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Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-12-24	IUPU Ft Wayne v. Robert Morris OVER 154.5		88-91	Win	100	8 h 30 m	Show
IPFW @ Robert Morris 7:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Over 154.5 Despite their poor record, Robert Morris has scored 75 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games and that includes the previous 4 played at home. Furthermore, RMU has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 145.0 or greater and there was a combined total of 171.5 points scored per game. IPFW loves to play an up-tempo style of basketball. They’ve scored 75 points or more in 13 of 17 games this season. During their last 3 games played IPFW averaged 91.3 points scored per contest. They’re coming off 2 losses against Wright State 106-98 and Youngstown State 95-83. Additionally, I look for IPFW to get plenty of east transition baskets when facing this RMU team who turns the ball over on 24% of their offensive possessions which ranks #304 nationally, and considering IPFW is #11 nationally in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go over the total.
01-10-24	Arkansas v. Georgia OVER 151.5		66-76	Loss	-108	8 h 44 m	Show
Arkansas @ Georgia 9:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Over 151.5 These teams have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total with a combined average of 172.5 points scored per game. Arkansas has played 11-3 to the over this season and likes to push the pace offensively. The Razorbacks have also witnessed a combined average of 50 free throw attempts per contest in their 14 games and that is extremely high by college basketball standards. Georgia is adept at get to the free throw line while averaging 24 attempts per game. During their previous 4 contests Georgia has averaged 85.0 points scored per game and shot 50.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.
01-06-24	Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5		23-19	Loss	-105	7 h 15 m	Show
Texans @ Colts 8:15 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 47.5 Indianapolis has gone over the total in all 4 at home this season when the total was 44.0 or greated and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, all 3 meetings between these division rivals have gone over the total with a combined 51.0 points scored per game. The Colts are #9 in scoring offense but #24 in total defense and are the #27 NFL scoring defense. Houston is the #7 passing offense in the NFL and that’s despite having to play a short stretch without their starting quarterback C.J. Stroud who is an absolute lock for NFL Rookie of the Year. Since the beginning of the 2021-2022 season the Colts quarterback is 22-11 to the over during his 33 starts. Give me this game to go over the total.
01-06-24	Stanford v. USC OVER 151		79-93	Win	100	4 h 16 m	Show
Stanford @ USC 4:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Over 151.0 USC has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 151.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 164.8 points scored per game. The Trojans have also gone over the number in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 163.3 points scored per game. Stanford is coming off a 59-53 win at UCLA on Wednesday and that contest easily went under the total of 138.5. However, the Cardinal have played 3-0 to the over this season immediately following an under and with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Additionally, Stanford has played 5-1 to the over when the total has been 148.0 or greater this season and with a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, Stanford shot just 36% in Wednesday game versus UCLA and that was the 5th time this season they shot less than 44%. However, the Cardinal followed the previous 5 up by averaging 85.0 points scored per game. The pace of this game based on season averages for both teams will be conducive to a high scoring game relative to the current total. Give me this game to go over the total.
01-01-24	Wisconsin v. LSU OVER 56.5		31-35	Win	100	14 h 57 m	Show
Wisconsin vs. LSU 12:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 56.5 LSU will be without Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jayden Daniels who opted out of this bowl game. However, they’ll have every other starter on both sides of the ball. The LSU defense has been terrible all season. However, their offense was the top scoring unit in all of College Football and even without Daniels will be able to move the ball consistently with 4* backup quarterback Garrett Nussmeir. Wisconsin has a pretty good quarterback of their own in Tanner Mordecai in addition to a powerful running game at his disposal. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-31-23	49ers v. Commanders OVER 49.5	Top	27-10	Loss	-110	20 h 3 m	Show
49ers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Over 49.5 The Commanders figure to get a much-needed spark with veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett replacing struggling Sam Howell. Even with Howell, Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per contest. On a negative note, the Commanders have allowed 34.7 points and 407.3 yards per game throughout their previous 6 contests. The 49ers are one of if not the best NFL offenses when healthy like they are right now. Throughout their previous 4 on the road, the 49ers averaged 38.0 points scored and 419.0 yards gained per game. They’ve also gone over the total in their last 3 on the road with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per game. The 49ers have a very talented group, but over their previous 3 contests they’re allowing an uninspiring 26.0 points and 367.7 yards per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-30-23	Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52		19-20	Loss	-115	8 h 14 m	Show
Lions @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 52.0 Dallas is 7-0 at home this season while averaging a robust 39.9 points per game. The once thought of dominant Dallas defense has been anything but over their previous 4 contests while allowing 25.3 points and 364.0 yards per game. Detroit has gone over the total in their last 6 when the total was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 60.2 points scored per game. The Lions have scored 30 points or more in 5 of their last 7 and 8 of 15 games this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Dallas has played 27-12 to the over as a home favorite and with Dak Prescott was their starting quarterback. During those 39 contests Dallas averaged a lofty 33.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-29-23	Washington v. Colorado OVER 156.5		69-73	Loss	-110	8 h 51 m	Show
Washington @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Over 156.5 No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions.
12-29-23	Missouri v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5		14-3	Win	100	9 h 6 m	Show
Missouri vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Under 50.5 No analysis today due to time constraints.
12-29-23	Notre Dame v. Oregon State OVER 39.5		40-8	Win	100	3 h 8 m	Show
Oregon State vs. Notre Dame 2:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Over 39.5 No analysis today due to time constraints.
12-28-23	Hornets v. Lakers UNDER 226.5		112-133	Loss	-110	9 h 16 m	Show
Hornets @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Under 226.5 Charlotte has gone under the total in 6 consecutive games when the number was 234.0 or less. There was a combined average of 213.7 points scored per game during those 6 contests. The Hornets are averaging a mere 100.6 points scored per game throughout their previous 7 contests and they’ve allowed 116 points or fewer in 8 of their last 10. The Lakers have played 9-4 to the under at home this season and with a combined average of 221.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
12-26-23	Texas State v. Rice OVER 59		45-21	Win	100	6 h 32 m	Show
Texas State vs. Rice 5:30 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 59.0 This is a Texas State team that’s #17 nationally in scoring offense at 36 points per game. The Bobcats have scored 30 points or more in 8 of 12 games but also allowed 31 points or greater on 8 occasions as well. As a matter of fact, over their final 3 regular season contests Texas State allowed 50.7 points and 438.7 yards per game. Rice has played 4-1 to the over throughout their previous 5 when the total was 55.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 62.8 points scored per game. The Owls have also allowed 30 points or more 7 times this season. The Owls also average 30 points scored per game this season. Rice began the season with J.T. Daniels, but he was forced to retire from football due to multiple concussions. We’ll most likely see redshirt freshmen A.J. Padgett under center who has thrown for 636 yards and 7 touchdowns versus 3 interceptions in limited playing time. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-25-23	76ers v. Heat OVER 225.5		113-119	Win	100	9 h 55 m	Show
76ers @ Heat 8:10 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Over 225.5 Philadelphia has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 on the road and with an average combined score of 241.0 points scored per game. Miami has gone over the number in 4 consecutive contests when the total was 237.5 or less. Philadelphia has shot 50% or better from the field in 8 of their last 12 games. During their previous 5 games, Miami shot 48/% from the field and a sizzling hot 42.5% from 3-point territory. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-24-23	Lions v. Vikings OVER 47		30-24	Win	100	43 h 44 m	Show
Lions @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 47.0 Both teams are coming off very good offensive performances. The Vikings racked up 424 yards of total offense in last week’s overtime loss at Cincinnati. The Lions had a sizable 448 yards of total in last Sunday’s 42-17 home win over Denver. Detroit has now gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 61.6 points scored per game. The last 3 meetings between these NFC North rivals have gone over the total and with a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, since the start of the 2021-2022 season the Vikings have played 5-0 to the over at home in December and with a combined average of 58.4 points scored per game. Giver me this game to go over the total.
