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Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-20-24	Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5		21-24	Loss	-105	10 h 49 m	Show
9* NFL - Packers/49ers Total ANNIHILATOR PLAY ON: OVER 50.5
01-13-24	Browns v. Texans OVER 44.5	Top	14-45	Win	100	6 h 13 m	Show
10* NFL Wild Card Saturday TOP PLAY PLAY ON: Browns/Texans OVER 44.5
01-07-24	Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 35	Top	13-12	Loss	-110	6 h 24 m	Show
10* NFL Sharp Money PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON: Chiefs/Chargers OVER 35
12-31-23	Rams v. Giants OVER 43.5		26-25	Win	100	15 h 47 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Rams/Giants OVER 43.5
12-30-23	Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52		19-20	Loss	-115	10 h 32 m	Show
9* NFL Saturday Night Total NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Lions/Cowboys OVER 52
12-29-23	Memphis v. Iowa State OVER 57.5	Top	36-26	Win	100	6 h 43 m	Show
10* NCAAF Liberty Bowl TOP PLAY PLAY ON: Memphis/Iowa St OVER 57.5
12-25-23	Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46	Top	33-19	Win	100	21 h 45 m	Show
10* NFL Vegas Insider TOP PLAY PLAY ON: Ravens/49ers OVER 46
12-24-23	Jaguars v. Bucs OVER 43	Top	12-30	Loss	-110	7 h 29 m	Show
10* NFL Over/Under PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON Jags/Bucs OVER 43
12-23-23	Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 53.5	Top	19-21	Loss	-110	63 h 50 m	Show
10* NCAAF Pre-Christmas PLAY OF THE YEAR PLAY ON: Arkansas St/N Illinois OVER 53.5
12-18-23	Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 45	Top	17-20	Loss	-110	11 h 35 m	Show
10* NFL Monday Night Football TOP PLAY PLAY ON: Eagles/Seahawks OVER 45
12-16-23	Vikings v. Bengals OVER 40	Top	24-27	Win	100	63 h 31 m	Show
10* NFL Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH PLAY ON: Vikings/Bengals OVER 40
12-10-23	Colts v. Bengals OVER 44		14-34	Win	100	15 h 56 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Colts/Bengals OVER 44
12-07-23	Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 30.5	Top	21-18	Loss	-110	11 h 46 m	Show
10* NFL - Pats/Steelers TNF Top Play PLAY ON: Pats/Steelers UNDER 30.5
12-02-23	Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 47.5		6-16	Win	100	70 h 47 m	Show
9* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Louisville/Florida St UNDER 47.5
12-02-23	Georgia v. Alabama OVER 55	Top	24-27	Loss	-110	20 h 3 m	Show
10* NCAAF Championship PLAY OF THE YEAR PLAY ON: Alabama/Georgia OVER 55
12-02-23	Oklahoma State v. Texas OVER 54.5		21-49	Win	100	61 h 3 m	Show
9* NCAAF Conf Champ TOTAL ANNIHILATOR PLAY ON: Oklahoma St/Texas OVER 54.5
11-27-23	Bears v. Vikings UNDER 43	Top	12-10	Win	100	10 h 54 m	Show
10* NFL Bears/Vikings MNF VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON: UNDER 43
11-26-23	Jaguars v. Texans OVER 48		24-21	Loss	-110	4 h 25 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Jags/Texans OVER 48
11-26-23	Saints v. Falcons OVER 42		15-24	Loss	-110	4 h 10 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total MASSACRE PLAY ON: Saints/Falcons OVER 42
11-23-23	Packers v. Lions OVER 47		29-22	Win	100	14 h 53 m	Show
9* NFL Packers/Lions Total NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Packers/Lions OVER 47
11-18-23	Baylor v. TCU OVER 61		17-42	Loss	-110	6 h 56 m	Show
9* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER PLAY ON: Baylor/TCU OVER 61
11-17-23	South Florida v. UTSA OVER 66.5		21-49	Win	100	12 h 43 m	Show
9* NCAAF Friday Night Total ANNIHILATOR PLAY ON: USF/UTSA OVER 66.5
11-16-23	Boston College v. Pittsburgh OVER 45.5		16-24	Loss	-110	9 h 22 m	Show
9* NCAAF Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR PLAY ON: OVER 45.5
11-13-23	Broncos v. Bills OVER 47.5	Top	24-22	Loss	-105	11 h 1 m	Show
10* NFL Broncos/Bills VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BRONCOS/BILLS OVER 47.5
11-12-23	Falcons v. Cardinals OVER 43	Top	23-25	Win	100	21 h 33 m	Show
10* NFL Falcons/Cardinals VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON FALCONS/CARDINALS OVER 43
11-09-23	Virginia v. Louisville OVER 50.5		24-31	Win	100	10 h 49 m	Show
9* NCAAF Virginia/Louisville SHARP STAKE PLAY ON VIRGINIA/LOUISVILLE OVER 50.5
11-05-23	Bears v. Saints OVER 41		17-24	Push	0	28 h 3 m	Show
9* NFL - Bears/Saints SHARP STAKE PLAY ON BEARS/SAINTS OVER 41
11-04-23	UCLA v. Arizona UNDER 50.5		10-27	Win	100	48 h 16 m	Show
9* NCAAF UCLA/Arizona SHARP STAKE PLAY ON UCLA/ARIZONA UNDER 50.5
11-04-23	Oregon State v. Colorado OVER 62		26-19	Loss	-110	48 h 47 m	Show
9* NCAAF Oregon St/Colorado VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON OREGON ST/COLORADO OVER 62
10-29-23	Texans v. Panthers OVER 43.5		13-15	Loss	-110	3 h 5 m	Show
9* NFL Texans/Panthers SHARP STAKE PLAY ON TEXANS/PANTHERS OVER 43.5
10-26-23	Bucs v. Bills OVER 43.5	Top	18-24	Loss	-110	11 h 54 m	Show
10* NFL Bucs/Bills TNF VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BUCS/BILLS OVER 43.5
10-21-23	Utah v. USC OVER 53	Top	34-32	Win	100	34 h 23 m	Show
10* NCAAF Utah/USC VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON UTAH/USC OVER 53
10-21-23	Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 41		25-21	Loss	-110	30 h 54 m	Show
9* NCAAF - Wisconsin/Illinois SHARP STAKE PLAY ON WISCONSIN/ILLINOIS UNDER 41
10-21-23	Oklahoma State v. West Virginia OVER 49		48-34	Win	100	30 h 45 m	Show
9* NCAAF - Oklahoma St/W Virginia SHARP STAKE *PLAY ON OKLAHOMA ST/W VIRGINIA OVER 49*
10-21-23	Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 57.5		38-23	Win	100	26 h 20 m	Show
9* NCAAF - BC/Ga Tech SHARP STAKE PLAY ON BC/GA TECH OVER 57.5
10-21-23	Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5	Top	7-3	Loss	-110	26 h 22 m	Show
10* NCAAF - Miss St/Arkansas VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON MISS ST/ARKANSAS OVER 47.5
10-17-23	Southern Miss v. South Alabama UNDER 51.5	Top	3-55	Loss	-110	10 h 12 m	Show
10* NCAAF S Miss/S Alabama VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON SOUTHERN MISS/SOUTH ALABAMA UNDER 51.5
10-08-23	Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 45		10-42	Win	100	117 h 58 m	Show
9* NFL Cowboys/49ers SHARP STAKE PLAY ON COWBOYS/49ERS OVER 45
10-07-23	TCU v. Iowa State OVER 52	Top	14-27	Loss	-120	93 h 1 m	Show
10* NCAAF TCU/Iowa St VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON TCU/IOWA STATE OVER 52
10-07-23	LSU v. Missouri OVER 64		49-39	Win	100	85 h 2 m	Show
9* NCAAF LSU/Missouri SHARP STAKE PLAY ON LSU/MISSOURI OVER 64
10-07-23	Oklahoma v. Texas UNDER 60.5	Top	34-30	Loss	-110	85 h 4 m	Show
10* NCAAF Big 12 TOTAL OF THE YEAR PLAY ON OKLAHOMA/TEXAS UNDER 60.5
10-05-23	Bears v. Commanders OVER 44	Top	40-20	Win	100	58 h 40 m	Show
10* NFL Bears/Commanders VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON BEARS/COMMANDERS OVER 44
10-02-23	Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47	Top	24-3	Loss	-110	11 h 48 m	Show
10* NFL Seahawks/Giants VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON SEAHAWKS/GIANTS OVER 47
09-30-23	South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 63.5		20-41	Win	100	94 h 38 m	Show
9* NCAAF S Carolina/Tennessee SHARP STAKE PLAY ON S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 63.5
09-30-23	Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 48		20-50	Win	100	93 h 5 m	Show
9* NCAAF Iowa St/Oklahoma SHARP STAKE PLAY ON ISU/OKLAHOMA OVER 48
09-30-23	Georgia v. Auburn UNDER 47		27-20	Push	0	90 h 36 m	Show
9* NCAAF Georgia/Auburn SHARP STAKE PLAY ON GEORGIA/AUBURN UNDER 47
09-30-23	Texas A&M v. Arkansas OVER 54.5	Top	34-22	Win	100	86 h 3 m	Show
10* NCAAF SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR PLAY ON TEXAS A&M/ARKANSAS OVER 54.5
09-23-23	Ohio State v. Notre Dame UNDER 55.5		17-14	Win	100	93 h 16 m	Show
9* NCAAF Ohio St/Notre Dame SHARP STAKE PLAY ON OHIO St/NOTRE DAME UNDER 55.5
09-23-23	Oregon State v. Washington State OVER 55.5		35-38	Win	100	93 h 36 m	Show
9* NCAAF Oregon St/Washington St SHARP STAKE PLAY ON OREGON STATE/WASHINGTON STATE OVER 55.5
09-23-23	Auburn v. Texas A&M OVER 51	Top	10-27	Loss	-110	86 h 54 m	Show
10* Auburn/Texas A&M SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH PLAY ON AUBURN/TEXAS A&M OVER 51
09-22-23	Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 46.5	Top	34-31	Loss	-110	13 h 55 m	Show
10* NCAAF Boise St/SDST MWC TOTAL OF THE MONTH PLAY ON BOISE ST/SAN DIEGO ST UNDER 46.5
