Jacksonville @ Kansas City 1:00 PM ET

Game# 243-244

Play On: Over 50.5 (5*)

Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over in true road games this season with a combined 48 points or more being scored on each occasion. Additionally, Kansas City has played 3-0 to the over this season when facing non-conference opponents and there was a combined 65 or more points being scored every time.

Kansas City is ranked #1 in the NFL scoring while averaging 30.2 points scored per game. The Chiefs racked up 499 and 539 yards of total offense in their last 2 games played. Conversely, the Jacksonville offense has amassed 379 yards or more of total offense in 4 of their last 5 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Florida @ South Carolina 4:00 PM ET

Game# 199-200

Play On: Over 59.0 (5*)

This game has the earmarks of a high scoring entertaining game. Florida has played 3-0 to the over in its previous 3 and with a combined average of 69.0 points scored per game. The Gators have also played 4-0 to the over this season if the total is 58.5 or greater when facing an FBS opponent. Those contests averaged a combined 64.3 points scored per game. The Gators defense has been awful for an extended stretch now after allowing 411 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 games. The lone exception in that 7-game was versus Missouri and even then, they allowed 370 yards.

South Carolina has played 11-1 to the over since 2020 in conference away game and there was a combined 63.1 points scored per contest. The Gamecock run defense has allowed 200 yards or more rushing in a game 4 times this season. That’s a huge concern for that unit since it will be facing a Florida team which average 210 yards rushing per game on a lofty 6.1 yards per attempt. South Carolina has seen both games versus Florida go over the total during the past 2 seasons.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Detroit @ Boston 7:40 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Over 226.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a 109-106 win at Memphis in their previous outing and that game went under the total of 231.0. Nonetheless, the Celtics have played 3-0 to the over this season following an under in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 242.7 points scored per game. Boston has also played 3-1 to the over at home thus far with a combined average of 236.5 points scored per game. The flip side to that equation is the fact they also allowed 115.6 points per game during those 4 contests. They’ll be facing a Detroit Pistons team that is 0-5 SU on the road while allowing an alarmingly high 120.0 points per game.  The Pistons saw both games at Boston a season ago going over the total.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Baltimore @ New Orleans 8:15 PM ET

Game# 473-474

Play On: Over 46.0 (5*)

New Orleans has quietly put up some impressive offense number throughout its previous 4 games. During that stretch, they’ve averaged 31.0 points scored and 422.0 yards gained per game. The Saints have seen 4 of their last 5 go over the total with an average combined score of 56.0 points per game.

During their last 3 road contests, Baltimore has averaged 28.0 points scored and 417.7 yards gained per game. The Ravens have played 11-1 to the over with John Harbaugh as their head coach in non-conference away games when both the Ravens and their opponents scored 31 points or fewer in their previous game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Seattle @ Arizona 4:05

Game# 467-468

Play On: Over 49.0 (10*)

Seattle has seen each of their previous 3 away games go over the total and there was an enormous average of 74.7 points per contest. Seattle is coming off a 27-13 home win over the New York Giants which has improved their season record to 5-3 (.625).

Arizona has seen its last 2 go over the total with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. The Cardinals are coming off last week’s 34-26 loss at Minnesota and they now find themselves with an uninspiring 3-4 (.375) season record.

Since 2016, NFL teams with a total of 47.5 or greater who are playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off a home win by 13 or more points in which they scored 48 points or fewer, and their win percentage is between .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .333 or better (Arizona), resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82%) to the over.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Eagles @ Texans 8:20 PM ET

Game# 309-310

Play On: Over 45.0 (5*)

Philadelphia is currently a 13.5-point favorite, and the total is 45.5. The Eagles are coming off last Sunday’s 35-13 home blowout win over the Pittsburgh Steelers which improved their season record to 7-0. Philadelphia has scored 24 points or more in all 7 games this season in addition to amassing 400 yards or greater on 5 of those occasions. The Eagles have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 as a non-division favorite with a total of 48.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 57.3 points scored per game.

Houston has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 as a non-division home underdog. The average total in those contests was 43.4 and there was a combined 56.2 points scored per game. The Texans are also 3-0 to the over in their last 3 non-division contests this season with a combined average of 53.0 points scored per game.

NFL undefeated road favorites with a total of 42.5 to 47.0 that are playing after Game 3 and are coming off a home win by 10 or more points, resulted in those games going 33-7 (82.5%) over the total since 1985.

Boston @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 220.0 (5*)

These teams met in Boston earlier this season and Cleveland walked away with 132-123 win. That contest sailed way over the total of 218.0. Boston has allowed 117 points or more in 4 of 6 games this season. The Celtics have also scored 111 points or greater in 5 of those 6 games. Conversely, Cleveland has scored 117 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cleveland has made 42.7% of their 3-point shots this season. During their previous 2 games the Cavaliers made 16 threes versus Boston and 23 against the Knicks. On the other hand, Boston has allowed opponents to make 37.9% of their 3-point shots this season.

NBA home teams with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that has made 36.5% or more of their 3-point shot attempts, and they made 16 or more 3-point shots in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Boston) that allows opponents to make 36.5% or more of their 3-point shot attempts, resulted in those games playing 22-4 (84.6%) to the over since 1996. Those games averaged a combined 229.9 points per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Bengals @ Browns 8:15 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Under 45.5 (5*)

The Browns are coming off a 23-20 division loss at Baltimore that dropped their season record to 2-5 (.286). After an 0-2 start to the season, Cincinnati has rebounded to win 4 of its last 5 to better than season record to 4-3.

NFL home teams (Browns) with a total of 42.5 to 48.0 that are coming off a division loss in which they allowed 21 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Bengals) with a winning record, resulted in those contests playing 27-2 (93.1%) to the under since 2013.

Give me this game to go under the total.

East Carolina @ BYU 8:00 PM ET

Game# 111-112

Play On: Over 63.0 (5*)

BYU has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 while allowing an average of 40.3 points and 562.3 yards per game. The Cougars went under the total in a loss at Liberty in their previous game. BYU has played 2-0 to the over this year following an under in its previous contest and there was a combined average of 74.0 points scored per game. BYU has scored 35 points or more in 4 of 8 games this season and shouldn’t have any issues moving the ball on a suspect East Carolina defense.

The East Carolina offense has been humming while averaging 33.5 points and 481.3 yards per game. The Pirates went under the total in their previous game. However, they’ve gone 3-0 to the over this year immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 76.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Ravens @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Under 45.0 (5*)

Tampa Bay has been a one-dimensional offensive team since their running game has been anemic 49.8 yards rushing per contest while averaging of late. During their last 5 games, they’ve averaged a mere 49.8 yards rushing per contest on 2.6 yards per attempt. On some positive notes, The Bucs haven’t committed a turnover in their last 3 games. Additionally, their defense has performed well over their last 3 contests while allowing just 291.3 yards per game, and they currently rank 7th in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season. Tampa Bay has played 6-1 to the under this season. Conversely, Baltimore has gone under the total in their last 4 with a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game.

Tampa Bay is coming off a 21-3 loss at Carolina in a game they closed as a large 13.0-point favorite. Since 2016, NFL home teams coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and there was a total of 47.5 or less, resulted in those contests playing 25-1 (96.2%) to the under.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Bears @ Patriots 8:15 PM ET

Game# 475-476

Play On: Over 40.0 (5*)

Both teams will be able to run the ball successfully tonight which will set up glorious play action pass opportunities. Chicago is coming off a 12-7 home loss to Washing, but they did manage to amass 383 yards of total offense in that defeat. Chicago held the Commanders to a mere 86 yards passing in that contest. The Bears have played 4-0 to the over on the road since 2020 after allowing 150 yards or less passing yards in their previous game, and there was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per contest.

New England’s starting quarterback Mac Jones returns tonight after missing the last couple of games due to injury. New England has played 7-3 to the over at home when Mac Jones has been their starting quarterback. The Patriots have scored 24 points or more in each of their last 4. New England is 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever there was a total of 45.5 or less and there was a combined average of 55.7 points scored per game. The Patriots will be facing a Chicago team which is averaging only 15.5 points per game this season. New England has played 6-0 to the over since 2020 whenever facing an opponent that averages 17 or fewer points per game and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Chiefs @ 49ers 4:25 PM ET

Game# 469-470

Play On: Under 49.0 (5*)

San Francisco is coming off a disappointing performance in last week’s 28-14 loss at Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite. The 49ers have played 5-1 to the under this season and that includes 3-0 under if the number was 40.0 or higher. The latter 3 contests produced just a combined average of 32.0 points scored per game. San Francisco has also played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 following a SU favorite loss and there was a combined average of 36.8 points scored per game. All 5 of those contests took place since last season. The 49ers defense has been stout thus far while allowing just 308 yards or fewer in all 6 of their games.