12-23-23	Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 54.5		19-21	Loss	-110	16 h 56 m	Show
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Over 54.5 Northern Illinois has seen all 6 of their games played away from home go over the total. The last 4 of which averaged a combined 67.3 points scored per game. Arkansas State has amassed 422 yards or more of total offense in 7 of their last 10 games while also scoring 31 points or greater 6 times. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-22-23	Nevada v. TCU OVER 149.5		88-75	Win	100	6 h 35 m	Show
Nevada vs. TCU 5:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: Over 149.5 TCU enjoys playing at an extremely fast pace. The Hrned Frogs have scored 79 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. On the other hand, we have a Nevada team which has scored 72 points or greater in 10 of their last games. Both teams are very good at getting to the free throw and also converting on those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-17-23	Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5	Top	23-7	Loss	-110	29 h 9 m	Show
Ravens @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Over 41.5 The weather conditions won’t be ideal, but it won’t automatically make this a low scoring affair. The Ravens offense has been humming which is evidenced by them scoring 31 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Ravens are the #1 running team in the NFL so far this season and are averaging 157.1 yards per game. Baltimore is also #4 in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game. The Ravens have played 5-2 to the over during their previous 7 contests and with a combined average of 52.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville enters this week #11 in total offense, #9 in passing offense, and #9 in scoring offense. Additionally, throughout their previous 4 contests the Jags have averaged 29.0 points scored and 375.8 yards gained per game. Jacksonville has also allowed 26.8 yards and 380.8 yards per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over at home this season when the number was 44.0 or less and there was a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-14-23	Nets v. Nuggets OVER 230		101-124	Loss	-110	8 h 21 m	Show
Nets vs. Nuggets 9:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 230.0 The Nets have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 whenever the number was 238.0 or less and they went under in their previous game. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 250.6 points scored per game. This recent trend certainly comes into play tonight since Brooklyn won 116-112 at Phoenix last night and the game went under the total of 231.5. Additionally, this will be only the 3rd time this season that Brooklyn will be playing with no rest and they went over in the previous 2 occurrences with a combined 232.5 points scored per game. It’s also worth noting, teams that have played Denver with no rest this season saw 4 of those 5 contests go over the total. Furthermore, the Nets have scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games. Brooklyn has made an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts on the road while averaging 15 makes per contest. Denver has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 228.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game. The Nuggets are averaging a healthy 120.2 points scored per game at home this season while shooting 51.3% from the field and 39.2% from beyond the 3-points line. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-12-23	Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. South Florida OVER 161		86-104	Win	100	4 h 5 m	Show
Arkansas Pine Bluff @ South Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 306507-306508 Play On: Over 161.0 Arkansas-Pine Bluff has gone over the total in all 8 of their lined games this season and there was a combined average of 173.4 points scored per contest. Pine Bluff is #11 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo while averaging 74.6 possessions per 40 minutes played. Additionally, they're 3rd worst in the country when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 119.0 points per 100 of their opponent's offensive possessions. Pine Bluff has allowed 100 points or more in 5 of 9 games against Division 1 opponents this season. It must be noted, they've also faced the 11th most difficult schedule in college basketball as of today but have still managed to score 86 points or more in 7 of their 11 games. Furthermore, Pine Bluff averages 11 three-point makes per games and coverts on a stellar 38.3% of those long-range attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. South Florida is 47th nationally in offensive time of possession at just 15.7 seconds per possession. South Florida games have averaged a combined 47 free throw attempts per game which is high by college basketball standards. Both teams in this matchup are very good free throw shooting teams. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-09-23	Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 133		77-71	Loss	-110	17 h 44 m	Show
Colgate @ Vermont 2:00 PM ET Game# 306517-306518 Play On: Under 133.0 Both teams play at an extremely slow tempo while ranking in the bottom 20% in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line with regularity with Vermont ranking #331 and Colgate #358. Both are terrible when it comes to offensive rebounding, and each is very good on the defensive glass. So, likely each team will have very few chance opportunities. Each is heavily reliant on their 3 point-shooting with 48.2% of Vermont’s shots coming from 3-point range and Colgate 42.3%. Both teams have shown themselves to be more than respectable at defending the 3-point line as well. Both teams are amongst the worst in the country in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go under the total.
12-07-23	Pelicans v. Lakers OVER 230.5		89-133	Loss	-115	8 h 59 m	Show
Pelicans vs. Lakers 9:00 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Over 230.5 This game will be played at a neutral site at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It will be the first meeting of the season between these Western Conference teams. They met 4 times last season, and each contest went over the total with a combined average of 236.8 points scored per game. The Lakers are coming off Tuesday night’s 106-103 home win over Phoenix. Since the start of last season, the Lakers have played 9-1 to the over in games not played at home following a contest in which they allowed 105 points or fewer, and there was a combined average of 243.8 points scored per occurrence. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 5-1 to the over this season in games not played at home when the total was 228.0 or greater. That includes 5-0 the last 5 in that exact scenario and with a combined 242.0 points scored per game. Conversely, New Orleans has averaged a healthy 120.0 points scored per game and shot 51.4% from the field during their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-07-23	Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 153		65-90	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
Iowa @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Over 153.0 The pace/tempo of this game will be conducive to a high scoring affair. Iowa is #27 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo. The Hawkeyes also average only 15.0 seconds per offensive possession which ranks 14th nationally. Iowa State is in the top 25% in college basketball when it comes to both categories previously mentioned. Iowa is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 118.4 points scored per 100 possessions while Iowa State is in the upper 20% of college basketball at 111.2. Each team is adept at getting to the free throw line with Iowa State averaging 25 attempts per game and Iowa 24. Iowa State has scored 85 or more points in each of their 4 home games this season. Iowa has scored 84 points or more in 6 of their 8 games. This has all the makings of a game to be played in the 80’s. Give me over the total.
12-05-23	San Diego State v. Grand Canyon OVER 142		73-79	Win	100	8 h 50 m	Show
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon 9:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Over 142.0 Both teams in this matchup having been stellar in terms of offensive point production despite being a tad better than average when it comes to shooting percentage. Grand Canyon averages 80.3 points scored per game and San Diego State is at 77.8 per contest. Each team has been adept at getting to the charity stripe with Grand Canyon averaging 30 free throw attempts per contest which ranks #2 nationally and San Diego State 24 per game. San Diego State has played 3-0 to the over this season when the total has been between 140.0 to 147.5 and there was a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Grand Canyon has played 4-0 to the over this season when there was a total of between 140.0 to 145.5 and there was a combined average of 153.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-04-23	Furman v. Arkansas OVER 158.5		83-97	Win	100	8 h 46 m	Show
Furman @ Arkansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Over 158.5 Furman has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 157.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 169.0 points scored per game. Furman prefers an up tempo style of basketball and the statistics provided by KenPom fully backs that statement. Arkansas has played 5-0 to the over at home this season. The Razorbacks contests have averaged a combined 53 free throws per outing and that’s a huge number by college basketball standards, and equates to many points being scored with the clock stopped. Arkansas has also allowed 75 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-03-23	Chiefs v. Packers OVER 42.5		19-27	Win	100	28 h 52 m	Show
Chiefs @ Packers 8:20 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Over 42.5 For starters, the weather in Green Bay shouldn’t be a factor with game time temperatures predicted to be about 34 degrees with light wins of 5 to 7 MPH and a very low probability of any precipitation. The Packers offense has shown dramatic signs of improvement over their last 3 contests while averaging 23.7 points scored and 391.0 yards gained per game. During that same 3-game stretch, the Packers defense allowed a worrisome 165.0 yards per outing. The Chiefs will be able to run the ball effectively on Sunday night which sets up the best play action passer in the NFL Patrick Mahome for a huge day. Since the start of the 2021-2022 NFL season, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over on the road when the total was between 42.0 to 49.0 and there was a combined average of 55.4 points scored per game. Additionally, the Chies went over the number in both games this season when the total was 43.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-03-23	Browns v. Rams OVER 40.5		19-36	Win	100	24 h 57 m	Show
Browns @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 40.5 The Browns have played 5-0-1 to the under at home this season but 5-0 to the over on the road. Those 5 road contests had a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Statistically the Browns are extremely good defensively. But those numbers are askew when comparing their home and away splits. The same can be said for their offense production on the road which has been far better than compared to that on the road. The Rams offense is coming off a confidence building performance during last Sunday’s 37-14 blowout win at Arizona. They massed 457 yards of total offense in that contest with a very balanced attach which sw them gain 228 rushing and 229 passing. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-03-23	Dolphins v. Commanders OVER 49.5		45-15	Win	100	21 h 34 m	Show
Dolphins @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Over 49.5 Even the casual NFL fan is aware of how explosive the Miami Dolphins can be. This appears to be a prime spot for them to shine against a porous Washington defense which has allowed 29 points sor more in 8 of their 11 games this season. The Commanders offense has averaged an impressive 407.8 yards gained per game over their previous 5 contests. The only reason they scored just an average of 21.2 points per contest during that stretch is they committed 11 turnovers. They’ll be facing a Dolphins defense that allowed 27.3 points per game in contests played on the road or at a neutral site. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-30-23	Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 47		35-41	Win	100	28 h 49 m	Show
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Over 47.00 Dallas is 5-0 at home and averaging a massive 41.0 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2021-2022 NFL season. Dallas has played 8-1 to the over at home when the total was between 42.5 to 49.0 with a combined average of 61.3 points scored per game. The Cowboys have scored 33 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Dallas has played 6-0 to the over throughout the past 3 season following 2 consecutive contests in which they scored 25 points or more and there was a combined average of 60.7 points scored per occurrence. Any NFL away team like Seattle with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that has a winning record, versus an opponent like Dallas with a win percentage of between .600 to .750 that’s coming off 3 straight covers as a favorite, resulted in those games playing 13-1 to the over since 2014. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-28-23	Raptors v. Nets OVER 223		103-115	Loss	-111	6 h 21 m	Show
