5*

This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total.

The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 7* play on Penn State.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off an ugly loss to Michigan last week. They turned the ball over four times and managed to score just three points. It won't get any easier against Penn State this week, the Nittany Lions are ranked 5th nationally in scoring, averaging 47 points per game. I don't think Iowa has the offensive prowess to keep up with a team that can score in a hurry. Penn State has won five straight head to head meetings, covering the spread in four of those games. The Nittany Lions are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games, while Iowa has failed to cover in five of their last seven in the BIG10.

Take PSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles.

The season started poorly for the Seminoles, but things are on the up and up in Tallahassee. FSU has won back to back games, and they have a new starting QB under center. Alex Hornibrook is an experienced starter, playing three seasons at Wisconsin. In his first season with the Badgers he had four starts against teams ranked in the Top 10. He was 2-2 in those games, losing in overtime to #2 ranked Ohio State and losing by a TD to #4 ranked Michigan. The Tigers are asked to win this game by a whopping 4 TDs, which might be tough given the play of Trevor Lawrence. The Sophomore jinx has hit him hard, and he's been a major disappointment this season. Clemson was an 18-point favorite against the Seminoles last year, and that was the biggest number we had seen in the previous 10 head to head meetings. This has all the markings of an inflated point spread.

Take FSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.

There are few things that are certain in life. There is death, taxes ... and Texas will give Oklahoma a run for it's money in the Red River Rivalry game. This line opened at 3.5 in the futures market, and despite the fact that Texas is 4-1 with a 7-point loss to LSU, the line has moved as high as double digits. Oklahoma appears to be the better team through the first six weeks of the season, which is nothing new in recent seasons. History doesn't bode well for those who lay double digits with the Sooners though. Oklahoma has failed to cover in six of the last seven meetings, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Texas has won outright three times during that span.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total.

The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total.

Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks.

Take Under.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total.

The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Auburn Tigers.

Of all the undefeated teams in the Top 25, which one is the biggest fraud? It could be Iowa, it might be Wake Forest or SMU, but I think it's Florida that will be exposed this week. The Gators are 5-0, but they did not look good in wins over Miami and Kentucky. We will find out exactly what they are made of this week, hosting an established SEC Powerhouse in Auburn. The Tigers have earned their Top 10 ranking, beating Oregon in a thriller in Week 1, and then winning on the road at College Station two weeks ago. They have a balanced attack with plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, and their strength is their defensive line. This should be a complete mismatch against the struggling Gators offense. The Tigers also have an edge at quarterback, with Bo Nix establishing himself by winning a couple big games early this season. The quarterback position is far from a strength for Florida.

Take AUB.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total.

The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan State.

After a shocking loss to Arizona State, the Spartans responded by beating Northwestern on the road  by a whopping 21 points. Now they are back home to host the Indiana Hoosiers, and I like Sparty to roll. The Hoosiers lost at home to Ohio State two weeks ago, and what stands out about that loss is that the bulk of the yards were gained on the ground. The Buckeyes ran for over 300 yards, and they scored 30 of their 51 points in the first half. Michigan State has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and they are 6-0 straight up in those games. The Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven at East Lansing.

Take MSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones.

The Baylor Bears are off to a nice 3-0 start, but forgive me for not being too impressed. It's the same story every year for this Baylor team. The Bears schedule cupcakes at the beginning of the year, padding their stats prior to the start of conference play. Last year they scored a combined 92 points in wins over Abilene Christian and UTSA, before losing at home by double digits to Duke. The Cyclones come in already battle tested, with a one-point loss to #14 ranked Iowa. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for 276 yards and a TD on 24-of-34 passing in the loss, and he appears primed for another big game against Baylor. The Cyclones were 8-1 in the nine games that he played in last year, losing only to Texas. The Cyclones are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they have covered the spread in four of the last five head to head meetings. They won 23-13 in their last game here at Waco.

Take ISU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on California.

Arizona State shocked the Spartans in East Lansing two weeks ago, but then suffered a let down at home a week later, losing 34-31 to Colorado. Now they are on the road at California, and I think they are going to have trouble scoring points on this Bears defense. Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels threw for 345 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's loss to the Buffaloes, but he threw for just 140 yards and no TDs on 15-of-26 in his only road start at Michigan State. The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six Friday games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six overall. The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home meetings versus Arizona State.

Take CAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total.

