Miami @ Brooklyn 7:30 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 221.5 (10*)

Miami will be playing with no rest after last night’s disheartening 1-point loss at Milwaukee. The Heat have played 9-1 to the over this season when playing on no rest. During their previous 5 games played, Miami has scored 118.0 points per contest, shot 47.3%, and made good on 38.3% of their 3-point attempts. They will be facing a Nets team that has allowed 122.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 51.2% and make an alarmingly high 42.4% of their 3-point shots over its last 5 contests. Brooklyn is coming off a 109-108 loss at Toronto and that game went under the total of 218.0. Brooklyn has played 12-2 to the over in its last 14 following an under in their previous game. Brooklyn has also permitted opponents to shoot 50%$ or better in 10 of their last 14 games. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Under 139.5 (5*)

Michigan State is coming off an 87-70 loss at Michigan in a game that easily sailed over the total. Nevertheless, the Spartans have played 7-0 to the under during its last 7 following an over in their previous game. Those 7 contests averaged just a combined 130.0 points per game. Furthermore, 5 of those 7 contests had a total of 143.5 or less and there was only a combined 123.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Ohio State has played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games.

Oklahoma City @ Denver 9:10 PM ET

Game# 597-598

Play On: Over 225.0 (5*)

Oklahoma City has gone over the total in each of its last 5 and there was a combined average of 238.6 points scored per game. The Thunder allowed 123 points or more in 4 of those 5 games. Furthermore, those last 5 Oklahoma City outings averaged a robust 192 field goal attempts per game which equates to extremely fast paced contests. Denver has averaged 121.0 points scored per contest, shot 49.7%, and made 38.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Nuggets have played an attention getting 15-1 to the over in their last 16 at home when there was a total of 235.0 or less. Those 16 contests averaged a combined 232.1 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

San Diego State @ Wyoming 9:00 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Over 129.5 (5*)

Wyoming has gone under in each of their previous 2 games. The Cowboys have played 4-0 to the over this season following back-to-back unders and there was a combined 151.5 points scored per game. Wyoming has also played 7-0 to the over at home this season whenever there was a total of 144.0 or less and there was a combined 146.4 points scored per game. San Diego State has gone over the total in their last 3 and there was a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

New Orleans @ LA Lakers 10:10 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Under 223.5 (5*)

The Lakers have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 conference home games and there was only a combined 200.7 points scored per contest. New Orleans is currently a 1.5-point underdog in this matchup. The Pelicans have played 19-6 to the under as a road underdog this season and that includes 9-0 to the under if their point-spread is +6.0 or less. Those previously mentioned 9 contests averaged a combined 208.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

LSU @ Kentucky 9:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On” Over 142.0 (10*)

LSU has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and that includes 4-0 over (145.5 PPG) on the road. Kentucky has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home when there was a total of 141.5 or greater and a combined 163.7 points were scored per game. Kentucky is ranked #4 national in offensive efficiency while scoring 120.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. The last 5 Kentucky games have seen a combined average of 127 field goal attempts per game which equated to an extremely fast pace by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 134.5 (5*)

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 144.7 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers have allowed opponents to shoot 48.4% and make 42.9% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. On a positive note, Minnesota has made 38.8% of their 3-point shot attempts in those 5 contests.

Wisconsin has played 4-1 to the over this season in true road games when facing teams that are currently unranked and there was a combined 142.8 points scored per game. The Badgers have played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 outings and with an average of 140.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Villanova @ Connecticut 8:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 136.5 (10*)

Villanova has played 7-1 to the over in conference away games this season and there was a combined average of 147.1 points scored per contest. The Wildcats have also gone over the total in 5 of its last 6 overall with a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Villanova averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Conversely, Connecticut has played 7-1 to the over this season versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per contest and there was a combined 160.0 points scored per game. During the first meeting of the season, Villanova walked away with an 85-74 home win and that contest easily sailed over the total of 128.5. The adjustment has been made to their 2nd matchup, but it still won’t prevent this game from surpassing the number. Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager.

West Virginia @ TCU 8:00 PM ET

Game# 885-886

Play On: Over 132.5 (5*)

West Virginia has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 away games and there was a combined 144.7 points scored per contest. West Virginia is coming off a 71-58 home loss to Kansas and that contest went under 147.5. The Mountaineers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under. TCU has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home.

Colorado @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Over 134.0 (5*)

Colorado has gone over the total in their last 4 and there was a combined 148.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, Colorado averaged 81.7 points scored per game, shot 50.5% from the field, and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point shot attempts. Stanford has played 3-0 to the over in its last 3 when the total was 137.5 or less and there were 148.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Houston @ LA Clippers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 229.5 (5*)

Houston will be playing with no rest following last night’s 124-121 loss at Phoenix. This will also be their 3rd game in 4 days. Houston has played 7-1 to the over this season when playing with no rest and 8-1 to the over when playing its 3rd game in 4 days. Furthermore, Houston has played 9-1 to the over during its last 10 overall while allowing 120 points or more in 8 of those contests. Additionally, the Rockets have allowed each of their last 10 opponents to shoot 51.2% or better.

The Clippers are coming off a 103-96 loss at Phoenix in a game that went under the total of 222.0. However, Los Angeles has gone over in 4 straight after playing under in their previous contest, and there was a combined 236.3 points scored per game. The Clippers are also 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home and with a combined 241.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Boise State @ Air Force 10:00 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Over 120.5 (5*)

Boise State has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5. Duriung that stretch there was an average total of 128.7 and 137.4 combined points were scored per game. Air Force has played 8-4 to the over this season in conference games and there was an average of 127.4 points scored per game. The Falcons have been terrible defensively over their previous 4 outings while allowing 82.0 points per game and permitting opponents to shoot a sizzling hot 58.5% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Vanderbilt @ Auburn 9:00 ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Over 143.0 (10*)

Vanderbilt has gone over the total in each of their last 5 contests. The Commodores shot a blistering hot 43.5% from 3-point territory throughout that 5-game stretch. Auburn is coming off a 75-58 home win over Texas A&M in a game that easily went under the totakl of 141.5. However, Auburn has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under and there was a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Both teams have recently been great at getting to the foul line. Through each team’s previous 5 outings, Vandy averaged 23 free throw attempts per contest and Auburn did so 26 times per game. Conversely, during that identical 5-game stretch, both teams sent their opponents to the free throw line with almost identical frequency. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Boston @ Philadelphia 7:30 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Under 210.0 (5*)

Boston has been dialed in defensively for a few weeks now. Specifically speaking, the Celtics have allowed less than 100 points in 8 of their last 11 games. Boston has also allowed 97-points or fewer in each of their previous 4 road games. Furthermore, Boston has held opponents to less than 40% shooting in 4 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia has played 19-9 (67.9%) to the under at home this season. The 76ers have allowed only 101.8 points per game throughout their previous 5 contests and limited opponent to just 83 field goal attempts per game which is a slow pace by modern NBA standards. Give me this game to go under the total.

Virginia @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Over 118.5 (5*)

Virginia has played 6-0 to the over in conference away games this season whenever there was a total of 132.0 or less, and there was a combined 135.6 points scored per game. Virginia has scored 63 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. The Cavaliers are the #1 free throw percentage team in the ACC.

Virginia Tech has scored 71 points or more and shot 50% or better in 5 of its last 6 games. The Hokies have converted on an eye-popping 48.5% of their 3-poinst shot attempts over their last 5 games while averaging 12 makes per contest. As a matter of fact, the Hokies are #2 nationally in offensive 3-point shooring percentage.

Both teams play at a snail’s pace offensively which could make for frustrating television for over bettors to watch. However, the total has been adjusted accordingly and I am predicting both teams to score 60 points or more with all things being accounted for. Give me this game to go over the total.

Cincinnati @ LA Rams 6:30 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Under 49.0 (5*)

Cincinnati has gone under in each of their 3 postseason games, and I don’t expect this result to produce anything different. The Bengals have scored only 5 touchdowns in those contests. However. their rookie placekicker Evan McPherson was a perfect 12-for-12 on field goals. Which simply equates to moving the ball consistently but struggling mightily to finish off drives with a touchdown. Now Cincinnati’s offense be facing arguably the best defense it has gone up against this postseason. Additionally, Cincinnati has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 road games.

The Rams have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 at home. The Rams have gone under in both postseason home games, and they allowed only 14.0 points and 232.5 yards per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Orlando @ Phoenix 9;10 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 223.0 (5*)

NBA betting history has shown that teams as good as Phoenix (45-10) facing opponents as bad as Orlando (13-44) will play under the total a high percentage of the time during the 2nd half of the season. Phoenix has outscored their opponents this season by an average of 7.9 points per game. Conversely, Orlando has been outscored this season by an average of 8.0 points per contest.

