50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Panthers/Broncos Under 41.5) 

These two teams combined for just 34 points when they faced off in last year's Super Bowl and I think they were fortunate to get there. Denver's 24-points came primarily off turnovers. They had a fumbled returned for a touchdown and another fumble recovery that resulted in a 3 play 4-yard drive (2-pt conversion. When forced to actually put a drive together the Broncos managed just two field goals. Carolina's offense only put up 10 points, as they simply had no answer for Denver's pass rush. Given that the Panthers didn't do anything to improve the tackle position, I don't see that being any different in this one. If anything it's going to be even harder with the game being played in Denver. I see a low-scoring defensive battle that comes down to the wire. Give me the UNDER 41.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) 

So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! 

40* NFL --Playoffs Situational Total Crusher-- (UNDER 44)

These are two of the best defenses in the league. Seattle finished the season 1st in scoring defense, allowing just 17.3 ppg and Carolina was 6th at 19.3 ppg. You also have to factor that the Seahawks defense was better on the road (14.6 ppg), while the Panthers defense was better at home (17.0 ppg). I know these two teams combined for 50-points in their regular season game, but neither could stop the opposing tight end. This time around Seattle is without Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks will have Bobby Wagner (didn't play in earlier meeting), who is their top linebacker at covering tight ends. Points are going to be hard to come by for both teams and it wouldn't surprise me at all if these two combined to score 20 or less. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 50.5)

I don't see a ton of value with the spread, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total that presents some great value on the UNDER. Both of these teams took advantage of great matchups in the semifinals. Oklahoma couldn't stop Clemson's ground attack and Alabama took advantage of a weak Michigan State secondary. That clearly won't be the case in this matchup and I look for both offenses to struggle to sustain drives and finish off the ones they do put together with touchdowns. UNDER is 33-14 in Crimson Tide's last 57 against strong rushing teams that average 200+ yards/game on the ground and 16-6 in Clemson's last 22 against strong run defenses that allow 2.75 or less yards/carry. Give me the UNDER 50.5! 

40* NFL --Situational Total Crusher-- (OVER 42) 

With both of these teams out of the playoff picture and just playing out the season, I look for this to be a high scoring game that easily goes over the total posted here. I was really impressed with what I saw last week from Kellen Moore against a stingy Jets defense and look for the Cowboys offense to get going against a Bills defense that has struggled of late. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 points in 5 straight games and I expect that trend to continue. Dallas' defense played hard last week against New York, but the Cowboys still had an outside shot at the NFC East division. With Dallas no longer in the mix, I think the Bills are going to have their way with Dallas' defense. Buffalo has been moving the ball well the last few weeks. They have had at least 390 total yards in 3 straight games with over 400 in each of the last 2. OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Cowboys last 6 non-conference games and 5-0 in the Bills' last 5 following a SU loss. Give me the OVER 42! 

40* NFL --Thursday Night Total Crusher-- (Over 46)

Normally I like to look to take the UNDER in division games, as they tend to be lower scoring than expected. However, I don't think that's going to be the case tonight. Both of these teams are out of playoff contention and can't exactly be thrilled about having to play on Christmas Eve. To top it off, they have had a short week of rest to work with. I don't see the intensity being there on the defensive side of the ball in meaningless game, and these two offenses are more than capable of putting up points. Chargers have struggled to score of late, but this is a good matchup with Philip Rivers going up against a horrible Oakland secondary. Keep in mind these two teams combined for 66 points  and over 800 combined yards of offense earlier this season. Give me the OVER 46! 

40* NCAAF --GoDaddy Bowl Total Crusher-- (Over 64)

With both teams having lost their head coaches prior to this matchup, I look for the offenses to reign supreme in a game that features to dynamic offensive teams. Bowling Green averages 43.4 ppg and Georgia Southern isn't too far behind at 34.7 ppg. I don't see the intensity being there defensively without their head coaches patrolling the sidelines and even if that wasn't the case, I don't think these two defenses would be having much success against the opposing offense. Bowling Green has a dynamic passing attack that averages 376 ypg and will be facing an Eagles defense that allows 7.3 yards pass attempt. On the other side, Georgia Southern has the nations best rushing attack at 356 ypg and will be facing a Falcons defense that allows 4.0 yards/carry. Give me the OVER 64! 