Since 2015 NFL home teams coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more went 41-5 (89.1%) to the under in their next game. Additionally, if they allowed 31 points or fewer during that previous SU favorite loss, this betting angles improves to a perfect 15-0 to the under.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Clippers @ Lakers 10:05 ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Over 225.0 (5*)

The Lakers are coming off Tuesday’s 123-109 season opening loss at Golden State on Tuesday. The Lakers committed 21 turnovers and forced 18 of their own with many on both sides leading to easy transition made shots. That contests also had a combined 192 field goal attempts which equates to an extremely fast pace even by NBA standards. These teams played 3-1 to the over last season and there was a combined 226.5 points scored per game. The Clippers made 52.3% of their shots in those 4 contests and shot a torrid 47.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Those 4 head-to-head battles also produced an extremely high 61.5 combined free throws per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Padres (Darvish) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

The Phillies Blake Wheeler has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.32 ERA/0.66 WHIP. Wheeler has made 1 starts in each of the past 2 season versus San Diego and was dominating while pitching 14 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball. The Phillies bullpen hasn’t been great by any stretch the past couple of seasons but that hasn’t been the case in postseason action. The Phillies bullpen has a combined 2.19 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 7 playoff games thus far.

The Padres Yu Darvish has made 2 starts versus the Phillies this year and compiled a very good 2.08 ERA during those outings. Darvish has pitched 9-4 to the under this season at home with a 2.60 ERA/0.88 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Astros (Valdez) 3:37 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 6.5 (10*)

Seattle has played 17-3 to the over in their last 20 road games following a loss. The Mariners have also played 8-2 to the over this season on the road following an off day, and that includes 4-0 over if they scored 6 runs or more in their previous outing. Additionally, there was a combined 13.0 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 4 occurrences. The Mariners have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Mariners bullpen has a terrible 8.18 ERA during their 3 postseason games thus far.

The Astros Framber Valdez has gone 21-10 in his team starts this season. However, during his 2 starts versus Seattle he allowed 3 earned runs on both occasions.  There were 5 combined home runs hit in Game 1 of this ALDS including 3 by Houston. Give me this game to go over the total.

Any American League road team with a total of 7.0 or less that has a slugging percentage of .410 or less, and they’re coming off a game in which there was a combined 15 runs or more being scored, resulted in those games playing 34-10 (77.3%) to the over since 2018. There was a combined average of 9.1 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 44 occurrences.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Padres (Darvish) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 8:37 PM ET

Game# 933-934

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Both starting pitchers in this matchup have been in outstanding form throughout each of their previous 5 starts. During those stretches, Darvish has a 1.64 ERA/0.76 WHIP while averaging 6.8 innings pitched per outing, and Kershaw compiled a 1.20 ERA/0.87 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings per start. Darvish has amassed 9 quality starts in a row and in 4 starts versus the Dodgers this season he recorded a brilliant 2.52 ERA/0.92 WHIP. Kershaw has made 2 starts versus the Padres in 2022 and allowed only 1 earned run on 8 hits during 12.0 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen has a 2.10 ERA/1.00 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Gilbert) @ Astros (Verlander) 3:37 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 6.5 (5*)

We have a pair of red-hot starting pitchers squaring of in Game 1 of this ALDS. Hence, the low total in this game.

Seattle’s Logan Gilbert has been in excellent form over his last 6 starts while compiling a 1.75 ERA/1.06 WHIP during that stretch. Gilbert has pitched 3-1 to the under in his starts versus Houston this season with a 2.52 ERA/1.08 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a very good 0.93 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games while recoding a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Justin Verlander has pitched 20-7 to the under in his starts this season with an exceptional 1.75 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Verlander is 3-0 in his home team starts versus Seattle this season and registered a brilliant 1.69 ERA/0.89 WHIP during those outings. The Houston bullpen has been lights out at home in 2022 with a staff 2.18 ERA/0.99 WHIP and they amassed 322 strikeouts in 268 2/3 innings pitched. Houston has played 35-19 (64.8%) to the under this season in day games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Bears @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET

Game# 461-462

Play On: Over 44.0 (5*)

There’s been 68% of the tickets and 95% of the money wagered on the under as of this writing. Yet, the total has gone from its opening number of 43.0 up to 44.0. This is textbook reverse line movement and a true indicator of sharp money go on the over which includes mine. Since 2020, Minnesota has played 15-5 (75%) to the over whenever the total was 42.5 to 49.0 and that includes 8-2 (80%) to the over if those games were played at home. You also might be surprised to know that Chicago has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 division away games and there was a combined average of 59.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, the last 3 games between these teams played in Minnesota have all gone over the total with a combined average of 49.3 points scored per game.

Chargers @ Texans 1:00 PM ET

Game# 259-260

Play On: Under 45.5 (5*)

Since 2019, the Chargers have played 12-3 to the under during its first 4 games of the season, and that includes 6-1 to the under on the road.

The Chargers are coming off an embarrassing 38-10 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they closed as a 6.5-point favorite. Houston is coming off a 23-20 loss at Chicago in their previous game. Listed below is a perfect NFL totals betting angle pertaining to this matchup.

Any NFL team (Chargers) with a losing record that’s coming off a game in which they failed cover by 28.0 points or more, and they scored 13 points or fewer in that contest, versus an opponent that scored 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 15-0 to the under since 2013. The average total in those 15 contests was 42.4 and there was just a combined 32.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Chiefs @ Colts 1:00 PM ET

Game# 471-472

Play On: Under 51.0 (5*)

The Colts have played 2-0 to the under in its first 2 games and is coming off a 24-0 loss at Jacksonville in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. Despite a poor 0-1-1 start to the season, the Colts defense has been solid despite being on the field an average of 34:19 per game. They’ve held their opponents to 315.0 yards per game, 4.8 yards per offensive play, and permitted them to convert on just 36.7% of its 3rd down attempts. Additionally, the Indianapolis defense has surrendered 77 and 96 yards rushing in their first 2 games while allowing a mere 2.7 yards per rushing attempt. Since 2020, the Colts have played 6-0 to the under after holding opponents to 99 yards or less rushing in their previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 40.0 points scored per game. However, offensively they have an atrocious ratio of 1 point scored per 36.8 yards gained. Putting those numbers into perspective, Kansas City has averaged 1 point scored per 11.4 yards gained per play.

Kansas City managed only 319 yards of total offense in the previous game versus the Chargers which is well below the standard they’ve set since Andy Reid has been their head coach. During the first 2 games the Chiefs defense has been outstanding on 3rd down while their opponents converted a mere 28.6% of those attempts into 1st downs.

Any NFL home team (Colts) coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and there’s a total of 52.0 or less, resulted in those games playing 36-4 (90%) to the under since 2016. Give me this game to go under the total.

Atlanta @ LA Rams 4:05 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Under 46.5 (5*)

Since the 2019-2020 NFL regular season begam. The Rams have played 20-5 (80%) to the under at home whenever there was a total of 53.5 or less. On the other side of the table, during that identical time frame, Atlanta has played 6-0 to the under during road games when there was a total of 44.0 to 47.5 and there was a combined average of 38.5 points scored per contest.

The Rams are coming off a season opening 31-7 home loss to Buffalo. Atlanta squandered a 16-point 4th quarter lead and fell 27-26 in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below.

Any NFL team with a total of 37.0 to 48.5 that’s coming off a home loss, versus an opponent (LA Rams) coming off a home loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed 45 points or fewer, resulted in those contests playing 29-1 (96.7%) to the under since 2018. Give me this game to go under the total.

No analysis today.

No analysis today.

No analysis today.

Notre Dame @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 171-172

Play On: Under 59.5 (5*)

Both Notre Dame and Ohio State bring back 8 returning starters on defense. Ohio State will look to replace a pair of starting wide receivers that were 1st round draft choices in the 2022 NFL draft. This will be only the 5th time that Notre Dame has been a double-digit underdog since 2016 and they average a paltry 14.2 points scored per game in those outings. Furthermore, the last 4 times Notre Dame found themselves in that exact situation, they played 4-0 to the under and there was a combined average of 40.5 points scored per game.

Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 where both defenses have 8 of more returning starters, and each team is from a “Power 5 Conference”, resulted in those contests playing 26-2 (92.9%) to the under since 2018. The average total in those 28 contests was 59.5 and there was a combined 48.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Tigers (Alexander) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

Lefthander Tyler Alexander has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while posting an 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Detroit has seen its previous 4 all go over the total with a combined 13.7 runs scored per game.

Seattle has gone 10-1-1 to the over during its last 12 on the road and there was a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game and that includes 4-0-1 over if there was a total of 8.0 or less. The Mariners have played 19-9-1 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Marco Gonzalez has a lofty 1.61 WHIP 12 road starts this season. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Padres (Snell) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Brandon Webb has made 2 starts versus San Diego this year, pitched 8.0 innings on each occasion, and registered a 1.13 ERA. During 14 home starts this season Webb compiled a sparkling 2.88 ERA.