09-21-23	Giants v. 49ers OVER 43.5	Top	12-30	Loss	-110	10 h 11 m	Show
10* NFL Giants/49ers VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON GIANTS/49ERS OVER 43.5
09-17-23	Bears v. Bucs OVER 41		17-27	Win	100	27 h 20 m	Show
9* NFL Bears/Bucs SHARP STAKE PLAY ON BEARS/BUCS OVER 41
09-16-23	Colorado State v. Colorado OVER 59	Top	35-43	Win	100	80 h 5 m	Show
10* NCAAF Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR PLAY ON COLORADO ST/COLORADO OVER 59
09-16-23	TCU v. Houston OVER 64		36-13	Loss	-109	78 h 15 m	Show
9* NCAAF TCU/Houston SHARP STAKE PLAY ON TCU/HOUSTON OVER 64
09-14-23	Vikings v. Eagles OVER 49	Top	28-34	Win	100	23 h 34 m	Show
10* NFL Vikings/Eagles VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON VIKINGS/EAGLES OVER 49
09-09-23	Texas A&M v. Miami-FL OVER 51		33-48	Win	100	48 h 49 m	Show
9* NCAAF Texas A&M/Miami SHARP STAKE PLAY ON TEXAS A&M/MIAMI OVER 51
09-07-23	Lions v. Chiefs OVER 53	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	11 h 4 m	Show
10* NFL Lions/Chiefs VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LIONS/CHIEFS OVER 53
09-02-23	Boise State v. Washington OVER 58.5		19-56	Win	100	72 h 35 m	Show
9* NCAAF Boise St/Washington SHARP STAKE PLAY ON BOISE ST/WASHINGTON OVER 58.5
01-16-23	Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45.5	Top	31-14	Loss	-107	10 h 15 m	Show
10* NFL Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Cowboys/Bucs OVER 45.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 45.5 in Monday's NFC Wild Card showdown between the Cowboys and Bucs. I'm well aware that Tampa Bay beat Dallas by a score of just 19-3 during the regular-season. That was back in Week 1. I'm focused more on what I've seen from these two teams over the last 4-6 weeks of the regular-season. For Dallas, they have really had to rely heavily on their offense, as the defense that looked so good early on in the year has been exposed on several occasions. The OVER had cashed in 5 straight before they went UNDER in their last two. Thing is in Week 17 they played at the Titans who have no offense and were resting guys leading up to their big game vs the Jags in Week 18. Dallas then had a pretty meaningless game in Week 18 at Washington and it showed in their 6-26 loss. Tampa Bay's defense is good and does matchup well with their ability to stop the run, but Dak should be able to exploit this season for the Bucs. TB was great at holding bad offenses with average QBs in check, but they struggled against the more efficient QBs. As for the Tampa Bay offense, I think they showed a lot of good signs down the stretch. Brady threw for 411 yards in their division-clinching win over the Panthers in Week 17. I'm pretty confident the Bucs will move the ball in this one. I just think there's going to be more than enough scoring to get this game into the 50s. Give me the OVER 45.5!
01-09-23	TCU v. Georgia OVER 63.5	Top	7-65	Win	100	10 h 23 m	Show
10* National Championship VEGAS INSIDER: TCU/Georgia OVER 63.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 63.5 in Monday's National Championship Game between TCU and Georgia. We saw all kinds of points being scored in the two Semifinal matchups with TCU beating Michigan 51-45 and Georgia knocking off Ohio State 42-41. I don't know if we will see this thing get into the 80's, but there should be no problem eclipsing the total of 63.5. TCU is simply built for high-scoring games. They have an elite offense and a sub-par defense. I don't see Georgia having any problems moving the ball up and down the field on this Horned Frogs stop unit. They were fortunate to only give up 45 points to the Wolverines in the Fiesta Bowl. The TCU offense did show me something with how well they moved the ball against a very good Michigan defense. The same Wolverines defense that held a potent Ohio State offense to just 23 points, giving up only 3 points in the 2nd half. We just saw the Buckeyes put up 41 on Georgia's defense. Not to mention the Bulldogs gave up 30 to LSU in the SEC title game. I think TCU can easily get into the 30s and I expect Georgia to as well. Give me the OVER 63.5!
01-08-23	Vikings v. Bears OVER 42.5		29-13	Loss	-110	24 h 10 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR: Vikings/Bears OVER 42.5 Analysis Coming
01-01-23	Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 40.5	Top	24-30	Loss	-110	23 h 7 m	Show
10* NFL NFC South TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Panthers/Bucs UNDER 40.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 40.5 in Sunday's huge NFC South matchup between the Panthers and Bucs. I know Carolina just put up 37 points and 570 total yards in last week's 14-point win at home over the Lions, but that's not a very good Lions defense. It's also a Detroit defense that struggles to stop the run and this Panthers offense is built around their run game. Running the football on the Bucs will be a much more difficult task. Keep in mind the Panthers did run for 173 yards at home in their previous meeting with Tampa Bay and still only managed 21 points. Tampa Bay could only manage a field goal in that first matchup, as the game saw a mere 24 combined points. Things haven't gotten a whole lot better for the Bucs offense as the season has went on. TB has scored fewer than 20 points in 4 of their last 5 games with a 23-point showing against the Bengals being their highest output during this stretch. You add in 1st place in the NFC South being up for grabs and I just think we are going to have a playoff like atmosphere in Tampa Bay on Sunday. I think that only helps us, as I see both offenses playing more to not screw it up than taking a bunch of chances. Either way, I don't see this getting into the 40s. Give me the UNDER 40.5!
12-20-22	Toledo v. Liberty OVER 52.5		21-19	Loss	-110	10 h 10 m	Show
9* NCAAF Boca Raton Bowl NO-BRAINER: Toledo/Liberty OVER 52.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 52.5 in Tuesday's matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Liberty Flames in the Boca Raton Bowl. I'm expecting a lot of fireworks in this one, as we have two fast-paced offenses that generate a bunch of explosive plays on the ground and thru the air against two defenses that have struggled on defense giving up the big play. Liberty's defense finished the season ranked 124th in explosive rushing allowed and 103rd in explosive pass plays allowed. Toledo was 114th in explosive rush allowed and 66th in explosive pass allowed. As for the tempo of this game, the Flames rank 37th in the FBS running a play every 24.9 seconds and the Rockets are 25th at 24.0 seconds between plays. So while both of these teams do like to run the ball, both teams should get more than enough possessions on offense to push this past the low total. Give me the OVER 52.5!
12-19-22	Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 41		14-28	Loss	-110	5 h 50 m	Show
9* NCAAF Myrtle Beach Bowl VEGAS INSIDER: UConn/Marshall UNDER 41 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 41 in Monday's game between UConn and Marshall at the Myrtle Beach Bowl. I just don't see much offense taking place in this one. I really have my concerns for the UConn offense. The Huskies are facing a very good Thundering Herd defense. Marshall only gave up 16.2 ppg, 293 ypg and 4.6 yards/play. That was against teams who on average put up 26.2 ppg, 293 ypg and 5.6 yards/play. The other big thing with that Marshall defense is how good they are at stopping the run. Thundering Herd only gave up 90 ypg and 2.8 yards/carry to opposing offenses this season. That's a problem for UConn, as they rely heavily on the run game to move the football. Huskies only threw it an average of 20 times a game and completed just 59.3% of those attempts for 107 ypg. It is a little better matchup for the Marshall offense, who also love to run the football, as UConn has had it's troubles at times this year stopping the run. However, this is also a Thundering Herd offense that was terrible at finishing drives with TDs. Marshall was 127th in the country in scoring opportunities, averaging just 2.7 points per trip inside the opponents 40-yard line. I just think with both teams wanting to run the football at all cost and the struggles both of these teams figure to have finding the endzone, a lot is going to have to go right for these two teams to eclipse the 40-point mark. Give me the UNDER 41!
