This is an 8* play on Indiana.

The Hoosiers are coming off a their first loss of the season, pushing the Buckeyes to the brink in Columbus. They forced Justin Fields to throw a pair of INTs, and quarterback Michael Penix threw for 491 yards and five TDs in a losing effort. This might look like a let down spot coming back home as a double digit favorite against Maryland, but I expect Indiana to make a statement here. The Terrapins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Notre Dame.

The Irish appear in the #2 spot in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. They will need to run the table if they want to stay in a playoff spot, and they face a tough opponent on the road in Chapel Hill. Sam Howell and the Tar Heels offense are lighting up the scoreboard, but the defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. They have given up 40+ points against the likes of Virginia, Virginia Tech and Wake Forest. The over is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 games following a bye week, and I expect this game to be a shootout. At the end of the day I think the Irish should get more stops with a superior defense, and end up pulling away in the second half.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Iowa.

Nebraska is coming odd a double digit loss at home to Illinois, and the are 1-3 on the season. Their only win came against an 0-4 Penn State team, and now they play on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes have won three straight games, all by 20+ points. The Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Hawkeyes have covered in seven of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record. I like Iowa to win big.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers.

The Vols have lost four straight, and all three of those losses came by a double digit margin. Three of those four losses came by more than 20 points. Jarrett Guarantano left the last game with an injury, and Harrison Bailey came in and threw for 65 yards and two INTs on 6-of-9 passing. Jeremy Pruit won't say who is starting for the Vols, but whoever plays quarterback will struggle against this Auburn defense. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. I like Auburn to win by two scores.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Coastal Carolina.

The Chanticleers are 6-0, and five of their six wins have come by a double digit margin. Their only close game so far was on the road at first place Louisana Lafayette. Grayson McCall has thrown for 13,93 yards, 16 TDs and just one INT. Appalachian State quarterback Zac Thomas hasn't been nearly as impressive, throwing for just 146 yards on 16-of-22 passing in a nail-biter versus Georgia State last week. He has thrown for 200 yards once in his last five starts. The Mountaineers dominance in the Sun Belt might be coming to an end, they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. I'll take the hot team with the superior QB.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Purdue.

The Boilermakers suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, but they played a pretty close game in a one score loss to undefeated Northwestern. The Gophers haven't really looked tough in any of their games, especially a blowout loss to Iowa at home last week. Quarterback Tanner Morgan has thrown as many INTs (4) as TDs, completing just 57.5 percent of his passes so far. The Boilermakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a loss. Rondale Moore has yet to play this season, but he was rumored to be close to playing last week against the Wildcats. We could see him make his season debut here against the Gophers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arkansas.

I had a big play on Florida last week, so I was happy to see them blow out Georgia in the Cocktail Party. The big win could set them up for a let down here against a gritty Arkansas team though. The Razorbacks already have lost close games to Auburn and Texas A&M. Unlike Georgia, this Arkansas offense has no trouble scoring points. They scored 31 on the Aggies, and 28 against Auburn. I don't think Florida's defense is good enough for them to be asked to win this game by three scores. The Razorbacks are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they have covered the spread in eight straight SEC games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Penn State.

Two winless teams face off in the BIG10 Saturday, and the good news for Nebraska and Penn State is that one of them is going to get their first win. Both teams have had their share of problems, but I think the Nittany Lions are a lost closer to where they want to be than the Huskers are. Sean Clifford is the starting quarterback, and there is no doubt about that. You can't really blame their struggles on Clifford, who has thrown for 859 yards and nine TDs in three losses so far. The quarterback situation is far less certain for Nebraska, with neither of their QBs throwing a single TD pass so far. It's unclear who will start, and it's likely that whoever does start won't finish. The Cornhuskers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Northern Illinois.

The Huskies lost their season opener at home to Buffalo by a score of 49-30. While the final score suggests the game wasn't close, the Huskies actually had more total yards, more time of possession and almost twice as many first downs. Despite five turnovers, they still scored 30 points on a tough Buffalo defense. Central Michigan opened the season with a three-point win over Ohio, and they are asked to cover a big spread on the road here in Dekalb. History tells us we might want to think twice about backing the favorite, as the underdog has covered in six straight meetings between these teams. The home team is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish.