These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 6* play on Texas A&M.

Auburn started off the season with a thrilling come from behind win over Oregon, and freshman quarterback Bo Nix was the hero in the victory. His overall body of work isn't really all that impressive, especially compared to his counterpart Kellen Mond. In three games he's completed just over 50 percent of his passes for 545 yards, four TDs and two INTs. Last year Mond three for a combined 717 yards, nine TDs and no picks in home games against LSU and Clemson. The Aggies lost a close game at Auburn last year, but A&M is 6-1 ATS in it's last seven home games. Auburn has failed to cover in eight of their last 11 versus teams with a winning record.

Take TAM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.

Michigan is still ranked in the Top 10 despite a pair of uninspiring games so far. Shea Patterson was supposed to be the quarterback that would lead this team to a national championship, but he didn't look all that sharp throwin for just 207 yards and no TDs on 19-of-29 passing in a double overtime win over Army. The Black Knights ran for 200 yards and three TDs in that game, and Jonanthan Taylor might just do better than that by himself this week at home. All Wisconsin has done is out-score opponents 110-0 in their first two games. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Michigan is 0-5 ATS in the last five at Wisconsin.

Take WIS.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes.

Utah opened the season on the road at BYU, winning by a score of 30-12. The Trojans were in Provo last week, and they lost 30-27 in overtime. Freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis was picked off three times in the loss, and he faces perhaps the best defense in the PAC12 here on Friday night. The Trojans would probably want to lean heavily on their leading rusher in this game, but Vavae Malepeai left the last game with a left leg injury. He has run for 272 yards and four TDs so far, so it would be a huge blow if he is anything less than 100 percent. Utah hasn't won at LA since 2001, but with USC so banged up, I like Utah to roll here on Friday.

Take UTAH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Texas Tech.

Arizona couldn't stop anybody last year, and so far in 2019 they have looked even worse. They gave up 45 points in a loss to Hawaii in Week 1, and then gave up 41 points in a win over Northern Arizona in Week 2. Now they face the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and sophomore QB Alan Bowman. The gunslinger from Grapevine TX can really light up inferior defenses, as evidenced by his 600+ yards and five TDs in Week 3 versus Houston last year. Not only does Texas Tech have the better offense, they can also play defense. They held UTEP to just 131 total yards in a 38-3 last week.

Take TTU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Northwestern.

The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total.

The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wake Forest.

Both these teams are 2-0 heading into this Saturday's game, but the Tar Heels had a tougher schedule. They are coming off a pair of punishing games versus South Carolina and Miami. While they won both games, those wins came at a price. They lost their starting center and their top DB for the rest of the season. The home team is 4-0 straight up, and 4-0 ATS in four head to head meetings since 2007. The Tar Heels are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Wake QB Jamie Newman has impressive numbers heading into this game, throwing for 713 yards and six TDs in his first two games of the season.

Take Wake.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Stanford Cardinal.

It was a rough first week for the Pac12, and the Cardinal and the Trojans each lost their starting quarterback in Week 1. Which team is more equiped to win with a backup quarterback? I'd have to go with a Stanford team that held a very good Northwestern team to just seven points last week, over a USC team that gave up 23 points, failing to cover against Fresno State.

Take STAN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.

Texas won 10 games last year, including a win over #5 ranked Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. They look great as a home dog versus #6 ranked LSU this Saturday. The Tigers are excited about their passing game with Joe Burrow, who threw for 278 yards and five TDs against Georgia Southern last week. The last time Burrow played a ranked team on the road, it was in a loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers were 2-2 on the road last year, losing to the Aggies and the Gators, and beating Auburn by a single point. They failed to cover in a rather pedestrian 24-17 win at Arkansas. The Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the points.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Texas A&M.

Clemson is unanimously ranked #1 overall, and I think that ranking is well deserved. I don't however think that they are quite as good as many people think they are, and I do think that they can be beaten. This should be a tough game for Clemson, perhaps the toughest game on their schedule. They face an SEC team ranked just outside the Top 10, and an Aggies team that nearly upset them a year ago. Kellen Mond threw for 440 yards and three TDs on 23-of-40 passing in that game, and he appears to be primed for a big season in his junior year at College Station. The Aggies have all the tools to pull off the upset hear, and yet the Tigers are favored by three scores. I'll take the points.

Take A&M.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total.