40* NFL --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 51.5)

Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to take away from of the edge defensively for both teams. At the same time, it should have both teams taking a lot more chances than they normally would, would should lead to a lot of big plays. The Saints last 4 home games have been extremely high scoring, with all 4 seeing 52 or more combined points, including a 79 point outburst against the Panthers and 101 points against the Giants. Look for a lot of offensive fire-works in this one, as the OVER is 18-6 in the Saints last 24 home games against teams who struggle to run the ball (90 or less yards/game). Give me the OVER 51.5! 

40* NFL --TNF Over/Under Winner-- (Under 41)

I don't see a lot of offensive fire works taking place in this one. Tampa Bay has scored 23 or less in 6 of their last 7 games and the Rams are only giving up 19.0 ppg at home. On the flip side of this, St Louis' offense is dreadful right now. The Rams had scored 18 or fewer in 6 straight before scoring 21 last week agains the Lions and 7 of those points came on a defensive touchdown. On the season St Louis is scoring just 16.2 ppg and will struggle to move the ball here with Tampa Bay being stout against the run and the Rams not having any threat of a passing attack. UNDER is 10-1 in St Louis' last 11 games in December and 12-3 in the Bucs' last 15 in the 2nd half of the season. Give me the UNDER 41! 

40* NFL -- MNF Over/Under Winner-- (Over 47)

I'm expecting a high-scoring game tonight between these two teams. As we have two defenses that are struggling. The Dolphins are giving up 26.0 ppg at home, while New York is allowing 25.7 ppg on the road. We are simply seeing some good value here due to the fact that the Giants have gone under the total in 2 straight, while the under is 3-1 in Miami's last 4. OVER is 29-14 in Giants last 43 road games off 2 or more consecutive unders, 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and 5-2 in Miami's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 47! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5)

Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

40* NFL --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (OVER 43.5)

These two teams combined for 46 points in Cleveland a few weeks back and that was with Manziel starting at quarterback for the Browns. This time it will be Austin Davis under center and I think it's a big upgrade for Cleveland and give them a chance to keep this game competitive. Davis came in for McCown against the Ravens and completed 7 of 10 for 77 yards with a touchdown. He should be able to lead at least a few scoring drives and get the Browns right around the 20 point mark. On the flip side of this, Cincinnati's offense should have it's way once again against Cleveland, especially playing at home, where they are averaging 28.4 ppg. The Browns give up an average of 26.8 ppg on the road and have allowed 30+ in each of their last 4 games. Give me the OVER 43.5. 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 67)

I don't think either defense is going to be able to do much from keeping the opposing offense from racking up yards and finishing drives with touchdowns. Clemson is averaging 37.9 ppg and 502 ypg against teams that only allow on average 25.1 ppg and 371 ppg. North Carolina has put up similar type numbers, as they average 41.2 ppg and 496 ypg against teams that allow 29.4 ppg and 397 ypg. The key thing here is that the defensive numbers of both of these teams are drastically inflated due to the cupcake offense that make up the ACC. I think both teams eclipse 35 points and wouldn't be surprised if we saw a final somewhere around the 41-38 range. Give me the OVER 67! 

50* NCAAF --PAC-12 Total of the Year-- (Over 69.5)

Oregon won't be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game and aren't a factor for the college football playoff, but I strongly believe that this is one of the best teams in the country right now. Since Adams has returned to the lineup at full strength, Oregon's offense has looked like the offense we have grown so accustomed to seeing the previous years. They put up 65 on Arizona State, 44 on Cal, 38 on Stanford and 48 last week against USC. All 4 of those games finished with a combined score of at least 72 points. Last week Oregon State gave up 52 points at home to Washington, who is one of the more limited offensive teams in the Pac-12 the previous week they gave up 54 to Cal and the week prior 41 at home to UCLA. I'm confident the Ducks will eclipse 50 points in this game and wouldn't be shocked if they scored well into the 60's. The key here is that while Oregon's offense is dynamic and poised for a huge game, the Ducks defense is average at best. Given this being a rivalry game and Oregon State having nothing to lose at 2-9, I look for the Beavers to pull out all the tricks they can think of to try and put points on the scoreboard. This one should fly over the total. Give me the OVER 69.5! 