Raptors @ Nets 7:40 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Over 223.0 Toronto is coming off a 105-102 loss at Cleveland in their previous game that went under the total of 221.0. The Raptors after played 5-0 to the over during their previous 5 games when the total is 229.5 or less and their previous contest went under. Those 5 contest had a combined average of 239.2 points scored per game. Brooklyn has averaged 117.8 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests and shot a blistering hot 42.0% from beyond the 3-point line. During that identical 5-game stretch, the Nets also allowed 119.2 points per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-28-23	Miami-FL v. Kentucky OVER 163.5		73-95	Win	100	6 h 9 m	Show
Miami @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Over 163.5 This total is this high for good reason and don’t be shocked to see both teams scoring 90 or more points. Miami is #1 nationally in 3-point efficiency while make 45.4% of their long-range attempts. Kentucky is #4 in that category at 42.5%. Kentucky has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 games with a combined average of 181.3 points being scored per contest. Miami has played 4-1 to the over this season with a combined average of 161.4 points scored per game. Both teams play up tempo when looking at their average offense time of possession with Kentucky at 14.9 second (15th nationally) and Miami 15.2 (22nd nationally. Miami is also one the best free throw shooting teams in the nation while making a terrific 82.6% of their attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-27-23	Bears v. Vikings OVER 43.5		12-10	Loss	-105	8 h 54 m	Show
Bears @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 43.5 Let’s start with tonight’s quarterbacks. During the past 5 seasons, Joshua Dobbs has made 9 home starts and those games played 7-1-1 to the over with an averaged combined points score of 53.4 per contest. Justin Fields has made 7 starts this season and Chicago played 6-1 to the over in those contests and there was a combined average of 51.6 points scored per game. Both quarterbacks have the ability to extend plays with their mobility and are a legitimate threat to take off and run with positive results. Since the 2021-2022 NFL season began, Minnesota has played 8-0 to the over at home when it’s after Game 8 and there was a combined average of 56.1 points scored per game. The Bears have seen each of their last 4 played in Minnesota go over the total and with a combined average of 49.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-23-23	49ers v. Seahawks OVER 42.5		31-13	Win	100	49 h 49 m	Show
49ers @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Over 42.5 Seattle is coming off an away 17-16 division loss to the Rams which dropped their season record to 6-4 (.600). The 49ers enter this NFL West battle with a record of 7-3 (.700). This sets up a high percentage NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. NFL teams like Seattle with a win percentage of .727 or worse that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer, and they’re playing after Game 7, versus an opponent with a win percentage of between .153 to .769, and the current total in this identical situation is between 39.0 to 46.5, resulted in those contests playing 34-3 (91.9%) to the over since 2014. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-23-23	Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 48.5	Top	10-45	Win	100	45 h 1 m	Show
Commanders @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Over 48.5 Washington has played 4-0 to the over this season when the number is 42.5 or greater and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 games, Washington has averaged 24.0 points scored and 415.8 yards gained per contest. They’ll be facing a Cowboys team which has averaged 40.0 points scored and 446.5 yards gained per game at home this season. Both teams have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 games with averaged combined scores of 55.8 points scored in contests involving Dallas and 52.3 in those Washington outings. Dallas is coming off a 33-10 win at Carolina and covered as an 11.0-point favorite. Washington is coming off a 31-19 home loss to the New York Giants. Any NFL home favorite of -10.0 or greater that’s coming off an away favorite of 10.0 or more ATS cover, versus an opponent that allowed 19 points or more in their previous contest, and the total in this current identical situation is 45.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 7-0 to the over since 1998. There was a combined average of 65.7 points scored per gane during those 7 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-23-23	Packers v. Lions OVER 47		29-22	Win	100	41 h 2 m	Show
Packers @ Lions 12:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 47.0 The Packers offense has shown substantial signs of improvement of late. Throughout their previous 3 contests Green Bay has 395.7 yards per game. Although their point per game total of 20.7 per game average during that stretch is indicative of failing to cash in on scoring opportunities more than mediocre at best points scored production. The Lions are averaging a robust 30.0 points scored and 395.4 yards gained per game at home. During their previous 3 contests, the Lions are averaging 32.7 points scored and 452.3 yards gained per game. Since head coach Dan Campbell was hired, Detroit has played 10-4 to the over as a favorite. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-21-23	Jazz v. Lakers OVER 237.5		99-131	Loss	-110	9 h 48 m	Show
Jazz @ Lakers 10:00 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 237.5 Utah has played 4-0 to the over this season whenever the number was 231.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 258.0 points scored per game. This will be their first meeting of the season against the lakers this season. All 4 games against the Lakers a season ago went over the total and there was a combined average of 253.5 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests Utah has scored and allowed an identical 125.0 points per game. The Lakers have scored an average of 115.7 points per contest and shot a combined 50.6% over their previous 6 games. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-19-23	Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46		16-17	Loss	-118	24 h 28 m	Show
Rams @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 46.0 Mathew Stafford returns to the line after missing the last game at Green Bay due to injury. Stafford has accounted for a trio of 300-yard plus passing games this season which included Week 1 at Seattle. The Seahawks pass defense has been extremely vulnerable in recent seasons and especially when facing upper end quarterbacks like Stafford. This year has been no different which has been proven by them allowing 288 yards or more passing on 4 separate occasions this season. The Seahawks are coming off last Sunday’s 29-26 win over Washington in which they amassed a substantial 489 yards of offense. Quarterback Gino Smith threw for 369 yards and 2 touchdowns in that win. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-19-23	Chargers v. Packers OVER 44		20-23	Loss	-110	21 h 5 m	Show
Chargers @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Over 44.0 Los Angeles Chargers games have averaged a combined 50.5 points scored per game this season. On a negative note, the Chargers defense surrendered 533 yard in last Sunday’s 451-38 home loss to Detroit. Most notable, they allowed the Lions to rush for 200 yards in that contest and marked the 3rd time this season that they allowed 200 or more yards on the ground. Conversely, the Packers have run for 137 yards or more in 3 of their last 4 games. The Chargers have averaged 31.7 points scored per game in their last 3 contests. The Packers have played 3-0 to the over this season when they’ve been an underdog of 2.0 or more and there was a combined average of 48.3 points scored per game. The weather prediction in Green Bay is pleasant for this time of year and won’t hinder either offense. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-17-23	Harvard v. Massachusetts OVER 151		78-75	Win	100	7 h 45 m	Show
Harvard @ Massachusetts 7:00 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Over 151.0 Taking the red-hot sizable road underdog Rockets who’s won 6 in a row versus an ice-cold Clippers team that’s on a 6-game losing streak qualifies as my designated sucker play of the day. Houston has played 7 of their first 9 games at home. During their current 6-0 SU&ATS run all have been played at home. The Rockets are 0-2 SU&ATS on the road and lost by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Clippers played 5 of 6 on the road during their current winless streak. However, at home, Los Angeles has gone 3-1 SU&ATS with an average +16.0 points per game differential. This line opened at 6.0 and at the time of this writing is 7.5 or 8.0 depending on what sportsbook you are looking at. If it looks too good to be true when it pertains to sports betting, it usually is. Give me the Clippers minus points.
11-15-23	Celtics v. 76ers OVER 224.5		117-107	Loss	-112	6 h 28 m	Show
Celtics @ 76ers 7:40 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Over 224.5 These teams went well under the total in last week’s meeting when the number was 229.5. The sportsbooks have adjusted that total for tonight and I look for a different type of game. Being that the 76ers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and Boston is coming off a 3-game homestand which ended on Monday, look for the Celtics to make a concerted effort to push the offensive tempo in this contest. Furthermore, Boston has scored 114 points or more in 7 of their previous 9 games. Conversely, Philadelphia has scored 112 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. So the relative low scoring output by both teams last week was a rarity and there’s a high probability of that not occurring again. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-12-23	Browns v. Ravens OVER 38		33-31	Win	100	22 h 3 m	Show
Browns @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Over 38.0 We have the top 2 defenses in the NFL when it comes to total yards allowed. This also features 2 of the top 3 scoring defenses in the league. Thus, the low posted total. It’s a no brainer to take the under, right? That would be an emphatic no. I strongly believe there’s ample betting value in going over the number. Cleveland has gone over the total in all 3 road games this season and with a combined average of 56.3 points scored per contest. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Cleveland has played 5-1 to the over in road games where the number was between 35.5 and 42.0 with a combined 49.2 points scored per contest. The Baltimore offense has been on fire during their previous 3 contests while averaging 35.3 points scored and 428.7 yards gained per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-05-23	Colts v. Panthers OVER 44		27-13	Loss	-110	21 h 21 m	Show
Colts @ Panthers 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 44.0 The Colts have scored 21 points or more in a66 8 games this season while playing 6-2 to the over. As a matter of fact, Indy has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined 66.3 points scored per game. The negative aspect of all that for the Colts is their defense is border line atrocious while allowing 28.6 points and 371.3 yards per game. Dring their previous 3 hames they’ve allowed 37, 39, and 38 points respectively. The Panthers are no offensive juggernaut but they have averaged 20.0 points scored per game in their last 5 and look for them to improve on that number versus a Porous Colts defensive unit. The Panthers aren’t without their defensive issues as well while allowing 37 points or more in 3 of their last 5. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-05-23	Bears v. Saints OVER 41		17-24	Push	0	18 h 17 m	Show
Chicago @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Over 41.0 Since 11/8/2021, Chicago has played 5-0 to the over as a non-division away underdog when the number was between 39.5 and 45.5 and there was a combined average of 60.0 points scored per game. Chicago is coming off last Sunday night’s 30-13 road loss to the Chargers. The Bears are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games and there was a combined average of 57.5 points scored per game. Chicago has played 6-2 to the over in all games this season and that includes 3-0 when the number is 44.5 or less. New Orleans has gone over the total in their last 2 with a combined 60.0 points scored per game. The New Orleans passing attack is clicking on all cylinders over their previous 3 games while averaging 328.7 yards through the air per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-03-23	Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 226		114-125	Loss	-110	11 h 59 m	Show
Mavericks @ Nuggets 8:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Under 226.0 Denver has played 5-0 to the under this season. The average total in those 5 contests was 225.1 and there was just a combined 214.4 points scored per game. Those 5 contests averaged only a combined 35 free throw attempts per game and that includes only 14 per contest by Denver. Both numbers are extremely low by NBA standards. Dallas is a very good 3-point shooting team. As a matter of fact, 42.9% of the Mavericks made field goals have come from 3-point territory so far. However, Denver has held their 5 opponents this season to an atrocious 29.6% shooting from beyond the 3-point arc. Give me this game to go under the total.