The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total.

The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. 

Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total.

These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Colorado.

It was a year ago today (also on a Friday) the last time these teams met. Here is what I had to say about that game: "The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat." Colorado crushed the Rams in that game, winning 45-13, and with Montez back for his senior year we should expect another one sided game in favor of the Buffaloes.

Take COL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arizona.

Hawaii jumed out of the gates winning six of their first seven games last year. They scored a ton of points in those games, but if you closely examine all of those wins you will see a common theme. Colorado State was 3-9 last season, UNLV was 4-8, and San Jose State was a woeful 1-11. They needed overtime to beat the Spartans by a score of 44-41. The strongest opposition they faced last season were games against BYU and Fresno State. They lost both those games by 3+ touchdowns.

Arizona comes into this Week 1 matchup versus Hawaii looking to bounce back from a disappointing first season under Kevin Sumlin. Senior QB Khalil Tate was expected to be a Heisman contender last year, but he failed to live up to expecations. His final four games might suggest he's ready for a bounce back 2019 campaign though. He averaged over 300 yards per game, with 16 TDs and four INTs while going 2-2 against tough opposition. One of those games was a 44-15 upset win over #19 ranked Oregon.

Take ARI.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Alabama.

There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. This time around Alabama has the better quarterback, and I expect to see the Tide to win this game in similar fashion to last year's victory over Clemson.

Take BAMA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total.

There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.

The Ducks were 8-4 in the PAC12 this year, and they finished the season strong winning three of their final four games. The Spartans on the other hand lost two of their final three games of the season, and freshman quarterback Rocky Lombardi played the majority of those final three games. Under Lombardi the Spartans managed just 26 total points in those final three games. The passing game is not a strength for Michigan State, and any success on offense has come on the ground. That's not a good matchup here against an Oregon defense that held five opponents under 100 rushing yards this season. The Ducks offense is in good hands with Justin Herbert, who is considered to be the top NFL quarterback prospect in college football. While the Spartans have done well in bowl games over the years, I just don't think they have enough offense to keep up with the Ducks.

Take ORE.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule.

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators.

The Michigan Wolverines come into their bowl game off an embarrassing 62-39 loss to Ohio State. Injuries played a roll in that game, and the Wolverines will be missing several key players here in the CHIK-FIL-A Bowl. Junior defensive end Rashan Gary and junior linebacker Devin Bush have both declared for the draft and won't participate in the bowl game in order to prepare for the NFL. Michigan's leading rusher is also sitting out the bowl game, and that leaves them a little shorthanded against a competitve SEC team in Florida. The Gators won nine games this season, two of those wins came against ranked teams (LSU and Mississippi State). I'll take the points.

Take FLA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total.

The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Army Black Knights.

The Houston Cougars lost three of their final four games of the season, and they allowed a whopping 166 points in those three losses. They really missed defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who didn't play in four of the last five games. He's by far their best player on defense, and he's expected to garner plenty of interest in the upcoming NFL draft. Neither Oliver or starting QB Deriq King will play in the bowl game, as they prepare for the draft. Army comes in as winners of eight straight, their last loss was back in September falling 28-21 at Oklahoma. A win here would give Army 11 wins for the first time in team history, so you can expect the Black Knights to be by far the more motivated team. I like Army to win big here in Texas.

Take ARMY.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Boise State.

I had a Game of the Month on Boise State when they played the Aggies last week, and here is what I had to say about that game: "The Broncos are the Big Boys in the Mountain West, but the Utah State Aggies come into Boise with a 10-1 record, and they are ranked #21 in the country. The #23 ranked Broncos though have battled through a tougher schedule, playing a pair of ranked teams in Oklahoma State and Fresno State. The Aggies don't have a single win against a ranked team, and their last six wins have all come against conference bottom feeders: (UNLV, SJST, CSU, UNM,WYO and HAW). The Broncos crushed Utah State in Logan last year by a score of 41-14, and they have won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. They have won five straight home meetings versus Utah State, but what is most significant is the margin of victory in those games (over 30 points per game). While this Utah State team is clearly much better than it has been in the past, I still don't see any evidence that they can upset the Broncos on the Blue Turf." Another home game against a tough challenger that they already beat this season, and once again I am taking the Broncos.

Take BSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play UGA.