The Irish have had plenty of chances to prove themselves as an elite team, and time and time again they have failed. Their last appearance in the playoffs was a 30-3 loss to Clemson two years ago, and Trevor Lawrence threw for 327 yards and three TDs in that game. Ian Book didn't have a great game, throwing for just 160 yards, completing just 50 percent of his passes with an INT. Book is now a Senior, and he's having himself a solid season. Clemson almost lost to Boston College last week with Trevor Lawrence sidelined by Covid. This is a tough spot to ask the Tigers to cover points on the road, and a golden opportunity for an improved Notre Dame team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Florida.

The Gators will be an underdog versus Georgia in The Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. Georgia looks like a powerhouse, but their offense has held them back. Stetson Bennett has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (2) in his last two starts, and the Bulldogs scored just 38 points in those games. Florida on the other hand has been a well-oiled machine on offense, averaging 42 points per game. Kyle Trask has thrown for 18 TDs and just two INTs this season. The Bulldogs are very good defensively, but I am not sure they can overcome such a disadvantage at the quarterback position.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Indiana.

The last thing you would want to do is overreact to Michigan's loss to Michigan State last week. After all it was a big rivalry game, and the Spartans have upset the Wolverines many times in the past. This isn't just one bad game though, this is a history of failure in big games under head coach Jim Harbaugh. They are on the road at Indiana this week, and this a team that they have struggled with in the past. Michigan has only covered in one of the last five meetings versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog, and the Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arizona State.

The Trojans will be a double digit favorite in their season opener versus Arizona State, and hell why not? They have the more talented recruits, the bigger budget and all the star power. The Trojans are ranked and the Sun Devils are not, but that's nothing new. It was the same story last year and the year before, and those two games were decided by a combined eight points. I give Arizona State the edge in coaching with Herm Edwards, and the Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Southern California. I think it's just too many points, too early in the season for the Trojans to cover.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 6* play on Northwestern.

The Wildcats host Nebraska, and Northwestern is just a small favorite. This Wildcats defense has looked formidable in wins over Iowa and Maryland. Nebraska has been sidelined for weeks since getting throttled by Ohio State in their opener, and battling the BIG10 Conference could prove to be a distraction. The Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they are are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. They haven't had a lot of success against Northwestern, they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BYU.

Both the Cougars and the Broncos have impressed this season, but neither team has really faced a quality opponent. The Boise State defense struggled last week against Air Force, allowing the Falcons to run for over 400 yards and four TDs. The Cougars proved they can run the ball, with over 300 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in their season opener versus Navy. I also give BYU the edge at QB with Zach Wilson and some uncertainty regarding who will start for the Broncos. BYU beat the Broncos by a score of 28-25 last year, but the final score was a little misleading. The Broncos scored the majority of their points in the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Cougars are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wyoming.

The Cowboys lost in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but bounced back big in Week 2 with a 31-7 win over Hawaii. The same Hawaii team that won 34-19 at Fresno State in their season opener. The Colorado State Rams got crushed in a loss at the Fresno State Bulldogs in their season opener. QB Todd Centeio completed just 43 percent of his passes in that game. Wyoming has a freshman at QB, and he hasn't been all that impressive either. The Cowboys though can lean on their running game, coming off a game where they ran for 281 yards and four TDs. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and they re 4-1 ATS in their last five at Colorado State.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Penn State.

The Nittany Lions were shocked in Week 1, losing to Indiana in overtime. A closer look at that game reveals that the Hoosiers were out-gained 488-211 in total yards. The bookmakers might be overreacting by listing Penn State as a double digit home dog versus Ohio State in Week 2. Historically the Buckeyes have had trouble at University Park. The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last four head to head meetings. The Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Notre Dame.

It took the Irish a few weeks to get up to speed, but they are coming off their most impressive game of the season, blowing out Pittsburgh by a score of 45-3. They are at Georgia Tech this week, and the Yellow Jackets have been blown out in back to back weeks. The Yellow Jackets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Irish have covered in four straight as a road favorite, and this line looks like it could be a lot higher.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LSU.