11-03-23	Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 226.5		141-139	Loss	-110	9 h 0 m	Show
Warriors @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Under 226.5 During the daily quest to be a successful sports bettor it requires us to make the occasional uncomfortable bet. This qualifies as one of those situations for me. Nevertheless, Golden State has played 3-0 to the under this season whenever the number was 225.0 or greater and only a combined 217.0 points were scored per game. The Warriors are a very underrated defensive team and have allowed 108 points or fewer during 4 of their 5 games this season. As a matter of fact, throughout their previous 3 contests, Golden State allowed 99.3 points per game and held opponents to 39.9% shooting. Oklahoma City has also played 3-0 to the under this season when the number was 225.0 or greater and there was a combined average of only 217.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
11-03-23	Wizards v. Heat OVER 225		114-121	Win	100	9 h 60 m	Show
Wizards @ Heat 8:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Over 225.0 Washington is allowing 126.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 49.0% and make 38.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. That’s a major reason why they’re off to a poor 1-3 start to the season. Additionally, 3 of those 4 contests went over the total with a combined average of 241.4 points scored per game. Miami has played 3-2 to the under thus far. The Heat did go under in their previous game and have tet to go under in back-to-back games. Miami has played 2-0 to the over following an under this season with combined points scored of 230 and 236 during those contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-01-23	Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 225.5		109-133	Loss	-110	8 h 24 m	Show
Grizzlies @ Jazz 9:10 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Under 225.5 No analysis on NBA picks today due to time constraints.
10-31-23	Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9		11-7	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
Rangers (Heany) @ Diamondbacks (Mantiply) 8:03 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Over 9.0 Texas is coming off yesterday’s 3-1 win which marked the first time they stayed under the total in 9 games. The Rangers will go with Andrew Heany on the mound tonight. Heaney hasn’t been god in 2 starts this postseason while recording a sizable 8.29 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Since 2021, Heaney has pitched 25-10 to the over during his team starts against teams with a winning record. Texas is 30-17 this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher while averaging 6.0 runs scored per game and belting 68 home runs. The Texas bullpen is a bit taxed heading into today after pitching a combined 15.0 innings throughout the first 3 games of this World Series. Arizona will attempt to piece this game together with a bullpen by committee approach. They’ll be facing a potent Texas batting order which has slugged 26 homers in 15 games during this 2023 postseason. This is nothing new when considering the Rangers are averaging 1.46 home runs hit per game this season. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-30-23	Raiders v. Lions UNDER 46.5		14-26	Win	100	9 h 32 m	Show
Raiders @ Lions 8:15 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Under 46.5 The Raiders have scored 18 points or fewer in 6 of 7 games this season. The Las Vegas defense has played very good over their last 4 contests while allowing just 293.0 yards per game. The Raiders are coming off a 30-12 loss at Chicago as a favorite of 2.5 and it went over the total of 38.0. Since 2021, the Raiders have played 7-0 to the under on the road when there was a total of 51.0 or less and they’re coming off an over in their previous game. The average total in those 7 contests was 44.4 and there were 34.6 points scored per game. Detroit is coming off an embarrassing 38-6 blowout loss at Baltimore. Since 2021, the Lions have played 7-0 to the under when the number is between 45.5 and 51.5 all with a combined average of 35.1 points scored per game.
10-26-23	Wild v. Flyers UNDER 6		2-6	Loss	-100	8 h 54 m	Show
Wild @ Flyers 7:37 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Under 6.0 My only regret is that I didn’t jump on this total earlier when it was 6.5. However, I’m still comfortable going under this current number. Minnesota has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 with a combined average of 9.6 goals scored per game. The Wild have certainly played some teams along the way that were good fits to their wide-open type of style they prefer to play. That won’t be the case tonight when facing a Flyers team which has allowed only 26.6 shots on goal per game during their previous 5 outings. Additionally, the Flyers penalty killing has been very good and their power play which is 1-20 (5%) in their first 6 games has been awful. The Flyers goaltender Carter Hart is off to a superb start to the season while recording a sparkling .922 save percentage. Furthermore, during his 2 home starts Carter has posted a 0.50 GAA and stopped 47 of 48 shots on goal. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-25-23	Jacksonville State v. Florida International OVER 49.5		41-16	Win	100	7 h 32 m	Show
Jacksonville State @ FIU 7:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 49.5 Neither defense has played well in each of their last 4 games. During their last 4 FIU is allowing 31.5 points and 455.0 yards per game. Conversely, Jacksonville State has given up 25.3 points and 439.8 yards per game throughout their previous 4. Each offense has shown improvement over each of their previous 3 contests that exceeds their season offensive numbers. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-24-23	New Mexico State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 54		27-24	Loss	-110	7 h 40 m	Show
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 54.0 Since 2021, Louisiana Tech has played 12-2 to the over at home with a combined 66.4 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they’ve played 3-0 to the over during their last 3 home this year and with a combined average of 70.7 points scored per game. New Mexico State has played an extremely soft schedule this year. However, the 1 qulaity team that faced was Liberty (7-0) and they allowed 33 points and 526 yards. The Aggies have a very good rushing attack that averages a tad over 200 yards per game and better than 6.0 yards per attempt. They’ll be facing a Louisina Tech defense which is allowing 199 yards rushing per game. During their last 3 contests, the Aggies are averaging 29.7 points scored per game, 445.3 yards gained per contest, and an impressive 7.0 yards per offensive play. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-23-23	49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5		17-22	Win	100	9 h 58 m	Show
49ers @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 43.5 The Vikings have gone under in each of their previous 3 with a combined average of 37.7 points scored per game. During that stretch, their defense allowed only 280.0 yards per game while the offense accounted for just 271.3 yards per contest. San Francisco is coming off a 19-17 upset loss at Cleveland in a game they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. However, San Francisco is #2 in scoring defense thus far while allowing a mere 14.5 points scored per contests. Any NFL team like the 49ers that’s playing after Game 2 in a Monday night contest, and they’re coming off a SU favorite loss in which they allowed 38 points or fewer, resulted in those games playing 18-0 to the under since 2019. There was a combined average of 39.5 points scored per game. Additionally, 8 of those contests had a total of 46.5 or less and those averaged a combined 35.9 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-23-23	Rangers v. Astros OVER 9		11-4	Win	100	8 h 13 m	Show
Rangers (Scherzer) @ Astros (Javier) 8:03 PM ET Game# 933-934 Play On: Over 9.0 Max Scherzer has a reputation as a clutch postseason pitcher. However, I’m not showing him that type of respect at this stage of career and specifically today. Scherzer’s has made 2 starts versus Houston since 9/6 and had a terrible 12.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP in those outings. Houston’s Christian Javier has made 2 starts versus Texas in 2023 with an awful 9.00 ERA. The last 5 games of this ALCS have played 4-0-1 to the over. There’s been an extremely high percentage of bets and money placed on the under. I’m going with a contrarian approach. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-20-23	Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5		5-6	Loss	-115	10 h 10 m	Show
Phillies (Sanchez) @ Diamondbacks (Mantiply) 8:07 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 9.5 Chris Sanchez has a sparkling 2.16 ERA/0.92 WHIP this season in 5 road starts. The Phillies bullpen has a magnificent 1.63 ERA during postseason play. The Phillies have generated most of their run production in the playoffs via the long ball while belting 17 home runs in 9 games. However, the Diamondbacks will be attacking the Phillies tonight with a bullpen by committee approach. Arizona relief pitchers have allowed 0 home runs in 29.0 innings pitched during postseason play. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-20-23	Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9	Top	5-4	Push	0	7 h 11 m	Show
Astros (Verlander) @ Rangers (Montgomery) 5:07 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 9.0 Justin Verlander has established himself as one of the best starting pitchers in postseason baseball over the past 2 decades. There’s no reason to think that will change tonight. Verlander has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts with a 1.05 ERA/0.93 WHIP. During his last 4 road starts Verlander recorded a sparkling 0.72 ERA. Verlander has made 2 starts versus Texas this season with a 1.98 ERA/0.95 WHIP in 13 2/3 innings pitched. The Astros bullpen has a terrific staff 1.47 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Jordan Montgomery has been magnificent for Texas down the stretch. During his last 7 starts the Texas lefty has a brilliant 1.22 ERA. During his 2 starts versus Houston this season Montgomery had a superb 0.69 ERA. The Rangers bullpen had a tough day yesterday, but they’ve been very good during a majority of postseason action. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-19-23	Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9		1-2	Win	100	4 h 34 m	Show
Phillies (Suarez) @ Diamondbacks (Pfadt) 5:07 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 9.0 The first 2 games of this NLCS have gone over the total. However, it was more the result of the Phillies home run hitting prowess against Arizona starting pitching and each total closing at 7.5 than anything else. Arizona had a combined 3 runs scored and 8 hits through the first 2 games. Philadelphia pitcher Ranger Suarez made 1 start at Arizona this season and tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Suarez posted a 1.04 ERA/0.58 WHIP during 2 postseason starts this year. The Phillies bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.09 ERA this postseason. Arizona has played 44-31-7 to the under this season at home. Their bullpen has a respectable 3.51 ERA during the postseason while allowing 0 home runs in 25 2/3 innings pitched. Brandon Pfadt pitched 4 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball in the NLDS clinching home win versus the Dodgers. Pfadt has pitched 13-3 to the under this season when there was a total of 8.5 to 10.0. Arizona is coming off a 10-0 loss in Game 2 on Tuesday night. The Diamondbacks have played 14-5 to the under at home this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher like Ranger Suarez is.