40* NCAAF --Black Friday Total Crusher-- (Under 45.5)

Missouri will be playing with a lot of emotion in this game. The Tigers need to pull off the upset to become bowl eligible and this will also be the last regular season game, potentially the last game ever, for head coach Gary Pinkel. The Tigers will give everything they have in this game and I look for their defense to keep Arkansas in check. Missouri is 23rd against the run and 11th against the pass and have allowed more than 21 points just once all season. On the flip side of this, I don't expect Missouri's offense to do much of anything. The Tigers are 125th in the country in total offense and Arkansas comes in with the 19th ranked run defense. Razorbacks should be motivated off a heartbreaking loss to Mississippi State in their home finale, as they can secure their first winning record inside SEC play since 2011. Also, conditions aren't expected to be great for this game (99% chance of rain throughout the game). Give me the UNDER 45.5! 

40* NCAAF --Thanksgiving Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 73)

Rivalry games tend to be a lot lower scoring than the statistic would suggest. That's definitely been the case in this series, as each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 have finished UNDER the total. I think we are going to see that trend continue. The Longhorns are better defensively than they get credit for and have not allowed more than 24 points in 6 straight meetings against Texas Tech. It's not so much that Texas will shutdown the Red Raiders offense, but keep them off the field. The Longhorns don't have a great offense and are fairly one dimensional with the running game. I look for a lot of long methodical drives that eat up clock and there's no guarantee they come away with points. Give me the UNDER 73! 

50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5)

I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Under 51.5)

These two teams have a history of playing low-scoring games. In fact, you have to go back to 1997 to find the last time these two teams combined for more than 50 points. That's 17 straight with a combined score of 50 or less and I see the streak continuing here. Alabama is clearly one of the best defensive teams in the country, but the key here is that we have an underrated Mississippi State defense playing at home in a night game in a huge revenge spot. Bulldogs are only giving up 3.9 yards/carry agains teams that average 4.5 an Alabama's offense needs to have success on the ground to get their offense going. They only managed 19 points against Tennessee with 117 rushing yards and 27 against Arkansas with 134. Last year they held the Tide to just 124 yards on the ground. I think both teams struggle to sustain drives and settle for field goals in the red zone. Give me the UNDER 51.5! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 52.5)

I think we are going to see a low scoring game here between the Hokies and Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is fighting for their season, as they have to win out make a bowl, while Virginia Tech also comes in highly motivated knowing that this is Beamer's last run. While the Hokies are familiar with the Yellow Jackets and their triple-option attack, they get the added bonus here of coming off their bye. UNDER is 21-8 in Georgia Tech's last 29 games played on Thursday and 13-4 in their last 17 home games with a total of 52.5 to 56 points. UNDER is also 26-13 in Virginia Tech's last 39 with a line of +3 to -3 and 6-0 in their last 6 conference road games. Give me the UNDER 52.5! 

40* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (UNDER 74)

These two teams only combined for 40 points last year at Bowling Green with a total of 67.5. While both offenses look capable of going off here, I think we are going to see both defenses play well. Western Michigan is only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 56% of their attempts and it's no secret the passing game is the strength of the Falcons. The Broncos have a balanced attack but want to be able to run the ball (avg 40 attempts a game). Bowling Green is only giving up 141 rushing yards/game inside MAC play. Key here is we are expecting heavy winds, which is going to force both teams to pass less, which is going to keep the clock moving. This game also means a lot for both teams. Bowling Green playing with revenge and Western Michigan trying to hold on to their slim lead in the West. Give me the UNDER 74! 

50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5)

This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Over 51)

This all comes down to the situation. Temple is well known for their defense, but we aren't going to see their best effort on that side of the ball in this spot. The Owls put everything they had into last week's game against Notre Dame and simply aren't going to be able to bounce back with that same kind of effort on the road against a SMU team that likes to play fast. If we simply get 20 points here from the Mustangs at home, we would need just 32 from Temple to cash the over. Considering SMU has allowed at least 38 in 6 straight, that should be a problem. Give me the OVER 51! 