12-12-22	Patriots v. Cardinals OVER 43.5		27-13	Loss	-110	11 h 39 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER: Patriots/Cardinals OVER 43.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 43.5 between the Patriots and Cardinals on Monday Night Football. The Patriots should be able to get their offense going in this one. Arizona has given up at least 25 points in 5 of their last 6 games. The only exception being a game at the Rams. I also think this New England defense isn't nearly as good as what people think. They have really had their way with some of the worst offensive teams in the league. When they have got matched up against a capable offense, they have struggled. Arizona has scored at least 20 in 5 of their last 6. Both teams should easily be in the 20s. Give me the OVER 43.5!
12-11-22	Dolphins v. Chargers OVER 51.5		17-23	Loss	-110	78 h 41 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Dolphins/Chargers OVER 51.5 I'm going to take the OVER 51.5 between the Dolphins and Chargers. I see a lot of points being scored in this one. Miami's offense was held in check by a really good 49ers defense last week. I wasn't surprised at all by it. I played the 49ers because I loved how their defense matched up against the Dolphins pass happy offense. This is a much better matchup for Miami's offense. This is not a good Chargers defense and they are down some key guys on that side of the ball. Los Angeles is giving up 25.8 ppg 372 ypg and 6.3 yards/play on the season. They are down their best pass rusher and best all-around defensive player in Joey Bosa. They also have lost a top corner in J.C. Jackson and it's up in the air if star safety Derwin James will play. Miami had scored 30 or more points in 4 straight games prior to only producing 17 against the 49ers. I like them to eclipse that mark in this one, especially with the perfect conditions that come with playing at SoFi Stadium. That means we probably need just 24 from the Chargers to cash this OVER. I don't think they will have any trouble reaching that. I don't think this Miami defense is anywhere close to as good as what people think and it's not like they are playing great as it is. They certainly haven't performed well on the road. The Dolphins are giving up a staggering 32.8 ppg, 380 ypg and 6.2 yards/play on the road this season. The OVER is 5-1 in their 6 road games, with an average combined score of 59.0 points. OVER is also 8-1 in the Dolphins last 9 road games vs quality offensive teams that are averaging 350 or more yards/game and 11-3 in the Chargers last 14 when playing against a team with a winning record. Give me the OVER 51.5!
12-08-22	Raiders v. Rams OVER 43.5	Top	16-17	Loss	-107	10 h 18 m	Show
10* NFL Thursday Night Football VEGAS INSIDER: Raiders/Rams OVER 43.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 43.5 between the Raiders and Rams on Thursday Night Football. If the Raiders don't push for 30 points in this game, I would be shocked. This Las Vegas offense has quietly been playing well over the last month. In their last 4 games, they have scored on 45% of their possessions, which is the 3rd best mark in the league over that span. Carr is really playing well right now. In their 3-game win streak leading up to this game, he's thrown for 284 ypg, averaging just over 8.0 yards/attempt. He'll be facing a Rams defense that has given up at least 26 points in each of their last 4 games. One that is without what many consider to be the best defensive player in the league in Aaron Donald. They also don't have their second best defensive lineman in A'Shawn Robinson. I don't see how they slow down Josh Jacobs in this game. If they can't, that should only open up things more for Carr thru the air. It's not as promising when you look at the Rams offense, which is why I think we are getting such great value with this total. As hard as it is to believe, Baker Mayfield may actually start this game after being with the team for just a couple of days. I know Mayfield has been awful, but it's not like this is some massive drop off in talent from John Wolford or Bryce Perkins. I'll put some faith in McVay figuring out something that gives Mayfield a chance in this game. This is not a great Raiders defense and it's one that has struggled to take down the opposing quarterback. Las Vegas' 21 sacks is the 28th worst mark in the league. That's a big plus for Mayfield's chances. All we need here is a 27-17 type of game. Give me the OVER 43.5!
12-04-22	Jaguars v. Lions OVER 51.5		14-40	Win	100	72 h 39 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Jags/Lions OVER 51.5 I'll take the OVER 51.5 in Sunday's matchup that has the Jaguars visiting the Lions. Detroit has been one of my favorite teams to play on when it comes to the OVER, especially when they are playing at home and aren't facing a division opponent. In this scenario, where the Lions are playing at home against a non-division opponent, the lowest combined score we have seen in a single game is 53 and the average combined score in the 5 games that meet this criteria is 68.0 ppg. In those 5 games the Lions are averaging 33.6 ppg and giving up 34.4 ppg. I get the Jags aren't as good an offensive team as some of their home opponents, but we saw the Lions and Commanders combined for 63 points in Detroit earlier this season. I think Trevor Lawrence keeps improving and he's quietly got a 8-2 TD-INT ratio over his last 6 games. He's also not going to have to shoulder the load, as the Lions are an awful against the run, giving up 155 ypg and 5.2 yards/carry. On the flip side of this, I don't think the Jags defense is going to have much luck containing this Lions offense. Detroit's averaging 6.3 yards/play at home this season and are facing a Jacksonville defense that is giving up 24.8 ppg, 392 ypg and 6.0 yards/play on the road this year. I think both teams at a minimum put up 24 points and at least one of these teams hits the 30-point mark. Give me the OVER 51.5!
12-01-22	Bills v. Patriots OVER 43.5	Top	24-10	Loss	-110	10 h 35 m	Show
10* Thurs. Night Football TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Bills/Patriots OVER 43.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 43.5 in Thursday's AFC East showdown between the Bills and Patriots. I just feel the total here should be closer to 48. I know this is a division matchup, but I see both offenses putting up points. It felt like Allen figured out this New England defense last year. He had 33 points and 428 total yards in the first meeting and then came back in the next matchup and put up 47 points and 482 total yards. Yes, Allen has not played at the MVP level we expect from him in his last few games. I do think he's dealing with some kind of injury to that elbow. However, this offense is far from broken. Bills are averaging 29.7 ppg, 414.7 ypg and 6.2 yards/play over their last 3 games. I'm also not convinced this Patriots defense is as good as what people think. Prior to giving up 33 points and 358 yards to the Vikings, the Patriots previous 7 games came against the following quarterbacks. Zach Wilson (twice), Sam Ehlinger, Justin Fields, Jacoby Brissett and Jared Goff (without Amon St. Brown). Aaron Rodgers and the Packers put up 27 on them with over 400 yards of offense and Lamar Jackson guided Baltimore to 37 points. This team has simply not played great defensively against top tier quarterbacks. As for the Pats offense, I definitely feel like it's got better as the season has went along. Mac Jones seems a lot more comfortable than he did a few weeks ago. I also think this Bills defense is hurting and is going to really miss Von Miller. Miller was a game wrecker for this defense. He led the team with 8.5 sacks. The next best is Greg Rosseau with 5 (only two other guys have 2 or more). Bad quarterbacks can look good when there's no pressure. Give me the OVER 43.5!
11-27-22	Raiders v. Seahawks OVER 47.5		40-34	Win	100	136 h 56 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Raiders/Seahawks OVER 47.5 I'll take the OVER 47.5 between the Raiders and Seahawks. I really feel like this total should be in the 50s. Early on this season Seattle was making headlines for having one of the worst defenses in the league and as a result they found themselves in a lot of shootouts. There was a stretch from Week 2 to Week 5, where they gave up 27 or more points in 4 straight games. Then all the sudden this defense started to play better. Since giving up 39 to the Saints in Week 5, they have not allowed more than 23 in 5 straight games. Now all the sudden everyone wants to praise their defense. I'm just not buying it. I think the improved numbers have more to do with who they have played on the schedule than them transforming into this great defense. Two weeks ago against the Bucs in Germany, they held Tampa Bay to just 21 points, but were pretty fortunate to do so, as the Bucs piled on 419 yards. This is still a defense that is allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66% of their attempts. I just think Derek Carr and the Raiders passing attack are going to be able to make some plays in this game. I know Las Vegas had just 22 points in last week's win over the Broncos, but they had over 400 yards of total offense. Carr threw for 307 yards and that's against a Denver defense that is statistically one of the best in the league against the pass. They are tied with the Eagles for the best mark in the NFL, allowing just 5.8 yards/pass attempt. Seattle ranks in the bottom 10 in that department, giving up 7.4 yards/attempt. I think the Raiders offense doing their share is the only real concern here, because Geno Smith and the Seahawks offense should have a field day against a bad Las Vegas defense. Raiders have played one of the easiest schedules as far as playing good offensive teams. Las Vegas' opponents on average are scoring just 19.9 ppg, yet they come in allowing 24.2 ppg. They will be facing a Seahawks offense that is 5th in the NFL in scoring at 25.7 ppg and has averaged 29.1 ppg over their last 8 games. This is also a Seattle offense that is scoring 31.7 ppg in games this season when they rush for at least 100 yards. A mark you have to think they will hit in this game, as the Raiders have a very week front 7 and have allowed their opponents to rush for at least 100 yards in 7 of the 10 games they have played this season. Two of those they held under 100 yards were against the Broncos and the other was the Chargers who are 29th in the NFL in rushing at just 87.9 ypg. Give me the OVER 47.5!