Both LSU and Auburn have two losses, but Auburn should probably be 1-4. Wins against Arkansas and Ole Miss were both aided by controversial calls. LSU struggled on defense in losses to Missouri and Mississippi St, but their 52-24 win over South Carolina last week suggests they might have turned the corner.  LSU is 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered the spread in five straight versus a team with a winning record.  Bo Nix has thrown as many picks (3) as he has TDs in his last three starts.  I like LSU to win in a shootout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Rutgers.

Both the Indiana Hoosiers and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights won outright as underdogs in Week 1, but Indiana is all of a sudden a double digit road favorite in Week 2. Their win over Penn State doesn't look quite as impressive when you see the stats. They were out-gained 488 to 211 in total yards, and they were held to 41 rushing yards on 26 attempts. They had a little help with Penn State turning the ball over three times, and they got a lot of help from the referees. Penn State was charged with 10 penalties for 100 yards. The Hoosiers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite, and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Boston College.

A week after Clemson struggled against Syracuse, they are asked to beat Boston College by a whopping 30 points. The Tigers are the favorite to win the College Football Playoff, but they might be a little overvalued at the moment. Boston College is 4-2 and both losses came against ranked teams. They came very close to upsetting North Carolina, and last week they scored 48 points in a blowout win over Georgia Tech. The Tigers will likely be without starting QB Trevor Lawrence who has reportedly tested positive for Covid19. This should result in a more conservative game plan leaning more on their running game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Colorado State.

The Bulldogs looked pretty bad in their home opener versus Hawaii, losing 34-19. Starting QB Jake Haener was brutal, throwing for 289 yards a TD and three INTs on 17-of-31 passing. It's tough to imagine much of an improvement against rivals Colorado State, a team that beat them by double digits last year in Fresno. The Rams have won all three meetings dating back to 2015, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they have covered in five straight as a favorite. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five conference games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 10* play on Wyoming.

Both these teams come into their season opener in the Mountain West with high expectations, but Nevada has been rocked by a recent scandal and a death in the family. Head coach Jay Norvell has been away from the team after the death of his father, and a star defensive tackle has been arrested for sex crimes involving children. Needless to say, Chris Green who was projected to be the starting nose tackle has been suspended from the team. The Wolfpack could use all the help they could get on a defense that allowed over 30 points per game in conference play last season. The Cowboys won 31-3 at home versus Nevada last season, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings dating back to 2012. Wyoming should be in good shape coming off an eight win season and bringing back QB Sean Chambers who is 9-2 as a starter.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BC.

Boston College is coming off a tough loss on the road at Virginia Tech, but a home game against the Yellow Jackets should be a good spot for them to get back on track. The Eagles are 3-2 overall, and 2-1 at home. Both of their losses came against ranked teams, and they came very close to upsetting the #12 ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in their only home loss. The Yellow Jackets are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine against teams with a winning record. The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss, and they are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Iowa.

The Hawkeyes are just a small favorite on the road at Purdue, but there will be no home crowd to cheer on the Boilermakers. Head coach Jeff Brohm will not be at the game on Saturday, following a positive test for Covid-19.  More bad news for the Boilermakers, their best player WR Rondale Moore will not play against Iowa after opting back in to play this season. The Hawkeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite, and they are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings. The home team has only covered in one of the last 10 meetings between these teams. Purdue is in a very tough spot here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ole Miss.

The Rebels have been an offensive juggernaut since the arrival of Lane Kiffin, averaging 36.5 points per game. The scored a combined 73 points in losses to Alabama and Florida, and outscored Kentucky in a 42-41 thriller in Lexington. Auburn comes into Oxford with a 2-2 record, although one of those wins was a controversial finish at home to Auburn by a score of 30-28. Tigers QB Bo Nix is completing just 54 percent of his passes with almost as many picks (4) as TDs (5) so far this season. Matt Corral has completed 69 percent of his passes for 1280 yards and 11 TDs in four starts. The Rebels should have enough offensive firepower to keep this game close at home versus an Auburn team that looks vulnerable.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on over.

The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total.

GL

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Alabama.

The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. I don't give the Dawgs much of a shot of pulling out an upset in Tuscaloosa, especially if Nick Saban is on the sidelines after consecutive negative Covid-19 tests.

GL,

Jesse Schule

7*

This is an 8* play on Texas A&M.