Blake Snell has made 2 starts versus San Francisco in 2022 and allowed just 1 earned run while striking out 19 in 11 2/3 innings pitched.  During his last 3 road starts, Snell recorded a shiny 0.64 ERA and struck out 27 batters in 16.0 innings of work. Give me this game to go under the total.

Orioles (Watkins) @ Guardians (Quantrill) 6:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (-115) (5*)

Cleveland has played 7-0-1 to the under in their last 8 games. Cal Quantrill has compiled a brilliant 1.38 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Cleveland bullpen has a perfect 0.00 ERA over its last 7 games and recorded 26 strikeouts in just 17 2/3 innings pitched.

Baltimore has played 5-0 in their last 5 to the under.  The Orioles are also 7-1 to the under in their last 8 and 10-2 under during its previous 12. Spencer Watkins has a terrific 1.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP during his last 4 road starts. Give me this game to go under the total.

Packers @ Chiefs 8:00 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: Under 36.0 (5*)

Kansas City is coming off a 24-14 home favorite win and cover over Washington. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off a 20-10 home favorite win and cover over New Orleans.

Any NFL preseason home team (Chiefs) that’s playing in a Game 3, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those contests playing 14-3 to the under since 2003. Additionally, if the total was 37.5 or less it resulted in all 8 of those contests going under the total, and there was a combined average of only 26.6 points were scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Kevin Gausman has a superb 1.65 ERA/0.99 WHIP during 11 road starts this year and averaged a lofty 6.5 innings pitched per start. As a matter of fact, he allowed 0 earned runs in 21.0 innings pitched during his last 3 road starts while striking out 22 and walking 2. Gausman has made 4 starts versus the Red Sox in 2022 and posted a terrific 1.38 ERA/0.92 WHIP while striking out 37 in 26.0 innings pitched. The Blue Jays bullpen has recorded a stellar 2.57 ERA/1.10 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Toronto has played 4-1 to the under during its last 5 and 6-2 to the under in their previous 8 games.

Boston is coming off yesterday’s 3-2 home loss to Toronto. The Red Sox have played 16-5 to the under this season immediately following a game in which they scored and allowed 3 runs. Kutter Crawford has endured his share of struggles this season. However, he has a sparkling 2.78 ERA/0.93 WHIP in his last 4 home starts. Crawford allowed 3 earned runs in 6.0 innings pitched in his only outing against Toronto this year which qualifies as a quality start. Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Bundy) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 7.5 (+103) (10*)

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 and 9-1-1 to the under during its previous 11 games. The Twins have also played 18-6 to the under this season in games versus AL West teams. Dylan Bundy has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.88 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Bundy will be facing a Houston team that has a terrific 79-45 (.637) season record. However, the veteran righthander has pitched 18-6 to the under in his career starts versus teams with a win percentage of .620 or better. The Twins bullpen has a sparkling 2.57 ERA and an 8:1 strikeout/walk ratio during its previous 7 games. Minnesota has averaged a mere 1.6 runs and 5.6 hits per game during their previous 5 outings.

Framber Valdez has also displayed stellar form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.21 ERA and averaged a lofty 6.8 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has been lights out at home this season while registering a 2.29 ERA/1.02 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Davies) @ Royals (Heasley) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Over 8.5 (-120) (5*)

Jon Heasley has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a 9.91 ERA/2.02 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 10.0 innings pitched. Heasley has been even worse than that in his previous 3 home starts with a 12.20 ERA/2.42 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen has a horrible 8.55 ERA/1.90 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks have played 8-4-1 to the over this season when facing American League teams and there was a combined average of 9.9 runs scored per game.

Zach Davies has pitched very well over his last 3 starts. However, since last season, Davies has made 2 starts against the Royals and allowed 8 earned runs in 9/ 2/3 innings pitched. The most alarming part of those 2 starts was that Davies allowed 7 Kansas City home runs. The Royals bullpen has an uninspiring 4.56 ERA/1.56 WHIP over its last 7 games. Kansas City has played 10-4-1 to the over this season when facing National League teams and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. The Royals have also played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Ravens @ Cardinals 8:00 PM ET

Game# 429-430

Play On: Over 38.5 (5*)

The point-spread and total at the time of this writing was Baltimore -5.5/38.5. This falls into an NFL betting algorithm which just can’t be ignored. Since 2005, any NFL preseason away favorite of 4.5 or greater and there was a total of 38.5 or greater played 11-0 to the over. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 54.8 points scored per game. “If it isn’t broke, then don’t fix it”. Give me this game to go over the total.

Texans @ Rams 10:00 PM ET

Game# 407-408

Play On: Under 38.0 (5*)

Thus far in the 2022 NFL preseason, games have played 14-3 to the over which is absurd lopsided ratio. As a result, the sportsbooks have substantially raised the average total by over 5.0 points per game in Week 2 compared to Week 1. During my many years of experience in this business, more times than not when a trend is dominant one week, most time than not it makes a 360-degree turn the following week or at the very worst levels off. Expect an increase in games going under the total this week. Now it’s a matter of choosing the right one or ones to isolate and bet on. I firmly believe this situation qualifies in that regard.

Head coaching trends go a long way with me when it comes to NFL preseason handicapping. It’s not the sole thing I look at. However, I place a lot more emphasis on the aspect compared to regular season action. Under current head coach Sean McVeigh, the Rams have played 8-0 to the under in their last preseason contests when the total was 39.0 or less and it wasn’t their preseason opener. Those 8 contests averaged just a combined 28.8 points scored per game.

Conversely, the Houston Texas franchise has played 19-9 to the under in their last 28 preseason games. That includes last week’s 17-13 home win over New Orleans that stayed under 36.0. Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 7.5 (-120) (10*)

Alex Cobb has made 3 career starts versus Arizon and all have taken place since last season. During those outings Cobb posted a large 7.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has a poor 5.66 ERA/1.84 WHIP over their last 7 games and that includes 6 home runs allowed in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. San Francisco has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 games. The Giants have an excellent .345 team on-base-percentage throughout its previous 7 games.

Madison Bumgarner has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 6.62 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Bumgarner returns to his old stomping grounds in San Francisco where he enjoyed many great campaigns. However, during his 2 starts as a visitor, Bumgarner has a lofty 6.00 ERA. Arizona is averaging a healthy 5.2 runs scored per game in their last 13 outings. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game series at Coors Field which saw each go under the total. Since the start of last season, Arizona has played 17-3 to the over immediately following 3 consecutive games going under. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Twins (Davidson) @ Angels (Archer)

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Twins Chris Archers has pitched 4-0 to the over in his last 4 starts with a lofty 7.41 ERA. The Angels Tucker Davidson is 0-3 in his last 3 teams starts with a 9.25 ERA/2.28 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total.

A’s (Irvin) @ Astros (Javier) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5 (-105) (5*)

Cole Irvin has pitched very well against Houston this year while posing a 2.19 ERA/0.89 WHIP during those starts. As a matter of fact, Irvin has pitched 15-5 to the under in 2022 with a very good 2.85 ERA/1.03 WHIP. The A’s have averaged a paltry 2.0 runs scored per game in their last 5 outings.

Christian Javier has pitched 4-0 to the under in day games with a sparkling 1.96 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Houston has played 31-11-1 to the under in day games this season.

The home plate umpire is slated to be Ramon DeJesus today. DeJesus has witnessed games being played 12-5-1 to the under this season when he’s been the home plate umpire and there was only a combined average of 6.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies ((Wheeler) @ Mets (Bassitt) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 7.0 (+105) (5*)

Since 2020, Zach Wheeler has made 10 starts versus the Mets with an outstanding 2.48 ERA/0.99 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has a brilliant 1.45 ERA throughout its previous 7 games. Philadelphia has gone under the total in their last 5 and there were a combined 4.8 runs scored per game.

The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of their previous 7 games. Chris Bassitt is 6-1 in his team starts in days games this season and with an outstanding 1.83 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been stellar over its last 7 games with a staff 2.95 ERA/1.17 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (DeGrom) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 6.0 (5*)

This total is extremely low for good reason. Aaron Nola has recorded a brilliant 2.24 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. The Phillies bullpen has registered a dominating 1.83 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Phillies have gone under in each of their last 4 and there was a combined average of only 4.5 runs scored per game.

Jacob DeGrom has looked spectacular in his 2 starts since returning from a season long injury. During those outings DeGrom had a 2.53 ERA/0.47 WHIP while striking out 18 in 10 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of its previous 6 games. I’m not going to let this low of a total scare me away. Give me this game to go under the total.