50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5)

The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Knockout-- (Under 44)

These two teams combined for just 33 points last year at New York and I'm expecting another low-scoring game here with both teams coming off big division road games. The Jets defense has played exceptional well outside of last week's game against the Patriots and matchup well with the Raiders offense, which relies on it's passing game. New York ranks 4th in the league against the pass, allowing just 211.7 ypg. The Jets offensively need their running game to be effective and that plays into the strength of the Raiders defense, which ranks 3rd in the league against the run, allowing 84.3 ypg. Both offenses will be taken out of their comfort zone and this should lead to a lot of empty possessions and struggles when they do find the redone. Give me the UNDER 44! 

40* NFL --No Doubt Total Dominator-- (Over 48)

These two teams combined for just 44 points in their last meeting, but that came in Week 17 last year with both teams dealing with some nagging injuries on offense. In the previous meeting that season they combined for 63 points and the time before that they combined for 50. With Roethlisberger back from injury, I look for Pittsburgh to have their way with an overrated Cincinnati defense that is giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.6% of their pass attempts. At the same time, I look for the Bengals to have a lot of success offensively in this one. Cincinnati's offense is the real deal and they will be well prepared for this game coming off their bye. Give me the OVER 48 in a what should be an AFC North shootout! 

50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49)

I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 57)

This total has jumped from 53 to 57 and for good reason. While we missed out on the better number, I'm still extremely confident this once eclipses the mark. Tennessee's offensive has feasted on lesser defenses this season and Kentucky is certainly no juggernaut on that side of the ball. The Wildcats struggled to do anything good defensively last week against dual-threat quarterback Dak Prescott, as they gave up 42 points and over 580 yards of offense to an average Bulldogs offense. Tennessee has a pretty good dual-threat of their own in Josh Dobbs, so plenty of reason to expect the Volunteers to put up a big number. Key here is Tennessee isn't great defensively and I certainly don't expect max effort on that side of the ball after laying it all on the line last week against Alabama. Give me the OVER 57! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total of the Month-- (UNDER 51)

This may seem like a low total given Clemson just hung 58 on the road last week at Miami, but I think this game has a defensive battle written all over it. Clemson is 4th in the country in total defense and NC State is 3rd. Wolfpack offensively were held to 13 points in their only two games against a legit opponent in Louisville and Virginia Tech, so don't expect much from them. The key is I think their defense will keep Watson and the Tigers in check. We saw Clemson only score 20 on the road against a good Louisville defense and NC State seems to play above their potential on this side of the ball when hosting a ranked opponent. Give me the UNDER 51! 

40* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Crusher-- (Over 61)

We have seen this total drop from 67 down to 61 and I believe now is the time to strike on the OVER at the low mark. Louisiana Tech has a dynamic offense that comes in averaging 37.7 ppg and 481 yards of total offense. The Bulldogs will be going up against a Rice defense that is allowing 36.9 ppg and 446 yards/game. It's also worth noting the Owls are allowing a staggering 7.2 yards/play, which means we should see a lot of big plays from the Bulldogs. Rice is averaging 30.6 ppg and 436 yards/game. Louisiana Tech is allowing 39.0 ppg and 421 ypg on the road, while allowing 6 yards/play. These two combined for 107 points last year in the Bulldogs 76-31 win and it was the 3rd time in the last 3 years these two teams combined for at least 66 points (at least 1 team has scored 50+ in all 3). I see no reason why both teams don't reach at least 30 points. Give me the OVER 61! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 55)

First place in the ACC Coastal division will be up for grabs (Pitt currently sits at 4-0 in ACC with Duke and UNC both at 3-0) tonight when the Tar Heels visit the No. 23 ranked Panthers. I don't see much value in the line at basically a pick'em, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total based on previous matchups. No surprise that these two teams have been great defensively in 2015. Pitt brought in former Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Nartduzzi as their new head coach, while the Tar Heels landed Gene Chizek as their new defensive coordinator. The Panthers come in ranked 16th in total defense (308.3 ypg) and North Carolina is 36th (349.9 ypg). The impressive thing with Pitt's defensive numbers is they have played 5 of their first 7 on the road. Their defense should be even better at home, especially in this big time environment of a nationally televised game. The Tar Heels on the other hand have allowed 17 or less points in all but one game, the exception being against Georgia Tech and their triple-option attack. Both offenses like to run the football and I see this one being a defensive battle all the way. Give me the UNDER 55! 