10-18-23	Astros v. Rangers OVER 9		8-5	Win	100	8 h 0 m	Show
Astros (Javier) @ Rangers (Scherzer) 8:03 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 9.0 Houston hitters have an abysmal .165 team batting average throughout their previous 3 games. However, the Astros have played 7-0 to the over this season following a 3-game stretch in which they had a team batting average of .200 or worse and there was a combined 13.8 runs scored per game. The Astros are a stellar 53-30 on the road this season and hit an eye-catching 136 home runs while doing so. As a matter of fact, Houston has belted 13 home runs in 6 postseason games thus far. Houston starter Christian Javier has a lofty 4.82 ERA 17 starts on the road this season and those games played 12-5 to the over. During his only start at Texas this year, Javier allowed 8 earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings pitched. Max Scherzer has proven to be a tremendous postseason pitcher throughout his career. However, this will be his first start in over a month after being sidelined with an injury. Additionally, Scherzer’s lone start versus Houston this season came at home on 9/6 and he allowed 7 earned runs in only 3.0 innings pitched while also surrendering 3 homers. Texas has averaged 5.6 runs per game while going 7-0 in postseason action. The Rangers are also 6.0 runs scored per game at home in 2023 while smacking 146 homers in 82 games. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-17-23	Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 7.5		0-10	Loss	-108	8 h 36 m	Show
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Phillies (Nola) 8:07 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 7.5 The 2 scheduled starting pitchers have been in recent excellent form. Merrill Kelly has a 1.44 ERA/0.96 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing over his last 4 starts. Aaron Nola has a 1.44 ERA/0.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts and averaged 6.4 innings pitched per appearance. Each of these bullpens have been lights during this postseason. Philadelphia relievers have a combined 1.25 ERA/1.20 WHIP and the Diamondbacks bullpen has a staff 1.54 ERA/1.11 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen is 4-4 on their save opportunities and Philadelphia is 4-5 this postseason. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-14-23	UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5		24-36	Loss	-115	24 h 11 m	Show
UCLA @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Under 54.5 UCLA has allowed 17 points or fewer in all 5 games this season and forced an eye-popping 13 turnovers. Throughout their previous 4 games, the UCLA defense has allowed 295 yards or less on each occasion. The last 2 of which came versus nationally ranked Washington State and Utah. Oregon State has allowed 7.7 points and 234.0 yards per game in their 3 contests at home this season. Both offenses run the ball a tad more than they throw it, and each defense has been very good against the run. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-12-23	Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8.5		1-3	Win	100	8 h 45 m	Show
Braves (Strider) @ Phillies (Suarez) 8:07 PM ET Game# 943-944 Play On: Under 8.5 Since 7/25/2022, Ranger Suarez has made 6 starts against Atlanta and posted an excellent 0.90 ERA during those outings. Yes, he only averaged 5.0 innings pitched per outing. However, this is a superb Phillies bullpen that just over the last 7 games alone has compiled a 1.29 ERA/0.86 WHIP. The Braves have averaged only 2.3 runs per game, possess a team batting average of .196, and a team on-base percentage of .250 during the first 3 games of this NLDS. On a positive note for Atlanta, Spence Strider will make the start tonight. Strider has made 5 starts against Philadelphia this season with an exceptional 2.18 ERA/0.85 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-09-23	Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8		4-5	Loss	-102	5 h 18 m	Show
Phillies (Wheeler) @ Braves (Fried) 6:07 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 8.0 Zack Wheeler has made 2 starts at Atlanta this season and was magnificent in both while posting a 0.64 ERA during 14.0 innings pitched. Wheeler has also been in top form during his last 4 starts overall with a 2.28 ERA/1.01 WHIO and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Phillies bullpen has been excellent and especially so over their previous 7 games when they compiled a staff 1.29 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Phillies have allowed a grand total of 2 runs in their 3 postseason games. Atanta’s Max Fried has also been in superb form over his last 4 starts while recording a 1.88 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-08-23	Chiefs v. Vikings UNDER 52.5		27-20	Win	100	30 h 13 m	Show
Chiefs @ Vikings 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Under 52.5 The Chiefs are 3-1 and have held all 4 of their opponents to 21 points or fewer. As a matter of fact, over their previous 3 Kansas City has allowed 13.0 points and 270.0 yards per game. Since the start of last season, this will be the 4th time that Kansas City will be an away favorite of 5.5 or less with a total of 50.0 or more, and on each of the other 3 occasions those contests went under the total with a combined average of just 38.0 points scored per game. Minnesita’s offense has moved the ball well this season. However, they have shot themselves in the foot by committing 11 turnovers in their first 4 games. Any NFL away team like Kansas City with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that’s playing before Game 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away win, versus an opponent like Minnesota that has a losing record, resulted in those games playing 14-0 to the under since 2013. The average combined score in those 14 contests was 35.8 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-07-23	Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5		3-0	Win	100	30 h 44 m	Show
Phillies (Suarez) @ Braves (Strider) 6:07 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 8.5 Spencer Strider is 4-0 during his team starts against Philadelphia this season with an excellent 2.42 ERA/0.81 WHIP while striking out 38 batters in 26.0 innings pitched. Since 7/25/2022, Ranger Suarez has made 5 starts versus Atlanta and compiled a terrific 1.03 ERA during those outings. This will be the 7th postseason start for Suarez since last year and opponents averaged a mere 2.7 runs scored per game in the previous 6. The Phillies bullpen staff has been lights out of late while recording a 1.33 ERA/0.85 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-05-23	Bears v. Commanders OVER 44		40-20	Win	100	28 h 58 m	Show
Bears @ Commanders 8:15 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Over 44.0 Washington is coming off a 34-31 overtime loss at Philadelphia. The Commander’s defense has been a major disappointment thus far. During their previous 3 contests, Washington has allowed 34.7 points and 400.0 yards per game. Conversely, the Bears have given up 33.0 points and 401.3 yards per game over their last 3 contests. The Bears blew a 28-7 second half lead at home to Denver last Sunday and lost 31-28. However, Justin Fields had his best game of the season while going 28-35 (80%) passing for 300 yards. The Bears have gone over the total in all 4 games this season and with a combined average of 51.3 points scored per contest. Washington has seen a combined average score of 52.3 points score per game during their first 4 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-05-23	Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech OVER 60		35-28	Win	100	24 h 25 m	Show
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 60.0 Western Kentucky is only giving up a deceiving 29.2 points per game. I say only because they’re also surrendering 472.8 yards per game but have been bailed out by forcing a significantly high average of 2.8 turnovers per game. The Hilltoppers have been and continue to be a pass happy offense. Specifically speaking, they have passed the ball on 64.7% of their offensive plays over their first 5 contests. During their lone conference away game, they lost to Troy 27-24 but allowed a concerning 521 yards on defense but once again limited the damage by forcing 3 turnovers. Louisiana Tech is coming off a rather low scoring 24-10 road win at UTEP. However, since 2021 they’ve played 8-0 to the over at home after playing on the road in their previous contest and there was a substantial combined average of 71.7 points scored per game. Louisiana Tech is 2-1 at home this year and amassed 432 yards or total offense on each occasion. They also averaged 36.7 points scored per game during those 3 home contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-04-23	Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 7.5		5-2	Win	100	10 h 43 m	Show
Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Brewers (Peralta) 7:08 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.5 Zac Gallen has made 2 starts versus Milwaukee this year and was brilliant in both outing while allowing just 1 earned run on 5 its and walked 2 in 14.0 innings. The Arizona bullpen has been extremely good of late while posting a staff 1.31 ERA/0.76 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Diamondbacks scored 6 runs last night which was mostly due to them smacking 3 home runs in the first 4 innings. However, we must keep into perspective, this is the same Arizona team that closed out their regular season schedule by scoring a combined 6 runs in their last 5 games and only averaged 4.0 hits per game throughout that stretch. Freddy Peralta has been lights out in his last 5 home starts while recording an excellent 1.48 ERA/0.46 WHIP during that stretch. The Brewers bullpen has a solid staff 2.25 ERA/1.16 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Milwaukee squandered opportunity after opportunity last night while scoring only 2 runs despite pounding out 12 hits and left 11 men on base. That won’t get nearly the opportunities to score tonight than they had last night against Arizona’s ace. Give me this game to go under the total.