Any NBA team (Suns) that’s playing in their 2nd half of the season with a total of 210.0 or greater, and they possess a point per game differential of +7.0 or greater, versus an opponent (Orlando) who has a point per game differential of -7.0 or worse, resulted in those contests playing 37-10 (78.7%) to the under since the start of the 1996-1997 season. The average total in those 47 contests was 221.9 and there was just a combined 211.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Minnesota @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Over 240.5 (5*)

This total is this high for a reason and it’s not going to scare me from betting the over. Minnesota has played 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games. The Timberwolves are coming off a 132-119 loss at Sacramento. Since the start of last season, Minnesota has played 16-1 to the over (240.1 PPG) following a game in which they allowed 130 points or more and includes 4-0 this season (240.8 PPG). During their previous 5 outing Minnesota has scored an impressive 125.8 points per game, shot 47.8% from the field, and made good on an excellent 43.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. It’s also worth noting, during that previously mentioned stretch, Minnesota has averaged 95 field goal attempts per game which equates to a lightning-fast offensive pace. Minnesota has scored 118 points or more in 7 of their last 8 contests.

Chicago has played 11-0 to the over this season in home games with a total of 220.0 or greater and there was a combined 244.7 points scored per contest. The Bulls have scored 120 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games and those contests played 7-1 to the over. They’ve also allowed 115 points or more in 7 of their last 8 as well. Give me this game to go over the total.

Milwaukee @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Over 233.0 (5*)

This game has all the earmarks of being wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. I’m betting on that being precisely the case and won’t be scared off by the huge total. During its previous 4 outings, Milwaukee has averaged 129.5 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53% from the field. Milwaukee has scored 120 points or more in 6 of 7 non-conference road games this season. Milwaukee has seen their last 5 played in Phoenix all go over the total with a combined average of 242.2 points scored per game. The Bucks haven’t exactly been great defensively in recent games. Specifically speaking, throughout their previous 5 contests Milwaukee allowed an average of 114.2 points per games and opponents shot an alarmingly high 49.1% from the field in addition to an excellent 38.3% from 3-point territory.

Phoenix has scored 114 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. The Suns have played 3-1 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 230.0 or greater. Their only under withing that totals parameter came against Oklahoma City when there was 232 points scored and the total was 233.0. Furthermore, those 4 contests averaged a combined 243.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Purdue @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET

Game# 843-844

Play On: Over 144.5 (10*)

#3 Purdue enters this contest after going over in their last 5 and with a combined 160.2 points scored per game. The Boilermakers have scored 80 points or more in 6 straight and 8 of its last 9 games. Purdue is #1 nationally out of 357 teams playing Division 1 basketball in offensive efficiency while scoring 126.5 points per 100 possessions. They’ll be facing a Michigan team that has allowed 74.2 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 49.2% over their previous 5 contests.

Michigan has seen all 4 of their conference home games go over the total with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. The Wolverines are #24 national in offensive efficiency at 113.8 points scored per 100 possessions. Michigan will be out to avenge an 82-76 loss at Purdue in a game that took place just last Friday. That contest easily surpassed the total of 145.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

LA Lakers @ Portland 10:10 PM ET

Game# 529-530

Play On: Under 223.5 (5*)

Portland has scored 95 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. The Trailblazers also shot less than 40% in 3 of their previous 4 games. The Lakers hosted Portland last Tuesday and walked off with a 99-94 win and that contest easily went under the total of 223.0.

Speaking of the Lakers, they’re coming off a 131-116 home loss to Milwaukee last night. Despite that defeat, the Lakers shot 51.8% for the game. Los Angeles has gone under in 5 consecutive contests following a game in which they shot 50% or better. Those 5 contests averaged only a combined 201.6 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Missouri State @ Drake 8:00 PM ET

Game# 723-724

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Drake has seen 5 of its last 6 contests go over the total and there was a combined 154.5 points scored per game. Drake is coming off a 74-69 overtime loss to Northern Iowa. The Bulldogs have gone over in their previous 3 following a loss. Missouri State has witnessed 5 of their last 6 going over when the total was 135.0 or greater. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Joseph’s @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Over 144.5 (5*)

Davidson has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 contests and there was a combined 148.0 points scored per game. The Wildcats are an excellent offensive team that is #7 nationally in efficiency while averaging 117.8 points per 100 offensive possessions, #4 in 3-point shooting (40.6%), and #24 in free throw shooting at (77.1%). These teams met in Philadelphia on 1/ 5 which resulted in an 88-73 win which easily went over the total of 143.0. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2019-2020 season, these teams have met 4 times and each of those games went over the total. St. Joe’s has played 3-1 to the over in its last 4 while scoring 69 points or more in all those games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Indiana @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Over 226.0 (5*)

Indiana is coming off a 98-85 loss at Cleveland which easily went under the total. The Pacers have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 after going under in its previous contest and there was a combined 236.8 points scored per game. Indiana has also played 6-0 to the over during their last 6 following a game in which they scored less than 100 and there was a combined 239.8 points scored per contest.

Atlanta has averaged a lofty 118.0 points scored per game in their last 7 at home. The Hawks have also shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 9 at home. The last 5 meetings between these Eastern Conference teams have gone over the total and there was a combined 239.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Wisconsin @ Michigan State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

These teams met in Madison on 1/21 with Michigan State prevailing 86-74 and that contest easily surpassing the total of 139.0. Wisconsin has played 10-1 to the over this season whenever the number was 136.0 or greater. The Badgers have also averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per game over their previous 5 contests. On the other hand, Michigan State has converted on an excellent 41.4% of their 3-point attempts and 84% of its free throws throughout the last 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Arizona @ Arizona State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 143.0 (5*)

Both teams are outstanding defensive teams. Arizona ranks #4 in adjusted defense in allowing just 87.4 points per 100 offensive possessions. Arizona Stata is #54 out of 357 Division 1 teams in that same category. Arizona State has played 7-0 to the under in their last when there was a total of 142.0 or greater and there was a combined 136.0 points scored per game. The Sun Devils have also played 9-0 to the under at home this season when the total was 131.5 or great. Furthermore, Arizona State is statistically one of the worst offensive teams in college basketball this season. These teams met just 10 days ago in Tempe, and Arizona walked away with a 66-57. That contest easily went under the total of 148.0. Arizona has played 7-3 to the under this season when facing conference opponents and they held those teams to 37.5% shooting and only 13 free throw attempts per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

Northern Iowa @ Drake 6:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Drake has gone over the total in their last 5 and there was a combined 156.8 points scored per game. The Bulldogs come into this Missouri Valley game with an outstanding 17-6 record. That’s significant in the respect that Northern Iowa has played 10-1 to the over this season when facing an opponent with a winning record and there was a combined 153.1 points scored per game. Northern Iowa is averaging a lofty 77.5 points scored per game this season in conference action. Drake has allowed 76.0 points per game throughout their previous 5 contests. It also must be note, Drake has made a terrific 39.3% of their 3-point shot attempts at home. Bet this game to go over the total.

Wake Forest @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Over 146.5 (5*)

I look for this to be a high scoring and entertaining game. Wake Forest has gone over in each of their last 5 with a combined 158.8 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Demon Deacons scored 85.6 points per game, shot a sizzling hot 53.6% from the field, made an excellent 40.6% of its 3-point shot attempts, and canned 79.6% of their free throws. That’s unequivocally playing with a high degree of offensive efficiency. On a negative note, in their last 2 games versus Syracuse and Pittsburgh, they allowed those teams scored 84.5 points per game and shoot 52.8% from the field. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 91-75 home win versus Pittsburgh. They’ve played 6-0 to the over this season following a game in which they scored 85 points or more and there was a combined 154.0 points scored per game.

Florida State has shot a very good 48.7% throughout their previous 5 games. During that identical span, the Seminoles allowed their opponents to shoot 48.3% and make an alarmingly high 47.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Florida State has played 18-4 (81.8%) to the over at home whenever there was a number between 140.0 and 149.5, and there was 155.2 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

UCLA @ Arizona 8:00 PM ET

Game# 795-796

Play On: Under 149.0 (10*)

These teams met just 10 days ago in Los Angeles and UCLA walked away 75-59 win which easily went under the total of 150.5. These are 2 of the best defensive teams in the country with Arizona ranked #7 and UCLA #9 in defensive efficiency. Just a note, there are 357 teams playing Men’s Division 1 College Basketball.