50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5)

I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46)

These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46!

40* NCAAF --SEC Total Crusher-- (Over 52)

Since giving up 43 points to Ole Miss at home, Alabama has allowed 0, 10, 14 and 23 points over their last 4 games. I believe it's created some great value here with the over for their game against Tennessee. The Volunteers have a lot of talent on offense and we have already seen them score 27-points on the road against a dominant Florida defense. Last year Tennessee scored 20 on the Crimson Tide and they are a much stronger offensive unit in 2015. On the flip side of this, for as much negative talk that goes on with Alabama and their offense, the Crimson Tide come into this game averaging a solid 35.6 ppg against teams that are only giving up 23.8 on average. Alabama should have no problem moving the ball here against a Tennessee defense that ranks 87th in the country in total defense and giving up 4.6 yards/carry. Alabama could potentially cover this number on their own, but I'm expecting both teams to score here. I think this total is a good 5-7 points lower than it should be. Give me the OVER 52!

50* NCAAF --ACC Total of the Month-- (Over 55)

The books have set a low total here due to the perception that Clemson has a dominant defense. While I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a good defensive team, they have benefited from a soft schedule in terms of teams they have had to face who can spread you out and beat you with both the run and the pass. The only legit offense they have faced is Notre Dame and they gave up 437 yards, including 321 through the air. Miami has a ton of speed and one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country in Kaaya. At the same time, the Hurricanes aren't going to offer up much resistance defensively. I think both teams score into the 30's here. Give me the OVER 55!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42)

In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42!

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Broncos/Browns U42.5)

I don't see a lot of points being scored in this one. Denver's offense hasn't looked good at all this season. Their 5-0 start is a direct result of their defense. I expect more of the same here from the Broncos with the defense carrying them on the road against the Browns. Cleveland's defense hasn't been great, but they matchup well with Denver's offense, which can't run the ball. The Browns offense looked good last week against the Ravens, but I don't see that carrying over against this Denver defense. Give me the UNDER 42.5!

40* NCAAF --SEC Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Alabama/Texas A&M O52.5)

While I think Texas A&M is worth a look on the spread, I think the real value in this game is on the OVER. It's well known that the Crimson Tide struggle defensively against spread offenses and that's exactly what they will face here with the Aggies. Alabama's only game so far against a spread offense was their loss 31-41 loss at home to Ole Miss, where they gave up over 430 yards of total offense to the Rebels. I think Texas A&M is just as good, if not better, offensively than Ole Miss. Alabama's offense is also better than it gets credit for. Last week's game against Arkansas was the first time this season they scored fewer than 34 points, as they finished with 27. Texas A&M's defense is improved, but I don't see them keeping the Tide from putting up a big number. I think this game goes well past 60 points, as we should see a lot of big plays that lead to quick scores from both teams. Give me the OVER 52.5!

50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46)

The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46!

40* NCAAF --No Doubt Total Blowout-- (EC/BYU Over 58)

When East Carolina is playing anything close to a capable offense the over is typically the way to go, especially when they aren't going up against an elite defense. That's exactly the scenario we have here with this game. BYU comes in with the 78th ranked offense at 388.2 ypg, but are actually better than that number. If you take out the game against Michigan, where they were shutout and only had 105 total yards, they are averaging 30.3 ppg and 459.0 ypg. Defensively they come in just 61st in total defense and aren't great at stopping the run (160.4, 69th) or the pass (216.8, 67th). East Carolina is averaging 31.4 ppg against teams allowing just 25.8 ppg and have played some tough defenses. They put up 24 on Florida and 35 on Virginia Tech. Both teams rely more on the pass than the run, which should lead to a lot of big plays and a bunch of possessions for both sides. Give me the OVER 58!