10-03-23	Diamondbacks v. Brewers OVER 7.5	Top	6-3	Win	100	6 h 1 m	Show
Diamondbacks (Pfadt) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:05 PM ET Game# 949-950 Play On: Over 7.5 Despite Arizona being anemic offensively over the final week of regular season action this total moved from an opening number of 7.5 to 8.0. Some of that mover may be due to the slated Arizona starting pitcher Brandon Pfadt. During regular season play Pfadt made 18 starts and posted a lofty 5.70 ERA while surrendering 19 home runs in 90 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks have played 7-0-1 to the over in their last 8 on the road this season immediately following an off day and there was a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game. Former National League Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes has once again had a very good season. However, his ERA was much better on the road than at home where 9 of his 14 starts went over the total and he posted an ordinary 4.27 ERA during those outings. During his lone start at home versus Arizona this year, Burnes allowed an alarmingly high 7 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Milwaukee has played 12-4 to the over at home versus NL West teams this season and there was a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-02-23	Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47		24-3	Loss	-110	10 h 55 m	Show
Seahawks @ Giants 8:15 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Over 47.0 Seattle has allowed 316 yards or more passing in each of their first 3 games while giving up 29.3 points per contest. The Seahawks offense has produced 37 points scored in each of their previous 2 games while amassing 393 and 425 yards of total offense during those contests. The Giants offense is far from explosive but still not as bad as their early season numbers indicate. They’ve faced arguably the 2 best defenses in the NFC in San Francisco and Dallas during their first 3 games. However, when going up against Arizona’s stop unit in Week 2 the G-Men put up 31 points, 439 yards of total offense, and passed for 312 yards. The Giants are allowing 32.7 points per game. Any NFL home team like the Giants with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that averages 285 yards or less of total offense per game, and they were outgained in their previous contest by 200 yards or more, resulted in those games playing 30-7 (81.1%) to the over since 1983. Those 37 contests averaged 6.1 points more than the closing total. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-01-23	Broncos v. Bears OVER 46.5		31-28	Win	100	22 h 38 m	Show
Broncos @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Over 46.5 Denver has been pathetic in their last 2 games while surrendering a combined 105 points and 1114 yards. Even a struggling offense like the Bears possess should have moderate success against them. The Broncos offensive production during their previous 2 contests has put up respectable numbers of 26.5 points scored and 381.0 yards gained per game. The Bear defense has left much to be desired over their previous 2 games while giving up a combined 65 points and 890 yards. Chicago has gone over in each of their 3 contests in 2023 and there was a combined 51.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
10-01-23	Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 43		7-23	Win	100	22 h 32 m	Show
Falcons vs. Jaguars 9:30 AM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Under 43.0 The Falcons are averaging 18.0 points per game and allowing 18.3 points per contest during their 2-1 start to the season. They’re also averaging just 287.7 yards gained and 283.3 yards allowed per contest thus far. Those numbers don’t exactly translate to an exciting brand of football. Jacksonville is coming off an embarrassing 38-17 division home loss to Houston which marked a 2nd consecutive defeat and dropped their season record to 1-2 (.333). The Jaguars have been regular travelers to Europe and recent seasons and have seen their last 4 go under the total with a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game. Any team like Jacksonville with a win percentage of between .250 to .400 that’s coming off a division loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed 28 points or greater, and there’s a total of 42.0 to 48.0, versus an opponent like Atlanta who has a winning record, resulted in those contests playing 25-1 (96.2%) to the under since 2012. That exact scenario except for a total is 44.5 or less, played 10-0 to the under since 2012 and with a combined average of 33.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-30-23	South Carolina v. Tennessee OVER 59.5		20-41	Win	100	25 h 23 m	Show
South Carolina @ Tennessee 7:30 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Over 59.5 The last 4 meetings between these schools have all gone over the total with a combined average of 71.4 points scored per game. I’m looking for a similar type of high scoring affair in this year’s matchup as well. Both teams’ offenses are balanced and very dynamic. Each defense is vulnerable. South Carolina allowed 519 yards including 487 through the air in last week’s 37-30 win over Mississippi State. The Gamecocks offense led by star quarterback Spencer Rattler is averaging 319 yards passing per game and an impressive 9.7 yards per aerial attempt. Tennessee averages 35.0 points scored and 463.8 yards per game thus far in 2023. Conversely, the Gamecocks defense allows 338 yards passing per game and an alarmingly high 8.7 yards per attempt. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-30-23	Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 46		14-33	Loss	-110	18 h 55 m	Show
Florida @ Kentucky 12:00 ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Under 46.0 Kentucky has allowed a mere 15.0 points and 287.3 yards per game in their 3 contests versus FBS opponents this season. Kentucky’s offensive numbers can be a bit misleading considering they’ve played Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, and Vanderbilt. Kentucky has played 7-0 to the under since the start of last season when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined average of just 36.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Florida has allowed 15.7 points and 256.0 yards per game in its 3 contests versus FBS teams. The Gators saw all 3 of those games stay under and with a combined average of 36.3 points scored per contest. Florida has seen their last 3 versus Kentucky all go under the total and with a combined 35.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-28-23	Cubs v. Braves OVER 9.5		3-5	Loss	-100	8 h 10 m	Show
Cubs (Stroman) @ Braves (Smith-Shawver) 7:20 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 9.5 Marcus Stroman has been brutal over his last 4 starts while posting a 13.85 ERA/2.77 WHIP and averaging just 3.3 innings pitched per outing. The Cubs bullpen has struggled of late with a staff 5.67 ERA/1.59 WHIP and they allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 27.0 innings. That’s surely concerning when facing the best home run hitting team in baseball the Atlanta Braves who’ve belted 303 home runs this season. The Cubs have gone over the total in 8 of their last 11 games. A.J. Smith-Shawver has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a large 7.07 ERA/1.50 WHIP while also allowing 7 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Atlanta has gone over the total in 18 of their last 22 games. They’ve also played 12-1 to the over on Thursdays this season and 24-6 over when facing NL Central Division teams. The Braves have also seen their last 4 versus the Cubs all go over the total and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-27-23	Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 7		6-0	Win	100	7 h 51 m	Show
Yankees (Cole) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 7.0 Gerrit Cole is 6-0 in his last 6 team starts with a dominating 1.59 ERA/0.78 WHIP while recording a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Cole has made 3 starts against Toronto this season with a brilliant 0.46 ERA. New York has averaged just 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. Jose Berrios has been in very good form throughout his previous 4 starts while posting a 2.80 ERA/0.93 WHIP and just shy of a 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Toronto has played 40-2-2 to the under at home this season with Berrios as their starting pitcher and his stellar 3.11 ERA/1.15 in those outings was a key contributor to the low scoring games. The Blue Jays bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.84 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-26-23	Cubs v. Braves OVER 9.5		6-7	Win	100	7 h 34 m	Show
Cubs (Steele) @ Braves (Elder) 7:20 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 9.5 Justin Steele has enjoyed a terrific season for the Cubs. However, he's struggled mightily over his last 2 starts while allowing 12 earned runs over 9.0 innings pitched. Steele made 1 uninspiring start versus Atlanta this season in which he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched. He was fortunate to give up only 3 earned runs in that outing when considering he allowed 8 hits and walked 4. The Cubs have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game throughout their last 7. Additionally, the Cubs have scored 6 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Atlanta has played 20-11 to the over this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers like Justin Steele and belted 58 homers during those 31 games. Atlanta has also played 16-4 to the over in their last 20 games heading into today. Atlanta's Bryce Elder has made 1 starts versus the Cubs in 2023 and allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 3 over only 4 1/3 innings pitched. Elder hasn't been good at all in his last 2 starts while allowing 8 earned runs on 12 hits which included 3 homers and walked 3 batters in 8 2/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-25-23	Padres v. Giants UNDER 7		1-2	Win	100	11 h 4 m	Show
Padres (Snell) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 7.0 Both starting pitchers have been in terrific form in recent starts. Blake Snell has a dominating 0.56 ERA over his last 5 starts. Snell has made 5 starts versus San Francisco since last season and had an excellent 0.61 ERA during those outings while striking out 46 in 29 2/3 innings pitched. Logan Webb has strung together 5 quality starts in a row and in his last 3 has a terrific 1.80 ERA/0.95 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per start. Webb has made 3 starts versus San Diego this year and recorded a 0.83 ERA/0.74 WHIP with all 3 games staying under. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-24-23	Texans v. Jaguars UNDER 44		37-17	Loss	-110	23 h 15 m	Show
Texans @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 44.0 Jacksonville is coming off a 17-9 home loss to Kansas City. Houston comes off last Sunday’s 31-20 home loss to Indianapolis. Both games between these division rival went under the total last season and with an average combined score of 26.5 points scored per contest. Since 2019, any NFL team like Jacksonville that’s playing after Game 2 with total of between 38.0 to 48.5 and is coming off a home loss, versus an opponent like Houston that’s coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those game playing 23-0 to the under. The average combined score during those 23 contests was 35.7 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-21-23	Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8.5		8-6	Win	100	9 h 39 m	Show
Pirates (Oviedo) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 7:40 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Over 8.5 Th wind will be blowing in from rightfield at 10 MPH at Wrigley Field tonight. That’s always something to assess when playing a total in that ballpark. Nevertheless, it’s been much worse than that on many occasions this year and this total is extremely reasonable with all things considered. The Pirates Johan Oviedo has made 4 career starts at Wrigley and with a lofty 6.52 ERA/1.91 WHIP. Oviedo also has a horrible 2.35 WHIP during his last 3 starts while walking 12 batters in only 12 1/3 innings pitched. The Pirates bullpen has a dismal 6.75 ERA over their last 7 games, and they’ve surrendered 7 homers in 34 2/3 innings pitched. Pittsburgh has played 17-5 to the over this season when facing a National League team averaging 5.0 or more runs scored per game. The Cubs are coming off yesterday’s 13-7 home loss to Pittsburgh in a game their bullpen allowed 7 earned runs in 6.0 innings. The Cubs played 9-0 to the over this year immediately following a game in which their bullpen allowed 5 earned runs or more. Kyle Hendricks has an uninspiring 4.96 ERA/1.41 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The Cubs are averaging 5.7 runs per game throughout their last 7 and with an outstanding .350 team on-base-percentage.