Padres (Darvish) @ Nationals (Sanchez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 8.5 (5*)

Yu Darvish has been much better at home than on the road this season. During 11 road starts Darvish has compiled an uninspiring 4.37 ERA. The Padres have played 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games. San Diego has averaged 10.0 runs scored and 13.7 hits per game throughout their previous 3 outings. San Diego is currently a massive money line favorite of -315. Darvish has pitched 10-2 to the over since the start of last season whenever San Diego was a money line favorite of -200 or more and there was a combined average of 10.9 runs scored per game.

Anibal Sanchez has made 4 starts this year and posted a terrible 7.65 ERA/1.65 WHIP while averaging only 5.0 innings pitched per outing. The Washington bullpen has a combined 6.14 ERA/1.77 WHIP over their previous 7 games and that qualifies as not getting it done. The Nationals have played 6-1-2 to the over in their last 9 games. Washington has also played 26-9 to the over in the month of August since the start of last season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Guardians (Civale) @ Tigers (Hutchinson) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Over 8.0 (5*)

Aaron Civale has pitched 5-1 to the over on the road this season with a large 7.67 ERA/1.63 WHIP. Cleveland has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 and that includes 3-0 over during its previous 3 road games.

Detroit has played 8-1-3 to the over during its last 12 at home. Drew Hutchinson has pitched 3-1-1 to the over at home in 2022 with a 4.50 ERA/1.54 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has an awful 7.66 ERA/2.02 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Phillies (Syndergaard) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Miami has been anemic offensively for a prolonged stretch. Specifically speaking, the Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its previous 9 games. That includes scoring a combined 3 runs over their previous 5 games versus Philadelphia. The Marlins Sandy Alcantara is arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball right now. Alcantara has a brilliant 1.88 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 22 starts this season while averaging an extremely impressive 7.3 innings pitched per outing. He’s also pitched 3-0 to the under versus the Phillies with a 2.45 ERA in 2022. The Marlins bullpen has a cumulative 1.45 ERA throughout their previous 7 games.

Noah Syndergaard has pitched 6-1-1 to the under in his last 8 starts with a respectable 4.03 ERA/1.32 WHIP. The Phillies have allowed 2 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 10 games. Philadelphia has witnessed 3 of their 4 home games versus Miami go under the total this season. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Perez) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Jose Urquidy has pitched 3-0 to the under in his last 3 starts with a 1.31 ERA/0.71 WHIP while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The Houston bullpen has a microscopic 0.54 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Astros have played 7-1 to the under during iits last 8 and allowed an average of just 2.0 runs per game. Houston is coming off a 1-0 loss to Cleveland in their previous game. The Astros have played 10-1 to the under this season following a game in which there was a combined 3 runs or fewer scored.

Martin Perez has returned to good form after going through a temporary rough patch. During his last 3 starts, Perez posted a 1.35 ERA/1.00 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Perez will be facing a Houston lineup which has averaged hitting 1.37 home runs per game this season. Texas has played 7-0 to the under on the road this season when facing teams that average 1.25 or more home runs per game. The Rangers have averaged a wee 3.0 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 outings.

These teams have played 9-1-1 to the under this season and that includes 4-0 under in games played in Houston. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Raiders vs. Jaguars 8:00 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Over 30.5 (5*)

This total opened at 33.5 and has since dropped to 30.5 with the number of tickets and amount of money bet heavily favoring the under. Public bettors have been made aware that 5 of the last 6 and 7 of the previous 9 Hall of Fame Games played in Canton, Ohio have gone under. As a matter of fact, according to my NFL preseason handicapping software that tracks totals back to 1999, this current number is the second lowest for a Hall of Fame Game. The lowest came in the Giants/Texans 2002 Hall of Fame Game which closed at 29.0. Furthermore, since 1999, there has been 10 totals of 34.5 or less in Hall of Fame games, and 7 of those went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total.

Oakland (Kaprielian) @ Angels (Ohtani) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

James Kaprielian has displayed good form over his last 5 starts while recording a 1.93 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Oakland bullpen has been stellar over its last 7 games with a staff 2.70 ERA/0.80 WHIP. Oakland has played 7-1 to the under during their previous 8 away games.

Shoei Ohtani has a dominating 2.25 ERA/0.90 WHIP throughout his last 8 starts. The Angels bullpen has a sparkling 2.16 ERA/1.12 WHIP during their previous 7 games. The Angels have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Thompson) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 8.5 (-115) (5*)

The Cubs have played 9-1 to the under in their last 10 this season immediately after an off day. The Cardinals have played 8-2 to the under in their last 10 immediately following an off day.

The Cubs have gone under the total in 6 of its last 7. Chicago has also gone over the total in only 5 of their previous 24 games played. Keegan Thompson has pitched 5-2 to the under in his last 7 starts with a 2.74 ERA/1.17 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has a terrific 1.21 ERA as a staff in their last 7 games and converted on all 3 of its save opportunities.

Adam Wainwright has pitched 3-0 to the under in his 3 starts versus the Cubs since the start of last season with a 1.23 ERA/0.86 WHIP and averaged 7.3 innings pitched per start. Wainwright has made 9 home starts in 2022 with a shiny 2.01 ERA/ 1.08 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Guardians (McKenzie) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 981-982

Play On: Under 7.5 (-105) (5*)

Tristen McKenzie has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts with a 1.34 ERA/0.83 WHIP. The Cleveland bullpen has an excellent 0.95 ERA/0.88 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Zac Gallen has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.45 ERA/0.64 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Gallen has been solid all season with a 3.32 ERA/1.02 WHIP in 19 starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has recorded a brilliant 1.73 ERA/1.07 WHIP over their last 7 games. Arizona has gone over the total in just 3 of its previous 12 games. Arizona is coming off yesterday’s 6-5 loss at Cleveland in a game that went over the total of 9.0. The Diamondbacks have played 6-1-3 to the under in their last 10 after going over during its previous game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Sampson) @ Giants (Rodon) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Cubs have gone under the total in their last 5 and there was only a combined average of 6.0 runs scored per game. The Cubs Adrian Sampson has seen each of his previous 4 starts go under the total while registering a solid 3.09 ERA/1.20 WHIP while doing so. The Cubs bullpen has a very good staff 1.61 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Cubs had their 6-game win streak ended on Thursday, but they bounced back with a win a night later. Chicago has played 10-0 to the under this season after winning 5 or 6 of its last 7 games. The Cubs are also 9-1 to the under this season when facing a National League lefthanded starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or better.

Carlos Rodon has been strong in 8 home starts this season with a 2.05 ERA. Rodon has also seen 4 of 5-day game starts in 2022 stay under and his 2.32 ERA/1.00 WHIP in those outing was a huge contributing factor to those low scoring affairs. The Giants have averaged a mere 2.4 runs scored per game during its previous 8 outings. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Mets (Walker) @ Marlins (Lopez) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Tijuan Walker has seen all 7 of his daytime starts go under the total in 2022 while racking up a dominating 0.57 ERA and averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Walker has a glittering 1.83 ERA /0.86 WHIP while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per start during his 3 appearances versus Miami this season.

Pablo Lopez has a very good 1.37 ERA/087 WHIP in his 4-career home starts versus the Mets and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The Marlins have hit only 5 homers in their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Ashby) @ Red Sox (Winckowski) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Aaron Ashby is 0-5 in his last 5 road team starts with an awful 8.50 ERA/2.16 WHIP. Heading into Saturday’s game, Milwaukee had averaged a robust 6.4 runs scored per game throughout their previous 8 outings. Milwaukee has stayed under the total in only 36.8% of their 68 games when facing a righthanded starting pitcher. The Brewers have also hit 104 home runs in those 68 situations and averaged an excellent 1.53 homers per game.

Boston heading into the weekend having gone a dismal 7-18 over their previous 25 and they allowed an alarmingly high 6.8 runs scored per game during that stretch. Obviously, their pitching has been atrocious for just shy of a month. It doesn't figure to get much better with Josh Winckowski on the mound. The Red Sox hurler is 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a 9.00 ERA/1.71 WHIP and surrendered 5 homers in 14.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Braves (Fried) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Merrill Kelly has displayed dominating form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 1.29 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. It should come as no surprise when pointing out that all 3 of those games went under the total. As a matter of fact, Kelly has pitched 6.0 innings or more during each of his last 9 starts. Kelly is also 7-2 in his road team starts this season with a more than respectable 3.18 ERA/1.14 WHIP. Conversely, Arizona has gone a terrible 11-25 on the road whenever Kelly wasn’t their starting pitcher. Heading into the weekend, the Arizona bullpen had a sparkling 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP during its previous 7 games.

As of games played through Friday 7/29, Atlanta had played 12-2 (83%) to the under in their last 14 at home. Max Fried has a stellar 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP in 12 home starts this season while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Braves bullpen has a shiny 1.08 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Over 11.0 (-106) (10*)

Despite this game being played at Coors Field, this is an extremely high total for a game in which Clayton Kershaw is one of the starting pitchers. They’re begging you to take the under in this matchup and I’m not falling for the bait. Truth be told, Kershaw has made 1 start both this year and last at Coors, and he posted a terrible 10.24 ERA/2.48 WHIP during those 2 outings. Kershaw does possess a sparkling 2.49 ERA this season. However, Colorado has played 23-6 to the over since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or less.

