight wins, five of those coming by double digits. Jalen Hurts completed just 13-of-31 passes for 131 yards and a TD in last year's Championship Game, and this year's Clemson defense looks even stronger than it did a year ago. Both teams played Auburn, and the Tigers racked up over 400 yards versus Alabama, and just 117 total yards against Clemson. Can you imagine that? One Hundred Seventeen TOTAL YARDS? I think Alabama is living off it's reputation from decades gone by, because based on the play of both these teams this season, it's Clemson that should be the favorite. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-18	Georgia v. Oklahoma +2	Top	54-48	Loss	-110	534 h 19 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners are an underdog in the Sugar Bowl, and I think the bookmakers have this game all wrong. Baker Mayfield is by far the best quarterback in the country, and he's led the Sooners to wins at Ohio State, Oklahoma State and twice against TCU. There is some talk that the Sooners defense is a weakness, but this appears to be a favorable matchup against a one-dimensional Georgia Team. The Sooners rank 107th nationally against the pass, but they are far better (53rd) against the run. They held TCU to just 83 yards rushing in the BIG12 Championship Game, and they allowed 167 yards and a TD on 34 carries in their win at Ohio State. The Bulldogs have a freshman at quarterback, and there will be a ton of pressure on Jake Fromm here in this game. The Georgia defense hasn't faced an elite quarterback all year, playing in a top heavy SEC that only has a handful of decent teams. The SEC has had a poor showing in the bowl games far, losing three of four. I like Oklahoma to roll in the Rose Bowl. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-18	LSU -153 v. Notre Dame		17-21	Loss	-153	5 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LSU Tigers. The Tigers and the Irish are trending in opposite directions. LSU finished the season strong, winning six of their final seven games, and scoring an average of 36 points in their final three games. Danny Etling threw for a career high 347 yards and three TDs in a 45-21 win over Texas A&M in the final game of the season. He threw for nine TDs and just one INT in his last seven starts. Darius Guice also finished strong, running for 127 yards and a TD on 28 carries against the Aggies, after busting loose for 276 yards and a TD on 22 carries in a win over the Rebels a few weeks earlier. The Irish lost two of their last three games, to Miami and Stanford. The loss to Miami was particularly disturbing, as Brandon Wimbush threw a pair of INTs while ranking up just 119 yards and a TD on 10-of-21 passing. They turned the ball over four times against the opportunistic Canes defense, and it won't get any easier against the Tigers today. The Irish have failed to cover in four of their last five bowl games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four against a team with a winning record. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Washington v. Penn State -120		28-35	Win	100	9 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions. Both the Huskies and the Nittany Lions lost two games this season, but you can't really fault Penn State for losing on the road by a single point to the eventual BIG10 champs, and losing by three points in bad weather at East Lansing a week later. The Huskies on the other hand were heavy favorites against Stanford and Arizona State, and those are games they you need to win if you expect to contend for the playoffs. As much as I like Washington, I can't ignore the fact that their strength of schedule simply doesn't compare to any of the top teams in the BIG10. Nine of Washington's 10 wins came against unranked teams, and only one of their seven wins in conference play came against a team that finished the regular season with a winning record. The Nittany Lions played a far tougher schedule, and they were in every single game they played. Nobody was able to stop them from scoring at least 20 points, and Saquon Barkley was in the Heisman conversation all year. Barkley scored seven TDs in his last three starts, and I think he's going to have a big game against this top ranked Washington run defense. While Washington allowed fewer rushing yards per game than any other team in the country (92.3/game), they couldn't stop Bryce Love from slashing for 166 yards and three TDs in Stanford's 30-22 win that eliminated the Huskies from the playoffs. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	602 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ISU@MEM to go OVER the total. The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Louisville -6.5 v. Mississippi State		27-31	Loss	-115	405 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. Just one year removed from being a playoff contender with a Heisman Trophy winner at quarterback, Louisville finished the season unranked with an 8-4 overall record. The offense didn't change much, and some would argue that Lamar Jackson's 2017 season was just as impressive as his 2016 Heisman campaign. It was their defense that suffered a big drop off, ranking 77th nationally against the pass. They will face the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the Tax Slayer Bowl, and the Bulldogs will be without star quarterback Nick Fitzgerald and head coach Dan Mullen. Mississippi State lost it's season finale at home to Ole Miss, and freshman quarterback Keytaon Thompson threw for 195 yards with a TD and an INT while completing just 48 percent of his pass attempts. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five versus ACC teams, and they will have their hands full trying to stop Lamar Jackson here. I'll take the team with the superior quarterback. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-29-17	Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -149		52-55	Win	100	10 h 58 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Wake Forest will face Texas A&M in the Belk Bowl, in what is close to a home game in Charlotte. The Aggies will come into this game with an interim head coach, after firing Kevin Sumlin and hiring Jimbo Fisher. The Aggies led the SEC in sacks this year, so they are hoping that their pass rush can help make up for a huge disadvantage at the quarterback position. John Wolford threw for 2,792 yards with 25 TDs and six INTs while playing in 11 games this year. He faced a tough pass rush when the Deacons beat NC State at home by a score of 30-24, and he completed 68 percent of his passes for 247 yards, three TDs and one INT in that game. Freshman Nick Starkel took over at quarterback for the Aggies late in the season, throwing for 1,294 yards with 10 TDs and five INTs while playing in six games. Wake Forest has covered the spread in four straight bowl games, while Texas A&M has failed to cover in five straight versus teams from the ACC. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-17	Michigan State v. Washington State -135		42-17	Loss	-135	366 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Cougars have to feel good about themselves heading into their bowl game. They won nine games in the PAC12 and that included a signature win over #5 ranked USC back in September. Their starting quarterback Luke Falk is the PAC12's all time leading passer, which is quite an accomplishment when you consider that this is a conference that has produced several NFL Hall of Fame quarterbacks. The quarterback position is not a strength for Michigan State, as Brian Lewerke threw for just 17 TDs and 7 INTs this season. He had just one TD pass and two INTs in the Spartans last three games. While Washington State isn't known for it's defense, the Cougars made strides in that department this year. They boast the PAC12's top defense against the pass. The Spartans have been a bad bet in non-conference play, going 3-8 ATS in their last 11. They have also failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams from the PAC12. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-17	Stanford v. TCU -140		37-39	Win	100	248 h 10 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. TCU finished second in the BIG12, losing to Oklahoma in the conference championship game. They boast the nation's 12th ranked defense, holding opponents to just 17.6 points per game. The last time the Horned Frogs played a PAC12 team in the Alamo Bowl, they rallied to beat the Oregon Ducks 47-41 in overtime, after trailing 31-0 at halftime. The Horned Frogs appear to have the edge at quarterback, with Kenny Hill who threw for 2,838 yards with 26 TDs and just six INTs on better than 67 percent passing. The Cardinal will turn to sophomore K.J. Costello who played well down the stretch. Stanford is a team that relies heavily on it's run game, and star running back Bryce Love. They will be in big trouble if they can't run the ball on TCU's #4 ranked run defense. Only Washington, Alabama and Wisconsin allowed fewer rushing yards per game than TCU. The Horned Frogs are going for a third consecutive win over Stanford. Take TCU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-17	Virginia Tech v. Oklahoma State -4.5		21-30	Win	100	362 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Oklahoma State was the highest scoring Power Five team in the country during the regular season, winning nine of 12 games overall. They will play Virginia Tech in the Camping World Bowl, and the Hokies offense struggled in the second half of the season. Virginia Tech was 5-3 in the ACC, but had only one win over a team with a winning record. That was a 23-10 win at Boston College. The Hokies starting quarterback failed to throw for 200 yards in three of his last four regular season starts, and he threw for just 2 TDs and four INTs during that span. On the surface of things, their defense was impressive ranking 5th nationally allowing just 13.5 points per game. When you take a closer look at their strength of schedule though, you see that those numbers are a product of playing a handful of cupcakes. They beat Old Dominion by a score of 38-0, and won 27-0 at home to Delaware. The Cowboys are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, and they are "all systems go" heading into their bowl game. The Hokies will be without leading receiver Cam Phillips. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-27-17	Missouri -145 v. Texas		16-33	Loss	-145	20 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. The Tigers were perhaps the hottest team in the country during the second half of the season. They won their final seven games, and averaged an incredible 51 points per game during that span. Granted they were playing some of the weaker teams in the SEC, but their wins over Tennessee and Florida were the highest point totals conceded by those teams. They score more points on Tennessee than the Crimson Tide, and they scored more points against Florida than the Georgia Bulldogs. Junior quarterback Drew Lock has thrown for 26 TDs and five picks in his last six starts. He's looking to make a big impression on NFL scouts here in the Texas Bowl. The offensively challenged Texas Longhorns ranked 65th nationally in scoring, despite playing in a conference known for offense (BIG12). Texas is still looking for answers at the quarterback position, as fresham Sam Ehlinger and sophomore Shane Buechele combined to throw for just 16 TDs and 13 INTs. Whoever starts at quarterback for Texas is going to be missing a lot of weapons. Chris Warren had a team high six rushing TDs, but has since transferred. The Horns were already going to be missing more than a dozen key players on both sides of the ball, and then announced Friday that three more starters would be suspended for the bowl game for violating team rules. I like Missouri to win big here in Texas. Take MIZZ. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Northern Illinois v. Duke -5.5		14-36	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils. The Duke Blue Devils finished the season with back to back impressive wins over Georgia Tech and Wake Forest. They finished the season just 6-6 in the tough ACC, losing close games to the likes of Florida State, Virginia and Pittsburgh. The Huskies won eight games, but most of those came against weaker teams in the MAC. They lost to Central Michigan in their season finale, and quarterback Marcus Childers threw for just 128 yards, a TD and two INTs on 20-of-36 passing in that game. The freshman only threw for 333 total yards in his last three starts. The Huskies are a team that relies heavily on their running game, and they will miss leading rusher Jordan Huff. The Huskies have failed to cover in four straight bowl games, and Duke is 19-6-1 ATS in it's last 26 non-conference games. Take Duke GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5		30-14	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on UTAH@WVU to go UNDER the total. Utah has one of the best offensive lines in the PAC12, and they are a team that really likes to lean on the run. They run the ball roughly 40 times per game, and Dana Holgorsen knows what to expect. "Their O-line is huge," Holgorsen said. "Evidently, they are focused on recruiting the bigger guys up front." The Mountaineers will start backup quarterback Chris Chugunov, who completed just over 50 percent of his passes in back to back losses since the injury to Will Grier. West Virginia ran the ball 50 times and attempted just 20 passes in their season finale versus Oklahoma. With both these teams looking to establish the run, we could seem them burn up a lot of clock in a low scoring game. In addition to the loss of their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers will also be without their leading rusher. Justin Crawford has decided to sit out the bowl game in preparation for the NFL Draft. The Mountaineers have failed to cover in four straight bowl games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5		34-38	Win	100	12 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total. The South Florida Bulls will be the favorite against Texas Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. South Florida won their first seven games of the season, but then suffered losses to Houston and Central Florida finishing at 9-2 overall. In their season finale at Central Florida, they lost in a thriller by a score of 49-42. We could see another high scoring game here against Texas Tech, the Red Raiders can really put points on the board. Texas Tech lost by a score of 56-27 to LSU in the Texas Bowl in 2015. The over is 7-1 in the Red Raiders last eight bowl games. They have also gone over in 14 of their last 17 neutral site games, and the over is 19-9 in their last 28 non conference games. The Bulls have also been involved in more than their fair share of high scoring games, going over in seven of their last 10 non-conference games. Both these teams can put points on the board in a hurry, and neither team has shown any ability to play defense. Expect an entertaining game here in Alabama. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45	Top	14-37	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CMU@WYO to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	Louisiana Tech v. SMU -180		51-10	Loss	-180	12 h 31 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the SMU Mustangs. The LA-Tech Bulldogs come into the Frisco Bowl looking for a fourth consecutive bowl game victory. While they have won their bowl game in each of the last three seasons, they had won eight regular season games in each of the last three years. This season they won just six games, and when you examine the quality of those wins, it doesn't inspire much confidence. Their first win came against an FCS team (Northwestern State). Four of their next five wins came against teams with a losing record, including the 0-12 UTEP Miners. SMU had five losses, but three of those losses came against Top 25 teams. They scored their share of points in those losses as well, totaling 36 at TCU, scoring 45 at Memphis and 40 at Navy. There's not much reason to be skeptical about the Mustangs Top 10 ranked offense, with quarterback Ben Hicks who threw for 3,422 yards, 32 TDs and nine INTs. I don't like betting on teams that come into a bowl game with a coaching staff in transition, but the fact that Sonny Dykes will be calling the plays makes me feel a bit better about backing SMU. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in six of their last eight versus teams with a winning record, while the Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games. Take SMU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5	Top	28-38	Win	100	75 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. The Oregon Ducks will face the Boise State Broncos in the Las Vegas Bowl this Saturday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring. The Ducks are in great shape with starting quarterback Justin Herbert, who was 6-1 in his seven starts this season. He threw for 1,750 yards with 13 TDs and 3 INTs in those games, completing 66.5% of his passes. All seven of those games saw more than 60 combined points. The Ducks should have little trouble lighting up the scoreboard against a Boise State team that gave up 45 points to Washington State, 52 points to Colorado State, and 42 points to Virginia. The Broncos are expected to be without their #1 running back Alex Mattison, which could result in a more pass heavy offensive approach. The Ducks lost their last bowl game in overtime by a score of 47-41 to TCU in the 2016 Alamo Bowl. We should see a similar high scoring affair here in Sin City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Army v. Navy OVER 45	Top	14-13	Loss	-110	9 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go OVER the total. Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7	Top	27-21	Win	100	58 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Ohio State Buckeyes are asked to cover a seven point spread in the BIG10 Championship game against undefeated Wisconsin. The Badgers haven't been getting a lot of love, because most people believe they've had a soft schedule. While that might be true, the reality is that when they've played the better teams in the BIG10, they have dominated. Both teams have played Indiana, Iowa and Michigan. The Buckeyes were losing at Indiana until midway through the third quarter, before scoring 28 unanswered points to win 49-21. The Badgers beat Indiana by a score of 45-17, and led for the majority of the game. Of course the Buckeyes were blown out in a 55-24 loss at Iowa, while the Badgers went into Iowa and won 38-14. Ohio State went down 14-0 early in last week's win at Michigan, but rallied in the second half to win 31-20. The Badgers 24-10 win over Michigan was even more one-sided than the score would indicate. I don't think this year's Ohio State team is as good as it was a year ago, and they needed overtime to beat the Badgers 30-23 last season. A lot of people will remember that two years ago the Buckeyes beat the Badgers 59-0 with Cardale Jones at quarterback in 2015. Aside from that game, over the last five seasons each game in this series has been decided by seven points or less. The underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and I'll take the points here with the undefeated badgers. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Georgia +3 v. Auburn		28-7	Win	100	54 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Auburn Tigers have had an impressive run, winning five straight, and beating a pair of #1 ranked teams in the process. You have to wonder how much they have left in the tank, coming off a gritty battle at home against Alabama. As dominant as Auburn was in a home win over Georgia a few weeks ago, this is a completely different situation. Playing in the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta, the Bulldogs should be far better than they were the last time these two teams met. They out-gained Georgia Tech 471-226 in Atlanta last week, and Nick Chubb and Sony Michel each had a relatively light workload. The Tigers are already missing one of their top backs with Kamryn Pettway sidelined by a shoulder injury. Now Kerryon Johnson is dealing with a shoulder injury, and his status is up in the air. He's officially listed as a game time decision. It is well documented that SEC teams often struggle in the following week coming off a game against Alabama, and I expect that to be a factor here. Georgia was a favorite the last time these teams played, and despite being healthier at a far more favorable venue, they are the underdog here in the rematch. I'll take the dog. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	TCU v. Oklahoma -6.5		17-41	Win	100	132 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners have steamrolled everyone in the BIG12 this season, and they beat TCU 38-20 at home a few weeks ago. That game was an even bigger blowout than it looks, as the Sooners scored all of their points in the first half. The second half was just garbage time with TCU getting a single TD. Baker Mayfield threw for 333 yards and three TDs, while the Sooners racked up 200 rushing yards and a pair of TDs on the ground. While this won't be a home game for the Sooners, the change of venue isn't likely to matter. This is an Oklahoma team that has won by double digits at Ohio State and Oklahoma State. The Horned Frogs suffered a key injury in the loss at Oklahoma, losing leading rusher Darius Anderson for the remainder of the season. TCU didn't look too impressive in their final home game against Baylor, they led by just two points at halftime, and gave up almost 400 total yards. TCU has failed to cover in eight of it's last 10 neutral site games, while Oklahoma is 16-5 ATS in it's last 21 games versus teams with a winning record. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Memphis v. Central Florida -7		55-62	Push	0	13 h 52 m	Show
Memphis vs UCF Free Pick December 2, 2017. The Memphis Tigers and the Central Florida Knights rank 4th and 1st nationally in scoring offense. Both teams average well over 40 points per game, so it's no surprise that the bookmakers are expecting a high scoring game here. The total opened at 81, and was quickly bet up as high as 85. The last time these teams met, the Knights held Memphis to just 13 points. They out-gained the Tigers by more than 200 yards, and forced four turnovers. UCF is asked to cover a seven point spread, but that's only one TD in a game that is expected to have as many as a dozen TDs scored. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2005. Central Florida won all 10 of those games, and covered in all five home games during that span. Four of the last five meetings have gone under, with the exception being a 35-17 Central Florida win in 2012. The Tigers hopes rest solely on quarterback Riley Ferguson, who threw three INTs the last time he played at Central Florida. The Knights are a well rounded team that can run, pass and play defense. I'll take the home favorite here in Orlando. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56	Top	20-38	Loss	-110	117 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ND@STAN to go UNDER the total. The Stanford Cardinal might be scoreboard watching on Saturday night, as the final score between Washington State and Washington is far more important than the result of their game against the Irish. Both Notre Dame and Stanford are coming off low scoring games, with Stanford beating Cal 17-14, and Notre Dame beating Army by a score of 24-17. The Cardinal have struggled to score since Bryce Love injured his ankle, and the last thing they want to do is give him a heavy workload here against Notre Dame. With a probable meeting against USC in the PAC12 Championship game looming large, it's likely that Love is used sparingly here this week. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, with the under cashing in six of the last seven meetings. Stanford has been playing far better defense in recent weeks, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall. They were impressive in a home win over Washington, holding the Huskies to just 135 rushing yards. Notre Dame has been involved in some high scoring games this season, but the Irish have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when playing on grass. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Washington State +10.5 v. Washington	Top	14-41	Loss	-110	66 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. This is as good as a Washington State team that I have seen in the Mike Leach era, and the Cougars have a chance to punch their ticket to the PAC12 Championship Game with a win this week. Standing in their way is rival Washington, and the Huskies laid a beating on them in last year's Apple Cup. Things have changed though, and this year the Huskies are already eliminated from advancing to the conference championship game. The Huskies offense has struggled the last few weeks, losing 30-22 at Stanford and hanging on to beat Utah 33-30 at home last week. Senior quarterback Luke Falk is coming off back to back games with 300+ yards and three TDs. Huskies coach Chris Peterson acknowledges that it's going to be tough to stop the PAC12's leading passer: "Of course Luke Falk has been in that system forever," Petersen said. "I mean, is he ever going to graduate? He's been there forever. He knows that system inside and out. "I think he looks better. He looks more comfortable. He has a great feel for when the rush is coming, he'll get it out and when it's not, he'll hang onto the ball and let his guys work. There's a reason that they are where they are right now and what they're playing for." The Cougars have already proved that they can compete with the big boys, beating USC at home in September. I like their chances of keeping this game close, with so much at stake. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -115		42-24	Loss	-115	9 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. Both Vanderbilt and Tennessee have struggled this season, and neither team has a win in the SEC. The Vols have at least been involved in a few close games that they had a chance to win. Losing to South Carolina, Florida and Kentucky by six points or less. The Commodores have been blown out by 20+ points in four of their last five losses. Vanderbilt has given up more points, and has been a complete disaster offensively. Starting quarterback Kyle Shurmur has thrown seven INTs in his last two starts. The Vols aren't exactly lighting it up on offense either, but at least freshman Jarrett Guarantano has done a good job protecting the football. He's only been picked off despite appearing in eight games, and throwing for 814 yards and two TDs while completing over 60 percent of his passes. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings in this series, and the Commodores haven't covered in any of their seven SEC games this year. I like the Vols to get a feel good win in front of the home fans. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67		31-59	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total. The Sooners have scored an averaged of 46.4 points in their last five overall, and they should light up the scoreboard today at home against West Virginia. The Mountaineers haven't got much to play for here, and they will start a freshman at quarterback. Chris Chugunov didn't look too bad against Texas, throwing for 189 yards and a TD on 14-of-26 passing. Baker Mayfield will start this game on the bench, but he's not going to be watching for long. Oklahoma still needs to win this game to keep it's playoff hopes on track. The Mountaineers have struggled against elite quarterbacks this season, giving up 50 points in a home loss to Oklahoma State and Mason Rudolph, and Texas Tech quarterback Nick Shimonek threw for 323 yards and four TDs in a losing effort in Morgantown. The Red Raiders scored 28 points in the first half of that game, but West Virginia rallied to win 46-35. I expect a similar score here against the Sooners in Norman. Oklahoma has out-scored the Mountaineers 100-52 while winning the last two meetings between the two teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5		14-26	Loss	-110	105 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ALA@AUB to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Alabama v. Auburn +5		14-26	Win	100	100 h 44 m	Show
Alabama vs Auburn Free Pick November 25, 2017. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnurable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebacks in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. My money is on the home team plus money. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-17	Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5		31-20	Loss	-110	96 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OSU@MICH to go UNDER the total. The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5		10-0	Loss	-125	79 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Virginia. I bet against the Hokies in their loss to Georgia Tech, and here is what I said before the game: "The Virginia Tech Hokies were exposed in a 28-10 loss to Miami last week. Most had expected them to give the Hurricanes a tougher game, but looking back on it, perhaps it's not such a surprise. The Hokies have enjoyed a pretty soft schedule, and their signature win came against a West Virginia team that ranks 89th nationally in scoring defense." They have since won 20-14 at home against Pittsburgh, failing to cover as a 14 point favorite. The Hokies have won all 10 meetings in this rivalry with Virginia dating back to 2007, but most of those games were close. They won by a score of 23-20 in their last game at Virginia, and two of the last three meetings between the two teams have been decided by four points or less. The Hokies 8-3 overall record appears far better than Virginia's 6-5 record, but the Cavs have just one fewer win in conference play (4-3 vs 3-4). Senior quarterback Kurt Benkert has had a hell of a season for Virginia, throwing for just shy of 3,000 yards with 25 TDs and eight INTs. He threw for 384 yards and four TDs against Miami last week. If Benkert puts up those kind of numbers against the Hokies, the Cavs could win this game outright. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70		48-45	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIZZ@ARK to go OVER the total. I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5		31-28	Win	100	69 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Missouri -8 v. Vanderbilt		45-17	Win	100	105 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier. Vanderbilt has struggled to stop anybody, losing 44-21 to Kentucky at home last week. They are 0-6 in the SEC, and they rank 91st in the country in scoring defense. Not only has Vanderbilt lost all six of it's games in conference play, they failed to cover in all of those games as well. They are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, and I just don't think their defense has enough playmakers to slow down Drew Lock and this explosive Missouri Offense. Take MIZZ. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	UCLA v. USC -16		23-28	Loss	-110	92 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the USC Trojans. The Trojans have put an ugly loss to Notre Dame behind them, and after three straight double-digit wins, they have emerged as the favorite to win the PAC12. The play their final game of the season at home against UCLA, and I am expecting this to be a blowout of epic proportions. How bad is the Bruins defense? Well the Trojans might just want to give their punter the day off. UCLA ranks 123rd nationally in scoring defense, and they have been particularly bad on the road. They have lost all five road games, surrendering an average of 49 points in those games. Last week they managed to come back and beat Arizona State, despite getting out-gained 584-573. Josh Rosen came back after sitting out the loss to Utah with a concussion, but his performance was rather pedestrian. He threw for 381 yards with a TD and an INT on 25-of-45 passing. Sam Darnold is heating up, coming into this game with seven TD passes and just one INT in his last three starts. I expect Darnold to light up this brutal UCLA secondary. The Trojans should win this game by 20+. Take USC. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5		24-30	Win	100	102 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NCST@WAKE to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack suffered their first loss in conference play at the hands of defending champions Clemson two weeks ago, and responded with a dominant 14-7 win at Boston College last week. Their defense has been impressive, holding opponents to just over 15 points per game in seven games versus unranked teams. Wake Forest has been involved in some high scoring games lately, going over the total against Notre Dame, Louisville and Syracuse. When playing teams with more of a pro style, they have seen lower scores. In fact they didn't see a combined 60 points in any of their first seven games this season. They failed to score 20 points in losses to Georgia Tech and Florida State, and the Wolfpack's defense is statistically better than both those teams. These two teams have gone over in each of the last three head to head meetings, but not one of those games saw a combined 60 points. This inflated total is higher than it was in any of the past 10 meetings between the two teams. My money is on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74	Top	28-48	Win	100	85 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ARI@ORE to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57		44-56	Loss	-135	88 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total. The Nittany Lions got off to a slow start in last week's 35-6 home win over Rutgers, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this week against Nebraska. These two teams haven't met since Nebraska won at Penn State by a score of 23-20 in 2013. The Huskers have won all three meetings since 2011, and two of those three games went under the total. The one game that went over the number still saw less than 55 combined points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. All of those games were played in November, so weather may have been a factor. The weather is likely to play a role in this game, as heavy winds and rain are in the forecast. In fact, if you look at Penn State's last 10 games, only two of those combined for as many points as the total for this week's game. One of those games was the loss at Ohio State. This number appears to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65		45-40	Win	100	88 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on KSU@OKST to go OVER the total. The Oklahoma State Cowboys rank second nationally scoring over 45 points per game, but they have struggled on defense. They lost their last home game by a score of 62-52 to Oklahoma, and they have up 42 points in last week's come from behind win at Iowa State. The Wildcats aren't known as a particularly high scoring team, but they have shown that they can take advantage of weak defenses. Kansas State scored 30+ points in wins over Baylor, Kansas and Texas Tech. That likely won't be enough to hang with the Cowboys in Stillwater though. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring here, as these two teams have gone over in six straight meetings. Last year the Cowboys won by a score of 43-37. The Cowboys have gone over in nine of their last 10 games in November, and four of their last five overall. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between KSU and Oklahoma State, yet the total for this game is lower than it was in each of the Cowboy's last five home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67		37-44	Win	100	21 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ARZST@UCLA to go OVER the total. With over 2700 passing yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs, Josh Rosen is still one of the top quarterbacks in the country. The "Rosen" one was sidelined by a concussion against Utah last week, but he's expected back to face the Sun Devils at home. Arizona State's defense ranks 105th nationally against the pass, so Rosen and the UCLA offense could have a field day here at home. Unfortunately for the Bruins, their defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 121st nationally in total defense, allowing opponents to average almost 500 yards per game. The Bruins have gone over in seven of their last nine overall, and these two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect another shootout here in LA, and the total looks a little to low given how poorly these two teams have played on defense. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5	Top	8-41	Win	100	107 h 37 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ND@MIA to go UNDER the total. The Miami Hurricanes are 8-0, but there are still plenty of experts questioning if this team is truly a contender. We will find out this Saturday when they host Notre Dame, in what will be the biggest game of the week. The winner will have a clear path to the College Football Playoffs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated from playoff contention. With two great teams playing for such high stakes, we should see a great battle between two of the country's best defenses. The Canes held Virginia Tech to just 10 points, and 299 total yards in a 28-10 win last week. The Irish have played ranked teams just twice this season, and both of those games went under the total. They lost 20-19 at home to Georgia, and beat NC State 35-14 at home. Their win at Michigan State came before the Spartans were ranked in the Top 25. While that game went over the total (38-18), the combined points still fall short of the listed number for this game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined total higher than 57 points. The Hurricanes have gone under in five of their last six home games, while the Irish have failed to reach the total in 25 of their last 37 versus ACC teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51		31-24	Win	100	102 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ALA@MISST to go OVER the total. The Bulldogs have won four straight, but last week's 34-23 home win over Massachusetts was far from impressive. We've already seen the top teams in the SEC (Georgia and Auburn) run all over the Bulldogs, and I think Alabama is going to pile on the points here in Starkville. Last year the Bulldogs were crushed in a 51-3 loss at Alabama, and Jalen Hurts threw for 347 yards and four TDs in that game. Here at home I expect the Bulldogs to score a little more, but I don't think they'll have any more success slowing down the Alabama offense. Last week's win over LSU proved to be costly for Alabama, losing several key defensive players to injury. With the defense a little banged up, they might feel as though they need to score more points. The over is 6-2 in Alabama's last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This total looks a little too low. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Iowa +12.5 v. Wisconsin		14-38	Loss	-110	98 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Who would have guessed that Iowa could knock off Ohio State as an 18-point underdog? I guess I can't say I was surprised, as I had Iowa in that game. Here is what I had to say prior to kickoff: "Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less" I also made note of the fact that Iowa had a history of playing tight games against the Buckeyes: "They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings." It's a similar story when the Hawkeyes have played Wisconsin, with five of the last six meetings being decided by 10 points or less. Four of the last five games in this series have been decided by a single possession, and the road team has won outright in six straight. Iowa last played at Wisconsin in 2015, winning by a score of 10-6. It's a tough ask to expect Wisconsin to cover a double digit spread here. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +3		22-28	Win	100	95 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Virginia Tech Hokies were exposed in a 28-10 loss to Miami last week. Most had expected them to give the Hurricanes a tougher game, but looking back on it, perhaps it's not such a surprise. The Hokies have enjoyed a pretty soft schedule, and their signature win came against a West Virginia team that ranks 89th nationally in scoring defense. The public hasn't given up on the Hokies though, as they come into Atlanta as a road favorite versus Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 4-4, but they've played a far tougher schedule than Virginia Tech. Three of their four losses came on the road, and three of those four losses came against ranked teams. The only home loss was a 42-41 game against Tennessee, that was decided with a failed two-point conversion in overtime. The Yellow Jackets last home game was 38-24 win over Wake Forest, and they ran for 427 yards and five TDs in that game. The Hokies struggled to defend the run last week against Miami, and they lost 30-20 at home to Georgia Tech last year. The Yellow Jackets ran for over 300 yards and three TDs in that game. I don't see any reason why the Hokies should be a road favorite here, and I'll take the points. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-17	Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7		49-42	Push	0	86 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. Iowa State made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma, and they went on to win four straight. That includes upset wins over the #3 and #4 ranked teams in the country (Oklahoma and TCU). They came up just short in a 20-16 loss at West Virginia last week, but they return home to host the Cowboys as a significant underdog. The Cowboys remain overrated, and their defense has been exposed in recent weeks. Baker Mayfield lit them up last week for 598 yards and five TDs. It was a tough loss for Mike Gundy and his team, and it's going to be tough to pick up the pieces. The Cyclones aren't a team that they can afford to take lightly, as they have failed to cover in each of the last two head to head meetings with Iowa State. Last year they won by a TD at home, and the previous season they won by just four points on the road. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the two teams. The Cowboys have failed to cover in five of their last seven games against BIG12 teams. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Washington -6 v. Stanford		22-30	Loss	-110	36 h 59 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Washington Huskies. If you have ever wondered what the Stanford Cardinal would look like without leading rusher Bryce Love, look no further than their 15-14 win over the Oregon State Beavers. The Cardinal looked certain to lose that game, but just before the Beavers were about to go into the victory formation, they fumbled the ball. That allowed Stanford to score a last minute touchdown, avoiding the upset. Stanford totaled just 222 yards on offense against the Beavers, and despite the return of Bryce Love, they failed to reach 200 yards of offense in last week's 24-21 loss to Washington State. Love only carried the ball 16 times for 69 yards in that game, and he faces a tough Huskies defense here just six days later. The Huskies boast the best run defense in the PAC12, and they rank 3rd nationally allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. Washington is coming off a 38-3 home win over the Oregon Ducks, and running back Royce Freeman who is second behind Bryce Love in rushing yards in the PAC12. The Huskies beat Stanford 44-6 last year, and the Cardinal ran for a total of just 29 yards on 30 carries. I don't think home field is going to be enough to change the fact that the Cardinal just don't match up well against Washington. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49		34-31	Loss	-104	13 h 35 m	Show