11-26-22	Iowa State v. TCU UNDER 48	Top	14-62	Loss	-110	113 h 51 m	Show
10* NCAAF Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Iowa St/TCU UNDER 48 I really like the UNDER 48 in Saturday's Big 12 shodown that has Iowa State going on the road to face TCU. I think the only real concern here is that the Cyclones don't show up given last week's 10-14 loss to Texas Tech ended any hope they had of getting to 6 wins and a bowl game. It's certainly a possibility and if that's the case we are probably in trouble. However, I feel pretty good about ISU not just throwing in the towel. Not against TCU. It would be one thing if TCU was 9-2 and needing this win to get to the Big 12 title game. The Horned Frogs are undefeated and ranked No. 4 in the country. I got to think ISU will be motivated here to put that perfect season to rest and really treat this game like it's their Super Bowl given it's the last time they will be on the field together. That to me is the key, because if the Cyclones defense shows up, there doesn't figure to be a lot of points scored in this game because this ISU defense is elite and their offense is at the other end of the spectrum. Cyclones have scored 21 or fewer points in more games than they have eclipsed that mark. I just don't see them doing a lot against this TCU defense. As for the Cyclones defense, I think they are better or at least equal to the Texas defense that held this TCU team to just 17 points and 284 total yards a couple weeks back. Give me the UNDER 48!
11-20-22	Bears v. Falcons OVER 48.5		24-27	Win	100	70 h 14 m	Show
9* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Falcons/Bears OVER 48.5 I'll take the OVER 48.5 between the Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons. I've been on the OVER in each of the Bears last two games. I had the OVER 45.5 in their 32-35 loss to the Dolphins in Week 9 and the OVER 48.5 in last week's 30-31 loss to the Lions. The 67 points they combined for with Miami was the highest game score of any game in Week 9 and the 61 they combined for with Detroit was topped only by the Vikings/Bills OT game that saw 63 combined points. Keep in mind they also had the highest scoring output in Week 8 when the combined for 78 with the Cowboys. It's really a combination of two things. One the Chicago offense has completely done a 180 from the start of the year, as they figured out how to get Justin Fields more involved in the running game. In the last 5 games, Fields has rushed for 555 yards on 62 attempts. In the Bears first 5 games he rushed for just 194 yards. Chicago is averaging 31.0 ppg in their last 4. I just don't see any reason to not expect more of the same, especially against a Falcons defense that comes in giving up 25.0 ppg and 6.2 yards/play. Not to mention Atlanta just gave up 232 rushing yards last week to the Panthers. The other big thing is that while Chicago's offense has quickly become one of the more potent attacks in the NFL, the defense has went from bad to worse, especially after trading away star lineback Roquan Smith, who despite being traded a couple weeks ago still leads this team in tackles by 13 over the next best player. So even though the Falcons offense hasn't looked very good in their last two games, you have to like them to put up a big number in this one. Give me the OVER 48.5!
11-19-22	Texas Tech v. Iowa State UNDER 47.5		14-10	Win	100	53 h 35 m	Show
8* NCAAF Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT: Texas Tech/Iowa St UNDER 47.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 47.5 in Saturday's Big 12 matchup between Texas Tech and Iowa State. I think these two teams are going to have a hard time getting to 40 points let alone 48. The Cyclones are the definition of an UNDER team, as they have an elite defense paired with an offense that struggles do much of anything. ISU is giving up just 16.7 ppg and 4.7 yards/play on the defensive side of the ball, while scoring just 21.8 ppg and gaining a mere 5.1 yards/play on offense. The UNDER has cashed in 8 of their 10 games this season. So while Texas Tech comes in averaging 33.8 ppg and giving up 29.6 ppg, I don't think we are going to see the Red Raiders do a whole lot offensively. I also think their defense is going to have no problem shutting down this ISU offense. Lastly, it's not exactly going to be ideal scoring conditions in Ames for this game. Temps are expected to be in the low teens with the wind chill in the single digits. Give me the UNDER 47.5!
11-13-22	Lions v. Bears OVER 48.5	Top	31-30	Win	100	69 h 59 m	Show
10* NFL Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH: Lions/Bears OVER 48.5 I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 48.5 in Sunday's NFC North showdown between the Lions and Bears. Chicago might be my favorite OVER team in the league right now. Justin Fields and the Bears offense has completely done a 180 from the start of the year. In their last 3 games Chicago is averaging 31.3 ppg and 376.3 ypg. This is an ideal matchup for the Bears offense, which is built around their running game, most notabely the running ability of Fields. Lions defense is not very good. Don't be fooled by them playing well last week against a bad Packers offense. Detroit is giving up 4.9 rush yards/play and 147 rushing yards/game on the season. While the Bears offense has turned into a bit of a juggernaut, the defense has become one of the worst. The trades of Quinn and Smith really hit hard and this defense has shown no ability to get off the field of late. Their defense is giving up 32.7 ppg, 360.3 ypg and 6.9 yards/play in their last 3 games. Not even some less than ideal conditions in Chicago are going to keep these two teams from putting up 50+ points. Give me the OVER 48.5!
11-10-22	Tulsa v. Memphis OVER 61.5	Top	10-26	Loss	-110	19 h 29 m	Show
10* NCAAF AAC TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Tulsa/Memphis OVER 61.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 61.5 in Thursday's American Athletic matchup between Tulsa and Memphis. I don't see these two teams having any problem eclipsing this number. Both of these teams have struggled on the defensive side of the ball. Tulsa is giving up 33 ppg and 404 ypg this season and have allowed 36 ppg on the road. Memphis is giving up 31.6 ppg and 412 ypg. They have given up 40 ppg over their last 3. The only two FBS teams Tulsa has held under 30 points, are Temple who is anemic on offense and Tulane, who plays extremely slow and probably should have had more than the 27 they scored given they had over 480 yards with 357 on the ground. Teams have been able to really do whatever they want against this defense. I don't see them slowing down this Memphis on the road. The Tigers are putting up 33.9 ppg and on average are scoring 8.2 ppg more than what their opponent has allowed. Memphis has allowed 30+ points in each of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 7. The only exception coming against Temple. Tulsa has scored 27 or more in 6 of their 9 games this season. These are also going to be two tired defenses, as both of these teams are playing this game on just 4 days of rest. Give me the OVER 61.5!
11-09-22	Kent State v. Bowling Green OVER 55.5		40-6	Loss	-110	10 h 18 m	Show
9* NCAAF Wednesday MACtion NO-BRAINER: Kent St/Bowling Green OVER 55.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 55.5 in Wednesday's MAC matchup between Kent State and Bowling Green. I like these two teams to get into the 60s as I think both of these offenses are in store for big games. Kent State's defense is awful. The Golden Flashes are giving up 31.6 ppg, 455 ypg and 6.3 yards/play. Those numbers are not skewed by a tough non-conference slate, as they are giving up 31.4 ppg, 460 ypg and the same 6.3 yards/play in conference games. The have allowed at least 27 points in each of their last 4 games and that includes games against some pretty average offenses in Miami (OH), Akron and Ball State. The key here is Kent State's "Flash Fast" run heavy offense should be able to get moving at warp speed in this one. Bowling Green is giving up 159 ypg and 4.5 yards/carry vs the run. Back in early October we saw a good Buffalo rushing attack put up 293 yards on the ground against them. Last time these two teams played at Bowling Green, the two combined for 86 points with a total of just 56.5. I'm not saying we get into the 80s, but I think there's enough value in the 50s to make a pretty strong play on this one. Give me the OVER 55.5!
11-08-22	Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 50.5	Top	37-21	Win	100	11 h 46 m	Show
10* NCAAF Tuesday MACtion VEGAS INSIDER: Ohio/Miami (OH) OVER 50.5 I'll take my chances with the OVER 50.5 in Tuesday's MAC matchup between Ohio and Miami (OH). These two teams combined for 68 points in the Bobcats 35-33 win over the RedHawks a season ago. I wouldn't be surprised at all if we saw a similar high-scoring game in the rematch, making this an easy play for me with a total in the low 50's. l just don't see Miami (OH) having an answer for Bobcats' quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who has put up sensational numbers in 2022. Rourke is averaging over 300 yards/game thru the air with a 21-4 TD-INT ratio and a stellar 9.0 yards/pass attempt. His ability to throw the ball plays right into the weakness of this RedHawks defense, which is just not good at creating havoc in the passing game. On the flip side of this, I like Miami's offense to also have a lot of success throwing the football in this game. The RedHawks just recently got back starting quarterback Brett Gabbert, who was hurt in their opener against Kentucky. Gabbert has been a little rusty in his first two starts back, but will be up against a Ohio defense that has struggled to get stops this season. The Bobcats are giving up 33.2 ppg, 483 ypg and 6.5 yards/play. They have been especially bad against the pass, allowing opposing QBs to complete 66.3% of their attempts with a 8.3 average per attempt. Give me the OVER 50.5!