The Mike Leach Era started off with an upset win at LSU, and expectations were through the roof. The Bulldogs have since come crashing back down to earth, suffering blowout losses to Arkansas and Kentucky. The offense put up a goose egg in a 28-2 loss to the Wildcats last Saturday. Quarterback K.J. Costello has been picked off seven times with just a single TD in his last two starts. The Aggies are 2-1 with their only loss coming in Tuscaloosa, and last week the upset the #4 ranked Florida Gators. This Aggies offense can hold their own against anyone, and I like their defense to get more stops than the Bulldogs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on NC State.

Duke has been a huge disappointment in 2020, losing it's first four games before they earned their first win on the road at Syracuse. That win wasn't really all that impressive, turning the ball over four times. Chase Brice threw for 270 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 22-of-38 passing. Brice has thrown for more INTs (8) than he has TDs (5) this season. The Wolfpack are 3-1, and they have scored a ton of points in those wins. Their only loss came on the road against a #20 ranked Virginia Tech team. While NC State has leaned heavily on their running game, they are in good hands with Devin Leary at QB. He's thrown for just 685 yards on 60 percent passing, but with seven TDs and just one pick.

Take NCST.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BYU.

The BYU Cougars are 4-0, but their last game was by far the least impressive. They barely beat San Antonio, winning by a score of 27-20. This came after a long layoff, so perhaps the subpar performance was understandable. They head to Houston looking to remain undefeated, and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. Houston scored plenty of points in their only game so far, but it was far from a flawless performance. Quarterback Clayton Tune threw for 319 yards and 2 TDs with a pair of INTs on 20-of-33 passing. His counterpart Zach Wilson comes in with over 1200 passing yards with 8 TDs and just one INT and a completion percentage over 81%. BYU ranks 6th nationally in scoring, and I don't see Houston keeping up on offense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Miami.

The Clemson Tigers are ranked #1 in the polls, and the heavy favorite to win the College Football Playoff. They will be a double digit favorite against a Top 10 ranked Miami Hurricanes team. The last time Clemson faced a Top 10 team, was in last year's loss to LSU in the Championship Game. The Tigers are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games against Top 10 ranked teams, but only two of those wins came by double digits. Clemson hasn't covered in any of their three games so far, and they have scored fewer points per game against far weaker opponents than the Hurricanes have. This doesn't look like an easy game for Clemson, they might even be on uspet alert.

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Tulane.

The Green Wave scored 66 points in a win over Southern Mississippi in their last game, and freshman Michael Pratt stepped up at QB throwing for a pair of TDs and running in another. Cameron Carroll ran for 163 yards and three TDs on just 15 carries. Tulane beat Houston last year, and these teams are 3-3 in the last six head to head meetings. The Cougars haven't played a game yet this season, and it will be interesting to see what they can do on offense without D'eriq King who transferred to Miami. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a bye week, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a favorite.

Take TUL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs pulled off the most shocking upset in the SEC last week, beating the defending champions by double digits. This has situational handicappers salivating at the opportunity to take advantage of what looks like the classic "let down spot". This might make sense if you feel that the Bulldogs got incredibly lucky against the Tigers, but when you consider that KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs, it begs the question: "how is Arkansas going to stop that?" Arkansas has lost three straight to the Bulldogs, and both of the last two losses came by 20+ points. The Razorbacks have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. I see no reason to count on Mississippi State suffering a let down here.

Take MSST.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Navy.

It's fair to say that the Midshipmen were not prepared for the start of the season, losing 55-3 to BYU in their season opener. The rust was still there in their second game against Tulane, as they trailed 24-0 at halftime. They stormed back with 27 unanswered points in the second half, completing their biggest comeback in team history. Now they face an Air Force team that has a decimated roster. "We're working through that, and that probably goes for a good number of spots," Falcons coach Troy Calhoun said Tuesday about situation at the quarterback position. "We're going to have some guys in certain positions, probably more so on the defensive side of the ball ... the other thing that we're going to have to balance is just the involvement of the special teams part of it." I don't think there is any way Air Force can be properly prepared to compete with a Navy team that is already up to full speed.

Take Navy.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BYU Over (team total).