50* NCAAF --Over/Under Total of the Month-- (Navy/ND Over 56)

Notre Dame laid it all on the line last week against Clemson and simply won't have the same energy when they take the field against Navy. Similar to what we saw with them allowing 27 points to UMass after that big game against Georgia Tech. Navy has proven they can move the ball against the Irish, scoring at least 34 points each of the last 2 years. Midshipmen look to be even strong offensively in 2015, which isn't a big surprise with senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds calling the shots. While I don't expect a great showing from the defense, the offense will be highly motivated to put up points after scoring only 22 last week against Clemson when they should have had a lot more. Notre Dame had 437 yards of total offense, but turned it over 4 times (only had 3 turnovers first 4 games combined). Like each of the last two years, I expect both offenses to score into the 30's, making this an easy play for me. Give me the OVER 56!

50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5)

It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5!

50* --NFL Total of the Month-- (Over 43)

The perception here is that these are two dominant defensive teams, which has created some exceptional value here with total at just 43 points. Arizona's 3-0 start is more a result of their offense than their defense at the same time, I don't think the Rams are as strong defensively as it looks on paper. St Louis has a lot of talent up front, but the secondary isn't great. Carson Palmer will be able to expose the Rams secondary and should be able to put up at least 27 points here. I believe the Rams can give us at least 17 if not more, as I see there offense only improving with Gurley getting more and more carries. These two combined for 45 in Arizona last year and the OVER is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 43!

50* NFL ---Total of the Month--- (Over 45.5)

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total at 45.5 points, largely due to both of these offenses struggling last week. The Colts scored just 7 points at home against the Jets, while the Titans were held to a mere 14-points at Cleveland. Indianapolis has too much talent offensively and too good of a quarterback to not get this turned around. I believe their struggles were largely due to playing 2 really good defenses in Buffalo and New York. The Titans will be playing at home for the first time this season and I look for Mariota to have a big day here against a banged up Colts secondary and will likely have to throw early and often to keep pace with Luck and the Colts. Give me the Over 45.5!

40* NCAAF ---Gridiron Total Crusher-- (Over 59)

Couple of weeks ago there's no way I would have been even considering the over in this game, but the Longhorns have finally found themselves a quarterback. Red-Shirt freshman Jerrod Heard completed 20 of 31 attempts for 364 yards and rushed for another 163 yards and 3 scores in last weeks' game against Cal. Heard was pushing to start in the spring and was highly recruited out of high school. While it's too early to call him the next Longhorn superstar, it sure looks that way. Dual threat quarterbacks are extremely difficult to prepare for and Oklahoma State doesn't really know what to expect here. The big key is that Texas' defense still stinks. They gave up 548 yards to Cal last week. I think both teams score into the 30's. Give me the Over 59!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Dominator-- (Under 47.5)

This total has been set too high for this matchup. Boston College features about as run heavy of an offense you will find that's not based strictly off the triple-option. The Eagles have attempted 49, 40 and 43 rush attempts in their first 3 games and totaled just 347 passing yards in their first 3 games combined. N. Illinois is only giving up 3.5 yards/carry against teams averaging 4.1, so I expect them to at worst make BC use a lot of plays to sustain a drive and put points on the scoreboard. Northern Illinois' offense is pretty average and will struggle to get much going on the road against a BC defense that is allowing 1.4 yards/carry and only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 44.6% of their attempts. I see a lot of empty drives and field goals when they get in opposing territory. Give me the UNDER 47.5!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Under 49)

I think the books have set too high of a total here for tonight's prime time matchup between Boise State and Virginia. Both of these teams are strong defensively and that should have these two average offenses struggling to sustain drives and finish them off with touchdowns. Boise State will be without starting quarterback Ryan Finley, which means they are going to have an inexperienced signal caller making his first start on the road, a situation that doesn't figure to end well. Virginia's offense is limited and the Broncos are more than capable of keeping them in check. The energy and intensity that comes with playing in front of a national audience only adds to the value here with this total. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 20 points. Give me the UNDER 49!