09-20-23	Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5		1-7	Loss	-100	4 h 9 m	Show
Giants (Webb) @ Diamondbacks (Kelly) 3:40 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 7.5 Merrill Kelly has pitched 12-1 to the under in his 13 home starts this season with a stellar 3.04 ERA/1.04 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Kelly has made 3 home starts against San Francisco and compiled a brilliant 1.69 ERA/0.61 WHIP and averaged 7.1 innings pitched per outing. The Diamondbacks bullpen has been very good over their last 7 games while posting a staff 2.25 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Logan Webb has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.74 ERA/0.68 WHIP and averaging 6.9 innings pitched per outing. Webb has pitched 10-3 to the under during his starts in day games this season and with a 2.41 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Webb has made 3 starts versus Arizona this year and had a splendid 2.57 ERA/0.86 WHIP.
09-19-23	Orioles v. Astros OVER 9		9-5	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
Orioles (Gibson) @ Astros (Brown) 8:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 9.0 Kyle Gibson has been erratic over his last 3 road starts while posting a large 8.82 ERA/1.90 WHIP and all 3 games went over the total. During his last 6 starts overall, Gibson has a lofty 1.50 WHIP and allowed 9 homers in 35 1/3 innings pitched. The Usually reliable Orioles bullpen has been shaky over their last 7 games with a 5.18 ERA, and they allowed 6 home runs in just 24 1/3 innings pitched. Baltimore has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 away games. Hunter Brown has been awful over his last 4 home starts while collecting a 8.44 ERA/1.81 WHIP. The Houston bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.49 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 4 homers over only 19 2/3 innings of work throughout their previous 7 games. Houston has played 27-14 to the over this season versus teams like Baltimore who possess a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-19-23	Angels v. Rays OVER 8		2-6	Push	0	6 h 23 m	Show
Angels (Sandoval) @ Rays (Bradley) 6:40 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 8.0 The Angles Patrick Sandoval has been in bad form over his last 3 starts with a 9.22 ERA/2.12 WHIP. The Angels have played 16-6 to the over this year as a money line underdog of +150 or greater and there was a combined average of 11.0 runs scored per game. The Rays Taj Bradley has seen 3 of his last 4 starts go over the total and had a sizable 6.52 ERA/1.55 WHIP during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-18-23	Browns v. Steelers OVER 38.5		22-26	Win	100	56 h 25 m	Show
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 38.5 Cleveland is coming off an extremely impressive 24-3 home win over Cincinnati in their season opener. Conversely, Pittsburgh was awful in their Week 1 season opening 30-7 blowout loss at home to San Francisco. The 2 games between these division rivals both went over the total a season ago. The average total during those 2 contests was 39.0 and there was a combined 44.0 points scored per game. Any NFL team like Cleveland that’s playing in a division away game in Games 2 through 4 of the season with a total of 37.5 to 46.0, versus an opponent like Pittsburgh that allowed 33 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 19-2 (90.5%) to the over since 1991. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-16-23	Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss OVER 63		23-48	Win	100	47 h 13 m	Show
Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss 7:30 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Over 63.0 This will be an extremely high scoring and entertaining game to watch. Both teams can put up huge offensive numbers against mediocre to below average defenses. Georgia Tech lost their season opener to Louisville 39-34 in a game there was a combined 964 yards of total offense and easily sailed over the total of 60.0. The Yellowjackets are coming off last Saturday’s 48-13 shellacking of South Carolina State in which they had 578 yards of total offense. Nonetheless, they also allowed their FCS opponent to rush for 198 yards which is extremely concerning when considering it will be facing a dynamic offense like Ole Miss this week. Ole Miss has amassed 798 passing yards and averaged 55.0 points scored per game in wins over Mercer and Tulane to start the season. The Rebels have a pair of high-quality quarterbacks in Jaxson Dart and former Oklahoma State starter Spencer Sanders. As Ralph Kramden would say in old Honeymooners episodes, “boom, zoom, and to the moon Alice”. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-16-23	Western Kentucky v. Ohio State OVER 65		10-63	Win	100	44 h 44 m	Show
Western Kentucky @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 65.0 Western Kentucky scored 41 and 52 points during its first 2 games and averaged 68 offensive plays per contest. The Hilltoppers continue to have a prolific passing game and high scoring offense just like the one we’ve been witnessing in recent seasons. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class at Ohio State on Saturday, but we only need 2 to 3 scores from them to cash our ticket. They also allowed 529 yards rushing in those contests which included a game against Houston Baptist that plays at the FCS level. Ohio State hasn’t been overly impressive offensively in their first 2 games. Nevertheless, they’ll have a field day against a traditionally porous defense like Western Kentucky. Since 2020, Western Kentucky is allowing 34.7 points per game when facing non-conference FBS opponents and none of those teams were close to the caliber of what they’re about to face on Saturday. Furthermore, Ohio State has played 6-0 to the over since the start of last season after amassing 475 yards or more in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 75.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-13-23	Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5		6-1	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
Padres (Snell) @ Dodgers (Pepiot) 10:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 8.5 The Dodgers Ryan Pepiot has been superb in his 2 starts this season while allowing 0 earned runs, allowing 3 hits, and walking just 1 during 12.0 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Blake Snell has amassed 6 consecutive quality starts. During his last 3, Snell has a brilliant 0.95 ERA while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. During his 2 starts at Dodger Stadium since the start of last season, Snell posted a very good 2.45 ERA. It’s worth noting, the Padres have played 16-1 (94%) to the under this season in their games played on Wednesdays.
09-08-23	Mariners v. Rays OVER 8		4-7	Win	100	4 h 21 m	Show
Mariners @ Rays 6:40 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Over 8.0 Seattle won the opener of this 4-game series last night 1-0. That game produced just a combined 9 hits. Despite that anemic offensive result, today’s total opened at 7.5 and quickly moved to 8.0 and for good reason. Seattle starter George Kirby has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts while posting a 6.38 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 4 home runs in 18 1/3 innings pitched. The Mariners bullpen has a lofty 5.09 ERA/1.57 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle is averaging a sizable 1.38 homers per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers. The Rays starter Taj Bradley has shown bad form over his last 7 starts while compiling a 7.72 ERA/1.75 WHIP. Bradley struggled in his lone start versus Seattle this season when he allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has averaged a robust 1.42 homers hit per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Additionally, Tampa has played 40-23 (63.5%) to the over this season immediately following each of their previous 2 games going under the total. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-07-23	Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5		21-20	Loss	-110	78 h 53 m	Show
Lions @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.5 Kansas City has gone over the total in 8 straight season openers under current head coach Andy Reid and there was a combined average of 61.1 points scored per game. Since 2017, the Chiefs are 5-0 to the over during the first 2 games of the season and when there was a total of 53.5 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 54.5 and there was a combined 63.6 points scored per game. The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in all of their last 12 season openers. That run of high scoring season openers includes the first 2 of current head coach Dan Campbell’s tenure in Detroit. and there was a combined 73.5 points scored per game. Campbell has also seen his Lions play 4-2 to the over since he took over as head coach whenever the total was 50.0 or higher. Since 2009, NFL home favorites of 4.0 or greater that were playing in their serason opener and there was a total of 50.0 or higher, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 53.4 and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-05-23	Phillies v. Padres OVER 9		0-8	Loss	-110	8 h 57 m	Show
Phillies (Lorenzen) @ Padres (Avila) 9:40 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 9.0 The Phillies Michael Lorenzen has struggled over his last 3 starts with a 7.80 ERA/2.00 WHIP and he allowed 5 home runs in 15.0 innings pitched. The Phillies have been dynamic offensively over their last 7 games while averaging 7.0 runs scored per outing and smashing 20 home runs. Philadelphia played 6-1 to the over in those previous 7 games with a combined average of 13.3 runs scored per outing. The Phillies bullpen has been shaky during that previously mentioned 7-game stretch while gathering a 4.68 ERA/1.52 WHIP as a staff. The Padres are averaging 5.0 runs scored per game and hit 10 homers during their previous 7 games. During that identical time frame, the Padres also have an impressive .292 team batting average and .358 on-base-percentage. The Padres Pedro Avila has seen all 3 of his starts this season go over the total and his 5.56 ERA/2.03 WHIP was a major contributing factor to those high scoring affairs. San Diego has seen all 5 of their games in 2023 versus Philadelphia go over the total and there was a combined average of 12.6 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-05-23	Giants v. Cubs UNDER 10.5		8-11	Loss	-110	6 h 5 m	Show
Giants (Walker) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 7:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 10.5 The Giants will approach today’s game from a standing standpoint as a bullpen by committee. The Giants bullpen has a superb 1.64 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Giants are 0-4 and in their last 3 they scored just a combined 1 run and collected only 11 hits. As a matter of fact, they were held scoreless in each of their last 2 games. Additionally, the Giants have played 8-0 to the under this season immediately following 4 or more losses in a row and there was a combined average of only 4.8 runs scored per game. The Giants have played 43-24 (64%) to the under this season versus teams like the Cubs who have a winning record. Since 2018, Kyle Hendricks has made 6 dominating starts versus San Francisco with a 1.05 ERA/0.75 WHIP. Hendricks has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.50 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Cubs have played 7-1 to the under throughout their previous 8 games. Kyle Hendricks has pitched 44-22 (67%) to the under during his career home starts versus teams like the Giants who own a winning record. Give me this game to go under the total.