Alabama is in a class of it's own, ranked #1 overall with a 12-0 record and an average margin of victory well over 20 points. They have covered the spread in five straight against SEC teams, and right about now most people think this team is unbeatable. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. Most people didn't think they would lose last year to Auburn, or two years ago in the Championship Game against Clemson. They were favorites in both of those games, but here in Atlanta they are asked to beat Georgia by a whopping two TDs. The last time these teams played Alabama was losing in overtime and backed up facing a 3rd and long, when Tua threw a game winning TD to steal the game. Georgia still covered the spread, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. I'll take the points.

Take UGA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bulls.

The Northern Illinois Huskies are coming off back to back losses heading into the MAC Championship Game versus Buffalo. The Bulls have owned the MAC this year, going 7-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Ohio. The Huskies have won 10 straight versus Buffalo since 1999, but I think that past success is the only reason why this line isn't a lot closer to -7. I think there is no questioning that the Bulls are the superior team here, and we are getting a great price to back the favorite to win straight up. Northern Illinois hasn't performed well in neutral site games, going just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 such contests.

Take BUF.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Mountaineers.

The top two teams in the BIG12 will meet in Morgantown on Black Friday, and the Sooners are the favorite. There's no shortage of similarities between these two teams, starting with a pair of Heisman candidates at quarterback. West Virginia lost a close game on the road at Oklahoma State last week, while the Sooners won a nail biter by a score of 48-47 at home versus the Cowboys a week earlier.  One thing that separates these two teams is that West Virginia can play defense, and the Sooners don't seem to be able to stop anybody. The Mountaineers have won all five of their home games, allowing an average of fewer than 14 points. Oklahoma has been a sexy pick for punters each week, but the bookmakers have had the last laugh with the Sooners failing to cover in seven of their last 10 overall. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. I don't see any reason why the home team is getting points here.

Take WVU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Hawaii.

The Warriors have lost four straight, but I expect them to "run and shoot" all over the Rebels at home tonight. UNLV is just 1-5 in the Mountain West, and they have been lit up for over 38 points per game. The Warriors have feasted on inferior teams, scoring 43 at Colorado State, and dropping 59 in their home opener versus Navy. Cole McDonald has completed 60  percent of his passes for over 3000 yards and 32 TDs, with just six INTs. He ranks among the nation's leaders in passing, and he should pick apart a suspect Rebels defense. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it!

Take HAW.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos.

The Broncos will host Fresno State tonight, and the Bulldogs come in as road favorites likley because they own a better record (8-1). Boise State has two losses, but I still find it a little shocking that the Broncos would be a home dog on the Blue Turf. The Broncos 21-16 home win over BYU last week is far more impressive than any of the Bulldogs eight wins. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series dating back to 2012. The Broncos have won 15 of their last 17 home games outright, and that includes a pair of wins over BYU and a win over PAC12 powerhouse Washington State. I'll take Brett Rypien and his Broncos as home dogs.

Take BSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

8*

8*

This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total.

This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total.  In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors.  Take OVER.  GL,  

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks.

Chip Kelly returns to Oregon with his struggling UCLA squad, coming off a blowout loss at Utah. The Ducks have lost back to back games on the road, but their last home game was a shocking upset win over the Washington Huskies. The Bruins allowed Utah to run for 345 yards last week: "We didn't tackle well in the first half, didn't tackle well in the second half," UCLA coach Chip Kelly said in his post game analysis. They allowed the Arizona Wildcats to run for 289 yards in a 31-30 home win a week earlier. The Ducks still rank in the Top 25 in the country in scoring, and with all their weapons I expect them to light up an inferior UCLA defense at home. The Ducks are 5-0 straight up in five home games against UCLA since 2006, and four of those wins came by a double digit margin.

Take ORE.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total.

The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Arizona.

The Wildcats are coming off a blowout win over Oregon at home, and they host a sad sacked Colorado team tonight. The Buffaloes are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, blowing a 31-3 lead at home versus Oregon State. Arizona has owned Colorado in recent seasons, winning five of the last six head to head meetings. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. This will be the third road game versus a PAC12 opponent for Colorado, and the previous two were double-digit losses to USC and Washington. Quarterback Stephen Montez failed to throw for 200 yards in both those games, and had more INTs (2) than TD passes (1). This looks like a good spot for the Wildcats to take advantage of an inferior opponent at home.

Take ARI.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total.

The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WVU.