LA Tech and BYU are both undefeated, and both teams have scored plenty of points. That's where the similarities end, as BYU has held opponents to a combined 10 points. The Bulldogs have played two unranked teams and have allowed 30 or more points in both games. The over is 5-2-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus Conference USA teams. Zack Wilson has completed almost 80 percent of his passes through the first two games, and the Cougars running game has averaged almost 250 yards per game. This game has blowout written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on WVU.

Oklahoma State didn't look sharp in a home win over Tulsa last week. They scored just three points in the first three quarters, and they needed to rally to score 13 in the fourth to win 16-7. Chubba Hubbard ran for a rather pedestrian 93 yards on 27 carries in the victory. The Cowboys might still be dealing with off the field distractions, after players called out head coach Mike Gundy in the off-season. Gundy managed to keep his job but was forced to take a pay cut after a photo surfaced showing him wearing a t-shirt that some people thought was offensive. The Mountaineers aren't expected to be a contender in the BIG12 this season, but they looked pretty good in a 56-10 win over Eastern Kentucky in their opener. The Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in September, and the underdog has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings.

Take WVU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Florida.

The Rebels are excited about the future since bringing in Lane Kiffin this off season. I don't expect Kiffin to have it all figured out in Week 1 though, and he draws a tough matchup against #5 ranked Florida. The Gators are in their third year under Dan Mullen, coming off an 11-2 season last year. They have senior QB Kyle Trask running the offense. A new coach, a new offense and uncertainty at the quarterback position isn't going to make it easy for the Rebels to hang around against a more talented Florida team. The Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, and the Rebels are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.

Take FLA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Wake Forest.

After losing 44-10 to Wake Forest last year, some might call this a revenge spot for the Wolfpack. I would respond by pointing out that NC State has actually lost three straight meetings dating dating back to 2016, and they have a big advantage heading into this Week 2 meeting. After spring practices were cancelled because of Covid-19, the Wolfpack had their season opener cancelled as well. Wake Forest has the benefit of playing the #1 ranked Clemson Tigers last week, and they can take several positives from that games. They appear to be solid at quarterback, with 293 passing yards with a TD and no INTs against the tough Tigers defense. The Wolfpack are 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games, and the Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.

Take WAKE.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Notre Dame.

Over the years I have been critical of Notre Dame, betting against them in big games at the end of the year. They have proven to be overhyped after building up impressive regular season records against inferior opponents. This year could be different though, as they finally have a legit quarterback in Ian Book. They bring back six of their offensive linemen, and Brian Kelly believes this team has the potential to be the best he's ever had. The Irish beat Duke 38-7 last year, and I don't see any reason why the Blue Devils would expect a better result here in their season opener at South Bend. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BYU.

Navy had a better record (11-2) than the Cougars (7-5) last year, and the Midshipmen finished strong while BYU lost their final two games. It's important to consider that the quality of opposition for BYU was perhaps superior to the teams that Navy was earning it's wins against. The Cougars booked wins over #14 ranked Boise State and#24 ranked USC, and lost to #22 ranked Washington and #14 ranked Utah. Navy's success last year came thanks in part to star QB and leading rusher Malcom Perry, who they lost to graduation. Starting in his place is a senior with limited experience. The Cougars have Junior Zach Wilson back for his third year, and plenty of returning talent on the offensive line. It's likely that these two teams will trend in opposite directions, with BYU improving on last season, and Navy taking a step back after losing it's best player.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LSU.

After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games.  The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points.

Take LSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games.  The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Tennessee.

The Vols will face Indiana in the Gator Bowl on Thursday, and this game features two teams trending in opposite directions. The Hoosiers lost two of their final three games, while Tennessee closed the season with six wins in their final seven games. The only loss during that span came against Alabama. The Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and the Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games as a favorite. Vols quarterback Jarrett Guarantano finished the season strong, and he threw for 778 yards, 8 TDs and three INTs in four non conference games during the season.

Take TENN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.

My regular season Game of the Year was a winner with the Ducks as an underdog versus Washington. Then I bet on the Ducks again in the PAC12 Championship game, and once again they won outright as an underdog. The PAC12 doesn't get a lot of respect these days, but PAC12 teams have owned the Rose Bowl. Oregon deserves a little more respect, already going toe to toe with the likes of Auburn, USC, Washington and Utah. The Badgers played Ohio State twice this season, giving up over 70 points and losing both games. This Oregon team is a lot more like Ohio State than Michigan and Iowa.