UCLA has played 5-0 to the under during their previous 5 true road games and there was only a combined 123.2 points scored per contest. Conversely, Arizona is 5-0 to the under in their last 5 when the total was 143.0 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 152.0 and there was just 135.2 points scored per game. The Wildcats are coming off 2 consecutive atrocious shooting games in which they made an anemic 31.3% of their field goal attempts. UCLA has shown a significant drop off in offensive production when not play at the cozy confines of Pauley Pavillion in Los Angeles. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Miami @ San Antonio 8:40 PM ET

Game# 599-600

Play On: Over 222.0 (10*)

Miami has gone over the total in each of their previous 6 games. Furthermore, Miami has gone an extremely noteworthy 17-3 over the total in non-conference games this season. Wednesday will be the Heat’s 3rd game in 4 days and they’ve played 8-1 to the over this season when in that identical situation. San Antonio has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 games. During that span they averaged 121.0 points scored per game and shot 51.2%. That 51.2% shooting over that span becomes even more impressive when considering the Spurs have averaged 95 field goal attempts per game which is well over the NBA average. Miam has played 18-10 (64.2%) to the over on the road this season while San Antonio is 18-7 (72%) to the over at home. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Brooklyn @ Sacramento 10:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Under 232.5 (5*)

Sacramento is coming off a 116-99 loss at New York in their previous outing. It was the 11th time this season that Sacramento suffered a road loss by 10 points or more. The Kings have played 9-1 to the under this season following a road loss by 10 or more and there was a combined average of 209.4 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Sacramento has played 4-0 to the under in their previous 4 contests and there was a combined 211.0 points scored per game.

The Nets have played 21-9 (705) to the under this season whenever there was a total of 220.0 or greater and there was a combined 223.5 points scored per game. Brooklyn lost last night at Phoenix 121-111 and that game went over the total of 230.0. The Nets have played 4-0 to the under in its last 4 and 9-1 during their previous 10 following an over. Bet this game to go under the total.

Cleveland @ Houston 8:10 PM ET

Game# 565-566

Play On: Under 219.5 (5*)

The Cavaliers are coming off a 93-90 home win over New Orleans. Since the start of last season, Cleveland has played 15-2 (88.2%) to the under following a game in which there was a combined 190 points or fewer scored. Since the start of last season, Cleveland has witnessed all 3 of their games versus Houston going under the total and there was only a combined 204.0 points scored per contest.

Houston isn’t a good defense team. The Rockets have allowed opponents to shoot a concerning 47.5% from the field. Additionally, Houston has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better. Nevertheless, recent NBA betting history has shown that NBA teams like Houston that are in this exact situation are a good bet to stay under the total. Since the beginning of the 2017-208 NBA campaign, any NBA home team (Cleveland) with a total of 210.0 to 219.5, versus a team which has allowed its opponents to shoot 46% or better on the season and allowed them to shoot 47% or better in each of their previous 5 contests, resulted in those contests playing 25-6 (80.6%) to the under. Bet this game to go under the total.

Orlando @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET

Game# 551-552

Play On: Over 222.5 (10*)

Orlando has played 3-1 to the over in their last 3 conference away games and there was a combined 225.3 points scored per contest. The Magic have also seen 5 of its last 6 games go over the total. Orlando has far exceeded their season offensive numbers during their previous 5 games. Throughout that stretch they’ve scored 110.0 points per game and shot 48.5% from the floor.

Chicago has played 8-0 to the over this season during home games that had a total of 220.0 or greater and there was a combined 246.6 points scored per contest. The Bulls defensive play has been uninspiring during their previous 5 contests while allowing opponents to shoot 49.2% and that includes a concerning 41.6% from 3-point territory. When taking into account, all 3 of their meetings this season versus Orlando went under the total and the average number was just 215.5 and each contest had a combined 211 points or fewer being scored, something doesn’t make sense. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Miami @ Boston 7:40 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Under 209.5 (5*)

These are two of the slower paced offensive teams in the NBA. Miami averages 97.9 offensive possessions per game which is the 4th slowest tempo in the NBA. Boston is the 9th slowest at 98.8 offensive possessions per game. The Celtics have been outstanding defensively throughout their previous 4 contests while allowing 91.8 points per game and held their opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting. Miami has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 conference road games. These teams met once this season and Boston won 95-78 and that contest easily went under the total of 213.5.

The Heat have gone over in each of their previous 2 contests and did so by 24.5 and 34.5 points respectively. Miami enters today with a stellar 32-18 9.640) season record. Any NBA team 9Miami) that’s coming off 2 consecutive games that went over the total by 18.0 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those teams playing 25-6 (80.6%) to the under since the beginning of the 1996-1997 NBA season. The average total in those 31 contests was 204.4 and there was a combined 199.2 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

New Orleans @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET

Game# 539-530

Play On: Under 209.5 (5*)

Cleveland has gone under in each of their last 4 at home and there was a combined 201.0 points scored per game. The Cavaliers have played at an extremely slow offensive pace in recent games which is evidenced by them taking 82 field goal attempts or fewer in 5 of its last 6 contests. Cleveland allows 103.2 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions which ranks 3rd in the NBA and 1st in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland ranks #28 in offensive past at 97.8 possessions per game while New Orleans is tied for #19 at 99.4 per game. New Orleans has played 15-6 (71.4%) to the under this season as a road underdog. Bet this game to go under the total.

San Francisco @ LA Rams 6:40 PM ET

Game# 323-324

Play On: Under 46.0 (10*)

The Rams are coming off a thrilling 30-27 win at Tampa Bay and that game went over the total of 48.0. Los Angeles has played 6-0 to the under (40.8 PPG) in their last 6 following a game in which they went over. As a matter of fact, the Rams haven’t gone over in consecutive games since 10/3/2021. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, the Rams have played 16-6 (72.7%) to the under as a home favorite.

San Francisco has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and with a combined average of 39.1 points scored per game. The 49ers run defense has been outstanding in recent games. They’ve allowed 90 yards rushing or less in their previous 7 and 10 of its last 11 games.

San Francisco entered the season as the NFC #6 seed. Since the 2013 postseason, NFL #6 seeds have played 26-6 (81.2%) to the under. The average total in those 32 contests was 46.1 and there was a combined average of 40.1 points scored per game. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. Furthermore, throughout their previous 6 games, the 49ers stop unit has allowed 15.2 points per contests and 307 yards or fewer on each occasion. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Denver @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET

Game# 591-592

Play On: Over 218.0 (5*)

Denver has seen 7 of their last 8 go over the total with a combined average of 235.9 points scored per game. The Nuggets have been poor defensively throughout its previous 5 outing while allowing opponents to score 116.8 points per game and shoot 50.3% from the floor. These teams met just once this season, and Denver prevailed 120-114 thus easily going over the total of 212.5. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Utah @ Phoenix 9:10 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Under 221.0 (10*)

Utah has seen each of their previous 4 games go under and there was a combined 205.3 points scored per contest. Phoenix has played under the total in its last 4 when the number was 216.5 to 226.5 and there was a combined 207.0 points scored per game.

Utah is outscoring their opponents by 7.1 points per game. Conversely, Phoenix has outscored their opponents by 8.0 points per contest. Any NBA game involving teams that are outscoring their opponents by 7.0 or more points per game on the season, and the total was 220.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 24-2 (92.3%) to the under since 1996-1997. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Texas Tech @ Kansas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 891-892

Play On: Under 139.0 (5*)

Texas Tech has gone under in all 3 of their conference away games this season and there was just a combined 112.7 points scored per contest. The Red Raiders have allowed 67 points or fewer in each of their previous 9 games. Texas Tech has allowed just an average of 60.6 points per contest while holding opponents to 38.3% shooting in 7 conference games.

Kansas is coming off a thrilling 78-75 win at Kansas State in a game that went over the total of 138.0. However, the Jayhawks have played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 following an over and there was a combined average of 134.3 points scored per contest. Kansas is a perfect 9-0 at home this season while allowing only 62.0 points per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

San Francisco @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Over 47.0 (5*)

Since Matt Lafleur took over as head coach in Green Bay, his teams have played 7-0 to the over in January games and with a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game. Since 2017, Green Bay has played in 4 home playoff games with all going over the total and there was a combined average of 52.3 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Green Bay has played 6-1 to the over in its last 7 games and scored 30 points or more on 6 of those occasions. You may be surprised to know that San Francisco has scored 23 points or more in 8 of their last 9 games. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Atlanta @ Miami 7:40 PM ET

Game# 539-540

Play On: Over 219.0 (5*)

Atlanta has seen its last 4 contests all go over the total and there was a combined average of 239.5 points scored per game.  Miami has scored an average of 111.0 points per contest while shooting a solid 47.3% and went a sensational 87.1% from the free throw line throughout their previous 5 games. These teams met just last Friday in Miami and the Heat won 124-118 with the contest easily going over the total of 221.0. I expect a similar high scoring and entertaining game in this one as well. Bet this game to go over the total

Wisconsin @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Over 139.0 (5*)

Wisconsin has seen their last 6 go over the total and with a combined average of 151.0 points scored per game.  Furthermore, in games when there was a total of 133.5 or greater this season, the Badgers have played 7-0 to the over. Northwestern has played 3-0 to the over in conference home games and there was a combined average of 155.0 points scored per contest. The Wildcats have played at a torrid offensive pace throughout their previous 5 contests while averaging 69 field goal attempts per game. 