40* NFL --Smart Money Total Crusher-- (Over 46)

I think we are going to see a lot of offense in this one. Arizona has a stingy defense, but it's not nearly as good on the road as it is at home. Offensively the Cardinals are underrated, as this team has one of the better offenses in the league when Carson Palmer is healthy at quarterback. Chicago's defense is still adjusting to the transition from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and will continue to struggle. They allowed Aaron Rodgers to complete 18 of 28 attempts and gave up 4.1 yards/carry. As for the Bears' offense, I was impressed with them against Green Bay, as they put up over 400 yards of offense. They may not have Alshon Jeffery, but I still think there's enough here for Cutler to get them in the endzone. Plus, with Arizona's strong run defense, Cutler will be forced to throw a lot, which will likely lead to at least a couple turnovers and quick scores for the Arizona defense. Give me the OVER 46!

50* NCAAF *SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH* (Under 53)

I don't see any value on the spread in this one, but I absolutely love the UNDER. Alabama does not have the same offensive explosion as last year, but are improved defensively. For Ole Miss, all the talk has been about the offense, but I've been more impressed with the defense. I think we are going to see two of the best defenses in the country, potentially the best two, go to battle. I think we could see a similar type battle to Alabama's 2011 home game against LSU, where the game ended with a final of 6-9. Even if there's a little more offense than that, I don't see it getting into the 50's. Give me the UNDER 53!

40* NCAAF *SMART MONEY TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 55.5)

Notre Dame has lost their starting quarterback and running back in their first two games. While I was impressed with backup quarterback DeShone Kizer, I don't think the Irish offense will be as explosive with him as the starter. While the offense might take a step back, Notre Dame still has a very good defense and one that is well equipped to slow down Justin Thomas and the Georgia Tech triple-option attack. Keep in mind they play Navy every year, so their familiar with the triple-option scheme. Defense is also going to get an emotional boost here from the home crowd. They were dominant at home against Texas. Georgia Tech also has a very good defense. While they have played two cupcake opponents, they have dominated on the defensive side of the ball and should be able to keep Kizer and the rest of the offense in check. Give me the UNDER 55.5!

50* NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 65)

This may seem like a low total given these two teams combined for 81 points in Arizona State's 58-23 blowout win at New Mexico last year, but I actually think the value is on the UNDER. Both teams bring a lot back defensively. Sun Devils returned 9 defensive starters and the Lobos brought back 7. Both will have a much better understanding of what the other team is looking to do offensively. New Mexico likes to run the football and that's going to eat up some clock and I don't see the Sun Devils trying to run up the score late with two huge games on deck against USC at home and UCLA on the road. These prime time games also tend to bring out the best defensively and I think ASU could make life extremely difficult on New Mexico, who scored just 21 points last week against Tulsa at home. Under is 13-4 in Arizona State's last 17 home games with a total set at 63 or more points. ROLL THE UNDER 65!

40* NCAAF *COLLEGE GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER* (OVER 63)

I expect both offenses to score at will in this one. Arizona has big time playmakers on offense in sophomore quarterback Anu Solomon and sophomore running back Nick Wilson. The Wildcats have averaged over 30+ ppg in each of Rich Rodriguez's first 3 years on the job. They put up 42 points against UTSA in the opener and I see them flirting with 40 again. That's because their offense will have to continue to push to score, as their defense figures to give up a lot. Wildcats allowed 32 points and 525 yards to a UTSA team that only returned 2 offensive starters. Nevada has a more than capable offense and will score more than enough to push this well over the mark. ROLL THE OVER 63!