This is a 9* play on UNC@PITT to go UNDER the total. The Pittsburgh Panthers have been dominant on defense in back to back wins over Virginia and Duke. They have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and the under is 3-1 in North Carolina's last four at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels are 1-8 overall, and 0-6 within the conference. They are coming off an inspired performance in a home loss to Miami, coming up just short losing by a score of 24-19. Pittsburgh is doing the bulk of it's scoring with a heavy ground game, opting to run twice as often as they pass. In the win over the Cavs, they attempted just 18 passes while running the ball 40 times for 176 yards and two TDs. Sophomore quarterback Ben Dinucci has done an admirable job replacing starter Max Browne, but he's completed a pedestrian 54.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and 4 INTs in seven starts. Those numbers look great compared to Nate Elliot's 38 percent completion percentage, and 3 INTs with just one TD. It looks like the third stringer might be starting for the Tar Heels again tonight. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games played on a grass surface. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-17	Toledo -170 v. Ohio		10-38	Loss	-170	13 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. The Rockets are 8-1, and their only loss came to playoff contender Miami. They actually took a lead (16-10) to the half at Miami, but the Hurricanes took care of business in the fourth quarter. They have won four of their five conference games by double digits, and quarterback Logan Woodside has thrown eight TD passes and just one INT in conference play. Woodside threw for 438 yards and three TDs with one INT on 32-of-46 passing against Ohio last season, but it wasn't enough, as the Bobcats won by a score of 31-26. Toledo has won five straight at Ohio though, and they might be catching the Bobcats at a good time. Ohio is coming off a home win over Miami-Oh, but they gave up 28 points to the Redhawks who were without their starting quarterback. Backup quarterback Billy Bahl threw for 350 yards and three TDs, and if it wasn't for a pair of INTs, his team could have easily pulled off the upset. The 350 passing yards he threw against the Bobcats doubled his previous season high. The Rockets offense ranks Top 10 nationally in total offense, and they will likely have little trouble finding the endzone against this banged up Ohio defense. Take TOL. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	Akron +7 v. Miami-OH		14-24	Loss	-120	13 h 53 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Akron Zips. The Zips are 4-1 in the MAC, and their one loss to a conference opponent came against powerhouse Toledo. They are coming off a 21-20 home win over Buffalo, and they are getting a bunch of points here on the road at Miami-Oh. The Red Hawks have lost three of their last four in conference play, with the one win during that span coming at home versus Buffalo. They have been without starting quarterback Gus Ragland for the past three weeks, and backup Billy Bahl has completed just 52 percent of his passes, with five TDs and four INTs. The Zips come in on a roll, and they have won four straight against the Red Hawks. With the status of their starting quarterback still in some doubt, I don't believe Miami-Oh should be asked to cover such a large spread. Take AKR. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 60.5		28-38	Loss	-110	13 h 49 m	Show
This is a 5* play on BG@BUF to go Under the total. The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the total for this game is so high, given the Bulls offensive struggles. History tells us that points could be hard to come by, as these teams have gone under in each of the last five head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	Bowling Green +8 v. Buffalo		28-38	Loss	-107	13 h 48 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Bowling Green Falcons. The Bowling Green Falcons won big at Kent State last week, and they got off to a good start, out-scoring the Golden Flashes 17-0 in the first quarter. Backup quarterback Jarret Doege threw for just 174 yards and two TDs on 14-of-18 passing. Their leading rusher Josh Cleveland suffered an ankle injury, but freshman Andrew Clair had 111 yards and a TD on just eight carries. He's averaging eight yards per attempt, and has run for over 100 yards in four straight weeks. Buffalo has lost four straight, and their starting quarterback was lost for the season in a 71-68 loss to Western Michigan. Drew Anderson threw for 597 yards and seven TDs in that game, which was decided after seven overtime periods. The Bulls have scored an average of just 15.6 points per game, losing three straight since. It seems a bit odd that the Bulls are asked to cover so many points, given their struggles on offense. History tells us that this has been a tough matchup for Buffalos, as the Bulls are 0-6 in their last six versus the Falcons. Take BG. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Arizona +7.5 v. USC	Top	35-49	Loss	-110	146 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is the hottest team in the PAC12, coming into Pasadena off four straight wins over Colorado, UCLA, Cal and Washington State. They scored 45+ points in all four of those wins, doing the bulk of the damage on the ground. That could spell trouble for a USC team that ranks 87th nationally against the run. Two weeks ago they were manhandled in a 49-14 loss to Notre Dame. The Irish ran for 377 yards and five TDs in the win. The Trojans are 5-0 at home, but have failed to cover in four of those five wins. Most recently they beat Utah by a score of 28-27, needing a failed two-point conversion by the Utes to escape with the win. The Wildcats are 3-0 on the road, and their two losses this season both came in games decided by less than seven points. I expect this game to come right down to the wire, last score wins. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oregon v. Washington UNDER 51.5		3-38	Win	100	114 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ORE@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Ducks ended a three game losing streak with a home win over Utah, powered by a solid effort from running back Royce Freeman. He ran for 139 yards on 20 carries, and the Ducks totaled 347 yards rushing. They only attempted 13 passes, while running the ball a whopping 49 times. This one-dimensional offensive game plan won't likely be very successful on the road at Washington. The Huskies are ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards allowed, right behind Alabama. They are holding opponents to just 2.2 yards per attempt (1st in the country), and have surrendered just three rushing TDs all year. The weather in Washington this time of year isn't all that pleasant, and while the snow storm might not start until Sunday, cold and wet weather is expected during tonight's game. Washington is coming off a high scoring win over UCLA, but had previously played four straight games with fewer than 50 combined points scored. I expect a low scoring affair here against the Ducks. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 51.5		10-24	Win	100	127 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LSU@ALABAMA to go UNDER the total. The Crimson Tide are favored by three touchdowns in this Saturday's home game versus LSU, but with both teams coming off a bye week, we could still see a battle. LSU doesn't have the offense to keep up with Alabama, but they might be able to hang around in a defensive struggle that has been so common in previous meetings between the two teams. Last year the Tide won by a score of 10-0 in Baton Rouge, and they didn't score a TD until late in the second half. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and the Tigers failed to score 20 points in all seven of those games. The total for this year's game is higher than it was in each of the last three meetings. The Tigers have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a bye. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 74		62-52	Win	100	123 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OKLA@OKST to go OVER the total. We know the Sooners rivalry with the Cowboys is commonly known as "Bedlam". Recent games between these two teams have certainly lived up to that moniker. The Cowboys are coming off a 50-39 road win over West Virginia, but I wasn't impressed with their defense in that game. The Mountaineers turned the ball over five times, and Will Grier threw four INTs. Despite those five turnovers, the Cowboys still gave up 39 points. The Sooners have also looked vulnerable on defense, and they gave up 35 points on the road at Kansas State two weeks ago. Both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game, but I expect the winner of this game to score 50+ points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and the over is 3-1-1 in their last five games against the Sooners. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Ohio State v. Iowa +18		24-55	Win	100	74 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less. Ohio State is coming off a come from behind win at home over Penn State, paving their way to the BIG10 Championship Game. This could set them up for a let down here on the road a week later. They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings. The Buckeyes have been one of the most overrated teams this season, as evidenced by the fact that they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus teams with a winning record. Take IOWA. GL , Jesse Schule
11-04-17	Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51		38-31	Loss	-110	108 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CLEM@NCST to go UNDER the total. Clemson is still the team to beat in the ACC, but the Tigers offense has dropped off a lot since last season. Kelly Bryant has played well at times, but he's thrown for just 1582 yards with six TDs and four INTs, and he hasn't scored a rushing TD since winning 34-7 over Boston College on September 23. He was knocked out of the game against Wake Forest on October 7th, and since then Dabo Swinney seems to be reluctant to have him put his body on the line. NC State is still undefeated in conference play, and whoever wins this game will be the favorite to win the division. These two teams have gone under the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the Wolfpack has failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Last year the Tigers beat the Wolfpack by a score of 24-17 at home, and I expect a similar score here at NCState this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-17	Central Michigan +4 v. Western Michigan		35-28	Win	100	10 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Central Michigan Chippewas. The Western Michigan Broncos have had the better of this rivalry in recent seasons, winning three straight since 2013. They've been dealt a tough blow ahead of this week's game against the Chippewas though. Starting quarterback Jon Wassink sufferered a season ending injury in the Broncos overtime win over Eastern Michigan on October 17. They will start freshman Reece Goddard, who came in to connect on 2-of-3 attempts for just 12 yards late in the win over the Eagles. Central Michigan has covered the spread in three of it's last four visits to Kalamazoo, and the Chippewas are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a winning home record. They are 2-0 on the road in conference play, with impressive wins at Ball State and Ohio. Senior quarterback Shane Morris threw for 199 yards and four TDs on 16-of-21 passing in the win over the Cardinals. The visitors appear to have the edge here with an experienced quarterback, and and offense that comes in firing on all cylinders. Take CMU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-17	Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5		44-16	Loss	-110	19 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on BG@KENT to go UNDER the total. The Golden Flashes host Bowling Green in a Tuesday night MAC Conference game, and both these teams have had their struggles on offense this season. The Falcons come in averaging just over 20 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in scoring. It doesn't get much worse than that... or does it? Kent State is averaging just over 11 points per game this season. The Golden Flashes have failed to score 20 points in six straight games, and they've scored three points or less in four of their last six games. The good news is that their defense hasn't been too bad, as they've allowed just 41 points in two home games against MAC opponents, going 1-1 in those games. These two teams have played three times since 2013, and not one of those three games saw a combined 50 points scored. We should expect another low scoring game here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Washington State -140 v. Arizona	Top	37-58	Loss	-140	132 h 13 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars. Arizona has won three straight, and the Wildcats have scored a ton of points in those games. I think they have become way overrated heading into this week's home game against Washington State. Keep in mind that wins over California and Colorado came by a combined four points. Arizona has a one-dimensional offense, and a defense that has allowed 36.5 points per game in conference play. They lost their only home game against a PAC12 team, falling 30-24 to Utah. The Cougars are a team that has had success stopping the likes of Arizona. They beat the Wildcats by a score of 69-7 last season, holding Arizona to just 286 total yards. They also won on the road at Stanford and at home versus Oregon. The Cougars have won three of their last four versus Arizona, and two of those three wins came at Arizona. This year's Cougars team is as strong as it's ever been, and I don't see Wazzu losing against an inferior Arizona team. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	NC State v. Notre Dame UNDER 60.5		14-35	Win	100	110 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NCST@ND to go UNDER the total. After a blowout win over USC last Saturday, the Irish are now a huge favorite at home versus NC State. This is an obvious let down spot for Notre Dame, and this isn't a great matchup. The Irish are a one-dimensional team that leans heavily on the run, and the Wolfpack have one of the most experienced, and most dominant defensive lines in the country. They come in well rested off a bye week, riding a six game win streak. Their resume includes wins at Florida State, at home to Louisville and Syracuse. These teams played last season, and the Irish were completely shut down in a 10-3 loss. The Wolfpack held Notre Dame to just 113 total yards, and 59 rushing yards on 38 attempts. In this strength versus strength matchup, we should expect points to be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Georgia v. Florida +14.5	Top	42-7	Loss	-110	137 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators. The Gators are 3-3, and bookmakers aren't giving them much of a chance here in a neutral site game against the 7-0 Georgia Bulldogs. It's a huge game for both teams, and both coaches have had an extra week to prepare. The bye week could prove to be particularly helpful for Florida, as they try to get the offense going with freshman quarterback Feleipe Franks. Despite the fact that the Gators come off back to back losses, the margin of victory in those two games was a combined three points. Florida still has a great defense, and they aren't going to roll over like Tennessee and Vanderbilt. This has traditionally been a tough matchup for the Bulldogs, as the Gators have won the last three meetings, and have covered in four straight meetings. The Bulldogs are 3-6 in their last nine versus the Gators, and all three of those wins came in close games decided by less than 10 points. I'll take the Gators plus the points. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Louisville v. Wake Forest UNDER 62		32-42	Loss	-110	107 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LOU@WAKE to go UNDER the total. Louisville was gifted a victory at Florida State last week. The Seminoles looked like they would score on a game winning drive in the final minutes, but freshman quarterback James Blackmon fumbled the ball. That allowed Louisville to drive down the field and score the game winning field goal. Louisville played far better defensively against the Seminoles, after giving up 45 points in a loss to Boston College a week earlier. When these teams played last year, Wake Forest led 12-10 in the fourth quarter, before the Cardinal scored 34 unanswered points. The Deacons get a chance to avenge that loss here at home, where their defense has held opponents to an average of just over 14 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, and the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Wake Forest has gone under in 17 of it's last 22 games in the month of October. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-27-17	Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47		3-35	Win	100	9 h 15 m	Show