Utah @ LA Lakers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 230.5 (5*)

Both teams have been extremely poor defensively throughout their previous 5 games. The Lakers have played 5-0 to the over in its last 5 and there was a combined average of 240.8 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Lakers allowed opponents to score 123.4 points per game, shoot 51.5% from the floor, and make an alarmingly high 42.4% of its 3-point attempts. During their last 5 contests, Utah has allowed 117.2 points per game while opponents shot 49% from the floor, and 4 of those 5 went over the total. Additionally, The Lakers have played 12-1 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 225.0 or greater. Bet this game to go over the total.

Loyola-Chicago @ Indiana State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Loyola-Chicago has begun their Missouri Valley Conference schedule 3-0 and each of those games went over the total, and with a combined 152.3 points scored per contest. On the other side of the table is an Indiana State team which has played 9-3 to the over this season and with a combined average of 146.7 points scored per game. The numbers don’t lie, and neither will this result. Bet this game to go over the total.

Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 895-896

Play On: Over 143.5 (10*)

The Wolverines have averaged 63 field goal attempts per game in their last 5 which equates to a fast tempo and shot an impressive 48.3% while doing so. Conversely, Illinois has averaged 62 field goal attempts in their last 5 and shot 50.8% from the floor while making 41.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. Michigan has played 3-0 to the over in Big 10 Conference games and there was a combined 150.3 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 9-1-1 to the over in their last 11 and that includes 5-0 if the total was 141.0 or greater. Those 5 contests in that specific total’s parameter averaged a combined 163.4 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Ohio State @ Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET

Game# 781-782

Play On: Over 139.5 (5*)

Wisconsin has seen each of their previous 5 contests go over the total and with a combined average of 152.0 points per game. Wisconsin has committed 8 turnovers or fewer in each of their last 7 games. The Badgers have played 7-0 to the over this season after committing 8 turnovers or less in each of its previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 150.3 points scored per game. The Badgers have witnessed each of their last 5 at home versus Ohio State go over the total.

Ohio State has been a good offensive team since the start of the season. During their 5 conference contests thus far, the Buckeyes scored 78.2 points per game, shot 48.3% from the floor, converted 39.8% of its 3-point shots, and made 85.7% of their free throws. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Utah State @ Colorado State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 727-728

Play On: Over 150.0 (5*)

Utah State has played 3-0 to the over this season in true road games when the number was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 168.3 points scored per contest. Conversely, Colorado State has played 4-1 to the over this season in all games with a total of 145.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 167.0 points per game. Both these teams shoot very well. Colorado State has converted on 40.1% of their 3-point shot attempts this season which ranks 6th best nationally and is also #4 in free throw shooting at 81.3%. Utah State ranks #42 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage and #19 nationally on 2-point field attempts at 56.2%. Bet this game to go over the total.

Bradley @ Loyola-Chicago 4:00 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Over 135.0 (5*)

Bradley has played 5-0 to the over in its last 5 and there was a combined 144.8 points scored per game. Additionally, the Braves are 7-0 to the over in their last 7 this season whenever there was a total of 130.0 to 139.5.

Loyola has played 5-0 to the over in line home games this season with a combined 151.0 points scored per game. The Ramblers have shot 49% or better in each of their previous 5 games. They’ve also converted on an excellent 41.9% of their 3-point shot attempts which is 4th nationally in that category. Bet this game to go over the total.

Sacramento @ Denver 9:10 PM ET

Game# 573-574

Play On: Over 225.5 (5*)

Denver has played 5-1 to the over in its last 6 at home and those contests averaged a combined 226.3 points scored per contest. Conversely, Sacramento has played 6-2 to the over in their last 6 on the road and there was a combined average of 234.4 points scored per game. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They faced each other 3 times last season and each of those contests went over the total with a combined 238.0 points scored per game. This shapes up to be a perfect storm for a high scoring and entertaining game to watch. Bet this game to go over the total.

Dallas @ Houston 8:10 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Under 215.0 (5*)

Dallas has seen each of their previous 5 stay under the total and there just a combined 190.2 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Mavericks allowed a mere 89.6 points per contest while limiting opponents to only 16 free throw attempts per game. They’ll be facing a Houston team which has played 15-4 to the over in its last 16 outings. Something must give in terms of the contrasting styles between these teams. I’m betting on Dallas to force a slower tempo than Houston prefers to play it and to impose their will defensively. The Mavericks will be without its 2 best players tonight on Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis. They have combined to average 45.6 points, 16.0 rebounds, and 11.3 assists per game this season. Bet this game to go under the total.

Minnesota @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Over 218.0 (5*)

These teams just met on Wednesday night in Minnesota and the Timberwolves walked away with a 98-90 win. That contest easily stayed under the total of 217.5. Yet, the oddsmakers seem unfazed by that result in addition to the fact that Oklahoma City has scored 97 points or fewer in each of their previous 4 games, and when considering we are looking at a nearly identical total for today’s matchup. Furthermore, Minnesota has gone over the total in 5 straight on the road following an under in their previous contest, and there was a combined average of 230.0 points scored per game. Bet this game to go over the total.

Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 9:00 PM ET
Game# 721-722
Play On: Over 137.0 (5*)

Northern Iowa has witnessed each of their previous 3 contests go over the total. The average total in those contests was 129.5 and there was a combined average of 144.7 points scored per game. Valpo's last 2 outings had an average total of 133.3 and there was a combined average of 152.0 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 games, Valpo scored 80.8 points per contest while shooting 49.5% from the floor, 38.4% from 3-point land, and made 85.2% of its free throws. The Crusaders also averaged 61 field goal attempts during those last 5 which equates to a rapid offensive pace by college basketball standards. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Furman @ UNC-Greensboro 7:00 PM ET
Game# 703-704
Play On: Over 130.5 (5*)

Furman has averaged 79.3 points scored per game this season while making an excellent 38.9% of its 3-point shots. Furthermore, they not only shoot threes at a high percentage but also average a lofty 12 made long distance attempts per game. Furman has also played 3-0 to the over this season when there was a total of 137.0 or less and there was a combined average of 141.3 points scored per game. Furman has scored 73 points or more in 11 of 15 games this season.

UNCG went under the total in its previous game. Nevertheless, UNCG has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under and there was a combined average of 152.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Rams @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET

Game# 127-128

Play On: Over 46.5 (5*)

The once proud Baltimore defense has been anything but on several occasions. Last week at Cincinnati was one of those times. They lost that contest in a decisive manner 41-21 while allowing Cincinnati to rack up 575 yards of total offense. The Ravens have allowed 31 points or more on 6 separate occasions this season. Baltimore has used 3 different starting quarterbacks the last 3 weeks yet each of those contests went over the total and with a combined 56.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Los Angeles has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 road contests with a combined average of 57.7 points scored per game. The Rams have scored 26 points or more in 7 of their 8 road games. Regardless of who’s at quarterback for Baltimore, bet this game to go over the total.

Baylor vs. Ole Miss 8:45 PM ET

Game# 283-284

Play On: Over 55.5 (5*)

This has all the earmarks of an entertaining and high scoring game. I make that statement despite Baylor having gone under in each of their last 4 and Ole Miss going under in 7 straight leading up to this 2022 Sugar Bowl matchup. Nonetheless, it’s important to note, those last 7 Ole Miss contests had an average total of 68.9. Ole Miss has averaged 35.9 points scored and 506.7 yards gained per game this season. The Rebels play at a frantic offensive pace which has seen them average 78 plays per game. This will be the lowest total of the season for Ole Miss with their previous low 58.0 versus Texas A&M. As a matter of fact, 11 of 12 Ole Miss games had a total of 64.5 or greater. Ole Miss has a potential 2022 #1 NFL draft choice in quarterback Matt Corral. All Corral has done this season is throw for 3339 yards and 20 touchdowns this season. Additionally, Corral also ran for an eye-catching 597 yards and 11 touchdowns.