11-06-22	Dolphins v. Bears OVER 45.5		35-32	Win	100	71 h 36 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Dolphins/Bears OVER 45.5 I'm going to take the OVER 45.5 in Sunday's Week 9 NFL matchup that has the Dolphins visiting the Bears. I'll be the first to admit that I didn't think I would be expecting a shootout in a game involving Chicago, but that just goes to show you how quickly things can change in the NFL. Simply put, this is not the same Bears offense that we saw struggling to just get first downs early in the season. It all stems from the improved play Chicago is getting out of second-year quarterback Justin Fields. To give you a better idea of what I'm talking about with Fields maturation this season, let's compare his last 4 games of the season vs his first 4 games. In his first 4 games Fields completed just 34 of 67 pass attempts, which is 50.1%. He had a 2-4 TD-INT ratio and was averaging just 36.8 rushing yards/game. In his last 4 games, Fields has completed 59 of 92 pass attempts, 64.1%, with a 5-2 TD-INT ratio and is averaging 69.3 rushing yards/game. In Chicago's last two games they have put up 33 points and 390 total yards at New England and 29 points and 371 yards against the Cowboys. Even the game before the Pats where they had that ugly 7-12 loss to the Commanders they put up 392 total yards of offense. In their last 3 games the Bears have eclipsed 200 rushing yards in each game and are averaging 240 yards/game during this stretch. I know Miami's run D is solid, but they did struggle to contain the legs of a similar mobile QB in Lamar Jackson, who rushed for 119 yards in a 42-38 win by Miami. The other thing I love here is that while the Bears offense is trending up, their defense is trending in the opposite direction. A couple weeks ago they traded away one of their better pass rushers in Robert Quinn, then a few days ago they traded away the heart and soul of their defense in linebacker Roquan Smith. Even with Smith on the field last Sunday, we saw Dallas really do whatever they wanted against this Bears defense. I could see Chicago having an even tougher time containing this high-powered Miami offense that ranks 3rd in the NFL behind only the Bills and Chiefs in yards/play. I just have a hard time seeing these two teams not combining for at least 50 points in this game, as I could easily see Miami scoring 30 and the Bears getting to at least 20. Give me the OVER 45.5!
11-06-22	Vikings v. Commanders OVER 43.5	Top	20-17	Loss	-108	66 h 38 m	Show
10* NFL Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH: Vikings/Commanders OVER 43.5 I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 43.5 between the Vikings and Commanders on Sunday. This to me is way too low a total for this matchup. I get Washington's offense hasn't been able to do much of late, scoring 17 or fewer points in 5 of their last 6 games. Thing is, those low offensive outputs have come against some pretty good defensive teams in the Colts, Packers, Titans, Cowboys and Eagles. Note that while they did only score 17 vs Tennessee, they had 342 passing yards in that game. Minnesota comes into this game at 6-1, but their early season success has all been a result of their high-powered offense. Not their defense. The Vikings come into this game scoring 24.7 ppg and have scored at least 23 points in all but one game (vs the Eagles). Their defense is not very good, giving up 383 yards/game and 6.2 yards/play. They are especially bad vs the pass, as opposing QBs are completing 68.9% of their attempts against them. Simply put, this is a game where I think both offenses will be able to move the football and put points on the scoreboard. I like both of these teams to at the very minimum eclipse the 20-point mark and that should be more than enough to push us past this low total. Give me the OVER 43.5!
11-04-22	Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 54.5	Top	21-24	Win	100	34 h 36 m	Show
10* NCAAF - Friday Night Total NO-BRAINER: Oregon St/Washington UNDER 54.5 I'll take my chances with the UNDER 54.5 in Friday's Pac-12 matchup between Washington and Oregon State. I just don't see this being a shootout. I know Washington has played in a lot of high-scoring games, but this Oregon State defense really matches up well with what the Huskies like to do offensively. Washington is all about attacking teams thru the air. They come in averaging 379 passing yards/game. Passing on this Oregon State defense is not easy. Opposing quarterbacks are completing just 55.6% of their attempts against the Beavers and that's against QBs that on average are completing 62.5% of their attempts. Mother Nature could also slow down the Huskies ariel attack, as there will be 15-20 mph with the real feel in the upper 30s. Oregon State on the other hand is going to establish the run and as long as they are within striking distance, I don't see them abandoning it. Beavers on average run 66 plays and 39 (59%) of those are runs. They are pretty good at it, averaging 5.0 yards/carry. I think they can move the chains on the ground, but I also think Washington's run defense is good enough to limit the explosive plays and create the negative plays to end drives. Give me the UNDER 54.5!
11-01-22	Buffalo v. Ohio OVER 58.5		24-45	Win	100	19 h 17 m	Show
9* NCAAF MACtion Total NO-BRAINER: Buffalo/Ohio OVER 58.5 I will take my chances with the OVER 58.5 in Tuesday's MACaction that has Buffalo visiting Ohio. I just don't think these two teams will have any problem getting to 60 points. The Bulls are a perfect 4-0 in MAC play behind one of the leagues top offensive units. Buffalo comes in averaging 36.5 ppg and 413.5 ypg in their 4 conference games. That offense will be up against one of the worst defenses in the MAC in Ohio. For the season the Bobcats are allowing 34.4 ppg, 510 ypg and 6.9 yards/play. They are giving up 4.9 yards/carry vs the run, while opposing QBs are completing 69% and averaging 8.9 yards/attempt. The key here is I think Ohio's offense has the ability to go score-for-score with Buffalo in this one. The Bobcats aren't too far behind Buffalo's offense in league play. Ohio is averaging 34.0 ppg, 440 ypg and 7.0 yards/play in MAC play. They have been especially good this year on offense at home, scoring 44.8 ppg on 524 ypg and 7.8 yards/play. Give me the OVER 58.5!
10-30-22	Dolphins v. Lions OVER 51		31-27	Win	100	71 h 7 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Lions/Dolphins OVER 51 I'm going to take the OVER 51 in Sunday's early afternoon matchup that has the Dolphins visiting the Lions. To some this total might seem a bit high given what we saw out of these two offenses last week. Miami only managed to score 16-points at home against the Steelers, while Detroit managed just 6-points on the road against the Cowboys. It was a second straight awful showing for the Lions offense, which was shutout in it's previous game at New England. I believe it's actually created some decent value with the total in the low 50's, as I would be shocked if this game didn't get into the 60s. The big thing to note about the Lions recent struggles on offense is they have had to play the last 3 games without stud running back D'Andre Swift. Before his injury, Swift was arguably the best back in the league, as he rushed for 231 yards on just 27 attempts for a staggering 8.6 yards/carry. He's back healthy and ready to roll. They also lost stud wide out Amon-Ra St. Brown to a concussion in the 1st quarter of last week's game against the Cowboys. He's back practicing and should be cleared from concussion protocol any day. It all adds up to a get right game for the Lions offense, especially with how banged up the Dolphins are on the defensive side of the ball. The biggest problems for Miami coming in their secondary, where 6 of their 8 corners listed on the depth chart are either out or questionable. They also just lost starting safety Brandon Jones, whose led the team with 49 tackles, 11 more than the next best player on the team. Also worth noting that despite Swift missing 3 games for Detroit, the Lions still rank 7th in the NFL in rushing at 145.7 ypg. The only other team Miami has faced this season that ranks in the Top 10 in rushing was the Ravens back in Week 2 and Baltimore put up 38 points on the Dolphins. On the flip side of the ball, I think Tua wasn't quite himself in his first game back from injury last week against Pittsburgh. Tua should be in for a field day against a Lions secondary that has given up a ton of big plays in the passing games. Detroit ranks 31st in the NFL, giving up 8.0 yards per pass attempt. The only team worse is the Vikings, who allow 8.4. Note that Miami with Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson at quarterback torched that Minnesota secondary for 385 yards a couple weeks ago. Tyreek Hill had 12 catches for 177 yards and Jaylen Waddle had 6 for 129. One last thing that I think needs to be noted with this total is just how easily points have been put on the scoreboard in Detroit home games. In the Lions 3 home games this year they have combined for 73 points with the Eagles, 63 against the Commanders and 93 against the Seahawks. Give me the OVER 51!