This is a 5* play on FSU@BC to go UNDER the total. The Seminoles are coming off a terrible home loss to Louisville, putting them at 2-4 on the season. They had the ball late in the game, and appeared to be in position to run down the clock and kick the game winning field goal. Jimbo Fisher tried to get cute, calling a play that had failed to work on several occasions earlier in the game. The result was a fumble by quarterback James Blackman, leading to a Louisville field goal for the win. Since replacing the injured DeAndre Francios, he's thrown for 1047 yards with seven TDs and six INTs. Jimbo Fisher has been a little more conservative with the play calling on the road, and Blackman has attempted just 21 passes in each of his starts away from Tallahassee. The Seminoles won both of those games (26-19 at Wake Forest and 17-10 at Duke). The Eagles have scored 40+ points in back to back road wins at Virginia and Louisville, but their last two home games have each been low scoring. They beat Central Michigan 28-8 and lost 23-10 to Virginia Tech. Boston College has failed to score 20 points in each of it's last three games against Florida State, and two of those three games went under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-17	South Alabama v. Georgia State UNDER 49		13-21	Win	100	34 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on USA@GSU to go UNDER the total. The South Alabama Jaguars will play at Georgia State Thursday, in a battle between Sun Belt Conference rivals. Georgia State is coming off a 34-10 home loss to Troy, and I think we can expect another low scoring game here against the Jaguars. These teams haven't gone over the total in any of the last four head to head meetings, and last year the Jags won by a score of 13-10. The Jaguars are coming off a high scoring win over ULM, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. Georgia State has gone under in five of it's last seven overall. Playing on a short week, we should see both teams have a conservative approach, looking to establish their run game. Georgia State has gone under in 12 of it's last 16 conference games, 10 of it's last 13 home games, and 20 of it's last 27 games overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 51.5		27-3	Win	100	19 h 22 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 60	Top	14-49	Loss	-115	126 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on USC@ND to go under the total. The USC Trojans face a daunting task on the road at Notre Dame this week. The winner of this game will emerge as a playoff contender, while the loser will be eliminated from contention. The Irish haven't allowed more than 20 points in any of their games this season, and that includes a 20-19 home loss to #3 ranked Georgia. Sam Darnold was the favorite to win the Heisman before the season started, but he's failed to live up to expectations. He's thrown 15 TD passes this season, but 13 of those came at home. On the road he's struggled, throwing for 387 yards with a pair of TDs and two INTs on 41-of-67 passing. Both of those games fell well short of the total, and the Trojans have gone under in four of their last five overall. The one game that did go over saw fewer than 60 total points (28-27 win over Utah last week). The Irish might find success pounding the rock against a soft USC defensive line, the Trojans have struggled to defend the run. The Irish have gone under in four straight in the month of October, and the under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 when coming off a bye week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Michigan v. Penn State -9.5		13-42	Win	100	58 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Wolverines failed to live up to the hype last season, and given all the talent that they've had to replace, it comes as no surprise that they have not looked like a playoff contender so far this season. Any hope of a BIG10 Championship or playoff birth will die if (and when) they lose here at Happy Valley. The Wolverines defense has been good, but not great. Offensively they just don't appear to have the weapons to keep up with the talented Nittany Lions. Michigan's quarterback John O'Korn has completed less than 55 percent of his passes, getting picked off four times with just one TD pass. The Wolverines needed overtime to beat Indiana last week, while Penn State hammered the Hoosiers in a 45-14 home win a few weeks ago. While Michigan ranks 1st in total defense, Penn State has actually allowed fewer points. I like the home team to win by double digits here. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5		10-17	Win	100	119 h 36 m	Show
8*
10-21-17	Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 59		31-28	Push	0	10 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LOU@FSU to go UNDER the total. The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of point, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. Florida State has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the total for this game is almost 10 points higher than any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Louisville v. Florida State -6		31-28	Loss	-103	10 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The Florida State Seminoles are just 2-3 on the season, but those losses came to Alabama, Miami-Fl and N.C. State. All three of those games were close, and all three of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 25. The loss of their starting quarterback has certainly hurt the Seminoles, but they still have an elite defense and plenty of talent up and down the roster. Louisville hasn't been able to stop anybody on defense, and while they've scored their fair share of pointS, they were held to seven points in the first half at home versus Clemson, and the scored just 10 first half points in a loss at N.C. State. Both the Tigers and the Wolfpack were able to run up the score late in those games, but FSU is perhaps more likely to pound away with the run. I expect the home team to come out strong, establishing control and jumping out to a healthy lead in the first half. Keep in mind that Louisville cruised to a 63-20 home win over the Seminoles last year. This is a huge opportunity for the home team to avenge that loss. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-19-17	Memphis v. Houston UNDER 59		42-38	Loss	-105	18 h 46 m	Show
This is a 5* play on MEM@HOU to go UNDER the total. The Memphis Tigers have scored plenty of points this season, and they are coming off a 30-27 upset win over #25 ranked Navy last week. This could set them up for a bit of a let down on the road at Houston. The Cougars aren't the playoff contender that they were this time last year, mostly because of their struggles offensively. They remain solid on defense though, allowing just 21 points per game. They have failed to reach the total in seven straight, and nine of their last 10 overall. That includes home games against offensive juggernauts Texas Tech and SMU. While these two teams have scored a ton of points in recent head to head meetings, the under is 4-0 in the last four at Houston. The Cougars have failed to reach the total in six straight home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-14-17	Boise State +7.5 v. San Diego State	Top	31-14	Win	100	115 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Boise State Broncos. San Diego State is off to an impressive start, coming into this week's home game against rivals Boise State with a 6-0 record. Their signature win was a 20-17 home victory over #19 ranked Stanford, but their most recent home game was a lackluster 34-28 win over Northern Illinois. The Broncos are 3-2, but one of those losses was an impressive effort in a 47-44 loss at Washington State. Last week the Broncos held BYU to just 238 total yards in an impressive 24-7 road win. These teams have a history of playing close games, with two of the last three head to head meetings being decided by three points or less. The Broncos last played at San Diego State in 2013, and they lost 34-31. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, and I believe this San Diego State team has become significantly overvalued due to early season success. This game should be a good one, far from a cake walk for the home favorite. I'll take the points. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11