The Baylor defense has received much acclaim this season and rightfully so. But their offense has been no slouch while averaging 32.5 points scored and 430.2 yards gained per game. Furthermore, the Bears will be facing a suspect Ole Miss defense which has allowed 428.8 yards per game. Bet this game to go over the total.

Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State 1:00 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Over 44.5 (5*)

Notre Dame’s defense was terrific during the final stretch of regular season action. However, 6 of their last 7 games were against teams that finished the season with a losing record. The Notre Dame offense has been consistently productive this season. The Fighting Irish have scored 27 points or more in 11 of 12 games this season. The only time they didn’t reach that 27-point barrier occurred in a 24-13 home loss to #4 Cincinnati which occurred way back on 10/2.

Oklahoma State is coming off a 21-16 loss to Baylor in the Big 12 Conference Championship Game which snapped a 5-game win streak. That contest also stayed under the total of 45.0. Oklahoma State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after going under in their previous 3 games. Those 3 contests ha- an average total of 52.5 and there was a combined 69.3 points scored per game.

Here’s a college football totals betting angle which is highly profitable and fits perfectly in this matchup. Any college football (Oklahoma State) that’s playing in January with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they won 4 of its last 5 games, resulted in those teams playing 30-5 (85.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 35 contests was 46.6 and there was a combined 56.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Utah @ San Antonio 8:40 PM ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Over 229.5 (10*)

San Antonio has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 219.0 or greater. Those 5 contests had a combined 247.2 points scored per game. Furthermore, during their previous 5 contests, the Spurs averaged 128.0 points scored per game while shooting 49.3% and includes 41.4% from 3-point territory. San Antonio has also played 12-2-2 to the over at home this season and 8-1 (236.3 PPG) if the number was 220.0 or greater.

Utah has played 14-4 to the over in their last 18 games and includes 5-1 over on the road. The Jazz have scored 120 points or more in each of its last 7 against fellow Western Conference teams. Utah will be out to atone for a 128-126 home loss to San Antonio earlier this season in a contest that easily sailed over the total of 226.0. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Brown @ Syracuse 6:00 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Over 143.5 (5*)

Brown has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games. Those 4 contests went over the total by an average of 7.7 points per game. During their previous 3 contests, Brown scored 73.3 points per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.5% from the field. Syracuse has played 3-1 to the over at home this season and their own offensive prowess was a key contributing factor to those high scoring contests. During those 4 at home, Syracuse shot a combined 50.6% from the field, made 41.4% of its 3-point attempts, converted on 80.5% of its free throws, and had an awesome 18:10 assist to turnover ratio. Bet this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ Chicago 8:15 PM ET

Game# 331-332

Play On: Over 45.5 (5*)

Minnesota has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there’s been a total of 48.5 or less and there was a combined 59.6 points scored per game. The Vikings have scored 26 points or more in each of their previous 6 games. The bad news for Vikings backers is their team has allowed 28 points or more in each of their previous 4 and 6 of its last 8 games. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games with a combined average of 61.3 points scored per game.

Chicago has gone over in each of their last 2 which resulted in losses to Arizona 33-22 and Green Bay 45-30. Chicago has shown some life offensively of late. During their previous 6 games, the Bears averaged 21.7 points scored per contest and 357.5 yards gained per game. Those offensive numbers would be substantially better if not for the fact they turned the ball over 12 times during that stretch. However, some of those turnovers they committed resulted in short fields and glorious scoring opportunities for opposing offenses. Bet this game to go over the total.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay 8:20 PM ET

Game# 329-330

Play On: Under 45.5 95*)

This would’ve been unimaginable to say over the last decade plus, but New Orleans passing offense is below average at best. Their running game is unequivocally their strength and even those numbers aren’t spectacular by any means. Tampa was #1 against the run the past 2 seasons and they’re allowing just 91 rushing yards per game this season. The Saints have played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with a combined 40.0 points scored per game.

Tampa Bay is coming off last week’s thrilling 33-27 home overtime win over Buffalo and that contest went over the total of 53.0. The Bucs have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this season following an over during their previous contest.

New Orleans enters this game with a 6-7 record while Tampa Bay is 10-3. These teams met earlier this season in New Orleans and the saints came away with a 36-27 upset win as a 3.5-point underdog. Any Any NFL team (Tampa Bay) with a total between 42.5-49.0 that’s playing with revenge stemming from a road favorite SU loss and they possess a winning record, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a losing record that’s playing in the 2nd half of the season, resulted in those games playing 21-3 (87.5%) to the under since 1983. The average total in those 24 games was 45.3. Bet this game to go under the total.

Auburn @ St. Louis 9:00 ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Over 145.5 (5*)

Auburn is coming off a 70-44 win over North Alabama in a contest that stayed under the total of 144.0. Auburn has played 3-0 to the over this season following an under in its previous contest, and there was a combined average of 160.3 points scored per game in regulation time. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Auburn has averaged an immense 90 field goal attempts per game which equates to a frantic pace by college basketball standards, and scored 85.5 points per outing.

St. Louis has played 5-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of between 141.0 and 149.0. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 155.4 points scored per game. The Billikens have played 7 at home this season and averaged a robust 84.9 points scored per game, shot 51.6% from the floor, and made 40.6% of its 3-point shot attempts.

Chiefs @ Chargers 8:20 PM ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Under 52.5 (5*)

Kansas City enters this week on a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 17 points or fewer on each occasion. Specifically speaking, during this current win streak the Chiefs have allowed an average of 12.5 points per game, and that includes giving up exactly 9 points in each of its last 3 contests. If you take away their 2 games versus the Raiders, it’s not like the Chiefs have been the consistent offensive juggernaut we’ve become accustomed to in recent seasons. In their last 5 games against teams not names Las Vegas, the Chiefs have scored 22 points or less. Kansas City has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 this season when there’s been a total of 50.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 38.8 points scored per game. Conversely, the Chargers have played 5-0 to the under this season when there’s been a total of 51.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 44.0 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

LA Lakers @ Dallas 7:40 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Under 213.5 (5*)

Dallas has played 7-0 to the under in their last 7 with an average total of 215.4 in those contests and a combined 198.3 points scored per game. Dallas has allowed 107 points or less in each of their previous 8 games. The Mavericks have also played 7-1 to the under during their previous 8 at home.

The Lakers have played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 and there was a combined average of just 204.7 points scored per game. Los Angeles has also played 4-0 to the under in their previous 4 conference road contests with a combined average of 204.5 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

Akron @ Wright State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Over 146.0 (10*)

Wright State has seen each of its last 4 contests go over the total and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. According to college basketball statistical guru Ken Pomeroy, Wright State ranks 31st out of 358 Division 1 teams in offensive tempo while averaging 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes. Additionally, Wright State opponents have an average length of offensive possession against them is 15.7 seconds which is 5th fastest in the country.

Akron has also played 4-0 to the over in its last 4 with a combined average of 145.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Akron has made an excellent 79.4% of their free throws and 39.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet this game over the total for a Top Play wager.

Washington @ Denver 9:10 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 215.5 (10*)

Both teams have played a high percentage of overs recently. Washington has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was a combined average of 227.3 points scored per game. Denver has gone over the total in their last 3 as well with each of those contests surpass the number by 18.5 points or more. Additionally, Denver has played 10-1 to the over in 10 of its last 11 and 12 of their previous 14 games. The Nuggets are off to a disappointing 13-13 start to the season.

Any NBA team (Denver) that has gone over the total by 12 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and has a season win percentage of between .450-.550, resulted in those teams playing 39-10 (79.6%) to the over during the past 5 seasons. There was a combined average of 231.3 points scored per game throughout those 49 contests. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Ravens @ Browns 1:00 PM ET

Game# 113-114

Play On: Under 43.0 (5*)

These teams met just 2 weeks ago and Baltimore walked away with a 16-10 win. The Ravens have now played 4-0 to the under during its last 4 contests and there was a combined average of only 31.5 points scored per game. Additionally, Baltimore has stayed under in each of their last 5 road contests with a combined average of 33.2 points scored per game. The Ravens offense has scored 19 points or fewer in each of its previous 4 while averaging just 308.0 yards of total offense per game.

Cleveland has witnessed each of its last 3 at home go under the total with a combined average of 26.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 contests, the Browns offense averaged 10.0 points scored and 276.0 yards of total offense per game. Conversely, the Cleveland defense is #4 in the NFL in total defense. Bet this game to go under the total.

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota 8:20 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Under 43.5 (5*)

Pittsburgh has been an extremely profitable under play on the road under current head coach Mike Tomlin. Specifically speaking, since the start of the 2015-2016 season, Pittsburgh has played 41-13 (75.9%) to the under in all away games. If they were facing a non-division opponent on the road with a total of 49.0 or less, they improved to 25-4 (86.2%) to the under and includes 18-1 (94.7%) under since 2017.