Take ORE.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines.

If this was a playoff game, you might feel comfortable backing Alabama to win by double digits. Both these teams came into this season expecting to make the playoffs, but a News Day Bowl game is still an accomplishment for the Wolverines. That's not the case for the Crimson Tide, and Alabama has a history of suffering a let down in these type of situations. A few years ago they were blown out in a loss to Oklahoma in the Sugar Bowl. This game has that same sort of feel to it. The Wolverines should be the more motivated team here, and I'll take the points.

Take MICH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.

If this was a playoff game, you might like Utah. The Utes had their chance to qualify for the playoffs, but they lost in the PAC12 Title Game to Oregon. In fact they didn't just lose, they were blown off the field in a loss to the Ducks. Now they are in the Alamo Bowl, which isn't where they wanted to be. Texas on the other hand is lucky to be here, and might want to make the most of this opportunity. The Horns have proved they can compete with the best teams in the country, covering the spread in losses to Oklahoma and LSU. I think Texas has a good chance to win this game outright.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.

The defending champion Clemson Tigers bring a perfect 13-0 record into their College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup versus Ohio State. The Tigers had a much softer schedule than the Buckeyes, who also went 13-0 during the regular season. Ohio State had five wins against Top 25 teams, beating Wisconsin twice, Michigan, Penn State and Michigan State. Ohio State has played more big games, and has proven a lot more than this year's Clemson team that only faced two ranked teams. Clemson is a team that thrives as an underdog in big games, but the Tigers haven't fared as well when coming in as the favorite. They have failed to cover in six of their last eight when asked to cover points.

Take OSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Washington State.

It was a disappointing season for the Cougars, finishing with a 6-6 record and losing their final game to Washington in the Apple Cup. They scored a combined 103 points in home wins over Oregon State and Stanford prior to that. Mike Leach is still one of the top offensive minds in college football, and you have to imagine he will have a solid game plan here for this bowl game. They came out flying in last year's Alamo Bowl, outscoring Iowa State 21-10 in the first half. Air Force won 10 games against inferior opposition in the Mountain West, but the Falcons might struggle against this potent Cougars offense. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus Mountain West teams.

Take WSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BYU@HAWAII to go Over the total.

The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Washington Huskies.

The Huskies were the consensus favorite to win the PAC12 this pre-season, but their season was sent into a tail spin after losing 20-19 at home in a weather delayed game against California in Week 2. They finished 7-5, and went 1-2 against Top 25 teams. Both of their losses to ranked teams came by fewer than seven points. The Boise State Broncos were 12-1 and won the Mountain West, but didn't play a single ranked team during that span. This is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson (also former Broncos coach). I like the Huskies to go out with  W in Peterson's Swan Song.

Take WAS.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Utah State Aggies.

Nobody has more to prove in the Frisco Bowl than Jordan Love, who is hoping to have a future in the NFL. The junior quarterback took a giant step back this year, throwing almost as many INTs as he did TD passes. Love threw for 3,567 yards, 32 TDs and just six INTs in 2018. He lit up North Texas in last year's New Mexico Bowl, throwing for 359 yards and four TDs on 21-of-43 passing. The Aggies won three of their final four games of the regular season, and Love threw for eight TDs and four INTs in those games. Superior talent and a highly motivated quarterback should be enough for the Aggies to get the cover.

Take USU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on ARMY@NAVY to go Under the total.

Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

8*

This is an 8* play on Virginia.

The Clemson Tigers have taken advantage of a soft schedule, and even though they have won six straight by 20+ points, they are still ranked #3 behind the Buckeyes and Tigers. They barely escaped with a 21-20 win over North Carolina, and this will be just their second game against a Top 25 team. They beat Texas A&M by a score of 24-10 early in the season. Virginia has three losses, and they are getting almost as many points versus Clemson as the combined margin of defeat in all of their three losses (30). I like Virginia to make this game at least somewhat interesting, especially in the first half.

Take UVA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UGA.