10-30-22	Raiders v. Saints OVER 49.5		0-24	Loss	-110	71 h 7 m	Show
8* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR: Saints/Raiders OVER 49.5 I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 49.5 in Sunday's game between the Raiders and Saints. I'm shocked this total isn't in the 50s. The Raiders have been a mess defensively all season, as they come in giving up 25.0 ppg, 367 ypg and 5.9 yards/play. Even the Broncos of all teams were able to put up 23 points and over 300 yards on them. Really the only game all season Russell Wilson has looked anything like the QB he was in Seattle. Andy Dalton isn't the long-term answer in New Orleans, but he's definitely given this Saints offense a lift over starter Jameis Winston. So much that NO is sticking with Dalton even though Winston could play if needed. Saints have scored at least 25 in each of their last 4 games and Dalton is coming off a 400+ yard performance last time out against the Cardinals. As good as the offense has been, the Saints defense has been equally as bad, which is why New Orleans is just 1-3 in their last 4. Saints have given up 28 or more in each of their last 4 games. They will be facing a Raiders offense that seems to be figuring things out. In their last 3 games, Las Vegas is averaging 33 ppg, 387.7 ypg and 6.5 yards/play. With perfect conditions inside the Caesars Superdome, I look for both offenses to move the ball at will and for this thing to fly past the number. Give me the OVER 49.5!
10-27-22	Ravens v. Bucs OVER 46		27-22	Win	100	9 h 36 m	Show
9* NFL Thursday Night Football NO-BRAINER: OVER 46 I'll take my chances with the OVER 46 between the Ravens and Bucs. No one is going to be thinking OVER in this matchup. The UNDER is 6-1 in Tampa Bay games this season and the last thing we saw from the Bucs was them scoring just 3 points against the Panthers. UNDER has also cashed in 4 straight games for Baltimore. Everyone is going to be on the UNDER in this game, yet we have only seen this total get higher as we get closer to kickoff. The total opened at 43.5. I'll gladly side with the big money, as I was already leaning towards a higher scoring game. While it hasn't always been the case this year, these TNF games often end up with a few more points on the board because of how hard it is for these defenses to get right physically on just 3 days of rest. We saw it last week, when everyone was on the Cards/Saints UNDER at just 43 and that game ended up with 76 combined points. As far as this game is concerned, I feel pretty good about Baltimore's offense moving the football. Tampa Bay's run defense has been a weakness, which plays right into the strength of the Ravens offense. On top of that, the Bucs secondary is decimated. Starting safety Logan Ryan is on IR, stud safety Antoine Winfield has been ruled out, as has starting corner Carlton Davis and top backup corner Sean Murphy-Bunting. Maybe I'm putting too much faith into Tom Brady and what looks like a broken Tampa Bay offense, but I think the Bucs are going to bounce back in a big way from last week's pathetic showing against the Panthers. It's not like Tampa Bay didn't move the ball. Bucs only had one 3-and-out the entire game vs Carolina. The run game has been one of the worst performing units not just this season, but ever. Not saying they are going to go off, but they are facing a depleted front 7 of the Ravens, who are down nose tackle Michael Pierce and stud defensive end Calais Campbell. Baltimore secondary has also been exploitable this year. Opposing QBs are completing 67.3% of their attempts against them. Last week Jacoby Brissett completed 22 of 27 (81.5%). It's do or die for Brady and the Bucs offense. Give me the OVER 46!
10-23-22	Seahawks v. Chargers OVER 50		37-23	Win	100	73 h 7 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR: Seahawks/Chargers OVER 50 I'm going to take my chances with the OVER 50 between the Seahawks and Chargers. I've had a lot of success with the OVER in Seattle games this season. I cashed in on the OVER 3 straight weeks when they combined for 50 against the Falcons, 93 against the Lions and 71 against the Saints. I also successfully avoided to taking the OVER last week in their 19-9 win over Arizona. Simply put, I'm not overreacting in the slightest to what this team was able to do last week against the Cardinals. Division games have a way of producing some strange results and more times than not because the two teams are so familiar with one another, they tend to be lower scoring. Nothing for me has changed in terms of how I view this Seattle team. I still think they have a very underrated offense and one of the worst defenses in the league. I give them little to no shot at slowing down this Chargers offense on Sunday. LA is coming into this game off a pretty bad offensive showing against the Broncos on Monday Night Football, as they managed just 19 points and 297 total yards. That's really not all that surprising when you look at how well that Denver defense has been playing. So much attention is being paid to the struggles of the offense with Russell Wilson, people are ignoring the fact that Denver has held 5 of their 6 opponents to 17 or fewer points. The one thing that has really caused Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense problems is when teams have been able to create pressure via the blitz. Seattle's one of the worst blitzing teams in the league. Herbert should have a field day in this game, regardless if Keenan Allen is back or not. On the flip side of the ball, I think this Seattle offense will be able to move the ball against a Chargers defense that is not the same without Joey Bosa on the field. LA is also atrocious against the run, giving up 5.6 yards/carry vs teams that on average get 4.7 yards/carry. Seattle comes in averaging 5.3 yards/carry vs teams that only give up 4.4 yards/carry. I think both teams have a legit shot to eclipse the 30-point mark in this game. Give me the OVER 50!
10-22-22	Pittsburgh v. Louisville OVER 55		10-24	Loss	-108	54 h 39 m	Show
9* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Pitt/Louisville OVER 55 I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 55 in Saturday's ACC matchup between Louisville and Pittsburgh. I look for both of these offenses to be able to move the ball up and down the field. Louisville has scored 30+ points in each of their last 4 games. The Cardinals are averaging 36.0 ppg, 518 ypg and 6.7 yards/play at home this year. Pitt's defense has allowed at least 26 points in all 4 of their games this season vs Power 5 teams. The Panthers can also light up the scoreboard. Pitt is putting up 35.0 ppg, 431 ypg and 6.2 yards/play. Playing on the road has not hindered their offense, as they are scoring 34.0 ppg, putting up 419 ypg and averaging 6.8 yards/play away home this year. Louisville's defense is giving up just 22.3 ppg, but we have seen them struggle against the better offenses, giving up 31 to Syracuse, 35 to Florida State and 34 to Boston College. OVER has gone an impressive 20-7 in Pitt's last 27 games on Saturday, as the books just haven't been able to set the number right. OVER is also 9-2 in Pitt's last 11 after playing at home and a perfect 6-0 the last 3 seasons when Louisville is coming off a win by 17 or more. Give me the OVER 55!
10-20-22	Saints v. Cardinals OVER 43.5	Top	34-42	Win	100	20 h 14 m	Show
10* NFL - Thursday Night MAX UNIT Top Play: Saints/Cardinals OVER 43.5 I love the OVER 44.5 on Thursday Night Football in Week 7, as we have the Saints visiting the Cardinals. There has been nearly no offense in these Thursday matchups the last two weeks. First it was the 12-9 OT win for the Colts against the Seahawks in Week 5. Then we saw the Commanders prevail 12-7 last week. I believe that is definitely playing into the number being much lower than it should be. I also think the total here is being impacted by what we saw last week with Arizona's offense in a 9-19 loss at Seattle. It's not so much they lost, but the fact that the Cardinals couldn't even reach double-figures against a Seattle defense that came into that game viewed as one of the worst defensive teams in the league. It is worth noting that Arizona did have multiple drives into Seahawks territory that resulted in no points. The offense also figures to get a HUGE boost this week with the return of DeAndre Hopkins. I also think the Saints defense is being way overvalued. New Orleans has not played well at all on that side of the ball the past few weeks. In their last 3 games the Saints are giving up 30.0 ppg, 362.7 ypg and 6.8 yards/play. I also think people are sleeping a bit on this Saints offense because it's Andy Dalton at quarterback. New Orleans has scored 25 or more in 3 straight games. Arizona is giving up a staggering 28.0 ppg, 395 ypg and 6.6 yards/play at home this season. Give me the OVER 43.5
10-20-22	Virginia v. Georgia Tech OVER 47		16-9	Loss	-110	20 h 50 m	Show
8* NCAAF Thursday Night Total NO-BRAINER: Virginia/Ga Tech OVER 47 I'll take my chances with the OVER 47 in Thursday's ACC matchup that has Georgia Tech hosting Virginia. I just feel the total here is too low. It's hard to expect offense when you have two teams that have struggled to score. Georgia Tech is scoring just 17.3 ppg and Virginia is barely better at 17.8 ppg. One thing that gets overlooked with those scoring outputs is that both of these teams have faced a number of strong defensive teams to start the year. Virginia's opponents on average are only giving up 21.1 ppg and the Yellow Jackets' opponents are allowing 22.5 ppg. Virginia's defense is only giving up 24.8 ppg, but to me that is misleading. Their first 3 games were against Richmond, Illinois and Old Dominion. Fighting Illini are a good team, but are not a team that lights up the scoreboard. They did hold Syracuse to 22, but that was aided greatly by 4 Orange turnovers. In their last two games they have allowed 38 to Duke and 34 to Louisville. You also have to look at last year's meeting between these two teams. Neither defense had an answer for the opposing offense in a 48-40 Virginia win. The two combined for over 1,200 yards with both teams going for 240+ on the ground and 300+ thru the air. I don't think it's asking a lot for them to get to 50 in this one. Give me the OVER 47!