Minnesota has played 3-0 to the under in non-division home games this season and there was a combined average of just 34.7 points per game. The Vikings defense is tied for 2nd in the NFL when it comes to sacking the quarterback. Conversely, the Vikings offense will most likely be without key playmakers (Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen) and they’ll be facing a Steelers defense that leads the league in sacks. Bet this game to go under the total.

Oklahoma City @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Under 207.5 (5*)

This is a low total by modern NBA standards and rightfully so in my opinion. Toronto has gone under in their last 4 and there was only a combined 194.3 points scored per game. Toronto has averaged a paltry 96.8 points scored per game throughout its last 5 contests.

Oklahoma City is far from an offensive juggernaut. Especially when considering they’ve scored less than 100 points in 12 of 23 games this season. The Thunder have played 8-4 to the under on the road this season while averaging an uninspiring 95.4 points scored per game while doing so. Bet this game to go under the total.

Celtics @ Lakers 10:05 PM ET

Game# 565-566

Play On: Over 219.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a pair of high scoring road games that easily sailed over the totals. They scored 137.5 points and allowed 127.0 points per game in those previously mentioned contests. Furthermore, Boston shot a combined 53.9% and allowed their opponents to convert on 51.2% of their field goal attempts. The Celtics are currently a 2.5-points underdog. Boston has played 7-2 to the over this season as an underdog.

The Lakers have shot 50% or better in each of their previous 4 and they averaged 119.7 points scored per game. The Lakers have also allowed 105 points or more in 16 of their last 17 games. Los Angeles has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 contests and there was a combined average of 235.4 points scored per game. Los Angeles will be out to avenge an earlier season 130-108 loss at Boston in a game that went way over the total of 214.5. Bet this game to go over the total.

Villanova vs. Syracuse 9:30 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 146.0 (5*)

Both teams in this contest can shoot the 3-ball well. Each team is among the best free throw shooting teams nationally with both converting just under 79.0% of those opportunities. Villanova is #6 nationally in offensive efficiency while scoring 118.3 points per 100 possessions. Syracuse is #18 in that exact statistical category at 112.7 points per 100 possessions. Syracuse is coming off a 63-60 upset win at Florida State in a game they went well under the total of 150.0. Since the start of last season, Syracuse has played 6-0 to the over in games not played at the Carrier Dome and there was a combined average of 155.4 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total.

Chicago @ Brooklyn 7:40 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Over 221.5 (5*)

Both teams have performed well offensively during each of their previous 5 games. During that stretch, Brooklyn averaged 113.8 points scored per game and shot 48.6%. Conversely, Chicago averaged 118.4 points scored per game, shot 51.5%, and converted on 40.7% of its 3-point shot attempts.

The Nets are coming off last night’s 110-105 home win versus Minnesota and that contest went under 222.5. However, Brooklyn has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under in their previous game. Furthermore, the Nets have played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 conference games. Bet on this game to go over the total.

Kent State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET

Game# 309-310

Play On: Over 74.5 (5*)

There will be no weather conditions to factor in since this game will be played indoors at Ford Field in Detroit. These teams have made it to the MAC Championship game and by no means can it be attributed to their defensive prowess. Neither defense is anything close to championship caliber.

Northern Illinois finished the regular season by playing 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 72.0 points scored per game. The Huskies are coming off a 42-21 loss to Western Michigan in their regular season finale in a game their defense surrendered 636 yards. It marked the 2nd time in 4 games that the Huskies defense allowed 600 plus yards and 3rd time in 5 contests opposing offenses cracked the 500-yard barrier. The Huskies finished 6-2 in conference play. One of those losses came at Kent State 52-47 in a game that combined for 1345 yards or total offense and both teams amassing 600 plus yards.

Kent State is coming off a thrilling 48-47 win over Miami-Ohio in their regular season finale in a contest that had a combined 1191 yards of total offense. Since the start of last season, Kent State has played 8-0 to the over following a conference win and there was a cumulative 95.0 points scored per game. That isn’t a typo, it’s truly 95.0 points scored per outing. That last result also marked the 5th time in 7 games that Kent State went over the total, and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, 4 of those contests produced 84 points or more.

This has all the earmarks of an an extremely high scoring and entertaining game. Don’t let the large number scare you away. Bet this game to go over the total.

Michigan @ North Carolina 9:15 PM ET

Game# 727-728

Play On: Over 151.0 (10*)

The total is this high for a reason. North Carolina has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when there was a total of 157.0. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 174.0 points scored per contest. This is also a Tar Heels team which is allowing 78.7 points per game this season.  Michigan can adapt to any tempo that the opposition wants to play at. The Wolverines have seen just 1 game having a total of 150.0 or greater this season, and that was their season opener versus Buffalo. Michigan won that contest 88-76 and went over the total of 153.5. The Wolverines have shot an impressive 48.1% from the floor thus far. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Atlanta @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Over 217.5 (5*)

This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They met 3 times a season ago, all 3 went over the total, and there was a combined average of 247.6 points scored per game. Atlanta is coming off a 99-90 home loss to New York in a game they shot a miserable 35.5%. That snapped a 7-game stretch in which the Hawks scored 110 points or more and shot 48% or better on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hawks have shot under 40% just 3 times this season, and they followed that up in their previous 2 by going over the total and with a combined 227.5 points scored per game. Indiana isn’t a great shooting team, but they like to play at an above average offensive pace. During their previous 6 games Indiana has 91 or more field goal attempts per contest. Bet this game to go over the total.

Portland @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 222.0 (5*)

This total jumped off the page at me. This is the highest total on a Utah game since 10/22 when it was 226.5 at Sacramento. When that occurs more times than not is for good reason and usually tricks public bettors. The facts of the matter is Utah has gone over in 5 of their last 6 games. The Jazz have scored 110 points or more in 6 of its last 7 contests. The Jazz have been extremely efficient offensively throughout their previous 5 while scoring 115.0 points per game, shooting 48.8 %, averaged 16 three-point makes per contest, and converted on a red-hot 41.6% of those long-distance attempts.

Portland has scored 112 points or more in 5 of its last 6. The Trailblazers have also gone over the total during in 6 of their previous 7 contests. Portland has been terrible defensively throughout their previous 5 while allowing 112.2 points while permitting its opponents to shoot 50.6%. Furthermore, Portland is allowing 115.6 points per game and opponents have shot 50.6%. Bet this game to go over the total.

Seattle @ Washington 8:15 PM ET

Game# 273-274

Play On: Under 47.0 (5*)

Seattle has played 4-1 to the under on the road this season with a combined average of just 40.0 points scored per game. The Seahawks have also played 4-0 during its previous 4 games played. Those 4 contests produced a combined average of only 28.5 points scored per game. Seattle has also played 6-1 to the under whenever Russell Wilson was their starting quarterback.

Washington has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of just 40.2 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 4 the Washington defense held their opponents to a combined average of only 286.5 yards of total offense per game. Washington faced Seattle last season and walked away with a 15-10 win, and the game easily stayed under the total of 43.0. Bet this game to go under the total.

Browns @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET

Game# 271-272

Play On: Over 47.0 (10*)

Baltimore has played 4-1 to the over at home this season. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 58.0 points scored and 837.6 yards of total offense per game. Conversely Cleveland has played 4-1 to the over in away games. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 57.2 points scored and 767.6 yards of total offense per game. These AFC North Division rivals have met 4 times over the past 2 season with Baltimore averaging 35.3 points scored per game and Cleveland 25.7 per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET

Game# 267-268

Play On: Over 48.5 (5*)

Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and there was a combined average of 58.4 points scored per contest. Since 2019, Minnesota has played 7-1 to the over in road games when there was a total of 45.5 to 49.0 with a combined 56.9 points scored per contest. Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and scored 24 points or more on each occasion. Those 5 away contests averaged a combined 58.4 points scored per game.

San Francisco is coming off a 30-10 win at Jacksonville and that result stayed under the total of 45.0. Since Kyle Shanahan has been the head coach of San Francisco, his teams have played 11-3 to the over at home following an under in their previous game. That includes 5-1 to the over since 2019 with a combined 53.5 points scored per contest. The 49ers have scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet this game to go over the total.

Chicago @ Detroit 9:30 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: Over 41.0 (5*)

This total opened at 45.0 and quickly moved to 41.5.due to the uncertain status of Rams starting quarterback Jared Goff and Chicago starter Justin Fields being ruled out. In Chicago’s case, you can do a lot worse than Andy Dalton as your backup. This is also a meeting of the #29 and #30 scoring offenses in the NFL and bettors have pounded the under like it’s found money on their doorstep. Furthermore, Detroit has played 7-1 to the under during its last 8 games. Additionally, Chicago has played 7-2 to the under during their previous 9 games. It’s very seldom as easy as the data suggests and I’m banking heavily on that being the case in this contest. 