Since 2019, Kyle Freeland is 1-5 during his home team starts versus the Dodgers with a 7.10 ERA/1.55 WHIP and he allowed 7 home runs in 31 2/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers won Game 2 of this series last night 5-4 and it went under the total of 11.5. The Dodgers have played 6-1 to the over during their last 7 following an under in its previous game, and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go over the total.

Houston (Garcia) @ Oakland (Montas) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 7.0 (-130) (5*)

Luis Garcia has pitched 6-2 to the under in his 8 road starts this season with a stellar 2.05 ERA/0.97 WHIP. Houston has seen each of their last 2 games go over the total. However, the Astros have played 8-1 to the under in their last 9 this season following back-to-back overs. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone over the total in 3 straight games only 3 times in 2022.

Oakland has also gone over in each of their previous 2. The A’s have played 11-3 to the under this year following back-to-back overs. Frankie Montas has pitcher 10-1 to the under at home this season with a sparkling 2.44 ERA/1.03 WHIP and that includes 8-0 under during his last 8 at home. Montas has a brilliant 1.50 ERA/0.83 during his last 4 starts overall. Furthermore, Montas has pitched 11-1 to the under this season whenever the total was 7.0 or less and there was a combined average of 5.5 runs scored per game. Oakland has averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per game during Montas’ 17 starts in 2022. The A’s bullpen has an impressive 2.86 ERA throughout their previous 7 games which is far better than its overall season numbers. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rockies (Freeland) @ Brewers (Ashby) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Over 8.5 (+100) (5*)

Kyle Freeland has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts while recording a 8.44 ERA/1.56 WHIP. The Rockies has a lofty 5.00 ERA/1.51 WHIP on the road this season. So, pitching at Coors Field can’t be used as an excuse in this instance for Colorado relievers. Colorado is coming off yesterday’s 10-9 loss to Milwaukee. The Rockies have played 15-6 (71%) to the over this season following a game in which they allowed 8 runs or more.

The Brewers bullpen has been shaky over its last 7 games with a staff 7.45 ERA and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 29.0 innings. Milwaukee has witnessed the first 3 games of this series all going over the total with a combined average of 14.3 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go over the total.

Guardians (Plesac) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 9.5 (+100) (5*)

Cleveland has played 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. The Guardians are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game with a .318 team batting average and an excellent .367 on-base-percentage during its previous 7 outings.

The Red Sox have allowed an eye popping 13.4 runs scored per game during its last 5. Nick Piveta has been in pathetic form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a massive 13.50 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal over its last 7 games with a staff 10.85 ERA/2.15 WHIP. Boston has played 11-3 to the over throughout their previous 14 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Astros (Valdez) @ Mariners (Ray) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Lefthander Robbie Ray has made 7 quality starts in a row. During that stretch Ray has compiled an excellent 1.36 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Mariners bullpen has a sparkling 1.97 ERA/1.03 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Seattle has seen their last 4 games all go under the total (6.0 RPG).

Framber Valdez has displayed terrific form during his 10 road starts this season while recording a 1.86 ERA/0.95 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start. Valdez has made 3 starts versus Seattle since the start of last season and posted a 0.90 ERA/0.80 WHIP while averaging 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Houston has played 27-9 (75%) to the under in day games this season. The Astros have gone under in 7 of its last 8 and there was a combined average of 6.4 runs scored per game. Houston has also played 23-8 (74%) to the under in 2022 when facing left-handed starting pitchers. Give me this game to go under the total.

Guardians (Bieber) @ White Sox (Cease) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Under 7.5 (-120) (5*)

Shane Bieber is 2-0 during his team starts versus the White Sox this year while allowing just 2 earned runs in 15.0 innings pitched, struck out 14, and walked none. Bieber has displayed good form over his last 3 starts with a 0.97 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. Heading into Saturday’s action, the Guardians bullpen staff had a terrific 1.78 ERA/0.75 WHIP over the last 7 games and recorded just shy of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Dylan Cease has gone 6-1 during his last 7 teams starts with a 0.65 ERA. Cease is 10-2 this season in day game starts with a very impressive 1.30 ERA and struck out 91 batters during 69 1/3 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out throughout their last 7 games with a staff 1.04 ERA/0.92 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Pirates (Keller) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Under 7.5 (-110) (5*)

Sandy Alcantara has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts with a brilliant 1.12 ERA/0.75 WHIP and averaged 8.0 innings pitched per start. This is nothing new for Alcantara who possesses a 1.76 ERA/0.90 WHIP during his 17 starts in 2022. Alcantara has also pitched 24-9 (76%) to the under in his career team starts versus opponents with a losing record.

Mitch Keller has been very good over his last 2 starts while allowing only 1 earned run in 13.0 innings pitched. One of those outings came at Miami in which he allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits during 7.0 innings of work. Heading into the weekend action, the Pirates had scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Hearn) @ A’s (Kaprielian) 9:07 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Over 7.5 (-105) (5*)

Taylor Hearn has been in terrible form throughout his previous 7 starts while recording a 6.75 ERA/1.83 WHIP. Since last season, Hearn has made 3 starts against Oakland and with a 6.39 ERA during those outings. The Texas bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.40 ERA/1.69 WHIP over their last 7 games. Texas has played 11-4 to the over during its previous 15 games. Texas has played 19-9 (9.7 RPG) to the over this season when facing teams like Oakland (-1.2 RPG) who are being outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game.

James Kaprielian has made 2 unimpressive starts versus Texas in 2022 which is evidenced by him allowing 7 earned runs in just 9.3 innings pitched. Both games went over the total. The Oakland bullpen has been shaky at home this season with a staff 4.89 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total.

Cubs (Stroman) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 6:05 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Cubs won 15-2 at Philadelphia last night in a game that easily went over the total. However, the Cubs have played 16-5 to the under in their last 21 after going over in their previous game. Conversely, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 following an over during its previous game.

Despite yesterday’s 15-run scoring output, the Cubs have scored 3 runs or fewer in 13 of its last 16 games. This will be the first start of the season made against Philadelphia by Marcus Stroman. The veteran right-hander made 4 versus the Phillies last season and was dominant during those appearances. Stroman posted a combined 1.89 ERA, and all 4 games went under the total. Furthermore, in 5 starts on the road this year, Stroman has compiled an excellent 1.24 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has a cumulative 2.30 ERA/1.14 WHIP throughout its last 7 games.

Philadelphia continues to struggle offensively having scored only 30 runs in their last 10, including 1 game where they scored 10 runs, and that means the Phillies averaged a mere 2.2 runs in the other 9 games. Zack Wheeler has been excellent in 9 home starts this season with an 1.62 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing.

Marcus Stroman has a 1.15 WHIP in 11 starts this season. The Phillies have played 19-6 to the under since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Conversely, Zack Wheeler has a 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The Cubs have played 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Cardinals (Wainwright) @ Reds (Ashcroft) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 10.0 (-110) (5*)

This would seem to be a very high total in a game in which Adam Wainwright is a starting pitcher. However, after careful examination that large number is justified. Since 7/9/19, Wainwright has made 4 starts at Cincinnati while compiling a huge 10.18 ERA and 2.04 WHIP during those outings. The veteran righthander has also struggled over his last 3 road starts overall with a 6.48 ERA. The Cardinals bullpen has a lofty 1.52 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. On a positive note, St. Louis has scored 6 runs or more in 5 of its last 6 games.

Graham Ashcraft has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with an 8.10 ERA, 2.18 WHIP, and lasted only 4.4 innings pitched per outing. It’s well documented that the Reds bullpen is among the worst in baseball. The Reds have amassed 10 hits or more in 5 of their last 7 games. Cincinnati has gone over the total in their last 4 and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Red Sox (Pivetta) @ Yankees (Taillon) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

Nick Pivetta has been brutal during his last 2 starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 9.0 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 2 starts versus the Yankees this season and recorded a large 10.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. Boston has played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game.