10-14-22	Navy v. SMU OVER 56.5		34-40	Win	100	75 h 6 m	Show
*8 NCAAF - Friday Night SHARP STAKE**: Navy/SMU Over 56.5 I'm going to take my chances with the OVER 56.5 in Friday's AAC matchup between Navy and SMU. I'm always a little hesitant taking an OVER with an option team like Navy. You need them to be able to score or they just eat up too much clock and limit the number of possessions. I just think they are going to be able to get that run game going against what I have to think is a very deflated SMU team. The Mustangs just finished up a brutal 3 game stretch that saw them play at Maryland, home vs TCU and then @ UCF. Not only that, but they got the defending champs on deck with a home game against Cincinnati next week. I just have a hard time believing the players have been 100% bought in to preparing for this Navy option attack. Keep in mind we have seen SMU give up 160 or more rushing yards in 4 of their 5 games. The only team they held under that mark was Lamar. On the flip side of this, Navy's defense is really strong up front and are not an easy team to run against. However, they are vulnerable to strong passing attacks. SMU has one of the best passing offenses in the country, averaging 355 ypg and 7.8 yards/attempt. Mustangs have scored at least 28 in 6 straight meetings in the series. The last 3 times these teams have played at SMU, the two have combined for 106 (2016), 61 (2018) and 88 (2020) points. Give me the OVER 56.5!
10-13-22	Baylor v. West Virginia UNDER 55		40-43	Loss	-110	51 h 9 m	Show
*9 NCAAF Thursday Night NO-BRAINER**: Baylor/W Virginia UNDER 55 I really like the UNDER 55 in Thursday's Big 12 showdown between Baylor and West Virginia. I think this total at the very least should be in the high 40's. I just don't see this developing into a shootout. I know West Virginia has looked good offensively. They are scoring 38.2 ppg and putting up 453 ypg. However, this will be their toughest challenge to date. Even after giving up 36 to Oklahoma, which was a bit misleading), they are still allowing just 20.6 ppg and 320 ypg vs teams who average 27.1 ppg and 361 ypg. They have really been outstanding against the run and the Mountaineers ground game is down their most productive running back CJ Donaldson, who has rushed for 6.9 ypg and 6 TDs. I see a noticeable decline tp backups Tony Mathis (4.2 yards/carry) and Justin Johnson Jr. (4.7 ypg). I just have a hard time seeing WV's offense staying ahead of the chains and getting big pass plays when Baylor knows that's their only real threat to move the ball. On the other side of this, I do think the Mountaineers' defense will show up with a really big effort in this game. While I like Baylor's offense, they have looked a lot less sharp on the road (only had 289 total yards at BYU) and are going into a hostile environment at night. Bears are also an offense that seems to put together a lot of long drives. A couple games back against ISU they had 3 different scoring drives that went 10+ plays and ate up more than 5 minutes of the clock. Lastly, these two teams are both coming off of a bye week, which means they have had several extra days to prepare fo this game. More times than not that extra prep helps the defense. Give me the UNDER 55!
10-10-22	Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 51.5		29-30	Win	100	9 h 29 m	Show
*9 NFL Monday Night Football NO-BRAINER**: Raiders/Chiefs OVER 51.5 I'm taking the OVER 51.5 in the Raiders/Chiefs game on Monday Night Football. I don't see these two teams having any problem eclipsing this number. The OVER has cashed in each of the last 4 meetings in this series. Last year they combined for 55 in Las Vegas and 57 in KC. The year before they combined for 72 and 66. In those 4 starts, Mahomes and the Chiefs offense are avering 39.0 ppg. Mahomes is averaging 338.0 passing yards/game and has thrown 11 TDs to 4 INTs. I don't see why this year will be any different. The Raiders have allowed at least 23 points in every game they have played this year, including 23 last week to that awful Broncos offense. KC comes into this game averaging 32.3 ppg vs teams that on average only give up 21.8 ppg. Key here is the Raiders should at the very least be able to keep this game respectable. The Chiefs defense, is much improved, but are much better against the run than they are the pass. Carr and that Raiders passing attack should be in store for a big day. I think there's a chance we could see both teams push the 30-point mark. Give me the OVER 51.5!
10-09-22	Steelers v. Bills OVER 46		3-38	Loss	-110	72 h 32 m	Show
9* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Bills/Steelers OVER 46 I'm going to take the OVER 46 between the Steelers and Bills on Sunday. I just think there's some hidden value with the OVER in this one. Some of the value I believe stems from the Steelers finally putting to bed the Mitchell Trubisky experiment. I'd be lying if I said I thought Trubisky was going to be as bad as he's been. Before getting benched in last week's loss to the Jets, Trubisky had just 2 TD passes on 116 attempts and was only averaging 5.6 yards/attempt. The biggest thing for me is he wasn't just struggling because he didn't have time to throw. He was missing wide open guys. Simply could not read an opposing defense. If his first look wasn't open chances of a completion for any kind of significant gain was extremely low. Simply put, whether he's ready or not, the offense can't be any worse with rookie Kenny Pickett and I'm a believer it's going to be better. I know Pickett came in and threw 3 picks against the Jets, but some of that was bad luck. Those were his only 3 incompletions, as he went 10 of 13 for 120 yards, which came to 9.2 yards/attempt. Little bit of a side note here, but George Pickens is a guy I think could really see his production go up with Pickett now at quarterback. In a single half of football, Pickett connected with Pickens 4 times for 71 yards. In 3.5 games with Trubisky, Pickens had 7 catches for 96 yards. Draft Kings has Picken's over/under receiving yards for this game set at 37.5. I can assure you I'll be on the OVER. I'm also strongly considering playing him as a any time TD scorer at +130 and OVER 17.5 for his longest reception. Back to the handicap on the total here. One of the reasons I like all those Pickens' props is I don't think this Steelers defense in it's current form will be able to contain this Bills offense. Pittsburgh is still without T.J. Watt and are just not the same defense without him on the field. Not only that, but you got injury concerns up and down the lineup on the defensive side of the ball. Stud defensive end Cam Heyward is question. Their second is also decimated. Starting corner Ahkello Witherspoon is doubtful. There other starting corner Cameron Sutton is questionable, as his both starting safeties Terrell Edmunds and Minkah Fitzpatrick. Bills are also dealing with a bunch of injuries on their defense, especially in the secondary where they are down both starting corner Tre'Davis White and safety Micah Hyde. This to me is also a real flat spot for the Buffalo defense. They just played their hearts out overcoming that big early deficit to the Ravens last week and have without a doubt their biggest game on the schedule looming next week at home against the Chiefs. I don't think they are going to be that sharp in this game. Give me the OVER 46.
10-09-22	Titans v. Washington Commanders OVER 42.5		21-17	Loss	-110	71 h 21 m	Show
8* NFL Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT: Commanders/Titans OVER 42.5 I will take a shot on the OVER 42.5 in Sunday's non-conference matchup between the Titans and Commanders. While I certainly don't think Washington's offense is anything special, I do think that offense comes in a bit undervalued after their last two games, which saw them score just 8 points at home against the Eagles and 10 on the road against the Cowboys. You got to take into consideration just how good both Philadelphia and Dallas have been on the defensive side of the ball so far this year. The Cowboys rank 5th in the NFL in pass defense and are 3rd in the NFL in sacks. The Eagles are 7th vs the pass and 2nd in the league in sacks. Carson Wentz thru for just 308 yards combined in those two games. In the previous two games vs the Lions and Jaguars he threw for 300+ yards in each game with Washington scoring 28 and 27 points in those two contests. Tennessee ranks 28th vs the pass and are middle of the pack in the league in sacks. On the season the Titans are giving up 25.3 ppg, 392 ypg and 6.5 yards/play vs teams that on average are putting up 21.3 ppg, 358 ypg and 5.7 yards/play. On the flip side of this, Washington's defense isn't very good. The Commanders are giving up 26.8 ppg, 372 ypg and 6.2 yards/play. Yes they are facing a Titans team that is only scoring 18.8 ppg and averaging 309 ypg, but that's come against teams who on average are giving up just 19.0 ppg and 215 ypg. I think both teams will easily get into the 20s and I could see this thing being OVER the total midway thru the 3rd quarter. Give me the OVER 42.5!
10-08-22	Oregon v. Arizona OVER 69.5	Top	49-22	Win	100	57 h 32 m	Show
*10 NCAAF - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH**: Arizona/Oregon OVER 69.5 I love the OVER 69.5 in Saturday's late night action out of the Pac-12 between No. 12 Oregon and Arizona. I'm not so sure the books can set a total high enough for this one. If it wasn't for the fact that the Ducks scored just 3-points in that ugly opening loss to Georgia, I think it would be at the very least in the mid 70s. In the 4 games since getting completely shutdown by the defending champs, Oregon has put up 70 points and 604 total yards against Eastern Washington, 41 points and 439 yards on BYU, 44 points and 624 yards on Washington State (Cougars have allowed 20 or fewer in every other game) and 45 points and 515 yards in last week's blowout win over Stanford. It feels like anything less than 40 points against this Arizona defense would be a disappointment. In the Wildcats two conference games, they have allowed 49 points to Cal and 20 points to Colorado. In Cal's 3 other games vs a FBS opponent they have scored a combined 46 points. The Buffaloes 20-points they scored on the Wildcats was a season-high. Arizona is giving up 31.2 ppg vs teams who on average score 24.9 ppg. They key here is think the Wildcats have the talent at quarterback and skill positions to put up enough points to push this thing well past the mark. Arizona has scored at least 31 points in all but one game against a very good Mississippi State defense. They are averaging 481 ypg and 6.6 yards/play. Oregon's defense has been solid in their 3 home games, but they gave up that 49 points on a neutral site to Georgia, which is looking worse and worse with how the Bulldogs have struggled offensively of late and 41 at Washington State. This could very well end up being the highest scoring game on the board this Saturday. Give me the OVER 69.5!