There are plenty of reasons to like LSU in this game. They haven't really looked vulnerable since escaping with a 23-20 win over Auburn in a home game at the end of October. The Bulldogs handled Auburn a few weeks later, winning by a score of 21-14. We have already seen the likes of Alabama, Oregon and Oklahoma lose games they should have won. Even Ohio State has had some close calls, but the Tigers have really yet to have a bad game. To suggest it can't happen here in Atlanta would be tempting fate. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games. I will take the points.

Take UGA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears.

The Bears took a 30-10 lead into the locker room at the half at home versus Oklahoma a few weeks ago. They completely fell apart, and were out-scored 24-0 in the second half. So what does that tell us about both these teams? It tells me that there is no way that one team should be asked to win by double digits here in the rematch. The Sooners have been playing with fire for weeks now, falling behind early in games and needing to mount miraculous comebacks to escape with the win. Three of their last four wins have come in games decided by four points or less. The Bears are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Take BAYLOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks.

Utah will be a heavy favorite in the PAC12 Title Game, and they are still alive in the playoff race. A win for the Ducks would only ensure that the BIG12 would slide into the last spot. People are down on the Ducks after suffering an upset loss on the road at Arizona State, but that was a far tougher game than a lot of people realize. I bet on the Sun Devils in that game, and here is what I said prior to kickoff: "The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37." The Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. I'll take the points here.

Take ORE.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under.

Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars.

The Huskies have had the better of this rivalry over the past decade, but they come into this year's annual Apple Cup as losers of four of their last six overall. It's a bitter disappointment for a team that was favored to win the PAC12 before the season started. Beating the Cougars here at home isn't going to change anything for Washington, this season will go into the books as a failure. The Cougars on the other hand have won back to back games, scoring over 100 points in the process. Their last two losses came by a combined nine points at Oregon and California. The Huskies are just  5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games, and this line looks a little inflated to me.

Take WAZZU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Western Michigan Broncos.

The Northern Illinois Huskies might not have a lot to look foward to on Seniors Night. They host first place Western Michigan, and they will be without senior quarterback Ross Bowers who is still suffering from a concussion. His backup Marcus Childers was brutal in a 44-17 home loss to Eastern Michigan. He threw for just 99 yards with a TD and three INTs on 12-of-26 passing. A lot of teams respond well after a big home loss, but not the Huskies. Northern Illinois is 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Take WMU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arizona State.

The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37.

Take ARZST.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.

The 9-1 Baylor Bears should be on top of the world here heading into this home game against Texas, but they way they lost last week is going to be tough to recover from. They were held scoreless in the second half in a 34-31 loss to Oklahoma. That was a game in which they led by 25 points. Now they host a hungry Texas team that has lost one possession games to the likes of #1 ranked LSU and #9 ranked Oklahoma. Asking the Bears to win this game is tough enough as it is, never mind asking them to cover a handful of points. I'll take Texas as a live dog.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Texas A&M.

The 9-1 Georgia Bulldogs know what it's going to take to get into the Playoffs. They will have to upset LSU in the SEC Championship Game. First though they will need to avoid any slip ups at the end of the regular season. They are a double digit favorite here at home against the Aggies, but I am not sure Georgia is 13 points  better than Texas A&M. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Aggies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. This looks like a game where the Bulldogs could get caught with their pants down.

Take TAM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Minnesota came into last week's home game versus Penn State with an 8-0 record, but they hadn't beaten any Top 25 teams. They have now established themselves as a legitimate contender, but they are vulnurable to a let down here in a tough road game at Iowa a week later. Iowa is a gritty team that has been getting down and dirty with the big boys all season long. When the Gophers were beating up on Rutgers and Illinois, the Hawkeyes were battling the likes of Michigan and Wisconsin. Iowa still ranks among the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just over 11 points per game. That's quite impressive considering their tough schedule.

Take IOWA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers.

The Georgia Bulldogs are now sitting #4 overall in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They come into this road game at Auburn with an 8-1 record, and they are the favorite over the 7-2 Tigers. Auburn lost by just three points against #1 ranked LSU, and they lost on the road at Florida. The Tigers have had an extra week to prepare for this matchup, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. I'll take the points in a game where I think the wrong team is favored.

Take AUB.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish.