James Taillon has been in poor form over his previous 4 starts with a 8.57 ERA, 2.38 WHIP, and surrendered 7 home runs in just 21.0 innings pitched. Taillon was tagged for 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings in a game at Fenway Park just last week. The usually reliable Yankees bullpen has been shaky of late with a staff 5.72 ERA throughout its last 7 games. The Yankees have played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 games and there was a combined average of 13.1 runs scored per game.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Giants (Rodon) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 6.5 (-110) (5*)

I am not going to let this low total scare me away from what is the most logical bet to make. This has all the signs of an old-fashioned starting pitcher's duel and a low scoring affair. Both starting pitchers have been excellent since the start of the season and have been especially dominant in recent outings. Carlos Rodon has pitched 4-1-1 to the under during his last 6 starts while registering a 1.54 ERA/0.78 WHIP while averaging 7.3 innings pitched per outing. Corbin Burnes has exhibited terrific form over his last 4 starts with a 1.30 ERA/0.72 WHIP and averaged 6.9 innings pitched per outing. Burnes has mase 3 career starts (all since 2021) versus San Francisco with a brilliant 0.92 ERA/0.66 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Gonsolin) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 8.0 (+102) (5*)

Tony Gonsolin has pitched 11-4-1 to the under this season with a brilliant 1.62 ERA/0.80 WHIP. Gonsolin has produced 8 quality starts during his previous 10 outings. The Dodgers bullpen has been stellar throughout their last 7 games with a 2.66 ERA/0.85 WHIP. The Dodgers have played 12-3 to the under this season in road games with a total of 8.0 or 8.5.

Despite going over the total yesterday, St. Louis has played 9-1 to the under in their last 10 and 11-2 under during its previous 13. Adam Wainwright has been stellar in his last 4 home starts with a 1.50 ERA/0.83 WHIP while also recording a 29:3 strikeout to walk ratio in 30.0 innings of work. The Cardinal bullpen has a solid 2.59 ERA/1.19 WHIP over its last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (White) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 9.0 (10*)

St. Louis has gone under the total in their last 9 and averaged a paltry 1.9 runs scored per game. Additionally, during that 9 game stretch they were shutout 4 times. Mathew Liberatore has made 2 home starts this season and allowed 0 earned runs in 10.0 innings pitched. The Cardinals bullpen has been outstanding over their previous 7 games while posting a 0.84 ERA as a staff.

Mitch White has seen each of his previous 4 starts go under the total and his 1.86 over that stretch was a major reason why. The Dodgers bullpen has a brilliant 0.85 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The Dodgers have witnessed only 33.3% of their 42 road games going over the total. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Pirates (Keller) @ Marlins (Rogers) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 7.5 (5*)

Trevor Rogers has seen all 6 of his home starts go over the total this season and his large 7.98 ERA/1.77 WHIP during those outings was a major reason why. Miami is coming off yesterday’s 2-0 road win over the Mets. The Marlins have played 16-5 to the over at home since the start of last season after allowing 1 run or less in their previous game, and there was a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per occurrence.

Mitch Keller has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts while recording a sizable 7.20 ERA/2.00 WHIP. Keller also has an uninspiring 6.00 ERA/1.67 WHIP during 6 road starts in 2022. The Pirates bullpen has been terrible throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 6.94 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Mets (Walker) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

Sandy Alcantara is the best kept secret in baseball due to the franchise that he pitches for. Alcantara has posted a brilliant 1.82 ERA and 0.91 ERA in 17 starts this season while averaging a lofty 7.3 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Alcantara has pitched 15-3 to the under in his starts versus division opponents and there was only a combined average of 5.8 runs scored per game.

Tijuan Walker has pitched 4-1 to the under at home this season with a superb 1.86 ERA. Walker has also pitched 5-0 to the under in day games this season with a spectacular 0.53 ERA and averaged 6.8 innings per outing. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Rays (Rasmussen) @ Reds (Greene) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Hunter Greene is 3-13 in his team starts this season with a 6.01 ERA and has allowed an alarmingly high 22 home runs in 79 1/3 innings pitched. He’s been in especially poor form over his last 3 starts with a 9.42 ERA. The Reds bullpen has a 5.66 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home this season. Cincinnati relievers have allowed 48 home runs this season.

The Rays have played 28-15 to the over since the start of last season as a money line road favorite of -125 or greater. Drew Rasmussen has been not very good in his last 3 road starts with a 7.50 ERA, 2.17 WHIP, and gave up 4 home runs in only 12.0 innings pitched. On a positive note, Tampa Bay is averaging 5.7 runs scored per game in their last 7. The Rays lost yesterday 2-1. However, since the start of last season, the Rays are 14-2 to the over on the road following a game in which there were a combined 4 runs or fewer scored. Give me this game to go over the total.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 8:15 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Zach Wheeler has been solid all season while posting a 2.55 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 15 starts. The Phillies bullpen has been outstanding throughout their last 7 games with a staff 0.94 ERA and 0.84 WHIP.

Adam Wainwright has pitched much better at home than on the road this season. The Cardinals have gone under the total in their last 5 and 8 of its previous 9. Their lack of offense during that stretch has been a major reason for those low scoring affairs. St. Louis has scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its last 5 and 7 of their previous 8. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rockies (Gomber) @ Diamondbacks (Keuchel) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 9.5 (10*)

Austin Gomber has a horrible 11.12 ERA over his last 5 starts. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Rockies bullpen that has recorded a 5.26 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and allowed 5 home runs in 25 2/3 innings pitched throughout their previous 7 games. Colorado is currently a money line favorite of -115 in this matchup. The Rockies have played 13-4 to the over this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater and there were a combined 13.6 runs scored per game.

Dallas Keuchel has a massive 12.92 ERA and 2.54 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a lofty 5.87 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Arizona has averaged 5.7 runs scored per game in their last 7. The Diamondbacks have played 7-2-1 to the over in their last 10 and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Nationals (Gray) @ Phillies (Nola) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Josiah Gray has been very good in 7 road starts this season with a 2.01 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Despite the Nationals 11-0 loss yesterday that went over the total, they have played 8-4-1 to the under in their last 13 games. Gray has made 1 starts versus Philadelphia this season and pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball.

Aaron Nola has been brilliant during his previous 5 starts while compiling a 1.70 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and averaging 7.4 innings pitched per outing. The often-criticized Phillies bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 1.17 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Nola will be facing a Washington team that has been outscored by an alarmingly high 1.6 runs per game this season. Nola has pitched 19-6 (76%) to the under in his career when facing teams that are being outscored by 1.0 or more runs per game on the season. Nola has made 1 start versus Washington in 2022 and pitched 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Rays (Springs) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 9.5 (10*)

These teams have played each other 4 times this season and each went under the total with a combined average of 5.7 runs scored per game. Boston has played 16-7-2 to the under in division games this season. Conversely, Tampa Bay has played 19-12 to the under in division games this year.

Nick Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Tampa Bay and all came last season. He was very good during those outing while posting a 2.95 ERA and 3 of those 4 games stayed under the total. Pivetta has been superb during his last 4 starts overall with a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Rays Jeffrey Spring is 8-2 in his team starts this season with a solid 2.72 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and a 54:10 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

White Sox (Cease) @ Giants (Webb) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

The White Sox have played 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games. Dylan Cease has been outstanding over his last 6 starts with a microscopic 0.26 ERA. The White Sox bullpen has a very good 2.00 ERA during its previous 7 games.

Logan Webb has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.45 ERA and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. The Giants bullpen has a shiny 2.01 ERA throughout their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Rangers (Otto) @ Mets (Bassitt) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Since 2021, Chris Bassitt has made 5 starts versus Texas with a sparkling 0.87 ERA. Bassitt has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 2.53 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and averaged 7.1 innings pitched per outing. The Mets have struggled offensively of last while averaging just 2.6 runs scored per game throughout its previous 7 outings.

Texas is coming off a 2-1 loss at Kansas City. They’ve played 7-0 to the under this season following a game in which they scored and allowed 3 runs or less. Glen Otto has pitched extremely well on the road in 2022 which is evidenced by 2.57 ERA and 1.10 WHIP throughout 3 starts. The Texas bullpen has a superb 1.59 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Cardinals (Flexen) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Sandy Alcantara may be the most underrated starting pitcher in baseball due to the market and franchise he plays in. Throughout his previous 9 starts, Alcantara has compiled a dominating 1.41 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Furthermore, the Marlins hurler pitched 7.0 or more innings in each of those 9 starts. Miami is currently a money line underdog of +105. Since the start of last season, Alcantara has pitched 19-6 (76%) to the under in his starts whenever Miami was +125 to -125 on the money line. The Marlins bullpen has a more than respectable 1.08 WHIP over its last 7 games.

Andre Pallante has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.57 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. The Cardinals bullpen has a sparkling 2.57 ERA and 1.00 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Since 2020, the Cardinals have played 9-1-1 to the under in 11 games versus Miami. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Wright) @ Phillies (Suarez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Kyle Wright has been in poor form over his last 3 starts with a sizable 6.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Wright hasn’t fared well in career starts versus Philadelphia, which is proven by his 6.10 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, and allowed 3 homers in just 10 1/3 innings pitched during those outings. Atlanta has played 17-6 to the over this season when facing fellow NL East teams. The Braves are also 17-9 to the over this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers and smashed 44 home runs (1.7 PG) in those occurrences. They’ll be facing Phillies lefthander Ranger Suarez today who 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched in his only start versus Atlanta this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Orioles (Kremer) @ Mariners (Ray) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Orioles won at Seattle 9-2 on Monday, and it marked a first time in 8 games in which they went over the total. Dean Kremer is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a microscopic 0.54 ERA. The Orioles bullpen has been dominant over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.23 ERA and 0.64 WHIP.