10-08-22	Washington State v. USC OVER 65.5		14-30	Loss	-110	55 h 55 m	Show
9* NCAAF Over/Under TOTAL KNOCKOUT: USC/Washington St OVER 65.5 I don't see Washington State and USC having any problem eclipsing the high total here of 65.5. I'm a bit shocked this total isn't pushing 70 given the 41-44 game between Washington State and Oregon a couple weeks back. That to me is the biggest indicator of how this matchup will play out. USC is every good offensively as the Ducks and Oregon not only scored 44 points they put up 624 total yards. Yes, the Cougars have held their other 4 opponents all under 20 points, but those opponents were all bad offensive teams in Idaho, Wisconsin, Colorado St and Cal. If USC didn't have that ugly offensive showing on the road at Oregon State a couple weeks back where they only managed 17 points, I think this total would easily be in the 70s because the Trojans have scored at least 41 in every other game. I just think the Beavers were lucky to only give up 17 in that game. In just the 1st half of that game, USC had the ball just 5 times. Really only 4, as one of those drives started with less than a minute to play in the 1st half. They turned it over on downs on their opening drive, missed a FG on their second drive after getting into the redzone and had to settle for a field goal on another drive. They got as far as the Oregon State 32-yard line before punting on their opening drive of the 2nd half. They finally got it going with two TDs in the final 20 minutes of play. Not only do I think that Washington State won't be able to stop USC from scoring, especially on the road, but I think the Cougars can do some damage of their own offensively. The Trojans are not as good defensively as the numbers would suggest, as their defense has feasted off a turnovers. USC has a staggering +14 TO differential thru 5 games. If Arizona State can go on the road and put up 25 points against USC, Washington State at the very least should be able to match that. I think they get into the 30s, as I think we could see the Trojans come out a bit flat here looking ahead to next week's big road game at Utah. Give me the OVER 65.5!
10-08-22	Wisconsin v. Northwestern UNDER 44.5		42-7	Loss	-110	51 h 41 m	Show
9* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Wisconsin/Northwestern UNDER 44.5 I'm going to take the UNDER 44.5 in Saturday's Big Ten matchup between West rivals Wisconsin and Northwestern. This one shouldn't need a ton of explanation, but I'll go ahead and break it down for why I like a low-scoring game. It's not been a good start to the season for Wisconsin. The Badgers just lost 10-34 at home to Illinois to fall to 2-3. They also lost at home to Washington State 14-17. It was enough to make a change at head coach. Paul Chryst has been shown the door and defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard is now the interim. With what feels like a make or break point of their season, I would be shocked if the Badgers didn't show up with their best effort. I just have a hard time seeing this awful Northwestern offense being able to do much of anything offensively in this game. The Wildcats were gifted 5 turnovers last week against Penn State and still only managed to score 7 points. The key here is I still think there's serious problems with the Wisconsin offense. Take away the 38 points they scored against a FCS foe 38 and the 66 they put up on New Mexico State, the Badgers are averaging just 15 ppg. Northwestern is only giving up 24.8 ppg and that's come against teams who on average are putting up 30.3 ppg. Give me the UNDER 44.5!
10-07-22	Houston v. Memphis OVER 57		33-32	Win	100	102 h 59 m	Show
*9 NCAAF Friday Night Total ANNIHILATOR**: Houston/Memphis OVER 57 I'm going to take the OVER 57 in Friday's American Athletic showdown between Memphis and Houston. I just don't see these two teams having much of problem getting to 60 points. The OVER is 4-1 in Houston's 5 games this year with the only game not going OVER being last week's game against Tulane. A lower scoring game was to be expected against the Green Wave, as Tulane was down to their 3rd string QB and are a team that likes to try to wins games by taking the air out of the ball with their run game and defense. Each of the previous 4 games for Houston all saw at least 61 points scored. Big reason for that is this Houston defense is not very good. The Cougars are giving up 34.0 ppg, 410 ypg and 5.7 yards/play. They are giving up 274 passing yards/game and 7.1 yards/play. Their secondary gave up 337 yards thru the air to UTSA, 351 to Texas Tech and 334 to Rice. Memphis is a little more run heavy than they have been in the past, but should be able to really do as they please offensively in this game. Tigers are scoring 34.4 ppg vs teams who only give up an average of 25.1 ppg and are scoring 37.3 ppg in their 3 home games. At the same time, I think Houston's offense is going to be able to move the football. The offense really hasn't been the problem. The Cougars are scoring 31.0 ppg and have not faced the easiest of schedules. The only real legit offense Memphis has faced is Mississippi State and they gave up 49 points and 547 yards of total offense to the Bulldogs. Mississippi State didn't punt in that game until midway thru the 3rd quarter with them leading 35-3. Also note that despite only playing one legit team thru 5 games, the OVER is 4-1 in Memphis' games this year with the average combined score of 60.6. Give me the OVER 57!
10-02-22	Seahawks v. Lions OVER 47.5		48-45	Win	100	49 h 0 m	Show
*9 NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER**: Seahawks/Lions OVER 47.5 I'm going to take the OVER 47.5 in Sunday's game between the Lions and Seahawks. I cashed in on the OVER 42 in last week's game between the Seahawks and Falcons. We got there with relative ease, as the two had 43 points with time to spare in the 3rd quarter. They ended up combining for 50 points without a single point scored in the 4th quarter. Seattle finished that game averaging 6.1 yards/play and the Falcons averaged 7.1 yards/play. I like the OVER in this game for a lot of the same reasons. The biggest of those being the Seattle defense and just how bad it is. The Seahawks' defense ranks 29th in the NFL, giving up 6.3 yards/play on the season. That's with them playing two really bad offenses in the Broncos and 49ers and a very average Falcons offense. This to me is the worst defense in the NFL right now. So while Detroit will be without their star wide out Amon-Ra St. Brown and top running back D'Andre Swift, I see them having no problem moving the ball up and down the field. Especially with the big edge up front with the Lions top tier offensive line facing off a very bad front for Seattle. I also mentioned last week how I thought the Seahawks offense was being undervalued going into their game with the Falcons due to the fact that they had played two of the better defensive teams in the league in the Broncos and 49ers. They did end up with just 23 points, but as I mentioned they averaged 6.1 yards/play. They ended the game with 420 total yards and were over 50% on 3rd down. The only reason they didn't score more is they were just 2/5 in the redzone. I don't see them having any problem moving the ball against a bad Lions defense. Detroit has given up 38 to the Eagles, 27 to the Commanders and 28 to the Vikings in 3 games. They are allowing 142 ypg and 5.0 yards/carry on the ground and giving up 408 ypg and 6.0 yards/play. This should have no problem getting to 50 points. Give me the OVER 47.5!
09-30-22	Washington v. UCLA UNDER 65.5	Top	32-40	Loss	-110	54 h 9 m	Show
*10 NCAAF Pac-12 Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH**: Washington/UCLA UNDER 65.5 I love the UNDER 65.5 in Friday's Pac-12 showdown between No. 15 Washington and UCLA. Both of these teams come into this game with a perfect 4-0 record. The big reason we are seeing such a big total is the offensive numbers that these two teams have put up. The Huskies are scoring 44.0 ppg and 531 ypg, while the Bruins are putting up 41.8 ppg and 508 ypg. I don't think either of these teams will be able to sustain these numbers. Yes, Washington has two wins over Power 5 teams in Michigan State and Stanford, but both of those teams are bad defensive teams. Michigan State gave up 34 points and 508 total yards last week at home against Minnesota. USC had 505 yards and 41 points against the Cardinal and then only managed to score 17 with 357 total yards in 3-point win at Oregon State. As for UCLA's great offensive numbers, it's come against a super soft schedule. Bruins 4 games have come against Bowling Green, Alabama St, S Alabama and Colorado. Those teams combined are giving up an average of 38.1 ppg. The other big thing here is these two defenses are performing well. Washington is only giving up 19.0 ppg, 302 ypg and 4.8 yards/play. UCLA is allowing 18.0 ppg, 301 ypg and 4.4 yards/play. Another thing that could work against the Huskies offense, is the fact that this will be Washington's first road game of 2022. These two are going to need a minimum of 10 scores (9 TDs and 1 FG is 66 points) to get past this number. I just don't think the red zone efficiency is going to be at that level. Give me the UNDER 65.5!

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