I have a ton of respect for the Navy Midshipmen, and I have never been a fan of the Irish and their soft schedule as an independent school. As much as I normally like to bet against Notre Dame, I can't deny that the gap in talent here is just too large to consider the underdog getting just single digits. This looks like it should be a comfortable double digit win for the home team. The Midshipmen are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 versus a team with a winning record. The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.

The play is on ND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LSU.

The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Take LSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LSU@BAMA under 65.

The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Washington.

It shocks me to see the Huskies getting points at home to Utah. Sure the Utes are ranked in the Top 10, and Washington is unranked. Sure the Utes have a better record. But let's really look at what separates these two teams. Five of Utah's seven wins have come at home, and the one time they played a competitive team on the road they lost at USC. They don't have any wins over teams currently ranked in the Top 25. The Huskies have two losses, one in a weather delayed game versus California, and a close loss to the #7 ranked Oregon Ducks. Washington is 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings between these teams, and I'll take the points with the Huskies as a home dog.

Take WASH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators.

The Gators will play Georgia in the World's Largest Oudoor Cocktail Party Saturday, and these teams appear to be trending in opposite directions. The Bulldogs are coming off a 21-0 win over Kentucky, and prior to that they lost at home to South Carolina by a score of 20-17. The Gators are coming off a 38-27 win over the Gamecocks in Columbia, and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week. The Gators are ranked higher in the AP Top 25, and their quarterback Kyle Trask has better numbers than counterpart Jake Fromm. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a10* play on the Michigan Wolverines.

A lot of the Television talk show hosts will tell you that Jim Harbaugh doesn't win the big games (Colin Cowherd), but I don't think Harbaugh gets enough credit for the games he has won at Michigan. Tonight is a big game for Harbaugh, with a chance to beat a Top 10 team at home in Ann Arbor. Now I am not a big fan of the Notre Dame Irish, and their winning records against inferior opponents. The knock on Notre Dame is the same every year ... they just don't play anybody. They've faced one team currently ranked in the Top 25, and they lost 23-17 to Georgia. Now you could call that a "good loss", but unless you have a handful of "good wins" to go a long with it, then it doesn't impress me. This game also has revenge written all over it, after the Irish beat Michigan in the season opener 24-17 last year. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings, and that trend should continue tonight.

Take MICH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PSU@MSU to go Under the total.

The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. 

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Penn State.

The Wolverines have bounced back from a devestating loss to Wisconsin, by winning three in a row including a 10-3 home win over Iowa. There is little reason to expect a better result than the game against Wisonsin, as the Wolverines have a terrible record against BIG10 rivals under Jim Harbaugh. The Nittany Lions come in ranked 7th, and Harbaugh is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 10. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings, and the Wolverines have failed to cover in four of their last five at Happy Valley.

Take PSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Oklahoma State.

The Cowboys got down early on the road at Texas Tech, and they just couldn't come back in a 45-35 loss. They are back home this week, hosting the Baylor Bears, and I like Oklahoma State to bounce back in a "get right" game. Chuba Hubbard ran for 156 yards and three scores last week in Lubbock, and he ran for 296 yards in the previous game, a double digit home win over Kansas State. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings between these teams, and the Cowboys have covered in five straight home games. Oklahoma State has also been a great bet when coming off a loss, covering the spread in five straight such situations.

Take OKST.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.

When the Ducks lost to Auburn in Week 1, their stock was low. I was actually quite impressed with the way Oregon played for the majority of that game, and that's why I jumped on this game so early. Back in Week 2 the Huskies were considered the favorite to win the PAC12, but it's now Oregon that has emerged as the clear favorite. Justin Herbert is expected to be one of the top quarterback prospects in the upcoming NFL draft, and so far he's had a fine season. Herbert has thrown for over 1600 yards on better than 75 percent passing with 17 TDs and just one INT. As good as the Ducks are offensively, it wasn't expected that Oregon would actually come into this game with the better defense. The Ducks have allowed opponents to average fewer than 10 points per game, and they have given up a total of 16 points in three games against PAC12 teams. The Ducks have double digit wins over California and Stanford, two teams that beat the Huskies outright. This line has moved a great deal, but for good reason. Oregon should win this game comfortably.

Take ORE.

GL,

Jesse Schule