The Mariners Robbie Ray has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.90 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Mariners bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 0.81 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. Seattle has played 11-4-1 to the under in their last 16 games. Seattle has also played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 following an over in its previous game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Orioles (Wells) @ Mariners (Kirby) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Tyler Wells is 5-0 during his last 5 team starts with a superb 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 1.11 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and they converted on all 4 of their save opportunities. Baltimore has gone under the total in each of their last 7 games.

George Kirby has a more than respectable 3.12 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 9 starts this season. What stands out the most to me is Kirby’s 47:6 strikeout to walk ratio. The Seattle bullpen has a brilliant staff 0.44 ERA and has converted all 3 of its save opportunities throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Blue Jays (Berrios) @ Brewers (Gonzalez) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Chi Chi Gonzalez has made 3 starts this season with all coming since 6/3 and posted a terrible 7.36 ERA during those outings. Gonzalez also allowed 3 home runs in just 11.0 innings pitched.  That doesn’t bode well when facing a power laden team like Toronto who has smacked 92 home runs thus far in 2022.

Jose Berrios has struggled on the road this season with a 6.70 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. During his last 2 starts, Berrios has surrendered 5 home runs in just 11.0 innings pitched. That’s concerning considering he’ll be facing a Brewers team which has slammed 95 home runs in 2022. Milwaukee has hit 47 home runs in 28 day games this season. The Blue Jays bullpen has a horrible 8.07 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, and gave up 7 home runs over their previous 7 games. Heading into this weekend’s action, Toronto had gone over the total in 10 of its last 11 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Brewers (Houser) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Alek Manoah has pitched 10-3 to the under in his 13 starts this season with an impressive 2.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The Toronto bullpen has been much better on the road than at home. Manoah has also pitched 8-0 to the under in his career which began last season when facing teams with a winning record and there was a mere combined average of 5.4 runs scored per game.  The Blue Jays relievers have a combined 3.37 ERA and 1.22 WHIP during away games.

Adrian Houser has been solid in 6 home starts this year with a 2.94 ERA. The Brewers bullpen has been lights out over their previous 10 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Orioles (Kremer) @ White Sox (Cueto) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Dean Kremer has made 3 starts this season and all have come since 6/5. Kremer compiled a solid 2.35 ERA and 1.17 WHIP during those outings. The Orioles bullpen has been lights out over its last 7 games while posting a 1.44 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Baltimore has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 5 of its previous 6 games.

Johnny Cueto has exhibited outstanding form over his last 3 starts with a 2.84 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio, and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Cueto has pitched 13-3 to the under since the start of last season whenever the total was 8.5-10.0. Cueto has pitched 6.0 innings or more in each of his previous 6 starts which does a lot to cover up for a suspect White Sox bullpen. Give me this game to go under the total.

Astros (Valdez) @ Yankees (Taillon) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Framber Valdez has pitched 5-1-1 to the under this season with a brilliant 1.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The Houston bullpen has a terrific 1.07 ERA and 0.83 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Houston has seen just 31.9% of their 69 games go over the total this season.

Jameson Taillon hasn’t been close to top form over his last 3 starts. However, his entire body of work this season shows he has a superb 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. The Yankees bullpen has a very good 1.06 WHIP during its last 7 games and has been top notch for a better part of this season. Give me this game to go under the total.

Guardians (McKenzie) @ Twins (Gray) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Triston McKenzie has quietly put together a good year thus far with a shiny 2.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 11 starts. McKenzie has pitched 3-0 to the under during his last 3 starts versus Minnesota with a 2.37 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The Cleveland bullpen has an impressive 2.02 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over its last 7 games. Cleveland is coming off yesterday’s 6-5 win at Minnesota. Since the start of last season, , the Guardians have played 10-1 to the under on the road following a 1-run win in their previous game.

Sonny Gray has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.50 ERA and 0.56 WHIP. Gray has also been terrific in his 4 starts at Target Field this season with a 1.73 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The Twins bullpen has a solid 3.12 ERA and 1.08 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Dodgers (Anderson) @ Reds (Castillo) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

The Reds Luis Castillo has displayed good form over his last 4 starts with a 2.48 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Castillo went 6.0 or more innings in each of those starts which is noteworthy when considering the Reds bullpen issues. Castillo has a stellar 1.90 ERA in 4 career starts versus the Dodgers. As a matter of fact, 2 of those starts versus the Dodgers came at home and Castillo posted an even better 0.73 ERA in 12 1/3 innings pitched. Since the start of last season, Castillo has pitched 12-1 to the under at home whenever the total was 8.5 to 10.0.

Tyler Anderson has gone 6-0 in his last 6 team starts with a brilliant 1.64 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and averaged 6.4 innings pitched per outing. Anderson will be supported by a Dodgers bullpen that has compiled a terrific 1.27 ERA as a staff over their previous 7 games. The Dodgers have witnessed only 4 of their last 16 games (25%) going over the total. The Dodgers have played 20-10 to the under this season as a money line road favorite of -110 or greater. Los Angeles has also played 65-39 to the under since last season whenever the total was 8.5 to 10.0. Give me this game to go under the total.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

Toronto has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 13.0 runs scored per game. The White Sox have played 8-2-1 to the over during its previous 11. Throughout that stretch, Chicago averaged 7.3 runs scored and 11.1 hits per game. These teams are meeting for the 5th time this season and each of the previous 4 went over with a combined 11.7 runs scored per game.

The performance line of Dylan Cease indicates that he has a 0.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. However, during those outings he walked 11 and allowed 14 hits in 14 1/3 innings pitched which equates to a sizable 1.74 WHIP. My point is that Cease has been extremely lucky and encountered several high-pressure innings in which he was fortunate to escape unharmed. During 4 starts at night this season, Cease has posted a lofty 7.13 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has a terrible 5.49 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at home this season.

After a terrific start to the season, Kevin Gausman has hit the proverbial wall of late. Gausman is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with a poor 6.75 ERA and atrocious 2.25 WHIP. The Blue Jays bullpen has a concerning 7.16 ERA and allowed 9 home runs in 32 1/3 innings pitched during its last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play.

Diamondbacks (Davies) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Zach Davies has displayed dominant form over his last 3 starts with a 1.31 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 20:3 strikeout to walk ration throughout his previous 3 starts while averaging 6.9 innings pitcher per outing. The Arizona bullpen has an outstanding staff 2.22 ERA over its last 7 games. The Diamondbacks have played 13-5 to the under this season versus fellow NL West teams.

You Darvish has been spectacular at home this season while recording a 1.35 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, and averaged 6.7 innings pitcher per start at home in 2022. All 5 of Darvish’s 5 home starts have gone under the total. San Diego has played 19-10-1 to the under at home in 2022. Give me this game to go under the total.

Giants (Webb) @ Braves (Fried) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

San Francisco has gone over the total in just 1 of its last 13 games. Brandon Webb has a solid 3.12 ERA and 1.02 WHIP throughout his previous 7 starts. Webb is 3-0 in his career team starts versus Atlanta with a brilliant 1.35 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has an excellent 1.99 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and has gone 4-4 on save opportunities during its last 7 games. The Giants have played 13-4 to the under this season whenever the number was 8.0 or 8.5.

The Braves Max Fried has displayed good form over his previous 4 starts with a 2.10 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Fried is 4-0 in his career team starts versus the Giants with a shiny 1.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. The Braves bullpen has a sparkling staff 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP during its last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Yankees (Cole) @ Rays (McClanahan) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 6.5

I’m not going to let this low total scare me away.  The Yankees are coming off a 10-9 loss at Toronto on Sunday which marked one of the rare instances this season that their bullpen let them down. Nonetheless, New York has played 8-1-1 to the under in their last 10 following a game which went over the total. Gerrit Cole has seen both starts versus Tampa Bay go under the total and his 0.75 ERA during those outing was a major contributing factor to those low scoring games. Cole had that one hiccup at Minnesota 2 starts ago. Regardless of that poor performance, Cole has a solid 3.38 ERA and 1.08 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts.

The Rays Shane McClanahan is an early contender for the American League Cy Young Award. McClanahan has a terrific 0.98 ERA with a dominating 58:6 strikeout to walk ratio in this last 7 starts. McClanahan has pitched an impressive 17-3 to the under in 20 starts versus winning teams since the start of last season. Tampa Bay has played 16-6 to the under in division games this season which includes 5-2 under versus the Yankees. Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Houser) @ Reds (Minor) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Mike Minor has made 3 starts this season and all recently. During those outings, Minor had an awful 7.37 ERA while allowing 6 home runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched. Minor will be facing a Brewers team on Sunday who is among the National League leaders in home runs while having hit 1.27 taters per game. The Reds bullpen has a lofty 5.64 ERA and 1.51 WHIP at home this season. The Reds have averaged 5.9 runs scored and 1.25 home runs per game at home in 2022.