The much improved Baylor Bears will be a two touchdown underdog on the road at West Virginia tonight, but I have my doubts that they can hang with the Mountaineers. Baylor appears to be off to a great start, with a 4-3 overall record and a 2-2 record in the BIG12. Look a little closer though and you can see that their two wins in conference play came against a pair of BIG12 bottom feeders in Kansas and K-State who have a combined record of 1-7. They did manage to hang with both Duke and Texas, but neither of those two teams have the potent air attack that West Virginia has. Perhaps a better comparison would be their 66-33 loss to Oklahoma. They catch the Mountaineers coming off their first loss of the season, and this looks like a spot where the home team should open up a can of whupass!

Take WVU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats.

Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, and the line has been bet up almost five points since opening at -5.5. I'll fade this inflated number.

Take ARI.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under.

Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

8*

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Stanford.

The Utah Utes have struggled offensively this season, and they have been really limited in the passing game. Tyler Huntley threw for 118 yards on 12-of-20 passing in a loss to Washington State last week. It was his third straight game without a passing TD, and his second consecutive game with fewer than 200 yards passing. Stanford was embarrassed by Notre Dame last week, and a bounce back performance at home should be expected. The Cardinal are 4-1 overall, which is quite impressive considering that they have played three ranked teams (Oregon, USC. Notre Dame). K.J. Costello has played well for Stanford, and with Bryce Love banged up, the Cardinal may need to lean more on their quarterback. He proved he is quite capable, throwing for over 500 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INT in home wins over San Diego State and USC. I can't see the Utes scoring enough points to keep them in this game.

Take STAN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total.

The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Cougars.

The Utah State Aggies come into tonight's game at BYU with a 3-1 record, and the nation's 3rd ranked scoring offense averaging over 51 points per game. It's difficult to say how good this team really is however, with all their wins coming against bottom of the barrel teams. The Cougars on the other hand have navigated a difficult schedule that includes a 24-21 upset win at Wisconsin. They were humbled on the road at Washington last week, but I expect them to bounce back here at home. The return of key defenders Zayne Anderson (OLB) and Dayan Ghanwoloku (S) will give them a boost. The Aggies have failed to cover in five straight on the road against winning teams, and the Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four when coming off a loss.

Take BYU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total.

The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars.

The Cougars are coming off a 39-36 loss at USC, and they were out-scored 15-6 in the fourth quarter of that game. They will be at home this week, hostin the Utah Utes. Utah is coming off a 21-7 loss at Washington, and quarterback Tyler Huntley threw for just 138 yards and an INT in that game. Washington State has won three straight against Utah, and two of those three wins came on the road. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Utes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven versus Wazzu.

Take WSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels.

The Tar Heels have overcome a lot of adversity so far this season, weathering the storm of an off season controversy. After losing their first two games, they won outright as an underdog versus Pittsburgh last week. They have covered the spread in each of their last four when getting points, and they have historically been quite competitive in previous meetings versus Miami. They have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings, and they have won outright in three of the last six meetings. Only once in the last six meetings did they lose by double digits. Miami has struggled to run away from inferior opponents so far this season, and I think they will have their hands full here versus a division rival.

Take UNC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Hawaii.

The Duquesne Dukes aren't coming to Hawaii to compete in a football game, they are on what is more like a paid vacation. This is like a sparring partner for a prize fighter, who is meant to be no more than a punching bag. Duquesne played UMASS in Week 1, and got blown out by a score of 63-15. The Minutemen aren't even a competitive FBS team, and they have since lost three straight games by 20 or more to Florida International, Georgia State and Boston College. Hawaii leads the nation in passing offense, and their quarterback Cole McDonald is the nation's leading passer. This is an opportunity for the Warriors to pad their stats, and I expect them to pile on the points. This should be a win by 50+.

Take HAW.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Vols.

The Vols aren't a great team, but they always seem to manage to muster a solid effort against rivals Florida. The Gators have won three of the last four meetings, but the average margin of victory in those games is less than three points. Two of the last four meetings have been decided by a single point, and the Vols have outscored Florida 47-38 in the last two meetings in Knoxville. The Gators have failed to cover in four straight road games, and five straight versus teams from the SEC. I don't think Florida should be a favorite, never mind asking them to cover 4-5 points. I'll take the home dog in this epic rivalry.

Take VOLS.

GL,

Jesse Schule