Chicago will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success which will open up some play action passing opportunities. Conversely, the Lions have allowed 34 points or more in 3 of 4 home games. The same can be said for Detroit with the emergence of running back D’Andre Swift looking so good over the last 2 games.

Since 2019, Chicago has played 3-0 to the over as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and there was a combined 43.8 points scored per game. The Bears have also played 5-1 to the over in division road games since 2019 with a combined average of 51.4 points scored per game. Lastly, since 2019, Detroit has played 10-2 to the over as a home underdog of 7.0 or less and there was a combined 56.6 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total.

Toronto @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 217.0 (5*)

Both teams in this matchup have been involved in recent high scoring game. Toronto has played 5-0 to the over during its last 5 when the total is 220.0 or less and there was a combined 229.6 points scored per contest. Conversely, Memphis has played 4-0 to the over during their previous 4 with a combined average of 234.5 points scored per game. Bet this game over the total.

Memphis @ Utah 9:05 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Over 221.0 (10*)

Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, these division rivals have met 6 times in Utah and there was a enormous 240.3 combined points scored per game. Utah has garned the reputation of a deadly 3-point shooting teams in recent seasons. Although they are just a tad over 34% in that category this season, The Jazz are still attempting 42 three-points shot and 14 makes per game. Conversely, Memphis has allowed home teams to convert on 42% on their 3-point attempts this season. Utah has scored 120, 119, and 123 points in their last 3 games.

Memphis has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined average of 233.0 points scored per game. Each of those contests went over the total by 7.0-points or more. Memphis is presently a 10.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, they’ve played 10-1 to the over when their point-spread is between +6.5 and +12.5, and there was a combined 238.4 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Memphis has played at a blazing offensive pace this season which is proven by their 94 field goal attempts per game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

NY Giants @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET

Game# 477-478

Play On: Under 50.5

The Giants are currently a 11.0-point underdog in this contest. Since 2019, New York played 3-0 to the under whenever they were an underdog of between 10.0-14.5 points, and there was just a combined 34.7 points scored per contest. The Giants are coming off a 23-16 win over Las Vegas and they did so as a 3.0-point underdog. Since 2019, New York has played 5-1 to the under following a SU win as an underdog. Throughout their previous 3 games, the Giants defense has been stout while allowing 13.0 points and 314.7 points scored per contest. Those previous 3 contests all stayed under while there was only a combined 34.7 points scored per game, and all those contests came versus opponents that currently have a win percentage of .500 or better.

Tampa Bay is coming off a 29-19 loss at Washington in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-3 (.667). The Bucs have also played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 conference games.

Any NFL home team (Tampa Bay) playing after Game 3 of regular season action with a win percentage of less than .700, and they’re coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, and there’s a total of 37.0 to 50.5, resulted in those games playing 40-3 (93%) to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total.

Miami @ NY Jets 1:00 PM ET

Game# 457-458

Play On: Over 44.5 (5*)

The Jets have witnessed their last 6 contests all go over the total and there was a combined 61.2 points scored per game. During 4 home games this season, the Jets averaged 21.0 points scored and 392.0 yards gained per outing. Those numbers would be much better if not for 13 turnovers in those 4 home tilts. Additionally, over their previous 3 outings the Jets have averaged 27.0 points scored and 454.3 yards gained per game. They will be facing a Miami defense that’s allowing 28.2 points and 439.0 yards per game through 4 away contests. The Jets defense has been brutal over their last 4 games. Throughout that stretch, New York allowed 43.8 points and 472.5 yards per game. Bet this game to go over the total.

Green Bay @ Minnesota 1:00 ET

Game# 467-468

Play On: Under 47.5 (5*)

Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of Minnesota, his teams have played 15-4 (79%) to the under in division home games with a total between 40.0 and 50.0. Furthermore, the Vikings have gone under the total in all 4 at home this season with a combined average of 35.0 points scored per game.

Green Bay has gone under in each of their previous 7 games. There was an average total of 47.8 and a combined 35.0 points scored per game. The Packers offense led by Aaron Rodgers gets their fair share of accolades. However, the Green Bay defense has allowed 14 points or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. The Packers most recent game ended in a 17-0 home win over Seattle. Since 2019, Green Bay has played 7-1 to the under following a game in which they allowed 14 points or less and there was a combined average of 37.9 points scored per contest.

Oklahoma vs. East Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Over 137.5 (10*)

Both teams in this matchup can score with regularity and like to play at an up-tempo pace. During their first 2 contests, Oklahoma averaged 86.5 points scored per game, shot 57.3%, and made 40.0% of its 3-point attempts. Despite shooting at such a high percentage, the Sooners still averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per contest. Through East Carolina’s first 3 games they averaged 82.7 points scored and 67 field goal attempts per outing. This one has all the earmarks of an entertaining up and down high scoring game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

Houston @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Under 214.5 (5*)

Oklahoma City has played 10-3 to the under this season and that includes 7-1 under in their previous 8 with a combined average of 200.9 points scored per game. The Thunder is averaging only 98.0 points scored per game while shooting a terrible 41.1% and 30.9% from 3-point territory for the season. The Thunder rank next to last in scoring offense, 28th in offensive field goal percentage, and 29th in offensive 3-point shooting percentage.

Houston has been terrible offensively as well. During their previous 6 contests the Rockets have averaged a mere 98.0 points scored per game. The Rockets rankings in offensive categories are #27 in scoring, #25 in field goal percentage, #27 in 3-point shooting percentage, and #29 in free throw percentage.

The moral to this analysis is it’s a matchup of 2 terrible offensive team. Bet under the total.

Rams @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET

Game# 265-266

Play On: Under 50.5 (5*)

The Rams are coming off last week’s 28-16 home loss to Tennessee which dropped their season record to 7-2. Since the start of last season, Los Angeles has played 6-1 to the under following a loss and there was a combined 37.7 points scored per game.

Since 2019, San Francisco has played 6-0 to the under as an underdog and when the total fell between 48.5-53.0. Those 6 contests had a combined 37.5 points scored per game. The 49ers are coming off a 31-17 home loss to Arizona which dropped their season record to 3-5 (.375).

Any NFL home team with a total of 43.0 or greater that’s coming off a division loss by 10 points or more, and has a season win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Rams) with a winning record, resulted in those games playing 25-1 (96.2%) to the under since 2012. Bet this game to go under the total.

Tampa Bay @ Washington 1:00 PM ET

Game# 251-252

Play On: Over 50.5 (5*)

The biggest disappointment for Washington this season its record is that their defense has substantially regressed from where it was a year ago. Washington was #2 in total defense last season and was 6th in sacks with 47. This season has been a whole different story. The Redskins are #30 in total defense, #29 in points allowed per game, and has only 19 sacks which is only 19th best.

Since 9/29/19, Tampa Bay has played 11-0 to the over in conference away games and the total is between 44.5-52.5. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 62.3 points scored per game. Furthermore, the Bucs are currently the highest scoring team in the NFL at 32.5 points per game. The Tampa Bay defense is solid but is still vulnerable against the pass. Tampa Bay played at Washington in last year’s NFL Wild Card Round and came away with a 31-23 win. The Bucs racked up 507 yards of total offense and also allowed 375 yards to Washington. Bet this game to go over the total.

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Over 72.0 (5*)

This game features 2 of the most potent offensive teams in the country. The starting quarterbacks Sam Howell of North Carolina and Kenny Pickett of Pittsburgh are top NFL prospects and for good reason. Both have put up gaudy numbers this season regardless of the competition. North Carolina ranks #111 out of 130 teams when it comes to scoring defense. As a matter of fact, during their previous 3 contests, North Carolina has allowed 47.0 points and 519.7 yards per game. They Tar Heels defense will have the unenviable task of facing the #1 scoring team in the nation in Pitt who averages 45.0 points per game. Conversely, North Carolina is #9 in yards gained and #11 in points scored per game. Both team's offenses like to go at a lightning quick pace with North Carolina averaging 71 plays and Pitt an enormous 79 snaps per game.

Pittsburgh has gone over the total in their previous 2 games. Since Pat Narduzzi became head coach at Pitt, the Panthers have played 17-3 (85%) to the over after their previous 2 games each went over, and there was a combined average of 70.3 points scored per contest. Since Mac Brown began his 2nd tenure as head coach at North Carolina, his Tar Heels have played 6-0 to the over in road games versus opponents with a winning record. Those contests averaged a combined 74.5 points scored per game. Fasten your seat belts for a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet this contest over the total.