Adrian Houser got off to an impressive start to the season. However, he’s regressed dramatically of late while posting a 6.86 ERA and 2.03 WHIP. Based on his WHIP, he’s lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher than 6.86.

The Reds have played 15-5 to the over during day games this season. Since the start of last season, Cincinnati has played 32-18 (64%) to the over during division games. Milwaukee has witnessed just 32% of their 25 day game going over the total this year. These teams have met 7 times in 2002 which produced 6 overs and 1 push on totals betting. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Mets (Bassitt) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

The Marlins Sandy Alcantara is a hidden gem due to the franchise he belongs to. Alcantara has gone 6-1 in his last 7 team starts with a superb 0.81 ERA and averaged 7.9 innings pitched per outing. Additionally, since the start of last season, Alcantara has pitched 15-1 to the under in starts versus division opponents.

The Mets were extremely encouraged with Chris Bassitt during his previous start which was a scoreless 8.0 inning and 3-hit masterpiece. He’s now allowed only 1 earned run in 14.0 pitched in his last 2 starts at home.

This has all the making of an old-fashioned starting pitcher’s duel. Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Eflin) @ Nationals (Tetreault) 12:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Jackson Tetreault had a nightmarish MLB debut start this past Monday while allowing 7 earned runs, 9 hits, and allowed 3 home runs in only 4.0 innings pitched. The Nationals bullpen has a 4.93 ERA over their previous 7 game which includes surrendering an alarmingly high 11 home runs. Going into this weekend’s action, Washington had played 8-2 to the over during its last 10 games.

Zach Eflin has been great at home but the opposite in his road starts. Eflin has pitched 5-0 to the over on the road this season with his 7.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP during those outings being a key contributing factor. The Phillies bullpen has a terrible 6.43 ERA and 1.86 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. During that 7-game stretch, Philadelphia also scored a healthy 5.6 runs per game and had an outstanding .351 OBP. Philadelphia has played 10-1 to the over in road games this season whenever the total was 8.5 to 10. Give me this game to go over the total.

Brewers (Lauer) @ Reds (Greene) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

These teams have met 6 times already this season and all have gone over the total with a combined average of 15.8 runs scored per game. Cincinnati has played 18-11-1 to the over at home this season with a combined 11.7 runs scored per game. Milwaukee has played 6-2 to the over during its previous 8 and there was a combined average of 10.1 runs scored per game.

Hunter Green has made 2 starts versus Milwaukee this season with a massive 11.25 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, and allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in just 8.0 innings pitched. The Reds bullpen has been shaky over its last 7 games with a staff 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. The Brewers Eric Lauer has displayed poor form throughout his last 3 starts with a 6.60 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and all 3 games went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Angels (Ohtani) @ Mariners (Kirby) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Seattle has played 9-1 to the under in their previous 10 at home. The Mariners have been shutout in 2 of their previous 4 games which were all played in Seattle. George Kirby has exhibited stellar form over his last 3 starts with a 2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has recorded a sparkling 0.87 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in 10 of its last 15 games. Shoei Ohtani has a stellar 1.12 WHIP during 10 starts this season. Ohtani has made 3 career starts versus Seattle with an impressive 2.37 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and amassed 26 strikeouts versus 2 walks in 20.0 innings of work. The Angels bullpen has a more than respectable 3.29 ERA and 1.17 WHIP throughout its last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rays (Kluber) @ Yankees (Cole) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Corey Kluber enters this start in good form. During his previous 3 starts, Kluber has posted a stellar 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. One of those starts came at home versus the Yankees where he allowed only 1 earned run in 6.0 inning pitched. The Rays bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 1.23 ERA.

Gerrit Cole is coming off a forgettable start at Minnesota in which he allowed a career 5 home runs. However, Cole has a solid 2.87 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 6 home starts. Cole has made 1 start versus Tampa Bay this season and allowed only 1 earned run while striking out 10 in 6.0 innings of work. The Yankees bullpen has a brilliant 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Urias) @ Giants (Rodon) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

The Dodgers have gone over the total in just 31.2% of their 32 road games this season. The Dodgers Julio Urias has pitched 8-1 to the under this season whenever there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5 and there was a combined average of 5.9 runs scored per game. Since 7/21/2021 Urias has made 5 starts versus San Francisco and he recorded an impressive 1.23 during those outings. The Dodgers have gone over the total in just 2 of its previous 9 games.

Carlos Rodon has a solid 2.67 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 5 home starts this year. During those home appearances, Rodon has also struck out 44 batters in 27.0 innings pitched. The Giants bullpen has a brilliant 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Giants have played 4-0-2 to the under in their last 6 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Reds (Ashcroft) @ Cardinals (Hudson) 2:15 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Graham Ashcroft has pitched 3-1 to the under in 4 starts this season with a 1.14 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Cincinnati has played 23-12 to the under in road day games.

Dakota Hudson is 5-0 in his home team starts this season with a superb 1.35 ERA. Hudson has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts overall with a 0.96 ERA and all 3 games went under the total. Since 2020, Hudson has registered a terrific 0.74 ERA during his 4 starts versus Cincinnati.

St. Louis defeated Cincinnati on Saturday 58-4 and that game went over the total of 8.0. Cincinnati has played 8-2 to the under in their last 10 following an over in their previous game. St. Louis has gone 3-0 to the under following an over in their previous game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Blue Jays (Stripling) @ Tigers (Skubal) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

The Blue Jays will be facing lefthander Tarik Skubal today. Toronto has played 9-2 to the under this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Ross Stripling has pitched 5-1 to the under this season with a more than respectable 3.46 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Stripling will be facing a Tigers team with a poor season slugging percentage of .321. Stripling has pitched 9-1 to the under since the start of last season when going up against an American League team with a season slugging percentage of .400 or worse.

Tarik Skubal is a vastly underrated starting pitcher. During his previous 6 starts, Skubal has compiled an excellent 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. Detroit is averaging just a paltry 2.8 runs per game this season. With that said it comes as no surprise that they’ve witnessed only 32.8% of their 58 games going over the total this season. The Detroit bullpen has a sparking staff 2.84 ERA this season. Give me this game to go under the total.

Orioles (Zimmerman) @ Royals (Heasley) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Bruce Zimmerman has been horrible over his last 4 starts while posting and 8.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. During that stretch, Zimmerman allowed an alarmingly high 10 home runs in just 21.0 innings pitched. On a positive note, Baltimore, they’ve hit 13 home runs over its last 8 games. The Orioles have also played 8-1-1 to the over in their previous 10 games.

Jon Heasley has exhibited shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 4.76 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, and he surrendered 4 home runs throughout 17.0 innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has an awful 1.86 WHIP over its last 7 games and issued 20 walks in 26.0 innings during that span. Kansas City has played 14-6 (70%) to the over during its previous 20 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Lopez) @ Astros (Garcia) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Luis Gonzalez has pitched 8-2 to the under in 10 starts this season with a 3.02 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Garcia has also pitched 7-0 to the under since the start of last season when facing National League teams. The Astros bullpen has a terrific 1.49 ERA and 0.95 WHIP at home this season. Betting on Astros games to go under the total this season has been extremely profitable. The Astros have gone over the total in just 29.8% of their 57 games played.

The Marlins Pablo Lopez is a vastly underrated starting pitcher. Lopez has a stellar 2.32 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Lopez has an even better 1.41 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 5 road starts while 4 of those 5 games went under the total. Lopez has pitched 6.0 or more innings in 5 of his last 6 starts. Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Nola) @ Brewers (Houser) 8:10 ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Besides their current 5-game win streak, Philadelphia has also smashed an impressive 13 home runs over their last 7 games. However, they’ll be facing Milwaukee starting pitcher Adrian Houser tonight and he’s allowed just 3 home runs in 51 2/3 innings pitched which includes just giving up 1 homer in 27 2/3 innings pitched at home. Houser is 3-2 in his home team starts with a shiny 1.95 ERA this season. The Brewer bullpen has been solid at home in 2022 with a staff 3.06 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. During their previous 7 played, Milwaukee has average just 3.0 runs scored per game, registered a poor team batting average of .197, and hit a mere 3 home runs.

Aaron Nola has started 1 game versus Milwaukee this season and pitched 7.0 scoreless innings while striking out 9 and walking only 1. Nola has a solid 3.38 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 5 road starts this season while averaging a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The beleaguered Phillies bullpen has been very good of late. Throughout their previous 7 games, Phillies relievers have a cumulative 2.13 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.