50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER*

The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Ohio State/Virginia Tech OVER 53)

Instead of worrying about whether or not Ohio State covers the 2 touchdowns spread, I think the smart play here is on the total over 53. The Buckeyes proved at the end of last year that their offense can put up points on anyone and I don't expect it to be any different against Virginia Tech. At the same time, I think the Hokies offense will be much improved and will definitely benefit here from Ohio State missing star linebacker Joey Bosa. These two teams combined for 56 points last year with both offenses working behind an inexperienced quarterback in a new system. Ohio State also saw at least 55 combined points in each of their final 14 games of 2014. ROLL THE OVER 53!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 49.5)

I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this one. There's nothing tricky about Wisconsin's offense, as they are going to line up and try and run it right at you. That plays right into the strength of this Alabama defense, as they tend to struggle a lot more with mobile quarterbacks who run a spread offense. On the flip side of this, Alabama loses a lot offensively, as they have just 3 starters back. They will be sending out an inexperienced quarterback and are going to lean on the run. Wisconsin will be in the 1st year under head coach Paul Chryst, but they retained defensive coordinator Dave Aranda. I see both teams focusing on the ground game, which is going to eat up the clock and have this one finishing under the mark. Roll the UNDER 49.5!

40* NCAAF *OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT* (Over 57.5)

There's no question that bringing in Will Muschamp to be the defensive coordinator is going to help Auburn improve on that side of the ball, but it's going to take some time. Louisville on the other hand has just 4 starters back on defense. Both head coaches are well known for their offenses and I believe both will be on full display inside the Georgia Dome today. Roll the OVER 57.5!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (UNDER 55.5)

I think this is way to high a total for this matchup. Washington's offense is going to be awful this year. Last year's starting quarterback Cyler Miles left the team in the offseason and he was a huge loss (completed 67%, 2,397 yards, 17-4 TD-INT). The Huskies also have just 1 starter back on the offensive line. Boise State loses underrated starting quarterback Grant Hedrick (completed 71% of his attempts)  to graduation, as well as leading rusher Jay Ajayi (1,800 yards 28 TDs). Both offenses figure to struggle to sustain drives. As long as we don't see a ton of turnovers that lead to quick scores, this should fly under the total. Roll the UNDER 55.5!

10* Seahawks/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 47.5

I think this game could go either way and there's really no value betting the spread, which is why I turned my full attention to the total. I think there is a ton of value on the UNDER, as we have two of the best defenses in the league that are going to make life miserable for the opposing offenses. The Seahawks strength offensively is without question their running game, while the strength of the Patriots stop unit is their defense. Seattle's league-best pass defense, also matches up extremely well with New England's 9th ranked passing attack. I'm expecting a lot of empty possessions with both teams having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns when they do make it into the redzone. Roll the UNDER 47.5!

10* Cardinals/Panthers NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 38

10* Clemson/Oklahoma CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 49

10* Broncos/Bengals NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 47

10* Titans/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 38.5

10* Chargers/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 50.5

10* Falcons/Packers NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 54.5

10* Giants/Titans NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 46.5

10* Arizona/Oregon CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 74

10* Cowboys/Bears NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 51

10* Giants/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 44.5

10* Texas Tech/Baylor CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 79

10* Purdue/Indiana CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 57.5

10* Seahawks/49ers NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 39.5

10* Ravens/Saints NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 50.5

10* Jets/Bills NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 42

10* Bengals/Texans NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 43.5

10* Tulsa/Houston CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 57

10* Patriots/Colts NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 57.5

10* Florida State/Miami CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 62.5

10* Mississippi State/Alabama OVER 54.5

10* Bills/Dolphins NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 41

10* Toledo/Northern Illinois CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 60

10* Texas A&M/Auburn CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 67

10* Broncos/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 53.5

10* Virginia/Georgia Tech CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 53.5

10* Cincinnati/Tulane CFB Top PlayBET: OVER 56

10* Tulsa/Memphis CFB Top Play
BET: OVER 60

10* Jets/Bills NFL Top PlayBET: OVER 40.5

10* Oregon/Cal CFB Top Play
BET: UNDER 79

10* Chargers/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 51

10* Connecticut/East Carolina Top Play

BET: OVER 54

10* Arkansas State/UL-Lafayette CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 54

10* Temple/Houston CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 51

10* Boise State/Fresno State CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 63

10* Jets/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 45

10* Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 45

10* UL-Lafayette/Texas State CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 63

10* Ravens/Bucs NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 43.5

10* Tulsa/Temple CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 58

10* San Diego St/New Mexico CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 52

10* Washington St/Stanford CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 52.5

10* Colts/Texans NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 47

10* Stanford/Notre Dame CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 47