Charlotte @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Over 228.0 (5*)

Charlotte has played 9-3 to the over this season and there was a combined average of 232.5 points scored per game. The Hornets enjoy playing at an extremely fast pace which is evidenced by their 95 field goal attempts per game. They will have a willing dance partner tonight in Memphis who averages a robust 94 field goal attempts per contest.

Charlotte has lost 5 in a row and allowed an alarmingly high 122.6 points per game while opponents shot 48.6% and includes 40.6% from 3-point territory. The Hornets also allowed an everge of 28 free throw attempts per game during this current losing streak. Conversely, Memphis has been much better offensively at home than on the road thus far. The Grizzlies are far from a stout defensive team that allows 113.8 points per game while their opponents have shot 48.0% and 38.6% from 3-point land. Bet this game to go over the total.

Titans @ Rams 8:20 PM ET

Game# 473-474

Play On: Over 52.5 (5*)

The Rams are in the top 5 in many offensive statistical categories heading into this week. I look for Mathew Stafford to have a huge day against a Tennessee defense that has been poor for 2 seasons now. Specifically speaking, the Rams are #4 in passing yards per game at 301.8 while Tennessee is #24 this season while allowing 267.4 passing yards per game.

The Titans will unequivocally miss star running back Derek Henry who is out an indefinite period due to suffering an injury in last week’s 34-31 win at Indianapolis. It’s time for players like A.J. Brown and Julio Jones to take on a larger role which they’re fully capable of doing. Additionally, quarterback Ryan Tannehill needs to be a playmaker instead of game manager which he’s displayed the ability to do so at times throughout his NFL career.

The Rams have averaged 34.7 points scored and 402.0 yards gained per game over their previous 3 contests. Conversely, Tennessee has scored 33.0 points per game throughout their last 4 games. Bet this game to go over the total.

Indiana @ Portland 10:10 PM ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Over 225.0 (10*)

Indiana enters this contest on a modest 2-game win streak. Dating back to last season, Indiana has played 8-0 to the over during its last 8 following 2 consecutive wins. The average total in those 8 contests was 234.8 and a combined 250.8 points were scored per game. Indiana has played 3-1 to the over in road games thus far, and there was a combined 233.7 points scored per contest.

Portland went under the total in each of its previous 2 games. Since the start of last season, Portland has played 11-2 to the over following back-to-back games staying under, and a combined 236.0 points were scored contest. Defense has been an area of concern for the Trailblazers of late as they allowed their last 3 opponents to shoot 51.7% or better. Portland is averaging a robust 120.5 points scored per game at home this season. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

Virginia Tech @ Boston College 7:30 PM ET

Game# 315-316

Play On: Under 48.5 (5*)

Boston College enters this week on a 4-game losing streak. During that abysmal losing stretch, Boston College scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Boston College has also played 5-0 to the under this season when their total was 56.5 or less, and there was just a combined 36.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Virginia Tech has played 6-0 to the under this season when their total was 47.5 or greater. Those 6 contests had a combined 38.3 points scored per game. I look for this matchup to be an old-fashioned slugfest where the defenses are dominant. Bet on this game to go under the total.

Braves (Morton) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:09 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 8.0 (10*)

Lefthander Framber Valdez has seen each one of his 3 postseason starts in 2021 go over the total. Valdez posted an uninspiring 1.40 WHIP during those outings. Furthermore, Valdez has pitched 9-1 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5 and there was a combined average of 11.8 runs scored per game. Houston has played 8-2 to the over during postseason action while averaging an impressive 6.7 runs scored per game and compiled an excellent .342 team on-base-percentage.

Atlanta has averaged a sizable 5.6 runs scored per game and belted 69 home runs in 45 games when facing lefthanded starting pitchers in 2021. Atlanta has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET

Game# 451-452

Play On: Under 46.0 (10*)

Cincinnati has seen each of its last 5 games go under the total and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Under current head coach Zack Taylor, Cincinnati has now played 10-2 to the under in Games 1 through 8 of their season and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Cincinnati has averaged only 9.0 points scored per contests in their last 4 meetings versus Baltimore, and 3 of those stayed under the total. The Bengals defense has played well this season while allowing 18.5 points and 331.5 yards per game. Cincinnati has played 3-0 to the under in road contests this season and held those opponents to just 13.7 points scored per game.

Baltimore is coming off an impressive 34-6 home win over the Chargers. It was by far the best performance by the Ravens defense to date when considering the opponent. They held the explosive Chargers offense to just 208 yards. Since 2019, Baltimore has played 5-1 to the under at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Celtics @ Knicks 7:35 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Under 216.5 (5*)

These teams met 3 times a season ago and each of those times games stayed under the total. Those games had combined scores of 188, 200, and 180. The offensive pace of those games was extremely slow by NBA standards. Both head coaches are back for another season, and I don’t foresee any drastic if any philosophical changes on the horizon. Bet this game to go under the total.

Braves (Morton) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 5:08 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Charlie Morton has made 2 starts versus the Dodgers this season and posted a superb 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in those outings. This current Dodgers active roster has uninspiring career number of 33-153 (.216) when facing Charlie Morton. Morton has pitched 11-5-1 to the under in his road starts this season and with a stellar 2.96 ERA. The Atlanta bullpen has been outstanding throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a 1.20 ERA as a staff.  Atlanta has seen all 3 of their games at Dodger Stadium this season all go under the total.

Walker Buehler has been brilliant in 20 home starts this season with a 2.05 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Buehler has pitched 3-0 to the under in his starts versus Atlanta with a brilliant 1.50 ERA. The Dodger bullpen has been solid over their past 7 games while recording a staff 2.53 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Over 52.0 (5*)

Tampa Bay has gone over the total in 4 of 5 games this season and scored 45 points or more twice. The Bucs will be facing an Eagles defense which has allowed 41 and 42 points in 2 of their 5 contests. Tampa Bay is coming off last Sunday’s 45-17 blowout win over Miami. Since 10/6/19, Tampa Bay has played 8-0 to the over following a game in which they scored 40 points or more. The Bucs have played 3-0 to the over this season versus fellow NFC teams and there was a combined average of 63.7 points scored per game. Furthermore, since 9/22/19, Tampa Bay has played 13-1 to the over when there was a total of 46.5 to 54.5 and when facing an opponent with a losing record.

It’s been virtually impossible to run the ball effectively versus Tampa Bay this season. However, the Bucs defense ranks dead last in the league when it comes to passing yards allowed per game. The Eagles offense is certainly capable of exposing that weakness and I fully expect them game plan in that direction.

Any Thursday NFL away favorite of 6.5 or less with a total of 44.5-52.5, and they have a win percentage of .500 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .363 or better, resulted in those contests playing 12-0 to the over since 1998. Those 12 contests had a combined average of 60.8 points scored per game. Bet this game over the total.

Giants (Wood) @ Dodgers (Scherzer) 9:37 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Alex Wood has been victimized by the long ball in his 3 starts versus the Dodgers this season. However, the weather forecast for Los Angeles this evening is extremely rare with predicted winds of 16-18 MPB blowing in from left centerfield. Otherwise, Wood compiled a respectable 1.35 WHIP over those 3 starts versus Los Angeles. The Giants lefthander has displayed good form throughout his previous 5 starts overall while posting a 2.95 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and registering 31 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings pitched. Furthermore, all 5 of those recent starts by Wood stayed under the total with opponents averaging a mere 1.6 runs scored per game.

Max Scherzer has gone an incredible 14-0 in his last 14 team starts this year with a superb 2.21 ERA. Scherzer has been brilliant throughout his illustrious career at postseason time. Yesterday was a travel day in this series. The Dodgers have played 16-7 to the under this season following an off day and their high-powered offense averaged only 3.8 runs scored per game in those outings. Bet this game to go under the total.

Colts @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET

Game# 479-480

Play On: Under 46.5 (5*)

Baltimore is coming off a 23-7 road win over Denver in a game in which they closed as a 1.0-point underdog. That win improved the Ravens season record to 3-1 (.750). Indianapolis is coming off their first win of the season after last Sunday’s 27-17 victory at Miami.  This sets up a profitable NFL totals betting which has been highly successful for the past 37 seasons.

Any NFL home team (Ravens) with a total of 42.5 to 48.5 that’s playing after Game 4 of their season, and they’re coming off an away underdog SU win, versus an opponent (Colts) with a win percentage of .550 or worse that allowed 38 points or fewer during its previous contest, resulted in those games playing 35-5 (87.5%) to the under since 1985. Bet this game to go under the total.