09-03-23	Yankees v. Astros OVER 8.5		6-1	Loss	-110	7 h 6 m	Show
Yankees (King) @ Astros (Javier) 7:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Over 8.5 Houston has played 12-4 to the over in their last 16 games. The Astros are also averaging 8.3 runs scored per game, have a .333 team batting average, amassed a .399 team on-base-percentage, and hit 13 homers over their last 7 games. The Astros are coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss to the Yankees. Houston has played 14-3 to the over this season immediately following a 1-run loss and there were a combined 12.2 runs scored per game. Christian Javier gets the start today and he’s been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 7.24 ERA/2.12 WHIP. The Yankees have hit 17 homers over their last 7 games and that includes 5 during the first 2 games of this series. Christian Javier has allowed at least 1 home in each of his last 6 starts. Javier also allowed 2 homers in just 4 2/3 innings pitched in his only start versus the Yankees this season. Give me this game to go over the total.
09-02-23	Cubs v. Reds UNDER 9.5		1-2	Win	100	6 h 10 m	Show
Cubs (Assad) @ Reds (Abbott) 6:40 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 9.5 Javier Assad has a brilliant 1.86 ERA/0.88 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. The Cubs have gone under in 5 straight and there only a combined average of 5.4 runs scored per game. The Reds have gone under in 6 straight with a combined average of 6.2 runs scored per game. Andrew Abbott has seen all 7 of his home starts go under the total while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Both bullpens have been solid of late. The slated home plate umpire is Laz Diaz and games have played 12-5 to the under this season when he’s behind the plate. Give me this game to go under the total.
08-31-23	Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5		8-7	Loss	-110	12 h 55 m	Show
Braves (Strider) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 8.5 Spencer Strider has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts while recording an 0.43 ERA/0.62 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Strider made 1 start this year and 1 last versus the Dodgers with a 1.50 ERA/1.08 WHIP while striking out 18 in 12.0 innings pitched. The Atlanta bullpen has been very good over their previous 7 games while posting a staff 2.79 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Braves have allowed a mere 2.7 runs scored per game over the last 7 outings. Lance Lynn has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an impressive 2.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per appearance. The Dodgers bullpen has been stellar during their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 2.25 ERA/1.06 WHIP and had just shy of a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me this game to go under the total.
08-30-23	Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7		2-3	Win	100	5 h 32 m	Show
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 2:20 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 7.0 Brandon Woodruff is 5-1 in his team starts this season with a superb 2.65 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a terrific 2.10 ERA/1.01 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has played 19-7 to the under on the road this season when facing a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing National League starting pitchers like Kyle Hendricks who have a WHIP of 1.25 or better. The Cubs have now seen 4 of their 5 games at Wrigley Field versus Milwaukee go under the total. Kyle Hendricks has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 3.00 ERA/1.22 WHIP and averaged 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The Chicago bullpen has a very good 2.49 ERA/0.97 WHIP as a staff during their previous 7 games. Both team’s pitching staffs will benefit today from wins of 18 MPH that are blowing in. Give me this game to go under the total.
08-29-23	Rays v. Marlins UNDER 7.5		11-2	Loss	-110	4 h 51 m	Show
Rays (Civale) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 6:40 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 7.5 Aaron Civale of the Rays has pitched brilliantly during 9 road starts this season while recording a 1.86 ERA/1.12 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Civale has posted an impressive 2.59 ERA/1.10 WHIP during 17 starts overall this season. The Rays bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.64 ERA/1.05 WHIP. Sandy Alcantara has been dominant over his last 3 home starts with a 0.76 ERA/0.72 WHIP while averaging 7.9 innings pitched per start. Speaking of being dominant, Alcantara was in his lone start versus Tampa Bay this year when he pitched a complete game and allowed only 1 earned run. The Marlins have been anemic offensively of late. Throughout their last 8 outings they’ve averaged a mere 1.9 runs scored per game and tallied 2 runs or fewer on 6 of those occasions. Miami’s bullpen pitched 8.0 innings during a 2-1 win over Washington in their previous game. The Marlins have played 7-0 to the under this season following a game in which their bullpen pitched 6.0 innings or more, and there was a combined average of only 4.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.
08-27-23	Padres v. Brewers UNDER 9	Top	6-10	Loss	-115	13 h 29 m	Show
Padres (Wacha) @ Brewers (Houser) 2:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 9.0 Michael Wacha has been in terrific form over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.06 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Wacha has also been superb in form day game starts this season with a 1.12 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has been very good over the past week. However, their offense has been silent and they were hitting just .182 as a team and averaged 3.1 runs scored per outing over their last 7 games heading into the weekend. The Brewers Adrian Houser is a perfect 6-0 during his team starts in day games with a shiny 3.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Houser has made 3 home starts versus the Padres since 2019 and posted a brilliant 1.80 ERA/0.87 WHIP in those appearances. The Milwaukee bullpen has been extremely good of late. The Brewers have played 26-11 to the under this year whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total.
08-26-23	Rangers v. Twins OVER 7.5	Top	6-2	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
Rangers (Scherzer) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:15 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Over 7.5 There’s something going on with Twins starter Joe Ryan who has been awful in recent starts. During his previous 5 starts, Ryan has compiled a sizable 9.00 ERA/1.83 WHIP and allowed an alarming 11 home runs in just 23.0 innings pitched. The Twins bullpen has been shaky over their previous 7 games while recording a staff 4.98 ERA/1.85 WHIP and they walked 17 batters in 21 2/3 innings pitched. Throughout their previous 7 games, Minnesota is averaging 5.7 runs scored per game and belted 13 homers. Some of you may be scratching your head when seeing this pick, and consequently feeling uncomfortable betting a game over with Max Scherzer as one of the starting pitchers. However, as much as Scherzer has been dominant in his home starts this season that’s not been the case on the road. Scherzer has pitched 8-4-1 over on the road this season with a lofty 4.79 ERA. The most concerning part of Scherzer’s road starts is that he’s allowed 20 homers in 73.3 innings pitched. Couple that with the fact that he’ll be facing a Twins team which averages 1.48 homers hit per game at home and identically 1.48 hit per outing during 97 games versus right-handed starting pitchers, and he points toward a perfect storm. Furthermore, the Rangers bullpen has been brutal over the last 7 games while posting a 8.69 ERA/1.66 WHIP as a staff and they gave up 7 homers in 29.0 innings. Give me this game to go over the total.
08-22-23	Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5		3-7	Win	100	5 h 11 m	Show
Red Sox (Houck) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 8.5 The Red Sox have hit home runs and averaged 5.7 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. Boston has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 12.2 runs scored per game. Boston’s Tanner Houck has an uninspiring 5.26 ERA over his last 4 starts while also allowing 4 homers in 19.0 innings pitched. The Red Sox bullpen has a staff 6.35 ERA in their last 7 games and allowed an alarmingly high 8 homers in 28 1/3 innings of work. Boston has played 34-18 to the over this season when facing American League teams like Houston who allow 4.4 runs or less per game. Justin Verland hasn’t been sharp in his last 2 starts while posting a 5.73 ERA/1.55 WHIP. The Astros have belted 12 homers over their previous 7 games. Houston has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and that includes 9-4 home win versus Boston. Last night’s game could have been much higher scoring than it already was but for the fact that the teams had a combined 24 men left on base. Give this game to go over the total.
08-22-23	Mariners v. White Sox OVER 8.5		6-3	Win	100	5 h 10 m	Show
Mariners (Woo) @ White Sox (Clevinger) 8:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Over 8.5 Mike Clevinger has pitched very well for the White Sox this season. However, he made 2 starts versus the Mariners last season and recorded a large 8.18 ERA/1.55 WHIP and allowed 4 homers in 11.0 innings pitched. Chicago has gone over the total in 4 straight and with a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game. During their current 7-game win streak, Seattle has averaged 7.9 runs scored per game, hit a sizzling hot .337 as a team, and smacked 17 homers. The Mariners have also cracked 90 homers in 63 road games in 2023 and that equated to an average of 1.43 home runs hit per game. Seattle has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 with a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
08-22-23	Cubs v. Tigers OVER 9		6-8	Win	102	4 h 43 m	Show
Cubs (Smyly) @ Tigers (Olsen) 6:40 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Over 9.0 Drew Smyly has pitched 6-0 to the over his last 6 starts and with a massive 10.33 ERA/1.93 WHIP while allowing 10 home runs during just 27.0 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has a lofty 5.01 ERA/1.46 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Detroit’s Reese Olsen has a sizable 5.61 ERA this season in 11 starts. Olsen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 5.27 ERA/1.61 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has a terrible staff 6.47 ERA/1.65 WHIP during their previous 7 games. Detroit has played 19-7 to the over in home night games this season. Since the start of last season, the Tigers have played 11-2 to the over at home when facing a starting pitcher like Drew Smyly that allowed an average of 1 or more home runs per start, and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
08-19-23	Jaguars v. Lions OVER 39		25-7	Loss	-110	14 h 32 m	Show
Jaguars @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Over 39.0 Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach in Detroit, the Lions have played 5-0 to the over when the total was 40.0 or less and there was a combined average of 46.0 points scored per game. Conversely, since Doug Pederson took over as head coach in Jacksonville, the Jaguars have played 4-0 to the over when the total was 41.0 or less and there was a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.